04-17-24 |
Heat v. 76ers -4.5 |
|
104-105 |
Loss |
-115 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Miami/Philadelphia 7:00: Big difference in the way 76ers play under Nurse as opposed to Rivers last season. Nurse has turned Philadelphia into a legitimate contender in the East. Their success is contingent on Embiid staying healthy. He tweaked his knee Friday vs Orlando and sat out Sunday. The 76ers continued to roll (10 straight covers) as Maxey and Harris continue to shine while Hield, Reed and Payne added significant quality minutes. Miami is always dangerous this time of year under Spoelstra but with Rozier (neck) down, the shooting depth a shade down to take down the rolling 76ers. We'll look for Philadelphia to advance to play #2 seed NY while the Heat will have to take on Bulls or Hawks on Friday for that 8th seed.
|
04-16-24 |
Warriors v. Kings UNDER 223 |
|
94-118 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Kings 10:00: Both teams are well disciplined defensively. Both of these teams picked up defensive intensity down the stretch of the regular season. Both of these teams allowed approximately 115 PPG during the season. Over the last 10 games, Warriors allowed an average of 108 PPG while Kings yielded 104 PPG. This playoff series last year went "under" in 4 of 6. And both games in Sacramento combined to average 220. With a play on or go home mentality, "Under" is the smart call here.
|
04-16-24 |
Lakers +1.5 v. Pelicans |
|
110-106 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Pelicans 7:30: I had the Lakers (+2) on Sunday and I'm staying on them here. They've won 3 of 4 games in this series this season and New Orleans continues to struggle at home. The winner of this game gets #1 Denver. The loser gets a second chance with either Golden State or Sacramento. Look for the Lakers, again, to jump on them early and hold on.
|
04-14-24 |
Lakers +2.5 v. Pelicans |
|
124-108 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Pelicans 3:40: Pelicans went on an unusual ride down the stretch by dropping four straight at home before reversing course to win four straight on the road. Pelicans now back at home in the critical finale to determine play-in seeding for Los Angeles or help playoff seeding for New Orleans. Lakers have covered 4 of the last 5 in this series. With LeBron and AD good to go, we'll take the Lakers and the points with much on the line.
|
04-14-24 |
Raptors +15.5 v. Heat |
|
103-118 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
Raptors/Heat 1:10: Raptors got waxed by Miami Friday but still competing. Of course, Miami in need of a win and some help to avoid play-in. But don't expect the Raptors to roll over here. Miami will not yet be at full strength with Rozier and Robinson out. We'll look for Toronto to keep it tight.
|
04-12-24 |
Suns -4 v. Kings |
|
108-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
Phoenix/Sacramento 10:40: Both teams jockeying for position in the Western Pacific as we go down the stretch of the regular season. Kings, currently holding the #6 seed, want to avoid the play-in-tournament. Meanwhile, Suns want to clinch the #6 seed to avoid play-in. These teams split the season series thus far at 2 games to 2. Suns, however, were without Durant and Beal in the first loss, and without Beal in the second. Suns are fully loaded now and playing a pretty good stretch of basketball (4-2 SU/ATS). Kings haven't really been the same when they lost Huerter (out) 3-6 ATS. And not having Monk (out) hurts their depth, especially going unrested. I'm fading the Kings again tonight.
|
04-11-24 |
Pelicans +1.5 v. Kings |
|
135-123 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
Pelicans/Kings 10:00: Pelicans have been a thorn in the ass of Sacramento. They've beaten them four straight, including the last two in Sacramento. Pelicans won't have Ingram but Sacramento not quite the same without the significant minutes from Huerter (out) and Monk (out). Pelicans not ready to give up their seeding and it should show tonight.
|
04-11-24 |
Knicks +2 v. Celtics |
|
118-109 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Celtics 7:30: Knicks in more need of this win tonight. They're looking to secure the #3 seeding and avoid a second-round matchup with the very team they're playing tonight. Boston has dominated this series this season to the tune of 4-0. They have already secured the #1 seed. Boston's key defensive stopper - Holiday - is a game-time-decision. And Porzingis (hamstring) is day-to-day. Knicks playing a pretty good stretch of basketball in April with DiVincenzo hitting a blistering 45% of his perimeter shots. And as long as Brunson is on the floor, the Knicks have a fighting chance. Knicks the call.
