Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-03-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
704 Utah at Boston Jazz are on a nice current run winning four straight games. The problem has been the opponents have been the weakest teams in the league. Brooklyn, Phoenix, Philadelphia and the Lakers. The Jazz played last night in Brooklyn and are unrested, while Boston has had the last three days off. Utah is just 1-5 ATS on the season when playing a team 0-5 points better than them on a neutral court. Boston is playing well as the team starts to get healthy. Winning 7 of 9 with the losses to Oklahoma and Cleveland. The Celtics are 12-5 ATS on the year playing teams they are 0-5 points better. Look for the rested Celts to prevail. PLAY BOSTON |
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12-28-16 | Pacers v. Wizards -5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
702 Indiana at Washington Pacers just beat the Wizards 107-105 just over a week ago in Indiana. Since that time it has dropped three straight to New York, Boston and Chicago. Overall 6 of the last 7 games the Pacers failed to cover. Washington is playing much better ball as of late winning 7 of 10 and cashing 8 of those contests. In the midst of a three game home stand we will back the Wizards here to get quick revenge. Washington has posted a 7-2 ATS mark when playing similar power rating opponents. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
714 Sacramento at Utah Both teams are on the second of a back to back situation. Thus far this season with no rest Utah is 1-5 SU while Sacramento is 1-5. Its also an advantage for the host as Sacramento isn’t as used to playing in altitude. While the Kings outlasted the Blazers last night the Jazz were embarrassed in a 30 point loss at Oakland. We look for Utah to bounce back big time tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-16-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
506 Atlanta at Toronto Huge revenge game for the Hawks here who were slaughtered 128-84 the last time in this building. While the effort will be there for Atlanta, the talent is lacking. The Hawks have four new started this year and the chemistry just isn’t there yet. The bench is severely lacking and the guard play has been a problem. That means trouble when facing the Raptors who have one of the most talented backcourts in the league. Toronto is also one of the deepest teams in the NBA. So we have the haves and the have nots here with a line that’s cheap considering the matchups. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-12-16 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
504 Milwaukee at Toronto Third game in four nights for the Bucks who faded late the last two games and lost to Washington and Atlanta. Milwaukee has an extreme disadvantage in the backcourt here as the Bucks guards are just too slow to guard Toronto. As much as we liked Matthew Dellavedova from his time in Cleveland he really struggled when playing Toronto. The Raptors have won 12 of 13 meetings with the Bucks and haven’t played since Friday. Milwaukee has struggled when playing teams of Toronto’s strength while the Raptors have made money against teams of Milwaukee’s ilk. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-09-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
714 Indiana at Dallas Fifth straight road game for the Pacers who return home tomorrow to host the Blazers. These two went to overtime in the season opener with Indiana winning 130-121. Dallas is playing shorthanded right now with four key pieces remaining on the sideline. That said this team has been competitive all season and we expect the Mavs to battle tonight. Off an embarrassing 31 point loss here to Sacramento on Wednesday you know we will get the best out of the host. The only other blowout loss this season came by 38 at Cleveland and Dallas followed that up with an outright upset win, covering the spread by 15 1/2 points. PLAY DALLAS |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
718 Golden State at Portland Playoff revenge for the Blazers here after the Warriors knocked them out of contention last season. The Blazers are a team we are looking to back early on as just about all the key pieces return from last years club. Teams with cohesiveness have a big edge early in the season. Golden State on the other hand made some major changes to its personnel this season, which is why the club has been an early money burner. We back the home dog here in what amounts to a statement game. PLAY PORTLAND |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
514 Cleveland at Golden StateYou have to give a ton of credit to the Cavaliers by winning the last two games to draw even in the series. But home teams simply dominate in game 7’s. With the Warriors having a terrific record playing at home, and after two straight losses the host will have a big emotional edge here. Throw in the fact that the Warriors felt the last two games were unfairly called by the refs, and we have a very motivated team tonight.Bogut being out hurts the Golden State defense but the offense will be helped by going small. I’d love to see my hometown Cavaliers win a championship, but I refuse to bet with my heart. The Warriors deserve this championship and they get it tonight by double figures.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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06-02-16 | Cavs +6 v. Warriors | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
501 Cleveland at Golden State Nice setup for the well rested Cavs here. Off a much easier playoff run and Golden State being taken to the limit against Oklahoma City. This Cleveland team was built to match up against the Warriors and this is not the same club that Golden State embarrassed earlier. Playoff revenge and extra rest make this a major steal game for the visitor.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-23-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
713 Cleveland at Toronto We expect a big rebound here from the Cavaliers who are 8-1 ATS as a road favorite in revenge this season. The players talked about taking the Raptors for granted and the lack of effort showed. If you’ve followed LeBron James in his career you know his teams rarely if ever give bad efforts two games in a row. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-08-16 | Cavs -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 100-99 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
525 Cleveland at AtlantaA major key for the Cavaliers this postseason is limiting the games played, therefore having an edge against upcoming opponents. So far so good as Cleveland is 7-0 in the playoffs. The Cavs have also dominated the Hawks the past two seasons including a sweep in the playoffs a year ago. Today Cleveland attempts for a repeat against a Hawks team that just doesn’t match up well with them.Atlanta had a chip on its shoulder coming into this series, but its clear now that the Hawks aren’t at the same level as Cleveland. We can’t see this team putting in enough effort to have to go back to Cleveland for game five. In a building that 3 point records were set against them. Teams with a 3-0 series lead have dominated in closeout games, and with LeBron having tons of experience in this situation we can’t see the Hawks competing.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +4 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
524 Golden State at PortlandThe Warriors haven’t fared well in the playoffs after winning the first two games at home. This is traditionally the game to back the host after going 0-2 on the road to open the series. Portland has been very successful in the playoffs in this building and we expect an all out effort here. The Blazers had a double digit lead in Golden State last time out before collapsing in the fourth quarter. We we look for Portland to put this one in the win column while Curry remains sidelined.PLAY PORTLAND |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
504 Atlanta at ClevelandWhile the Hawks have playoff revenge from being swept last year against the Cavs, this team has shown no positives in order to turn this series around. Cleveland owned Atlanta in the regular season as the Hawks defense that stymied the rest of the league didn’t have the same effect on Cleveland.Cleveland is well rested while the Hawks were challenged by the Celtics. Atlanta has to work extremely hard defensively in that series and despite wanting to make things right against this team, this isn’t the game for it.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
506 Portland at Golden StateCheap number here for the host Warriors, who like the Spurs last night are the better team with added rest. Despite the loss of Curry this team has All-Star caliber players throughout the lineup. It’s important for the Warriors to get up in this series early so Curry doesn’t have to be rushed back from injury. That could really throw a wrench in their championship repeat plans. Portland wasn’t expected to advance past the Clippers before the two key injuries. The Blazers get a wakeup call here.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-30-16 | Thunder v. Spurs -6.5 | Top | 92-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
502 Oklahoma City at San AntonioMuch prefer the well rested Spurs here who start at home after sweeping Memphis in the first round. Well rested teams playing at home have been a nice handicapping angle in the playoffs and it’s continued this year with a 4-1 mark.Oklahoma City had a tougher time than expected with Dallas and now travel to San Antonio where the home team in this series this year won all four games. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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04-13-16 | Grizzlies +18.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-125 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
723 Memphis at Golden State The Grizzlies just played the Warriors down to the wire in a 100-99 loss in which the team blew that game. Golden State had to have a huge rally late in order to set themselves up for the season win record tonight. So Memphis is playing with meaningful revenge and a win tonight in Golden State would make the season for the visitor. As mentioned the Warriors had a tough time with Memphis as well as back to back victories over the second seeded team in the west in the San Antonio Spurs. Now the public is all over this team to win in blowout fashion for the record. But keep in mind the only two times Golden State has been in this price range was against Phoenix and Philadelphia, arguably the two worst teams in the league. It should be noted that Golden State didn’t come close to covering either of those games. Now Memphis with a 42-39 seasonal record is in that class. Sure injuries are a factor but there is no way the Warriors play its starters longer than needed today with the playoffs on the horizon. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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03-27-16 | Rockets v. Pacers -110 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
