Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-22 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION (Draw = No bet) Both teams are coming in hungry and with something to play for. West Ham could potentially still move up to 6th place. However, the Hammers would need to win here and that wouldn't even matter if Manchester United wins its match. Brighton, meanwhile, can finish in the top half for the first time ever. The Seagulls have had a great season, for their standards. Currently, they're in 10th. They could fall as far as 14th; finishing in the top half is a big deal to them. They're playing their best and come into this match full of confidence. Playing at home will provide a boost. Take a look at Brighton's recent matches, dating back to April 9th. A 2-1 win over Arsenal. A 1-0 win over Tottenham. A 3-0 loss to Man City, the best team. A 2-2 draw with Southampton. A 3-0 win over Wolverhampton followed by a 4-0 win over Man. United. Last time out, the Seagulls had a draw vs. Leeds. So, despite facing some (four of the current top 6) really tough teams, the Seagulls are 4-1-2 the past six weeks. West Ham is in the wrong place, at the wrong time. |
|||||||
04-30-22 | Burnley v. Watford | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WATFORD. (Draw = Push) Watford has been struggling while Burnley comes in on a roll. However, I expect things to change here. Keep in mind that the Clarets have still only scored 29 goals in 33 matches. Watford has 31. The Hornets have been playing some tough teams of late; Burnley represents a significant step down in class. They're going to be desperate to take advantage. Indeed, this is truly a must win game for them if they want to keep their hopes of staying in the EPL alive. While they obviously came up short, I like the fact that the Hornets were able to score against Man City last game. That'll give them the confidence to know they can do so again in this critical match. Expect them to dig deep and play their best game. |
|||||||
04-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 v. Brentford | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. This game is more important to Tottenham. The Spurs are in a battle to finish in the Top 4. Off an upset loss against Brighton, they'll be absolutely all busines in this one. They can't afford to slip up again against another mediocre opponent. Brentford got off to a hot start to the season. The Bees then cooled off before finding their form again recently. They are in no danger of relegation and this will be viewed as a successful season no matter what happens the rest of the way. On the season, Brentford still has a -8 goal differential. Tottenham, which has a +18 goal diffential, has scored 12 times in its last four EPL road games. Expect the Spurs to bounce back and find the back of the net multiple times, with Brentford ultimately unable to keep up. |
|||||||
03-10-22 | Watford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. Off three straight losses, Wolverhampton desperately needs to right the ship. Watford figures to be the perfect opponent. Facing relegation, the Hornets are badly in need of points themselves. This is a Watford team, however, which has conceeded 50 goals in 27 league matches. In the same number of games, Wolverhampton has allowed only 23 goals. Watford may have played a little better of late. However, keep in mind that the Hornets are expected to be without Ismaila Sarr and that they're 0-9-2 in 11 league matches this season, when he doesn't play. Without Sarr, expect Watford to have trouble scoring and for Wolverhampton to pick up the max points. |
|||||||
02-19-22 | Watford v. Aston Villa -0.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on ASTON VILLA. The Villans have revenge on their minds as they lost 3-2 at Watford, back in August. They've dominated the Hornets here though and they'll settle for nothing less than a victory against one of the weakest teams in the league. The Hornets haven't scored a single goal in their last four matches. While it's possible that the Hornets score in this one, they won't be able to keep Villa from doing so; Watford has conceded 43 goals in 23 matches. Villa badly needs a victory and a visit from Watford is just what the doctor ordered. Payback time. |
|||||||
01-18-22 | Chelsea -0.5 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. While the Blues won't be winning the league title, I expect them to be hungry for the victory today. Angry off the loss to Man. City, they haven't forgotten that Brighton stole precious points, by earning a late draw, against them to close out 2021. Including that result, Chelsea has 10 wins and three draws, in 13 all-time (league) matches against Brighton. That's the most that Chelsea has ever faced a team without losing. Note that Chelsea averages two goals per game and that Brighton averages one goal per game. With the Seagulls dealing with a number of key injuries, Chelsea will extend it's unbeaten streak in the series today. Only this time, the Blues won't settle for the draw. |
|||||||
01-16-22 | Leeds United v. West Ham United -0.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on WEST HAM. These teams are on a different level. The Hammers are surging. They sit in fourth place in the EPL and the two teams behind them are facing each other this weekend. Picking up maximum points against lowly Leeds is imperative. West Ham has scored 39 goals in league play, Leeds has scored 21, while conceding 37. Even if Leeds was healthy, this was going to be a mismatch. However, the Whites are dealing with some serious injury issues and will be without numerous players. This game should go only one way, a convincing victory for the superior squad. |
