Michigan State Spartans.

These rivals only met once this season, at the end of January with a game Michigan prevailed. Prior to that, MSU took the previous four matchups and overall, have played them very tough over the years. While the Wolverines, despite what happens today, will finish the regular season as the Big Ten champion. However, the Spartans will solidify the second-spot in the conference with a victory here. There are a couple of teams just behind them that are also playing today in the Cornhuskers and the Fighting Illini. There's no question MSU head coach, Tom Izzo takes this matchup seriously. He has been an underdog three times away from East Lansing this season has covered all of those games. In the earlier meeting, the Spartans missed 19 of 23 from downtown. That won't happen again, my friends. I will also tell you the home team Wolverines, are being overvalued lately by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four games. Getting nearly double-digits in a rival game, on the final outing of the regular season, while their home team has already clinched the conference regular season crown, tells me to take the away doggie. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

UCLA BRUINS.

UCLA has won and covered the last three meetings with USC, which does include a February 24 home beatdown, 81-62. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four games while the Trojans are ice cold losing six in a row straight up, and failing to cover five straight. The Bruins are rolling. And I do feel, this is the game USC will severely miss Chad Baker-Mazara. He was one of their top-contributors and has been released from the team following their February 28th 15-point loss at their hands of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They got crushed in their last outing on the road at the Washington Huskies by 19-points, and I do believe this game could get even uglier. UCLA is much deeper, much hotter, and much stronger on the defensive side of the court. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

A victory here would likely give Georgia a first-round bye in the upcoming SEC Tournament, and more importantly give them a better opportunity for their first back-to-back NCAA Tournament bids since the 2001/2002 seasons. They enter this contest red hot, winning and covering four of their last five outings against some solid opposition. They took down Kentucky on the road, Texas at home, crushed South Carolina at home, and then in their most recent contest, handed Alabama a 10-point defeat also at home. These two teams have not met this season, but Mississippi State enters this game ice cold, losing and failing to cover four in a row. Going back a bit, they have dropped seven of their last nine straight up, and six of their last eight against the spread. Mississippi State has a solid star player in Josh Hubbard. But in all honesty, his supporting cast falls way short. This is an offense that averages just 77.6 PPG, while their defense is getting plowed for over 81.2 PPG. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the explosive Georgia offense that ranks seventh in the nation, lighting up scoreboards for over 90.0 PPG while possessing a defense that yields several points less per game. They're also a little bit better at both ends of the court on the boards. This game is going to get out of hand. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Stanford Cardinal.  

A few things would have to happen for Stanford to move up from their current No. 10 position in the ACC. One thing for sure, they must win here today. My friends, I feel this line is off by a mile. Yes, both teams are looking for their 20th-victory. But coming into this matchup, NC State is ice cold losing three in a row and five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover three in a row and seven of their last eight. Meanwhile, on the opposite side of the spectrum, Stanford is starting to stride winning and covering three straight. Going back a bit, they have won five of their last seven SU, and seven of their last 10 ATS. This team has been covering the number for anyone who follows them. Granted, on paper the Wolfpack score significantly more points. But they're not the greatest on the boards at either end of the court, and they possess a defense that has been getting plowed. As a matter of fact, during their three straight losses they have allowed 90 or more points in each. If you look at the Cardinal defense over the last month or so, only one opponent in their last 10 games have put up more than 79-points on them. I think this line is way off. Take Stamford. Thank you.

Virginia Tech.

On paper Virginia is certainly a better team. However, the Cavaliers have locked up the No. 2 seed and a double bye next week's ACC Tournament. And in all honesty, they are shoo-in for the NCAA Tournament. While they do have loyal fans, the student body is on Spring Break and we don't know how many of those loyal fans will be in the stands for this one. Having said that, I am aware Virginia Tech is 3-6 in road games and have only taken down two of their five top-25 opponents this season. However, this is a team that plays their archrival very competitively. As a matter of fact, the Hokies won the only meeting between these two teams this season at home back on December 31 in overtime, 95-85. The two previous matchups, both last season played in February, resulted in a one-point game and a three-point game. Yes, the home team would love to exact some revenge from the earlier meeting which resulted in a loss. But how hard are they going to go in this game knowing they've already locked up a top-four seed in the ACC, and an invite to the Big Dance? The Cavs are just 2-4 ATS their last six games laying 9.5 or more points. This is a lot of wood to lay my friends, as the Hokies score just as much offensively. As a matter of fact, they account for a little bit more per game offensively. It is on defensive side of the court in which the home team is significantly stronger. But at both ends of the court on the boards, the visitor can certainly compete, and are a little bit better from downtown and more frustrating at the defensive end from the three-point line. I feel this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread.. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you.

Loyola Marymount.

With all due respect, San Diego is a very poor basketball team. They have thrown in the towel on the season losing four in a row and seven of their last eight straight up. They've also failed to cover seven of those eight outings, as well. This is a team that is just 11-20 overall, which does include a 5-13 record in conference play. Things go from bad to worse for the Toreros on the road where they are only 2-11. They have failed to cover four straight games played away from home. Granted this game is being played in Las Vegas, but anytime this team travels, they lose whatever luster they possess. LMU is only a little bit better than them against West Coast opponents going 6-12 in conference play this season. But they do possess an overall record of 15-16, would love to finish the regular season at .500, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have downed this opponent six consecutive meetings. That's right, the Lions have taken six straight in this conference rivalry covering five of the six which includes four consecutive ATS covers. They have taken those six games by 34, 7, 16, 26, 20, and 12-points. The most recent two meetings both in February of this year, saw an average margin of victory come by 16.0-points per game. The LMU squad possesses four double-digit scorers, are much better on the boards, and own a much more frustrating defense. Look for the Lions to continue their domination of the Torreros. Take LMU. Thank you.

South Florida Bulls.

It was only a season ago the Memphis Tigers were 29-6. But for head coach, Penny Hardaway, it must seem like a decade. This season they are just 12-17, riding a six-game losing streak, and are sitting at a 7-9 in AAC play. Not only is this team losing, they're losing badly. As a matter of fact, during their current slide they have been defeated by 7, 24, 21, 9, 6, and 16-points. Prior to this season, Memphis dominated South Florida taking seven of the eight previous meetings. However, in the only matchup this season, just about three weeks ago on the road they were picked apart, 87-66. Speaking of the Bulls, this team is playing some amazing basketball. They currently sit atop the AAC at 13-3, possessing an overall record of 21-8, a road record of 8-3, winning seven in a row and nine of their last 10 straight up, and seven of those last 10 against the spread. A victory here this evening would lock up the conference for South Florida. It wouldn't matter what happens in their last outing of the regular season against Charlotte. You may not realize it, but very quietly the Bulls rank 17th in the nation in scoring averaging over 88.3 points per game, and 14th on the offensive boards. They're also better on the defensive glass than their opponent here, as well. I feel this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board not just today, not just this week, but so far this month. Take South Florida. Thank you.

Southern Illinois.

It's true, Drake had their way with Southern Illinois for a while taking six consecutive meetings. However, the most recent matchup back in mid-February on the road, the Salukis took them down, 66-61. The Bulldogs have not won a single contest since the last few days of January, riding a nine-game straight up losing streak, and failing to cover nine of their last 10 overall outings. This is a team that is just 12-19 overall on this season covering just 10 of their 29 lined-games, sporting a 4-7 away record, and are one of the worst teams in the conference going 6-14 against Missouri Valley opponents. To say Southern Illinois has started to stride, would be an understatement. This team has won four in a row and seven of their last nine, both straight up, and against the number. As far as the last meeting goes, SIU dominated Drake, despite shooting just 35% from the floor. That was over 10% less than their season average (45.4%). This is a team that possesses two double-digit scorers and two more contributors that are flirting with double-digits. Meanwhile, the visitor here has just one standout player in guard, Jalen Quinn. His supporting cast has just fallen way short, thus why this team possesses some of the ugliest numbers in the conference offensively. That would be bad enough, but defensively they rank 251st in points allowed. This game will get ugly. Take the Salukis. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

Winning two in a row, six of their last seven, and eight of their last 10, Miami has put themselves into the top-25 rankings (No. 22). This is a big game for the Hurricanes, my friends, as they are one win away from tying the school record for regular season victories. They have their final regular season game at home on March 7 against Louisville. A victory here tonight will put this team one step closer to solidifying a top-for finish in the Atlantic Coast Conference. Meanwhile, SMU is starting to show signs of cracking losing and failing to cover their last two outings, both road games, and both against teams they really should've beaten. They have been pointspread poison, failing to cover six of their last 10 outings. The Mustangs are expected to be without one of their top contributors, and guard, BJ Edwards (check status). This team is already struggling, and must face one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you.

Minnesota Golden Gophers.

In all sincerity, my friends, Indiana is sliding at the worst possible time. The Hoosiers have dropped four in a row both straight up and against the spread, and going back a little bit further, five of their last seven SA, and six of their last seven against the number. Not only are they losing, they are getting crushed. Granted, a couple of those losses were against some real good opponents, but they are still sliding and showing no competitive fight. Whether it's offensively or defensively, this team is going through some serious issues. Meanwhile, one team that's starting to heat up is Minnesota, winning three of their last four SU, and covering four consecutive outings. They took down Oregon, Rutgers, and UCLA while keeping it close against Michigan. They come into this game with some confidence knowing they took down this opponent back at the beginning of December at home, 73-64. Under head coach Niko Medved, the Golden Gophers have slowed down their tempo from recent squads, and this style of play is paying off. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

There is an argument that Kentucky doesn't need to do too much to make it to the Big Dance. And yes, up next for the Wildcats is a home game against the Gators. But I'm here to tell you this team does not want to finish the regular season possibly off back-to-back losses. One thing for sure, they can take down tonight's opponent. The Wildcats have dominated the Aggies taking five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. They also enter tonight's contest winning two in a row and covering three straight and seven of their last eight overall contests. This does include four consecutive ATS covers as a visitor. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is definitely struggling dropping five of their last seven SU, and only covering one of their last six. They have had problems in conference play for sure, and I believe their problems will continue. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Alabama will continue their hot run in conference play (8-0 L8) and lock up a top-four finish in the SEC. They come in here one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning eight in a row and nine of the last 10 straight up, and have dominated Georgia. That's right my friends; the Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and seven of the last eight against the Bulldogs. Not only do they win, they cover as well going 7-1 ATS during that span. Speaking of the home team, they have starting to heat up winning three of the last for both SU and ATS. But overall, this team has been erratic. They have dropped six of their last 10. Coming off a victory in their last outing, which gave in their 20th win of this season, I see Georgia maybe not going all out here tonight. Neither team is impressive defensively. But running hot, riding momentum, dominating tonight's opponent, all benefits the Crimson Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Iowa State Cyclones.

