Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-16-20 | Blackhawks +127 v. Jets | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
39 Chicago at Winnipeg Blackhawks were good to us last night and we look to ride them again as a road underdog. Chicago got off to a fast lead last night and the team had its biggest offensive output of the season. Chicago is 2-1-1 on the season vs Winnipeg, with the lone loss coming one week ago on this ice. In that game the Blackhawks blew a 2-0 lead. Now playing with renewed confidence we will look for Chicago to tighten up the western playoff picture. PLAY CHICAGO |
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02-15-20 | Blackhawks +120 v. Flames | 8-4 | Win | 120 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
17 Chicago at Calgary Not a bad scheduling spot for the Black Hawks here. They have spent the last two nights in Calgary, while the Flames return home off a four game road trip. With Giordano out for the host the value is clearly on the road dog. PLAY CHICAGO |
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02-15-20 | Auburn v. Missouri +5.5 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
740 Auburn at Missouri The Tigers have played five overtimes combined in its last five games, all wins. Now Auburn steps down in class to face a Missouri team not ranked in the top 100. That’s after playing ten straight top 100 squads. If there ever was a flat spot for this club it’s tonight. Missouri has dropped 9 of its last 12 games, but is 9-3 SU at home this season. While the Tigers offense has struggled at times the defense has been very good. We like the home dog chances for the Tigers here. PLAY MISSOURI |
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02-15-20 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +4 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
622 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State Red Raiders are 2-4 SU on the road this season and beat the Cowboys 85-50 at home in the first meeting. Coming off an 88-42 blowout of TCU, the price will never be higher to back Texas Tech. Oklahoma State has dropped 12 of 17 so nobody is running to back the Cowboys here. But that provides value on the host. The earlier 35 point loss was by far its most embarrassing defeat of the season. After winning 3 of the last 6 overall we look for the host to take this to the wire. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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02-13-20 | Washington State +8 v. UCLA | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
695 Washington State at UCLA Cougars have struggled on the conference road, going winless thus far. But this team was able to beat the Bruins in overtime earlier in the conference season. While many will try to play the revenge angle here for the host, the value is on the visitor in this price range. Washington State takes great care of the ball and also forces turnovers, ranked 32nd and 42nd respectively in the country. UCLA has played better as of late, but we simply don’t trust the Bruins laying this chalk. PLAY WASHINGTON STATE |
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02-12-20 | Hawks -1.5 v. Cavs | 105-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
503 Atlanta at Cleveland The Hawks made a trade before the deadline to improve themselves in the future. This is a team staying under the national radar right now winning 7 of its last 15 games. Atlanta feels it now has the pieces in place to contend for a playoff spot in the future. Cleveland also brought in a new center, but it’s a feeling out period for the Cavs to see if Drummand is a fit before free agency. The Cavs have lost 18 of 21 as of late, and 13 of its last 14 games. The Cavaliers haven’t won a home game since beating these same Hawks way back in late December. Cleveland has been competitive in many games but find ways to lose. Basically tanking in winnable games. We look for that to continue tonight. PLAY ATLANTA |
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02-11-20 | Celtics +2.5 v. Rockets | 105-116 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
585 Boston at Houston The Rockets continue to struggle to find the right combinations without a big man in the lineup. Now it must face off against one of the most talented teams in the league, playing very well at the moment. Houston plays a sticky brand of basketball. Which means the person with the ball doesn’t make the extra pass to an open player. That’s not the case at all in Boston where the Celtics are the best as finding openings in the defense. Wrong team favored here. PLAY BOSTON |
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02-11-20 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Illinois | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
631 Michigan State at Illinois This is traditionally the time of year when the Spartans start to play their best ball. But after losing three straight games the onus is on this squad tonight. Coming off a loss to instate rival Michigan, we expect a superior effort tonight from the visitor. Ranking in the Top 20 in both offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency, this team beat the Illini by 20 in early January. Better team gets it done tonight. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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02-11-20 | Lightning v. Penguins -115 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
28 Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh After a playoff revenge victory in overtime at Columbus last night, we will look to fade the Lightning here. Pittsburgh is home, rested and playing some of its best ball of the season. Important game for the host who trails Tampa Bay by 4 points in the standings. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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02-10-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +140 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
18 Tampa Bay at Columbus How much is playoff revenge worth? That’s what we have to ask here as the Lightning face the Blue Jackets for the first time since being swept in the playoffs. While the obvious motivation is there for Tampa Bay, Columbus also has something to prove after losing all six regular season meetings a year ago. Seth Jones is out for Columbus, but as we see all the time players pick up the slack the first game after an injury. Tampa Bay is sitting at 75 points on the season and 8-1-1 its last 10. Columbus is at 69 points on the season and 8-1-1 in its last 10. So why are the Lightning such a prohibitive favorite on the road? Playoff revenge, but its completely inflated in this case. We back the home dog at a really nice price here. PLAY COLUMBUS |
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02-10-20 | Wolves +9.5 v. Raptors | 126-137 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
565 Minnesota at Toronto With the massive personnel shakeup in Minnesota the Timberwolves not only look, by played like a different team Saturday against the Clippers. A 142-115 blowout victory. The locker room was lit with all the new excitement from the acquisitions. After breaking a 13 game losing streak the players are finally excited to get back out on the court and prove themselves once again. Toronto on the other hand is riding a 14 game winning streak into this contest. The Raptors just survived a 119-118 win over Brooklyn, and have the Nets on deck again on Wednesday in the final game before the All-Star break. Just can’t see this team getting up for this Minnesota team that has been dreadful all season. Too many points to lay when the visitor will supply all the energy. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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02-09-20 | Clippers -5.5 v. Cavs | 133-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
555 LA Clippers at Cleveland The Clippers are coming off an embarrassing loss in which it allowed a season high 142 points to a Minnesota team playing with virtually all new players. That’s about as bad as it could get. Leonard is sitting tonight which is why this line has been bet down. But we don’t trust this Cleveland offense which will be bringing in a new addition at center, that will play major minutes. There will be a feeling out period and we simply don’t trust Cleveland to be competitive in this setting. The Cavs also have one of the worst home court advantages in the league. PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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02-08-20 | Virginia +7.5 v. Louisville | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
