All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Play UNDER 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Play UNDER 

All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart 

Play UNDER 

Oregon calling card is based on playing sound defensive ball, and so far after 4 games have allowed an average of 61.5 ppg on the season , and in their two home games this season have allowed 57 and 47 points respectively (52 ppg). More of the same sound transitional  hoops will be on tonights agenda is a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the Total. 

OREGON is 14-1 UNDER in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 134.2 ppg going on the board.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Oregon /WI-GREEN BAY) - good free throw shooting team from last season - made 72% or more of their free throws, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 97-55 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

Orlando enters this game with a hot hand from the field converting at more than 50% with their FGs in their L/3 games, but in the past this has been a signal for downturn in offensive efficiency and production as is evident by the following trend: ORLANDO is 13-3 UNDER in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots with a combined average of 193 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Toronto enters this game off a fine defensive performance last time out, allowing the Bulls just 83 points, as they paid alot of attention to their stopping abilities  in transition .  That stronger defensive performance stemmed from criticism they received after suffering a previous loss to the Celtics, that saw some in the media call them soft defensively  and portray them as reverting back to their old ways under former HC Casey. The truth is the Raptors are a solid defensive team  ranking 6th in the league in efficiency, and With that said, Im expecting more of the same stopping action from the Raptors in the spot vs a Magic team ranked 21st in offense in the league behind a 21 st ranked pace..  

TORONTO is 17-4 UNDER  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board. ORLANDO is 24-12 UNDER  versus good passing teams, averaging 23  or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg getting scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (TORONTO) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

NC State averaging 95.5 ppg  is going to explode offensively here tonight and St.Peters is going to have to chase them, or completely be embarrassed. This will result in a combined  score that eclipses this weak total. ST PETERS is 17-6 ATS L/23 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 haveseen a combined average of 149.2. ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections ( Sides/Totals) are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play UNDER

My projections set this total at closer to 141 thus giving us value the this number to the under.

WASHINGTON ST is 20-6 UNDER  after playing a game as a road favorite with a. combined average of 127.6 ppg scored. 

CAL POLY-SLO L/10 games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams against the total (CAL POLY-SLO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less  turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 37-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  

CAYMAN ISLANDS CLASSIC - Round 1 - John Gray Gymnasium - Cayman Islands

Georgia is a good two way team, but Defence remains their calling card. Illinois States HC Muller, i expect will look to keep his team competitive with a methodical approach which Im betting helps this score stay on the low side of the Total.. 

Muller is 9-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of ILLINOIS ST with a combined average of 122.2 ppg scored. 

ILLINOIS ST is 12-2 UNDER  versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 140.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 18-4 UNDER after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (GEORGIA) - poor ball handling team - committing  18 or more turnovers/game, in November games are 127-73 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 148-88 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 The Kennesaw State Owls enter this game against Eastern Kentucky  averaging just  50 points on 35 percent shooting and allowing 62.5 points on 42.8 percent shooting and as a result have been manhandled in their 4 games out of the gate this season.  Their offensive production is a huge issue. Im betting their offensive efficiency  as well as a need to be methodical and defensive minded will be key in this tilt staying under the total. 

Play UNDER 

GULF COAST SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Germain Arena - Estero, FL

Both these teams have seem some fairy high scoring games in the early part of their non confernce schedule, but with both on almost a weeks rest I expect their to be some rust here and for their flow to not be conducive to a inefficient offensive output, which makes this a solid wagering investment option for UNDER bettors in this spot play.  

TULANE is 9-2 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (TULANE) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 390-280 UNDER L/21 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (S DAKOTA ST) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 221-130 UNDER  L/21  seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

VANCOUVER SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Vancouver Convention Centre - Vancouver, CAN

These quality  teams have the ability to play a strong brand of defensive ball that based on taking care of the ball in transition. With that said, I expect a total score that remains on the low side of the Total. 

TEXAS A&M is 171-129 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record L/21 seasons with a combined average score of 137.1 ppg scored.

Kennedy is 20-5 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of TEXAS A&M with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. 

Pitino is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average score of 137 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13 or more /game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play UNDER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play UNDER

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island

My own projections estimate this combined score to eclipse the 160 point plateau. 

Play OVER 

JOHNNY BACH CLASSIC - Round 2 - Rose Hill Gym - New York, NY

This line Total has been pushed to nose bleed levels now making an under wager a viable investment opportunity. 

COLUMBIA is 12-3L/15  UNDER in road games in all tournament games with a combined average of 126.8 ppg going on the board. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/ or more game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLUMBIA) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 58-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Drakes D, was exposed to be very weak last time out by the Colorado Buffs as they allowed 101 points in a loss. Today I expect Texas State a  team that is 2-0 on the season and off scoring 97 points last time out  to also do some damage.  Drake  will Im betting reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own , in the one facet of their game that looks to be decent and that is their offence.  DRAKE is 6-0 OVER after allowing 90 points or more over the last 3 season with the average combined score clicking in at 160 ppg.DRAKE is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of with a combined average of 150.3 ppg going on the board.TEXAS ST is 16-4 OVER  in road games off a home win with a combined average of 142.4 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

Both these teams are struggling to score. With Kenn State averging just 62.3 ppg and Old Dominion averaging 55.2 ppg. Both are playing methodical styles of basketball with their defences being their strong points. Kenn State allows an average og 60.5 ppg while Old Dominion allows 61.3 ppg. 

OLD DOMINION is 19-5 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . 

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (/KENN ST/OLD DOMINION) - in a game involving two struggling  offensive teams (63 or less PPG)  are 100-52 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

HALL OF FAME TIP OFF - Round 1 - Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT
For No. 18 Michigan, it could be very easy to have a letdown on Saturday given the Wolverines are going from playing the defending national champions to a winless team. Which will Im betting make for a much slower paced game than the linesmakers expect.

Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 69-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 


Play UNDER

The Little Rock Trojans are coached by former NBA veteran Darrell Walker. Little Rock, like ranked  Nevada, are built  to push the ball in an up-tempo pace. The Trojans are averaging 92 points in their two wins and are no pushovers . Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the Total. 

Musselman is 9-1 OVER in home games off a home win by 10 points or more as the coach of NEVADA. with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors are front runners for a Eastern Conference championship, and when these two hard nosed competitors meet this evening, Im expecting a very physical affair  that will base alot of action on each team focusing on  transitional defence. The Raptors rank 9th in defensive efficiency while the Celtics rank 1st in Defensive efficiency.  Im betting on  a post season type affair that will not be very free flowing and a end result of a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total.

TORONTO is 16-5 UNDER in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored.  

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 4-0 UNDER this season and  36-14 UNDER  L/22 seasons for  a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

JAMAICA CLASSIC - Round 1 - Montego Bay Convention Centre - Jamaica

My projections based on both teas systems, suggests a total closer to 141. Thus giving us value on what my numbers say is a bloated number, based on only recent performance data.

GEORGETOWN is 17-6 UNDER  as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more re 29-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER

  BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island

This steamed up to 155 after the opening and is now inflated enough for me to recommend we  make a under wager here. Not sure where all the initial action came from but it was bolstered by public money and very little if any sharp money. Perceptions lead to irrational exuberance, as both these teams have come gang busters with offensive explosions in their games, but both actually key their successes and failures on playing good D, and thats what Im expecting here today.

GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 UNDER  in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored.FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 UNDER  off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. 