706 Houston at Indiana Simply can’t trust these Rockets in what likely is a win and cover situation. Houston just doesn’t take care of the ball well enough to win on the road, and this is the 5th of 8 straight games against likely playoff opponents. Off a victory over Toronto we can’t see that type of success on Sunday.Indiana had an embarrassing loss yesterday at Brooklyn. It’s the first loss to a team with a losing record since the final game of a road trip December 23rd at Sacramento. The Pacers are where they are in the standings because it beats the teams it is supposed to beat. Houston enters with a 37-38 record. At home Indiana should win this game, especially coming off a bad performance.PLAY INDIANA |
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03-21-16 | Nuggets v. Cavs UNDER 214 | Top | 91-124 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
604 Denver at Cleveland The Cavaliers were just embarrassed at Miami as the defense permitted 122 points, the second worst defensive performance of the year for Cleveland. The worst was when the Cavs allowed Golden State 132. The following game Cleveland held the opposition to just 78 points. In the five games this season Cleveland has permitted 113 points or more, the following game the team allowed just 84, 99, 99, 78 and 96 points. An average of 91.2 points per game. Kevin Love is out tonight which means the offense suffers slightly but the defense improves. We look for the Cavaliers to play with added intensity on the defensive end of the court as Denver struggles mightily putting points on the board.PLAY UNDER |
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03-20-16 | Celtics -11 v. 76ers | Top | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
705 Boston at Philadelphia The Celtics need a satisfying victory after dropping four straight games. Boston has looked at times to be an up and coming contender in the East, but has regressed as of late. Now Boston gets to take on a Philadelphia team it has beaten in all three meetings this year. We get the better team, off a tough stretch, playing an opponent it has owned this season.Philadelphia has lost 17 of 18 games and is limping to the finish line. Each day players are missing time with injury and this team has little depth. There is no home court advantage for the Sixers, as the home fans have given up on this organization.PLAY BOSTON |
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03-08-16 | Hawks v. Jazz -1 | Top | 91-84 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
706 Atlanta at Utah The Hawks are coming in off an impressive victory at the LA Clippers. After facing Utah, Atlanta travels for a much more important game at Toronto. The Hawks lost the only other meeting with the Raptors by double digits.Utah just broke a five game losing streak at New Orleans, and returns home off back to back home losses. This is still a team fighting for the playoffs and this becomes a must win game for the host. After this contest the Jazz travel to Golden State to face the Warriors tomorrow. Therefore you know the coaching staff will do anything possible to assure this victory.PLAY UTAH |
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03-07-16 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. Cavs | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
503 Memphis at Cleveland The Grizzlies have won 5 of 7 games heading into tonight, with both losses to the lowly Suns. That tells us that motivation is a concern for Memphis. But that won’t be the case tonight as it takes on the Eastern Conference team with the top record.The Grizzlies also are seeking revenge for a 30 point home loss on opening night to these same Cavaliers.The Cavs just played five straight games against possible playoff opponents, with six games on the horizon against the West. These games are not nearly as important for Cleveland who looks to secure home court value to the NBA Championship. Cleveland just beat an up and coming Boston team, so we can see a letdown occurring tonight. Especially with a four game road trip on the horizon.PLAY MEMPHIS |
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03-04-16 | Hawks v. Lakers +9 | Top | 106-77 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
840 Atlanta at LA Lakers Terrible spot here for the Hawks who have this game sandwiched between the Warriors and Clippers. Two teams in which Atlanta was and is playing with home loss revenge. Atlanta just dropped a close game at Golden State when the Warriors were not at full strength. Despite a 33-28 record on the season Atlanta enters this contest on a 3-6 run. This is the second game of a five game road trip for the Hawks.The Lakers are starting its longest home stand of the season with eight straight games at the Staples Center. After this contest LA plays Golden State and Cleveland 2 of the next 3 games. This is a contest the Lakers can be competitive in and it wouldn’t surprise us if it pulls the outright upset.PLAY LOS ANGELES LAKERS |
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02-06-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -8 | Top | 108-116 | Push | 0 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
520 Oklahoma City at Golden State |
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01-30-16 | Spurs -2 v. Cavs | Top | 103-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
513 San Antonio at Cleveland |
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01-27-16 | Clippers v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
510 LA Clippers at Atlanta |
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01-20-16 | Warriors v. Bulls +7 | Top | 125-94 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
514 Golden State at Chicago Great spot to go against public perception with a quality team in the home underdog role. Everyone just saw the 3 1/2 point road underdog Warriors totally dismantle the defending Eastern Conference Champion Cleveland Cavaliers on national television. Golden State just couldn’t miss from the field and looked like the clear favorite to hold the trophy of NBA Champions once again this season. Chicago on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 games and just lost key defensive player Noah likely for the rest of the season. The Bulls only victories as of late came against Philadelphia and Detroit. The same Pistons by the way that just bombed these Warriors 113-95 four days ago. Chicago is 9-2 without Noah in the lineup. His defensive absence will hurt but the Bulls offense flows better without him.As mentioned previously Golden State was bet up to a 3 1/2 point underdog in Cleveland. Now the Warriors have been bet up to a 7 1/2 point favorite at Chicago. So the betting public is telling you the Bulls are 11 points worse than the Cavaliers on a neutral court. That’s just crazy. Those who bet for a living are always looking to take advantage of overreactions in the betting marketplace. This surely is one of the best times to do so all season.PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-19-16 | Bucks +5 v. Heat | Top | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
701 Milwaukee at Miami |
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01-06-16 | Nuggets v. Wolves -3 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
514 Denver at Minnesota Two teams on bad streaks face each other tonight in Minnesota. Denver is really reeling right now and comes in to face a Minnesota team with something to prove. Not only have the Timberwolves dropped 2 of 3 to the Nuggets this year, but it just lost to the lowly Philadelphia 76ers. Instead of practicing after that defeat the team held a 90 minute meeting on how to turn the season around. The players said it was the best practice day they could have and the team should be playing with an added intensity tonight. We like to play against bad teams when the favorite has something to prove, so we will lay the small number here.PLAY MINNESOTA |
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12-18-15 | Bucks v. Warriors -19 | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
524 Milwaukee at Golden State Alright, call me captain obvious, but I like the situation for the Warriors tonight. It’s well documented that Golden State is looking for revenge for its only loss of the season tonight at home. Keep in mind that when these two met earlier in the week the Warriors had played 7 straight on the road. The Bucks game was the final one of the road trip playing without rest off a hard fought overtime contest with the Celtics. The Warriors were simply worn out at that point. Since that time Golden State returned home to beat Phoenix by 25 in a game that wasn’t even that close. After this contest Golden State doesn’t play again until the 23rd against Utah. Therefore this game is all the Warriors have to concentrate on for the next four days.Since pulling the upset of these Warriors the Bucks have lost by 18 and 13 to the Lakers and Clippers. This team hasn’t won a game on the road since November 6th. To lose to the Clippers in the first home game from a road trip is one thing, but to lose to the Lakers by 18 is something else entirely. We don’t think the Warriors will let up tonight with the large timeframe before facing its next opponent.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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12-16-15 | Bucks +11 v. Clippers | Top | 90-103 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
521 Milwaukee at LA Clippers The Clippers are in the midst of playing a whopping 18 games in different cities. They are returning home from a profitable 4-1 road trip with the only loss coming by 3 in Chicago. After this one game home stand LA must travel to San Antonio and onwards from there. The Clippers don’t play back to back home games until January 9th and 10th. When teams return from a road trip the first game home is often very hectic, with family duties, children situations and the like. It’s even worse here as the team has to go right back on the road. So focus is always an issuer in these sort of situations, especially tonight against Milwaukee. The Clippers beat the Bucks 109-95 just a week ago. This is a dangerous spot for the host to go through the motions.On the other hand Milwaukee is buoyed by the upset win over the Warriors. A team that had previously been undefeated. That joy didn’t last long as the team went on the road and lost to the Lakers in an obvious letdown spot. But because the two LA teams play in the same arena there is no travel situations for Milwaukee which is an advantage against a road weary foe. With recent revenge on the side of the Bucks we look for this one to go down to the wire.PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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12-11-15 | Cavs v. Magic UNDER 197.5 | Top | 111-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