673 Virginia at Louisville This number is awfully high considering how these two play defense. With a total in the 114 range we will gladly take the points with the #1 defense in college basketball. The Cavaliers are 2-3 SU against Top 50 opposition this season, and have held every opponent to 70 points or less. Louisville is on a 9 game winning streak and sit at 11-1 in conference. Coming off five straight games of 77 points or more the Cardinals will have a much tougher time offensively here. Despite the gaudy 20-3 record Louisville is only 2-3 SU vs Top 50 opposition. With just one win being higher than this current number. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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02-08-20 | Purdue v. Indiana -2.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
642 Purdue at Indiana Trailing the Boilermakers in the standings, and coming in having lost three straight, this is a must win game for the host. Just two home losses on the season for Indiana. Purdue has won back to back games including a blowout of Iowa by 36 points last time out. But before that this team lost 5 of 7. The Boilermakers are only 2-6 SU on the road this year. Lay it with the Hoosiers. PLAY INDIANA |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
526 Portland at Utah The Blazers are playing great ball right now winning 5 of 6 including a 124-107 home win over these Jazz. But Portland is playing its second game of a back to back and third game in four days. To make matters worse they played the first game in altitude at Denver, flew home to host the Spurs, and now play unrested in altitude again. The Blazers are just 2-6 ATS playing in Utah. Unlike the Blazers the Jazz are really struggling right now having lost five straight games, including two straight on this normally strong home court. Utah is well rested having played just once in the past five days. The Jazz are the better team desperate for a win while Portland is in a terrible scheduling situation. There is a reason why this line seems high, because it should be even higher. PLAY UTAH |
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02-06-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -9 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
506 Philadelphia at Milwaukee The Sixers will be shorthanded tonight as the trade assets will be out of the lineup. In the only other meeting this season Philadelphia pounded the Bucks 121-109 on Christmas Day. Milwaukee was a virtual no show in that nationally televised game. So we expect the Bucks to have this game circled. This is the only game in a three game span for the host, while Philadelphia hosts Memphis tomorrow. If the Sixers fall behind early with this limited bench, look for Philadelphia to raise the white flag late. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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02-06-20 | Golden Knights -123 v. Panthers | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
41 Las Vegas at Florida The Knights outplayed the opposition last time out and still lost 4-2. But the eye test continues to show how much better this team is playing after the break. The team is getting less penalties and has been terrific when killing off said penalties. Florida has a better record but is a home dog in this game tonight. And that’s for good reason as the Panthers are not playing nearly as well as earlier in the season. Lay the small number with a team staying under the national radar. PLAY LAS VEGAS |
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02-05-20 | UNLV v. Utah State -10.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
842 UNLV at Utah State The Rebels are 1-9 straight up on the season against top 100 opposition. The lone victory was a 70-53 blowout over this Utah State squad. UNLV has just two road victories on the season and both went to overtime. Turnovers have been a problem all season ranking 281st offensively and 277th defensively. Utah State is 70th in offensive turnovers. This is a team ranking in the top 60 both in offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency. After falling apart late in its showdown contest at San Diego State, we expect a fired up host here. The Aggies only home loss on the season came against the undefeated San Diego State team. PLAY UTAH STATE |
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02-04-20 | Xavier v. DePaul -1 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
632 Xavier at DePaul The Musketeers had been cruising to an 11-2 record before Big East play. Now with the tougher schedule Xavier has dropped 5 of its last 7. The Saturday win at Seton Hall was just the second straight up road win of the season. While Xavier’s defense has traveled well this team ranks 289th in the nation in three point accuracy. That and a 319th ranked free throw percentage will likely come in to play here. Very similar to Xavier, DePaul feasted on non-conference competition, but sits at 1-8 in Big East play. But only two of those defeats came by double digits. This is a team on a four game losing streak that has road trips to Georgetown and Creighton on deck. This is a must win game for the host, and we expect its best effort of the conference season. PLAY DEPAUL |
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02-03-20 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Florida State | Top | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
861 North Carolina at Florida State Now that the Tar Heels are getting healthy we want to look to back North Carolina in these type of situations. While the Tar Heels have gotten better, the wins haven’t come around. Two overtime losses and a one point loss to Boston College last time out keep this team out of the press. But that gives us plenty of value here against a #5 rated team we have ranked 20th. While Florida State is 9-3 SU against top 100 opposition, wins have come by margins of 3, 3, 4 and 1 point. This is a team that is getting favorable bounces going 7-2 in close games. The Tar Heels have the talent to take this to the wire. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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02-01-20 | Oregon v. Stanford +2.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
752 Oregon at Stanford Oregon has played five top 40 teams on the season with a 3-2 record including a win by 2 and an overtime win by 1. Despite the 18-4 record these two teams are much closer in talent. The Cardinal have dropped three straight games by a combined 11 points. This is a team that has lost on this court just twice all season. They are also 16-6 ATS vs divisional rivals on this court. PLAY STANFORD |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers -9 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
516 Minnesota at LA Clippers The Timberwolves are on a ten game losing streak with 5 of the last 6 losses coming at home. This is a team that started the season well but has had separate 10 and 11 game losing streaks since December. Minnesota is 1-15 SU on the season vs top 10 opponents. The Clippers are coming off an embarrassing showing in a 21 point home loss to the Kings. After the game the players were very testy with the media, so we would expect a solid showing. LA is also 22-7 ATS off a SU loss. Lay it! PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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01-31-20 | Blazers v. Lakers OVER 230 | Top | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
513 Portland at LA Lakers The Blazers are playing a faster pace as of late with 20.4 more points the last five than the season average. Offensively the Blazers have scored 125, 139, 125 and 129 the last four outings. In two previous meetings these two combined for 249 and 248. The Lakers had its lowest scoring output of the season last time out in a 108-91 loss to Philadelphia. With tonight being a celebration of Kobe, I would expect this game to be played free and easy. Tonight will be a spectacle and we expect a lot of scoring. PLAY OVER |
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01-30-20 | 76ers v. Hawks +7 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
574 Philadelphia at Atlanta Tough scheduling spot for the Sixers who face Boston, Miami and Milwaukee within the next week. Philly is 1-7 ATS its last eight visits to Atlanta. In fact, the Sixers are just 3-12 ATS overall against the Hawks. This team has also lost outright in 7 of its last 9 games overall on the road. Atlanta is actually playing good ball right now, winning 4 of its last 8 games. Nice spot play for the host. PLAY ATLANTA |
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01-29-20 | Baylor -3.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
