08-06-22 |
Yankees v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-114 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
German/Montgomery 7:15: Maybe a pitcher-friendly park but both teams set for blast off tonight. Cardinals will put newly acquired Montgomery on the mound to face his former team. Montgomery struggled in his last 2 starts for the Yankees. He allowed 8 runs in 6 1/3 innings. Yankees are 3-0-1 O/U in last 4 vs lefty starters. Aaron Judge is on fire (.404 BA, 10 HRs, 23 RBI) since All-Star break. Yankees counter with struggling Domingo German (6.39 ERA/1.82 WHIP) and NY should go to bullpen early; after all, German averages about 4.1 IPG in limited action as a starter. He's facing a formidable Cardinals' lineup currently led by Goldschmidt and Arenado. Cardinals are 7-1 O/U in last 8 at home vs teams with winning records. And they're 20-8 O/U in their last 28 vs AL East. "Over" the call.
|
07-30-22 |
Twins v. Padres OVER 7.5 |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
Twins/Padres 7:15: Padres finally broke out of their power slump last night by launching 5 HRs off respectable Joe Ryan. Padres on a 5-4-1 O/U run. We'll look for the momentum to carry over against Sonny Gray who doesn't do his best work at night (4.70 ERA). Padres counter with fan favorite Joe Musgrove. Musgrove started the season virtually unhittable but has given up 9 ER on 14 hits over his last 10 1/3 innings. And he's 0-2 with a lofty 9.72 ERA vs Minnesota. Twins are 6-0 O/U in interleague road vs teams above .500. Padres now 4-0-1 O/U in last 5 when 'total' set between 7 to 8'. Shift in run momentum gives us an "over" play here.
|
07-24-22 |
Padres v. Mets UNDER 8 |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-114 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
Padres/Mets 7:08: Analysis to follow...
|
07-21-22 |
Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8 |
|
6-9 |
Loss |
-120 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
Giants/Dodgers 10:09: Heavy "under" trends coupled with two solid pitchers in their respective roles while in a pitchers' park gives us an "under" play. Dodgers on a 6-13-3 O/U run and 14-33-4 O/U in Game 1 of a series. Giants 1-7-1 O/U in Game 1 of a series. Carolos Rodon is 1-5 O/U vs teams above .500. This series is 1-4-1 O/U in its last 6 matchups. Rodon and All-Star and consistent in allowing 2 runs or less. Mitch White, on the other hand, a pretty good righty when at home. Won't last long but has the backing of a solid bullpen. And the shuffling of the Giants lineup without SS Crawford (IL) and 3B Longoria (IL) gives way for inconsistency at plate for SF. "Under" the call.
|
08-14-20 |
Indians v. Tigers UNDER 9 |
Top |
10-5 |
Loss |
-118 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
Indians/Tigers 7:10: Indians' bats (30th ranked) not delivering the wins for Cleveland; however, pitching and defense (#1 ranked) is for them. Aaron Civale, who's looking sharp thus far, dominated the Tigers to the tune 3 ER over 20 2/3 IP last season. On the other hand, Ivan Nova for Detroit, has some juice left and should hurl a decent game against the struggling Indians' lineup. Nova sports a 4.24 ERA in 7 starts vs Cleveland. Both teams experiencing heavy "under" trends including this series which has gone "under" in 5 straight and 1-3-1 O/U in Detroit. "Under" it is.
|
08-13-20 |
Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-11 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
Padres/Dodgers 9:40: Two pretty good starters take the mound tonight. Paddack sports a 3.18 ERA and did a good job on August 3rd vs Los Angeles allowing 3 runs over 6 innings to capture the win. His counterpart, Julio Urias controls a 2.40 ERA on the year and a 1.76 ERA vs San Diego. Dodgers' bats have cooled off a bit since that early season surge but their defense remains spot on which accounts for heavy "under" trends this season. SD not consistent in scoring but does have a better than normal lineup. Urias and that LA bullpen tough to get runs on especially in this pitchers' park. Series is 1-4 O/U and 2-10 O/U in the last 12 in Los Angeles. "Under" it is.
|
07-31-20 |
Rangers v. Giants UNDER 8 |
|
2-9 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rangers/Giants 9:10: Both of tonight's starters looked good in their first starts of the season. Minor has historically done well vs the Giants with a 2.41 ERA; moreover, in SF he sports a 1.88 ERA covering 2 starts. His counterpart will likely be Logan Webb who allowed only 1 ER in 4 innings vs the red hot bats of the Dodgers. Texas is batting a meager .181 as a team and driving in a paltry 2.6 RPG. Texas is 1-6 O/U in interleague play and 2-10-1 in last 13 on road. SF just 3-8 O/U vs ALW. Series in SF is 1-5 O/U. "Under" the call.
