Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 125 h 18 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 11 CBS) You can make a case for either team in this game, but we will side with the team that has the better defense along with the best quarterback in the league. Kyle Shannon has a tendency to freeze up in big games and I am just not sure Brody Purdy can carry him over the finish line. The Chiefs have had a great defense all season long with Chris Jones able to make plays and get to the quarterback. The 49ers will have their moments, but in the end the Chiefs will prevail and win their third Super Bowl in the last 5 years. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 98 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #319 Kansas City Chiefs over Baltimore Ravens (3p.m., Sunday, January 28 CBS) The Ravens have the better all-around team, but the Chiefs have the best player on the field, and we will gladly back Mahomes and the points in this game. The Kansas City offense played their best game of the season last time out against Buffalo and I look for that to continue in this game as well. Baltimore has all the pressure on them, as QB Jackson will win his second straight MVP and need a Super Bowl to validate his outstanding career. The Chiefs have a strong defense that can cause issues for QB Jackson with their blitz schemes, and I look for them to take this one down to the wire. KC seems to have a knack for winning close games and Sunday should be no different. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 73 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #316 Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3p.m., Sunday, January 21 NBC) NFL Playoff Game of the Year. The Buccaneers are a team that nobody wants to advance except for those in Florida and I see their season coming to an end on Sunday. Tampa Bay played well against Philadelphia last time out, but the two games prior they struggled against teams that did not even make the playoffs. Detroit will be rocking again for this game, as the Lions look to reach the conference championship round for the first time in over 30 years. The Lions have the more balanced offense this season and can beat you on the ground or through the air. Tampa Bay is reliant on the passing game and torching Philadelphia is one thing, but Detroit has a much better defense. These teams already met earlier this season with Detroit winning by a score of 20-6 at Raymond James Stadium. Detroit has been a story all season long in the NFL and that will continue with a double-digit victory at home. The Lions knocked off a hot team last week and will knock off another hot team on Sunday. This is the toughest ticket in the divisional round and the 12th man will also be a factor, as will the experience of Jared Goff (super bowl quarterback). |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 79 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #144 Kansas City Chiefs over Miami Dolphins (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 13 Peacock) The Dolphins lost the division on Sunday Night Football and now must travel to play a night game against the Chiefs in chilly conditions. The temperature for this game will be around zero degrees and that will give the Chiefs a great advantage for this game. Miami is also banged up on defense with numerous injuries and I just do not see them coming away with a victory. These two teams met earlier this season with the Chiefs winning in London to make to 4 straight against the Dolphins. Kansas City has won 3 of their last 4 games and Miami just does not beat very many top tier teams. The Chiefs have their problems on offense, but they have a strong defense and a great home field advantage. Lay the points, as the Chiefs will win this game by double-digits. |
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01-07-24 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #476 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 FOX) I feel that the Raiders want to win this game more than the Broncos. The Raiders have an interim coach that wants the job, and the Broncos benched their starting quarterback because they signed him to a terrible contract. Las Vegas has beaten Denver 7 straight games including week 1 of the 2023 regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Denver wants a better draft pick and we do not see them winning this game. |
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01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers -3 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 122 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Packers find themselves in a similar situation to 2022, where they close out the season at home with a win and you’re in game. They will not make the same mistake as last year and dominate the Bears and win this game by double digits. Green Bay has beaten Chicago 9 straight times (9-0 ATS as well). Just do not trust Justin Fields to win consistently in this league and the Packers played much better on defense last week. Look for that to continue Sunday, as the Packers make the playoffs! |
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01-07-24 | Jaguars -5 v. Titans | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Jaguars did not finish the season on a high note, losing 4 straight games but are fortunate to close out the 2023 season against to terrible teams. They pounded Carolina last week with their backup quarterback and now get to face an equally bad Tennessee team. Jacksonville already beat them this season by 20 points and see this game following a similar path. The Titans will enter this game off 3 straight losses including a 23 point to Houston last Sunday. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games against Tennessee and has too much to play for to take this game lightly. If they win, they clinch the division and get to host a playoff game next weekend! |
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12-31-23 | Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #125 Pittsburgh Steelers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) Pittsburgh got some life last week by starting Mason Rudolph and I just feel they can keep the coaching streak of Mike Tomlin alive. He has never had a losing record and will need to win one of his last two games to finish 9-8. It might not happen this week, but I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 road games. |
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12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs -2.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -125 | 96 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, as the Saints have lost 4 of their last 6 games. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games and can almost lock up the division with a victory on Sunday at home. Baker Mayfield has been reborn of late, and he clearly is the better quarterback in this game. New Orleans is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 divisional games. |
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12-31-23 | Panthers v. Jaguars -6.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 96 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Jacksonville Jaguars over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 CBS) Despite losing 4 straight games, the Jaguars are still in good shape to win the division and host a playoff game. Despite the Panthers rallying late against the Packers last week, they are still a bad team with a lame duck coach and a terrible roster. Just too much on the line for Jacksonville to play poorly again and expect the home team to win this one by double digits. |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #482 San Francisco 49ers over Baltimore Ravens (8:15p.m., Monday, December 25 ABC) The 49ers are clearly the team to beat when it comes to the Super Bowl and now get a chance to prove it on the field against the best teams the AFC has to offer. The 49ers are just better on both sides of the football and they want to make a statement in this game. Baltimore will be playing their second straight road game and must fly cross-country for this game. San Francisco has covered the spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when they are the favorite. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Miami Dolphins over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 24 FOX) Dallas looked terrible last week against another AFC East team and expect Miami to use the same blueprint that Buffalo did. Dallas is just not the same team on the road compared to when playing at home. Dallas is likely going to be the No. 5 seed since the Eagles have a very easy schedule to close out the regular season. Miami takes this one. |
