15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Purdue -11.5

Purdue is going to be highly motivated tonight when they take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. First and foremost, the Boilermakers (19-10) are safely in the NCAA Tournament right now, but they know a lost tonight would severely hurt their chances.

The Boilermakers want serious payback tonight from their most embarrassing loss of the season; a 45-65 setback at Penn State. They will also be pumped for Senior Night and to win this one for Robbie Hummel (16.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG), who has meant everything to this program.

Purdue has saved some of their best basketball for last. After topping Nebraska 83-65 at home, the Boilermakers went on to pick up their most impressive road win of the season last time out. They went into Ann Arbor and came away with a 75-61 victory at Michigan. Penn State (12-17) has little to play for tonight.

Penn State is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Purdue is 6-0 ATS in home games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 8 or less turnovers this season. These three trends make for a 22-1 (96%) system backing the home team. Bet Purdue Wednesday.

25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on Xavier +8

The Xavier Musketeers are the definition of a bubble team. They have so much at stake tonight that getting 8 points is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. I'll back the Musketeers in a game I believe they are likely to win outright.

Xavier opened 8-0 this season with wins over Vanderbilt, Purdue, Butler, Georgia and Cincinnati. But they got in a brawl with the Bearcats in their 76-53 win over Cincinnati, and they just haven't quite been the same team since. They simply haven't been living up to their potential.

I look for the Musketeers to bring their "A" game tonight with what's at stake. Joe Lunardi currently has them as a "last 4 in" team in terms of the NCAA Tournament, but a loss tonight would put them on the outside looking in. They also trail Saint Louis by just one game in the Atlantic 10 standings.

Xavier lost 68-73 at home to Saint Louis in their first meeting, so there's no question they want some revenge tonight. This is still one of the more talented teams in the country, and they will put their best foot forward in this one. Star guards Tu Holloway (16.9 PPG, 5.6 APG) and Mark Lyons (15.7 PPG) will rise to the occasion.

Saint Louis is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls. The Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Xavier has won seven of their last eight meetings with Saint Louis, so to say the Billikens' earlier win over the Musketeers this season was rare would be an understatement. Bet Xavier Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -13

West Virginia finds themselves squarely on the bubble after back-to-back losses to Notre Dame and Marquette. Highly motivated and playing for their tournament lives, the Mountaineers will come out with one of their best efforts of the season Tuesday.

It should be enough to cover this spread against the lowly DePaul Blue Demons. It has been a lost season for DePaul as they are just 11-17 on the year, including 2-14 in conference play. They are giving up a ridiculous 81.4 points on 50.1 percent shooting in Big East action, essentially playing no defense.

West Virginia has won each of its last six meetings with DePaul dating back to 2007. Five of those six wins came by double-digits. The Blue Demons are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Big East, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.

WVU head coach Bob Huggins has been amazing in this spot. Huggins is 14-3 ATS in his last 17 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of West Virginia. He'll have his troops ready to go tonight in their most important game of the season. Take West Virginia Tuesday.

20* Kansas/Oky State ESPN Big 12 No-Brainer on Oklahoma State +9.5

The Kansas Jayhawks are in the ideal letdown spot tonight against an underrated Oklahoma State team that has been great at home all year. The Jayhawks just clinched at least a share of the Big 12 title with their 87-86 overtime victory over Missouri on Saturday.

Kansas will not be able to match the intensity they brought to that game against the Tigers, which had everything at stake. Now, Kansas knows that they have already won an eighth consecutive Big 12 regular-season title and no matter what happens tonight they'll have a chance to win it outright with a home victory over Texas in their finale.

Oklahoma State is an upset-minded team this season. The Cowboys beat Missouri at home 79-72 earlier this season, handing the Tigers one of their three losses. After their 60-42 victory versus Texas A&M over the weekend, the Cowboys are now 11-3 at home this year while outscoring opponents by 8.9 points/game. Oky State is 38-16-3 ATS in their last 57 home games.

The Cowboys only lost by 13 at Kansas in their first meeting, and I have no doubt they'll be able to stay within 9 points at home this time around. Oklahoma State is a perfect 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5. Take this 12-0 system backing the Cowboys straight to the bank tonight. Bet Oklahoma State Monday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -1.5

The Miami Hurricanes are showing great value today as just a 1.5-point home favorite over the Florida State Seminoles. While FSU has clearly earned their spot in the NCAA Tournament, Miami needs to finish strong to get into the Big Dance. They'll certainly be motivated Sunday for a win over FSU, which would boost their resume.

Miami is 16-10 on the season, including 11-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by 7.6 points/game. The Seminoles are in a huge letdown spot after their 66-74 home loss to Duke last time out. Plus, FSU won the first meeting with Miami 64-59 at home, so there's no question the Hurricanes will be the more motivated team tonight.

Florida State is 6-20 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. The Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. ACC opponents. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series. Miami is 44-24 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997. Bet Miami Sunday.

25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Utah +12

The Utah Utes are showing their best value of the season Saturday as a double-digit home underdog to Stanford. This team is out of the spotlight due to having a poor season record-wise, which means the betting public has steered clear from them. It has provided us with ample value to pull the trigger here.

Stanford is a quality team this season, but they have no business laying double-digits on the road. The Cardinal are a mediocre 6-6 on the road this year. In their first meeting with Utah this season, Stanford won 68-65 at home as a 22.5-point favorite. Now they're being asked to lay double-digits on the road? Give me a break.

Despite being on an 8-game losing streak, the Utes have been playing some of their best basketball of the season of late. Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, with three of their losses coming by 9 points or less, and the other by 14 points to Cal, which is the best team in the Pac-12.

Utah is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. The Utes are 6-0 ATS off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points this season. Utah is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. These three trends make for a perfect 16-0 system backing the Utes tonight. Bet Utah Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Western Kentucky +9

Western Kentucky already took Middle Tennessee State down to the wire in their first meeting. The Hilltoppers would fall 64-72 to the Blue Raiders on February 9th on the road just a little over two weeks ago. I like their chances to stay within 8 points once again at home this time around.

While WKU is just 10-18 on the season, this team has been playing much better basketball of late than their record would indicate. The Hilltoppers are 5-4 in their last nine games overall, with all four of those losses coming by 8 points or less.

Western Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, covering 80% of the time. MTSU is way overvalued right now due to their 25-4 record, which is indicated by the fact that they are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Western Kentucky Saturday.

15* Mizzou/Kansas CBS Saturday No-Brainer on Missouri +7.5

The Missouri Tigers and Kansas Jayhawks have a lot on the line in this Big 12 showdown. The winner will have the inside track to the Big 12 title. Kansas would win the regular season conference title with a win, while Missouri would hold the tiebreaker with a victory.

I look for this one to go right down to the wire and be decided within the last couple of possessions. Missouri already beat Kansas 74-71 in their first meeting, and I have no doubt they are capable of going on the road and capping off the season sweep today.

The Tigers are 25-3 on the year and 10-2 on the road this season. They should not be this big of an underdog to any team in the country, let alone Kansas. Somehow, Missouri just doesn't get the respect they deserve, and that's clearly evident with this line.

The Tigers are 6-0 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season. Missouri is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Kansas is 1-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. Roll with Missouri Saturday.

20* MAAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Canisius +17.5

This line has certainly been inflated tonight and I'll take full advantage. While Canisius is just 5-22 on the season and Manhattan is 19-10, there's no question the clear value is with the big underdog in this one.

Canisius has played much better of late with each of their last five games being decided by 11 or less points. They even picked up a rare win over MD-Balt County last time out, giving them confidence heading into this one.

Manhattan trails three teams in the MAAC standings with two games to play, and they are two games down. This team realizes their chances of winning the conference are slim to none, and I look for them to let down tonight because of it.

Manhattan beat Canisius by 12 points on the road earlier this season by a final of 78-66. I look for a similar margin of victory tonight in the rematch. The road team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings dating back to 2008. Canisius is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 Friday games. Bet Canisius Friday.

15* BYU/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Gonzaga -6

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are out for revenge tonight against the BYU Cougars. BYU would beat the Zags in their first meeting in Provo by a final of 83-73. I expect another double-digit victory again, but by the Bulldogs this time around.

A great example of how this team plays in revenge mode came against St. Mary's earlier this season. After losing to the Gaels on the road 62-83, the Zags came back to beat them 73-59 at home. Coming off a 1-point loss at San Francisco will only add more fuel to the fire tonight.

Gonzaga is 14-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 15.4 points/game. The Cougars are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 games as an underdog, including 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Cougars are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. Roll with Gonzaga Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland State -3

Cleveland State has hit a rough patch of late, which has them way undervalued heading into this contest with Detroit. After five straight losses SU & ATS, now is the time to back the Vikings at home tonight.

CSU is still 20-9 on the season and one of the better teams in the country that not too many folks know about. I have no doubt this team will respond in a big way tonight to put an end to this skid against overmatched Detroit.

The favorite is 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings, which includes a 66-61 road victory by Cleveland State as a 2.5-point favorite in their first meeting this season on December 3rd. Detroit is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland State Thursday.

15* Kansas/Texas A&M ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Texas A&M +10.5

Texas A&M already proved that they could play with Kansas in their first meeting. The Aggies hung tough as a 19-point road underdog, but eventually lost 64-54. I like their chances of staying within 10 point at home in the rematch tonight.

The Aggies have certainly underachieved with their talent to this point of the season. They were supposed to be an NCAA Tournament team this year, but I know what they're capable of. Texas A&M will certainly be motivated to face Kansas tonight, and I believe they'll give the Jayhawks a run for their money.

Texas A&M is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games this season. Kansas is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas A&M Wednesday.

15* WVU/Notre Dame ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Notre Dame -2.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been absolutely rolling through conference play. I'll gladly back the red-hot Irish at home as a small favorite over rival West Virginia tonight.

The Irish already beat the Mountaineers 55-51 on the road earlier this season. That was a rare win for the road team. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series.

Notre Dame is 11-0 in their last 11 home meetings with West Virginia, having not lost to the Mountaineers in South Bend since 1987. They have won eight straight overall and are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Bet Notre Dame Wednesday.

15* Big Ten Tuesday ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern -2

The Northwestern Wildcats are a bubble team right now in terms of the NCAA Tournament. I have them beating the Michigan Wolverines tonight to help their cause. The Wolverines are primed for a letdown Tuesday after their huge home win over Ohio State this past Saturday.

At 16-10, the Wildcats will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to bolster their resume. Northwestern certainly helped their cause with a 64-53 home victory over Minnesota on Saturday. The Wildcats are now 11-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.5 points/game.

While Michigan is 15-0 at home, the Wolverines are just 5-7 on the road. They are actually getting outscored away from home and there's no question this is a vulnerable team away from Ann Arbor. That 5-7 mark includes neutral court games as the Wolverines are only 2-6 in true road contests.

The home team has won four straight in this series. Northwestern has won their last two home meetings with Michigan by 14 and 15 points, respectively. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Roll with Northwestern Tuesday.

20* Baylor/Texas ESPN Big Monday BLOWOUT on Texas -2

The Texas Longhorns are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament. A win over ranked Baylor would go a long way in helping them solidify their spot in the Big Dance. I fully expect the Longhorns to win in a blowout tonight behind a rowdy home crowd down in Austin.

