Rating: 2 Units

Despite the struggles, we can’t forget the Magic entered the season as an East contender. The talent is there. Also, this is a long break for the Pistons and maybe there’s some rust here. The Magic have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Pistons, so intimidation won’t be a factor in this series. Maybe it’s false hope and the Magic return to the awful team they’ve been for long stretches, but I’ll take the points in game 1.

Rating: 2 Units

The Raptors have ruled out Chucky Hepburn and they are keeping an eye on Immanuel Quickley who is listed as a game-time decision as he is dealing with a hamstring issue, while the Cavaliers should be close to full health for this contest as they were able to rest most of their players early. These teams met three times in the regular season with the Raptors winning each contest, but those meetings came before the Cavaliers’ roster shake up so you can’t look into that too much. With that being said, I am still expecting a close series that goes at least six games, so while I expect the Cavaliers to draw first blood at home, I think the Raptors keep this really close at the end.

Rating: 2 Units

The Hornets are still slightly shorthanded with PJ Hall ruled out, while the Magic are keeping an eye on Jonathan Isaac, who is questionable for this one. The Hornets enter this contest as the road favorites, which isn’t surprising given that they beat the Magic in three out of four meetings this season. There was definitely a luck factor in the Hornets’ win over the Heat on Tuesday, but they were good enough to get the job done and I like their chances against the Magic, who lost to the shorthanded 76ers. The Hornets have beaten the Magic in the last three meetings and each of those wins was by at least 15 points. It wouldn’t be a shock if the Magic pulled off the upset at home, but the momentum is with the Hornets and I think they escape with the win and cover at the short line.

Rating: 2 Units

The Magic are still keeping an eye on Jonathan Isaac and Jett Howard, who are both listed as game-time decisions, while the 76ers have ruled out Joel Embiid and Johni Broome with Trendon Watford listed as a game-time decision due to an illness. These teams met three times in the regular season, with the 76ers winning the series by 2-1, but it’s the Magic who enter this meeting as the hotter team right now so it’s no surprise to see the line so short. The 76ers are still slight favorites at home, but the Magic are certainly capable of pulling off the minor upset and that’s where I am leaning with this one. It’s hard to split these teams at the moment, but I will back the Magic to escape with the narrow win.

Rating: 2 Units

The Blazers closed the season as one of the hottest teams in the West and Portland's defensive improvements since the All-Star break make them a legitimate threat to keep this game competitive. The brief spike to +4½ before settling back at +3½ suggests sharp early action on Portland, and backing a team that went 9-5 ATS over its final 14 games at plus money is a high-value play.

Rating: 2 Units

The Timberwolves have nothing to play for locked into the sixth seed so they’re going to sit a lot of their guys. The Timberwolves have had issues covering numbers as it is, with a 36-45 ATS record so I’m not thrilled to lay big numbers with their backups. The Pelicans don’t have their pick so they’ve been competing all year and they’re a profitable 45-36 ATS on the season. The Pels beat the Timberwolves back in February as 8.5-point underdogs. The underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last 9 games between the Pelicans and Timberwolves. Give me the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Magic are still keeping an eye on Jett Howard and Jonathan Isaac, who are both questionable, while the Celtics have ruled out Neemias Queta and Derrick White with Nikola Vucevic, Sam Hauser and Payton Pritchard all questionable. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Celtics leading the series by 2-1, but the Celtics are going to be without a bunch of key players, which opens the door for the Magic to capitalize if they’re good enough. The line is a bit hefty, so while I have the Magic getting the win, I still think the Celtics can get the cover at home.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bucks are still missing a bunch of players with Myles Turner, Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo and Ryan Rollins out, with Gary Harris listed as questionable, while the 76ers have ruled out Joel Embiid and Johni Broome once again. The 76ers have beaten the Bucks in all three meetings this season and the last two meetings were blowout wins, so it’s no surprise to see the 76ers as massive favorites here. The Bucks gave up on this season a long time ago and I can’t imagine them springing to life in their last game of the season, so I will stick with the more reliable 76ers to get a comfortable win here behind big games from Maxey and George

Rating: 2 Units

It’s almost like oddsmakers don’t watch basketball. Yes, the Kings suck, aren’t winning and are injured. Sure. However, the Warriors have nothing to play for, locked into the 10th seed and are sitting guys because of it. Expect it to be even more of the case after playing last night. The Warriors have to be healthy to win two play-in games. Beating the Kings here does nothing for anybody. The Kings also gave the Warriors a scare just a few days ago. These inflated lines don’t make sense. Give me the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pelicans are still missing Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic and Bryce McGowens with Saddiq Bey and Herbert Jones both rested, while the Celtics are keeping an eye on Jaylen Brown, who is questionable. The Pelicans head into this contest low on confidence, as they had lost eight in a row before they smashed the slumping Jazz in their last outing. In contrast, the Celtics have been one of the hottest teams in the league, as they were on fire before they got stopped in their tracks by the red-hot Knicks in a tough loss last night. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup, but the Celtics will be eager to bounce back after a rare defeat and they’ve found an ideal opponent in the struggling Pelicans.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons could be shorthanded for this one with Kevin Huerter listed as questionable with an illness, while the Hornets have ruled out PJ Hall with Coby White listed as a game-time decision. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Pistons winning both meetings, so it’s a little surprising to see them as slight underdogs in this one, especially now that they’re almost back to full health. The Hornets are certainly good enough to get some revenge with a win here, but the Pistons are on a roll right now and I think they represent great value as the underdogs here.