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12-24-23 | Jaguars +1 v. Bucs | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 24 CBS) Just feel that Tampa Bay overachieved last week against a terrible Green Bay defense and will find it much harder to move the football this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars gagged last week at home against the Ravens, producing zero points in the first half despite moving the football up and down the field. Jacksonville has covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 road games (London game included). Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Jacksonville is desperate and needs this game in the worst way. |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +2.5 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 23 NBC) Just feel the Steelers have one more game in them. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season as head coach of the Steelers, but 2023 will test that theory. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season and have gone 10-4 divisional home games played in the Steel City. Cincinnati has not won a divisional game this season (0-4) and I look for that to continue on Saturday. |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 47.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 3 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #327 Over in Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, December 18 ABC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment and will enter this game in the Emerald City having lost 4 straight games. Philadelphia has lost their last two games and many people do not realize how bad their defense has been this year. Seattle has allowed at least 25 points in 5 of their last 6 games. We will not worry about which desperate team wins this game and instead just collect with the Over. |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Jacksonville Jaguars over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 17 NBC) Getting a desperate Jaguars team at home on Sunday Night Football is too good to pass up. This is the Jaguars third straight game against the AFC North and they lost the first two in heartbreaking fashion. Trevor Lawrence played last week despite a bad ankle injury the week prior, but he struggled throwing 3 picks and was sacked 4 times. Jacksonville is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against Baltimore. The Ravens are 5-10 in their last 15 non division road games when they are the favorite. Trevor will play better on Sunday and we will collect in the process, as this is too many points for an 8-5 team to be getting at home. |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -2 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Chiefs do not lose two games in a row under Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes and look for that trend to continue this week as well. Buffalo continues to be overvalued and their roster and coach is not as good as the public thinks it is. Kansas City has covered the spread in 7 of their last 11 games. Buffalo finds ways to lose close games all season long and look for that to continue on Sunday. The Chiefs need this game to stay in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they will get it by close to double-digits. |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers -2.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #124 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Broncos came back to reality last week and Russell Wilson could not rally them late despite having a first and goal to win this game. He threw 3 interceptions in that game and now must face a more talented Charger team in their second straight road game. Los Angeles has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 divisional home games. The last time Denver visited Sofi Stadium they lost 51-14 and the Chargers always seem to rally late in the season to get back into playoff contention. |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #458 Pittsburgh Steelers over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 3 CBS) The Cardinals are not very good, and I believe that the Steelers were rejuvenated last week with a road win and a new offensive coordinator. This will be a tough task for Arizona to win a road game in the northeast in December when it will be cold outside. Pittsburgh has beaten Arizona four straight times (4-0 ATS) including in the super bowl. The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is due for a blowout win and it will come on Sunday by double digits. |
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11-26-23 | Bills v. Eagles -3 | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 98 h 33 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #268 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) The Bills are still a public team and thus get overvalued for the talent they have. They pounded the Jets, but now must face the best team in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles do not lose games at home, and they are better on both sides of the ball. We will lay the field goal in this game. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars -1 v. Texans | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 94 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #251 Jacksonville Jaguars over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 26 CBS) TOP FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND Houston should have lost last week to Arizona, as CJ Stroud played his worst game as a professional. Now they face the divisional leader Jaguars, a team that just destroyed the Titans last time out. Just feel the Texans will hit a wall in the later portion of the season. The Jaguars have won 8 straight games playing outside of Jacksonville (8-0 ATS as well). Houston is not ready for primetime, and Trevor Lawrence and company will lock up the division with a victory today. |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #107 Washington Commanders over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 23 CBS) We will grab the double-digits in this divisional matchup in a short week for both teams. Washington is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games as an underdog. Dallas has blown out bad teams all season long, but that just cannot continue to happen for a 17-game season. QB Sam Howell has some ability and if he can play a clean game Washington should be able to keep this game in single digits. |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -2.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -125 | 148 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #476 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Monday, November 20 ABC) This is a rematch of Super Bowl 57 and I look for the Chiefs to win this game again. Philadelphia has been winning ugly much of the season and it will catch up to them in this game. Andy Reid is 27-4 in his career following a bye week. Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Coach Reid will enjoy beating his former team for the second time in less than a year. |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 117 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #456 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 FOX) The Chargers got lit up by the Lions last Sunday at home and I feel this game will do down to the wire at Lambeau Field. The Chargers are close to making a coaching change and look for the Packers to win their second straight game at home on Sunday. Green Bay has covered 3 straight home games when they are on an underdog. This game will be close and I just feel the Chargers will find a way to lose it, something they have done through most of Brandon Staley’s tenure. |
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11-19-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 117 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 CBS) The Jaguars laid an egg last week against the 49ers but should find things much easier against the Titans on Sunday at home. Tennessee is pot committed to Will Levis and he is a risk taker and that will bite him in this game. The Titans are 1-4 in their last 5 games and will lose this one by double digits. They are playing their third straight road game and the Jags have won 5 of their last 6 games. Jacksonville swept Tennessee in 2022 and they will bounce back and force the Titans to beat them through the air. |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars +3 | 34-3 | Loss | -109 | 117 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #248 Jacksonville Jaguars over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, November 12 FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye, with the Jaguars red hot and the 49ers ice cold. Injuries are taking its toll on the team from the bay area, as San Francisco is realizing that Brock Prudy cannot carry this team without a bunch of talent around him. Jacksonville is on a 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 ATS run. San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye. The Jaguars are 5-1 in their last 6 home games when they are an underdog. Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson are a strong combination and will only get better as the season and years go on. |
