Seahawks -5

This is the whole thing. One matchup. One number. New England and Seattle collide on February 8th in Super Bowl LX from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Seattle shows up with the top defense in football, and funny how that still matters when championships are on the line — especially under the brightest lights. New England squeaked past Denver in the AFC title game. Seattle battled its way through the Rams in a chaotic 31–27 NFC Championship. And let’s be honest — that Seahawks-Rams game felt like the Super Bowl we already watched. I’m locking this in early. There’s no chance this line just sits at -5 for 2 weeks — I’d be surprised if it doesn’t drift toward -6.5, or -7 by kickoff. That’s the kind of number you grab now or regret later. I’m not convinced the Patriots should even be sharing the field with this Seattle team. Every Super Bowl matchup usually has something you can poke at — a soft unit, a shaky matchup, a pressure point. This Seahawks roster doesn’t offer many. And the few that exist are tough to get to. Seattle has ripped off seven takeaways over the last 4 games and 16 in the last 8. This isn’t a defense that simply gets stops — it flips games on their head. New England as a Super Bowl underdog? Fine. They’re 2–2 straight up and 2–1–1 ATS. Not terrible. But this Seattle defense plays at a different speed. Different edge. Built exactly for this moment. I’m laying the number. I trust the defense. I trust the situation, I actually trust Sam Darnold. And I trust Seattle to close it out. Pete Carroll isn't coaching this Seahawks team, and I doubt they'll throw it from the 1.

Super Bowl 60 5% NFL ATS Play

Seattle -2

The Seahawks are the move in the NFC Championship Game. Number 1 seeds have fared well in Conference Championship Games, going 21-5 SU since 2006 and they’ve covered 5 of the last 6 when laying under a field goal. The Seahawks defense is tops in the league and those teams have always had success in these spots. Seattle has all the momentum and they swarm to the ball defensively. With the crowd behind them, this is a great spot for Seattle. The Hawks simply don't lose when at home in a Conference title game.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Patriots -3

New England is the move against the Texans. Both teams looked great defensively in the Wild Card Round, but the Pats are still the better overall team. Drake Maye continues to put good drives together and he sets this offense up with a lot of red zone trips. The Patriots defense is one of the few teams that can match the firepower of the Texans defense as they love to blitz. They’re going to put Stroud under relentless pressure all night long. Combine that with Nico Collins in question and the Patriots have the edge on both sides of the ball. Back New England.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Steelers +3

Pittsburgh has value grabbing points. It took a come back win and a missed field goal from the Ravens as time expired, but Pittsburgh once again finds themselves in the playoffs. Pittsburgh will get to host this game and the cold temps are going to be a nice edge for them. They’re used to playing in these conditions, while the Texans much rather see their dome in Houston. The Steelers will get both Metcalf and have Watt for this game, which provides a huge boost. Combine that with the coaching edge they have with Tomlin and there is great value in this spot. Back Pittsburgh.

Monday 4% NFL ATS Play

Chargers +3.5

Los Angeles is the move against Pats. The public continues to pound this Patriots line, but the Chargers have the edge in a few ways. Justin Herbert is a veteran with the experience in these types of games and he can come up with some big time passes as this game goes on. The Chargers also have Harbaugh on their side, who loves big games. This Chargers defense will be able to cause a lot of issues for Drake Maye and we’ll see a lot of different blitz packages against him. This is a good spot to grab the points. Back LA.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Phili -4.5

The Eagles are the move laying the points. Philadelphia and San Francisco provide a fun matchup during this weekend slate, but the Eagles are going to have the edge on both sides of the ball. This is a case where the 49ers defense just looks too suspect to trust. They have struggled lately and they’ve had a lot of issues giving up the big play. Combine that with the way this Eagles defense plays and they’re going to have Purdy under pressure all game long. This is a good spot to lay the points. Back the Eagles.

Sunday 1% NFL ATS Play

Jags +1.5

The Jags are the move as they take on the Bills on Wild Card Weekend. The Bills just haven’t looked as dangerous as they typically do and they run into a red hot Jacksonville side. The Bills have allowed nearly 200+ rush yards 6 times this season and they have just struggled as a whole defensively. Trevor Lawrence has a thrown 15 touchdowns over his last 6 games and just 1 interception as he continues to light up opposing defenses. Jacksonville has a great rush defense themselves and they’re going to shut down this Buffalo attack with Cook. Grab the Jags.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Panthers +10.5

Carolina and Los Angeles meet and were on the Panthers. For starters, nobody is giving the Panthers a chance this weekend. This is too many points as the Panthers actually finished the season rather well. Home underdogs have also fared well in the playoffs, going 6-2 ATS in the last 8 instances. Bryce Young has looked solid and this offense can score. They’ll be able to keep this close throughout. Back the Panthers.

Saturday 2% NFL ATS Play

Oregon +3.5

It’s a revenge spot for Oregon and they have value catching points. The Duck completely shut down Texas Tech and now they get their chance again against Indiana after losing to them at home earlier this season. Oregon’s defense has completely stepped up as of late and they’re going to blitz Mendoza this entire game. Look for Oregon to play with a lot of speed offensively per usual, as they’ll look to strike down field quick. Combine that with their ability to get off the field on third downs defensively and they are going to have their chances in this game to take control. Back Oregon.

Friday 4% NCAAF ATS Play

Miami -3

The Hurricanes and Ole Miss battle in the first of the two semi final games and we’re on Miami. Everyone questioned how this Ole Miss side would hold up after losing Kiffin, but they’ve responded in a big way and are off an upset win over Georgia. However, they now lose more coordinators heading into this game and the Hurricanes are playing with all the confidence in the world. It’s their defense that is going to make the difference. They held Ohio State to just 14 points and produced a pick six, as they have no shut down both Texas A&M and Ohio State. Miami controlled the line of scrimmage against Ohio State and they’ll do the same once again. Back Miami.

Thursday 3% NCAAF ATS Play

Montana State -10

Montana State has value against Illinois State in the FCS Championship. Illinois State has been the Cinderella of the season in the FCS, pulling off two upsets to get to this spot. This is where it ends for them though, as Montana State is rolling. They have scored 44 and 48 points in their two playoff games and they have a defense that forces a lot of turnovers. Expect them to control this game on both sides of the ball. Back Montana State. Good luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 1% NCAAF ATS Play

Ravens -3.5

Baltimore and Pittsburgh play for it all and we’re on the home side. The Ravens have Derrick Henry who rumbled for 4 touchdowns last week and they’re going to once again lean on him heavily. Pittsburgh had their chance last week to clinch and flopped in Cleveland, which now sees them in an all in spot. Baltimore will wear them out as this game goes on and we’re getting great value laying the small number. Baltimore is the better team and they have the best player on the field in Henry. Lay the points.

Sunday 2% NFL ATS Play

Bears -3.5

Chicago is the move, laying the points against the Lions. Detroit has been turning the ball over at will and last week they are in off such a disappointing season as a whole. After being one of the top teams picked to make a run at the Super Bowl, they just haven’t found any sort of consistency and they run into a Bears team with a ton of momentum. They’re still trying to claim the 2 seed and they’re going to be the team with far more motivation. Lay the points.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Saints +3.5

New Orleans looks to play spoiler and they have value. A Saints win ruins the Panthers season and puts the Bucs in as they’re going to look to finish the season on the high note. Tyler Shough has been a man on a mission and he’s solidified his spot as this team’s QB. Atlanta played their best game in the national spotlight beating the Rams on MNF and this is a spot where they will have a bit of a let down. The Saints motivation combined with Shough has good value getting points. Back New Orleans.

Sunday 4% NFL ATS Play

Houston -10.5

The Texans are the move laying the points. Indy was poised for a huge year and injuries derailed their season and now they are focused on regrouping for next year. The Texans continue to be one of the hottest teams in the league and this defense is by far the best in the NFL. Now, they get to run at Rivers, who they will blitz all night long. They caused havoc against Herbert last week and this will be another case where they force Rivers into some tough situations. Lay the points.

Sunday 1% NFL ATS Play

Cinci -7.5

Cincinnati has the value laying the points. The Bengals have just played far more consistent football lately despite their disappointing season and this is a game they’ll go out on a high note. Cleveland has struggled as a whole offensively and the Bengals are going to come out with a little more fire with this being a home game. Cleveland is 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games and their only focus right now is Myles Garrett and the sack record. Lay the points.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3

Carolina has value over the Bucs. Tampa Bay has just completely bottomed out and now they not only need a win, but some help to get in. Tampa Bay is just all over the place and Mayfield looks battered as they’ve dropped games to teams well under .500 as of late. Carolina beat Tampa Bay during that stretch and the Panthers will continue to blitz this Bucs backfield. Carolina has far more confidence and they want to put their own fate in their hands. Back Carolina.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Arizona +1.5

We’re on Arizona laying the number. The Wildcats finished the season off winning 5 in a row and they come in red hot. This defense is one of the best in terms of forcing turnovers as they forced 28, which is tied for 3rd in the nation. Motivation is a factor here as SMU was a win over Cal away from being in the ACC Championship. They won’t be as pumped up to play here and this is a game where Arizona can lean on their defense to create a lot of issues. Grab the Wildcats.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Georgia -6.5

The Bulldogs are the move here. Ole Miss routed Tulane in their opener and this is going to be so many steps up in opposition level. The Bulldogs allow just 15.9 ppg while averaging over 31 and they’re going to wear down Ole Miss. We saw them do just that earlier this season in what was eventually a 43-35 win over the Rebels as they pulled ahead in the 4th quarter. This is a great spot to see Georgia play a similar style game and eventually pull away. Back the Bulldogs.

Happy New Years!

Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Texas -7

The Longhorns are the move here laying the points against Michigan. The Wolverines are all over the headlines for the wrong reasons after Sherrone Moore was arrested. It’s led to many players entering the portal and right now they just want the finish line to regroup. Texas had a down year, but they finished on a high note with their upset over rival Texas A&M. They’re going to have far more motivation and frankly they’re a much better overall team. It seems like it’s all a go for QB Arch Manning, who will pick apart this Michigan depleted secondary. Back Texas.

Wednesday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Iowa +5.5

We’re on the Hawkeyes grabbing the points. Vanderbilt will be without star TE, Eli Stowers, which is a huge loss after the kind of year he had. Iowa also boasts one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing just 15.2 ppg. They’re going to make things extremely difficult for Diego Pavia and this Vandy offense on Wednesday. Iowa was also 7-0 ATS vs teams with a winning record this season. They have the advantage defensively and they can lean on that here to keep this close with chances to steal it outright. Grab the points.

Wednesday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Falcons +7.5

Atlanta has a chance to play spoiler and they’re worth the move at this number. The Falcons take on a Rams team that has already found themselves clinching a wild card spot and now we may see some guys get some rest. Atlanta meanwhile still has their chance to play that spoiler because if they win, the Bucs are eliminated from playoff contention. Atlanta has won back to back games and put up 29 and 26 point performances. They will keep this one close throughout. Back the Falcons.

Monday 7* NFL ATS Play

Bills -1

Buffalo has value against the Eagles. A crucial game both ways and the Bills received great news with Josh Allen being cleared and at 100% for this game. Buffalo’s offense has rolled at home this season, averaging over 33 ppg and this is a defense that has struggled at times in Phili. Expect Buffalo to try and open this game up early with some deep chances, as they’re at their best when they can find over the top passes. Bills 16-1 L17 at home, and 8-4 ATS L12 at home. Back Buffalo.

Sunday 10* NFL *RARE* ATS Top Play

Giants -2

The Giants have value on Sunday. New York and Las Vegas are playing for a top draft spot, but the Raiders have shown they really want to tank. The team asked Crosby to sit out the final two games, which caused a lot of drama within the team. The Giants will take advantage of the locker room drama and this is a game where they’ll look for some young guys to step up.  Jaxson Dart is looking to build confidence heading into next year and this is a perfect opportunity for him. Back the Giants. 

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jags -5.5

The Jags continue to be one of the biggest surprises this season and they have value laying points. Jacksonville catches an Indy team that is a mess right now. They’re getting torched defensively and say the 49ers move at will on them last week. Rivers has played okay, but this Jags defense only gives up 20.8 ppg. They’re going to rush him all day long and force him into many tough passing windows. Jacksonville has a lot of confidence and they’re the move in this spot. Lay the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Tennessee +1.5

Tennessee is the move against the Saints. The Titans are finishing this season off well and they have won 2 of their last 3. The offense has found its footing scoring 24 or more points in each of the last 3 games. The Saints have had a lot of issues defensively and give up a lot of big plays. This Titans offense is going to wear them down as this game goes on and it’ll open up a lot of passing lanes for this offense. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -7

Cinci is the move over Arizona. The Cardinals are in a free fall as they’ve dropped 7 straight and continue to lose key pieces on both sides of the ball. They’ll be without Nolan and Williams on the defensive side as this team has just been a mess defensively. They rank 25th in pass defense efficiency and the Bengal offense just has far too many weapons for this matchup. Lay the points with the Bengals.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Houston PK

The Cougars are the move over LSU. The Tigers season was a let down and filled with drama Dow the stretch as they worked to get Lane Kiffin in. Their focus is on next year and competing for a CFP spot, while Houston will be amped up for this game. The Cougars quietly sit 21st in the nation and won 2 of 3 to finish off their season. This offense scores over 4 TDS a game and they’re going to wear down this LSU side that has a lot of opt outs on both sides of the ball. Houston has much more to play for and they’re going to come out firing. Back the Cougars.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

San Diego State +6.5

This is too many points to give to San Diego State. The Aztecs style of play is going to cause issues for the Mean Green. San Diego State plays slow and they run downhill at teams. This is a game where they can sustain drives and slow the game down, as they sustain drives. They only gave up 12.6 ppg this season, which is one of the best marks in the entire nation. They’ll make this game a grind and have their chances to steal it. Grab the points.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Houston +2

The Texans are the move against LA. Houston’s defense is the best in the league and they continue to find ways to win. They’re red hot as they’ve won 7 in a row and as a team, they’re giving up only 16.6 ppg. With how banged up this Chargers offensive line is, this is a bad matchup for LA. Houston will blitz all game force Herbert into some very tough spots. Houston’s offense is healthy and rolling and they’re the move here. Back the Texans.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Penn State +3

Penn State is the move against Clemson. This has been an abysmal year for Clemson as they struggled all year and now have multiple key players opting out. While Penn State’s season has also been a let down, they finished strong and they’re excited to be here. The Nittany Lions won 3 in a row to finish their season, scoring 28 points or more in all 3 wins. This is a game of motivation and the Nittany Lions aren’t missing many players from opt out. Grab the points.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Gophers -1

Minnesota is the move against New Mexico. Gophers Head Coach, PJ Fleck, comes in a perfect 6-0 in bowl games at Minnesota. He always has his teams prepped for these games and will make sure they play clean football. Minnesota doesn’t have many opt outs and they’re going to impose their will on New Mexico and wear them down with their run game. Back Minnesota.

Friday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Dallas -7

Dallas is the move laying points. The Commanders will turn to Josh Johnson on Christmas Day as Marcus Mariota is unlikely to play. The QB issues have continued to pile up for the Commanders and this is a spot for the Cowboys to really put a lot of pressure on him early. Offensively, Prescott and company haven’t had many issues scoring. Washington ranks 32nd in the NFL in pass defense efficiency and the Cowboys will pick that apart on Thursday. Back Dallas.

XMAS Day 7* NFL ATS Play

Ohio +6.5

The Bobcats have value catching points in the Frisco Bowl. OU has dealt with a coaching scandal the last few weeks and now will have to shift their focus to UNLV on Tuesday. This is a game where we will see a lot of motivation from OU, as they try to erase all the drama and bounce back to finish the season off with 9 wins. They averaged over 28 ppg so this season offensively and only gave up 22.9 ppg. They can match the firepower UNLV brings with their ability to run the ball and wear down this Rebels defense. Back OU.

Tuesday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

49ers -5

We’re on the 49ers on MNF as they take on the Colts. Indy put up a fight last week as they called in 72 yr old Philip Rivers to man the QB position. The game really shouldn’t have been close as they gave up 6 scoring drives to the Seahawks where all of them just turned into field goals. This 49ers side is playing with a lot of confidence and they’re going to blitz Rivers all night long. Combine that with this 49ers offense putting up some big numbers during this 4 game winning streak and they just have the edge on both sides of the ball. Indy 2-4 L6 ATS, 49ers are 5-1 L6, and 6-2 L8 ATS on the road. Back San Fran.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

WSU +1.5

Washington State is the move in the Idaho Potato Bowl over Utah State. Washington State finished 6-6, but they had a lot of games where they gave some good teams issues. They’ve had minimal transfers for the most part and they have some explosive playmakers who are going to be the difference. Utah State gives up over 28 ppg and they’re going to struggle here to slow down this Washington State attack. Expect them to establish a run early and open up passing lanes as this game goes on. Back WSU.

Monday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Titans +3.5

Tennessee is the move at this number. Not only are the Chiefs eliminated, but Mahomes is out and they just want to see the finish line this season. Meanwhile, Tennessee is in the mode to continue to develop and they’ll come out far more motivated. The Titans have scored 55 points combined the last two weeks and this is a case of one team trending up, while another has trended significantly down. The Chiefs won’t have much motivation and this is a great spot for the Titans to steal one. Back Tennessee.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3.5

Carolina is the move grabbing points. It’s the biggest game for both teams tied atop the division and right now the Bucs are leaking oil. Defensively they’re a mess and Baker Mayfield is playing through a shoulder injury offensively. Carolina has been more consistent as of late and this offense is going to pick apart a Bucs defense that has given up 53 points combined over their last 2 games. Grab the Panthers as they are just more consistent at this point.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Chargers +1.5

We’re on the Chargers catching points. Los Angeles keeps getting pinned as underdogs and they keep finding ways to win. The Chargers have won 3 straight and they’re off an impressive win over the Chiefs. Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the NFL and this Chargers offense hasn’t broke stride despite injuries. Herbert is doing enough to sustain drives and he’ll have a field day against this Cowboys secondary. Back the Chargers.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cleveland +11

The Browns are the move here catching points. This is too many points as this is a let down spot for the Bills. After a comeback win over rival New England, having to go play Cleveland in cold temps isn’t ideal. The Browns have shown some signs under Sanders that they can move the ball and you combined that with this defense that is led by Myles Garrett and they can stay in this game. Look for Cleveland to make this low scoring and we’ll get a game that turns into a grind throughout. Back the Browns.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play