706 Cleveland at Orlando Big scheduling advantage here for the Cavaliers as Orlando returns home from a five game road trip. Cleveland had two days off before facing Portland, had the last two days off, and have three more days off before taking on the Celtics. This is an important week of practice for Cleveland as they attempt to bring Irving and Shumpert back to the lineup. In fact, Iman Shumpert will be making his season debut tonight as JR Smith is out with an illness. That’s a major change in the Cleveland mindset as Shumpert is an excellent defensive player and JR Smith is … JR Smith. The last time these two tangled the game totaled 220 points, but that won’t be the case here. Especially when looking at how poor the Cleveland defense has been as of late. You know that’s been the emphasis at practice this week. With the addition of the ball hawking Shumpert look for the entire team to play with an added defensive intensity here.PLAY UNDER |
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11-10-15 | Lakers v. Heat -11 | Top | 88-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
506 LA Lakers at Miami The Lakers are a play against team this year in what looks to be the final year of Kobe Bryant’s career. So much money is being paid to Bryant, a major liability on the court, that the Lakers can’t find quality players to surround him. To add insult to injury Bryant just told the coaching staff that he doesn’t want to sit out back to back games. His goal is to play every night, which is to our advantage in the betting community.Miami despite just a 4-3 record has been an excellent team this year when under a microscope. This team is under the radar in our opinion and a bet on when healthy. Like the Lakers key ingredients on this team are veteran players who need rest on occasion, but when in the lineup Bosh and Wade are still very productive. We have a play on against a play against tonight and we will easily lay the big number in this instance.PLAY MIAMI |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +10 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
505 New Orleans at Golden State It’s our annual play against the winner of the NBA Title selection. We have found that award ceremonies are a distraction for the host, especially early in the game when all the hoopla takes place. The visiting team gets inspired to beat the team getting all the recognition while the host isn’t ready for the task at hand. This game also features playoff revenge as the Warriors beat the Pelicans in a sweep last year. New Orleans isn’t 100% healthy which is why the line is so high. But that gives us extra value here as this line has reached double digits. I myself will be playing the Pelicans in the first quarter, first half and entire game. This selection for our clients will be grading on the entire contest.PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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06-07-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
703 Cleveland at Golden State |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls -1.5 | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
718 Cleveland at Chicago |
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03-25-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic UNDER 201.5 | Top | 95-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
758 Atlanta at Orlando The last three meetings between these two resulted in less than 200 combined points being scored. Both teams talked about a lack of defense after their most recent losses. Atlanta players spent extra time in the film room viewing the poor defense it has shown since the All-Star break. Players talked about getting back to playing the good team defense it showed in the first half of the season. With both teams stressing defense and all three games this season being low scoring we look for this one to stay substantially under the posted total.PLAY UNDER |
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03-20-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | Top | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
810 Indiana at Cleveland The Pacers have beaten the Cavaliers each of the last two meetings but scheduling dynamics played a major factor in those wins. On February 6th the Cavs played at Indiana unrested after taking down the Clippers the previous night, Indiana was rested. On February 26th the Cavs had just taken on Golden State and faced the Pacers unrested while Indiana had the previous two days off. Now these two teams play on equal rest which is a big difference for Cleveland.The Cavs have dominated Indiana at home and Cleveland has won 14 straight at home overall. Indiana has been struggling as of late and run into a Cleveland team that has had this game circled.PLAY CLEVELAND |
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02-11-15 | San Antonio Spurs -6 v. Detroit Pistons | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
705 San Antonio at Detroit With this being the final game for both these squads before the break we can use one of our favorite handicapping angles. Playing on veteran teams that have been playoff contenders right before the break. These type of teams know the importance of grabbing a victory before the break, while others play as if already on vacation. You see it every year. Teams not used to playing deep in the playoffs as well as perennial lottery teams mailing in the final game. While Detroit isn’t likely to give this one away we are confident that San Antonio will put forth a supreme effort. The Spurs led Detroit by as much as 18 points in the earlier meeting only to lose at the buzzer. That revenge motive only adds to our backing of the Spurs here.PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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02-07-15 | Chicago Bulls -2 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 107-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
501 Chicago at New Orleans |
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01-09-15 | Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -3 | Top | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
822 Orlando at LA Lakers It’s clear in our eyes that the Magic are building the right way. While the record is still less than desirable this is a team with a positive future. But the lack of scoring is a concern and will continue to be until the Magic get a player that can take over a game.We are not a fan of the LA Lakers and much of that can be attributed to the outrageous contract handed out to Kobe Bryant. A fantastic player in his younger days his contract has become an albatross to this organization. That said, we really like the Lakers in this particular game. Last time out this club was simply embarrassed against its in-city rival the Clippers. Afterwards the head coach called his team out as being soft. Kobe didn’t play in that game because of rest, but he surely felt the same way about his teammates. You can bet the Lakers will be fired up tonight to prove their manhood. The number is cheap and we take full advantage.PLAY LA LAKERS |
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12-23-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Cleveland Cavaliers -14 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
708 Minnesota at Cleveland |
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12-17-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +9.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
715 Milwaukee at Portland The Bucks suffered a major blow yesterday as Parker, the first round selection, was lost for the season with an injury. While on the surface it’s devastating for this young and improving club, we will get an overinflation in line value. Teams step up when a quality player is out of the lineup and the Bucks have enough veteran talent to remain very competitive in a very weak Eastern Conference.Portland suffered it’s own loss last time out as the starting center went down for 6-8 weeks. To add to the Blazers problems though is the schedule. Off a quality win over San Antonio, Portland faces the Spurs again on Friday followed by New Orleans, Houston and Oklahoma City. You wouldn’t blame the Blazers for overlooking the Bucks here with the injury to Parker. Milwaukee has played hard all season and we expect nothing different here. Nice spot for the short-handed Bucks to pull off a shocker.PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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10-28-14 | Dallas Mavericks +4 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 100-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
501 Dallas at San Antonio One of our favorite handicapping angles is to go against the champion in any sport in the first game of the season. The team is preoccupied by the presentation while the opponents are fired up to prove they belong. It also helps in this instance that the Spurs swept the Mavericks in the regular season a year ago and the Mavs are also playing with playoff revenge. An added bonus for Dallas backers is that the Spurs top two defensive big ben are out tonight. Dallas improved during the offseason and we expect an outright victory to open the season.PLAY DALLAS |
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05-09-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards -4 | Top | 85-63 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
718 Indiana at Washington Now that the Pacers have evened the series at one game apiece it’s time to jump on the team who has played the far better ball since the All-Star game at a very reasonable price. Washington is the one underrated team remaining in the playoffs and despite the victory in game two the Pacers in our eyes are being given too much credit. Washington lost that game late in a contest in which it shot terribly from 3 point last and the free throw strip. The Wizards lost by four points despite just a single fast break point on the night. Back home in front of a frenzied crowd we expect the atmosphere to be a major factor in energy for the host.Indiana has been great off a loss in the playoffs, unfortunately the Pacer’s plan wasn’t to lose many games. This is not the same team as the last couple years or what we saw in the first half of the season. Washington is the better team, playing at home, off a loss. Pretty simply really.PLAY WASHINGTON |
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05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat -7 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
706 Brooklyn at Miami The Nets had a real dogfight with Toronto in the opening series winning in seven games. It will be tough for them to regroup here and take on the two time defending champs with little time to prepare. While the Nets were preoccupied with the Raptors the Heat easily dismantled their opening round opponent and have a score to settle with Brooklyn.Miami lost all four meetings with the Nets this season and nobody knows that better than Lebron James. With extra rest and preparation we expect Miami to have a little more spring in their step tonight. Miami has been working on its game plan for a longer period of time as you know the coaching staff is itching to put in some new wrinkles. The betting line may be a bit shorter too with the public seeing both road teams winning convincingly yesterday. PLAY MIAMI |
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03-28-14 | New York Knicks +6 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