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11-05-23 | Giants +2 v. Raiders | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 New York Giants over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 5 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Raiders are a mess, and we liked this play even before they fired their coach, offensive coordinator, and General Manager. Throw in they are starting a rookie at quarterback in Aiden O’Connell, and I see them really struggling on offense this entire game. Las Vegas is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses, and one of those was against the Bears. Finally, the Raiders have no home field advantage playing in Las Vegas, and expect a lot of Giants fans in attendance for this game. The Giants did everything they could to lose a game that had over a 95% chance of winning last week. They could not muster any passing game, yet their defense played the best game of the year. The Jets offense is a lot like the Raiders offense, and I see another strong game from the Giants on Sunday. Danny Dimes is back, and that gives the Giants a much better chance to move the football via the air. He can run or pass, and he will need to utilize both in this game. The Giants are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog, including 9-0 during this streak when facing losing teams. They are 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against AFC teams. New York is also 4-1 ATS when facing foes coming off a Monday Night Football game. The Giants win this game, and we collect in the process as well. |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks v. Ravens -5.5 | 3-37 | Win | 100 | 119 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #456 Baltimore Ravens over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 5 CBS) Lamar Jackson dominates the NFC and look for that to continue on Sunday. He is 16-1 in his career straight up when facing NFC teams. The Ravens have led at halftime in 7 of their 8 games this season and their defense is one of the top units in the league. Seattle did not look that impressive last week at home against Cleveland and they played poorly when they traveled to Cincinnati last month, especially on offense. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars -2.5 v. Steelers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Jacksonville Jaguars over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, October 29 CBS) The Jaguars are on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. They have taken control of the AFC South and I feel they are farther along with their offense and quarterback compared to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is not a top team in the league and I see them being around a .500 team, which has been normal of late for Mike Tomlin. Jacksonville has extra rest for this game and being the favorite on the road leads me to believe the books what to take a bunch of Steelers money. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -1.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 124 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -130 | 31-24 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints -130 money line over Jacksonville Jaguars (8:15p.m., Thursday, October 19 Prime) We have nailed 3 straight winners with Jacksonville the last 3 weeks, but feel the tide will turn in this game. New Orleans is desperate for a victory and has not been playing well on offense. New Orleans has won 4 straight games against Jacksonville (4-0 ATS). Jacksonville is 8-32 ATS in their last 40 games against NFC teams. QB Lawrence will likely play but I do not expect him to be close to 100% for this affair. |
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10-15-23 | Giants +14.5 v. Bills | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 15 NBC) Buffalo is at home by they played in London last Sunday and thus I expect New York to keep this game in single digits. The Bills are really banged up on defense with injuries seemingly at every position. The Giants made some plays on defense against Miami and if they do that again they should be able to keep this game close. Sooner or later the Giants coaching staff will figure out a plan to move the football with Danny Jones. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -2.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #258 Cincinnati Bengals over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Cincinnati put together a complete game last week and look for them to even up their record with a home win against Seattle on Sunday. I am not still sold on the Seahawks being a top team in the NFC and feel the offensive weapons for Cincinnati are much greater than that of Seattle. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games and 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against NFC teams. |
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10-15-23 | Colts v. Jaguars -4 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 CBS) The Colts put their quarterback on IR on Wednesday and look for Jacksonville to take advantage of one of their few home games to open the season. Jacksonville already lost to the Texans at home this season and cannot afford another home loss to an AFC South team. Jacksonville won earlier this season in Indianapolis and look for them to take control of the division with a win on Sunday. |
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10-09-23 | Packers -1 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 53 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 9 ESPN) Just not a fan of the Raiders this season with their coach/quarterback combination. They are coming off 3 straight defeats and the last two were against teams that might not even make the playoffs. Green Bay is a better team that what their 2-2 record indicates and do not want to fall below .500 with this young quarterback. The Packers will have a huge crowd in Las Vegas for this game and expect no home field advantage for the Raiders. Josh McDaniels can only beat the Broncos, as they struggled against every other team. The Packers have beaten the Raiders 8 straight games. |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 100 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 8 NBC) Dallas just does not beat San Francisco and we will lay the points with the home team on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco is 12-1 in their last 13 home games when they are the favorite. The 49ers have also won 14 regular season games in a row. If San Francisco does not beat themselves in this game, they will win it by double digits. Dallas has some great flashes, but under Coach McCarthy they cannot be trusted in big games against better teams. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Jacksonville Jaguars over Buffalo Bills (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 8 NFLN) Always like backing the Jaguars in London. Buffalo is coming off a dominating game against a division opponent and look for there to be a letdown for them in this game. They are the home team and that will frustrate their rapid fan base and allow Jacksonville to cover the spread. Sooner or later, Trevor Lawrence is going to have a breakout game and I look for it to come on Sunday. Jacksonville takes this game down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 New York Giants over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, October 2 ABC) The Giants are back from their west coast road trip with extra rest for this Monday Night Football game against the Seahawks. New York has been behind double-digits in each of their 3 games and that needs to change on Monday. They must start better and a 12-2 record when coming off a Thursday night is a positive sign. The Giants need this game with Buffalo and Miami on deck and they will get it in a grind out fashion. |
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10-01-23 | Rams +1 v. Colts | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #263 Los Angeles Rams over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The Colts are coming off a fortunate win at Baltimore last week, and I just do not believe they can handle prosperity. They will likely have quarterback issues all season long, and the Rams are the more stable team with recent success. The Colts have lost 3 straight games to the Rams. Los Angeles has weapons to utilize this season, and this is an important win for them to avoid falling too far behind San Francisco in the standings. The Marshall Faulk bowl will go the way of the Rams. |
