Texas vs Texas A&M 
7:30 ET, November 30, 2024 
10-Unit bet on the Texas Longhorns priced as 4.5-point favorites.  

Playing on the road and getting a win in the SEC conference has always been a very difficult task having to play in some of the largest stadiums in the world. Texas A&Ms’ Kyle Stadium is the largest in the SEC and any team must play well with few miscues to leave with a win. Texas is ranked #3 and their defense is the most dominating defense in college football this season. One of the keys to a win on the road in the SEC is to score first and get the frenzied crowd to be calmer. Afterall, Kyle Stadium is nicknamed the 12th man and playing against 11 is always better. 

Playing a road game at night (after 6:00 ET) is the most difficult venue. However, home SEC dogs in November and playing after 6 ET have gone just 15-35 SU (30%) and 19-29-2 ATS (40%) since 2015. If the home dog is priced below 10 points, they have gone 10-21 SU and 10-20-1 ATS for 33% winning bets since 2015.  

From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that Texas will score 28 or more points, allowing 20 or fewer points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Texas met these performance measures has seen them go an impressive 33-0 SU and 29-4 ATS for 88% winning bets since 2015. 

Maryland vs Penn State 
3:30 ET, Saturday 
8-Unit bet on Penn State priced as 24.5-point home favorites.  

Today is Senior Day in Happy Valley and with the CFP on the line, PSU will be in high gear and not take the 4-7 Terrapins lightly.  Quarterback Drew Allar has been highly consistent and saved the season with a come from behind drive at USC earlier this year. The offense has opened the vertical routes this season and with his pro-caliber arm, Allar has been able to take a huge step forward this season. Allar has a 171 QBR, which is significantly higher than the 135 he posted last season. 

The Big Ten features four teams in the latest CFB poll and all four are led by great defensive units. PSU ranks second-best in the conference allowing 14.6 PPG while OSU is the best allowing 10.7 PPG. PSU ranks 4th averaging 32.4 PPG for a scoring differential of 17.8 PPG, which is nearly what Maryland scores on offense. Maryland ranks second to last allowing 29.2 PPG and is scoring only 17 PPG this season and has posted a terrible –4 PPG scoring differential.  

Key Matchups and Players to Watch 

Maryland's Offense vs. Penn State's Defense: Maryland's senior wide receiver Tai Felton has been a standout player this season, leading the Big Ten with 92 catches for 1,097 yards and nine touchdowns. He will be a focal point for Penn State's secondary4. 

Penn State's Running Game: Despite losing starting right tackle Anthony Donkoh to a long-term injury, Penn State's running game remains strong. Running backs Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen, along with tight end Tyler Warren, will be key players to watch4. 

From the Predictive Model: My model projects an 86% probability that PSU will score 32 or more points in this contest. PSU is 126-2 SU (98%) and 92-33-3 ATS for 74% winners when scoring 32 or more points since 1980. In addition, PSU is 42-0 SU, 29-11-2 ATS (73%) when priced as a double-digit favorite and scoring 32 or more points under James Franklin.  

PSU is expected to allow 17 or fewer points in this game and accounts for a late score by Maryland after Franklin removes the starters. So, PSU is 50-0 SU and 35-13-2 ATS when priced as a double-digit favorite and allowing 17 or fewer points under James Franklin. 

Arizona State vs Arizona 
3:30 ET, November 30 
8-Unit bet on Arizona priced as a 9.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 24-29 SU and 33-17-3 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are:  

Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points.  

The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game.  

The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents.  

If the opponent is ranked, these home pups have gone 9-13 SU and 16-4-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019 

Notre Dame vs USC 
3:30 ET 
8-Unit bet on USC priced as a 7.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 29-36 SU and 42-20-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points.  

That dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

The opponent won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. 

Since 1980, this has been one of the best rivalries in college football. Notre Dame is 24-18-1 SU and 20-22-1 ATS in these games. When Notre Dame has been ranked in the top 10 of the polls, USC has gone 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS since 1997.  

From the predictive model: USC is projected to have an 80% probability of gaining 400 or more total yards and outgaining Notre Dame in this game. They also have a 77% probability that they will contain Notre Dame to 350 or fewer yards. USC is 17-0 SU and 15-2 ATS FOR 88% Winning bets when gaining 375 or more yards and allowing 350 or fewer yards since 2018. The records are the same if USC gained 400 or more total yards. USC is 7-3 SUATS against Notre Dame where they had the same or fewer turnovers since 2005. 

Historical Context 

This rivalry has seen some incredible moments over the years. One of the most memorable games was in 1974, when USC made a historic comeback against Notre Dame. Trailing 24-0 at halftime, the Trojans scored 55 points in the second half to win 55-24. This game is still talked about as one of the greatest comebacks in college football history. 

The rivalry also features the Jeweled Shillelagh trophy, awarded to the winner each year. The trophy is adorned with an emerald shamrock for Notre Dame and a ruby Trojan head for USC. 

Key Matchups 

Notre Dame's Defense vs. USC's Offense: Notre Dame boasts the No. 4 ranked defense in the country, allowing just 15 points per game. They will be tested by USC quarterback Jayden Maiava, who has been solid in his last two starts. 

USC's Red Zone Offense: The Trojans struggled in the red zone against UCLA, scoring only nine points on nine plays inside the five-yard line. They will need to improve this aspect to have a chance against Notre Dame's stout defense. 

Colorado State vs Fresno State 
10:30 ET | CBSSN 
8-Unit bet on Fresno State priced as a 3-point favorite. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 53-31 SU (63%) and 26-16-1 ATS for 53-29-2 ATS (64.6%) winning bets since 2019.  

Bet on teams priced between the 3’s.  

The foe has covered the spread in each of their last four games.  

If our team is playing at home and the game occurs from week 8 on out to the end of the season, they soar to a highly profitable 21-9 SU (70%) record and a 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2019. In the ATS wins these teams covered by 14.2 PPG.  

BYU vs Arizona State 
3:30 ET, Saturday 
8-Unit bet on ASU priced as 3-point home favorites. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-7 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets. The requirements are:  

Both teams ranked in the top 25.  

The site is at home or neutral.  

Games occur in the regular season.  

The team we are betting on is ranked worse than the foe in the poll.  

Our team is priced between a 2.5 and 17.5-point favorite.  

The total is between 45 and 50 points. 

16 Colorado vs Kansas 
3:30 ET | FOX 
10-UNIT Big-12 Game of the Year betting on Kansas priced as a 2.5-point underdog. 

From the Predictive Model: The model projects that Kansas will score 28 or more points and/or have the same or fewer turnovers and have more than 170 rushing yards. In past games since 2021, Kansas is 13-5 SU (72%) and 14-3-1 ATS (82.4% when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Colorado is 1-29 SU and 3-26-1 ATS when allowing 28 or more points, allowing 175 or more rushing yards, and having the same or more turnovers than the foe in games played since 2015. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 39-28 SU and 44-22-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are: 

Bet on underdogs priced from pick-em to 6 points. 

They are coming off an upset win. 

They are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four consecutive games. 

They game is played on a neutral field 

If our dog is coming off an upset win, they have produced an incredible 10-3 SU and 12-1 ATS record for 92% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points per game. 

Team Overview 

Kansas Jayhawks: 4-6 (3-4 Big-12) 

Colorado Buffaloes: 8-2 (6-1 Big-12) 

Team Statistics 

Kansas Jayhawks: 

Points per game: 30.2 

Total yards per game: 420.5 

Rushing yards per game: 180.3 

Passing yards per game: 240.2 

Turnovers per game: 1.5 

Sacks allowed per game: 2.1 

Colorado Buffaloes: 

Points per game: 35.1 

Total yards per game: 450.7 

Rushing yards per game: 160.2 

Passing yards per game: 290.5 

Turnovers per game: 1.3 

Sacks allowed per game: 1.8 

Key Players Performance 

Kansas Jayhawks: 

Quarterback (QB): Jason Bean - 2,800 passing yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs 

Running Back (RB): Devin Neal - 1,200 rushing yards, 12 TDs 

Wide Receiver (WR): Lawrence Arnold - 60 receptions, 800 yards, 6 TDs (questionable for the game) 

Colorado Buffaloes: 

Quarterback (QB): Shedeur Sanders - 3,222 passing yards, 27 TDs, 7 INTs 

Running Back (RB): Dylan Edwards - 1,000 rushing yards, 9 TDs 

Wide Receiver (WR): Travis Hunter - 74 receptions, 911 yards, 10 TDs 

Injury Reports 

Kansas Jayhawks: 

Lawrence Arnold (WR): Questionable (hamstring) 

Cobee Bryant (CB): Probable (knee) 

Devin Neal (RB): Probable (ankle) 

Colorado Buffaloes: 

Shedeur Sanders (QB): Probable (shoulder) 

Travis Hunter (WR): Probable (ankle) 

Dylan Edwards (RB): Probable (knee) 

9 Mississippi vs Florida 
Noon ET |ABC/ESPN+ 
8-Unit Bet on the Florida Gators priced as 12.5-point underdogs. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 24-28 SU and 33-16-3 SATS for 67.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. 

They committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

They are taking on a foe that won the turnover battle in each of their last three games. 

If the dog is facing a conference foe they improve to 21-23 SU and 29-12-3 ATS good for 71% winning bets. 

Mississippi Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC, No. 9 CFP) 

Head Coach: Lane Kiffin 

Key Players: Jaxson Dart (QB), Tre Harris (WR), Princely Umanmielen (DE) 

Team Statistics: 

Offensive Stats: 1st in passing offense, 2nd in total offense (371.3 yards per game), 1st in passing efficiency (188.6 ypg), 1st in yards per attempt (11.4) 

Defensive Stats: 1st in tackles for loss (103), 2nd in sacks (46), 1st in passing defense2 

Florida Gators (5-5, 3-4 SEC) 

Head Coach: Billy Napier 

Key Players: DJ Lagway (QB), Elijhah Badger (WR), Shemar James (LB) 

Team Statistics: 

Offensive Stats: 93rd in passing offense, 5th in rushing offense, 5th in total offense 

Defensive Stats: 93rd in passing defense, 5th in rushing defense, 5th in total defense 

Key Player Performances 

Mississippi Rebels: 

Jaxson Dart (QB): Dart has been exceptional this season, leading the FBS in total offense (371.3 yards per game) and passing efficiency (188.6 ypg). He needs 372 yards to tie Eli Manning's school record for passing yards. 

Tre Harris (WR): Harris, who leads the team with 59 catches and 987 yards receiving, is expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. 

PrincelyUmanmielen (DE):Umanmielen ranks second on the team and third in the SEC with 9.5 sacks. 

Florida Gators: 

DJ Lagway (QB):Lagway is recovering from a strained left hamstring but returned last week against LSU. He completed 13 of 26 passes for 226 yards and a touchdown3. 

Elijhah Badger (WR): Badger leads the team with 131 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 touchdown against LSU. 

Shemar James (LB): James led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles against LSU. 

Injury Reports 

Mississippi Rebels: 

Tre Harris (WR): Expected to return after missing the last three games with a lower-body injury. 

Florida Gators: 

DJ Lagway (QB): Recovering from a strained left hamstring but has been practicing. 

Top three cornerbacks (Jason Marshall, Devin Moore, Ja’Keem Jackson): Out for the game. 

Linebacker Grayson "Pup" Howard: Out for the game. 

Kansas vs 9 BYU 
10:15 ET | ESPN | LaVell Edwards Stadium 
8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 56.5 points. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 14-37 straight-up (SU) and 29-22 ATS for 57% and 29-18-4 Under good for 62 winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet the under from week 8 on out to the end of the season. 

The road team is dog and averages between 28 and 34.5 PPG. 

The opponent allows between 16 and 21 PPG. 

The roadDogs are coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half. 

BYU escaped with a one-point win at Utah in a game that it appeared Utah had won. A questionable holding call on fourth down and with the BYU QB nearly sacked in his endzone was whistled. BYU then went down the field and executed well scoring the winning TD to remain undefeated. However, undefeated teams that are coming off a three or fewer point win in game number 8 to the end of the season have gone 126-63 (67%) and 84-101-7 ATS for 45% winners; 4-9-1 ATS when coming off a single-point win.  

Wake Forest vs North Carolina 
8 ET |  
8-Unit bet on UNC priced as –11-point favorites. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 62-21 straight-up (SU) and 53-28-2 ATS for 65.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. 

The home team is averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards per game. 

They held their previous foe to less than 100 rushing yards. 

The opponent averages between 140 and 190 rushing yards per game. 

1 Oregon vs Wisconsin 
7:30 ET | NBC | Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI 
10-Unit bet on the Wisconsin Badgers priced as 13.5-point home underdogs. 

