Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-24-21 | Hornets v. Rockets +3.5 | Top | 122-97 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
572 Charlotte at Houston This seems to be a very good matchup for Houston. The Rockets rank 6th in the league in shots at the rim, and the Hornets are 26th in rim percentage shots allowed, and 25th in rim defense. Charlotte is at its best defensively in mid-range shots. But Houston ranks 30th in the league in mid-range attempts. Houston likes to shoot from distance, and this Charlotte defense gives up a great deal of threes. Ranking 30th in corner threes and 29th overall. The Hornets will be without LaMelo Ball who is out for four weeks after right wrist surgery. They rebounded from the loss to the likely rookie of the year, with a 100-97 victory over San Antonio on Monday. Teams tend to step up after a star player injury the first game, but struggle then after. That’s what we expect here. PLAY HOUSTON |
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03-12-21 | Cavs +7 v. Pelicans | Top | 82-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
527 Cleveland at New Orleans The Cavaliers were playing solid ball before the All-Star Break, and could be fully healthy for the first time all season tonight. Larry Nance Jr is back in action after having hand surgery. Also Garland and Love have been updated to questionable. Kevin Love is still a quality player when he is able to stay healthy, and he and Garland both practiced fully yesterday. New Orleans does one thing well, crash the offensive glass. But Cleveland is a team that is built to keep the opposition off the glass, especially if Love gets some minutes tonight. Cleveland is the fresher team and didn’t have anyone participating in the weekend festivities. Great spot for the Cavaliers to take this to the wire. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-29-21 | Cavs -1 v. Knicks | Top | 81-102 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
573 Cleveland at New York Third meeting between these two this year with each team grabbing a victory. In the first meeting the Knicks shot lights out from distance in a 95-86 victory. What made that so surprising was that the vast majority of those threes were defended very well. In the second meeting New York wasn’t nearly as lucky and Cleveland won 106-103. Now almost fully healthy we look for Cleveland to once again get the better of the Knicks. New York returns home for the first time after playing four games on the west coast in six days. We all know how hard it is the first time back in town from a family situation. The Knicks are 23rd in offensive turnover percentage which can really be a problem against the 1st ranked turnover defense of the Cavaliers. Cleveland’s offensive success is predicated on turnovers as this team also has great success with deflections. The guard combo for the visitor has great speed which leads to easy baskets for the Cavs. We expect that to happen often here. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-27-21 | Thunder v. Suns -7 | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
552 Oklahoma City at Phoenix Thunder are playing its third game in for days all in different cities. They just broke a three game losing streak in Portland last night. This is the final game of a five game trip, and may be satisfied after that victory last night. Phoenix hasn’t played the past three days, so this is a team in much better position to play wire to wire. Especially when you consider this is their fifth game in the last 18 days. Coming off back to back overtime losses hosting Denver, the Suns have much more motivation for a victory tonight. The Thunder are dead last in offensive rebound rate, which should be a major deal against a Suns team that clears the boards defensively in the Top 10. PLAY PHOENIX |
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01-24-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-141 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
571 Cleveland at Boston The Cavaliers continue to be overlooked just because of the name on the front of the jersey. This team is a money maker and are now almost fully healthy with Dellavedova and Love remaining out. The trade with the Nets made this one of the deeper teams in the league. This club leads the NBA in defensive turnover percentage and tipped passes. That’s a concern against a Boston team ranking 20th in offensive turnover percentage. The entire team has been buying in defensively, and now the starting backcourt is fully healthy. Jason Tatum remains doubtful for the Celtics as well. We feel the visitor wins this outright. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-08-21 | Thunder v. Knicks -2 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
550 Oklahoma City at New York The Thunder enter play with a 3-4 mark, but have been very fortunate to have that number of wins. They are 3rd in the NBA in wins over expectation, as their numbers show it should have only 1.9 victories. This is a team that ranks 30th in points per possession, and 30th in offensive rebounding percentage. New York ranks 3rd defensively in points per possession, and 2nd in effective field goal percentage. Austin Rivers ranks in the 100th percentile in points per shot attempt, while Julius Randle is in the 98th percentile in bigs with a 30.2% assist rate. Can’t see the Thunder having any success offensively here as the Knicks continue to be underrated in the betting markets. PLAY NEW YORK |
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01-04-21 | Cavs +5.5 v. Magic | Top | 83-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
575 Cleveland at Orlando The Magic really want to run this year, but they haven’t done it with a whole lot of success thus far. Orlando will have troubles tonight against a Cavs team that has had success in the open court as well as in the half court game. We really expect the big men for Cleveland to have a big night as the Orlando front court players are weak defensively, especially the All-Star center who is more worried about offense. Cleveland is the more rounded team here and we expect this club to win at least one of these two games outright. The points are a nice bonus. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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12-29-20 | Knicks v. Cavs -3 | Top | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
560 New York at Cleveland Coming into the season both these teams were rated almost exactly the same. The Knicks enter play at 1-2 while the surprising Cavaliers are undefeated at 3-0. We’ve watched all three Cleveland games, and this team is much better than the preseason expectations. The Cavs lead the league in spread difference at +16.7, and are 2nd in the NBA in defense. Cleveland now has two really good big men that have kept the opposition out of the paint. The offense is being led by two of the best young players at the guard spot in Garland and Sexton. Neither were very good defensively last year, but with the new style of play they have picked up the defense very well. In our opinion Garland was so bad last year he could be a nice comeback player of the year candidate. Kevin Love is out from 3-4 weeks, which actually helps the youngsters keep the ball moving. Cleveland has been excellent on assisted baskets in this young season. Number is cheap once again, as the Cavaliers are much improved. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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12-27-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
530 Philadelphia at Cleveland Second game of a back to back for Joel Embiid after playing over 30 minutes last night at New York. Teams get up to play in Madison Square Garden, and a likely letdown here traveling to Cleveland is likely. The Cavs on the other hand have played very well to open the season. The offense is flowing better than anyone projected, and the defense is much better with the additions up front. This is a team with confidence right now, and the line is simply too high to not back the surprising Cavs at home. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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12-23-20 | Hornets -2 v. Cavs | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
551 Charlotte at Cleveland The Cavaliers will have a tough time scoring tonight without Kevin Love and its key sixth man. Colin Sexton is coming off an ankle injury in the final preseason game, so he likely won’t be 100%. Charlotte addition Gordon Hayward is expected to play after coming back from a broken finger. The addition of LaMelo Ball should make this team a step better than a season ago. With little to no home court advantage we prefer the team on the rise. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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08-23-20 | Nuggets +3 v. Jazz | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
747 Denver and Utah The Jazz have been a major surprise thus far especially considering the lack of depth. But it’s one thing to be an underdog. It’s something totally different to be the team with the 2-1 series lead and now be a solid favorite. Last meeting the series was tied and Utah went off as a single digit favorite. Now Denver has its back to the wall and is getting more points? Just can’t see how anything but that single game outcome has moved this line two full points. Look for the Nuggets best effort tonight. PLAY DENVER |
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02-28-20 | Cavs +12.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