My friends, on paper Arizona looks like the play. But college basketball isn't played on paper, especially this time of year. Yes, the Wildcats can lock up an outright Big 12 regular season championship and the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament with a victory here today. Now, they do have a matchup with the Buffaloes on the road to finish the regular season. But trust me when I tell you they would love to get that victory here tonight so they can ease back in their final outing of the regular season. They are riding a four-game straight up win streak. But the way they come off of their manhandling of Kansas in their last outing at home, I feel this team is in for a letdown situation here. They dominated the Jayhawks from start to finish in every aspect of that matchup, and I feel once again they are due for a letdown. Let's not forget this team has been overvalued quite a bit lately, only covering three of their last eight outings. Meanwhile, Iowa State enters this matchup splitting out their last six games SU. Now they have won seven of their last 10 SU, and have covered six of those 10 as well. But getting them off an embarrassing nine-point loss as nearly a double-digit favorite at home against Texas Tech, tells me they bounce back with authority here and redeem themselves. Granted, the home team accounts for a few more points per game, but the road team is so frustrating defensively ranking 10th in the nation and yielding 65.6 points per game. They're also monsters on the defensive glass as well. Yes, the Wildcats offense is explosive, and there are monsters on the boards too. But I just feel this game is about situations. They also will have a problem from the perimeter here. They are so good on the inside. However, they're going up against the nation’s 11th-ranked three-point shooting offense. This game is going to be a lot closer in the pointspread. Take Iowa State. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

My friends, both Purdue and Ohio State need victories. The Boilermakers are looking to finish in a top-four spot in the conference while the Buckeyes are looking for a top-eight finish in the conference. It all begins with victories here today. While I will admit, Purdue owns a better record of 22-6 overall, and a better mark in the Big Ten at 12-5, they're starting to struggle. They have lost two of their last three games both SU and ATS. Meanwhile, Ohio State enters this matchup covering three consecutive outings. They are playing some very competitive basketball, my friends. I would check the status on their center, Tilly. But whether he plays or not (as of post), I still like this team. They have the depth, the muscle, and the talent to compete here in the paint. I feel the Buckeyes backcourt is a little more athletic and will be the difference in this matchup. Take the points with Ohio State. Thank you.

Maryland Terrapins.

They say revenge is the best serve cold Well Maryland is looking to exact some revenge against Rutgers, as the Scarlet Knights took the only meeting this season in this conference rivalry back in mid-February, at home 68-57. Prior to that Maryland won and covered all three previous meetings. The visitor enters this matchup losing and failing to cover each of their last two games, my friends. As a matter of fact, they have struggled dropping eight of the last 10 SU, which includes four of five games played on the road during that span. Meanwhile the home team comes in here covering three in a row and five of their last six overall games, winning and covering both games played on their own court during that time span. There is a big disparity in the way Rutgers plays on the road and Maryland plays at home. The visitors are just one 1-8 as a true guest this season while the home team is 7-6 on their own court. The statistics aren't too pretty for either team, but I feel certainly there is an edge for the Terrapins, who possesses the deeper and more athletic unit. And there's always that revenge factor. Take Maryland. Thank you.

SMU.

SMU is looking for their 20th-victory this season and for a little redemption following a four-point road loss at the hands of Cal just three days ago as a 3.5-point fav. Prior to that, this team won six of their last nine SU, and is just outside the top-25 rankings. They must finish strong if they want to make a statement on the season. They play a Stanford opponent that has dropped two of their last three and seven of their last 10 overall SU, splitting out those last 10 games ATS. For a decade, the Mustangs dominated the Cardinal, taking all meetings during that span before March 1 of last season when on the road they were taken down by five-points. There are certainly healthier, have a much more explosive offense, a deeper squad, and are better at both ends of the court on the glass. I look for their 21st-ranked three-point shooting offense to absolutely pick apart the 187th-ranked three-point shooting defense of the home team here. Take SMU. Thank you.

Nebraska Cornhuskers.

I feel this is a big mismatch here, my friends. One thing for sure, this time of year you ride a hot team, and fade a cold one. The Cornhuskers have won two in a row and six of their last 10 while the Trojans have dropped four in a row, and six of their last 10. The home team is also pointspread poison, failing to cover three straight and five of their last seven outings. This is a big revenge game as these two teams have not met since last January when Nebraska, as a 7.0-point fav, lost on their own home court, 78-73. This is a team that plays good on the road winning six of eight as a true visitor this season, and with three games remaining in the regular season, and sitting in a tie at 13-4 in second place in the Big Ten, another victory here would basically solidify a top-four finish in the conference. The Cornhuskers defense ranks 13th in the nation, yielding just 65.4 PPG, and will absolutely frustrate the Trojans lackluster offense. Take Nebraska. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

With all their issues this season, Kansas still sits in a four-way tie in second place in the Big 12 at 11-4. The top team in the conference, Arizona is 13-2 in league play. Now the Jayhawks did take down the Wildcats 19 days ago at home, 82-78. And they come into this matchup winning eight of their last 10 SU and covering seven of those 10 outings. This includes four wins and covers in the five games played as a visitor during that span. While Arizona is a very good team, they tend to be overvalued by oddsmakers, as they have failed to cover five of their last seven overall, which includes two of three games played at home during that span. Yes, I'm aware how good Arizona is. But let's not forget, Kansas is a team that frustrated them in the only matchup this season, can certainly stay with them defensively, and have a very smart coach on the sidelines as well. He is excellent at preparing his squad for big games. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines MONEYLINE.

Well, my friends, I could certainly see why some out there might come in on the home team in this matchup. I mean, they have dominated this rivalry, taking nine consecutive meetings against their conference rival. They have also covered eight of those nine matchups, as well. This season, they rank No. 10 in the polls, are 22-6 overall, 13-4 in Big Ten play, and possess a 13-2 record at home. But there are a few things that do jump out about Illinois that makes me fade them here tonight. For starters, they have dropped three of their last five both SU and ATS. Over the last three weeks during those losses, they took a three-point heartbreaking defeat on the road at the hands of Michigan State, then followed that up with a home loss by two-points against Wisconsin as a double-digit favorite. But it was the most recent loss, six nights ago on the road at the hands of UCLA that I feel will haunt this team. They had a pretty commanding lead only to see it dwindle and eventually lose in overtime to a team they should've beaten. Not many teams can bounce back right away from a loss like that, and I feel this team is one of those teams. Michigan enters this contest ranking No. 3 in the nation, sporting a 26-2 overall record, sit atop the conference at 16-1, and are a perfect 9-0 away from home on the campaign. They do have games remaining on their regular season schedule on the road at Iowa and then at home against Michigan State. None of these three remaining opponents are pushovers. But I do feel this is the game that will set the pace for their final two games of the regular season. Offensively and defensively, the Wolverines possess better numbers. They are also just as good on the boards at both end of the courts as Illinois. I see a big mismatch in this contest though, my friends. You see the Fighting Illini despite ranking 92nd in three-point shooting and hitting just 35.7%, take as many or more shots from downtown than any other team in the Big Ten. This is where the mismatch occurs, as the Wolverines rank 10th in the nation against the "3" allowing just 29.5%. I feel you're going to see a lot of misses and mistakes the Michigan defense creates on the Illinois offense, and when this occurs, remember the visitor also ranks 15th in the nation on the defensive boards. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Dayton Flyers.

Sitting in a tie at 10-5 in conference play, and having three-games remaining on their regular season schedule, the Dayton Flyers would love a victory here tonight to try to solidify a top-four spot in the Atlantic 10. After tonight they go on the road to Richmond then finish up the regular season at home against Virginia Commonwealth. The Flyers took the only meeting with the Revolutionaries this season back on January 6 at home, 79-72. That was their eighth win over the last 10 meetings with their conference rival straight up, and the seventh cover during that span as well. They come into today's contest running hot winning and covering four straight while their opponent despite going 3-1 their last four game SU, have been pointspread poison dropping five of their last seven against the number. My friends, I feel the wrong team is favored here. Maybe the oddsmakers feel that following their 15-point blowout as a four-point underdog in their last outing against St. Louis, maybe Dayton would be in for a letdown here. But I doubt that very much my, friends. This team is running strong, riding momentum, and winning. While George Washington is not a bad team, I mean they score over 83.6 PPG, but their defense is atrocious. They're OK on the boards, as well. But I just don't see their offense having the same success on the scoreboard here as they have had against lesser opponents. Take Dayton. Thank you.

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Wichita State.

The Shockers took the only meeting this season against the Tigers at home back in the third week of January, 74-59. That was the third victory over the last five meetings in this rivalry straight up for Wichita State, and their sixth consecutive ATS cover in this rivalry. They come in here running hot again winning three in a row and eight of their last 10 SU, covering seven of those 10 games. Memphis is struggling dropping four in a row both SU and ATS, and seven of their last overall both SU and ATS. Granted, Memphis is 10-4 at home this season overall, but I just feel this team is getting too much credit in this matchup. They're obviously struggling, have trouble covering against today's opponent, are outclassed at both ends of the court both in scoring and defense, and on the boards. Take the Shockers. Thank you.

MSU.

I feel giving Tom Izzo and his Michigan State team this many points are overvaluing the home team by the oddsmakers. You see, the Spartans have covered three straight in this series, and six of the last seven overall matchups with the Boilermakers, as they play them tough all the time. They also enter this matchup off of back-to-back straight up victories, and seven wins over the last overall 10 outings. Yes, Purdue comes into this game, winning five of the last six SU, but covering just four of their last 10 overall outings, which includes ATS no covers in three of four games played on their own court during that span. Purdue doesn't have Zach Edey anymore to rely upon, which in my opinion was the thorn in MSU’s side for a while. Please don't forget the Spartans defense ranks 17th in the nation, while they rank seventh on the offensive boards and first on the defensive boards. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

Wisconsin Badgers.

In my opinion this is one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week, let alone tonight. Maybe Wisconsin fell out of the top-25 this week, but they still have an opportunity to earn a top-four seed in the Big Ten tournament. This is a team that has played some good basketball going in 19-8 overall, covering 15 of their 27 lined games, and owning a winning road record of 4-3. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they just took down a formidable opponent three nights ago at home, in Iowa, 84-71. That was their sixth straight up win over the last 10 outings and their fifth ATS cover in their last six games. Meanwhile, Oregon has won two of their last three SU, but prior to that, they dropped seven consecutive games SU, and have been pointspread poison failing to cover six of their last nine. As a matter of fact, the Ducks have failed to cover four of their last five games played on their own court. No matter how you look at this matchup, offensively, defensively, in the paint, on the perimeter, or on the boards, Wisconsin is far superior. Take the Badgers. Thank you.

Oregon State Beavers.

Oregon State is a good basketball team. With a victory here tonight, they would almost guarantee themselves a top-four finish in the WCC. They have dominated San Diego taking four consecutive meetings. This includes the only matchup this season back on January 31 on the road in overtime, 78-76. Speaking of the Toreros, this is a dismal basketball team, who have struggled recently dropping two in a row, five of their last six, and seven of the last eight overall contests. They have been pointspread poison as well covering just one of their last six outings to boot. Compare that to the Beavers which have covered five of their last seven games. While the visiting team does account for a couple of more points offensively per game, the home team here certainly has a more stout, more frustrating defense. They're also better at both ends of the court on the glass, as well. They have dominated this rivalry, and come into this matchup a lot hotter both SU and ATS. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

Yes, Ohio State is just 4-5 on the road this season while Iowa owns a 13-2 record at home. And yes, the Hawkeyes took the most recent matchup last March, 77-70. They did take that game on the road at the Buckeyes. However, this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers, and Ohio State has covered four of the last five, and seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. They also enter this matchup covering three straight including competitive games against the Cavaliers, Badgers, and Spartans. Iowa has lost three of their last four overall, and four the last five against the number. They are being overvalued. I feel the paint will be dominated by Ohio State, while they're very swarming three-point defense further frustrates the Iowa offense from downtown. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

St. John’s Red Strom.

This is a big game, my friends with serious implications as to which team might finish atop the competitive Big East regular season. While both are monster teams, you cannot deny the Red Storm have taken three in a row in this series straight up, covering four straight. They took the only matchup this season 19 days ago on their own court, 81-72. I feel the line here is too high. They also come into this matchup riding a 13-game SU winning streak, and are a perfect 8-0 as a true road team this season. Yes, the Huskies are a good team. But they have dropped two of their last five SU, and have failed to cover seven of their last 10 overall games. This includes failing to cover four of their last five games played on their own court. While both coaches are highly-respected, in a big game situation I have to go with Rick Pitino. His offense is certainly more explosive, and his big men are a little more explosive on the glass. Take the Red Storm. Thank you.