Rating: 2 Units

The Warriors are in a better position with Curry back, but that doesn’t mean I want to lay double-digit points. The Warriors are having issues winning, let alone winning by margin. It’s also fair to note that the Warriors are pretty much locked into the 10th seed, so there’s no real motivation to push for wins other than to feel better. The Kings have also been scrappy lately, winning 2 of their last 3 games and covering 4 of their last 6 games. The Kings have won 6 of the last 9 games against the Warriors. I’ll grab the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Nuggets are healthy and going on one of those runs that remind us they’re a title contender when right. At home they should be favorites. However, this is a lot of points for a Trail Blazers side that’s playing well in its own right and has improved to 42-36 ATS on the season. the Trail Blazers are fighting for seeding in the play-in tournament and have a chance to move into the eighth seed, which improves their playoff chances greatly. The underdog has covered 5 of the last 8 meetings between the Nuggets and Trail Blazers. Give me the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Cavaliers are going to be big favorites, as they’re obviously the more talented, healthier team. However, we’ve been fading the Cavs all season and while they’re winning, they’re also 30-47-1 ATS on the season. The Cavs are the worst team ATS on the season. This has nothing to do with the Grizzlies. It has everything to do with the Cavs not covering numbers. At the end of a back-to-back, I’ll grab the points with the Grizzlies.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’ve been the better team this season but they’re also still banged up. The 76ers look healthy heading into this game and they’ve played some of their best ball over the last two weeks. The 76ers are also still fighting to stay out of the play-in tournament. With no Stewart or Cade and possibly no Harris, if the 76ers are serious about being a playoff team, these are the games they should win. Honestly. I’ll take the free bucket with Philly at home.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wizards have ruled out Anthony Davis, Kyshawn George, Trae Young and Cam Whitmore with Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly and Tre Johnson all questionable, while the Heat have ruled out Norman Powell once again. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Heat winning both meetings by an average of 26 points, so it’s no surprise to see the Heat as such heavy favorites despite their poor form lately. The Wizards just can’t buy a win these days given all the injuries they’ve had to deal with and they could be missing a few more players for this matchup. The Heat don’t inspire confidence, but they are desperate for a win just for some confidence and I think they get some relief with a massive win and cover at home in this matchup.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bulls are still missing Josh Giddey, Nick Richards, Anfernee Simons, Zach Collins and Jalen Smith, while the Knicks don’t have anyone listed on their injury report. The Knicks head into this contest as the clear favorites, as they’ve beaten the Bulls in the last two meetings this season and they should be getting a bunch of players back in action so it’s no surprise to see the line so hefty. The Bulls are a mess at the moment; they are missing so many key players and I just don’t think they will be able to stop this from being a blowout.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pelicans went from being a losing team that still competes and cashes tickets to running out of gas. The Pelicans have lost 5 straight games and are 1-4 ATS in those games. The Trail Blazers keep racking up wins and they have a chance to move into the eighth seed and improve their playoff chances. This isn’t a game the Trail Blazers should play around with. Also, let’s not forget the Pelicans have just 9 road wins. The line is reasonable. I’ll lay the points on the Trail Blazers at home.

NOTE:  NIT selections to post after 4:00pm Eastern

Rating: 2 Units

Both teams are at the end of a back-to-back; the Rockets should have the edge at home, where they don’t have to travel. However, I’m not making all of these points. The Rockets have underachieved all season and are just 32-43 ATS on the season. Since January 11, the Rockets are 2-7 ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Bucks are horrible and banged up, but the Rockets in the big favorite role just isn’t the move. Give me the endless points with the road team.

Rating: 2 Units

The Raptors are on the end of a back to back but they’ve done a decent job of winning the games they’re supposed to win and they need to keep winning to improve their playoff position. The Kings are banged up, they’re losing ugly, and they’ve failed to cover 5 of their last 7 games. The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Big number, but this has more to do with the Kings than anything. Give me the Raptors in a blowout home victory.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pacers looked great in their big win over the Heat on Sunday and they’ve already beaten the Bulls three times this season. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but at this stage, I think the Pacers are a value bet as the underdogs in this matchup.

Rating; 2 Units

New York's post-All-Star superiority across net rating, offensive rating, defensive rating, assist rate, turnover rate, effective field goal percentage, and true shooting percentage is too comprehensive to fade. The Rockets' 4-12 ATS run over the last 16 games and a home schedule that includes Milwaukee the following night makes Houston a difficult team to trust even at home.

Rating: 3 Units

The Raptors are still missing Jamsion Battle and Immanuel Quickley with Collin Murray-Boyles and Brandon Ingram both questionable, while the Pistons have ruled out Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart again with Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren and Duncan Robinson all questionable. These teams last met on Feb 15 and it was the Raptors who beat the Pistons by 119-108 to square up the series at 1-1. The Pistons are still banged up at the moment and they will be playing their second game of a back-to-back set, which I think opens the door for the Raptors to spring an upset if they’re good enough. I get why the Pistons are slight favorites at home, but the Raptors looked great in their last game and I think they keep the good times going with another win in this spot.

