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Joseph D'Amico NCAA-F Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-19-26 Miami-FL v. Indiana -7.5 21-27 Loss -105 10 h 21 m Show

Indiana Hoosiers.

Game 288.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question that both Miami and Indiana deserve to be in the National Title game. The Hurricanes have rattled off seven consecutive victories covering the last four with a few of those games winning outright as an underdog. This game is also being played in their home venue. They will look in the stands and see a lot of their loyal fans, for sure. Meanwhile, Indiana is a perfect 15-0 this season, and also enter this game covering four straight outings. There is no question that Mario Cristobal and Curt Cignetti are two of the best coaches in the nation. There is a lot of talk that one of Cignetti's assistants is now on the sidelines for Miami and would be a disadvantage for him. But to be quite honest my friends the head coach has gone up against some of the best head coaches in the history of college football, and he's beaten all of them. Without question the Indiana offense is certainly a little more well-balanced. They have a much stronger running attack, and Heisman winner, Fernando Mendoza at the helm. I do feel he's a little more stable than his counterpart, who is a very good quarterback, Carson Beck. There's also a big advantage in the fact the Hurricanes pass defense ranked 62nd in the nation. The Hoosiers defense can create turnovers, and will create turnovers. They rank second nationally against the rush, and are one of the most frustrating pass defenses in the nation ranking 23rd. Defensively, the Hoosiers have held 11 opponents to season lows in points and six to season lows in yardage. They are just so much more well-balanced and polished on both sides of the line scrimmage. I feel the Hurricanes are a very good team, but are outclassed in this matchup. You may not realize this but Indiana in their two Bowl/CFP games have outscored Alabama and Oregon by a combined 94-25. With a combination of a more solid quarterback, a more stable ground game, and the better defense, we're going to take the Hoosiers here. Take Indiana. Thank you.

01-09-26 Oregon v. Indiana -171 22-56 Win 100 31 h 57 m Show

Indiana Hoosiers.

PEACH BOWL WINNER.

Game 276.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no question both Oregon Indiana deserve to be here. The Ducks sport a 13-1 overall record and enter this game winning eight consecutive outings. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are a perfect 14-0 and have crushed every opponent in their way this season. They already took down this opponent back in the second week of October on the road, 30-20. I know it's hard to beat a top-ranked opponent twice in one season, but I don't think that's going to be an issue here. While Oregon is certainly a flashier team, Indiana is a meat and potatoes team. They are disciplined, structured, and well-coached. In my opinion, there's a lot more pressure on the Ducks in this matchup. If Indiana was to drop a game, I feel it would've happened already. Talking about that first meeting in Eugene back in October, Indiana held Oregon to just 267 yards. The game was tied 20-20 in the fourth quarter and then the Hoosiers dominated the final 10 minutes with two scoring drives on offense, and two interceptions on defense. Both offenses can score points, but the Hoosiers commit significantly less turnovers. Defensively, they are two of the best in the country as well. Once again though Indiana forces more turnovers. Both teams will attempt to run the ball and pass off the run keeping defenses honest. This also is an advantage on both sides of the line of scrimmage for the Hoosiers. Their defense held every opponent they have faced this season. No one has even topped 24 points on them, and they faced some pretty good offensive units. Meanwhile, the Oregon stop-unit overall has been impressive, but has allowed Penn State to put up 24, Indiana to put up 30, USC to put up 27, and James Madison of all teams to put up 34. A bit stronger of a running game, a bit stronger defensively against the run, an overall better defense, less pressure put upon them, and in my opinion a sharper head coach, tells me the Hoosiers will win and cover this game. Take Indiana. Thank you.

01-08-26 Miami-FL -162 v. Ole Miss 31-27 Win 100 8 h 57 m Show

Miami Hurricanes.

Fiesta Bowl Winner.

Game 273.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

As of posting this play, over the last few days some money has come in on Mississippi. I understand why. They are 13-1overall, and have covered nine of their 14 games this season. They enter this matchup riding a seven-game straight up win streak, covering five of the seven which includes three straight. Meanwhile, Miami is equally hot, winning six in a row SU, covering their last three, and four of their last five. In my opinion, the general public is betting the wrong side. I feel the Hurricanes are the team to play here. First of all, let's talk about SEC teams this postseason. They haven't fared too well. Let's also talk about several of the Rebels coaches are not going to be on the sidelines for this one as they left for bigger and better opportunities, and this may be a distraction for the team. I feel the ‘Canes coaching staff is a little more stable right now and certainly under the radar. I believe they're being undervalued. ‘Ole Miss is a very good team, no questioning that. But I will admit at times their defense has gotten blown up. Their offense which I will talk about in the moment has been the reason for their success. They gave up 23 to Kentucky, 35 to Arkansas, 43 to Georgia, 26 to Oklahoma, 24 to Florida, and 34 to Georgia again. Going back to the offense, they account for over 37.6 PPG, but have coughed the ball up 13 times. Defensively, their numbers are impressive overall, allowing just 20.4 PPG, but have only forced eight turnovers. This time of year, turnovers and mistakes are huge, my friends. Meanwhile, we look at Miami and we will see a defense that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 26-points this season. As a matter of fact, during their current six-game win streak, they have not yielded more than 17 points to any adversary. They can score points on any defense in the land, and I do feel their well-balanced offense is going to be an issue for their opponents stop-unit. Defensively, this is one of the best units anywhere in the country, ranking fourth, yielding just 13.1 PPG, monsters against the pass and the rush. Meanwhile, they have snagged 16 takeaways. Whoever controls the clock in this matchup and makes less mistakes, will come out victorious. And I feel both of those angles benefit the Hurricanes. Their defense is stouter against the run than their opponents, and will control the tempo in this matchup, and the time of possession. Mississippi lives and dies by their passing attack, and I feel will move to chains my friends, but not with the same success that they've had over recent opponents. Take Miami. Thank you.

01-02-26 Wake Forest +3 v. Mississippi State 43-29 Win 100 12 h 39 m Show

Wake Forest.

Mississippi State comes in here with a 5-7 overall record, losing three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, failing to cover their last three outings. Their defense has allowed 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49, and 38 points in consecutive contests. They face a Wake Forest opponent comes in here angry following an ugly loss at their hands of Duke in their last outing. Prior to that, they won three in a row and six of the last seven SU, covering seven of their last nine overall contests. The Demon Deacons will be without a couple of key players. But their quarterback, Robbie Ashford will be on the field. He's a solid play-caller with quite a bit of experience. He is no stranger to lighting up the scoreboards even against some SEC opponents. Their opponent will be without their quarterback Blake Shapen. This team is pretty decent offensively. However, they have coughed up the ball 15 times and go up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. Wake Forest allows just 21.5 PPG equally good against the pass as they are against the Rush. Offensively, you can expect the Demon Deacons to move the ball with ease against one of the worst run defenses in the nation, and an overall defense that allows nearly 30 PPG (29.2 PPG). Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

01-02-26 Arizona +1.5 v. SMU 19-24 Loss -110 11 h 28 m Show

Arizona.

