Portland Trailblazers.

LVSM play.

Game 542.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. I will tell you that I feel tonight Portland will exact some revenge on Miami. The Heat took the only meeting this season against the Blazers back in November at home, 136-131. That also marked their eighth victory over the last 10 matchups with Portland. But these are two very different teams right now. Miami enters this match up dropping six of their last 10 straight up, which does include all four games played on the road during that span. This team has been erratic at best. Meanwhile Portland comes in here with momentum, winning three in a row and eight of their last 10 both straight up and against the spread, which does include wins and covers in five of their last six games played on their own court. They also had a few extra days to rest and prepare for this matchup. They last took the court four nights ago while Miami played a barn-burner two nights ago in their second of back-to-back road games in Sacramento. Defensively, I feel the Blazers are a little more frustrating, and certainly possess a better core at both ends of the court on the boards. I believe this game will be won by the better rebounding team. Take Portland. Thank you.

Detroit Red Wings.

PP.

Game 63.

6:35 PM PST/9:35 PM EST.

In my opinion, momentum plays a big part in the NHL. Right now, Detroit certainly has momentum winning three in a row and seven of their last eight outings which does include three of four road games played during that span. Not only that, but during that span, they have not allowed a single opponent to post better than three goals on them. Meanwhile, Minnesota is ice cold dropping six of their last nine overall contests, and have gotten absolutely steamrolled during that span, yielding three or more goals in eight of those last nine games. On paper, the Wild score a little bit more and allow a little bit less, but lately that is not the case. I see the Red Wings coming in here riding a hot run, and winning big. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Utah Jazz.

Oddsmaker's Mistake release.

Game 540.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

My friends, on paper the Spurs are certainly a better team than the Jazz. But sports betting isn't about who wins, it is about who covers, and I must tell you the Spurs have been failing to do so while the Jazz have been getting bettors paid. San Antonio enters this matchup failing to cover three in a row and six of their last 10 outings while the Jazz come in here covering their last two games and six of their last nine overall outings. As a matter of fact, Utah has covered the last two meetings, both this season against San Antonio, both on the road. They are getting a lot of points at home, and I feel this is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Making Utah here a double-digit underdog is a mistake as they have covered five straight overall getting double-digits, and six of the last overall seven games in that situation. Granted the Utah defense leaves a lot to be desired, but they are pretty decent on the boards, and believe it or not, score a little bit more than San Antonio. I believe this is too large of a pointspread. Take the Utah Jazz. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk release.

Game 529.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM.

The Denver Nuggets have dominated the Washington Wizards taking seven of the last nine meetings, which does include the only matchup this season just five days ago at home, 121-115. That extended their win streak to four-games, prior to them dropping their last two outings. This is a team that's done very well on the road this season sporting a 17-7 away record, winning and covering their last four games played as a visitor. Meanwhile, the Washington Wizards are just deplorable. They are 6-14 at home, and have not won a single outing since January 6, riding a seven-game straight up losing streak in which they have failed to cover five of those seven contests. The Nuggets need to get back on track and playing the Wizards is the perfect opponent to do just that. I see them coming in here and making a statement. Take Denver. Thank you.

‘Ole Miss.

SEC SMASH play.

Game 648.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

While both Auburn and Mississippi possess identical overall records at 11-7, that's basically where the similarities end. The Tigers are just 2-3 in conference play while the Rebels are 3-2 against SEC opponents. Also, for the visiting team here, they are winless as a true road team this season at 0-3, compared to the home team which possesses 7-2 record on their own court. Granted, Auburn has taken nine consecutive meetings in this rivalry, but these are two very different teams this season. Mississippi enters this matchup winning and covering three consecutive games against some solid opposition; Missouri, Georgia, Mississippi State. Meanwhile, Auburn has dropped five of their last eight both SU and ATS, including some very ugly beatings. Both teams have tough contests up next as the Tigers have to travel to take on the Gators and the Rebels travel to take on the Wildcats, but I do feel the home team here is the play. While the visitor does score more points offensively, the home team definitely has a stouter and more frustrating defense. Not only that, but I feel they're a little stronger on the glass, and shoot better from the line. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

Texas Tech.

Big 12 BB.

Game 649.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

My friends, I think the line is way off in this matchup. Maybe it's because Texas Tech hasn't been very impressive on the road, while Baylor has been solid at home. But I still feel the line is off. The Red Raiders enter this matchup on-fire winning seven of their last eight straight up and covering five of their last seven overall. Meanwhile, the Bears are ice-cold dropping four of their last five, both SU and ATS. Granted, they can beat up teams like Norfolk, Alcorn State, Southern, and Arlington Baptist, but they are falling way short when they are asked to step up in class. My friends they are truly stepping up in class today. I don't see a letdown situation for Texas Tech, which comes off decisive victories over Colorado, Utah, and most recently BYU. I see them continuing to ride the momentum. Yes, they have Houston on deck, but I just don't see them in a look ahead situation either. I also don't see them in a sandwich situation. They are playing a team that is struggling badly and they will take advantage of it. Not only is Baylor struggling, they're struggling against Big 12 opponents going just 1-4 in conference play, while the visitor is 4-1 against league opponents. The Red Raiders are a little more frustrating defensively, and can certainly keep pace offensively with the Bears in this matchup. They also shoot a little bit better from downtown, and I think that will be the difference here. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

*5-1 NCAAB CURRENT RUN/18-9 NCAAB OVERALL RUN* Coming off another winning day in college hoops, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in NCAAB with another ANNIHILATOR PLAY (3-0) in the ACC today.

Clemson.

ACC ANNIHILATOR.

Game 614.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Clemson sit atop the ACC along with Duke as the only two undefeated teams in conference play at 6-0. NC State is just 3-2 against ACC opponents this season. The Tigers also enter this matchup a perfect 10-0 at home this season, and are brimming with confidence knowing they have taken eight of the last 10 matchups with their conference rival. Not only that, but they are riding some serious momentum winning nine consecutive games and covering six straight. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack have split out their last four games straight up, and have only covered one of their last four outings as well. Granted, NC State possesses an offense that's averaging over 90.9 PPG, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired, for sure. Going back to their offense, I think they're going to get very frustrated today going up against the nation’s 11th-ranked scoring defense, which only allows 64.5 PPG, equally tough from downtown as well as overall on the floor, and monsters on the boards. NC State relies heavily upon their outside shooting. But as I mentioned a moment ago, they are going to get frustrated going against the 21st-ranked three-point shooting defense in college basketball. I'm staying with the better team, possessing the better defense. Take the Clemson Tigers. Thank you.

Miami-Ohio.

MAC MM.

Game 611.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Not only are the Redhawks undefeated at 7-0 in conference play, they remain only one of three undefeated teams in Division 1 college basketball at 19-0 overall. They have decimated everyone in their way, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have won the last four meetings with the Golden Flashes, covering the last five overall matchups. Speaking of Kent State, they are a good team at 14-4 overall, which does include a 10-1 record at home. But I will be honest with you, they just don't measure up in this matchup. Offensively, both teams average over 90 PPG. But Miami tops the nation in overall field goal percentage (54.0%), and three-point percentage (41.9%). The advantages don't end there. Defensively, they are significantly better overall, and on the board boards as well. I feel they are far superior at both ends of the court, are playing with momentum, and come in here with great confidence. Take the Redhawks. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question that both Miami and Indiana deserve to be in the National Title game. The Hurricanes have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering the last four with a few of those games winning outright as an underdog. This game is also being played in their home venue. They will look in the stands and see a lot of their loyal fans, for sure. Meanwhile, Indiana is a perfect 15-0 this season, and also enter this game covering four straight outings. There is no question that Mario Cristobal and Curt Cignetti are two of the best coaches in the nation. There is a lot of talk that one of Cignetti's assistants is now on the sidelines for Miami and would be a disadvantage for him. But to be quite honest my friends the head coach has gone up against some of the best head coaches in the history of college football, and he's beaten all of them. Without question the Indiana offense is certainly a little more well-balanced. They have a much stronger running attack, and Heisman winner, Fernando Mendoza at the helm. I do feel he's a little more stable than his counterpart, who is a very good quarterback, Carson Beck. There's also a big advantage in the fact the Hurricanes pass defense ranked 62nd in the nation. The Hoosiers defense can create turnovers, and will create turnovers. They rank second nationally against the rush, and are one of the most frustrating pass defenses in the nation ranking 23rd. Defensively, the Hoosiers have held 11 opponents to season lows in points and six to season lows in yardage. They are just so much more well-balanced and polished on both sides of the line scrimmage. I feel the Hurricanes are a very good team, but are outclassed in this matchup. You may not realize this but Indiana in their two Bowl/CFP games have outscored Alabama and Oregon by a combined 94-25. With a combination of a more solid quarterback, a more stable ground game, and the better defense, we're going to take the Hoosiers here. Take Indiana. Thank you.

George Mason.

Game 876.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

To say George Mason has dominated George Washington, would be an understatement. The Patriots have taken four in a row and seven of the last 10 meetings with the Revolutionaries, covering three of the last four including the last two matchups. They enter this game sporting an overall record of 17-1, which does include a 12-0 home mark, and a perfect record in conference play at 5-0. The visitor has dropped two of their last three both straight up and against the spread, and I feel is at a big disadvantage here. Yes, they can score points, but they are going up against one of the most frustrating and stingiest defenses in the nation. The George Mason defense allows a mere 67.2 PPG. They are also monsters on the defensive boards, and let's not forget this team is extremely accurate overall from the floor and from downtown. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Los Angeles Clippers.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 566.

12:10 PM PST/3:10 PM EST.

Los Angeles took the only meeting this season against Washington just five days ago at home, one 119-105 to give them their ninth consecutive win and their ninth consecutive ATS cover against the Wizards. The Clippers are playing some pretty good basketball winning and covering five straight. Yes, they will be without a couple of their big names in this matchup (check status), but I don't think it's going to matter as they have a young, deep, and talented team that I feel will have no problem repeating what happened in the last matchup with today's opponent. Speaking of Washington, they are ice-cold, dropping six straight games, and only covering one of those six outings. They are being outscored by an average of 11.2 PPG, with one of the worst defenses in the NBA. That would be enough for me here. But offensively this team is stunted as well, and they're going up against a top-10 defense. At both ends of the court, they are outclassed. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

Game 393.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Yes, Los Angeles has to travel for this matchup. And yes again, the weather is possibly going to be frigid, windy, and snowy. But that's where the benefits for the home team ends. I am aware Los Angeles doesn't have a ton of cold weather experience. But last January, they did play the defending Super Bowl Champions, the Philadelphia Eagles on the road very tough. As a matter of fact, it came down to the wire in the Divisional playoff game with the home team prevailing, 28-22. They enter this matchup winning their last two games including a hard-fought road victory over the Carolina Panthers eight days ago, 34-31. As far as the Bears go, they certainly deserve to be here. But let's face it, did they really win last week or did the Packers just fall apart? In my opinion it's the later. Yes, the Chicago defense is tops in the NFL in takeaways. But they rank 23rd in points allowed, 27th against the rush, 22nd against the pass, and 29th in total yards allowed. This does not bode well as they're going up against one of the most complete and well-balanced offensive units in pro football. Los Angeles tops the league in scoring, ranks number one in yards, number one in passing, and number seven in rushing. They also don't turn the ball over a ton. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency which will be a major factor here if the weather is as expected. But something I want you to know my friends, the Rams are much better against the rush than the Bears. This was a weakness for Chicago all season long. Not only that, but Chicago, prior to this weekend, had the worst record against current playoff teams. Guess who had the best? That's right my friends, Los Angeles had the best record prior to this weekend against current playoff teams. As I mentioned a moment ago, the Bears defense on paper isn't as good as many people think. Let's not sell short how good the Rams stop-unit is as just last week they held the Panthers to 0-3 on fourth down. This is a defense that has come up big when needed. Their offense is so good and so well-balanced that they keep opponents defenses on the field and their opponents offenses off of it. There is also no comparison in the playoff experience Matthew Stafford has over Caleb Williams. And my friends, trust me when I tell you postseason experience by a quarterback and team leader is huge. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

