Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-22-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Denver ranks 6h in-defense ppg allowed , and 14th in offensive production and 27th in pace.Slow and and easy is the defending campions modus operandi, and nothing will chan ge today in the high altitudes of Rockies. Im betting the Nuggets play gridning physcial game as they look to slow down the Lakers and make them work hard for every point, which will lead to a lower socring game than the linesmakers number suggests. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored.DENVER is 16-6 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored.DENVER is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 8-0 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. Five of the last eight games here in Denver have stayed under. Play on the under |
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04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Pitching Trends:KCs expected starter SINGER is 17-6 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. Blue Jays expected starter KIKUCHI is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.483. KIKUCHIin his L/11 starts vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. Jays bullpen owns a sub par 5.24 ERA so far this season. KC has averaged 5.9 rpg at home this season. QUATRARO in his L/ 32 in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY has seen a combined average of 10 rpg scored. QUATRARO is 14-3 OVER in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more as the manager of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ( Lost to Baltimore 5-0 yesterday) MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or less ) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 start are 36-10 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with an average of 11.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY/TORONTO) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-30 OVER for a 70% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at 10.6 rpg . Play over |
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04-22-24 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Game one saw the Isles lose 3-1 with one of the goals they gave up being an empty netter. With Carolina goaltender Frederik Andersen making 33 saves in game one he looks like he is in a groove .Meanwhile, Isles Im betting will struggle to score once again, while Carolina Im betting will find the sledding tough against a veteran Isles team that knows how to grind it out in play off hockey. Also the goaltending tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are also considered to be a top tier pair of puck stoppers. CAROLINA is 21-4 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. The Carolina Hurricanes have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI) Play under |
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04-22-24 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 208 | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing very physical defensive games in the recent past and Im betting on nothing changing here tonight in game two of this series. Three of the L/4 meetings have failed to eclipse this Totals offering. NEW YORK in 26 games when leading in a playoff series since 1996 have seen a combined average of 174 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 UNDER when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 28-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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04-21-24 | Predators +129 v. Canucks | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Predators have claimed an upset victory in 18, or 47.4%, of the 38 games they have played as an underdog this season and are 9-8 when they are underdogs of +124 or more on the moneyline. The Canucks are a explosive offensive side, but their type of play is not as efficient in post season action vs a tough Nashville group that is more physical than their opponents. In post season hockey gritty sides like the Preds deserve respect. Note: Canucks Brock Boeser (40 goals, 73 points) is less than 100% because of injury and uncertain to start this tilt. Also Nashvilles goaltender Saros has a reputation for being very streaky and that was apparent when he stood on his head during a 13-game stretch from Feb. 17 to March 23 in where he went 11-0-2 with a 1.76 GAA and a .936 save percentage. He is a one man game changer. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NASHVILLE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 20-7 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nashville Predators to win |
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04-21-24 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Thunder | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans won Friday night's elimination game in the West play-in with a 105-98 victory over the Sacramento Kings and must not be under estimated in their ability to play this Thunder side tough. I know Zion Williamson will be out, but the Pelicans have come together in efficiently and proved in a top tier defensive game to get here. It must be noted that New Orleans is 4-1 SU L/5 here in Oklahoma City and the road team have covered seven straight meetings between these teams.Daigneault is 11-24 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a -9.6 ppg diff. NBA Underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 135 points or more are 64-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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04-21-24 | Pacers -1 v. Bucks | 94-109 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 53 m | Show | |
The Pacers since March 20, have the best offense in the league and sit third in Net Rating and deserve respect here in Game 1 vs a Milwaukee side that is expected to be without their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo. MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of -10.7. INDIANA is 12-1 ATS in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. INDIANA is 12-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Pacers have won the last two meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-21-24 | Marlins v. Cubs -120 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This season, the Cubs have been favored seven times and won six of those games and own a record of 6-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline and have the edge today according to my own own projections. I know Hendricks the Cubs starter might have some nasty early season numbers attached to his pitching profile, but it must be noted he will face a Miami side that has garnered a ugly .324 slugging percentage this season so far which is the second-lowest percentage in the majors.The Marlins also rank 27th in MLB with a .215 batting average. Im betting on Hendricks righting his ship and for the Cubs to do enough damage against the Marlins starter Cabrera to get us to the promised land of victory. MIAMI is 1-9 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.MIAMI is 31-86 L/117 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 48-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to win |
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04-21-24 | Orioles v. Royals UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Baltimore evened up the series with the Royals Saturday night with a 9-7 victory but Im now betting on immediate limited offensive production here today, mostly based on the output projections expected by the Royals . Note:The Orioles will start Lugo (3-0, 1.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 4.6 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings and has not allowed more than 2 ERS in any start and is off a shut out performance last time out. KCs starter IRVIN in 6 career outings when starting against KANSAS CITY has garnered a ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.172 with all six games staying on the low side of the totals offering. Kansas City went gone under the total in 4 previous games before the Baltimore series began. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KC/ BALTIMORE) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play under |
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04-20-24 | White Sox v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Phillies offense is finally starting to roll and have scored 5, 7, 7 runs in their L/3 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more production today vs expected starting Right-hander Michael Soroka (0-2, 6.98 ERA) . Im also betting the Phillies will be primed to support right-hander Zack Wheeler (0-3, 3.00 ERA), who hasn't received much run support this season. QUOTE: "It's frustrating," Manager Thomson said. "We haven't really swung the bats in his starts. That'll change." PHILADELPHIA is 72-43 UNDER in home games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 8.7 rpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored .PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11 rpg. Play over |
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04-20-24 | Islanders +205 v. Hurricanes | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
Islanders are red hot having won 8 of their L/9 and have a recent history of playing the Carolina Canes tough. I know the Canes are what we might consider the better team, but the Isles goalie tandem of Sorokin and Varlamov are on fire at the moment and in the play offs we are talking q whole new season. Islanders have the edge. NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS in April games this season. NHL team against the money line (CAROLINA) - as a # 2 seed in the playoffs, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 7-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYI to win |
