Las Vegas NBA Odds Handicapping

November 5, 2008

As most of you know by now, we focus heavily on situational analysis in our capping when trying to beat the Las Vegas NBA odds. Perhaps more so than any other sport, NBA teams are prone to certain patterns of play due to the long and grueling, topsy-turvy season.

We always ask questions such as:

Has a team shown a propensity to carry tired legs in the second of back-to-back nights? Has a team been complacent versus weaker foes, but focused when playing upper echelon opponents?

Has a team been ripe for a letdown after an upset win? Conversely, has a team shown the ability to turnaround with a huge effort after an embarrassing loss?

These are just a few of the many situational factors we investigate when breaking down a game against the Las Vegas NBA odds. And trust us, correctly answering these sorts of questions serves as a proverbial treasure chest for the astute capper. There is no getting around the fact that there are clear patterns of play associated with certain teams.

Looking at our questions above, we find it all too common, for example, to witness a club fall flat on its’ face after a big upset win, but turnaround with a huge effort after a bad loss. As it pertains to this season, the Orlando Magic fall into this category.

That is, the Mousketeers are the epitome of a team susceptible to the highs and lows of the NBA season depending on the outcome of their previous game. Consider that Orlando is an ultra complacent 7-17-1 against the spread (ATS) after an outright win, but particularly resilient at 14-6-1 ATS after an outright loss. Along these lines, the Magic are also a tragic 4-13 ATS off a straight up (SU) home win this year.

These types of situational patterns are all over the place if you look hard enough. We’ll be back next week with another glaring team trend to pad your pockets.

Written by admin · Filed Under Basketball Handicapping