Game 390.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

There are enough reasons on the surface to play Seattle here. For starters, they had an extra week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Next, they are playing at home at Lumen Field which is arguably one of the loudest and craziest places in all of sports for a visitor to come into and try to compete. Then there's the fact Seattle knows that they took down San Francisco in the most recent matchup just a few weeks ago on the road. But there's one more factor, and the earlier meeting back at the beginning of September in Seattle, on their very own field, the Seahawks lost to the 49ers in a heartbreaker. So revenge also motivates this team as well. They don't lose too many games at home. Granted the road team has done very well as a visitor this season as well. Let's also throw into the mix San Francisco played just six days ago in Philadelphia, to a hard-fought four-point victory. However, they then had to travel across the country up to Seattle for this matchup. As I mentioned earlier, the Seahawks had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup. This is a big edge for this team, my friends. Now let's talk specifics. The 49ers lost starting tight end and one of their biggest contributors, George Kittle who tore his achilles in the win over the Eagles last week. I believe their head coach Kyle Shanahan has really done it with smoke and mirrors this season and deserves a lot of praise. But without Kittle, Brock Purdy's go-to guy, this offense becomes more one-dimensional. While I feel Christian McCaffrey is one of the most valuable players to his team in the NFL, let's be honest, this team ranks 24th in the league in rushing. They must go up against the third-best rushing defenses in the NFL. Both teams turn the ball over quite a bit. But I think the big difference here will be on the defense side of the ball where San Francisco has only forced six turnovers, compared to the 18 turnovers forced by the Seattle defense. Let's face it, their defense is far superior topping the league in points allowed, only giving up 17.2 PPG, is better rested, is healthier, and is much more ferocious. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Houston Texans.

MNF GOY.

Game 385.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

You can talk all you want about how good Pittsburgh has been historically in the postseason at home. You can also talk about them at home on Monday Night Football. But my friends, that is the past, and this is the present. Having said that Houston enters the postseason the hottest team in the NFL winning nine consecutive games straight up, and covering all four games played on the road during that span. This is a team with a well-balanced offense, that commits very few turnovers, and a defense that has risen to be one of the most frustrating and stingiest in the NFL as well. With all respect to the Steelers, who have won and covered four of their last five outings, their offense is erratic, and their defense is overworked and tired. Offensively, Aaron Rodgers will get back DK Metcalf (check status) and that should help a bit. But it doesn't matter whether it's in the air on the ground, Rogers and company faces a complete defense that ranks first in the NFL in yards allowed, sixth vs. the pass, fourth vs. the run, second in points allowed in third in takeaways. We talked about Houston and their hot streak. The beginning of the season, saw this team start off at 3-5. But all five of those losses came against playoff teams. CJ Stroud has certainly matured and played well this season, and to be quite honest, the Pittsburgh defense has been vulnerable to big plays. Let's not forget the Texans are 7-2 against the AFC this season. Stroud has shown leadership and consistency, and has just one INT in 115 postseason pass attempts. I feel his maturity, the teams’ momentum, and a defense that will get to an aging quarterback and an offensive line who's giving up a lot of sacks, all adds up to taking Houston. Take the Texans. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

BIG TEN BB.

Game 861.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

My friends, I feel the line is off in this matchup. These are two teams that are certainly in different classes. In my opinion the Buckeyes are a superior squad compared to the Huskies. They enter this matchup 11-4 overall including a 3-2 conference record. Meanwhile, Washington comes in here 9-6 sporting a 1-3 mark in Big Ten action. Ohio State also comes into this matchup with confidence of knowing they took down today's opponent a little less than one year ago on their own court, 93-69. They have also come out victorious and their last three road games played. Yes, their opponent is 6-1 at home this season, but come off back-to-back losses. The Huskies lost 90-80 seven days ago on the road at the Hoosiers, and then 81-73, four days ago on the road at the Boilermakers. Yes, those are two good teams, but this team is also failed to cover three of their last five overall. And, and let's not forget just three weeks ago they lost on the road to of all teams, the Red Hawks of Seattle. Ohio State scores more, allows less, is far better on the defensive glass, and is one of the best in the country from the free-throw line. I think the wrong team is favored here. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Central Florida Knights.

BIG 12 BB.

Game 860.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

Central Florida is playing some very good basketball. At 12-2 overall, which includes a 9-1 home mark, the Knights come off their first loss following an 11-game straight up hot streak. This is a team that's already taken down such notables as Texas A&M, Pitt, and Kansas. I feel they are in bounce back mode here and will be looking for some redemption following their first loss since early-November. They face a Cincinnati opponent they took down in their most recent meeting, April of last year on the road, 88-80. Speaking of the Bearcats, they've dropped two in a row and six of their last nine outings, only covering three of their last 10 overall contests. They are winless on the road at 0-2, and I really feel the team is in way over their heads here. They do not have the depth or the talent offensively to compete with the UCF offense which accounts are over 87.0 PPG, and hits over 37.2% from downtown. That would be enough, but the Knights are also monsters on the defensive boards. I feel they will take away a lot of their opponents second-chance opportunities. Take Central Florida. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

Game 380.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Buffalo might've taken down Jacksonville at home last season, but they have not won in Jacksonville since 2013. We also must come to the realization the Bills are not the same team on the road as they are at home. There are 5–-3 overall as a guest this season, but when it comes to the playoffs, let's be honest, Josh Allen is 0-4 both SU and ATS on the road in the playoffs. The Jaguars enter this matchup winning and covering eight consecutive outings including all four games played on their own field during that span. Their defense has been stellar, not allowing a single opponent to post better than 24-points since early-November. The Buffalo offense revolves around its ground game. But they're going to be in for some issues in this matchup as they go up against the leagues No.1 run defense. Overall, the Jacksonville stop-unit is one of the best in the NFL, yielding just 19.8 PPG and snagging 22 takeaways. Yes, the Bills are a solid team. However, their track record in the postseason is less than impressive. Offensively, I feel the Jaguars will give a big dose of their ground game, to open up their passing attack. Please understand, on the flipside their defense has been one of the best in the NFL for quite a while now, they're great at forcing turnovers, and must be salivating knowing they get a crack at an offense here that has committed 19 turnovers. I'll take the home team. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

Carolina Panthers.

Game 376.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

My friends, winning on the road in the NFL postseason is no small task. Winning and covering on the road in the postseason is even a tougher test. You know what the toughest task of all is? Winning and covering on the road is a double-digit favorite in the postseason. While I believe the Rams will win this game, laying double-digits I feel prompt us to take the home underdog here. The Rams are just 5-4 as a visitor this season failing to cover two of their last four played as a guest. I know the Panthers offense sputtered the last several weeks. But this is a that is 5-3 this season straight up at home and took the only meeting against today's opponent back at the end of November also at home, 31-28. The Los Angeles defense seems to be a little fatigued and a little overworked, as they have allowed 34, 38, 27, and 20-points in consecutive contests. On paper, the Rams offense is one of the most explosive in the NFL. But they do make some costly mistakes, and are facing a defense that has played some decent football over the last month of the regular season. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very game Panthers team at home. By the way, they have also covered both games played this season as a double-digit doggie. Take Carolina. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

PEACH BOWL WINNER.

Game 276.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question both Oregon Indiana deserve to be here. The Ducks sport a 13-1 overall record and enter this game winning eight consecutive outings. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are a perfect 14-0 and have crushed every opponent in their way this season. They already took down this opponent back in the second week of October on the road, 30-20. I know it's hard to beat a top-ranked opponent twice in one season, but I don't think that's going to be an issue here. While Oregon is certainly a flashier team, Indiana is a meat and potatoes team. They are disciplined, structured, and well-coached. In my opinion, there's a lot more pressure on the Ducks in this matchup. If Indiana was to drop a game, I feel it would've happened already. Talking about that first meeting in Eugene back in October, Indiana held Oregon to just 267 yards. The game was tied 20-20 in the fourth quarter and then the Hoosiers dominated the final 10 minutes with two scoring drives on offense, and two interceptions on defense. Both offenses can score points, but the Hoosiers commit significantly less turnovers. Defensively, they are two of the best in the country as well. Once again though Indiana forces more turnovers. Both teams will attempt to run the ball and pass off the run keeping defenses honest. This also is an advantage on both sides of the line of scrimmage for the Hoosiers. Their defense held every opponent they have faced this season. No one has even topped 24 points on them, and they faced some pretty good offensive units. Meanwhile, the Oregon stop-unit overall has been impressive, but has allowed Penn State to put up 24, Indiana to put up 30, USC to put up 27, and James Madison of all teams to put up 34. A bit stronger of a running game, a bit stronger defensively against the run, an overall better defense, less pressure put upon them, and in my opinion a sharper head coach, tells me the Hoosiers will win and cover this game. Take Indiana. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

BIG TEN GOW.

Game 835.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Obviously, there's a lot going on in this matchup. Neither Ohio State nor Oregon are really spectacular right now in conference play as the Ducks are 1-3 against Big Ten opponent, and the Buckeyes are just 2-2 in conference action. This is a big game for both teams. Last January, Oregon took down Ohio State on the road, 73-71. They enter this matchup off a road loss at the hands of Rutgers just three days ago and have to travel across the country to host tonight's contest. The Ducks are doing pretty good at home, but have been point spread poison covering just five of their 15 overall outings this season. To be quite honest, this is a good team. But they seem to fall away short when it comes to stepping up in class. I feel Ohio State is a step up in class. The Buckeyes come in to tonight's game off an ugly home loss at the hands of the undefeated Nebraska Cornhuskers, 72-69. That was their third consecutive ATS no cover and their fifth no cover over the last six outings. However, two games ago, they did take down Rutgers, the team that just beat Oregon, on the same court, 80-73. They played tight with North Carolina, tight with Illinois, tight with Pittsburgh, and took down Notre Dame. They score considerably more, and allow less. They are certainly superior from the free-throw line, and are one of the best in the country on the defensive glass. There is one more item I'd like you to keep in mind my friends; this would be a big win for the Buckeyes school, alumni, etc. As you know, their football team is no longer in the hunt for the CFP while the Oregon Ducks are. This will be a big victory for the Ohio State Buckeyes. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

Fiesta Bowl Winner.

