Rating: 2 Units

Nine of the Jets’ last 10 games without Jermaine Johnson have gone OVER the total points line. Each of the last three games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Rating: 2 Units

Eight of the Lions’ last nine games without Kalif Raymond have gone OVER the total points line.

Rating: 2 Units

Each of the Cowboys’ last seven games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line. Seven of the last eight Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Rating: 2 Units

Each of the Titans’ last five games against the Jaguars following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line. Four of the last five games between AFC South teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Rating: 2 Units

After a few strong weeks, the Ravens’ defense has dropped back to form. In the team’s last three losses, the Ravens have given up an average of just under 30 points per game. Their pass defense, in particular, has been shoddy. They are ranked 28th in pass defense, a number that the Packers should exploit with either Willis or Love under center. The Packers have averaged over 27 points per game in their last three wins. The Packers will step up on Saturday night and force the Ravens to try and stay in the game by scoring.

Rating: 2 Units

Each of the Cowboys’ last seven road games without Trevon Diggs have gone OVER the total points line. Each of the Commanders’ last six games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total points line. Six of the last seven games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Rating: 2 Units

Each of the last five Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line. Each of the Commanders’ last five Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line. Each of the Giants’ last four games without Ray-Ray McCloud have gone OVER the total points line.

Rating: 3 Units

The Over 54 looks like a strong angle because both Dallas and Detroit bring top‑tier offenses with defenses that have been shaky at times. The Cowboys lead the league in passing at 271.3 yards per game and average 29.3 points, while the Lions are right behind them at 29.2 points per game with a balanced attack that ranks top‑five in rushing. Dallas’ defense has been one of the worst in the NFL, allowing 28.5 points per game (31st), and Detroit has shown vulnerability in the secondary, giving up multiple big plays in recent weeks. With Dak Prescott and Jared Goff both capable of pushing tempo and weapons like CeeDee Lamb, Jameson Williams, and Jahmyr Gibbs on the field, this matchup has all the makings of a shootout that clears the 54 total.

Rating: 3 Units

The Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 vs. a team with a winning record, 6-2 in Jets last 8 games following a straight up win, 6-2 in Jets last 8 road games and 13-6 in Jets last 19 games overall. While the Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rating: 3 Units

The visiting Chargers have an offense that’s certainly humming these days, as they have scored 28 or more points in EACH of their last five games. All GAME 14 > road teams who scored 90 > COMBINED points in their last 3 games (CHARGERS), when the OU line is > 46 points is 16-1-1 O/U last 5 years. On defense, the Chargers have allowed 13, 41, and 34 points in their last three.  All road teams who allowed 13 , and 34 > pts in their L3 games (CHARGERS), when the OU line is 34 > points is 12-2 O/U since 2010. With both of these teams OVER .500 on the year, consider that week 12 or greater DIVISION games have gone 10-0-1 O/U last 4 years when (a) the home team is a DOG, and (b) both teams are > .500 on the year (RAIDERS/CHARGERS).

Rating: 2 Units

Here’s something from the ‘Did You Know?’ department: Over the last three months of NFL play, who has been the league’s best OVER team? Your obvious guesses would probably be teams like the Cowboys, Buccaneers, Chiefs or Bills (the top 4 scoring teams in the NFL this year). But it’s actually the NEW YORK JETS. After starting the season with 3 straight UNDERS, the Jets have actually gone a very surprising 10-3 O/U since the start of October... with a very gaudy average of 56.5 combined PPG! So that’s where we are going this week, as we play the OVER in the AFC EAST Division game between the JETS and BILLS.

Rating: 2 Units

NFL big road favorites of -15 > pts (Colts) have gone 1-8 O/U when the OU line is less than ( 5.0 yards per rush (Colts) have gone 2-10 O/U. In the   last two years , these teams have gone a perfect 0-8 O/U when favored by 5 > pts (Colts). Consider that the Colts have gone a prefect 0-13 O/U as GAME 7 or greater BIG division favorites of -6 or more points.

Rating: 3 Units

Dallas is now the HIGHEST-scoring home team this year in the NFL (60.1 combined ppg)... after also being #1 LAST year as well (64.2!). With both of these teams OVER .500 for the season, we’ll start the database querying with this: In the last 2 years, GAME 12’s or greater have gone 20-3-1 O/U when (a) BOTH teams are > .500 (DAL + ARZ), and (b) the OU line is in the range of 42 to 57 points.

Rating: 2 Units

Yes, the Texans just had a 70-point home SHOOTOUT last week, as we cashed a nice, easy one on the OVER (vs the Chargers). But this one is on the road. And Houston ROAD games are the 3rd LOWEST-scoring in the league this year (only 38.5 combined PPG)...right behind New England (36.0) and Denver (37.2). While it’s true that Houston’s offense has scored 39 and 41 points in their last two games, our database tells us that: LESS than (

Rating: 2 Units

This could easily be the most Weather-IMPACTED game on the Week 16 schedule, with the early forecast for rain or snow... 32 to 38 degrees... and WINDS in excess of 16+ miles per hour. Combine that with the league’s #26 scoring offense (Atlanta averages only 18.5 ppg) taking on the league’s BEST (#1) defense (Buffalo allows only 288 ypg and only 17.6 ppg)... and you have the makings of a solid UNDER

Rating: 3 Units

Prepare for a rare ‘Ground and Pound' offensive game plan from the host Chiefs. After all, Pittsburgh has been gouged on the ground as of late (200+ rushing yards allowed L2 games), and has in fact... the 3rd worst rushing defense in the entire league. We’ll confidently Go Low knowing that the Steelers have gone 2-19 O/U in their last 21 non-division road games when the OU line is 53 < points. Factor in a hot Kansas City defense that’s allowing only 13.3 ppg in their last seven games, and we’re on the right side. With the Chiefs off a Thursday game, consider that NFL home favs off a Thursday road game (Chiefs) have gone 7-26-1 O/U L4 years and 1-12 O/U in the last two.

Rating: 3 Units

Los Angeles’ last 3 games have averaged a combined 61.0 ppg, and four of their last 6 games have totaled 51 or more. Houston is off their best offensive output of the year (30 pts), and QB Davis Mills is airing it out bigtime as of late (79 pass attempts L2G). With LA laying a lot of points on the non-division road (-10.5 to -11), consider that less than ( pts (CHARGERS) have gone 90% OVER (9-1 O/U) in the last 3 years when the OU line is 48 or less points. In addition,  last Thursday, the Chargers lost at home to division rival Kansas City and know that all NFL teams off a Thursday division home loss (CHARGERS), when the OU line is in the range of > 42 and < 52 points is 28-9-1 O/U All-Time / 9-1-1 O/U L5 years.