Rating; 3 Units

The Hornets are still playing without Tidjane Salaun, while the Nets have ruled out Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Michael Porter Jr., and Egor Demin. The Nets took down the Hornets by 116-103 back on Dec 1 to square up the series at 1-1, but a lot has changed since the last meeting. The Hornets have emerged as one of the hottest teams this year, while the Nets were absolutely ice-cold before their rare win over the Kings on Sunday. The Hornets were on fire before dropping their last two games but I fully expect them to bounce back with a comfortable win and cover over this slumping Nets team, who are still missing a bunch of players.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons have most of their rotation on the injury report and it’s why this line is what it is. A potential finals preview and we’re seeing a double-digit line. With that said, this will be the first time since April 2 of last year where the Pistons are a double-digit underdog. Almost a full year, folks. The Thunder played a competitive game last night against the Knicks and now have to get up for this one. Despite the wins, OKC is just 35-39-1 ATS on the season. Since January 4, the Thunder are 5-13 ATS as a double-digit favorite. We’re getting a lot of backups with the Pistons, but I’m grabbing the points with the road dog.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bulls’ injury list is ugly, yet San Antonio is relatively healthy and focused on protecting playoff position, which could encourage Gregg Popovich’s staff to manage minutes if they build a comfortable lead, opening classic backdoor-cover territory for an underdog that still plays fast and shoots plenty of threes. Given the usual late-game variance in blowouts and the fact that bettors are laying -108 either way, the value side looks like grabbing Chicago with all those points even while expecting the Spurs to win the game outright.

Rating: 3 Units

Boston has already beaten the Hawks by 26 in Atlanta and by seven at home this season, and the Celtics’ +7.3 point differential over the full year suggests they’re still the more stable side even with Brown and White nursing day-to-day issues and Vucevic out. Atlanta’s current 8-2 run and strong home form, combined with Boston’s back-to-back and travel from Charlotte, are baked into this short number, yet the Hawks’ defense still gives up north of 116 points per game and has struggled to contain Boston’s spread pick-and-roll and wing creation from Tatum, Brown and even Payton Pritchard in their latest matchup.

Rating: 2 Units

The Nuggets have the ability to blow the doors off, as the Warriors have too many banged-up bodies to compete with the big boys. However, the Warriors are still fighting to improve their position in the play-in tournament and they have some decent wins this week. Also, since November 3, the Nuggets are 3-12 ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Nuggets just haven’t blown the doors off in spots you expect them to. I’ll take a shot with the Warriors and the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knicks aren’t the same team on the road as they are at home. It’s where they’ve lost 17 of their 26 games. However, the Thunder are 34-39-1 ATS on the season. I’ve said it all season, but OKC isn’t the cash cow it’s been in past years. Since February 27, the Thunder are 3-8 ATS when favorites of 5 or more points. Also, if the Knicks are legit title contenders, you’d think they’d want to convince themselves by putting together a strong showing here. The Knicks have come up small a lot in big moments, especially when taking them out of MSG. Either way, give me the points, as I’ll keep fading the Thunder in the big favorite role.

Rating: 2 Units

The Wizards are awful and banged up, but that doesn’t mean we lay a billion points. The Trail Blazers are a young team still trying to win consistently or learning how to deal with expectations. We just saw the Trail Blazers lose at home to the Mavs as double-digit underdogs. The Wizards have covered 6 of their last 9 games and they beat the Trail Blazers back in January as 7-point underdogs. I’m grabbing the points with the Wizards. This line is inflated and the Blazers haven’t earned this sort of respect.

Rating: 3 Units

The Celtics are still missing Nikola Vucevic with Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown and Neemias Queta all questionable, while the Hornets have ruled out Tidjane Salaun once again. These two squads have already clashed once this season, with the Hornets smashing the Celtics by 118-89 back on Mar 4 but we should be in for a great rematch considering how well both teams have been lately. It is certainly tempting to take the Hornets at home, but they are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, so I prefer a play on the Celtics to get some revenge with a narrow win in this meeting.

Rating: 2 Units

The Suns should be big favorites at home and with the rest advantage, but I’m not laying this number with a banged-up team that’s lost 8 of their last 10 games. The Jazz aren’t trying to win and played last night, but they compete just to throw the game late. As I continue to say, the Jazz doesn’t win, but they’ve cashed 38 tickets. The Suns are one of the better cover teams in the league, but they’re in awful form right now and I’m not laying this much chalk. Give me the Jazz and the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Hawks have been a money maker for us over these last two months and should win this game comfortably. The Kings are a bad franchise from top to bottom and have nearly their entire team on the injury report. However, the Kings are rested while the Hawks have to play after playing last night in Boston. Also, the Hawks have a revenge spot in the Celtics on deck. This is a horrible sandwich spot for the Hawks and could allow the Kings to sneak in a cover with the huge line. The Kings have covered 5 of their last 9 games as a double-digit underdog, and they have a win this month over the Clippers. I want a boatload of points

Rating: 2 Units

On paper the Lakers should win this game in comfortable fashion but we’re also seeing Rui and Luka as questionable on top of Smart being out. The Lakers have bigger goals than blasting the Nets into the sun, so it wouldn’t be shocking to see guys rest. As bad as the Nets are, they’ve covered 6 of their last 10 games and have cashed 33 tickets overall. The Nets beat the Pistons earlier this month as a double-digit underdog. Be careful with these ridiculous numbers. I’m going to grab the points in this matchup

Rating: 2 Units

I don’t want to back the Wizards as much as the next guy, but I also don’t want to lay all of these points on the banged-up Warriors. Say what you want about the Wizards, but the Warriors have several rotation players still out, they’ve been a loser over the last two months, and they’re 31-41-1 ATS on the season. I know the Warriors are the sexier team in the eyes of many, but they’re not making anyone money either. For what it’s worth, the Wizards are 4-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog since March 12. I’ll take the points

Rating: 2 Units

The Nuggets have the ability to blow the doors off here, but they’re also a veteran team that’s trying to stay healthy and gets no brownie points for taking it to the tanking Jazz. It’s a win-and-get-out situation. We saw these teams play earlier this month and it was close for the most part. The Jazz has cashed 37 tickets for what it’s worth. Also, since November 3, the Nuggets are 3-11 ATS as a double-digit favorite and 4 of those failed covers were outright losses. Endless amount of points here, folks. Give me the Jazz.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bulls are still missing Jaden Ivey, Anfernee Simons and Zach Collins with Nick Richards and Guerschon Yabusele both questionable. The Bulls showed glimpses of their potential during a nice run a few weeks ago, but they’ve gone cold again and now have to take on the Thunder, who are coming into this game fresh off a rare defeat. It’s hard to pick anything but a win for the home team, but the Thunder beat the Bulls by just eight points on Mar 3 and I think we’re about to see a similar outcome where the Thunder win but fail to cover the spread.