Game 273.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

As of posting this play, over the last few days some money has come in on Mississippi. I understand why. They are 13-1overall, and have covered nine of their 14 games this season. They enter this matchup riding a seven-game straight up win streak, covering five of the seven which includes three straight. Meanwhile, Miami is equally hot, winning six in a row SU, covering their last three, and four of their last five. In my opinion, the general public is betting the wrong side. I feel the Hurricanes are the team to play here. First of all, let's talk about SEC teams this postseason. They haven't fared too well. Let's also talk about several of the Rebels coaches are not going to be on the sidelines for this one as they left for bigger and better opportunities, and this may be a distraction for the team. I feel the ‘Canes coaching staff is a little more stable right now and certainly under the radar. I believe they're being undervalued. ‘Ole Miss is a very good team, no questioning that. But I will admit at times their defense has gotten blown up. Their offense which I will talk about in the moment has been the reason for their success. They gave up 23 to Kentucky, 35 to Arkansas, 43 to Georgia, 26 to Oklahoma, 24 to Florida, and 34 to Georgia again. Going back to the offense, they account for over 37.6 PPG, but have coughed the ball up 13 times. Defensively, their numbers are impressive overall, allowing just 20.4 PPG, but have only forced eight turnovers. This time of year, turnovers and mistakes are huge, my friends. Meanwhile, we look at Miami and we will see a defense that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 26-points this season. As a matter of fact, during their current six-game win streak, they have not yielded more than 17 points to any adversary. They can score points on any defense in the land, and I do feel their well-balanced offense is going to be an issue for their opponents stop-unit. Defensively, this is one of the best units anywhere in the country, ranking fourth, yielding just 13.1 PPG, monsters against the pass and the rush. Meanwhile, they have snagged 16 takeaways. Whoever controls the clock in this matchup and makes less mistakes, will come out victorious. And I feel both of those angles benefit the Hurricanes. Their defense is stouter against the run than their opponents, and will control the tempo in this matchup, and the time of possession. Mississippi lives and dies by their passing attack, and I feel will move to chains my friends, but not with the same success that they've had over recent opponents. Take Miami. Thank you.

Iowa State Cyclones.

BIG 12 BLOCKBUSTER.

Game 719.

We may not realize this, but we have quite a bit of the college baseball regular season already in the rearview, and right now there are only six teams in the nation that sport undefeated records. The Iowa State Cyclones are one of those teams at 14-0, and certainly deserve their No. 3 rank. Not only are they winning games, they are covering as well as they have gotten us paid in nine of their 14 outings this season. They are outscoring opponents by an average of 27-points per game, are monsters from both downtown and overall from the floor, and let's not even get started on how good they are defensively, ranking sixth in the nation, and fourth in the nation on the defensive boards. They enter today's matchup with confidence knowing they have taken two in a row and five of the last six matchups against the Baylor Bears, covering 10 straight meetings with their conference rival. Speaking of Baylor, they are 10-3 overall, going 6-6 ATS on lined games this season, but come off a tough loss at the hands of TCU. To be quite honest, outside of a late-November 7-point victory over Creighton, this team has fallen way short when stepping up in class. Trust me when I tell you they were stepping up here today. They can score points, I'll give them that, averaging over 93.2 PPG. But they haven't played a defense yet like they're going to face here tonight. Defensively, their numbers are less than impressive for sure. This is a big matchup for Iowa State, and they are certainly the better team. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

ACC ANNIHILATOR.

Game 615.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

One thing I think we've all come to learn about the Duke Blue Devils, they are a smart, disciplined, well-coached team. They also know how to turn it up when they need to. I feel the line is short in this matchup. Yes, the Louisville Cardinals are 8-0 at home this season and are a darn good team. However, I feel the visitor here is going to win this game with authority. The Blue Devils come in here with a 13-1 overall record which does include an away mark of 3-0. Following just their first loss of the season, a heartbreaking, 82-81 home defeat at the hands of the Red Raiders, they won their last two outings. Granted, they haven't covered too many games since mid-November, but my friends, they have been double-digit favorites seven times in their last eight outings. The only game they did cover during that span was when they were one-point favorite on the road at Michigan State, one of the best teams in the country. The Cardinals have dropped two of their last four games, a 21-point ugly embarrassing loss on the road at the Volunteers, and then their last outing, a four-point loss on the road at the Cardinal of Stanford. They have also been dominated in this rivalry. Louisville has lost seven consecutive matchups with Duke, failing to cover three in a row and five of those seven meetings. Granted, Duke does have a meeting in four days at home against SMU, but I don't think this team will be a look ahead mode. I feel that they are focused and will keep their foot on the gas in a game they know they need to win. Both teams score about the same with the Blue Devils possessing a much more frustrating defense. I feel they will make it a point to win this game here. Take Duke. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

OM PLAY.

Game 605.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I understand the Florida Gators are the defending National Champions. I also understand they are a perfect, 6-0 at home this season. But for the life of me, I can't understand why they are nearly a double-digit favorite over the Georgia Bulldogs. The Gators enter this matchup losing their last outing on the road at the Missouri Tigers, 76-74, as a 7.5-point favorite. As a matter of fact, they have been pointspread poison this season, failing to cover four of the their last five, and 10 of their overall 14 games played thus far. A season ago, back at the end of February, on the road in Georgia, the Bulldogs took them down, 88-83. Speaking of Georgia, they come into this matchup 13-1 overall, riding a seven-game win streak. Granted they have failed to cover their last four, but to be quite honest in three of those four games they were laying north of 30-points. This is a team that has already taken down such notables as Florida State, Cincinnati, and most recently, Auburn. While the home team has a big game on deck with the Tennessee Volunteers, the visitor here will not be caught in a look ahead situation as they have a road game up next, with the South Carolina Gamecocks. Having said all that, Georgia possesses an explosive offense, accounting for over 99.4 PPG, hitting 49.5% overall from the floor, 75.7% from the free-throw line, and ranking in the top 20 on the offensive boards. Yes, Florida does allow less points defensively, but their offense just doesn't measure up here. I really feel this line is way off, almost to the point where I feel the Bulldogs can win this game outright. But one thing for sure, it will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC EAST GOM.

Game 348.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

While the Buffalo Bills can certainly better their postseason situation with a victory here today, the New York Jets are in line for a very nice draft pick. Having said that, reports are Josh Allen might just see a small amount of action to keep his consecutive game start streak alive. But even he does not see any action at all, I still feel the Bills are the play here. The Jets possess one of the worst teams in all of the NFL, going 3-13 straight up this season. This is a team that has just one win since the first week of November losing four in a row and six of their last seven SU, and failing to cover their last four outings. Those six losses in those last seven games came by 13, 13, 24, 28, 21, and 32 points. Their offense is non-existent and their defense has been steamrolled. Meanwhile, the Bills come off their first loss following a four-game win streak. They're playing at home where they are 6-2 this season, and I feel even though the number went up a little bit this week the line is still very short. The Buffalo will be motivated by trying to get out of the number seven seed. The difference between being the number seven seed and a likely trip to New England versus the number five or six seed and a possible trip to either Pittsburgh or Jacksonville is big. They have dominated the Jets taking four in a row and eight of the last 10 SU, covering four in a row and six of those 10 meetings. Trust me when I tell you their head coach and the team wants to go into the postseason with a little confidence as well, and this is just a game to do just. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency, while both defenses are a little lax against the rush. However, no matter who is at the helm for New York (likely Brady Cook, check status), they rank dead-last in passing in the NFL. They go up against the league's top pass defense. Something else I want you to know, the Jets defense ranks 30th in points allowed and has forced zero turnovers this season. They don't post too much of a threat to opposing offenses and their quarterbacks. I feel this game will get out of hand, I feel Buffalo needs a big confidence boost, and I feel that their coach and the team really want to get out of the playoff situation basement. One more item folks:  this will be the Bills final game played ay Highmark Stadium and certainly want to end their tenure there on a high-note. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Nevada.

Guys, this line is way short here. Nevada is one of the best teams in the Mountain West Conference, and has the confidence of knowing they have dominated Fresno State, winning seven in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of those last 10 matchups. They are red-hot riding a six-game straight up hot streak in which they covered five of six, while their opponent is ice-cold losing five in a row, failing to cover three of those five. I just don't see this game being competitive at all. I also feel you will see the Wolf Pack devouring the Bulldogs from downtown. Take Nevada. Thank you.

George Mason.

It maybe early on in the campaign, but George Mason is looking like a true force to be reckoned with in the conference. They are 1-0 in League play, and an overall 13-1. They enter this game with confidence knowing they have taken five of the last six meetings with Rhode Island, including the most recent, a February 2025 road win and cover, 82-67. This is a team that is well-coached and disciplined. Speaking of the Rams, they don't score as much, are horrible from the perimeter, and are severely outclassed on the boards in this matchup in my opinion outmanned. Take George Mason. Thank you.

Joe D is on a 10-4 NCAAB RUN and today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college hoops with my NCAAB SLAM DUNK WINNER.

UNC.

I understand SMU is playing some good basketball and they are undefeated at home at 9-0 on their own court. But I will be very honest with you, this is a team that stepped up in class twice and lost both games, an 88-69 ugly loss on the road at Vanderbilt, and an 89-77 equally ugly loss on the road at LSU. Their wins this season have come against the likes of Tarleton State, AMCC, Murray State, Butler, Arkansas Pine-Bluff, Arkansas State, Radford, Mississippi State, Texas A&M (which is a good win for them), Central Arkansas, and Cal State Fullerton. I just don't think they know what they are in for here facing today's opponent. North Carolina has just one defeat this season, and since that ugly loss on the road at the hands of Michigan State, they have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering five of the seven against the likes of Kentucky, Georgetown, and Ohio State. It's true, the Mustangs have a high-scoring offense, but their defense is ugly and has gotten plowed several times this season. Meanwhile the Tar Heels possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation yielding a mere 63.7 PPG, ranking seventh in field goal percentage allowed, and 16th in three-point percentage allowed. I also feel they'll dominate on the boards in this matchup. I think the line is way off here. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

It's true, Texas Tech has taken the last four meetings in the series with authority. But I feel the oddsmakers are giving them a little too much credit here. Laying double-digits isn't an easy thing especially in your first conference game of the campaign. The Red Raiders are 3-5 laying double-digits this season. Yes, they have taken down teams like LSU and Duke. But they also already have three losses, some ugly losses at that, and allowed Northern Colorado to post 90 points on them. They do have Houston on deck in three days and we all know the Cougars are one of the best teams in the nation. I'm not saying they lose this game outright, but I do feel they might be in a bit of a look ahead mode. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has just one lost this season, at the hands of Oklahoma. They have taken down the likes of South Florida, and Northwestern. They possess an offense accounting for over 91.2 PPG on nearly 50% shooting from the floor (49.3%). They are pretty darn good at both ends of the court on the boards, and will compete in the paint. I just feel this is way too many points. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Alabama.

Alabama took all three meetings a season ago over Kentucky with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 16.0 PPG. By the way, they also covered all three matchups, as well. While Kentucky seems to be starting to stride winning four in a row, their four losses this season have all come against ranked opponents. And let's face it, some of those losses were really lopsided. Meanwhile, Alabama is red-hot themselves winning three in a row and seven of their last eight. They do have Vanderbilt up next, which is one of only five undefeated teams left in the college ranks. But I don't feel they're going to be in a look ahead situation here. They know the Wildcats are a formidable foe, and will not take this game lightly. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard with a team that's already topped 100 points in scoring five times this season. While Kentucky does possess a decent defense, I feel they just don't have the depth or the talent to run in this matchup. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Virginia.