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10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars -150 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #252 Jacksonville Jaguars over Atlanta Falcons (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 1 ESPN+) I believe this line gives you a clue as to how the oddsmakers want you to bet. We will go the opposite way and take the 1-2 Jaguars as a favorite on the money line. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston where they trailed the whole game and just could not get back on track. Sometimes those losses are easier to bounce back from. Jacksonville is much better at quarterback. And with Buffalo on deck, this is a game they need to grind out and win. |
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09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 27 Prime) The Packers are getting healthy and Jordan love should have many more weapons available for this game than he has had in the first 3 weeks. Green Bay does not lose to Detroit often at Lambeau Field, but they did last year and thus we kept out of the playoffs. Green Bay played well in the second half against a better defense than what they will face on Thursday in Detroit. Getting points with the Packers is too good to pass up and we will side with the home team. |
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09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -2 | 17-18 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 FOX) Just not a fan of Coach Dennis Allen and the New Orleans Saints. The Packers should get some offensive lineman back for this game and this is their first home game of the season. The Saints are off a short week and will be playing back-to-back road games. Coach LaFleur is 5-0 in his career when playing against undefeated teams. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. When good teams play in the NFL the team that needs it more generally gets it and the Packers certainly need it more. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #547 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 CBS) The Patriots are just not the same team without Tom Brady, but they can still beat the Jets. New England has dominated this matchup, winning 14 straight games and going 10-4 ATS during this span. Their average margin of victory is 18 points in the last 14 wins they have had against New York. The Patriots lost two home games to open the 2023 season, but they were competitive in both games with a chance late. They will dominate this game for 60 minutes. |
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09-17-23 | Commanders v. Broncos -3 | 35-33 | Loss | -120 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #286 Denver Broncos over Washington Commanders (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 17 CBS) The Broncos cannot afford to lose two straight games at home to open up the 2023 season. The Commanders did not look much better beating an Arizona team at home by just 4 points. That is a Cardinal team many people believe is tanking this season. The home team is this matchup has won 5 straight games and gone 4-1 ATS. QB Wilson is better than QB Howell and Denver will dig deep to win this game by double digits. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #103 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 14 Prime) Everyone expected regression from the Vikings this season, as they won a ton of close games in 2022. We only need a close game tonight to win money and do not expect a blowout. Philadelphia did not look good last week and losing both coordinators from their Super Bowl team in 2022 may have caught up with them. |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #480 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 10 NBC) The Giants have been terrible in the division of late, but I feel Dallas is once again overvalued and we will grab the points. New York finished last season strong covering the spread in 6 of their final 7 games. The Giants had a good draft on paper and Dallas lost their offensive coordinator from last season. Just do not believe Dallas is going to come into MetLife Stadium on Sunday Night Football and blowout the home team. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 Pittsburgh Steelers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 10 FOX) Mike Tomlin just wins games and I will ride him in the opener against a suspect team in San Francisco. I am not sold on the 49ers quarterback situation and actually feel Pittsburgh is in better shape with Kenny Pickett under center. The Steelers went 4-1 ATS against NFC teams in 2022. Nick Bosa is still unsigned and I am not expecting much from him if he decides to show up. That is a major loss for the 49ers defense and they are just not the same team without him. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games as a home underdog. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 150 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Kansas City Chiefs over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 12 FOX) All the talk is about the Eagles dominate run to reach the Super Bowl, but the odds makers are having no part of that. They have kept this game as a pick’em and I believe that the books wants Philadelphia money in this game. I believe that the difference in this game will come down to experience, something Kansas City has a major edge in at the quarterback and head coaching positions. Jalen Hurts did not throw the ball well in the conference championship and if the Chiefs can contain the rushing attack and make him beat them they should be in a good shape. Philadelphia has had a cake walk to reach the Super Bowl and just are not as battle tested as Kansas City is. Philadelphia is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Andy Reid earns his second Super Bowl victory, and this is one bittersweet coming against his former team. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals -2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 25 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #323 Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 29 CBS) Everyone is on the Bengals, which is sometimes a scary proposition, but as the games dwindle down, the public usually gets the big games correct. The Chiefs opened up as a favorite, but the wise guys and public were having no part of that. Cincinnati is now favored and the line during the week keeps going up. Joe Burrow has beaten Kansas City all three times in his career including earlier this season. The Chiefs are 1-8 (ATS) 1 push in their last 10 home games. The Bengals have won 10 straight games and will earn another trip to the Super Bowl on Sunday. Cincinnati has offensive line issues, but that was not a factor last week in Buffalo. Kansas City has quarterback issues with Patrick Mahomes suffering a high ankle sprain against Jacksonville last time out. He will play but I expect the injury to be worse this week compared to last week. Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Joe Cool advances as we ride the public and the hot hand. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #318 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 FOX) The Cowboys played great last week against the Buccaneers, but I just do not believe they can follow that up with a second straight road victory. San Francisco has won 11 games in a row and have two extra days to prepare for this game. They have also covered the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games. Brock Purdy has been up to the challenge thus far and feel he will be playing with a lead most of this game. QB Prescott just had not been very consistent this season and playing his fourth straight road game will be too much to overcome. Dallas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 divisional playoff games. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #303 New York Giants over Philadelphia Eagles (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 21 FOX) The Giants got a lot of confidence last week playing against the Vikings and look for that to carryover into this game. They also have momentum and Philadelphia has not looked the same since Jalen Hurts when down with an injury. New York has covered the spread in 14 of their last 18 games this year and our 10 of 12 ATS when they are an underdog (6 straight-up wins). This is a divisional game and I expect it to go down to the wire. We will come out on top with whoever wins this close game by taking the Giants. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -105 | 148 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #152 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Monday, January 16 ABC) Do not trust either coach in this game, but I do trust the greatest quarterback of all time. Dallas has not played well on offense of later, struggling to run the football and turning over the ball at an alarming clip. Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against Dallas. Tampa Bay won the first meeting this season by a score of 19-3 and that was in Dallas. The Cowboys do not play well on grass and it showed last week in Washington and will show this week in Tampa. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #147 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 15 FOX) The Vikings metrics do not align with their 13-4 record. This team has been very fortunate in close games all season long and I look for that even out in this game. Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Minnesota has a bad defense and look for New York to be able to move the football through the air and ground in this game. The Vikings have had only two double digit victories this season and I don’t really count the last one taking place last week against the Bears. The road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games between New York and Minnesota. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 8 NBC) This line may change depending on the results of the Seahawks game taking place earlier in the day. Either way, I expect the Lions to play to win, but that is not something they have done very often at Lambeau Field over the last 4 decades. Detroit has won only 3 times at Green Bay since 1992. The Packers know that they just have to win, and they will earn the No. 7 seed in the playoffs and a likely trip to the Bay Area next week. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 games between Green Bay and Detroit. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. |
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01-08-23 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 8 CBS) Denver has gotten clarity on their coaching situation and they played better last week. The Chargers do not have much to play for in this game and would not be surprised if they rest a few of their starters. Denver has won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams and all 4 of those victories came as an underdog. The Broncos are 3-0 straight-up (3-0 ATS) as well in the last 3 games against the Chargers played in Denver. QB Wilson wants to finish the season on a high note and look for that to occur on Sunday. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #128 Green Bay over Minnesota (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) The Packers continue to win games of late. We expect them to run the table and make the playoffs. Minnesota has already clinched the division and they luck in one score games continues to be impressive. When they lose, they seem to lose big and that is what we are looking for on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings between Minnesota and Green Bay. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Seattle Seahawks over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 1 FOX) The bettors continue to pound the Jets and it has not been paying any dividends of late. This team is terrible on offense, and I do not believe Mike White will be able to save them in this game. Seattle is in freefall as well, but they have been going up against some good teams and I feel they are better than their recent play indicates. The Jets had their chance last Thursday, when they were favored at home against Jacksonville with weather playing a role. Seattle is 10-0 ATS in their last 10 home games when coming off back-to-back underdog losses. Seattle has won 4 straight games against New York (4-0 ATS as well). Geno Smith gets revenge as the Hawks get a much-needed victory at home. |
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01-01-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots -2.5 | 21-23 | Loss | -122 | 92 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #118 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, January 1 CBS) Teddy Bridgewater is back trying to resurrect the struggling Dolphins. I do not see them playing well in this cold weather game in Foxboro on Sunday. Miami has lost 4 straight games, and this will be their 4th road game in their last 5 games. The Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +4.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 117 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 25 CBS) These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. The Dolphins have lost three straight games and the Packers have won two straight games. Both teams do their damage against bad teams in the league, but the Packers offense is coming alive of late. Green Bay has won 4 of the last 5 games against Miami including a 19-point victory the last time these two teams met. The young wide receivers of the Packers are starting to make plays and Rodgers seems intent on running the table to finish out the regular season. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played on grass. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games against the Dolphins. |
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12-24-22 | Raiders +3 v. Steelers | Top | 10-13 | Push | 0 | 100 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #473 Las Vegas Raiders over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Saturday, December 24 NFLN) The Mike Tomlin consecutive winning seasons will come to an end in 2022. The Raiders are the much more talented team on offense, and they will win this game straight-up. Just do not believe the Steelers have the weapons to exploit this suspect Raiders defense. The Raiders went into Pittsburgh last season and won by 9 points and expect a similar performance in this game. Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Raiders and Steelers. |
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12-24-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 93 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #459 Cincinnati Bengals over New England Patriots (1p.m., Saturday, December 24 CBS) Just too many weapons that Cincinnati has compared to New England. The Patriots do not have much confidence in Mac Jones, and he will be without his starting center for this game. Cincinnati dominated the second half against Tampa Bay last week and they will dominate some portion of this game as well. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December. New England is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games played on Saturday. The fans have given up on the Patriots after their debacle last week and I do not see them being competitive in this game. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 100 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #328 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 18 CBS) Hard to take Tampa Bay after their showing last week in San Francisco, but this team is desperate and needs to win their remaining home games. The Bengals have been a covering machine this season, but now they are the hunted and giving points on the road is never easy. I still like the Tampa Bay defense better than the Cincinnati defense. The Bengals struggle to handle prosperity and the law of averages will bite them in this game. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between the Bengals and Bucs. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Jaguars | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Dallas Cowboys over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, December 18 FOX) The Cowboys did not play well last week at home against Houston, but that gives us the value we need to make this a strong play. Jacksonville has lost 20 straight games against NFC teams. Dallas won the last meeting by a score of 40-7 and they will enter this game having won 4 straight games. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in the month of December. Expect a big Dallas crowd for this game and they will see a double-digit victory for their team. |