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04-20-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1.5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
The Suns finished off their reg season with a astounding 125-106 win at Minnesota as underdogs for their third straight win this season vs the Wolves. With that said, Im now betting the Wolves will be ready for redemption/revenge against a team that has soundly beat them this season. Note:PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS L/20 in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog . Also MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 39-8 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss are 101-150 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win/cover |
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04-20-24 | Magic v. Cavs -4.5 | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show | |
The Magic have played some great defensive ball this season, but their offense can sometimes be stagnant and have been a better team at home in the Magic Kingdom, than they have been on the road. A tell take sign for me going against Orlando today was because they were just 5-10 SU against top-six defenses like the Cavs, averaging 104.4 points per game, Considering the Cavs are fairly healthy at least from the starting unit perspective with Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen all expected to play, they have a pronounced edge at home. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 27-4 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 which qualifies on the ATS offering. CLEVELAND is 5-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons at home. Play on the Cavaliers to cover |
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04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans OVER 210 | 98-105 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight. NEW ORLEANS L/72 games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat -1.5 | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
In a game like this the physicality and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the the Heat an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard ranking 22nd in ppg output. MIAMI is 22-10 ATS in April games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors Play on Miami to cover |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207 | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a combined score in the 211-to 214 range giving us a 2 possession edge to the over. I know Miami is a defense first team, but when pushed- which they will be- can light up the scoreboard with some offensive fireworks of their own. Note: The Heat have gone over in 9 of their L/10 overall. MIAMI L/77 games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 216.3 ppg scored. MIAMI in 7 road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 219 ppg scored ( Lost 109-105 to Phil on April 4th) MIAMI in L/ 44 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. ( lost last two meetings) MIAMI is 17-4 OVER in April games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.3 ppg scored. Nurse in 27 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 234.7 ppg scored. NBA team (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half have seen a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored during a current 65 game sample size over the L/5 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more have seen a combined average of 213.5 ppg scored over a 233 sample size going back 27 seasons. Play over |
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04-17-24 | Penguins -120 v. Islanders | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
The Islanders have already clinched a play off spot and could rest as many as 5 players tonight so they don't risk injuries . This also the Isles 3rd game in 5 nights. Meanwhile, the Pens still have a chance at a play off spot and must at least win this game to get their shot and Im betting they leave everything on the ice and grab the victory. NY ISLANDERS are 16-31 ATS (+49.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the second half of the season are 113-52 L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pens to win |
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04-17-24 | Rangers v. Tigers -138 | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Tigers were able to get redemption for a 1-0 loss in the series opener on Monday and grabbed a 4-2 victory on Tuesday afternoon by garnering two runs in the eighth inning and get the nod again here today. Note: Texas starter DUNNING is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 3-10 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-9 against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 4-18 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.020. Left-hander Tarik Skubal (2-0, 2.08 ERA) is expected to start the third game of the four-game set for Detroit against the Rangers. Skubal collected his second victory of the season on Friday when he held the Minnesota Twins scoreless for five innings and enters this game with momentum. SKUBAL is 7-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) The Tigers bullpen also hasn't allowed a run over 5 2/3 innings in the series and Im betting will give Skubal the support he needs when and if he leaves this game. Considering Texas has scored two runs or fewer in four of the past six games their current from suggests their host has the advantage. Play on the Tigers to win |
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04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans OVER 225 | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 49 m | Show | |
My projections place this game total in the high 220s to low 230s, giving us at least one possession plus edge on this current totals offering. My estimates also suggest both sides will score +114 points- Note:LA LAKERS are 31-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 253.2 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 15-1 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 250.4 ppg scored. The Lakers rank 6th in NBA in offensive production and a lowly 23rd in defensive ppg allowed and a speedy 4th in pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans rank 13th in offensive production, and 8th in ppg allowed, behind the 17th ranked pace, but those numbers are a little deceiving as they have allowed a 46.7 % FG conversion rate from opponents at home and in their L/5 overall games entering this game have allowed a 49.7 % FG conversion rate. Pelicans have gone over in 3 straight games and 7 of their L/9 , while the Lakers have gone over in 4 straight and 6 of their L/7. LA LAKERS L/8 after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 23-13 OVER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 9-1 OVER in road games against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 240.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 22-7 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Ham in 134 games vs sides like the Pelicans allowing a 46% or more defensive FG conversion rate as the coach of LA LAKERS has seen a combined average of 236 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or of their shots over a 143 game sample size have seen a combined average of 228 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 62-31 OVER L/27 seasons with a average combined score of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games have seen a combined average of 233.3 ppg over a 245 game sample size. Play over |
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04-16-24 | Guardians -101 v. Red Sox | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The Guardians improved their road record to 8-2 with Monday's 6-0 win at Fenway and have obvious momentum entering this game vs their hosts the BoSox. Note: BOSTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-32 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 2-14 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland starter BIBEE is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200 MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 18-41 L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 60-33 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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04-15-24 | Wild v. Kings -1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
The Kings are playing great hockey right now have won 5 of their L/6, and have dominated tonights competition the Wild this season, beating them by 7-3 and 6-0 counts. Meanwhile, Minny has lost 4 of their L/6 while allowing 21 goals despite of a road win vs lowly San Jose last time out , and things could easily roll out of control here in LA tonight as Goalie Gustavsson is set to start. He owns a . 898 save percentage and minus-6.0 goals saved above expected, and has lost his last three trips to the golden pond. The Kings have won by 2 goals or more in 6 of their L/8 home victories and get the nod again in this spot play situation. Play on the LA Kings -1.5 to win |
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04-15-24 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Right-hander Cal Quantrill (0-2, 7.20 ERA), will start Monday's game for Colorado and is fade material in his current form. I know Philadelphia has scored more than five runs in a game just once this year, and the offense has looked inconsistent, but this is a major break out situation for the Phillies. Quote: "We have to get going offensively, which I think we will. I don't think that's a question at all," said Turner, per the Press of Atlantic City. "I feel like we're in a good spot, and we'll get rolling." EndQuote: Phillies starter Aaron Nola (2-1, 4.50 ERA) and this will be his fourth start this season for the Phillies. The right-hander allowed two runs on three hits in six innings in the Phillies 4-3 victory last week against the Cardinals in St. Louis and gets my backing in this spot play. COLORADO is 4-40 against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.2 which easily quaflies on this run-line offering. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 11-40 L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.1. Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline |
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04-14-24 | Hurricanes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Chicago has allowed 4, 5,5 goals in their L/3 trips to the ice and Im betting nothing changes today vs the Carolina Canes. With nothing left to play for Im betting the Blackhawks being very loose and aggressive offensively vs the Canes, with little tp no forechecking , and for the Canes to very likely over looking their opponents which could lead to a bigger output by the home side than the linesmakers anticipate. CHICAGO is 6-0 OVER in home games after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game this season with a combined average of 7.2 gog scored. ( Lost to Nashville last time out by a 5-2 count) CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. (Carolinas just beat Boston 4-1 and St.Louis 5-2) Carolina beat Chicago 6-3 earlier this season, and a rinse repeat combined score is not out of the question) NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play over Play over |
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04-14-24 | Cubs +128 v. Mariners | 3-2 | Win | 128 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The series finale is expected to see two right-handers go to the hill as the Cubs' send Javier Assad (1-0, 1.64 ERA) against the Mariners' Luis Castillo (0-3, 6.89).Assad, has looked good in his two starts this season winning a 12-2 event on April 2 hosting the Colorado Rockies , while throwing six scoreless innings. On Monday on the road vs San Diego, he left with a six-run lead after five innings of top tier work in a game the Cubs eventually blew by a 9-8 count.Meanwhile, Seattles starter Castillo, who owns a 7-5 record along with a 3.64 ERA in 17 career starts against the Cubs, has given up four earned runs in each of his first three starts of the season, and has looked a little shaky as has failed to last more than 5 2/3 innings in those starts.Note: CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Cubs. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - struggling NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are just 30-13 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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04-14-24 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 219.5 | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the mid 220s giving us a substantial edge on this totals offering to the over. In a recent meeting these teams combined for 238 points, and even though both teams may rest starters tonight Im betting on a loose game with very little physical defensive action which will help propel this score to higher limits than the linesmkaers expect. HOUSTON L/33 games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 232.1 ppg scored. HOUSTON L/29 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season have seen a combined average of 228.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 237.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS L/22 after playing 2 consecutive home games this season have seen a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 2219.5 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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04-13-24 | Padres v. Dodgers -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
This season, the Dodgers have won 10 out of the 16 games, for a 62.5%, conversion rate when they have been favored. The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers. and added league wide trends support an even higher probability of victory. Padres starter Waldron has-seen his team loes his only start as an underdog this season.Waldron's team is 0-2 when he starts this season. and Im betting nothing changes today as my early season pitcher vs batting order projections estimate that the Dodgers matchup very well against him. ROBERTS is 73-24 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a one run loss to opponent, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 46-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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04-13-24 | Canadiens v. Senators -154 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
The Canadiens have struggled against the Senators over the past few seasons, losing eight straight to their division rivals, all in regulation, while being outscored 40-18. They haven't defeated Ottawa since March 19, 2022 and Im betting nothing changes today vs a Ottawa team with momentum after two victory in a three-game road trip, including a 3-2 shootout win against the Tampa Bay Lightning this past Thursday,Montreal has gone 15-36 when oddsmakers have made them underdogs of +134 or more on the money-line. MONTREAL is 5-23 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at -1.8. Play on Ottawa to win |
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04-13-24 | Islanders v. Rangers -161 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
After winning eight of nine, the Rangers are coming off consecutive regulation losses for the first time since Jan. 18-20. The last loss came to the Islanders in a contest the Rangers felt that they were being targeted with vicious hits. Lots a bad blood and revenge on board for a Rangers team that would love to also derail the Islanders play off hopes. NY RANGERS are 16-3 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season.NY RANGERS are 10-0 ATS in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season. With their top power play defenseman out ( Dobson) the Isles are in a disadvantageous position. Play on the Rangers to win |
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04-12-24 | Flames -143 v. Ducks | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these sides do not inspire bettors, but one side has an edge here. The Flames matchup well vs a Ducks team that have a recent history of struggling vs aggressive offense sides like Calgary. Note:ANAHEIM is 4-26 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 3-21 ATS )in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (ANAHEIM) - sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a win by 2 goals or more are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.(Ducks took a rare win last time out by a 3-1 count vs the Kings). Play on the Flames to win |
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04-12-24 | Twins v. Tigers -122 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Minnesota ended a four-game losing streak by recording a 3-2 victory vs the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday, but their offensive inconsistencies give cause for pause when believing they may be ready to get going in a positive direction. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense has shown flashes of brilliance and according to my power rankings matches up well against the Lopez the Twins expected starter . After yesterdays cancellation and their Day off on Wednesday the Tigers are well rested and ready for a top tier effort. MINNESOTA is 6-23 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. DETROIT is 29-13 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (DETROIT) - American League team who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 26-8 L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-35 L/5 seasons for a 90% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-12-24 | Nets v. Knicks OVER 210.5 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Im betting these NY NBA rivals play a fairly wide open game tonight that I project will be higher scoring than the lines-makers are expecting . I know Brooklyn will be short handed overall but their replacements will be playing loose and looking for extended contracts, so I expect aggressive action. Meanwhile, the Knicks offense has been hitting on all cylinders, and according to my numbers will exceed the 120 point plateau in this event , even though they played last night in a win vs the Celtics. (. NYK has put 122, 128, and 118 points on the board in their L/3 tilts) Even in a letdown situation, and with the Nets playing short handed we should get over this exaggerated totals offering. NEW YORK is 13-4 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in 44 games as a favorite this season have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 37-18 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. BROOKLYN iin 43 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season have seen a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.BROOKLYN i n 36 road games this season has seen a combined average of 224.9 ppg scored.BROOKLYN in 43 games revenging a loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored.NEW YORK in 39 home games this season has seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BROOKLYN) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 53-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-11-24 | Jets v. Stars UNDER 6 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Winnipeg has won 4 straight games, and are very offensively productive during this run! However, the Stars goalie Oettinger is 8-0-0 with a pair of shutouts. He has posted a 1.63 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage during that span and is obviously in top form and hard to score on. Winnipeg puck stopper Hellebuyck is also starting to gear up in top form as the play offs approach, going 3-0-0 over his past three starts with a 2.31 GAA and a .935 save percentage. WINNIPEG is 8-1 L/9 UNDER after a 4 game unbeaten streak this season. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 goals per game scored. Dallas is 5-1 UNDER in their L/6 games. The L/3 most recent meetings in this series have not seen more than 5 goals scored. Play under |