533 Cleveland at New Orleans Cavaliers are having success since changing coaches as the team is learning to play for each other. It’s a squad playing with confidence right now that wasn’t happening earlier in the season. The Pelicans aren’t used to being a sizable favorite, as this is just the second time all season New Orleans has laid double digits. This is an LA Lakers sandwich for the team that lost Davis before the season. Have to feel this will be a letdown spot for the host. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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02-26-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +8 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
502 Philadelphia at Cleveland The Sixers are treading water right now with a 13-12 record as of late. This is a club that has been great at home but struggles on the road. Philadelphia is just 2-12 straight up as of late on the road. The two victories were at New York by 3 and Brooklyn by 6. Philadelphia is in the midst of playing 10 straight games in different cities. Not playing back to back at home until mid-March. Cleveland has won 3 of its last 4 contests with the only loss coming at Miami, in the second game of a back to back situation. The way the Cavs are built right now it has one of the deepest and talented front courts in the league. A great matchup here against Embiid, with Simmons still on the sideline. Gotta fade the Sixers here as this team struggles mightily on the road. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
526 Portland at Utah The Blazers are playing great ball right now winning 5 of 6 including a 124-107 home win over these Jazz. But Portland is playing its second game of a back to back and third game in four days. To make matters worse they played the first game in altitude at Denver, flew home to host the Spurs, and now play unrested in altitude again. The Blazers are just 2-6 ATS playing in Utah. Unlike the Blazers the Jazz are really struggling right now having lost five straight games, including two straight on this normally strong home court. Utah is well rested having played just once in the past five days. The Jazz are the better team desperate for a win while Portland is in a terrible scheduling situation. There is a reason why this line seems high, because it should be even higher. PLAY UTAH |
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02-06-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -9 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
506 Philadelphia at Milwaukee The Sixers will be shorthanded tonight as the trade assets will be out of the lineup. In the only other meeting this season Philadelphia pounded the Bucks 121-109 on Christmas Day. Milwaukee was a virtual no show in that nationally televised game. So we expect the Bucks to have this game circled. This is the only game in a three game span for the host, while Philadelphia hosts Memphis tomorrow. If the Sixers fall behind early with this limited bench, look for Philadelphia to raise the white flag late. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers -9 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
516 Minnesota at LA Clippers The Timberwolves are on a ten game losing streak with 5 of the last 6 losses coming at home. This is a team that started the season well but has had separate 10 and 11 game losing streaks since December. Minnesota is 1-15 SU on the season vs top 10 opponents. The Clippers are coming off an embarrassing showing in a 21 point home loss to the Kings. After the game the players were very testy with the media, so we would expect a solid showing. LA is also 22-7 ATS off a SU loss. Lay it! PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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01-20-20 | Lakers -2 v. Celtics | Top | 107-139 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
519 LA Lakers at Boston Lakers enter play having won 10 of 11. Only loss was a one point defeat at the hands of the Magic. LA is rested having only played once the past four days. The Celtics have not only lost 6 of 8, but have held the majority lead in 3 of those contests. On the season Boston has lead for the majority of games 25 times, so you can tell this team is struggling right now. PLAY LA LAKERS |
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01-20-20 | Bulls v. Bucks -14.5 | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
510 Chicago at Milwaukee The Bulls have lost all three meetings with the Bucks this season. And it makes all the sense in the world. Chicago is a young team that finds was to lose, while the Bucks find ways to win. We like the talent on this Chicago roster, but until it plays much more consistently it’s hard to back. Milwaukee has not only won its last six games, but have held an average of a double digit lead in five straight. And still the coaching staff complained about its lack of discipline in giving away big leads. That won’t be the case here, especially with the next three days off. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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01-15-20 | Pistons v. Celtics -10 | Top | 116-103 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
504 Detroit at Boston Want no part of the Pistons right now who have dropped 12 of 15 ATS as of late. The team has only held the majority lead against the weaklings of Washington, Golden State and Cleveland. Boston has righted the ship with back to back solid wins, and have a trip to Milwaukee on deck. That may normally mean a lookahead, but we like this deep Boston squad. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-04-20 | Pacers -7 v. Hawks | Top | 111-116 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
509 Indiana at Atlanta Pacers have dropped 3 of 4 as of late but trips to Atlanta and Charlotte should get this team right. Indiana is rested while Atlanta played yesterday in Boston. The Hawks have only covered once in a back to back situation this year, with more results ending in blowouts. With Collins expected out of the lineup for Atlanta tonight, we will back the Pacers to get back on track. PLAY INDIANA |
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12-23-19 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 145-115 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
514 San Antonio at Memphis Wrong team favored in our opinion as the Spurs have struggled on the road all season. Both teams are playing its third game in four days. Memphis already won in San Antonio earlier in the season. Grizzlies have finished with the average lead in 5 of 7 games overall. Memphis is playing the much better ball. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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12-21-19 | Hawks v. Nets -7 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
562 Atlanta at Brooklyn The Hawks played a tough game against the Jazz on Thursday in a 111-106 loss. But that has been the exception for Atlanta as of late as this team simply doesn’t have the talent to compete on an everyday basis in this league. The Nets dominated the Spurs for three quarters on Thursday, only to fall apart late. The average lead in that game was Brooklyn by 3.7 points. With a day off and not another game until next Thursday we expect the Nets to take out some frustrations tonight. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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12-20-19 | Wizards v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 118-122 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
544 Washington at Toronto Surprised by the low line here as we have Toronto rated much higher than the Wizards. While Washington has played well on the road, Toronto has dominated at home. The rest in this game is equal, so that isn’t a factor. This line suggests on a neutral court Toronto would be only a 2 1/2 point favorite. That’s simply not correct. We lay the bargain price in this one as we have the Raptors winning by 10. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
551 Brooklyn at Toronto The Nets are playing terrific ball right now, even better than the 8-3 record as of late. This is a team that has held the lead in the majority of 10 of those 11 games. The Nets are also well rested having played just once in the past five days. The Raptors are off that big showdown with the Clippers and Leonard. It’s also rested having the last two days off. But Toronto has dropped 4 of 5 as of late as the team is now starting to play towards its talent level. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -1 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
504 Houston at Toronto Very happy to lay this small number at home with the Raptors. Houston has already lost on the road to Brooklyn, Miami, Denver and the Clippers. The only quality road win was at Minnesota. Coming off an overtime loss at San Antonio, this team hasn’t proven itself away from home this season. Toronto is 8-2 ATS at home, off an overtime home loss to Miami last time out. Prior to that defeat the Raptors had won seven straight games. This is a cheap number to lay for Toronto. PLAY TORONTO |
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11-29-19 | Wizards +11.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
579 Washington at LA Lakers The high scoring Wizards look to add to its success on the road trip after outscoring the Suns on Wednesday. While the record isn’t overly impressive, the Wizards have won 3 of 5 overall heading into this contest. The Lakers are coming in off an emotional come from behind win in New Orleans. It was a positive homecoming for Anthony Davis. Now the team has a fun get out and run game with the Wizards before hosting the red hot Mavericks on Sunday. This is a major sandwich spot for the host with Dallas, Denver and Utah up next. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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11-23-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 111-104 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
