11-25-18 |
Giants +4.5 v. Eagles |
Top |
22-25 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup NY Giants (257) NY GIANTS (3 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Giants which the market has priced as 5.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to play a combination wager comprised of a 7.5-Star wager on the line and a 2.5-Star wager using the money line. Also play a 7-Star wager on the ‘OVER’ and consider no more than a 3-Star amount on a reverse action parlay using the Giants and the ‘over’ OR a 3-start straight parlay using the Giants and the ‘OVER’. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Giants to score more than 21 points and gain at least 6.0 YPPL. The Giants are 15-8-1 ATS for 65% when they have gained 6 to 6.5 YPPL in road games and 5-0 ‘OVER’ since 2013 covering the total by an average of 17.5 points. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS for 17% when allowing a visitor to gain 6 to 6.5 YPPL since 2008. This money line database query has produced a remarkable 24-3 record for 89% since 1980. Play on any team using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) that are mistake-free teams averaging less than 1.25 TO-per-Game committed and is now facing a team forcing no more than 1.25 TO-per-Game and after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Giants are also 14-7 ATS off of B2B games achieving a turnover margin of 2 or better.
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11-24-18 |
Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
21-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Auburn (227) Auburn (7 - 4) at Alabama (11 - 0) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers which the market has priced as 24.5-point road dogs. An added recommended play is to take a 1-Star wager and get Auburn on the money line, if available through your book(s). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Alabama to gain 8 or fewer yards-per-pass and when installed as 17.5-point favorites and higher are 10-17 ATS. When combined with games where Alabama has scored 28 or fewer points, the result has been a imperfect 0-8 ATS failing to cover by 10.6 PPG, but they have won 7 of the 8 games SU. Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 24-5 ATS result for 83% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (AUBURN) after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 25-3 ATS mark good for 89% winners since 2008. Play on a road team after game 7 that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game And is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG.
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11-24-18 |
Michigan v. Ohio State +5 |
Top |
39-62 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio State (105) Michigan (10 - 1) at Ohio St (10 - 1) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Buckeyes, who are priced as 5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +190. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Buckeyes pull off the upset returns ($380). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Michigan is 22-61 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 50 or fewer yards. OSU is a solid 142-54 ATS (+82.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. OSU is 34-0 SU and 23-9-2 ATS, and 21-12 ‘OVER’ in home games scoring 28 ro more points and passing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-attempt. Not since October 29, 2011 has OSU been installed as a home dog. On they date, they played Wisconsin installed as 7.5-point home dogs and won the game 33-29. Dating back to 1980, our DB shows that OSU has been a home dog on 16 occasions and have gone 7-8-1 SU and 10-5-1 ATS. The last time Michigan came to Columbus as a favorite was November 20, 2004 and they were throttled 37-21. Interesting that the line for this game showed Michigan priced as a 5-point favorite just as they are for today’s game. The following database query has produced a 37-12 ATS mark good for 76% over the past 5 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST) in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This DB query is based on the money line and is remarkable in its’ own right sporting a 28-19 SU record and making 42.6 stars per Star unit wager since 1992. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OHIO ST) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring 34 or more PPG and after scoring 42 points or more last game.
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11-24-18 |
Florida v. Florida State +7.5 |
Top |
41-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Florida State (200) Florida (8 - 3) at Florida St (5 - 6) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Seminoles, who are priced as 7-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 5-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +240. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Seminoles pull off the upset returns ($480). If they fail to win, but cover, the return is still a healthy 5-Star amount. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Seminoles to score a minimum 24 points and gain at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt. In FSU home games where they have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 30-3 SU record and 22-11-1 ATS mark; since the start of the 2013 season, they are 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 6.3 PPG. This database situation query that has produced a 25-6 ATS record good for 81% winners since the start of the 1992 season. Play against road favorites (FLORIDA) that are solid offensive teams gaining between 5.6 to 6.2 YPP after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and are now facing an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after 7 or more games.
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11-24-18 |
Syracuse v. Boston College -6.5 |
Top |
42-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Boston College (160) Syracuse (8 - 3) At Boston College (7 - 4) Week 13 Saturday, 11/24/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on BC, which the market has priced them as 7-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and precedents are as follows: Syracuse is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons; 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games when they allow 29 to 35 points since 1992; 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992; 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play. BC is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 40-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. The following database system query has produced a solid 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SYRACUSE) with an elite offense averaging 450 or more total yards-per-game and after being outgained by the previous opponent by 125 or more total yards.
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11-23-18 |
Central Florida v. South Florida +15 |
Top |
38-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The South Florida Bulls (105) UCF (10 - 0) at South Florida (7 - 4) Week 13 Friday, 11/23/2018 4:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Bulls, who are priced as 14.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a combination of an 8-Star amount using the line and a 2-Star amount using the money line, which is priced at about +500. So, a 2-Star wager ($200) seeing the Bulls pull off the upset returns 10-Stars ($1,000). SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Both teams are projected to score 28 or more points. Home dogs of 10 to 17.5 points scoring 28 or more points and their guests matching that output have produced a 240-83-10 ATS mark good for 74% covering by an average of 6.3 points. Drilling the data set a bit further to include conference games returns a 198-61-8 ATS record good for 76.4% covering by an average of 6.7 points. Finally, if the visitor ranks in the Top-10, the home dog takes real meaning with a 25-4-1 SATS record and 86% covering by an average of 8.7 points. The following database query has produced a 31-10 ATS mark good for 76% since 1992. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a good team with a 60 to 80 win percentage.
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11-22-18 |
Bears -3 v. Lions |
Top |
23-16 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup The Chicago Bears (105) Chicago (7 - 3) at Detroit (4 - 6) Week 12 Thursday, 11/22/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Chicago Bears, who are priced as 3-point road favorites. This play is with Chase Daniels at QB. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows: Bears are a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Detroit is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Bears are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard-per-play. In Detroit home games facing a strong QB, who is completing 64% or more of his passes and are outgained by at least 0.5 YPPL has produced a poor 30-88-3 ATS mark losing to the spread by an average of 8.1 points. Since the start of the 20`15 season, the Lions are 5-14 ATS for 26% under the same performance measures. Chase Daniels will start at QB. Good news for him knowing he has excellent matchup advantages with his two WR Anthony Miller (Slot) and Taylor Gabriel. Allen Robinson is evenly matched against Lions corner Darius Slay. Miller will see more targets in this game using quick slants, hooks, bubble screens for Daniels to execute successfully. So, with the run game over-matched against the Lions defensive front, these quick hitters will serve the same purpose and put Daniels and the offense into a minimum of long downs. Detroit will have immense difficulty getting passes completed to either WR, but especially T.J. Jones, who will be covered by Amukamara. This matchup is the weakest of any WR-CB matchup on this weeks’ NFL card. They are both 6-foot tall, but Amukamara has size and speed weighing 205 pounds to Jones’ 190 and speed with a 4.38 versus 4.46 40-time. Not much difference in speed, but the size allows Amukamara to be very physical with Jones in the first 5-yards of any route. Kenny Golladay will be the other starting WR for the Lions and he will defended by one of the best in Kyle Fuller. The Lions have swapped these WR given that Golladay has lineup ‘right’ 39%, left 30%, and slot 16% of plays run, but either Bears defender has the upper hand in both matchups.
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11-19-18 |
Chiefs v. Rams -3 |
Top |
51-54 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (466) Kansas City (9 - 1) at La Rams (9 - 1) Week 11 Monday, 11/19/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Rams, who are priced as 3-point home favorites. This line may go to 3.5 from its’ current level of 3 -120 that are available at the majority of books we monitor. Lines makers really do not want to have the number ‘3’ changed and would prefer to move the vig instead. Yet, I do not think you’ll see -3 and -125 vig and instead the line will shift to -3 ½ -105. With the Rams projected to win by more than 11 points, the vig is almost irrelevant at this point and it doesn’t hurt to book the wager at -3 -120 line. An alternative is to play the money at -160, but reduce the size of your bet so you are only risking a 10-star amount. So, 10-Stars devided by 1.60 would then equal a wager of 6.25-Stars on the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to score between 28 and 35 points, will rush for more than 140 yards and pass for more than 300. The Rams are 7-1 ATS and 8-0 SU oinstalled as a home favorite when they rush for 140 or more yards and pass for more than 300 yards. This database situational query has produced a 39-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2008. Play on favorites (LA RAMS) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. When these teams are home favorites, the record improves to 25-4 ATS for 86% and is also 13-2 ATS over the past five seasons. Next, this query has returned a record of 51-21 for 71% winners over the past 10 seasons and works against the Chiefs. Play against underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) that is a very hot team having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This is the game we have all been waiting for and after the Saints put up the gaudy offensive and defensive numbers against the defending SB Champs Eagles yesterday, the Rams may have just a bit more motivation to show them and the football world what they are capable of achieving. The Rams have a significantly better defense based on our metrics and rankings and this may be more of the highlight tonight then the offenses. The Rams pass rush ranks best in the NFL and the dominant reason is that they have the personnel to cover any WR in man situations and open space. The left side of the OL is vulnerable to this aggressive pass rush. Guard Cam Irving and left tackle Eric Fisher have really struggled in blitz situations an drank near the bottom of NFL starters in this category. Of course, Mahomes has the athleticism to extend plays and avoid sacks, but few teams, if any, have the intelligent speed that the Rams defense possesses. Look for the Rams to really bring the heat in passing downs when the Chiefs are on their right hash. The Rams can execute containment on the perimeter and use the right sidelines essentially as an extra defender. This could see Mahomes make the critical mistake of throwing back across the field with high risk results. Jared Goff leads the NFL with 204 attempts having a minimum of 2.5 seconds to execute the play and has achieved a 107.3 QBR that ranks ninth best. By comparison, Mahomes ranks 9th in attempts with 2.5 or more seconds of protection, buty ranks a dismal 26th in QBR. Think KC will blitz Goff? Well, that is a very dangerous situation given that Goff has achieved a 111.9 QBR with no pressure and a 115.5 under blitz conditions. Moreover, the Rams trio of receivers of Kupp, Woods, and Cooks have gotten the most respect of any group in the NFL with defenders giving them an average cushion of 6.5 yards and all of them average more than 3.5 yards of separation on targeted pass plays. Now, Kupp is not playing and the Rams will adjust to fill that gap that he leaves in their overall production. That addition can come from many different players. Rams will look to run more two TE sets with Everett, who is an exceptional receiver and can line-up anywhere on the field. His size and speed will present an immediate matchup problem for the Chiefs defense. Josh Reynolds will certainly see more targets as well. Overall, the two TE and 4 and 5-WR sets will have these different personnel in them and Goff still has Gurley in the backfield to use as a decoy for his high percentage play action pass plays. Take the Rams
|
11-18-18 |
Eagles v. Saints -7 |
Top |
7-48 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Orleans Saints(460) Philadelphia (4 - 5) At New Orleans (8 - 1) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 4:25 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Saints which the market has priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of seven yards per play, score 27 or more points, and gain a minimum of 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Saints in home games are 22-11-1 ATS for 67% winners when averaging 7 or more YPPL and 8.5 or more YPPL. Saints are a stellar 21-5 ATS for 81% when our rushing their visiting opponent by 50 or more yards and out passing them by 100 or more. Here is a strong database situational query that has produced a 40-16 ASTS result for 71% winners since 2008. Play against any team (PHILADELPHIA) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite in the month of November. A second query under scores the strength of this play even more producing a 63-28 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1980. Play on home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) tht are outrushing opponents by 40 or more YPG and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game and are now facing an average rushing team posting a +/- 30 RYPG differential after 8 or more games.