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04-11-24 | Bulls v. Pistons OVER 217.5 | 127-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My. projections estimate a total closer to 224 which give us a more than 2 possession value on this offering to the over. The Bulls know they will play the Atlanta Hawks as the Nos. 9 and 10 seeds in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. Meanwhile, the Pistons have lost five straight and 13 of their last 14 games and have nothing left to play for so they will play loose here tonight. With that said, Im betting there will be a lack of physical intensity defensively tonight and a more wide open game most likely will be on the agenda which signifies a higher scoring output than expected by the linesmakers. NBA team (CHICAGO) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 63-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the board. Play on the over |
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04-11-24 | Mets v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYM +1.5 runline |
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04-11-24 | Mets +1.5 v. Braves | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
New York will send left-hander Jose Quintana (0-1, 2.61 ERA) to the mound on Thursday. He allowed one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last Friday and Im betting he continues his strong work vs a lineup he matches up well against according to my own early season pitcher vs offense power rankings. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-160 to -115) (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), in April games are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYM +1.5 runline |
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04-10-24 | Suns -3.5 v. Clippers | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
The Clippers clinched the Pacific Division, with their road win in Phoenix last night, and now with revenge on board and in desperation mode Im betting we now see the Suns play with ultimate urgency as they look to avoid the play in tournament. It also looks like Harden and Leonard will not play tonight for the Clippers giving an edge to the Suns. LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.2. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more, playing on back-to-back days are 32-2 L/28 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6 which easily qualities on this ATS offering. NBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more are 30-8 L/28 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Suns to cover |
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04-10-24 | Coyotes v. Canucks -244 | 4-3 | Loss | -244 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
ARIZONA is 1-20 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 0-14 ATS road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (ARIZONA) - playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are 1-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate. Canucks have won their L/4 meetings at home in this series. Play on the Canucks to win |
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04-10-24 | A's v. Rangers -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Left-hander Cody Bradford (2-0, 2.13 ERA), who was co-Most Outstanding Player of the 2018 Big 12 Tournament with Langelier's when both played at Baylor, will be on the mound for Texas on Wednesday. He will be primed to end the Rangers 3 game losing streak which came at the hands of the Houston Astros. I know the As have won 3 straight, but Im betting their over matched in this tilt as as they send Right-hander Ross Stripling (0-2, 3.75 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Rangers OAKLAND is 17-59 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more, off a one run loss versus a division rival are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TEXAS) - off a one run loss versus a division rival are 61-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Rangers to win |
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04-10-24 | Orioles +101 v. Red Sox | 7-5 | Win | 101 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Baltimore offense, smashed out 13 hits during a 7-1 win over Boston on Tuesday in the series opener and now Im betting they roll here again today vs the Red Sox starter Crawford. Note: Red Sox starter CRAWFORD is 3-12 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CRAWFORD is 2-9 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. CORA is 11-23 against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival as the manager of BOSTON MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-09-24 | Kings v. Thunder -2 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
The Thunder looked a little tired during their recent 5 game road trip, losing 3 of those games. However, now home andwith a couple of days of rest in their own beds, Im betting the Thunder, will be prepared to put forward a top tier effort vs a side they dominated the last time they visited here on Feb 11 th, by a 127-113 count. OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-15 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -10.8 . Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-09-24 | Magic -1.5 v. Rockets | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 25 m | Show | |
Houston has lost 5 straight games, while Orlando continues to be a force to be reckoned with as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have.been consistently competitive all season long. ORLANDO is 25-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.80 Units / 8% ROI) HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 32-10 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in a t+5.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-09-24 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 214 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
We all know that the Magic thrive in defensive type games, but Im betting tonight the run and gun Rockets who rank 11th in pace in the league will force them into a faster paced game, which will result in a combined score that eclispes this offering. Houston allows an average of 113 plus points per game on the season, and Im betting the Magic hitting that plateau while the Rockets chase that same output here at home tonight . ORLANDO is 16-6 OVER in road games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored. ORLANDO iL/59 games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. HOUSTONs L/25 games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 239 ppg go on the board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 222.1 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (HOUSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 55-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 29-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 237.4 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-09-24 | Mets v. Braves -173 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Mets upset Atlanta yesterday and now Im betting on. big bounce back effort from the Braves. Mets starter HOUSER is 0-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600. Lopez allowed one run over six innings on April 2, when the Braves lost 3-2 to the Chicago White Sox. He is 1-2 with a 3.77 ERA in six games (two starts) vs. the Mets and according to my early season power rankings matchs up well vs the Mets offensive lineup. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher against opponent off a one run win over a division rival are 36-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves |
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04-09-24 | Rangers -128 v. Islanders | 2-4 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The streaky Isles, are on a 4 game win streak, but non of the victories were easy, as all came by two goals or fewer, and here today agains their rivals the balanced Rangers Im betting things will ramp up to be even more difficult. I know the Islanders are in a fight for their play off lives, but the Rangers will be equally motivated to stop their rivals opportunity for post season play. NY RANGERS are 11-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season.NY RANGERS are 21-6 ATS against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season.NY RANGERS are 20-9 ATS against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NY RANGERS are 7-0 ATS in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season. Rangers have won 2 of their L/3 visits to Long Island. Play on the NY Rangers ML |
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04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
These are two teams playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum.The White Sox, are 1-9 on the season , and have been shut out four times already. Meanwhile,The Guardians won the series opener 4-0 on Monday vs the Pale Hose and are now 8-2 on the season and deserve respect here on a runline bet as they have won their L/4 by 2 runs or more. Note: Cleveland starter Allen (2-0, 2.31 ERA) so far this season and he looked exremely proficient in a 8-0 road victory over the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday,going 6 2/3 shutout innings. He;ll be a hard nut to crack here, vs a Pale Hose offense averaging just 1.8 rpg via a ugly .196 BA. CLEVELAND is 29-9 in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2 runs per game. Play on the Cleveland Indians -1.5 runline |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut UNDER 145.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CONNECTICUT is 9-2 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 141.3 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 12-3 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg going on the score board. CONNECTICUT is 8-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored. UConn has gone under in 9 of their L/10 games, and their defense has held 10 of their 11 opponents under their season offensive average. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 47-27 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Very reasonable number for the UConn Huskies to cover as they are a side that can shut down the Boilermakers big man Edey. The Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to below their season offensive average. CONNECTICUT is 11-0 ATS when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +21.2 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season with the average ppg clicking at +19. Play on UConn to cover |