Central Florida.

Maybe BYU has taken the last four meetings against Central Florida. But the average margin of victory has come by 6.7 PPG. Coming off back-to-back victories over the Horned Frogs and the Utes, the Knights have put themselves in a position on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. With games remaining after tonight against Baylor, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Central Florida can certainly win out the regular season to put themselves over the cut line, for sure. Being competitive in this matchup would certainly help. Yes, BYU has won three of their last four both SU and ATS, but overall, this team has been overvalued. They have covered just 11 of 27 lined games this season, and have failed to cover seven of their last 10 overall. And when playing on their own court, they are significantly overvalued, failing to cover five of their last six when playing host. The Cougars will be once again without one of their top contributors, guard Saunders (18.0 PPG/5.8 RPG), and I feel this will hurt them in this matchup. Obviously, the Cougars are known for their offense, but losing one of their best back court contributors is going to hurt them here, not to mention they are going up against a team that is one of the better in the nation on the defensive glass, taking away second-chance opportunities for the home team. I also look for Central Florida's extremely accurate (37.3%) three-point shooting team to light up the scoreboard against their opponents 163rd-ranked three-point shooting defense. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the Knights. Thank you.

Arizona State.

Arizona State will have to most likely win their final four regular season games to earn a first-round bye in the Big 12 tournament. This is no small task as tonight they're on the road at TCU before playing two home games back-to-back against Utah and Kansas, and then finishing out the regular season on the road at Iowa State. A lot of things have to happen and there's a lot of scenarios here. But one thing for sure, they must win here tonight. Meanwhile, TCU is trying to stay in the hunt for an NCAA Tournament berth. Having said that, it is true, the Horned Frogs have taken the last three meetings against the Sun Devils going back several seasons. However, two of those three meetings were separated by two-points and four-points. Speaking of ASU, they enter this matchup covering games, going 3-0 ATS their last three and 7-1 ATS their last eight, which includes ATS covers in three of four games played on the road during that span. This team is being undervalued, for sure. TCU has been overvalued, for sure. Despite covering three of their last four overall, this team is just 4-6 ATS their last 10 outings. The Horned Frogs boast a little bit better of a defense, but offensively, these two teams match up very well. Remember my friends, this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers, and the Sun Devils are covering. Take Arizona State. Thank you.

North Carolina.

With all respect to Louisville, who are a very good basketball team, they lose a little luster when they travel. Sporting an overall record of 20-7, they are just 3-5 as a true visitor this season. They are also crushing any bettors, covering just 13 of 27 lined games. They enter this matchup failing to cover two in a row, and six of their last nine outings. This includes failing to cover three of their last four games played as a guest. Yes, they took the most recent matchup against North Carolina on New Year's Day a year ago at home, 83-70, and I will also admit, North Carolina being without Wilson, is a big blow. They do expect the standout forward to be back for the regular season finale against Duke. But having the 7’0” big man, Henri Veesaar back on the floor is huge for the Tar Heels. He is a monster, averaging over 16.5 PPG, an 8.8 RPG. Playing at home will also be a big bonus for UNC as they are a perfect 15-0 on their own court this season. With regular season games remaining at home against Virginia Tech and Clemson before taking it on the road to Duke, North Carolina needs this win. I feel they can beat tonight's opponent and their next two comfortably before a big showdown with the Blue Devils on March 7. This would give them a very good opportunity to finish the in the ACC in the top-four and get all the bonuses that go along with it. Playing at home, having the depth, and the smarter coaching staff, gives the Tar Heels a big edge here. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Kentucky coming off back-to-back losses, still has a little room for error, but not too much. They are in a must-win situation here against Auburn. The Wildcats were striding winning nine of 10 prior to dropping their last two games. But they have been covering, going 4-1 ATS their last five outings. This is a team that will not be in a look-ahead situation as they have the Gamecocks, Commodores, and then Aggie's up before they finish the regular season at home against the Gators. They have to stay focused here because they can certainly win the next three games without question. Having said that, they face Tigers opponent that I feel comes in here overvalued. They have dropped five in a row SU, six straight ATS, and eight of the last 10 overall against the spread. They are certainly overvalued. This does include no covers in fourth straight games played on their own court. They may account for a few more points, but they're going up against the very frustrating defense, and a team that could certainly rebound with them at both ends of the court. I think this is too many points. Take Kentucky. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

I am aware Illinois has Michigan up next in six days at home. But I don't feel this team will be in a look-ahead situation here. They have been very focused. As a matter of fact, there are 7-1 SU on the road this season, have covered 16 of their 27 games overall, and enter today's matchup with conference knowing they took down UCLA in each of the last two meetings back in November 2022, and February 2025. They're back-to-back losses a few weeks back, have been redeemed as they have won and covered their last two outings, at home against Indiana, and on the road at USC. As a matter of fact, they took down the Hoosiers by 20-points, and the Trojans by 36-points. The Bruins are starting to struggle losing two in a row and three of their last five SU, failing to cover three straight and six of their last nine outings. They might be 14-1 SU at home, but they are in way over their heads in this matchup. The Fighting Illini are much stronger offensively, much better on the boards, and much more accurate from the line. Let's not forget their defense is significantly more frustrating too. I think the line is short. Take Illinois. Thank you.

West Virginia Mountaineers.

While West Virginia is certainly playing better than TCU in Big 12 play, they are sitting on the bubble for an invite down the road. This is a must win situation for the Mountaineers who have some tough opponents in the next few games. They took down the Horned Frogs in the most recent matchup late last February at home, 73-55. The earlier meeting last season was in the first week of February, where on their own court, TCU prevailed 65-60. West Virginia has covered three of the last four games played as a visitor while TCU is just 1-3 ATS their last four games played at home. It's true, the Horned Frog's offense is certainly better and puts up some bigger numbers. But the Mountaineers defense ranks fifth in the nation, yielding just 63.7 PPG. As a matter of fact, they have held five consecutive opponents to 70 points or less scored. Let's not forget they're just as good on the boards at both ends of the court. This is a team that has frustrated some better offenses than they are facing here today. This is too many points. Take West Virginia. Thank you.

Houston Cougars.

There is no denying both Arizona and Houston are deserving of their national rankings. Yes, the Cougars have taken three straight matchups in this series going back to 2022. Neither team has been covering lately as both are riding three-game no cover streaks. Following their only two losses of the campaign in back-to-back contests on February 9 and February 14, the Wildcats bounced back to take down a formidable foe in the BYU Cougars, 75-68. Meanwhile, the home team Cougars here come off their first loss since the end of January, a road defeat at the hands of the Cyclones, 70-67. Yes, they are 13-0 at home this season, but don’t overlook ‘Zona is 6-1 as a visitor this season. This is a classic matchup between one of the best offenses in the nation and one of the best defenses in the nation. While Arizona accounts nearly 10.0 PPG more offensively, Houston yields almost 7.0 PPG less defensively. But I feel the difference here is going to be the accuracy of the Wildcats, along with their superior outside shooting, and their second-ranked offensive rebounding core and 15th-ranked defensive rebuilding core against a team that they can certainly out maneuver on the boards. This is way too many points. Take Arizona. Thank you.

Florida Gators.

At first glance, you might want to take the points with 'Ole Miss. I mean they are at home. However, this is a team that is struggling badly, losing eight in a row SU, only covering two of their last seven lined games. To make matters worse, they are just 3-10 in conference play. Meanwhile, Florida sits atop the conference at 11-2, and can certainly finish this season with the SEC Crown. Overall, the Gators rank 12th nationally, possessing six players averaging 9.9 PPG or better. They are also monsters on the boards as well. As a matter of fact, they rank No. 1 in the nation on the offensive glass, and No. 14 in the nation on the defensive glass. The Rebels are in real trouble here. They cannot compete at either end of the court in this matchup and they will be overwhelmed and outmuscled in the paint. This game will get out of hand. Take Florida. Thank you.

Miami-Oh Redhawks.

The Redhawks are currently ranked No. 22 in the nation, despite being the only undefeated team in men's division one college basketball. We all know it's because of their schedule and opponents. They must come out here against a far inferior opponent and keep their foot on the gas the entire game. Miami cannot afford to let their foot off the gas as they must impress the pollsters. This team is a perfect 14-0 at home this season and overall have covered 17 of 23 lined games. They have dominated the Falcons, taking three in a row and seven of the last 10 meeting straight up, which does include the only matchup this season back at the end of December on the road, 93-83. Speaking of Bowling Green, they are just 16-11 overall, have only covered 11 of their 24 lined games this season, and possess a road record of 5-5. To make matters worse they are playing just .500 ball in conference play at 7-7. They have failed to cover three of their last four games played as a visitor this season. Miami does not have a solid opponent up on deck until possibly March 3 and March 6 against Toledo and Ohio. In all sincerity, they could finish the regular season undefeated, and confirm their top spot in the conference. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas. This is a team that ranks in the top-10 in scoring nationally, averaging over 92.4 PPG, is No. 1 nationally in field goal percentage, hitting over 53.5% overall from the floor, and No. 5 nationally from downtown, hitting over 40.2% from three-point land. Neither on the offensive or the defensive side of the court, does Bowling Green match up with this team. I feel they're going to get picked apart everywhere, outmuscled in the paint, and literally killed from downtown. Take the Redhawks. Thank you.

Saint Louis Billikens.

Having said that, St. Louis ended their 18-game winning streak three nights ago at the hands of Rhode Island on the road. They lost 81-76, as near nearly a double-digit (9.5-point) favorite. I feel this team will come back here looking to redeem themselves and make a point. They are a perfect 16-0 at home this season, and sit atop the Atlantic 10 with a one-game cushion. With games remaining against VCU tonight, Dayton, Duquesne, Loyola-Illinois, and George Mason, this team can certainly finish out with the regular season crown, and stay perfect at home. They have won and covered each of the last two meetings with VCU, both by nine-points. The Rams are a good team riding their own win streak of 10 games. The last time they dropped a game was in the second week of January. But this team tends to get overvalued as they are just 7-11 ATS their last 18 outings. With the hot streak they have been running on, I feel they' are overdue for a letdown situation. Don't get me wrong, playing a team the class of the Billikens, would not be technically a letdown situation. But I feel they're in for a poor performance. If you look at SLU's loss the other night, they turned the ball over and uncharacteristic 18 times. That will not happen again. This is a team that possesses seven players averaging better than 9.0-points per game. While VCU has a good team themselves, they aren't as deep as their opponent tonight, not nearly as frustrating on the defensive side, and certainly aren't as good on the glass. I feel they are in for a poor performance against a team that is looking to revenge their first bad outing this season. St. Louis’ only other loss was a one-point defeat on a neutral court back at the end of November against Stanford. Take the Billikens. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

Following an eight-game straight up win streak in which they covered seven of their eight contests, Kansas comes off an embarrassing loss on the road on Valentine's Day at the hands of Iowa State, 74-56. I look for the Jayhawks to get back on track and redeem themselves against an opponents that is not only struggling, but an adversary they have had their way with. Oklahoma State is on a three-game SU/ATS slide, and have not beaten tonight's opponent since January 2021. That's right, Kansas has taken eight consecutive meetings in this rivalry, covering four in a row and seven of those eight matchups. This is the time of year when Bill Self normally has his boys prepped, ready, and striding. Granted the Cowboys account for a few more points, but they also allow 81.3 PPG. They have to face one of the stingiest, nastiest, and most-frustrating defenses in college basketball, as the Jayhawks "D" yields just 68.0 PPG. There are equally strong on “D” overall from the floor as they are from downtown, and are monsters at both ends of the court on the glass. This game will get out of hand. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

It's true, Alabama has had their way with Arkansas, taking five consecutive meetings straight up. However, the Razorbacks have covered three in a row and eight of the last 10 matchups in this conference rivalry. As a matter of fact, the visiting team comes in here red-hot, winning three in a row, six of their last seven, and seven of their last nine overall outings SU, covering their last three, and six of their last nine overall contests. This includes wins and covers in three consecutive games played as a visitor against the likes of the Sooners, the Bulldogs, and the Tigers. The Crimson Tide are a good basketball team but I feel the oddsmakers are once again giving them too much credit as they have failed to cover six of their last 10 outings, which does include ATS no covers in four of their last five games played on their own court. Both teams can score as they both rank in the top-10 offensively, but defensively, Arkansas is a little bit more frustrating. Alabama is a little bit better on the offensive glass, and the Razorbacks are certainly better on the defensive boards. I think this is way too many points. Take Arkansas. Thank you.