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11-18-18 |
Steelers v. Jaguars +6 |
Top |
20-16 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville Jaguars (472) Pittsburgh (6 - 2 - 1) At Jacksonville (3 - 6) Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are priced as 5.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jaguars to score 24 to 30 points and will hold Pittsburgh to less than 85 rushing yards. When the JaguARS HAVE MET OR EXCEEDED these performance measures in home games they have gone 17-2 SU winning by 10.5 PPG and 13-5-1 ATS for 72% covering by 7.7 points. When installed as a home dog, they have gone 4-1 SUATS covering by 11 points. When the Steelers have been involved with games rushing for less than 85 yards and allowing 24 to 30 on the road they have gone a miserable 2-13 SU losing by an average of 11.4 PPG and 3-12 ATS failing to cover by an average of 11.20 points. When they are installed as road favorites they have gone 1-7 SUATS losing by an average of 9.9 points and failing to cover by an average of 13.4 points. This database situation query that has produced a 30-8 ATS record good for 79% winners spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on any team that is a struggling offensive team scoring 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing a defensive team allowing 23 to 27 PPG and after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
|
11-17-18 |
Ohio State v. Maryland +14.5 |
Top |
52-51 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Maryland University (350) Ohio St (9 - 1) at Maryland (5 - 5) Week 12 Saturday, 11/17/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Maryland which the market has priced as 14.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Maryland to gain a minimum of 200 rushing yards and will score at least 28 points. Ohio State is just 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Maryland is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Combined RY greater than 200 yards and scoring 28 or more points, the Terrapins are 17-3 SU sinning by an average of 25 points.
|
11-16-18 |
Memphis v. SMU +7.5 |
Top |
28-18 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup SMU 181) Memphis (6 - 4) at SMU (5 - 5) Week 12 Friday, 11/16/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the SMU Mustangs, who are priced as 7.5-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mustangs to attain a 12.5 yards-per-point ratio or lower and that their YPPT ratio will be less (more efficient offense) than the Memphis Tigers. When installed as home dogs, SMU is a perfect 8-0 ATS covering by an average of 20 PPG when meeting or exceeded these performance measures. This database situation query that has produced a 34-8 ATS record good for 81% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SMU) after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games.
|
11-14-18 |
Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 |
Top |
17-52 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Ohio University (513) Buffalo (9 - 1) at Ohio U (6 - 4) Week 12 Wednesday, 11/14/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Ohio University, who is currently priced as a 2.5-point home favorite
SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Ohio to score at least 28 points, have at least 200 rushing yards, and gain a minimum of 6.5 YPPL. Since 2006, Ohio is a solid 47-6 SU winning by 18.7 PPG and 40-10-2 ATS covering the spread by 8.9 PPG when scoring 28 points and gaining 200 or more rushing yards. When attaining these performance measures in home games they are 21-4-2 ATS for 84% covering by 9 PPG.
|
11-13-18 |
Western Michigan v. Ball State +9 |
Top |
41-42 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Ball State (273) W Michigan (6 - 4) at Ball St (3 - 7) Week 12 Tuesday, 11/13/2018 6:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Ball State who are priced as 9-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Ball State to score a minimum of 28 points and WMCH is 0-6 ATS failing to cover by an average of 17.4 PPG this season. Ball State is 2-0 ATS when scoring 28 or more points in 2018 and covered by an 18 PPG. Since 2013, Ball State is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS covering by 10.3 PPG when scoring 28 or more points. Teams that are home dogs and score 28 or more points and gain more passing yards-per-pass attempt and gain more rushing yards per rush attempt are a solid 16-3 ATS covering by18.9 PPG for 84% winners and are a stout 14-6 SU covewirng by an average of 12.4 PPG.
This database situational query has produced a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) that are solid good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG) and is now facing a team with a poor defense allowing between 390 and 440 YPG) after 7or more games have been completed and after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game.
|
11-11-18 |
Cowboys +8 v. Eagles |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Dallas (273) Dallas (3 - 5) at Philadelphia (4 - 4) Week 10 Sunday, 11/11/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Dallas Cowboys who are priced as 7.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to gain at least 7 YPPL (Yards-per-play) and will outgain the Eagles by a minimum of 0.5 YPPL. They are 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they do rush for 125 to 150 rushing yards. When Dallas gains 7 or more YPPL and 125 or more RY in road games, they are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS covering by 14.6 PPG. When they outgain their opponent by at least 0,5 YPPL and gain at least 125 RY in a road game are 35-12 ATS and against a divisional foe they are 14-5 ATS.
Another data set shows that Dallas is 8-0 and 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 14 PPG when gaining a minimum of 135 RY, executing 60 plays, and their opponent gains a maximum of 85 RY.
This database situational query has produced a 99-51 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1980. Play on road underdogs or pick in a game involving two average teams posting a -3 to 3 PPG differential and after scoring 14 points or less last game. Dallas is a solid 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 14 or more points.
Take Dallas
|
11-11-18 |
Patriots v. Titans +7 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (513) NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) Week 10 Sunday, 11/11/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Titans, who is currently priced as a 6.5-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 6-Star amount using the line and a 1-Star amount using the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Tennessee to have at least 125 rushing yards and gain a minimum of 5.5 YPPL. In past games when Tennessee has met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a nice 27-10 SU winning by an average of 7.5 PPG and 24-11-2 ATS for 69%. Moreover, they are a perfect 6-0 against the money line (+10.6 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons.
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 239-15 record using the money line. Play on any team vs the money line off 1 or more straight overs, a good defensive team allowing between 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between18 to 23 PPG after 8 or more games.
|
11-10-18 |
Clemson v. Boston College +19 |
Top |
27-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Boston College (513) Clemson (9 - 0) at Boston College (7 - 2) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Boston College, who is currently priced as a 20-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 8.5-Star amount using the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the money line. The money line will be the range about 900, which means a $900 win for every $100 dollar wager or in this example a return of $1,350 just on the money line portion. SIM Projections and Results This sets up as a very dangerous game for Clemson and reminds us of the 10-Star winner we had on Syracuse earlier this season when they were in Death Valley and nearly shocked the NCAAF world. This is a road game for Clemson in conditions they are not accustomed with that will be very windy and quite cold with wind chills in the 20’s. I normally do not comment on weather conditions, but it is another variable that can only help BC. Projections are for Clemson to have less than 200 rushing yards and that BC will gain more passing yards than Clemson. In past road games installed as a favorite, the Tigers are just 1-6 ATS and failing to cover the number by an average of 11.6 PPG. There is a high probability, NOT certainty’ that Clemson will have more turnovers than BC. If that occurs and BC gains more passing yards, the Tigers are 0-3 ATS losing to the number by an average of 20.1 PPG.
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 24-3 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season.
This database situational query works against Clemson and has produced a 31-9 ATS mark for 77.5% winners spanning the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team sporting a win percentage of at least 80% and now playing a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games.
Take Boston College
|
11-10-18 |
Auburn +14 v. Georgia |
Top |
10-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (177) Auburn (6 - 3) at Georgia (8 - 1) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 14-point road dogs. Also, consider an optional wager betting an 8-Star amount on the line and a 2-Star on the money line.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to force 2 Georgia turnovers and not get outgained by more than 125 total yards. The Tigers are 28-2 SU achieving these performance measures and when the opponent has 2 or more turnovers, the Tigers are 59-5 SU. When installed as a road dog, they are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.8 PPG.
The following database situation query provides a solid record of 25-6 ATS for 81% since the start of the 2013 season. Play against a home team after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 2 or less rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.
|
11-10-18 |
Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
0-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Mississippi State (181) Mississippi St (6 - 3) at Alabama (9 - 0) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Mississippi State, who are priced as 23.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mississippi State to gain a minimum of 250 rushing yards. This has not happened to Alabama very often, but when it has, they are 1-4 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Even when the RY is 200 or more Alabama is 4-8 ATS.
This database situation query that has produced a 26-8 ATS record good for 77% winners spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs that are excellent rushing teams gaining at least 230 RY-game and is now facing a good rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RY-game, after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.
|
11-10-18 |
Wisconsin v. Penn State -8 |
Top |
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (180) Wisconsin (6 - 3) at Penn St (6 - 3) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions who are priced as 8.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to gain at least 7 YPPL (Yards-per-play) and will outgain Wisconsin by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL. Moreover, PSU in home games installed as favorites between 6 and 10 points and outgaining their opponent by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average of 14.6 PPG.
Take Penn State
|
11-10-18 |
TCU +12 v. West Virginia |
Top |
10-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup TCU (137) TCU (4 - 5) at West Virginia (7 - 1) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on TCU, which the market has priced them as 11.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for TCU to gain 50 or more rushing yards and more total yards than West Virginia. WVU is 4-13 ATS when being outrushed by 50 or more yards and having fewer total yards than the opponent.
The following database system query has produced a solid 36-10 ATS for 78% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on any team after 5 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. One of these features a perfect 6-0 ATS situation that has covered by 14.5 PPG.
|
11-09-18 |
Louisville +21 v. Syracuse |
Top |
23-54 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Louisville (513) Louisville (2 - 7) At Syracuse (7 - 2) Week 11 Friday, 11/9/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Louisville, who is currently priced as a 21-point road dog. SIM Projections and Results
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 22-4 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 10 seasons. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
This database situational query supports Louisville and has produced a 89-42 ATS mark for 68% winners since 2013. Play ON any team after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Take Louisville
|
11-08-18 |
Panthers +3.5 v. Steelers |
Top |
21-52 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Carolina Panthers (107) Carolina (6 - 2) at Pittsburgh (5 - 2 - 1) Week 10 Thursday, 11/8/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Carolina Panthers, who are priced as 3.5-point road dogs. With these types of DOGS, we always like suggesting an alternative wager using the line and money line to exploit the upset value. So, consider a 7-Star play using the line and a 3-Star play using the money line.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Panthers to gain between 6 and 6.5 YPPA (Yards-per-pass-attempt) and in this situation they have posted a 29-13 ATS mark. Carolina defense is projected to hold the Steelers ground attack to between 75 and 100 yards and are 6-0 ATS in past games where they have achieved this measure. Panthers are 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards and 66-19 ATS (+45.1 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. The Steelers are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. When Carolina has rushed for more than 125 yards and held the opponent ot less than 100 rushing yards and then scored between 22 and 28 points, they have gone 19-1 SUATS winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and covering the number by an average of 12.40 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 23-5 ATS record using the line and good for 82.1% winners since the start of the 1980 season. Play against favorites that are excellent offensive teams gaining at least 370 YPG and after outgaining opponents by 100 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games and is now facing a team with a struggling defense allowing 335 to 370 YPG.
Take the Carolina Panthers
|
11-08-18 |
Wake Forest v. NC State -18 |
Top |
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup NC State (513) Wake Forest (4 - 5) at NC State (6 - 2) Week 11 Thursday, 11/8/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on NC State, who is currently priced as an 18-point home favorite. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Wolfpack to outgain the Demon Deacons by a minimum of 1.9 yards-per-play. IN past games where NC State has achieved this single specific performance measure, they have gone 20-3 SY winning by an average of 27.2 PPG and 19-4 ATS for 82.6% winners and covering by an average of 11.15 PPG.
Wake Forest is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 total yards per play and NC State a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons.