847 Baylor at Iowa State Surprised this number is available considering how dominant the Bears have been on the road. Undefeated on true road courts this season, and no lookahead with TCU at home on Saturday. Baylor beat Iowa State at home 68-55 just two weeks ago. The Bears rank 21st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 4th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Baylor is dominant on the offensive boards at 5th in the country. Iowa State has already lost three times at home this season, including a defeat to Florida A&M. This squad has also lost 6 of 8 overall with the wins coming against the Oklahoma schools. While the offense is 41st in adjusted offensive efficiency, the defense ranks 140th. The Cyclones are 291st keeping the opposition off the offensive glass. That is the telling stat here as the Bears should dominate down low offensively. This is a cheap number. PLAY BAYLOR |
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01-28-20 | Blues +108 v. Flames | 5-4 | Win | 108 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
085 St Louis at Calgary We went against the Blues last night with success. Tonight we look to back St Louis with a game under their belt and Binnington in the net. St Louis as we pointed out yesterday, had a tough weekend with the All-Star game being at home. Now on the road against a squad who hasn’t played in a week, gives the visitor the advantage. PLAY ST LOUIS |
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01-27-20 | Blues v. Canucks +110 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
080 St Louis at Vancouver With the All-Star game being in St Louis it had to be a distraction to the players and their regular routines. Tough to jump back into it on the road against a hot squad. Vancouver have won 4 of 5 overall and are on an 11-3 run. The Canucks haven’t lost at home in eight straight games. PLAY VANCOUVER |
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01-25-20 | Pacific v. Gonzaga -20.5 | 59-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
794 Pacific at Gonzaga While the Tigers look to be a pretty good team based on a 15-7 record, the truth is they are 3-7 against top 200 opposition. They are 4-3 SU on the road but the best team it played away from home is 120th ranked UC Irvine. Gonzaga is 20-1 on the season and was just knocked out of the #1 spot despite not losing a game. We expect the Zags to take no prisoners the rest of the way in the West Coast Conference. We saw some of that the last two outings with a 23 point win over BYU and a 50 point blowout of Santa Clara. Lay it with the team on a mission. PLAY GONZAGA |
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01-25-20 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State -2 | 58-55 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
650 Southern Illinois at Illinois State The Salukis sit at 4-3 in conference after back to back home wins over Drake and Northern Iowa. But this is a team that is 0-7 on the road this season. Southern Illinois is a pretty good defensive team that struggles on the offensive end. They haven’t reached 70 points in eight straight games. Illinois State is desperate for a victory having lost six straight entering play today. But it has two winnable home games with Southern Illinois and Evansville. The Redbirds are a good three point shooting team who should have a solid advantage playing at home. Lay it with the Redbirds. PLAY ILLINOIS STATE |
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01-25-20 | LSU v. Texas | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
626 LSU at Texas All is right for the Tigers right now with a seven game winning streak. But a closer look shows how lucky this team has been. Five straight victories by a total of 13 points with one of those games going to overtime. LSU has an excellent offense, especially around the basket. But offense doesn’t work as well normally on the road. Texas is 2-4 in conference and have lost back to back games against West Virginia and Kansas. Playing LSU is actually a step down in class for the Longhorns. Must win game for the host, against a fat and happy Tigers squad. PLAY TEXAS |
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01-24-20 | St. Peter's v. Rider -6 | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
862 St Peters at Rider The Peacocks have dropped 3 of 4 as of late but blew out Quinnipiac on the road last Saturday. Now 3-6 SU on the road this season. Saint Peter’s is an excellent offensive rebounding team ranking 8th in the country. But very weak offensively at 331st in effective field goal percentage, and bad holding onto the ball at 348th. The Broncs of Rider have lost 6 of 8 and sit at 3-4 in conference. This looks like a must win game for the host. Rider is 4-1 SU at home this year with the lone loss being the last time it played at Alumni Gymnasium. While St Peter’s is great in offensive rebounding, that plays directly into what Rider does best, hit the glass. The Broncs are 60th in offensive rebounding, and 8th in the country keeping opposing teams off the offensive glass. Rider is also extremely good getting to the line and keeping opponents from getting to the strike. We look for Rider to take advantage of a solid home court here and get back in the win column. PLAY RIDER |
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01-23-20 | Texas-San Antonio +9.5 v. North Texas | 78-98 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
637 UTSA at North Texas The Roadrunners had a tough non-conference slate, losing to the likes of Oklahoma, Utah State and Oregon State. But that strengthend this teams resolve as UTSA has won 8 of 12 as of late. At 3-3 in Conference USA play, and with three straight winnable games after this, the Roadrunners could set themselves up pretty well with a win here. North Texas is 6-1 in conference and have won six straight. Coming off a 20 point victory over Rice, this team looks prone for a letdown. While the Mean Green are a very good scoring team, it ranks 322nd in turnovers and 323rd in free throw rate. The line shows the host to be significantly better, but our numbers disagree. PLAY UTSA |
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01-23-20 | Jacksonville v. Lipscomb -3 | 89-85 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
240 Jacksonville at Lipscomb The Dolphins have dropped 6 of 7 and are 1-4 in the Atlantic Sun Conference. This is one of the worst offenses in college basketball. Ranking 339th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 316th in effective field goal percentage. This is also a club that turns the ball over (297th) and doesn’t force turnovers (327th). Lipscomb has dropped three straight and is now 2-4 in conference play. The weakness of the Bisons is defense as they rank 328th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Despite a 7-12 overall record this team is an acceptable 4-3 at home. This is a cheap number considering Jacksonville’s inability to put points on the board. PLAY LIPSCOMB |
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01-23-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Oakland | 80-50 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
613 Illinois Chicago at Oakland After an 0-7 start on the road the Flames tasted victory for the first time Saturday at IUPUI. That’s back to back wins which puts this team at 3-4 in conference. The Flames rank 65th in defending the perimeter at 30.5%. Oakland has been on a terrible 3-11 run, including 1-3 straight up at home. At 2-5 this is a must win game for the Golden Grizzlies. The question is if this team is up for it. Oakland is 334th shooting from the perimeter, that has been the Achilles heel for this club. Tough to lay points with a team that turns the ball over at 308th, and can’t score from three. PLAY ILLINOIS CHICAGO |
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01-22-20 | Georgetown v. Xavier -4 | Top | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
782 Georgetown at Xavier Hoyas have dropped 4 of 6 lately, along with three straight on the road. Georgetown ranks 288th defending the three, which is always a concern on the road. At 1-4 in conference and off three straight losses, you know you will get a full effort from the host. Really like this defense which ranks 38th defending the three, and 68th against 2 point attempts. We expect this Xavier defense to clamp down and get this team back in the win column. PLAY XAVIER |
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01-20-20 | Lakers -2 v. Celtics | Top | 107-139 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
519 LA Lakers at Boston Lakers enter play having won 10 of 11. Only loss was a one point defeat at the hands of the Magic. LA is rested having only played once the past four days. The Celtics have not only lost 6 of 8, but have held the majority lead in 3 of those contests. On the season Boston has lead for the majority of games 25 times, so you can tell this team is struggling right now. PLAY LA LAKERS |