|||||||
12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United -1.25 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MAN. UNITED. Even without a few regulars, United has a massive talent edge in this one. I also like the fact that the Reds had to battle for a draw on Monday while Burnley hasn't played in weeks. Their last game was on Dec. 12th. That will lead to some rust. That'll prove costly against a motivated and superior side. Being short-handed won't help the Clarets, either. United won 3-1 the last time these teams met. Happy to be back on the pitch and with Monday's "warm up game" (their first in 16 days) look for the Reds to keep the pedal to the metal and win this one, going away. |
|||||||
12-15-21 | West Ham United +0.5 v. Arsenal | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on WEST HAM. Big game for both teams. A win for West Ham (4th in the standings) gives them some separation between them and Arsenal. The Gunners sit in sixth. However, if it goes the other way, there will be only one point separating them. Needless to say, both teams are going to be hungry. A draw is certainly a possibility. I believe the Hammers are catching the Gunners at the right time though and I'm expecting the outright win. Arsenal is going through some problems right now; the Gunners just stripped Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of his captaincy and he won't be playing today. They're centre-back (White) has been weak/vulnerable against balls in the air. While they're close in the standings, United has a +9 goal differential, compared to a -1 mark for Arsensal. That's a big difference through only 16 matches. Go with West Ham. |
|||||||
12-10-21 | Watford +0.5 v. Brentford | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WATFORD. Both teams are going to view this as a chance for a win. The Bees are more comfortable in their position in the standings, due to their great start. Injuries have taken a toll though and they aren't playing as well as they were earlier. They're 1-5-2 their last eight league games - one win (by a single goal) five losses and two draws. The Hornets know they're in danger of being relegated and they're going to be extremely hungry in this one. They've been playing some very difficult opponents lately and Brentford represents a big step down in class. Consider that the Hornets last five games were against Man City, Chelsea, Leicester, Man United and Arsenal. They played every one of those teams relatively close, never losing by more than two. That includes a 4-1 win over Man United and a narrow 2-1 loss against Chelsea. Again, Brentford is nowhere near what those teams are. While I like the Hornets' chances of scoring the upset, I'm expecting AT LEAST a draw. |
|||||||
09-18-21 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -112 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. The Wolves faced some very difficult opposition out of the gate. Their first three opponents were Leicester City, Tottenham and Man. United. Those three clubs all finished in the top seven last season and all are again in the top 10. So, a tough start wasn't that surprising. Wolverhampton finally stepped down in class last game and prompty delivered a 2-0 victory against Watford. A home game against Brentford offers another excellent chance at three points and the Wolves know they need to take advantage. The Bees came back to earth last time out, giving up a late one against Brighton. That heartbreaker ended the Bees unbeaten start and will be tough to bounce back from. As Brentford manager Thomas Frank acknowledged: "It's always a tough one to take when someone scores in the 90th minute." The Wolves are unbeaten the last four times that they faced the Bees, earning victories in three of those. I see them coming away with the "W" again on Saturday morning. |
|||||||
08-28-21 | Chelsea v. Liverpool | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 72 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIVERPOOL. (Draw = No Bet) This is a true heavyweight bout. Both teams are undefeaed. Both expect to contend for the title. Liverpool comes in mostly healthy; only James Milner is expected to miss. Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel knows this wont be easy. He had this to say: "I think any time when you play at Anfield with spectators against Liverpool, it's one of the toughest challenges you can face in European football." That "spectators" part is key. Liverpool will look to avenge last year's 1-0, spectator-free, loss here. At the time, the Reds had dropped five straight games at Amfield and were playing uninspired soccer/football. They're in much better form now though and I expect a much different result. |
|||||||
07-11-21 | England v. Italy +0.25 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on ITALY at 0.25 goals. Needless to say, this is an epic matchup. Italy has long been a soccer superpower. England has always had the talent but has historically, at least in my lifetime, come up short. While history won't have anything to with Sunday's match, I do think that England may be feeling some added pressure. One could argue that both teams had a "relatively" easy path to get here. That said, Italy defeated both Belgium and Spain. Both those teams are ranked far higher than Germany and Denmark, the two best teams which England defeated. Many North American bettors are unfamiliar with a line of +0.25 (+1/4) goals. Basically, when playing at 1/4, one is splitting the bet into two separate smaller wagers. One is at pk and the other is at +1/2 goals. While I do expect Italy to find a way to win, its possible that the deciding blow won't come until after 90 minutes. Both defenses have been stout. While Kane has found his form for England, I feel that Italy has more players capable of finding the back of the net. Don't be surprised when the Italians break the hearts of the English fans. Enjoy the game and good luck. |