North Carolina Tar Heels.

To put it very simply, the line is way off in this matchup. Yes, the Wolfpack are 18-8 overall, which includes a 10-4 record at home. But this is a team struggling right now, riding a two-game SU losing streak, and failing to cover their last four outings. They have also been dominated by their in-state rival, dropping two in a row, four of the last five, and eight of the last 10 overall meetings. Speaking of North Carolina, they are starting to stride, winning six of their last seven SU, and covering five of those seven. Both teams score about the same, and yield about the same. The difference you'll see in this matchup is on the glass where the Tar Heels are significantly stronger at both ends of the court. Yes, one of their biggest contributors, center Wilson is expected (check status) to miss tonight's game. But this is a team that is very deep up front, and have the personnel to step in without a missing a beat. The absence of the center might be the reason why this line is a little bit high. But don't fool yourself, North Carolina is a deep, talented, and smart team, coached well, and know this game is a big one for them. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

Boston College Eagles.

BC took down FSU a season ago at home, 77-76. Neither of these teams are playing great basketball right now. But this isn't about who wins, this is about who covers the number. Granted, the Seminoles have covered seven of their last eight games, but they have not had to lay this type of wood in any of those outings. As a matter of fact, since the New Year began, they were either an underdog, or a favorite of no higher than 3.5-points. I understand the Eagles are on a six-game straight up losing streak, but this is a team that can cover the number. They are on an 8-3 ATS cover streak. They have a very underrated defense, and can compete at both ends of the court in this matchup. This is way too many points. Take Boston College. Thank you.

Belmont.

The top team in the MVC, the Belmont Bruins travel to Kentucky to take on the Murray State Racers, the second-best team in the conference. I doubt very much the Bruins are going to be shaken at all, as they enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have taken five consecutive meetings straight up against their conference rival, and seven straight against the spread. This does include the only matchup this season, a January 31 home victory, 103-86. This is a team that's playing some great basketball, my friends, sporting an overall record of 23-4, and covering 15 of their 26 lined games this season. They only have a few games remaining in the regular season schedule, and trust me when I tell you none of them are against teams that could really threaten them. So, they can finish this season off with the regular season crown. But it all starts with a victory here today. The home team is a decent team at 19-8, and yes, they have won 11 of the 13 games played on their own court this season. Bu let's not forget the visitor possesses an away record of 10-2. However, Murray State is pointspread poison failing to cover seven of their last nine outings, which includes three or four during that span played at home. They may score a few more points, but their defense is absolutely deplorable. Belmont comes in here with the fourth-ranked field goal percentage shooting team in the country hitting over 51.6 % overall from the floor, and the fifth-ranked shooting team from downtown, making over 40.1% of their three-point shots. Defensively, they yield almost 10 PPG less than their opponent. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

South Florida.

South Florida sits atop the AAC at 9-3 in conference play, en route to an overall record of 17-8. This is a good basketball team, my friends. They enter today's game winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and covering five of their last seven, which does include three wins and covers over the last four games played on the road. They took down Florida Atlantic about three weeks ago at home, 89-75. Speaking of the Owls, they are ice cold riding a five-game SU losing streak, and failing to cover five of their last six outings. With a victory here, it would put the Bulls one step closer to taking the conference. With five double-digit scorers, I look for the visitor here to win big. Take South Florida. Thank you.

Nevada.

My friends, I am certainly not going to try to dispute the facts that San Diego State is a good team at 17-6 overall, or that they are solid home team at 11-1 this season on their own court. I'm further not going to a dispute the fact they have dominated Nevada in this rivalry. What I am going to argue is how big of a pointspread the oddsmakers have made in this matchup. These two teams just met about five weeks ago as the Aztecs took down the Wolfpack on the road, 73-68. They enter this matchup now at home a pretty heavy favorite. Let's not forget Nevada is 17-7 overall, have covered three of their last four on the road, and enter this matchup covering five of their last six, and seven of the last nine overall outings. They are an ATS covering machine, my friends. They are also 9-4 in MWC action this season. Their numbers are very similar at both ends of the court. However, one place that I do see a major mismatch, is between the Wolfpack’s 15th ranked three-point shooting offense going up against the Aztec’s 119th ranked three-point shooting defense. This is way too many points. Take Nevada. Thank you.

Virginia.

On the surface, it might be difficult to gauge a game like this. These two teams have not met in a decade, and they do play in different conferences. But winning is winning. Right now, the Cavaliers are winning. Virginia enters this matchup winning five in a row and 10 of their last 11 outings straight up. They're playing some very solid basketball. They are one of the best road teams in the nation, going 7-1 as a visitor this season, winning five straight games played as a guest. We all know the No. 15 ranked Virginia team is known for their defense... and oh what a defense it is. They allow just 64.5 PPG, a mere 39.3% shooting overall from the floor, 29.4% from downtown, and are monsters on the defensive boards, as well. That would be enough for me in this matchup but let's not forget they have an offense that can score. As a matter of fact, they average over 81.9 PPG, and are a top-20 unit on the offensive boards. At both ends of the court, I feel their very smart, very deep, very talented squad will frustrate Ohio State. The Buckeyes defense isn't nearly as good or nearly as frustrating. They are a good team overall, but have taken some ugly losses this season. I feel they are in way over their head. Take Virginia. Thank you. 

Kansas

I understand Iowa State is at home and should be favored in this matchup. But I believe the oddsmakers are giving the Cyclones a little too much credit here. Yes, they are 13-0 on their own court this season, and yes, they are 8-3 in conference play, and one more time, yes, they are ranked No. 5 in the nation, but the Jayhawks come into this matchup red-hot, winning eight consecutive games, covering seven of those eight, which includes wins and covers in three straight road games played during that span, they are 9-2 in Big 12 play, and have the confidence of knowing they took down today's opponent in the last two meetings both SU and ATS. There may be some naysayers out there taking the angle the Jayhawks might be in a letdown situation following their 82-78 home victory just six days ago against the top-ranked Wildcats. I just don't see this happening. This team is playing some great basketball and has taken down some worthy adversaries. Giving them this many points against a team that's comes off an ugly road loss at the hands of TCU, which by the way was their second straight no cover, is a mistake. Kansas seems to turn it up when they need to, and trust me when I tell you, this is a big game for this team. They can further separate themselves from a team that's just behind them in the Big 12, and take down a higher-ranked team in the national polls as well. Yes, ISU accounts for several more points per game, but KU possesses a very frustrating defense, and an offense that can post up with them in the paint. This is way too many points. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Miami (Ohio) Redhawks.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 886.

6:00 PMPST/9:00 PM EST.

Without receiving a ton of headlines, the Redhawks are the only undefeated team ranked in the top-25. Meanwhile, as of the beginning of this week, they are ranked No. 23. Yes, it's because of their schedule, but this is a team on a mission. Not only are they winning, they are covering as well going 15-6 ATS this season on lined games. They have already covered numbers of 10.5, 21.5, 10.5, 17.5, 15.5, and 16.5. They go up against a team they don't like very much. The Bobcats took the last matchup on March 1 of last year at home, 75-66. As a matter of fact, Ohio has taken eight of the last 10 meetings with Miami SU, covering nine of those 10. They do enter this game starting to crack, dropping five of their last eight SU, and failing to cover seven of their last 10. They are just 3-6 away from home this season and possess a conference record of 7-5, compared to the home team here who are 11-0 in MAC play. This is a revenge situation for the Redhawks, who really don't have a worthy adversary up for a while. They can certainly finish the regular season out perfect. But they have to stay focused and stay on course, and it all begins with a big victory here tonight. Comparing these two teams statistically, Miami averages 15.1 PPG more offensively, while yielding 3.0 PPG lessdefensively. They are better at both ends of the court on the boards, and will absolutely devour Ohio from downtown as they hit nearly 40% (39.8%) beyond the arc. Take the Redhawks. Thank you.

California Golden Bears.

ACC GOW.

Game 669.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I just don't see this line in this game being sharp. Syracuse is struggling, dropping six of their last seven SU, with the average margin of defeat coming by 10.6 PPG. California is starting to find their rhythm, winning four of their last six, which does include covering their last two games played as a visitor. As a matter of fact, they have covered three of their last four overall games played as a guest this month. The Golden Bears account for more points than the Orange, are significantly better at both ends of the court from the three-point line, hit nearly 15% more from the free-throw line, and are better on the defensive boards. I feel the wrong team is favored here. Take California. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

SEC SMASH.

Game 679.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

At first glance, you might think about taking the home team Mississippi Rebels here. And why not? This is a team that is 7-3 at home this season and took down the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last matchup in mid-January of last year on the road, 74-64. But I am here to tell you first glances are often very deceiving. Alabama dominated this rivalry, prior to last January's loss, they took the seven previous meetings, covering all seven. I feel that this team circled this matchup when the schedule came out so they can exact some revenge. They enter this game winning two in a row and five of their last seven overall which does include three of four games played on the road during that span. Alabama sits in a three-way tie in fifth place in the SEC at 6-4, with the top team in the conference, Florida at 8-2 in league action. The SEC is up for grabs, my friends. Please don't overlook the visitor here comes in with a 16-7 overall record covering 10 of 23 games this season, while the home team is just 11-12 SU, failing to cover 15 of 22 lined games. The Crimson Tide possesses six double-digit scorers, and a slew of monster rebounders. The Rebels have just two double-digit scorers, and cannot contend on the boards in this contest. Maybe they have a little bit better of a defense statistically, but their offense just doesn't measure up, averaging 18.6 PPG less than their opponent. Roll Tide. Thank you.

USC Trojans.

Game 655.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

With all respect to the Ohio State buckeyes, who are a good team, they are starting to crack a bit, splitting out their last 10 games both SU and ATS. They come off an embarrassing loss just three days ago at home at the hands of the Michigan Wolverines, 82-61. Maybe they are 10-3 at home this season, but they have covered just 10 of their 23 outings this season, and sit at just 7-6 in conference play. A season ago on the road, they took down the USC Trojans, 87-82. Speaking of the Trojans, they are starting to stride, winning three in a row SU, and covering six of their last nine ATS. They may have Illinois on deck, but I don't feel they'll be in a look-ahead spot here. This is a team that needs to keep their foot on the gas if they're going to make a run to close out the regular season. They possess four double-digit scorers, account for over 84.8 PPG, and are monsters on the offensive glass. I feel this is way too many points. Take USC. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

My friends, what do you get when you have one of the top-ranked teams in the nation coming off a last-second loss of their archrival? The answer is an angry team looking to redeem themselves. Yes, I know the Blue Devil's come in here a heavy favorite, but following a 10-game straight up win streak, on the road at the Tar Heels, they lost by a three-pointer with almost no time left on the clock. They will come out here with something to prove, and prove it! They last time they dropped a game, they came back to win 10 straight. They face a Pitt Panthers opponent that is just 9-15 overall and just 2-9 in ACC play. As you can expect, Duke has dominated this rivalry taking eight of the last 10 SU, and covering five of the last nine, which does include the most recent matchup a little over a year ago, 76-47. On both sides of the court, the Panthers are significantly outclassed, and will be dominated on the boards as well. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

My friends, I am well aware the Cyclones have the Jayhawks on deck. But I don't see this team in a look-ahead mode here. The Horned Frogs have been absolute pointspread poison, failing to cover six of their last eight games including three straight. They have been dominated in this rivalry dropping six consecutive games both SU and ATS. Meanwhile, the Iowa State come in here winning five in a row and covering four of those five, which does include both games played on the road during that span. This is a team that's not gonna’ take this game lightly despite having a solid adversary up next. They score more and allow less, are much more accurate from downtown, and are much better at both end of the court on the boards. This line should be higher. Take the4 Cyclones. Thank you.