Like many teams this time of year, Arizona as expected to be without a few opt outs and transfer. But quarterback, Noah Fifita will not be one of those players. He has stepped it up over the last few months of the season, leading this team to five consecutive wins and four ATS covers over those five games. SMU has one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. They cannot run the ball at all and have committed 16 turnovers. Defensively is where this game will be won and that edge certainly goes to the Wildcats. Their stop-unit is one of the best in the nation yielding just 18.9 PPG and have forced 19 turnovers, solid against the run, and fourth nationally against the pass. I feel they have a more well-balanced offense as well, can keep up the pace offensively with any team in the nation, and have a decent running attack to keep their opponents defense honest. They also make a lot less mistakes. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

01-02-26 Navy -7 v. Cincinnati 35-13 Win 100 8 h 9 m Show

Navy.

The list of Cincinnati's opt-outs is one of the longest in college football. They lost their quarterback, and at least five starters on defense that are going into the transfer portal. This is bad enough. But their secondary is absolutely depleted. A large portion of their starting stop-unit will not be on the field for this matchup. I'm not going to debate they play a little stiffer competition than Navy does. But this team enters this matchup on a four-game slide both SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Midshipmen enter today's game winning three in a row and covering two of their last three against some very formidable opponents like the Bulls, Tigers, and Black Knights. If you're into angles, playing a service academy in a Bowl game hasn't been easy for any opponent. Since 2021 Navy, Army, and Air Force have combined to earn seventh straight Bowl game wins. Navy is led by Blake Horvath who is coming in to his own as a quarterback, and leads the number one rushing attack in the nation. Please remember the Bearcats rank 97th against the rush. They will be dominated here as the Midshipmen offense will keep them on the field and their offense off of it. As we all know, all of the service academies can run the can also stop the run. That's no different here. Navy is extremely strong against the rush, and only allows 26.0 points per game. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you.

01-02-26 Rice v. Texas State -17 10-41 Win 100 5 h 44 m Show

Texas State.

Rice has dropped and failed to cover their last two games as their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 108 points in those contests. They are just 5-7 SU/ATS this season with five of those seven defeats coming by a lot more than the pointspread here today. This is a team that has no passing game whatsoever, nor can they stop the pass. As a matter of fact, their defense ranks among the worst in college football forcing just three turnovers and allowing over 35.2 points per game. Offensively, they can run the ball well, but they account for just 21.6 PPG. They will be without their leader and starting quarterback Chase Jenkins. This will be a big blow for the team as he is also a dual-threat quarterback. While the Texas State defense is a little more well-balanced, they still allow a lot of points. But their offense is so explosive both in the air and on the ground, they rank 12th nationally posting over 36.1 PPG. I doubt very much their counterpart can keep up with them on the scoreboard. Take the Bobcats. Thank you.

01-01-26 Ole Miss +6.5 v. Georgia 39-34 Win 100 12 h 24 m Show

Joe D got everyone paid again on Wednesday in BOWLS, bouncing back from his only “off” day this Bowl season. Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUGAR BOWL WINNER between MISSISSIPPI/GEORGIA.

MISSISSIPPI.

As of posting this play, most of the money this week is coming on Georgia. I understand why. I mean they possess a defense that allows just 15.9 points per game. But several teams have put up a lot of points on them. In overtime, Tennessee accounted for 41 points, in their only loss of the campaign, Alabama accounted for 24 points, and this very same Mississippi opponent put up 35 points against them. Their last few games of the regular season were against some less than stellar opponents as they were a 43-point fav over Charlotte, and a 16-point favorite over Georgia Tech. I feel their lopsided victory over Alabama in the conference championship was earned for sure, but put them an ideal situation for a letdown here. Let's face it, the Mississippi defense was almost as good yielding just 19.3 PPG. The big disparity in this matchup is on offense. Both teams rank about the same on the ground, while the Rebels account for almost a touchdown more per game, and they possess certainly one of the most explosive passing attacks in the nation. That's where this game will be won. Led by Trinidad Chambliss, the Ole Miss offense ranks sixth nationally in passing for over 312.4 yards per game in the air. They are very good against the pass, as well. This is a weakness for the Georgia offense as they were lackluster at best ranking 79th in passing. Let's face it, the Bulldogs defense is what got them their wins. However, defensively they're one flaw is against the pass where they rank 44th in the nation. I believe this is way too many points to give a team so well-balanced like the Rebels. The last four meetings in this rivalry were each won and covered by the home team. That angle is negated as this game is being played in New Orleans. Take Mississippi. Thank you.

01-01-26 Oregon v. Texas Tech +2.5 23-0 Loss -104 4 h 28 m Show

TEXAS TECH.

I keep hearing strength of schedule, strength of schedule, strength of schedule. However, I don't feel in my opinion the Ducks played that much more of a stronger schedule than the Red Raiders. I'm not going to deny their talent on both sides of the line of scrimmage. I mean this is a team that averages 39.2 PPG while allowing 16.3 PPG. But at times this season they did allow certain opponents to light them up. Penn State, which let's face it isn't the most talented team forced them in to overtime and put up 24 points, USC put up 27 points, and most recently in the Bowl first round, they allowed James Madison to post 34 points on them. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 26 points, and that was in their only loss this season, a fluke loss by four points at the hands of Arizona State. Every other opponent this season has put up 20 points or less. They did face some solid offenses this year as well. This is a team that lights up scoreboards for 42.5 PPG, while yielding just 10.9 PPG. They have a smart coach, and a quarterback who has not lost a game he has started this season. They possess the number one run defense in college football. I believe the team that will run the ball successfully in this matchup will control the clock, and eventually win this game. I feel the wrong team is favored. Take Texas Tech. Thank you.

12-31-25 Michigan v. Texas -7 27-41 Win 100 28 h 34 m Show

TEXAS.

Without question, Michigan and Texas are Bowl game powerhouses and college football royalty. But distractions this time of year can take its toll. The Wolverines fired their head coach, have an interim coach in charge of this game, and a big-name coach coming in next year. In my opinion this is a distraction. They're also going to be without several veteran starters on both offense and defense that are going to be very hard to replace in this short period of time. Yes, I also feel that getting shredded in their last outing at the hands of Ohio State is going to mentally take its toll on this Michigan team as well. Meanwhile, Texas has a heck of a defense, ever-improving Arch Manning at the helm who declared he is coming back next year, and momentum coming into this game. This is a game obviously both teams want, but the Longhorns have what it takes to not just win, but win with authority. Take Texas. Thank you.