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01-20-20 | Bulls v. Bucks -14.5 | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
510 Chicago at Milwaukee The Bulls have lost all three meetings with the Bucks this season. And it makes all the sense in the world. Chicago is a young team that finds was to lose, while the Bucks find ways to win. We like the talent on this Chicago roster, but until it plays much more consistently it’s hard to back. Milwaukee has not only won its last six games, but have held an average of a double digit lead in five straight. And still the coaching staff complained about its lack of discipline in giving away big leads. That won’t be the case here, especially with the next three days off. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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01-18-20 | Utah +7 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
807 Utah at Arizona The Utes have lost 4 of its last 5 games. But those contests were against San Diego State, Oregon, Colorado and Arizona, all top 20 programs. Now the Utes step down in class to take on an Arizona State team we rank 94th in the nation. Utah is 36th in the country in offensive effective field goal percentage, and 4th in defensive free throw rating. This is a quality team despite the overall record. Arizona State has yet to beat a team in the top 55, so we can’t see this team pulling away from Utah. Especially considering its the 297th shooting 3 point percentage unit. PLAY UTAH |
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01-18-20 | Indiana v. Nebraska +6.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
770 Indiana at Nebraska The Hoosiers have dropped 3 of its last 5 and sit at 3-3 in league play. Indiana is also winless on the road this season dropping all three contests. This club is 307th in the country in 3 point shooting, which makes it tough to lay a number with on the road. Nebraska is 7th in the nation in offensive turnover percentage, so the Hoosiers will not get many easy baskets. At 2-4 in conference this is a must win game for the Huskers with trips to Wisconsin and Rutgers on deck. PLAY NEBRASKA |
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01-18-20 | Nebraska-Omaha -4.5 v. Denver | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
677 Nebraska Omaha at Denver Omaha is a team that lives and dies by the perimeter. Ranking 68th in 3 point shooting and 301st in defending the three. This club is 3-1 in conference play with the lone loss coming last time out at South Dakota, a 91-81 defeat. While many will look at the 1-8 SU record on the road. A closer look sees that this team has been extremely tested playing at Wichita State, Dayton, St Mary’s and Arizona. Denver at 4-15 is a bad basketball team. Especially on the offensive end of the court. Ranking 339th in offensive adjusted efficiency and 350th in offensive rebounding percentage. This is a get right game for the visitor. PLAY NEBRASKA OMAHA |
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01-18-20 | Dartmouth +12 v. Harvard | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
635 Dartmouth at Harvard The first of back to back games for these two. The Crimson have reeled off six straight wins entering Saturday action, and the team is undefeated on its home court. That said this line is a bit inflated based on the talent of these two clubs. Harvard ranks 305th in defending from the perimeter, which keeps a dog of this size live. Dartmouth is also an excellent defensive rebounding team, so it’s likely one and done for the host. Just too many points to lay in this one. PLAY DARTMOUTH |
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01-18-20 | Detroit v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
620 Detroit at Green Bay The Titans have just one road victory on the season. That win came on Thursday as Detroit beat Milwaukee 90-84. This is a club that ranks badly in just about every individual category. Including 312th in defensive adjusted efficiency and 320th in offensive effective field goal percentage. Green Bay doesn’t turn the ball over, ranking 13th in the nation. It’s also a very good shooting team at 46th in 3 point accuracy. We look for the Phoenix to use their solid free throw shooting to extend a second half lead. PLAY GREEN BAY |
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01-17-20 | Furman -3 v. Wofford | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
859 Furman at Wofford Big fan of this Furman offense which ranks 15th in effective field goal percentage. It’s also a team that forces turnovers but doesn’t turn the ball over themselves. This club dominates in the paint ranking 5th in the nation in 2 point shooting percentage. Wofford has a solid home court advantage, but ranks 300th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Going up against this Furman offense won’t be easy. The host also struggles to get to the line ranking 318th, so late game foul shots may not be there in a close game. PLAY FURMAN |
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01-17-20 | Wisconsin +9.5 v. Michigan State | 55-67 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
861 Wisconsin at Michigan State It’s well known by now how well home teams have done in the Big 10 Conference. They have dominated league play thus far, but now is the time to fade those inflated prices. Wisconsin only has two straight up losses on the road this year, at NC State and Rutgers. With wins at Tennessee, Ohio State and Penn State. The Badgers are 26th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. While Michigan State is coming off an embarrassing 29 point loss at Purdue, this club is only 5-4 SU vs top 60 opposition. In what we expect to be a defensive struggle this is way too many points to give. PLAY WISCONSIN |
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01-16-20 | Magic +11.5 v. Clippers | 95-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
527 Orlando at LA Clippers Nice momentum play on the Magic here after knocking off the Lakers yesterday. Orlando has been playing outstanding ball cashing five straight games. The Clippers are coming off a blowout of the Cavaliers, and leave for a six game road trip after this contest. LA may be more preoccupied here with the travel arrangements after being home 6 of the last 7 contests. While Orlando stays on the road for two more games after this encounter. PLAY ORLANDO |
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01-16-20 | CS Sacramento +7 v. Northern Colorado | 52-71 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Now on a 16-2 College Basketball run after sweeping our two releases yesterday. Thursday we continue our hard court dominance with a west coast best bet. Join us as we continue to see these games extremely well. |
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01-16-20 | Southern Illinois +10 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 48-64 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
637 Southern Illinois at Loyola Chicago The visitor has really struggled on the road this season, but that said this line is extremely high. Coming off a blowout loss at Bradley, we find great value on the underdog here. At 7-2 SU at home and coming off a 34 point domination of Evansville, this line is extremely inflated. Value play on the dog here. PLAY SOUTHERN ILLINOIS |
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01-15-20 | Xavier v. Marquette -3 | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
826 Xavier at Marquette The Musketeers are 0-4 SU against top 40 opposition, and are coming off back to back home losses to Creighton and Seton Hall. This is a poor shooting club from the perimeter, which makes it hard to win away from home. Marquette has lost 3 of 4 as of late, as this becomes a must win game for the host. Unlike its opponent, this team ranks 5th in the country in 3 point shooting. PLAY MARQUETTE |
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01-15-20 | Pistons v. Celtics -10 | Top | 116-103 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
504 Detroit at Boston Want no part of the Pistons right now who have dropped 12 of 15 ATS as of late. The team has only held the majority lead against the weaklings of Washington, Golden State and Cleveland. Boston has righted the ship with back to back solid wins, and have a trip to Milwaukee on deck. That may normally mean a lookahead, but we like this deep Boston squad. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-15-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers -3 | 50-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