Fresno State Bulldogs.

My friends, sportsbetting has nothing to do with who wins. Sportsbetting has all to do with who covers. I'm not gonna’ sit here and try to make you believe Fresno State is as good on paper as Utah State. But I will tell you, they enter this matchup covering 15 of their 22 lined games this season, which does include three straight games played as a visitor. We also have the confidence of knowing they've covered three consecutive matchups in this rivalry. As a matter of fact, the last five games between the Bulldogs and the Aggies have been separated by four-points in overtime, 12-points in overtime, six-points, eight-points, and nine-points. I feel this line is way too high here. Speaking of Utah State, they might be riding a five-game SU win streak, but they have failed to cover six of their last eight coming into tonight's matchup. And with a nonconference game against Memphis on deck before they play tough games against Boise State, Nevada, and San Diego State, I really do feel this team will take their foot off the gas come late in the game. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Baylor Bears.

The general public money might be coming in on the visitor here (as of post), but the smart money will be playing the home team for sure. Yes, BYU is a solid team, sporting a record of 17-6 overall. But they have covered just eight of their 23 games this season, struggle on the road with a 2-3 away mark, and are playing just .500 basketball in conference play, possessing a 5-5 record against Big 12 opponents. I'm not gonna’ sit here and tell you Baylor is a world-beater. But they are starting to stride, winning two of their last three SU, and covering three straight. Remember my friends, this isn't about who wins, it is about who covers. Last January's meeting was separated by four-points in overtime, as the Cougars took down the Bears, 93-89 on their own home court. The year before again on their own court, BYU prevailed 78-71. However, the three previous meetings all took place on Baylor's home court, in which they won and covered all three matchups. With all respect to the Cougars, this is a team that may be taking this contest lightly and come in here overconfident. They did play some good opponents recently, but they have dropped four in a row and five of their last six SU, failing to cover eight straight outings. As I mentioned a moment ago, they may be overconfident as they are stepping down in class a little bit. Take the Baylor Bears. Thank you.

George Mason Patriots.

Maybe they don't get headlines because they play in the Atlantic 10, but the George Mason Patriots are playing some very solid basketball, possessing an overall record of 21-3, a conference record of 9-2, and have covered 13 games this season. They enter today's matchup red-hot, winning eight of their last 10 SU, and covering seven of those 10 contests. They will have the confidence of knowing they have dominated the Richmond Spiders, taking three in a row, and seven of the last eight matchups, and covering six of the last nine meetings. Meanwhile, the Spiders have been a doormat dropping six straight games, and only covering two of their last eight outings. I look for the 20th-ranked defense of George Mason to absolutely frustrate the lackluster offense of Richmond here, while their very accurate offense (48.4% overall from the floor) does the rest. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Central Florida.

To put it very simply, Central Florida is a better team than Cincinnati. They possess an overall record of 17-5 which does include a 6-4 mark in Big 12 play. They enter this game winning three of their last four, and have a ton of confidence knowing they took down Cincinnati on their own court back in the second week of January, 73-72. Even though they're playing on the road here, I still feel they should be a slight favorite. The Bearcats are a train wreck (11-12 overall, 3-7 conference), dropping two in a row, four of their last five, and seven of their last 10 straight up, only covering four of the 10 outings during that span. With four double-digit scorers, the Knights rank 26th in the nation averaging over 86.8 PPG, and are equally good overall from the floor, and from downtown. There are also monsters at both ends of the court on the boards. In the earlier matchup, they shot better overall from the floor, much better from downtown, and significantly better from the free-throw line. I don't see why this matchup will be any different. Cincinnati accounts for 16.0 PPG less per game, with most of their rankings offensively at or near the bottom of the country, I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Yes, they have a strong defense, but this team when going up against solid, deep offenses, fall short. Take UCF. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Revenge is a dish best served cold. My friends, I believe in the revenge angle of sportsbetting, and Tennessee is looking to exact some revenge from a mid-January home loss at the hands of Kentucky, 80-78. Since that defeat, the Volunteers have rattled off four consecutive straight up wins, covering three of the four. It's true, the Wildcats are starting to stride, winning seven of their last eight SU, but continue to get overvalued by oddsmakers, failing to cover six of their last 10. It can't sit well with the visitor that they are an underdog in this matchup as the No. 25 team in the nation against an opponent which is not ranked currently. I think this will further motivate them the Volunteers have the bulldogs up next which really isn't a threat to them. However, the Wildcats have to face the Gators on the road in Florida seven days from today. They might be caught in a look-ahead situation here, my friends. While Kentucky does account for a few more points per game, Tennessee's defense is significantly stronger in every area, even on the glass, where they will take away the home team’s second-chance opportunities. That would be enough for me here, but offensively the Volunteers are a top-five team on the boards as well. They will give themselves significantly more second-chance opportunities. I think the wrong team is favored here. But I'll take the points with the visitor. Take the Tennessee Volunteers. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

This is going to be an exciting matchup between two nationally ranked teams, and two of the best teams in the Big Ten. Illinois ranks fifth in the polls, and is tied sitting atop the conference with Michigan at 11-1. Michigan State ranks 10th nationally, and sits in third place in the conference at 9-3. Both teams are very talented. It is true, the Spartans have taken the last three meetings both SU and ATS against the Fighting Illini. But the last meeting was approximately one year ago, and this year, these are two very different teams. Illinois enters this matchup one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning 12 straight contests, and covering nine of those games, as well. I feel this is a game the team, the coach, and even the fans have waited for since this season schedule was released. They want to beat a team that has dominated them the last several meetings. Speaking of Michigan State, they are a very talented team. However, they enter today's game dropping back-to-back outings SU, and failing to cover three straight. They are good at home sporting an 11-2 record on their own court. But let's not forget the visitor here is 6-0 as a true road team this season. Both teams possess frustrating defenses and are good at both ends of the court on the glass. But offensively, Illinois is better from beyond the arc, significantly stronger from the free-throw line, and has arguably the best player on the floor in this matchup in their back court. I think the wrong team is favored here. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you.

West Virginia.

My friends, I've been doing this a very long time, and this line just doesn't make sense to me. With all respect to Cincinnati, this is a team that is struggling losing three of their last four, and six of the last nine overall straight up, covering just four of those nine contests. They've also been dominated by West Virginia, dropping three straight and eight of the last 10 meetings. My friends, this does include the only matchup this season, a road defeat, 62-60. Speaking of West Virginia, they have dropped two of their last three SU, failing to cover three straight. But they matchup very well with Cincy. Let's face it, they are 5-4 in Big 12 play while the Bearcats falls short against conference opponents this season at 3-6. The Mountaineers a healthier squad at almost full strength, with all of their starters on the floor, contributing to the sixth-ranked defense in the nation. They yield a mere 63.8 PPG. That would be enough for me here, especially against the lackluster offense of the home team. But Cincy is dealing with some significant injuries. This is going to hurt them both inside and out. They have been without starting forward Haynes, and starting guard Abaev, and might be without one of their biggest and strongest players, center Thiam (check status). I think this is way too many points. Take West Virginia. Thank you.

Texas A&M Aggies.

My friends, I think Alabama is a darn good basketball team. But I will be honest with you, I just don't see them laying this much wood at home against Texas A&M. Yes, they have taken the last three meetings in this rivalry over the last three seasons. But this season, the Crimson Tide are having problems against SEC opponents going just 4-4 in conference play. Meanwhile, the Aggies are sitting atop the conference at 7-1 in SEC action. I understand ‘Bama is playing at home, but this is still a team that's starting to show signs of cracking, dropping four of their last seven SU, and five of those seven ATS. Texas A&M is rolling, winning four in a row, and nine of their last 10 SU, and covering seven straight. They have been money money, money, especially on the road where they have covered four consecutive games played in that situation. This is a team that's on a mission to avenge the losses in this rivalry over the last few seasons. They score just as much, and allow considerably less. They're also much better on the defensive glass. Oh, by the way, they also ranked better in almost every offensive category. I just think this is way too many points. Take Texas A&M. Thank you.

Miami-Ohio Redhawks.

Miami-Ohio remains only one of two undefeated teams in college basketball. The other being the No. 1 ranked Arizona Wildcats at 22-0. Funny thing is, the Redhawks despite an identical 22-0 record are sitting at the No. 23 spot in the rankings. We all know it's because they don't face the same level of competition. However, it doesn't mean they are not deserving of the same respect. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have taken down Buffalo the last four meetings, covering three of the four. Going back a bit, they have got us all paid in this rivalry covering seven of the last eight matchups with the Bulls. Miami ranks in the top-10 in scoring, field goal percentage, and three-point percentage, averaging over 93.8 PPG, hitting 53.5% overall from the floor, and 40.1% from downtown. They average 13.6 PPG more than their opponent here tonight, and allow 1.2 PPG less on defense. Let's not forget they're also pretty darn good at both ends of the court on the boards. But where they will definitely come in here dominating is from the outside. They rang sixth in the nation hitting over 40% from three-point land, and will absolutely pick apart the 179th-ranked three-point defense of the home team. Speaking of Buffalo, they do possess three double-digit scorers and a couple of solid boardsmen, but they just don't have the depth or the talent to compete against the visitors five double-digit contributors and the superior frontcourt. Lay the small price with the Redhawks. Take Miami. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks.

This is a big game my friends, with serious implications. Kansas and Texas Tech are both ranked, but in the Big 12, they are both sitting in a tie for fourth place at 6-2. Yes, the Red Raiders have won and covered the last two meetings and enter this matchup off their first loss since January 6. That followed a five-game straight up win streak in which they cover their last three of those five outings. But the Jayhawks are starting to stride, winning and covering five in a row, which includes both games played on the road during that span. You can make an argument Texas Tech will try to bounce back following that loss a few nights ago. However, I think this is way too many points in a matchup that in my opinion is going to be decided in the last minute of the game. It's true, the Red Raiders account for a few more points offensively, but the visitor here possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation. The Jayhawks yield just 68.0% shooting, rank sixth in field goal percentage allowed, 18th in three-point percentage allowed, and third in free-throw percentage allowed. They also will be able to compete at both ends of the court on the boards here. Let's not forget they are strong both inside and out, and are very accurate from the floor. I think this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Kansas. Thank you.

Syracuse Orange.

Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it is about who covers. Yes, I will admit North Carolina on paper is definitely worth a look at 17-4 overall, which does include a 12-0 record at home. They enter this matchup winning and covering three straight. However, giving up double-digits to a very game and talented team like Syracuse is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. With both Duke and Miami up next for UNC, I feel they might be able to look-ahead situation here. Yes, they've got a very deep and dangerous team, but I just don't see them laying this type of wood in a matchup against an opponent that can keep pace on the scoreboard, is a little bit better than them defensively, and can compete on the boards with them. This is just way too many points to give an Orange team that must start to win if they're going to salvage this season. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes.