Virginia has taken three of the last five meetings in this conference rivalry, including the most recent a little more than a year ago back on December 31 of 2024 at home, 70-67. The Cavaliers enter this matchup following just their second defeat of the campaign. They were on a hot streak winning six in a row straight up and covering four of those six outings, before a triple overtime road loss on New Year's Eve at the hands of Virginia Tech. I expect this deep and talented squad to come back here with a vengeance and compete. They possess a very frustrating defense yielding just 68.7 points per game. Meanwhile, NC State is on their own hot streak winning three in a row and covering all three as well. But playing the likes of Texas Southern, Mississippi, and Wake Forest isn't going to prepare them for this matchup here. They have a good team, but I feel they will get be frustrated offensively here. Their defense is a little laxer, and I believe they are outclassed on the boards. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Minnesota has dominated Anaheim taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. This includes the only matchup this season, a November 15 home victory, 2-0. They enter this game one of the better road teams in the NHL, going 11-6-2 away from home this season. They have won four of their last five as a visitor, my friends, and without question will frustrate the Ducks, with the third-best defending/goaltending units in hockey. They yield just 2.6 GPG while scoring over 3.1 GPG. Meanwhile, yes Anaheim ranks fourth in the NHL in scoring averaging 3.3 GPG, but dead last in goals against, getting plowed for over 3.5 GPG. They also enter tonight struggling, dropping four in a row and eight of their last 10 which does include three straight on their own ice. Take the Wild. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Mississippi State comes in here with a 5-7 overall record, losing three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, failing to cover their last three outings. Their defense has allowed 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49, and 38 points in consecutive contests. They face a Wake Forest opponent comes in here angry following an ugly loss at their hands of Duke in their last outing. Prior to that, they won three in a row and six of the last seven SU, covering seven of their last nine overall contests. The Demon Deacons will be without a couple of key players. But their quarterback, Robbie Ashford will be on the field. He's a solid play-caller with quite a bit of experience. He is no stranger to lighting up the scoreboards even against some SEC opponents. Their opponent will be without their quarterback Blake Shapen. This team is pretty decent offensively. However, they have coughed up the ball 15 times and go up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. Wake Forest allows just 21.5 PPG equally good against the pass as they are against the Rush. Offensively, you can expect the Demon Deacons to move the ball with ease against one of the worst run defenses in the nation, and an overall defense that allows nearly 30 PPG (29.2 PPG). Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Arizona.

Like many teams this time of year, Arizona as expected to be without a few opt outs and transfer. But quarterback, Noah Fifita will not be one of those players. He has stepped it up over the last few months of the season, leading this team to five consecutive wins and four ATS covers over those five games. SMU has one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. They cannot run the ball at all and have committed 16 turnovers. Defensively is where this game will be won and that edge certainly goes to the Wildcats. Their stop-unit is one of the best in the nation yielding just 18.9 PPG and have forced 19 turnovers, solid against the run, and fourth nationally against the pass. I feel they have a more well-balanced offense as well, can keep up the pace offensively with any team in the nation, and have a decent running attack to keep their opponents defense honest. They also make a lot less mistakes. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

With one of the best overall records in the NBA, the New York Knicks haven't let too many games slip out of their grasp. However, they did let one slip away in their last outing, on the road at the San Antonio Spurs. Prior to that this team won three in a row and seven of their last nine straight up. They are also one of the best home teams in basketball sporting a 15-2 record at Madison Square Garden this season. They have dominated the Atlanta Hawks, taking four consecutive meetings SU, which does include both games played at home during that span. 

Navy.

The list of Cincinnati's opt-outs is one of the longest in college football. They lost their quarterback, and at least five starters on defense that are going into the transfer portal. This is bad enough. But their secondary is absolutely depleted. A large portion of their starting stop-unit will not be on the field for this matchup. I'm not going to debate they play a little stiffer competition than Navy does. But this team enters this matchup on a four-game slide both SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Midshipmen enter today's game winning three in a row and covering two of their last three against some very formidable opponents like the Bulls, Tigers, and Black Knights. If you're into angles, playing a service academy in a Bowl game hasn't been easy for any opponent. Since 2021 Navy, Army, and Air Force have combined to earn seventh straight Bowl game wins. Navy is led by Blake Horvath who is coming in to his own as a quarterback, and leads the number one rushing attack in the nation. Please remember the Bearcats rank 97th against the rush. They will be dominated here as the Midshipmen offense will keep them on the field and their offense off of it. As we all know, all of the service academies can run the can also stop the run. That's no different here. Navy is extremely strong against the rush, and only allows 26.0 points per game. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

Texas State.

Rice has dropped and failed to cover their last two games as their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 108 points in those contests. They are just 5-7 SU/ATS this season with five of those seven defeats coming by a lot more than the pointspread here today. This is a team that has no passing game whatsoever, nor can they stop the pass. As a matter of fact, their defense ranks among the worst in college football forcing just three turnovers and allowing over 35.2 points per game. Offensively, they can run the ball well, but they account for just 21.6 PPG. They will be without their leader and starting quarterback Chase Jenkins. This will be a big blow for the team as he is also a dual-threat quarterback. While the Texas State defense is a little more well-balanced, they still allow a lot of points. But their offense is so explosive both in the air and on the ground, they rank 12th nationally posting over 36.1 PPG. I doubt very much their counterpart can keep up with them on the scoreboard. Take the Bobcats. Thank you.

Joe D got everyone paid again on Wednesday in BOWLS, bouncing back from his only “off” day this Bowl season. Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUGAR BOWL WINNER between MISSISSIPPI/GEORGIA.

MISSISSIPPI.

As of posting this play, most of the money this week is coming on Georgia. I understand why. I mean they possess a defense that allows just 15.9 points per game. But several teams have put up a lot of points on them. In overtime, Tennessee accounted for 41 points, in their only loss of the campaign, Alabama accounted for 24 points, and this very same Mississippi opponent put up 35 points against them. Their last few games of the regular season were against some less than stellar opponents as they were a 43-point fav over Charlotte, and a 16-point favorite over Georgia Tech. I feel their lopsided victory over Alabama in the conference championship was earned for sure, but put them an ideal situation for a letdown here. Let's face it, the Mississippi defense was almost as good yielding just 19.3 PPG. The big disparity in this matchup is on offense. Both teams rank about the same on the ground, while the Rebels account for almost a touchdown more per game, and they possess certainly one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. That's where this game will be won. Led by Trinidad Chambliss, the Ole Miss offense ranks sixth nationally in passing for over 312.4 yards per game in the air. They are very good against the pass, as well. This is a weakness for the Georgia offense as they were lackluster at best ranking 79th in passing. Let's face it, the Bulldogs defense is what got them their wins. However, defensively they're one flaw is against the pass where they rank 44th in the nation. I believe this is way too many points to give a team so well-balanced like the Rebels. The last four meetings in this rivalry were each won and covered by the home team. That angle is negated as this game is being played in New Orleans. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

TEXAS TECH.

I keep hearing strength of schedule, strength of schedule, strength of schedule. However, I don't feel in my opinion the Ducks played that much more of a stronger schedule than the Red Raiders. I'm not going to deny their talent on both sides of the line of scrimmage. I mean this is a team that averages 39.2 PPG while allowing 16.3 PPG. But at times this season they did allow certain opponents to light them up. Penn State, which let's face it isn't the most talented team forced them in to overtime and put up 24 points, USC put up 27 points, and most recently in the Bowl first round, they allowed James Madison to post 34 points on them. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 26 points, and that was in their only loss this season, a fluke loss by four points at the hands of Arizona State. Every other opponent this season has put up 20 points or less. They did face some solid offenses this year as well. This is a team that lights up scoreboards for 42.5 PPG, while yielding just 10.9 PPG. They have a smart coach, and a quarterback who has not lost a game he has started this season. They possess the number one run defense in college football. I believe the team that will run the ball successfully in this matchup will control the clock, and eventually win this game. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

TEXAS.

Without question, Michigan and Texas are Bowl game powerhouses and college football royalty. But distractions this time of year can take its toll. The Wolverines fired their head coach, have an interim coach in charge of this game, and a big-name coach coming in next year. In my opinion this is a distraction. They're also going to be without several veteran starters on both offense and defense that are going to be very hard to replace in this short period of time. Yes, I also feel that getting shredded in their last outing at the hands of Ohio State is going to mentally take its toll on this Michigan team as well. Meanwhile, Texas has a heck of a defense, ever-improving Arch Manning at the helm who declared he is coming back next year, and momentum coming into this game. This is a game obviously both teams want, but the Longhorns have what it takes to not just win, but win with authority. Take Texas. Thank you.

20-7 NCAAF RUN inc. 8-3 POSTSEASON*Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUN BOWL WINNER between ASU/DUKE.

DUKE.

On paper, this looks like a pretty good matchup. However, Arizona State will be without their best quarterback and their top running back. This is a big blow to the team. Their backup quarterback, Jeff Sims has only seven touchdown passes with a whopping five interceptions this season. Now that isn't the biggest blow for this team in my opinion. Being without 1,141-yard ball-carrier, Raleek Brown is huge. The Sun Devils offense heavily relies upon their ground game. Just between us, they also turned them all over 17 times this season behind an offense that scores a very pedestrian 24.7 points per game. Meanwhile, Duke brings in most of their roster from their ACC Championship team. Their a passing attack is salivating here because their opponents defense ranks 73rd against the pass. They account for over 34.0 points per game and on defense, are pretty stout against the rush. They've also forced 13 turnovers. I'll take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

Vanderbilt.

My friends, I am fully aware the Iowa Hawkeyes have a solid defense, and their four losses have come by 3, 5, 2, and 5 points. But those losses were all against well-balanced offenses. Guess what? Vanderbilt has an extremely well-balanced offense. This is a team that has only suffered two defeats this season, an early-October 16 point loss on the road at Alabama, and a 3 point heartbreaking loss in the first week of November, on the road of Texas. Other than that, this team has shown not only they can score offensively, but they're pretty frustrating defensively as well. The Hawkeyes offense accounts for 28.9 PPG while the Vanderbilt offense posts over 39.4 PPG. The Commodores are very well-balanced ranking 14th in the air and 35th on the ground, while the Hawkeyes heavily rely, or should I say solely rely on their ground game. They have no passing attack whatsoever. Now defensively, their numbers are extremely impressive yielding just 15.2 PPG. But as I mentioned a bit ago, their four defeats have come against opponents whose offenses are extremely well-balanced. I mentioned Iowa has no passing attack whatsoever, because they rank 131st in the nation in passing. This is a perfect fit for Vandy who is not great at all against the pass, but ranks 15th against the rush. The Commodores quarterback just might be the best in the nation and will show off his prowess here. Take Vanderbilt. Thank you.

USC.

As we all have come to understand during this time of year, both USC and TCU will be without some key cogs in their wheels. The Trojans are expected to be without two of their top receivers while the Horned Frogs will be without their best quarterback. The difference in this matchup in my opinion is the fact that USC is so deep at their wide receiver position it's not going to matter. They also have a very experienced quarterback at the helm, and rank eighth in the nation in passing. This team, I believe will absolutely exploit and pick apart the 106th ranked pass defense of TCU. They also have a pretty decent ground attack to keep their opponent honest. They don't commit nearly as many turnovers as their opponent does either. Having said all that, the Horn Frogs will be without their best quarterback, and will have a backup in Ken Seals leading their offense. While he has been around for a bit, he has thrown a total of six passes this season. Last season he threw a total of 13 passes. That was following his transfer from Vanderbilt after three seasons with them so he does have experience, but enough here that he should be comfortable within this offense today. The Trojans also possess a considerably better defense, both in the air and on the ground, they are equally solid. Take USC. Thank you.

Seton Hall.