CBB  teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 41-18 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

My own projections based on system vs systems analysis, suggests this total should be closer to 131. Thus giving us value on this line to the under. UC Irvine is a defence first team that has allowed 64.7 ppg so this season in 3 tilts. Meanwhile, Santa Clara scored 64 points in their lone game, vs Grand Prairie and should struggle again vs this D. Im betting on a methodical approach here from Santa Clara, in an effort to stay competitive.  This will result in a low scoring affair.

UC-IRVINE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored. SANTA CLARA in their L/8 home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 131.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

My projections estimate that BYU should score in the upper 70s while Oral Roberts should put in the low sixties on the board. Projected 76-to 79 points for BYU 61-64 for Oral Roberts. We have value here on this number as the combined score should project at or above 148.

  ORAL ROBERTS is 11-2 OVER  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored.ORAL ROBERTS is 14-4 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.BYU L/6 after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 3 seasons have seen the followup see a combined score of 153.2 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets will bang heads tonight in what promises to be a physical affair. The Warriors will be without the often injured Step Curry but are expected to  have Draymond Green back in the lineup  but may not play a great deal becasue of a toe issue, which should slow their offensive production and see them more concentrated on sound defensive play. The Warriors as per news reports and obvious on court confrontations among themselves , are showing us what its like when this many big egos are put into the same dressing room. But when the game starts their still a team to contend with and Im betting come out here and play hard as a team. Meanwhile, the Rockets thanks to keeping pretty boy Carmelo Anthony on the sidelines , are a more rugged team , behind a under rated defense continues to improve as is evident by a 6th overall ppg defesnive ranking and a methodical calculated pace that is 29th in the league. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 73-31 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Portland has gone under the total in 7 of their L/8 games thanks to playing a top tier brand of defence, that has seen them hold 4 different opponents to 93 points or less. The Blazers own the leagues 5th best D ,both in points allowed  106.2 and efficiency 105.9 and will primed to grind the free wheeling Lakers down in this spot and not allow them flow. This Im betting takes a more than enough points off this totals number to seen this score stay on the low side of the digits. Note: Lakers games have had some bloated Totals attached to them which has resulted in 7 of their L/8 games and and 5 in row failing to eclipse the total . The L/7 meetings here in LA between these two teams have stayed under the total.

Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0-1 in Lakers last 5 home games.Under is 6-0-1 in Lakers last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Lakers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2-1 in Lakers last 8 Wednesday games.

 Portland is 13-4 UNDER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205.8 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 49-20 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Duke scored 118 points in their opener vs Kentucky,  and 97 points vs Army in their last game at home,, and it does not matter what E.Michigan does to slow this game down Duke will score at will and run and gun the visitors into the ground behind a  pro style offence and could come close to eclipsing this total all by themselves.

DUKE is 11-0 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 165.6 ppg scored.DUKE is 8-0 OVER ( off a home win scoring 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons eith a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

UL Monroe is really out classed here by Michigan State , and despite of having some decent cogs in the backcourt, just ant hang with this type of team and will struggle to put points up on the board. With that said, I expect them to try to slow this game down to crawl in order to compete, as they did in their game against the  Texas Longhorns losing by 65-55 count. It must be noted that MSU HC Izzo is troubled that his team is averaging 17 turnovers, leading to 18.5 points per game off them. The first two opponents have shot 45.0 percent overall and 42.9 percent on 3-point tries and Im betting he has his team trying to make sure their defensive issues are worked on vs a lower tier team.LA-MONROE is 18-8 UNDER   as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

Izzo is 13-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of MICHIGAN ST with a combined average of 132.1 ppg scored.

 on the UNDER 

Drake allowed just 52 points in its opener, and will not be easily scored upon hereby a methodical and very young Colorado offence that is playing their first game of the season. Fluidity could be a problem for the Buffs, but their D, should be well prepared to be physical with a Drake team that will run and gun if allowed. 

DRAKE is 11-2 UNDER L/13  as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points  with a combined average score of 127.2 ppg scored. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER  as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 142 ppg scored.

Play on UNDER 

My own projections estimate we have value on this total right to the 147.5 range. Coastal Carolina has averaged 88 ppg in offence in their first two games, while Tulane looked weak on defence last time out, in their only game allowing 80 points. Im betting on More of the same action here , as Coastal lights up the board vs a unorganized defensive group, and Tulanes response  will be to respond or be blown off the court, which will in turn help this game eclipse the Total. 

COASTAL CAROLINA is 14-4 OVER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 150 ppg going on the scoreboard.TULANE is 24-10 OVER  after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 149 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

The Clippers' own a  defensive-minded backcourt buoyed by  Patrick Beverley and Avery Bradley. This duo and other parts of this team were put together, in part, to  deal with explosive backcourts like the one from the they will play tonight. However, that talented  backcourt of the Warriors has some injuries, and could possibly be without Curry tonight . Tonight Im betting , that the Clippers HC Head coach Doc Rivers  will use two full rotations of players, to be fresh enough to be physical and control the Warriors speed. This should mute some flow from this game, and thus scratch a few points off the expected combined score, in a game Im betting that will result in a under wager cashing for us in this spot. 

LA CLIPPERS are 117-85 UNDER  in home games after a non-conference game with the combined average score of 197.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 80-49 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 198.1 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 38-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216 ppg going n the score board. 

Play UNDER 

These are two teams and coaches  that base their successes and failures on playing top tier defence. 

The Utes have three 7-footers on their roster (Novak Topalovic, Jayce Johnson and Brandon Morley). They rank 19th in the nation in average height (78.4 inches). They use their height well within this system of tough inside play and good rebounding. Minnesota's  physcial Big 10 group will reciprocate with some strong physical action of their own in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. 

UTAH is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.4 ppg scored. Krystkowiak is 35-22 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Kansas States HC Webers system and calling card has always been based on playing a solid brand of defensive ball. But today against a lower tier non conference team ( Denver), I expect the Wildcats to be a little more free wheeling, and for this total to be eclipsed. 

DENVER is 18-8 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.9 ppg .DENVER is 12-3 OVER   in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg. 

Play OVER 

The Raptors can run and gun behind an explosive offense , but their defence is under rated and currently ranked 8th in DEF Rating efficiency (106.7 ppg)  behind the 10th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans, in the early part of this season were seen as a all out one attacking team, that trys to outscore their opponents on the run. But their last two wins have been predicated by playing top tier brand of defence, that kept those opponents at 99 points or less. Im betting the success of those above mentioned outings and victories will see Gentrys troops alot more focused on playing top tier defence in a unfriendly road environment against a dangerous opponent. Look for an expect a more muted total combined score than the linesmakers number might suggest.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a 216combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board.

Play on the UNDER 

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies turned to their defense to even their record 1-1 with a 67-36 win versus Jackson State and that will be their key in this game vs Niagara. 

Schmidt is 34-17 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ST BONAVENTURE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Milwaukee comes at their opponents with a run and gun take no prisoners attitude, and essentially force any all opponents to partake with some offensive fireworks of their own this  or be blown off the court. The Bucks rank 4th in pace and 2nd in offence (121 .7 ppg) in the league a even though the Nuggets operate at a slower pace, Im betting they will have to up their speed or like I said get crushed by a high flying group. The Nuggets are on a couple days rest so they will be ready . One last thing, I know the thin air of Denver, can take its toll on visiting squads, but the Bucks are one of the leagues best conditioned teams and should have no problems with energy despite of playing last night. 

The L/2 meetings (lat season) have seem combined scores of 253 and 257 poinss going on the board. 