Take North Carolina State
|
11-05-18 |
Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 |
Top |
28-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Dallas (474) Tennessee (3 - 4) at Dallas (3 - 4) Week 9 Monday, 11/5/2018 8:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Cowboys, who are priced as 5.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys defense to hold the Titans ground attack to fewer than 85 yards, the Cowboys will gain a minimum of 135 rushing yards and will outgain the Titans by a minimum of 0.7 yards-per-play. In home games, where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have gone 32-1 SU winning by an average of 17.4 PPG and 29-3 ATS covering by an average of 12 PPG and goof for 90.6% winners.
The pace of play is expected to be slow and grinding with Dallas running a maximum of 65 and Tennessee a maximum of 60 plays from scrimmage. So, when Dallas met the performance measures above and then combined with the slower paced style of game, they have gone 16-0 winning by an average of 16.9 PPG and 12-3-1 ASTS for 80% and covering the number by an average of 9.3 PPG.
|
11-04-18 |
Lions +5.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
9-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Detroit (451) Detroit (3 - 4) at Minnesota (4 - 3 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Detroit Lions, who are priced as 5.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to have a greater yards-per-play ratio than the Vikings. In past road games facing a divisional rival, the Lions have produced a record of 23-9-2 ATS for 72% covering by an average of 6.4 PPG. When the Lions have achieved this and also gained a minimum of 6 YPPL their success soras to a 13-1 ATS mark covering by an average of 11 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 59-22 ATS record good for 73% winners since 1980. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a loss by 10 or more points and is now facing an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half.
This DB situational query has produced a 58-27 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 1980. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two average teams with +/- 3 PPG differential and after scoring 14 points or less last game.
|
11-04-18 |
Chiefs v. Browns +9 |
Top |
37-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (454) Kansas City (7 - 1) at Cleveland (2 - 5 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Browns, which the market has them priced as 8.5-point home dogs in this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Browns to score between 24 and 28 points and gain more rushing yards than the Chiefs and will gain a minimum of 125 RY. The Browns are 35-8-1 ATS in home games when they gain 125 RY or more and outgain their opponent in rushing yards. Adding the projection that they will score 24 to 28 points sees a strong precedent of 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 8.9 PPG.
The following database system query has produced a solid 46-21 ATS for 69% spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on underdogs or pick after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and are now facing an opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
|
11-03-18 |
Missouri +6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM Missouri (337) Missouri (4 - 4) at Florida (6 - 2) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 4:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers, which the market has them priced as 6-point road dogs in this SEC matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score between 31 and 42 points and gain between 430 and 480 total yards. The Tigers are 27-8 ATS in road games when they score between 31 to 42 points and Gators are just 4-19 ATS when they allow an opponent to score between 31 and 42 points in a home tilt failing to cover by an average of 12.8 PPG.
The following database system query has produced a solid 39-21 record using the money line and good for 65% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play on a road team via the money line that is a quick starting team outscoring opponents by 7 or more PPG in the first half and after a loss by 6 or less points.
|
11-03-18 |
Penn State +13.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
7-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (405) PENN ST (6 - 2) at MICHIGAN (7 - 1) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:45 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the PSU which the market has priced as 12-point road dogs
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to score between 28 and 38 points and will average a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-pass play. When the Lions have achieved these measures in a road game they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 15.4 PPG. When Michigan has allowed the aforementioned measures in a home game, they are just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8 PPG.
The following database situation query provides a solid record playing the ‘UNDER’ of 42-15 for 74% since the start of the 1992 season. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MICHIGAN)with an excellent rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing yards-per-game, after allowing 1 or less rushing yards-per-attempt last game.
|
11-03-18 |
Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe |
Top |
25-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Georgia Southern (377) Ga Southern (7 - 1) at La Monroe (4 - 4) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Georgia Southern, who are priced as 7.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Georgia Southern to gain a minimum of 5.5 rushing yards per attempt, score 31 or more points, and have at least 3 times as many running plays than passing plays. In past games where GS met these measures they went an impressive 19-5-1 ATS for 79% covering by an average 12 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.
This DB situational query has produced a 33-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on road teams (GA SOUTHERN) that possess a solid defense allowing between 16- and 21 PPG and after a win by 17 or more points and is facing a struggling defensive team allowing a minimum of 34 PPG and after 7 or more games have been played.
|
11-03-18 |
Texas A&M v. Auburn -3 |
Top |
24-28 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (390) Texas A&M (5 - 3) at Auburn (5 - 3) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Auburn Tigers, who are priced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 8.5 passing yards per attempt, and gain a minimum of 6 yards-per-play. So, when Auburn has played a game where they met or exceeded these performance ratios, they have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS winning by an average of 13 PPG and covering the spread by 11.57 PPG.
|
11-03-18 |
Nebraska +19.5 v. Ohio State |
Top |
31-36 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Nebraska (333) Nebraska (1 - 6) at Ohio St (7 - 1) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who are priced as 19-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Nebraska to gain 5.0 to 6.0 rushing yards per attempt and score 31 or more points. Nebraska is a perfect 13-0 ATS when scoring 31 or more points and rushing for 5.0 or more yards-per-carry in road tilts since 2013 covering by an average of 14 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.
This DB situational query has produced a 74-31 ATS mark good for 71% winners spanning the last five seasons. Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 5.8 or more yards-per-play and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
|
11-02-18 |
Colorado +3 v. Arizona |
Top |
34-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM Colorado (319) Colorado (5 - 3) at Arizona (4 - 5) Week 10 Friday, 11/2/2018 10:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Buffalos, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs in this PAC-12 matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Buffalos to score between 28 and 35 points and gain between 450 and 500 total yards. The Buffalos are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points and Arizona is just 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards.
The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on a road team with an offense that is averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 Yards-per-Play and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
|
11-01-18 |
Temple v. Central Florida -10 |
Top |
40-52 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 59 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UCF (314) Temple (5 - 3) at UCF (7 - 0) Week 10 Thursday, 11/1/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Central Florida Knights, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Knights to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. The Knights are a perfect 10-0 SUATS winning by an average of 32.8 PPG and covering by an average of 16 PPG when gaining 250 or more rushing yards and averaging 7 or more yards-per-pass.
Teams that have won 6 or more straight games ATS and give up the measures to an opponent mentioned above have one 0-6 ATS failing to cover by an average of 18 PPG. When a ranked team is playing at home against a foe, who has won six straight games ATS and not favored by more than 11 points have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering the number by an average of 16.5 PPG.
|
10-30-18 |
Miami-OH +7 v. Buffalo |
Top |
42-51 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 5 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Miami (Ohio) 301 Miami Ohio (3 - 5) at Buffalo (7 - 1) Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Red Hawks, which the market has them priced as 7-point road dogs in this MAC matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Red Hawks to control game tempo and have at least 30 minutes of TOP and will contain Buffalo’s offense to less than 28 points. When the Red Hawks have been on the road and have met or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 14-5-2 ATS mark. Under the same projections and being installed as a dog, the record improves to 12-3-1 for 80% ATS. Of note, is that the UNDER has gone 13-3 in these same games.
The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) in a game involving two rushing teams gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR after 7 games have been completed.
|
10-28-18 |
Saints v. Vikings +2 |
Top |
30-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Vikings (274) New Orleans (5 - 1) at Minnesota (4 - 2 - 1) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vikings using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Vikings to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Saints. When the Vikings have been a host and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 9-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 7.95 PPG against the spread and by 13 points SU. Also, the Saints are just 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992. The following DB situational query has gone 22-5 using the money line for 82% winners and has made $1,820 per $100 wager since 2014. Play against road teams using the money line (NEW ORLEANS) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in October games.
|
10-28-18 |
Packers v. Rams -7.5 |
Top |
27-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (272) Rams (7 - 0) hosting the Packers (3-2-1) Week 8 Saturday, 10/28/2018 4:25 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which is currently lined at -9-points SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play advantage over the Packers, will gain a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass, and will score at least 28 points. In past games, the Rams have produced an 11-3 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points, a 55-19-3 ATS mark good for 74% when throwing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass play, and 10-3-1 ATS for 77% when outgaining an opponent by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-game. Since 2015, the Packers are just 2-10 ATS when being outgained by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play and 6-15 ATS when allowing 28 or more points and when being outgained by 1.1 YPPL and allowing 28 points a miserable 1-8 ATS.
|
10-28-18 |
Eagles v. Jaguars +4.5 |
Top |
24-18 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (252) Philadelphia (3 - 4) vs. Jacksonville (3 - 4) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 9:30 AM Wembley Stadium - London, England
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5 to 10-Star grading scale) on Jacksonville using the line, which currently has them priced as 3.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Jaguars are projected to outgain Philadelphia by a minimum of 0.5 yards-per-play. When teams have achieved this performance measure and gain a minimum of 125 rushing yards, the Eagles have been a miserable 4-23 SU losing by an average of 8.9 PPG and 4-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Under the same scenario, the Jaguars have produced a 28-7 SU record winning by an average of 14.9 PPG and 29-6 ATS covering by an average of 13.2 PPG.
The following database situation query has returned a solid 41-13 ATS mark for 76% winners since the start of the 2009 season and 7-2 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. Play on any team (Jacksonville) after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. This simple query’s results covered the spread by an average of 7 PPG.
|
10-27-18 |
Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 |
Top |
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma State (180) Texas (6 - 1) at Oklahoma St. (4 - 3)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Cowboys using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Longhorns. When the Cowboys have been a host and installed as a dog and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 3-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 20 PPG against the spread and by 14.75 points SU. When at home against a conference foe they have gone 22-2 SU and 17-6-1 ATS covering by an average of 9.7 PPG
The following DB situational query has gone 18-7 using the money line for 58% winners and has made $3,010 per $100 wager since 2006. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) and is a solid team that is outscoring opponents by 7 or more PPG and after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game.
|
10-27-18 |
Iowa v. Penn State -5 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Penn State (186) Iowa (6 - 1) at Penn St (5 - 2) Week 9 Saturday, 10/27/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5 to 10-Star grading scale) on Penn State using the line, which currently has them priced as 6-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results The Hawkeyes come into this game on a hot streak and have caught the eyes of the media. Yet, their stats and metrics have been against weaker opponents and have played only 1 team (Wisconsin) that ranks below the Top-60 in our neural net generated rankings. Wisconsin controlled both sides of the line of scrimmage. Iowa’s defense failed to contain a one-dimensional Badger offense as well. PSU ranks fifth nationally with a 11.3 yards-per-point ratio and third overall if you take out Utah State and Toledo since they are not members of the Power-5 conferences. Iowa’s defense has not played against a team that has the vertical speed like PSU has displayed this season. The duel threat of QB McSorely and his read intelligence makes it nearly impossible for any defense to play man coverage on deep routes.
PSU is projected to outgain Iowa by a minimum of 1.1 yards-per-play. When PSU has achieved this performance measure and are installed as home favorites of 4 to 10 points, they have gone a perfect 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS covering by an average of 12 PPG. The lone loss was against Temple in the beginning of the 2016 season and by just 1.5 points.
|
10-27-18 |
Georgia -6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
36-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Georgia (167) Georgia (6 - 1) versus Florida (6 - 1) Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Georgia using the line, which currently prices them as 6.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Georgia will gain a minimum of 5.5 yards-per-rush and a minimum of 250 total rushing yards. They will also score 28 or more points. In past games, where Georgia met each of these performance measures they have produced a 43-16 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points and installed as a ‘road’ favorite covering by an average of 9.33 PPG. When they have gained 250 or more rushing yards as ‘road’ favorites they have gone 6-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.7 PPG since 2009; 7-3 ATS when gaining 225 or more RY. When Florida has been installed as a dog and yielded 5.5 RYPA, they have been 0-3 ATS failing to cover by an average of 15 PPG. When allowing 28 or more points and dressed in the DOG, they are a miserable 10-38-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.33 PPG.