12-31-25 Arizona State v. Duke -160 39-42 Win 100 26 h 30 m Show

20-7 NCAAF RUN inc. 8-3 POSTSEASON*Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in college football with my SUN BOWL WINNER between ASU/DUKE.

DUKE.

On paper, this looks like a pretty good matchup. However, Arizona State will be without their best quarterback and their top running back. This is a big blow to the team. Their backup quarterback, Jeff Sims has only seven touchdown passes with a whopping five interceptions this season. Now that isn't the biggest blow for this team in my opinion. Being without 1,141-yard ball-carrier, Raleek Brown is huge. The Sun Devils offense heavily relies upon their ground game. Just between us, they also turned them all over 17 times this season behind an offense that scores a very pedestrian 24.7 points per game. Meanwhile, Duke brings in most of their roster from their ACC Championship team. Their a passing attack is salivating here because their opponents defense ranks 73rd against the pass. They account for over 34.0 points per game and on defense, are pretty stout against the rush. They've also forced 13 turnovers. I'll take the Blue Devils. Thank you.

12-31-25 Iowa v. Vanderbilt -5 34-27 Loss -110 24 h 16 m Show

Vanderbilt.

My friends, I am fully aware the Iowa Hawkeyes have a solid defense, and their four losses have come by 3, 5, 2, and 5 points. But those losses were all against well-balanced offenses. Guess what? Vanderbilt has an extremely well-balanced offense. This is a team that has only suffered two defeats this season, an early-October 16 point loss on the road at Alabama, and a 3 point heartbreaking loss in the first week of November, on the road of Texas. Other than that, this team has shown not only they can score offensively, but they're pretty frustrating defensively as well. The Hawkeyes offense accounts for 28.9 PPG while the Vanderbilt offense posts over 39.4 PPG. The Commodores are very well-balanced ranking 14th in the air and 35th on the ground, while the Hawkeyes heavily rely, or should I say solely rely on their ground game. They have no passing attack whatsoever. Now defensively, their numbers are extremely impressive yielding just 15.2 PPG. But as I mentioned a bit ago, their four defeats have come against opponents whose offenses are extremely well-balanced. I mentioned Iowa has no passing attack whatsoever, because they rank 131st in the nation in passing. This is a perfect fit for Vandy who is not great at all against the pass, but ranks 15th against the rush. The Commodores quarterback just might be the best in the nation and will show off his prowess here. Take Vanderbilt. Thank you.

12-30-25 USC -6 v. TCU 27-30 Loss -110 12 h 21 m Show

USC.

As we all have come to understand during this time of year, both USC and TCU will be without some key cogs in their wheels. The Trojans are expected to be without two of their top receivers while the Horned Frogs will be without their best quarterback. The difference in this matchup in my opinion is the fact that USC is so deep at their wide receiver position it's not going to matter. They also have a very experienced quarterback at the helm, and rank eighth in the nation in passing. This team, I believe will absolutely exploit and pick apart the 106th ranked pass defense of TCU. They also have a pretty decent ground attack to keep their opponent honest. They don't commit nearly as many turnovers as their opponent does either. Having said all that, the Horn Frogs will be without their best quarterback, and will have a backup in Ken Seals leading their offense. While he has been around for a bit, he has thrown a total of six passes this season. Last season he threw a total of 13 passes. That was following his transfer from Vanderbilt after three seasons with them so he does have experience, but enough here that he should be comfortable within this offense today. The Trojans also possess a considerably better defense, both in the air and on the ground, they are equally solid. Take USC. Thank you.

12-30-25 Tennessee -155 v. Illinois 28-30 Loss -155 9 h 55 m Show

Tennessee.

In my opinion this is one of the more interesting matchups this Bowl season. Both Tennessee and Illinois come in here with identical 8-4 records. It is true the Fighting Illini have covered seven games this season while the Volunteers have just five ATS covers. But I think we can all agree the Illinois defense isn't what it was just a year ago. Every time they stepped up in class, it seemed they fell very short. Their defense is mediocre at best. And let's face it, when you play in a competitive conference like they play in, and you only force six turnovers on your stop-unit side of the ball, it's going to be an issue. I believe that along with the fact that they just can't run the ball, ranking 99th in rushing this season, is going to hurt them in this matchup. Tennessee enters this game off a tough loss against Vanderbilt. However, this team is taken down some very good opponents, and let's face it, their four defeats have all come against ranked opponents; Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt. They are expected to be with that one of their top receivers, but this team does not lack for talent. And let's face it, in the air they are one of the best in the nation ranking sixth in passing averaging over 307.2 YPG. They can also run the ball with great efficiency keeping defenses honest, and average in the top-10 in scoring accounting for 40.8 PPG. Their defense does leave a bit to be desired, but I just don't feel their opponents offense has what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

12-30-25 Coastal Carolina v. Louisiana Tech -10.5 14-23 Loss -108 5 h 30 m Show

Louisiana Tech.

Coastal Carolina somehow made it to a Bowl game. This is a team that has a 6-6 SU, covering just five of their 12 outings this season, entering this Bowl matchup losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter of fact, during their three-game slide, their defense has gotten plowed for a combined 155 points. Their offense has stalled badly accounting for a total of 17 points over their last two outings. This is a team that gets outscored by over 11.1 points per game and have committed 20 turnovers. They rank 133rd in total yards allowed, 113th in passing yards allowed, 130th in rushing yards allowed, and 126 in points allowed. They face one of the best running attacks in football averaging just under 200 yards per game on the ground (196.6 YPG). This is the team that averages over 27.7 points per game and doesn't make too many mistakes. They have a very well-balanced defense, and have been a nightmare to offenses ranking third in the nation forcing 20 turnovers. Louisiana Tech closed this season winning and covering their last two games against some very good opponents in Liberty and Missouri State. Reports are they will be without several defensive starters, but I don't think that's going to matter too much here. Please understand the Chanticleers only defeated one Bowl team this season in Appalachian State which was 5-7. They face a Bulldog's opponent, which six of their seven wins this season came by 10 or more points. Trey Kukuk settled in quite nicely at the quarterback position, and I expect him to light up the scoreboard here. Take Louisiana Tech. Thank you.

12-27-25 Miami-OH v. Fresno State -5.5 3-18 Win 100 76 h 51 m Show

Fresno State Bulldogs.

ARIZONA BOWL WINNER.

Game 234.

1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, there aren't many teams that could rebound following a beating like Miami took at the hands of Western Michigan back on December 6. Maybe it didn't show it in the 23-13 loss, but their offense had just 73 yards rushing and 199 yards passing. As a matter of fact, I don't see their “O” doing too much more here. This is a team that lost they're starting quarterback Dequan Finn in early-November, and tried a freshman in Tommy Gotkowski and a veteran in Henry Hesson but just couldn't get in sync with either. Things go from bad to worse for the offense as they lost their best receiver to the transfer portal in Kam Perry. This is a team that's dropped three of their last five straight up and against the spread coming into this matchup. Meanwhile, Fresno State comes in here winning and covering three of their last four outings. First year head coach, Matt Entz has this team believing they can win. They can run the ball with success in this matchup, and defensively they are very stout, snagging 19 takeaways, and allowing just 20.1 PPG. There are monsters against the pass, and just about as good against the run. Over their last five outings they have allowed an average of 15.0 PPG, and that was even with two losses. By the way, the Bulldogs are changing conferences moving from the MWC to the Pac-12 next year and want to finish on a high-note. Take Fresno State. Thank you.