Rating: 2 Units

The Kings aren’t a good team and have given up on the season as the bulk of their rotation is out for the rest of the season. The Magic should be big favorites. However, I’m not laying double-digit odds with the Magic, who are having issues simply winning a game. We saw the Magic just lose to the Pacers as double-digit favorites. The Magic are 32-39-1 ATS on the season. Since April of last year, the Magic are 1-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Now we’re seeing Suggs may not play as well. Not me. It’s Kings and the points.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knicks are still missing Landry Shamet and Miles McBride, while the Hornets have ruled out Tidjane Salaun, with Pat Connaughton listed as questionable. These teams have already clashed twice this season, with the Knicks winning both meetings by double digits, but the last meeting was back in December and a lot has changed since then.  The Knicks have been in a nice groove and they should be full of confidence after winning their seventh straight win on Tuesday, but the Hornets have been the surprise team of the league for a while now and I think they can get some revenge in this spot. I get why the Knicks are slight favorites on the road, but the Hornets sprung to life in early January and they’ve been on fire ever since, so I am looking at the Hornets to get the win in this spot.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bucks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Trail Blazers. While the Trail Blazers have lost eight of their last 10 games following a win and have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine Wednesday games as favorites. Additionally, the underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Bucks and Trail Blazers.

Rating: 2 Units

The Warriors need to win this game as they fight to get out of the 10th seed and improve their playoff chances. However, that doesn’t mean we lay double-digit chalk. The Warriors are having issues winning games, let alone by margin and their injury report just got worse with Moody’s knee exploding. Yes, the Nets are awful, but this line with the Warriors is nuts given all of the rotation players out. 

Rating: 2 Units

The Celtics were supposed to have a down year with no Tatum, but they have managed to still be one of the best teams in the NBA all season and now they have Tatum back from his injury too. They are off a loss to the Timberwolves in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back on their home court and they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Celtics played a good game with the Thunder on the road not long ago and they are going to bring their best effort here to be the team to end that long winning streak. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Rating: 2 Units

The line has already dropped a half-point in Miami's favor, the Heat are fully healthy, and Cleveland is shorthanded and exhausted on the second night of a back-to-back. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS over the last five games, and this is exactly the kind of spot where the Cavs have been bleeding bettors all season. Take the points with Miami.

Rating: 2 Units

The line has moved a full point in Indiana's favor despite lopsided public action on LA. The Pacers are healthy, energized after an outright win and have been within a bucket or two of covering in game after game. Closing out a six-game road trip in Indianapolis is not the spot to back the Lakers laying double digits.

Rating: 2 Units

I’ve said all season that the Magic have underachieved this season and it doesn’t seem to be getting better. However, that doesn’t mean we lay all of these points with a Cavs team that’s 29-41-1 ATS on the season. Only the Kings have a worse cover percentage than the Cavs. The Magic beat the Cavs earlier this month and maybe last night’s loss is motivation for this game. Either way, give me the points with the Magic.

Rating: 2 Units

New Orleans covers tonight. The Pelicans have been one of the most reliable ATS teams in the league since the All-Star break at 12-3 against the spread, the line has moved a full point in their favor against overwhelming public action on New York, and their defensive performances over the last month make holding the Knicks to a number that keeps this within single digits entirely plausible. The 8.5-point current spread is a full point better than where this game opened, and the sharp money has been consistently landing on New Orleans throughout the tracking window.

Rating: 2 Units

The Kings are still missing Nique Clifford, Keegan Murray, Domantas Sabonis and De’Andre Hunter with Precious Achiuwa and Killian Hayes both questionable, while the Hornets have ruled out Tidjane Salaun with Kon Knueppel listed as probable. The Hornets were always going to open as heavy favorites at home in this matchup given how hot they’ve been lately, but the Kings have actually been playing some decent basketball lately and I think they can hang around long enough to get the cover in the end.

Rating: 4 Units

I don’t trust the Timberwolves night to night due to their ability to play with their food, and I trust them even less with them slumping and without Edwards. The Celtics keep winning and covering numbers and aren’t a team I’m excited to bet against. Since January 30 the Celtics are 8-4 ATS when favorites of 6 or more points. As I’ve said before, when the Celtics are expected to win comfortably, they usually do. This would be a game if the Wolves were healthy. Theyre not so give me the Celtics in a blowout at home.

Rating: 4 Units

I don’t want to lay this number in the NBA, but backing the Wizards on the end of a back-to-back isn’t the move either. The Knicks are at home with the rest advantage and they’re 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against the Wizards. The Wizards haven’t beaten the Knicks since January 2023. The Knicks beat the Wizards on the road last month by 31 points. The Wizards are 30-40 ATS on the season. Huge number and ones I usually stay away from. However, it has to be the Knicks for me in this spot.

Rating; 4 Units

The Rockets have had issues stringing together wins and are on the end of a back-to-back. However, the Rockets are at home, where they’ve played their best ball and the Heat are back to their sluggish losing ways. The Heat are also 15-19 SU on the road this season. Yes, the Heat beat the Rockets less than a month ago and have now won 9 of the last 10 games against them overall. Still, this is a soft line and I’ve had trust issues with the Heat all season. I have to lay the small number with the Rockets at home.