The following database query has produced a stout 60-23 mark good for 72% since 2014. Play against any team (FLORIDA) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games and is a top-level team having won a minimum of 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. And when we look at only conference games, the record improves to 52-18 ATS for 74% and is a perfect 5-0 ATS in 2018.Ryan’s 10-Star PAC-12 Friday Night Titan; 92.3% situation
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10-26-18 |
Utah -10.5 v. UCLA |
Top |
41-10 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Utah (119) UTAH (5 - 2) at UCLA (2 - 5) Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Utes using the line, which currently prices them as 10.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Utes to score at least 28 points and outgain UCLA by at least 200 yards. Utah is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. The following database system query has produced a solid 24-2 ATS record for 92.3% winners since 2008. Play on road favorites (UTAH) after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games and is now facing an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. These results covered the spread by an average of 10.11 PPG and underscores the projections that Utah wins this game by at least 20 points.
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10-25-18 |
Baylor +14 v. West Virginia |
Top |
14-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Baylor University Bears ( Baylor (4 - 3) at W Virginia (5 - 1) Week 9 Thursday, 10/25/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager on Baylor using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 13.5-point road dog. SIM Matching Game Situations The summary projections call for both teams to score 18 or more points. In past Baylor road games where they were installed as dogs of 10 to 17 points and both teams did score 28 or more points, Baylor has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by an average of 11 points per game. Looks like WVU will need a last minute FG to win this one – or maybe not.
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10-23-18 |
Troy -10.5 v. South Alabama |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Troy University (101) Troy (5 - 2) at S Alabama (2 - 5) Week 9 Tuesday, 10/23/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on Troy using the line, which currently has them priced as 10.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results The Troy Trojans are projected to gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards and average at least 4.5 yards-per-rush. IN past games, where the Jaguars have allowed these performance measures, they have gone just 1-6 ATS for 14%. This DB situational query has produced a 51-18 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2013. Play against home underdogs (S ALABAMA) after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games.
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10-22-18 |
Giants v. Falcons -3.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-111 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Atlanta Falcons (476) Ny Giants (1 - 5) at Atlanta (2 - 4) Week 7 Monday, 10/22/2018 8:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Giants. When the Falcons have been a host and installed as a favorite and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 19-1 SU record winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and a 16-3-1 ATS mark 84% covering by an average of 9.5 PPG.
The following DB situational query has gone 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 1980. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) after a game where they forced no turnovers and now facing an opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The SU record is 54-7 so playing the money line is a reasonable alternative.
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10-20-18 |
Ohio State v. Purdue +13 |
Top |
20-49 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Purdue (334) OHIO ST (7 - 0) at PURDUE (3 - 3) Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Purdue Boilermakers. Consider placing a 5-Star amount on the money line and a 5-Star play on the line to exploit the significant likelihood that Purdue can win this game outright.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Purdue’s defense to hold Ohio State to 28 or fewer points and the Boilermaker offense will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards-per-play. So, in past games where these performance measures have been attained by any home team against a Top-10 opponent have gone 33-1 ATS. So, this is a play that is certainly deserving of the money line play as well.
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10-20-18 |
NC State v. Clemson -17 |
Top |
7-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Clemson (390) NC State (5 - 0) at Clemson (6 - 0) Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on Clemson using the line, which currently has them priced as 17.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clemson is projected to gain more than 250 rushing yards and average more than 6.0 rushing yards-per-carry and score 35 or more points. When doing so the Tigers precedent is a stout 21-0 SU winning by an average of 34 PPG and 16-5 ATS covering by an average of 11.93 PPG In case you wanted to know: When two undefeated teams have played and the home team is the higher ranked team and installed as a favorite of at least 14.5-points, are a very strong 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS for 73% covering by an average of 7 points and ion the 11 wins covering by an average of 13.4 PPG.
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10-19-18 |
Colorado State v. Boise State -24 |
Top |
28-56 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Boise State (308) Colorado St (3 - 4) at Boise St (4 - 2) Week 8 Friday, 10/19/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on Boise State using the line, which currently has them priced as 23.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Boise State is projected to hold CSU to less than 200 passing yards and between 50 and 100 rushing yards and in past games where they have achieved these defensive measures they have produced a 12-0 SU mark and a 8-3-1 ATS mark. Moreover, they are projected to gain at least 550 totla offensive yards and are 24-6-1 ATS for 80% when doing so.
Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 40-17 ATS for 70% winners. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite and with 4 or more total starters returning than the opponent.
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10-18-18 |
Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State |
Top |
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Stanford (305) Stanford (4 - 2) at Arizona State (3 - 3) Week 8 Thursday, 10/18/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager on the Stanford Cardinal using the line, which is currently priced at -2.5-points.
SIM Projections and Results The Cardinal is projected to gain more than 300 passing yards and average better than 10-yards-per-pass play. In past games where the Cardinal have achieved this performance level they have gone an exceptional 11-32 SU and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% and covered by an average of 8.46 PPG. When ASU has allowed these measures and installed as a dog, they have gone a money burning 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS for 33%. Stanford is also projected to score 28 points and when they do installed as a road favorite, they have produced a 44-12-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. When scoring 28 or more points as a road favorite in a conference showdown, the Cardinal has gone 30-7-3 ATS for 81% covering by an average of 9.24 PPG.
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10-18-18 |
Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5 |
Top |
45-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
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The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (302) Denver (2 - 4) at Arizona (1 - 5) Week 7 Thursday, 10/18/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals using the line, which currently has them priced as 2-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Arizona has not run the ball well in any of their games to this point, but the ‘MATH’ clearly points to Arizona having their first 100+ rushing yard game tonight. When Denver has been installed as a road favorite and have allowed the host to gain 100 or more rushing yards, they have been a money burning 11-37-3 ATS for 23%. When the Cardinals have been home dogs and have gained 100 or kore RY, they have gone on to produce a solid 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners and covered by an average of 6.1 PPG.
Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 32-12 ATS for 73% winners. Play on road teams with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play and after allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. The average winning bet covered by an average of 9.5 PPG.
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10-14-18 |
Rams -6.5 v. Broncos |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (160)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 6.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results The Rams are projected to score a minimum of 24 points and gain a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. The Broncos are just 13-58 SU and 11-59-1 ATS for 16% when allowing 24 or more points and 6.0 or more YPPL. Broncos are just 4-16-1 ATS in this situation when playing at home and when installed as a home dog are just 1-6 ATS.
Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 20-2 ATS mark good for 91% over the past 5 seasons. Play on road teams that are excellent passing teams gaining a minimum of 265 passing yards-per-game and after a game allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games and is now facing a struggling passing defense allowing between 230 and 265 passing yards-per-game.
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10-14-18 |
Cardinals +10.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (251) Arizona (1 - 4) at Minnesota (2 - 2 - 1) Week 6 Sunday, 10/14/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals, which the market has them priced as 10-point road dogs.
We also have a 7-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’. So, play each as 7-Star plays and then consider adding a 3-Star reverse action parlay using the total and the line. Also, a 1-Star amount using the Money Line and the total.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cardinals to play much better defense today and will hold the Vikings to less than 21 points and less than 100 rushing yards. When the Cardinals have achieved both performance measures, they have gone 39-15 SU and 47-6-1 ATS for 88.7% winners and when installed as road dogs they improve to 22-13 SU and a remarkable 32-2-1 ATS. The following DB situational query has produced a solid record of 33-9 ATS for 79% winners and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% since 2008 and covering by an average of 5.77 PPG. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a terrible offense averaging 260 or less total yards-per-game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
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10-13-18 |
Michigan State v. Penn State -13.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-109 |
53 h 2 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Penn State (202) Michigan State (3 - 2) at Penn State (4 - 1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions, which the market has them priced as 13-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to contain the MSU ground attack to between 100 and 150 yards and force them into more third down situations than themselves. So, PSU is 8-1 ATS when holding an opponent to between 100 and 150 RY over the L3 seasons. The Lions are also expected to gain 1.1 or more yards-per-play (not necessarily run more plays, but far more efficient than MSU) and are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when installed as a home favorite between 7 and 14 points in this role. Of the overall 1.1 YPPL advantage it is all in the passing game with the Lions expected to enjoy at least a 1.5 yards-per-pass advantage over MSU. IN games where the Lions have attained or exceeded this measure, they have gone 40-0 SU and 30-8-2 ATS for 79% winning wagers.
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10-13-18 |
Georgia -8 v. LSU |
Top |
16-36 |
Loss |
-109 |
53 h 44 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Georgia (197) Georgia (6-0) at LSU (5-1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dawgs to control game tempo and both sides of the ball. The number 28, as in points scored or allowed, is the biggest pivot number in NCAA football, and especially the SEC with their high scoring offenses. Georgia is projected to score 28 points rather easily and will most likely have 35 or more in this road game. Georgia is 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning wagers when scoring 28 or more points installed as a road favorite. When scoring 28 or more points in SEC conference action, the Dawgs are 44-2 SU and 34-12 for 74% covering the number by an average of 9.47 PPG. Now, when LSU has allowed an opponent 28 or more points in home tilts they have struggled to a horrid 11-36 SU and 3-43-1 ATS record dating back to 1983. Since the start of the 2011 season, they are 0-4 ATS. Tigers are a money burning 2-13 SY and 3-12 ATS for 20% when allowing 28 points installed as a home dog in SEC action since 1980.
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10-13-18 |
Washington v. Oregon +3 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 26 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oregon (160) Washington (5 - 1) at Oregon (4 - 1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Oregon Ducks, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point home dogs. We like making this a combination wager placing a 2.5-Star amount on the money line at +145 and a 5.5-Star amount on the line to take advantage of the expected Duck’s SU upset win.
SIM Projections and Results Oregon is projected to score a minimum of 31 points and will run at least 10 more plays than Washington. When playing at home and achieving these KPI, the Ducks have gone 22-2 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70%. When achieving these KPI against a conference foe, the record improves to 14-1 SU winning by an average of 29.8 points per game and 12-3 ATS for 80% covering the number by an average of 9.33 PPG.
Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 36-9 ATS mark good for 75%. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 1.2 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
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10-13-18 |
Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 |
Top |
37-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 30 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Vanderbilt (192) Florida (5 - 1) At Vanderbilt (3 - 3) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vanderbilt using the line, which currently prices them as 7.5-point home dogs. Consider this alternative wager strategy combining the money line and the line to exploit the significant chance that Vanderbilt wins this game. The combination wager consists of a 7-Star wager on the line and a 3-Star wager on the money line. The money line is currently priced at 240, which for a $100 wager returns $240 plus the $100 wager for $340. So, the 3-star wager at a $100 per star returns $720 if Vanderbilt wins. If Vanderbilt loses by less than 7 points, then the line bet wins for $700 net profit and the money line wager loses for a net loss of $300. Overall, still making a nice $400 net profit in the final margin is between Florida winning by 1 and less than 8-points.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Commodores to post greater yards per play in both the ground and passing attacks. So, for any home dog, who attains these measures of offensive advantages over a visiting opponent has made tons of money in the form of a 267-90 SU record winning by an average of 10.2 PPG and a 315-33-9 ATS 90.5% record covering the number by an average of 16 PPG. Slicing the data set to include just games played in the SEC Conference reveals a remarkable 30-0 ATS record covering by an average of 16.57 PPG and a 26-4 SU record winning outright by 10.93 PPG. The following database system query has produced a solid 22-3 ATS record for 88% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more.