12-27-25 Georgia Tech v. BYU -3.5 21-25 Win 100 75 h 6 m Show

BYU.

POP-TARTS BOWL WINNER.

Game 232.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

In my opinion, this might be one of the best games for us this entire college football postseason. Georgia Tech is a good team. I'll give them that. However, they have lost two in a row and three of the last four straight up covering only one of those last four outings. Their defense has gotten plowed yielding 48 points to NC State, 34 points to Boston College of all teams, and 42 points to Pitt before allowing just 16 points in their last game to Georgia. I believe their stop-unit is tired, is overworked, and is outclassed here in this matchup. You know the Yellow Jackets haven't played a ranked opponent all season long (I don’t count Clemson, who were #12 when they played and dropped considerably). They have a defense that is very beatable, and I believe is in real trouble here, as they rank 80th against the pass and 94th against the run. By the way, they've only forced three turnovers this season as well. They must go up against a BYU team that comes in here angry as they feel they were snubbed for the CFP. The Cougars misfortunate this season was having to play the Red Raiders twice. The last outing on December 6, was the most points they yielded and the least points that they scored all season long. I believe they'll come in here looking to redeem themselves and prove a point. This is a team that is extremely well-balanced, led by a very smart quarterback that leads an offense that averages over 31.9 PPG. That would be enough here, but their defense is just as solid. They allow just 19.0 PPG, and have snagged 16 takeaways as well. They're one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation against the run, a place where their opponent heavily relies upon to move the chains. I feel this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see if this college football postseason. The Cougars are looking to redeem themselves, prove a point to the pollsters, are good in Bowl games, and our lead by sharp coach and a ton of seasoned veterans. Take BYU. Thank you.

12-27-25 Connecticut +9.5 v. Army 16-41 Loss -110 74 h 49 m Show

UConn.

Fenway Bowl WINNER.

Game 229.

11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST.

With all respect to the Black Knights, we know their game plan. Army will come into this Bowl matchup, with their fifth-ranked rushing attack and pound the ball up the middle on the ground. This is what they do. This is a good team, my friends. But I think we all saw what happened in the legendary Army/Navy matchup when they lost 17-16. Meanwhile, Connecticut enters this contest one of the hottest teams in college football, winning four in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, covering six of their last eight outings. This is a team that is no stranger to stepping up in class, or even facing and containing run-oriented offenses. They did lose to Rice, 37-34, which is a team that heavily favors the rush. But they did then take down another military opponent in Air Force who also runs the ball a lot, 26-16. This is a team themselves that has taken down, and even competed against some strong opponents. Let's not forget this team finished the regular season taking down UAB, Duke, Air Force, and FAU. Thet possess a very well-balanced offense that makes very few mistakes. As a matter of fact, the ranked sixth in passing, 69th in rushing, 12th in points scored, and top the nation only committing two turnovers. Yes, I am aware that their run defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they're so well-balanced offensively, that I feel this will be a very competitive matchup. By the way, they're also better defensively at creating turnovers as they have snagged 11 takeaways compared to Army’s eight takeaways on the stop side of the ball. I think this is way too many points. FYI, the Black Knights have not covered as a double-digit favorite this season. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

12-24-25 California v. Hawaii +100 31-35 Win 100 80 h 28 m Show

JOE D IS ON FIRE! 4-0 L4 NCAAF, 6-1 NCAAF POSTSEASON, 17-5 NCAAF OVERALL RUN. This Wednesday, we get an early Christmas gift as we continue to SHRED THE BOOKS in college football with my HAWAII BOWL WINNER between CAL/HAWAII.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Hawaii Bowl.

Game 218.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Playing at home during this time of year is huge for any college football team. This goes even more for Hawaii as they are 6-1 this season when playing host. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 both straight up and against the spread, and have played some very good football. Don't read too much of the fact that Cal head coach Justin Wilcox was fired and replaced by former Hawaii head coach, Nick Rolovich for this matchup. The Golden Bears defense isn't so golden as in consecutive weeks they've allowed 42, 31, 26, 31, and 35-points. Meanwhile, this season their offense has been less than mediocre averaging just 24.8-points per game, while committing 15 turnovers. The Hawaii passing game is one of the best in the nation ranking 11th in college football. While I will tell you the Cal pass defense is good, it's just not structured to slow down how Hawaii's passing game succeeds. The Rainbow Warriors live by short passes and then because of this, they keep defenses honest even though they don't run the ball very well they still try. I just don't see the Golden Bears defense, which as I mentioned earlier has gotten plowed and has only forced eight takeaways this season, is going to slow down let alone stop them. While the California offense is pretty good in the air, the Hawaii pass defense has really stepped up this season. They only allow 23.5 PPG and have held some very good offenses in check. Take the Rainbow Warriors. Thank you.

12-22-25 Washington State v. Utah State +1.5 34-21 Loss -115 27 h 31 m Show

Utah State Aggies.

Idaho Potato Bowl.

Game 210.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

While Washington State which has dropped six of their last 10 straight up, has covered seven of their last 10 outings, they've undergone some changes recently. Their head coach is gone, and although their defensive coordinator will be gone as well, he's acting as interim coach in this matchup. Meanwhile, Utah State enters this game covering four in a row, and 10 of 12 this season. These two teams did meet November 2024 as the Cougars hosted the Aggies, and took them down to 49-28. This won’t happen again here. Utah State will be exiting the Mountain West Conference and joining Washington State in the Pac-12 this upcoming season. The Aggies certainly have a more explosive offense accounting for 8.3 points per game more than does the Cougars, and certainly turn the ball over less. WSU coughed up the ball 18 times this season. Speaking of the Cougars, they cannot run the ball at all and they only rank 86th in passing. Compare that to the very well-balanced offense of Utah State which are just as good in the air they are on the ground, and I think it's gonna’ be a long day for the Cougars. Defensively, the Aggies leave a lot to be desired, but being that they have such a good ground game on offense, I feel they're gonna’ run the ball quite a bit, control the clock keep their opponents defense on the field, and more importantly their offense off it. Another thing my friends, Washington stage defense has only forced five turnovers while the Utah State “D” has forced 10 turnovers. Offensively, the Aggies have too much, not to mention the distraction the Cougars have with the whole coaching situation. Take Utah State. Thank you.

12-20-25 Tulane v. Ole Miss -17 10-41 Win 100 49 h 55 m Show

‘Ole Miss.

I know this is a lot of points, my friends. But why would anyone think, even for a split-second, that this outcome will be any different than the September 20, Mississippi 45-10 victory over Tulane? It isn't going to be any different. We all know the Rebels offense is one of the most-explosive in college football, scoring 37.3 PPG, ranking third in total yards, fifth in passing yards, and 34th in rushing yards. Now with all respect to the Green Wave, which have respectable numbers, they just don't compare. Please also understand the Mississippi offense makes considerably less mistakes than does the Tulane’s “O”. That would be enough for me here. But as I mentioned a moment ago, Trinidad Chambliss leads one of the most-explosive passing attacks in the nation, and they lineup across from a pass defense ranking 122nd. I just don't see this meeting not having the same outcome as the first meeting. That would be enough, but the Rebels defense is also one of the toughest in the nation, allowing a mere 20.1 PPG. Granted, the Green Wave stop-unit doesn't allow too many more points. But they haven't faced the same level of competition, either. Shutting down teams like Tulsa, East Carolina, Temple, and Charlotte, isn't like facing a team like Mississippi, or even the squads they have taken down like LSU, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Florida, etc. This game will get out of hand. Take Mississippi.

12-20-25 Miami-FL +3.5 v. Texas A&M 10-3 Win 100 46 h 32 m Show

Miami.

At first glance, I had a big lean on Texas A&M here, especially following their first defeat of the campaign. But as I did my due diligence, I quickly switched to backing Miami. The Aggies, prior to losing to the Longhorns, their SEC schedule was against opponents that are a combined 11-40. They haven't faced too many strong teams in conference play. As a matter of fact, outside of Texas which they lost by 10-points, they weren't very impressive. You could have the best record in the world, but it all depends on who you beat. Looking at their games played, the Texas A&M defense several times this season gave up significant points to some less than stellar opposition. The same can't be said for the Hurricane’s stop-unit. Miami's defense ranks sixth in the nation allowing only 13.8 PPG, and have forced 12 turnovers. While the Texas A&M "D" yields 21.9 PPG, they've only snagged just three takeaways. Offensively, they’ve coughed the ball up 16 times compared to Miami's 11 turnovers. The A&M offense relies strongly upon their ground game, but runs into the seventh-ranked rush defense in the nation. I do feel the difference in this matchup will also be at the quarterback position. With all respect to Marcel Reed, he just isn't Carson Beck.

12-19-25 Alabama +1.5 v. Oklahoma 34-24 Win 100 30 h 49 m Show

Alabama.

Alabama dropped the first meeting with Oklahoma back in mid-November because of turnovers and a lack of a sufficient ground game. They also didn't show up in the conference championship at the beginning of this month against Georgia. They were without several key cogs in their offensive wheel that are expected to be back here this week. These are two of the best defenses in football, but the Crimson Tide are certainly better against the pass which will significantly affect the Sooner offense. They also turn the ball over less on offense, and create more turnovers on defense. Beating Alabama once in a season its tough. Beating them twice, is impossible.

12-19-25 Kennesaw State v. Western Michigan -150 6-41 Win 100 21 h 45 m Show

WMU.

While Kennesaw State enters this matchup winning and covering three in a row, Western Michigan has won five in a row and nine of their last 10 straight up, covering eight of those 10 games. The Broncos only loss since mid-September was to Miami-Ohio, which they avenged in the conference championship back on December 6. This is a team that has not allowed a single opponent to put up more than 21 points in any of the victories since the third week of September. With an explosive running game, they usually control the tempo and the pace of their contests. They do not average as many points as the Broncos. But they also don't make as many mistakes, as K State's offense has coughed up the ball 15 times. Defensively, WMU possesses one of the stingiest stop-units in the nation yielding just 18.2 PPG, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. The same cannot be said for their opponent, which ranks 82nd against the pass and 102nd against the rush. I think they're in a lot of trouble in this game, as they won’t be able to slow down the 25th-ranked rushing attack in the nation. I just don't see it happening. Controlling the clock, and wearing down opponents’ defenses are huge during the regular season, and even bigger in a Bowl game.

12-17-25 Old Dominion v. South Florida -140 24-10 Loss -140 8 h 59 m Show

South Florida.

This game being played in Tampa, Florida, and I definitely give an edge to South Florida who will have the luxury of not having to travel too far, and significantly more fans in the stands. Both teams are seeking a 10-win season and both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks. The Monarchs will be without their top-producer, quarterback Colton Joseph. They will have a QB at the helm with significantly less experience in Quinn Henicle. Meanwhile, for the Bulls. Byrum Brown will not be participating on the field. However, rumors are he will be actually acting as an assistant coach on the sidelines in this matchup. They do have a fifth-year senior in Gaston Moore at the helm. It does give them an edge at the quarterback position. If you’re asking yourself why Brown is serving you as an assistant is because offensive coordinator Joel Gordon and most of his staff have left for Auburn. Their defensive line coach, Kevin Patrick will serve as interim head coach. Now Old Dominion did open up their season with a 13-point loss at the hands of now No. 1 team in the country Indiana, and a few weeks later took down Virginia Tech. But they did take beatings at the hands of Marshall and James Madison. South Florida opened their season up with consecutive victories over Boise State in Florida before being destroyed by Miami. They've also covered quite a few this season going 9-3 against the spread. Both teams can run the ball with efficiency, both teams can score points. However, the Bulls rank No. 2 in the nation in scoring. They did lose a little luster at the quarterback position even though I still give them an edge with a more experienced replacement under center. But the Monarchs defense is pretty darn good. However, the Bulls defense is certainly a little tighter against the rush. There's a lot of factors to take in in this game, but being that it is being played in Florida, and they have a more experienced quarterback doing the play-calling, I give an edge to South Florida.

12-16-25 Troy v. Jacksonville State +2.5 13-17 Win 100 37 h 45 m Show

Jacksonville State.

The second-best team in the Sunbelt will face the second-best team in the Conference USA as two Alabama representatives face one another in Montgomery. Very simply, I just don't see why the Trojans are favored here (as of post). Maybe it's because the Gamecocks ran for 210 yards on 40 carries in a losing effort at the hands of a very weak run defense against the Owls of Kennesaw State not long ago. But this is a very well-disciplined team with a very smart coaching staff. I doubt you're gonna’ see that happen again. Jacksonville State possesses the nation’s sixth-ranked rushing attack accounting for over 258.0 yards per game on the ground. I doubt very much their opponent which does rank 107th against the run, is going to be able to slow down let alone contain the potent ground game. The Gamecocks will take a page out of their last games playbook and make sure they control the clock here once again but take it one further and light up the scoreboard. I will admit Troy played a solid game against a very tough James Madison opponent in their last outing before a late meltdown. They are a good team against the spread, covering nine of 13 this season, but this team is very susceptible to the run. They are expected to be without a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel. Most likely Tucker Kilcrease is supposed to take the helm for an injured Goose Crowder (check status), but to go on further their top ball-carrier, Tae Meadows is in the transfer portal and is expected not to participate here. Please remember Jacksonville State hung in tight as a three-touchdown underdog losing by only seven-points in their season opener on the road at Central Florida, and then took down a very talented Liberty opponent at home, as a touchdown underdog. This team knows how to step up in big situations. While they did fall short against Kennesaw State in the conference championship, a team that they did beat only three weeks before at home. As far as Troy goes, they hung in tight against an overvalued Clemson opponent in the second week of the season while they took a beating against Memphis just a week later. Without some of their starters on the field and the fact that they fall short little bit in big games situations, tells me Jacksonville State will take this game. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you.