This is a perfect spot for a Seton Hall. The Pirates are playing some great basketball, going 11-2 overall and covering eight of their 13 outings this season. They are a perfect 2-0 as a true road team this season as well. They do come off their first loss following a five-game straight up winning streak. They've also been getting us paid as I mentioned a moment ago covering six of their previous seven games following that last outing. It's true, Marquette has had their way in this rivalry, but this is a different Golden Eagles team this season losing some of their biggest contributors, and making the news this week as one of their top performers this season is no longer with the team. I believe this will be a distraction. They are on a four-game straight up slide and have not covered a game since the second week of November, going nine consecutive outings without an ATS cover. They possess a lackluster offense and must go up against a frustrating top-10 defense here and I think things will go from bad to work for the team. Take the Seton Hall Pirates. Thank you.

Tennessee.

In my opinion this is one of the more interesting matchups this Bowl season. Both Tennessee and Illinois come in here with identical 8-4 records. It is true the Fighting Illini have covered seven games this season while the Volunteers have just five ATS covers. But I think we can all agree the Illinois defense isn't what it was just a year ago. Every time they stepped up in class, it seemed they fell very short. Their defense is mediocre at best. And let's face it, when you play in a competitive conference like they play in, and you only force six turnovers on your stop-unit side of the ball, it's going to be an issue. I believe that along with the fact that they just can't run the ball, ranking 99th in rushing this season, is going to hurt them in this matchup. Tennessee enters this game off a tough loss against Vanderbilt. However, this team is taken down some very good opponents, and let's face it, their four defeats have all come against ranked opponents; Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt. They are expected to be with that one of their top receivers, but this team does not lack for talent. And let's face it, in the air they are one of the best in the nation ranking sixth in passing averaging over 307.2 YPG. They can also run the ball with great efficiency keeping defenses honest, and average in the top-10 in scoring accounting for 40.8 PPG. Their defense does leave a bit to be desired, but I just don't feel their opponents offense has what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Louisiana Tech.

Coastal Carolina somehow made it to a Bowl game. This is a team that has a 6-6 SU, covering just five of their 12 outings this season, entering this Bowl matchup losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter of fact, during their three-game slide, their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 155 points. Their offense has stalled badly accounting for a total of 17 points over their last two outings. This is a team that gets outscored by over 11.1 points per game and have committed 20 turnovers. They rank 133rd in total yards allowed, 113th in passing yards allowed, 130th in rushing yards allowed, and 126 in points allowed. They face one of the best running attacks in football averaging just under 200 yards per game on the ground (196.6 YPG). This is the team that averages over 27.7 points per game and doesn't make too many mistakes. They have a very well-balanced defense, and have been a nightmare to offenses ranking third in the nation forcing 20 turnovers. Louisiana Tech closed this season winning and covering their last two games against some very good opponents in Liberty and Missouri State. Reports are they will be without several defensive starters, but I don't think that's going to matter too much here. Please understand the Chanticleers only defeated one Bowl team this season in Appalachian State which was 5-7. They face a Bulldog's opponent, which six of their seven wins this season came by 10 or more points. Trey Kukuk settled in quite nicely at the quarterback position, and I expect him to light up the scoreboard here. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

San Antonio Spurs.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY.

Game 564.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

They stay revenge of a dish best served cold. The Spurs are looking for a lot of revenge and a bit of playback against the Cavaliers which have dominated them, taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 matchups. But these are two very different teams this season. Cleveland at 17-16 is struggling. They are just 6-8 on the road this season, and have only covered nine of their 33 games played thus far this season. They enter this matchup losing two in a row and five of their last seven, and have only covered one game since December 5. If you're keeping track, that's a 1-8 ATS slide. Meanwhile, San Antonio comes in to this matchup one of the hottest teams in the league despite losing their last outing. Prior to Saturday night's ugly home loss against Utah1 127-114, they won five in a row and eight of the last nine straight up, covering six of their last eight outings. This is a team that is 23-9 straight up this season which includes 11-3 record on their own court, covering 19 of 32 contests. Following an embarrassing loss at the hands of the Jazz, I expect the Spurs to come back with a vengeance and redeem themselves not just for that last loss, but to get a little payback from being dominated from this very same Cavaliers opponent. Take San Antonio. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 555.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Denver Nuggets are a true force to be reckoned with. They are playing some great basketball, particularly on the road where they are 12-4. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have taken eight consecutive meetings against Miami, covering four in a row and six of those eight matchups. They do enter tonight's game, struggling a bit dropping three of their last five both SU and ATS. But I feel they get back on track here especially following Saturday night's road loss at the hands of the Orlando Magic. They could've taken down the Magic, but they let the game slip away and lost a heartbreaker, 127-126. They committed a slew of mistakes, coughing up the ball 16 times. I doubt very much that's going to happen in back-to-back games. Especially after they were leading in the third quarter by 17-points. I expect them to come out here with a vengeance and redeem themselves against a Miami Heat opponent they have dominated. Yes, the Heat have won and covered two in a row, but that followed a very ugly slide dropping seven of their last eight straight up, and seven straight against the spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Charlotte Hornets.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 550.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Yes, it's true, Milwaukee has had their way with Charlotte taking eight of the last 10 meetings straight up. However, the Hornets have covered four of the last five, including three consecutive games played on their own court. Giannis is back, and I'm sure Bucks fans are very excited. But this team loses a little luster when they travel sporting a dismal 5-11 away mark this season. Meanwhile Charlotte enters this matchup winning two in a row, covering three straight, and seven of their last overall nine outings. This team covers and gets us paid. They will do it again tonight. Take the Hornets as a home ‘dog. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

GOM.

Game 428.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Philadelphia clinched their division with last week’s, 29-18 victory over Washington. Buffalo, with four consecutive wins and seven victories over their last eight outings, can still catch New England in the AFC East as they have a lot to play for. The Bills are 16-1 straight up at home since the start of last season. It's true, the Eagles have taken three straight against the Bills going back a decade, which includes a late-November 2023 OT victory, 37-34. But I think we can all agree despite Philadelphia possessing a 10-5 record, Jalen Hurts just isn't the same. Because the passing game has diminished quite a bit, opponents are loading up against the run. I will admit the Buffalo defense has been hit or miss, no pun intended. But I believe they step up big in this matchup because they know what is on the line here. I doubt very much Hurts and the 23rd-ranked passing attack in the NFL will do any damage in the air against the second-best pass defense in the league especially because there is supposed to be (check status) inclement weather. While the Eagles do rely heavily upon the rush, and this is a place where the Bills defense has struggled, I just don't see it happening here. On the flipside, Buffalo enters this matchup with the top rushing attack in the NFL and will absolutely steamroll the 21st-ranked run defense of Philadelphia. They will control the clock and the tempo, keeping their opponents’ “D” on the field.  Overall, I believe the Eagles defensive statistics are a little skewed. They are third in scoring “D”, but 24th in yards per pass against and 21st in yards per carry against. I look for Josh Allen to have one of his best performances of the campaign. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 423.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Both AFC South combatants need a victory here. The Colts are fighting to stay alive, and the Jaguars are fighting to clinch the division, and possibly even one of the best records in the conference. Jacksonville enters this match up winning six in a row straight up and against the spread. To say they have dominated this series would be an understatement. They have taken six of the last eight SU, covering six of those eight as well. This includes a December 7 home victory, 36-19. Meanwhile the Colts have been one of the most disappointing teams the second half of this season. After starting the campaign 7-1, they have now dropped five in a row and six of their last seven. They have also failed to cover five of those last seven as well. Their defense is overworked and tired and getting steamrolled. Meanwhile their offense is lackluster at best. Yes, the Phillip Rivers comeback story has been a nice story. But he is still a very old quarterback and has to face one of the most frustrating and fierce defenses in football. The Jaguars allow a mere 20.8 PPG, and have forced 19 turnovers. They top the NFL against the rush. They do leave a bit to the desired against the pass. But I don't think that's gonna’ matter in this matchup. Offensively, they've been very consistent all season long, ranking in the top-10 in scoring, posting an average of 27.3 PPG. It's hard to deny the success of Trevor Lawrence this season and they have a solid ground attack in Travis Etienne jr. With their final regular season game coming next week at home against the Titans, I expect the Jaguars to come out here with something to prove. If they were due for a letdown, it would've happened against a very competent, Broncos team last week. But they came out and got the job done. During their current six-game win streak, they’ve yielded just 15.3 PPG. Meanwhile their offense has taken it to another level. They are truly motivated, and are far superior in this matchup. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

ARIZONA BOWL WINNER.

Game 234.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, there aren't many teams that could rebound following a beating like Miami took at the hands of Western Michigan back on December 6. Maybe it didn't show it in the 23-13 loss, but their offense had just 73 yards rushing and 199 yards passing. As a matter of fact, I don't see their “O” doing too much more here. This is a team that lost they're starting quarterback Dequan Finn in early-November, and tried a freshman in Tommy Gotkowski and a veteran in Henry Hesson but just couldn't get in sync with either. Things go from bad to worse for the offense as they lost their best receiver to the transfer portal in Kam Perry. This is a team that's dropped three of their last five straight up and against the spread coming into this matchup. Meanwhile, Fresno State comes in here winning and covering three of their last four outings. First year head coach, Matt Entz has this team believing they can win. They can run the ball with success in this matchup, and defensively they are very stout, snagging 19 takeaways, and allowing just 20.1 PPG. There are monsters against the pass, and just about as good against the run. Over their last five outings they have allowed an average of 15.0 PPG, and that was even with two losses. By the way, the Bulldogs are changing conferences moving from the MWC to the Pac-12 next year and want to finish on a high-note. Take Fresno State. Thank you.

BYU.

POP-TARTS BOWL WINNER.

Game 232.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

In my opinion, this might be one of the best games for us this entire college football postseason. Georgia Tech is a good team. I'll give them that. However, they have lost two in a row and three of the last four straight up covering only one of those last four outings. Their defense has gotten plowed yielding 48 points to NC State, 34 points to Boston College of all teams, and 42 points to Pitt before allowing just 16 points in their last game to Georgia. I believe their stop-unit is tired, is overworked, and is outclassed here in this matchup. You know the Yellow Jackets haven't played a ranked opponent all season long (I don’t count Clemson, who were #12 when they played and dropped considerably). They have a defense that is very beatable, and I believe is in real trouble here, as they rank 80th against the pass and 94th against the run. By the way, they've only forced three turnovers this season as well. They must go up against a BYU team that comes in here angry as they feel they were snubbed for the CFP. The Cougars misfortunate this season was having to play the Red Raiders twice. The last outing on December 6, was the most points they yielded and the least points that they scored all season long. I believe they'll come in here looking to redeem themselves and prove a point. This is a team that is extremely well-balanced, led by a very smart quarterback that leads an offense that averages over 31.9 PPG. That would be enough here, but their defense is just as solid. They allow just 19.0 PPG, and have snagged 16 takeaways as well. They're one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation against the run, a place where their opponent heavily relies upon to move the chains. I feel this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see if this college football postseason. The Cougars are looking to redeem themselves, prove a point to the pollsters, are good in Bowl games, and our lead by sharp coach and a ton of seasoned veterans. Take BYU. Thank you.

UConn.

Fenway Bowl WINNER.