556 San Antonio at New York The Spurs have dropped eight straight games and have the Lakers on deck. Naturally this is the game San Antonio needs to have. But this isn’t your typical Spurs squad we are so used to seeing under Pops. The defense simply isn’t there right now, as every opponent the Spurs have played this season has reached triple figures. The Knicks have held the lead the majority of the game only five times this season, but it’s happened in each of the last four games. This is a team that is getting better and better each time out, but is staying under the national radar. Wrong team favored based on the way these teams are playing right now. PLAY NEW YORK |
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11-15-19 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +8 | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
524 Utah at Memphis The Jazz have struggled on the road thus far with a 1-4 ATS mark. Off four straight victories the team may enter here a bit satisfied with its recent performance. The Grizzlies host the Jazz for the first of a four game home stand. After wins at San Antonio and Charlotte this team should have solid momentum for this home battle. Our numbers show this line to be too high. We step in and take the host. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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11-14-19 | Nets +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
511 Brooklyn at Denver Nets are well rested having not played a back to back since November 1st and 2nd. This is the 4th of 5 on this road trip, but it should be well acclimated to the atmosphere after playing at Utah on Tuesday. While the Nuggets are 7-3 on the season, they have been quite fortunate. We have them at a deserved 5-5 as they have only had an average lead this season of 0.15 points per game. That despite being favored in all ten games this season. The Nuggets are the most overrated team in the league based on how it has played this season. We take advantage of that tonight with an inflated line. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +4.5 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
502 Miami at Cleveland We've been impressed by the start the Miami Heat have gotten off to. This team looks like a legit contender for a mid-tier playoff position. That said, this line is simply too high based on the way these two teams have been playing. Cleveland is 4-6 on the season which is enough of a surprise, but the team is actually better than that. On the year the Cavaliers have held a lead for more time than the opposition. That despite playing 6 of 10 games on the road, and being an underdog in all 10 games! This line is all based on reputation and preseason expectations. We expect the Cavs to win this outright. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic -1 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
578 Philadelphia at Orlando Despite a 7-3 record the 76ers are not playing up to its talent level. Our numbers show the team has been very fortunate and should have a 5-5 record. This team is only 1.7 points per game better than the schedule of teams it has faced. Now in the second game of a back to back and third in four days, their best players will likely be sitting. As opposed to the visitor the Magic are playing better than its record. Orlando is 3-7 on the year but our numbers show this team is only 0.5 points worse than the schedule it has played. And that schedule has featured Toronto, Milwaukee, Denver, Dallas and Indiana. With two days off since the last time the Magic took the court, Orlando has a huge scheduling advantage tonight. PLAY ORLANDO |
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11-11-19 | Raptors v. Clippers -10.5 | Top | 88-98 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
560 Toronto at LA Clippers Short handed Raptors pulled off an impressive upset of the Lakers last night. But in doing so VanFleet played 38 minutes and Siakam 42. Now playing back to back against a Clippers team that has had the past three days off. LA doesn’t play again until Wednesday, so there will be no load limits for the Clippers star. The number is high for a reason, but not high enough as we expect the Raptors to fade in the second half. PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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11-10-19 | Hornets v. 76ers -13.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
538 Charlotte at Philadelphia The Hornets have been very fortunate with a 4-5 record. Our numbers show it deserves a 2-7 mark. The only two games it should have won were against the Bulls and Kings, two teams who started the year poorly. This is the only road game in a five game stretch for the Hornets. The 76ers return home from a bad 1-3 road trip, with three straight losses entering this contest. Philadelphia doesn’t play again until Tuesday against the lowly Cavaliers. We expect the host to take out some frustrations here on the unrested Hornets. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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11-09-19 | Warriors +12 v. Thunder | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
527 Golden State at Oklahoma City Nobody is going to want anything to do with these short handed Warriors after an overtime loss. But that gives us plenty of value here. Golden State played ten players yesterday, all early double digit minutes. And for the third time in four games the Warriors held the lead for a majority of the game. This is a team that is much better than the record shows, and we can take advantage of that with increased lines. Oklahoma City doesn’t run like they used to, which keep scoring down and gives underdogs a better chance to stay in the game. Coming off its worst defensive performance of the season, we expect the pace to be slower than normal. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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10-30-19 | Knicks v. Magic -9 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
540 New York at Orlando Simply put the New York Knicks are terrible, and any time we can bet against them at a reasonable number we will. Coming off a undeserved home victory over Chicago seems like as good a time as any. While the score shows a 105-98 win, the average lead in the game was 8.9 points. By the Bulls! Chicago dominated that game and yet found a way to lose. On the season New York is 3-1 ATS despite very rarely holding a lead. Orlando is coming off losses to Atlanta and Toronto, two teams playing much better than expected. The Magic are well rested having only played three games this season and no back to backs. With Milwaukee and Denver on the horizon this is a must win game for the host. We expect a terrific effort from the Magic as they win this one handily. PLAY ORLANDO |
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10-29-19 | Hawks +8 v. Heat | Top | 97-112 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
533 Atlanta at Miami While the Hawks are playing in the second game of a back to back, Miami is playing its third game in four days. It’s also the first game with Jimmy Butler a key offseason signing. Since Butler didn’t play in the first three games we can look for rust to be a factor after coming back from the birth of a child. Atlanta was good to us yesterday and continues to be underrated in the betting marketplace. This young team is playing with great confidence now, showing yesterday it could play head up with the elite in the east. Despite that loss Atlanta led the majority of the game. No way the line should be this high with the way the Hawks are playing right now. PLAY ATLANTA |
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10-28-19 | Nuggets v. Kings +6 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
530 Denver at Sacramento Everybody and their brother likes this Denver Nuggets team coming into the season. It’s an extremely talented team that many feel will represent the Western Conference in this years championship. But despite a 2-0 start to the season the Nuggets haven’t been overly impressive. Having to go to overtime against Phoenix at home last time out as an example. We see it all the time. A team is highly publicized in the off season and believes all the hype. Hey how bout those Cleveland Browns! Now sitting at 2-0 with an improved Dallas on deck tomorrow, what kind of effort will we see out of the Nuggets tonight. The Kings on the other hand are 0-3 on the young season, losing all three games by double digits. The last being a 113-81 road loss at Utah. Nobody wants these Kings tonight, which means the value is there on the host. This team is not nearly as bad as it has shown so far, and this is the only game in a three day stretch. With the Clippers twice, Boston and Milwaukee on deck, this is an all in game for the host. PLAY SACRAMENTO |
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10-28-19 | 76ers v. Hawks +5 | Top | 105-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
516 Philadelphia at Atlanta Joel Embid is listed as questionable tonight, but this analysis expects him to play. While Embid has a sizable advantage down low over the Hawks, we like the way this young team has started the season. Atlanta has the youngest starting five in the league including two rookies who have gotten off to impressive starts. This is a matchup of the only two undefeated teams in the league and the home crowd will be pumped. Trey Young has been outstanding thus far and the line provides us value on the host. We look for a high scoring contest with Atlanta pulling off the shocker. PLAY ATLANTA |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 106-105 | Push | 0 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