796 Indiana at Rutgers Hoosiers sit at 13-3 on the season and are off back to back wins over Ohio State and Northwestern. But a closer look shows Indiana only playing two try road games. A 20 point loss at Wisconsin and a 16 point loss at Maryland. Rutgers has an excellent defense, and is undefeated on this home court this season. PLAY RUTGERS |
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01-14-20 | San Diego State -7 v. Fresno State | 64-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
647 San Diego State at Fresno State The undefeated Aztecs have been especially impressive on the road. Road margins have been by 5, 17, 22, 9 and 20 points. San Diego State has played three top 30 teams overall and won by 5 at BYU, 31 on a neutral vs Creighton, and 10 on a neutral vs Iowa. This team is just as good away as at home. Fresno ranks 312th in the country in forcing turnovers, so the Bulldogs are at a disadvantage against this talented team. At 4-3 at home on the season this club just doesn’t have the horses to compete in this one. PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE |
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01-14-20 | DePaul +9.5 v. Villanova | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
633 DePaul at Villanova The Blue Demons have started conference play 0-3. But have solid wins over Iowa, Minnesota and Texas Tech on the season. Defense travels and this Dave Leitao team is highly ranked in that regard. Villanove is 12-3 and looks solid once again, but this club doesn’t win by margins. Overall 4 of the last 5 wins have come by margins of 5, 6, 1 and 8 points. DePaul has the ability to slow down this Wildcat offense. PLAY DEPAUL |
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01-14-20 | Central Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
619 Central Michigan at Toledo The Chippewas are winless on the road which may be the reason why we are getting such a nice number here. But it did play Kent State within six points on Saturday, and the Golden Flashes are better than the Rockets. You tend to find great betting value later in the season going against non-conference trends, and we see that here. Toledo comes into this game dropping 5 of 6, and relies too heavily on perimeter shooting. Being at home should help, but it’s tough trusting a team to lay this many points without forcing turnovers. We expect this one to go down to the wire. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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01-13-20 | Coppin State +4.5 v. Florida A&M | 54-65 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
994 Coppin State at Florida A&M Coppin State rides into this contest with an 8 game losing streak. But have far easier chances for a victory the next couple Saturdays when facing North Carolina A&T and Morgan State. This club ranks 344th in 3 point shooting, which really should be tough to improve on playing on the road. Florida A&M is just 3-11 on the season but have won 3 of the last 5 outings. Five non-conference games against top 100 opposition has prepared this team well for league action. This is also just the second true home game of the year for the host. PLAY FLORIDA A&M |
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01-13-20 | North Carolina Central -6.5 v. Maryland-Eastern Shore | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
991 NC Central at Maryland Eastern Shore LaVelle Moton’s team comes into this contest at 5-11 on the season, and 1-1 in the MEAC. But this team has already faced 4 top 100 opponents. Defensive turnovers are big for this club as it ranks 27th in the country in defensive turnover percentage. MD Eastern Shore is 2-15 on the year, with victories over Clarks Summit and 349th ranked Howard. Offensively this club ranks 293rd in offensive rebounding percentage. And that’s the best category for this weak Clifford Reed squad. Central steps way down in class here and takes out some frustrations. PLAY NC CENTRAL |
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01-12-20 | Arizona v. Oregon State +4.5 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
848 Arizona at Oregon State The Wildcats started the year impressively with 9 straight victories, including wins over Illinois and New Mexico State. But Arizona has struggled as of late dropping 4 of its last 6 games. They are just 2-4 against top 100 opposition. This club is also winless on the road after dropping an overtime decision at Oregon on Thursday. Oregon State has one home loss this season, last time out against Arizona State. With a 1-2 conference record and a trip to Washington on deck, this is a must have game for the host. The Beavers are a terrific offensive team that ranks 28th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. We look for the host to pull the upset. PLAY OREGON STATE |
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01-12-20 | Wichita State -1.5 v. Connecticut | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
823 Wichita State at Connecticut The Shockers are 4-1 on the season vs top 100 opposition, including a 80-61 victory at Oklahoma State. This team has it all, a 41st ranked adjusted efficiency offense, and a 10th rated adjusted efficiency defense. Connecticut has dropped 2 0f 3 lately, including a 15 point loss at South Florida. The Huskies are 2-3 on the season vs top 100 opposition, and this is by far its toughest opponent. UConn is a very good defensive team, but offensively this team is lacking. Don’t feel the Huskies are up for the test today. PLAY WICHITA STATE |
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01-11-20 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
761 Kansas State at Texas This Kansas State defense travels. Ranking 40th in adjusted Efficiency, and 15th in defensive turnover percentage. This is a winless team in conference action. We just can’t trust Texas in the roll of a favorite. Especially in late game situations. The Longhorns are 314th in the country in free throw shooting, and 342nd drawing fouls. Texas is 1-4 straight up against top 100 opposition. PLAY KANSAS STATE |
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01-11-20 | Chicago State v. UT-Rio Grande Valley -19 | Top | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
784 Chicago State at UT Rio Grande Valley When you are a child your parents always tell you, if you can’t say something good about someone, don’t say anything. Well, Chicago state is 48th in the country in getting to the line and 71st in free throw percentage. So there you go. Grand Valley is 5-10 on the season and are a large favorite here. But this club has played nine teams rated in the top 200 in the country. The host has only lost once on this floor all season. While the records are somewhat similar, the talent advantage is sizable. PLAY UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY |
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01-11-20 | South Dakota State -2 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
757 South Dakota State at IPFW State has strong shooting numbers with a 31st ranked effective field goal percentage. They are also in the top 10 in the nation in 2 point shooting percentage. Fort Wayne rarely gets to the free throw line ranking 341st, and only shoot 64.9% from the stripe. After winning 2 of 3 against the likes of South Dakota, North Dakota and Western Illinois, this is a substantial step up in class for the host. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA STATE |
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01-11-20 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -4.5 | Top | 54-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
744 Texas Tech at West Virginia The Red Raiders have just two wins all season against top 100 opposition. They are also winless on the road this year as this is only the second true road game of the season for Texas Tech. West Virginia is undefeated at home with every game being decided by 5 points or more. This is also the first home game for the Mountaineers on four weeks, so we should get a really fired up crowd. PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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01-11-20 | VMI +19 v. East Tennessee State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
683 VMI at East Tennessee State VMI is not a good basketball team, but when looking at game scores this club is much better than its results. Let’s face it, nobody wants this team on the road after dropping three straight on its own home court. That gives us value here. After back to back tough opponents in Furman and UNC Greensboro, we can see this team looking past this VMI squad. Line is just too high to not take the hard trying road club. PLAY VMI |
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01-11-20 | Oakland -3 v. Cleveland State | Top | 68-55 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