Rating: 4 Units

The Grizzlies are still missing a bunch of players, including Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Santi Aldama, Zach Edey and GG Jackson, while the Hornets have ruled out Tidjane Salaun once again. These two squads last met on Jan 28 and it was the Hornets who cruised to a 112-97 win on the road and I am expecting a similar outcome in this one given the respective form of both teams. The Grizzlies deserve a lot of credit for how competitive they were against the red-hot Celtics last night, but it’s going to be tough to replicate that effort on zero days’ rest against one of the hottest teams in the league right now. The Hornets were always going to be heavy favorites in this matchup and I think they’re good enough to get the cover in this spot.

Rating; 4 Units

The Thunder have ruled out Branden Carlson and Jalen Williams again, while the Wizards are still missing Kyshawn George, Anthony Davis, Trae Young and Cam Whitmore, with Tre Johnson listed as questionable. These two teams have already clashed once this season, with the Thunder beating the Wizards by 127-108 back at the start of the season. The Thunder were always going to open as heavy favorites in this matchup but this is one that makes you stop for a second. The Wizards can still get the backdoor cover even if they get off to a terrible start, but I just don’t think they will be able to score much more than 90 points in this matchup. There’s always a chance that the Thunder pull their starters early and allow the Wizards to hang around at the end, but I think we’re about to see another old-fashioned blowout in this spot.

Rating; 4 Units

This is a lot of points, but the Celtics keep winning games and are 40-28-1 ATS on the season. Back in November the Celtics beat the Grizzlies by 36 points and they’re even better now. The Grizzlies have one of the more banged-up rosters in the league. Also, the Celtics are 9-1 ATS under the 2026 calendar as a double-digit favorite. When the Celtics are supposed to win comfortably, they do. That’s a trend I can get behind. Give me the Celtics in a road blowout.

Rating: 4 Units

The Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Al Horford, Moses Moody and Jimmy Butler III again, while the Pistons have ruled out Isaiah Stewart and Cade Cunningham. The Warriors could really do with a win here just for their own confidence, but they’ve been hit so hard by injuries and don’t have the pieces to even keep their heads above water in the short term. In contrast, the Pistons are heating up again but they will have to start relying on other players to step up in the absence of Cunningham, who suffered a collapsed lung. This should be a close one for the most part, but in the end I have the Pistons coming away with the win and cover at home.

Rating; 4 Units

The Knicks have ruled out Miles McBride and Josh Hart, while the Nets have ruled out Michael Porter Jr. and Noah Clowney, with Ziaire Williams listed as questionable. These teams have already clashed three times this season, with the Knicks winning each game by double digits and the most recent meeting was a 120-66 victory back on Jan 21. The Nets will be keen to get some revenge after getting embarrassed the last time these teams met, but they just don’t have the firepower to hang in this contest, especially with Porter Jr. still sitting out injured. I don’t think we will see a 54-point victory for the Knicks again, but I am sure they will be able to get the win and cover as long as they don’t look past the Nets.

Rating: 2 Units

The Bucks have the better players and should be favored with the rest advantage. However, the Bucks are still without their best player and have nothing to play for at this stage. It’s to the point the Bucks are trying to convince Giannis to shut it down for the rest of the season. The Jazz are banged up, not trying to win and played last night. Still, the Bucks have 21 road losses and while the Jazz don’t win, they’re still a profitable 36-33 ATS on the season. That’s all we can say about the Bucks and their 30-38 ATS record. I can’t lay this number with the Bucks. Give me the Jazz and the points.

Rating: 4 Units

The Cavaliers have ruled out Tyrese Proctor, Craig Porter Jr and Jarrett Allen, while the Bulls have ruled out Isaac Okoro, Anfernee Simons, Jaden Ivey and Zach Collins. These teams have clashed three times this season, with the Bulls winning the last two meetings to lead the series by 2-1. The Cavaliers enter this contest as clearly the team in better form right now and the Bulls are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, which is always tough. The line is hefty, but I think the Cavaliers get some revenge in this spot with a win and cover on the road behind big games from Mitchell and Harden.

Rating: 4 Units

The Suns have been a cover machine all season long, but they’ve been shaky this week and are still dealing with a handful of injuries. The Spurs look as healthy as they’ve been in a while and that’s scary given they’ve been winning and covering numbers regardless. The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when favorites of 7 or more points. The Spurs also mopped the Suns last month by 27 points. It’s a lot of points for a Suns team that’s made us money all season but I’m rolling with the Spurs. I’m not getting suckered into the big line.

Rating: 2 Units

The Pistons have ruled out Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart, while the Wizards have ruled out Kyshawn George, Alex Sarr, ANthony Davis and Trae Young. The Pistons have expectedly opened as heavy road favorites once again even with Cunningham already ruled out, but you have to say that it’s warranted given how cold the depleted Wizards have been lately. It’s hard to trust the Wizards, who have nothing to play for at this stage of the season, but I think we are getting just enough free points for the Wizards to get the cover in this rematch.

Rating: 2 Units

The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Thunder and Nets at Barclays Center and have covered the spread in 11 of the Thunder’s last 12 games. While the Thunder have lost four of their last six games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Rating: 2 Units

The Spurs obviously have the horses to blow the doors off but they’re also a young team on the end of a back-to-back. The Kings are rested and at home and while they have nothing to play for, they’ve quietly won 4 of their last 5 games. The last time the Kings were double-digit underdogs, they won outright. We’re seeing a lot of inflated lines in the NBA for this card and I’m just not eager to leave all of these points on the table. Give me the Kings.

Rating: 2 Units

The Knicks are still missing Miles McBride and they are keeping an eye on Jalen Brunson, who is questionable for this one, while the Pacers are keeping an eye on Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, TJ McConnell, Ivica Zubac and Andrew Nembhard, who are all questionable. These teams last met on Friday and it was the Knicks who won by 101-92 on the road. The Knicks have opened as massive favorites in this spot, which surprises nobody, but the injury cloud hanging over Brunson makes this one tricky. I still have the Knicks winning this one comfortably, but I think the Pacers can hang around long enough to get the backdoor cover at home.

Rating: 3 Units

The Thunder are still missing Jalen Williams and Branden Carlson, while the Magic have ruled out Franz Wagner, Anthony Black and Jonathan Isaac. These two squads have already clashed once this season, with the Thunder winning by 128-92 back on Feb 3. The Magic were on a tear before their last outing, but now they are playing their second game of a back-to-back set against the surging Thunder. I think the Magic will come out swinging and get off to a quick start at home, but the Thunder have been on fire and I expect them to pull away in the second half to secure the win and cover on the road.

Rating: 3 Units

Even though Dallas has struggled this season, they have shown the ability to compete offensively and recently picked up a strong win over Cleveland. The Mavericks have slightly better defensive numbers compared to New Orleans, and their rebounding advantage could play a key role in this matchup. With both teams struggling defensively, the Mavericks’ ability to control the glass and generate second-chance opportunities gives them a slight edge in what could be a competitive game.

Rating: 2 Units

The Suns have ruled out Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams once again, while the Celtics are playing without Nikola Vucevic. These teams last met on Feb 24 and it was the Celtics who played excellent defense to win by 97-81. I can’t picture anything but another win for the red-hot Celtics at home, where they are so tough to beat, but I am expecting a much closer contest in this one. I like the Celtics to come away with the win at home, but for the Suns to get the cover in the end.

Rating: 3 Units

The Pacers are still missing Pascal Siakam with Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, TJ McConnell, Obi Toppin and Ivica Zubac all questionable, while the Bucks are keeping an eye on Ousmane Dieng and Giannis Antetokounmpo, who are both listed as day-to-day. These teams have already clashed three times this season, with the Bucks winning each game, but two of those games were decided by six points or less so we could be in for another close one in this spot. You really couldn’t back either side with any confidence at the moment, but with the Bucks playing their second game of a back-to-back set, I will lean towards the depleted Pacers to pull off the upset or at least take it down to the wire.

Rating; 3 Units

Dallas has really been struggling as of late and seven of their previous nine losses have come by double digits. The Mavericks are 29-38 ATS this season and are even worse against the number as a road underdog (8-15 ATS). The Cavaliers have also been extremely unprofitable for bettors (28-39 ATS) and are just 12-19 ATS as home favorites. Take the Mavericks to cover in the rematch.

Rating: 4 Units

I don’t want to lay this number as much as the next guy but we have no choice. The Wizards are in full tank mode and aren’t covering these massive underdog spots. The Celtics are healthy and need a win after back-to-back losses. Also, the Celtics waxed the Wizards by 45 points back in December. The Celtics are more of a complete team than they were a couple of months ago. You don’t see these numbers often, but I have to side with the Celtics. The Wizards just lack pride at this point and are willingly getting bent over.

Rating: 4 Units

Unlike their upcoming opponent, who is dealing with major injury problems and already has its focus on the next NBA Draft, the Portland Trail Blazers are still fighting for the best possible position ahead of the Western Conference play-in tournament. The quality advantage is clearly on the side of the home team, which is further strengthened by the return of Deni Avdija, and they rightfully enter this matchup as strong favorites. We expect them to justify that status and defeat the heavily depleted Utah Jazz by a margin greater than the listed handicap.

Rating: 4 Units

Houston has been extremely strong at home this season while New Orleans has struggled significantly on the road. The Rockets’ defensive edge and rebounding advantage should allow them to control the pace of this game, and against a Pelicans team that allows 120 points per game, Houston should find plenty of scoring opportunities. The Rockets’ home dominance makes them the stronger side in this matchup.

Rating; 4 Units

The Cavaliers are still missing some players with Max Strus, Jarrett Allen and Tyrese Proctor all out, while the Mavericks have ruled out Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, but they should have Klay Thompson back in action after being rested last night. These teams have yet to meet this season, but the Cavaliers enter as clear favorites, especially with the Mavericks playing this game on zero days’ rest. Thompson should be ready to go after he sat out last night’s contest, but I don’t think it will be enough to hang with the Cavaliers, who should be able to bounce back with a win and cover on the road in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

The Nets have ruled out Egor Demin, Michael Porter Jr., Day’Ron Sharpe and Nolan Traore, with Ziaire Williams listed as questionable, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Dyson Daniels and Jonathan Kuminga, who are both currently listed as questionable. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Hawks winning on both occasions and I expect that trend to continue in this one. The Hawks have opened as heavy favorites at home but I thought the line would be higher considering that the Nets are resting Porter Jr. for this one. The Hawks are in a groove right now and I think they get off to a quick start and cruise to a comfortable win and cover at home in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

The Wizards are still missing some players with Cam Whitmore, Kyshawn George and Anthony Davis ruled out with Bub Carrington listed as questionable, while the Magic have ruled out Franz Wagner and Anthony Black once again. These teams met just over a week ago on Mar 3 and it was the Magic who rolled to a 126-109 home win. The Wizards will be eager to bounce back from their last performance, where they got stung by the Heat’s Adebayo, but I don’t see them having much success against the Magic, who are just on a roll right now. The line is certainly hefty, but I think the Magic get the comfortable win and cover once again.

Rating: 4 Units

The 76ers are still missing Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid, with Adem Bona listed as questionable, while the Pistons have ruled out Ausar Thompson with a right ankle sprain and they are keeping an eye on Caris LeVert, who is currently listed as doubtful with a wrist sprain. These teams have already clashed twice this season, with the Pistons winning on both occasions by single digits, but the 76ers are just so banged up this time round, so I can’t picture anything but a comfortable blowout win for the Pistons in this spot if they play anything like they did in their last game.

Rating: 4 Units

Charlotte enters this matchup with the better overall record and significantly stronger defensive numbers. The Hornets also hold an advantage on the glass and have been more consistent offensively during recent games. With Sacramento allowing over 120 points per game, Charlotte should be able to find scoring opportunities throughout the night.

Rating: 4 Units

The Knicks are still missing Miles McBride and they have Josh Hart listed as questionable, while the Jazz have ruled out Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Lauri Markkanen with Keyonte George and John Konchar both questionable. These teams last met on Dec 5 and it was the Knicks who demolished the Jazz by 146-112. I’m not expecting such a margin of victory for the Knicks in this encounter, but I still have the Knicks coming away with a much-needed win and cover against the severely depleted Jazz in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

The Warriors are getting some guys back from injury and if anything, last night’s loss only creates a bounce-back spot here. If the Warriors can’t rebound from that loss, it’s time to look at this team funny in the light. The Bulls are one of the more banged-up teams in the league and they’re not winning or covering. The Bulls have also lost 20 times on the road. There are no excuses here. Give me the Warriors and the small number.

Rating: 4 Units

The Mavericks are still playing without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, who are both out, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Jonathan Kuminga, who is a game-time decision. The Mavericks haven’t been able to buy a win lately and their confidence took another gut shot after getting humbled by the Raptors in an ugly defeat on Sunday and now they take on the rising Hawks, who are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The line was always going to be hefty but I am comfortable laying the points in this one, as the Hawks are in a groove right now and I think they stay hot with another win and cover at home.

Rating: 3 Units

Golden State G Steph Curry is currently dealing with a knee injury and will remain sidelined for this game. The Jazz play at the eighth fastest tempo in the league and struggle mightily to get stops. Look for the Warriors to win on the road.

Rating: 4 Units

The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games at Paycom Center following a home win and have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win. While the Nuggets have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record and have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.

Rating: 4 Units

The 76ers are still missing Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid, with VJ Edgecombe listed as questionable, while the Cavaliers have ruled out Max Strus, with Tyrese Proctor and Jarrett Allen both upgraded to questionable. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Cavaliers winning all three and I don’t see that trend changing for this meeting, with the 76ers missing so many key players. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best lately but this is a game they really should have no trouble winning. The line is hefty, but I think the Cavaliers get the win and cover with relative ease in this matchup.

Rating: 4 Units

The Suns and the points are appealing when you consider they’re still an above-average team that’s also 36-24-3 ATS on the season. However, we’ve been backing the Hornets a ton during this run and their 41-23 ATS record is the best in the league. The Suns have lost some of their footing since Brooks got hurt, and they’re 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games. I’ll keep backing the cash cow of the NBA, which is the Hornets.

Rating: 4 Units

The Wizards are still missing Kyshawn George, Cam Whitmore, Anthony Davis, and Tristan Vukcevic, while the Pelicans don’t have any players listed on the injury report. The Wizards have been the floor mats of the league lately and things went from bad to worse after they got beaten by the lowly Jazz on Thursday. The Pelicans haven’t been playing anywhere near their best lately, but they were close against the Suns in their last outing and I think they can finally get a much-needed win over this depleted Wizards squad. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup, but I think the Pelicans get the job done with ease in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

The Celtics are slightly shorthanded with Nikola Vucevic ruled out with a right ring finger fracture, while the Cavaliers have ruled out Jarrett Allen and Max Strus, with Jaylon Tyson listed as questionable. The Celtics looked great in their first game with Tatum back in the lineup and they will like their chances against the Cavaliers, who they’ve already beaten twice this season. The Cavaliers expect to have Donovan Mitchell back in the lineup, which is a major boost, but it would be a loss if Tyson isn’t able to suit up. With that being said, I am leaning towards the healthier Celtics squad, who represent decent value as the underdogs in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

Both teams are on the outside looking in for the postseason and the odds of either squad qualifying for the playoffs are slim. Utah has had a slew of injury issues that have impacted their roster and is clearly banking on trying to return to relevance in 2026-27. Missing Markkanen is a big blow for the Jazz, as is the loss of Jackson Jr. from the frontcourt. Milwaukee has been a disappointment this season, even with hanging onto Antetokounmpo. With that said, the Bucks have the best player on the floor in this contest, and the Jazz are just 8-23 as the road team this year. Give Milwaukee the upper hand in this contest as a result.

Rating: 4 Units

Thick number for a Pistons team that could be without Thompson and Cunningham. However, the Nets are in tank mode and they’re not covering enough numbers to be worth a look. When these teams met a month ago, the Pistons won 130-77. The Pistons are likely sitting players due to this game being absolute cake. The Nets aren’t a threat to any decent team the rest of the way. I don’t love huge numbers when key rotation players are out, but the Nets suck. It’s Pistons or pass for me.