Game 229.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With all respect to the Black Knights, we know their game plan. Army will come into this Bowl matchup, with their fifth-ranked rushing attack and pound the ball up the middle on the ground. This is what they do. This is a good team, my friends. But I think we all saw what happened in the legendary Army/Navy matchup when they lost 17-16. Meanwhile, Connecticut enters this contest one of the hottest teams in college football, winning four in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, covering six of their last eight outings. This is a team that is no stranger to stepping up in class, or even facing and containing run-oriented offenses. They did lose to Rice, 37-34, which is a team that heavily favors the rush. But they did then take down another military opponent in Air Force who also runs the ball a lot, 26-16. This is a team themselves that has taken down, and even competed against some strong opponents. Let's not forget this team finished the regular season taking down UAB, Duke, Air Force, and FAU. Thet possess a very well-balanced offense that makes very few mistakes. As a matter of fact, the ranked sixth in passing, 69th in rushing, 12th in points scored, and top the nation only committing two turnovers. Yes, I am aware that their run defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they're so well-balanced offensively, that I feel this will be a very competitive matchup. By the way, they're also better defensively at creating turnovers as they have snagged 11 takeaways compared to Army’s eight takeaways on the stop side of the ball. I think this is way too many points. FYI, the Black Knights have not covered as a double-digit favorite this season. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

JOE D IS ON FIRE! 4-0 L4 NCAAF, 6-1 NCAAF POSTSEASON, 17-5 NCAAF OVERALL RUN. This Wednesday, we get an early Christmas gift as we continue to SHRED THE BOOKS in college football with my HAWAII BOWL WINNER between CAL/HAWAII.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Hawaii Bowl.

Game 218.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Playing at home during this time of year is huge for any college football team. This goes even more for Hawaii as they are 6-1 this season when playing host. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 both straight up and against the spread, and have played some very good football. Don't read too much of the fact that Cal head coach Justin Wilcox was fired and replaced by former Hawaii head coach, Nick Rolovich for this matchup. The Golden Bears defense isn't so golden as in consecutive weeks they've allowed 42, 31, 26, 31, and 35-points. Meanwhile, this season their offense has been less than mediocre averaging just 24.8-points per game, while committing 15 turnovers. The Hawaii passing game is one of the best in the nation ranking 11th in college football. While I will tell you the Cal pass defense is good, it's just not structured to slow down how Hawaii's passing game succeeds. The Rainbow Warriors live by short passes and then because of this, they keep defenses honest even though they don't run the ball very well they still try. I just don't see the Golden Bears defense, which as I mentioned earlier has gotten plowed and has only forced eight takeaways this season, is going to slow down let alone stop them. While the California offense is pretty good in the air, the Hawaii pass defense has really stepped up this season. They only allow 23.5 PPG and have held some very good offenses in check. Take the Rainbow Warriors. Thank you.

Utah State Aggies.

Idaho Potato Bowl.

Game 210.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

While Washington State which has dropped six of their last 10 straight up, has covered seven of their last 10 outings, they've undergone some changes recently. Their head coach is gone, and although their defensive coordinator will be gone as well, he's acting as interim coach in this matchup. Meanwhile, Utah State enters this game covering four in a row, and 10 of 12 this season. These two teams did meet November 2024 as the Cougars hosted the Aggies, and took them down to 49-28. This won’t happen again here. Utah State will be exiting the Mountain West Conference and joining Washington State in the Pac-12 this upcoming season. The Aggies certainly have a more explosive offense accounting for 8.3 points per game more than does the Cougars, and certainly turn the ball over less. WSU coughed up the ball 18 times this season. Speaking of the Cougars, they cannot run the ball at all and they only rank 86th in passing. Compare that to the very well-balanced offense of Utah State which are just as good in the air they are on the ground, and I think it's gonna’ be a long day for the Cougars. Defensively, the Aggies leave a lot to be desired, but being that they have such a good ground game on offense, I feel they're gonna’ run the ball quite a bit, control the clock keep their opponents defense on the field, and more importantly their offense off it. Another thing my friends, Washington stage defense has only forced five turnovers while the Utah State “D” has forced 10 turnovers. Offensively, the Aggies have too much, not to mention the distraction the Cougars have with the whole coaching situation. Take Utah State. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

TD PLAY.

Game 115.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

New England will come in here angry looking to redeem themselves coming off their first loss since the third week of September. They had a 10-game win streak end in their last outing as they gave away 24-7 halftime lead to eventually lose to buffalo, 35-31. That was also the most points they've allowed all season long as their defense is one of the most frustrating in the NFL, ranking seventh overall, yielding just 19.7 PPG. I understand Baltimore following a two game straight up slide, got a big 24-0 victory last week on the road at Cincinnati. But this is the same team that also failed to cover four straight prior to last week’s win. They are just 3-5 straight up at home this season and are playing a team that's a perfect 6-0 on the road. Prior to last week's blanking of the Bengals, the Ravens defense got plowed for a combined 59 points in their two previous outings against some less than stellar offenses. Next week they have Green Bay on the road before they finish up their regular season schedule on the road against their arrival Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, the Patriots have the Jets up next on the road before finishing their schedule at home against the Dolphins. They can certainly win out and finish with the best record in their division, and one of the best overall records in the AFC. I expect their defense to frustrate an erratic Ravens offense. I also expect their very well-balanced offensive unit which averages over 27.3 PPG, to move the chains at will, and light up the scoreboard here. Take New England. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Game 126.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Let's be honest, while Pittsburgh is always a formidable foe, they lose a little luster when they travel. The Steelers are just 3-3 on the road this season, and they failed to cover three of their last four games played as a guest. Meanwhile, they go into Ford Field to face the Detroit Lions who are 5-2 at home on the campaign. Yes, they have failed to cover four of their last five games, but this team is money coming off a loss. They took a tough 41-34 road defeat last week at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams. They are a remarkable 11-0 SU, and 10-1 ATS at home coming off a loss going back to 2022. Statistically, they rank in the top few in just about every offensive category including scoring in which they top the NFL averaging over 30.6 PPG. They commit very few turnovers which they also lead the league. Their offense is so well-balanced, most defenses have problems anyway. However, the Steelers defense is getting burned both in the air and on the ground. Things do not look good for this team here. They also lost TJ Watt which will be huge for them here. Aaron Rodgers doesn't have young legs anymore, and to be honest despite coming off decent outings the last two weeks, is in for a long day here. I look for the Detroit team led by a very smart head coach, to do what they need to do the not just win, but win big. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Los Angeles Chargers.

HI ROLLER PLAY.

Game 119.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Cowboys playoff hopes are dwindling while the Chargers, believe it or not at 10-4, still need to win. Los Angeles enters this matchup winning three in a row and six of their last 7 SU, covering five of those seven games, but is still behind the Denver Broncos in the AFC West. Following this week's matchup with the Cowboys, they have a home game against the Texans then finish up the regular season against the Broncos. Victories are something this team needs and they need them now. They face a Dallas Cowboys team that has lost and failed to cover their last two outings despite possessing one of the top-scoring offenses in the NFL. No matter what they do on offense, their defense ranks 32nd against the pass, 18th against the rush, 29th in total yard allowed, and 31st in points allowed. They've also forced just six turnovers. To be honest with you, I don't feel Dak Prescott is the guy that can take them to the next level. Just as I felt Tony Romo wasn't the guy either. When must-win situations occur, Prescott falls way short. This is a team that is overvalued each preseason, while always finishing the regular season underachieving. The Chargers offense is solid. But their defense is outstanding. They rank in the top-10 in every single category defensively and have forced 17 turnovers to boot. You can't pass on them, and running against them is almost as difficult. They allow a mere 20.3 PPG and have held some very good offenses in check this season. They are rolling, need to win, and have what it takes to come out victorious in this matchup. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Carolina Panthers.

NFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 116.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

This is a big game for both Tampa Bay and Carolina. They are both tied at 7-7 sitting atop the NFC South. But for the life of me, I can't figure out why the Buccaneers are this much of a favorite on the road. Let's face it, this is a team that has dropped two in a row and five of their last six straight up, failing to cover all six of those outings. This does include losses and no covers in both road games played during that span. Yes, they've had their way in this rivalry, taking five in a row SU. But I feel the Panthers catch them at the right time. This is a team that's played well at home going 4-2 SU on their own field this season, and have covered six of their last 10 outings which does include three of five played on their own field. The Tampa Bay offense is struggling resulting in a defense that's overworked and tired. Their numbers on offense are lackluster at best ranking in the bottom third in just about every category while they are 30th on defense against the pass, and 24th in points allowed. I feel Carolina can come in here and not just compete but win with the ninth-ranked rushing attack in the league, control the clock and the tempo, and keep their opponents defense on the field and their offense off it. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

‘Ole Miss.

I know this is a lot of points, my friends. But why would anyone think, even for a split-second, that this outcome will be any different than the September 20, Mississippi 45-10 victory over Tulane? It isn't going to be any different. We all know the Rebels offense is one of the most-explosive in college football, scoring 37.3 PPG, ranking third in total yards, fifth in passing yards, and 34th in rushing yards. Now with all respect to the Green Wave, which have respectable numbers, they just don't compare. Please also understand the Mississippi offense makes considerably less mistakes than does the Tulane’s “O”. That would be enough for me here. But as I mentioned a moment ago, Trinidad Chambliss leads one of the most-explosive passing attacks in the nation, and they lineup across from a pass defense ranking 122nd. I just don't see this meeting not having the same outcome as the first meeting. That would be enough, but the Rebels defense is also one of the toughest in the nation, allowing a mere 20.1 PPG. Granted, the Green Wave stop-unit doesn't allow too many more points. But they haven't faced the same level of competition, either. Shutting down teams like Tulsa, East Carolina, Temple, and Charlotte, isn't like facing a team like Mississippi, or even the squads they have taken down like LSU, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Florida, etc. This game will get out of hand. Take Mississippi.

Miami.

At first glance, I had a big lean on Texas A&M here, especially following their first defeat of the campaign. But as I did my due diligence, I quickly switched to backing Miami. The Aggies, prior to losing to the Longhorns, their SEC schedule was against opponents that are a combined 11-40. They haven't faced too many strong teams in conference play. As a matter of fact, outside of Texas which they lost by 10-points, they weren't very impressive. You could have the best record in the world, but it all depends on who you beat. Looking at their games played, the Texas A&M defense several times this season gave up significant points to some less than stellar opposition. The same can't be said for the Hurricane’s stop-unit. Miami's defense ranks sixth in the nation allowing only 13.8 PPG, and have forced 12 turnovers. While the Texas A&M "D" yields 21.9 PPG, they've only snagged just three takeaways. Offensively, they’ve coughed the ball up 16 times compared to Miami's 11 turnovers. The A&M offense relies strongly upon their ground game, but runs into the seventh-ranked rush defense in the nation. I do feel the difference in this matchup will also be at the quarterback position. With all respect to Marcel Reed, he just isn't Carson Beck.

Alabama.

Alabama dropped the first meeting with Oklahoma back in mid-November because of turnovers and a lack of a sufficient ground game. They also didn't show up in the conference championship at the beginning of this month against Georgia. They were without several key cogs in their offensive wheel that are expected to be back here this week. These are two of the best defenses in football, but the Crimson Tide are certainly better against the pass which will significantly affect the Sooner offense. They also turn the ball over less on offense, and create more turnovers on defense. Beating Alabama once in a season its tough. Beating them twice, is impossible.

WMU.

While Kennesaw State enters this matchup winning and covering three in a row, Western Michigan has won five in a row and nine of their last 10 straight up, covering eight of those 10 games. The Broncos only loss since mid-September was to Miami-Ohio, which they avenged in the conference championship back on December 6. This is a team that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 21 points in any of the victories since the third week of September. With an explosive running game, they usually control the tempo and the pace of their contests. They do not average as many points as the Broncos. But they also don't make as many mistakes, as K State's offense has coughed up the ball 15 times. Defensively, WMU possesses one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation yielding just 18.2 PPG, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. The same cannot be said for their opponent, which ranks 82nd against the pass and 102nd against the rush. I think they're in a lot of trouble in this game, as they won’t be able to slow down the 25th-ranked rushing attack in the nation. I just don't see it happening. Controlling the clock, and wearing down opponents’ defenses are huge during the regular season, and even bigger in a Bowl game.