659 Oakland at Cleveland State Oakland has dropped 7 of 8 but really step down in class against the Vikings. It beat a similar Detroit team by 9 in late December. Cleveland State is 3-1 in conference but have feasted on the other bottom tier teams in the league. Cleveland State is just 4-3 at home and ranks in the 330th range in all offensive categories. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-11-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Georgia State -12 | Top | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
640 UL Monroe at Georgia State Monroe has been terrible on the road with an 0-6 mark. The closest contest was a six point loss at Texas A&M. This squad struggles turning the ball over ranking 311th in the country. ULM is a good shooting team fro the perimeter but that’s something that hasn’t helped them on the road. Georgia State is not only great from 3 point range at 12th in the nation, but are 24th in defending from the perimeter. On an undefeated home court we look for a blowout. PLAY GEORGIA STATE |
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01-11-20 | DePaul v. St. John's -3 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
604 DePaul at St Johns DePaul has the better record, but the host is the better team. The Blue Demons feasted on questionable competition in the non-conference season. Mike Anderson’s squad specializes in taking care of the ball. Ranking 27th in not turning the ball over, and 22nd in forcing turnovers. This is also a team in the top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Starting the conference season at 0-3 this becomes a very important game for the host. Let’s lay the small number with St Johns. PLAY ST JOHNS |
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01-10-20 | Wright State -10 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
833 Wright State at IUPUI Wright State takes good care of the ball and is a solid offensive rebounding team. This club is unedited in true road games this season. The host has really struggled this year when stepping up in class. Against top 11 opposition this team has lost to Butler by 33, Bradley by 34, Loyola Chicago by 23 and Ball State by 48. PLAY WRIGHT STATE |
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01-08-20 | UNLV +6 v. Boise State | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
835 UNLV at Boise State Don’t look now but these Rebels ride into Boise on an impressive four game winning streak, winning every game by double digits. New coach TJ Otzelberger has this young team playing with confidence. This team ranks 13th in the country in offensive rebounding. The Rebels sit at 3-0 in Mountain West Conference play. Boise State comes in at 10-6 on the season, but sit just 2-2 in conference play. Other than the home overtime win over BYU in mid-November, this team hasn’t had an impressive win. With San Diego State on deck this is a must win game for the host. Which is why this line is inflated. Boise hasn’t shown us enough to trust them laying this amount of points. PLAY UNLV |
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01-08-20 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3 | 83-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
826 Seton Hall at Xavier The Pirates are having a solid season entering the game on a four game winning streak. But just a 1-3 record vs top 50 opposition. Seton Hall is also just 2-2 SU on the road. This is a very good defensive team, and defense travels, but this is a very tough environment for Kevin Willard’s squad. Xavier isn’t a team that relies on perimeter shooting, which makes them easier to handicap. You know on a given night what this team is going to give you. On an undefeated home court we really like this defensive squad. Cheap line in our viewpoint. PLAY XAVIER |
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01-08-20 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -4 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
790 Davidson at Rhode Island Not overly impressed with this Davidson team. Now 1-4 SU vs top 80 squads and one of the worst teams getting to the line. Davidson ranks 334th in free throw rate and 327th in offensive rebounding rate. Rhode Island is 59th in the country in defensive adjusted efficiency. They are also very good with the ball, forcing 21.5% turnovers while only turning the ball over 17.2%. Off back to back losses we like the Rams here. PLAY RHODE ISLAND |
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01-07-20 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 57-52 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
654 Baylor at Texas Tech The Bears are 11-1 on the season and have run off 10 straight winners. But it’s time to really see what Baylor is made of with back to back games against Texas Tech and Kansas. This is also the first true road game of the season for the Bears. The Red Raiders dropped three in a row earlier, with two coming in overtime. But this club gets better as the season goes on and we love the Texas Tech coaching staff. After already playing three top 30 teams, we expect the Red Raiders to be primed. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-06-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -7 | Top | 64-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
854 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina Simply can’t trust Monroe to score enough away from home. On the season this team has produced 57, 59, 45 and 36 points away from home. Too many turnovers and a poor offensive efficiency has led to this 6-7 overall record. Coastal ranks 10th in the country in 3 point percentage and is an excellent offensive rebounding team. Let’s lay it with the host. PLAY COASTAL CAROLINA |
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01-05-20 | Massachusetts +10.5 v. St. Louis | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
831 Massachusetts at St Louis UMass has dropped 7 of 8 but have played a very tough schedule. Virginia, St Johns, Rutgers, Yale and Akron to name a few. But this is still a team that shoots 36.0% from behind the line and forces turnovers at a 22.2% rate. St Louis is 11-3 but have feasted on lower division and weaker Division 1 opponents. When stepping up this team has lost to Seton Hall, Auburn and Duquesne. The best win on the season was by 3 points on a neutral against Kansas State, the 87th ranked team by our numbers. This line is simply too high. PLAY MASSACHUSETTS |
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01-04-20 | Pacers -7 v. Hawks | Top | 111-116 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
509 Indiana at Atlanta Pacers have dropped 3 of 4 as of late but trips to Atlanta and Charlotte should get this team right. Indiana is rested while Atlanta played yesterday in Boston. The Hawks have only covered once in a back to back situation this year, with more results ending in blowouts. With Collins expected out of the lineup for Atlanta tonight, we will back the Pacers to get back on track. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -2.5 | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 99 h 45 m | Show | |
142 Buffalo at Houston Buffalo played one of the easiest pass defense schedules in the country, and now take on what could be an explosive Texans pass offense. As of now Will Fuller on offense and JJ Watt defensively have not been cleared to play. But both players are expected to suit up this weekend. Looking at the Texans stats when those two players are on the field as opposed to off this season has been huge. To get Houston at home at less than a field goal, and with those two playing is one hell of a bargain. When they are announced in this line will rise to at least 3, with probably added juice. Word is both will be on the field, so we will grab this number now in anticipation of this number rising. PLAY HOUSTON |
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01-03-20 | Blazers v. Wizards +6.5 | 122-103 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
568 Portland at Washington The Trailblazers have dropped five straight heading into tonights contest. And with trips to Miami and Toronto on deck, this is the game Portland needs to have. That said, this line is simply too high to want to back the road team. The Portland defense has permitted 117, 122, 128 and 121 points the last four times out. Not something you like to see from a prohibitive road favorite. The Wizards have battled injuries the last few weeks but Beal has returned to the lineup. Which gives them a veteran force on the court. With Denver and Boston on the horizon, we would expect Beal to get a good amount of playing time tonight in a game the Wizards can win. Just too many points to give Washington at home. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-02-20 | Grizzlies +4 v. Kings | 123-128 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