|
04-10-24 |
Suns -10.5 v. Clippers |
|
124-108 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
Suns/Clippers 10:40: Clippers got off to a quick start last night and hung on for dear life as the Suns rallied to come back from a 37-point deficit to cut it to seven, before falling off. Paul George was part of the Clippers win, contributing 23 points, 5 assists, 7 rebounds and a steal. Tonight, George (knee) along with Harden (foot) and Leonard (knee) will sit. A major uphill climb for them without the Big 3 as they take on the vengeful and fully loaded Suns. Moreover, Suns need the win a lot more than the Clippers; after all, they're now currently sitting in Play-In territory. Lay the wood tonight with Phoenix.
|
04-07-24 |
Wolves -130 v. Lakers |
|
127-117 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Lakers 10:10: LeBron ruled out (illness). Lakers have played well without him the last few times he was out; however, Minnesota a tall task. They're healthy and still fighting for that #1 seeding. Minnesota the call.
|
04-07-24 |
Knicks +4 v. Bucks |
|
122-109 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
03-27-24 |
Pacers -2.5 v. Bulls |
|
99-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Bulls 8:10: Road team 4-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pacers traveling well (5-1 SU/ATS last 6 road tilts). Indiana getting great work out of Siakam lately. Meanwhile, Bulls have lost 3 straight including an inexcusable loss to a depleted cellar dweller - Washington on Monday. Grab the Pacers.
|
03-25-24 |
Suns v. Spurs +12.5 |
|
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
Suns/Spurs 8:10: On the surface, this looks to be another route. Suns are reasonably healthy this time of year with a fully loaded lineup while the Spurs will be without Wembanyama (ankle). Spurs got smoked in the front end of this series at Frost Bank Center. Suns, however, do have Denver on deck Wednesday and may rest some starters late. Spurs still have some fight, and pride, left in them and should put up a respectable revenge effort here. Backdoor cover a possibility. Spurs the call.
|
03-18-24 |
Knicks +6.5 v. Warriors |
|
119-112 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Warriors 10:10: Knicks' defense has been awesome lately. Over the last five games, they've held opponents to an average of 83.2 PPG. And they're coming off a strong performance against Sacramento. They won't have to travel far in a revenge matchup tonight. The Knicks looking to avenge the 110-99 loss at MSG on February 29th. With a healthy Brunson - who makes his teammates on the floor a bit better, we'll look for NY to be competitive here.
|
03-13-24 |
Lakers -2.5 v. Kings |
|
107-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Kings 10:10: Although the Kings have dominated this series (7-1 SU/ATS) in the last 8 matchups, this is a trouble spot for Sacramento. The Kings have not fared well in back-to-back games at 3-7 ATS; moreover, coming off a big win unrested just 1-4 ATS. Lakers' James (ankle) and Davis (Achilles) were in shoot around earlier so most likely a go. Lakers playing a decent stretch of basketball now and most likely will send a message to the young Kings. Look for Lakers to avoid the season sweep.
|
03-08-24 |
Bucks -1.5 v. Lakers |
|
122-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Celtics v. Nuggets +1.5 |
|
109-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-07-24 |
Heat +4.5 v. Mavs |
|
108-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-24 |
Thunder -1 v. Lakers |
|
104-116 |
Loss |
-112 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Thunder/Lakers 10:40: Thunder has had some trouble in Los Angeles losing 2 of their last 3 there. And they're coming off a grind out winning outing last night. Nevertheless, we'll side with the young guns of Oklahoma City that's 7-3 ATS in the second of back-to-back games this season. Lakers off another disappointing but predictable loss to Denver on Saturday. James got his 40,000 points record but logged plenty of minutes (37) in the process. And A.D. was near 39 minutes. Both are dealing with injuries - James (ankle) and A.D. (Achilles). OKC likes to run up and down the floor so it could be troublesome for the Lakers - especially with an uncertain Ham dishing out the minutes. OKC the call.