530 Golden State at Toronto The much better team in this series has been the Toronto Raptors. If you were to take the names off the front of the jerseys the Raptors would be a clear betting favorite. If it wasn’t for one half of a basketball game Toronto would already be champions. Toronto was favored by 2 1/2 to 3 points before the news broke that Kevin Durant would try to play tonight. I’m now seeing a three to four point line move, for a player who hasn’t stepped on the court in weeks. He’s an excellent player when fully healthy, but that’s not what we will be getting tonight. Besides, if you are Durant, a free agent after these playoffs, do you really want to risk the chance of getting further injured right before a huge payday? The Warriors have played without him for weeks, and now they must adjust to him back in the lineup. If this was a regular season game the wise guys would be looking to fad the Warriors here. We look to do the same even if it is the playoffs. PLAY TORONTO |
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03-09-19 | Celtics v. Lakers +6 | Top | 120-107 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Fresh off our NHL Game of the Week as the underdog Winnipeg Jets won 8-1 yesterday. Now on a 10-3 NBA run and tonight we are STEPPING OUT WITH A BEST BET on the hardwood. Join us as we continue to provide profit for our clients. |
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03-06-19 | Cavs +9.5 v. Nets | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
535 Cleveland at Brooklyn The Cavaliers are a whole different team with Kevin Love healthy and in the lineup. With plenty of rest heading into this game and no contest tomorrow, the Cavs Love affair should provide us with a solid play tonight. Brooklyn leads the season series 2-1 but the last game was a triple overtime thriller. Cleveland is 5-3 straight up as of late with Love sitting the bench in the majority of those losses. Brooklyn is fighting for the playoffs which is one reason why this line is so high. But keep in mind the Nets have dropped 9 of its last 14 games. And the team has been slightly better on the road than at home this year. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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03-04-19 | Hawks +9 v. Heat | Top | 113-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
503 Atlanta at Miami Third game in four days for the Hawks who beat the Bulls 123-118 yesterday. But keep in mind none of the Hawks players played more than 28 minutes including Trey Young who was kicked out of the contest after only 18 minutes of play. Miami is the team trying to make the playoffs and will be a popular play with the public today. But keep in mind the Heat have lost outright to the Hawks in all three meetings this season. Can’t trust the Heat here who have lost 6 of 8 outright as of late in this building. PLAY ATLANTA |
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03-03-19 | Magic v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
582 Orlando at Cleveland Terrible spot here for the red hot Magic, off wins over Golden State and Indiana, with Philadelphia on deck. Orlando is very young and hasn’t been able to give the same effort on a night to night basis. Just in the last two weeks this team has lost to Chicago and New York. Cleveland on the other hand rested Kevin Love last night and were embarrassed by the Pistons. Love is back on Sunday and the team has played very well since his return to health. Great situational spot for the Cavaliers to take advantage of all the Orlando hype the last three weeks. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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03-01-19 | Bucks -4 v. Lakers | Top | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
553 Milwaukee at Los Angeles Lakers Bucks are in the middle of playing three games in four days on this five game road trip. That said, the Lakers and LeBron James bring out the best in good teams. And this Milwaukee team is playing better than anyone in the league. This contest should also bring special meaning for the Greek Freak as his team lost to LeBron and his squad in the All-Star game. The Bucks have played slightly better on the road this year, while the Lakers have been very poor at home. The Lakers are 18-12 straight up at home on the season, but just 6-8 since mid-December. Simply cannot trust the host to play enough defense to keep this one close. With a winnable game at Phoenix on deck, followed by city rival Clippers, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Lakers go deep in the rotation tonight. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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02-25-19 | Blazers v. Cavs +9.5 | Top | 123-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
562 Portland at Cleveland Blazers have won three in a row all by 14 points or more. It is in the midst of a seven game season high road trip. Coming off back to back double digit road wins over Philadelphia and Brooklyn, this team is riding high with Boston and Toronto on deck. If you were looking for a flat spot for the Blazers, this would be it. Don’t look now but the Cavaliers are playing its best ball of the season. Winning three of its last four with the lone loss coming in double overtime. Cleveland has the next two days off before traveling to New York to face the Knicks. This is also the fifth straight game at home for the Cavs who are the far more rested team from a travel aspect. Can’t see the Blazers getting up to play Cleveland here and the return of Love has energized the host. Look for this game to be tightly contested. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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02-13-19 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-97 | Win | 102 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
503 Milwaukee at Indiana In-season revenge game for the Bucks who lost to the Pacers by 16 in mid-December. Milwaukee has been golden this year after losing in the previous meeting, as well as coming off a loss in its last game. This is a club that takes losses badly and can’t wait to right the wrong. In its final game before the break we look for the Bucks to end the Pacers six game winning streak. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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02-11-19 | Bucks -11.5 v. Bulls | Top | 112-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
563 Milwaukee at Chicago Not only have the Bucks been a great team in revenge, this club has bounced back strong off a loss. How bout 13-0 straight up on the season, covering the number by over 14 points per game. Since the start of the season Milwaukee has won those games by margins of 35, 23, 7, 19, 6, 3, 23, 5, 12, 14, 12, 19 and 10 points. This team lost against Orlando Saturday in the second game of a back to back situation. With Indiana and Boston on deck this is a chance for the Bucks to take out some frustrations. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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02-04-19 | Hawks v. Wizards -6.5 | Top | 137-129 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
534 Atlanta at Washington Third game in four days for the Hawks who are off five straight games on the west coast. This is a one game stopover before returning to Atlanta for a seven game home stand. This should be a throwaway game for a team just playing out the schedule with no postseason expectations. Washington is rested and at home for the third straight game. This game is sandwiched in between games against the Milwaukee Bucks, so this is the contest the Wizards will be focused on. Great situational play for the host. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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02-02-19 | Bucks -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 131-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
507 Milwaukee at Washington The Bucks have been outstanding in seeking revenge for an in season loss. Last game out they kept the winners coming with a 105-92 upset of the Raptors. Milwaukee lost to Washington 113-106 on January 11th. WE will back the best team in the east against a disappointing Wizards squad. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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01-16-19 | Bucks -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
527 Milwaukee at Memphis Third game in four days for the Bucks, while Memphis is rested. This is a revenge game for Milwaukee after losing at home to the Grizzlies 116-113 in mid-November. But before you dismiss this as a nothing game for the Bucks, take a look at what Milwaukee has done after losing the previous meeting this year to an opponent. Lost to Boston on the first of November, beat the Celtics by 13 on the road. Lost to Portland November 6th, beat the Blazers by 43 at home two weeks later. Lost to New York the first of December, beat the Knicks by 14 and 16 in a home and home during Christmas time. Lost to Miami December 22nd, beat the Heat by 38 points last night. None of the Bucks starters played more than 27 minutes last night, as 13 players swat least 7 minutes of action. When Memphis beat the Bucks earlier, it was in the midst of a 7-1 Grizzlies winning streak. The current Memphis run is losses in 13 of 16 games. It’s payback time for the visitor. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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01-07-19 | Knicks +11.5 v. Blazers | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