|||||||
07-07-21 | Denmark +0.75 v. England | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 45 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DENMARK. The Danes aren't traditionally a soccer heavyweight. As a result, many seem to view them as a big "Cinderella" team. Certainly, they've been one of the bigger stories of the tournament, after Eriksen went down. Its not a surprise that they're here though. This team was a lot higher ranked coming into the tournament than a lot of people realize. They've also been playing extremely well. They're poised, smart, have great goal-keeping and have shown an ability to put the ball in the back of the net. Of course, England has also been playing very well and is loaded with talent. That said, they've had a very favorable path to get here. Denmark is the best team that they will have faced, in my opinion. (Denmark is, in fact, ranked higher than Germany.) The English have a lot of pressure on them to win, particularly with the game being played at Wembley Stadium. That could easily impact them negatively. A look at the past five meetings shows that Denmark won two with one draw. Both England wins were by a single goal. The last meeting came in 2020 and Denmark won 1-0. The previous game, also in 2020, resulted in a 0-0 draw. Expect the Danes to give the English all they can handle once again. |
|||||||
06-27-21 | Portugal v. Belgium | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on BELGIUM. With Ronaldo on the pitch, the defending champs are always dangerous. The star striker leads the tournament in goals both this year and is also the top scorer in International soccer of all-time. Ronaldo and co. were arguably only the third best team in their group though and now they're up against the #1 ranked team in the world. Everything fell into place for Portugal in the last tournament. The Belgium players and fans believe that its their turn now though and they know the window will soon close. Now, is their time. Ronaldo remains extremely dangerous. Belgium is loaded though. Lukaku is deadly dangerous himself though and the rest of the Belgian team is loaded. Both teams scored seven goals in the opening round. However, while Portugal conceded six, Belgium only allowed one. That was partly due to Portugal playing in a more difficult group but not entirely. Belgium is the superior defensive team. De Bruyne, Hazard and Witsell are all back and ready to go. While Portugal had to leave it all on the field to get here, Belgium is fresh. Expect Belgium's "golden generation" to get it done. |
|||||||
06-22-21 | Scotland v. Croatia | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on CROATIA (Draw = No Bet.) This line has come down considerably, providing us with excellent value. It should be an exciting team, as both teams need to win. England and the Czech Republic, the other teams in the Group, have already punched their tickets to the next round. These teams both know they need a victory, in order to have a chance to join them. Note that while neither will be happy with the draw, it is still a possibility. So, I'm electing to play on the "Draw=No Bet" line. That said, I expect victory for Croatia. Yes, Scotland has the venue in its favor. The Scots are also the only team in the tournament which has yet to score though. Additionally, they're now dealing with the loss of Billy Gilmour, arguably their best player in the 0-0 draw with England. While its a been a disappointing tournament, this is an experienced and talented Croatia team, one which went to the finals of the last World Cup. Look for that experience to prove the difference this afternoon. |
|||||||
06-19-21 | Germany -0.25 v. Portugal | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on GERMANY. (2-way line. Draw = Push) Portugal may be the defending champs but I see a desperate German team taking this one. While Portugal won five years ago, no other team has won as many titles as Germany. The Germans have won this championship three times. They've also won the World Cup four times, most recently in 2014. Indeed, this team knows how to win when it needs to. Off a loss against France, the Germans certainly do need this one. While I draw is a possibility, I see a victory being more likely. Did you know that Ronaldo has never scored against Neuer when playing for Portugal? In need of a huge game, look for Neuer, Muller and co. to rise to the occasion, once again. |
|||||||