|
03-02-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
124-114 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/lakers 8:40: James should get his 40,000 tonight but Jokic and rolling Nuggets should get their 3rd win of the season against the Lakers. Murray (ankle) is questionable, and that's a concern; however, his backups - Jackson, Holiday, Braun shouldn't have trouble blending in with an uber talented Porter Jr., Caldwell Pope, Gordon and Jokic. Nuggets the call.
|
03-01-24 |
Cavs v. Pistons +8.5 |
|
110-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-29-24 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-134 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
Wizards/Lakers 10:40: Lakers coming off a second half 21-point deficit comeback win over their court shared rival Clippers. Now, they go unrested at home against league bottom feeder Washington, that had a day off to mull stopping their 12-game losing streak. Consequently, that means James and Davis will either take the game off or check out mentally vs the punchless Wizards. Washington has actually been a decent spread winner on the road at 18-10-2. Former Laker Kuzma will surely be motivated to help ignite a fire in the belly of the Wizards. We'll take the points.
|
02-27-24 |
Mavs +4.5 v. Cavs |
|
119-121 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Cavaliers 7:10: This series has gone to the visitor at 6-0 ATS. December 27th of this season, Cleveland went into Dallas to deliver a 113-110 win. Tonight, look for Dallas to return the favor. Irving and Doncic starting to play well together but will need not only Hardaway Jr. to step up his game but other supporting cast members against the #2 defensive team in the league. Dallas was riding a 7-game win streak until they stumbled at Indiana Sunday. Look for the Mavericks to bounce back vs a Cavaliers team on an 0-5 ATS slide. They're coming off a sluggish road win vs league bottom feeder Washington. Dallas the call.
|
02-26-24 |
Pistons +11.5 v. Knicks |
|
111-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Knicks 7:40: The Knicks have absolutely owned the Pistons the last few years - winning 13 straight. The last win in this series for the Pistons was November 6, 2019. Knicks have been vulnerable recently on a 1-7 ATS slide. Brunson is limited in his help with Randle, Robinson and Anunoby all sidelined with injuries. Detroit, the worst team in the league, has shown signs of competitiveness recently - on a 6-4 ATS run. They have a tendency to follow up an isolated cover with another cover at 8-3 ATS in that role. They were competitive at NY on November 30th this season with a 118-112 loss. We'll look for Detroit to keep this one competitive.
|
02-25-24 |
Mavs -1 v. Pacers |
|
111-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-24 |
Heat +3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
02-15-24 |
Warriors v. Jazz OVER 240 |
|
140-137 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Jazz 9:10: Both of these teams are coming off losses last night. Utah defense was torched from the perimeter as the LeBron-less Lakers sank 14 of 31 from the perimeter at a 45.2% clip. Now they face the NBA's all-time perimeter scorer who has sunk at least 6 trey bombs in 8 of his last 11 games. And usually before All-Star break teams will dismiss defensive prep - lots of them already checked out for break. Going unrested, I see that magnified tonight. We'll grab the "over"
|
02-14-24 |
Lakers +6 v. Jazz |
|
138-122 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
02-12-24 |
Wolves v. Clippers -4.5 |
|
121-100 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Clippers 10:40: Going to lay a little wood here based on how this series has unfolded. Wolves have captured 5 of the last 6 SU vs Los Angeles. Clippers realize they have to be able to beat one of the top teams in the Western Conference if they're going to get anywhere come playoff time. Clippers are healthy and playing a good stretch of ball. T-Wolves are playing well too but haven't played since the 8th and that could have stalled out momentum. Lue does a good job in matching personnel and can offset Gobert's height and strength by occasionally going small when they're hitting their perimeter shots. We'll look for the Clippers to make a statement here.
|
02-09-24 |
Pelicans -3 v. Lakers |
|
122-139 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Pelicans/Lakers 10:40: Lakers off a losing effort last night at home vs Denver. Denver worked them late with a clinic-like performance in the final two minutes. Lakers' veterans James and Davis gassed while the supporting cast cooled off. I see more late collapse here in the second of back-to-backs; after all, they're 1-5 ATS in that role. Pelicans are starting to gel on both ends of the floor as Williamson taking over a strong defensive presence. Pelicans have the younger and fresher legs tonight after having day off yesterday. Pelicans won here vs the Clippers a few nights ago and should deliver again on this floor.