I highly recommend a sprinkle of money placed on the money line for this matchup of Big Ten foes. I am seeing +425 money lines currently and make sure your sprinkle is priced at least at +400.  

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 11-34 SU (26%) but 31-15 ATS good for 67% winning bets since 1980. The requirements are:  

Bet against an undefeated team playing after their ninth game to the end of the season including the post season.  

The undefeated team is on the road and priced as a 6 or more-point favorite.  

They are facing a team with a solid defense allowing fewer than 24 PPG.  

If the undefeated team is priced as a double-digit favorite and facing a conference foe has seen our home dogs bark loud and mean to the tune of a 4-25 SU mark but a stellar 21-8 ATS mark for 72% winning bets. Last, if the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have roared to a 9-1 ATS record for 90% winning bets. 

Over the years, week 12 or game number 11 accounting for the BYE weeks have seen many a giant gets knocked down or at least have to fight tooth and nail to just get away with a win to remain undefeated. Oregon finds themselves on the road playing in what will be a hostile environment for the first time. Undefeated teams playing in their 11th game and facing a host that has a winning record have gone 60-29 SU (67%) and 37-51-3 ATS for just 42% winning bets since 1980. If these juggernauts are priced as double-digit road favorites, they have gone 10-3 SU but just 4-9 ATS. Undefeated teams that are playing their 11th game, priced as double-digit favorites, are ranked in the Top 10, and facing a foe with a winning record have gone 18-6 SU but just 6-17-1 ATS for 26% winning bets.  

From the Predictive Models: The models project that Wisconsin will gain 150 or more rushing yards, have the same or fewer turnovers, and have more rushing attempts than passing attempts. In games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures has produced an exceptional 120-13 SU and 93-37-3 ATS for 72% winning bets. If they were priced as the underdog in these games has produced an incredible 7-8 SU and 12-3 ATS record good for 80% winning bets.  

James Madison vs ODU 
4 ET | 
8-unit bet on JMU priced as 2.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 47-25 straight-up (SU) and 45-23-5 ATS for 66.2% winning bets over the past 40 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on any team priced between the 3’s. 

That team is averaging 34 or more PPG. 

The opponent allows 21 to 28 PPG. 

Our team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their two previous games. 

Penn State vs Purdue 
3:30 ET | CBS | Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN 
8-Unit bet on PSU priced as 28.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 53-9 straight-up (SU) and 41-21 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on road favorites.  

That team allowed 225 or fewer total offensive yards in their previous game.  

The opponent was outgained by 225 or more total yards in their previous game.  

If our road team is priced as a double-digit favorite, they have gone 40-3 SU and 29-14 ATS for 67.4% winning bets. If they are favored by 24 or more points it has produced a 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS mark for 82% winning bets.  

North Texas vs UTSA 
8 ET | ESPN2 | Friday 
8-Unit bet on North Texas priced as 2-point dogs

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 318-77 SU (81%) and 234-156-5 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road favorites. 

The home team’s defense allows an average of 31 or more PPG. 

The home team is coming off two games in which a total of 60 or more points were scored in each game. 

If our road warrior is facing a conference foe and has a winning record has produced a 177-27 SU (87%) and 132-68-4 ATS record good for 66% winning bets. 
 

Wyoming vs Colorado State 
8 ET | CBSSN  
8-Unit bet on CSU priced as 9.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has earned a 117-22 SU (84%) and 92-46-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past 45 seasons going back to 1980. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams coming off a double-digit road win. 

The opponent is coming off an upset win against a conference foe and were 6 or more-point underdogs. 

If our team is priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-point favorite, they have then gone 28-2 SU (93%) and 25-5 ATS good for 83% winning bets since 1980. So, it is a rare and highly profitable situation that CSU finds themselves in for tonight’s game. 

Eastern Michigan vs Ohio 
7 ET, Wednesday, Week 12 
8-Unit Bet on Ohio University priced as a 9-point favorite. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 61-21 SU (74%) and 52-28-2 ATS (65%) since 2015. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the season. 

The home team is averaging 190 to 230 rushing yards per game. 

The home team allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in their previous game. 

The opponent averages 140 to 190 RYPG. 

Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) 

Offensive Stats: 29.2 points per game (65th in FBS) 

Defensive Stats: 26.3 points allowed per game (76th in FBS) 

Recent Trends: The Eagles are coming off a tough 38-14 loss to Miami (OH). They have shown resilience with a 5-4 record but need to tighten up their defense. 

Win/Loss Streak: Lost last game but won two of the previous three. 

Ohio Bobcats (6-3) 

Offensive Stats: 26.8 points per game (80th in FBS) 

Defensive Stats: 20.7 points allowed per game (27th in FBS) 

Recent Trends: The Bobcats are riding high after a dominant 41-0 win over Kent State. They have a solid defense and are looking to continue their winning ways. 

Win/Loss Streak: Won last game and have won three of the last four. 

Player Injuries and Status 

Eastern Michigan Eagles: 

Cole Snyder (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Delbert Mimms III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Terry Lockett Jr. (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Oran Singleton (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Ohio Bobcats: 

Parker Navarro (QB): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Anthony Tyus III (RB): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Coleman Owen (WR): No injuries reported, expected to start. 

Key Players to Watch 

Eastern Michigan Eagles: 

Cole Snyder (QB):2,087 yards, 11 touchdowns, 3 interceptions. 

Delbert Mimms III (RB):558 yards, 7 touchdowns. 

Terry Lockett Jr. (WR):526 yards, 3 touchdowns. 

Ohio Bobcats: 

Parker Navarro (QB):1,359 yards, 7 touchdowns, 7 interceptions. 

Anthony Tyus III (RB):694 yards, 6 touchdowns. 

Coleman Owen (WR):733 yards, 5 touchdowns 

Maryland vs  No.1 Oregon 
7 ET | BTN | Autzen Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Oregon priced as 23.5-point favorite. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 47-0 SU (76%) but 35-11-1 ATS good for 76% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are: 

Bet on home favorites priced at –21 or more points. 

The home team has won each of their last three games by 21 or more points. 

The visitors lost their last game by 17 or more points to a conference foe. 

If the game takes place from week 10 on out to the end of the season these big favorites have gotten it done to the tune of a 23-0 SU and 18-5 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2010. 

Minnesota vs Rutgers 
Noon, Saturday, November 9 
8-Unit bet on Rutgers priced as 6-point underdogs. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 26-34 SU and 39-18-3 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: 

Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 to 9.5 points. 

The home team committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

The visitor has won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. 

If our dog has a winning record i the current season, they soar to a 23-9-2 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets. 

Iowa vs UCLA 
9 ET, Friday, November 8 
8-Unit Best Bet on the UCLA Bruins priced as a 5-point underdog. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are:  

Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points.  

The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game.  

The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents.  

Ohio U vs Kent State 
Wedneday, November 6 
8-Unit bet on the Ohio U Bobcats priced as 19.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 40-3 SU (93%) and 31-11-1 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on double-digit road favorites. 

The home team has lost the turnover battle in each of their last four games. 

Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State 
8:00 ET |  
8-Unit bet on Miami (Ohio) priced as –12-point favorites. 

The following College Football betting algorithm has gone 63-9 SU (88%) and 42-29-1 ATS good for 59.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road conference teams 

That road team is priced between a 10 and 21.5-point favorite. 

The favorite has won four of their last five games. 

The game occurs in the month of November. 

Preview: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ball State Cardinals 

Tonight, the Miami (OH) RedHawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC) will face off against the Ball State Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC) in a crucial Mid-American Conference (MAC) showdown. The game will take place at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana, and is set to kick off at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. 

Miami (OH) RedHawks 

The RedHawks are coming off a dominant 46-7 victory over Central Michigan and are currently on a three-game conference winning streak. Miami (OH) is led by sixth-year senior quarterback Brett Gabbert, who has completed 132 of 224 passes for 1,727 yards, 13 touchdowns, and seven interceptions this season. Gabbert has been particularly impressive over the last three games, throwing eight touchdown passes without an interception. 

Senior running back Keyon Mozee has been a key contributor to the RedHawks' offense, rushing for 545 yards and two touchdowns on 86 carries. Wide receiver Cade McDonald leads the team with 507 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 38 receptions. 

Ball State Cardinals 

The Cardinals are looking to bounce back from a tough start to the season and are coming off a narrow 25-23 victory over Northern Illinois. Ball State is led by redshirt freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza, who has completed 179 of 269 passes for 1,749 yards, 15 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Semonza also rushed for one touchdown this season. 

Senior running back Braedon Sloan leads the Cardinals' ground game with 502 yards and four touchdowns on 123 carries. Wide receiver Tanner Koziol has been a standout performer, racking up 580 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 64 receptions. 

Injuries and Player Statuses 

As of now, there are no major injuries reported for either team. Both teams are expected to have their key players available for tonight's game a have no significant losses to injuries.. 

Key Matchup 

This game is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the MAC. Miami (OH) is currently in a strong position with a 3-1 conference record, while Ball State needs a win to stay in contention for a MAC title game appearance. 

Pittsburgh vs SMU 
8 ET | ACC Network | Gerald J. Ford Stadium 
10-Unit bet on SMU priced as a 7.5-point favorite. 

The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 22-4-2 ATS for 85% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Bet on home teams that have won 80% or more of their games. 

The opponent has won 80% or more of their games. 

The opponent has covered the spread by 50 or more points over their previous five games. 

The total is 45 or more points. 

If the game occurs from week 7 to the end of the season, these teams have gone an impressive 20-3-2 ATS for an incredibly profitable 87% winners. 

Check this one out if you want to make even more money for many seasons to come. This algorithm has gone 69-6 SU (70%) and 52-19-4 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. 

Bet against road dogs priced between pick and 21 points. 

The total is not greater than 63 points. 

The Road Dog has won each of their two previous games against conference foes priced as the favorite. 

In the road dog’s last game, they were priced between a 3.5 and 18.5-point favorite. 

The game pits members from the FBS, and the game takes place on Saturdays.  

If facing a conference foe, our home teams have gone 62-6 SU (82%) and 46-18-4 ATS good for 72% winning bets. If our home team is ranked in the top 25 they have gone 33-5 (87%) and 26-10-2 ATS good for 72% winning bets. 

Pittsburgh vs. SMU Football Game Preview 

Season Records 

Pittsburgh Panthers: 7-0 overall, 3-0 in ACC play 

SMU Mustangs: 7-1 overall, 4-0 in ACC play 

Against the Spread (ATS) Results 

Pittsburgh: 5-2 ATS 

SMU: 4-2 ATS 

Previous Game Results 

Pittsburgh: Won 45-10 against Syracuse 

SMU: Won 34-33 against Duke in overtime 

Playoff Chances 

Pittsburgh: 20.5% chance to make the College Football Playoff 

SMU: 20.5% chance to make the College Football Playoff 

Efficiency Rankings and Analytics 

Pittsburgh: Ranked 6th in scoring offense (40.9 PPG), 45th in scoring defense (22 PPG) 

SMU: Ranked 15th in scoring offense (39.1 PPG), 36th in scoring defense (21.4 PPG) 

Kentucky vs Tennessee 

7:45 ET | SEC Network | Neyland Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Kentucky priced as a 16.5-point underdog. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 13-15 SU (46%) and 19-7-2 ATS for 73% winning bets since 1983. 

Bet on underdogs from game number 7 on to the end of the regular season. 

The dog lost their last two games priced as the favorite. The second to last game was on the road and the last game was at home. 

They were a bowl team in the previous season. 

The favorite is coming off an ATS win. 

If the favorite has won 70% or more of their games our dogs have gone 9-7 SU and 13-1-2 ATS for 93% winning bets.  

Texas tech vs Iowa State 
3:30 EST | 
8-Unit Bet on Iowa State priced as a 13.5-point favorite. 

The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 42-2 SU (96%) and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Bet on home favorites taking on a conference foe.  

The home team has seen the total play Over by a combined 24 or more points over their last three games.  

The home team has won 80% or more of their games.  

The guest has a winning record. 

If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season has seen these teams produce a 23-1 SU (96%) and an 18-6 ATS (75%) record. If after week 8 and undefeated has seen them go 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS (78%) winning bets. 

Duke vs Miami (FLA) 
Noon ET | 
8-Unit bet on Miami priced as a 21-point favorite. 

The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 42-2 SU (96%) and 32-11-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Bet on home favorites taking on a conference foe.  

The home team has seen the total play Over by a combined 24 or more points over their last three games.  

The home team has won 80% or more of their games.  

The guest has a winning record. 

If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season has seen these teams produce a 23-1 SU (96%) and an 18-6 ATS (75%) record. If after week 8 and undefeated has seen them go 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS (78%) winning bets. 