559 Memphis at Sacramento The Grizzlies continue to be an afterthought in this league, but this is a money making squad. Now 9-3 ATS the last 12 games and 9-3 finishing with an average lead in those contests. Memphis is learning how to win as you would expect from a young team. But unlike others in the league the time is now for the Grizzlies. The Kings have finished with an average lead in only 4 of its last 19 games. This is a team that is not only failing to win, it’s failing to play from ahead. Sacramento has dropped eight straight games and is installed as a home favorite here. We just don’t see it. With New Orleans, Golden State and Phoenix on deck the Kings could get right in a hurry, but not tonight. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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01-02-20 | Jazz v. Bulls +4 | 102-98 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
554 Utah at Chicago While the standings show the Jazz winning 7 of 9, our numbers show they have not been overly impressive. In only four of those games did they end the contest with the lead for the majority of the game. And only twice in the last 16 contests have the Jazz finished with an average lead higher than the point spread. Utah has just been fortunate to win four games in which the average lead in the game was by the opposition. The Bulls are a young team that has played much better than its record this year. The problem has been turning those in-game leads into victories. But that’s getting better and better as the season has unfolded. Chicago has ended games with an average lead 10 of the last 14 games. The Bulls are 7-7 straight up in those contests. Much better than earlier in the season when Chicago fell apart down the stretch. PLAY CHICAGO |
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12-31-19 | Texas v. Utah -7 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
262 Texas at Utah We have made steady money all season long betting against these Longhorns. This was the most overrated team in the country heading into the season. On the other hand Utah was a team we focused on backing before the season even started. Now we get the best matchup we could ask for in the bowl season. Texas has played the tougher schedule at #4 as opposed to #49. But that’s the only advantage for the Longhorns. When looking at yards per play differentials on the season Texas is 0.0. Allowing the exact same amount as they produce. That’s 75th in the country. Utah on the other hand is plus 2.5, which equates to #6 in the country. Coming into the season who do you think would be happy to play in this bowl? Obviously not the Longhorns who had higher aspirations. Sure Utah had the chance to play in the final four if it beat Oregon, but coming into the season this bowl would have been a nice reward for the Utes. Throw in the fact that the Utah head coach is terrific in bowl games and we find ourselves once again fading this Texas team. PLAY UTAH |
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12-29-19 | Blackhawks +140 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 140 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Chicago at Columbus Columbus has been on a solid run as of late despite its current rash of injuries. That said, this line is simply too high for the Blackhawks team playing well themselves. Chicago has been outstanding on the penalty kill as of late, converting 12 straight stops while undermanned. Solid value on the road dog here. PLAY CHICAGO |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens +2 | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 75 h 48 m | Show |
118 Pittsburgh at Baltimore If these two teams were both playing its starters we would have made the Ravens likely a nine point favorite. But yet because of the must win factor the Steelers are a two point favorite. That’s a conservative 11 point swing because the Ravens are resting some starters. That’s a huge overreaction. Pittsburgh is playing with a third string quarterback that has really struggled as of late. Baltimore on the other hand has a backup veteran behind center, in an offense that should let him play to his best abilities. This is a heated rivalry and you know the Ravens players would love to knock the Steelers out of an playoff possibilities. It’s also a huge coaching mismatch in favor of the home underdog. PLAY BALTIMORE |
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12-29-19 | Browns v. Bengals +3 | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
104 Cleveland at Cincinnati These two teams met just three weeks ago and the Browns came away with a 27-19 home victory. But giving that game a closer look we see that the Bengals had 118 more yards, and fared better in the running game. Looking at game scores Cincinnati posted an 83.8 while Cleveland had a 75.5. The Browns are a dysfunctional squad that entered the season with great expectations. Now they are just playing out the string. Cincinnati on the other hand showed its heart by forcing the Dolphins to overtime last week in a huge comeback. Now that the worst record is clinched, we can see this team coming out this week fired up to end the season on a positive. PLAY CINCINNATI |
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12-27-19 | USC +2.5 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
233 USC & Iowa in San Diego The Trojans head back to the bowls after missing out last year. USC had gone bowling six straight years prior to that 5-7 season. USC played the tougher schedule 19th to 37th. USC produced a higher yards per play 0.9 to 0.8. The location also favors the Trojans. From a recruiting standpoint Southern Cal is one of the top programs in the nation, while Iowa recruits like a middle of the pack Big 10 program. Kedon Slovis has a 28 to 9 TD to INT ratio and a passer rating of 167.6 on the season. Nate Stanley has a 14 to 7 TD to INT ratio with a passer rating of 129.4. The Trojans have a receiving corp that is heads and shoulders better than anything the Hawkeyes have seen this season. Wrong team favored. PLAY USC |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh -10.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-30 | Loss | -107 | 415 h 9 m | Show | |
225 Pittsburgh & Eastern Michigan in Detroit Quick Lane Bowl Pitt is going bowling for the 11th time in the last 12 years. After losing the last two games of the season to Virginia Tech and Boston College, we expect the Panthers to be motivated here. Pitt is terrific against the run allowing just 2.9 yards per carry on the season. That will severely limit this Eastern Michigan offense by making them one dimensional. Eastern Michigan has gone to two bowl games in the last 20 years. Losing to Georgia Southern and Old Dominion in the past three seasons. Those games were played at destination areas where the players could enjoy the weather and the sites. This game is being played in their home state, not much of a reward for the players. The MAC was by far the worst conference in head to head matchups against non-conference foes this season. And the MAC has long been a money burner in bowl season. We expect the much better team to take this game seriously and pound the inferior foe. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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12-25-19 | Celtics v. Raptors +3.5 | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
524 Boston at Toronto Revenge game for the host who dropped a 112-106 contest in Boston October 25th. Our numbers have these two teams virtually even, which shows an advantage for Toronto. Boston has covered well on the road but the Raptors have even been better at home. The Celtics have two days of rest heading into this contest, while Toronto is playing its third game in four days. That included a huge come from behind victory over Dallas, and an overtime loss at Indiana. While the host may normally have tired legs, the Christmas National Broadcast will likely make that minimal. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-23-19 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 145-115 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
514 San Antonio at Memphis Wrong team favored in our opinion as the Spurs have struggled on the road all season. Both teams are playing its third game in four days. Memphis already won in San Antonio earlier in the season. Grizzlies have finished with the average lead in 5 of 7 games overall. Memphis is playing the much better ball. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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12-23-19 | Portland v. Boise State -10.5 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