|
02-08-24 |
Nuggets -3 v. Lakers |
|
114-106 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-04-24 |
Clippers v. Heat +4.5 |
|
103-95 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-01-24 |
Pacers v. Knicks -2.5 |
|
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Pacers/Knicks 7:40: Knicks on fire since acquiring Anunoby. They've gone 14-2 SU/13-3 ATS, including an 8-0 run since the trade. He has an elbow issue and is a game-time-decision but leaning on playing. I don't think he'll want to miss a crack at his former teammate Siakam (day to day). The Knicks are dinged up with Randle (shoulder) out but so are the Pacers. Knicks have been able to continue their run with the next man up mentality. They're well coached and ready. Brunson has been the catalyst of the team and makes everyone around him better. We'll look for NY to avenge their 140-126 December 30th loss.
|
01-31-24 |
Kings +1.5 v. Heat |
|
106-115 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-29-24 |
Bucks v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-24 |
Thunder +110 v. Pelicans |
|
107-83 |
Win
|
110 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-25-24 |
Kings v. Warriors +2.5 |
|
134-133 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
Kings/Warriors 10:00: Golden State has won this series SU in 6 of the last 8 games. Sacramento won the most recent game 124-123 November 23rd in Sacramento. Revenge is a motivator here as well as heavy hearts (Milojevic death) in a carry-over from yesterday's big win over Atlanta following an extended layoff (1st game in 9 days). And now that Draymond Green is back in action and in the flow of things since January 15th, the Warriors should be able to step up their game a notch. Looney and Green usually out muscle Sabonis in this matchup. And the Warriors are catching Fox and company not at their shooting best - on a 1-4 SU slide. We'll back Golden State here.
|
01-23-24 |
Lakers v. Clippers -9.5 |
|
116-127 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Clippers 10:00: Both of these teams on an extended road trip after this game on account of the arena used for Grammy Awards. Clippers seem to have the greater urgency now. They're on an 8-2 ATS run as Harden has found his place in the Clippers loaded lineup. And now that Zubac is out, HC Lue is going with a smaller lineup and it should continue to produce the desired result. Revenge seeking Westbrook, who is now getting extended minutes, is using his athleticism to ignite more up-tempo full court ball; consequently, Lakers' AD will tire, especially with LeBron James (ankle) tonight. After a two-game slide in this series, we'll look for the Clippers to return to recent domination vs Lakers. Lay the points.
|
01-23-24 |
Knicks -3.5 v. Nets |
|
108-103 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Nets 7:30: Knicks have been rocking since acquiring Anunoby. They're 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS since acquiring him. And 7 of those 9 wins were by double digits. Meanwhile, Brooklyn on a 2-8 slide. Last time these teams met (December 20th), Knicks delivered a 121-102 beatdown. NY won the last 3 in this series by a combined 61 points. We'll stay on surging Knicks here.
|
01-22-24 |
Celtics v. Mavs +3.5 |
|
119-110 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Boston/Dallas 8:40: Right now, Boston a better team but the scheduling inadvertent scheduling advantage to Dallas should cost them. Dallas has been off since they lost to the Lakers on the 17th. In that game, the 3-point shooting was atrocious as Doncic was trying to get his legs back after injury. Doncic, Irving and Hardaway Jr. were a combined 3 of 21 from behind the arc. Dallas has been solid off losses this year (9-5 ATS). They've alternated wins and losses since January 7th. On the flip side, Boston is playing in their 3rd game in 4 days, going into this one unrested. And depth should be an issue late with Horford and Holiday listed as day-to-day. We'll look for them to suck wind late as the Mavericks deliver.
|
01-18-24 |
Thunder v. Jazz +3.5 |
|
134-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-24 |
Mavs +4 v. Lakers |
|
110-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
01-16-24 |
Nuggets +1.5 v. 76ers |
|
121-126 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Denver/Philadelphia 7:30: Embiid (swollen knee) came back strong yesterday after a three-game absence. He dropped 41 points with 10 rebounds on the Rockets. Tonight, he has to match vs Jokic and the defending champs. 76ers, however, a little thin in depth without Covington, De'Anthony and Bamba. Jokic, Murray and Porter Jr. in a nice rhythm. Nuggets 4-2 ATS in this series and 2-1 ATS at Philadelphia. Jokic got screwed out of the MVP last year to Embiid and may take this one personally. Nuggets the call.