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04-08-24 | Astros v. Rangers +125 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 loss to the Astros. The Astros have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win. Im betting the Rangers bouncing back here today. MLB team (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rangers to win |
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04-08-24 | Mariners v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Mariners starter CASTILLO in 6 road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 6.6 rpg going on the board. Blue Jays starter BERRIOS is 21-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.BERRIOS is 11-2 UNDER in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. Play on the under |
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04-08-24 | White Sox v. Guardians -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The White Sox come into this game having dropped four straight games to the Royals, and in their current form are fade material. Chicago ,has lost four straight to open the season, is 1-8 overall and 0-7 against the American League Central. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this runline offering. MLB Home teams (CLEVELAND) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Guardians to cover -1.5 |
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04-07-24 | Astros v. Rangers -110 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The Astros offense has looked very inconsistent to start the season, and only managed two runs, in. a lopsided loss to the Rangers yesterday. Im betting things will not change today as the Rangers side averaging 6.5 runs while their pitching is giving up just 3.38 runs per tilt. I know the Astros Blanco had a top tier outing last time out, but Im betting on regression here against a scoring offense that is not easily shut down. BOCHY is 7-0 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. BOCHY is 17-4 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of TEXAS. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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04-07-24 | Heat +2 v. Pacers | 115-117 | Push | 0 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Heat are currently playing a top tier brand of hoops and deserve respect here as underdogs, and according to my projections could easily be slight favs here vs the Pacers . The Heat are a half-game back of the Pacers for the sixth and final playoff spot in the East, and makes for what Im betting will be a hard contested game, that favors the more physical and defensive minded Heat. MIAMI is 17-7 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 46-69 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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04-07-24 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Two explosive offenses go head to head here against two average looking pitchers Sale and Nelson. The first two games of this series went over the Total, and Im betting on more offensive fireworks today. Nelson current form lends credence to a a short outing which is not a good omen for the a Arizona bullpen that is currently overworked. ARIZONA is 28-12 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 17-6 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 25-12 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games in April games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. Play on the over |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut -12 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 86 h 53 m | Show | |
Alabama has allowed scores of 82, 87, and 96 in three of the four NCAA games, and the books expect the Huskies to put up close to 85 plus projected points. Considering the Huskies have held 10 of their L/11 opponents to their below season ppg averages , a blowout is expected . Is this DD offering to much, I say no based on the above stated facts. Crimson Tide lack D, while the Huskies can be merciless on offense when allowed to be, and and no team in the nation can exploit the UConn D, making this a easy lay for me. CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS in all neutral court lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.4 . CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20. Play on Uconn |
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04-06-24 | Rays v. Rockies +1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Rays will send out Tyler Alexander in the starter role on Saturday He is just 11-23 in his career with a 4.44 ERA over 121 games (43 starts) Feltner the Rockies starter also does not give credence to a stellar Rockies pitching performance. However, Im betting home field advantage here will be the difference maker at least from a competitive perspective, which makes taking the runline an advantageous situation. The Rockies took a walk off 10-7 win yesterday and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question. Its early into my wagering campaign, and at this point in the season, insurance via the runline is always a key option until teams get into a more predictable groove. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after allowing 10 runs or more are just 8-24 L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or worse) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 53-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado +1.5 |
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04-06-24 | Predators -104 v. Islanders | 0-2 | Loss | -104 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
isles are still in the play off race , or at least they are on paper, but despite of needing this game badly, are a team that can not be trusted to be consistent or play up their abilities or needs on any given night. Also according to my projections they do matchup well against the Predators. NASHVILLE is 23-12 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 5-0 ATS after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season winning those games by an average of +2.4 gpg. (Preds smashed the Blues last time out 6-3) The New York Islanders have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 games (-14.35 Units / -12% ROI) The Nashville Predators have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 81 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)Nashville is 5-0 SU/L5 vs the Isles dating back three seasons and have won their L/2 visits to Long Island. Play on the Nashville Predators to win on the ML |
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04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue UNDER 146.5 | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 120 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. PURDUE is 8-0 UNDER in road games after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 132.5 ppg scored. NC STATE is 6-0 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 138.9 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (PURDUE) - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 104-59 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate with a combined average of 141.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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04-06-24 | Dodgers v. Cubs +170 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Cubs have won 5 straight including yesterdays 9-7 win vs the Dodgers at home in Wrigley and must not be underestimated in this abilities to pull off the underdog win here today. Considering Chicago has scored 35 runs over its first four home games its not a stretch to believe they can make short work of Yamamoto (0-1, 7.50 ERA) the Dodgers starter. Note: This Dodgers squad faces Chicago left-hander Jordan Wicks (0-0, 4.50 ERA), who will make his first career start against Los Angeles . Dating back to last season his team has won his last 3 starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after allowing 8 runs or more are 9-29 L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 19-35 L/27 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs |
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04-06-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Lakers | 97-116 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Saturday marks the conclusion of the two-game season series between the teams. The Lakers beat Cleveland 121-115 back on Nov. 25.Note:CLEVELAND is 14-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. It must be noted that the key LAL cogs James and Anthony are banged up and less than 100% and if they play will be on limited minutes. As far as seeding goes James has said hes not worried about seeding so its obvious he wont push himself here to over extend his body as the playoffs approach. Advantage to Cleveland getting points. CLEVELAND is 13-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS off a road win this season.Ham is 9-27 ATS off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS. Cleveland to cover |