589 New York at Portland Rested Knicks are about to play its opening game of a back to back situation, as the team travels to Oakland to face the Warriors tomorrow. Portland on the other hand is playing its third game in four nights, off a solid win over the red hot Rockets. Great scheduling spot here for the underdog who will go all out tonight, with less of a chance to win tomorrow against Golden State. PLAY NEW YORK |
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11-26-18 | Wolves v. Cavs +6 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
702 Minnesota at Cleveland Third game in four days for the Timberwolves who are off back to back wins over Chicago and Brooklyn. After this contest the schedule toughens up with San Antonio, Boston and Houston, three really talented teams who have underperformed thus far. Minnesota is riding high after getting rid of its malcontent player, but we feel its a short success streak. Cleveland’s young players are starting to believe in themselves. Collin Sexton has been terrific since being inserted in the starting lineup, and looks like a value bet to win rookie of the year. Ever since LeBron James came to town this team has renewed confidence. Wins over two good teams in Philadelphia and Houston has this team playing much better than early in the year. We look for the outright upset here. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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11-05-18 | Raptors -2 v. Jazz | Top | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
513 Toronto at Utah While the Raptors are playing the second game of a back to back here, Utah is playing its third in four days and its fourth in six. We already know the Jazz best scorer Donovan Mitchell will be out, and it’s likely Leonard will be out for the Raptors. But as of now he hasn’t been ruled out completely. Toronto is playing terrific ball right now while the host is really struggling. With or without Leonard we will back the Raptors here, as Utah is really having defensive problems this season. PLAY TORONTO |
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05-24-18 | Warriors +1 v. Rockets | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
507 Golden State at Houston Rare opportunity to get the clearly best team in the league without laying points. The Warriors were a short handed bunch last time out and the physical nature of the game seemed to wear on them down the stretch. Keep in mind the mental focus of this team after blowing away the Rockets in the previous game. Golden State was fat and happy and began to read its press clippings. While the Rockets played all out with its back to the wall. Now that Golden State is focused we see the Warriors coming out of Texas with the series lead. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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05-21-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
705 Boston at Cleveland So Cleveland is favored by 6 1/2 at home in game three after losing by double digits twice in Boston. Now the line is higher after the Cavs blow out the Celtics by 30 in the previous game? That’s not how sports betting works, especially this far into the playoffs where all four teams are among the leagues elite. Boston has the best coach remaining in the playoffs, which really says something with the Rockets and Warriors included, two elite coaches indeed. The Celtics have been terrific all season off a loss, off a double digit loss and off a blowout loss. History says the same thing when it comes to playoff basketball. Simply, the team that gets embarrassed comes out and covers the spread the next game. It happed last night in Oakland and it will do the same tonight in Cleveland. PLAY BOSTON |
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05-07-18 | Raptors v. Cavs -5 | Top | 93-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
504 Toronto at Cleveland Give the Raptors all the credit in the world for that comeback last time out. But that last basket by LeBron has to have taken out all the will from this team. Keep in mind LeBron James is on a 27-1 SU run against the Raptors at home. That’s been against some very good Toronto teams the last few years. Now the Raptors need to win four straight including two wins in Cleveland. It’s just not going to happen and the visiting knows it. Cleveland on the other hand wants to finish as soon as possible in order to get a bit of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. James led the league in minutes this season, so you know the Cavs will do everything in its power to close this one out tonight. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-03-18 | Cavs +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 128-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
511 Cleveland at Toronto In game one Toronto was well rested and Cleveland was coming off a grueling seven game series with Indiana. The Raptors were favored by 7 in that contest and Cleveland won it in overtime. Now the line is virtually the same despite both teams having equal rest. Toronto has really struggled against the Cavs in the postseason and we unable to distance themselves in game one. Why would anyone think something different is going to happen here? The Cavs match up well with Toronto and when Thompson is in the game the inside edge the Raptors have is negated. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 116-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
709 New Orleans at Golden State The rich get richer as Steph Curry returns to the Warriors lineup tonight. But does that make them a better team? Of course it does if he is in prime shape and gets his full allotment of minutes. But keep in mind it has been a long time since he has competed on the highest level, and the Warrior coaching staff will be looking to gradually increase his minutes. If would be devastating to this team to lose him again right before the likely occurrence of a Houston/Golden State showdown. Therefore we expect his minutes to be lessoned and his success being down from what we normally would witness. The line in the previous game was roughly 2 1/2 points lower than we find here. The Warriors pounded the Pelicans rather easily. But we expect a major effort out of the dog tonight, and the Curry return gives us extra points to play with. In successful sports betting you buy low and sell high, that’s exactly the situation we take advantage of tonight. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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04-29-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -5 | Top | 101-105 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
706 Indiana at Cleveland Originally from Cleveland we have watched virtually every Cavaliers game since LeBron was a rookie. We know his tendencies, his body language and when he’s coming to play or likely not to play well. This here is a LeBron game. Elite players off an embarrassing performance rebound well the next game. Teams losing by 30 or more points are 5-0 ATS the following game as a favorite. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-22-18 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 90-103 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
503 Golden State at San Antonio What was once a very promising season for the Spurs has really turned into a complete waste of a year. The team and its best player are at a standstill, as Leonard continues to sit when the team needs him most. Now San Antonio sits at 0-3 in this series and has to beat the defending champs four straight in order to advance. Because of the yearly high expectations for the Spurs we can’t see San Antonio getting overly excited to have to travel back to Oakland after a victory here. Fading 0-3 teams has been very profitable, doing so against a veteran team with higher expectations is a given. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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04-18-18 | Pacers +8 v. Cavs | Top | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
517 Indiana at Cleveland The Pacers have played the Cavaliers as well as anyone this year, and have a good chance to win this series outright. Being from Cleveland we watch every Cavaliers game and Cleveland has severe problems in this series. There was no doubt Indiana was the better team in the opener, and Cleveland still has a major weakness inside. The Pacers are the quicker team and the Cavs have struggled against youth all season. This line is built on reputation and not on the actual skills of the players. PLAY INDIANA |
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03-30-18 | Clippers +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
517 LA Clippers at Portland The road team has won outright all three meetings this season. The Clippers enter this game with double home loss revenge, but the defense is playing much better than the last time these two met two weeks ago. LA isn’t the most talented team in the league but you always seem to get a quality contest from this club. Portland has been all the rage for those looking to play on the hot team. The Blazers have won 17 of 21 games entering tonight. But we went against this team last time out with Memphis and Portland was beaten outright. We look to go against the overrated Blazers again tonight. PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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03-29-18 | Bulls v. Heat -13 | Top | 92-103 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
704 Chicago at Miami The Bulls are in full tank zone after losing its sixth straight game, a 32 point defeat at Houston. Our clients took advantage of Chicago in that contest and we go right back to the well here. This is the first of a back to back for the Bulls, as it plays in Orlando tomorrow. A far easier team to beat than this Heat squad who is fighting for the playoffs. Miami is on a 10-6 straight up run including victories over Philadelphia twice, Washington and Cleveland. The Heat are well rested having not played a back to back game since March sixth. Miami is also off tomorrow before facing Brooklyn, Atlanta twice and New York. This is the time for the Heat to pad its resume. PLAY MIAMI |
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03-27-18 | Bulls v. Rockets -13.5 | Top | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
768 Chicago at Houston Rockets had yesterday off after back to back blowouts of Atlanta and New Orleans. Houston plays again on Friday against Phoenix but has the next two days off. The Beard is out tonight which has driven the line down. But the numbers show that with Paul on the floor without him the team is only one point worse this season. Therefore the 3 1/2 point move is simply too much. Granted, against a good team it would make much more of a difference, but tonight the Rockets play the tanking Bulls. Chicago has lost four straight games by double digits, but three of those teams aren’t going to the playoffs. Houston has the best record in the league. We expect the Rockets to run up the score going deep on the bench for late game production. PLAY HOUSTON |
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03-08-18 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
655 Boston at Minnesota Now that the Celtics offense is coming around we have no problem backing this terrific defense in a likely win and cover situation. The Celts have been a money making machine with this young head coach in road games. Not only this year but in prior seasons. You always get a full effort from Boston on the road. While Minnesota is an up and coming team, we are not convinced this team can step up in class and beat a quality opponent. The number is well within our strike zone on the Celtics tonight. PLAY BOSTON |
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03-05-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -11 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
710 Memphis at San Antonio The Spurs are 4-13 SU against top 10 teams, They are 11-20 against top 16 opponents. But San Antonio has been at its best against the lesser teams in the league. Now 26-7 against the bottom half of the league. Coming into this contest having won just once over the past seven games, you know Pop will have his team prepared. Memphis is in full tank mode right now having lost 13 straight. Pau Gasol is expected to miss tonights contest. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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02-28-18 | Pelicans +5 v. Spurs | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
713 New Orleans at San Antonio The Pelicans enter this game having won six straight as Anthony Davis has played out of his mind as of late. What a difference a healthy Brow has made to this team. New Orleans beat San Antonio earlier in the season 107-90 at home. This is a confident bunch playing against a struggling Spurs squad. Despite the upset win in Cleveland the last time out, the Spurs have dropped 6 of 8 as of late. The only other victory came against the tanking Suns. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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02-13-18 | Cavs v. Thunder -2 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
508 Cleveland at Oklahoma City Don’t look now but all of a sudden all is right in Cleveland. Before the trade deadline Cleveland was +140 to win the Eastern Conference, now after exactly one game with the new players the Cavs are -110. All the talking heads are convinced Cleveland is now the clear team to beat in the East. Based on one game. We have to admit that surely was an impressive contest, but isn’t that a major stretch based on one game? Keep in mind Boston had lost two of three before that game, including an outright loss to Indiana at home. This is the third straight road game for the Cavs, and they are 5-18 ATS the last two years on the road vs the Western Conference. The last time Cleveland played Oklahoma City the Thunder scored 148 points. Look for Cleveland to struggle a bit tonight. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-09-18 | Blazers v. Kings +5.5 | Top | 118-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
818 Portland at Sacramento The Blazers are playing its 11th straight game in a different city tonight when it travels to Sacramento. It doesn’t help that Portland had to go to overtime last night to beat Charlotte. This is also the fifth game in eight days for the visitor. Sacramento on the other hand finishes off a four game home stand. The Kings haven’t left Sacramento for a game since January 30th. The Kings enter play having won four of its last seven games. This is a terrific spot for Sacramento to keep that streak alive. PLAY SACRAMENTO |
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01-26-18 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
603 Indiana at Cleveland Why go away from something that has been so successful? The Cavaliers stink right now and the betting public has been slow to react. This line is simply too high right now for a team playing without any heart. The only consistent player over the last month is Wade, and he’s not with the team today because of a personal problem. Indiana has won all three meetings this season and have a 7-3 record as of late against the entire league. The Pacers are 19-5 this season when hitting at least 10 3 pointers a game. Against the Cavs they have made 16, 15 and 10 in the previous meetings. Cleveland has been terrible defending the perimeter all season. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-17-18 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
709 Miami at Milwaukee Quick revenge for the Bucks here after losing to Miami 97-79 on the road just three days ago. But in looking over the Milwaukee schedule we see 11 of the last 12 games being played against current playoff squads, with another on deck. Having to get up every single game to play the best teams in the league is a chore. Miami is now 12-5 SU off a SU loss this season. They lost at Chicago Monday after winning seven straight games. Coincidently we had Miami in that contest, our only loss in any sport this week. But we have the Heat being the slightly better team here and we prefer the Miami coaching staff which has done a terrific job the last full year here in Miami. The Heat are on a 6-2 SU run on the road and we really like the way this team is playing. PLAY MIAMI |
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01-12-18 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
802 Cleveland at Indiana The Cavaliers have allowed its three highest point totals in the last three games. It has Golden State on deck and have lost to Indiana both times it faced the Pacers this year. Cleveland ranks 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the offense is still trying to adjust with new players in new roles. The Pacers are finishing four game home stand after beating Chicago and Milwaukee, before losing to the Heat last night. With six straight games against Western Conference foes on deck, this is the game the Pacers have circled. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-11-18 | Cavs v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 99-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
504 Cleveland at Toronto The Cavs are off a terrible defensive game at Minnesota, and the Raptors are without two of its best players. The current line is saying that those differences are worth 10 1/2 points to the spread, which is ridiculous. Cleveland has been bad defensively all season and now with Thomas in the lineup the numbers should get worse, not better. With Ibaka and Lowry out of the lineup the numbers actually get better for Toronto. Sure its a small sample size, and nobody is saying the team is better without these two. But the loss isn’t nearly as drastic as this line suggests. Throw in the fact that the Raptors have playoff revenge against the Cavaliers, and we have a solid play on the host here. PLAY TORONTO |
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11-27-17 | Cavs v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 113-91 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
704 Cleveland at Philadelphia The Cavaliers enter here on a seven game winning streak, but we expect that run to end tonight. Cleveland has had a hard time matching up to young teams with a lot of speed this year, as Cleveland is the oldest squad in the league. This team has a 12-7 record against the 26th ranked schedule. The Cavs have taken advantage of playing the fifth easiest schedule in the league. Philadelphia on the other hand has an 11-7 record facing the hardest schedule in the league. The Sixers have already played Golden State twice, Boston, Toronto and Houston twice. The Sixers are great on the boards and are tough to stop inside offensively. The big weakness for the Cars is defending the paint. Major mismatch for the Sixers here who treat this like a playoff game tonight. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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11-22-17 | Clippers -2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
507 LA Clippers at Atlanta The Clippers have lost 9 straight games and finish off the road trip at Atlanta and Sacramento. A nice pair to get right against. While LA enters this contest with a 5-11 record, the nine straight losses have come against all teams expected to be in playoff contention. The Hawks, not so much. Atlanta is just 3-14 on the year. And have played about how you would expect from a team that was gutted in the off-season. The Hawks have one victory at home all year and that was against equally inept Sacramento. The Clippers have far better talent here and get back in the win column on Wednesday. PLAY LA CLIPPERS |
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11-03-17 | Cavs v. Wizards -3.5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
702 Cleveland at Washington The Cavaliers have had a hard time keeping up with John Wall in the past. This year it should be much harder without Irving and Shumpert, its best defensive guard. Sure Kyrie isn’t very good defensively but he could force Wall to play both sides of the court, something the Cavalier guards of this season simply don’t have. Cleveland has been a step or two slow defensively all season and now are without Thompson, its best overall defensive player. The Wizards are simply too fast for this aging team to slow down, looks like a double digit victory for the host. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3 v. Cavs | Top | 99-102 | Push | 0 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
501 Boston at Cleveland Many reasons to back the Celtics here. First of all is playoff revenge. Cleveland embarrassed Boston last year and the Celtics have had this game circled. The next major reason is all the changes in the Cavaliers lineups. With so many new additions and players playing different positions, we can’t expect this team to have success out of the gate. We will look to fade the Cave coming out of the gate. PLAY BOSTON |
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05-03-17 | Raptors +7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
731 Toronto at Cleveland So Cleveland was bet down from 7 to 6 in the series opener despite the fact that the Cavaliers had a huge advantage in rest and practice time. Our clients cashed wire to wire with Cleveland in that opener. But now in what would be a classic zig zag situation the line has opened at Cleveland -7 1/2. That’s simply the wrong opening number as Cleveland doesn’t have that rest advantage here. We expect this series to go seven games and while the Gators may not get the outright win here, the side will never be in doubt. Look for Toronto to be right there with Cleveland the entire game as this one goes down to the buzzer. PLAY TORONTO |
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05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
724 Toronto at Cleveland While it will be a defensive problem for Cleveland keeping up with the Toronto guards, the extra preparation time helps the Cavs most in this game one contest. That advantage simply won’t be there once the Raptors make game two adjustments. Teams with extra rest have a huge advantage in the playoffs, and the Raptors were pushed to six games in the previous series. Toronto has a real chance to knock off Cleveland in this series, but game one will be all Cavaliers. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-23-17 | Cavs -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
509 Cleveland at Indiana We’ve successfully faded the Cavaliers twice in this series, but now is the time to back LeBron and company. Up 3-0 and going for a sweep the veteran team knows the value of rest, so it will go all out to end this series on Sunday. Teams down 3-0 have a habit of giving up, knowing winning four straight games isn’t going to happen. Especially the way the Pacers blew game three after having a 26 point lead. Cleveland took out Kyrie and Love, their two worst defenders and completely shut down this Indiana offense. James is excellent in first round games and his winning streak in those contests continues on Sunday. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-17-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
517 Indiana at Cleveland If you joined us over the weekend there is no need to elaborate on our feelings about the Cavs. The team hasn’t played well since the All-Star break and it just isn’t going to flip the switch because it’s the playoffs. The same Cleveland team we have seen in the regular season showed up in the opening game. Still the Cavs once again took money for this matchup. Bettors must be playing the due system. Indiana has to have gained confidence in that first matchup as it was played at Cleveland’s pace and yet the Pacers had a shot to win it at the buzzer. No reason to back Cleveland here as it was more of the same from the regular season. PLAY INDIANA |
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04-15-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
501 Indiana at Cleveland Spending over 35 years in the Cleveland/Akron area we are still fans of our local Cavaliers and Indians teams. We watch virtually every game played by these teams and know them as well as anyone outside the organizations. So we can tell you that the Cavaliers are not the same team as the squad who took home the crown last season. Defense has been nonexistent this season and teams that lack defense don’t advance in the NBA Playoffs. While the big three has had a solid season the remainder of the team has regressed. None of the bench players have looked good and JR Smith is nowhere near the player on both ends as he was last season. Indiana is not as good as Cleveland but this team has fought all year to get here and an outright series victory would not be a shock. That said there is no way we can lay this type of number with a Cleveland team that thinks it can turn it on in the playoffs. The Cavs may win but this number is just too high. PLAY INDIANA |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls +6 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
704 Cleveland at Chicago Want no part of the Cavaliers here as the defensive sieve has made this team tough to back laying points. It also doesn’t help that no matter the personnel Cleveland has a hard time beating the Bulls. Chicago has won 6 of the last 7 meetings, while covering six straight. In each of those six games Chicago was installed as the underdog, and the Bulls won outright five of those six meetings. Cleveland plays again tomorrow against Philadelphia and the Cavs have been terrible in the second of a back to back game. Therefore it wouldn’t surprise me to see Cleveland extend the bench minutes a bit tonight. Chicago has had the last three days off and is idol tomorrow. Cleveland will have its full attention. PLAY CHICAGO |
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03-29-17 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | Top | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
501 Atlanta at Philadelphia The Hawks broke their seven game losing streak last night with a 95-91 home victory over Phoenix. Now the team has to fly to Philadelphia to take on a Sixers team coming off a road victory over Brooklyn. While a lot of teams take the Sixers for granted that won’t be the case tonight for the Hawks. First of all this team is still fighting for playoff seeding, and the recent losing streak has put them in a poor situation. The good news is they have owned Philadelphia this year. Wins by 32, 21 and 17 points. We like to take teams that need a victory when playing a squad it has dominated. Throw in the fact that Philly returns home off a five game road trip, and then plays the next two games on the road. The Sixers will have played nine straight games all in different arenas by the time this current streak is over. PLAY ATLANTA |
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03-23-17 | Clippers v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
806 LA Clippers at Dallas The Clips are stepping up in class here after facing the Lakers, Knicks and Cavs minus the big three. Before those contests LA dropped three straight against quality opponents in Utah, Milwaukee and Denver. Dallas is making a late run for the playoffs and have won 16 of 27 in the process. Coming off an ugly 25 point home loss to Golden State after four straight away, this is a very good spot for the host. With the Clippers, Raptors and Thunder on deck it’s do or die time for the Mavericks. PLAY DALLAS |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Knicks | Top | 131-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
855 Denver at New York Well aware that Gallinari is out tonight for the Nuggets, but the line still favors the road team. The current number says the Nuggets are only one point better on a neutral. Denver enters this game having won 9 of 15, while cashing 6 of 7 when installed as the better team. New York on the other hand has won just 6 of 25 games heading into action tonight. The only wins in the last two weeks came against Charlotte and Brooklyn, likely the two worst teams in the NBA over that span. The Knicks are winless on this home stand with San Antonio on deck. The need is there for the host but the ability has left the building. PLAY DENVER |
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01-27-17 | Wizards +4 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
863 Washington at Atlanta The Wizards just had a showdown with Boston that mean’t a great deal to this team, but the line adjustment isn’t warranted. That game was three days ago, plenty of time to get ready for a top contender for the playoffs. Washington has cashed 7 straight and is now on a 19-6 spread run. The first two meetings showed by the closing line that Atlanta graded out as 1 and 1 1/2 points better. Since that time it’s clear to us that the Wizards are playing much better ball, yet this line has them in the same price range. Just in the last two weeks the Hawks were in the same price range at home against Chicago and Milwaukee, Washington is playing far better ball than those two. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
506 Miami at Brooklyn Tough spot for the Heat here after upsetting the best team in the NBA and now facing the worst. A trip to Chicago is on deck against former All-Star Wade. Miami has won exactly once on the road since December 9th, yet it is expected to not only win but cover tonight in Brooklyn. The Heat have only been favored in this range once all season, 7 1/2 points better than Philadelphia in November. Miami actually lost that game straight up 101-94. This is not the kind of role the Heat have had success in. Brooklyn has this game sandwiched between San Antonio and Cleveland. The Nets are 12-8 ATS on the season when playing a team 6-10 points better than it is. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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01-24-17 | Clippers v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
708 LA Clippers at Philadelphia Both teams will be without its best players tonight as Paul and Embiid are on the sidelines. Blake Griffin returns to the lineup for the Clippers which is a major reason why this line has jumped from the overnights. But is having him back with tons of rust a good thing? The Clippers went all out yesterday in an impressive win at Atlanta, now its playing in the second game of a back to back against a younger team with fresh legs. LA also has hated rival Golden State on deck. Before playing the Warriors or Cavaliers this year, (The two teams in the NBA Finals) LA has really struggled. How bout losing outright to Brooklyn as a 10 1/2 point favorite, and losing outright to Indiana as an 11 1/2 point chalk. The Sixers have won 8 of its last 11 games in straight up fashion. When playing a team that is 6-10 points better on a neutral Philadelphia has cashed 13 of 20. The Sixers are a team on the rise and its used to not playing with Embiid this season as the team rests him in back to back games. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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01-22-17 | Warriors v. Magic +13.5 | Top | 118-98 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
832 Golden State at Orlando Tough spot for the Warriors in the first of a back to back night, after facing Cleveland, Oklahoma City and Houston. Golden State is just 10-19 ATS on the season when favored over a team that is 11 points or worse power rated. Orlando is a solid 8-4 ATS when playing a team that is 6 or more points better on a neutral. The current line says that the Warriors are 16 points better in this matchup. With Orlando in the middle of a three game home stand we will back the home dog in an early start contest. PLAY ORLANDO |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
502 Portland at Boston Blazers in the second game of a back to back after going to the wire at Philadelphia last night. This is the third game in four days and the final game on this four game trip. Portland can look forward to a five game home stand that starts on Wednesday. Boston is off a home loss to the Knicks. The Celtics have been an excellent 16-7 ATS when playing a team 0-5 points weaker than itself. This is the only Boston game in a five day span. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-10-17 | Cavs -2 v. Jazz | Top | 92-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
511 Cleveland at Utah Terrible scheduling spot for the Jazz here who return home from a five game eastern road trip. The Utah offense has really struggled as of late scoring 79, 94 and 93 points. Through December 21st which is the last day we charted this angle, teams off a 5+ game road trip were 7-13 ATS this season. It’s been a consistent winner year in and year out. Utah is also a poor 1-7 ATS on the season when playing a team that is 0-5 points better than them. The current line last the Cavs five points the superior team. Throw in the fact that Cleveland is off back to back games in which it blew sizable leads, and we have a Cavs team with something to prove. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-03-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
704 Utah at Boston Jazz are on a nice current run winning four straight games. The problem has been the opponents have been the weakest teams in the league. Brooklyn, Phoenix, Philadelphia and the Lakers. The Jazz played last night in Brooklyn and are unrested, while Boston has had the last three days off. Utah is just 1-5 ATS on the season when playing a team 0-5 points better than them on a neutral court. Boston is playing well as the team starts to get healthy. Winning 7 of 9 with the losses to Oklahoma and Cleveland. The Celtics are 12-5 ATS on the year playing teams they are 0-5 points better. Look for the rested Celts to prevail. PLAY BOSTON |
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12-28-16 | Pacers v. Wizards -5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
702 Indiana at Washington Pacers just beat the Wizards 107-105 just over a week ago in Indiana. Since that time it has dropped three straight to New York, Boston and Chicago. Overall 6 of the last 7 games the Pacers failed to cover. Washington is playing much better ball as of late winning 7 of 10 and cashing 8 of those contests. In the midst of a three game home stand we will back the Wizards here to get quick revenge. Washington has posted a 7-2 ATS mark when playing similar power rating opponents. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
714 Sacramento at Utah Both teams are on the second of a back to back situation. Thus far this season with no rest Utah is 1-5 SU while Sacramento is 1-5. Its also an advantage for the host as Sacramento isn’t as used to playing in altitude. While the Kings outlasted the Blazers last night the Jazz were embarrassed in a 30 point loss at Oakland. We look for Utah to bounce back big time tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-16-16 | Hawks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
506 Atlanta at Toronto Huge revenge game for the Hawks here who were slaughtered 128-84 the last time in this building. While the effort will be there for Atlanta, the talent is lacking. The Hawks have four new started this year and the chemistry just isn’t there yet. The bench is severely lacking and the guard play has been a problem. That means trouble when facing the Raptors who have one of the most talented backcourts in the league. Toronto is also one of the deepest teams in the NBA. So we have the haves and the have nots here with a line that’s cheap considering the matchups. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-12-16 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
504 Milwaukee at Toronto Third game in four nights for the Bucks who faded late the last two games and lost to Washington and Atlanta. Milwaukee has an extreme disadvantage in the backcourt here as the Bucks guards are just too slow to guard Toronto. As much as we liked Matthew Dellavedova from his time in Cleveland he really struggled when playing Toronto. The Raptors have won 12 of 13 meetings with the Bucks and haven’t played since Friday. Milwaukee has struggled when playing teams of Toronto’s strength while the Raptors have made money against teams of Milwaukee’s ilk. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-09-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
714 Indiana at Dallas Fifth straight road game for the Pacers who return home tomorrow to host the Blazers. These two went to overtime in the season opener with Indiana winning 130-121. Dallas is playing shorthanded right now with four key pieces remaining on the sideline. That said this team has been competitive all season and we expect the Mavs to battle tonight. Off an embarrassing 31 point loss here to Sacramento on Wednesday you know we will get the best out of the host. The only other blowout loss this season came by 38 at Cleveland and Dallas followed that up with an outright upset win, covering the spread by 15 1/2 points. PLAY DALLAS |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
718 Golden State at Portland Playoff revenge for the Blazers here after the Warriors knocked them out of contention last season. The Blazers are a team we are looking to back early on as just about all the key pieces return from last years club. Teams with cohesiveness have a big edge early in the season. Golden State on the other hand made some major changes to its personnel this season, which is why the club has been an early money burner. We back the home dog here in what amounts to a statement game. PLAY PORTLAND |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
514 Cleveland at Golden StateYou have to give a ton of credit to the Cavaliers by winning the last two games to draw even in the series. But home teams simply dominate in game 7’s. With the Warriors having a terrific record playing at home, and after two straight losses the host will have a big emotional edge here. Throw in the fact that the Warriors felt the last two games were unfairly called by the refs, and we have a very motivated team tonight.Bogut being out hurts the Golden State defense but the offense will be helped by going small. I’d love to see my hometown Cavaliers win a championship, but I refuse to bet with my heart. The Warriors deserve this championship and they get it tonight by double figures.PLAY GOLDEN STATE |