|
01-12-24 |
Raptors v. Jazz -2.5 |
|
113-145 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
01-11-24 |
Suns -111 v. Lakers |
|
127-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
01-09-24 |
Raptors +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
131-132 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
12-12-23 |
Lakers v. Mavs +3.5 |
Top |
125-127 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Mavericks 7:40: This line moved from Dallas -1' at open to Dallas +4' at 2:00pm ET. Dallas has several contributors out, most likely Irving (heel bruise) and Grant Williams (knee). And I wouldn't count on Hardaway Jr. (back) playing. Nevertheless, we'll take the points with the shorthanded Mavericks. Doncic has a tendency to make his teammates better; for example, Lively II picked up his game substantially vs Memphis yesterday. Lakers are coming off winning the In-Season-Tournament. James and Davis expended their energy reserve on Saturday. Davis is notorious for his fall off following big games. Lakers just 5-7 in non-tournament games this season. And their 3-point shooting was atrocious vs Pacers hitting 2 of 13. They relied on energy and defensive intensity to win on Saturday; tonight, I see neither of those occurring. Dallas has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series and we'll take the points here.
|
12-09-23 |
Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-23 |
Blazers v. Warriors -12.5 |
|
106-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-23 |
Suns +1.5 v. Lakers |
|
103-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat +9 v. Nuggets |
|
89-94 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 |
|
89-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat +3 |
|
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-09-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 211.5 |
Top |
108-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Heat |
|
109-94 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-23 |
Nuggets v. Heat OVER 214.5 |
|
109-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
06-04-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
111-108 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
06-01-23 |
Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 |
|
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
05-29-23 |
Heat +7.5 v. Celtics |
|
103-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-27-23 |
Celtics v. Heat +3.5 |
|
104-103 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: Pressure now back on Miami to close out the series; if not, back to Boston for Game 7. Gabe Vincent (ankle) was a huge part of their playoff run and his absence was notable for Game 5. He's listed as questionable and should be good to go. Need Butler to step up his usual strong playoff performance after back-to-back sluggish games. Celtics were sizzling from the perimeter in Game 5. Look for those percentages to flatten out as the Heat lock in and deliver here.
|
05-25-23 |
Heat +8.5 v. Celtics |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heat have been a scrappy bunch throughout the playoffs. A rare sloppy performance on Tuesday should get their attention tonight. Heat realize they need to turn it up a few notches to take away confidence that was restored to Boston in Game 4. Heat 10-3 ATS on 1 day rest and covered 5 of their last 6 road tilts. They're also 4-1 ATS off a SU loss and covered 4 of their last 5 in Boston. Miami has the underdog mentality and, although not nearly as talented as their competitor, have the Pit Bull fight in them that should enable them to cover here. Shots that weren't falling in Game 4 should fall tonight. Miami the call.
|
05-25-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215 |
|
97-110 |
Loss |
-112 |
20 h 50 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heavy "over" trends for both teams in their respective situations. Heat have gone 'over' in 10 of their last 11 road games. They're also 17-5 O/U on 1 day of rest. Celtics 11-4 O/U last 15 overall, 4-0 O/U after a 10+ point win, and 12-3 O/U on 1 day of rest. This series is 5-0 O/U in Boston. "Over" it is!
|
05-23-23 |
Celtics v. Heat -1.5 |
|
116-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
05-22-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers -3 |
|
113-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers, despite down 3-0 SU in series, have been competitive in the process at 2-1 ATS. Lakers have a few veteran champions on the team in James and Davis along with some hungry up and comers in Reaves, Hachimura, Schroder and Walker IV who are playing well and looking for much bigger contracts next year; therefore, don't see them waving the white flag like the Celtics did yesterday. Lakers have been especially tough off a SU loss of 10+ at 7-0 ATS. We'll grab them here.