Laying around double-digits on the road in college basketball is never easy. But my friends, a win is a win is a win! Iowa enters this match up running hot winning three in a row while Oregon is ice cold, dropping seven straight. Their average margin of defeats during their current slide is 15.0 PPG. By the way, the Ducks have only covered one game since the second day of the New Year. This is also a big revenge situation for the Hawkeyes as they lost a heartbreaker last February on their own court to todays opponent, 80-78. I look for them and their far superior team to exact some revenge in this matchup. They both score approximately the same but we cannot ignore the Hawkeyes defense which ranks second in the nation, yielding just 62.9 PPG, and furthermore we cannot deny the fact they own the No. 2 defensive rebounding core in college basketball as well. That would be enough for me here, but they are absolutely going to pick apart the ducks 222nd ranked three-point shooting defense with the 30th ranked three-point shooting offense in the land. And if this game gets physical, they also shoot significantly better from the line. Take Iowa. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Following their only two losses of the campaign, back-to-back defeats a few weeks ago, Iowa State has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers with authority. The Cyclones are back on track, and looking to compete in the conference. They currently sit in a tie with Kansas and Texas Tech at 6-2 behind Arizona who is undefeated in conference play at 9-0, and then Houston who has just one loss at 7-1. On the other hand, Kansas State dwells in the cellar in Big 12 play, tied with Utah at 1-7. The most recent meeting March of last year saw ISU prevail on the road 73-57. KSU is struggling badly dropping seven of their last eight SU, and seven of their last nine ATS. With Baylor and TCU up next in back-to-back games for Iowa State, they won't be in a look ahead mode and will come in here focused and looking to further their success in the conference. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Wright State.

My friends, I feel the line is way off in this Horizon League matchup. The Raiders sit atop the conference at 9-2 while the Phoenix are a respectful 7-5. But Wright State took down Green Bay less than two months ago at home, 86-58. They also enter this match up one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering four of their last five. Meanwhile, the home team is struggling dropping three of their last four SU, and splitting out those four games ATS. By the way, two of those losses were on their own court. The visitor accounts for over 6.3 PPG more offensively while yielding 4.0 PPG less defensively. They are extremely accurate hitting nearly 50% (49.2%) overall from the floor and are much better at both ends of the court on the glass. Take the Raiders. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

Head coach, John Calipari had enormous success at the helm of the Kentucky Wildcats. But last season, in his first match up against his old team, the Arkansas Razorbacks went out of their way to make a point and came out prevailing, 89-79. I feel the same will happen again this season. Arkansas enters this contest winning three in a row and seven of the last nine SU, covering six of those nine outings. Kentucky enters this game coming off an ugly lopsided embarrassing road loss at the hands of Vanderbilt, 80-55. While that did end their five-game straight up win streak, this team is being overvalued, covering just two of their last nine outings, which includes three of four played on the road. Offensively, Arkansas certainly has more weapons and ranks with some of the best statistics in college basketball. They will exploit a very lax defense of their opponent both in the paint and from the perimeter. Look for them to absolutely pick apart the wildcats from beyond the arc. Calipari will once again make a point and dominate his old team. Take Arkansas. Thank you.

California.

Sports fans, this is way too many points for the home team to lay against a very game visitor. Cal took down Miami one year ago at home in overtime, 98-94, and enter this matchup winning two of their last three, but covering three straight and four their last five outings, which does include all three games played on the road during that span. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes might be winning games, but they are just not covering the number, failing to cover six of their last 10, including three of their last four. It seems they are being overvalued by oddsmakers especially on their own home court where they have failed to cover four straight, and six of their last seven when playing host. At both ends of the court I feel the Golden Bears will compete here, especially from downtown where they shoot over 36.5%. Oh, by the way, they are also a top-10 free-throw shooting team, so when this game that's physical, they will benefit there as well. Take California. Thank you.

SMU Mustangs.

My friends, in my opinion SMU matches up very well with Louisville. I feel giving them double-digits is a big mistake as the oddsmakers, who are once again overvaluing the Cardinals. Louisville comes in here failing to cover two in a row and six of their last seven outings, which does include four straight games played on their own home court. They might be 10-2 at home, but they just can't cover the number. Looking at their last two road games, SMU has covered both, keeping it close against Duke, and then taking down Wake Forest. They are starting to stride winning their last two games straight up, and I feel will be very competitive in this matchup at both ends of the court. There are also monsters on the defensive boards, which will take away a lot of their opponents second-chance opportunities. Let's not forget they will exploit Louisville with their 52nd-ranked three-point shooting unit against the nation’s 181st-ranked three-point shooting defense. Take the Mustangs. Thank you.

Michigan State.

Game 882.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

There is certainly no love lost between Michigan and Michigan State, my friends. This season is no different than any other, and this matchup is no different than any other. The Wolverines and the Spartans know each other very well, and do not like one another. Michigan enters this matchup the No. 3 team in the nation, while Michigan State ranks No. 7. The Wolverines are a perfect 5-0 on the road, while the Spartans are 11-1 at home, and both teams are tied in the Big Ten with the Cornhuskers and the Fighting Illini at 9-1 in conference play. There are a few angles that compel me to side with the home team here. For starters, Michigan State has won and covered four consecutive meetings in the rivalry, which does include both games played on their own court during that span. They also enter this matchup red-hot, winning seven in a row, covering six of their last eight overall games. That includes a 4-0 SU record at home, covering three of those four games. Meanwhile, while Michigan comes in here riding a five-game SU win streak, this team has only covered one game in 2026, riding a seven-game ATS no cover slide. This includes three consecutive ATS no covers played as a visitor. While the Wolverines certainly possess an explosive offense, they are going up against a very frustrating and talented defense here. The Wolverines rank 10th in scoring in the nation, while the Spartans defense ranks seventh in points allowed. I also see the home team dominating at both ends of the court on the boards in this matchup. You cannot ignore the fact the visitor possesses five double-digit scorers, but don't sell the home team short at the scoring end either, as they have four double-digit scorers and a team that is very disciplined and accurate, hitting 48% overall from the floor. This is a game Tom Izzo desperately wants and one thing we know about him, he usually gets what he wants. Neither team has a worthy adversary on deck, so both will be focused on this matchup. I definitely give an edge to the home team. Take Michigan State. Thank you.

FAU OWLS.

ANNIHILATOR PLAY.
Game 797.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

As of posting this play, I see some early money coming in on the home team, Memphis Tigers. But I'm here to tell you once again the general public is wrong. Maybe money is coming in because the Tigers are 8-2 at home compared to the Owls road record of just 3-4, but it just doesn't matter. FAU is a darn good team going 14-7 overall, and coming in here with confidence knowing they took down Memphis just 18 days ago at home, 89-78. They come off their first loss four nights ago on the road at the hands of South Florida, following a five-game straight up wind streak in which they covered four of those five outings. As a matter of fact, this team has been money covering six of their last nine overall contests. As far as the Tigers go, they are starting to slide, dropping back-to-back games at the hands of Tulsa and Wichita State (by a combined, 32 points), splitting out their last 10 overall outings SU, and only covering two of their last nine games coming into tonight's matchup. I really do feel the wrong team is favorite here, my friends. The visitor averages over 9.5 PPG more offensively, while allowing the same amount of points defensively. They're also much better at both ends of the court on the glass, and that is where this game will be won. In the first matchup a few weeks back, the Owls out rebounded the Tigers, 44-27. There is no reason why the same thing won't occur again here tonight. Take Florida Atlantic. Thank you.

DePaul Blue Demons.

SM PLAY.

Game 717.

5:30PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

It's true, neither DePaul nor Georgetown possess winning records in Big East play thus far this season. However, we cannot ignore the fact the Blue Demons are a little bit better, and have dominated this rivalry. They are 12-8 overall, covering 13 of their 20 games this season, while the Hoyes are just 10-10 SU, covering just six of 20 outings. DePaul has owned Georgetown, winning four consecutive meetings, and covering the last six matchups overall, which does include a January 6 home win, 56-50. They are getting quite a bit of points here, and I don't know why. They enter this matchup, running hot, winning four of their last six contests, and covering eight of their last 10 overall games. Meanwhile, the home team comes off their first victory since just before Christmas, going 1-6 straight up, and have only covered three of their last nine games. The Blue Demons are starting to heat up behind a very frustrating defense which is yielding just 69.5 PPG. I feel this is way too many points. Take DePaul. Thank you.

Butler Bulldogs.

BIG EAST BANGER.

Game 671.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Reaching 900 victories as a college basketball coach is a huge milestone. Rick Pitino is part of a very small club right now. But waiting for and finally achieving that in their last outing, I feel Pitino and his team the Red Storm, are due for a small letdown here. Yes, they have  won six consecutive game straight up, but they have failed to cover their last two and might come in here a little overconfident knowing they have beaten the Bulldogs seven consecutive meetings. They took down Butler this season just 22 days ago on the road, 84-70. But I feel this is a big number to lay for this team. Please understand, while I feel St. John's is a good team, when laying double-digits, they fall a little bit short going just 1-6 ATS their last seven in that situation this season. Butler is a decent team. They do struggle a bit on the road, but this is a team that has stepped up recently, winning and covering three straight, including their only road game played during that span. They can certainly keep pace at both ends of the court in this matchup, and certainly contend on the boards here, as well. They're also a little bit better defending the perimeter than their opponent. I think this is way too many points. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

SEC SMASH.

Game 751.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

As of posting this play in the early morning, most of the money thus far is coming in on the home team here, and I'm here to tell you the general public is once again wrong. Yes, Georgia is 16-4 overall, which does include an 11-1 record on their own court. But I feel this team does not match up well here. They're also seriously overvalued by oddsmakers, covering just three of their last 10 outings. Meanwhile, Tennessee sports a very respectable 13-6 record, but has struggled a bit on the road going 1-3 away from home this season. They do come in here winning six of the last nine straight up, which includes a big road victory in their last outing at Alabama, 79-73. They have dominated this rivalry, winning five in a row and seven of the last eight matchups, and I feel they will come in here with confidence. On deck for them is Auburn, while Georgia must face the best team in the conference in a few days, Texas A&M. They might get caught in a look ahead situation here, for sure. While the Bulldogs possess one of the nations most explosive offenses, they are going up against a team that can keep pace with them. They are also at a big disadvantage at both ends of the court on the boards against a Volunteers opponent which ranks 3rd on the offensive glass, and 19th on the defensive glass. Overall, Tennessee possesses some of the most respectable numbers defensively in college basketball, and I always believe that a good defense can contain a good offense. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

ACC ANNIHILATOR.

Game 88.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

There is no question Duke is playing some great basketball. The Blue Devils possess an 18-1 overall record, which does include a 9-0 mark on their own court. They sit at atop of the Atlantic 10 at 7-0, and enter this matchup winning seven consecutive outings. Their last three games, they are ATS money makers, covering lines of 14.5, 11.5, and 18.5-points. They also come into this contest tonight with confidence knowing they have taken down Louisville eight consecutive meetings, covering six of the eight which does include four straight ATS covers. With all respect, the Cardinals are a good team. There are 14-5 overall, but struggles in conference play at 4-3. To make matters worse, they are just 2-3 as a road team this season, and have split their last overall six outings SU, covering just one of those six games. They did just get back one of their top contributors, but it won't matter, my friends. They're going up against one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball, one of the deepest teams in the nation, and a very well-coached squad too. This is a true test for the Blue Devils, and I believe they're going to make a point of making a statement here. Take Duke. Thank you.