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10-07-18 |
Ravens v. Browns +3 |
|
9-12 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (452) Baltimore (3 - 1) at Cleveland (1 - 2 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Cleveland Browns on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. The current market has the Browns priced as a 3-point home dog after opening at pick-em.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Cleveland to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Ravens will gain. In past home games where NFL teams have been installed as dogs and then meeting or exceeding the YPPL KPI, has produced a 148-54 SU and 165-43-3 ATS mark good for 82.9% winners since 1989; 30-5 SU and 31-4 ATS for 88.6% winners covering by an average of 14.10 PPG since the start of the 2015 season.
Here is a Database Situational Query that has gone 32-9 ATS for 78% success over the past 10 seasons. Play against favorites that have been a dominant team by outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game and after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. When installed as a road favorite, these dominant teams have gone just 1-7 ATS since 2013.
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10-07-18 |
Titans -5 v. Bills |
|
12-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Tennessee Titans (455) Tennessee (3 - 1) at Buffalo (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Titans which the market has them priced as 5.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to The Titans are projected to outgain the Bills by a margin of 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Titans are 24-0 SUATS.
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10-07-18 |
Packers v. Lions +1 |
Top |
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Detroit Lions (464) Green Bay (2 - 1 - 1) at Detroit (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Lions, which the market has them priced as 1-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to out gain the Packers by a minimum of 1.4 yards-per-play. When they have been playing at home and have met this KPI they are 45-6 SU and 41-10 ATS for 80.4%; since the start of the 2013 season, the Lions are 10-0 SUATS
Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 32-7 record good for 82.1% winners and has made $2,430 per $100 wagered since 1983. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6 points or less last game and is now facing an opponent coming off a loss by 3 or less points.
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10-07-18 |
Dolphins v. Bengals -6 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cincinnati (466) Miami(3 - 1) at Cincinnati (3 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Bengals, which the market has them priced as 6-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bengals to enjoy a margin of at least 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Bengals are 29-1 SUATS and has covered by an average of 16 points.
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10-06-18 |
Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 |
Top |
45-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Virginia Tech (350) NOTRE DAME (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Hokies which the market has them priced as 7-point home dogs in this marquee matchup.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Hokies to control game tempo with a time of possession advantage of at least 5 minutes, will gain a minimum of 4.5 yards per rush, and will outgain the Irish by 50 to 100 total yards. Hokies are a perfect 5-0 SUATS when averaging at least 4.5 RYPC and enjoying a minimum of 5 minutes advantage in TOP. Here is a solid database system query that has produced a solid 44-14 record good for 76% winners over the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites good offensive team averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP.
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10-06-18 |
Auburn -3.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
9-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (391) AUBURN (4 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 3-point road favorites in this SEC show down.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. Tigers are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when passing for at least 7.5 passing yards per attempt and gaining more than 200 passing yards in road games. When allowing these performance measures to an opponent installed as a home dog Miss. State is just 5-9 ATS. State is coming off back-to-back horrid offensive games losing at Kentucky 28-7 and losing at home to Florida 13-6. Traveling ranked teams in the top-25 playing a team that scored 10 or less points in two straight games are 26-8 ASYS for 77% winners and 33-1 SU. Here is a great database system query that has produced a 29-5 record good for 85% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game.
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10-06-18 |
Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +4 |
Top |
37-44 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh (324) Syracuse (4-1) at Pittsburgh 2-3) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Pittsburgh to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Orange will gain. In past home games where Pitt has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 26-1 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76%. Pitt is projected to score at least 28 points and are 12-6 ATS when installed as a home dog.
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10-06-18 |
Kansas +28 v. West Virginia |
Top |
22-38 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Kansas (375) Kansas (2 - 3) at West Virginia (4 - 0) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 28.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mountaineers to out gain Kansas, but by less than 2.0 yards-per-play. When they have been installed as home favorites of 27.5 or more points and have not outgained their opponent by more than 2 YPPL they are just 1-5 ATS.
Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 96-49 record good for 66.2% winners and has made $4,210 per $100 wagered since 1992. Play on road underdogs of 21.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, and has a current win percentage of 25% to 40% and is now facing a team with a winning record.
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10-06-18 |
Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 |
Top |
29-19 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Michigan State (374) Northwestern (1 - 3) at Michigan St (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM Friday, 10/5/2018 4:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Spartans which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites in this BIG_TEN show down. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Spartans to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. Spartans are 25-1 SU and 18-9 ATS when passing for at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt in home games. Spartans are 32-1 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% when holding an opponent to fewer than 4 yards per play in home games.
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10-05-18 |
Utah State +3 v. BYU |
Top |
45-20 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Utah State (311) Utah State (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 2) Week 6 Friday, 10/5/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Utah State, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs. The Algoroithm also came up with a 5-Star graded play on the OVER. So, place a 5-Star wager on the OVER, which is currently priced at 53.5-points. Also, consider adding a reverse parlay not to exceed a 3-start amount using Utah State plus the points and the OVER. A reverse bet is similar to a parlay bet but is actually a set of if bets where action goes in both forward and reverse order. For example, we are looking at the Utah State game on the board and see Utah Stat installed as 3-point dog and the total at 53.5-points. We decide we want to bet UTST +3 and also want to bet the ‘OVER’ If we did so in a $100 2-team parlay we’ll be paid $264.64 if both plays win, and we will lose our full $100 stake if we go 1-1 or 0-2. If we instead made a reverse bet our wager would be:
Bet #1 UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545. If win, push, tie, or cancelled –Then: OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545 Bet #2 OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545. If win, push, tie, or cancelled – Then: UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545
The two bets above are placed together on the same ticket using the reverse bet wagering option of an online bookmaker. As you can see this is a “double if bet” using the same selections. Bet $50 on UTST and if they win, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the ‘OVER’. Also bet $50 on the ‘OVER’ and if that wins, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the UTST +3.
The potential outcomes for a $50 reverse action wager:
If both teams lose your $100 stake is lost= -$100 If both teams win you win $45.4545 four times = +$181.82 If one team wins and the other loses you win $45.45, but you moved your $50 return of stake to the team that lost which you had another $50 stake on that also lost. So (+$45.45)+(-$50)+(-$50)= -$54.55.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Utah State to gain 1.1 or more yards play than the BYU Cougars will gain. In past road games where Utah State has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS for 68.4%. And when installed as a road dog, Utah State is a quite strong 5-1 ATS and 5-0-1 OVER.
Utah State is projected to score at least 28 points and are 9-1 ATS when they do score 28 points over the last 2 seasons.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 113-59 record for 65.7% winners over the past five seasons. Play on road underdogs after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.
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10-04-18 |
Colts v. Patriots -10 |
Top |
24-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup New England (302) Colts (1 - 3) at Patriots (2 - 2) Week 5 Thursday, 10/4/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Patriots, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Patriots to gain 1.4 or more yards play than the Colts will gain. In past home games where the Patriots attained or exceeded the YPPL metric, they have gone 34-1 SU and 32-3 ATS for 91.4% winners.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 45-17 record for 73% winners since 1983 and has gone 18-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. Play against road teams that are not strong rushing teams averaging between 70 and 95 RY-per-game and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games, and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 95 and 125 RY-per-game.
Colts are passing 67% of the time and the entire scheme is get the ball out of Luck’s hands quickly. This plays right into the teeth of the Patriots defense, who rank 3rd overall and based on the predictive metrics will be a top-5 defensive unit over the course of the season. As we enter Week 5 action the Patriots pass defense ranks 20th, but 6th in coverage metrics. Their loss at Detroit allowing them 26 points was not attributed to poor pass coverage, but to the superior execution of the Detroit offense. The Colts under Manning and Luck have done well using play action to allow both QBs enough time to identify vertical ‘chunk’ route opportunities that have very high completion percentages. Without the presence of a ground attack and having to throw on 67% of the plays to date, will make it nearly impossible to catch the Patriots defense in a man coverage scheme while using play action. Simply, the Patriots defense is expected to give the underneath route and occasionally jump the slant route to the slot receiver looking for the interception.
Scary thing right now for defensive coordinators facing the Patriots is that they are executing pass plays 52% of the time. The emergence of Michel and the convoy of RBs and a much better than expected OL has reduced pressure on Brady in pass plays and has allowed for play action on nearly every pass play called. Gordon gives Brady a vertical threat that the Colts cannot defend with one CB. Gordon has to be bracketed and that all but eliminates the safety blitz. If the safeties are forced to come to the LOS to help stop the Patriots run game, then Brady will have man coverage on the perimeter with Hogan or Gordon.
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09-30-18 |
Ravens +3 v. Steelers |
Top |
26-14 |
Win
|
103 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Baltimore (275) Baltimore (2 - 1) at Pittsburgh (1 - 1 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Ravens which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Ravens to to gain at least 7 passing yards per attempt, will score at least 24 points and that Pittsburgh will gain over 100 rushing yards. In past road games where the Ravens have met this trio of metrics, they have gone 13-2-1 ATS for 87% winners. The Steelers in this situation have been a money burning 1-24 ATS and 4-21 SU.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against home favorites after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers has produced a 86-47 record since 1983 for 64.7%, +3430 per $100 wagered.
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09-30-18 |
Bengals v. Falcons -3.5 |
Top |
37-36 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Atlanta (256) Cincinnati (2 - 1) at Atlanta (1 - 2) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Falcons on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain more then 35 more RY and 75 more passing yards than the Bengals. When the Falcons have achieved this tandem of KPI, they have gone 18-0 SU and 17-1 ATS. That lone ATS loss occurred back in 1998.
Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where the team committed no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse has produced a solid 24-5 mark over the last 10 seasons for 82.8%, +1850 per $%100 wagered Take the Falcons.
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09-30-18 |
Jets +7.5 v. Jaguars |
Top |
12-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup NY Jets (261) NY Jets (1 - 2) at Jacksonville (2 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jets to gain more than 100 rushing yards and will hold JAX to less than 21 points. In past games where the Jets were installed as road dogs and attained that tandem of metrics they have gone 36-16 SU and 44-4-4 ATS for 92% winners.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against favorites with a poor turnover defense forcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. 53-22 over the last 5 seasons for 70.7%, +2880
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09-29-18 |
Ohio State v. Penn State +4 |
Top |
27-26 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (162) OHIO ST (4 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions using the line, which currently prices the them as 3.5 home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to have at least 30 more rushing yards than the Buckeyes, score at least 32 points, and average at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt or a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. In past games where two teams ranked in the Top-10 have met on the lesser ranked teams’ home venue and the home team was installed as a dog and is coming of two straight games scoring 42 or more points have gone an impressive 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS with the average margin of victory 3.75 points and average ATS margin 8.75 points. Slicing the data bit further to show only those games where the home dog scored 32 or more points produces a perfect 14-0 ATS result and an average margin of victory of 14 points and ATS margin of 19 points.
Following is a database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games has produced an exceptional mark of 40-11 ATS for 78.4% winners. Here is a second database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games has produced a 35-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.1%, +2290 per $100 wagered.
This game is at Happy Valley and it will be a White Out event held at night on National TV with close to 111,000 in attendance and 110,500 PSU fans. They had the White Out last year when they played Michigan in what was a complete blowout and home field advantage, especially at the PSU student end zone was significant. The crowd noise will be a factor whenever OSU gets into the red zone at that end of the field. Tailgating at PSU is arguably the best in the nation and covers more than 200 acres of rolling farmland and will start Thursday morning.