DENVER is 47-24 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER 

This is a Kings team that will be playing the second night of a home back-to-back games, and Im expecting them to be more tempered in their approach tonight on tired legs. The Kings last 4 home games have stayed under the Total, and it must be noted that SACRAMENTO is 16-4 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams like the Lakers - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.8 ppg on the scoreboard. I know the Lakers on a couple days rest should be fresh, and ready to run but with addition of veteran Tyson Chandler into the Lakers lineup I expect the way the Lakers play will be more balanced with a greater respect and attention placed on playing good defence. The Lakers early season defensive inefficiencies and their explosive offensive weapons have seen recent games see high totals attached to their tilts, and as a result these over compensations have seen 4 straight games stay under the total, and tonight Im betting this Total is also to high. 

SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER  after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons and overall is 24-9 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 season with the combined average score of the home games clicking in at 205.8 ppg. SACRAMENTO in their L/8 home games after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games have seen a combined average score of 199.2 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SACRAMENTO) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Sixers played an intense game against Charlotte last night, winning 133-132 in OT and will now be playing their 5th game since Nov 3.  Needless to say the Sixers should be on tired legs and in not way or shape ready to run here tonight and will have to rely to an extent on  their defence to be competitive which is ranked 10th in the league in efficiency   Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are back to being a team that was feared prior to last season, behind a  top tier D , as is evident by having held 5 diff opponents under 97 points and rank No.1 in the league in points allowed   (100.6 ) and 30th in pace . Their  29th  ranked offense tells a story of a methodical side, that bases it successes and failures on defence and tonight Im betting nothing changes. 

MEMPHIS is 10-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205.6 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA in their L/40 in road games off a close home win by 3 points or less have seen a combined average score of 195.8 ppg scored. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MEMPHIS/PHILADELPHIA ) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in November games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 204.3 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER 

Syracuse D, looked tremendous in their opener vs E.Washington holding their opposition to just 34 points in methodical fashion. A repeat looks to be on todays agenda vs a Morehead State team on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 days. 

SYRACUSE is 8-1 UNDER  as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of  with a combined average of 123.3 ppg going on the board. 

Play UNDER

 Texas and Cal Irvine both put up alot of points in their first games, with Texas winning 93-82 vs Savannah State, and Cal Irvincd smasing Idaho 86-68. But from a matchup analysis trends sheet I use based on the type of systems both teams use, Im expecting a lower scoring affair here tonight. 

HC Kennedy in his L/18 games after scoring 85 points or more as the coach of TEXAS A&M has sen a combined average score of 139.2 ppg scored. HC Turner in 250 games in all lined games as the coach of UC-IRVINE has seen a combined average score of 136.6 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Portland can run and gun with the best of teams, but they can also be very tough to deal with defensively, as is evident by  having  held 3 of their L/6 opponents to 93 points or less. The teams they limited were Indiana ( 93) Houston (85) and Minnesota (81). Against this type of free wheeling Clippers team, Im betting behind their 5th best ppg D, and a pace that ranks 17th in the league they force the visitor to adapt to their pace, which will take the Clippers flow away and as result will effect the total offensive combined output of this affair. 

Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 overall.Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

PORTLAND is 21-10 UNDER  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with at the average combined score clicking in at 205.8 ppg. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 36-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Linesmakers out of the gate like to over compensate on games involving Evansville, because of their methodical system. From a matchup analysis system vs system player vs player power ranking totals system I use this Total is beatable to the over. My projections place this game against Illinois in the 152 range giving us value. 

EVANSVILLE is 15-5 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 and is 27-10 OVER  in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997/

Play OVER 

This selection is based on a score projection algorithm trend  that I have been using for close to a decade. It has converted at 62% clip over 722 game selection sample. 

GEORGE WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER  in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Play on the OVER 

Chicago enters this road game  vs New Orleans banged up with Lauri Markkanen (elbow), Kris Dunn (knee), Bobby Portis (knee) and Denzel Valentine (ankle) all expected to miss Wednesday's game which should slow them offensively tonight in the Bayou. Note: Chicago ranks 22nd in offence in the league, and 25th in pace. Meanwhile, New Orleans is playing their first home game since embarking on a gruelling 5 game road trip against some explosive opponents that have seen a lot of  offense  ( Denver, San Antonio, Portland, Godlen St. Oklahoma City). Still recuperating and getting acclimated to playing at home again Im betting they won't be fresh enough to want to run and gun with wreck-less abandon and will be also out to make sure their defensive haemorrhaging stops which has them ranked last in the league ppg allowed. My projections estimate a projected combined score in the range of 224 which gives us value on this number. Ive also taken into consideration rule changes which have added to offensive outputs , so our cushion according to those estimations give us an edge to the UNDER. 

HC Gentry Pelicans   in their L/21  home games when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%)  have seen a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. Gentry L/19   in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS has seen he and his opponents coming to average 222.7 ppg in offensives output. 

CHICAGO in its L/24 games  as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 26-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

LATE STEAM- My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 150+ giving us value on the offered number. Im estimating that W.Carolina scores in the low to mid 60s on offence. Note:W CAROLINA is 8-0 OVER in road games when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 153.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

 These teams can be explosive offensively but the lines-makers are in my humble opinion over estimating total output . I base my own assumptions/projections on my power ranking systems, and head to head systems matchup analysis. They point to a total closer to 224 , which gives us value to the under on this current number. Yes, their have been some higher scoring variables because of some rule changes  in the NBA this season but I have calculated that into those above mentioned projections. 

PORTLAND is 20-9 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg going on the board.MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games after after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 224.3 ppg go on the board. 

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

NBA team (PORTLAND/MILWAUKEE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 48-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with the average combined score clicking in at 189.6 ppg. 

Play on the UNDER 

Im expecting a physical game between these to teams tonight and a score that remains on the low side of the number,

Izzo is 24-14 UNDER  as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of MICHIGAN ST.Self is 21-11 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games in November games as the coach of KANSAS.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

 The Wizards enter this game ranked last in the league in points allowed (129.3)  and were booed off the floor this past Friday night by their fans after a ugly 134-111 effort.  I  now expect the Wizards a side that has a 25th ranked off Ranking (106.1) to bring some energy to this tilt and to be more attentive and methodical in transition which Im betting takes some points off what is expected by the lines makers from the Wizards and from both teams. Note: Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Meanwhile, the Knicks behind a young roster have settled down after a slow start and are playing more disciplined system, that has them ranked 9th in points allowed, behind a pace that is ranked 24th in the league (98.7) and a offence that is ranked 23rd in the league (107.3 ppg). What Im betting on happening here is for the Knicks to continue their current form, and for Washington to try to be more stout defensively, which will result in a score that does not eclipse this Total.

Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Under is 4-0-1 in Wizards last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NEW YORK is 45-29 UNDER  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 209.8 ppg.

WASHINGTON's L/50 games  against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average score of 218.2 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 23-3 UNDER 22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.  

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (76-79%) are 62-28 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Indiana is  a defence first team enters this game against Boston with the 3rd ranked points per game allowed D at 102.9ppg, while their offensive output is ranked at 22nd in the league (108.6 ppg) , Their pace is ranked 29 out of 30 teams (96.4). Meanwhile, the Cletics a team becomign well know for their defensive proficiencies, is ranked first in points allowed (99.5 ppg) and first in defensive rating (99.2) and 17th in pace (100.3) and just 28th in offensive output averaging (104.2 ppg). Today I expect two teams that key their defensive abilities o their successes and failures to continue on this course and for this contest to stay on the low side of the Total. 

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), in November games are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 203 ppg.