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12-12-22 | Patriots -1 v. Cardinals | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #127 New England Patriots over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, December 12 ESPN) This is a coaching mismatch and I feel New England does just enough this season to finish 9-8. In order to do that they must win this game, as Arizona is a sinking ship at the moment. The Patriots have beaten the Cardinals in 7 of the last 8 games. Arizona has lost 4 of their last 5 games and 10 of their last 11 home games. It might not be pretty, but the Patriots will find a way to win this game. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Finally, the Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -3.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Seattle Seahawks over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 11 FOX) The line is low considering the Hawks have a huge home field advantage and Carolina is finishing out the season with an interim coach. Seattle is 10-4 straight up against Carolina and that includes going 2-1 against them in the playoffs. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS the last 4 years following a bye week. Geno Smith continues to impress and if his defense can stop the run they will win this game by double-digits. Carolina is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of December. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders -6 v. Rams | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #101 Las Vegas Raiders over Los Angeles Rams (8:15p.m., Thursday, December 8 Amazon Prime) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, and I see a double digit victory for the visitor. The Raiders have won 3 straight games and played well last week against the Chargers, a game which was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Raiders have the much better offense with Derek Carr, Davonte Adams, and Josh Jacobs playing outstanding of late. The Rams are 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games as a home underdog. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (4:25 p.m., Sunday, December 4 CBS) Revenge will be served in Cincinnati on Sunday, as the Chiefs get payback from the Bengals knocking them out of the 2022 playoffs. Kansas City blew a 21-3 lead in that game, but that will not happen on Sunday. The Chiefs lead the NFL in scoring at close to 30 points per game. Kansas City also has a fourth quarter pass rush that should pay dividends in this game, especially if they are leading late. The Chiefs need to keep winning games to clinch the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC and the bye that comes with that. The Bengals are starting to get healthy, but the Chiefs are a well-oiled machine that is playing better than anyone in the league at this moment. Kansas City is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of December. |
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12-04-22 | Packers -4 v. Bears | Top | 28-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 4 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Packers are in freefall now having lost 7 of their last 8 games. But Aaron Rodgers and company own the Bears having beaten them in 12 of the last 13 meetings (10-3 ATS). Green Bay played their best game of the season against Chicago earlier this season. The Packers are 24-5 against the Bears in games Aaron Rodgers has started. The Bears are in worse shape injury wise compared to the Packers and I just do not believe Justin Fields can win this game by himself. The favorite is 20-8 ATS in the last 29 games between Green Bay and Chicago. That includes Green Bay going 23-7 ATS in the last 30 meetings and 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games at Soldier Field. |
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11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | Top | 40-34 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #266 Seattle Seahawks over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 27 CBS) Just have no confidence in the Raiders to win back-to-back road games. Seattle is coming off a bye after playing in London last time out against Tampa Bay. Look for them to come back strong on Sunday, as they are 3-1 at home this season. Seattle has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games and are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The home team has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings between Las Vegas and Seattle. |
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11-24-22 | Giants +9.5 v. Cowboys | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 49 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #107 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 24 FOX) This is just a lot of points to be laying for a short week divisional game. The Giants have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games. The Cowboys have not performed well in this game in recent years losing 3 straight and two of them have come against bottom feeder teams this century in the Raiders and Commanders. The Giants are coming off a bad loss to the Lions last Sunday and Dallas played their best game of the season pounding Minnesota. Look for both teams to regress to the mean and this divisional matchup will go down to the wire. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals -4 v. Steelers | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Cincinnati Bengals over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 20 CBS) This game was flexed out because of the Steelers. The Bengals have revenge on their minds after blowing their first meetings against the Steelers in embarrassing fashion. Just feel the Bengals are much better on offense and the Steelers will struggle to keep up with them on the scoreboard. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Just do not believe this Pittsburgh team is good enough to beat Cincinnati twice in one season. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 Green Bay Packers over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Thursday, November 16 Amazon Prime) The Packers got a much-needed win last time out and now get to face a team decimated by injuries. Throw in the fact that this is a short week road game for Tennessee and expect Green Bay to win this game by close to double digits. The Packers have been running the football tremendous of late and if that continues, QB Rodgers will pick is spots with the deep ball. Tennessee is 8-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 road games against teams with a losing home record. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday. |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys -5 v. Packers | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 54 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #261 Dallas Cowboys over Green Bay Packers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 13 FOX) The Packers are in freefall at the moment having lost 5 straight games. 4 of those losses came against so-so teams and now they must face a real team with a strong defense. Green Bay has a ton of injuries and I just do not see many playmakers for Aaron Rodgers to use in this game. Cowboy Coach Mike McCarthy will get his revenge in this game because he has the much better and much healthier team. Dallas is 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #251 Cleveland Browns +3.5 over Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Sunday, November 13 CBS) We will grab the points in this game and feel Cleveland has a good chance to win this game straight-up. Miami does not have much of a home field advantage, and Cleveland has a lot of playmakers outside of the quarterback. The Browns are well rested and played their best game of the season last time out against the Bengals. Cleveland beat Miami the last time these two teams met by 17 points. Cleveland needs this game, and I think they will be able to take it down to the wire. |
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11-06-22 | Colts v. Patriots OVER 39 | Top | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #451 Over in Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, November 6 CBS) Do not see a total this low in many NFL games. Both teams have offensive issues but the Patriots righted the ship last week dominating the Jets in the second half. The Colts have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games played during the month of November. The Patriots have gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 9 home games. The over has hit 9 of the last 10 games between Indianapolis and New England. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders -2 v. Saints | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 11 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #255 Las Vegas Raiders over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, October 30 CBS) The Raiders are a better team than their 2-4 record would indicate and now they get to play a team with major issues at quarterback. Las Vegas has won 2 straight games against New Orleans. Not a fan of hiring Dennis Allen and he needs to right the ship, as the Saints have lost 5 of their last 6 games. I do not look for it to happen in this game, as the roster of the Raiders is just better on both sides of the football. The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Raiders are 11-4 ATS over the last 15 games during Week 8 of the regular season. |
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10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos -3 | Top | 16-9 | Loss | -108 | 123 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #466 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 23 CBS) The Jets are winning games with smoke and mirrors I do not see them winning this game unless Denver helps them. Playing back-to-back road games is always tough in the NFL and Denver is desperate for a victory today. Denver has won 5 of their last 6 games against New York including a 26-0 victory last season. The Jets were just 1 for 11 on third down last week and had just 278 total yards. Denver is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. New York is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with a losing record. This is a must win game for Denver and they get it by close to double-digits. |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars v. Colts -1 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #256 Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, October 16 CBS) It end’s today. The Colts have not had much success against Jacksonville in recent games, but they are just a better team not to beat them at home. Indianapolis has extra rest for this game, and they are 2-2-1 on the season despite not playing very well. That will change and QB Ryan will start to move the football through the air in this game. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston last time out and they have not looked the same since a hot first quarter against Philadelphia two games ago. The home team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 games between Jacksonville and Indianapolis. The Jaguars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games played during the month of October. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +3 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 95 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Jets over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, October 9 CBS) The Dolphins are in turmoil after the handling of QB Tua the last two weeks and now just travel on the road to take on the Jets. New York is riding high coming back from Pittsburgh last Sunday to 2-2 on the season. The Jets have yet to win a home game this season, but I look for that to end on Sunday. Miami is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Look for this game to go down to the wire and the Jets to pull in out. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | Top | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 99 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 274 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 2 CBS) It ends tonight! The Raiders will notch their first victory of the season and move to 1-3 and 1-1 in the division. The Raiders have been competitive in all 3 of their games this season and they just seem more buttoned up then the Broncos are at the moment. Las Vegas has won 4 straight games against Denver and the Broncos have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 7 games. Denver has been bad on offense most of the season, especially in the red zone. Denver is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games against AFC West teams. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games in this series. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons | 20-23 | Loss | -118 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #269 Cleveland Browns -1 over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, October 2 CBS) Just feel the talent of the Browns is much stronger around their quarterback compared to the talent around Marcus Mariota. Cleveland has won 4 of the last 5 meetings which is shocking compared to how bad this team has been in this century. The Browns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against NFC teams. Atlanta is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games played during October. Atlanta’s ATS winning streak in 2022 comes to an end on Sunday. |
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09-25-22 | Jaguars v. Chargers UNDER 48 | Top | 38-10 | Push | 0 | 122 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #479 Under in Jacksonville Jaguars @ Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, September 25 CBS) This seems like a lot of points for teams that have strong defenses. Jacksonville shutout a Colts team last Sunday that many believe were a contender in the AFC. Throw in the fact that Herbert has a rib injury and is questionable in this game, although he will likely play. The Chargers has a strong defense, and they will pressure Lawrence for 60 minutes. Jacksonville has gone under the posted total in 13 of their last 18 games. Los Angeles has gone under the posted total in 11 straight games during the month of September. |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 57 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #291 Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (8:30pm., Monday, September 19 ABC) The Vikings looked impressive in their season opening game dominating Green Bay for the majority of that 60 minute game. Now they travel on the road to face a team that many believe will be the NFC East winner come January. Always tough to trust the Vikings on a consistent basis, but that have a new coach and just are the more talented team in this game. That includes the quarterback position. Minnesota needs to stop the run in this game and make Jalen Hurts beat them through the air. Philadelphia is 3-13 in their last 16 games played during Week 2 of the regular season. Getting rid of the negative Mike Zimmer energy will help the Vikings immensely. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 121 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #482 Seattle Seahawks over Denver Broncos (8:15p.m., Monday, September 12 ESPN) The Hawks are not expected to contend this season as they traded away their quarterback to Denver. But the fan base will be excited for this game, and it is one of the toughest tickets in town. Look for Seattle to rise to the occasion and take this game down to the wire. Denver gave up a ton of capital to get Russell Wilson and they were not a very good team last year. Seattle is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against AFC teams. The Hawks are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games when they are an underdog. Seattle has won 9 of their last 10 home games. Too much emotion for Russell Wilson to blow out Seattle and expect this game to go down to the wire and we will come out on top either way. |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 90 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, September 11 CBS) We will grab the points in this divisional rivalry. People are starting to bury the Steelers, but one must remember that Mike Tomlin has never had a losing record in his coaching career. Pittsburgh has the better defense in this game and that should allow them to keep this game as a one score game. The Steelers lost both games to the Bengals last year but have owned this series in the last two decades. Pittsburgh is 21-10 ATS in the last 32 meetings (1 push) and 16-5 ATS in the last 23 games played in Cincinnati (2 pushes). |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals OVER 48.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #101 Over in Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) Both teams have explosive passing games and expect some points to be scored in this game. The Rams laid an egg on offense last time they made the Super Bowl and expect a much better performance in this game. Both offensives finished in the top 10 in scoring this season. The Bengals have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 games played on turf. Two offensive minded head coaches will allow both teams to score in the twenties has this game goes over the posted total. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Cincinnati Bengals over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) The Bengals have a knack for hanging around in games and I expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. The Rams have all the pressure on them for this game, as they are playing at home and have a team full of stars. The Bengals have the better quarterback and if given time to throw the football he will pick apart this Rams secondary. The 49ers had the Rams on the rope and should have won that game if they could have made a play on either side of the football in the fourth quarter (dropped interception and two 3 and outs). The Rams were just 10-9 ATS (1 push) this season, whereas the Bengals are 12-6 (2 pushes) on the season. Take the points as this game like most of the NFL Playoffs games this season should go down to the wire. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (6:40 p.m., Sunday, January 30 FOX) The 49ers have had the Rams number under Kyle Shanahan and will enter this game having beaten them 6 straight games (5 as an underdog). The 49ers had a ton of fans at SoFi Stadium during Week 18, and expect a similar occurrence on Sunday. The Rams were hanging on for dear life last week at Tampa Bay, and I do not see them blowing out the 49ers in this game. These are divisional opponents, and both teams are very familiar with what the other teams is trying to do. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the 49ers and Rams. The Rams are 6-13 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of January. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 76 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #322 Kansas City Chiefs over Cincinnati Bengals (3:05 p.m., Sunday, January 30 CBS) The Chiefs got a break with Tennessee losing last week, and Patrick Mahomes and company get to play at home yet again in the AFC Playoffs. Cincinnati won the earlier meeting this season, but that was in the Queen City and this game will be at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs have been unstoppable during the postseason, putting up 84 points in two games. They also have a pass rush that should lead to issues for QB Joe Burrow, as he was sacked 9 times last week on the road. Despite covering their last two games, the Bengals are just 2-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 playoff games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between Cincinnati and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #317 Buffalo Bills over Kansas City Chiefs (6:30p.m., Sunday, January 23 CBS) All the experts in sports handicapping like Buffalo in this game and getting points is too good to pass up. Buffalo has a strong offense that already won in Kansas City this season by 18 points. The Kansas City defense is improved but they have not faced many explosive offenses like they will see on Sunday night with Buffalo. Buffalo did not punt once in their game last week against New England and scored a touchdown on every possession that did not kneel. Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers -5.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #304 Green Bay Packers over San Francisco 49ers (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 22 FOX) The 49ers will be playing their second straight road game and this time they will be facing a much stronger team. Green Bay finished in the top 10 on both sides of the football and were undefeated at Lambeau Field this season (7-1 ATS in those games). The 49ers do not enter this game healthy with key injuries last week especially on the defensive side of the football. Green Bay has a major edge at the quarterback position in this game and the line has been going up since it opened at 4.5 on Sunday night. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Tennessee Titans over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 22 CBS) The Titans are starting to get healthy, and they have the defense to be able to contain Joe Burrow and company. Burrow has been making up for a subpar offensive line, but I do not believe he will be able to do that in this game. The Titans have won 3 straight games entering Saturday and might have the coach of the year on their sidelines. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 playoff games. Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -100 | 123 h 12 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Dallas Cowboys over San Francisco 49ers (4:30p.m., Sunday, January 16 CBS) The 49ers have the Rams number but that is not the case with the Cowboys. Dallas is the No. 1 scoring offense averaging close to 30 points per game. Dallas has beaten San Francisco 5 of the last 7 postseason meetings. San Francisco went 4-5 straight-up against teams with a winning record. The 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games. Dallas is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games. Both teams come in hot, but the different in this game will be the Cowboys offensive firepower. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -109 | 103 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 15 CBS) Weather may play a role in this game as it will be bitterly cold with a chance of snow. That reminds me of the first meetings between these two teams, when the Patriots won despite hardily throwing the football. The Patriots have the No. 1 scoring defense in the league, and they just need QB Jones to make timely plays with his arm. New England is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Buffalo is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. This is a divisional game, and we expect it to go down to the wire and be decided by 3 points or less. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -114 | 127 h 58 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #481 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:20p.m., Sunday, January 9 NBC) The Raiders have played better of late to stay in the hunt for a wild card berth, but this franchise has not won many games like this during the 21st century. Los Angeles dominated the first meeting of the season winning by 14 points. Las Vegas is just 4-4 at home with losses to Chicago and Washington part of those 4 losses. Los Angeles has better playmakers on both sides of the football, and they will march onto the playoffs next weekend. The road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the Chargers and the Raiders. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +7.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -118 | 103 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 8 ESPN) This spread is high considering neither team has that much to play for in this game. Dallas is not getting the No. 2 seed and Philadelphia is locked into a wild card road game. The Eagles have won 4 straight games and they have a first-year head coach that will likely play this game all out. Dallas is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of January. |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals v. Cowboys OVER 51 | 25-22 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #109 Over in Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Arizona has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games played during the month of January. Dallas has gone over the posted total in 10 of their last 13 games as a home favorite. |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -5 | 25-22 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #110 Dallas Cowboys over Arizona Cardinals (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Arizona is in freefall at the moment and will travel to AT&T Stadium having lost 3 straight games. Their offense is not what is was earlier in the season and Dallas has a strong defense that can create turnovers. Dallas is coming off a dominating win last week against Washington and look for another double-digit victory Sunday afternoon in what will be a high scoring game. Arizona is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against NFC opponents. |
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01-02-22 | Lions +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 29-51 | Loss | -102 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #125 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 2 FOX) Seattle is coming off a bad loss to the Bears and the reality of a bad season is starting to set in with them. They have make major changes in the offseason and they do not even have their first round draft pick in 2022. Detroit has been more competitive of late winning against Arizona and should have won against Atlanta last Sunday. Detroit is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January. Seattle has too many issues on both sides of the football to be this big of a favorite. |
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01-02-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -5.5 | 13-34 | Win | 101 | 118 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 2 CBS) Denver has seen their playoff changes fall apart, losing 3 of their last 4 games. They now must play back-to-back road games and they will get an angry Chargers teams. Los Angeles is coming off a bad loss to Houston, but in typical Charger fashion expect them to win this game big. Denver has quarterback issues, and their head coach is fighting with players. Denver is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 divisional games. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games played during the month of January. |