871 New York at Phoenix
The Knicks have rattled off 9 of 11 winners since the franchise moved into a new direction with Phil Jackson taking over the reigns. The team has played with a much more focused attitude since the hiring as all hands on deck need to prove themselves to remain in the Big Apple. The only losses came against Cleveland in a lookahead situation and to the Lakers, Jackson |
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03-24-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 180.5 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
612 Indiana at Chicago
These teams met just three days ago with Indiana winning at home 91-79. The coaching staffs talked about that game having a playoff type atmosphere and this game likely to play the same with adjustments being made. That means another low scoring affair with both teams trying to intimidate the opposition in what could be a possible playoff preview. Indiana has held 6 of 7 opponents to 94 points or less while the offense has been held to double digits in 9 of the last 11 overall. The Bulls have held 13 of 14 opponents under the century mark. Look for defense to rule the day here as these two prepare for playoff type basketball. PLAY UNDER |
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03-16-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +11 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 80-102 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
887 Cleveland at LA Clippers
While the Clippers have won ten straight games and are making a major run towards the playoffs, this could be a tough spot for the host. In the ten game stretch LA has played the likes of Oklahoma City, Houston, Phoenix twice and Golden State, all possible playoff opponents. On deck they have a revenge game at Denver tomorrow. Non-rested teams playing in altitude is very tough for anyone. Therefore we can see the Clippers brain trust cutting back on key minutes tonight for the starters which makes getting double digits that much more attractive for the dog. Cleveland has won 10 of 17 as of late as they try to end the season in a respectable manner. The Cavaliers have always played well against the Clippers winning earlier in Cleveland and being victorious in 5 of the last 6 in the Staples Center. Cleveland is playing good team ball right now and they have a rare chance to pull off a perfect 3-0 western conference sweep after knocking off Golden State and Phoenix. Cleveland is 12-15 on the season vs the western conference. This line is simply too high based on the situation. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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03-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats -5 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Cleveland at Charlotte
The Cavaliers are calling this weekends games against Charlotte and New York Must Win Weekend. The reason being that Cleveland currently sits 3 1/2 games out of the playoffs with the two teams on the schedule being just ahead of them in the playoff fight. But the fact remains teams in must win situations are there for a reason, they haven |
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01-24-14 | Indiana Pacers -10 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
823 Indiana at Sacramento
This looks to be a throwaway game for the host who returns home from a long road trip only to find Rudy Gay out of the lineup and DeMarcus Cousins doubtful. The Kings even at full strength were likely in for a real test tonight just coming home from a six game trip through the midwest. Teams traditionally struggle when returning from an extended getaway as the trials and tribulations of home life usually take their toll. Now likely missing 42 points of scoring we can |
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01-10-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -9 | Top | 66-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
802 Washington at Indiana
The Wizards end their three game road trip tonight after winning the first two contests at Charlotte and New Orleans. But we wouldn |
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12-16-13 | San Antonio Spurs -2.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 92-115 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
715 San Antonio at LA Clippers
The Spurs have dominated this series the past three seasons winning 14 of the last 18 meetings in straight up fashion. While San Antonio is playing its third game in four days the Spurs have cashed 8 of 11 in the road favorite role. Now 19-3 SU on the season when installed as favorites the Spurs are in a solid spot here against the Clippers. LA returns home off an extended seven game eastern road trip, having secured a winning mark after winning in Washington on Saturday. Chris Paul pointed out prior to that game how important it was to post a winning record on this trip. Now back home playing its eighth game in 13 days we can |
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12-13-13 | New York Knicks +4.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
807 New York at Boston
Nice spot to jump in with a team nobody is going to want in the New York Knicks. This team has majorly underperformed this season and now Raymond Felton is out with a hamstring injury. Hs backup at point guard Iman Shumpert is a game time decision. But this is also quick revenge for a team that was just blown out by the largest margin in the league this year, last weekend in New York. This team is only permitting 93.8 points per game away from the Garden. Boston is off two emotional games since the Sunday 41 point blowout of New York. They played Brooklyn and the return of Garnett and Pierce, and last time out the Celts faced off against the Clippers and long time coach Doc Rivers. Despite losing both those games you know the Boston players had those two games circled before the season. Now in the unfamiliar role as sizable home favorites we can fade the Celtics in an obvious poor scheduling spot. PLAY NEW YORK |
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06-13-13 | Miami Heat +2 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 109-93 | Win | 100 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
Miami at San Antonio
We said all along that this would be a zigzag series with both veteran teams and plenty of playoff experience. We have been on the right side of both blowouts in games 2 & 3 after passing the opening contest. Now we come right back with the Miami Heat off an embarking loss, with the best player in the NBA off a very subpar performance. Miami is now 11-0 ATS off a loss and that defeat in game 3 was the ugliest loss of the season for Miami. We always want to back an elite team off an embarrassment which is why Miami in game 3 and San Antonio in game 4 were such strong plays. Miami was completely outplayed on Tuesday as the players simply did not show any will to win. That won't be the case on Thursday with Miami now in a desperate situation. We will back what we feel is the best team in the league off a terrible performance. History and the best player in the league cash the ticket on Thursday. PLAY MIAMI |
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05-10-13 | San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
San Antonio at Golden State
We wanted to wait as long as we could to release this game hoping the line would continue to go up to 3, but now with the sharp books heading back down we better grab the 2 1/2 while available. We love the job Jackson has done with the Golden State Warriors this year, especially in the playoffs, but this line has gotten out of hand. With a home court advantage between 3 1/2 and 4 points this line is essentially saying the Spurs are just a one point better team on a neutral court when coming off an embarrassing home loss. That's simply not the case. The Warriors have shot lights out in the playoffs and are due for some regression. San Antonio is a veteran team that is led in my opinion by the best coach in the NBA. To get the Spurs as an underdog in this situation in our mind is a gift we simply cannot refuse. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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05-02-13 | DENVER GM6 v. GOLDEN STATE GM6 -115 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
Denver at Golden State
The Denver Nuggets own one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA. Yet they haven't dominated the Warriors when playing in Denver. Even in the last contest in a must win game they couldn't put away their Oakland counterparts. The Nuggets got physical with the Warriors and yet Golden State would not fold, playing hard the entire contest. That's a testament to how well coach Jackson has improved this team and their mental ability. Now back home in Oakland where the fans here are known to be a bit out there, we find a Warriors team with something to prove. Regardless of how Curry was treated in Denver, the fans and the players feel he was roughed up. Therefore you can expect the most intense game of the series from both the players and those in attendance. Golden State has been the better of these two teams in this series and we expect the Warriors to close it out here. The Nuggets were superior through 82 games but this is the playoffs and Denver hasn't been known for their playoff prowess over the years. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-30-13 | Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Golden State at Denver
David Lee went down with a season ending injury in the opening game of the series. That happened in the fourth quarter where the Warriors outscored the Nuggets by 5 points. The Warriors since that game have outscored Denver by 14 points in game two, 2 points in game three and 14 points in game four. In the last 13 quarters playing with a smaller and quicker lineup the Warriors have outscored the Nuggets by a combined 35 points. Yet they have been installed as an 8 point underdog here, which is completely wrong. Denver came into this series as the favorite based on a full season of work owning what could be the deepest roster in the league. But because of TV timeouts and the importance of every game that depth doesn't help in the playoffs. After Golden State lost their best rebounder Lee in game one everyone wrote off this Warrior team, except for the Warrior organization. Now on the verge of pulling the upset on the road we can't see this Golden State team laying down here if things get tough. This is a squad that has shown tons of character and are in it to win it. We've seen the Nuggets come up short over the years when the chips were down, why should this team be any different. This is just too many points to give a confident Golden State team right now. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-09-13 | Washington Wizards +10.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 99-120 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
657 Washington at New York