I believe Baylor is one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. That has certainly shown of late and in Big 12 play as all five of their losses have come against conference opponents. The Bears have lost three of their last four, including a 16-point home loss to Kansas and a 15-point road loss to Missouri.

Texas has won four of their last five to put themselves in good position to make the tournament. This young team has only gotten better as the season has progressed. The Longhorns have been especially tough in Austin, going 14-2 at home while outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.2 points/game.

Both of Texas' home losses this season have come to Missouri and Kansas by a combined 4 points. Both Tigers and Jayhawks are 2-0 against Baylor this season. The Longhorns are 12-1 under head coach Rick Barnes in 13 home meetings with Baylor.

The Bears are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 vs. Big 12 opponents. Baylor is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Longhorns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After losing a heartbreaker at Baylor 76-71 in their first meeting on 1/28, I believe the Longhorns will have their revenge in a blowout tonight. Bet Texas Monday.

20* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Purdue +5.5

The Michigan State Spartans are getting way too much respect on the road today. They are a very good team and one of the best squads in the Big Ten, but there's no way they should be favored at Purdue.

The Boilermakers are 17-9 this season, including 11-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 14.5 points/game. Purdue wants revenge from an ugly loss at Michigan State earlier this season, which is likely the biggest reason why the Spartans are favored. But in the Big Ten, home-court advantage means everything.

Purdue is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Michigan State is 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons. These three trends make for a perfect 21-0 system backing the Boilermakers. Bet Purdue Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado State -2.5

The Colorado State Rams are showing solid value as just a 2.5-point home favorite over the Wyoming Cowboys. The Rams will be looking to revenge an earlier loss to the Cowboys in their first meeting of the season, so motivation will certainly be on their side.

Colorado State is one of the best home teams in the entire country this year. The Rams are 11-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 8.8 points/game. CSU has won four of their last five meetings with Wyoming overall, so their road loss earlier this season was a rarity.

Colorado State is a perfect 8-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Colorado State Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -8.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are a legitimate NCAA Tournament team. They really need this win Saturday to assure that they stay on track to make the Big Dance for the first time since 2005. I believe they win in a double-digit blowout against overmatched Oklahoma here.

Without question, Iowa State is the most underrated team in the Big 12. The Cyclones are 18-8 in all games this season, including 8-5 SU & 9-3 ATS in conference play. ISU is 13-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 9.2 points/game.

Oklahoma enters this contest on a five-game losing streak. That includes a 77-70 home loss to Iowa State, and blowout road losses at Kansas (62-84) and at Texas Tech (47-65). That was the Red Raiders' only Big 12 win of the season just to show how bad that loss was.

Oklahoma is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. These two trends make for a 12-0 system backing the Cyclones. Plus, the Sooners are 25-52-3 ATS in their last 80 road games. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State -2.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions will make easy work of the Iowa Hawkeyes Thursday and cover this tiny spread with ease. Oddsmakers have missed their mark very badly in this Big Ten match-up. Home-court advantage is as big in this conference at it is in any other conference in the country.

That's especially the case in this series as the home team has been absolutely dominant. The home team is a perfect 10-0 in the last 10 meetings in this series dating back to 2006. When Penn State makes it 11 in a row tonight, they'll likely win by 3-plus points to cover this generous spread, too.

Iowa has played 25 games this season, and they only have two road wins to their credit. The Hawkeyes are getting outscored by 13.1 points/game away from home. Penn State is a respectable 9-5 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 6.6 points/game.

The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Penn State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Bet Penn State Thursday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on South Florida -2

The South Florida Bulls should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Villanova Wildcats. Villanova continues to get too much respect from oddsmakers from what they've done in year's past, instead of what they are doing this year.

Villanova is 11-13 SU & 5-15 ATS this season. That includes a 2-10 SU & 3-8 ATS road mark. The Wildcats are giving up a whopping 75.7 points/game on the road. This team has been overvalued all season, and they remain overvalued tonight.

South Florida doesn't get the respect they deserve because they have not been a contender in the Big East over the last several years. But they are a contender this season. The Bulls are 15-10 in all games, including an impressive 8-4 in Big East play.

USF does not lose at home, going 12-1 while giving up just 57.1 points and outscoring opponents by 11.4 points/game this season. They already beat Villanova 74-57 on the road in their first meeting, so they should have no problem winning by 3-plus points at home this time around.

Villanova is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. These three trends make for an 18-0 ATS system backing the Bulls. Take South Florida Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Tech +4.5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders should not be an underdog at home to the Texas A&M Aggies tonight. This is a game I fully expect the Red Raiders to win outright. Texas Tech picked up a huge 65-47 victory over Oklahoma Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog, giving them a lot of confidence heading into this one.

The Aggies have simply been a disappointment this season. A big reason has been due to injuries as they just haven't been healthy at any point this year. This team appeared to have packed it in against Iowa State in a 46-69 road loss Saturday, which was their fourth straight defeat.

With how poorly Texas A&M has played on the road this season, there's no way they should be favored in this one. The Aggies are 1-8 in road games, losing by an average of 12.3 points/game. Texas Tech is a respectable 7-5 at home this year. The Aggies are 0-6 in Big 12 road games, losing all six by 9 points or more.

The Aggies are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Texas A&M is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Texas Tech Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +9

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Baylor Bears, on the other hand, have been overrated all year thanks to a soft early schedule. This line reflects both of my opinions as the Cyclones simply should not be catching this many points.

Iowa State is 18-7 on the season and deserving of being ranked. The Cyclones are 8-4 SU & 9-2-1 ATS in conference play. Their record against the spread in Big 12 games just shows how underrated this team really is. Head coach Fred Hoiberg brought in a ton of talented transfers, and they have really started to gel in conference action.

Baylor's true colors have shown here recently. They lost at home to Kansas 54-68 on 2/8 and followed that poor performance up with a 57-72 road loss at Missouri on 2/11. Iowa State only lost to Kansas by 9 on the road, and they beat the Jayhawks are home 72-64. ISU has not lost a Big 12 games by more than 9 points this season.

Baylor is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points. The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after 2 or more consecutive unders. Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These five trends make for a 34-0 system backing ISU. Bet Iowa State Monday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Maryland +15.5

The Maryland Terrapins are showing their best value of the season today against the Duke Blue Devils. Not only is Maryland playing their best basketball of the year right now, but Duke is in a huge letdown spot.

Duke is coming off their biggest win of the season, a buzzer-beating 85-84 road victory over arch rival North Carolina. There's no question they've been getting patted on the back leading up to this game, and they'll come out flat this afternoon because of it.

The Blue Devils have been prone to getting upset at home this season. Duke lost 73-76 as a 10-point home favorite to Florida State, and they also lost 74-78 to Miami as a 12-point favorite in their last game at Cameron Indoor.

Maryland is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. While the Terrapins are just 4-5 in ACC play, they are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS. They have not lost an ACC game by more than 14 points this season, and that came at Florida State.

Duke is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games where the total is 150 to 159.5. The Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Maryland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC foes. These four trends make for a 22-0 system backing the Terrapins. Bet Maryland Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia +10.5

The Virginia Cavaliers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. Getting them as a double-digit underdog Saturday is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The betting public is expecting UNC to bounce back, but I see it the complete opposite.

North Carolina will suffer a hangover from their huge 85-84 home loss to the Duke Blue Devils at the buzzer earlier this week. The Blue Devils are their arch rivals, so it's a loss that will take some time for them to get over.

Virginia is 19-4 on the season, just one win shy of North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 6-3 in conference play, with all three losses coming by 3 points or less. Those three losses have come by a combined 8 points, including a 58-61 setback at Duke and a 55-58 loss at Florida State. This team is the real deal.

The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in road games this season. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Virginia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots. Virginia is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game. These four trends make for a 27-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Roll with Virginia Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee State +10.5

I've been fading Murray State for a few weeks now with a lot of success. The Racers are the only undefeated Division 1 team left in the country at 23-0. As a result, this team is way overvalued right now and has been for a few weeks.

Murray State is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Time and time again this team is a double-digit favorite and they simply cannot live up to expectations. Once again, I find the Racers laying double-digits against a team that has a chance to put an end to this streak tonight.

Tennessee State is the real deal at 15-10. The Tigers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, playing their best basketball of the season. In fact, Tennessee State has not lost by more than 7 points in any of their last 16 games. That makes for a perfect 16-0 system backing them tonight pertaining to the double-digit spread set for this contest.

Murray State is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games off a win against a conference rival. The Racers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. Tennessee State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Add these last four trends up and we have a perfect 37-0 system backing the Tigers. Roll with Tennessee State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +10

The Northern Iowa Panthers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They should not be catching double-digits tonight against Wichita State in a game that will go right down to the wire.

Northern Iowa is 16-9 this season. Creighton and Wichita State are the two teams that get talked about the most in the MVC, but UNI is right there with them. The Panthers stay competitive because of their ability to defend. They give up just 60.8 points/game this season.

UNI wants revenge from a 68-71 home loss to Wichita State in their first meeting. That game obviously went right down to the wire, and I have no doubt this one will too. Wichita State is simply getting too much credit for playing at home tonight.

Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Wichita State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts. UNI is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 revenging a home loss vs opponent. Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less. Wichita State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. These six trends make for a 41-0 system backing the Panthers. Take Northern Iowa Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh -2.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are on a roll right now. They are making their run to try and play themselves into the NCAA Tournament. This team remains undervalued due to their slow start, but they're finally starting to play up to their potential.

At 15-9 on the season, I'm certain the Panthers would fall short of the Big Dance if the season were to end today. Their 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS run in their last four games has put them right back into the mix. That includes home wins over Providence (86-74), Georgetown (72-60) and Villanova (79-70) while also going on the road and beating West Virginia (72-66).

South Florida is no match for red hot Pittsburgh tonight. The Bulls are coming off a 30-point beat down at the hands of Georgetown (45-75). Their only Big East wins this season have come against bottom feeders in Rutgers, Villanova, Seton Hall, St. Johns, DePaul and Providence. They aren't ready to beat a quality team like Pitt.

South Florida is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East. Take this 11-0 system backing the Panthers straight to the bank tonight. Roll with Pittsburgh Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State +2

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. They still didn't get ranked this week despite three straight impressive wins to get to 17-6 on the year. They beat Kansas and Kansas State at home before going on the road to knock off Oklahoma.

I look for the Cyclones to use them not getting ranked as big-time motivation heading into this game with Oklahoma State. ISU is 7-3 in Big 12 play and only 1.5 games out of first place after Missouri won at Oklahoma last night. This team is the real deal and should not be an underdog to the Cowboys.

Oklahoma State is no more than a mediocre team at 11-12 on the season. They have no business being favored in this contest. The Cowboys are just 4-6 in conference play, which includes a road loss at Iowa State in their first meeting this season. With ISU playing their best basketball of the year right now, I expect them to cap off the season sweep.

Iowa State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big 12 opponents. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. ISU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The clones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These four trends make for a 27-2 (93%) System backing the Cyclones. Take Iowa State Tuesday.