Joe D SWEPT THE NCAAB BOARD SATURDAY going 3-0 & is on an overall 24-12 NCAAB RUN. Today we close out the week on a high-note with my AAC GAME OF THE WEEK.

I also have an NFL (29-15-1 RUN) TOP-RATED release in my INFO MOVE in the NFC CHAMPIONSHIP game between RAMS/SEAHAWKS.

Join me today and Sunday will be a WINNING DAY!

Sunday’s FREE WINNER: Oregon Ducks.

Game 851.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

My friends, I understand why Washington is favored here. But what I don't understand is why they're favored by so many points. Laying nearly double-digits with a team that's just 10-9 straight up, riding three-game SU losing streak, and possessing just a 2-6 conference record, just astounds me. Granted Oregon is just 8-11 overall, has struggled on the road going 1-3 away from home, and is just 1-7 against Big Ten opponents’ season, but I just don't see them getting these many points. Yes, the Ducks are riding their own cold streak losing five straight games, but this team enters this matchup with some confidence knowing they have dominated today's opponent. Oregon has taken four in a row and eight of the last 10 meetings over Washington including both matchups a year ago. Both teams have several players listed as questionable (check status), but I feel this is way too many points, sports fans. Both defenses almost mirror one another statistically in points allowed, field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and rebounds. Now, I will admit, offensively the Huskies score a little bit more. But not that much more to warrant being nearly double-digit favorites. I believe this game is going to be very competitive in the paint, and a lot closer than this big pointspread. Take the Oregon Ducks. Thank you.

FAU.

AAC GOW.

Game 843.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

FAU is perched atop of the AAC at 6-1 in conference play while South Florida sits in third place at 4-2 in AAC action. But for the life of me, I can't understand why the Owls are getting this many points. Maybe it's because they're just 3-3 on the road this season. But this is a team that has won their last several road games, and has covered three of the last four games played as a visitor. Overall, Florida Atlantic comes in here red-hot, winning five in a row and covering four of those five outings. They also have the confidence of knowing they have won and covered the last two meetings against South Florida, one at home, and one on the road. Speaking of the Bulls, they're a good basketball team, but I just don't see them favored by this many points here. As a matter of fact, they're being overvalued by oddsmakers covering just two of their last six games played. They've also lost two of their last three games played on their own court, failing to cover three straight when playing host. They may account for a couple of more points offensively than their opponent, but defensively they give up quite a bit more, and I feel may lose this game outright. But I will take the points with the Owls. Thank you.

Very quiet quietly, Villanova has risen to sit in third place in the Big East at 6-2. We all know Connecticut is atop the conference at 8-0 and league action. But I really feel is way too many points to give a Wildcats team that's starting to surge, possessing an overall record of 15-4, and covering 12 of their 19 games played this season. While the Huskies are a very good team, oddsmakers are overvaluing them as they have failed to cover 12 of their 17 outings this season. To be quite honest, Villanova matches up pretty well with them. This is way too many points. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

NC State is 4-2 in conference play while Pitt is tied for last in the conference at 1-5 in ACC action. The Wolfpack possess one of the nation’s best outside shooting teams, hitting 39.6% from downtown, and will absolutely pick apart the 278th three-point shooting defense of the Panthers. Take NC State. Thank you.

Only one of three undefeated teams in division one college basketball, the Nebraska Cornhuskers are playing some great basketball at 19-0 overall covering 11 outings this season, and sporting of 4-0 away record. Taking an opportunity to exact a little revenge against a conference rival that isn't doing so well. Minnesota has taken three of the last four matchups in this Big Ten rivalry, but this season, they are struggling at just 10-9 overall. They are also just 3-6 in Big Ten play. They enter this matchup losing four in a row and failing to cover three of those four, including both games played on their own court during that span. Taking Nebraska. Thank you.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

BIG TEN BB.
Game 884.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

On paper and statistically, Indiana is the better team here. But college basketball isn't played on paper, and sports betting isn't about who wins, it is about who covers. The Hoosiers do enter this matchup dropping four consecutive games SU, and only covering one of those last four outings. Meanwhile the Scarlet Knights are truly “Scarlet”, covering three in a row in five of their last six coming into tonight's matchups, and have played some pretty solid opponents. After this game tonight, Indiana has Purdue, UCLA, USC, Wisconsin, and Oregon all in a row. I think they might get caught a little bit in a look-ahead situation, my friends. Meanwhile I'm not gonna’ overlook Rutgers has Michigan State up next, followed also by USC and UCLA, but there isn't as much pressure on this team as their opponent. Yes, the Hoosiers do score more and allow less, but I feel this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread, especially giving the home team this many points. Please remember Indiana is just 1-4 SU on the road this season, while Rutgers owns an 8-3 record at home. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.

Saint Louis.

A 10 ANNIHILATOR.

Game 881.

2:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

St. Louis is only one of two undefeated teams in conference play in the Atlantic 10 and enter this matchup with confidence riding a 12-game win streak, and dominating today's opponent. They have taken the last four meetings over Saint Bonaventure straight up, covering the last three matchups. Speaking of the Bonnie's, they are struggling, dropping five of their last six SU, and seven of their last nine against the spread. The Billikens possess a team that ranks 11th nationally in scoring, averaging over 91.2 PPG, hitting over 51.7% overall from the field, 38.4% from downtown, 76% from the free-throw line, and rank in the top-10 in the nation on the offensive boards. That would be enough for me here, but defensively, they are extremely frustrating, ranking 22nd and yielding e mere 67.2 PPG, topping the nation in field goal percentage allowed, and ranking third in the nation in three-point percentage allowed. They're also monsters on the defensive glass, as well. In all sincerity, this game will get out of hand. Take St. Louis. Thank you.

‘Ole Miss.

SEC SMASH play.

Game 648.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

While both Auburn and Mississippi possess identical overall records at 11-7, that's basically where the similarities end. The Tigers are just 2-3 in conference play while the Rebels are 3-2 against SEC opponents. Also, for the visiting team here, they are winless as a true road team this season at 0-3, compared to the home team which possesses 7-2 record on their own court. Granted, Auburn has taken nine consecutive meetings in this rivalry, but these are two very different teams this season. Mississippi enters this matchup winning and covering three consecutive games against some solid opposition; Missouri, Georgia, Mississippi State. Meanwhile, Auburn has dropped five of their last eight both SU and ATS, including some very ugly beatings. Both teams have tough contests up next as the Tigers have to travel to take on the Gators and the Rebels travel to take on the Wildcats, but I do feel the home team here is the play. While the visitor does score more points offensively, the home team definitely has a stouter and more frustrating defense. Not only that, but I feel they're a little stronger on the glass, and shoot better from the line. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

BIG TEN BB.

Game 861.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

My friends, I feel the line is off in this matchup. These are two teams that are certainly in different classes. In my opinion the Buckeyes are a superior squad compared to the Huskies. They enter this matchup 11-4 overall including a 3-2 conference record. Meanwhile, Washington comes in here 9-6 sporting a 1-3 mark in Big Ten action. Ohio State also comes into this matchup with confidence of knowing they took down today's opponent a little less than one year ago on their own court, 93-69. They have also come out victorious and their last three road games played. Yes, their opponent is 6-1 at home this season, but come off back-to-back losses. The Huskies lost 90-80 seven days ago on the road at the Hoosiers, and then 81-73, four days ago on the road at the Boilermakers. Yes, those are two good teams, but this team is also failed to cover three of their last five overall. And, and let's not forget just three weeks ago they lost on the road to of all teams, the Red Hawks of Seattle. Ohio State scores more, allows less, is far better on the defensive glass, and is one of the best in the country from the free-throw line. I think the wrong team is favored here. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you.

Ohio State Buckeyes.

BIG TEN GOW.

Game 835.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Obviously, there's a lot going on in this matchup. Neither Ohio State nor Oregon are really spectacular right now in conference play as the Ducks are 1-3 against Big Ten opponent, and the Buckeyes are just 2-2 in conference action. This is a big game for both teams. Last January, Oregon took down Ohio State on the road, 73-71. They enter this matchup off a road loss at the hands of Rutgers just three days ago and have to travel across the country to host tonight's contest. The Ducks are doing pretty good at home, but have been point spread poison covering just five of their 15 overall outings this season. To be quite honest, this is a good team. But they seem to fall away short when it comes to stepping up in class. I feel Ohio State is a step up in class. The Buckeyes come in to tonight's game off an ugly home loss at the hands of the undefeated Nebraska Cornhuskers, 72-69. That was their third consecutive ATS no cover and their fifth no cover over the last six outings. However, two games ago, they did take down Rutgers, the team that just beat Oregon, on the same court, 80-73. They played tight with North Carolina, tight with Illinois, tight with Pittsburgh, and took down Notre Dame. They score considerably more, and allow less. They are certainly superior from the free-throw line, and are one of the best in the country on the defensive glass. There is one more item I'd like you to keep in mind my friends; this would be a big win for the Buckeyes school, alumni, etc. As you know, their football team is no longer in the hunt for the CFP while the Oregon Ducks are. This will be a big victory for the Ohio State Buckeyes. Take Ohio State. Thank you.

Iowa State Cyclones.

BIG 12 BLOCKBUSTER.

Game 719.

We may not realize this, but we have quite a bit of the college baseball regular season already in the rearview, and right now there are only six teams in the nation that sport undefeated records. The Iowa State Cyclones are one of those teams at 14-0, and certainly deserve their No. 3 rank. Not only are they winning games, they are covering as well as they have gotten us paid in nine of their 14 outings this season. They are outscoring opponents by an average of 27-points per game, are monsters from both downtown and overall from the floor, and let's not even get started on how good they are defensively, ranking sixth in the nation, and fourth in the nation on the defensive boards. They enter today's matchup with confidence knowing they have taken two in a row and five of the last six matchups against the Baylor Bears, covering 10 straight meetings with their conference rival. Speaking of Baylor, they are 10-3 overall, going 6-6 ATS on lined games this season, but come off a tough loss at the hands of TCU. To be quite honest, outside of a late-November 7-point victory over Creighton, this team has fallen way short when stepping up in class. Trust me when I tell you they were stepping up here today. They can score points, I'll give them that, averaging over 93.2 PPG. But they haven't played a defense yet like they're going to face here tonight. Defensively, their numbers are less than impressive for sure. This is a big matchup for Iowa State, and they are certainly the better team. Take the Cyclones. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

OM PLAY.

Game 605.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, I understand the Florida Gators are the defending National Champions. I also understand they are a perfect, 6-0 at home this season. But for the life of me, I can't understand why they are nearly a double-digit favorite over the Georgia Bulldogs. The Gators enter this matchup losing their last outing on the road at the Missouri Tigers, 76-74, as a 7.5-point favorite. As a matter of fact, they have been pointspread poison this season, failing to cover four of the their last five, and 10 of their overall 14 games played thus far. A season ago, back at the end of February, on the road in Georgia, the Bulldogs took them down, 88-83. Speaking of Georgia, they come into this matchup 13-1 overall, riding a seven-game win streak. Granted they have failed to cover their last four, but to be quite honest in three of those four games they were laying north of 30-points. This is a team that has already taken down such notables as Florida State, Cincinnati, and most recently, Auburn. While the home team has a big game on deck with the Tennessee Volunteers, the visitor here will not be caught in a look ahead situation as they have a road game up next, with the South Carolina Gamecocks. Having said all that, Georgia possesses an explosive offense, accounting for over 99.4 PPG, hitting 49.5% overall from the floor, 75.7% from the free-throw line, and ranking in the top 20 on the offensive boards. Yes, Florida does allow less points defensively, but their offense just doesn't measure up here. I really feel this line is way off, almost to the point where I feel the Bulldogs can win this game outright. But one thing for sure, it will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

ACC ANNIHILATOR.