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04-06-24 | A's v. Tigers -155 | 4-0 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
As starter Blackburn is a quality pitcher, but the Tigers offense according to my early season power rankings matches up well against him and even better vs the Motown pedestrian bullpen.What Im betting here is that the Tigers get serviceable innings out of Maeda their expected starter and quality bull pen group , and also thanks to a sometimes explosive offense find a way to the promised land. OAKLAND is 3-33 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. OAKLAND is 18-44 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (OAKLAND) - struggling AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 3-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to win |
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04-05-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are playing their fourth game in six days and are on tired legs entering this tilt at Phoenix.Phoenix's Big Three of Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal Im betting will be to much for the Wolves to compete with from a offensive standpoint., especially considering the Wolves are without the often injured Towns. These teams could meet in the play offs , and home court advantage will be key. NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. ( Minn beat Toronto 133- 85 last time out- while, the Suns offense exploded for two plus 120 points out wins vs the Pelicans and Cavs. Suns are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Play on Suns to cover |
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04-05-24 | Knicks v. Bulls -1.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Julius Randle's season is over, as he will undergo surgery to repair a torn labrum, and this has to be disheartening to this Knicks team. Another key NYK asset Anunoby is currently out with elbow bursitis.Considering the Knicks are running a short rotation, and accumulating alot of minutes, exhaustion maybe starting to set in as is evident by having lost three straight games previous to beating up on another tired group in the Sacramento Kings. Im betting the Chicago takes advantage of out of gas Knicks group and grabs the victory. NBA Home favorites (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win /cover |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on Dec 20th in Sacramento the Celtics ran over their hosts by a 144-119 count and very much looked like the superior side, and Im betting nothing changes tonight here in Boston, After manhandling a very good Oklahoma City side, last time out, winning by a 135-100 count its obvious to me the Celtics mean business down the stretch drive here entering the play offs and will prepared to send another message tonight. Boston is 5-0 ATS/SU L/5 in this series. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-05-24 | Rays v. Rockies +1.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rockies starter GOMBER is 15-9 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) along with a +0.5 rpg diff in those 24 tilts which qualifies in this RL offering. Note:Gomber got the start in the Rockies' only win this season. Meanwhile TBs starter LITTELL is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.50. Colorado has struggled out of the gate, but now get to come home and play in the friendly confines of Coors Field for the first time this season. Im betting they are competitive today and cover the runline. COLORADO is 9-1 in home games after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), after allowing 9 runs or more are 33-5 L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (COLORADO) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 52-14 L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado +1.5 |
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04-04-24 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4 | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
From a SRS perspective we are getting value with the home dog tonight LA Clippers. The defending NBA champs demand respect, but this line is a little bloated according both my projections and the SRS data. The Clippers rank7th in the NBA in SRS with a 3.38. rating while the Nuggets rank 4th with a 4.83. Taking into consideration home court advantage we have close a 2 point advantage on the line with the home side. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Note: The Clippers won the last meeting here at home 111-102 back on Dec 6th of this season. DENVER is 15-27 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Injury notes: Jokic and Murray are less than 100% , and may or may not play and if they do should see limited/restricted minutes/ action. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 64-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-04-24 | Hawks +11.5 v. Mavs | 95-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks despite of losing their top scoring star Trey Young to injury have been playing inspired hoops of late, and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here tonight vs the Mavericks. The Hawks have won 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here in this current form as DD dogs. Note:Atlanta has played the Mavs tough in their 3 most recent meetings winning two of 3 with the loss coming earlier this season in a 148-143 home defeat. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ATLANTA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 69-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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04-04-24 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 209.5 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
According to my projections the current totals offering is of by close to 2 possession which favors an over bet between the visiting 76ers and their hosts the Heat. Even the slightest edge will end up being a long term profitable approach to betting the NBA . I know both sides run at a slower pace, but in what the linesmakers are expecting a close competitive game eclipsing the total is a viable opportunity as my projections estimate both sides will score +107 points. The 76ers defensive rating registers at 115.2 (12th of 30) Net Rtg: +2.3 (14th of 30) The Heats defensive rating registers at :112.8 (6th of 30) Net Rtg: +1.5 (16th of 30) PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. Spoelstra is 82-59 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 as the coach of MIAMI with a combined average of 216.8 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 60-27 OVER L/5 seasons with the combined average of 233.8 ppg scored over the 87 game sample. Play over |
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04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks OVER 215 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 47-26 OVER L/27 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. |
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04-04-24 | Panthers -145 v. Senators | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Panthers coach Paul Maurice said recently about his teams recent down efforts . " It's going to be a grinder. ... We've got a good chunk of adversity right now, and part of it will be the panic that will set in outside the room." End Quote: Im betting now in panic /desperation mode we see the well conditioned and speedy Panthers in top form tonight vs the Sens. The key will reside behind Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky who is 33-17-3 this season with a 2.46 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage. It must be noted that Florida won the first two meetings of the season series with Ottawa. The Panthers blanked the Senators 5-0 on Nov. 27 and won 3-2 in overtime on Feb. 20. FLORIDA is 10-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 4 days over the last 2 season.FLORIDA is 43-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Panthers to win |
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04-04-24 | Indiana State v. Seton Hall UNDER 160 | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-24 | Canucks -140 v. Coyotes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
The Coyotes have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents and Im betting nothing changes tonight vs the Canucks.Considering the Canucks have won 6 of the last 7 games against the Coyotes, and still motivated as they play for playoff seeding, they very much look like the right side vs a non play off side. ARIZONA is 1-19 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Vancouver to win |
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04-03-24 | Pacers -7 v. Nets | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn just got clobbered by Indiana 133-111 when they met a couple days ago and Im betting on a rinse and repeat performance from the Pacers tonight. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 11-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.9 which qualifies on this ATS offering. INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and hav covered their L/4 meetings on the road in BROOKLYN. Play on Indiana to cover |
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04-03-24 | Red Sox -155 v. A's | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Red Sox expected starter Pivetta owns a 1.50 ERA and 15.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .143 against him this season so far. He will go to the hill against an Athletics offense that is batting .195 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .323 (24th in MLB). Meanwhile, the As expected starter Stripling owns a 7.20 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .318 against him. The opposing Red Sox offense has a .244 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 53 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 28 runs scored. Advantage Red Sox The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 62% so we have an edge their according to projections. The A's have come away with one win in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season and Im betting this will be their 6th failure. The Oakland Athletics have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 157 games (-31.10 Units / -20% ROI) MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game having won 7 straight while their hosts the Golden State Warriors have won 4 straight. With home court advantage and revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to the Mavs Im recommending we back the experienced veteran laden Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 31-13 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI) The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI) NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 4-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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04-02-24 | Red Sox -144 v. A's | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The BoSox look to be in a groove and have won their last two games by a 14-1 combined count including yesterday 9-0 shellacking of Oakland. Im betting on a rinse and repeat W going on the board today. Note: BOSTON is 16-4 against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Also MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. OAKLAND is 10-30 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Boston to win |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall UNDER 145.5 | 67-84 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall Im betting will be ready to make this into a grinding defensive affair. Also after the big offensive output last tine out Im betting on regression from the Pirates. SETON HALL is 21-8 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better . GEORGIA is 10-3 UNDER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. GEORGIA is 10-1 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more this season SETON HALL is 25-13 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - off an upset win as a road underdog are 165-108 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 61% conversion rate . CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 110-71 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-02-24 | Penguins v. Devils -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Pens were defeated 5-2 after the Devils scored four unanswered goals in Pittsburgh on Nov. 16, then flunked out in another 5-2 defeat during a lazy loss at Prudential Center last month. Its obvious to me the Devils matchup well against Pittsburgh and get the nod here again tonight. It must also be noted that the Pens are in a back to back road game situation which has not been a good omen for them in recent seasons. PITTSBURGH is 1-10 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road underdogs against the money line (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals, tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days are just 15-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win |
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04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State UNDER 163.5 | 90-100 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. "Undoubtedly, Coach [Vadal] Peterson has instructed his group to slow down the pace and stress possession at all times vs a run and gun Sycamores side. The Utah game plan of defense first disciplined slow down hoops Im betting wont deviate today as they will have to deal with a raucous environment at the Hinkle Filed House in Indiana this Tuesday night . This gives us an edge towards a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. UTAH is 36-19 UNDER L/54 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 130.0 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (INDIANA ST) - in a tournament game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 107-60 L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. (Scored 85 in a 85-81 vs Cincinnati last time out). Play under |
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04-01-24 | Red Sox -136 v. A's | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
BoSox starter Houck had great control in the spring, issuing just three walks in 15 innings. He went 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five appearances, striking out 16 and gets the nod today according to my matchup projections vs the Oakland As. Oakland had started their season losing 3 straight games to the Cleveland Guardians by a total score of 26-7 , but bounced back last time out with a walk of walk to grab a win. Im now betting on immediate regression vs what is a superior side. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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04-01-24 | Oilers v. Blues +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
These teams split their first two games this season, with each team winning at home. St. Louis won 6-3 on Feb. 15 behind Jordan Binnington's 35 saves, and Edmonton pulled out a 3-2 overtime victory on Feb. 28, with Stuart Skinner stopping 32 shots. Now with play off elimination nearing the Blues will be pulling out the stops here to try to pull off the upset vs a top tier side they seem to matchup well against. NHL Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more are 20-11 L/27 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +0.4 which qualifies on this ATS offering . Play on the Blues +1.5 puckline |
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04-01-24 | Blue Jays v. Astros UNDER 9 | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
. The Astros stranded 34 baserunners and finished 8-for-41 with runners in scoring position in their season opening four game sweep at the hands of the Yankees and Im betting based on my projections they continue to have issues today vs the Jays pitching staff. HOUSTON is 23-9 UNDER in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. TORONTO is 27-13 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined averag of 7.7 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TORONTO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams who had good records (54% to 62%) from last season are 29-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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04-01-24 | Hawks v. Bulls -2 | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
***The Bulls are in ninth place vs the Hawks and are 10th in the Eastern Conference, and the two l will probably play in the opener of the play-in tournament. However, the No. 9 team will host the game, in which the loser is eliminated making this a important game for both sides. Home court is huge here according to my projections as neutral court is a essentially a pickem according to SRS numbers. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Atlanta had a 4 game win streak end on Saturday vs the Bucks, and in the past have not been a great bounce back team, especially after a home game as is evident by the following trends: Atlanta is 11-28 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season and 11-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. Also ATLANTA is just 3-11 ATS against Central division opponents this season and considering the Bulls current form that has seen them win 2 of their L/3 against top tier opponents Indiana and Minnesota, Im betting home side is in a viable enough groove to grab the victroy here as short home favs. Chicago is 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 at home in this series. Play on Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-31-24 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
After winning the first two games of this series by 2 runs or more , the Dodgers flunked out last night as the Cardinals beat Dodgers 6-5 in 10 innings after Betts homered in the ninth. That was nice dramatic win for the Cards, but now in a emotional let down state vs a redemption minded side playing at home on national TV, Im betting for the Dodgers to make a statement in a bounce back situation. Note: Dating back to last season The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 82 of their last 144 games (+22.85 Units / 13% ROI) LA DODGERS are 47-19 SU after a loss over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.9 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on the LA Dodgers to win -1.5 runline |
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03-31-24 | Cavs +5 v. Nuggets | 101-130 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Nuggets look exhausted lately, as was obvious in recent losses to Minnesota and Phoenix and will probably rest Murray tonight in this tilt vs the Cavs as the play offs approach. There is definite value here taking the Cavaliers in this spot play situation. CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season. Play on |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue and Tennessee previously squared off in the early part of the season as part of the Maui Invitational. The Boilermakers managed to sneak away with a 71-67 victory and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat of that final here today. TENNESSEE is 9-20 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Purdue to PURDUE is 11-3 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8. Purdue to cover |
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03-31-24 | Twins -115 v. Royals | 0-11 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
The Royals' offense is not visible yet scoring just one run in each of their first two games. Kansas City has just 10 total hits so far this season and im betting their struggles continue today vs the Twins who matchup well vs the Royals starter Singer who in two starts against the Twins last season, allowed 10 runs in 7 2/3 innings. KANSAS CITY is 9-23 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 3-18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Twins to win |
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03-30-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Stroman/Brown probable pitching matchup projects a strong pitcher advantage vs opposing offensive production . Same holds true with active bullpen probables Edge to the under NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. NY YANKEE L/8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES L/102 night games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined aerage of 8 rpg scored. . MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NYY/HOUSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 63-24 UNDER with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. Play to the under |
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03-30-24 | Islanders v. Lightning -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Islanders kept their play off hopes alive, last time out with a big win vs Florida. But in my opinion it was more of a Panthers letdown rather than the Islanders abilities. In their usual inconsistent fashion Im now betting that the Islanders cant get the job done tonight and that TB get the W. Note: The Bolts beat the Islanders on Long Island 4-2 back in late Feb. NY ISLANDERS are 0-6 ATS in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more this season. TAMPA BAY is 3-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS in Tampa Bay over the last 3 seasons and get the nod again. The last two games saw the Lightning out-score the Isles by a 11-1 count. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Connecticut has held 9 of their L/10 opponents to their season low point production average and Im betting nothing changes today. Illinois shoots strong downtown trey action, and defends the trey well, and so does UConn. What Im betting here is that alot of this game is played on the inside, and will be brutally physical and also lower scoring than the linesmkaers are expecting. CONNECTICUT is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 139.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT in 9 games when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons have held their opponents to an average of 57.4 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win as an underdog are 91-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CONNECTICUT) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80%or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 190-126 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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03-30-24 | Celtics v. Pelicans +6.5 | 104-92 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Two straight ugly efforts against the Atlanta Hawks and now the Celtics try to avoid their first three-game losing streak of 2023-24 when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Im betting even if the Bean-town crew get the W, that their tired legs now playing their their 5th straight road game wont easily get what they want and that they fail to cover vs a undervalued Pelicans side playing at home. Its obvious to me that the Celtics are having some regressionary algorithmic down time after a strong run that saw them win 9 straight games. Pelicans are 7-0 ATS L7 vs .700 or better opposition.NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Play on Pelicans to cover |
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03-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The first two games of this series saw 10 runs per games scored (both tilts) and Im projecting on the magic of 3 to hit for us today, based on the pitcher/bullpen/batting lineup projections. TAMPA BAY is 16-5 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-7 OVER (+13.0 Units) in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. MLB team (TORONTO) - off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival, first 12 games of the season, playoff team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 41-13 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play over |
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03-30-24 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 4-13 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Los Angeles, their first three pitchers gave up a combined nine earned runs in the Thursday game but my projections estimate a much better all around effort here today from the pitching staff (starter/bullpen). Meanwhile, on offense the Angels could only squeeze out couple of hits and three walks, and my early season projections estimate more production problems against the Orioles starters/bullpen. Edge to the under. BALTIMORE is 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB eam (BALTIMORE) - good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game, after scoring 9 runs or more are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversin rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in 7.5 rpg. Play under |
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03-29-24 | Duke +4.5 v. Houston | 54-51 | Win | 100 | 101 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Its interesting to note that Duke is 21-0 when forcing teams to hit fewer than 46% from the floor. Houston only hits 43.4% of its shots this season, and after their huge output last time out, scoring 100 points to beat Texas A&M while shooting 51.8% from the floor Im expecting on regression. I know that Houstons top tier D, will be formidable but Duke and can also play a strong brand of D .In a game I have pegged at close to a pickem Im betting we have great value with the Blue Devils. HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season. Play on Duke to cover |
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03-29-24 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Rodon/Javier expected starters- my projections estimate we have value with an under wager between two stop tier sides. NY YANKEES are 49-30 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 24-8 UNDER when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. BOONE is 36-22 UNDER ( as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (/HOUSTON/NY YANKEES) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 61-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play under |
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03-29-24 | Clippers v. Magic +2 | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Magic have uncharacteristically lost two straight games at home (24-11 SU/ATS as hosts) , but Im betting on them having a bounce back effort today vs the visiting Clippers who are off a hard fought 108-107 win vs the Sixers last time out March 27th, in what was their 4th straight time failing to cover and are just 11-12 with a -2.6 net rating since early Feb. With this also being the Clippers 3rd straight road game tired legs could make them vulnerable to the leagues best home team ATS with a +6.9 home net rating which ranks them seventh in the NBA. LA CLIPPERS are 6-16 ATS off a road win this season.LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season Orlando 10-1 ATS on Fridays vs non-conference opposition. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State owns a staunch D, but if they had one weakness its their 3 point defense. Illinois is a top tier downtown stopping group, and tonight Im betting that will be the difference maker between two teams that sink 35% plus of their treys. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season. ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out vs Duquesne. |
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03-28-24 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mariners | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting we have some runline value with this game based on my projections. Note:BELLO is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE in his career with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636. SERVAIS is 55-58 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 as the manager of SEATTLE with a just a 0.2 rpg diff advantage. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (BOSTON) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on boston +1.5 runline |
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03-28-24 | Rangers v. Avalanche -147 | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Colorado had a 9 game win streak end last time out vs Montreal in a 2-1 loss thanks to some stellar Habs goaltending. I know the Rangers are also playing well, but redemption Im betting is at hand for the Avs tonight, as they come out looking for revenge for a 2-1 loss suffered art MSG back in Feb. COLORADO is 18-3 ATS in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.COLORADO is 10-0 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.COLORADO is 21-4 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season Play on Avalanche ML |
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03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +2.5 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
Saints were smashed by the Bucks earlier this season 141-117 and now have payback on their agenda. After playing a hard fought game the day before yesterday vs the Lakers in a OT loss the Bucks will be vulnerable to a letdown performance vs a very motivated and talented group.Note: Bucks are 0-5 ATS away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opposition. NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-33 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on New Orleans |
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03-28-24 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 225.5 | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive foireworsk of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total. BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |