Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs OVER 43.5 | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami at Kansas City 8:15 ET Dolphins/Chiefs- OVER- This is unsettling to actually take Miami, the Miami Dolphins whose quarterbacks has never play a game with the temperature below 40 degrees. From Hawaii and having played his college career at Alabama and now playing in Southern Florida Tua Tagovailoa reaction to the Kansas city cold is open to discussion. Most do not believe that the Dolphins can meet the challenge of playing a team with a winning record on the road and overcoming the stigma put on them. I recall last January Miami traveled to Buffalo without Tau in snowy and frigid conditions and gave the Bills all that they could handle. This contest does pit the Fins No. 1 offense 401.3 YPG against the Chiefs No. 2 defense allowing 289.9 YPG. The fact that everything actually points to Kansas City as they rested almost all last week against the hapless chargers while Miami was getting beat up by Buffalo and enter limping onto this fray. Okay here’s the rub with these conditions and all the things that I mentioned the total is way high and is inviting ‘Under’ action and they are getting it. The anti-Christ at work...PLAY OVER! |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 6:30 ET Chiefs/Eagles UNDER - To be truthful this play may be even stringer than the side. The general public and even many experts have run to the over here and the price keeps going up and I advise anyone that is playing the UNDER to wait as long as possible for the best price. Phill’s No. 1 defense should do their job and the Chiefs will make adjustments of their own. Big game pressure keeps this one low scoring. PLAY UNDER! |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Kansas City 6:30 ET Bengals/Chiefs UNDER- At first glance I would suspect your first thought about this game is that it will be high scoring as tow of the NFL’s top quarterbacks are about to face each other in what most believe will be a shootout. This is so natural that one doesn’t consider just how good the two defenses actually are. Both teams are proficient in stopping the run ranking 7th and 8th and they both surrendered a combined 21 points each per game ranking 6th and 7th in points allowed. Cincinnati has been and Under play for some time now as they are Under 26-10-3 in their last 39 road games and 12-3 Under in January. The Chiefs are 6-1 Under in their last seven home games and the Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings. Play UNDER! |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers UNDER 42 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Seattle at San Francisco 4:40 ET Seahawks/49ers- UNDER- The weather and field conditions are to be difficult to play under but both of these guys are used to playing in rainy, wet, dank and nasty situations. The field is suppose to bog down the running game and both of these sides are generally conservative as it is and under this conditions they will look to safe errors and protect the ball. It should stay UNDER! |
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12-29-22 | Cowboys v. Titans UNDER 40 | 27-13 | Push | 0 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
Dallas at Tennessee 8:15 ET Cowboys/Titans UNDER - Tennessee has absolutely nothing to play for because win or lose they play for the Division Championship next week at Jacksonville. They are tied with the Jaguars at 7-8 but hold the tie-breaker edge and with a win next week they are in the playoffs. The Titans of course would love for QB Malik Willis to get some playing time but many of their starters on both sides of the ball will be rested. Ryan Tannehill is down for the count and the Titans haven’t won since Nov. 17 so one more week won’t matter especially if the rest Henry. The Cowboys are looking to keep their momentum going after defeating the Eagles last Sunday. Big D is 11-4 ATS in last 15 road games and the Titans are 1-4-1 ATS against winning teams. Forgetaboutit...both sides will not be eager to get liberal offensively in this meaningless contest. Play UNDER! |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins OVER 49.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Miami 1:00 ET Packers/Dolphins (OVER)- Miami comes limping home after three straight road losses and they didn’t look good at any time during their slide. Green Bay has won back-to-back games to give many false hope and even Aaron Rodgers is upbeat. Tua Tagovailoa still leads the NFL in QB rating 107.8 and will be back in his comfort zone where the Dolphins are 5-1 SU and scored 30 and 39 in their last two home starts. Look both QB’s to have good days weather permitting and this should go OVER the total. OVER! |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Houston 8:15 ET Texans (+) over Eagles- The soaring Eagles (7-0) remain the only unbeaten NFL squad and the odds are at at 11-1 that they would go undefeated. I don’t believe that they might even lose here and anything is possible in the NFL world but, they aren’t even in a look-ahead spot with Washington (4-4) up next. Jalen Hurts has done a great job with his 105.1 QB rating leading the Eagles to the No. 3 ranked offense but it is the defense that sets it all up. They are allowing just 298 YPG and lead the NFL with 16 take-a-ways. This mismatch gets wider when we see Houston with the offense ranking 31-of-32 and a defense ranking 30-of-32. The only way I see the Texans staying close and that’s all I’m really hoping for is that the Eagles are not looking to humiliate another Union member. So, if Philly isn’t looking to rub it it this game should stay UNDER! |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos OVER 42 | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Denver 8:15 ET Colts/Broncos (Over)- Both of these clubs started the season with 'new' quarterbacks and playoff expectations and neither have shown much offense in their first month.The Indianapolis Colts were picked by many to win the AFC South after bringing Matt Ryan on board but Indianapolis (1-2-1) has struggled so far. The same is true for the Denver Broncos (2-2), who were expected to compete for the AFC West after trading for Russell Wilson in the offseason. The Colts who galloped along and lead the NFL in rushing last season are ranked 27th this season gaining just 87 YPG. Indy's defense is ranked No. 6 allowing just 297 YPG while Denver's 'D' is even better allowing just 284 YPG ranking No. 4. With all those terrible numbers on offense I can only expect a high scoring national TV audience. He OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings and there's not much more for me to say. Play OVER! |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Kansas City 3:00 ET Bengals/Chiefs UNDER- When two great passing offenses go against each other they also must face a secondary that has faced that passing offense in practice and for the most part are the best qualified to face their opposition. The Bengals one of the better passing teams went under 11 of 19 games but the Chiefs are on a current 7-0 over streak. But, under is 19-7-2 in the Bengals past 28 road games and the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER! |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 55 | 36-42 | Loss | -112 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
Bills/Chiefs (UNDER) – The numbers are 'OVER' whelming as Buffalo is 8-0 'Over' in their last eight as underdogs and 6-0 Over in their last six road games. And that's no the end of it, they are 9-2-1 'Over' playing on grass and 4-1 Over in the last five meetings. Kansas City is 'Over' 6-0 in last six and 6-0 Over as favorites. But, know what? This is OVER KILL! Bills have the No. 1 defense allowing just 272 YPG including No. 1 in passing yards allowing just 163 YPG. Chiefs rely on Mahomes and this should stay...UNDER! |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
San Francisco at Green Bay 8:15 ET Niners/Packers (UNDER) – It's not just the elements, it is the idea that the Niner's do not want to pit Garoppolo against Rodgers. They will work the clock in the cold with a punishing ground game led by Deebo Samuel and keep the pace at a crawl. SF is 6-1 Under in their last seven playoff games and Green Bay is Under 7-3 their last 10 games on grass. Play UNDER! |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals OVER 48 | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at Cincinnati 4:35 ET Raiders/Bengals- OVER- The offenses and defenses are midland for both these clubs and they have already faced each other this season where the bengals gained a total of 278 yards on offense and the Raiders gained 268 scoring 45 points between them with the total at that time 51 and the game went under. Cincinnati has been and 'over' team going 5-1 over in their last six home games while Las Vegas has gone OVER in 14 of their last 20 games as underdogs. Play OVER! |
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12-04-21 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh OVER 71 | 21-45 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh 8:00 ET Demon Deacons/Panthers OVER- The two top quarterbacks in the ACC meet in the Championship Game as Pittsburgh's All-Conference Kenny Picket with be opposed by Wake Forest's second team choice Sam Hartman. Picket has 40 TD passes while Hartman has thrown for 3.020 yards and 28 touchdown in nine games. The Demon Deacons scored 42.9 PPG and the Panthers average 42.8 ranking these two 3rd and 4th nationally. Play OVER! |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Carolina at Houston 8:15 ET Texans (+) over Carolina- This is a really tough call and it has taken me most of the day to finally squeeze the trigger and make the call. Houston as we are all aware are down to their third quarterback as Tyrod Taylor who replaced Deshaun Watson has a rib injury and the duties have fallen upon rookie Davis Mills. The 2-0 Panthers have a refreshed Sam Darnold at the helm and he looks and is playing like a different guy from what we saw when he led the Jets. Both offenses are comparable but Carolina's defense has been outstanding ranking No. 1 allowing just 190 total yards per game. Play UNDER! |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Detroit at Green Bay 8:15 ET Lions/Packers UNDER- Green Bay is in the middle of a terrible run as they scored just three points in their opening week loss to the Saints and have yet to 'cover' or go 'over' any games this year. In the pre-season they were shut out by Buffalo 19-0 in the final game before the regular season opener and lost to the Jets 23-14 and Houston 26-7 scoring just 24 points in their four games overall this year. Granted Aaron Rodgers did not play a down in the preseason but he did play against New Orleans and managed just a field goal. Relax, don't panic, we have heard this mantra spewed by Rodgers before despite gaining just 43 yards rushing in their opener and only 133 yards passing. The Lions trailed the 49ers by 24-points before staging a late rally that fell short in their opener but allowed the Niners 8.0 yards per play. The 'Under' is 4-1 in the last five meetings and the Lions are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the 'Under' is 4-0 in the Packers last four games against teams with losing records. Play UNDER! |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs UNDER 56 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 47 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City 6:20 ET Bucs/Chiefs- Total UNDER- What can I say other than to wait as long as you can before making this bet as I expect the 'price' to move in only one direction and that is higher...I can give you all kinds of stats and trends but these two facts are constants. Kansas City has the No. 1 Passing (303ypg) and Overall offense with 416ypg averaging 29.6ppg while the Buccaneers have the No. 1 rush defense and allow 22.2ppg. Here's the gig this game will stay 'Under' with one or more TD's having been called back because of penalties ...HA! Play UNDER! |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 52 | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay at New Orleans 6:40 ET Buccaneers/Saints UNDER- Yeah, I know, I know that the quarterbacks are the headliners here as a pair of Hall Of Fame QB's in the GOAT Tom Brady and his closest statical rival Drew Brees clash. But, these guys have seen better days and bothy their teams rely more on defense as the Saints are No 4 overall and the Buc's are No. 1 against the run. Tampa has been an 'Over' play for a number of season because of all the turnovers not they protect the ball while New Orleans is an 'Under' team going 'low' 7 of 8 after a SU win. Play UNDER! |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 49.5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Buffalo 8:15 ET Ravens/Bills UNDER- This one just figures to stay under when one considers the major factors surrounding this contest. Weather...you think about it no most likely not be a factor but if it does develop it will help 'our' situation. The Ravens want to keep the ball out of Josh Allen's hands and will look to sustain drives and Buffalo will be a bit conservative not looking to commit turnovers (21) as Baltimore's opportunistic defense that has forced 23 turnovers. Play UNDER! |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 75 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs Alabama 8:00 ET Buckeyes/Crimson Tide (OVER)- It is probably best that you play this as late as possible as the number opened at 76.5 and has been knocked down to 74.5 in places and may drop even more before game time. Why who knows sometimes the public and wiseguys alien. But, these two offenses are the nuts! Average yards per game Ohio State is at 530 and Alabama at 544 and both a fairly well balanced. The Buckeyes average 85-yards more per game on the ground while Alabama averages 101 yards passing and scoring is huge as the Crimson Tide scored 49.7 points per game and OSU put up 42.5 per contest. This goes OVER! Thank you and Good Luck! |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 47 | 48-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show | |
Chip's AFC Power Play Totals Winner Browns/Steelers (OVER)- One thing these two do have in common in one dimensional offenses. Pittsburgh is pass happy and is last in the NFL in rushing with 84 ypg and the Browns will try and run you to death at No. 3 averaging just under 150 ypg. I just don't see either defense stepping up to stop the others offense. Play OVER! |
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01-10-21 | Bears v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | 9-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
Chip's NFC 'Money Game' Totals Winner Bears/Saints- The obvious side here to me is playing this game under and that's what I'm doing. I've been warned against it some of my NFL 'experts' but sometimes you just stand up and say 'No' I just can't do it. So 'we' have UNDER...Saints defense better than most realize at No. 4 allowing just 310 ypg while Chicago's offense is No. 26....UNDER! |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -104 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
Chip's AFC Megabucks 'Totals' Winner Ravens/Titans (OVER)- I can't see this one going any other way! The numbers are telling as the Titans have the No. 3 ranked offense and score at a 30.7 clip and their defense is among the NFL worst allowing nearly 400 ypg and 27.4 points scored. Baltimore has found offensive balance, no not run pass but run-run with Jackson and Dobbins. Tennessee is Over 22-6-1 last 29 games overall and 15-5-1 Over at home. Play OVER! |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team OVER 44.5 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
Chip's NFL Power Play Totals Winner Tampa Bay at Washington 8:15 ET Buccaneers/DC Swampers- Yup, Washington has the No. 2 defense behind the Rams and the 30th ranked offense. Tampa Bay's offense is No. 7 but No. 3 in scoring at 30.8 ppg and No. 2 passing yards. That's why the DC boys defense which prides on the run stop will have to deal with Tom Brady's passing. Play OVER! |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 42 | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Chip's NFC 'Money Game' Totals Winner L.A. Rams at Seattle 4:40 ET Rams (+) over Seahawks- Defense, defense, defense...the last three meetings including two this season have all gone Under, but the previous four had all gone Over. It just seems too easy to play this game Under. In playoffs 'tings change.' Play OVER! |
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01-09-21 | Colts v. Bills UNDER 51.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Chip's AFC Megabucks 'Totals' Winner Indianapolis at Buffalo 1:05 ET Colts/Bills UNDER- So now everyone is overwhelmed by the Colts running game because Jonathan Taylor ran for a franchise record 253 yards last week but it was against Jacksonville. Numbers wise the Colts are 13-6 Under when dogs and Under is 9-2 in their last 11 road playoff games. Buffalo is an Over team and are 10-2-1 Under in their last 13 following a SU win. Stay UNDER! |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at Tampa Bay 8:15 ET Rams/Buccaneers UNDER- Both of these clubs are off impressive wins with the Rams defeating Seattle 23-16 and the Bucc's pounded Carolina 46-23 gaining 544 yards on offense. But, understand this, it will be the defense's that will make the difference in today's matchup. Tampa Bay has had the top rushing stop for the past two seasons and this season ranked No. 2 right now allowing just 76.6 yards rushing per game while Los Angeles in ranked No. 1 defensively overall allowing just 296 yards per game and No. 2 in totals points surrendered with 18.7. Rams are Under is their last six and 5-1 to the under at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are 9-4 Under in their last 13 at home against teams with winning records. Play the UNDER! |
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09-13-20 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 48 | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (Total) 4:25 ET Buccaneers/Saints UNDER- (49.5) With the match-up of a pair of Hall of Fame QB's the natural instinct is to think of points and more points and of course it's always more fun to have the 'Over' because you cam actually know that you have won you bet before the game is final. Looking at trends of these two makes one think an easy 'over' but new system and ball protection with less turnovers they will surrender less points on defense. Play UNDER! |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 46.5 | 20-37 | Loss | -104 | 46 h 14 m | Show | |
Niners/Packers Total UNDER- Green Bay in spite of Aaron Rodgers at the helm have been an under team the most of the season and at their defensive best in big games as they are 4-0 Under in their last four playoff games and 6-1 under on the road against a team with a winning record. So what about San Francisco, well they are 4-0 under in playoff games and 14-6 under at home against winning teams. Play UNDER! |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 45 | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Seahawks/Packers (OVER)- To start with the Seahawks are playing to the Over in 10 of their last 11 playoffs games when an underdog as well as over 7-3-1 against teams with winning records. Green Bay who pays to the under more than people might think are 5-1 OVER in their last six playoff games. Add that the Over is 7-3 in the past 10 meetings. Play OVER! |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers UNDER 44.5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Vikings/49ers- With Minnesota most likely looking for the ball to be in Cook's hands as opposed the Cousins first downs will mount but with SF's number one ranked rushing defense points may be scare. The trends on this one are off the charts as the Vikings are 7-1 to the Under when a playoff underdog and 16-7 Under in the last 23 overall when a dog. when under 6-1 last seven meetings. The 49ers usually play over except here, at home up against a team with a winning record then they are 13-6 Under. PLAY UNDER! |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 50 | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Minnesota at New Orleans 1:05 ET Vikings/Saints-UNDER- When I think about it aside Drew Brees what I hear in his five-game absence was the improved defense and it is better than what we have seen. But, what I understand about Kirk Cousins is that he can't compete with Brees, so why should he. Minnesota understands that Dalvin Cook is the key if they are to have any chance and they will do what the do best, run the ball. Play UNDER! |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Titans at Patriots (UNDER) There are a few factors that play into this 'Totals' winner. To start with and the trend that I believe has the biggest impact is that New England is 16-5 Under after a straight-up loss and 20-8 Under after an ATS loss. Tennessee has played to the under in five of six playoffs games and they are under is 9-4 in January games. Play UNDER! |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 56.5 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 1 m | Show | |
New England at Kansas City 6:40 ET Patriots/Chiefs UNDER - With the understanding that these two quarterbacks can put up 40 anytime and they both did it already when the faced each other in early October in a 43-40 pats win. I know Brady with try to score every offensive possessions but even if the do those scores most likely will come from patient and deliberate drives as Belichick wants to keep the ball out of Kansas City’s hands and especially Pat Mahomes who will be facing a different kind of pressure in this AFC Championship games. Miss plays, over-throws and bad reads with keep this one low scoring and weather will affect this one. Play the UNDER! |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints UNDER 52 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at New Orleans 4:40 ET Eagles/Saints (UNDER)- This game will have a game plan of adjustments. Philadelphia who is better now then the first time they met in November will make the necessary adjustment and will not give up 546 yards again. New Orleans' defense will be ready for the Eagles non-explosive offense and will prevent long drives. This game stays...UNDER! |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys v. Rams OVER 49 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas at L.A. Rams 8:15 ET Cowboys/Rams (OVER)- I'm a bit surprised at the high price of this total. The Dallas offense is so limited with Dak Prescott hurting and his inaccurate passing inside the pocket it makes sense that the Cowboys defense has to dominate. But, once the Rams offense gets out in front the game plan will go out the window. Play OVER! |