South Florida.

This game being played in Tampa, Florida, and I definitely give an edge to South Florida who will have the luxury of not having to travel too far, and significantly more fans in the stands. Both teams are seeking a 10-win season and both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks. The Monarchs will be without their top-producer, quarterback Colton Joseph. They will have a QB at the helm with significantly less experience in Quinn Henicle. Meanwhile, for the Bulls. Byrum Brown will not be participating on the field. However, rumors are he will be actually acting as an assistant coach on the sidelines in this matchup. They do have a fifth-year senior in Gaston Moore at the helm. It does give them an edge at the quarterback position. If you’re asking yourself why Brown is serving you as an assistant is because offensive coordinator Joel Gordon and most of his staff have left for Auburn. Their defensive line coach, Kevin Patrick will serve as interim head coach. Now Old Dominion did open up their season with a 13-point loss at the hands of now No. 1 team in the country Indiana, and a few weeks later took down Virginia Tech. But they did take beatings at the hands of Marshall and James Madison. South Florida opened their season up with consecutive victories over Boise State in Florida before being destroyed by Miami. They've also covered quite a few this season going 9-3 against the spread. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency, both teams can score points. However, the Bulls rank No. 2 in the nation in scoring. They did lose a little luster at the quarterback position even though I still give them an edge with a more experienced replacement under center. But the Monarchs defense is pretty darn good. However, the Bulls defense is certainly a little tighter against the rush. There's a lot of factors to take in in this game, but being that it is being played in Florida, and they have a more experienced quarterback doing the play-calling, I give an edge to South Florida.

Jacksonville State.

The second-best team in the Sunbelt will face the second-best team in the Conference USA as two Alabama representatives face one another in Montgomery. Very simply, I just don't see why the Trojans are favored here (as of post). Maybe it's because the Gamecocks ran for 210 yards on 40 carries in a losing effort at the hands of a very weak run defense against the Owls of Kennesaw State not long ago. But this is a very well-disciplined team with a very smart coaching staff. I doubt you're gonna’ see that happen again. Jacksonville State possesses the nation’s sixth-ranked rushing attack accounting for over 258.0 yards per game on the ground. I doubt very much their opponent which does rank 107th against the run, is going to be able to slow down let alone contain the potent ground game. The Gamecocks will take a page out of their last games playbook and make sure they control the clock here once again but take it one further and light up the scoreboard. I will admit Troy played a solid game against a very tough James Madison opponent in their last outing before a late meltdown. They are a good team against the spread, covering nine of 13 this season, but this team is very susceptible to the run. They are expected to be without a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel. Most likely Tucker Kilcrease is supposed to take the helm for an injured Goose Crowder (check status), but to go on further their top ball-carrier, Tae Meadows is in the transfer portal and is expected not to participate here. Please remember Jacksonville State hung in tight as a three-touchdown underdog losing by only seven-points in their season opener on the road at Central Florida, and then took down a very talented Liberty opponent at home, as a touchdown underdog. This team knows how to step up in big situations. While they did fall short against Kennesaw State in the conference championship, a team that they did beat only three weeks before at home. As far as Troy goes, they hung in tight against an overvalued Clemson opponent in the second week of the season while they took a beating against Memphis just a week later. Without some of their starters on the field and the fact that they fall short little bit in big games situations, tells me Jacksonville State will take this game. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you.

Butler.

There is no question the Huskies deserve to be ranked number five in the nation. This is a very good basketball team, my friends. They enter tonight's matchup sporting a 10-1 record, with their only blemish coming at the hands of the nation's current top team, the Wildcats. However, I believe they're being overvalued as they as they have covered just three of their 11 outings this season. Well, a team that is undervalued for sure is the 8-2 Bulldogs. They have covered seven of their 10 matchups this season, and have shown they can really light it up at both ends of the court. It is true, Connecticut has taken 10 consecutive meetings over Butler, but Butler has covered the last three matchups. These two teams know one another, and do not like one another. Believe it or not, the Bulldogs are scoring just a tad more than the Huskies, are just as good overall from the floor, and are better at both ends of the court on the boards. I believe this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Butler. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Two hot teams will be facing one another in Las Vegas tonight in the NBA Cup Final as the Spurs and Knicks face off. San Antonio has won seven of their last 10 straight up, covering six of those 10, including a big surprise victory the other night against Oklahoma City. In my opinion they are due for a big letdown here. Meanwhile, New York is one of the hottest teams in the NBA winning and covering nine of their last 10 outings. It is true, the Knicks have taken six of the last nine meetings with the Spurs going back several seasons. I feel San Antonio, who is now at full strength, is a very good team. But I feel they're coming in here a little overvalued. While they possess a potent offense, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. And I believe that's where this game will be won, on the defensive side of the court. The Knicks are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league averaging over 121.0 PPG, but they also own a top-five defense, which yields just 112.2 PPG. They are monsters on “D” overall from the floor, from downtown, and on both sides of the court on the glass. Take New York. Thank you.

North Carolina.

Records can certainly be misleading. Case in point is trying to compare East Tennessee State to North Carolina. My friends, there is no comparison. While the Buccaneers are 8-3 overall and the Tar Heels are 9-1 on the season, these two teams certainly don't face the same level of competition. ETSU lost games already to the likes of Presbyterian, Dayton, and Austin Peay. Meanwhile, UNC's only blemish this season was against Michigan State. By the way, since that defeat, they came back to shred teams like Kentucky, Georgetown, and most recently, USC Upstate. It's true, the Tar Heels have the Buckeyes on deck, but I don't see them in a look ahead mode here. I see them looking to fine tune their team before their schedule starts to get a little tougher. They don't have a problem beating up lesser opponents, my friends, and I just don't see the Buccaneers which have been averaging 88.9 points per game, putting up anywhere near that against the 17th-ranked defense in college basketball yielding just 64.7 PPG. I also see a big mismatch on the boards. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

South Carolina.

It doesn't matter the situation at any point in a season, when in-state rivals of the caliber of South Carolina Clemson face one another, it's usually a competitive contest. The last three meetings in this rivalry have decided by two, five, and three-points in overtime. I believe this will be another tight matchup. The Gamecocks enter today's game 7-3 overall while the Tigers are 8-3. Yes, Clemson has one notable win against Georgia. But failed in games against Georgetown, Alabama, and BYU. South Carolina kept it very very close against Butler, Northwestern, and Virginia Tech. They are a scrappy bunch, my friends. Both teams score about the same, both teams allow about the same. Both teams are solid on the boards, but as I mentioned earlier, they know one another, and don't like one another. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the gamecocks. Thank you.

Cowboys.

Following a four-game loss and no cover streak, the Minnesota Vikings came up big last week and blanked the Washington Commander at home, 31-0. Well, this is a team that has lost and failed to cover the last several games played as a visitor. I do feel that when they travel. they lose a little luster and they are due for a letdown. Meanwhile, following a three-game win and cover streak against some good opponents, Dallas got outgunned 10 days ago on the road at the hands of the Detroit Lions, 44-30. I feel they bounce back here in a big way, coming in better rested and better prepared. No matter what you say about the Cowboys, their offense can score points. They rank third in the NFL averaging over 29.3 points per game, with the league’s top passing unit. I just don't see the lackluster Vikings offense which averages under 20 points per game, (19.6 PPG) keeping pace on the scoreboard. Something else do you need to know, the Minnesota offense ranks dead last in mistakes committing 26 turnovers. I think that is just as astounding. I feel the Cowboys defense which has gotten beat quite a bit this season will come up big in this matchup and create some turnovers. Meanwhile, I just don't see the Minnesota defense even slowing down the juggernaut which is the Cowboys offense, as they rank 22nd against the rush, and 30th in takeaways with just five. Dallas gets a big win and cover at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Packers.

My friends, do you know what I find funny? The Denver Broncos have won 10 consecutive games but yet, are not even mentioned in Super Bowl talks. While they possess a defense that's allowing just 18.1 points per game, they've only forced seven turnovers. That is alarming to me. I think they're a good team, I do not think they're a great team. Meanwhile, Green Bay enters this matchup winning four in a row and sporting a 4-1-1 road mark this season. In my opinion they have faced and taken down better opposition than the home team. They too have a defense playing very well, yielding just 19.0 points per game. I feel they will put pressure on quarterback Bo Nix, and force some mistakes themselves. To be quite honest, I try not to compare a current opponent to a last opponent, but the Broncos defense while on paper just as strong as the Bear stop-unit, does not create mistakes like Chicago does, and yet Green Bay still came out and prevailed in that matchup. I just don't think Nix has what it takes to win in this big game situation. I also feel Denver is due for a letdown. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Chargers.

I do put some stock in revenge matchups. However, I just don't see that happening here. Los Angeles took down Kansas City in Week 1 of this regular season, 27-21. What I do put more stock in is riding a hot team and fading a cold one. Currently, the Chargers are playing great football, winning five of their last six straight up and covering four of those six while Kansas City is on a 1-4 SU run, failing to cover five consecutive outings. Checking the injury reports, Kansas City is missing quite a few key players. And I do feel last week's win by Los Angeles over Philadelphia, in which they allowed seven sacks, will be remedied here this week. I expect their offensive line to come up big and their defense to further frustrate a struggling Kansas City offense. The LAC stop-unit is equally good against the pass as they are against the run, and have forced 15 turnovers already. I think this will be a competitive matchup, certainly a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Bears

The Chicago Bears certainly redeem themselves following losses. From September until October, they won four straight and fell badly on the road at the Baltimore Ravens. However, they bounced right back to win five straight games before last week’s 28-21 loss to their division rival, the Green Bay Packers. This is a team that certainly knows how to bounce back, especially at home where they are 4-1 this season. Following last week's loss, I expect them to bounce back in a big way here with a hungry defense going up against a rookie quarterback. Yes, Shadeur Sanders has put up some impressive numbers but it is still a rookie and is prone to making mistakes. Please understand Cleveland is just 1-5 on the road this season and doesn't need any help making mistakes as they have committed 17 turnovers on offense. This does not bode well when you're going up against a defense that leads the league forcing 18 turnovers. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

My friends, there is no way Kentucky should be laying any more than one or two-points in this matchup, and that's being generous. They are 6-4 overall and have only covered just four of their 10 outings season as they are once again being overvalued. As a matter of fact, they have failed to cover three consecutive outings coming into this game. Indiana came off back-to-back losses and no covers to redeem themselves and destroy Penn State in their last outing. While they're 8-2 overall they have covered six of 10 this season. Maybe they're being undervalued because they're on the road which does affect this team. However, they possess a top 10 offense accounting for nearly 100 points per game (98.0 PPG), hitting 50.3% from the field, 38.2% from downtown, and 75.7% from the free-throw line. Yes, the Wildcats do own a solid defense, but I just think this game is going to be a tough one for the home team. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Kansas.

Kansas took down NC State last season at home, 75-60. They entered this matchup with identical 7-3 overall records. Yes, the Wolfpack are 6-0 at home this season, but beating teams like NCCU, UAB, UNCG, BSU, UNCA, and Liberty is a far cry from facing this opponent. Yes, the Jayhawks were taken down by the Tar Heels, Blue Devils, and Huskies, but they are three of the best in the nation. Don't forget this is a team that still bested Syracuse, Tennessee, and come off a high-profile win over Missouri. While NC State possesses an offense that's exploding for over 98.7 PPG, they have not yet faced a defense like they're facing here today in Kansas, which allows you 63.7 PPG. There are a big up front and physical. This will be an issue for the home team here. By the way, the Wolfpack defense is getting plowed for over 80.8 PPG which does not bode well here either. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Nebraska.