The Penn State defense has made its’ share of mistakes in the young season and it starts with only 3 returning starters from last year’s unit. However, the depth chart released Monday morning reflects just how deep and talented the defense has become. The promotion of freshman Jonathan Sutherland is noteworthy as he is now listed as the backup to starter Nick Scott. Sutherland had eight tackles and had a TFL in the 63-24 win over Illinois.
Although young, the PSU wideouts are excellent route runners with elite athleticism. In watching game films, they can blow by corners near effortlessly and appear to be cruising downfield for wide open receptions. The duo of KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson lead the receiving corps. Hamler is the team leader in yards (170) and TDs (three) while Johnson has 12 catches for 141 yards and one score. Hamler has emerged as the big play machine and he certainly will have a significant impact in this game.
PSU has a great running back in 24 Miles Sanders (5-11, 215, Jr./Jr.), who has the quickness of his mentor Barkley, but doesn’t have the physical size. However, he has yet to be showcased in any game, especially out of the backfield. Last year, Barkley would get short high percentage receptions in space where he then could make the first defender miss. Sanders will be a nightmare for OSU linebackers to cover in space and he will have be targeted far more often in this game.
All of this then sets up the play action ‘read option’ plays sending the speedsters in vertical routes where QB McSorley elite arm strength will be on display. At only 6-0 and 201 pounds, he is the heart and soul of this year’s team and is a ferocious competitor when the games are on the line.
Ohio State is an elite team too and there is absolutely no debating that point. The Lions have a huge advantage playing a home Nationally televised night game that will go along way to determining the Big-10 Champion and also a potential spot in the playoffs. At the end of the day, it is always the data and what the results of the neural net metrics inform us with that is the dominant reason for this play to be made with the winning confidence of a 10-Star.
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09-29-18 |
Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Central Florida |
Top |
14-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 40 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh (139) PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at UCF (3 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 13.5 point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Panthers to have a better (higher value) defensive yards per point allowed ratio by a margin of 1.5 yards allowed per point. In past games where the Panthers have achieved this KPI, they have gone 60-9 SU and 52-13-3 ASTS covering by an average of 9.10 PPG.
The following DB situation underscores the strength of this play and the potential for Pitt to attain a major upset victory. Play on road underdogs in a game involving two excellent rushing teams averaging 4.8 or more YPR and after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt last game. 56-23 over the last 5 seasons for 70.9%, +3070 per $100 wagered.
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09-29-18 |
Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 11 m |
Show
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The Play and the Matchup Syracuse (129) SYRACUSE (4 - 0) at CLEMSON (4 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Orange of Syracuse, which the market has them priced as 25.5-point road dogs. Our metrics indicate that this game could be a very close one that is decided late in the fourth quarter, so if you are able to get a money line, take Syracuse as an added 2-Star amount.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Orange defense to keep Clemson to less than 7 yards per pass play and that they will score at least 21 points. In previous road tilts where Syracuse has met these measures, they have gone a perfect 11-0 ATS covering by an average of 14 points.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on a road team that is an excellent offensive team gaining 6.2 more yards-per-play after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing team with an excellent defense allowing 4.2 or fewer yards-per-play. 34-9 over the last 10 seasons for 79.1%, +2410 per $100 wagered
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09-29-18 |
West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4 |
Top |
42-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 10 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Texas Tech (184) W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 1) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Red Raiders, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Red Raiders to have more efficient, lower offensive yards-per-point ratio than WVU and the margin will be at least 1.5 yards per point in this game. IN past home tilts when the Red Raiders have accomplished this performance level they have produced a 47-11-1 ATS record for 81%.
DB Situational Query The following query goes like this. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining their respective opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. 28-6 over the last 5 seasons for 82.4%, +2140 per $100 wagered
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09-28-18 |
Memphis v. Tulane +15 |
Top |
24-40 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
Be sure to get on board Ryan’s 10-Star NCAA Upset Alert Game of the Year that goes Saturday. The 10-Star play has gone 3-1 ATS in NCAAF this season and in 2017 they hit 77% ATS NFL+NCAA combined.
The Play and the Matchup Tulane (106) MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 3) Week 5 Friday, 9/28/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Tulane Green Wave using the line, which currently prices them as 15-point home dogs. I also like the idea of a combination wager placing a 5-star wager on the line and a 2-Star amount on the money line. The money line is priced at 500, which simply means a 1-star play of $100 would return $500 if Tulane pulls off the magical upset. So, in the recommended combination wager, it would return $1,000 and then add in the 6-Star or $600 winner using the line and you get a total return of $1600.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Wave to gain at least 9 yards per pass attempt and score 28 or more points. In past home Wave games where they have attained these KPI, they have gone a resounding 12-2 ATS for 78% covering the number by an average of 7 PPG. They are 14-4 SATS in home games when they pass for 9 or more yards per attempt by itself.
In road Memphis games when they have allowed 28 or more points and an opponent to pass for at least 9 yards per attempt they have been a money burning 3-15-3 ATS for just 17% winners.
Here is a DB situational query that has done quite well and supports the SIM grading for this play. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that has been dominating opponents outgaining them by 125 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards per game over their last 2 games. 46-14 over the last 10 seasons for 76.7%, +3060 per $100 wagered.
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09-27-18 |
Vikings v. Rams -7 |
Top |
31-38 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (102) MINNESOTA (1 - 1 - 1) at LA RAMS (3 - 0) Week 4 Thursday, 9/27/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 7-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 125 rushing yards and will keep Minnesota to less than 95 rushing yards. Rams will post a minimum of 8 yards per pass attempt and will score a minimum of 27 points. In past games, where the Rams have met or exceeded these KPI, they have gone a perfect 16-0 SU and 16-0 ATS covering the spread by 14.5 points-per-game. When at home, they have gone 8-0 ATS covering by 13.81 points-per-game.
DB Situational Query The following query goes like this. Play against road underdogs using the money line off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more against opponent off a home win. It is not a bad option either if you are a Money Line player and wish to use that wager method. However, we would only caution you to reduce the wager amount to 3.5-Stars given the -285 money line currently prevailing in the market. 47-3 since 1983 for 94%, +3840 per $100 wagered.
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09-23-18 |
Saints v. Falcons -1.5 |
Top |
43-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Falcons (468) NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) Week 3 Sunday, 9/23/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Atlanta Falcons, which the market has them priced as 3-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to score 28 or more points, gain at least 375 total offensive yards, and average 7 or better yards-per-play. In home Falcon games installed as a favorite and meeting these KPI they have gone an impressive 14-0 SU winning by an average 16 points and 11-2-1 ATS for 85% and covering the number by 8.50 points.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on home teams that are off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. 36-12 since 1983 for 75%, +228o per $100 wager. This situational query has not lost in 10 years and is a perfect 8-0 over that span.
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09-22-18 |
Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor |
Top |
7-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Kansas (385) KANSAS (2 - 1) at BAYLOR (2 - 1) Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Kansas Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs. You recall the 10-Star monster winner last week as Kansas smoked Rutgers and covered by 42 points. Kansas is known for the basketball program but this team is building towards a very special season and arguably the best of he last two decades.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jayhawks to have a minimum of 175 rushing yards and will have fewer turnovers than Baylor. In past road games, where Kansas has met these KPIs, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road underdogs using the money line that is a solid rushing team gaining between 190 to 230 RY-per-game and is facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 to 190 RY-per-game, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 25-19 over the last 10 seasons for 56.8%, +5240 per $100 wager and averaging a 285 dog wager.
And another one using the line supports the fantastic team chemistry Kansas possesses this season. Play on road underdogs after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.
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09-22-18 |
Texas A&M +26.5 v. Alabama |
|
23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Texas A&M (405) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies from Texas A&M, which the market has them priced as 25.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to have fewer turnovers than Alabama. In past road games where they have been installed as 10 point or more dogs and won the turnover battle, they have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS.
DB Situational Query Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road underdogs after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. 186-98 over the last 5 seasons for 65.5%, +7820 per $100 wagered. If we slice the data further to include opponents ranked in the top-5 at the time of the game, the results are 41-25-2 ATS mark for 62%. And adding in games where the traveler was installed as a 24 or more point dog, they have gone 15-8 for 65% winners.
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
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09-22-18 |
Georgia -14 v. Missouri |
Top |
43-29 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Georgia (403) GEORGIA (3 - 0) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, who are priced currently as 14-point road favorites in this SEC matchup. Georgia is ranked number one overall by are machine learning programs and we just don’t see how Missouri can sustain competitive equality for all four quarters. Georgia’ OL will wear down the Tigers over the course of the game and open up big play opportunities in both ground and passing games.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Georgia to have a minimum of 9 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 6.5 yards per play, and will outgain Missouri by at least 0.5 yards-per-play. Georgia is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards-per-attempt and 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Missouri on the other hand is a money losing 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards-per-play and 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road favorites after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game. 36-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.6%, +2390 units
|
09-21-18 |
Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida |
Top |
36-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Florida Atlantic (305) FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0) Week 4 Friday, 9/21/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on FAU using the line, which currently prices them 14-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for FAU to score 28 or more points and have a minimum of 500 total offensive yards. In past games where the FAU has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 8-2 ATS and when installed as 10 or more point road dogs they are 5-1 ATS. When CFU has allowed an opponent the aforementioned projections, they are 1-4 ATS. When CFU has allowed 28 or more points and were installed as double digit favorites they are an imperfect 0-5 ATS.
Here is a supporting DB situational query. Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 6.1 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 525 or more total offensive yards in their previous game. 52-16 over the last 5 seasons and 76.5%, $3,440.
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09-20-18 |
Tulsa +7 v. Temple |
Top |
17-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup TULSA (1 - 2) at TEMPLE (1 - 2) Week 4 Thursday, 9/20/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Tulsa using the line, which is currently prices them as 7.5-point road dogs. Consider a combination wager consisting of a 4.5-Star amount on the line and a 2.4-Star amount on the money line.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Tulsa to have 50 or more rushing yards than Temple and will gain a total of 3250 or more rushing yards. In addition, Tulsa is projected to have the same number or fewer turnovers. In previous away games installed as a DOG and where Tulsa has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS for 82%. In home games where Temple has been outrushed by 50 or more yards and were installed as 3.5-point favorites or more, they have gone a dismal 1-5 ATS for just 17%.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
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09-16-18 |
Texans v. Titans +3 |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
111 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (270) HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) Week 2 Sunday, 9/16/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Titans using Line, which is currently prices them as 3-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to hold the Texas to less than 5.5 yards-per-pass and less than 21 points. In past games where the Titans have met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 93-43-2 ATS. Slicing the data bit further to include only when they were home dogs produces a 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS mark good 83.3% winners.
Database Situational Query Play against road teams using the money line in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season with a win percentage of 25% or less and now playing a team had a winning record last year. 30-2 since 1983 for 93.8%.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
|
09-15-18 |
Ohio State v. TCU +13 |
Top |
40-28 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup TCU(204) OHIO ST (2 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0) Week 3 Saturday, 9/15/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on TCU, which the market has them riced as 11.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for TCU to win the turnover battle and to have more time of possession (TOP) than OSU. In past games, where they have met these performance measures they have gone 26-1 for 96% and 21-5 ATS covering by an average of 10 points for 81%. When they have been installed as home dogs in this projected situation, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS.
DB Situational Query Play on a home team after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points and is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games. 30-8 since 1992 for 78.9%, +2120 per $100 wagered.
|
09-15-18 |
Rutgers v. Kansas -2.5 |
Top |
14-55 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 39 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Kansas (132) RUTGERS (1 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 1) Week 3 Saturday, 9/15/2018 12:00 PM 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on Kansas, which is currently priced as 2.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jayhawks defense to play very well and hold Rutgers to less than 250 yards. The offense is projected to have at least 100 rushing yards. In past home games where they have accomplished these KPIs, Kansas is 7-1 SU and 5-2 ATS for 71.4% winners. Rutgers is 0-4 ATS when gaining 250 or less total yards. The key is the Kansas ground attack and when they have gained 4.5 YPR or better., they have gone 21-9 ATS for 70%.
After 46 straight road defeats, the Jayhawks dominated Central Michigan and finally won a road game 31-7. This Kansas team has 19 returning starters with 10 of them on defense and it sowed against CMU. The chemistry is the best in many seasons and they are motivated as a unit to end some of the ‘doormat’ reputations that previous editions have earned. This game would mean a ton to them to defeat a Big Ten school and would also place them in great position for a 6 or 7 win season and a BOWL game. Rutgers was hammered again by Ohio State last week 51-3 and it could have been far worse. Rutgers has been outscored 271-27 by the Buckeyes since joining the Big Ten, including 166-3 under head coach Chris Ash, who was a former OSU assistant. They know they are a bad team once again and that drubbing carries over to this game too.
DB Situational query using the Money Line Play against a road team using the money line that is an average defensive team allowing between 330 to 390 YPG and after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 280 to 330 YPG, 36-2 since 1992 for 94.7%, +3420 per $100 wagered. The average scoring margin has been 18 points.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NFL and NCAAF 10-Stars 77% ATS in 2017 NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71% in 2017 NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73% in 2017.
|
09-10-18 |
Rams v. Raiders +5 |
Top |
33-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Oakland Raiders (482) LA RAMS (0-0) at OAKLAND (0-0) Week 1 Monday, 9/10/2018 10:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Raiders using the line, which currently has them installed as 4.5-point home dogs. Consider an alternative wager using a 7-Star amount on the line and a 3-Star amount on the money line. The ML is currently at +190, which with an outright Raiders win returns $570 on the $300 (3-star) amount and a total of $1270 for the entire 10-Star wager.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Raiders to have at least 100 rushing yards, and achieve a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. In this role and installed as a home dog, the Raiders have gone 9-3 ATS for 75% since 1989. They covered by an average of 6.55 PPG. The Rams are just 1-5 ATS when visiting a underdog host and allowing them 100 RY and 6.0 or more YPPL. They are also projected to score between 23 and 28 points as calculated by deep machine learning tools that identified a cluster of predictive areas. Machine learning will identify a specific data point. That’s the true difference between these often times misused terms that are subsets of AI. When the Rams have allowed a host to gain 100 or more RY and given up between 23 and 28 points, they are just 2-8 ATS. In games where the opponent scored 28 or more points, they have gone 0-12 ATS.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning and deep learning processes - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian probability networks. Also, we have deployed combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances in predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
|
09-09-18 |
Bills +8 v. Ravens |
Top |
3-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Buffalo (459) BUFFALO (9 - 8) at BALTIMORE (9 - 7) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Bills using the line, which currently has them installed as 7.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bills to have at least 125 rushing yards and will have more RY than the Ravens. In this role and installed as a road dog, the Bills have gone 28-10-1 ATS for 74% since 1992. They covered by an average of 6.33 PPG. They are also projected to force 2 turnovers in this game and are 59-30 ATS (+26.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Slicing the data with all of these projections shows that the Bills have gone 8-1 ATS for 89% winners.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 72-71 and 5.55 units x $700 = $3,885 MLB 2018 5-Star 14-11 and 5.61 units x $500 = $2,805 MLB Overall 2018 $12,420.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890 NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000 NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-1 $-50.00 NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 ATS $-140.00 NCAAF 10-Star 1-0 ATS $1,000.00 NFL 5-Stars 0-1 ATS $-500.00 NFL 7-Stars 0-0 ATS NFL 10-Stars 0-0 ATS
|
09-09-18 |
Titans v. Dolphins +2 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Miami (468) TENNESSEE (10 - 8) at MIAMI (6 - 10) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Miami using the line, which currently prices them as 2-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dolphins to gain at least 5.0 yards per rush, have at least 125 rushing yards and will have ore rushing yards than Tennessee. When Miami has rushed for 125 or more yards and out-rushed their visiting opponent, they have gone 58-12 SU and 47-22-1 ATS for 68% winners since 1989; 5-1 since the start of the 2015 season.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 72-71 and 5.55 units x $700 = $3,885 MLB 2018 5-Star 14-11 and 5.61 units x $500 = $2,805 MLB Overall 2018 $12,420.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890 NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000 NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-1 $-50.00 NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 ATS $-140.00 NCAAF 10-Star 1-0 ATS $1,000.00
|
09-09-18 |
Bengals v. Colts -2 |
Top |
34-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Indianapolis (458) CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 12) Week 1 Sunday, 9/9/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Colts using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Colts to gain at least 150 rushing yards and 6.8 yards per pass play and have more first downs than the Bengals. In past home games where they have matched or exceeded these performance measures, the Colts are 18-1 SU and 16-2-1 ATS for 89% and covering by an average of 12 PPG. The Colts are also projected to have a higher third down conversion percentage then the Bengals. Combining the projections that they will gain 150 or more RY and have the better third down execution percentage has produced a perfect 14-0 SU record and 12-2 ATS 86% winners.
Database Situational Query Play on any team vs the money line that was a mistake-free team from last season committing 1 or less turnovers-per-game. 26-8 over the last 5 seasons for 76.5%, +1740 per $100 wagered.
|
09-02-18 |
Miami-FL v. LSU +3.5 |
Top |
17-33 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup LSU (218) MIAMI (0-0) vs. LSU (0-0) Week 1 Sunday, 9/2/2018 7:30 PM AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home neutral field dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score a minimum of 27 points, rush the ball for more than 175 yards and average 5.5 to 6.0 yards-per-play. In past LSU games, where they have met or exceeded these measures, they have gone 4-0 ATS since 2006 covering the number by 10 points on average. Now if we slice the data to show YPP>=5.5, then LSU is 50-2 SU and 35-15-2 ATS for 70% and covering by an average of 7.77 points per game. Overall they are 62-4 when scoring 27 or more points and gaining at least 175 rushing yards.
Utilizing the Two Subsets of AI (Machine and Deep Learning) If you are new to our service, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant advances n predictive power and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. NBA 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. NCAAB 10-Star plays 14-5 ATS for 73%
Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 7-Star plays 6-3 ATS $1,890 NFLX 3-0 ATS 10-Stars $3,000 NCAAF 5-Star plays 1-0 $500.00 NCAAF 7-Star plays 2-2 $-140 NCAAF 10-Star 0-0
|
09-01-18 |
Washington v. Auburn -2 |
Top |
16-21 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (194) WASHINGTON (10 - 3) vs. AUBURN (10 - 4) Week 1 Saturday, 9/1/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Tigers using the line, which currently prices them as 2-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to gain at least 200 rushing yards and will contain Washington to less than 28 points and have at least 33 minutes in time of possession. Tigers are 11-3 ATS for 79% winners covering by an average of 11 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans.
NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%.
Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-6 or $4,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $11,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800
NFLX 6-3 ATS 7-Stars and $1,890 3-0 ATS 10-Stars and $3,000 2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000
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09-01-18 |
Ole Miss v. Texas Tech -2 |
|
47-27 |
Loss |
-102 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Texas Tech (198) OLE MISS (6 - 6) vs. TEXAS TECH (6 - 7) Week 1 Saturday, 9/1/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Red Raiders using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the A&M to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the A&M have met or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 23-9-1 ATS mark for 72% winners in home games and covering by an average of 7 points. Mississippi is just 24-58 ATS when allowing 28 or more points in road games.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans.
NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%.
Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-6 or $4,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $11,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800
NFLX 6-3 ATS 7-Stars and $1,890 3-0 ATS 10-Stars and $3,000
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09-01-18 |
Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 |
Top |
14-63 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma (152) FLA ATLANTIC (11 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (12 - 2) Week 1 Saturday, 9/1/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Sooners using the line, which currently prices them as 20-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Oklahoma is projected to cover by 7 or more points, 10 or more net passing yards per attempt, more than 6.8 yards per rushing attempt, outgain FAU by a minimum of 200 yards, and score a minimum of 34 points. IN past games where the Sooners have met or exceeded these performance measures, they are 32-1 SU, 28-4-1 ATS for 88% winners and covering by an average of 14 points. Database System Query Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that were excellent rushing teams from last season that averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards-per-carry. 53-21 over the last 10 seasons for 71.6%, +2990 per $100 wagered.
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08-30-18 |
New Mexico State +23 v. Minnesota |
Top |
10-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup New Mexico State (137) NEW MEXICO ST (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) Week 1 Thursday, 8/30/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies using the line, which currently prices them as 20.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the Aggies have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS and covering (ATS margin) by an average of 10 points. In road games installed as a minimum dog of 14.5 points and allowing 27 or fewer points, they are a perfect 9-0 ATS. NMST had one of the most improved defenses in the nation last year having been one of the worst in 2016 allowing 497 yards per game. In 2017, they improved to allowing 401 and allowed just 336 over their last three games in 2017. They also return 9 of the 11 defensive starters. Teams in this position entering the next season are almost always undervalued by the betting public and this is reflected in this game where the line opened at 17.5 and now is at 20.5. So, teams that improved their defenses by 90 or more yards per game and had more wins last season than the season prior are a solid 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the past 25 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. Active Sports MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 4-2 ATS 7-Stars and $1,260 2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000
|
01-21-18 |
Jaguars v. Patriots -7.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (312) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 3) Start Time: Week 20 Sunday, 1/21/2018 3:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. The line opened at 9 and 8 ½ at some other spots. and JAX money came in on news of Brady’s injured hand. The line went to -7, and now has risen to 7 ½ , which is the level we believe that an equilibrium will take place. The injury has now been determined and reported to be a cut on the hand and that Brady practiced in full Friday and threw well. We noted in the reports that never were the fingers of the hand mentioned. Injured fingers are far more important than a cut to any other part of the throwing hand. Brady is known for his strong arm and amazing spin that pierces through headwinds with ease. The fingers of the hand are what puts spin on the football, just like on a baseball and any sphere that is connected to the hand and figers. So, we feel very confident, that Brady will be as close to 100% as any 40-year QB can possibly be for this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars have used play action 44% of their pass plays ranking highest in the NFL this season. The Eagles and Patriots have used play action 32% of the time by comparison. In play action,. Bortles has attained a strong 105.6 passer rating, which is third-best among qualifying QB. In the two playoffs games, JAX has used play action in 24 of their 49 pass attempts. Bortles has completed 13 of those 24 play action pass plays, 176 passing yards, and both TD’s. The Patriots are known to take away the strength of their opponent and make the opponent somehow defeat them by using their weaker assets. DT Flowers is the Patriot that can disrupt the ground attack with Fournette and also get immense pressure up the middle making it difficult for Bortles to have any wide passing lanes to complete pass plays. His colleague is LDT Malcolm Brown, who is also one of the best in the league and the two DTs combined are arguably the best pair in the NFL. The interior OL is weak for the Jaguars. RG AJ Cann has graded quite low against his peers and will be overwhelmed in run blocking and especially pass protection. LT Cam Robinson is struggling as well and he may become a target for corner blitzes. However, we believe the more that JAX has to call plays directed to the left, the more it will play into the strengths of the Patriots defensive scheme. Further, the Jaguars do not have the elite WR that will even challenge Stephon Gilmore or Malcolm Butler. This in turn, then forces Bortles to go to more 3-WR sets on second and more than 6 yards, where play action is essentially useless against the Patriots defense. So, we strongly believe that the tandem DT will not need any help to clog the passing and running lanes on early downs forcing Bortles into long down situations where he has struggled. Brady has the best passer efficiency rating in the NFL by a large amount and a monumental amount over Bortles. Brady also has the best TE in the NFL by a large amount based on yards-per-route-run. Brady also has a favorable matchup on the perimeter using Cooks and RB Dion Lewis. We would not be surprised to see 4 WR sets on the first Patriot possession that will serve to spread the Jaguars defense and make the middle of the field open for Gronk and also power running plays between the tackles with Birkhead and/or James White. The media talks about the Jaguars best-ranked NFL defense, but it is actually the Patriots defense that deserves and has earned that recognition. Since giving up 33 in a loss to Carolina October 1, only the Dolphins have scored more than 16 points (17 points) in 6 home games. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on any team (NEW ENGLAND). After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 32-8 over the last 5 seasons for 80% and has made $2320 wagering $100 per play. SIM Matching Game Situations New England 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Brady is 22-10 ATS when facing good defenses allowing between 14 and 20 PPG. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 12-3 ATS for 80% winners in College Hoops and on a 5-2 ATS run in the NBA.