Game 615.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

One thing I think we've all come to learn about the Duke Blue Devils, they are a smart, disciplined, well-coached team. They also know how to turn it up when they need to. I feel the line is short in this matchup. Yes, the Louisville Cardinals are 8-0 at home this season and are a darn good team. However, I feel the visitor here is going to win this game with authority. The Blue Devils come in here with a 13-1 overall record which does include an away mark of 3-0. Following just their first loss of the season, a heartbreaking, 82-81 home defeat at the hands of the Red Raiders, they won their last two outings. Granted, they haven't covered too many games since mid-November, but my friends, they have been double-digit favorites seven times in their last eight outings. The only game they did cover during that span was when they were one-point favorite on the road at Michigan State, one of the best teams in the country. The Cardinals have dropped two of their last four games, a 21-point ugly embarrassing loss on the road at the Volunteers, and then their last outing, a four-point loss on the road at the Cardinal of Stanford. They have also been dominated in this rivalry. Louisville has lost seven consecutive matchups with Duke, failing to cover three in a row and five of those seven meetings. Granted, Duke does have a meeting in four days at home against SMU, but I don't think this team will be a look ahead mode. I feel that they are focused and will keep their foot on the gas in a game they know they need to win. Both teams score about the same with the Blue Devils possessing a much more frustrating defense. I feel they will make it a point to win this game here. Take Duke. Thank you.

Nevada.

Guys, this line is way short here. Nevada is one of the best teams in the Mountain West Conference, and has the confidence of knowing they have dominated Fresno State, winning seven in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of those last 10 matchups. They are red-hot riding a six-game straight up hot streak in which they covered five of six, while their opponent is ice-cold losing five in a row, failing to cover three of those five. I just don't see this game being competitive at all. I also feel you will see the Wolf Pack devouring the Bulldogs from downtown. Take Nevada. Thank you.

George Mason.

It maybe early on in the campaign, but George Mason is looking like a true force to be reckoned with in the conference. They are 1-0 in League play, and an overall 13-1. They enter this game with confidence knowing they have taken five of the last six meetings with Rhode Island, including the most recent, a February 2025 road win and cover, 82-67. This is a team that is well-coached and disciplined. Speaking of the Rams, they don't score as much, are horrible from the perimeter, and are severely outclassed on the boards in this matchup in my opinion outmanned. Take George Mason. Thank you.

Joe D is on a 10-4 NCAAB RUN and today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college hoops with my NCAAB SLAM DUNK WINNER.

UNC.

I understand SMU is playing some good basketball and they are undefeated at home at 9-0 on their own court. But I will be very honest with you, this is a team that stepped up in class twice and lost both games, an 88-69 ugly loss on the road at Vanderbilt, and an 89-77 equally ugly loss on the road at LSU. Their wins this season have come against the likes of Tarleton State, AMCC, Murray State, Butler, Arkansas Pine-Bluff, Arkansas State, Radford, Mississippi State, Texas A&M (which is a good win for them), Central Arkansas, and Cal State Fullerton. I just don't think they know what they are in for here facing today's opponent. North Carolina has just one defeat this season, and since that ugly loss on the road at the hands of Michigan State, they have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering five of the seven against the likes of Kentucky, Georgetown, and Ohio State. It's true, the Mustangs have a high-scoring offense, but their defense is ugly and has gotten plowed several times this season. Meanwhile the Tar Heels possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation yielding a mere 63.7 PPG, ranking seventh in field goal percentage allowed, and 16th in three-point percentage allowed. I also feel they'll dominate on the boards in this matchup. I think the line is way off here. Take North Carolina. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

It's true, Texas Tech has taken the last four meetings in the series with authority. But I feel the oddsmakers are giving them a little too much credit here. Laying double-digits isn't an easy thing especially in your first conference game of the campaign. The Red Raiders are 3-5 laying double-digits this season. Yes, they have taken down teams like LSU and Duke. But they also already have three losses, some ugly losses at that, and allowed Northern Colorado to post 90 points on them. They do have Houston on deck in three days and we all know the Cougars are one of the best teams in the nation. I'm not saying they lose this game outright, but I do feel they might be in a bit of a look ahead mode. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has just one lost this season, at the hands of Oklahoma. They have taken down the likes of South Florida, and Northwestern. They possess an offense accounting for over 91.2 PPG on nearly 50% shooting from the floor (49.3%). They are pretty darn good at both ends of the court on the boards, and will compete in the paint. I just feel this is way too many points. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Alabama.

Alabama took all three meetings a season ago over Kentucky with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 16.0 PPG. By the way, they also covered all three matchups, as well. While Kentucky seems to be starting to stride winning four in a row, their four losses this season have all come against ranked opponents. And let's face it, some of those losses were really lopsided. Meanwhile, Alabama is red-hot themselves winning three in a row and seven of their last eight. They do have Vanderbilt up next, which is one of only five undefeated teams left in the college ranks. But I don't feel they're going to be in a look ahead situation here. They know the Wildcats are a formidable foe, and will not take this game lightly. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard with a team that's already topped 100 points in scoring five times this season. While Kentucky does possess a decent defense, I feel they just don't have the depth or the talent to run in this matchup. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Virginia.

Virginia has taken three of the last five meetings in this conference rivalry, including the most recent a little more than a year ago back on December 31 of 2024 at home, 70-67. The Cavaliers enter this matchup following just their second defeat of the campaign. They were on a hot streak winning six in a row straight up and covering four of those six outings, before a triple overtime road loss on New Year's Eve at the hands of Virginia Tech. I expect this deep and talented squad to come back here with a vengeance and compete. They possess a very frustrating defense yielding just 68.7 points per game. Meanwhile, NC State is on their own hot streak winning three in a row and covering all three as well. But playing the likes of Texas Southern, Mississippi, and Wake Forest isn't going to prepare them for this matchup here. They have a good team, but I feel they will get be frustrated offensively here. Their defense is a little laxer, and I believe they are outclassed on the boards. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Butler.

There is no question the Huskies deserve to be ranked number five in the nation. This is a very good basketball team, my friends. They enter tonight's matchup sporting a 10-1 record, with their only blemish coming at the hands of the nation's current top team, the Wildcats. However, I believe they're being overvalued as they as they have covered just three of their 11 outings this season. Well, a team that is undervalued for sure is the 8-2 Bulldogs. They have covered seven of their 10 matchups this season, and have shown they can really light it up at both ends of the court. It is true, Connecticut has taken 10 consecutive meetings over Butler, but Butler has covered the last three matchups. These two teams know one another, and do not like one another. Believe it or not, the Bulldogs are scoring just a tad more than the Huskies, are just as good overall from the floor, and are better at both ends of the court on the boards. I believe this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Butler. Thank you.

North Carolina.

Records can certainly be misleading. Case in point is trying to compare East Tennessee State to North Carolina. My friends, there is no comparison. While the Buccaneers are 8-3 overall and the Tar Heels are 9-1 on the season, these two teams certainly don't face the same level of competition. ETSU lost games already to the likes of Presbyterian, Dayton, and Austin Peay. Meanwhile, UNC's only blemish this season was against Michigan State. By the way, since that defeat, they came back to shred teams like Kentucky, Georgetown, and most recently, USC Upstate. It's true, the Tar Heels have the Buckeyes on deck, but I don't see them in a look ahead mode here. I see them looking to fine tune their team before their schedule starts to get a little tougher. They don't have a problem beating up lesser opponents, my friends, and I just don't see the Buccaneers which have been averaging 88.9 points per game, putting up anywhere near that against the 17th-ranked defense in college basketball yielding just 64.7 PPG. I also see a big mismatch on the boards. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

South Carolina.

It doesn't matter the situation at any point in a season, when in-state rivals of the caliber of South Carolina Clemson face one another, it's usually a competitive contest. The last three meetings in this rivalry have decided by two, five, and three-points in overtime. I believe this will be another tight matchup. The Gamecocks enter today's game 7-3 overall while the Tigers are 8-3. Yes, Clemson has one notable win against Georgia. But failed in games against Georgetown, Alabama, and BYU. South Carolina kept it very very close against Butler, Northwestern, and Virginia Tech. They are a scrappy bunch, my friends. Both teams score about the same, both teams allow about the same. Both teams are solid on the boards, but as I mentioned earlier, they know one another, and don't like one another. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the gamecocks. Thank you.

Indiana Hoosiers.

My friends, there is no way Kentucky should be laying any more than one or two-points in this matchup, and that's being generous. They are 6-4 overall and have only covered just four of their 10 outings season as they are once again being overvalued. As a matter of fact, they have failed to cover three consecutive outings coming into this game. Indiana came off back-to-back losses and no covers to redeem themselves and destroy Penn State in their last outing. While they're 8-2 overall they have covered six of 10 this season. Maybe they're being undervalued because they're on the road which does affect this team. However, they possess a top 10 offense accounting for nearly 100 points per game (98.0 PPG), hitting 50.3% from the field, 38.2% from downtown, and 75.7% from the free-throw line. Yes, the Wildcats do own a solid defense, but I just think this game is going to be a tough one for the home team. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you.

Kansas.

Kansas took down NC State last season at home, 75-60. They entered this matchup with identical 7-3 overall records. Yes, the Wolfpack are 6-0 at home this season, but beating teams like NCCU, UAB, UNCG, BSU, UNCA, and Liberty is a far cry from facing this opponent. Yes, the Jayhawks were taken down by the Tar Heels, Blue Devils, and Huskies, but they are three of the best in the nation. Don't forget this is a team that still bested Syracuse, Tennessee, and come off a high-profile win over Missouri. While NC State possesses an offense that's exploding for over 98.7 PPG, they have not yet faced a defense like they're facing here today in Kansas, which allows you 63.7 PPG. There are a big up front and physical. This will be an issue for the home team here. By the way, the Wolfpack defense is getting plowed for over 80.8 PPG which does not bode well here either. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Nebraska.

Someone needs to explain to me why Nebraska is getting double-digits in this matchup. With all respect to Illinois which is a good team, they were taken down by this very same opponent late-January of last season, 80-74. Meanwhile the Cornhuskers enter this matchup a perfect 10-0 on the campaign covering six of those 10 matchups, with high-profile victories over the Sooners, Wildcats, Blue Jays, and Badgers. Yes, the Fighting Illini are perfect 6-0 at home this season, but have only covered one of their last five games played on their own court. I believe they're being overvalued by oddsmakers. Both teams score about the same while the Nebraska defense has been a little tighter overall. I just think this is way too many points my friends. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you.

USC Trojans.

Guys, the line is way off this matchup. USC has dominated Washington taking 10 consecutive meetings, covering seven of those 10, which includes wins and covers and the four most recent matchups. The Huskies enter this game with a 5-3 SU record, covering just four of their eight outings this season, and come off back-to-back losses. The Trojans are a perfect 8–0 SU, covering five of their eight games this season, and sporting a perfect 3-0 record at home. This is a team that's already taken down such notables as Boise State, Seton Hall, Arizona State, and Oregon. Yes, one of their top contributors, Rodney Rice has been sidelined, and is questionable here today. But this team is deep, and in his absence, Chad Baker-Mazara stepped up and accounted for 23-points, in the last Wednesday's Maui Championship game over Arizona State and then posted 25-points this past Tuesday against Oregon. While Washington does have a decent team, they're just not on the same level in this matchup. I look for USC to dominate at both ends of the court, and light up the scoreboard with the nation’s 32nd-ranked three-point shooting offense.