|
05-21-23 |
Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 |
|
102-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
05-20-23 |
Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 221.5 |
|
119-108 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 8:30: Lakers should be a bit more comfortable back on their home court where they average 117 PPG. Anthony Davis roller coaster performance should continue after coming off a sluggish scoring game. And James most likely won't go 0 of 6 from downtown. Fortunately for the Lakers, Reeves and Hachimura have been fabulous in the playoffs. Walker IV, Schroder and Russell should play well. Denver's Jokic most likely won't be stopped and Murray is clearly back in top form. Lakers 15-5 O/U after scoring 100+ and 15-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. Nuggets 5-1-1 O/U in last 7 road tilts. We'll look for a shootout here.
|
05-19-23 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 215.5 |
|
111-105 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Good value with the "over" in what has been a 4-0 O/U series at TD Garden. Miami sports heavy "over" trends. They're 20-7 O/U in their last 27 games and 9-1 O/U in their last 10 road tilts and 17-4 O/U off a SU win. Boston, 9-3 O/U run, is 9-2 O/U after scoring 100+ and 7-2 O/U after allowing 100+. The Celtics have gone "over" in 9 of their last 12 Conference Finals games. Over the call.
|
05-18-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 |
|
103-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Lakers feel good about themselves after 4th quarter comeback. Rui Hachimura was instrumental in helping to shut down Jokic. He was the primary defender on the two time MVP while A.D. roamed the paint only to chip off late to disrupt the big man going to the basket. It isn't the first time that the Nuggets have seen that look. It happened several times during the regular season and vs Minnesota. Denver will surely adjust when they see that look as the skilled big man will find roaming Gordon or kick it out to Porter, Brown or Murray. Denver has the ability to turn it up several notches with explosive play. Lakers had trouble with the pick and roll on Murray. And the Nuggets are getting good work out of supporting cast players. Nuggets deliver.
|
05-17-23 |
Heat +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Celtics' Tatum was unstoppable Sunday in Game 7; however, there has been a level of inconsistency from Tatum and Boston this year. With the Celtics coming off that emotional Game 7 win, look for well rested Miami to give the Celtics trouble in Boston. Heat are 13-5 ATS in Boston. And now that post-season superstar Butler had a few days extra to rest his injured ankle, look for him to shine. Miami the call.
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05-16-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -6 |
|
126-132 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
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Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Home team has gotten the best of this season series - splitting 4 games. I do realize that the Lakers have been entirely reconfigured since that January 9th 122-109 win in Denver. Lakers have a strong bench which proved to be a big asset thus far in the playoffs. Interesting matchup with Anthony Davis vs Jokic. Jokic has yet to be stopped in postseason and this will be perhaps his most challenging adversary. Jokic has a solid supporting cast that is on the same page. Gordon, Porter Jr. and former Laker - Caldwell- Pope have been strong, and the X Factor this season is Murray. He's the missing piece which should carry Denver in Game 1. Both teams are strong on 3 days rest - a combined 8-1 ATS, but Denver is a sweet 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. Edge to Denver tonight as they deliver.
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05-14-23 |
76ers +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
88-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
76ers/Celtics 3:30: Not a Doc Rivers' fan, for he's flopped in many a Game 7 including never winning one on the road; however, 76ers have a fighter's chance here. They had time to improve their spacing and get Harden to work more efficiently with Embiid. Supporting cast is there with Maxey and Tucker, but Harris needs to step up his game. Sixers have won a few at Boston and are respectable 7-3 ATS off a loss. Celtics have been inconsistent off wins (1-4 ATS). We'll look for Sixers to hang tight.
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05-12-23 |
Warriors +122 v. Lakers |
|
101-122 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-12-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -5.5 |
|
92-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns |
|
125-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -7 |
|
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Heat +4 v. Knicks |
|
103-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -7.5 |
|
115-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Knicks +4.5 v. Heat |
|
101-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
05-07-23 |
Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns |
Top |
124-129 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 8:00: Suns Booker shot the lights out Friday night and Durant practically lived at the free throw line. Ayton was a dud and the other surrounding cast was mediocre. Nuggets came back strong from a double-digit halftime deficit. They're getting consistent outstanding production from Jokic and his sidekick - Murray - finds ways to pick up his game. Porter Jr. playing well. Other supporting cast members Gordon and Caldwell-Pope, who had been playing well prior to Friday, should be the difference makers tonight. HC Malone should make the right defensive adjustment on Booker. Denver the call.
|
05-06-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
97-127 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-06-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -3.5 |
|
86-105 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
05-05-23 |
Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns |
|
114-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 10:00: Chris Paul (groin) was starting to find his shot around the foul line when he pulled up with the injury; consequently, Denver took over the game. Sure, Booker and Durant can take over a game, and Payne is a viable backup point guard. But Jokic is dominating Ayton, and Murray, who was out of rhythm a bit in Game 2, should turn it up a notch here. Denver has solid contributions from Gordon and Caldwell-Pope. Porter Jr. is overdue to step up his game here too. Denver has covered 5 straight in this series and I'll take the points here.
|
05-05-23 |
Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 |
|
114-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
Celtics/76ers 7:30: These teams are a combined 7-23 O/U in Conference Semifinals games. Both are defensively stout and create turnovers and disciplined in taking away strength of opposition. The "under" is 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. Still value with the "under".
|
05-04-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 |
|
100-127 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Warriors 9:00: Scheduling advantage to the Lakers in Game 1, and as I thought, an outright win. Game 2 a different story. Only one day rest and don't expect Anthony Davis to play 44 hard minutes like he did in Game 1. Golden State will surely bounce back in this game. Green should stay out of foul trouble while Looney and Wiggins continue to hit the boards. And Curry and Thompson should go off. Warriors the call.
|
05-03-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -10 |
|
87-121 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
05-02-23 |
Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors |
|
117-112 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Warriors 10:00: Lakers have the scheduling advantage here. They've had three full days rest and that goes a long way for veterans James and Davis. As for GS, they've just come off an emotional Game 7 win over Sacramento. Quick turnaround for the Warriors as they only had a full day of rest to charge back up. Lakers covered 5 of the last 7 in this series. Edge to LA in Game 1
|
05-02-23 |
Heat v. Knicks -6.5 |
|
105-111 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
Heat/Knicks 7:30: Heat took control of Game 1 late but paid the price when Butler twisted ankle. He's a big time playoff player and tough as nails so I wouldn't be surprised if he gave it a go tonight; however, he may not have the mobility to close out late on a very good Knicks' defense. Look for the well coached Knicks to make the adjustment. And Brunson is a legitimate superstar who went 0-7 from 3 point range in Game 1. He'll make up for that tonight. Knicks the call.
|
05-01-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -4.5 |
|
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
05-01-23 |
76ers +10.5 v. Celtics |
|
119-115 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
04-30-23 |
Heat v. Knicks UNDER 208 |
|
108-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
04-29-23 |
Suns +3.5 v. Nuggets |
|
107-125 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
Suns/Nuggets 8:30: As much as I like the Nuggets, value with Suns in Game 1. Phoenix did not look sharp vs undermanned Clippers but found ways of executing down the stretch. Suns are 6-1 ATS on Saturdays and 10-4-1 ATS on 3+ days rest. Suns have practiced up in in high altitude area of Colorado for this one so should have their wind and legs. Nuggets do have a history of getting out of the gate strong in playoffs and 0-4 ATS in Conference Semfinals and just 4-10 ATS on Saturdays. We'll grab the points tonight
|
04-28-23 |
Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers |
|
85-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
04-28-23 |
Kings +7.5 v. Warriors |
|
118-99 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
04-27-23 |
Celtics v. Hawks +7 |
|
128-120 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Hawks 8:30: Celtics find themselves pressured here to prevent a Game 7 back in Boston, where they just lost. And the Hawks won without suspended key cog - Murray, who is back in action today. Coach Snyder was forced to use Trae Young for 44 minutes in Game 5 to keep the Hawks in it. And fortunately for Atlanta, they got good work out of Bogdanovic, Collins and Hunter. With Murray, Hawks should be able to stay in it tonight.
|
04-26-23 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 |
|
99-116 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
04-26-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 |
|
106-95 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
04-25-23 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 |
|
109-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Nuggets 9:00: Nuggets played uninspired basketball Sunday yet still took the Wolves to OT. Now that Denver is back home, lights out for Minnesota. Key Denver cog - Murray has proven he is fully recovered from his ACL injury to give Jokic a legitimate one-two punch that every great team has. And Porter Jr. is also playing a great stretch of basketball. Just too much firepower for inconsistent Wolves.
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