20* UConn/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -4

The Louisville Cardinals are showing great value Monday as only a 4-point home favorite over the UConn Huskies. UConn has been overrated all season after winning the championship last year. That has really shown in Big East play.

The Huskies are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall despite being a favorite in four of those five contests. UConn is just 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS on the road this season where they are scoring a mere 62.8 points/game on 41.1 percent shooting.

Louisville is 18-5 this year and one of the top teams in the country. The Cardinals are a super 14-2 at home, outscoring opponents by 13.3 points/game. They are only giving up 60.4 points on 36.8 percent shooting at home.

Louisville is red hot right now, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with four straight wins by 9 points or more. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Huskies. Bet Louisville Monday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have beaten the Kansas Jayhawks and Kansas State Wildcats in back-to-back games despite not being a favorite in either. ISU should be a favorite today against lowly Oklahoma, but they're not.

The Cyclones are 16-6 on the season and legitimately one of the best teams in the BIg 12. ISU is 6-3 in the Big 12 this season to show their true colors. Oklahoma is 3-6 in the Big 12 this year, and just 13-8 on the season. This team is not on the same level as the Cyclones.

Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +6.5

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are showing tremendous value tonight. Baylor is a team that I believe has been overrated for quite some time. They should not be favored at all at Oklahoma State, let alone by 6.5 points.

OSU is 9-1 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Oky State is 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Cowboys Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Troy -3

This one is just about as obvious as it gets folks. Florida International is getting too much respect with this line despite being just 5-15 on the season. Troy isn't much better at 7-13, but the Trojans are playing at home and are clearly the choice at this small price.

Troy is a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games. The Trojans are a respectable 5-4 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 6.5 points/game. FIU is just 4-8 on the road, getting outscored by 5.1 points/game.

The home team has been dominant in this series, winning six of the last eight meetings. The Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Troy is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Roll with Troy Thursday.

25* College Basketball DOG OF THE YEAR on SE Missouri State +16

Murray State is the only unbeaten Division 1 team left. As a result, the Racers are way overvalued right now. The betting public is constantly all over this team because of their unbeaten mark. They have been getting killed of late because of it.

Murray State is 21-0 on the season. However, the Racers have gone 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. All five of those contests were decided by 17 points or less. This team is starting to feel invincible, and they simply aren't showing up every night with the kind of effort it takes to cover these large spread.

SE Missouri State is a quality team at 12-9 on the season. This squad has been underrated all year as they've gone 11-6 ATS in all lined games. SE Missouri State is 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with both losses coming by 4 and 15 points, respectively. They are playing their best basketball of the season right now.

Murray State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. The Racers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games off a win against a conference rival. Murray State is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game. These three trends make for a 23-0 system backing SE Missouri State. Plus, the road team is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Bet SE Missouri State Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas A&M +7.5

The Texas A&M Aggies are a lived underdog tonight at home against the Baylor Bears. This team should not be this heavy of a dog at home Wednesday. They are in the midst of playing their best basketball of the season and are fully capable of pulling off the upset.

The Aggies are a mediocre 12-8 on the season, but they have won three of their last five games overall. All three wins came at home against Texas Tech, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Their two losses during this stretch came at Missouri by 19 points and at Kansas by only 10.

Texas A&M has been at their best by far at home this season. The Aggies are 11-2 at home, outscoring their opponents by 11.2 points/game. Baylor has been overrated all season. The Bears showed their true colors in a 74-92 loss at Kansas. They also lost at home to Missouri 88-89. The Bears are clearly very beatable.

These teams already met once this season with Baylor winning 61-52 at home as a 13.5-point favorite. There's no question that the Aggies are capable of winning this game after losing by just 9 on the road in their first meeting. The Aggies are 59-39 ATS in their last 98 revenging a road loss vs opponent. Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The underdog is 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Take Texas A&M Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Dayton -4.5

Dayton is showing tremendous line value tonight as a small home favorite against Duquesne. Dayton is 14-7 on the season and one of the best teams in the Atlantic 10 while Duquesne is 11-9 and in the middle of the pack.

The reason this line is so low is because Dayton is coming off back-to-back losses. That includes a bad 81-86 home loss to Rhode Island last time out. This team will come back very hungry and motivated tonight, and you can be sure they'll be giving 100% effort on the floor.

Dayton is 10-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 7.4 points/game. Duquesne is just 4-6 on the road this year, getting outscored by 7.4 points/game. Given these numbers, the Flyers are clearly showing some of their best value of the season tonight.

Duquesne is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after 3 or more consecutive unders. The Dukes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Duquesne is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic 10. The home team has won four straight in this series. Bet Dayton Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State PK

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. That is clearly evident by this line tonight. I was on Iowa State as my 25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR when they knocked off Kansas 72-64 as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. I'm on them once again Tuesday as they're undervalued again.

ISU is 15-6 on the season. They have shown that they are for real in conference play, going 5-3 with all three of their losses coming by 9 points or less. Two of those losses were at Kansas and at Texas, while the other was at home against the best team in the Big 12 in the Missouri Tigers.

Kansas State is 15-5 this season, but they have struggled in conference play a bit. The Wildcats are 4-4 in Big 12 action, losing twice to unranked Oklahoma. ISU lost both meetings with Kansas State last year, including a 1-point setback at home. I look for the Cyclones to really want revenge, and they'll get it with a much-improved team from a year ago.

The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. ISU is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Kansas State. K-State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These four trends make for a perfect 22-0 system backing the Cyclones. Take Iowa State Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State +8.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions should not be this big of an underdog at home to the Wisconsin Badgers Tuesday. Home-court advantage is as big in the Big Ten as it is in any other conference. The Nittany Lions are certainly a live underdog tonight.

Wisconsin is outscoring opponents by an average of 7.3 points/game on the road this season. Penn State is 8-4 at home, outscoring opponents by 6.9 points/game. Looking at these numbers alone, it's safe to say that there's a good chance this one goes right down to the wire.

Penn State comes in very battle-tested after playing back-to-back games at Indiana and at Ohio State, arguably the two best teams in the Big Ten, right there with Wisconsin and Michigan State. This is a Nittany Lions team that has knocked off both Illinois and Purdue at home this season, and they also played Indiana to a 6-point game at home.

The Nittany Lions are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Wisconsin, winning two of those games outright. Penn State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Nittany Lions are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Bet Penn State Tuesday.

15* CBB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Samford +4

Samford is playing their best basketball of the season over the past two-plus weeks. They should not be an underdog at home against a Charleston team that is in the midst of their worst stretch of the season. I'll side with the home team playing the better basketball right now.

Despite being an underdog in four of their last five games, Samford has gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS. Their only loss came by a single points at UNC-Greensboro 60-61. This team is playing so well that they even beat Davidson 77-74 last time out as a 12-point dog.

Charleston is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. That includes back-to-back home losses to Furman and Wofford, which followed road losses at Davidson (69-87) and at Georgia Southern. Charleston was favored in three of those four games.

This play falls into a system that is 29-8 (78.4%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against any team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - off 2 or more upset consecutive losses as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, while the Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Roll with Samford Monday.

15* CBB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Pennsylvania -1.5

The Pennsylvania Quakers should be a much bigger home favorite tonight. This team is in the midst of their best run of the season, and they make for a solid play here Monday.

Despite being an underdog in each of their last three games, the Quakers are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS. They picked up impressive road wins over Columbia and Cornell before topping a very good St. Joseph's team at home.

Princeton is going to be very rusty heading into this one. They have not played since January 14th, which was more than two weeks ago. That is clearly going to work against them tonight.

The Quakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Penn is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The Quakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Penn is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings with Princeton. Take Pennsylvania Monday.

25* Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa State +6

Iowa State was beating Kansas almost the entire way the first time they played them this season. That game was in Kansas, but ISU was crushed over the final 10 minutes and eventually lost 73-82. I like their chances to get revenge at home tonight.

ISU is 14-6 on the season and one of the most underrated teams in the country. Head coach Fred Hoiberg has recruited talent on this team that stacks up against the big boys; North Carolina and Duke. ISU is 10-2 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 8.8 points/game.

The Cyclones are a perfect 6-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. Kansas is 0-6 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. This is a perfect 12-0 ATS System backing the Cyclones. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* Ivy League PLAY OF THE DAY on Yale +6

This is one of the most underrated rivalries in all sports. When Harvard and Yale get after it, the intensity level is as high as you will find. That's why I'll side with home underdog Yale to cover this generous spread against an overrated Harvard squad that should not be favored.

These are two very evenly-matched teams. Harvard returned 5 starters this season and is off to a 16-2 start. Yale returned 4 starters this year and has opened 12-4. Harvard won at home 78-75 last year, while Yale won at home 70-69. As you can see, the two meetings were decided by a combined 4 points, and I fully expect this one to go down to the wire as well.

Yale has been absolutely destroying its opponents at home this season. The Bulldogs are a perfect 6-0 at home, scoring 82.7 points/game on 51.0 percent shooting while allowing just 60.8 points/game on 38.8 percent shooting. They are outscoring opponents by a whopping 21.9 points/game at home this year.

Harvard is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half. The Crimson are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Harvard is 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Bulldogs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Take Yale Friday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado +1.5

The Colorado Buffaloes should not be an underdog in this game to overrated USC. The Trojans are constantly overvalued just because they are such a popular school. In fact, my math model shows that the Buffaloes should be roughly a 4.5-point favorite in this one.

Colorado has been under the radar all season. The Buffaloes are 13-6 on the year, including 9-6 ATS in all lined games, including 5-2 ATS in road lined games. This team is outscoring their opponents by 7.8 points/game on average. The Buffaloes score 69.8 points/game behind 45.2 percent shooting while allowing just 62.2 points/game on 39.2 percent shooting.

USC is clearly in a rebuilding year. The Trojans are just 5-15 on the season, including 7-12 ATS in lined games. Worse yet, USC is 3-8 SU & 1-9 ATS at home this season. This team simply doesn't have any offense as they score just 54.2 points/game. USC enters this contest on an eight-game losing streak and it is 0-7 in conference play. The fact that the Trojans are still favored just shows how overvalued they really are.

This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against a favorite (USC) - after 6 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Trojans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games dating back to last year. Roll with Colorado Thursday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia -17.5

The Virginia Cavaliers remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. This ACC title contender will have no problem making easy work of conference bottom feeder Boston College tonight. My math model shows the Cavaliers should win by 24-plus tonight.

Virginia is 15-3 this season and outscoring opponents by 14.1 points/game. The Cavaliers are 9-1 at home, outscoring foes by 18.2 points/game. Their only losses have come against TCU by 2, at Duke by 3 and vs. Virginia Tech by 2. They are coming off a loss to the Hokies, so there's no question this team is going to be ready to go tonight.

Boston College is just 7-12 on the season, getting outscored by 7.3 points/game. The Eagles are 1-6 on the road this year, losing by a whopping 13.0 points/game. They lost at NC State by 14 and vs. Wake Forest by 15 in their last two games, respectively. This will be their toughest ACC game yet aside from a 23-point loss at North Carolina.

The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off an upset loss as a favorite. These three trends make for a perfect 17-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Take Virginia Thursday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Alabama -4.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide are the real deal this season. They have played the eighth-toughest schedule in the country thus far. The Tide have managed a 13-6 record against this schedule while outscoring opponents by 9.1 points/game on average.

South Carolina is getting way too much respect with this line tonight. The Gamecocks are just 8-10 on the season despite playing the 174th-toughest schedule in the country. They stand no chance of keeping this one close tonight.

Alabama is going to be highly motivated to get back into the win column tonight following three straight losses. Those three setbacks came against the other three best teams in the SEC at Mississippi State (52-56, vs. Vanderbilt (59-69), and at Kentucky (71-77). After playing that daunting schedule, Alabama will feel like South Carolina is a high school team. They'll make easy work of the Gamecocks.

The Gamecocks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. South Carolina is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Gamecocks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Crimson Tide are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The favorite is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Roll with Alabama Wednesday.

15* MAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Toledo +8.5

The Toledo Rockets are getting no respect from the oddsmakers or the betting public tonight. I'll gladly back this underrated MAC squad as a big underdog to the overrated Miami (Ohio) Redhawks tonight.

While Toledo is just 9-10 on the season, the Rockets are actually outscoring opponents by 5.8 points/game. They are shooting 45.3 percent from the floor and allowing 42.2 percent shooting.

Miami (Ohio) is off to a woeful 5-12 start in what has been a rebuilding year for them. The Redhawks are getting outscored by 4.1 points/game on the season, and they have no business being this heavily-favored tonight.

The Redhawks are 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season. Miami (Ohio) is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. These three trends make for a 16-1 (94%) system backing Toledo. Bet the Rockets Wednesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Bonaventure -5.5

St. Bonaventure is one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. They are a much better team than Rhode Island, which continues to get too much respect. St. Bonaventure is 10-7 this season while Rhode Island is 3-17. The Bonnies have actually played a tougher schedule than the Rams as well.

The Bonnies are outscoring opponents by 5.9 points/game this season. Their strength is a defense that gives up just 62.7 points/game on 41.4 percent shooting. They are also scoring 68.6 points/game on a respectable 45.3 percent shooting.

The Rams are getting outscored by 7.9 points/game this season. Their weakness is a defense that allows 75.4 points/game and 49.0 percent shooting. Rhode Island is scoring 67.5 points/game, but they are only connecting on 40.1 percent of their shots.

These teams have faced five common opponents this season. St. Bonaventure is outscoring those five teams 68.2 to 62.6, or by an average of 5.6 points/game. Rhode Island is getting outscored 61.6 to 71.6 by those same five teams, or by an average of 10.0 points/game. Common opponents is a great way to compare teams.

The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. Rhode Island is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Rams are 0-6 ATS as a home underdog or pick this season. These three trends make for a 19-0 system backing the Bonnies. Take St. Bonaventure Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Iowa State +8

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Cyclones are off to a 14-5 start this season and 4-2 in Big 12 play, which includes blowout road wins at Texas A&M (74-50) and at Texas Tech (76-52). Their only conference losses have come at home against Missouri 69-76 and at Kansas 73-82 in a game they led most the way.

Iowa State already won the first meeting with Texas 77-71 in their Big 12 opener at home. The Cyclones shot 51.1 percent from the field while limiting the Longhorns to 40.7 percent shooting. Five ISU players scored in double-figures, led by Chris Babb's 17 points which included a 5-of-9 performance from 3-point range.

Texas simply gets too much respect with their name recognition. This is a team in rebuilding mode with no returning starters from last year. As a result, the Longhorns are a sluggish 12-7 this season, including 5-9 against the spread. They have lost three straight coming into this one.

The Cyclones are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big 12 opponents. Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Cyclones are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Longhorns are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Texas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Roll with Iowa State Tuesday.

15* ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Cincinnati +5.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats are ready to hand Syracuse their second loss of the season tonight. The Orange were upset 67-58 at Notre Dame on Saturday. A big reason they lost is because they were without leading rebounder and shot blocker Fab Melo, who also won't play tonight for unspecified reasons.

The Bearcats are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are 15-5 on the season, including 10-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by 15.6 points/game. Cincinnati has won 10 of their last 12 overall with their two losses coming by a combined five points.

The Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Roll with the Bearcats Monday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Illinois +1.5

The Illinois Fighting Illini should not be an underdog at home today to the Wisconsin Badgers. This is an absolute gift from oddsmakers getting Illinois at this kind of price in a game I have them winning outright with ease.

Home-court advantage has always been huge in the Big Ten, and that's the case again this season, especially for the home team tonight. Illinois is a perfect 11-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 13.8 points/game. The Illini even beat Ohio State in their last home game, which is the best team in the Big Ten as I see it.

The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Fighting Illini are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. The Illini are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Roll with Illinois Sunday.

15* Mizzou/Baylor Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Missouri +5

I believe the Missouri Tigers are one of the top three teams in the country. I also believe that Baylor is way overvalued after their long unbeaten run to open the season, which came mostly against soft competition. Missouri is the real deal, while Baylor is a bunch of fakers. That will show on the court Saturday.

Both teams enter this huge showdown at 17-1 on the season. There's no question in my mind that the Tigers have played the tougher schedule. The Bears were exposed last time out with a 74-92 loss at Kansas as their true colors showed through. Don't get me wrong, this is still a quality team, but there's no doubt that Missouri is superior after watching both teams play on several occasions this year.

The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Bears are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Baylor is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Roll with Missouri Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Oregon -6.5

The Oregon Ducks should roll right over the USC Trojans to a blowout home victory tonight. These are two teams headed in opposite directions. Oregon is a contender in the Pac-12, while USC is a bottom feeder. The final score of this game should reflect that Thursday.

Oregon is 13-5 this season, including 9-2 at home where they are only allowing 62.9 points/game and 41.4 percent shooting. The Ducks are off to a solid 4-2 conference mark, which is really impressive considering they've played four of their first six Pac-12 games on the road. They beat Washington State, Arizona State and Arizona away from home.

USC is just 5-13 on the season, including 2-5 on the road. The Trojans weakness is an offense that produces a mere 53.6 points/game on 39.7 percent shooting. USC has opened 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in conference play this season. Four of those five losses came by eight points or more, including a 47-66 home loss to UCLA last time out.

Oregon is a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making <=63% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. USC is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons. The Trojans are 0-6 ATS after a combined score of 115 points or less 2 straight games this season. The Ducks are 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. These four trends make for a 26-0 system backing the Ducks. Roll with Oregon Thursday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana -3

The Indiana Hoosers are way undervalued heading into tonight due to their first set of consecutive losses this season. Indiana is still one of the best teams in the country, but back-to-back losses to Minnesota and Ohio State has the betting public off of them right now. This is the perfect time to jump on board.

Nebraska is nowhere near the team that Indiana is. The Huskers are just 9-8 on the season, and not even home-court advantage will save them tonight. This is a Nebraska team that was blown out at home by Wisconsin 40-64 and by Michigan State 55-68. I like Indiana's chances of winning this game by double-digits as well, though we only need a 4-point victory to get the cash.

The Hoosiers have clearly turned things around this season under head coach Tom Crean. Indiana is 15-3 SU and 8-4 ATS on the year, outscoring opponents by 15.4 points/game. Crean will have his troops highly motivated tonight as they look to bounce back from consecutive losses. There's no question the Hoosiers will be putting their best foot forward in Lincoln.

The Huskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. The Huskers are only scoring 61.1 points/game this season and they stand no chance of hanging with a Hoosiers team that is putting up 80.8 points/game. Roll with Indiana Wednesday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Maryland +11.5

This is the perfect spot to fade the Florida State Seminoles. Florida State is in a huge letdown spot coupled with a look-ahead situation. It just doesn't get any better than this in terms of finding situations to fade a team that is primed for a poor performance.

The Seminoles are coming off a huge 90-57 win over the North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday. It was the most shocking score of the season, but that win moved FSU to just 11-6 on the season. The Seminoles won't be able to match the intensity they brought to the UNC game tonight against the Maryland Terrapins.

Plus, FSU has Duke coming up next. They will play the Blue Devils on the road this Saturday, and they will certainly be looking ahead to that game. All signs point toward not only a Maryland cover tonight, but a great chance for an outright victory for the Terrapins.

Maryland has finally gotten healthy, and they've been on a roll ever since. The Terrapins are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall, with their only loss coming at NC State 74-79 as an 11.5-point underdog. The Terrapins are now 12-4 on the season under underrated first-year head coach Mark Turgeon.

Maryland has won five of their last six meetings with Florida State, going a perfect 6-0 ATS since 2007. The Seminoles are 14-31-3 ATS in their last 48 games as a home favorite. FSU is simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers today, who knew that the betting public would be all over the Seminoles after their huge win over UNC. That forced them to set the number way too high tonight. Bet Maryland Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Tech +12.5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are showing great value as a big road underdog to the Oklahoma Sooners Tuesday. Tech has played an extremely brutal stretch of games to open their conference schedule, so they will certainly be battle-tested heading into this contest with Oklahoma.

This might be their easiest Big 12 game yet. The Red Raiders lost at Oklahoma State, at home to Baylor and Kansas, and then at Texas A&M in their last four games, respectively. They were a double-digit underdog in all four contests, but they only lost once by more than 13 points.

Oklahoma has opened 1-3 in conference play. While the Sooners appear to be better than the Red Raiders on paper, this team should not be favored by double-digits tonight. These are two very evenly matched teams with the only advantage the Sooners having is home court. That's not worth 12.5 points.

Texas Tech has won three of their last four meetings with Oklahoma, going 3-1 ATS in the process. The Red Raiders are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big 12 opponents. Time and time again this team is undervalued in conference play. The Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12 foes. Take Texas Tech Tuesday.

15* Baylor/Kansas ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Baylor +7

The Baylor Bears should not be this big of an underdog to the Kansas Jayhawks, if even a dog at all Monday. The clear value in this game is with the Bears, who are one of the few remaining unbeatens in the country. But for whatever reason, this team is not getting the respect it deserves.

Baylor (17-0, 4-0 Big 12) is one of three undefeated teams in Division I entering Monday's games. The Bears want to put an end to Kansas' run of seven straight Big 12 regular season titles. They want to make a statement tonight and show the country that they are for real.

Baylor's size has posed plenty of trouble for opponents, with three of the last four teams the Bears have faced shooting below 40 percent. Baylor ranks 11th in the nation in field-goal defense (37.2 percent). Their length should help halt a Kansas team that had to rally from a 12-point deficit in the second half to beat Iowa State at home on Saturday.

The road team has absolutely been dominant in this series. The road team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last six visits to Allen Fieldhouse.

Kansas is 15-30 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-7.0. Take Baylor Monday.

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +14

The Iowa State Cyclones are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have opened the season 12-4 and the Cyclones will be giving the Kansas Jayhawks a run for their money on the road Saturday.

Iowa State has shown what they are capable of in Big 12 play. They knocked off Texas 77-71 at home before going on the road and crushing Texas A&M 74-50. ISU would lose to Missouri 69-76 at home last time out, but that's not a bad loss considering I believe the Tigers are the best team in the Big 12, hands down.

Kansas is a quality team this season, but this is clearly a team in rebuilding mode after losing the Morris Twins to graduation. The Jayhawks are a respectable 13-3, but they just don't have that "wow" factor that they do most year. This team is certainly beatable.

The Cyclones are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points. Kansas is 15-29 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Cyclones are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12. Take Iowa State Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona -5

The Arizona Wildcats showing solid value as a 5-point home favorite over the Oregon State Beavers. This is a very generous line from oddsmakers, and one that I cannot wait to take advantage of.

Arizona was a very young team coming into the season with one of the best recruiting classes in the country. Now that we are nearly halfway through the season, the Wildcats are a lot more experienced and should be a force in the Pac-12 down the stretch.

The Wildcats are 8-1 at home this season, scoring 71.0 points/game and allowing 57.4 points/game while outscoring opponents by 13.6 points/game. They are off to a solid 2-1 start in conference play.

Both teams are 11-5 right now, but Arizona has played far and away the tougher schedule. That's why they are showing such good value tonight because this team is better than their record. The Beavers have shown their true colors in Pac-12 action, opening 1-3 within the conference.

The Beavers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The home team has won three straight in this series, with the last two being won by Arizona by 9 and 11 points, respectively. Take the Wildcats Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Missouri -4

The Missouri Tigers are showing perhaps their best value of the season tonight as a mere 4-point favorite over the Iowa State Cyclones. This line is too much of an overreaction from what happened in the last game for both Missouri and Iowa State.

If the Tigers were still unbeaten, they'd be a much heavier favorite tonight. Instead, Missouri has dropped to 14-1 after their 59-75 road loss at Kansas State last time out. I believe this loss could certainly be good for them, and I fully expect the Tigers to respond in a big way tonight.

Iowa State is overvalued right now due to their current 7-game winning streak, which includes a 2-0 start in the Big 12 with wins over Texas and Texas A&M. Both the Longhorns and Aggies are down this season, but ISU went into College Station and came away with a victory last time out, which has caught the eyes of the better public. This team is simply not as good as their current perception, and they cannot live up to these expectations.

This play falls into a system that is 30-9 (76.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams as an favorite or pick (MISSOURI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, with all five starters returning from last season. The Tigers are still outscoring teams by a whopping 22.5 points/game this season, and they get right back to their dominant ways tonight. Take Missouri Wednesday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Eastern Washington -2.5

Eastern Washington is a small-conference school that I've been following very closely all season. While they are just 7-7 this season, the Eagles have been very impressive considering the difficulty of their schedule.

Eastern Washington has played 10 road games compared to just 4 home games. Their opponent, Weber State, has played eight home games compared to 4 road games and one neutral site contest. Four of the Eagles' road games have come against Gonzaga, Oregon, UCLA and St. Mary's. They played all four teams tough, and nearly beat both Gonzaga and Oregon.

The Eagles are a perfect 4-0 at home this season, outscoring their opponents 84.0 to 61.2 or by an average of 22.8 points/game. Weber State is just 1-3 in true road games this year, getting outscored 68.2 to 82.5 or by an average of 14.3 points/game. Now you can kind of see why the Eagles are showing so much value at home tonight as a small favorite.

Weber State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Wildcats are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games overall. Weber State is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky. These three trends make for a 15-0 system backing the Eagles tonight. Bet Eastern Washington Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on East Carolina +10

East Carolina should not be catching double-digits tonight against Southern Miss. USM is clearly off to an impressive start this year, but as a result they are overvalued. I believe the Pirates are every bit as good as the Golden Eagles.

ECU is 9-4 in all games thsi season, outscoring opponents by an average of 13.2 points/game. What gives the Pirates a chance to upset almost any team is their ability to get after it defensively. ECU only yields 60.2 points/game and 38.7 percent shooting. They have only lost once this season by more than five points.

The Pirates are 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons. ECU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games overall. The Pirates are in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. ECU is 11-2 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. Bet East Carolina Wednesday.

15* Marquette/Georgetown ESPNU Big East BEST BET on Georgetown -4

The Georgetown Hoyas are showing awesome value as just a 4-point home favorite over the Marquette Golden Eagles Wednesday. Georgetown is somehow going under the radar this year, but this is clearly one of the best teams in the country. They prove that tonight with a conference win over a quality opponent.

Georgetown is 12-1 this season with their only loss coming to Kansas on a neutral court. What proves that this team is underrated in the eyes of the oddsmakers and the betting public is the fact that the Hoyas are 7-1 ATS in all lined games this year. They have beaten great teams in Louisville, Memphis and Alabama all on the road.

The Hoyas are 8-0 at home this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 24.3 points/game. Marquette lost their last road game 59-67 at LSU. They also lost two games later at home to Vandberbilt by a final of 57-74. This Eagles team is way overrated right now. That's incdicated by the fact that Marquette is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

This play falls into a system that is 37-12 (75.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - excellent defensive team - allowing <=57 points/game on the season, on Wednesday games. The Hoyas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Take Georgetown Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Missouri -12.5

The Missouri Tigers are arguably the best team in the country. They are 13-0 this season and on a mission. They are the best team in college basketball that nobody knows about.

Oklahoma is 0-7 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons. The Sooners are 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 3 seasons. Oklahoma is 1-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Missouri Tuesday.

15* CBB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Wake Forest -5.5

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons should be a much heavier favorite over Wofford tonight. Wake Forest is 6-1 at home this season where they are scoring 76.7 points/game.

Wofford is 2-4 on the road this year, scoring 55.3 points/game while getting outscored by 9.7 points/game. The Terriers are only shooting 39.6 percent from the floor away from home.

The Terriers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. The Demon Deacons are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Wofford only has one starter back from last season, while underrated Wake Forest has four starters back. Take Wake Forest Monday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Illinois +7

Illinois should not be catching seven points against overrated Purdue today. This line is an absolute gift from oddsmakers in a game that I fully expect the Fighting Illini to win outright.

Illinois is 12-2 this season with their only two losses coming against two of the best teams in the country in Missouri and UNLV. The Tigers are 13-0 this season while the Rebels beat North Carolina.

Purdue has played a very easy schedule with the exception of Alabama, Xavier and Butler, three teams that they lost to. None of those three teams is as good as UNLV OR Missouri.

Illinois is a perfect 7-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Illini are 15-6 ATS in all road games over the last 3 seasons. Roll with Illinois Saturday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Missouri -8

The Missouri Tigers are one of the few remaining unbeatens, yet I still think they are better than they get credit for from oddsmakers. That has clearly been the case all season considering the Tigers are 12-0 SU & 5-2 ATS.

Missouri is outscoring opponents 87.1 to 61.3 on the season behind an up-tempo attack that is tough to tame. The Tigers keep coming at you, never letting off the gas. Old Dominion is going to have a hard time hanging with the Tigers tonight.

ODU is 6-6 on the season, getting outscored 63.2 to 64.0. They clearly don't have the kind of firepower it's going to take to hang with Mizzou. ODU is only shooting 38.7 percent from the field this season, including 26.7 percent from 3-point range.

The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games, while the Monarchas are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. ODU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, while Mizzou is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Monarchs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games as well. Take Missouri Friday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana +6

The Indiana Hoosiers remain one of the most underrated teams in college basketball. How this team is not ranked inside the Top 10 is beyond me. No. 13 Indiana will earn their respect tonight by going on the road and knocking off 16th-ranked Michigan State.

After going a conference-worst 28-66 over the previous three seasons, Indiana begins Big Ten play as the league's lone unbeaten at 12-0 - its best start since going a perfect 32-0 in 1975-76.

The Hoosiers, whose only single-digit victory came 73-72 over then-No. 1 Kentucky on Dec. 10, are tied for the Division I lead in 3-point percentage (45.9) and among the nation's top 10 in scoring (84.8 points per game).

Indiana took Michigan State right down to the wire at the Breslin Center last season, eventually falling 983-84 in overtime on January 30th. The Hoosiers certainly want revenge tonight, and I believe they get it with an outright victory.

The Hoosiers are one of the few teams in the country who have five players averaging in double-figures scoring. They are Cody Zeller (15.1 PPG, 7.2 RPG), Victor Oladipo (12.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG), Jordan Hulls (12.1 PPG, 56.2% 3-pointers), Christian Watford (12.1 PPG< 5.1 RPG) and Will Sheehey (10.7 PPG). This is the definition of a team.

Indiana is a perfect 7-0 ATS in all games this season. The Spartans are 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite. The Hoosiers remain unbeaten against the spread with another cover tonight. Take Indiana Wednesday.

20* Baylor/West Virginia ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Baylor -5.5

The Baylor Bears are one of the best teams in the country that doesn't get much recognition. With four returning starters from last season, the Bears (11-0) are one of six remaining unbeatens in Division I along with Syracuse, Louisville, Missouri, Indiana and Murray State. They kept their name on that list Thursday night by beating St. Mary's 72-59 in another Las Vegas Classic contest.

By doing so, Baylor improved to 11-0 for just the second time, and moved within a win of matching the 2000-01 team's 12 consecutive victories to open a season. Freshman Quincy Miller scored 15 points, Perry Jones III had 14 points and nine rebounds, and Quincy Acy added 12 points and 10 boards in a game the Bears never trailed.

West Virginia is 9-2 on the season, surviving an overtime scare last night to beat Missouri State 70-68. They needed a 3-point from Gary Browne with 1.6 seconds left just to send the game into OT. Their two losses came to Kent State 60-70 at home and at Mississippi State 62-75.

Baylor is a perfect 4-0 ATS in lined games this season, and 10 of their 11 wins have come by double-digits. West Virginia is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Mountaineers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. These three trends make for a 17-1 system backing the Bears. Bet Baylor Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on South Florida +8.5

The South Florida Bulls are showing awesome value tonight against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. This line is way inflated in a game I believe the Bulls will likely win outright. This is clearly a letdown spot for the Eagles, who are overrated this year.

Southern Miss is 9-2 this season, but they have certainly benefited from a soft schedule. They are getting way too much credit for their recent wins over Ole Miss (86-82) and Arizona State (64-61), two teams that are not as good as they get credit for. In fact, Arizona State is just 4-8 this season, and the Eagles needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer to beat them.

South Florida is better than their 7-5 record would indicate. The Bulls have played a tougher schedule than Southern Miss this season. Their only losses came to Kansas, Auburn, VCU, Penn State and Old Dominion. They just beat a very good Cleveland State team 70-55 as a 2-point underdog last time out for their most impressive showing of the season. They are fully capable of upsetting the Eagles tonight.

The Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Conference USA opponents. Southern Miss is 17-34 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997. South Florida is 43-25 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997. Bet South Florida Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Central Florida -1

Central Florida should be a much heavier favorite tonight over UL-Lafayette. This game has rout written all over it as the underrated Knights go on the road and come away with a blowout victory over the Ragin Cajuns Wednesday.

UCF is 8-2 this season with four returning starters from last year's team. Their only losses this year have come on the road against FSU and Harvard. They do have numerous quality wins though, beating both Charleston and Connecticut on the road while also topping Richmond at home last time out.

Lafayette is just 5-8 this season despite playing a much softer schedule than UCF. Lafayette has bad losses to North Dakota State (58-78), CS-Fullerton (63-69), Lamar (63-80 and Robert Morris (64-72). This team doesn't have nearly the same talent at the Knights, and that will show on the floor tonight.

UCF is led by Michael Jordan's son, Marcus, who is averaging 17.1 points and 3.6 assists at the guard position. They also have F Keith Clanton (16.7 points, 9.4 rebounds, 1.9 blocks) who is one of the better players in the country that few know about. G Isaiah Sykes (11.2 points, 6.1 rebounds) does a little bit of everything to help this team.

Lafayette is 2-14 ATS in their last 16 home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Ragin' Cajuns are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Conference USA opponents. These three trends make for a 26-2 (93%) system backing the Knights. Take UCF Wednesday.

15* Texas/UNC ESPN 2 Wednesday No-Brainer on North Carolina -11

With North Carolina seemingly distracted by this matchup against Texas, coach Roy Williams' team came out with a sluggish effort early in its last game. It's safe to say the fifth-ranked Tar Heels - perhaps eager for revenge - will be up for Wednesday night's meeting with the Longhorns in Chapel Hill.

In the midst of a lengthy stretch of home games against mostly overmatched opponents - and a visit from Texas (9-2) looming - North Carolina (10-2) put on an uninspired display before eventually pulling away in Monday's 99-49 victory over Nicholls State.

The Longhorns have won four straight in the series dating back to 1995, including a 78-76 win in Greensboro last December. But with four freshmen among their top five scorers, the Longhorns are clearly in rebuilding mode.

UNC has five returning starters from last year's team that lost to Texas, so they are going to be highly motivated in this one. North Carolina has taken 71 straight non-conference home games versus unranked foes by an average of 26.5 points.

The Longhorns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. UNC is 37-17 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less. Texas is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when the total is 150 to 159.5. Roll with North Carolina Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Charleston +17

Charleston should not be catching 17 points against Louisville tonight. Charleston is one of the most underrated programs in the country this season, while Louisville is way overrated after playing one of the softest schedules in the land.

Charleston is 9-1 this season, with their only loss coming UCF as an underdog on a neutral court. This is a team that has some very impressive wins already in 2011. They beat Clemson 72-69 on the road as a 13-point underdog, while also topping UMass 85-61 on a neutral court as a 4-point dog. Charleston topped Tennessee 71-65 as a 2.5-point home favorite as well.

Head coach Bobby Cremins is working with a very talented lineup that features four players averaging in double-figures. F Antwaine Wiggins is an absolute beast, averaging 18.1 points and 7.0 rebounds. Then there's PG Andrew Lawrence (13.7 PPG, 5.1 APG), F Trent Wiederman (12.0 PPG, 8.3 RPG) and G Anthony Stitt (10.7 points).

Louisville is 10-0 this season. They have played some quality teams at home, but the fact of the matter is that nine of their first 10 games have been at home. Their only road game this season came at Butler, which is a program in rebuilding mode after losing most of their key players from last year's Final Four team. The Cardinals have simply been the beneficiary of a soft schedule.

This play falls into a system that is 22-4 (84.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (LOUISVILLE) - after 9 or more consecutive wins, on Tuesday nights.

The Cougars are 32-13-1 ATS in their last 46 road games. The Cardinals are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Charleston is 42-18-1 ATS in their last 61 games as a road underdog, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 13.0 or more. Take Charleston Tuesday.

15* Marquette/LSU FSN Monday No-Brainer on LSU +7.5

Marquette is way overvalued at this point of the season due to their 10-0 start. They are being asked to lay way too many points tonight at LSU because of it. This is a game I likely see the Eagles losing outright, but I'll take the points for some insurance.

While I will admit that Marquette is a quality team, they have certainly benefited from a very favorable schedule this season. They have only played one true road game this season, which just so happened to be their only impressive win at Wisconsin. This game against LSU will be just their second true road game all year.

LSU is a quality team as well at 7-3 and with four returning starters from last season. The Tigers have played a more difficult schedule with just four home games compared to six road games. LSU is 3-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents 75.2 to 64.2 on average.

Marquette is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, which proves that they are overvalued. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite as well. LSU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These last four trends make for a 19-0 system backing the Tigers. Take LSU Monday.

15* CBB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Howard +28.5

This game is strictly a value play and the perfect time to fade the red hot Indiana Hoosiers. Indiana is way overvalued due to their 10-0 start, and they simply cannot live up to these expectations. After knocking off top-ranked Kentucky and then Notre Dame in their last two games, the betting public is drooling over the Hoosiers right now.

This is a huge letdown spot for Indiana after playing the Fighting Irish and the Wildcats. While they were emotionally jacked up for both of those games, they cannot possible be jacked up to play Howard tonight. Their lack of focus will have them falling well short of covering this massive number Monday.

Howard may be just 4-8 on the season, but they have played a pretty difficult schedule. All eight of their losses have come by 21 points or less despite playing some tough road games at Georgetown (48-62) and at Oregon State (72-93) within the last two weeks. These tough tests will have Howard more battle-tested when they travel to face Indiana tonight, which will only help them be more competitive.

This play falls into a system that is 54-24 (69.2%) AS since 1997. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 20 or more points (HOWARD) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 10 or more consecutive wins. The Hoosiers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Indiana is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after two straight games with 12 or less assists. Roll with Howard Monday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chattanooga +32

The third-ranked Kentucky Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season. While they will be motivated, I believe oddsmakers have over-adjusted in this game thinking the betting public will back them off a rare loss. This is simply too many points for the Wildcats to lay.

By no means do I think Chattanooga is a great team, but 32 points is a lot. They are 3-7 on the season, but haven't lost a game by more than 25 points this year. In fact, six of their seven losses came by 12 points or less. That 25-point loss came at Indiana, which is the same Hoosiers team that beat Kentucky 73-72 last Saturday. So I can make a case that the Wildcats should win this one by 20-25 points as well, which means Chattanooga will easily cover.

After playing elite programs in St. John's, UNC and Indiana in their last three games, respectively, it's going to be tough for the Wildcats to get emotionally up for this game. Players get up easier for the elite programs, but these young studs at Kentucky could have a very hard time getting up to play Chattanooga. They could easily suffer a hangover.

Chattanooga is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Mocs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. These four trends add up to a 23-1 (96%) System backing Chattanooga. Roll with Chattanooga Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Denver -3.5

Denver makes for a real solid play Saturday laying this very small number at home. Boise State is way overrated after playing a very easy schedule to this point, and they are getting far too much respect from oddsmakers and the betting public today.

Denver is 7-2 on the season, playing their best basketball at home where they are 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS. The Pioneers are shooting 50.0 percent from the floor at home while allowing opponents to shoot just 42.1 percent.

Boise State is 8-2 on the season, but they have played eight home games compared to two road games. The Broncos are 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored 53.5 to 68.0. Boise has shot just 30.6 percent on the road while giving up 49.5 percent shooting. This team is nowhere near as good away from home.

Denver is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games following a road game. The Pioneers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game. The Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Boise State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games overall. Bet Denver Saturday.

20* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois-Chicago +9.5

Illinois-Chicago is simply catching too many points tonight against lowly Central Michigan. These are two pretty evenly matched teams and CMU should not be this heavily favored in a game that will be decided by single-digits either way.

Illinois-Chicago is 3-6 on the season, but they have played a pretty tough schedule with five true road games already. They have shown well on the road at times this year, losing to Wisconsin-Green Bay 68-71 as a 12.5-point underdog and to Wisconsin-Milwaukee 71-73 as a 14.5-point dog. They did get blown out at Oregon State in their last game, but because of that result, this number has been inflated tonight.

Central Michigan is 4-5 on the season despite playing a pretty soft schedule. They have lost three straight games by an average of 13.3 points/game. They are not playing well right now, yet they are getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers. In their two home games this season, the Chippewas beat Ferris State 65-60 before losing to Charlotte 75-77.

Illinois-Chicago is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The Flames are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The Chippewas are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bet Illinois-Chicago Friday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Gonzaga -12

Gonzaga gets the call Thursday as a 12-point favorite over oral Roberts. I will gladly back my money behind a motivated Bulldogs team that is coming off back-to-back losses. There's no question they will be hungry for a win at home tonight.

Oral Roberts is a team that has been getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers in the early going, and they haven't lived up to it. They are 7-3 on the season, but just 1-6 ATS in lined games. Oral Roberts has only played two quality opponents all season, losing at West Virginia 71-78 and at Oklahoma 59-73.

Gonzaga has played a very difficult schedule. After opening the season with five straight wins including victories over Washington State and Notre Dame, they have lost their last two to Illinois and Michigan State. This is a team that is battle-tested due to their tough schedule, and one that will cover this spread with ease at home against a lesser opponent.

The Bulldogs are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off a home loss. Oral Roberts is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Gonzaga is 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Roll with Gonzaga Thursday.

20* E. Washington/UCLA CBB West Coast BAILOUT on Eastern Washington +9.5

Eastern Washington is one of the better teams in the country that almost nobody knows about. This team is capable of beating just about anyone with the talent they have on board. While the Eagles are just 5-4 this season, they have played a very difficult schedule while beating some quality teams.

The EWU Eagles have four starters back from last year, including six of their top seven scorers returning. Their only losses this season have come on the road against Gonzaga, Oregon, Washington State and CS-Fullerton, which are four very good teams who would all beat UCLA. They only lost to Gonzaga and Oregon by eight points each.

UCLA is down this season. The Bruins are clearly in rebuilding mode as they are 3-5 SU & 2-6 ATS on the year. UCLA's three wins have come against Chaminade, Pepperdine and Pennsylvania. All five of their losses have come by double-digits, including home losses to Loyola-Marymount (58-69), Middle Tennessee State (66-86) and Texas (59-69). They also lost to Kansas and Michigan down in Maui by 16 points apiece.

Eastern Washington has two studs in their line-up that will allow them to play with just about anyone. They are F Collin Chiverton (20.2 PPG) and G Cliff Colimon (16.4 PPG). Chiverton is averaging over 20 points despite only playing just over 27 minutes per game. Also throw in F Cliff Ederaine (12.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 4.1 APG) and G Jeffrey Forbes (10.3 PPG, 48.9% 3-pointers), and this is a very talented bunch.

UCLA is going to be playing without Reeves Nelson (5.7 PPG, 4.5 RPG) and Da'End Parker (4.0 PPG), who are both out indefinitely. Also, Tyler Lamb (8.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.6 APG) is questionable after missing the last two practices with a left hip injury. The Bruins are clearly short-handed right now.

The Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. Eastern Washington is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, including 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Bruins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. UCLA is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Bet Eastern Washington Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Maryland -11

The Maryland Terrapins aren't quite where they wanted to be at this point in the season, but this is still a talented group that should have no problem covering this soft number against overmatched Florida International tonight.

The Terrapins are 5-3 on the season, with their only three losses coming against very good teams in Alabama, Iona and Illinois who have a combined record of 25-4 this year. Illinois is 10-0, Alabama is 8-2, and Iona is 7-2. The Terrapins have played their best ball of late, winning two straight, including a 78-71 victory over Notre Dame on a neutral court. Terrell Stoglin (22.5 PPG) is one of the best players in the country for Maryland.

Florida International is 3-6 on the season. This is a team that lost to both Texas Wesleyan and Alabama State at home, while also falling to Arkansas Pine-Bluff on a neutral court. They lost at Georgia State 47-73 as well. Given these performances, it's easy to see why Maryland should roll by 12-plus points tonight.

Maryland is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game. The Terrapins are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 Wednesday games. Maryland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Take Maryland Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Illinois-Chicago +19

Illinois-Chicago is a much better team than this line would indicate Tuesday. As a result, they are undervalued heading into this one and I fully expect them to give overrated Oregon State a run for their money.

While Illinois-Chicago is 3-5 on the season, they have not lost once by more than 15 points. The Flames are coming off a 62-55 home win over Northern Illinois. Illinois-Chicago has been very impressive in their last two road games, losing 71-73 to Wisconsin-Milwaukee as a 14.5-point underdog, and falling 68-71 at Wisconsin-Green Bay as a 12.5-point dog.

Oregon State is 6-2 on the season, but they have faced one of the easiest schedules you will ever see to this point. The Beavers actually lost to Idaho 60-74 last time out as a 12.5-point favorite. OSU shot just 33.3% from the field while allowing the Vandals to cash in 50.0% of their shots.

The Beavers are 4-20 ATS in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more since 1997. The Flames are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS loss. Illinois-Chicago is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Oregon State is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, including 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Roll with Illinois-Chicago Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on San Diego +9.5

San Diego is getting no love from oddsmakers at home tonight. UC-Santa Barbara is way overvalued coming into this one, and the final score will reflect that once the final buzzer sounds.

While Santa Barbara is 4-2 on the season, they have played all six of their games at home. That's means this team has yet to face a true road game, which is what they'll be up against tonight.

San Diego is a solid team at 5-4 on the year, which includes a 3-2 home mark. The Toreros are led by two studs in G Johnny Dee (14.9 PPG, 43.9% 3-pointers) and F Chris Manresa (12.5 PPG, 9.4 RPG).

Santa Barbara is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a home loss. The Gauchos are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Toreros are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games. Santa Barbara is 1-8 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Take San Diego Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Mississippi State -13

The Mississippi State Bulldogs should have no problem covering this generous number Tuesday over Florida Atlantic. The 17th-ranked Bulldogs are 9-1 on the season, and they'll be looking for serious payback from an upset in Starkville at the hands of FAU last season.

Mississippi State is the real deal this year. This is a team that didn't live up to expectations a year ago, but their talent is finally starting to reach its potential. They've made at least 49.0 percent of their field goal attempts in each of their last five contests.

The Bulldogs shot at a 56.3 percent clip in Saturday's 106-68 rout of Troy. Leading scorer Dee Bost (18.1 ppg) had a career high-tying seven 3-pointers en route to a season-best 28 points Saturday. SEC rebounding leader Arnett Moultrie (11.3 per game) recorded his fifth double-double with 20 points and 12 boards. Jalen Steele hit 5 of 7 from 3-point range while scoring 15 points, which was his third straight game in double-figures.

FAU is just 4-5 on the season, including 2-5 in road games. The Owls have road losses to Washington, American, South Florida and Kansas this year. They lost to South Florida by 13 and to Kansas by 23 in their last two road contests. Mississippi State is every bit as good as Kansas this season. The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 16.3 points/game at home in 2011.

Mississippi State is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bet Mississippi State Tuesday.

15* Kentucky/Indiana Battle of Unbeatens on Indiana +6

The Indiana Hoosiers are returning to supremacy this season. Head coach Tom Crean finally has all of his recruits in place, and the Hoosiers are now set up to be a dominant force in college basketball for years to come.

Indiana is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Hoosiers are 8-0 in all games and 4-0 ATS in lined games this season. They are outscoring their opponents by 23.8 points/game, scoring 85.0 points/game on 52.3% shooting, and allowing 61.2 points/game on 38.1% shooting.

Kentucky is certainly a quality team this year at 8-0 as well, but they are way overvalued considering they are the No. 1 ranked team in the country. They have proven to be overvalued of late, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Odds on this team are inflated once again Saturday in a game that they will likely lose outright.

The Hoosiers are the definition of a "team" this season as they have five players scoring in double-digits. They are F Cody Zeller (15.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG), G Victor Oladipo (12.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG), F Will Sheehey (11.8 PPG), G Jordan Hulls (11.2 PPG, 28 assists) and F Christian Watford (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG). Also, G Verdell Jones III (9.2 PPG, 30 assists) is having a solid year.

The Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, while as I previously stated, the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The clear value in this game is with the underrated home underdog Hoosiers Saturday in what will be a very hostile atmosphere. Roll with Indiana Saturday.

15* Ohio State/Kansas CBB Saturday No-Brainer on Ohio State -3.5

Ohio State is the best team in college basketball in my opinion. The Buckeyes are ranked No. 2 in the country after bringing back two starters and a ton of talent from what was the best team in college basketball during the regular season last year.

The Buckeyes are off to an 8-0 start thanks to the brilliant play of their returning players. Jared Sullinger has led the way as expected with 19.1 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. William Buford (16.0 PPG, 27 assists), Aaron Craft (9.8 PPG, 44 assists, 23 steals) and Deshaun Thomas (12.9 PPG, 4.0 RPG) have also made significant contributions.

Kansas is in rebuilding mode. While they don't want to admit it, this team has just one starter back from last season. The Jayhawks have struggled a bit in the early going, posting a 6-2 record through their first eight games. They lost to both Kentucky and Duke, which are two teams that I don't believe are as good as Ohio State. The Buckeyes proved that with a dominant 85-63 win over Duke on November 29th.

Ohio State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after allowing 60 points or less. Kansas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots. The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. Kansas is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten opponents. This makes for a 28-1 (97%) System backing the Buckeyes. Take Ohio State Saturday.

20* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida -26

Florida is the only team I'm willing to back Friday with my money. This is a large spread, but one they should have no problem covering against lowly Rider. This cover should be well in hand midway through the second half.

Florida has played a very difficult schedule so far. They are 6-2 on the season, with their only losses coming on the road against Top-10 teams. They lost at No. 2 Ohio State 64-71 and at No. 3 Syracuse 68-72. Those two performances alone show what the Gators are capable of this season.

Rider is one of the worst teams in college basketball. The Broncs are 1-8 SU & 1-6 ATS, getting outscored by an average of 13.4 points/game. Rider is 0-5 on the road, losing by an average of 16.6 points/game as well. This team already has a loss by this margin with a 57-83 setback at Robert Morris. They have played an easy schedule, yet they only have one win on the year, and that came at home over Howard by a narrow 74-72 margin.

The Broncs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. The Gators are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. Florida is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games, and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. Bet Florida Friday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas State -4.5

The home-court advantage on their side, the Kansas State Wildcats should have no problem covering this small spread against overrated West Virginia. While this won't be on Kansas State's actually home court, it will still be played in Wichita, KS so there's no doubt the crowd will be heavily in their favor.

WVU has clearly taken a step back this year. The Mountaineers lost to Kent State 60-70 at home in their second game of the season, and fell at Mississippi State 62-75 last time out. At 4-2, this squad is no better than a middle-of-the-pack team in the Big East.

Kansas State is the real deal at 5-0 this season. The Wildcats proved what they were capable of with a 69-61 win at Virginia Tech last time out as a 4-point underdog. Head coach Frank Martin is really making his team get after it defensively this year. K-State is only allowing 59.0 points/game and 33.2% shooting.

The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Wildcats are 17-6-3 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. WVU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents. K-State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game. Take Kansas State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday ATS ANNIHILATOR on Middle Tennessee State -4.5

Middle Tennessee State is one of the better teams in the country that doesn't get much recognition. These are teams I like to call "under the radar". This squad has been a money-making machine already, and they will continue to be until the odds catch up to them. It just hasn't happened quite yet.

MTSU is 8-1 SU & 8-0 ATS on the season. They are outscoring opponents 80.2 to 63.1 on average. The Blue Raiders are also 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS on the road, outscoring foes 77.7 to 62.2. This team is the real deal, not once failing to cover the spread yet.

UAB, on the other hand, is in rebuilding mode. The Blazers are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS on the season, getting outscored 54.4 to 61.4 on average. UAB is 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS at home this year as well.

My math formula shows that Middle Tennessee State should be favored by roughly 6.5 tonight, giving us a good two points of value. When the Blue Raiders win, they'll likely cover this very small number as well.

Here is a look at MTSU's road wins this season, which is a very impressive resume. The won at Loyola Marymount 58-51 as a 5-point underdog, won at UCLA 86-66 as an 11-point dog, won at Austin Peay 90-70 as a 1.5-point dog, and won at Tennessee State 77-62 as a 4.5-point favorite.

I'll back the Blue Raiders to improve to a perfect 9-0 ATS on the season with a win and cover tonight. Roll with Middle Tennessee State Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Toledo +11.5

The Toledo Rockets are showing great value tonight as a double-digit home underdog. This team is going under the radar in the early going, and they should not be catching this many points against Temple Wednesday.

Toledo is 6-1 on the season, outscoring opponents 78.6 to 66.6 on average. The Rockets are 3-0 at home, winning by an average of 20.0 points/game. While I will admit they have played a soft schedule, these numbers are impressive nonetheless.

Temple is 4-2 on the season while playing a mediocre schedule. They have not been impressive in their two true road games. The Owls won at Pennsylvania 73-67 as a 9.5-point favorite, and then lost at Bowling Green 64-67 as an 8-point favorite.

My math formula shows that Toledo should actually be roughly a 1-point favorite in this game, giving us basically 12 points or value by backing them tonight.

The Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Temple is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win, and also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. The Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5. Take Toledo Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Duke -22

This is the ideal spot to back the Duke Blue Devils, who are coming off a rare loss at the hands of one of the best teams in the country. They were beaten pretty soundly at Ohio State on November 29th, and they'll be well-rested and highly motivated heading into this showdown with Colorado State because of it.

The Rams have played a very soft schedule to this point, and they will not be prepared for the atmosphere inside of Cameron Indoor. Duke is 3-0 at home this season, scoring 85.0 points/game while shooting 52.7% from the floor.

Unlike Colorado State, the Blue Devils have played a very tough schedule. Aside from Ohio State, they have also played Kansas, Michigan, Tennessee, Michigan State and a very underrated Belmont and Davidson teams. This will be their second-easiest game thus far, with their easiest being a 96-55 home win over Presbyterian, who beat Cincinnati on the road earlier this year.

The Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater, including 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater. Bet Duke Wednesday.

15* Washington/Marquette ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington +8

This is another classic case where the favorite is overvalued due to a fast start. There is no question in my mind that these two teams are equals. I'll gladly take the 8 points on a neutral court considering this game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York.