03-01-21 | Southampton v. Everton -0.25 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on EVERTON. These teams are going in opposite directions and there's a big class difference, in my opinion. Southampton is a mess right now and is off a 3-0 loss to Leeds. The Saints haven't won in their last eight EPL matches, losing seven of those. Everton, on the other hand, is off a big 2-0 win over Liverpool, the type of victory that can build confidence. Southampton's best chance would be complacency from the home side. However, given the fact that the Saints beat the Toffees 2-0 in this season's earlier meeting, that won't happen. Payback time. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | Sheffield United v. Fulham -0.25 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on FULHAM. I like Fulham to win this battle of the bottom-feeders. Both teams are desperate for points but the the damage is already done for Sheffield. While the difference in the standings (Fulham is 18th, Sheffield 20th) may not seem like much, I believe that there is quite a difference between the two clubs. Fulham has scored more and allowed less. A -12 goal differential compared to a -25 mark. Fulham is undefeated in its last three league matches while Sheffield has dropped each of its last two. Fulham have quietly lost only once it is last six EPL matches, after an impressive 2-0 win over Everton. Fulham won 3-0 the last time the teams played here. Expect another victory. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Burnley -0.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BURNLEY. The damage is done for West Brom. The Baggies say they're desperate for points but even after an unlikely draw last time out, its going to be too late for them. The problem for West Brom has been easy to identify but march harder to fix. The club simply can't keep the ball out of the net. Through 24 matches, West Brom has conceded 55 goals. The next worst is 42. Naturally, its tough to win when you give up 2.3 goals per match. Look for the Clarets to defend their home turf, finding the net more than once and coming away with the max points. |
|||||||
02-20-21 | Chelsea -0.5 v. Southampton | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. This is absolutely a case of two clubs going in opposite directions. Chelsea is rolling while Southampton is reeling. Southampton's best chance is for Chelsea to look past them, ahead to Tuesday's match. However, I don't see that happening. Not after all the disappointment. The coaching change at the end of Jan, proved to be just what the doctor ordered. Finally playing up to their potential, the Blues want to keep the pedal to the metal. Expect another victory. |
|||||||
07-15-18 | Croatia v. France | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing FRANCE on the 2-way line (10* MAIN EVENT, no draw option). France has been the strongest team in this tournament, knocking off plenty of elite teams along the way. While this is a young team, the French have been here three times in the past 20 years. A good portion of the core of the team lost in the Euro Finals (in Paris) two years ago and have learned from that. Sometimes, a team needs to lose before it can win and I believe thats the case with this French team. They've got an oustanding goalie and are extremely stingy on defense. On offense, they've got explosive playermakers with speed and the ability to put the ball in the net. Expect them to emerge as champs. |
|||||||
07-06-18 | Belgium +0.5 v. Brazil | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BELGIUM at +0.5 goals. The winner of this game has an excellent shot at emerging as champion. Its got all the makings of a classic. As per usual, Brazil is very strong. However, the same can be said of this Belgium team, the strongest their country has ever produced. Having "come back from the dead" in the last game, the Belgians are arguably playing with a little less pressure, as they'd already been written off when down 2-0 late in the second half against Japan. While Brazil is of course in a different class than Japan, that comeback has Belgium believing it can do anything. Don't be surprised to see them shock the world here. |
|||||||
07-03-18 | Switzerland v. Sweden | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing SWITZERLAND on the 2-way line. (10* GAME OF WEEK, no draw option) While the Swedes were impressive in group play, they are not as strong as the Swiss. Switzerland did what it was supposed to in the group stage and now get to face a very beatable Swedish side, one which will be missing Sebastian Larrson. Lets not forget that the Swiss entered the tournament as the #6 ranked team in the Wolrd while the Swedes were #24. I believe the Swiss are flying under the radar and providing us with excellent value. |
|||||||
06-26-18 | Peru v. Australia | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing PERU on the 2-way line (10* MAIN EVENT, Draw = No bet) While Peru is already eliminated, the Peruvians have a ton of pride and they brought a lot of their countrymen along to support them. They've arguably played better than their record indicates and I expect them to bring their A game here. Australia will be going all out for the win and that could easily make them vulnerable on the counter-attack. Even with Farfan out of the lineup, I believe the Peruvians are dangerous. Relegated to the spoiler role, expect Peru to rise to the occasion with a victory. |
|||||||
06-19-18 | Egypt +0.5 v. Russia | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing EGYPT at +0.5 goals (8* MAIN EVENT). I successfully played on Russia and also successfully played against Egypt in the opener. However, I like the Egyptians to earn AT LEAST a draw on Tuesday. Salah was reportedly healthy enough to play in the opener but the Egyptians elected to hold him back, get him even more healthy and have him ready for the games they know they can (and need to) win. That starts here. Russia obviously had a dream opening game, with everything going right - and in the net - for them. Stepping up in class, expect them to find the going far more difficult here, Egypt giving them all they can handle the entire way. |