|
07-31-20 |
Indians v. Twins UNDER 9 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
105 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
Indians/Twins 8:10: Indians winning games on defense (#2) on a 1-6 O/U run. Clevinger looked sharp in his debut and should fluster the Twins' lineup. He's 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last 4 starts vs Minnesota. He faces a Twins' lineup that's turning in runs but batting .225 as a team. Twins counter with Dobnak who also looked good in his debut. He sports a 2.45 ERA in 3 starts - all last season - vs Cleveland. With this series at an amazing 18-40-2 O/U in its last 60 games, "under" it is.
|
10-15-19 |
Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-19 |
Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 |
|
13-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
08-20-19 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 10 |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
Colorado/Arizona 9:40: At first glance, an "over" seems to be the call based on the bloated ERAs both of today's starters exhibit; however, a further look reveals some heavy under trends to support a lower scoring game. Freeland, who gets lit up routinely at Coors, sports a 25-51-5 O/U mark in his career; moreover, 3-8-1 O/U in his last 12 road starts where his ERA is over a run less than when he's at home. Sure, Arizona lit him up like a torch at Coors in 3 starts this season, but the D'Backs also produce just 4.8 RPG at Chase Field. On the other hand, Arizona's starter Alex Young is better at home and 0-4 O/U vs the NLW. Colorado is 3-12-2 O/U vs lefty starters and 2-7 O/U on the road vs lefty starters. Furthermore, Rockies are an amazing 17-41-2 O/U on Tuesdays. This series is 0-4 O/U in Arizona and we'll grab the value with the "under".
|
08-16-19 |
White Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
08-04-19 |
Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
Boston/NYY 7:05: Both of these teams are trending in heavy "over" play. Collectively, they're 15-5 O/U in their last 20 games. Price has not fared well at Yankee stadium. In his last 5 starts there, he sports a lofty 8.59 ERA / 1.96 WHIP. All 5 of those starts went "over". On the other hand, Happ did well vs Boston at Yankee Stadium May 31st yielding just 1 run for the win; however, he's been hit hard over his last 3 starts and Boston can drive in runs vs lefties. Bo Sox are on a 23-9 O/U run in their last 32 games. We'll look for an "over" here.
|
07-28-19 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 10 |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
07-28-19 |
Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 10 |
|
11-4 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
Cubs/Brewers 2:10: Heavy "under" trends for the road sluggish Cubs. And they'll have more trouble manufacturing runs today against Zach Davies who's only given up 1 ER against them in 2 games covering 12 innings. Davies is 0-8-1 O/U at home vs a team with a winning record. He's also 3-12-1 O/U on Sundays. The Brewers are 7-19-2 O/U vs lefty starters including 1-9-1 O/U run in that role. And home plate umpire Cederstrom has a pitcher friendly strike zone for these two teams which are collectively 12-34-2 O/U when he's the home plate umpire. "Under" the call.
|
07-27-19 |
Braves v. Phillies OVER 9.5 |
|
15-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
Braves/Phillies 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are having their share of problems lately: Max Fried came off one of his better performances against Milwaukee July 15th but a finger blister landed him immediately on the DL. Philly hit him pretty hard June 14th to the tune of 5 runs in less than 5 innings. Philadelphia is 17-7 O/U vs lefty starters and 4-1 O/U in their last 5 home games. Fried is 10-4 O/U on the road. On the other hand, Zach Eflin has given up 25 runs over his last 24 innings of work including 6 ER in 3 innings vs the Braves July 4th. Eflin is 4-1 O/U in his last 5 starts. This series is 5-2 O/U. And Homeplate umpire Gibson has a pretty small strike zone. He's 4-1 O/U on Saturdays. Over it is.
|
07-26-19 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 11 |
|
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
Yankees/Red Sox 7:10: Runs a plenty in this series. Both teams sport heavy "over" trends. And with tonight's starters posting WHIPS above 1.30, the over trends go even higher. Boston is 13-6-1 O/U at home vs lefty starters and on a 7-3 O/U home run. NYY 39-13-2 O/U on road. This series is 7-1 O/U in Boston. Over it is.
|
07-25-19 |
Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 |
|
6-3 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Pirates 12:35: This series is now 6-2 O/U in Pittsburgh. Pirates are 24-9-2 O/U at home. They will now see Mikolas for the 4th time this season. They couldn't hit him the last two times but both were at St. Louis where he does his best work; today, Mikolas meets his kryptonite - road (7.63 ERA) and daytime action (4.74 ERA). Pirates should finally hit him. On the other hand, Musgrove not exactly money at home or during day either. Musgrove sports a 4.15 ERA at home and 4.44 ERA during the day. He's facing some hot Cardinals' bats that drove in a ton of runs last night and on a nice run since the All-Star break. And the Pittsburgh bullpen (4.92 ERA) is not helping matters. Over the call.