|
01-14-18 |
Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers |
Top |
45-42 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
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The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Jacksonville (305) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (11 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Sunday, 1/14/2018 1:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Jaguars using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 245 to 255 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars became only the third team since 2000 to have 4 or fewer wins in the previous season and then win a playoff game the next season. They accomplished that feat last week in their win over Buffalo and now find themselves with an even greater test against Pittsburgh. Of the 17 teams that lost their playoff game, none had the power and dominating defense that the Jaguars possess. Many of them did not have a veteran QB either. It is very probable that the Steelers will put a ‘spy’ on Bortles given his recent scrambling ability and rushing yards in recent games. Bortles ranks 12th in the NFL in QB Run threat and had 71 of his 88 rushing yards scrambling in last week’s win. The ‘spy’ will be William Gay and certainly can minimize Bortles scrambling threat. However, this puts one less man in coverage and can make it easier for the OL to create passing lanes for Bortles too. Marquis Lee is projected to have a very big day if the Jags are to win this game. He will be covered by Joe Haden, who has had a very good season after two poor ones. Lee is Bortles favored target and has the length and size to get enough separation from Haden to make plays downfield. Bortles will need protection too and here is arguably the biggest advantage for the Jags offense. Specifically, Jags Center Brandon Linder is an elite one in the league and is one of the best centers in pass protection, which will offset the pass rushing strength of DI Javon Hargrave. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on road underdogs using the money line (JACKSONVILLE). After failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. 33-30 since 1983 for 52.4% and making $3,720.00 per $100 wager. If the line is 7 or higher, the record becomes 13-7 ATS for 65% ATS winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Jaguars 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. 14-4 ATS since the start of the 2012 season. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 14-6 ATS in College Hoops. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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01-13-18 |
Titans v. Patriots -13 |
Top |
14-35 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 20 m |
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The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (304) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (10 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. Game Intelligence Analytics Patriots are a solid 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations New England is: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards this season. 81-12 ATS when achieving an 11 or less yards per point ratio. 6-1 ATS since 2015 6-1 ATS in playoff games dating back to 2002. Tennessee is: 3-7 ATS as away double digit dog and scoring 21 or fewer points. 30-53 ATS when allowing an opponent 6.0 or more yards per play. 8-48 ATS when allowing an opponent 11 or less yards per point. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. They have also been applied to college hoops that is now on an 12-5 ATS run. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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01-13-18 |
Falcons -3 v. Eagles |
Top |
10-15 |
Loss |
-100 |
28 h 46 m |
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The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta (301) The Matchup: ATLANTA (11 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 4:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Atlanta Falcons using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics With Foles under center, there are numerous concerning questions regarding the health of the Eagles offense. Yes, he was an All-Pro, but that is ancient news and irrelevant to this game. Yes, he looked quite poor in his last two games filling in for Wentz, but will HC Pederson be able to fix the problems having had two week sof preparation? The Falcons have a very good and vastly underrated defensive unit. The unit is led by MLB Deion Jones, who ranks 3rd best of all players at his position in the NHL and who shutdown the pass catching abilities of the Rams Todd Gurley. The Rams second year RB is a finalist for the league MVP award and none have played better against him than Jones. The Eagles TE Zack Ertz is the best receiver on the offense, but he will have his toughest matchup this season against Jones. The Eagles will most definitely look to get Ertz matched up against SAM LB Beasley, who is the weak link on this defensive unit. However, if the Eagles are forced to take Ertz to the perimeter to achieve that matchup, you can be certain that Atlanta will bring max pressure right up the middle. So, without having a safety value TE option, Foles will have difficulty moving the chains. The Eagles OL is quite good and led by Center Jason Kelce, who ranks best in the NFL. The right side of the Eagles line including RG, Brooks, and RT Johnson, is significantly better than left side. Power running plays will be aimed to this side, I believe, but will be going right at the strength of the Falcons defense line. Desmond Trufant will be defending pass routes targeting Alshon Jeffries. Here again, this is advantage Falcons, as Trufant is more than capable of handling Jeffries in man coverage island situations. Moreover, Trufant has one of the best SS in the NFL in Keanu Neal in bracket type coverage defensive schemes. These two could have opportunities to bate Foles into making poor decisions in vertical routes leading to interceptions. Look for Atlanta to move slot CB Brian Poole to cover Torrey Smith and then move Robert ASlford to slot CB to cover Nelson Agholor in the Eagles 3-wide sets. Smith has been awful and ranks 114th the NFL WR rankings. So, Smith doesn’t even provide a decoy option for Foles to help open up the middle of the field for crossing routes. On offense, Atlanta has several major matchup advantages with the most glaring one being Julio Jones being defended by CB Ronald Darby. On the other side of the field, Mills has been exploited in double move pass routes and Sanu is one of the best around the league in executing sharp corners and well-executed routes. Atlanta does not have strong guard play along the offensive line in Garland and Schwitzer, but they are flanked by strong Center and tackle play. The Key point is that Matt Ryan can get rid of the ball quickly in under 2.7 seconds and this minimizes any pressure from the Eagles elite defensive front four. The Falcons do have the option to execute power run plays aimed at DRT Jernigan and DRE Curry. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on favorites (ATLANTA). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. 34-8 over the last 10 seasons for 81% winners and has made $2,520. Per $100 wagered. Over the past five season, this query has shown a 21-3 ATS record good for 88% winners. Adding in the away favorite parameter to the above query produces an incredible 8-1 ATS mark good for 89% winners.
SIM Matching Game Situations Falcons 11-6 ATS for 65% when allowing opponents 5.5 to 6 yards-per-play over the L3 seasons. Falcons are 15-8 ATS for 65% when opponent commits 2 or more turnovers. Matt Ryan is 12-13 for 62% when averaging 7.7 or more yards per pass attempt. Eagles 8-18 ATS for just 31% winners when committing two or more turnovers in home games. 2-12 ATS when allowing opposing QB to verage 7.7 or more yards per attempt. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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01-08-18 |
Alabama v. Georgia +4.5 |
Top |
26-23 |
Win
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100 |
154 h 56 m |
Show
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The Play and How to Play it:
The Play: Georgia (152)
The Matchup: ALABAMA (12 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (13 - 1)
Start Time: Week 17 Monday, 1/8/2018 8:45 PM
SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on Georgia using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 7.5 star amount on the line and then add a 2.5 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 170 to 190.
There will be alternative lines for this Championship game. An optional wager strategy is to place an additional 3 star amount on the Georgia -3 ½ line, which we believe will be lined at +250 and perhaps even higher. Check our Twitter account for updates to this line as Monday approaches @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics
Two great teams with great defenses featuring speed and power will be displayed in this All-SEC Championship game between Alabama and Georgia. The SIM Algorithms all reveal a line that is closer to pick-em than the current 4 ½ line.
Alabama has the best scoring defense in the national allowing just 12.0 PPG. However, Georgia is not far behind them ranking 4th allowing 15.8 PPG. Alabama ranks 13th in offensive scoring at 36.4 PPG while Georgia ranks 15th scoring 35.8 PPG. Both teams lone loss was to Auburn, which also has a great defense and plays a similar type game plan that both of these teams play.
This game well might come down to Georgia’s better efficiency at converting third-down situations than Alabama. Georgia holds the edge and they also have a stronger points-per-play ratio. Alabama does rank best in the nation with a 9.5 yards per point margin (YPPM) while Georgia ranks 8th best with a 6.2 ratio. However, over the last three games, Alabama has only a 0.8 ratio while Georgia sports a 4.6 ratio. This reflects that the elevation of opponent class has revealed potential weaknesses inherent in the Alabama game plans. As we had believed would happen in the semifinal game, Georgia will look to be very physical right from the start of this game and will look to wear down the Alabama defense, particularly the LB part. In time, this will open up the play action plays just as it did in the semifinal game leading to big plays down the middle of the field.
The SIM projection calls for Georgia to win this game by 10 points.
SIM Matching Game Situations
Money Line Matches
Alabama is 13-42 against the money line (-79.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.
Alabama is 4-18 against the money line (-35.8 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points.
Georgia is 7-1 against the money line (+6.4 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards over the last 3 seasons.
Georgia is 12-1 against the money line (+11.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
Georgia is 42-14 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points.
Georgia is 22-4 against the money line (+23.5 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.
ATS Matches
Alabama is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points.
Alabama is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points.
Georgia is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season.
Georgia is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards.
Georgia is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play.
DataBase Query
Play on neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA).
That are excellent rushing teams averaging 225 or more rushing yards per game.
And after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games.
23-3 ATS since 1992 good for 88.5% and $1,970 per $100 wagered.
Since 2014, it has gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS with an average ATS margin of 16.8 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions
If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid and consistent 46-24 ATS 65.7% record in 2017.
So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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01-06-18 |
Titans v. Chiefs -8 |
Top |
22-21 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 2 m |
Show
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The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Kansas City (102) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 6) Start Time: Week 18 Saturday, 1/6/2018 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Kansas City using the line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Tennessee will struggle to stop the KC ground attack and the projections are illustrated below in the SIM matching Game Situations section. Alex Smith is amazing in play action situations and Tennessee defense is not good at all defending play action. Smith led the league in deep passing yards with 1344 yards and 12 TD. Tyreek Hill led the league in deep passing yards with 628 and TE Kelce led the league in all TE with 266 yards. The capability of KC to make the big chunk yards on offense will provide more than enough points on the scoreboard to win this game and cover easily. Despite Mariota using his legs to move chains in their week 17 win, he ranks second to last in QBR with a clean pocket at just 78.2. That is second to last to Cleveland’s QB Kiser. Game Intelligence Analytics Teams that are playing in the Wild Card Round and are home favorites of 7.5 to 11.5 points are a perfect 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since 20003. The line has moved up two full points from the opening line despite even 50-50 betting on each team. Although Tennessee is back in the playoffs, they have not done well noting a 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations Tennessee 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards per attempt. 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when they allow 300 to 350 total yards. Kansas CITY 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. 23-10-2 ATS when gaining 150 rushing and 250 passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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