Underrated Wizards have won 9 of 15 and 18 of 31 as of late as they continue to be an afterthought in the minds of many NBA fans. After starting the year with 12 straight losses the Wizards have rebounded nicely and now have a solid future for next season. The defense has held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 88 points or less as this team is still giving great effort as the year winds down. There is little doubt the Knicks riding a 12 game winning streak will take the Wizards for granted here. They have already beaten Washington by margins of 8, and 21 while dropping a visit to Washington by 10 when New York was really struggling in early February. The Knicks have a triple revenge game on deck against the Bulls after losing by 7, 4 and 8 points in the previous three meetings. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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03-14-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs -8 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Dallas at San Antonio
The Mavericks are playing better ball as of late winning four straight, including the first three straight games on this road trip. But they end the trek tonight in San Antonio against a team they have really struggled against this season. The Mavs have lost by 38 in this building, 25 at home and by 6 at home in the last meeting. The Mavericks simply do not match up very well with this Spurs squad. San Antonio is off an embarrassing 24 point loss at lowly Minnesota. That came on the heels off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. The Spurs are now 9-5 ATS off an outright loss this year and 4-1 ATS off a double digit defeat. With only Cleveland, Golden State and Utah on deck the Mavericks will have the Spurs full attention here. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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03-10-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -6.5 | Top | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
808 Indiana at Miami
While the Pacers are playing good ball they have only played two teams in the last five weeks who are playing well, the Clippers and Celtics and Indiana dropped both those games. The Pacers have beaten the Heat in both meetings this year holding Miami to 89 and 77 points in the process. You can bet Miami has had this game circled, similar to their double revenge game against the Knicks last Sunday. Miami has won 17 straight games and are coming off uninspiring efforts over Philadelphia, Orlando and Minnesota. With only Atlanta, Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Toronto on deck this is the game the Heat want. The first two meetings meant more to Indy, this one take precedence for the Heat. PLAY MIAMI |
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03-04-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -10 | Top | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
710 Atlanta at Denver
Nuggets are now 12-3 ATS on the season playing an unrested foe while the Hawks finish up a six game road trip after dropping a nail biter last night in Los Angeles. Denver also has revenge for a 108-104 loss at Atlanta. Denver is off back to back two point victories but it has had the past two days off. With lowly Sacramento on deck the Hawks have the full attention of a deep and rested Denver squad. PLAY DENVER |
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02-24-13 | San Antonio Spurs -9 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 97-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
813 San Antonio at Phoenix
The Spurs are off a rare loss as they dropped a 107-101 decision to Golden State on Friday. San Antonio is 7-5 ATS off a loss this season, 7-3 ATS when doing so with rest. There is no lookahead here for the visitor as they have the second game of a home and home on deck with Phoenix as well as games against Sacramento and Detroit. Phoenix wasn't very good to start the season and they may have regressed as the year has gone on. Losers of 10 of the last 13 games. The Suns are only 10-19 ATS on the year when facing a team off a loss. Phoenix simply doesn't have the offense to compete here as they have failed to reach the century mark in 13 of 14 games. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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02-20-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder -3 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
715 Oklahoma City at Houston
The Thunder are one team who has the ability to play the preferred up tempo game of the Rockets, and they do it better than Houston. The Thunder have beaten the Rockets 120-98 at home and 124-94 in Houston. Off back to back losses for only the second time all season and with lowly Minnesota on deck the Rockets will get the full attention of the Thunder tonight. Oklahoma City is now 10-3 ATS on the season off a loss. Houston is a solid play against middling and lesser teams but when facing an elite squad or a deep team they have struggled. How about losses by 10 and 8 to the Clippers, by 6 and 3 to Miami, by 8 and 10 to Denver, by 6, 8 and 22 to San Antonio and the afore mentioned blowouts at the hands of the Thunder. Houston has yet to beat an elite or deep team all season. That trend continues here. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-06-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Oklahoma City Thunder -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
718 Golden State at Oklahoma City
The Warriors come in unrested after allowing 140 last night in Houston. They had held the previous three opponents to less than 100 before being run out of the building against the hot shooting Rockets. The last time these two met was in Oakland where the Warriors beat the Thunder 104-99 on January 23rd. Including that game Oklahoma City is just 4-4 straight up as they look to be going through the motions. But when this team is motivated they are a bet on squad witnessed by a 10-2 ATS mark off a loss. In revenge the Thunder have a perfect 4-0 ATS mark this season. This is the best team in the league and when they play with a purpose we want to back them. With only a home and home ahead with the Suns the Warriors take the brunt of the force of the Thunder. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-01-13 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics OVER 189 | Top | 84-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
805 Orlando at Boston
The Magic suffered a major injury when its only good defensive post player Glen Big Baby Davis went down with a season ending injury against New York. When he was out for 11 games earlier the Magic's defensive rating was worse by 1.7 points per 100 possessions. In turn the team fared better offensively in his absence. Without Rondo Boston's totals will be lower because he was the main option on offense. But the Celtics have players on this team who have been major contributors offensively in the past. We expect the offense to have an easy time here without much of an interior defense from Orlando. The last time these two played we saw 204 points scored in regulation in a 116-110 overtime win for the CEltics. We look for another high scoring affair here. PLAY OVER |
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01-30-13 | New Orleans Hornets +7.5 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
719 New Orleans at Utah
Having success betting the NBA all comes down to contrarian thought. The Hornets played last night at Los Angeles and take to the altitude of Utah unrested. The Jazz are coming in off a franchise worse 45 point home loss to Houston. The situation calls for a Utah blowout and the line reflects that fact, but that's not how the NBA works. In reality we have a New Orleans team on the rise despite losing 3 of 4 games. A closer look finds the Hornets having just played San Antonio, Houston, Memphis and the LA Lakers. Before that recent stretch this team won 7 of 9 games. Keep in mind over the last week the Hornets caught 8 1/2 at San Antonio and 7 1/2 at Memphis, two teams that in our opinion are far superior to the Jazz. Sure Utah will be in a foul mood but they also have a home and home with Portland on deck after an off day tomorrow. The Blazers are a team the Jazz must beat for possible playoff seeding. So while the situation screams Utah we go contrarian and take the pointspread value with the underrated squad. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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01-28-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Chicago Bulls -11 | Top | 85-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
710 Charlotte at Chicago
The Bobcats are off a 102-101 victory over the decimated Minnesota Timberwolves. Charlotte is just 2-8 ATS on the season after an outright win. They are also 5-12 ATS facing a team off a loss, 2-6 ATS on the road in that situation, and the Bulls were embarrassed last time out at Washington. Chicago had been playing pretty well coming into that Washington shocker on Saturday so we expect a big performance from the host. In addition, these same Bobcats upset the Bulls in this building 91-81 as an 11 1/2 point underdog on December 31st. New Year and a different result this time for Chicago who is about to head out for a five game road trip. PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-27-13 | Detroit Pistons +2.5 v. Orlando Magic | Top | 104-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
805 Detroit at Orlando
These two clubs know each other well as it's the fourth time they have met this season. Orlando has taken 2 of 3 outscoring the Pistons by a combined 5 points. Detroit has dropped the first two games on this road trip by 3 at Chicago and by 22 at Miami, but the Pistons step way down in class here. Orlando is now 5-10 ATS on the season when playing a team off a loss, when doing so at home it is 1-9 ATS on the year. The Magic have dropped 15 of 17 games as of late and it embarks on a five game road trip after this contest. So the thought would be that this is a must win game for the host. But we have watched enough NBA over the years to know the obvious plays rarely are successful. The truth of the matter is that Orlando simply doesn't play the defense to be favored here. Look for the outright Detroit victory. PLAY DETROIT |
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01-25-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks +2 | Top | 113-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
814 San Antonio at Dallas
The Spurs will be without their coach and perennial All-Star Tim Duncan who both stayed back in San Antonio. Leonard is questionable and he is the key defender against perimeter shooting big men. The Spurs play again tomorrow when they host Phoenix at home. Dallas has had the past four days off heading into this contest. The Mavericks have been humiliated twice this season against San Antonio losing by margins of 25 and 38 points. With tomorrow off this is a statement game for the home dog who is getting healthy and playing much better ball. PLAY DALLAS |
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01-14-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls -4 | Top | 58-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
706 Atlanta at Chicago