Memphis vs UTSA 
Noon ET | 
5-Unit bet on UTSA priced as a 7.5-point home underdog. 

The following sports betting algorithm that has gone 25-33 SU (43%) and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Bet on home underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

The home team committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

The foe won the turnover battle in each of their two previous games. 

If the foe is ranked but not ranked in the top 10 these home dogs come barking to the tune of a 9-2-2 ATS record for 82% winning points. 

Tulane vs Charlette 
7:30 ET, Thursday, 10-31 |  
8-unit bet on Tulane priced as a 16-point favorite. 

Here is an NCAAF betting algorithm that has gone 50-7 SU (88%) and 41-15-1 ATS good for 73.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on road favorites that are scoring 35 or more PPG.  

The current opponent’s defense is allowing 35 or more PPG.  

The favorite allowed 35 or more points in their previous game.  

If the game occurs from week 8 on out to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 30-3 SU (91%) and 27-6 ATS good for 82% winning bets. 

Season Records 

Tulane Green Wave: 6-2 overall, 4-0 in AAC 

Charlotte 49ers: 3-5 overall, 2-2 in AAC 

Against the Spread (ATS) 

Tulane: 5-3 ATS 

Charlotte: 2-6 ATS 

Previous Game Results 

Tulane: Won 45-27 against North Texas 

Charlotte: Lost 33-28 to Memphis 

Key Analytics 

Tulane Offense: Ranked 8th in the FBS, averaging 40.5 points per game. Led by sophomore running back Makhi Hughes, who has rushed for 939 yards and nine touchdowns this season. 

Tulane Defense: Ranked 51st, allowing 22.3 points per game. 

Charlotte Offense: Ranked 99th, averaging 23.6 points per game. Quarterback Deshawn Purdie has thrown for 869 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. 

Charlotte Defense: Ranked 16th-worst, allowing 34.3 points per game. 

From the Predictive Model: The model that I have developed and have tweaked with dozens of iterations over more than 30 years projects that Tulane will score 34 or more points, outgain Charlotte by at least 1.1 yards per play, and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games matching this situation Tulane has gone 47-3 SU (94%) and 45-5 ATS for 90% since 2006 and as a road favorite have gone 7-0 SUATS! 

New Mexico State vs Florida International 
7 ET | CBSN 
8-Unit bet on NMST +7.5 points. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 28-15 SU and 26-16-1 ATS for 62% winning bets. 

Bet on road teams facing a conference foe. 

This road team has committed more turnovers than the foe in three or more of their last four games. 

The opponent’s winning percentage is 40% or lower. 

The total is fewer than 45 points. 

Utah State vs Wyoming 
7 ET | CBSSN | War Memorial Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Utah State priced as a 1.5-point favorite. 

Two one-win teams square off in the Mountain West Conference and the winner will more than likely not finish in the last place in the standings. Given their records there is not much more to play for other than pride and the following analytics put Utah State in a highly profitable situation. 

The following College football betting algorithm has produced a 30-3 SU and 23-9 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on teams that are being outgained by 50 or fewer yards or outgaining their opponent by 50 or fewer yards. 

That team is coming off two consecutive games gaining 450 or more total yards. 

The opponent has won 25% or fewer of their games. 

If the team has won 33% or fewer of their games has led them to a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets. 

Washington vs Indiana 
Noon ET |  
10-UNIT Bet on Indiana priced as a 6-point home favorite. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 47-2 SU and 36-12-1 ATS (75%) record over the past five seasons. A $100 bettor has made a profit of $2,280 over the past 5 years. The requirements are:  

Bet on a home favorite facing a conference foe. 

The favorite’s last three games have played over the total by 24 or more points. 

The favorite has won 75% or more of their games. 

The opponent has a winning record. 

If the foe is undefeated, they have gone 22-0 SU, 16-5-1 ATS for 76% winning bets.  

Indiana Hoosiers 

The Hoosiers have been a surprise package this season, boasting a perfect 7-0 record under first-year head coach Curt Cignetti. Indiana's offense has been particularly impressive, ranking first in success rate (60%) and second in EPA/Play. However, they will be without starting quarterback Kurtis Rourke, who is recovering from thumb surgery. Backup Tayven Jackson, a transfer from  
Tennessee and a product of Center Grove High School in Greenwood, Indiana, will get the start. He is a consensus 4-star recruit and ranked 7th top pro-style quarterback, and with the skill position players on the offense there will not be any decline in the offensive performance. 

Advanced Metrics: 

Success Rate: 60% (1st in FBS) 

EPA/Play: 0.40 (2nd in FBS) 

Passing Efficiency: 74.5% completion rate (1st in FBS) 

Rushing Touchdowns: 28 (2nd in FBS) 

Washington Huskies 

The Huskies have had a mixed season, currently standing at 4-3 overall and 2-2 in Big Ten play. They have struggled on the road, with a winless record away from  
Husky Stadium. Washington's defense has been a bright spot, ranking 16th in scoring defense and26th in SP+. However, their offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 24.1 points per game. 

First year head coach Jedd Fisch has had the difficult task of rebuilding a team that took a huge toll form the transfer portal. Only two players on offense and four players on defense returned from last year’s team. He does have a returning quarterback but had to build a new offensive line, which is a team within itself having to learn to work together and build strong chemistry. That takes time and not just a few weeks.  

Advanced Metrics: 

Scoring Defense: 17.0 points per game (16th in FBS) 

Total Defense: 322.3 yards per game (8th in FBS) 

Pass Efficiency Defense: 98.2 rating (3rd in FBS) 

Passing Yards per Game:  (260.0 yards per game) 

Key Matchups 

Indiana's Offense vs. Washington's Defense: Indiana's high-powered offense will be tested by Washington's stout defense. The Hoosiers have scored  
more than 40 points in six straight games, but Washington's pass efficiency defense ranks  
third in the nation. The team returned 10 of 11 offensive players and all 11 defensive players from last year’s team. 

Washington's Offense vs. Indiana's Defense: The Huskies will need to improve their offensive output to keep up with Indiana. Washington's quarterback Will Rogers has thrown for 1,820  
yards and 13 touchdowns, but the Hoosiers' defense has been solid against the run and has  
generated a lot of sacks. 

More Analytics 

As noted, the Hoosier’s are having a historic season, but no regression is expected from this team. In fact, teams that have scored 40 or more points in each of their last 6 games and priced as a home favorite that is taking on a conference foe have gone 35-3 SU and 23-15 ATS for 61% winning bets since 1988. However, one team, Wyoming, was on that 6-game streak of 40 or more points per game in 1988 and then the next team occurred in the 2002 season.  

Betting on home favorites between 5.5 and 9.5-points from week 9 on and facing a foe fresh off a double-digit loss to a conference foe has produced an exceptional 31-11 SU and 28-14 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 5 years. 

Washington is 1-9 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the past two seasons. 

The Predictive Model: My predictive model expects Indiana to score at least 35 points and gain at least 450 total yards and have the same of fewer turnovers. In past games since 1980, Indiana is 91-2 SU and 87-23-3 ATS when scoring 35 or more points; 13-3 SU and 15-1 ATS for 94% winning bets spanning the past 5 seasons. Since 1980, Indiana is 37-12 SU and ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers.  

Louisville vs Boston College 
7:30, Friday, October 25, 2024  
Alumni Stadium 
8-Unit bet on the Boston College priced as 7.5-point dogs. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 22-38 SU and 44-16 ATS (73%) record over the past five seasons. A $100 bettor has made a profit of $2,955 over the past 10 years. The requirements are:  

Bet on underdogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. 

The game occurs during weeks 5 through 9. 

The total is 50 or more points. 

The dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses to conference foes. 

21 SMU vs Stanford 
8 ET, October 19 | ABC | Stanford Stadium 
8-Unit bet on SMU priced as a 16.5-point road favorite. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 34-3 SU (92%) and 26-11 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on double-digit road favorites. 

The game is a conference matchup. 

The favorite has reached the AP poll for the second consecutive week in the current season. 

If the game takes place in week 6 and on out to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 26-2 SU and 21-7 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. 

14 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State 
4:15 ET | SEC Network | Davis Wade Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Texas A&M priced as 18-point favorites. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 44-24 Under good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road favorites priced between 14 and 21 points. 

The game is a conference matchup. 

The opponent allowed 450 or more total yards in each of their last two games. 

If the game occurs from week 8 to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 38-2 SU and 28-12 ATS for 70% winning bets. 

USC vs Maryland 
4 ET | FS1 | SECU Stadium., College Park, MD 
10-Unit bet on Maryland priced as 7.5-point underdogs. 

USC is coming off a near upset win over No. 3 Penn State losing in overtime by three points and after leading deep into the game by double-digits. Teams that lost at home by four or fewer points to a conference foe that was ranked in the top10 and are now on the road and priced as a 3 to 9.5-point favorite are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 32-56 SU (36%) and 60-27-1 ATS good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on dogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. 

That dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses against conference opponents. 

The game occurs between weeks 5 and 9. 

If the game total is 40 or more points these dogs have barked quite loudly posting a 22-27 SU record (45%) and 33-14-2 ATS (70%) over the past 10 seasons. If the team is at home and with any total price, they have gone 15-34 SU and 34-15 ATS for 69% winning bets. 

From the Predictive Model: The predictive model is calling for Maryland to win the turnover battle and have a 5 or greater-minute advantage in time-of-possession. IN past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go 18-3 (86%) and 16-5 ATS (76%) and if playing at home they have gone 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS for 90% winning bets. 

Mike Locksley is in his 10th year at Maryland and is 3-3 on the season. An upset win over a storied program like USC would enhance their chances of going to a popular bowl game as long as they can find a way to win two more games in a difficult second half of their season. They have two home games remaining against Minnesota and Iowa and both are games they can win. They face No. 2 Oregon on the road in week 11 and then at No. 3 Penn State in the season finale. So, the team knows this is a game they have to play as if it is their bowl game, and they are catching USC in a difficult situation as mentioned above.  

USC is 0-5 ATS priced as a favorite between 3.5 and 10 points. USC head coach Lincoln Riley is 2-8 ATS after covering the spread in two of his last three games.  

Houston vs Kansas 
3:30 ET | ESPN+ | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Houston priced as a 5.5-point underdog. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 44-24 Under good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

They committed no more than one turnover in their previous game. 

They won the turnover battle in each of their last two games. 

Virginia vs Clemson 
Noon ET | ACC Network | Memorial Stadium 
8-Unit bet on Clemson priced as a –21 favorite. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 54-17 SU (76%) and 46-23-2 ATS good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams from week 7 on out to the end of the season. 

That team is averaging between 190 and 230 rushing yards per game. 

They held their previous opponent to less than 100 rushing yards. 

The current opponent averages between 140 and 190 rushing yards per game. 

Oklahoma State vs BYU 
10:15 ET, Friday, October 18, 2024 
8-Unit bet on OKST priced as a 9.5-point underdog. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 22-37 SU (37%) and 43-16 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on dogs priced between 4.5 and 11.5 points. 

That dog is coming off two consecutive double-digit losses against conference opponents. 

The total in the game is 50 or more points. 

Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston State 
7 ET |  
8-Unit bet on Sam Houston State priced as a 2.5-point favorite. 

SHST BearKats (Spelling is correct) are 5-1 and 5-1 ATS on the season and favored in this game for the third time this season. They started the season with a 34-14 blowout of Rice priced as a 9.5-point underdog, then in week 5 they took down Texas State priced as a 10—point underdog. So, they are playing with increased confidence each week and now taking on a Hilltoppers team that is 4-2 and 4-1 ATS for the season.  They lost 63-0 to Alabama as a 33.5-point underdog but bounced back with their own 31-0 shutout win over Eastern Kentucky. Their other loss was by one point, 21-20 andpriced as an 8-point underdog to Boston College in Week 5. 

This is a showdown midway through the season as both teams are 2-0 and the winner will be tied with the Liberty Flames at 3-0 in Conference USA action. With a win SHST becomes bowl eligible, which is an impressive turnaround from a 3-9 record last season, which was their first ever as a member of the 134-team FBS division. K.C. Keeler has his team playing well and getting better each week. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 52-29 SU (64%) and 52-27-2 for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on any team that is priced between the 3’s (3-point favorite to a 3-point dog). 

The opponent they face has covered the spread in each of their previous four games. 

If our team is playing at home and taking on a conference foe, they have gone a highly profitable 23-12 SU and 24-9-2 ATS for 73% winning bets. 

From the predictive model: SHST is projected to score 28 or more points in this game and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Hilltoppers allowed 28 or more points and had the same or more turnovers have seen them go just 2-18 SU and 4-15-1 ATS good for 79% winning bets. 