12-13-25 Army +6.5 v. Navy 16-17 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show

Army.

These two teams know each other very well, and let's face it, their numbers offensively are very similar, almost mirroring one another. Yes, Navy accounts for significantly more points per game, but the Army defense is much better both against the run, and against the pass. Not only that, but they have forced more turnovers defensively, and committed less turnovers offensively. Last season saw the Midshipmen prevail in this matchup, but I feel that perhaps the Black Knights were a bit hungover from playing in the conference championship just prior. Army took the two previous meetings before that, and six of the last eight overall meetings. I think this is way too many points. Take the Black Knights. Thank you.

12-06-25 Duke v. Virginia -170 27-20 Loss -170 50 h 22 m Show

Virginia.

There is no question this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see this weekend in college football conference championship weekend. Duke is just 7-5 straight up covering only five of their 12 outings this season, while Virginia is 10-2 on the campaign, covering eight of their 12 contests. Yes, this game is being played in Charlotte, North Carolina, but I think if it was anywhere else, this line would be even higher. The Cavaliers took down the Blue Devils just three weeks ago in Durham, North Carolina by 17-points, and are only about a field goal favorite here. Virginia was dominant in all aspects of that matchup, throwing for over 316 yards, and rushing for over 224 yards. They did commit quite a few penalties, but also dominated the time of possession by nearly 12 more minutes. Duke could not run the ball at all and let's face it, their passing game sputtered badly. Without a real rushing attack, the Blue Devil still account for 37.7 points per game. However, the Cavaliers are more well-balanced offensively, and average just behind them at 36.2 points per game. It is the defense, the defense, the defense that will make the difference here. Virginia's defense ranks 25th nationally, yielding just 21.8 PPG, and forcing 12 turnovers. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Duke’s stop-unit, ranks 56th against the rush and 132nd against the pass, getting steamrolled for over 32.1 points per game. By the way, just to add insult injury, the Cavaliers offense, is very good on the ground, averaging over 200 yards per game (205.8 YPG). They will be able to shut down their opponent’s offense, while they control the clock with their own ground game, opening up their very explosive passing attack. I don't see this outcome being any different from the earlier one.

12-06-25 Indiana v. Ohio State -4 13-10 Loss -110 50 h 15 m Show

Ohio State.

My friends, throw logic out the window on this one. I know that just about everybody out there as of posting this play likes Indiana. I know that a lot of handicappers out there are coming up with Indiana as well. Once again, the masses are wrong. Yes, on paper the Hoosiers have blown up in higher-fashion some of the same opponents the Buckeyes took down this season. They also average 8.0-points per game more on offense, are a little better at running the ball. But this game isn't played on paper my friends. And let's face it, Indiana has not had to face a defense like they're going up against here this week. Please remember they allowed Penn State to almost beat them a few weeks back. Then they had some throwaway games against Wisconsin and Purdue. They have not faced a defense like they're going to face her again, I had to repeat that. Ohio State's offense is just as explosive, averaging 40.4-points per game and only committed eight turnovers. That is huge. They are better in the air for sure. All that said, yes, this game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, but it doesn't matter where this is played. The Buckeyes have dominated the Hoosiers taking 10 consecutive meetings straight up, covering three of the last four most recent matchups. As a matter of fact, over the last four years they've won by 47, 42, 20, and 23-points. Ohio State will come out and prove a point that they are the best team in the country. No. 1 in points allowed (8.5 PPG), No. 1 in total yards, No. 1 in passing yards, and No. 4 in rushing yards. Indiana is in trouble here.

12-06-25 Georgia v. Alabama +2.5 28-7 Loss -110 46 h 29 m Show

Alabama.

Guys, I know most of the money is coming in on Georgia as of posting this play. But I'm here to tell you, the general public once again has it wrong. Yes, the Bulldogs are on an eight-game straight up win streak covering five of those eight outings. And yes, despite Alabama's offense averaging a little more than one more point per game, I would say the Georgia offense is a little more well-balanced. So, on paper, the Bulldogs look like the play. But I think we can all agree, college football isn’t played on paper, it is played on the gridiron, and Alabama rules the gridiron, especially in this matchup. The Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings against their conference rival. This does include a 24-21 road win and cover this season back at the end of September. Not only do they beat this team, they cover against them too, covering three straight, and five of the last six matchups. In that first matchup, the Bulldogs could not stop the Crimson Tide quarterback, Ty Simpson and the passing attack. The quarterback threw for 280 yards passing, and two touchdowns. Statistically, the Georgia defense has tightened up against the past since then. But I don't think it's because they’ve gotten better, I think it's because their schedule permitted them to on paper, improve. Obviously beating a team twice in one season especially a team of this level is difficult. But going back to this matchup, I am not in love with the Bulldogs offense. They only put up 24 points on the Gators, and 16 points on the Yellow Jackets in their last outing. Defensively, they're one of the worst in the country at sacking the quarterback, and they also rank 50th against the pass. By the way, they've only snagged eight turnovers as well. Their defense succeeds because they are very good against the rush. But what good is that when you're facing an offense that does not rely upon rushing the ball. The ‘Bama offense ranks 101st, averaging 137.6 yards per game on the ground. They only run to keep defenses honest, and allow their passing game to open up. That's where you're gonna’ see a big difference. The 17th-ranked passing attack of the Crimson Tide going up against the 50th-ranked pass defense of the Bulldogs. By the way, let's not forget Alabama's defense has been stellar this season, not allowing a single opponent since their first week of the season to put up better than 24-points on them. They allow just 18.0 PPG, have forced 10 turnovers, are ninth against the pass and 37th against the rush. They have been extremely stingy against the run, and that's how Georgia offense moves the chains. One last thing, guys don't be fooled by the fact the Crimson Tide have two losses this season. Don't let that influence you. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they've dominated this rivalry.

12-06-25 BYU v. Texas Tech -12.5 7-34 Win 100 42 h 21 m Show

Texas Tech.