We have major concerns about this Atlanta team right now who have dropped 5 of 6 games straight up. The lone win came at home against Utah in a contest that the Jazz led by 15 in the third quarter before a furious Hawk comeback. During this streak Atlanta has lost outright to the likes of the Pistons, Cavaliers and Wizards. They are really struggling to put points on the board, producing 84 points or less in 4 of the last 6 games against some questionable defenses. Chicago is off an embarrassing 16 point home loss to the Suns. That game came on the heels of an upset win over the Knicks. Beating New York has been very important for the Bulls this year but they have suffered a letdown and looked really bad after all three victories. We expect a focused effort from the host tonight as it looks to avenge a 92-75 loss in Atlanta. Chicago hasn't played well at home this year which is why this line is very reasonable. We take full advantage. PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-04-13 | Indiana Pacers +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 75-94 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Indiana at Boston
Indiana continues to struggle to score failing to reach the century mark in 17 of 19 games with a high water mark of 104 points during that streak. That 104 points scored against Utah was a season high in regulation. This road game breaks up six straight home games for the Pacers. Indiana has Milwaukee revenge on deck tomorrow. Boston has dropped four straight games by double figures and travel to Atlanta tomorrow and New York. The Celtics have lost 8 of 10 with the only wins coming against Cleveland and Brooklyn. This is a very important game for the host. While Boston has struggled with athletic teams that can beat the Celtics in transition, that's not the type of team they will be facing tonight. The Boston players have talked about getting back on tract and this is their best opportunity with a team that won't overwhelm them in the open court. PLAY BOSTON |
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12-28-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +3 | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
818 LA Clippers at Utah
Friday night home crowds in the NBA are always a huge bonus. It's usually the highest attended game of the week and most in the crowd are excited for the weekend. Therefore we see an added skip in the step of teams playing at home especially if the visitor is a high profile opponent. And you don't get much higher profile right now than the 15 straight winners of the LA Clippers. Utah has dropped two straight home games outright by double digits. They are also looking to avenge a previous loss on this court to these Clippers, a 105-104 defeat at the beginning of the month. With the second game of a home and home coming Sunday in Los Angeles this is a very important game for the Jazz. The Clippers are riding high right now off a 106-77 home blowout of the Celtics last night. But playing unrested in altitude has never been a positive situation, especially when put in the road favorite role. After this home and home with the Jazz the Clippers face the likes of Denver, Golden State twice and cross town rival LA Lakers. You can easily see the Clippers taking the Jazz for granted tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-14-12 | Boston Celtics v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206 | Top | 89-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH
812 Boston at Houston Boston is 3-8 to the Under in regulation when the total is set at 190 or higher. This is the first time all season a total has been set at over 200. When playing against teams with high pace ratings Boston has gone Under against Dallas by 5, Under against San Antonio by 19 and Under against Milwaukee by 9 1/2, 6 and 17. Houston plays the fastest pace in the NBA and coach Rivers knows he can't compete against Houston playing the Rockets fast paced game. Off a double overtime win over Dallas on Wednesday and with another game tomorrow at San Antonio we look for the Celtics to severely slow the pace. PLAY UNDER |
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11-09-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New Orleans Hornets -6.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
514 Charlotte at New Orleans
The Bobcats had by far the worst record in the league last year and while improved are still way behind the rest of the NBA. The team has tried to press the opposition which has led to turnovers but also to a great deal of offensive rebounds. Charlotte doesn't defend well enough to allow second shots. After surprising Indiana in the opener with their unorthodox defensive style Charlotte has been beaten by 27 and 7 points the last two games against mediocre competition. New Orleans just set a franchise mark in futility last time out being held to 62 points against Philadelphia. Without another game until Wednesday the Bobcats will get their full attention. Davis has been held out of the last two games because of concussion symptoms but he is expected to be cleared to play today. Look for a rebound performance for the Hornets here as they take out some frustrations on a bad team. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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06-12-12 | Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Miami at Oklahoma City
The Heat had to go the full route in eliminating the Celtics in 7 games. They had to win the last two contests just to advance. That took major minutes from the key players and this is a quick turnaround for Miami. Oklahoma City on the other hand finished off the Spurs early and beat a far better team than the Heat had. The Oklahoma City series win came as somewhat of a surprise while Miami struggled against what many considered a far lesser team. Not only is this a tough spot for Miami but the line is very cheap in regards to the host. We grade out the Thunder as the better team and they rarely lose at home. Unlike most of the teams in the league they actually have the youth and athleticism to compete with Miami. We expect Oklahoma City to have great success getting down the floor on the Heat, something the aging Celtics were able to take advantage of. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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06-04-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -5 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The home teams are on a 12-3 spread run after Boston survived in overtime yesterday. If it wasn't for a poor home performance from the Indiana Pacers the hosts would be even more dominating. The two teams in this series are now a combined 13-0 straight up in the playoffs at home. Off back to back losses we fully expect the Spurs and the best coach in the league to play a very strong game tonight. Blair has dominated Oklahoma City in his career but his minutes have been limited. We expect the big man to play extended productive minutes on Monday. Oklahoma City shot lights out at home the last two games but it will be a different story on the road here. Tony Parker has been completely shut down in a defensive switch for the Thunder but after two games of tape we will likely see a much improved point guard tonight. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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05-19-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder -1 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Oklahoma City at Los Angeles
The Lakers used a late surge last night to take victory from the jaws of defeat. They shot an amazing 41 of 42 from the free throw line in doing so. Now on short rest they must duplicate that result in order to even up this series. We're betting that they can't do it. Oklahoma City has shown time and time again that they are a dangerous team on the road. After blowing the game late last night we expect Durant and company to come out with even more focus tonight. In a situation where an outright victory almost assuredly leads to a cover we will back the far superior Oklahoma City team off a rare loss. The Lakers haven't even looked good after victories which tells us they won't be able to hold off the Thunder tonight. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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05-17-12 | Miami Heat -1.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 75-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Miami at Indiana
The Miami Heat are now 1 for 22 from the 3 point line in this series, yet the pairing is tied at one game apiece. The Heat have been out rebounded yet the series is tied. The loss of Bosh will hurt but Miami was such a heavy favorite in this series before the injury that the betting public has made an overreaction. Being a former Clevelander we would love to see LeBron get sent to the sidelines with a Miami series loss, but we just don't think that will happen. The Pacers are playing right now with found money and they haven't been in a pressure situation like this against a quality foe. The Heat have the better playmakers and they get the victory here. We take advantage of an underrated Miami team, something rarely said since the Big 3 signed on. PLAY MIAMI |
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05-06-12 | Miami Heat -8 v. New York Knicks | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Miami at New York
Last night Oklahoma City came through for us as the current run of first round sweeps continued. Now a 67% play the last 30 games when a team is looking to pull out the broom in the first round. We continue in that direction today as we back the Heat to eliminate the Knicks. New York has a team of questionable character and the Heat know that having extra rest is huge this time of year. Miami has been here before and the players are well versed in elimination games. The line looks high but it's there for a reason. Look for Miami to win this one by double digits. PLAY MIAMI |
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04-30-12 | New York Knicks +10 v. Miami Heat | Top | 94-104 | Push | 0 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
New York at Miami
The Heat had their way early and often against the Knicks in the opener, but we expect a much more competitive game here. Miami came out with a purpose in game one but not sure they will feel the same motivation here. They are up 1-0 in the series off a dominating performance. In the meantime they have seen Rose go down for Chicago and Boston losing game one and possibly Rondo to a suspension. In the opening game Miami made 33 trips to the line compared to the Knicks 11. The Heat shot 49% from the field while New York managed just 36%. With Miami is a very strong position in the east and with the Knicks needing this victory badly we expect New York to take this one to the wire. PLAY NEW YORK |
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04-21-12 | Golden State Warriors +13 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Golden State at Houston