|
07-24-19 |
Angels v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-125 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Angels/Stripling 10:10: Angels' Trout heated up and should continue driving in runs on this hot night in Los Angeles. Stripling not at his best at night (4.40 ERA) and sluggish over last 3 starts (4.40). The Angels counter with converted reliever Jaime Barria who has been tattered on the road to the tune of 23 ER in 15 1/3 IP. He is also poor at night with an 8.36 ERA. Dodgers overdue to tee off on him and the overused bullpen. Over the call.
|
07-22-19 |
Rangers v. Mariners OVER 9.5 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
Texas/Seattle 10:10: Heavy over trends fill the stat sheet for this matchup. Two starters with lofty ERAs and their respective bullpens with ERAs around 5. Texas' Sampson is 5-1 O/U in his last 6 on the road. Seattle is 25-11-3 O/U at home. Mariners looking forward to tee off on old mate. Meanwhile, Adrian Gonzales has yet to find a groove this season but he should have the run support to deliver the win. "Over" the call.
|
07-16-19 |
Padres v. Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
7-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
Padres/Marlins 7:10: This series has gone 1-4 O/U at Miami. Most of the Padres' lineup is in a funk at the plate and should stay there with Yamamoto on the hill. Padres are 7-17-5 O/U after scoring 2 runs or less previously. On the other hand, Marlins struggle driving in runs vs lefties. Logan Allen is not a well seasoned southpaw but has his moments. Marlins are just 2-6-1 O/U in their last 9 games while the Padres are 1-6 O/U in their last 7. We'll go "under" here.
|
07-15-19 |
White Sox v. Royals UNDER 9 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
07-14-19 |
Dodgers v. Red Sox OVER 9 |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Dodgers/Red Sox 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are having and outstanding year. Ryu is MLB's ERA leader while Price took over from last October's heroics to sport a solid year; however, Ryu did not do well here in October and that could resurface again. BoSox feast on lefties here and Ryu is overdue to get lit up. As for Price, he was sharp for most of June - allowing just 4 walks over 24 2/3 IP; however, in July, he's already issued 6 walks. Perhaps a harbinger for a shelling here. Dodgers 11-2 O/U on road vs team over .500. Over the call.
|
07-14-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Braves v. Padres UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Washington/Philadelphia 7:15: Both of tonight's starters coming in red hot. Corbin sported a 2-0 mark with a 0.96 ERA going into the break while allowing just 3 runs over his last 28 innings. Nola was quite impressive himself with a 0.42 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Nola is 3-7 O/U vs Washington . Nationals on a 3-7 O/U run while improving on their bullpen during their 16-4 run. This series is 1-4 O/U and we'll look for another "under" here.
|
07-07-19 |
Cardinals v. Giants OVER 8 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Giants 4:05: Giants have finally found their bats (52 runs over last 6 games) and should light up struggling Flaherty who hasn't made it to the 5th inning in 3 of his last 5 starts. On the other hand, the Cardinals' Goldschmidt loves playing at Oracle Park where he bats .328 with 13 HRs and 54 RBI. Samardzija doesn't do his best work in daytime action (5.00 ERA) and that is concerning. Over trends starting to heat up for SF and we'll stay on the "over".
|
07-04-19 |
Angels v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-101 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
Angels/Rangers 8:05: Angels' bats came alive the last few games after the death of their teammate Skaggs; however, Lance Lynn may be a bit more difficult to hit on. Lynn sports a commanding 2/25 walk/strikeout ratio over his last few starts and controls a respectable 2.84 ERA in two starts vs the Angels this season. Lynn has a history of strength at home in July (12-2 record). On the other hand, the Angels counter with underrated Griffin Canning who's been a steady addition in the rotation. He gives them 6 decent innings with a good WHIP (.99 on season)! Rangers are struggling to drive in runs now; as a matter of fact, just 3.1 RPG over their last 7. Rangers are 1-7-1 O/U last nine games. This series tilts towards the "under" at 8-21 O/U in the last 29 meetings. Value with "under".
|
07-02-19 |
Yankees v. Mets OVER 9 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
06-30-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-10 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
06-27-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
06-26-19 |
Rays v. Twins UNDER 9 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
06-25-19 |
Rays v. Twins OVER 9 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-10-19 |
Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 8 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Texas/Boston 7:10: Both Minor and Sale are on their game and in mid-season form. Heavy Under trends support this. Moreover, Minor does his best work at night and kept foes at 3 runs or less over his last 8 starts. Sale, on the other hand, is coming off a dominating complete game effort vs KC. He's been very strong vs Texas. Last season won both starts with 24 strikeouts covering 14 innings. "Under" it is.