812 Portland & Boise State in Honolulu We cashed 2 of our 3 college basketball plays yesterday, the lone loss on these Broncos. But we come back on Boise State today as it completely outclasses the Pilots. Georgia Tech played what could be its most complete game of the year yesterday. Boise is much better than what it showed. Big bounce back from the Broncos. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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12-22-19 | Georgia Tech v. Boise State -1.5 | 74-60 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
796 Georgia Tech and Boise State in Honolulu Haven’t been impressed at all by this Yellow Jackets bunch. Just one win against top 140 competition, and that came in overtime against NC State. Tech is a poor shooting team that turns the ball over too often. Boise State specializes on taking care of the ball and forcing turnovers. Great matchup for the Broncos. BOISE STATE |
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12-22-19 | Xavier +2.5 v. TCU | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
787 Xavier at TCU Really liking this Xavier team who only has two losses on the season. A five point defeat to Florida, and a two point loss at Wake Forest. This is a top 20 defense that defends the perimeter. TCU has beaten up on a weak schedule. Only playing two teams ranked in the top 100. The Musketeers are the best team they have played all season. PLAY XAVIER |
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12-22-19 | South Carolina +10.5 v. Virginia | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
769 South Carolina at Virginia The Gamecocks are a solid defensive team and a club that pound the offensive glass. South Carolina is undefeated on the road including a 67-54 win at Clemson last time out. The Gamecocks can take this to the wire. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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12-21-19 | Hawks v. Nets -7 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
562 Atlanta at Brooklyn The Hawks played a tough game against the Jazz on Thursday in a 111-106 loss. But that has been the exception for Atlanta as of late as this team simply doesn’t have the talent to compete on an everyday basis in this league. The Nets dominated the Spurs for three quarters on Thursday, only to fall apart late. The average lead in that game was Brooklyn by 3.7 points. With a day off and not another game until next Thursday we expect the Nets to take out some frustrations tonight. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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12-21-19 | Jazz v. Hornets +6 | 114-107 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
560 Utah at Charlotte The Jazz have gotten a few wins but it has been against weak competition. On the road Utah has beaten Minnesota who is on a long losing streak, and Atlanta who is really struggling. That’s not the case with the Hornets who have won 4 of 6 games. Charlotte is also off an embarrassing loss at Cleveland. We expect the host to be fired up and continue to over perform with this game going to the wire. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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12-21-19 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Rhode Island | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
641 Western Kentucky at Rhode Island The Hilltoppers haven’t played in two weeks but are off an overtime win hosting Arkansas. This is a team with a 109.8 adjusted offensive efficiency and shoots a solid 76.6% from the line. The Rams are a good defensive team, but this line is simply too high. PLAY WESTERN KENTUCKY |
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12-20-19 | Wizards v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 118-122 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
544 Washington at Toronto Surprised by the low line here as we have Toronto rated much higher than the Wizards. While Washington has played well on the road, Toronto has dominated at home. The rest in this game is equal, so that isn’t a factor. This line suggests on a neutral court Toronto would be only a 2 1/2 point favorite. That’s simply not correct. We lay the bargain price in this one as we have the Raptors winning by 10. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-19-19 | Golden Knights -127 v. Canucks | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
047 Vegas at Vancouver These two matched up in Las Vegas last week in a game we attended. For the first two periods the Golden Knights dominated play at an elite ranking. We expect more of the same as Vegas is playing its best ball of the season. FWIW it’s also fathers weekend as the players dads will be joining the trip. Vegas is a perfect 4-0 with the dads in attendance the first two years of the franchise. With Flower’s father passing away recently I can see this team giving a special performance for their team leader. PLAY VEGAS |
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12-19-19 | Nets +4.5 v. Spurs | 105-118 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
535 Brooklyn at San Antonio The Nets continue to provide us value while staying under the national radar. Now on a 9-4 straight up run, while leading the majority of the game in 13 of 15 contests. The Spurs have played five straight tight, high leverage games with four going to overtime. That’s a lot of intense basketball. San Antonio has had the last two days off, but that shouldn’t be treated like a normal two day break. We have this being an even matchup, and the points are a nice bonus. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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12-19-19 | Northern Illinois -18.5 v. Chicago State | 75-60 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
721 Northern Illinois at Chicago State The Huskies enter this game on a three game losing streak, and now get to take out some frustrations on one of the worst teams in the nation. Northern Illinois defends the perimeter very well and keeps opponents off the offensive glass. Chicago State has played two Division 1 opponents losing by margins of 44 and 57 points. The Huskies feast tonight. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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12-18-19 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +12 | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
668 Michigan State at Northwestern This is only the second true road game for the Spartans this season, and first since November 14th at Seton Hall. Michigan State has dropped three games so far and has a history of struggling early on in the season. Northwestern started Big 10 play with a 14 point loss at Purdue. But home teams have been golden thus far in conference play, and we feel this Wildcat team can give the Spartans some trouble. Northwestern defends the three well and is a very good free throw shooting team. This one goes to the wire.PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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12-18-19 | Bulls +2 v. Wizards | 110-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
513 Chicago at Washington The Bulls are the more talented team and have played much better than the final scores would indicate. Chicago has held the lead for the majority of the game in 7 of the last 9 contests. The Bulls have also cashed 6 of 8 on the road. The Wizards just beat Detroit by 14 but the top two front court players for the Pistons missed that game. Before than Washington had lost 7 of its previous 8 contests. PLAY CHICAGO |
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12-18-19 | Tennessee State +9 v. Indiana State | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
647 Tennessee State at Indiana State The Tigers just won its first road game of the season which should provide positive momentum here. Indiana State on the other hand is in the midst of a five game winning streak, including an overtime winner on Saturday against Wright State on the road. We see a letdown here for the Sycamores who enters this contest fat and happy. PLAY TENNESSEE STATE |
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12-17-19 | Grambling State +24 v. Marquette | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
425 Grambling State at Marquette Marquette is coming off a solid win over Kansas State, and now plays three lesser teams during the holidays. With Christmas afoot the home court values are lessened as the student body goes home over the holidays to be with family. The general fan ship is also less inclined to take in a sporting event with holiday shopping on the menu. Therefore we will gladly take the points with a Grambling State team excited to play a quality opponent. PLAY GRAMBLING STATE |