This is the time of year when teams fighting for playoff seeding become overrated in the betting markets. We saw it yesterday with Memphis, New York and Dallas with only Oklahoma City cashing a ticket by a single point. Today we take advantage of the must win factor once again as we go against the Houston Rockets. Houston has lost six straight games, failing to cover the posted number by a combined 61 1/2 points. They faced the Warriors here just 30 days ago and they were just an eight point favorite. Now with the same scheduling scenario the Rockets are giving five points more. Golden State isn't winning many games as of late but they are covering the number, especially in the road dog role. Now on a 12-3 ATS run catching points on the road. Last night they led wire to wire ATS while catching 13 against the defending champions, now they are getting the same number against a team that has lost six straight games, including four straight on this court. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-19-12 | Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets +5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Houston at New Orleans
The Rockets have now failed to cover five straight games, losing to the spread by a combined 50 1/2 points. Now after losing 117-110 on the road last night in Dallas they have been installed as road favorites at New Orleans. The last five games the Rockets have permitted 117, 105, 101, 112 and 103 points, terrible defensive numbers which suggest that Houston has already packed it in with four games to go. New Orleans on the other hand continue to play stellar defense holding the opposition to double digits in 14 or 16 games. Before last night they had permitted just 67, 75 and 85 points the last three games. New Orleans is on a 7-0 ATS run as home dogs with the last six contests all going under. The Hornets will set the pace in this one which means defense rules the contest. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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04-17-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 | Top | 112-91 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
San Antonio at LA Lakers
First thought on this contest would be the revenge factor for the Spurs who lost at home to the Lakers 98-84 just six days ago. But playing revenge at this point of the season isn't that easy, especially for two teams that will likely meet in the playoffs. This is the second of three late season match ups for these teams and the Lakers are playing without Kobe Bryant. Greg Popovich is the best coach in the NBA and he knows that showing a likely playoff opponent his full bag of tricks three times late in the season could come back to haunt him. It's quite possible that San Antonio will either sit or severely limit the minutes of three key players here. After all the Spurs are playing their second of three straight contests. The last and only time they played a three in three this season the Spurs failed to cover at New Orleans in the middle game. A repeat wouldn't surprise. Even if the big three play extended minutes we're not sure the Spurs are the right side. The Lakers have played much better team basketball with Kobe on the sidelines and LA is undefeated on the season in the home dog role, cashing against the Bulls and the Heat. The line is currently San Antonio -3 1/2 and if the news comes out about Popovich resting key players the Lakers could go off as a favorite. We are treating this as a win, win situation as we like the Lakers regardless. PLAY LOS ANGELES LAKERS |
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04-12-12 | Detroit Pistons -5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 109-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Detroit at Charlotte
We've had a really good feel for the Detroit Pistons this year going a perfect 11-0 in games in which they are involved in. Offensively Detroit has really struggled as of late but tonight they get to pad their stats against the worst of the worst in the NBA. Off 89 and 75 point outputs we are able to catch the Pistons at a bargain price. Charlotte is now 6-22 ATS on the year when facing a team off a loss. That means when a team plays them with a bad taste in their mouths the Bobcats don't stand a chance. That's exactly what we expect tonight as we find a Charlotte team riding a 13 game losing streak and having lost by double digits in three straight games. The last of those poor outings came against the powerhouses of Cleveland and Washington. Detroit takes out some frustrations tonight. PLAY DETROIT |
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04-10-12 | Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat -7 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Boston at Miami
The Celtics have been playing better ball as of late but they haven't stepped up for the most part when playing superior competition. Despite a 7-2 record as of late they lost to both San Antonio and Chicago. The one game they did beat a quality opponent was just nine days ago when they clobbered this Heat squad 91-72. That defeat was an embarrassment for the Miami players and you know they circled this game on their calendars. Miami is 5-1 SU & ATS this season playing in revenge and the Heat are in revenge both tonight and on Thursday when they face the Bulls. Miami is in a positive scheduling situation as they are playing their fifth straight game at home and third straight with a day of rest. We look for a very focused effort from the host tonight as the Heat make a statement. PLAY MIAMI |
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04-09-12 | Detroit Pistons v. Orlando Magic -8 | Top | 89-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Detroit at Orlando
The Pistons are playing their 4th game in 5 days after taking on Miami last night on the road. Detroit is now 5-15 ATS on the road catching 7 or more points. They have the next two days off before facing Charlotte in a very winnable contest. Orlando is playing with double revenge here after losing to Detroit 102-95 and 89-78 in the only two meetings this season. The seven point loss occurred just last Tuesday. The Magic are rested but they do play Washington tomorrow, but they have already beaten the Wizards three times this season. So Detroit will have their full attention and payback is in order. PLAY ORLANDO |
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04-06-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Toronto Raptors -8 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Cleveland at Toronto
The Cavaliers weren't a very good team coming into the season and now they are just a shell of that squad. They are without their top two points guards because of injuries and trades and the best defender and energy player is likely gone for at least another week. What they have in their place is either aging veterans way past their prime or D League players who shouldn't be on an NBA floor. Cleveland has lost 9 straight games including 8 straight by 9 points or more. The Cavaliers are just counting the days till the next NBA Lottery Show. Toronto is playing with a great deal of pride as this season comes to a close. They won't be tasting the playoffs but the future is much brighter north of the border. The Raptors have won 3 straight games including an impressive 99-78 blowout of the Sixers in Philadelphia. Unlike their opponent tonight, this team can't wait to get on the court. After playing the Cavs the Raptors face Oklahoma City, Indiana, Philadelphia revenge, Boston, Atlanta twice and Miami. They will not overlook the fragile Cavaliers. PLAY TORONTO |
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04-04-12 | New Jersey Nets +8.5 v. Portland Trailblazers | Top | 88-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
New Jersey at Portland
The Nets are playing their best ball of the season cashing four straight and winning 3 of 4 outright. It's been an impressive road trip for New Jersey thus far and tonight they have the ability to end the trip with a winning mark by beating the Blazers. On this trip New Jersey has covered the three games by margins of 5 1/2, 18 1/2 and 4 and the betting public has been slow to react. We want no part of Portland who has lost a coach and two top defensive players and is playing out the string. It's rebuilding time in Portland and the best way to accomplish that goal is to get into the lottery. The Blazers are currently four games out of the playoffs and they have shown no signs of being concerned with postseason play. Tonight they are laying a high number considering that they have only won once in the last ten games by this type of margin. Portland started the year strong at home but are on a current 1-4 spread run as a home favorite, including two outright losses. This is not the team we want to lay a sizable number with in this current Blazer situation. PLAY NEW JERSEY |
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03-28-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 88-83 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota at Charlotte
We went with the Timberwolves last night and they faded down the stretch, but this is a game that could very well jump start a winning streak. After taking on the Bobcats, the Timberwolves face Boston, Portland, Sacramento, Golden State and New Orleans. That set of games could reinvigorate a team that's battling back from losing Ricky Rubio, their talented point guard. Many will look at this game and see a rested Bobcats squad facing a team who played last night and traveled. But Charlotte has played with an equal rest or rest advantage in five straight games and they failed to cover the spread in four of those contests. This will be the fourth straight time Charlotte has faced an unrested team and they failed to cover all three of the prior games. In fact, Charlotte is 6-15 ATS on the season playing an unrested foe. We've gone against Charlotte twice this year cashing by a combined 22 points, this one adds to our anti- Charlotte success. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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03-26-12 | Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets -1.5 | Top | 105-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Utah at New Jersey
This line has really been adjusted since the lookahead line of Utah -2 1/2 yesterday. But the truth of the matter is we want no part of the Jazz here even in the underdog role. Utah is playing their 4th game in 5 nights all in different locations. Last night they went to four overtimes with the Hawks before dropping a 139-133 decision. In that game Utah had five players log at least 49 minutes and now they likely have to win outright on the road in order to get the cover. Keep in mind that Utah is just 7-13 ATS on the season in the role of road underdogs. With Utah fighting for the playoffs in the Western Conference we can see them laying down and taking one for the team tonight on the road against an Eastern Conference squad. New Jersey isn't a terrible team, in fact this will mark the sixth of eight games in which they have been favored as of late. They are rested and off a confidence building double digit victory. The key player for the Nets is point guard Deron Williams who came over to the Nets from Utah. The earlier meeting against the Jazz Williams put in a bad performance. Now facing his former team in a terrible scheduling situation we look for the perennial All-Star to carry the Nets on his back. PLAY NEW JERSEY |