|
05-24-19 |
Rays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
05-18-19 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 |
|
8-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-19 |
Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
04-28-19 |
Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rays/Red Sox 1:05: Both of these starters should throw lots of strikes and eat innings. Glasnow has been one of the big surprises in MLB this year. He's leading the league in ERA and hitting his mark. On the other hand, Chris Sale has been one step higher than horrible this year; however, he showed signs of his old self in his last start and should punch out TB. Sale sports a miniscule 0.66 ERA in 2 starts vs TB last year. TB 5-15-1 O/U on the road vs lefties. Boston 1-5 O/U in last 6 Sunday outings. "Under" it is.
|
04-19-19 |
Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
Giants/Pirates 7:05: Both pitchers should bring their stuff tonight. Bumgarner coming off a strong outing at home vs Colorado and historically has done well vs Pittsburgh. Pitt is currently driving in a measly 2.19 RPG vs lefties. Bumgarner 10-21-4 O/U in his last 35 outings. On the other hand, Lyles has burst on the scene with good stuff: 1 ER over 11 innings of work off 10 strike out performance at Chicago. Giants batting a poor .187 vs righties. With both bullpens respectable, this one should stay "under".
|
04-12-19 |
Rockies v. Giants UNDER 8 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rockies/Giants 10:15: Colorado struggling to manufacture runs (5 runs over last 5 road games) and shouldn't drive in many off Drew Pomeranz. Pomeranz likely won't go more than 6 innings but he's got a solid SF bullpen (2.63 ERA) to fall back on. On the other hand, SF, 6-18-2 O/U in their last 26 home games, remain light hitting this year (2.81 RPG). Colorado's Bettis is struggling but SF's offense has a tendency to bring back juice in pitchers. Colorado 6-20-2 in their last 28 road games. Under the call.
|
10-02-18 |
Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rockies/Cubs 8:05: Both of these southpaws have been sizzling. Freeland had a breakout year and has the mark of a big game pitcher. He's 9-24 O/U in his starts this year. Lester is a master post season pitcher wherever he's at. Cubs have gone "under" in 11 of their last 14 Wrigley Field tilts. Lester sports an 0-4 O/U mark at home vs the Rockies. This series has gone 2-6 O/U in Chicago. Pitchers duel tonight as both go deep in the game and managers expend the best of best in rotation. Value with "Under".
|
09-26-18 |
Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
Brewers/Cardinals 7:10: Brewers' bats remain hot and the Cardinals' John Gant is vulnerable to getting lit up. He has 21 walks over his last 30 2/3 IP; consequently, we'll look for the patient Brewers' bats to continue to swat in the runs. On the other hand, not comfortable with Chacin on the hill. In his last four starts, he hasn't made it beyond the 5th inning. And he's been lit up like a Christmas tree in nine starts vs the Cardinals with a lofty 6.10 ERA. Cardinals are 9-1 O/U in their last 10 games and Wednesday is "over" friendly for Milwaukee at 7-3 O/U. "Over" the call.
|
08-22-18 |
Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
08-08-18 |
Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
07-30-18 |
Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Brewers/Dodgers 10:10: Dodgers have been away from home for a while and they've come up "under" in 6 of the last 8 back home off an extended road trip. Brewers are 9-26 O/U on the road vs a team above .500. This series has gone "under" 4 straight in Los Angeles. Tonight, we'll look for Kent Maeda (4-12 O/U) to be on his usual strong game at home where he sports a 2.74 ERA. On the other hand, Milwaukee's starter - Freddy Peralta is coming off his worst outing of the season - getting swatted around by Washington. However, Peralta sports a strong 2.70 ERA at night and respectable 3.70 ERA on the road. He has also held righties to a 0.70 BA in 70 at bats. We'll look for the 22 year old to shape up in this pitchers' park. Both respectable bullpens should be able to close it out with runs at a premium here.
|
07-22-18 |
Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
11-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
07-20-18 |
Astros v. Angels UNDER 8 |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
Astros/Angels 10:05: Both lineups not knocking the cover off the ball now and face pitchers who are in good form. Houston has manufactured just 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 8 games. Angels have been sluggish against lefties virtually all season and 2-6-1 O/U vs them. Keuchel has been sharp over his last 3 starts with a 1.35 ERA. Skaggs sports a 1.50 ERA over his last 3. And both bullpens are solid and well rested after break. Angels on a 4-11-1 O/U run and Astros 0-5 O/U in last 5 road games. This series is 0-3-1 O/U in Anaheim and we'll once again side with the "under".
|
07-13-18 |
Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
|