Play UNDER 

The NBA season started with a lot off fast paced games as the exuberance of a new season on fresh legs made for for some high scoring affairs. Now with a few games under them, I expect the league as a whole to start to centre some thought on playing a more energy saving type of hoops.

Focusing on these two teams  the Charlotte Hornets and the Toronto Raptors  in particular it must be noted that they have now played 3 games in less in 5 days so running and gunning at full tilt for long stretches may not be sensible option  tonight if the coaches of these teams hope to keep their troops fresh during what can be a gruelling extended schedule. Also knowing the Raptors current mind set about playing a more disciplined defensive style this season behind the leagues top two way forward Kawhi Leonard, it makes a lot of sense that they will be out to slow down a Hornets team that looks to be in an offensive groove at the moment, with a more methodical approach. 

My own projections for this game suggest a maximum combined total of 220 points being scored, and with a 6 point edge according to my own numbers I feel like we have enough value to take the under here.  Also from an extensive data base of league wide trends no average combined total from a 2000 games sample size went above my 220 point projections. While new  data can change in the flash of an eye and nothing is a sure bet, I still feel we have an edge on this slightly bloated Total. Its all about slight edges in our battle with the books and their astute line making abilities.

From the six combined games these teams have played only one has seen more than 225 points scored, and that was the Raptors 117-113 win vs Washington. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 105 points or more are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind with a combined average of 211.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

Looking at last years matchups in this series , The Kings beat the Pelicans, 116-109 in overtime and 114-101, in New Orleans while the Pelicans prevailed in both games in Sacramento, 114-106 and 114-101. Im expecting a similar type combed score here tonight. I know both teams put up a boatload full of points in wide open tilts last time out, but a more muted effort after exerting that much energy  and converting at such a high level is a above average probability occurrence in this spot. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, team that had a winning record last season are 27-6  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking at 204 ppg. Also From an extensive data base of more than 2000 games played in the invoicing the Pelicans and other NBA teams the average of tonights  score in similar multiple trends situations is in range between 217 and 224 ppg. So despite of their being no obvious guarantees their still is evidence of this number being slightly bloated thus giving us value.

Play UNDER 

The public with a little bit of irrational exuberance  has hit this game hard to go over on the opening Total. However, I myself am expecting  a more constrained defensive effort from both teams as the game progresses despite of this being the opening game of the season on prime time tv. Both teams were ranked top 5 in overall efficiency and overall defensive stats last season, and both were proficient in limiting FG to under 50%. 

Looking at the Boston Celtics they are now introducing two new cogs into their lineup and it may slow them to an extent as Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward come back from injuries. Im betting both despite of being big time scorers  take time to  acclimated to the speed of the game  after being off for extended periods of time and it  will take time before they become more cohesive and  jell with their team-mates. Add to that the Sixers usually play at a much faster pace, so the Celtics who had a 102.9 defensive rating at home last season, will primed to slow these guys down as much as possible, in order to throw them out of rhythm and control the pace to their liking. Last years play off experience Im betting pays off here this evening. 

BOSTON L/62 games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 201.3 ppg go on the board. 

These teams went under in 3 of 4 meetings last season. The one that did go over was on neutral court in London England. 

Play UNDER 

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - Golden St. leads 1-0

Both sides actually played decent defense in game 1 in an intense affair, where LeBron James stood tall as the Cavaliers top scorer and two way threat. The Cavs played well and still lost, so now I'm expecting the Cavs to take a no prisoners nothing to lose attitude and go balls to the walls in an all out  attack mode here ere in game 2 .  I'm also  betting defense takes a  back seat and instead an all out offensive explosion based on a fast transitional game to be the this agenda. Note: Cleveland  has gone OVER 6 straight times as a underdog off a game as a pup where  Lebron James was the high scorer, eclipsing the number by an average of 18 ppg with the total combined score clicking at 239+ ppg. Meanwhile, the Warriors  have gone over 8 straight times by more than 14 ppg with more than one day of rest off a 10 plus point victory  as   home chalk when facing a team they have beaten at least two straight times.

CLEVELAND is 30-17 OVER   off a road loss over the last couple of  seasons with a combined average score of 221 ppg getting scored.CLEVELAND is 17-8 OVER   after allowing 115 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 60-24 OVER  L/21 years for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 26-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1


This series very much favors the Golden State Warriors. The Cavs have shown a lot of weaknesses in these play offs, and the Warriors with a championship now clearly in sight will come at the Cavaliers with a take no prisoners attitude . The biggest weakness for the Cavaliers has been their defense this season, and I'm expecting we see the Dubs No.1 ranked offense to really show us how explosive they are here tonight. Note: Cleveland is ranked 29th in the NBA Defensive effecnicy rating ( 111.9) .

The Cavaliers no. 5 ranked offense (110.9 ppg) behind LeBron James will have no choice but to answer back or be blown off the court in humiliating fashion, which I'm betting will contribute to this combined score easily eclipsing this total.

Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 NBA Championship games.Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 NBA Championship games.

The Cavs have gone over 8 straight times as a 7+ point dog with two-plus days rest when facing a side that beat them two straight times, going over by an average of more than 15 ppg. The Warriors have gone OVER in 6 straight times by an average of 16.5 ppg with more than one day of rest off a road victory in a road game facing an opponent averaging fewer than four blocks per game.

CLEVELAND is 31-14 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220+ ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATEs L/69 home games as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points have seen a combined average score of 222.7 ppg scored. Five of the L/6 times these teams have met have seen this Totals number eclipsed.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND/GOLDEN STATE ) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series 28--8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

Game 7 - Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets (Tied 3-3)

Since this series started I have stated that it would be won by the best defense, and not the explosive offenses these teams have exhibited all season long. For the most part both teams have done a tremendous job of slowing each other down and the games have consistently stayed on the low side of the total and I'm betting nothing changes tonight. It must be noted that Golden State have only played two tilts all season in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted and they came during this series. Meanwhile, the Rockets have played only five contests this season where they have had fewer than 14 assists. Three of the five have happened during this series. These teams tell a story about the consistency of both these under rated defenses.

The Rockets have gone under 13 straight times at home off a game as a underdog going against an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game staying under by almost 18 ppg. The Warriors have gone under 7 straight times with less than five days rest after a game in which they had three-plus players with twenty-plus points going under by an average of 13.7 ppg.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 Conference Finals games.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 35-16 in Rockets last 51 vs. Western Conference.Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.



Under is 5-1 in Warriors' last 6 road games.
Under is 16-5 in Rockets' last 21 vs. NBA Pacific.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Conference Finals games.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 92-49 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (HOUSTON) - after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more are 83-46 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Series tied at 3-3

I'm betting this deciding game 7 will be an all out nasty physical affair that stays on the low side of the number. Boston will be out to pressure James and with Love out with an injury  concentrate on making the super stars life miserable.  In this series, James has averaged 39 points per game at home, 27.7 per in the three games in Boston, which is more than 11 ppg less. .Cleveland's veteran core has struggled with their offensive game in Boston and the defense I expect to be ready to compete in what should be an all out hard-core defensive tit for tat punchem out  battle.  note: BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER  at home when the line is +3 to -3 over dating back to last season with the average combined score of 195.3 ppg scored. The Celtics have also gone UNDER 8 straight times, when the line is within 3 of pick off a defeat as an away dog when going against  an opponent averaging less than 4 blocks per game, staying under by more than 20 ppg.