Rating: 4 Units

The Magic have ruled out Franz Wagner again, with Jonathan Isaac upgraded to a game-time decision for this one, while the Timberwolves are keeping an eye on Kyle Anderson, who is a game-time decision. The Magic are coming into this contest with plenty of momentum, but they were somewhat lucky to escape with a win over the shorthanded Mavericks in their last game and I think they will struggle to score against the Timberwolves’ elite defense. The Magic could get some reinforcements in this one if Isaac is able to return, but I still prefer a play on the more consistent Timberwolves, who are on a roll right now.

Rating: 4 Units

Big line for an aging Lakers team that’s on the end of a back-to-back. However, this has more to do with the Pacers’ situation, losing and injuries, than anything else. Also, since April of last year, the Lakers are 6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Pacers don’t cover enough to deserve a look in these spots. I expect a bounce-back effort from the Lakers in a comfortable home win.

Rating: 4 Units

Portland F Deni Avdija (back) is listed as doubtful and F Kris Murray (illness) is considered questionable for this game. The Rockets are the superior defensive team and have a major edge on the glass. Take a more rested Houston squad to win and cover at home. Final Score Prediction, Houston Rockets win 118-104.

Rating: 4 Units

The Mavericks are still missing Brandon Williams, Marvin Bagley III, Kyrie Irving, and Dereck Lively II, while the Celtics have ruled out Jayson Tatum once again. The Mavericks are one of the coldest teams in the league right now, but they were more than competitive in last night’s narrow loss to the Magic despite Flagg playing on a minutes restriction. In contrast, the Celtics were on fire before they got humbled by the Hornets in their last outing, but they’ve been rock-solid all season so they will surely bounce back here. I would be more interested in the Mavericks if Flagg was fully healthy, but the Mavericks are playing on the second night of a back-to-back, so I will stick with the Celtics to get the massive win and cover at home.

Rating: 4 Units

The Warriors are still missing Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Will Richard, Kristaps Porzingis, and Seth Curry, while the Rockets have ruled out Jae’Sean Tate, Steven Adams, and Fred VanVleet, with Jabari Smith and Alperen Sengun both questionable. These teams last met on Nov 26 and it was the Rockets who won by 104-100. Both teams are missing some key players but the Warriors are clearly the team more affected by injuries so while I like the Warriors to come out swinging, in the end I have the Rockets winning comfortably at home.

Rating; 4 Units

The Nets are still slightly shorthanded with Egor Demin ruled out, while the Heat have ruled out Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, and Nikola Jovic. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row but the Nets have been ice-cold lately and I don’t think they have much to play for at this stage of the season, so I will back the Heat to come away with another big win and cover in this matchup.

Rating: 4 Units

The Mavericks are still missing a bunch of players, with Marvin Bagley III, Kyrie Irving, and Dereck Lively II still out, but there is a bit of hope with Cooper Flagg upgraded to questionable for this one, while the Magic are still missing Franz Wagner, with Anthony Black and Wendell Carter Jr. both questionable. The Mavericks are one of the coldest teams in the league right now

Rating; 4 Units

Massive number, but this has more to do with the Pacers than anything else. The Pacers continue to lose; they’re 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and that injury report isn’t getting better. The Pacers can’t find easy offense due to being undermanned and the defense is starting to suffer as well. The Clippers finally have Garland in the mix, which obviously helps, and they’ve covered 8 of their last 9 games. We have a healthy team that’s cashing checks against an injured team that’s burning a hole in the pocket. Give me the Clippers.

Rating: 4 Units

The Hornets expect to be at full strength for this game with Coby White returning to the lineup, while the Celtics are still missing Jayson Tatum. These two teams have yet to collide this season but we should be in for a treat with both teams playing excellent basketball at the moment. It’s hard to split these two squads at the moment, but the Hornets are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, so I prefer a play on the reliable Celtics to get the statement win at home behind another big game from Pritchard.

Rating; 4 Units

This game features two teams dealing with roster limitations and scheduling challenges, but Utah’s fast tempo could create scoring opportunities throughout the night. Philadelphia still has the home-court advantage and enough offensive firepower to win.

Rating; 4 Units

This is a lot of points for a Thunder team that’s not covering numbers the way we’re used to seeing and is sitting key players. The problem is I can’t get behind a Bulls team that just went a month without a win and is 26-34-1 ATS on the season. The Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. One win over the Bucks doesn’t change much. The Bulls are in some of the worst form in the league. No SGA and others, OKC has still shown it can bully lesser opponents. Heck, that’s why guys are sitting to begin with. It’s OKC for me.

Rating: 4 Units

The Nets should have Nic Claxton back in action but they are still missing Egor Demin, who is dealing with a foot injury, while the Heat have ruled out Norman Powell and Nikola Jovic, with Davion Mitchell listed as questionable. The Nets enter this contest as one of the coldest teams in the league with eight losses in a row but they were more than competitive in their narrow defeat on Sunday, but the Heat are coming into this one fresh off a solid win over the Rockets; they have home-court advantage and extra rest as their last game was on Saturday. These teams have already met once this season with the Heat winning by 106-95 on Dec 18 and I am expecting a similar result in this one with the Heat getting the win and cover at home.

Rating: 4 Units

The Mavericks are still missing a bunch of players, with Kyrie Irving, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, and Marvin Bagley III all out, and Klay Thompson and PJ Washington both questionable, while the Hornets have ruled out Coby White for this one. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup given how depleted the Mavericks are these days, but it’s still not high enough to sway me from taking one of the hottest teams in the league to get the blowout win at home. The Hornets are on a tear right now and I expect them to cruise past the Mavericks with ease in this 

Rating: 4 Units

Denver has dominated this matchup, winning and covering each of the last seven meetings with Utah. The most recent clash was a 23-point home victory on December 22, and during this seven-game run, the Nuggets have averaged an eye-popping 128.6 points per game against the Jazz.