My friends, I'm not gonna’ tell you that many times I feel in a revenge situation from a recent blowout embarrassing loss, I would automatically look to come on the loser of that first game in the second matchup. But that's not the case here. Texas Tech dominated BYU back on November 8 at home, 29-7. Now guys, the Cougars are a very good team. Obviously sporting an 11-1 straight up record and covering nine of their 12 outings, proves that statement. But the Red Raiders are a great team. In that first matchup, Texas Tech quarterback, Behren Morton was under pressure for a lot of the game. And yet he's still threw for over 219 yards, one touchdown, while the running game accumulated 149 yards. As a matter of fact, the quarterback was -47 yards personally in rushing in the game because of sacks. It was the Texas Tech defense that made the difference. I feel Morton will have a much better performance in this outing, while the nation’s third-ranked stop-unit takes care of the rest. Yes, the Red Raiders defense allows just 12.3 points per game, ranking number one in the nation against the rush and 29th against the pass. No matter how you cut it, the Cougars offense is in trouble here. On the flipside, I look for Morton and the eighth-ranked aerial assault in the nation to go out of their way, prove a point, and light up the scoreboard in the air. Remember, this is a this is a very well-balanced offense that not only averages over 322.5 yards in the air per game, they also average over 211.2 yards per game on the ground. I don't see why this matchup will be any different than the earlier matchup.

12-05-25 UNLV v. Boise State -4.5 21-38 Win 100 33 h 24 m Show

Boise State.

As a Las Vegas resident of 36 years, I know the Mountain West Conference very well. While I try to support my local teams as much as possible, my loyalty is to my bankroll and to you. My friends, Superman had kryptonite and UNLV has Boise State. The Rebels cannot beat the Broncos, who have taken 10 consecutive meetings in this rivalry, covering seven of those 10, which does include six consecutive ATS covers. This season, these two conference rivals met on October 18 here in Vegas, as BSU prevailed 56-31. Both teams come in here on winning streaks, but Boise State had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. This is also a home game for the Broncos, and you know how loyal their fans are. Quarterback, Madsen (nearly 2,000 YP, nearly a 60% CR, 15/7) is returning from injury, but reports are he is 100%. There is also the storyline the Broncos are leaving the mountain west for the Pac 12 next year. They want to leave on a high note. This is also going to be a cold game, which does not benefit UNLV. There is no question the Broncos defense is tougher. Yes, I will admit the Rebels offense scores a bit more, but Boise State has frustrated better offenses than this. They continue their domination in this rivalry.

12-05-25 Kennesaw State v. Jacksonville State +2.5 19-15 Loss -110 32 h 27 m Show

Jacksonville State.

Sports fans, in all sincerity, the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Yes, Kennesaw State sports a better overall record at 9-3, and a better ATS mark as well, at 7-4-1, but they've lost and failed to cover the last three meetings with Jacksonville State, which does include a November 15 game, 35-26. The Gamecocks are a heck of a team, going 8-4 SU, and covering six of their 12 outings this season. One of the biggest differences in this matchup is the home record of Jacksonville State, as they are 5-0 when hosting this season. This game is being played in Jacksonville, Alabama and will be filled with Gamecock fans. With all respect to the Owls, they are just 3-3 on the road in 2025. Playing away from home has been an issue for the team. The K State defense leaves a lot to be desired, while their offense turned the ball over 14 times this season. The Jax State offense possesses the nation’s third-ranked rushing attack. They also possess a pretty decent defense that has snagged 12 takeaways. They will control the clock and the tempo of this game offensively, and win this game outright. But I will take the points the odds makers are giving us.

11-29-25 Alabama -5 v. Auburn 27-20 Win 100 12 h 35 m Show

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Alabama.

Alabama controls their own destiny in reaching the SEC championship game. A victory here will send them to Atlanta for that title game. Yes, Auburn is looking for their sixth victory on the season to become bowl eligible. But let's face it, outside of a slim victory over Arkansas, and a routing of Mercer, this team has dropped every other game going back to mid-September. They are just 1-6 in conference play this season, and no matter what, they still must face a defense that has been stellar this season yielding just 17.8 PPG. I look for the Crimson Tide and they're explosive aerial assault to absolutely pick apart the 75th-ranked Tigers pass defense. One thing for sure, ‘Bama knows how to win in big game situations.

11-29-25 Texas Tech -23 v. West Virginia 49-0 Win 100 4 h 42 m Show

Texas Tech.

Texas Tech will come in here well-rested having come off a bye week, and with a victory here today, they will earn their first ever spot in the conference championship game, and basically clinch a spot in the CFP. The Red Raiders are 10-1 SU this season covering nine of those 11 games. As a matter of fact, during their current four-game win Streak, the average margin of victory has been by 32.0 PPG. They currently rank fifth overall in the polls, and there are some tough matchups today with some of the teams that are ranked in the top-five. Anything could happen, my friends. But this game is an early game, and they need to win with authority. West Virginia is a train wreck at 4-7 SU this season ranking 110th in scoring, and getting steamrolled for nearly 30 points per game (29.2 PPG). They just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Texas Tech averages over 42.6 PPG and will absolutely pick apart the very lax defense of their opponent here. On the opposite side of the line of scrimmage, the Red Raiders are holding teams to suggest 12.3 PPG. They will completely shut down the Mountaineers offense.

11-28-25 San Diego State -115 v. New Mexico 17-23 Loss -115 6 h 39 m Show

SD State.

San Diego State took nine consecutive meetings over New Mexico, before last season’s home loss, 21-16. The Aztec control their own destiny at the top of the Mountain West standings, and if they win here this week, they will host next week's championship game. The Lobos have played good football recently, riding a five-game win streak. You're gonna’ see a lot of running in this game by both teams, but both defenses are very difficult to run against. Big difference in this matchup, is mistakes and defense. San Diego state is only turned the ball over 10 times while New Mexico has coughed the ball up a whopping 21 times, and I just don't see the Lobos keeping pace on the scoreboard against one of the stingiest and nastiest defenses in college football.

11-28-25 Georgia v. Georgia Tech +14 16-9 Win 100 6 h 32 m Show

Georgia Tech.

It's true, the Bulldogs have dominated the Yellow Jackets taking seven consecutive meetings straight up, but Georgia Tech has covered three straight. They also enter this matchup playing some good football. With all respect to Georgia, I feel they're overvalued here. Yes, I know the Georgia Tech defense leaves a lot to be desired. But they have a one of the most explosive running attacks in the nation, and will give their opponent a heavy dose of their ground game. Believe it or not, they average more points than their arrival does. They know the game plan, they'll stick to it, and they will cover.

11-28-25 Air Force -125 v. Colorado State 42-21 Win 100 5 h 56 m Show

Air Force.

A season ago, on their own field, the Falcons took a heartbreaking 21-13 loss to the Rams. This followed a seven-game domination by Air Force the previous seven matchup. I feel they will come in here motivated looking for some revenge. Now both teams have been eliminated from any postseason opportunities. But we all know Colorado State is a trainwreck making the news again this week. I look for the Falcons and the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack to control the clock here, and absolutely decimate the Rams 126th ranked run defense.

11-28-25 Ole Miss -7 v. Mississippi State 38-19 Win 100 2 h 50 m Show

Mississippi.

Mississippi has an outside shot at reaching the SEC championship game, but a few things must happen that is beyond their control, along with them winning here today. That is certainly something they can control. The visitor in this storied matchup is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. I don't have any concerns worrying about ‘Ole Miss lighting up the scoreboard against their old rival, Mississippi State. I mentioned the Rebels have a chance at the conference title, but without question, a big dominating victory here today would ensure them a spot in the CFP. Their opponent has it getting plowed in recent games, yielding 41, 31, 23, 45, 35, 41, 49 points in consecutive outings. The well-balanced Mississippi offense, will move the chains with ease on the ground, allowing them to open up their passing game, and light up to scoreboard.

11-22-25 BYU -148 v. Cincinnati 26-14 Win 100 11 h 7 m Show

BYU.

Sitting at 6-1 in Big 12 play, the Cougars have a chance at the conference title, or at least a share of it. After this week, they have the Knights of Central Florida on deck and they can certainly win out. But it all starts with a victory here. They took the most recent matchup with the Bearcats, two seasons ago 35-27, to give them victories in all three matchups against today's opponent over the last decade. Oh, by the way, they also covered all three of those as well. Speaking of which, Cincinnati has now lost and failed to cover their last two games, in which their explosive offense has been quieted significantly. Their defense has been exploited, and this matchup just does not look good for them. They're going up against one of the best defenses in the nation, an and I doubt very much they're going to be able to slow down let alone stop the BYU well-balanced “O”.

11-22-25 Arizona State -7 v. Colorado 42-17 Win 100 11 h 39 m Show

Arizona State.

This is an ideal situation for Arizona State, which is running very very hot. The Sun Devils have won their last two games and enter today's matchup to face one of the worst teams in the Big 12, the Buffaloes. Colorado has dropped three in a row both SU/ATS, as they have lost by an average margin of 29.3 PPG during their current slide. ASU has Arizona on deck to finish out their regular season, and can certainly up their stock with a big win here. On both sides of the ball, they outclass their opponent here today.

11-22-25 Tennessee -3.5 v. Florida 31-11 Win 100 11 h 42 m Show

Tennessee.

Tennessee took last season's meeting in overtime, 23-17. As a matter fact, they've taken two of the last three matchups straight up. Yes, Florida has covered four in a row in this rivalry, but this isn't the same Gators team we are used to seeing. And let's be honest, playing at The Swamp isn't as big of an advantage as it used to be. Florida comes in here riding a three-game straight up losing streak, and overall, sporting just three victories on the campaign. With a big victory here, the Volunteers can certainly up their stock, and with the Commodores up next, this team can finish the season with nine victories. There's no way Florida can keep pace on the scoreboard with the second-ranked scoring offense in the nation.

11-22-25 California -160 v. Stanford 10-31 Loss -160 10 h 57 m Show

California.

Sports friends, this game is off by quite a few points. I don't care that Stanford's only bright spot of 2025 is the fact that they've won three of their four home games, they enter today's matchup on a three-game slide. The Golden Bears are very golden, taking four consecutive meetings in this series over there California rival. This is a team that got their first win following a couple of tough losses in their last outing, on the road 29-26 over the Louisville Cardinals. I don't see them in a letdown situation. I see them riding that momentum into another big road victory.

11-22-25 Nebraska +7.5 v. Penn State 10-37 Loss -108 10 h 56 m Show

Nebraska.

I know there's a lot of excitement surrounding Penn State over recent weeks as they played a tight game against Indiana, and then got their first victory in over two months last week against Michigan State. However, this team still doesn’t have the talent or the depth to lay this type of wood, especially at this point in the season. Nebraska comes off a big victory on the road at UCLA a few weeks back, and had a week off to rest and prepare for this matchup. Going back a while, they have dominated this rivalry, winning and covering four of the last five meetings. I doubt very much the Nittany Lions and their lackluster passing attack is going to have any luck against the third-ranked pass defense in the nation. So, they're going to have to move the chains on the ground. It's going to be a slow tempo game here, and it's just way too many points to give a very hungry, very talented, under the radar Cornhusker's opponent.

11-22-25 Colorado State v. Boise State -16.5 21-49 Win 100 10 h 50 m Show

Boise State.

Coming off back-to-back losses for the first time and as far back as I can remember, Boise State must come out here today and win big. They are 6-4 overall, which does include a 4-2 record in conference play. They must win out their last two regular season games, and they must win out with authority. Following this game against Colorado State, they play Utah State. So, in all sincerity, they can win out, and they can win out with authority. The Rams are one of the worst teams in the nation in just about every category on both sides of the ball averaging, just 18.0 points per game and giving up nearly 30 points per game (27.9 PPG). They are riding a four-game straight up losing streak in which they've only covered one of those games, and go into Boise to face a team that dominates visitors on their own field. The Broncos are 4-1 straight up at home in 2025, and in the four victories in their own stadium, they have won by an average of 26.2 PPG.

11-22-25 Connecticut -6.5 v. Florida Atlantic 48-45 Loss -110 7 h 34 m Show

Connecticut.

The Huskies are playing great football winning three in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, and covering six of their last seven. They have way too much on both sides of the ball for the lowly Owls, which they took down last season, 48-14. No reason why this season's matchup would be any different.

11-22-25 Tulsa v. Army -9.5 26-25 Loss -110 3 h 28 m Show

Army.

The Black Knights are looking for their sixth victory to become bowl eligible, and with UTSA and Navy remaining on their regular season schedule, they need a victory right now. The fourth-ranked rushing attack of the Black Knights will absolutely destroy the 100th ranked run defense of the “not so” golden, Golden Hurricanes. That would be enough for me here, but the Army defense which has contributed to their four victories over the last five games, holding those four opponents to an average of 12.5 points per game will absolutely shut down the very poor offense of Tulsa.

11-22-25 Minnesota +4 v. Northwestern 35-38 Win 100 2 h 18 m Show

Minnesota.

Northwestern is struggling at the wrong time, losing three straight outings. They face in Minnesota team that plays them very tough. Last year's matchup saw this game decided by three-points in overtime. Prior to that the Golden Gophers took three consecutive meetings in this rivalry. With Wisconsin up next for the visitor, they can certainly finish their regular season off winning out, and ending up with an 8-4 a record. On the other hand, Northwestern has Illinois on deck, and might be caught in a look ahead situation here. At the very least time I find this game to be a very competitive matchup. Certainly, a lot closer than the pointspread.