Someone needs to explain to me why Nebraska is getting double-digits in this matchup. With all respect to Illinois which is a good team, they were taken down by this very same opponent late-January of last season, 80-74. Meanwhile the Cornhuskers enter this matchup a perfect 10-0 on the campaign covering six of those 10 matchups, with high-profile victories over the Sooners, Wildcats, Blue Jays, and Badgers. Yes, the Fighting Illini are perfect 6-0 at home this season, but have only covered one of their last five games played on their own court. I believe they're being overvalued by oddsmakers. Both teams score about the same while the Nebraska defense has been a little tighter overall. I just think this is way too many points my friends. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you.

Army.

These two teams know each other very well, and let's face it, their numbers offensively are very similar, almost mirroring one another. Yes, Navy accounts for significantly more points per game, but the Army defense is much better both against the run, and against the pass. Not only that, but they have forced more turnovers defensively, and committed less turnovers offensively. Last season saw the Midshipmen prevail in this matchup, but I feel that perhaps the Black Knights were a bit hungover from playing in the conference championship just prior. Army took the two previous meetings before that, and six of the last eight overall meetings. I think this is way too many points. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

Los Angeles Kings.

We all know hockey is a cold weather sport. But right now, there is no team in the NHL playing as cold as a Seattle Kraken, which have lost six consecutive games. During their current slide they have been outscored by a combined, 25-10. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Kings are starting to heat up coming off back-to-back wins for the first time in over three weeks. They also enter this matchup a bit better rested having not taken the ice since Monday. Meanwhile, Seattle, which has lost four straight games played on their own ice, took a beating last night at the hands of Minnesota, 4-1, and will be fatigued here tonight They also ranked 32nd in the league in scoring, averaging just 2.5 goals per game. Things will go from bad to worse for this team here as they face one of the toughest defensive/goaltending squads in hockey. The Kings rank third in the league yielding just 2.5 GPG. I look for Los Angeles to extend their win streak, and continue their domination on the road this season. By the way, they are 10-2-4 as a visitor in 2025.

New York Knicks.

Without question the NBA is one of the streakiest and trendiest of all the major sports. You ride a hot team, and fade a cold one. You also follow a team that has dominated an opponent. New York has absolutely devoured Toronto taking nine consecutive meetings straight up, covering eight of the nine, which includes four straight wins and covers. They enter this matchup running red hot, winning and covering three in a row and seven of the last eight overall outings. In the only matchup this season with the Raptors, the Knicks routed them in New York back at the end of November, 116-94.  Speaking of Toronto, they are ice cold, losing three in a row and five of the last six straight up, failing to cover seven straight contests. They are expected to be without several key contributors (check status). Speaking of which, for New York, Karl-Anthony Towns did not play Sunday due to a left calf tightness, and as of posting this play, is listed as day today (check status). My friends, while he is one of their best, both in scoring and on the boards, if he is once again sidelined, this team is deep up front and can rotate in several talented substitutes. At both ends of a court the Knicks ranks in the top-five, and will dominate the boards in this matchup. They are also considerably better from the free-throw line, just in case this game gets physical.

Los Angeles Chargers.

You know folks, a lot of people are gonna’ put some stock in the fact Philadelphia lost back-to-back games and must win here tonight. But they have an offense that is struggling badly, and a defense that has allowed 48 points over the last two outings. Saquon Barkley is not contributing at all, which seriously hurts the offensive unit. As a matter of fact, over the last two weeks he's accounted for a combined 78 total rushing yards. Because the offense is so lackluster, their defense is a bit overworked and tired. That's not the case with the home team here. As a matter of fact, the November 30th, 31-14 home victory for Los Angeles over Las Vegas, is the only game they've played up until this point over the last 22 days. This team has had time to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup. They need victories right now as the team is 8-4, and plays a tough schedule for the remainder of the regular season. This team is striding at the right time. They have won four of their last five straight up, including wins and covers in three straight home games. Their defense is playing very well. As a matter of fact, in those four victories in the last five games, they have yielded an average of 13.5 PPG, while getting to opposing quarterbacks. Offensively, Justin Herbert bounced back from a broken left hand very smoothly. This team is also one of the best in the league at hogging the football, ranking second in time of possession. Running back, Omarion Hampton is expected (check status) to play tonight. This will certainly bolster an offense that is starting to really stride. On the defensive side of the ball, you can expect the Chargers third-ranked pass defense, to frustrate Jalen Hurts and the lackluster passing offense of the Eagles. Los Angeles playing at home, and having Philadelphia travel across the country will be a factor as well. Take the Chargers. Thank you.

Houston Texans.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 143.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

I am sure there are those out there that feel the Kansas City Chiefs are in a "due for" situation. I mean, they're just 6-6 with only a handful of games remaining in the regular season, dropping three of their last four straight up, and all four against the spread. Yes, there are 5-1 at Arrowhead Stadium this season, and have dominated the Houston Texans winning five in a row. But Houston enters this matchup red hot, winning four in a row and seven of their last nine straight up, covering six of those nine. CJ Stroud looked sharp in his return last week, throwing for 276 yards, and having a luxury of a ground game that ran for over 100 yards in their road victory at the Indianapolis Coast, 20-16. Throw into the mix the Kansas City Chiefs team is seriously banged up, and maybe without several key contributors (check status), and I feel the Chiefs are once again in trouble. Maybe they are due for a win but that doesn't mean they are going to get that win. I'm sure we can all agree Kansas City isn’t the team that we are used to seeing them be. Even last week, they had a chance to win in Dallas but fell short. Where they were once almost unstoppable in one-score contests, this year they're just 1-6 in that situation. By the way if you're keeping stats, that's the worst since 2009 for them. I feel Patrick Mahomes is going to have further issues against the NFL's top defense. Take the Houston Texans. Thank you.

Thunder.

Oklahoma City is a remarkable 22-1 this season, and although are usually laying double-digits, are covering on the road. This team has covered two of their last three games played as a visitor, and enter this matchup with confidence riding a 14-game win streak. They also know they have taken six in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings against the Utah Jazz. This does include the only matchup this season back on November 21 on the road, 144-112. Speaking of the Jazz, this team is struggling, sporting a dismal 8-14 straight up record, which does include just 6-6 on their own court. They took a beating in their last outing a few nights to go on the road at the hands of the New York Knicks, 146-112. I don't see things getting much brighter for this team here tonight. By the way, during their current seven-game slide against the thunder, they have lost by 12, 27, 9, 23, 34, and 32 points.

Green Bay Packers.

NFC NORTH GOM.

Game 134.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My friends, I understand why (as of posting this play), most of the general public is coming in in Chicago here. The team has won five in a row and nine of their last 10. Why shouldn't the general public be all over them? I'll tell you why, my friends, because Green Bay is a much better team. There are a few key factors that prompt me to take the home team here. First of all, they are playing at home in a very hostile environment for any visitor, especially the hated Bears. Secondly, they're looking for a little revenge as after nine consecutive victories in this division rivalry, Green Bay dropped last January’s matchup at home on the very same field to Chicago, 24-22. Lastly, this is one of the better defenses the Bears have had to face in quite a while. Oh, wait my friends, there is more. Chicago has also had problems against NFC North opponents going 1-2 against the division this season while Green Bay is a perfect 3-0 in the division in 2025. I see quarterback Jordan Love riding momentum from a Thanksgiving Day victory over the Detroit Lions on the road, in which he threw for 234 yards and four touchdowns. The Chicago defense is overworked and at a big disadvantage here. The well-balanced offense of Green Bay will light up the scoreboard in this matchup while their defense takes care of the rest. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC GOW.

Game 142.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Short and sweet, guys. Cincinnati, following a four=game slide, took down Baltimore in their last outing on the road, 32-14, back on November 27. They come back down to earth here. They travel to Orchard Park to face a Buffalo Bills opponent that is still one of the best teams in the NFL, and desperately needs to put some wins in the plus column. It's true, Buffalo has struggled a bit this season. But their offense is absolutely crushing it, leading the team to four victories in their last six outings. They might be missing a key contributor on offense (check status), but this team is a smart team, a deep team, is at home, and does what it takes to win this time of year. How about a little payback as well, my friends? The Bengals have taken six of the last eight meetings in this AFC rivalry going back 14 years. This includes the two most recent, January 2023 and November 2023. That January matchup saw Cincinnati devour Buffalo, 27-10, on their own field, and end their season.  The way the Bills “O” is surging, and the fact they lineup across from the 32nd-ranked, that's right the worst defense in the NFL allowing 31.2 PPG, I feel this game will get out of hand. The top-ranked running game in football will move the chains on the ground, and allow Josh Allen to open up the passing game. Take the Buffalo Bills. Thank you.

Jacksonville Jaguars.

AFC SOUTH BEST BET.

Game 132.

10:00 AM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Two of the better teams in the AFC, happened to both reside in the same division, at the AFC South. On Sunday, the Colts travel to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars, who happen to be tied at 8-4. There is a big difference here, one team is struggling while the other is striding. Indianapolis has dropped two in a row and three of their last four straight up, failing to cover three of those four as well. Jacksonville is red hot, winning and covering three in a row. The Jaguars have covered three of the last four most recent meetings with the Colts, as the last two matchups have each been decided by three-points. I don't know if you're aware, but the Colts never win in Jacksonville going 0-10 SU the last 10 games played down there. I look for one of the most frustrating defenses in the NFL, to contain an Indy offense that has accounted for a combined 36 points the last two weeks. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard in this matchup either, as the Jaguars "O" has averaged 29.0 PPG during their current win streak. Take the Jaguars. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 129.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Seahawks can very well be the first team in the NFC to earn 10 victories. They currently sit at 9-3 in the NFC West, tied with the Los Angeles Rams. And, I will tell you this team can certainly finish the regular season with one of the best overall records in the conference. After this week they have a home game against the Colts, followed by another home game against their division rival the Rams, then two road games to finish out the regular season at the Panthers and the 49ers. Everything starts with a victory here this week. They face a Falcons opponent that has dropped six of their last seven straight up, just 2-3 at home this season, and has only covered five games in 2025. Let me remind you Seattle is one of the best road teams in the NFL going 5-1 as a visitor in 2025, covering five of those six games played as a guest as well. Last season’s matchup saw them prevail on the road on this very same field, 34-14. Atlanta is a train wreck. Their offense is horrible and their defense is overworked. On both sides of the line of scrimmage they are outclassed. Let's face it, Seattle ranks fourth in scoring averaging 29.2 PPG, and third in points allowed, allowing just 18.1 PPG. This game gets ugly. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Knicks.

With all respect to the Orlando Magic, they are in real trouble here tonight. Yes, the Magic are a good team at 14-9, and yes, they have won and covered the last three matchups with the Knicks. But they dealt New York their only home loss this season back on November 12, 124-107. I look for the New York to come back strong here, and avenge that loss. They are running hot, winning six of the last seven both straight up and against the spread coming into tonight's matchup. There is some talk that Karl-Anthony Towns might be sitting tonight (check status). If he does sit, the team is deep enough at the position to fill in without a hitch. By the way, since that only home loss of the campaign, the Knicks have won and covered all five games played on their own court since.