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03-23-12 | Boston Celtics +6.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 86-99 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
Boston at Philadelphia
The Celtics have struggled in the second game of a back to back this season with a 4-9 spread mark, but this game may be a bit different. The starters were able to gain a bit of rest yesterday as Milwaukee emptied the bench early as the Bucks are in a three game in three day scenario. It's also a huge payback game for Boston who were crushed right out of the gate 103-71 just 16 days ago in this building. Boston has cashed 4 of 5 lately in the road dog role and they only have Washington on deck on Friday. Philadelphia has lost 4 of their last 5 games with the only win coming against the worst team in the league Charlotte. This is a team that has lost outright 12 of 18 games going back to mid-February. Philadelphia has pounded the weak teams in the league but has struggled against playoff caliber squads. With Boston looking to avenge their worst loss of the season we don't expect the game to be nearly as easy as the last time these two met. PLAY BOSTON |
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03-21-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. San Antonio Spurs -9.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Minnesota at San Antonio
Extremely tough spot for the Timberwolves who won last night at Golden State. This is the 6th game of a 7 game road trip and they will be facing a team looking for a bit of payback. San Antonio lost the first two meetings with the Timberwolves by margins of 8 and 10 points at Minnesota. Now they get the T-Wolves at home after having the past three days to prepare. The Spurs are 4-1 ATS on the season with at least two days of rest and they should be in an especially bad mood after losing at Dallas 106-99 the last time they took the court. San Antonio has now cashed six straight games following a loss. This one has special meaning for the host. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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03-21-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 | Top | 91-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City
The Clippers continue to be an overpriced commodity right now as it's clear this team has taken a major step back since the injury to Chauncey Billups. LA is on a 5-12 spread run including losing 6 of 7 as of late. The lone spread victory during the latest streak was against Atlanta, unrested at the tail end of a six game road trip. This is the second of three straight games in three days for the Clippers. They just lost at Indiana and have a trip to New Orleans on deck. We doubt the Thunder will get their best effort. Oklahoma City has been at its best when coming off a loss this year. They are 9-2 ATS following a defeat and they lost last night in Utah. This is also a bit of a revenge game for the Thunder as the Clippers pounded them 112-100 in LA in the only other meeting this season. With a full day off before hosting Minnesota on Friday we can see the Thunder having a chip on its shoulder tonight. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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03-19-12 | Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 105-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Philadelphia at Charlotte
The Sixers have been excellent against the weaker teams in the league and tonight they look to get back in the win column after losses to Indiana, Miami and Chicago. With a day off before facing the Knicks the Bobcats will have the Sixers full attention. Teams that don't overlook Charlotte this year have been money in the bank and we expect Philadelphia to be fired up for this one. When Charlotte plays a team coming in off a loss the Bobcats are just 5-15 ATS on the season. With Charlotte off a rare win and three days off before facing Milwaukee we can see the host treating this game like the last day of school before Christmas vacation. Lay it with the better team in a must win situation. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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03-18-12 | Detroit Pistons +7.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
703 Detroit at LA Clippers
The Pistons have not been the most reliable road underdog this year but they have had a very favorable schedule as of late. This is its fourth game on a five game road trip with a full day of rest between each contest. The Pistons have two days off after tonight before facing Denver. Detroit struggled badly earlier in the year but have posted a solid 12-8 straight up mark the last 20 games. We simply cannot trust the Clippers right now who are simply not the same team without Chauncey Billups. Los Angeles is just 6-9 straight up as of late with 8 of those 15 games being played at home. The Clippers are on a 1-7 spread run when installed as home favorites. The offense has been very one-dimensional scoring 95, 87, 96, 85 and 93 points as of late. The Clips are playing its fourth game in five days with three straight road contests in three days following a day of rest after this game. This is a team that doesn't have the depth to deal with this situation. PLAY DETROIT |
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03-11-12 | Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Denver Nuggets | Top | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Memphis at Denver
The scheduling situation in this contest is weighing much more heavily on the line than is justified. The Grizzlies played last night in Phoenix and now must travel into altitude to take on the Nuggets while Denver is rested. But Memphis is a terrific 7-2 ATS this season when playing with less rest than its opponent. They are also 6-3 ATS when playing unrested. The Grizzlies have played the Nuggets twice this year with both games going down to the wire, a 103-102 home win and a 100-97 overtime home victory. Denver is in the midst of a nine game home stand and are currently 2-1 thus far. They played three of the weakest teams in the league in Sacramento, Cleveland and New Orleans. In those three home games the Nuggets outscored the opposition 328-313, winning by an average of five points per game. Denver hasn't been an intimidating venue for visitors this year with outright home losses to the likes of New Orleans, Utah, Golden State and Cleveland pointing that out. This line is too high and we step in with a quality team catching points. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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03-07-12 | New York Knicks v. San Antonio Spurs -7 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
New York at San Antonio
Reality is starting to set in for the Knicks who have dropped 3 of 4 games. Linsanity in subsiding and it's back to typical underachievement in New York. The team is having a hard time meshing the individual talent and it may take some time before all the pieces fit. New York is in the midst of a four game road trip and it already lost to Boston and Dallas, two teams playing uneven ball as of late. The Knicks toughest test is tonight in San Antonio. The Spurs lost last time out while hosting Denver. In fact, San Antonio is in the middle of a seven game home stand and it has a 1-2 record through the first three games. With two days off to prepare and catching the Knicks unrested we feel this is a great spot for the Spurs. San Antonio is 7-4 ATS this season off an outright loss and 6-1 in that role as of late. Rested, playing at home, and off a loss put us squarely on the better coached team. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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03-05-12 | Los Angeles Clippers +3 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
LA Clippers at Minnesota
The Clippers took the Rockets to overtime yesterday but in our opinion the betting markets have overreacted. Sure it's the Clippers fourth game in five days but this is a team that has performed well with little to no rest. LA is 6-3 ATS unrested and 4-3 ATS on the year with less rest than its opponent. The Clippers are the better team and they are playing this game with double revenge having lost to the T-Wolves by margins of 12 and 3 already this season. While many will focus on the Clippers overtime win yesterday they will overlook the fact that Minnesota playing its fifth game in seven days itself. Minnesota is just 3-9 ATS in the role of home favorite. Tonight we get the better team in revenge mode as an underdog, a rare but lethal combination. PLAY LA CLIPPERS |
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03-03-12 | Indiana Pacers v. New Orleans Hornets +5.5 | Top | 102-84 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Indiana at New Orleans
The Pacers are riding a five game winning streak but the victories were against these Hornets in overtime, the Nets, Warriors and Bobcats twice. Before this weak schedule of opponents they had dropped five straight contests. Indiana is just 3-5 ATS in the role of road favorites, and they face Chicago, Atlanta, Miami and Orlando, all possible playoff opponents after this matchup. The Hornets are getting healthier and it's paying off on the scoreboard. New Orleans has won 5 of 9 games including cashing eight of those contests. That includes straight up wins over the likes of Dallas and New York. The Pacers have the scheduling edge as they have had three days off while the Hornets played last night here against Dallas. But Indiana is just 2-6 ATS on the season with an edge in rest while New Orleans is 4-3 ATS at a rest disadvantage. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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02-22-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +6 | Top | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Indiana at Charlotte
Horrendous spot here for the Pacers who are off a 117-108 home overtime win over New Orleans last night. That was the third straight home game for Indiana with a quick trip to Charlotte tonight before the All-Star break. The Pacers have already beat the Bobcats by 22 and 35 points, the later coming just three days ago. This is also the third game in four days for Indiana. A team that has dropped four straight in the road favorite role including pointspread losses by 13 and 10 1/2 the only two times they were unrested road favorites. Indiana players are already thinking about the break after having its way over the Bobcats in the first two meetings. Charlotte has played much better ball when healthy and they well remember that 35 point embarrassment Sunday in Indiana. The Bobcats have had the last two days off so they are fresh for the rematch. NBA teams with a two days or more rest advantage have been solid this season, and the Bobcats are a perfect 2-0 ATS in that situation with covers by 6 1/2 and 4 points. An outright upset here wouldn't be a surprise. PLAY CHARLOTTE |