Also the Celtics  have  gone under 8 straight times by more than 14 points  off a game as a underdog in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws .Meanwhile,  Cleveland has gone under 9 straight times as a pup off a win as a home chalk  in which their opposition shot under 60% from the free throw line. Shooting badly from the charity stripe is sometimes related to exhaustion issues , which both sides will exhibit here this evening and this will also contribute to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers might expect.

Under is 4-1 in the L/5 meetings here in Boston. Cleveland has gone under in 15 of their 21 after an ATS win which happened in game 6.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU Leads 3-2

This series is becoming intense and defense and not offense I'm betting will win this series. Golden State needs this game badly, or a surprising elimination from the post season will be on tomorrows media agenda. With that said, you can bet the Dubs will come out with all guns blazing, but the Rockets under rated D, will be primed to slow them down. On the other end of the court , Houston 's offense has been sputtering , and James Harden is slumping offensively and Chris Paul is out, so great deal of emphasis for the Rockets will center on their defense. Under the total is my call this evening.

 Golden State has gone under 16 straight times  as a rested favorite of at least five points when they are off a game in which they rebounded 15% or less of their own misses. Houston  has gone UNDER 11 straight times by an average of more than 13 ppg after a game with 8+ lead changes and has stayed under 8 straight times by more than 17.6 ppg with less than two days rest off a home win when they are facing a side that is averaging more than five blocks per game.

HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with the combined average score of 201.2 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined score of  203.9 ppg scored.

GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER   in home games in all playoff games since 1996 with t combined average of 205.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 48-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-

This is a big game, and neither of these teams want to make mistakes here. With that said, I'm betting on a methodical and  very physical game especially from the Celtics as they look to slow down the Cavaliers sometimes explosive offensive attack via newly implemented bigger lineup. But don't underestimate the Cavs ability to push back and push back hard as is evident by the following trends.Cleveland have gone under 16 straight times  with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. In their last eight tilts  under those perimeters the Cavaliers have  allowed an average of just  90.9 ppg. 

BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER  in the 6th game of a playoff series since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 182.4 ppg. Boston has gone UNDER 10 straight times by an average of more 12 ppg  as a dog with rest after a game as a home favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points .

Under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 90 points or less are 87-48 UNDER L/21 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

 Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The last two meetings in this series have stayed under by more than 20 points. At the start of this series I suggested that the series would be won by the team that exhibited the best ability to control the others explosive offense. I'm expecting both sides to be physical tonight when defending and for them to move the ball around a lot when in the offensive end , which will result in a lot of clock eating taking place which I'm betting will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers are obviously expecting. 
  
 The  Rockets have gone under 12 straight times with rest off a victory as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field,  and have gone under 13 straight times at home    when the line is within 3 of pick after a win in which they made fewer field goals than their opponent. 
  Meanwhile, the Warriors have gone under 8 straight times with less than two days rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

HOUSTON is 15-4 UNDER  versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 201.7 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON is 21-8 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14  or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 209.2 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 UNDER  after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg getting scored. Houston's HC D'Antoni is 30-6 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored.

Golden States HC Kerr is 18-5 UNDER  L/23 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7or more with the combined average score clicking in at 209.6 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 27-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate on the blind for bettors.

Play UNDER
  
 
  
 

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Cleveland had a hard time finding their scoring touch in the first two games of this series, here in Boston, but I'm betting they solved their offensive  problems and the way Celtics HC Stevens was playing them. With that said, I now expect the Cavs to continue with a cohesive attack, and for the Celtics to come back with some offensive fire works of their own here in their own building, where they play their best hoops,  in a tilt I have pegged to go over the number.  Note: Cleveland has seen a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored on the road this season while the Celtics have seen a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored on their won home court. I'm betting on the combined score to fall in between these to totals parameters tonight. Note: BOSTON is 15-4 OVER when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game this season with the combined average score clicking in at 208.8 ppg.

The Cavaliers have gone OVER 15 straight times by more than 18 ppg  with rest off a home game when their last four games are L-L-W-W and their opponent is off a loss. The Celtics have gone OVER 17 straight times  off a loss in which they had a basket-assisted percentage (BAP) of 80% or less, and at least nine percentage points higher than their opponent's BAP.

BOSTON is 22-10 OVER   in home games versus below defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 221.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON is 14-4 OVER   in home games in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 214.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0

I finally expecting for the Cavaliers to come out here in front of their own fans and leave everything on the floor as they make an effort to make a comeback in this series down 2-0. Last time out  James had 42 points for the Cavs,  and Love 22 ,but the rest of team looked old bored and worn out. Its not like they cant wake up as a group on occasion,  as was evident vs the Pacers and Raptors , because they can. With that said, tonight  I'm  now betting the Cavs as a whole  after that embarrassment  will be firing on all cylinders offensively and that they will force the Celtics into reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. My own projections estimate that both teams will hit the 105 point plateau. Note: BOSTON is 20-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season and CLEVELAND is 24-7 OVER  in home games when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last few seasons and are 35-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.

CLEVELAND is 21-12 OVER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 16-6 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND  in 20 games  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen a combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 22-11 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-13 OVER L/37  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored.

NBA  team (BOSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 49-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the OVER

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0

 Golden State ratcheted up their D in game 1 and showed us how tough they really are. I cant bring myself to bet against the Dubs SU, no matter what the circumstances are if their completely healthy, which they are. Meanwhile, Houston must  also come out and play physical  D, if they have any chance of getting back into this series, which I also have my doubts about. What I am confident about is that this game will be more grinding then game one and much more physical. Houston owns the 6th ranked Defensive effecnicy in the league, and Golden State is very under rated from a defensive perspective but must be respected behind a boat load full of talent. Look for the Rockets to leave everything on the floor here and for Golden State to break the Rockets by  slowing  their opponents offensive flow down. This will result in a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are anticipating.

HOUSTON is 13-1 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with the combined average score  of 205.9 ppg scored.

HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER    in home games versus very good shooting teams - making  48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 15-3  L/18 UNDER   in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better )  with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored.

Golden State in their  27 games as a road underdog have seen a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER   after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 UNDER  off a road win this season with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 UNDER    in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON/GOLDEN STATE ) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 114-98 L/5  UNDER seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

These explosive offenses Golden State and Houston have been off for a while after clinching their play off series in quick order . This will I'm betting effect their overall flow and effect the total combined score. I'm also expecting defense to win this series and not offense. It must be noted that the Rockets rank 7th in in points allowed and 6th in defensive rating, and their 13th in PACE. Meanwhile, The Warriors, 11th in defensive rating, and must not be underestimated in their ability to clamp down behind a boatload full of talent. With that said, I am recommending we take an under stance here in game 1 on what during the regular season may have seemed like a legitimate total, but here in play off action with so much on the line, Defense will reign supreme and the number looks high.

HOUSTON is 12-1 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 204.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 14-3 UNDER  in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or higher) with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg.GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 L/8 UNDER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average score of 217.8 ppg scored.

These teams have gone under in 5 of the L/6 meetings in Houston.. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games..Under is 21-8-1 in Warriors last 30 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-1 in Rockets last 11 vs. NBA Pacific.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 46-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 96-49 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - GSW Leads 3-1

The explosive Golden State Warriors with a chance to clinch this series vs the New Orleans Pelicans will come out here with all guns blazing, and the Pelicans who can also score in bunches will have no other choice but to open up with some offensive fire works of their own or be blown of the court. This game either goes back and forth as both feed off each others energy, or the Warriors romp and the Pelicans chase. Which ever of these likely scenarios emerges , the end result I'm betting will see the combined score  eclipse this Total.  It must also be noted that both teams are well rested , 2 days off, which bodes well for a high energy run and gun affair.