Marquette is off to a 7-0 start this season, though they have only played one quality opponent. This team is getting a lot of respect from odds makers after beating in-state rival Wisconsin 61-54 last time out. Off such an emotional win over one of their biggest rivals, this is clearly a letdown spot for the Eagles. Their other six wins have come against very weak competition, including a shaky 59-57 victory over Norfolk State.

Washington is 4-2 on the season, with their only two losses coming on the road against two quality opponents in Saint Louis and Nevada (OT). They have played a tougher schedule than Marquette, and because of their two early losses this team is undervalued.

The Huskies have two starters and four of their top seven scorers back from last season. Head coach Lorenzo Romar is one of the best recruiters in the land. Guards Terrence Ross (16.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG) and C.J. Wilcox (15.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG) are two returning starters making significant contributions this year. Newcomer Tony Wroten (13.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG) has provided a nice spark of the bench.

The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. Roll with Washington Tuesday.

15* Missouri/Villanova ESPN Tuesday No-Brainer on Villanova +8.5

I am not denying that Missouri is one of the better teams in the country. I am simply backing Villanova tonight because I believe that the Tigers are overvalued right now after their fast start. The clear value in this one is with the underdog.

While the Tigers are 7-0 this season, their record is a bit skewed considering they haven't played one game outside the state of Missouri. This will be the first game that they will not have home-court advantage, and I believe that will make a huge difference. This contest will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York.

Villanova is 5-2 on the season, and because they have two losses already, I believe they are a bit under the radar. They did lost to two quality opponents on neutral courts, and we an underdog in their loss to St. Louis.

While the Wildcats did lose their two starting guards, they brought back three players from last season who made significant contributions. Those three are playing an even bigger role this season, and it has shown by their numbers. They are G Maalik Wayns (18.7 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.4 APG), F Mouphtaou Yarou (16.0 PPG, 8.4 RPG) and G Dominic Cheek (12.9 PPG, 5.0 RPG).

This is actually a very good match-up for Villanova considering the style of play both teams run. Both squads use smaller line-ups and expect a lot from their guards. With a similar philosophy and pretty equal talent across the board, I like this one to go right down to the wire.

This line has jumped from Missouri -6.5 all the way up to Missouri -8.5, providing us with ample value to fade the betting public. The Tigers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after 6 or more consecutive wins. Mizzou is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Take Villanova Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on North Carolina -24

The North Carolina Tar Heels are going to be highly motivated tonight after losing two of their last three games. Even with those two losses, this is arguably still the best team in the country. They nearly won at No. 1 Kentucky on Saturday, losing by a single point 72-73.

This team is not used to losing, and will will leave a sour taste in their mouths heading into this showdown with Evansville. The Purple Aces don't stand a chance of even keeping this game close against these motivated Tar Heels Tuesday.

Evansville is 3-3 on the season despite playing five of their first six games at home. They lost to Indiana 73-94 at home, along with another home loss to TCU and a road loss to Illinois-Chicago, both as favorites. Those three setbacks clearly show that Evansville should get crushed by 25-plus tonight.

Since falling 86-78 to Ohio on Feb. 2, 2002, the Tar Heels have taken 67 consecutive home meetings versus unranked, non-conference opponents by 26.4 points. North Carolina defeated Evansville 76-49 on the road Dec. 8, 2010, behind 18 points and eight rebounds from forward Tyler Zeller.

Evansville swingman Colt Ryan is averaging a team-best 19.7 points, but he was held to just nine points on 2-of-14 shooting versus North Carolina last season, going 1 for 8 from 3-point range. Since the beginning of 2000-01, the Purple Aces have gone 25-121 as the visiting team.

The Tar Heels are 28-14 ATS in their last 42 games following a loss by 6 points or less. Bet North Carolina Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on George Mason +10

George Mason should not be catching double-digits Tuesday against Virginia. This is a quality team that is fully capable of winning outright tonight.

Virginia is getting too much respect for their 7-1 start, which has come against a very soft schedule. This team is not as good as their record, and I believe that will show tonight against a quality opponent.

George Mason is 6-2 on the year, with their two losses combining by a combined eight points. Paul Hewitt's team has three starters back from last year, including eight of their top 10 scorers.

F Ryan Pearson has emerged as one of the premier players on the country. He is averaging 19.8 points and 8.4 rebounds per game thus far. Guards Sherrod Wright (12.0 PPG, 3.6 RPG) and Vertrail Vaughns (11.9 PPG, 2.5 RPG) combine with Pearson to give this team excellent balance inside and out.

The Patriots are 17-3 ATS in their last 20 after a conference game, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off a road win against a conference rival, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a road win by 10 points or more, and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 off a win by 10 points or more against a conference rival. These four trends make for a 42-4 (91%) System backing the Patriots. Bet George Mason Tuesday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +1.5

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country this season. They are coming off a 8-24 campaign last year, but they return four starters and three of their four double-digits scorers from last season.

Wake has opened 5-2 on the year, which includes wins over Texas Tech on a neutral site and Nebraska on the road. Wake is a perfect 3-0 at home this year, outscoring their opponents 83.0 to 71.3. They should not be an underdog at home Saturday.

Richmond is also 5-2 on the year, with losses at Davidson by 13 and to Illinois by 9 on a neutral court. They don't have a significant win yet as their five victories have come against American, Hampton, Sacred Heart, William & Mary and Rutgers. The Spiders have no business being favored here, and they are simply overrated after making the NCAA Tournament last season.

Richmond lost their three best players and their three top scorers from last season. They are Justin Harper (17.9 PPG, 6.9 RPG), Kevin Anderson (16.6 PPG, 122 assists) and Dan Geriot (9.5 PPG, 103 assists). They still have the perception of a good team, but they really aren't the same squad they were a year ago.

The Demon Deacons are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Wake Forest is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic 10 opponents. Take Wake Forest and the points.

15* UNC/Kentucky CBS Saturday No-Doubt Rout on North Carolina +5.5

North Carolina would likely have been a favorite in this game with Kentucky had they not lost to UNLV on November 26th. Because of that loss, the Tar Heels are showing excellent value Saturday as a 5.5-point dog to the Wildcats.

I still have no doubt that UNC is the better team here. Kentucky is a quality opponent, but they don't have the same talent and experience from top to bottom as UNC does. Plus, the Tar Heels have played a much tougher early schedule than Kentucky, so they'll be more prepared. The Tar Heels have wins over Michigan State and Wisconsin on their resume.

Kentucky is 0-8 ATS in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats are 1-9 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 14 or less 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997. Kentucky is 4-20 ATS after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more since 1997. The Tar Heels are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. SEC, while the Wildcats are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. ACC foes. Bet North Carolina Saturday.

15* Vanderbilt/Louisville ESPN Friday Night BAILOUT on Vanderbilt +8

Vanderbilt came into the season highly-ranked, but they have underachieved to this point. There's no doubt in my mind that this is still one of the best teams in the country, and I believe they show that with an outright victory at Louisville Friday.

The Commodores are off to a 5-2 start this year, losing to Cleveland State and to Xavier in overtime. Meanwhile, Louisville is off to a 6-0 start despite having several injuries to many of their key players. This will be the toughest test yet for the Cardinals, and I believe they are way overvalued due to their unbeaten start.

Vanderbilt is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games. The Commodores are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. This is simply too many points for Louisville to be laying against what I believe is still one of the top teams in the country. The Commodores will come in highly motivated tonight, and likely escape with an outright victory. Roll with Vanderbilt Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Marist +13.5

Marist is simply catching too many points tonight against Loyola-Maryland. Marist has faced a very difficult schedule, and as a result they are 2-4 on the season. They have already faced four road games, including visits to Kentucky and South Florida. This team is certainly battle-tested heading into this one.

Loyola-Maryland has faced one of the easiest schedules in the country. They are 4-1, but those four wins have come against the likes of Coppin State, MD-Balt County, New Hampshire and Florida Gulf Coast. Their lone loss came at Wake Forest by a final of 63-75, which is the only legitimate opponent they have faced.

This play falls into a system that is 54-24 (69.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (MARIST) - terrible defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=48% on the season, in December games.

Loyola is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. Marist is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 December games. Loyola is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games. These three trends make for a 23-1 (96%) System backing the Red Foxes. Plus, the Greyhounds are just 20-46 ATS in their last 66 home games. Roll with Marist Thursday.

15* Wisconsin/UNC ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on North Carolina -7

Because previously No. 1 North Carolina lost to UNLV last time out, the Tar Heels are showing awesome value Wednesday. That loss has kept this line too low, and I fully expect UNC to come out very hungry here. This is perhaps the most talented team in the country already, and having them motivated spells trouble for Wisconsin.

The Tar Heels are still 5-1 on the season, outscoring opponents 88.0 to 71.0 on the year. They are shooting 50.4 percent from the floor while allowing their opposition to shoot just 38.7 percent. That loss to UNLV came at a neutral site, but this game will be at home where the Tar Heels are outscoring opponents by 29.5 points/game this year.

Wisconsin is certainly a quality team, but they are overvalued due to their 6-0 start. The Badgers have faced a very soft schedule, opening with four straight home games against Kennesaw State, Colgate, Wofford and Missouri-KC. They won neutral court showdowns with Bradley and BYU, and this will be their first true road game. I don't believe the Badgers will be up to the task, and their true colors will show tonight.

This play falls into a system that is 68-30 (69.4%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (N CAROLINA) - an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games.

Wisconsin is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after a game where they had 2 or less steals. The Tar Heels are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. North Carolina is 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games following a loss. Roll with the Tar Heels Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Wake Forest +13

Wake Forest is a much-improved team from a year ago, which saw the Demon Deacons finish 8-24. Because they are coming off such a down season, this team is way undervalued in the early going. They should not be catching double-digit points against Nebraska tonight.

The Demon Deacons return three of their four double-digit scorers from last season in Travis McKie, C.J. Harris and J.T. Terrell, and they have four starters back in all. Harris is averaging 19.5 PPG this season, while McKie is putting up 19.2 PPG. This team has opened 4-2, with their only losses coming against Arizona State and Dayton, two quality squads.

Nebraska is off to a 4-1 start this season, with their lone loss coming at home to Oregon by a final of 76-83. They were unimpressive last time out at home, beating South Dakota State 76-64. Asking them to win by more than 13 points tonight is simply asking too much.

The Huskers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. The Demon Deacons are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Nebraska is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take Wake Forest Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Towson +22

The betting public does not like backing winless teams. As a result, I am seeing excellent value in backing Towson tonight to cover this large number against Massachusetts.

Towson has played a brutal schedule with four road games during their 0-5 start, including losses at Kansas and at Michigan. This tough early schedule will certainly have them prepared for this road trip to UMass.

UMass is 5-2 on the season, and they really haven't shown me anything that would make me believe they can cover this huge spread. They have a 20-point loss to Florida State and a 24-point loss to College of Charleston on their resume. Four of their five wins have come by 21 points or less, including unimpressive victories over Elon (85-67) and New Jersey Tech (79-58).

UMass is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games versus terrible shooting teams - making <=39% of their shots. UMass is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. Towson is 5-0 ATS in thier last 5 games vs. Atlantic 10 foes. Bet Towson Wednesday.