1 Texas vs 18 Oklahoma 
3:30 ET | ABC | Cotton Bowl 
8-Unit Bet on the Texas Longhorns 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 75-14 SU (84%) and 59-28-2 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on a ranked favorite. 

The opponent is also ranked. 

The site is either at home or on a neutral field. 

The game occurs from week 4 on out to the end of the regular season. 

If the favorite is ranked better than the foe by 5 or more positions in the poll (Texas ranked 1 and Oklahoma ranked 18 is 17 positions better) they have gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 27-11 ATS (71%) over the past 10 seasons. The decisive factor is that if the favorite lost to their rival in the previous season they bounce back with a huge 11-0 record and 10-1 ATS good for 91% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

South Carolina vs Alabama 
Noon ET |  
8-Unit Bet on Alabama priced as a 21.5-point favorite. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 36-2 SU (95%) and 28-9-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and has gone 21-2 SU (91%) and 18-4-1 ATS good for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home favorites facing a conference foe. 

The favorite gas seen their last three games play Over the total by 24 or more points. 

The favorite has won 80% or more of their games. 

The opponent has a winning record. 

Northwestern vs Maryland 
8 ET, Friday, October 7, 2024 |  
8-Unit bet on the Northwestern priced as a 10-point underdog. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 31-55 SU (95%) and 58-27-1 ATS good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on dogs of 4.5 to 11.5 points in weeks 5 through 9. 

The dog is coming off two consecutive losses by double-digits to conference foes. 

They are facing a conference foe in the current matchup. 

If our dog has a losing record in the current season, they have gone 28-46 SU (38%) and 51-22-1 ATS (70%) winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State 
7:30 ET, Wednesday | ESPN2 
8-Unit bet on Jax State priced as 20.5-point favorites. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 28-3 SU (90%) and 21-9 ATS good for 70% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on a team that has a yards per game differential between –50 and 50 yards per game. 

The opponent has won 25% or fewer of their games. 

The opponent has been outgained by an average of 100 or more YPG. 

Our team is coming off two consecutive games gaining 475 or more total yards in each one. 

This game is taking place at AmFirst Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida and weather conditions will be potentially very bad and because of Hurricane Milton closing in on the Tampa Bay and Sarasota area this game could be cancelled. Safety is first, with this historic and catastrophic hurricane cutting an 800-mile slice across the middle of the state.  

JAX State ranks 22nd nationally averaging 204 rushing yards per game and will dominate a NMST defense that ranks 133rd nationally allowing an average of 277 rushing yards per game. So, no matter how bad the weather conditions are tonight, there is just no feasible way that the JAX State ground attack will be contained. 

Navy vs Air Force 
Noon ET | CBS/Paramount+ 
Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy 
10-Unit bet on the Falcons priced as 9.5-point underdogs. 

Live Betting optional Strategy: The Under in the Armed Forces games has gone 86-20-2 for 81% winning bets since 2006 and every season has posted a profit. There will be a season where the Over will win the money, but until that happens there is no reason to consider the Over bet and there is just not a number low enough to get me off of playing the Under in these matchups. So, if this game somehow gets off to a faster than expected start and you see the total priced at 42 or more points bet no more than a 5-unit amount on the Under. 

The last time these matchups exceeded 40 points in total was back in the COVID pandemic when Navy and Air Force combined for 47 points on October 13, 2020. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has gone 18-22 SU and 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: 

Bet on home dogs priced between 4.5 and 10 points. 

The dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

The opponent is coming off two straight games where they had fewer turnovers than their opponents. 

If our favorite is undefeated on the season, these home pups become quite fierce posting a 9-11 SU record and a 15-4-1 ATS mark for 79% winning bets. 

From the predictive model: We will be looking for the Air Force to have the same or fewer turnovers and to gain 275 or more rushing yards. In past games in which AF met or exceeded these projections has seen them go 70-12 SU and 57-24-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. If they commit 2 or fewer turnovers, they have gone 68-12 SU and 56-23-1 ATS good for 71% winning bets. If they hold their foes to 15 or more offensive yards-per-point ratio they have gone 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning bets. 

Georgia vs Alabama 
7:30 ET, September 28 
Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, ALA 
8-Unit bet on Georgia using the money line if they are priced as a favorite to 2.5 points.  

Currently priced as one-point favorites. It is doubtful Georgia will be priced as an underdog but if they are then grab the points instead of the money line. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-10 SU (79%) and a 30-18 ATS (63%) since 1980. The requirements are: 

It is game number four. 

Our team is coming off a BYE. 

Our team is favored or priced at pick-em. 

The opponent is coming off a win. 

Our team lost their last meeting with the current opponent. 

If our team is priced between the 3’s (3-point favorite to a 3-point underdog they improve to a 27-11 SU (71%) and a 27-9-2 ATS record goods for 75% winning bets since 1980.  

Illinois vs Penn State 
7:30 ET | NBC 
Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA 
10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 17.5 points. 

Two ranked conference rivals and the home team is favored by almost 20 points. So, the market is clearly telling us who the better team is and by nearly three TDs better. No. 19 Illinois travels to Happy Valley to take on No. 8 Penn State in a game set to start at 7:30 and white-out conditions. That’s not snow conditions, of course, but the 112,000 fans in attendance, who have been tailgating all day. It has been estimated that there are more people in the fields surrounding the Stadium than in the Stadium once the game starts. It is truly a remarkable venue to experience when it is a white-out or a stripe-out occasion.  

Penn State is coming off a BYE week and this is certainly great news for them as under head coach James Franklin they are 21-6 SU and ATS when the game is in the prime-time schedule. The clincher here is that when PSU has been favored in these situations, they have gone 18-0 SU and 15-3 ATS covering the spread by an average of 14 points per game. 

The following betting algorithm has gone 45-1 SU (98%) and 30-15-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. 

Bet conference favorites of 17.5 or more points. 

That favorite is ranked in the top-10 of the latest AP poll. 

The foe is ranked between 11 and 25 in the most recent AP poll. 

 
If the game occurs from week 5 to the end of the season, these favorites have gone 42-1 SU (98%) and 29-14 ATS for 69% winning bets.  

From the predictive model: My predictive models are expecting Penn State to score 31 or more points and hold Illinois to fewer than 300 offensive yards. In past home games under James Franklin, the Lions are 22-0 SU and 17-3-2 ATS for 85% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures. Illinois is 0-15 SU and 4-11 ATS when gaining less than 300 total yards in a road game and allowing 31 or more points. 
 
 

Oklahoma State vs Kansas State 
Noon | ESPN 
Bill Snyder Family Stadium 
8-Unit best bet on the Cowboys priced as 5.5-point underdogs and a sprinkle on the money line. 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 38-31 SU (45%) and 45-24 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road underdogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points. 

The game is a conference matchup. 

The game occurs from week 5 to the end of the regular season. 

The road team is playing with revenge. 

The bettor consensus for this game is on K-State all week but when the line hit 5.5 last night and with the number of tickets bet at 72% and rising and the handle at 58% and dropping is one of many reasons I have added this game to the card.  

V-Tech vs Miami (Fla) 
7:30 ET | ESPN | Friday 
8-Unit bet on Miami priced as 19.5-point favorites. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 31-16 SU (66%) and 30-16-1 for 65% winning bets since 2010 or 15 seasons. 

Bet on undefeated teams from week 4 on out. 

They are averaging 4.8 or more rushing yards per attempt. 

They outgained their previous foe by 125 or more rushing yards. 

The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. 

The total is 55 or fewer points. 

If a conference matchup these teams have gone 24-10 SU and 23-11 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2010 and if our team is a double-digit favorite, they have gone 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% winning bets. 

From the predictive model:  My models are projecting that Miami will score 35 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers as V-Tech. When they have met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone 37-0 DSU and 32-5 ATS good for 87% winning bets spanning the past 10 seasons. 

Kansas State vs BYU 
10:30 EST 
8-Unit Bet on BYU +6.5 points. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. 

Bet on home dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

The opponent had fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games. 

The hoe dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

Tennessee vs Oklahoma 
7:30 ET, Saturday September 21 
8-Unit Bet on Tennessee –6.5 points. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 15-23 SU record for 40% and a 24-14 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Bet on dogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

The favorite is coming off a game in which they scored 60 or more points. 

The favorite held their previous opponent to 14 or fewer points. 

Arizona State vs Texas Tech 
3:30 ET 
8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. 

The team is playing their second straight home game. 

They won the previous game against the current opponent. 

The opponent is playing their second straight road game. 

Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. 

Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane 
Noon EST 
8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. 

The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.  

Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. 

They are priced between the 3’s. 

They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. 

The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG. 

Arizona State vs Texas Tech 
3:30 ET 
8-Unit bet on ASU priced as a 3.5-point underdog. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 16-26 SU record for 38% and a 26-14-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. 

The team is playing their second straight home game. 

They won the previous game against the current opponent. 

The opponent is playing their second straight road game. 

Our team is priced between a 4.5-point favorite and a 4.5-point dog. 

Louisiana Lafayette vs Tulane 
Noon EST 
8-Unit bet on the LLAF plus 1.5 points. 

The best mascot in all of football, the Ragin’ Canjuns take on the Green Wave today at noon. They are backed by a stellar and highly profitable betting system that has gone 45-24 SU and 43-22-5 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.  

Bet on any team scoring 34 or more PPG. 

They are priced between the 3’s. 

They allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. 

The foe is allowing between 21 and 28 PPG. 

South Alabama vs Appalachian State 
7:30 ET 
8-Unit bet on South Alabama plus the 7 points. 

The predictive model sees South Alabama getting out to a fast start in this game so betting 4-Units on them +3.5 or 3-points for the first half and then 4-Unit on them +7 points for the full game is an alternative strategy to consider betting. 

Betting on underdogs between 2 and 6 points using the first half line that are outgaining their foes by 1.0 or more yards per play and are coming off a game in which they gained 475 or more yards have gone 42-14 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

The College Football Betting Algorithm 

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 59-29 record and a 56-31 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on teams that are gaining 4.75 or more rushing yards per attempt. 

That team outgained their previous opponent by 125 or more rushing yards. 

The opponent is averaging 4.3 to 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. 

The team is coming off a game in which they scored 50 or more points. 

If our team is an underdog of any size, they have gone 8-14 SU but 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. 

The South Alabama Jaguars have a new coach in Major Applewhite, who had just four offensive and three defensive starters returning but he has the new starters playing quite well and why not he was their OC last year. Since joining the FBS in 2012 they stopped 10 consecutive losing seasons and had the second biggest bowl victory (59-10 over Eastern Michigan).  

1 Georgia vs Kentucky 

7:30 ET ABC/ESPN+ 
Korger Field, Lexington, KY 

8-Unit Bet on the Georgia Bulldogs minus 24 points. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 158-52 straight-up (SU) and 136-72-2 against the spread (ATS) for 65.4% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road teams. 

The road team has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games. 

The opponent is coming off a 17 or more-point loss.  

If the game is a conference showdown and the road team is favored by double-digits they have gone on post a 72-6 SU and 53-25 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 15 seasons and a highly profitable 44-4 SU and 36-12 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and not a single season that has not been profitable.  

I do not like laying this amount of chalk with any road team, but we are talking about the best team in the nation and the best program in college football for the past five seasons.  

Here is a second simple to understand betting algorithm that has gone 57-23 ATS for 71% winning bets and a highly profitable 40% ROI since 2020. The requirements are: 

The team has the same quarterback from the previous season. 

The opponent has a new quarterback this season. 

The team has allowed fewer than 200 yards in each of their last two games. 

The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Georgia will score 35 or more points, will have the same or fewer turnovers as Kentucky, and will rush the ball more times than they pass. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Georgia is 38-0 SU and 24-13-1 ATS for 65% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points; they are 18-0 SU and 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points, posting more rushes than passes and having the same or fewer turnovers. 

Boston College vs Missouri 
12:45 ET |  
8-Unit Bet on Missouri currently priced as a 14.5-point favorite. 

Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 180-40 SU and 126-88-6 ATS record for 59% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home or neutral site favorites of three or more points. 

Both teams are ranked in the Top 25. 

The game is part of the regular season. 

If the guest has covered the spread by 25 or more points over their last two games (Exceeded market expectations significantly) our home favorite has gone 28-3 SU and 21-9-1 for 70% winning bets. 

Missouri head coach Eliah Drinkwitz has nine returning starters including his quarterback. Last season they played 11 teams that played in a bowl game, and they defeated 10 of those foes. Their offense has sputtered in the first two weeks but having a BC squad that has shocked two opponents will get their full attention. Keep an eye on WR Luther Burden III, who is fast becoming a first round draft pick and future NFL superstar. If there are any prop bets for him in today’s game the OVER with some pizza money is in order. 

The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is expecting Missouri to score 31 or more points and/or gain at least 1.1 or more yards per play than BC gains. In past games where Missouri met or exceeded this performance measure in home games has seen them go 21-0 SU and 16-5 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa 
Noon, Saturday, September 14 
ESPN2 | Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK 
8-unit bet on Tulsa priced as an 18.5-point underdog. 

In each of the past 9 consecutive seasons I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 or more points win the game outright and in 2022 I had five of these massive dogs pull off the shocker. No one knows when these monumental upsets will occur. What i do know is that if you play these big barking pups each time and include a sprinkle on the money line you will add a significant amount of profits to your season-long bottom line. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has gone 43-50 straight-up (SU) and 58-33-2 against the spread (ATS) for 64% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet against any team coming off a win. 

That team allowed 600 or more total yards in that win. 

That team committed fewer turnovers than their previous opponent. 

If the game has a posted total of 50 or more points and that team above is favored by 11.5 or more points, fading then has produced a 18-7-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets. 

The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Tulsa will score 27 or more points and convert at least 40% of their third down attempts. In past games in which Tulsa met or exceeded these projections has led to a 5-5 SU record and a perfect 10-0 ATS record.

Arizona vs Kansas State 
8:00 ET |  
8-Unit Bet on Arizona currently priced as a 7-point underdog. 

Let’s start with the NCAAF betting algorithm that has produced a 44-76 SU and 70-47-3 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. 

They had a winning record last season (bowl team). 

They are coming off a win priced as the favorite but failed to cover the spread. 

The game occurs in the first six weeks of the season. 

The second betting algorithm supporting Arizona has gone 40-23-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and the requirements are: 

Bet on road dogs priced between pick-em and 9.5 points. 

They are coming off a win. 

In that win they failed to cover the spread by not even scoring enough points to exceed how much of a favorite they were in that game. 

They are facing an undefeated foe. 

So, Arizona was priced as a 43-point favorite and won the game 22-10. They failed toscore the betting line by 21 points, which is a quite rare result in college football. In fact, there have been just 6 games since 1996 that have seen a team win and failed by 21 points to equal their betting line. Moreover, teams that failed by 21 or more points to equal their betting line have gone 8-11 SU and 0-19 ATS in those games. Following these situations these teams have posted a 10-7 SU record and 10-7 ATS mark.  

The Predictive Model Projections: The predictive model is forecasting that Arizona will score 28 or more points and will gain 0.75 or more yards-per-play than K-State. In past games spanning the past five seasons, Arizona is 45-23 SU and 42-24-2 ATS fof64% winning bets when scoring 28 or more points; they are 22-7 SU and 19-10 ATS for 65.5% winning bets when they outgained their foes by 0.75 or more yards per play; 17-2 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets when they have scored 28 or more points and outgained their foes by at least 0.75 yards per play.  

Texas Tech vs Washington State 
10 ET, Saturday September 7, 2024 | FOX 
Gesa Field, Pullman, WA 
8-Unit Bet on the Texas Tech +2.5 points 

The Red Raiders are coming off a big-time scare as they needed overtime to defeat Abeline Christian 52-51 priced as a whopping 31.5-point favorite. That has been a very rare situation, but if you have been a log-time subscriber you already know I have had at least one underdog of 17.5 points that has won straight-up. Of course, I never know when those monster upsets will occur, but it is always rewarding when we nail one of them. 

I think there has been an overreaction to the the near historic loss that Texas Tech overcame last week.  That type of game will get their attention, and you can bet the coaching staff has been in their players’ faces all week. 

This Situational CFB Betting Algorithm has gone 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS and is as rare as the outcome of last week’s game. 

Bet on road underdogs. 

The dog is coming off a home win. 

They won the game by four or fewer points priced as a –24 or more-point favorite. 

They are taking on a non-conference foe. 

If the game occurs in week 2 these road teams have bounced back with a 4-5 SU and 7-2 ATDS mark good for 78% winning bets. 

My predictive model projects that TT will score at least 30 points and in past games since 2019 they are 24-10 SU and 26-8 ATS for 77% winning bets. WSU is just 3-18 SU and 5-16 ATS for 24% winning bets when they have allowed 31 or more points in games played over the past 5 seasons. 

East Carolina vs Old Dominion 
6 ET ESPN+ 
S.B. Ballard Stadium, Norfolk, VA 
8-Unit bet on ODU priced as a –1.5-point favorite. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: 

The game is played in Week 2. 

The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. 

The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. 

The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent. 

Marshall vs Virginia Tech 
4:30 ET, September 7 | The CW Network 
Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA 
8-Unit Bet on V-Tech minus 20.5 points. 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 22-4 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) record since 1999. The requirements are: 

The game is played in Week 2. 

The team played in a bowl game in the previous season. 

The team is coming off a loss in Week 1 and is favored now. 

The team lost the previous game tp the current opponent. 

Wyoming vs Arizona State 
8-Unit bet on the Wyoming Cowboys getting 6.5 points.  

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has produced a 92-49-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: 

The game is played in the regular season. 

The difference between the money bet (handle) and the percentage of tickets is between 11 and 65%.  

The line movement from opening to closing price is between –0.5 and –9.5 points. 

The team is the visitor. 

The spread percentage is between 24 and 40%. 

So, we have a situation in the markets where the percentage of money bet less the percentage of tickets bet shows that the handle percentage is 11 to 65% more than the tickets percentage. The difference from opening to closing price has worked against the team we are betting on.  Currently the line has moved only a half point from +7 to +6.5 points and only 33% of the tickets but 62% of the money is on the Cowboys. 

No. 14 Clemson vs No. 1 Georgia 
Noon ET, August 31, 2024 | ABC/ESPN+ 
10-Unit Bet on Georgia priced at 12-point favorites. 

3-Unit Pizza-Money bet Under Clemson’s team total 

Consider betting 70% of your 10-Unit bet on Georgia preflop and then look to add 15% on Georgia at –10.5 points and 15% more on Georgia at –7.5 points.  

I have learned and profited from this week 1 matchups involving two ranked teams over the years and now this one looks quite string. Remember to bet with your head and not over it. These 10-Unit 5% Max Bets have lost 33% ATS of the time over the past five football seasons. No one knows if the bet is going to win on any given day – confident bets are different than being Nostradamus – but I rely on the fact that they have hit at great winning percentages over 5+ seasons and that by the end of the season we have reason to believe that significant profits will be made again. 

In week 1 of the regular season and with both teams playing their first game, both are ranked in the AP preseason poll and the difference between these ranks is between 1 and 19, the higher ranked team has gone 28-19 ATS for 60% winners. So, Georgia is ranked #1 and Clemson #14 for a difference of 13.  

In week 1 and 2 matchups of ranked teams, the favorites priced between –3 and –17.5 points that are playing at home or on a neutral field have gone 37-22-1 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 20 seasons; in Week 1 action they have gone 24-12 ATS for 67% winning bets.  

From the Predictive Model 

We are expecting Georgia to score 28 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than Clemson. In past games played at home or on a neutral field Georgia is 25-0 SU and 19-5-1 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers spanning the past three seasons. Since the arrival of Kirby Smart, Georgia is 52-2 SU and 38-15-1 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2016 when scoring 28 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. 

Clemson is an anemic 1-6 and 0-7 ATS in games played on the road or a neutral field where they allowed 28 or more points and had the same of more turnovers than the foe spanning the past three seasons. Under Dabo Swinney, the Tigers are just 14-24 SU and 9-29 ATS for 24% winners when allowing 28 or more points and having the same or more turnovers since 2008. 

The predictive model grades this a 10-Unit 5% Max bet with an 84% probability that the performance measures identified above will occur in the game. 

Coach Smart is in his ninth season and is 94-16 SU and 70-43 ATS and this has been accomplished in the SEC Conference. In a somewhat rare situation, he returns 7 starters on both offense and defense and had the top-ranked recruiting class. This is rare because over the last two seasons, he has sent 25 players to the NFL. However, this season he has his returning starting quarterback Carson Beck, who is coming off a 13-1 campaign and a Archie Maning award finalist.  He led the Bulldogs to a 5-1 SUATS record when facing Top-25 opponents. Since Smart’s arrival, Georgia has gone 28-10 and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when facing a ranked foe either at home or on a neutral field.  
 
Good Luck to Us and remember always bet with your head and never over it and may all the wins be yours. 

Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
7:30 PM EST | ESPN
8-Unit bet on Washington plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog, but I do not see this line moving if at all ahead of kickoff.

With a total that is already in the mid-50’s, there is reason to believe scoring volatility will be present and that there may be several lead changes along the way. So, consider betting 70% of your amount preflop and then look to add 15% at Washington +6.5 and 15% more at Washington +7.5points during the first half of action. Another consideration is to bet 70% preflop and then look to add 30% more if Michigan scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead during the first half of action. I also like a pizza money size bet on Washington’s team total over 24.5 points.

This is just the second team from the PAC-12 to make it to the CFP championship game. On January 12, 2015, Oregon faced off against Ohio State in the first CFP Championship game and lost 42-20 as 6-point favorites. Current Philadelphia Eagles backup QB Marcus Mariota was the Heisman Trophy winner along with the Walter Camp Player of the Year, Maxwell Award, Johnny Unitas Golden Arm, and AP Player of the Year awards. Ohio State’s DL Joey Bosa was the only Buckeye to earn Consensus All-American that season. Oregon was 13-1 with one conference loss while Ohio State was 13-1 under Urban Meyer having just one loss losing in Week 2 on the road at Virginia Tech 35-21 as 10.5-point favorites. A little history of the only PAC-12 vs Big Ten Championship game as the rest have been dominated by the SEC Conference.

Underdogs of 6.5 or fewer points are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS for 71% in the Championship game. The first five Championship games saw a dog of 6.5 or fewer points cover the spread. When the dog has covered the Over has gone 4-1.

Betting on underdogs using the money line that are priced between +150 and +300 invovling a matchup of team that both average 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after the 8th game of the season and with our team coming off a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover has earned a 31-24 record averaging a +225 wager and earning a 67% ROI over the past five seasons.

Washington head coach DeBoer is 19-2 SU in all games; 5-0 SU as an underdog; 11-1 SU after scoring 35 or more points; 17-1 SU following a win; 14-1 SU after a game in which they committed no more than one turnover; 9-1 SU after two consecutive games gaining 6.25 or more YPPL. Harbaugh is just 3-8 SU in road and neutral site games against non-conference foes.

From the predictive model, we are expecting Washington to score 27 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Washington met or exceeded these measures they went on to an outstanding 24-3 SU and 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets over the previous five season and 4-1 ATS in those games if priced as the underdog. Michigan is 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS when allowing 27 or more points and having the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 5 seasons.

10-Unit MAX Bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -6 points.

The market is telling you that Texas is the better team since they are favored but ranked No.3 to Washington’s No. 2. That does not tell us the complete story, though, so let’s dig deep here and learn why Texas is my pick and why I do believe Texas will win the National Championship. So, if you have watched the shows I appear on, the one consistent theme since Week 1 was that I saw Texas and Penn State colliding in the National Championship and had bet each one individually. So, now we have Texas left on the betting slips and even at current pricing.

Texas is 14-3 ATS on a neutral field with a total between 56.5 and 63 points. Undefeated teams playing in a bowl game or the CFP and dressed as a dog have gone 1-5 ATS and 0-6 SU. Washington has played tough games winning their last three games by three or fewer points. Texas has won their last three games by 10, 50, and 28 points respectively. Texas QB Ewers threw for 464 yards in the Big-12 Championship game that they won 49-21 over Oklahoma State. They have covered the spread in five of their last six and three straight and the market is simply not catching up to the true market value of Texas.

Three models that I have developed over decades of research prices Texas as a 9.5-point favorite over Washington. However, this does not imply that simply betting Texas is an easy winner. Instead it informs us that there is plenty of value betting Texas which increases are odds to win this 10-Unit bet, but certainly never a guarantee.

From the predictive model, Texas is expected to score 30 or more points and execute more rushing plays than passing plays. In this situation they are 87-9 SU and 71-24-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2015. Washington is 5-50 SU and 8-46-1 ATS for 15% when they allowed these measures since 2015.

Betting on elite rushing teams gaining 4.8 or more YPRA from Week 7 on out, is coming off a game limited that opponent to less than 100 rushing yards and now facing a foe that is averaging 4.35 to 4.75 YPRA has earned a 78-41 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Mississippi vs Penn State
Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

Noon, Saturday December 30
10-Unit Bet on Penn State minus 5.5 points and is valid to 7 points.

Consider betting 75% of your betting amount preflop and the look to add 25% more with PSU priced at pick-em or better during the first half of action. Another option is to add 25% if Mississippi scores the first TD of the game or retakes the lead with a TD score during the first half of action.

Some notes of interest about the Peach Bowl. The 2023 Peach Bowl game is a college football bowl game that will feature No. 10 Penn State and No. 11 Ole Miss on Saturday, Dec. 30 at noon ET. The game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, and will be televised by ESPN.

This will be the first-ever meeting between the two programs, and only the sixth Big Ten vs. SEC matchup in the Bowl's history. Both teams finished the regular season with 10-2 records and are looking to end the year ranked in the Top-10 Final poll.

Penn State boasts the nation's top-ranked defense based on my comprehensive power rankings. They are expected to slow down the high-octane Mississippi Rebel offense for the entire game. That does noy imply that Mississippi will be held scoreless, but rather that the Mississippi offense will not keep pace with the PSU offense led by sophomore 5-star

The Peach Bowl game will be a clash of styles, as Penn State's stingy defense will try to slow down Ole Miss's high-powered offense. Both teams have a chance to make history, as Penn State can become the first program to win every bowl game that comprises the New Year's Six, and Ole Miss can win its first New Year's Six bowl game under head coach Lane Kiffin.

PSU is 9-1 ATS as a favorite this season; 11-1 ATS after playing two consecutive games against conference foes over the past two seasons; 9-1 ATS in December games; James Franklin is 12-2 ATS when having won 8 or more of their previous 10 games; 16-1 Ats following back-to-back double-digit wins over conference foes; 9-1 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 275 or more passing yards per game.

Notre Dame vs Oregon State
Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas
2 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Oregon State Beavers plus the 6.5 points

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more with OSU priced at 10.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting on neutral field underdogs that are facing a foe that has won 60 to 85% of their games and has won three of their last four games has earned a 32-10 record good for 77% winning bets since 2014.  

The predictive models I have developed reveal that OSU is 23-6 SU and 25-4 ATS for 86%) when scoring 28 or more -points and gaining at least 150 rushing yards since 2019.

Clemson vs Kentucky

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl | Noon ET, Friday
8-Unit Bet on Kentucky plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

This bowl game features a team from the SEC going up against a team from the ACC ro another conference if no ACC teams are available. Here are some more interesting facts about the Gator Bowl.

Some facts about the Gator Bowl Football Game are:

The first Gator Bowl was played on January 1, 1946, between Wake Forest and South Carolina, with Wake Forest winning 26-14.

The most recent Gator Bowl was played on December 30, 2022, between Notre Dame and South Carolina, with Notre Dame winning 30-33.

The Gator Bowl has hosted four national championship teams: Georgia Tech in 1952, Florida in 1996, Tennessee in 1998, and Florida State in 2013.

The Gator Bowl has featured some of the most memorable moments in college football history, such as the “Fog Bowl” in 1959, the “Lindsey Scott Miracle Run” in 1980, the “Gator Flop” in 1971, and the “Woody Hayes Punch” in 1978.

The Gator Bowl has also showcased some of the most prominent players and coaches in college football history, such as Bobby Bowden, Steve Spurrier, Peyton Manning, Tim Tebow, Joe Namath, and Johnny Unitas.

Clemson (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) had a disappointing season by its own standards, losing four games for the first time since 2014. The Tigers struggled offensively, ranking 56th in the nation in scoring with 29.2 points per game. Quarterback Cade Klubnik had a solid debut season, throwing for 2,580 yards and 19 touchdowns, but also had eight interceptions. The Tigers relied on their running game, led by Phil Mafah and Will Shipley, who combined for 1,692 yards and 14 touchdowns. Clemson’s defense was solid, allowing only 19.9 points per game and ranking fifth in the nation in passing defense. However, the Tigers will be without some key players on defense, such as linebacker Jeremiah Trotter and defensive end Ruke Orhorhoro, who opted out of the bowl game. Most importantly, they are very thin at the cornerback position and any injury, even if minor that removes the starting corners out fo the game for a few plays, will present some high percentage chunk plays for Kentucky.

Kentucky (7-5, 6-6 ATS) had a roller-coaster season, winning its first four games before losing five of its next seven. The Wildcats had a balanced offense, averaging 28.6 points per game and ranking 95th in passing and 96th in rushing. Quarterback Devin Leary, a transfer from NC State, had a breakout season, throwing for 2,440 yards and 23 touchdowns, with 10 interceptions. He had a trio of reliable receivers in Dane Key, Barion Brown and Tayvion Robinson, who each had over 400 yards and four touchdowns. The Wildcats also had a star running back in Ray Davis, who rushed for 1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns. Davis declared for the NFL Draft, but will play in the bowl game.

Kentucky’s defense was average, allowing 26.8 points per game and ranking 65th in total defense. The Wildcats thrived on forcing turnovers, as they had 21 takeaways, including 14 interceptions.

Head coach Stoops is 23-13 ATS when facing a non-conference game. Clemson is 3-12 ATS after allowing 14 or fewer points in games played over the past three seasons; 1-8 ATS after allowing seven or fewer points in the first of each of their ;ast two games in games played over the past three seasons.  

USC vs Louisville

8 ET | Fox | Holiday Bowl
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
8-Unit bet on the Trojans plus the 7 0oints and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on teams priced as 4.5 or greater underdogs in a bowl game and covered the spread in three or fewer games on the season have produced a 14-9-2 ATS mark good for 61% winning bets dating back to the 1989 season.

The market has overreacted to how poorly USC played down the stretch ranking 11th best in total offense but a horrid 120th in total defense nationally and the fact that their 2022 Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams has opted out of this bowl game. It is also a fact that PAC-12 Bowl teams have gone a shocking 0-16 ATS when coming off a SU and ATS loss in their season finale. However, that trend is mature and statistically poised to move in the other direct over the coming bowl seasons. Problem is there I no PAC-12 conference starting next season. Trends like this one reflect a market that has continuously relied on it and others and the result is an undervalued underdog, especially in this matchup.

USC has a new defensive coordinator who will prepare this Trojan team better than in any of the previous 8 games this season and further they have the motivation to play hard and put the those terrible defensive games in the rearview mirror heading into Spring Football. Lincoln Kennedy is an elite coach and is 6-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points in bowl games. If this game was priced before the season started the trojans would have been 9.5-point favorites.

The predictive models inform us that USC is 69-4 SU and 55-16-1 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have been priced as a dog, scored 27 or more points, and had the same or fewer turnovers.

Northwestern vs. Utah
68 Ventures Bowl, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
7:30 PM EST, Saturday December 23, 2023
8-Unit bet on Northwestern plus the 6 points and is valid down to 4 points.

Teams that became bowl eligible coming off a season in which they won three of fewer games and playing a foe that won four or more games in their previous season has earned an outstanding 34-19 SU record and 38-12-3 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team is a member of the Power 5 conferences (PAC-12, ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big-12) they have gone a highly profitable 18-3 ATS for 86% winning bets. Northwestern is a member of the Big Ten and certainly outperformed everyone’s expectations this season given they were priced with a 2.5 wins total before the season started.

UTSA vs Marshall
Frisco Bowl
9 ET December 19
8-Unit bet on Marshall plus 7.5 points and is valid bet if they remain the dog

UTSA is coming off a 29-16 loss as a 3.5-point underdog to Tulane in their previous game. Marshall is coming off a 35-21 win as 1-point underdog over Arkansas State in their season finale and that momentum will carry over to this bowl game. Marshall has seen 11 players enter the transfer portal with their sophomore quarterback Cam Fancher entering the portal December 11. However, Marshall is quite deep in the quarterback position.

Marshall faces a quarterback conundrum with a major transfer triggering a rise in the betting lines to a double-digit spread. However, there is not going to be a significant drop-off if this opens the door for Cole Pennington, son of former NFL QB Chad Pennington, to step in under center. In fact, I see no change to a potential better offense with Pennington calling the signals.  He completed 49-of-79 passes for 437 yards including 6 TD and 3 interceptions in three games, including starts against Georgia Southern and South Alabama. So, his potential is quite high, and he already has proven he can run an efficient offense.

From the predictive model we are looking for Marshall to score 24 or more points and gain at least 5 yards per play has seen them produce a 56-12 record and a 42-25-1 ATS record over the last 10 seasons. If they were an underdog in these games, they have gone 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

SMU vs Tulane
American Athletic Championship
4:00 ET | ABC
8-Unit bet on Tulane minus the three points and is good up to 4.5 points, but that is unlikely to occur.

Betting on a team that has covered the spread by 50 or more points over their past 5 games both teams have won 80% or more of their games and the total of the game is 45 or more points has earned a 54-25-3 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015.

From the predictive model, we learn that Tulane is 62-14 SU and 57-19 ATS for 75% winning bets when scoring 24 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. SMU is 16-94 SU and 27-83 ATS for 24.5% winning bets when allowing 24 or more points and having the same or more turnovers.

Iowa vs Michigan
8:00 EST | FOX
Big Ten Championship
8-Unit best Bet on Iowa as long as they are 20 or more-point underdogs.
A small sprinkle with pizza money using the money line is worth it.

I also like betting over the Iowa Team Total for 5-Units.

Iowa is on a 6-0 ATS win streak when away from home and having allowed 75 or fewer rushing yards in their previous game; 18-7 on the road and when coming off a win by 6 or fewer points. Iowa head coach Ferentz is 38-19 ATS in games with a posted total of 42 or fewer points; 40-18 ATS when facing an elite passing team averaging 8 or more YPPA. Iowa is 20-23 SU and 26-14-3 ATS when playing with triple revenge and 16-9-3 ATS when taking on a conference foe and 8-2 ATS since 2014.

Back in 2016 on November 12, Iowa as priced as a 24-point underdog to Michigan, and they defeated them 14-13 and the score at the half was 10-8 Michigan. Michigan got out to a 10-0 lead, then Iowa scored on a safety and added a TD, but failed to convert the 2-pointer. In the second half Iowa added a FG to take a 11-10 lead. Michigan followed q with a FG with 9 minutes left in the game and then place kicker Duncan hit a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game to win it. Think history repeats?

It is a long shot for Iowa to pull off the upset and there is defense will have to play their best game yet this season. The four defenses in the nation based on my power ratings are in the Big Ten and Iowa is one of them. Iowa ranks 4th in scoring defense allowing 12.2 PPG, tops with a 0.171 opponent points per play ratio, second allowing just 3.9 yards per play, second allowing 5.0 yards per pass. They play smart and rank third averaging 3.3 penalties per game. Michigan is also a great defense, but if Iowa can force Michigan into second and third and long yardage situations, they are going to keep the game close and get into the fourth quarter with a single score margin. At that point, who knows what could happen. Iowa may not need their offense to be productive if they generate turnovers and perhaps even get a pick six. That is a lot to ask for if the game was priced at pick-em, but it’s not and we are getting 22 points to assume the risk.

Louisville vs FSU
ACC Championship
8 ET | 8-Unit Best Bet on FSU minus the point.

FSU is not a team based on a star quarterback. They are a complete team and no one talks about their defense that ranks 8th nationally allowing 17.1 PPG and 7th posting a 0.252 points per play allowed ratio. They are the BEST passing defense in the nation allowing 47% completions and 8th with a 9.08% sack percentage. It will be the defense that will get the job done and limit Louisville’s offensive production.

FSU is 8-1 when facing an above average passing team completing 64% or more of their passes.

[QB] Tate Rodemaker (Head) - Doubtful () [12/01/2023] => Rodemaker is tending to a head injury, and it is unlikely that he will take on Louisville in the ACC Championship game. So, Brock Glenn is likely to start under center for the Seminoles and he is an outstanding talent and athlete with size at 6-3 and 220 pounds and a huge arm. Four-star prospect ranked as No. 13 quarterback nationally and No. 7 overall prospect in Tennessee by 247Sports…rated as country’s 15th-highest quarterback prospect by Rivals, 17th by ESPN and 25th by On3…made Elite 11 Finals in summer of 2022…accounted for more than 4,500 yards of total offense and 68 touchdowns during prep career…passed for 3,928 yards and 57 touchdowns with only 13 interceptions and added 654 rushing yards with 11 touchdowns…led Lausanne to eight wins and advanced to quarterfinal round of Tennessee High School Division II Class AA playoffs his senior season…was 74-of-126 passing for 1,413 yards and 18 touchdowns and added 443 rushing yards and seven touchdowns while averaging 9.8 yards per carry…led Lynx to semifinal round of state playoffs and nine wins in 2021…completed 97 of 155 passes for 1,576 yards and 23 touchdowns…also rushed for 161 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries…played six games his sophomore year, passing for 912 yards and 15 touchdowns and rushing for 28 yards on 12 carries…was 1-of-1 passing for 27 yards and rushed for 22 yards in one appearance as a freshman.

Washington vs. Oregon
8-Unit Best Bet on the Oregon Ducks minus the 10 points and this line may drop to 9.5 or fewer points as kickoff approaches.

Betting on teams that are gaining 5.8 or more RYPA and coming off a game in which they allowed fewer than 100 yards and now facing a foe that gaining between 4.3 and 4.8 RYPA has earned a solid 125-70 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive mode, we learn that Oregon is 122-4 SU and 87-3% winning bets when scoring 35 or more points and having the same or fewer interceptions thrown. If they have scored 41 or more points and did not throw an interception has produced a 71-1 SU record and 54-15-2 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets.

New Mexico State vs Liberty
C-USA Championship
8-Unit Best Bet on the Liberty Flames -10.5 points and is valid up to -12 points.

Undefeated teams facing a foe with three or more losses in their Conference Championship game are 41-7 SU and 13-17 ATS for 65% winners since 1996. If our team si favored they are 41-5 SU and 31-15 ATS for 67.4% winners. If a double-digit favorite they have gone 34-3 SU and 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets.

From the predictive models we learn that Liberty is 41-8 SU and 36-10-1 ATS in games in which they have scored 31 or more points since 2018. Plus, if they score28 or more -points and gain 450 or more yards has produced a 32-3 SU mark and 26-8-1 ATS record good for 77 % winning bets.

Clemson vs South Carolina
7:30 ET | Saturday
Williams Brice Stadium, Atlanta
8-Unit Best bet on South Carolina plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on home underdogs between 3.5 and 12.5 points that are riding a three or more-game win streak and facing a foe that has won at least their previous game and with a total of 50 or more points has gone 44-21-1 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system has not had a losing season spanning this 10-season slice of games.

SC is 5-6 and needs the win to be bowl eligible and that is far more motivation that what Clemson has to grab a hold of as they conclude their very disappointing season already with four losses. Clemson is 0-7 ATS failing to cover by an average of 13.6 PPG after allowing seven or fewer points in the first half of each of their last two games.

Alabama vs Auburn
Iron Bowl | 3:30 ET
8-Unit bet on Auburn +13 points and is good down to 11.5 points.

Auburn head coach Freeze is a solid 31-14 ATS when priced as the dog for his career and 16-4-1 ATS when facing a strong passing attack that is completing 62% or more of their passes.

Betting on home underdogs that are allowing an average of 5.2 to 6.2 YPPL and facing a foe that is an elite offense gaining 6.2 or more YPPL and is coming off two consecutive games gaining an average of 6.2 or more YPPL in each game has earned an outstanding 90-42-2 ATS for 68% winning bets. Not a single unprofitable season over the past 10 seasons.

Ohio State vs Michigan
Noon EST, Saturday
10-Unit Best Bet on Ohio State plus the 3 points

Since 1980, there have been 34 games pitting 10 or more-win teams against each other and the DOGS have gone 13-21, but 20-12-2 ATS for 63% winning bets. If both teams have 10 wins exact, the dog has gone 8-8 SU and 12-4 ATS for 75% and there have been just three matchups featuring 11-0 teams and the DOG is 3-0 SUATS.

Bet Over OSU points total of 20.5 points -115

Highest scoring half being the second +115

First Half three-way on OSU +150 to be leading at the half.
Note: OSU and Michigan have only been tied three times at the half since 1980 and the three-way line for a tie is only +600, which is horrid value. In those three games that were tied at the half OSU won all three games.

In a matchup of undefeated teams in weeks 12 or 13, the dog has gone 8-10 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets since 1987. If the dog is priced at single-digits, they have gone 7-5 SU and 9-3 ATS for 75% winners.

I absolutely love the OSU defense right now and that is the part of this team no one is talking about. Since allowing 17 points in a 37-17 win over Maryland they have allowed an average of 8.5 PPG over their last six games. They have allowed more than 200 passing yards just one this season and that was back in Week 3 action where they won 63-10 over Western Kentucky and second and third stringers were in the game. So, overall OSU ranks 2nd in scoring defense allowing 9.5 PPG and second to Michigan, who is #1 allowing 9 PPG, but have played a much easier schedule. OSU ranks best nationally with a 0.145 points per play ratio, best allowing 3.9 YPPL, second-best allowing 27% third down conversions, best allowing 4.7 YPPA, and #2 allowing 145 PYPG.

Michigan is not a good passing team ranking 61st averaging 228 YPG so they are going to struggle mightily to move the chains on any third and long situation.

This game could come down a field goal and that is not good news for Michigan, who ranks 124th of 137 D1 programs making just 56% of their attempts this season. OSU ranks 15th converting 88% of their field goal attempts.

From the model we are expecting OSU to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games OSI when in this role have gone 145-5 SU and 106-40-4 ATS for 73% winners and when priced as the road dog, they are 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

UTSA vs Tulane
3:30 ET | ABC
Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
10-UNIT BEST BET on UTSA plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Betting on road underdogs that are scoring between 28 and 34 PPG, facing a foe with a defense allowing an average between 16 and 21 PPG, after week 6 of the regular season and is coming off a game in which they scored 24 or more points in the first half has earned a highly profitable 22-10 ATS for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team also scored 42 or more points in their previous game, the improve to a stellar 15-6 ATS for 71.4% winners.

Betting on road teams facing a foe that has lost to the spread by 49 or more total points over their last 5 games with the game occurring in weeks 10 through 13 has earned a solid 60-28-1 ASTS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road team has three or fewer losses on the season, they soar to a 23-9-1 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

UTSA is 14-1 SU when facing a defense allowing 58% or higher completion percentage over the past two seasons; 11-1 SU when facing an elite offense that is gaining 5.9 or more yards per play over the past three seasons.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State
7:30 PM EST Thanksgiving Day
8-UNIT Best Bet on Mississippi State plus the 10 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

Ole Miss is on a 2-9 ATS streak following a game in which forced no more than a single turnover. Betting on home underdogs between +155 and +325 on the money line that are coming of a game in which they did not commit a turnovers and now facing a foe that has committed no more than a single turnover in each of their two previous games has gone 23-17 SU averaging a +198 money line wager and earning a highly profitable 92% ROI.

Miss State needs the qin to become bowl eligible and there are 8 returning starters on that offense that will want to do just that especially against their state rival Ole Miss squad. I think that motivating factor for State is significant and may be the edge that gets them within single digits and a possible win.

Syracuse vs Georgia Tech
Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta
8:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Syracuse plus the 6.5 points

Consider betting the Orange with 60% of your normal betting amount for an 8-Unit Titan. Then if the first score of the game is a TD by GT add 30% on the LIVE in-game line. Next, add the remaining 10% if GT earns the first two scores of the game by two TDs or a TD followed by a FG or even a safety. The next scenario for either the 30% or the 10% is to bet Syracuse if they lose the lead during the first half of action.

Betting on teams that allowed 17 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that is coming off a loss by 17 or more points has earned a 345-86 SU record and a 249-175-7 ATS mark good for 59% winning bets since 2009. If we drill down and filter that our team is on the road, their record improves to 163-47 (78%) and 138-70-2 ATS for 66% winning bets. If then add in only those games with a total between 50 and 54.5 points their record soars to a remarkable 48-10 SU (83%) and 43-15 ATS mark for 74% winning tickets. If our team is a dog of 2.5 or more points, they have gone 9-1 ATS for 90% winners.

Both teams need the win to be bowl eligible and Syracuse does have a winnable game against Wake Forest in their finale. G-Tech has No. 1 Georgia on deck and no chance to win that game so there is a lot on the line for both programs. I like what I saw out of the Orange offense last week in their 28-13 road win over Pittsburgh scoring 21 points in the second half and hold Pitt scoreless. Granted, it was on a neutral field, but nevertheless the Orange looked solid on both sides of the ball, and I see that positive development carrying over to this game as well.

Oregon vs Arizona State
4:00 PM EST
Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
8-Unit best Bet on ASU plus the 24.5 points

•        23-10 ATS for 70% winning tickets since 2006.

•       If our team is playing at home

4-3 SU | 6-1 ATS (86%) since 2015

LIVE in-game strategy is to bet 80% preflop at +24.5 and then look for Oregon to score a touchdown and look to get the remaining 20% at 27.5 or more points during the first half of action.

No.3 Michigan vs Maryland
SECU Stadium, College Park, MD
12:00 ET
8-Unit Best Bet on Maryland plus the 18.5 points and sprinkle the money line.

Undefeated teams play on the road as a conference favorite and facing a host that Has won 60% or more of their games from Week 10 on out have gone 46-61-1 ATS for 57% winners and if the host is coming off a conference win and covered the spread by 7 or fewer points has earned a 5-10 ATS mark for 33% winners. So, fading these undefeated teams is the way to go late in the regular season.

From the predictive model, we learn that Maryland has gone 8-2 ATS as a home dog when they have had fewer turnovers than the guest and 12-6 ATS when having the same or fewer turnovers.

Buffalo vs Miami (Ohio)

7 ET, Wednesday

8-Unit Best bet on the Buffalo Bulls plus the 9

points and is valid if the price stays above 8

points.

Betting on a road team that has struggled to win 25 to 40% of their games, facing a winning record host and has seen their last three games play Under the total by at least 21 points in total has earned a solid 86-56-2 ATS for 61% winners since 2014. If the host has covered at least 5 of their last 6 games ATS, our road warriors have gone 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets.

Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois
7 PM | ESPNU
Huskie Stadium, Dekalb, IL
8-Unit best Bet on Northern Illinois minus the

From the predictive models we are looking for Northern Illinois to sacore at least 30 points and gain at least 7.5 yards per pass tonight. In past home games in which NIU achieved these measures has led them to a highly profitable 54-10 and 46-18 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2006 and 9-3 ATS over the past 5 seasons. They are also 13-5-1 ATS for 72% when scoring 30 or more points and their foe had 60 or more penalty yards called over the past five seasons.

Take Northern Illinois

Toledo vs Bowling Green
Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

7:00 PM ESPN2
8-Unit best bet on Blowing Green plus the 10.5 points and is valid down to 9.5 points.

Betting on home dogs that have won three straight games that are taking on a foe that is coming off one or more consecutive wins has gone 95-61-2 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our dog is priced between 3.5 and 12 points, they have gone to a 57-30-1 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games has been 50 or more points, our home dogs have gone 43-20-1 ATS for 68.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Bet Bowling Green.

USC vs Oregon
8-Unit best bet on USC plus the 15.5 points and is good as long as USC is a double-digit underdog.

This is an insane amount of points to be giving USC, who has stumbled lately, and who is getting mispriced because of Oregon’s monster blowout win of Cal last week (Oregon was our PAC-12 MAX Bet of the Month).

Before the season began, the Circa had this game priced as Oregon favored by just two points and this meteoric rise is presenting a terrific betting opportunity. USC has not covered the spread in seven straight games and the OVER has won the money in these games.

Betting on road teams using the money line that allowed 42 or more points in their last game and have outscored their foes by 7 or more points in the first half of action has earned a 60-33 record for 65% winning bets and has made a highly profitable 42 units on the money line.

From the predictive model we learn that USC is 18-4 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have scored 31 or more points and won the turnover battle in games played over the past five seasons.

Texas vs TCU

Amon G. Carter Stadium, Forth Worth, TX
7:30 PM EST | ABC
8-Unit Best bet on the Texas Longhorns minus the 12.5 points

Betting on a ranked double-digit favorite facing an unranked foe. Our favorite is gaining an average of 4.8 yards per rush, outgained their previous foe by 125 or more yards on the ground, is now facing an average ground attack averaging 4.3 to 4.8 YPRA has earned a solid 34-20-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Betting road favorites between 10 and 21.5 points that have won four of their last 5 games with the current game taking place in November has earned a 49-6 SU record and 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Washington State vs California
California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
4:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on Washington State plus the points, currently priced as 2.5-point dogs.

Betting on road underdogs that are averaging at least 400 total yards per game and are coming off a very poor offensive game in which they averaged 3.85 or fewer yards per play has earned a 35-12-3 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2015. If the game occurs from Week 9 on to the end of the season has earned a 19-5-3 ATS mark good for 79% winning bets since 2015.

Betting on losing record road teams priced between the 3’s and is facing a host that is coming off a road blowout loss of 28 or more points, and that host has won 25 to 40% of their games on the season has earned a 37-13-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 30 years and is 17-5 ATS over the past 10 seasons.

From the predictive playbook, we are expecting WSU to score at least 28 points and to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games in which WSU met or excee3ded th4ese projections has led them to a 59-15 SU record and a 57-17 ATS mark good for 77% winning bets.

Texas Tech vs Kansas

Noon ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium

8-Unit Best Bet on Kansas minus the points, currently priced at -4 and is good up to and including 6 points. That steam move is not expected to happen and see the market locked in at -4.

Betting on home teams from week 8 on out to the end of the regular season that are averaging 190 to 230 rushing yards per game, allowed less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game, and now facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 and 190 RYPG has earned a solid 49-15 SU record and 43-18-3 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2015. If our team is in a conference matchup and favored by any amount, the record improves to a highly profitable 25-8-1 ATS for 76% winning bets. Take Kansas

Southern Mississippi vs LA Lafayette
Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
7:30 PM | ESPNU
8-Unit Best Bet on the Ragin Cajuns minus the points.

The Cajuns are averaging 197 rushing yards per game ranking 14th nationally and will be facing a defense that ranks 114th nationally allowing 186 RYPG. So, the models are projecting that the Cajuns will wear down the SMU defensive front and gain over 200 RY. The models also project that the Cajuns will gain 450 or more total yards and commit no more than single turnover.

In past games, the Cajuns are 54-10 SU and 47-15-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 31 or more points and gaining 450 or more total yards. In addition, if they committed no more than a single turnover, they have gone 34-5 SU and 32-7 ATS for 82% winning bets.

Central Michigan vs Western Michigan
Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI

7:00 PM EST, ESPNU

8-Unit best bet on Western Michigan Broncos minus the -3 points.

From the predictive models, we are expecting WMU to score 31 or more points, The market has a 30 to 27 WMU home win given the 57.5 point total and WMU favored by three points, In past games in which WMU scored 31 points and had the same or fewer turnovers has led them to an outstanding 16-1 SU and 14-2-1 ATS for 88% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Kansas vs Iowa State
7 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on Iowa State -3 points. I like this bet up to and including 4 points.

Betting on home teams that are coming off a double-digit road win and hosting a team coming off an upset win over a conference rival priced as 6 or more-point underdogs has earned a 109-20 SU record good for 85% wins and 86-42-1 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the past 43 seasons (since 1980). If that foe is ranked in the Top-25, the home team has gone 7-1 ATS and SU.

California vs Oregon
5:30 PM, Autzen Stadium
10-Unit Best Bet on Oregon minus the points

Bet on favorites between 21.5 and 31.5 points that are averaging 200 or more rushing yards per game and whose defense has held their previous three opponents to 125 or fewer rushing yards in each game has produced a highly profitable 63-5 SU record and 46-18-4 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets since 2010. This system has had 18 consecutive seasons of profitability.

At No.6 Oregon has all the motivation to play well and four all four quarters even if they do run the score up on California. The CFP committee served notice that margin of victory over conference foes does matter when they selected Ohio State as No. 1 this past week.

Oregon is 14-4 ATS as a favorite over the past two seasons. Cal is just 4-14 ATS home a home loss, but did cover the spread. They lost 50-49 to USC last week. Oregon head coach Lanning is 9-2 ATS after scoring 31 or more points in each of their last three games.

Betting on favorites between 21.5 and 31.5 points that have scored 31 or more points in each of their two previous games and has a great defense that is allowing an average 16 PPG on the season and is facing a foe that has a bad defense allowing 28 to 34 PPG has produced a 61-3 SU record and 41-23 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets since 1992. If our favorite is hosting the game, their record has been 32-1 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets since 1992. The clincher here is if our home favorite has scored 31 or more points in three straight games, the record soars to 35-1 SU and 28-8 ATS for 78% winning bets regardless of game site.  

The current market implies a 42-18 Oregon win and the predictive model shows a high probability that Oregon is going to score at least 35 points in this contest. Even when they score 28 or more points they have earned a 28-15-1 ASTS mark for 65% winners; 24-9 ATS mark when scoring 35 or more points; 14-3 ATS when scoring 42 or more points in games played over the past five seasons. When at home and scoring 42 or more points they are 8-2 ATS for 80%.

Florida State vs Pittsburgh

Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh

3:30 PM ESPN

8-Unit best bet on FSU minus the points

No. 4 Florida State (8-0, 6-0 ACC) will travel to Pittsburgh (2-6, 1-3 ACC) to take on their fellow ACC foe Panthers set to start at 3:30 PM and will be televised by ESPN. FSU elected to start the season having to face two powerhouse ranked teams starting with the LSU Tigers in Week 1 and then their ACC rival Clemson Tigers in Week 4 and won them both on the road. Having played an won these games against ranked opponents has made FSU a much better team and one that I see going undefeated and being voted into the College Football Playoffs.

Following this game, FSU will host their ACC and state rival Miami Hurricanes next Saturday, then play their home finale against Northern Alabama, and then the season finale at Gainesville to face the SEC Florida Gators. They will be favored in every game and I see them winning by double-digits against Miami and Florida.

FSU ranks 4th nationally averaging 41.5 PPG and rank 18th allowing 18.3 PPG having played a difficult schedule. Pittsburgh ranks 116th averaging 19.1 PPG and ranks 101st allowing 31.9 PPG. So, FSU is outscoring their foes by 23.2 PPG while Pittsburgh is getting outscored by an average of 12.8 PPG. Simply stated, this is a monumental mismatch that warrants a line at least seven more points higher than the current price of 21.5 points.

FSU quarterback Jordan Travis is having a sensational season throwing for 2,109 yards with 18 touchdowns, just two interceptions and earning an 156 rating. Against the six conference foes he has faced he has completed 65% of his passes for 1,592 yards with 12 touchdowns and earning a 154 rating. Their formidable ground attack is led by Trey Benson, who has gained 544 rushing yards on 85 carries including seven scores. He accounts for only 41% of the 1,342 rushing yards gained on the season and reflects their strong depth at the running back position.

FSU has six receivers, who have caught 13 or more passes this season and are led by Keon Coleman with 38 catches, 538 receiving yards and nine scores. For the season, there have been 10 different receivers, who have accounted for the 21 receiving touchdowns. So, the Pittsburgh defense is not going to be capable of stopping this offense and I see them scoring at least 41 points in this game.

A Highly Profitable Situation to Bet FSU

FSU is supported by a terrific situation that has produced a 46-1 SU record for 98% wins and has earned a 33-14 ATS record good for 70.2% winning bets since 2010. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams that have won more than 75% of their games.

·      Is favored by 19.5 or more-points.

·      Our team has covered the spread in at least five of their last 7 games.

·      Our team is facing a losing record host

No. 11 Oregon State vs Arizona
10:30 PM ESPN

10-Unit best Bet on the Wildcats plus the 3 points

Betting on non-ranked home underdogs bet3een pick and 4.5 points that are facing a foe that is ranked and coming off a win that covered the spread by 3.5 to 10 points has produced a 27-20 SU record and 31-16 ATS mark for 66% winning bets sine 1993.

Betting on home underdogs that are taking on a foe that allowed 5.5 or more RYPA in each of their last two games has gone 31-44 SU and 47-27-1 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If facing a conference foe these home dogs have gone 29-35 SU and 43-20-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If home team is priced as a 5.5 or fewer-point dog, they have gone 17-17 SU and 23-10-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.

Oregon State ranks 14th in scoring offense averaging 35.3 PPG and has the best red zone scoring offense in the nation. They produce scoring drives with their solid rushing attack ranking 28th gaining an average of 183 yards per game. However, Arizona has a great defensive front that ranks 19th nationally allowing just 99 YPG. Arizona can bring the heat effectively too in passing downs getting a sack on 9% on all plays run ranking 21st nationally. Plus, they get the job done in preventing multiple first down scoring drives averaging just 45% of the game on the field and ranks 13th best nationally. So, the OSU ground game is not going to have an easy time running the ball in this matchup – not saying they won’t gain over 100 yards, but it will be a struggle for them to do so.

Arizona can run the ball and have gained 1159 yards on 227 carries for a solid 5.1 YPRA. Jonah Coleman is the featured back and has gained 433 yards on 65 rushes for a 6.7 yards per carry with 3 TDs. Arizona ranks 8th nationally completing 72% of their passes and rank 37th allowing a sack on just 4.6% of plays run.

No. 21 Tennessee vs. Kentucky

Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

7:00 PM | ESPN

8-Unit best bet on the Wildcats plus the points

currently priced at +3.5 points.

Betting on dogs between 1.5 and 6 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes in weeks 5 through 9 has produced a 32-24 SU record and a highly profitable 38-17-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team has not covered the spread in four consecutive games, their record soars to 9-11 SU and 15-4-1 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015. If our team is playing at home, their record soars to 19-10 SU and 21-7-1 ATS for 75% winning bets.

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe

5:00 PM EST Week 9

8-Unit Best bet on Arkansas State plus the points

Betting on dogs between 1.5 and 6 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes in weeks 5 through 9 has produced a 32-24 SU record and a highly profitable 38-17-1 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team has scored 24 or fewer points in total over their past 2 games has improved the results to 11-6 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2015.

Syracuse vs Virginia Tech
7:30 EST, ESPN
8-Unit best bet on the Orange plus the points

Syracuse has been coming up on the radar more so this season than in others and that’s ok no matter if they are 4-3 or 7-0 or even 0-7 as the models present us with opportunities to exploit based on the situations teams find themselves in any matchup. After starting out 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS, the Orange suddenly ran out of fire power on the offensive side of the ball. They scored 14 points in a 31-14 loss to Clemson, then 12 days ago lost to No. 4 ranked FSU 41-3 as failed to cover as 19-point dogs at Tallahassee. In the second to last game, they lost at UNC 40-7 as 9.5-point road dogs. They had five turnovers in the first four games and then turned it over 7 times in the past three games. So, at this point everyone is highly suspect of the Orange and rightfully so based on recency bias alone.

V-Tech is not in the same class as UNC, Clemson, and FSU and few teams in the ACC, if any, would have been able to win on the road against those programs in consecutive weeks. The Orange have extra motivation to win the game and get one step closer to earning a bowl game appearance while at 3-4 V-Tech has little hope of getting to six wins knowing they are on the road at Louisville and BC, then a home finale against a solid NC State program and then a possible win at UVA.

Betting on road dogs between 2.5 and 10 points that are coming off two consecutive horrid double-digit losses to conference foes and have played UNDER in three of their last four games has produced a 41-50 SU record and a highly profitable 60-28-3 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets since 2015. If our team has not covered the spread in four consecutive games, their record soars to 9-11 SU and 15-4-1 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2015.

The base system mentioned first above has had just one losing record season going 2-5 ATS in 2021 over the past 10 seasons.

The Orange are 41-23 ATS following a game in which they allowed 6.75 or more YPPL. V-Tech is on an 0-6 ATS streak after having won three of their last 4 games.

Liberty vs Western Kentucky
7:30 PM EST on ESPNU
Houchens Industries – L.T. Smith Stadium
8-Unit best bet on Western Kentucky plus the points.

Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a foe that is coming off three consecutive wis over conference foes and has nine or fewer returning starters from last season have gone 52-20-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 30 seasons and is 15-3-1 ATS for 83% winners over the past 10 seasons.

Betting on home underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points following a game in which they committed no more than a single turnover and facing a foe coming off two consecutive games in which they had a turnover margin of one or better has earned a highly profitable 20-10 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Western Kentucky is 21-7 ATS over the past three seasons for 75% winning bets in games that they score 28 or more points and the predictive model projects an 82% probability that they will score 30 or more points.

Duke vs Florida State
Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
7:30 PM EST, ABC
8-Unit Best Bet on the Seminoles minus the 14 points

In a matchup of ranked teams where the home team is ranked in the Top-15 and favored by double digits and hosting a foe that is ranked 15th or higher in the latest poll and a total of 50 or fewer points have gone 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS.

Duke is 1-9 ATS following a blowout win of 21 or more points over a conference rival. FSU is 10-1 ATS following three straight games facing conference foes. UNC coming off a 24-3 win as 4-point favorites over NC State.  FSU is 6-0 on the season and coming off a 41-3 dominated win over Syracuse. They have scored 31 or more points in every game and have played a more difficult schedule than Duke. FSU played then No.5 LSU on a neutral field and won 45-24 and then two weeks later traveled to Clemson and won 31-24.

No. 2 Michigan vs Michigan State
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
7:30 EST NBC
8-Unit best bet on the Spartans plus the 24.5 points.

Michigan is 12-26 ATS in road games following a game in which they covered the spread by double-digits; 2-11 ATS following a game in which they scored 50 or more points.

Betting on dogs between 21 and 25.5 points following three or more straight-up losses and facing a conference foe in the month of October has earned a highly profitable 38-20-3 ATS for 65.5% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This is a rivalry game and for Michigan State is their season as nothing else will really matter for them the remainder of the season.