My own projections estimate that both sides will score north of +105 points. GOLDEN STATE is 35-11 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average score of 234.4 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 52-14 OVER L/22 seasons  for a 79% conversion rate for bettors  with a combined average of 232 ppg going on the board .

Play OVER

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1

The Celtics and the Sixers will resume to long time rivalry in the first game of this 2nd round play off matchup this Monday night. I'm expecting the Celtics to make this a physically, grinding series as they look to slow down their opponents explosive offensive attack, and to be hell bent on controlling the boards, especially in their own end, where the Sixers have been rebound behemoths on offense this season. The Celtics base their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here in game one with key contributor Jaylen Brown expected to miss or be less than 100% the Celtics are really going to depend on their superior defending capabilities vs the run and gun Sixers. It must also be noted that the Sixers have been off since Tuesday, and may show some rust here vs a side that I'm betting will be physical with them. Meanwhile, the Celtics are off a grueling 7 game series with the Bucks and will not have the legs or emotional drive to run here tonight. The above combinations should see this tilt remain on the low side of the Total.

Asked Sunday for keys to defeating the Celtics, Sixers coach Brett Brown said, "Just how you're gonna score. ... They're an excellent defensive team. We respect them with what they do defensively and I think they're clever offensively

BOSTON is 11-3 UNDER   versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg scored.Brown is 33-17 UNDER    in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average score of 199 ppg scored. Stevens is 42-17 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-16 UNDER l/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Round 2 - Best of 7 - Game 1

Three of the four games these teams played against each other this season resulted in high scoring affairs. The two most recent games have seen 246, and 240 points scored. These teams are electric offensively and feed off of each others attacks in transition. I'm betting if Golden State wants to beat the streaking Pelicans their going to have to score in bunches, and I am equally confident   that the Pelicans can produce some offensive fireworks of their own in a opening game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. Note: New Orleans has scored 111, 119, 131 in their L/3 games.

NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 OVER  when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 227.7 ppg.NEW ORLEANS is 22-12 OVER  after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored ( NO beat PORT 131-123 L/time out)

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 54-14 OVER L/22  seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 233 ppg going on the score board.

Play on the OVER

San Antonio's defense  did not look good towards the tail end of the season and allowed 105 or more points in 7 off their L/10 games overall including 122 to New Orleans in their season finale. Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 road games.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Meanwhile, Golden State also struggled on defense for long stretches this season, ranking 18th overall allowing 107.5 ppg . Their saving grace was and always will be their offense , which was ranked first in the league this season (113.5 ppg) , behind the 5th fastest pace ( 99.6).
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 home games.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
What I'm betting happens tonight is that the Warriors will come out in full attack mode, and force the Spurs into keeping pace with some offensive fireworks of their own  or be blown of the court. This will lead to a higher scoring tilt than the lines makers expect.

GOLDEN STATE L/20 games when playing against a team with a winning record have seen a combined average of 218.3 ppg go on the board.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER  in road games in April games dating back to last season.GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 OVER L/17 in all playoff games with the total combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Miami is play off bound, and will want to sharpen up on their top tier brand of defensive basketball. I expect they will be very focused on being defensively responsible here this evening and for them not to be interested in a run and gun style of play, as they look to stay fresh for the post season. The Heat are 4th in in the league in points allowed and 27th in PACE. Meanwhile, NYK, despite of wanting to push for a more wide open attack tonight after suffering a ugly 97-73 set back last time out, will still have to contend with very good D, in a game I'm betting stays on the low side of the number.

The Knicks have gone under 14 straight times at home off a loss as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 80 points with the combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 171.9 ppg, with the highest combined score reaching just 188 points.

Under is 5-1-1 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 19-6-2 in Knicks last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings in New York.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 57-29 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind/

Play UNDER

Both Minnesota and Philadelphia are playing quality hoops at the moment, and with the play offs approaching will be concentrating on being a little more diligent in the defensive end of the court and in transition. I know both these teams can light up the scoreboard in a hurry , but with Jimmy Butler on the sidelines with an injury for the Wolves, and this being their 5th game in 8 days, I'm betting Minnesota won't be as fluid as the linesmakers expect vs staunch Philly D . It must also be noted   that the 76ers  are also in tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 night. These scheduling anomalies  I'm betting effect both sides offensive output here today, making this a viable under wager.

Minnesota is 24th in the league in PACE. Philadelphia is ranked 4th in PACE but are ranked 4th in defensive rating and are a highly under rated defensive side.

PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 UNDER  L/35 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts this season with a combined average score of 211.1 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. HC Brown is 10-1 UNDER  versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of the Sixer's with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 40-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA/PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 140-50 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive win are 44-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for  a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

NCAA Tournament - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA

Look for Dukes powerful inside-outside game  to go head to head in a back forth affair  against the dynamic guard play of the Rams in a game I have projected to go over the total.

DUKE is 11-1 OVER  L/12 after a non-conference game this season with a combined average score of 169.7 ppg scored.DUKE is 10-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average score of 164.8 ppg scored.

Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils last 8 neutral site games. Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 neutral site games.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RHODE ISLAND/DUKE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 160-88 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Both these sides have played some fairly high scoring back and forth games of late, but the Clippers still key on defense to get where they need to go, and have seen 3 of their L/4 stay under the total . The average combined score of the  Clippers road games clicks in at around 216 ppg.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma City also has been running and gunning on a consistent basis, but because of this the lines makers are attaching some slightly bloated Totals to their tilts which makes for value when looking at the under as is evident by 4 of their L/5 home tilts failing to eclipse the number. The Thunders home games have seen a combined average score of 209.6 ppg scored behind the 20th ranked pace in the league and the 8th best defensive rating. My projections make this Total closer to 219 which gives us value on the under.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-27 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season with a combined average score of 211.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER L/33 against Pacific division opponents with a combined average score of 213.1 ppg scored.

The Thunder are 0-20 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest when they won as a favorite in each of their last two games with the highest score in those games coming in at 218 total points with the average combined score clicking in at 193.7 ppg.

The Thunder are 0-19 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a double-digit win as a favorite with the highest score in those games not eclipsing the 216 point plateau.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 38-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 211.6 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER

AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orlando, FL  

The linesmkaers are expecting Cincinnati to take out the SMU Mustangs by a DD margin of victory, which translates to the Bearcats putting up 72+ plus points here according to my own projections with the Mustangs reciprocating with 58+ points in a game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. The meetings between the programs this season have seen 127 and 132 points go on the scoreboard. I'm expecting a score of around 130+ here in a neutral court environment giving us an edge for an over wager.

SMU HC Jankovich in 23 i neutral court games in his career has seen an a combined average of 130.4 ppg scored. Jankovich  in all 33 tournament games  he has coached  have seen a combined average score of 131.6 ppg  scored. HC Cronin of Cincinnati  in  203  games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game has seen a combined average of 130.2 ppg go on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SMU/CINCINNATI) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Fridays are 26-2 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.2 ppg.

Play OVER

ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY

BC has  gotten better as this season has progressed because of their ability to punch it out offensively with anyone in this conference behind the talented backcourt duo of Robinson and Bowman and I'm betting this group will force a defensive minded Clemson into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own in this conflict.

Yesterday Boston took out NC State by a 91-87 count and scored a 88-77 opening round win vs Georgia Tech .  This BC team knows only one way to play and that is fast transitional basketball, and nothing will change here today. When these teams played earlier this season Clemson took a 74-70 win and my own projections estimate a combined score of the 145+ points range to be scored here which makes for a viable over wager.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 OVER  L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last  season with  a combined average score of 160.4 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER  L/12 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a  combined average score of  157.3 ppg going on the board.BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 OVER  L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average score of 158.9 ppg scored.

BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 OVER  L/6  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

 These two rebuilding programs have gone through a lot of struggles this season, and both have looked a little winded here late in the campaign. A team that is particular tired are the young Suns, as was evident against Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, falling 124-116 despite 39 points from emerging star Devin Booker. QUOTE: "I think we probably fatigued a little bit," Phoenix interim coach Jay Triano told reporters afterward. "I don't know if our guys are used to playing at that level for that long of a period of time, but that's what we'll get to." END QUOTE. Today here in Atlanta I'm expecting their tired legs to effect the Suns, and they won't be up to taking part in a run and gun affair, which is just fine for a Atlanta side that prefers a slower pace behind a 26th ranked offensive effecnicy rating. With that said, I'm betting we see the combined score of this affair to stay below the number.
 
Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have stayed under including the L/4 here in Georgia.

Under is 11-2 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games. Under is 20-9 in Suns last 29 games following a straight up loss. Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 vs. Western Conference. Under is 21-7 in Hawks last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

ATLANTA is 21-7 UNDER  L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 9-0 UNDER  versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored .  PHOENIX is 16-7 UNDER  L/23 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored.

NBA All teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA/PHOENIX) - in a game involving two struggling teams (25% to 40%), second half of the season are 38-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the UNDER

Kentucky and Florida enter this game both playing top tier hoops at the moment. I'm expecting like the linesmkaers for this to be a closely contested 2 possession game that will see both teams according to my own projections putting 72+ points on the board, which gives me justification in call for an over wager here in this spot. Note: Florida has averaged  76.4 ppg at home this season, and Kentucky has averaged 73.3 ppg away.    The  total combined score according to my projections and systems analysis  could easily eclipse this number by 5 points , making this a viable over wager.

FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER L/13  in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season with a combined average of 148.7 ppg going on the board.KENTUCKY is 11-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with a combined average score of 168.7 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  in road games off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals with a combined average of 163.5 ppg  going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER  after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games this season with a combine average score of 168.2 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 75-33 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI

These teams just took part in a back and forth game on Feb 24 that saw Cleveland State grab a 99-94 victory. However, now in the rematch I expect a more tempered approach by both sides, and a reversion to the norm from a  offensive output standpoint. Tourney play tends to be more tactical, and physically grueling which should aid this score to stay on the low side of the number.

CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 UNDER  off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER  off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 129.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season with the combined average score of 132.3 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a struggling/losing team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the total combined score of those tilts clicking in at 126.7 ppg.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - in a conference tournament game, a struggling/losing team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Southern Conference Tournament - First Round - Asheville, NC

In both meetings this season, the total combined score did not exceed this posted number. UT Chatanooga 78 Samford 71 - Samford 73 Chatanooga 56. My own projections expect both sides to not exceed the 75 point offensive plateau, which makes for a viable under wager according to these estimates.

UT-CHATTANOOGA is 14-3 UNDER  L/17  in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 145.8 ppg scored.UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 UNDER   after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 143.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (SAMFORD) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights are 27-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 128.4 pgg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a struggling team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.4 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two struggling  teams (20% to 40%) are 38-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament - First Round - Albany, NY

Marist road games have seen a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Fairfield has seen a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. My own projections estimate that in this neutral court environment, that the combined score will be closer to  149, which gives us a two possession advantage to the under in what will be a tighter more grueling post season affair than their last regular season matchup that saw Fairfield beat Marist 83-79.  

FAIRFIELD in their L/25 games  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 146.8 ppg scored.FAIRFIELD is 9-1 UNDER  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. HC of Fairfield Johnson is 18-5 UNDER  L/23 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average score of 131 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ) are 46-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 132.8 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 53-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the combine average score of 136.9 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament - First Round - Evansville, IN

When Tennessee Tech and SIU Edwardsville met earlier this season, they took part in a grueling physical game that Tennessee Tech Tech won 68-67, and I'm betting on a similar style game this time around and a combined score that is also similar , which makes this a viable under wager according to my own projections.

TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 UNDER  L/9 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game of 134.3 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 145.3 ppg scored. TENNESSEE TECH is 8-0 UNDER  when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season of 135.9 ppg going on the board.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENNESSEE TECH) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better) are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

It is no secret that LSU struggles with grind it out teams like South Carolina. Last time out the Bayou Bengals allowed 90+  points to Georgia  to a team that struggles to score 60 points most nights. Tonight against a South Carolina I'm betting the home side scores above its season average of 71.2 ppg,  vs a Tigers side that has allowed  an average 78.8 ppg on the road, and for LSU to hit in the 75point range (  LSU averages 77.7 ppg overall in off) . Those projections suggest a Total that will be eclipsed.

LSU HC Wade is 9-1 OVER  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games with a combined score of 145.9 ppg scored.LSU is 8-1 OVER  L/9 in road games after allowing 90 points or more with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. LSU is 14-5 OVER   as a road underdog or pick  with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER  L/8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season with a combined average of 165.4 ppg scored.

S CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 149.7 ppg scored.

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LSU) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more are 131-71 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S CAROLINA) - after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 97-59 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

BSU has won the past three meetings vs Central Michigan, including an 82-76 victory earlier this year in Muncie, all three combined scores easily eclipsed this Totals number, and I'm expecting another fairly high scoring tilt here today. Central Michigan is averaging just under 80 ppg at home this season, while BSU has averaged 76.6 ppg overall, and have picked up their offensive attack of late with  87,90,99, 77, 80 point outputs in their L/5 respectively.  Everything points to this total getting eclipsed.

Central Michigan is off 89-76 loss vs Toledo last time out, which sets us up well for an OVER wager to cash, as C MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER L/12 off a road loss against a conference rival dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 176.1 ppg scored.C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  as a home underdog or pick over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 180.5 ppg going on the  board.C MICHIGAN is 7-1 OVER  versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg scored. C MICHIGAN is 17-3 OVER  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 176.6 ppg registered on the scoreboard. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER  L/6 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%)  with a combined average score of 163.3 ppg scored.

BALL ST is 22-9 OVER  L/31 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 156.7 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER   vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots ( Note: The Chippewas lead the league in free throw shooting at 80 percent  )

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a79% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 71-39 OVER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

Houston enters this game against Denver having won  11 straight games  and  have notched victories in 18 of their  last 20 games. But  will play without Eric Gordon (18.5ppg) which I'm betting effects their offensive flow here in the high altitude of the Rockies  this evening.  Meanwhile, Denver has won 10 of 13 and are  7-1 SU in February and could find the sledding tough behind their 17th ranked PACE vs a Houston team that can also play some solid D, as is evident by holding 4 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points and ranked 9th in the league in defensive rating. Despite both teams current explosive forms , this line according to my own projections is slightly bloated to the upside and gives us a viable opportunity to cash taking an under stance.

Under is 11-2 in Rockets last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-4-1 in Rockets last 15 road games.

