Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-19-21 | Thunder +10 v. Nuggets | 101-119 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder +10 The Key: The Okalhoam City Thunder are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS int heir last 4 games overall. That includes 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games with upset wins over the Pelicans, Knicks and Nets. And now they come in rested having the last 3 days off so they will be primed for a big effort against the Denver Nuggets tonight. The Nuggets are just 6-7 SU & 4-9 ATS this season as they have consistently been overrated after making a deep run in the playoffs last year. And they shouldn't be double-digit favorites against the Thunder tonight. The Thunder are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games as underdogs, 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as road dogs, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Oklahoma City is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games with a total of 220 or higher. Take Oklahoma City. |
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01-19-21 | Purdue v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
7* Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -4.5 The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes want to avenge their 60-67 loss at Purdue in their first matchup on December 16 this season. The Buckeyes shot just 37.9% from the field and 6-of-24 (25%) from 3-point range. They have been a different team since and are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games with a 79-68 win at Rutgers as a 3.5-point dog, an 81-71 home win over Northwestern as an 8.5-point favorite and an 87-81 win at Illinois as an 8-point dog. Purdue hasn't been great on the road with losses to Illinois by 8, Rutgers by 5 and Iowa by 15. The Boilermakers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The Buckeyes are 27-12 ATS in the last 39 matchups. Purdue is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after going over the total in its last game. The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off an ATS win. Take Ohio State. |
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01-18-21 | Pistons v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Miami Heat -5.5 The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry for a victory today. They have lost 3 straight coming in. That includes their 100-120 loss to the Pistons as 5-point favorites on Saturday. They led that game 56-52 at halftime and got outscored by 24 points after intermission. The Heat should get even more players back today from COVID and will be ready to avenge that defeat. The Pistons are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 ATS. The HEat are 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games off a loss. Take Miami. |
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01-18-21 | Mavs v. Raptors -5 | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Mavs/Raptors Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Toronto -5 The Key: The Dallas Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to the Chicago Bulls yesterday. This is a terrible spot for the Mavericks because they were already missing Powell, Kleber, Finney-Smith and Richardson. Now Porzingis is going to sit out this game to rest, and Hardaway Jr. is questionable. There is just too much on Luka Doncic's plate here. The Raptors are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games off a win by 6 points or less. Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a losing record. Take Toronto. |
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01-18-21 | The Citadel +13.5 v. NC-Greensboro | 73-87 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on The Citadel +13.5 The Key: The Citadel is 8-2 this season and better than this 13.5-point spread would indicate. They opened 8-0 this season before losing their last 2 games to 2 very good teams in Furman by 6 and VMI by 7. So they haven't lost by this kind of margin all season. UNC-Greensboro is 8-5 this season with upset losses to Winthrop, Coppin State, East Tennessee State and Wofford. They haven't shown enough to be favored this heavily. The Citadel is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-pointers. They average 14 makes and shoot the 3 at a 43.1% clip. They will never be out of this game due to their great shooting. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points last game. The Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. UNC-Greensboro is 6-19-2 ATS in its last 27 games off an ATS win. Take The Citadel. |
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01-18-21 | Spurs -1 v. Blazers | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Blazers Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -1 The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have won 5 of their last 7 games including upset road wins over the Lakers and Clippers. Now they face a Blazers team that will be missing 2 of their best players in C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic. The Blazers just aren't a very good team when they are missing either Lillard or McCollum because they go together like PB and J. Portland is 0-9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games. The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. Take San Antonio. |
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01-18-21 | Wolves +7.5 v. Hawks | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Hawks/Timberwolves Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +7.5 The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are missing several key players including Danilo Gallinari and Bogdan Bogdanovich, and they could be without Cam Redish tonight. They should not be favored by 7.5 points over anyone considering how poorly they are playing and their injury situation. Now they face a rested, hungry Timberwolves team that hasn't played since January 13th. The Hawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Atlanta is 9-24-2 ATS in its last 35 games against a team with a losing record. The Timberwolves are 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 matchups in Atlanta. Take Minnesota. |
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01-17-21 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 226 | 128-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Pelicans/Kings OVER 226 The Key: Sacramento has been an OVER bettors' dream. The Kings are 6-1 OVER in their last 7 games overall. They have combined with their opponents for 243, 252, 267, 224, 249, 258 and 238 points in those 7 games, respectively. That's an average of 247.3 PPG and amazingly none of those games went to OT. This 226-point total is 21.3 points less than they are averaging over their last 7 games. The Kings are an offensive juggernaut as they have shot 51.6% or better in 4 of their last 6 games. And they have the worst defense in the NBA in giving up 118.2 PPG per 100 possessions, a full 4.8 PPG worse than the next worst-team. The Pelicans have yielded 111 points or more in 6 consecutive games coming in. The OVER is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups in this series with 232 or more combined points scored in 6 of those 7 matchups. Take the OVER. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 30-20 | Win | 101 | 70 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Bucs/Saints NFC *BAILOUT* on Tampa Bay +3 The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs want to avenge their 2 regular season losses to the Saints. They turned the ball over too often and did not play well at all. But they have been a completely different team since those first 2 matchups. The Bucs have won 5 straight and are scoring 35.8 PPG during this streak. They just put up 507 yards against an elite Washington defense last week. And you know Tom Brady will make the proper adjustments that will allow their offense to have success against the Saints the 3rd time he faces them here. The Bucs also get good news with LB Devin White returning from a COVID absence against Washington. He is their best defensive player with 140 tackles and 18 of those coming for loss, including 9 sacks. The Bucs will avenge those 2 defeats with an upset victory Sunday night. Take Tampa Bay. |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -102 | 66 h 9 m | Show |
7* AFC Playoffs Game of the Year on Kansas City Chiefs -10 The Key: Andy Reid has a proven track record of being the best coach in the NFL to back off a bye. The Chiefs needed a bye as they just seemed to be going through the motions down the stretch. Now they will turn the switch on and put their best foot forward in the playoffs. And that will be enough to put away the Cleveland Browns by double-digits. The Browns had everything go their way against the Steelers by forcing 5 turnovers. They still gave up 37 points and 553 total yards. They gave up 47 points to Baltimore and 35 points to Tennessee recently. The Chiefs will do whatever they want to against this soft Cleveland defense. And I don't trust Baker Mayfield to be able to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and company. The Browns are 1-10 ATS int heir last 11 road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent. Cleveland is 9-26-2 ATS in its last 37 games against a team with a winning record. Take Kansas City. |
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01-17-21 | Memphis -1.5 v. Tulsa | 57-58 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis -1.5 The Key: This is the perfect situation to back the Memphis Tigers Sunday. They are rested having last played on December 29th and champing at the bit to get back on the court. They want to avenge a 49-56 home loss to Tulsa on December 21st as 9.5-point home favorites. Now this line has been adjusted a full 8 points for home-court advantage with the Tigers only being 1.5-point road favorites in the rematch. It's too much and it's finally an opportunity to back the Tigers at the right price range after they failed to cover each of their last 6 games ATS. Tulsa is starting to get a lot of respect after going 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Golden Hurricane finally had their winning streak come to an end with a 53-72 road loss at Wichita State last time out. Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off 2 straight games where both teams scored 65 points or less. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when avenging a loss. Take Memphis. |
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01-17-21 | UCF +14 v. Houston | 58-75 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
6* UCF/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on UCF +14 The Key: I like the price we're getting on UCF after going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall. The Knights will be hungry to get a win here facing a ranked Houston team for a 2nd time this season. They will also be hungry to avenge their 54-63 loss as 7.5-point home dogs to the Cougars on December 26th. Now they have adjusted this line a full 6.5 points for home-court advantage which is too much with the Knights coming back as 14-point dogs in the rematch. The Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games. UCF is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games against a team that wins more than 80% of their games on the season. Take UCF. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 50 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Ravens/Bills AFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 50 The Key: Temperatures will be in the 20s with wind and a chance of snow in Buffalo Saturday night. Points will be hard to come by. Both of these defenses are playing tremendous football down the stretch. The Bills are giving up 19.1 PPG in their last 7 games. The Ravens have yielded 19 points or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games overall, including 14 points or fewer in 4 straight. And the Ravens like to control the ball with their running game, which chews clock and helps the UNDER. They average 35 rushing attempts and just 25 passing attempts per game. Baltimore is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 games off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. The UNDER is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 road games. The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 matchups. Take the UNDER. |
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01-16-21 | Virginia v. Clemson +2 | Top | 85-50 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Clemson +2 The Key: Clemson is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Tigers are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS this season, including 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home. And now they are getting no respect again as home underdogs to Virginia. The Tigers have had 10 days to get ready for the Cavaliers after last playing on January 5th. Virginia only has 2 days to get ready for Clemson after beating Notre Dame on Wednesday. That's a big advantage for the Tigers. Clemson is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games off a conference win. Virginia is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games off a home win by 10 points or more. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs. Take Clemson. |
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01-16-21 | Rockets v. Spurs -7 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -7 The Key: The situation really favors the San Antonio Spurs tonight. They were upset 105-109 by the Rockets on Thursday night as 7.5-point favorites. They had control of that game late in the 4th quarter with a 9-point lead and let it slip away. They come back hungry for a victory tonight against the same opponent. The Rockets will be short-handed again without Wall, House, Cousins and possibly Gordon. The Spurs are 54-26 ATS when revenging a loss, including 34-17 ATS when revenging a same season loss. Take San Antonio. |
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01-16-21 | Baylor v. Texas Tech +4.5 | 68-60 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Baylor/Texas Tech Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech +4.5 The Key: This feels like the game Baylor suffers its first loss of the season. Texas Tech is playing its best basketball of the season and just upset Texas on the road. The Red Raiders also beat Kansas State by 11 and Iowa State by 27. The Red Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Texas Tech. |
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01-16-21 | Michigan v. Minnesota +6 | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Michigan/Minnesota Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +6 The Key: The Minnesota Golden Gophers are hungry for a win following 2 straight road losses to arguably the 2 best teams in the Big Ten in Michigan and Iowa. Now they have had 5 days to get ready to avenge that loss to the Wolverines after last playing Iowa on Sunday. And they take on a Wolverines team primed for a letdown off a big home win over Wisconsin on Tuesday. They won't be that hungry to beat Minnesota again. The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, which includes upset wins over Saint Louis, Iowa and Michigan State as well as a blowout win by 17 over Ohio State. Take Minnesota. |
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01-15-21 | Clippers v. Kings +7 | Top | 138-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +7 The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers haven't won any of their last 7 games by more than 7 points and have gone 2-5 ATS during this stretch. They shouldn't be 7-point road favorites over a hungry Sacramento Kings team tonight. The Kings have won their last 2 matchups with the Clippers by a combined 30 points and covered the spread in those 2 games by a combined 53 points. Take Sacramento. |
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01-15-21 | Cleveland State +9.5 v. Wright State | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Horizon League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland State +9.5 The Key: Cleveland State has gone 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in Horizon League play this season. The oddsmakers have not caught up to how good the Vikings really are. And prior to this 8-0 run they only lost 61-67 at Ohio State as a 23.5-point dog. So the Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Wright State is grossly overrated right now. They are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall with outright losses to Oakland by 10 as 11-point favorites and Youngstown State by 2 as 11.5-point favorites. They are being asked to win this game by double-digits to beat us tonight. Take Cleveland State. |
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01-15-21 | Presbyterian +8 v. Campbell | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Big South *CA$H COW* on Presbyterian +8 The Key: Presbyterian only lost 46-48 as 7.5-point road dogs to Campbell yesterday. Now they come back as 8-point dogs today in the rematch. Campbell is just 3-7 SU in its last 10 games overall with wins by 2, 6 and 9 points. So they have won just one of their last 10 games by this kind of margin, and that was a 9-point win over Gardner Webb. Presbyterian has lost just one of its last 6 games by more than 6 points. The Fighting Camels are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a win. Take Presbyterian. |
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01-14-21 | Pepperdine +26.5 v. Gonzaga | 70-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Pepperdine/Gonzaga ESPN *CA$H COW* on Pepperdine +26.5 The Key: Pepperdine covered easily in both matchups with Gonzaga last year. They only lost 70-75 as a 21-point road underdog and 77-89 as a 15-point home underdog. And now the Waves are 26.5-point dogs in their first matchup of the 2020-21 season. Pepperdine took UCLA to overtime, only lost to a very good San Diego State team by 5, and beat California by 12. So the Waves have proven they can hang with some very good teams. They have one of the best players in the country in Colbey Ross, who averages 19.0 PPG and 7.2 APG. He is joined by Kessler Edwards (17.2 PPG, 5.9 RPG), and these 2 are capable of keeping the Waves competitive in this game for 40 minutes. The Waves are 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games. Pepperdine is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 games as a road underdog. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. The Waves are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more. The Waves are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games off 2 or more consecutive losses. Take Pepperdine. |
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01-14-21 | Hornets v. Raptors -9 | 108-111 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -9 The Key: The situation really favors the Toronto Raptors tonight. They come in on 2 days' rest and ready to roll. The Hornets are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. Gordon Hayward is averaging 26.6 PPG in his last 5 games and got hurt in their 11-point loss to the Mavericks last night. He is questionable to play tonight. The Raptors are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of -6.5 to -12. Take Toronto. |
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01-14-21 | Rockets v. Spurs -7 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Spurs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio -7 The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 games including upset wins over both the Lakers and Clippers. They are playing well right now and will be taking on a Houston Rockets team in turmoil. The Rockets just traded away James Harden. They won't have any of the players they gained in the trade in the lineup. Plus their best player in John Wall is out, as is key contributor John Wall. Eric Gordon is also questionable. The Rockets will have a suspect lineup tonight to say the least. Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games. The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss by more than 10 points. They are coming off 2 straight 17-point losses to the Lakers. The Rockets are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with all 4 losses coming by 7 points or more. Take San Antonio. |
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01-13-21 | Blazers v. Kings +3.5 | 132-126 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +3.5 The Key: The Sacramento Kings have shot 51.6%, 56.8% and 56% from the field in 3 of their last 4 games overall. They are an offensive juggernaut. The only exception was the 40.7% they shot in a 99-125 loss to the Blazers on January 9th. Now the Kings will be hungry to avenge that defeat as they get to play the Blazers just 4 days later. And while the Kings are almost fully healthy now, the Blazers could be without Jusuf Nurkic, plus Damian Lillard is dealing with an ankle injury. The Kings are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games overall. Sacramento is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games as an underdog. Take Sacramento. |
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01-13-21 | Boise State v. Wyoming +9.5 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +9.5 The Key: Boise State is getting too much respect from the books due to its 10-game winning streak. The Broncos will now have to take on a hungry Wyoming team looking to avenge its loss in the first game in this matchup on Monday. Boise State won the first matchup by 23 points, but it was a 5-point game with under 8 minutes to play. And the Broncos have failed to cover in the last 2 times they've been in this situation. They beat San Jose State by 52 and came back and won by just 1 point in the rematch. They beat Air Force by 19 and came back and won by 11 in the rematch. And this game will be decided by 9 points or fewer to give the Cowboys the cover. The Cowboys are a sensational 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss in the same season. Take Wyoming. |
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01-13-21 | La Salle +5 v. George Mason | 42-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on La Salle +5 The Key: George Mason has no business being a favorite here. The Patriots are 4-5 this season with 3 of their wins coming by 1, 2 and 5 points. The only exception was an 84-70 win over Howard as a 20-point favorite. La Salle is 5-6 this season with 4 wins by double-digits and a 67-65 upset win at Dayton as an 11.5-point underdog. The Explorers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. La Salle is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 road games off 2 straight games with 10 or fewer steals. The Explorers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off 2 straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds. George Mason is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games after playing a game as an underdog. Take La Salle. |
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01-12-21 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Pacers/Warriors NBA TV *BAILOUT* on UNDER 228.5 The Key: The Indiana Pacers are a tired team right now after losing 122-127 in Sacramento last night. They aren't going to be looking to run tonight, and they are going to be without both Victor Oladipo and TJ Warren, who combine to average 35.5 PPG. Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis both played nearly 40 minutes last night and will be tired as well. I expect this pace to be slower than oddsmakers expect. And the Warriors have been a great UNDER bet recently because they lack offensive firepower outside of Steph Curry. They have been having to win with defense. The UNDER is 7-3 in all Warriors games this season, including 3-0 in the last 3 with combined scores of 209, 220 and 211 points against the Clippers (twice) and Raptors. Those are 2 really good offensive teams like Indiana who they held in check. Indiana is 21-8 UNDER in its last 29 games after a combined score of 245 points or more. Bets on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 210 or higher (Indiana) an excellent shooting team making 47.5% or better against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) after 3 straight games where they allowed 47% shooting or higher are 31-8 since 1996. The UNDER is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 games as underdogs. The UNDER is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their last game. Take the UNDER. |
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01-12-21 | TCU +6.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 46-82 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on TCU +6.5 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs will be looking to avenge a 78-82 home loss to the Oklahoma Sooners in their first matchup this year. This is a TCU team that has gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall with their only losses coming to the 2 best teams in the Big 12 in Baylor and Kansas. The Horned Frogs won't have to face Oklahoma's 2nd-leading scorer in Brady Manek, who is out with COVID. He averages 13.4 PPG this year and had 14 points and 6 boards in their first matchup this season. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. TCU is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games. The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games. Take TCU. |
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01-12-21 | Duke -1 v. Virginia Tech | 67-74 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Duke/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Duke -1 The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are starting to live up to their potential after 2 early losses to Michigan State and Illinois. They have won 3 straight coming in and now the situation favors them tonight against Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils have had 2 days to get ready for this game while the Hokies only have one day to get ready after playing Notre Dame on Sunday. The Hokies are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers. The Blue Devils are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing 2 consecutive home games. The Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as home underdogs. Take Duke. |
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01-11-21 | Raptors +5 v. Blazers | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Raptors/Blazers NBA *CA$H COW* on Toronto +5 The Key: The price is right to back the Toronto Raptors, who are just shockingly 2-7 this year. They play a Blazers team that has feasted on a weak schedule of late playing the Warriors (twice), Bulls, Timberwolves and Kings. And they were upset in 2 of those games. They should not be 5-point favorites here tonight against a Raptors team that is much better than their record would suggest. And the fact that the Raptors are playing for a 2nd consecutive night is being factored into this line too much. They know they have 2 days off after this and will be laying it all on the line to close out this 4-game road trip with a victory. The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Portland is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games against a team that wins less than 40% of their games. Take Toronto. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -8.5 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
7* Ohio State/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -8.5 The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are going to go down as one of the best teams in college football history. They have an elite defense as always, giving up 19 PPG. But their offense is a record-setting one that will continue to pile on the points against Ohio State. The Crimson Tide average 48.2 PPG and 535 YPG this year as they have outscored their foes by 29.2 PPG on the season. And they have let up in the 2nd half of most their games. They won't let up against the Buckeyes after seeing what they did to Clemson last week. That was an aberration as the Buckeyes managed just 22 points against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship the week prior. Clemson just allowed receivers to get behind them the entire game, which was a terrible strategy. I trust Nick Saban to make the proper adjustments defensively. And the weakness of this Ohio State defense is their secondary, which allowed 491 passing yards to Indiana and 400 more to Clemson. That's bad news going up against Mac Jones, Devonta Smith and perhaps Jaylen Waddle returning. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding more than 280 passing yards in their last game. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Big Ten opponents. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS loss. Take Alabama. |
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01-11-21 | Bradley +1.5 v. Northern Iowa | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bradley +1.5 The Key: Northern Iowa is getting too much respect from the books today as favorites against a Bradley team that has won the MVC Tournament each of the last 2 years and is very close to being 10-0 this season. All 4 losses the Braves have suffered were by 6 points or fewer. That includes their 6-point loss to Northern Iowa yesterday in which they fell apart down the stretch. Now the Braves will be looking to avenge that defeat and should get the job done today. The Panthers are just 3-7 SU & 2-7 ATS this season with 5 upset losses as favorites. They'll suffer another in this rematch tonight. Take Bradley. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -6 | Top | 48-37 | Loss | -103 | 72 h 35 m | Show |
7* NFL Wild Card Game of the Year on Pittsburgh Steelers -6 The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers nearly beat the Cleveland Browns last week even with resting their starters. They lost 22-24 but gained 394 yards with a backup QB. They were a failed 2-point conversion from forcing OT. Now the Steelers have their starters back and will win and cover in the rematch similar to when they beat the Browns 38-7 at home earlier this year. Roethlisberger is 24-2-1 all-time against Cleveland and has never lost to them at home. The Steelers are now 26-2 SU & 18-9-1 ATS in their last 28 home matchups with Cleveland. The Browns will now be without head coach Kevin Stefanski due to COVID, and he is their play-caller on offense. It's a huge loss. The Browns are 8-26-2 ATS in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games. The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine playoff home games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Pittsburgh. |
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01-10-21 | Spurs v. Wolves UNDER 233 | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Timberwolves UNDER 233 The Key: I cashed in the OVER 232.5 yesterday between the Spurs and Timberwolves and got lucky. It was tied 113-113 at the end of regulation for 226 combined points before getting OVER in overtime. And both teams shot lights out from 3-point range with the Timberwolves going 15-for-30 (50%) and the Spurs going 13-for-32 (40.6%). Neither are likely to shoot that well again today, and familiarity favors defense and the UNDER. Take the UNDER. |
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01-10-21 | Lakers v. Rockets +3 | 120-102 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Lakers/Rockets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston +3 The Key: The Houston Rockets finally have all their players back from COVID complications. They showed their potential with a 132-90 win over the Magic on Friday. And now they will upset the Lakers today at home. The Lakers just seem to be going through the motions in the regular season. In their last 3 games they beat Memphis by 2 as 9.5-point favorites, lost outright to the Spurs are 8.5-point favorites, and beat the Bulls by 2 as 9-point favorites. This is now a big step up in class for the Lakers, who are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win. The Rockets are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games off 2 or more consecutive unders. Take Houston. |
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01-10-21 | Bears +10.5 v. Saints | 9-21 | Loss | -119 | 68 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Bears/Saints NFC *CA$H COW* on Chicago +10.5 The Key: The Bears go from being 4.5-point dogs to the Packers last week to 10.5-point dogs to the Saints. The Packers just have their number, but they were competitive in their other 14 games this season. And they will be competitive against the Saints as they continue playing their best football of the season down the stretch. The Bears have scored 30.2 PPG and averaged 382.2 YPG in their last 6 games, all of which have come with Trubisky as their starter. They still have a great defense that allows 344.1 YPG. The Saints are getting too much respect from their 33-7 win over the Panthers in Week 17 in which the Panthers turned the ball over 5 times, including a couple INT in the end zone. The Bears only lost 23-26 (OT) as 5-point dogs in their first matchup with the Saints this year and now are getting 10.5 points in the rematch. The Saints are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff home games. Teams in the wild card round with a .500 record or worse are 7-0 ATS since 2004 while winning 6 of those games outright. Take Chicago. |
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01-10-21 | Bradley +2 v. Northern Iowa | 72-78 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Bradley/Northern Iowa MVC *CA$H COW* on Bradley +2 The Key: Northern Iowa continues to get too much respect from the books as 2-point favorites here against a Bradley team that has won the MVC Tournament each of the last 2 years and is great again this season. The Panthers are just 2-7 SU & 1-7 ATS this year with their 2 wins coming against St. Ambrose and Missouri State. They already have 5 upset losses as favorites this year. This team just isn't any good without the best player in the MVC in AJ Green, who has missed the last 6 games and is out for the season. Bradley is 6-3 this year with its only losses coming at Xavier by 1, to South Dakota State by 4 and at Missouri by 1. Those are 3 great teams as they were 10-point dogs to Xavier, 11-point dogs to Missouri and a pick' em against SDSU. The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Take Bradley. |
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01-09-21 | Oregon -2 v. Utah | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/Utah Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Oregon -2 The Key: The Oregon Ducks had won 8 straight before losing at Colorado last time out. They always lost at Colorado, and the home team owns that series. But they have had not problem beating Utah home or away in recent years. The Ducks are 14-1 SU in the last 15 matchups. And this is a Utah team that has lost 2 in a row and is coming off an 18-point loss to USC. The Ducks are 28-12 ATS in thier last 40 games against a team with a winning record. The Utes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs. Take Oregon. |
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01-09-21 | Spurs v. Wolves OVER 232.5 | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Timberwolves OVER 232.5 The Key: The Spurs and Timberwolves both like to run and gun and chuck up 3's with defense seeming to be optional. The Timberwolves yield 121.9 PPG and 50.6% shooting while the Spurs yeild 114.1 PPG and 48.1% shooting this year. The OVER is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games with combined scores of 233 or more in all 4. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups. Take the OVER. |
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01-09-21 | USC -1.5 v. Arizona State | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* USC/Arizona State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC -1.5 The Key: USC is a legit Pac-12 title contender. They have proven that with an 18-point home win over Utah and a 14-point road win at Arizona in their last 2 games. And now they take on the struggling Arizona State Sun Devils who are 1-3 SU in their last 4 games overall with their only win coming just before the buzzer, 71-70 at Grand Canyon as an 8-point favorite. They were upset 68-80 by San Diego State, upset 63-76 by UTEP as a 13-point home favorite and lost 75-81 to UCLA in their other 3 games. The Trojans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Sun Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take USC. |
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01-09-21 | Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5 v. UL - Lafayette | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5 The Key: Arkansas-Little Rock will be looking to avenge a 64-66 loss at Louisiana-Lafayette Friday night. The Trojans will get their payback and win the rematch here Saturday night. Take Arkansas-Little Rock. |
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01-09-21 | Rams +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Seahawks NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +3.5 The Key: The Rams were 3-point favorites in their first matchup with the Seahawks in which they won 23-16 at home. And they were only 1.5-point dogs in their second matchup in which they lost 9-20 in Seattle. Now they are 3.5-point dogs in the playoffs. That's a 6.5-point adjustment from that first matchup and a 2-point adjustment from the 2nd. The price is right to back the Rams here. They have a Super Bowl defense and should get Jared Goff back. Even if they somehow don't, John Wolford proved he could lead the offense with a huge win in a must-win Week 17 game. The Rams beat the Cardinals 18-7 and outgained them by 119 yards while holding them to just 214 yards. They also outgained the Seahawks by 56 yards in their first matchup and by 42 yards in their 2nd matchup this year. The Rams are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 against NFC opponents. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 against a team with a winning record. The Seahawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-09-21 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Kansas -6.5 The Key: Kansas had its wake up call with a 25-point home loss to Texas two games back, its worst home loss in program history. The Jayhawks bounced back with a 93-64 win at TCU as a 6-point favorite. And now they are short 6.5-point home favorites against Oklahoma. The Jayhawks have won 9 of their last 10 games overall, so that performance against Texas was an aberration. Oklahoma just lost by 15 at Baylor and hasn't fared well at Kansas. The Jayhawks are 16-0 SU in their last 16 home matchups with Oklahoma dating back to 1997. Oklahoma is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. The Sooners are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more. Take Kansas. |
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01-09-21 | UNLV +7.5 v. Colorado State | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on UNLV +7.5 The Key: UNLV will be looking to avenge a 71-74 loss at Colorado State on Thursday night. The Revels blew a 13-point lead with under 10 minutes to go in that game, and a 7-point lead with under 3 minutes. They will come back hungry here for a win and should cover this 7.5-point spread. The Rebels are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take UNLV. |
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01-08-21 | Clippers -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -6.5 The Key: The Clippers have won 4 straight matchups with the Warriors all by 7 points or more and by an average of 15 PPG. They beat the Warriors 108-101 on Wednesday in what was a bad spot for them playing the 2nd of a back-to-back while the Warriors had the previous day off. Now this is a much better situation for the Clippers as they are fully healthy, while the Warriors could be without Stephon Curry. Either way, I like Patrick Beverly's chances of shutting him down again even if he does play. Beverly held him to 13 points and only 5 made field goals in the first matchup. Curry was seen limping off the floor afterward and it would be wise of the Warriors to sit him. The Clippers are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games as road favorites. The Clippers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games against division opponents. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Golden State. The Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-08-21 | Air Force +18.5 v. Boise State | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Air Force +18.5 The Key: You're paying a tax on Boise State because they are on an 8-game winning streak right now. The Broncos just had a situation like this home-and-home one they are facing with Air Force. They beat San Jose State by 52 then came back 2 days later and only beat SJSU by one point. And after beating Air Force 78-59 by 19 points 2 days ago, they won't beat the Falcons by 19-plus again here. I love the price we are getting on the Falcons in this situation. Boise State is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 games following 4 straight games where they scored 75 points or more. Take Air Force. |
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01-08-21 | Thunder v. Knicks -2.5 | 101-89 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks -2.5 The Key: The New York Knicks are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA. They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall with upset road wins over the Pacers, Hawks and Cavs and upset home wins over the Bucks and Jazz. And here they are are only 2.5-point favorites when they are taking a step down in class against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have one of the least-talented rosters in the NBA. They are 3-4 this season but 2 of their wins came by a combined 3 points. They are getting outscored by 8.7 PPG on the season. The Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as favorites. Take New York. |
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01-07-21 | Portland +17.5 v. San Francisco | 64-88 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland +17.5 The Key: San Francisco just played Gonzaga and lost 62-85. I can't see the Dons being nearly as hungry to take on Portland tonight as they were Gonzaga. That lack of intensity will make it difficult for the Dons to cover this massive 17.5-point spread. Point spread wins have been hard to come by for the Dons in general since their early upset of Virginia that has had them overrated. San Francisco is now 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall. Portland is 6-3 this season with its only loss by more than this spread coming on the road against Oregon. They upset Oregon State 87-86 as 16.5-point road dogs. Portland is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 matchups with San Francisco with a 16-point loss, a 5-point loss in OT and an 11-point outright win as a 10.5-point dog. The Dons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. San Francisco is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 home games after allowing 80 points or more last game. Take Portland. |
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01-07-21 | UNLV +9.5 v. Colorado State | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on UNLV +9.5 The Key: The UNLV Rebels played a tough early schedule which is a big reason for their 1-4 start. They have losses to UNC, Alabama and Davidson as well as an upset win over Kansas State. They are now battle tested and ready to enter Mountain West play. They come in 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall and getting no respect here as 9.5-point dogs to Colorado State. The Rams are getting too much respect after upsetting San Diego State. They came back and lost by 13 in the rematch to SDSU. They also lost by 20 to St. Mary's earlier this year. UNLV is 4-1 SU in its last 5 matchups with Colorado State, including an 80-56 win in their final matchup last year. The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take UNLV. |
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01-07-21 | 76ers v. Nets +112 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 112 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Nets TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn ML +112 The Key: The situation really favors the Brooklyn Nets tonight. They are rested after having yesterday off following their blowout win over the Jazz by 34 points on Tuesday that saw them get to rest their starters in the 4th quarter as well. The 76ers were in a dog fight with the Wizards last night and prevailed 141-136 despite 60 points from Bradley Beal. That effort will have taken a lot out of the 76ers, and now they won't have much fight left tonight for the Nets. It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the 76ers, a brutal schedule to start the season. Bets against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after being the spread by 30 or more points total in their last 5 games against a team that went under the total by 24 points or more in their last 3 games combined are 24-5 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Brooklyn on the Money Line. |
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01-06-21 | Clippers v. Warriors +1.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Clippers/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Golden State +1.5 The Key: The Golden State Warriors are now 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall and have scored 137 points in 2 straight blowout victories over Portland by 15 and Sacramento by 31. They had yesterday off and will be playing their 4th straight home games, so they are rested. The same cannot be said for the Clippers. After losing 113-116 to San Antonio last night, the Clippers will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 6th game in 9 days. They are likely to rest some starters tonight, including Paul George and possibly Kawhi Leonard. Marcus Morris is also doubtful for this one. The Clippers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Take Golden State. |
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01-06-21 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville -4 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Week on Louisville -4 The Key: Virginia Tech is overrated due to its 8-1 record this season. This will actually be the Hokies' first true road game this season, and it comes against one of the best teams in the ACC in Louisville. The Cardinals are 7-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road at Wisconsin. They will make easy work of the Hokies, which has been a yearly tradition for them. Louisville has won 16 straight matchups with Virginia Tech, most recently a 68-52 home win in March of 2020. Virginia Tech hasn't beaten Louisville since 1991. The Hokies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs. Take Louisville. |
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01-05-21 | Bulls +9.5 v. Blazers | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +9.5 The Key: The Chicago Bulls have quietly gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are playing better than they are getting credit for and will not lose by double-digits to the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. The Blazers are 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS with only one win by more than 8 points this season. The Blazers will be playing their first home game following a 4-game road trip through California. I always like fading teams in their first game back home following a long road trip. The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on one days' rest. The Blazers are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%. Portland is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games against a a team with a losing record. Take Chicago. |
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01-05-21 | Kansas -5.5 v. TCU | Top | 93-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* Kansas/TCU Big 12 *BAILOUT* on Kansas -5.5 The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are coming off their worst home loss in program history to Texas. Their only other loss this season came to top-ranked Gonzaga. They will be fired up to bounce back here against an overrated TCU team that has won 5 straight against suspect competition coming in. The Jayhawks have won 16 of their last 17 matchups with the Horned Frogs. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning record. Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 games off a loss by 20 points or more. Take Kansas. |
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01-04-21 | Maryland +5 v. Indiana | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
7* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland +5 The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are playing well enough since they opened Big Ten play to warrant being 5-point favorites over Maryland in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall with their lone win coming in overtime over Penn State 87-85 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by Northwestern 67-74 as 9-point favorites and also failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs at Illinois. Maryland is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games. The Terrapins only lost by 3 as 6-point dogs at Purdue, upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point dogs and lost to undefeated Michigan 73-84. Maryland is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 matchups with Indiana. Take Maryland. |
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01-04-21 | Celtics v. Raptors -3.5 | 126-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -3.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are hungry for a victory after opening the season 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS. They have lost to 4 good teams in the Pelicans twice and the Spurs and 76ers with 3 of those losses coming on the road. They did beat the Knicks by 17 at home for their lone victory. And now the situation is a good one for them and a terrible one for the Celtics. While the Raptors had yesterday off, the Celtics played a 122-120 barn burner against Detroit yesterday. And now they'll be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days. They will be without Kemba Walker and likely without Jeff Teague, their top 2 point guards. The Raptors also want to exact some revenge after losing to the Celtics in Game 7 of the playoffs last year. Bets on favorites off an upset loss as a favorite against a team that won their last game but didn't cover as a favorite are 32-10 ATS over the last 5 years. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games off a SU win. The Raptors are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games off an ATS loss. Take Toronto. |
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01-04-21 | Monmouth +3 v. Siena | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Monmouth +3 The Key: The situation is a good one for Monmouth. The Hawks want to avenge their 77-78 loss at Siena as 2.5-point dogs yesterday. I expect them to win this game outright. Siena didn't get to play a single game all season until yesterday. I can't imagine their cardio will be very good playing for a 2nd straight day now. The Hawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a SU loss. The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups. Take Monmouth. |
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01-03-21 | Washington Football Team -3.5 v. Eagles | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Philadelphia NFC East *CA$H COW* on Washington -3.5 The Key: Washington is expected to have its top 3 weapons on offense back this week in QB Alex Smith, WR Terry McClaurin and RB Antonio Gibson. That is going to make all the difference in this game as Washington is 10-5 with Smith as a starter since he came to Washington and 6-26 without him. The Eagles are missing several guys in the secondary, plus Fletcher Cox, Derek Barnett and Shaun Bradley up front. They are also without DeSean Jackson, Miles Sanders and Dallas Goedert on offense. Washington will be able to move the ball and score points on a soft Philadelphia defense that has yielded over 500 yards in 2 consecutive games. And this elite Washington defense that has yielded 20 points or fewer in 6 straight games will make life hell on Jalen Hurts. Washington is on a mission to win the NFC East, while Philadelphia has officially been eliminated from playoff contention after a bad 17-37 loss at Dallas last week. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a road loss as a favorite. Take Washington. |
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01-03-21 | Northwestern +9 v. Michigan | 66-85 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Northwestern/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +9 The Key: This is the ultimate time to sell high on the Michigan Wolverines. They are 8-0 this season and with that perfect record comes expectations that are hard to live up to. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. And they are coming off an 84-73 win at Maryland. But Northwestern is no pushover and will give them a run for their money. The Wildcats are 6-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their 8 games this year with their only losses to Pitt by 1 and Iowa by 15. They are coming off that lost to a Top 10 Iowa team. So there's some line value here with them off that defeat. They also upset Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State prior to that Iowa game so it was asking a lot of them to give their best effort. They will have a bounce back performance here and look for the Wolverines to relax a little. Take Northwestern. |
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01-03-21 | Wizards +8 v. Nets | 123-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +8 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets haven't been playing very well since Spencer Dinwiddie went down with a season-ending injury. He is one of the most underrated players in the NBA. The Nets are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall while failing to cover the spread by a combined 42.5 points. The Wizards are underrated now after a 1-5 start in which they haven't lost any game by more than 10 points, so they have been competitive in all 6 games. And they will be competitive here against the Nets. Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Take Washington. |
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01-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams +3 | 7-18 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Cardinals/Rams NFC West *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +3 The Key: The Rams went from being 4-point favorites to 3-point underdogs with the news that Jared Goff would miss this game with a thumb injury. He is not worth 7 points to this team. In fact, Goff is the player that is holding them back from reaching their full potential. Of course he is better than backup John Wolford, but Sean McVey is a genius and will have the right game plan to put the former Wake Forest product in a good position to be successful. And McVey owns the Cardinals as the Rams are 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Los Angeles has won those 7 games by an average of 21.3 PPG. That includes their 38-28 win earlier this season that was a bigger blowout than the final score showed. The Rams outgained the Cardinals 463 to 232 in that contest. And Kyler Murray will be playing through a leg injury he suffered in a bad 12-20 loss to the 49ers last week. The Cardinals were outgained by 2.8 YPP in that game as they averaged just 4.4 YPP on offense and gave up 7.2 YPP on defense. And that was against a terrible, banged up 49ers team that was playing with a 3rd-string QB in CJ Beathard. The 49ers had lost 6 of their previous 7 games coming in. The Cardinals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off an ATS loss, and 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a SU loss. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-03-21 | Jets +3 v. Patriots | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
7* AFC East Game of the Year on New York Jets +3 The Key: The Jets have been one of the most profitable teams in the NFL to back down the stretch. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have pulled off 2 straight upsets over the Rams as 17.5-point dogs and Browns as 6.5-point dogs. And now they would love to get revenge from a 27-30 loss to the Patriots in their first matchup this season. The Patriots are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall, getting outscored a combined 24-84 in the process. They haven't even been competitive. If they were going to show something it would have been against the Bills on Monday Night Football last week. Instead they rolled over and lost 9-38. Their offense is broken as they have been held to either 12 points or fewer or 291 yards or fewer in 5 straight games coming in. They are missing several key contributors on both sides of the football. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites. Take New York. |
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01-02-21 | North Carolina v. Texas A&M -7 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
7* UNC/Texas A&M NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas A&M -7 The Key: Texas A&M just completed a dominant 8-1 season in which they proved they were one of the best teams in college football. Their lone loss came to Alabama, which could be the best team in college football history. And now the Aggies want to punctuate their season. They don't have anyone really opting out for this one, and it's a senior-led team. And they'll be up against a UNC team from a weak ACC conference that has almost all of their best players opting out and getting ready for the NFL draft. Their top NFL prospect on defense and leading tackler Surratt is out. They are without 2-time 1,000-yard receiver Brown, plus two 1,000-yard rushers in Carter and Williams. QB Sam Howell might as well opt out as well with all the weapons he is missing. It will go about as well for him as it did for Kyle Trask and Florida when they got blasted by Oklahoma earlier this week. The Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as favorites. Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games. Take Texas A&M. |
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01-02-21 | San Francisco +19 v. Gonzaga | 62-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* San Francisco/Gonzaga WCC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +19 The Key: San Francisco has already proven it can play with the big boys with upset wins over Virginia and Nevada, as well as competitive efforts against 2 Pac-12 opponents in California and Oregon. And now they face a Gonzaga team that they gave fits last year. San Francisco faced Gonzaga 3 times last year and played them tough in all 3 matchups. They lost by 4, 4 and 17 points in the 3 matchups. And even in that 17-point loss they led by 9 at halftime before getting blown out after intermission. I love the price we are getting on the Dons today. The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win. Take San Francisco. |
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01-02-21 | Marshall -1 v. Louisiana Tech | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Marshall/LA Tech C-USA *CA$H COW* on Marshall -1 The Key: Marshall will avenge its 68-75 loss at Louisiana Tech yesterday. The Thundering Herd are the deeper team here as they returned 9 of their top 10 scorers from last year. So they are better equipped than most teams to handle these back-to-back situations that COVID-19 has brought us this college hoops season. They go deep into their bench and push the tempo for 40 minutes, so this is going to be a harder opponent to face than most for other teams in these situations. The Thundering Herd are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home dogs. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after 2 straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds. Take Marshall. |
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01-02-21 | Kings +5 v. Rockets | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +5 The Key: The situation is a great one for the Sacramento Kings today. The Kings are 4-1 ATS this season in their 5 games and have pulled off 3 outright upsets along with a 3-point loss to Houston as 5.5-point dogs. Now they get to face Houston again just 2 days after losing to them 119-122. The Kings will want to avenge that defeat and have a great chance to pull the upset here. Sacramento is 19-9 ATS in its last 28 games as a road underdog. Take Sacramento. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State UNDER 58.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/Iowa State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 58.5 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are one of the best defensive teams in the country, and certainly one of the best defensive teams in the Big 12. They have held their last 4 opponents to an average of just 13.3 PPG which is extremely impressive when you consider 2 of those teams were Oklahoma and Texas. Now they will shut down an Oregon offense that was just held to 243 total yards by a bad USC defense. They were also held to 17 points by Cal the week before. I think Oregon's defense is good enough to limit Iowa State here as well. The Ducks have held 3 of their 6 opponents this season to 24 points or fewer. The UNDER is 9-0-1 in Iowa State's last 10 neutral site games, including 7-0-1 in their last 8 bowl games. The UNDER is 36-14-2 in Cyclones last 52 games as a favorite. The UNDER is 20-5-1 in Cyclones last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER. |
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01-02-21 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -1.5 | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
6* WVU/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -1.5 The Key: The Oklahoma Sooners proved they could play with the best in the Big 12 when they only lost 67-69 to Texas Tech. Now they should beat a West Virginia team that lost to Kansas by 14 and only beat Iowa State by 5 as a 15-point favorite. And it's a West Virginia team that just lost one of its best players in Ocar Tshiebwe (11.2 PPG, 9.3 RPG), who is sitting out the rest of the season for personal reasons. The Sooners won both matchups with the Mountaineers last year 69-59 at home and 73-62 on the road. West Virginia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after playing a home game. The Mountaineers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Oklahoma. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -2.5 v. NC State | 23-21 | Loss | -106 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Kentucky/NC State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -2.5 The Key: We'll side with the SEC over the ACC in this bowl game. It has been a bad look for the ACC so far with Miami losing to Oklahoma State and Wake Forest losing to Wisconsin. And we know that Kentucky played a much tougher schedule in the SEC than NC State did in the ACC. The Wildcats only went 4-6, but the 6 losses came to teams that were .500 or better with the exception of Ole Miss, who was 4-5 and gave Alabama all they could handle. And 3 losses were to 3 of the best teams in the SEC in Alabama, Florida and Georgia. NC State is a team the Wildcats can handle. NC State is a fraudulent 8-3. They only beat one Power 5 team with a winning record, which was 6-5 Pittsburgh. They struggled winning their final 3 games over the season over Liberty, Syracuse and Georgia Tech as all 3 games were decided by 10 points or fewer. Kentucky's strength of schedule was 21st while NC State's was 65th. The Wildcats are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 bowl games under Mark Stoops with 2 upset victories over Penn State and VA Tech as well as a 1-point loss to Northwestern as a 7-point dog. This is a senior-led team that will want to post their 3rd straight bowl win and go out as one of the most accomplished classes in program history. The Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams that average 60 or more penalty yards per game. NC State is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 against good rushing teams that average 4.75 YPC or more. The Wildcats will have the edge at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball with a big talent advantage in the trenches. The Wolfpack are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off a conference home win. Take Kentucky. |
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01-01-21 | Marshall +2 v. Louisiana Tech | 68-75 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Marshall/LA Tech Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Marshall +2 The Key: Marshall returned almost everyone from last year, including 9 of their top 10 scorers. Their experience and chemistry has shown early as they have opened 6-1 SU & 4-2-1 ATS. And now they will take down LA Tech, which has feasted on an easy schedule and was blown out by 31 points by LSU in their one game against a pretty good team. Marshall has won its last 2 matchups with LA Tech outright as dogs, and it will be a 3rd straight here as the Thundering Herd are dogs again in their first matchup for 2020-21. The Thundering Herd are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games off a non-conference game. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more. Take Marshall. |
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01-01-21 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4 | 108-93 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -4 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA in the early going. After narrow losses to the Cavs and Thunder, they have bounced back with an upset win over the Nets are 11.5-point dogs and over the Mavs by 21 as 8-point dogs. Now they face a depleted Memphis Grizzlies team that is missing Morant, Jackson, Winslow, Porter, Tillie, Tillman, Melton and Allen. Their first game without Morant did not go well as they were blasted by Boston 107-126. And it won't go well for them here either against a Hornets team that is healthy and playing well. The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after trailing their previous game by 20 points or more at halftime. Memphis is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog. The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Charlotte. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
7* Notre Dame/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -19.5 The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish keep coming up short in big games. It happened against in the ACC Championship when they lost 10-34 to Clemson. And that game was every bit the blowout it seemed as Clemson outgained Notre Dame 541 to 263. And it will be more of the same here against Alabama. This may be the best Alabama team we've ever seen as they are outscoring opponents by 30.2 PPG this season. They definitely have their best offense of the Saban era at 49.7 PPG. And the Crimson Tide have outscored their opponents 131-47 in their last 4 playoff semifinal games. They beat Notre Dame 42-14 in their last playoff matchup. Ian Book isn't good enough to keep up with Mac Jones and company. The Fighting Irish have allowed over 200 rushing yards in 2 straight games coming in, so the Crimson Tide should be able to run the ball when they need to late to keep margin. Alabama is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Take Alabama. |
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12-31-20 | Utah v. UCLA -7.5 | 70-72 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Utah/UCLA Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on UCLA -7.5 The Key: The UCLA Bruins brought back all 5 starters this year and are a clear contender in the Pac-12. Their 2 losses came to Ohio State and San Diego State both on the road. They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS at home this year and winning by 20.5 PPG. Now they host a Utah team that is 0-1 on the road with a 64-82 loss at BYU. Their 4 home wins all came against weak competition. This will be their toughest game yet and a big step up in class. UCLA beat Utah 73-57 at home and 69-58 on the road in their 2 matchups last year. The Utes are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Bruins are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The home team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Take UCLA. |
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12-31-20 | Bulls v. Wizards -5.5 | 133-130 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards -5.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards are hungry for their first win after opening 0-4 against a tough schedule. They were competitive in all 4 games with all 4 losses coming by 10 points or fewer. It was going to take some time for Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook to form some chemistry. But now with a handful of games under their belts they will start to improve rapidly. The Wizards want to avenge their 107-115 home loss to the Bulls on Tuesday. Now they get their rematch just 2 days later and will be the hungrier team, while the Bulls will relax. And the Wizards should get Rui Hachimura back from an eye injury tonight after he missed the first 4 games. The Bulls are 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games off a SU win. Chicago is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. Take Washington. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State +10 v. San Jose State | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
7* Ball State/San Jose State NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Ball State +10 The Key: The San Jose State Spartans were undervalued all season. They went 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS this year en route to winning the Mountain West title. They beat Boise State in the Championship Game. This team was an underdog in 4 of their 7 games this season and won them all outright. But now the Spartans are getting respect heading into this bowl game due to those perfect records both SU and ATS. And asking them to win by 10-plus points to cover this number against Ball State is asking too much. I don't see the Spartans being too excited to face a MAC opponent in their bowl game as I think they feel they deserved a better bowl game. They will be content with their season no matter what happens here. Ball State has been a different team since losing a fluky game to Miami Ohio in the opener. The Cardinals have gone 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS since while beating the best teams the MAC had to offer in Toledo, Central Michigan, Western Michigan and Buffalo. Their outright 38-28 win over Buffalo as a 12-point dog showed what they are capable of. And now the Cardinals will feel disrespected again as big dogs in their bowl game and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. No question the Cardinals have the better quarterback here, which is why they will never be out of this game. Drew Plitt is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He completed 65.8% of his passes for 1,947 yards with 16 TD and only 6 INT this season. And this Ball State defense got better down the stretch, holding each of its final five opponents to 28 points or fewer. This is a senior-laden Cardinals team that wants a bowl win desperately. They haven't been to a bowl since 2013 and the program is 0-7 all-time in bowls. They have a chance to make history here and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they win this game outright. Take Ball State. |
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12-30-20 | Lakers v. Spurs +5.5 | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Lakers/Spurs NBA *CA$H COW* on San Antonio +5.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers have the unenviable task of getting the opposing teams' best shot night in and night out after winning the title last year. And there's going to be value in fading the Lakers early in the season. They are off to a 2-2 start this year with their only wins coming against the Mavericks and Timberwolves, who were both missing key players. They were upset by both the Clippers and Blazers. And the Spurs are live underdogs tonight. San Antonio has a 12-point road win at Memphis and an upset win over Toronto en route to a 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS start. Their only loss came by 3 points as 4.5-point dogs at New Orleans. The Lakers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games off an ATS loss. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as underdogs. Take San Antonio. |
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12-30-20 | Penn State +5.5 v. Indiana | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Penn State/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Penn State +5.5 The Key: We'll get a hungry PennState squad today off 2 straight losses to open conference season against 2 of the best teams in the Big Ten in Michigan and Illinois. They have been competitive in every game this season outside of that loss to the Fighting Illini. And now this is a step down in competition for them against an Indiana team that is just 5-4 this season. The Hoosiers were upset at home by Indiana and failed to cover in a loss at Illinois in their last 2 games as well, so they aren't playing very good basketball. They also have a 22-point loss to Texas and a loss at Florida State this season. This line should be closer to a pick 'em. The Nittany Lions are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring 80 points or more last game. Indiana is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 home games after failing to cover 2 of its last 3 ATS coming in. The Nittany Lions are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as road underdogs. Take Penn State. |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
7* Florida/Oklahoma NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma -6.5 The Key: The Oklahoma Sooners have gone 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall en route to yet another Big 12 title. And while the Sooners will be almost at full strength for this one, the Florida Gators will not be. The writing is pretty much on the wall that the Gators don't care about this game after losing to Alabama in the SEC Championship. They will be without each of their top 4 receivers with 3 opt outs and one due to COVID. And they will be missing several other key players as well as they prepare for the NFL Draft. The Sooners should make easy work of the Gators in this game even if Kyle Trask decides to play. He won't have anyone to throw the ball to. This Florida defense has allowed an average of 511.5 YPG and 44.5 PPG in back to back losses to LSU and Alabama. The Sooners should be able to name their score. Take Oklahoma. |
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12-29-20 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 223 | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Pelicans/Suns TNT *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 223 The Key: Stan Van Gundy has turned the Pelicans into a defensive juggernaut this season. The UNDER is 3-0 in their first 3 games this season as they are allowing just 101.7 PPG and 45.1% shooting. They are also scoring just 103.0 PPG on 43.3% shooting. Van Gundy has been known for coaching defense throughout the years, and this team needed him. The Suns have also been great defensively, allowing 102.7 PPG on 44.9% shooting this year. The UNDER is 3-0 in Suns games as well. With Chris Paul at PG, they are taking their time to set up the offense, and they have some great defenders down low like Ayton who is an eraser. This total has been set too high tonight at 223 points given what we've seen so far. The UNDER is 6-1 in Pelicans last 7 games. The UNDER is 8-1 in Pelicans last 9 games playing on one days' rest. The UNDER is 9-3 in Suns last 12 games as home favorites. Take the UNDER. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +1 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
7* Oklahoma State/Miami NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +1 The Key: The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Miami is getting docked too much from a 62-26 loss to UNC in the season finale that put a bad taste in their mouths heading into the bowl season. The Hurricanes still finished 8-2 with their other loss to Clemson. Oklahoma State is getting too much respect for its 42-3 win over Baylor in the season finale. That was a Baylor team coming off a tough loss to Oklahoma and they just failed to show up. Remember the Cowboys went 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in their previous 5 games and had been very overrated. They only beat Kansas State by 2 and Texas Tech by 6 for their 2 wins during that stretch and lost by 28 to Oklahoma. The news that D'Eriq King announced he is coming back next year at QB for Miami has energized this team. And they want to make amends for an upset loss to LA Tech in their bowl game last year. They will be hungry for a win and we should see the best version of Miami because of it, which should be good enough to beat Oklahoma State. The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Take Miami. |
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12-29-20 | Central Arkansas +34 v. Baylor | 56-93 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Central Arkansas +34 The Key: Central Arkansas' 1-6 record has them undervalued heading into this game with Baylor. But they have played a tougher schedule than Baylor has, and they have actually been very competitive. They didn't lose once by more than 25 points in road losses to Memphis (68-85), Arkansas-Little Rock (83-86), Saint Louis (65-88), Arkansas (75-100), Ole Miss (54-68) and Mississippi State (65-81). And they won't lose by 34-plus points here against a fat and happy Baylor squad that is 6-0 and ranked #2 in the country. The Bears have a game against Alcorn State on deck tomorrow, so they won't be looking to play their starters big minutes. That should help keep Central Arkansas within the number today. Central Arkansas is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a home game. Baylor is 10-22 ATS in its last 32 games off a cover as a double-digit favorites. Bets against home favorites of 10 or more points who have made at least 47% of their shots in 3 straight games while also allowing a shooting percentage of 33% or less in their last game are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Central Arkansas. |
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12-28-20 | Colorado +3 v. Arizona | 74-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Colorado/Arizona Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Colorado +3 The Key: The Colorado Buffaloes are a contender to win the Pac-12 this year. They are 6-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road to Tennessee, a Top 5 team. They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in all other games with 6 wins by double-digits. They are outscoring the opposition by 20.5 PPG on the year. Arizona is also 6-1 SU, but just 2-5 ATS as the Wildcats have struggled to put away teams. They had to break in 5 new starters this year and are a work in progress. They won by 19 as a 30-point favorite over Grambling, by 3 as a 13-point favorite over Eastern Washington, by 8 as a 15.5-point favorite over UTEP and by 6 as a 15-point favorite over Montana. They are barely squeaking by, and they lost to the best opponent they played in Stanford. Now the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Arizona is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Take Colorado. |
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12-28-20 | Rockets v. Nuggets -6.5 | 111-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -6.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets are hungry for a victory after opening this season 0-2 with losses to the Kings and Clippers. They will rebound in a big way tonight against the depleted Houston Rockets, who will be without Eric Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins, John Wall, Ben McLemore and a few others due to quarantine rules. The Rockets are basically down to James Harden to try and do everything on his own. It's not going to work against a deep, hungry team like the Nuggets. The Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Nuggets are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as home favorites. Take Denver. |
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12-28-20 | Bills -7 v. Patriots | Top | 38-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
7* Bills/Patriots MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -7 The Key: The Bills have a lot to play for. They can be the first team to sweep the season series with the Patriots in 19 years. And they can grab a stranglehold on the 2nd seed in the AFC with a win here over the Patriots. They want to keep their momentum going, too. The Bills have won 7 of their last 8 games with their only loss coming on that hail mary against Arizona. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as well with 5 wins by 10 points or more. They are scoring 34.8 PPG in their last 6 games and giving up just 18.8 PPG in their last 4 contests. The Patriots are averaging just 248 YPG in their last 4 games as their offense has held them back all season. Their best defensive player in CB Stephon Gilmore just went out with a season-ending injury against the Dolphins last week in their 22-12 loss. They won't have him to match up with Stefon Diggs now, who is having a monster season in his first year in Buffalo. There's just nothing to like about the Patriots right now, and there's everything to like about the Bills, who may be the best team in the AFC. Take Buffalo. |
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12-27-20 | Suns -2.5 v. Kings | 116-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -2.5 The Key: I love the situation for the Phoenix Suns today. They are playing the Kings for a 2nd consecutive day after losing 103-106 in Sacramento on Saturday. Now they go from being a 3.5-point favorite yesterday to only a 2.5-point favorite today. The Suns will be the hungrier team to avenge that defeat, and the Kings will relax a little. The Suns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Take Phoenix. |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks -1 | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Seahawks NFC West *CA$H COW* on Seattle -1 The Key: The Seahawks have a chance to clinch the NFC West with a win Sunday over the Los Angeles Rams. And it just comes down to me trusting Russell Wilson in this spot a lot more than Jared Goff. Plus the Seahawks want revenge from a 16-23 road loss to the Rams in their first matchup. But that was a great spot for the Rams off their bye week. Now the playing field is leveled in the rematch, and plus the Seahawks are at home now. While the Rams' defense gets all the headlines, it's the Seahawks defense that is improving as much as any unit in the NFL down the stretch. It started at halftime of that first meeting with the Rams. Seattle held Los Angeles to 6 points and 114 yards in the second half. Since that game, the Seahawks have held 3 of their past 5 opponents to under 300 yards, and Arizona's 21 points in Week 11 are the most allowed by Seattle during this stretch. The Rams will be without RB Cam Akers, who was really coming on strong for them in being their workhorse before the injury. He has averaged 102 RYPG in his last 3 games and will be missed. Pete Carroll is 9-2 ATS in home games when revenging a same-season loss as the coach of the Seahawks. The Seahawks are 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 games off an ATS loss. The Seahawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home matchups with the Rams. Take Seattle. |
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12-27-20 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 47 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
7* AFC Total of the Year on Broncos/Chargers OVER 47 The Key: This game between Denver and Los Angeles has shootout written all over it. Neither team has anything to play for. And both are missing key players on defense. The Broncos are missing as many as 5 defensive backs plus their best defensive player in LB Bradley Chubb. We saw what the Bills did to them last week in scoring 48 points and with 352 passing yards and 182 rushing yards. The Chargers will light up this scoreboard as well. The Chargers are without their 2 best pass rushers in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. They give up 27.8 PPG this year, while the Broncos allow 28.2 PPG. These teams played in a 31-30 shootout in their first matchup in favor of the Broncos with their big comeback victory. And it should be more of the same here in the rematch given the defensive injuries to both teams. The Broncos are 16-4 OVER in their last 20 games after allowing 40 points or more last game. The OVER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 against a team with a losing record. The OVER is 8-3 in Chargers last 11 games overall. Take the OVER. |
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12-27-20 | Oakland v. Detroit -2.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit -2.5 The Key: I love the situation for Detroit today. They are coming off a 75-77 (OT) home loss as 3.5-point favorites over Oakland yesterday. Now they get to play the Golden Grizzlies in the 2nd of a back-to-back and will be hungry to avenge that defeat. Plus the line is better today with Detroit only a 2.5-point favorite. This is a 1-9 Oakland team who got their first victory of the season yesterday. They will exhale and probably won't even show up today. I'll gladly back the hungrier team here in the Titans. This is a Detroit team that only lost by 7 to Michigan State as a 27.5-point dog and by 8 to Notre Dame as a 12-point dog earlier this season to show what they are capable of. I think we get the best version of the Titans Sunday. Take Detroit. |
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12-27-20 | Falcons +11 v. Chiefs | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Falcons +11 The Key: The Chiefs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They have won all 6 games but all 6 wins came by 6 points or fewer. Expect more of the same here against the Falcons. Atlanta has been very competitive under Raheem Morris. They have only lost once in their last 7 games by more than 5 points. The Falcons will be hungry to try and take down the defending Super Bowl champs. That's a big reason the Chiefs can't cover right now is because they always get the opposing teams' best shot. And the Chiefs seem to just be going through the motions here late in the season with the top seed in the AFC all but locked up. Take Atlanta. |
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12-26-20 | Pacers v. Bulls OVER 221.5 | 125-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Pacers/Bulls OVER 221.5 The Key: Indiana has made an emphasis on shooting more 3-pointers and pushing the tempo under new head coach Nate Bjorkgren. They showed that throughout the preseason and again in their opener against the Knicks, a 121-107 victory in which they attempted 34 3-pointers but only made 8 of them at a 23.5% clip. That's impressive they still scored 121 points. And now they will shoot much better here against the Bulls. Chicago lost 104-124 to Atlanta in their opener and gave up 53.7% to the Hawks. And the Hawks only scored 13 points in the 4th after calling off the dogs in a blowout. This game should be a little more competitive and it will lead to both teams maximizing their scoring opportunities for 4 quarters. The Bulls attempted 35 3-pointers against the Hawks and made just 8 of them for a 22.9% clip. You have to expect both teams to shoot better from 3-point range than they did in their openers, which will help get this OVER the total. Take the OVER. |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals -5 | 20-12 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* 49ers/Cardinals NFC West *CA$H COW* on Arizona -5 The Key: The 49ers have gone 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games with all 6 wins coming by 8 points or more. It will be more of the same here against a hungry Cardinals team that is currently in the last spot in the NFC playoffs. The Cardinals are playing with a sense of urgency right now and have played some of their best football here down the stretch. They dominated the Giants 26-7 and outgained them by 231 yards 2 weeks ago. Last week they won and covered in a 33-26 win over the Eagles and outgained them by 104 yards. Their offense is thriving right now with 458 YPG in those 2 wins. This offense is back to being dynamic with Murray running the ball again with 21 rush attempts in his last 2 games. CJ Beathard will get the start for the injury-plagued 49ers. Beathard is 0-3 as a starter against the Cardinals and 1-9 lifetime as a starter in the NFL. He's simply not very good. The Cardinals are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the 49ers. Take Arizona. |
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12-26-20 | Western Kentucky v. Georgia State -3.5 | Top | 21-39 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year on Georgia State -3.5 The Key: Conference USA is 0-3 in bowl games this year through Wednesday and has been outscored by a combined 78 points in those 3 defeats. Now it's Western Kentucky's turn to get blasted. The Hilltoppers went 5-6 this year with their 5 wins coming against either FCS opponents or teams that won 3 games or fewer. The 4 C-USA teams they beat have a combined 8-22 record this year. WKU had the worst offense in all of C-USA this season at 18.8 PPG. Appalachian State beat North Texas 56-28 and Georgia Southern beat LA Tech 38-3 in a pair of Sun Belt vs. C-USA matchups already this bowl season. Georgia State only lost to App State 17-13 and beat Georgia Southern 30-24. The Panthers average 32.7 PPG this year and will have a huge edge on offense in this matchup. This should be another Sun Belt over C-USA blowout Saturday. Take Georgia State. |
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12-25-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Lakers | 115-138 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Mavs/Lakers NBA *CA$H COW* on Dallas +6.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers aren't concerned with how they play early in the regular season. That was evident when they lost to the Clippers 109-116 in their opener. There is a tax betting on the Lakers after winning the NBA title. And there's going to be some value fading them early in the season. I like the price we are getting with the Mavericks here as 6.5-point dogs. This line is higher than it should be because the Mavericks lost 102-106 to an underrated Suns team in their opener. They will want to bounce back here and will be excited to play the defending champs. The Mavericks are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 games off a road loss. The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites. Take Dallas. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings +7 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Vikings/Saints NFC *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +7 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Vikings today now that they have failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games. But the Vikings haven't been playing badly at all like that betting record would suggest. They have just been favored so many times. Now they are back in their preferred role of underdog where they have thrived with an upset win over the Packers and a 1-point loss to the Seahawks when they were near touchdown dogs in both of those games. The Vikings have now won the yardage battle in 7 straight games, meaning they could easily be 7-0 in their last 7 games. The Saints were just outgained by 126 yards by the Chiefs last week and 55 yards by the Eagles 2 weeks ago, both SU losses. Drew Brees looked terrible in his first start back against the Chiefs. That final score was much closer than it should have been as the Chiefs had 34 first downs compared to 15 for the Saints. I don't know how anyone can expect the Saints to get margin here being without 3 of their best receivers in Thomas, Smith and Harris. The Vikings won't go away because this is an offense that is averaging 407 YPG in their last 7 games. The Vikings are 38-14 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss and 14-3 ATS under Zimmer off 2 or more consecutive losses. Take Minnesota. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
7* Marshall/Buffalo NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -5 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls went undefeated in the regular season before falling to Ball State in the MAC Championship. Their numbers have been dominant all year as they average 47.8 PPG and give up just 23.8 PPG. And now they take on a team from Conference USA in Marshall. Conference USA is 0-3 in bowl games this year and has been outscored by a combined 78 points in those 3 defeats. That's bad news for a Marshall team that has averaged just 6.5 PPG in losing its last 2 games to Rice (20-0) and UAB (13-22). Marshall went 7 straight quarters without scoring a single point over those 2 games before getting 13 points in garbage time in the 4th quarter against UAB. Marshall QB Wells has completed just 45% of his passes over the last 2 games with 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Marshall will be without leading rusher RB Knox, leading tackler LB Beckett and top offensive lineman G Ball as they all try and get ready for the NFL. Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games. Marshall is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a loss. Take Buffalo. |
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12-25-20 | Maryland +6 v. Purdue | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Maryland/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +6 The Key: The Maryland Terrapins opened the season with 4 straight wins by 18 points or more. Then they ran into a couple of juggernauts and lost to both Clemson and Rutgers before rebounding with a win over La Salle. Now they want to taste their first Big Ten victory and I like the price we are getting with them here as 6-point dogs against Purdue. This clearly is a down Purdue team that already has 3 losses on the season to Clemson, Miami and Iowa with two of those by double-digits. They faced an injury-plagued Miami team and still lost. They took advantage of an injured Ohio State team and won. And they beat a bad Notre Dame team. They really haven't proven anything yet and were just put in their place with a 15-point loss to Iowa last time out. And they should not be this big of a favorite here. Purdue has beaten Maryland by more than 5 points just once in the last 9 matchups. That's an 8-1 angle backing the Terrapins today. The Terrapins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after losing 4 of their last 5 ATS coming in. Take Maryland. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +9.5 v. Houston | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
7* Hawaii/Houston NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawaii +9.5 The Key: The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors finished 4-4 this season with 4 losses against quality opponents, including an 8-point loss to Boise State. They also upset Nevada, which just beat AAC member Tulane 38-27 in their bowl game. And now they take on an AAC team in Houston that is just 3-4 on the season. The Cougars didn't have any impressive wins this year as their 3 victories came against the bottom of the AAC with Navy, South Florida and Tulane. And they lost 3 times by 17 points or more as well. This feels like it will be a one-score game either way. I like Hawaii QB Cordeiro who has totaled 18 touchdowns passing and rushing in 8 games this year. He will make enough plays with his arm and feet to keep the Rainbow Warriors in this game for 4 quarters with a possible upset. Take Hawaii. |
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12-23-20 | Bucks -4 v. Celtics | Top | 121-122 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Celtics TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -4 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are a regular season team. They went 56-17 last year during the regular season. They added former All-Star PG Jrue Holiday, who will be a big upgrade over Eric Bledsoe to go along with starts Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton. They also added veterans Bobby Portis, Bryn Forbes, Torrey Craig and D.J. Augustin. They have the makings of the best team in the NBA. The Celtics lost Gordon Hayward and will be without Kemba Walker to open the season. The Bucks are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 matchups with Boston with all 6 wins coming by 5 points or more. Take Milwaukee. |
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12-23-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -2.5 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Rutgers/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -2.5 The Key: Ohio State suffered its first loss of the season against Purdue, but they were without E.J. Liddell for that game. He returned against UCLA and helped lead them to a 77-70 win. And now the Buckeyes are hungry to taste their first Big Ten win today and end Rutgers' perfect 6-0 start to the season. The Scarlet Knights will be without Clifford Omoruyi after he suffered an injury against Illinois last time out. The Buckeyes have won 8 of their last 10 matchups with Rutgers and are 5-0 in 5 home matchups during this span. The Buckeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites. Take Ohio State. |
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12-23-20 | Idaho State +9.5 v. Northern Colorado | 71-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Idaho State +9.5 The Key: I love the situation for Idaho State today. They are coming off a 64-69 loss to Northern Colorado as 10-point dogs yesterday. And now they get to face them again today in this back-to-back situation. And they are 9.5-point dogs in the rematch, so oddsmakers have barely adjusted for the revenge factor and the fact that Idaho State only lost by 5 yesterday. This is a great price on them. Idaho State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites. Take Idaho State. |