HOUSTON is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER  L/21  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average score of 216.2 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER /HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 37-9 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 214 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

Philadelphia plays their best defensive basketball at home this season , and in recent action have  not allowed 5 of their L/8 opponents to score more than 98 points when playing as hosts. Overall leading up to the all star break the Sixers allowed an average of just 94.8 ppg in 5 games all wins and are currently ranked 4th in the league in Defensive effecnicy .  They did take part in a high scoring affair in their first game after the break, but will now be prepared to clamp down defensively vs a inconsistent Orlando offense ( Ranked 19th in Off Effecnicy). I'm betting on a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER  L/12  in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 20-11 UNDER   revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 41-11 and 6-0 this season UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My own projections for this game suggest both teams will score at least 75 points each here today. BAYLOR is 9-0 OVER   in games where both teams score 75 or more points over the last few seasons with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. .TCU is 11-1 OVER  in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season with a combined average of 169.5 ppg going on the board.

Both these teams play contrasting styles of basketball. TCU is a run and gun group, while Baylor likes to slow things down.  But from a matchup perspective, Baylor is going to have to pick up their pace  on offense if they want to keep up here in an environment where the home team should be able to make the speed of this tilt more to their liking. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score that eclipses this number.

TCU is 16-5 OVER L/21 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.TCU is 7-1 OVER L/8 when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.TCU is 6-0 OVER   in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 163.9 ppg. Dixon is 12-1 OVER  after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 159.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

After almost a weeks rest both these very capable offensive sides will be fresh and ready to run and gun here as they prepare to start the stretch drive towards the play offs in a game that my projections suggest will eclipse this number.

Cleveland Ranks 5th in offensive output in the NBA and 27th in points allowed and  29th in defensive effecnicy . Leading up to the all star game the Cavs registered 140,123, 121, 120 in offensive production  4 straight games.  Washington ranks 9th in offensive effecnicy and 15th in points allowed. Washington has scored 101 or more ppg in 10 straight games and have allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to put 100 or more points on the board.

WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER L/8 off 2 or more consecutive road wins with a combined average score of 230.5 ppg scored.  Washington  is 20-6 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 228.1 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/9 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 223.6 ppg clicking in on the score board. CLEVELAND is 17-6 OVER L/23  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more  of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 223.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER  after scoring 120 points or more this season with a combined average score of 223.7 ppp ringing in on the board.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND/WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 28-4 OVER L/5 seasons and a 6-0 so far this season for dual 88% and 100% conversion rates for bettors.

Play OVER

 Wofford averages 82.1 ppg at home this season on offense, while Greensboro averages 72.4 ppg on the road.Note:  UNCG  overall is averaging 74.0 points per game while shooting 44.8 percent (737-of-1646) from the field and 36.3 percent (273-of-752) from 3-point land and according to my projections should be on pace for a similar offensive output.   Greensboro plays the better defensive ball, but I'm betting their dragged into a faster affair than they like by a revenge minded Wofford team that plays their best basketball at home, which I'm betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. Wofford’s only loss at home in conference play came at the hands of ETSU by a 75-62 margin.In their L/meeting on Dec 30 of this season, Greensboro on their own home court dictated the pace and came away with a 71-67 win, but here on the road Wofford will up the speed of this game , which is more to their liking which will result in this tilt eclipsing the number.  

These teams have gone over the Total in 9 straight meetings here at Wofford.

UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 OVER  L/9  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 156.8 ppg scored. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 OVER   in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average score of 154.8 ppg clicking in on the board.WOFFORD is 6-0 OVER  L/6  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored. WOFFORD is 12-2 OVER  L/14  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. WOFFORD is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 162.6 ppg getting scored. WOFFORD is 15-3 OVER  L/18 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games of 157.9 ppg scored.

Play on the OVER

Minnesota enters this game struggling on defense, allowing 94,76,91,80,87 points respectively in their L/5 strips to the hardwood for an average of 85.6 ppg. The Gophers have struggled a bit of late on offense against some top tier competition, but their overall ability to put points up on the board (76.5ppg),has been their saving grace this season, and made them competitive for the most part in Big 10 play and according to my projections should score in the 65-69 point range here in this spot.  Meanwhile,  Wisconsin has done  their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 72 ppg, and I'm betting on them upping their average offensive output here by 5 to 8 points vs a  pylon D.  With that said, according to my own prognostication system, this total should be easily eclipsed.

Minnesota in 15 conference games this season, has seen a combined average score of 148.4 ppg go on the board.

MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER  L/8 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 151.2 ppg going on the board. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 40-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82%conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Villanova easily dispatched Xavier in the first meeting this season, an 89-65 smash down at the Wells Fargo Center back on Jan. 10 and now I'm expecting a slower pace from Xavier as they try to mess with Novas flow. Meanwhile, Villanova in a mini slump after having lost 2 of their L/3 , will be concentrating on playing a complete game . The coaching staff wants the Cats to be more physical, which I'm betting they will be today and this will translate into a grinding war, that makes for a lower scoring game then the lines-makers expect. After Nova lost to Providence last time out, Villanovas Coach made this statement "We weren't physical enough to get open," Wright said. "So then we couldn't run the offense. We were forced to drive the ball and they were more physical than us in that area also." END QUOTE: With this game being so late in the season, and with playing solid D, a very important factor at this time of the season, I expect a total combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 133.4 ppg .VILLANOVA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games with a combined average of 136.2 ppg. VILLANOVA is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in road games on Saturday games with a combined average of 144.8 ppg going on the board. HC Wright is 17-8 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game as the coach of VILLANOVA with a combined average of 148.5 ppg clicking in on the board.




CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (XAVIER/VILLANOVA ) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

With this being the last game before both sides launch their mini vacations during the all star break, I expect both will feel energized and ready to run and gun tonight, as they also know an extended rest is on the way.

Denver enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 behind an offense that is clicking on all cylinders, averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Bucks also rank 6th (110.6)  in the league in offensive efficiency and  22nd  ( 109.7) in defensive efficiency   Meanwhile, Milwaukee despite of being inconsistent, are ranked 12th in the league in offensive effecnicy  rating (108.9 ppg) and 16th in defensive efficiency ( 108.7 ) and in this type of matchup vs an explosive offense will have to speed up their pace, which in turn will have them go above their current ratings, which will translate in to a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

DENVER is 38-21 OVER  L/59 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 22-8 OVER  L/30  in road games after a combined score of 225 points with a combined average of score of 222 ppg scored. DENVER is 31-18 OVER  L/49 in non-conference games with a combined average of 222.4 ppg scored.Malone is 40-19 OVER  when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.

Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. NBA Central.Over is 14-4 in Bucks last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER

The Flyers have scored 80-plus points in all three February games.Dayton's offense ranks third in the country in 2-point field-goal percentage (.595).In conference play, Dayton leads the A-10 in field goal percentage (.506) and assists (18.0). Meanwhile, George  Mason recently  shot 41.2 percent (7-17) from 3-point range. The Patriots are 17-of-42 (.402) from deep over the past two contests and primed to light up the scoreboard again via the trey,, which gives credence to what I'm betting will be a fairly high scoring game. Note: Mason gave up 82.0 points per game and allowed opponents to shoot 46.6 percent over the first 10 games of the A-10 schedule.

GEORGE MASON is 11-2 OVER L/13 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of  152.2 ppg .DAYTON is 7-0 OVER L/7  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les  turnovers/game after 15+ games  with a combined average of 161 ppg scored. DAYTON is 10-0 OVER  L/10 in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 156 ppg going on the scoreboard. DAYTON is 7-0 OVER  after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 160. ppg scored.

The two most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 153 and 162 ppg scored. George Mason has gone OVER in 7 of their L/9, while Dayton has gone over in 4 straight games.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 58-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 38-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER