Chicago enters this game vs Denver averaging just 94.8 ppg on offense (worst in the league), and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games, behind a 17th ranked pace, that should even slow down more tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High city vs a team that they know they can't run and gun with. Meanwhile, the Nuggets own the 14th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace, so their in the middle of the pack , as far as speed and offensive production goes. What I'm betting happens  tonight, is what most sides, with sluggish offenses do when they go into Denver, and that is play a conservative energy conserving style of basketball, that more often than not translates into a lower scoring game than many might anticipate.

Under is 12-4 in Bulls last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 home games.

CHICAGO is 45-20 UNDER  L/65 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less with a combined average score of 199.4 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO in 8  in non-conference games this season have seen a combined average score of 196.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER  L/32 after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season with the combined average score of 200.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (102 or less  PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are 35-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - off a home loss against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

South Florida plays a defensive system, and their scores so far this season have been indicative of this as they average a lowly 62.1 ppg on offense while the defense is staunch allowing just  63.1 ppg. Meanwhile, Elon has shown some offensive explosiveness, this season, but  they have played overall very strong defense, especially as hosts as is evident by allowing just  63.5 ppg.

When these teams played last season the final score was Elon 74 S.Florida 61 ( 135) and now the linesmakers are setting the line based in part on last seasons meeting. My own projections make the output from both teams to be in a low to mid 60's which is a good indicator of this game going under the set total. ELON is 44-8 UNDER  when they allow 61 to 66 points with a combined average score of 129.9 ppg on average being scored.ELON in their L/57  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game have seen a combined average score of 128.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

UNDER ARMOUR REUNION - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

I expect these two heavyweights to play a physical grueling defensive game that remains on the low side of the number. Texas Tech is  allowing  just 55.3 ppg on the season, while Seton Hall is allowing 64.7 ppg mostly in garbage time when using their fringe bench players.

SETON HALL is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 127.1 ppg scored.TEXAS TECH is 9-2 UNDER L/11 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 132.9 ppg scored. TEXAS TECH is 9-1 UNDER  when playing on a neutral court with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored.
 

Neutral court teams against the total (TEXAS TECH) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game, in November games are 540-398 to the UNDER for a 58% conversion rate on the blind for bettors dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Evansville is a defense first team, that averages just 66.2 ppg on the season on offense while allowing 58.2 ppg on defense. I'm not sure that is what HC Simmons had planned for this season, but watching this group is a good way to lull yourself to sleep. Meanwhile, New Mexico is team still trying to find its way under a run and gun system, that has stalled in recent games , scoring just 65, 67 points in their L/2 games. Tonight I'm betting in their usual methodical way that Evansville makes this into a slow grinding affair, and slows the flow of their opposition.

 NEW MEXICO is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.7 ppg going on the board . Evansville is is 8-1 UNDER L/9  in November games dating back to last season with a combined average of 128.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

HC Fizdale is no longer the coach of the Memphis Grizzlies after his team struggled for much of this season and on a current 8 game losing streak mostly because of offensive production problems . His firing came after he benched star forward Mac Gasol, which started the firestorm. Now with a lot to prove and 2 days rest  I expect the Grizzlies new  HC  J.B. Bickerstaff and company  to come out fired up tonight, and really push their pace up a few notches, in an effort to get a offensive flow going  which I'm betting results in a higher scored than expected by the lines-makers.  

Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO in their  L/22 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points have seen a  combined average of 202 ppg scored. Memphis in 9 games vs winning sides this season have seen a combined average of 197.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Southern Miss is averaging 63 ppg on offense this season  on the road while allowing just 68.9 points per game is a team that is struggling a they try to continue to deal with sanctions from past regressions, that we don't need to get into here. But they have problems with their personell and continue to try fluidity. Meanwhile South Alabama is averaging 64 ppg on offense, while  allowing just 61.9 ppg overall, in a very slow paced methodical system. Considering both teams offensive issues and the systems that they play a lower scoring game must be expected, as the linesmakers suggest with their number.

  SOUTHERN MISS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging  12 or less assists/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board and is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots with a combined average of 115.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Under is 5-1 in Matadors last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Matadors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 29-15 UNDER  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%). HC Theus is 15-4 UNDER L/19 after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.

CBB Road teams against the total (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - bad team from last season who won only 20% to 40% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are long term 125-77 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 61% conversion rate on the blind.

Play UNDER

My College  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Georgetown/Maine UNDER the set total

Two rebuilding teams go head to  head tonight when Phoenix visits the Chicago Bulls . With both teams defenses a big concern, I'm expecting both sides to play special attention to being stoppers and being physical, in a game I have pegged at staying under the total. Chicago is especially fragile as they rank last in the NBA scoring averaging just 94.3 ppg which makes them even more interested in turning this into a slow grinding affair.

CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER  L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record  with a combined average of 202 ppg going on the board and 20-7 UNDER   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of  200.7 ppg going on the board and also 16-5 UNDER  /21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 201.9 ppg getting scored.CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER L/17  in home games in non-conference games . CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less) are 25-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavs, who beat the 76ers 113-91 on Monday night in Philadelphia, will play consecutive nights for the first time since Oct. 28-29 and now this veteran laden team  will  be on tired legs and ready to slow things down again.  Last night it was the Cavs ability to slow the flow of their younger opposition down, and come out of that game with a easy DD win. Tonight, I'm betting on the same tactics and game plan to make this into a conservative tilt, vs a Miami side that also practices a controlled style of defensive play behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. .Note: The Heat have held 4 of their L/5 opponents to under 98 points or less. While the Cavs have held 3 of their L/4 opponents, to 99 points or less.

Miami is ranked 21st in the pace in the league, 7th best ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 26th in offensive points production.

Cleveland ranks 12th in the league in pace.

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.MIAMI is 30-14 UNDER  L/44 as a road underdog of 6 points or less with a combined average score of 194 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing with  no rest.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 73-27 UNDER for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLORIDA ST is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making 63% or less  of their attempts .FLORIDA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8  in road games after a combined score of 175 points or more which happened last time out in a 113-78 win vs Citadel.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA ST) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less on the season, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 54-22 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER

The Rockets as we all know by now are an explosive offensive juggernaut,  but  their defensive 17.5 net rating is something that may be over looked by the average punter. Their ability to be stopper was on display last time out against the  Knicks who  scored  29 points over the first 7 1/2 minutes  of that game , only to fall short of that mark in  any of three following three quarters of action. Meanwhile, Brooklyn after struggling with D, of late, finally played the kind of game their coach wants from them more consistently holding the Memphis Grizzlies to 88 points in a win. Last night the Nets had success taking their time with their attack, and being selective with shots, and tonight I expect they will try to slow down the game via slower paced effort vs what they know is a dangerous run and gun opponent. I'm also betting on the Rockets D, showing us their under rated abilities as well in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. Note: Houston has held 4 of their L/7 opponents under 96 points or less.

Under is 9-4-3 in Nets last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1-1 in Nets last 6 road games.BROOKLYN in 7 games  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season have seen a average combined score of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 57-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers and their home crowd are going to be wild tonight with excitement as their team continues to grow and show competitiveness. Bigger and better things are on the horizon for the Sixers.. But first they have to deal with the Cavaliers. QUOTE: "Cleveland is going to come in, and it's going to be amazing for the building," coach Brett Brown said. "This building is wild. How about our fans? Are you kidding me? I can't even talk to my coaching staff sometimes and they're a foot from me. It's fantastic. What a great thing for our city." END QUOTE But now irrational exuberance may get the best of the Sixers, as a veteran laden Cleveland Cavaliers come to town, looking to slow down any early momentum the home team has by playing methodical slow paced style hoops, while saving their best for last quarter and a half. This I'm betting will curtail both teams scoring out put making this a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect .

PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 UNDER  L/25  in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 185.2 ppg going on the board

.Under is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 25-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

These upper tier teams will do battle in test of wills . Both are deep and explosive but are also extremely capable on the defensive end. When two behemoth teams like this do battle its not uncommon for a conservative wait and  see approach from both opponents. This will see a the score much more muted than the linesmakers and the public might expect.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (DUKE/Florida ) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 33-6 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE/Florida) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ).  are 27-3 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

CS Fullerton plays a Defensive slowed paced deliberate type of basketball, and can not be easily pushed into play run and gun ball. This I'm betting will result in a low scoring affair with their counterparts Harvard this evening.

HARVARD is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board and is 24-9 UNDER  in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 126.7 ppg scored.

CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing only their 3rd game in a week with a combined average of with a combined average of 134.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Memphis allowed 62 and 52 points in their L/2 games at home, and it looks very much like playing a strong brand of D along with conservative disciplined hoops will be the name of the game this year for the Tigers. Meanwhile, N.Kentucky has allowed 68 ppg on the season, and also have an aggressive offense.   What I'm betting on today is the Tigers knowing the offensive capabilities of N.Kentucky will be primed to play a tough defensive slow down type of basketball, in an effort to keep the visitors from flowing. This in turn , will make for a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

 MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER    in home games on Saturday games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 131.4 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER L/6  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread which happened last time out.

Play on the UNDER

The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win.  Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect.

CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER  L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for  81% conversion rare for bettors.

Play UNDER

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Final Rnd - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau
My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

W KENTUCKY is 21-9 UNDER L/30  in road games in November games.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (W KENTUCKY) - off an upset win as an underdog, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 50-20 UNDER L/70 for a 72% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Round 2 - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

Neutral court teams against the total (SAM HOUSTON ST) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) are 80-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.   The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip  and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight.

UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH   in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Two undefeated, high-scoring offenses square off as Creighton (3-0) faces No. 23 UCLA (3-0) in the first semifinal game of the 2017 CBE Hall of Fame Classic Monday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. These are two heavy weights that can put points up on the board in a hurry, but as is usually the case when two big boys go head to head there is a wait see conservative period. With that look for both behemoths to be  vigilant and play disciplined defense first  basketball which I'm betting translates into a lower scoring game then the lines-makers estimate.

It must also be noted that  UCLA,  owns a whole new starting lineup five from last year. The top four scorers from last season are gone and the Bruins are still short-handed, as three top tier freshmen are suspended indefinitely following their arrest for shoplifting on a recent trip to China. In the Bruins only game vs decent basketball program they took part in a 63-60 physical affair. This one might not end up being played like that one , but I'm betting their won't be as many point going on the board as some might expect.

CREIGHTON is 12-3 UNDER L/15 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts with the combined average score clicking in at 150 ppg. HC Alford of UCLA  is 28-10 UNDER    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with the combined average score of 146.5ppg going on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 47-17 UNDER the L/21 seasons for a74% conversion rate for bettors.Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games  are 24-5 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - in a tournament game, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 45-16 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.CBB Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - undefeated on the season, in November games are 36-12 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season.

FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA  overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in  a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect.

Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 The Utah Jazz  enter into this game reeling, after losing three straight games. Their usually staunch D, has failed them, as the Jazz have  allowed opponents to score an average of  116.7 points  per game on 51.5 percent shooting during their losing streak. Tonight considering the Jazz defensive woes , I expect the Heat, a side that has shown some offensive explosiveness on occasion this season, as was the case last time out when they scored 115 points vs Golden State  , to now use the momentum of that run and gun effort to try to take advantage of a struggling opponent, which I'm betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. Note: (The Heat have averaged more than 102 ppg on the road this season).  I'm also betting that the Heats 4th straight road game will not have them capable of playing a physical style of game, which will allow the Jazzs struggling offense to finally score above their season home average  of 101.6 ppg.

Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 9-0 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Utah.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 25-4 L/29 OVER during the last 5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Golden State and Minnesota are both being looked at as offensive juggernauts and both enter this game on winning streaks. Both are explosive, but what is being over looked is both teams defenses.   The Warriors have  Green, the reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year, on their side, and his efficiency was on display in a recent   97-80 victory over Miami on Monday that allowed Golden State  to notch the win despite of  failing to score 100 points for the first time this season.QUOTE: "We can play defense with anybody," Warriors backup forward Omri Casspi said after the game. "Everybody should know that." END QUOTE:  Also Minnesota's D, must not be over looked either as they have not allowed any of their L/3 opponents, to breach the 99 point plateau, and must be respected in their ability to marginally slow down the potent attack of the Warriors. With that said, I'm betting on a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: Minnesota owns the 17th ranked pace in the league, which puts them in the lower half of the league in this important category when betting on higher totals.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 198.6 ppg going on the board.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 194.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-4 to the UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals under bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins with the under going 35-9 dating back 5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA  and hitting on all cylinders, and are averaging more than 107 ppg  in their L/5 on offense and go against a Lakers defense that is allowing 107 + per game this season. Today I expect the Celtics who are ranked 13th in the league in offensive rating to eclipse that average, and notch according to my own projections a combined average of 112- 116 points, and for the Lakers who rank 3rd in pace (103.3)  in the league to chase in up beat fashion   and hit in around 98-103  points , which according to the linemakers spread corresponds to the 8.5 point spread.

Over is 11-5 in Lakers last 16 road games.Over is 16-5-1 in Celtics last 22 home games.Over is 22-7-1 in Celtics last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOSTON is 12-0 OVER L/12 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 25-9 OVER L/34  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game with a combined average of 217.1 ppg getting scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like Boston  - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more are 40-11 OVER dating back dating back 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Dallas will want to slow down vs the run and gun Wolves, and try to slow this game down into a crawl. Dallas is averaging 97.8 points, which makes it the third-worst scoring offense. The Mavericks also own a 41.5 field goal percentage, which is the second-worst in the league , so they will have no choice but to drag this into a physical conservative affair, even against a the Wolves sub par D.  I'm betting the combined score according to my projections will fall below this number.

Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 UNDER  L/30 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 208.4 ppg. DALLAS is 36-18 UNDER  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%or more. with a combined average of 198 ppg going on the scoreboard. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when the total is 210 to 219.5 .

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 Dallas - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 34-9 L/43 under for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup.

CHARLOTTE is 20-5 UNDER L/25 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots with a combined average 199.6 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 17-3 UNDER L/20 in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 194.3 ppg. HC Clifford of the Hornets is 28-10 L/38 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 191.9 ppg going on the board. Orlando's HC Vogel in his L/28 games after an upset win as a home underdog has seen a combined average of 197.8 ppg go on the scoreboard. ( Magic upset Spurs last time out 114-87 as 5.5 point dogs)

Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 16-6 in Hornets last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Orlando- well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 UNDER dating back 24 seasons for 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant  offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have  the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER  L/29  when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored.

ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER  L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER  L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also  be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. 

TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games.  These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection

The Suns played a fast back and forth game last night losing to the Lakers 132-130 and are banged  playing mostly without center Alex Len (ankle) ( played last night 21 min), guard Davon Reed (knee) and forward Jared Dudley (toe).  This I expect will effect their tempo and with a need to pay more attention to defense, should partake according to my own estimates in more subdued type of defensive game plan tonight in LA vs a Clippers side that is still trying to acclimate to a lot of new faces and injuries to various players that are still not 100% healed. The roster was completely intact for the season-opening victory vs the Lakers, but Patrick Beverley (knee) and Austin Rivers (glute) had just returned and Danilo Gallinari (sprained left foot), Sam Dekker (strained left oblique), Sindarius Thornwell (sprained right shoulder) and Jamil Wilson (back spasms) returned earlier last week.

Overall team cohesiveness on both sides could easily be an issue this evening, and according to my own numbers the lines-makers have over done this Total to the high side considering the circumstances. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the Suns - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

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The Philadelphia 76ers  off a loss last night will face   the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.  Now tonight the Sixers are a expected to rest  their young star(Joel Embiid)  and I am betting they will be more conservative in  their approach to this game from  offensive perspective. Their D, failed the young men from Philly last night , after leading Boston for more most of the previous evening and a more concerted effort to be stoppers vs what continues to a free wheeling Toronto group will become of paramount importance in this spot. With that said, and in contrarian fashion,  I'm betting instead of a run and gun shoot out like the linemakers are expecting a more subdued  type of affair will play out and the total combined score will end up on the low side of the Totals spectrum.

 Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 L/122 when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Toronto is their L/15 games against a lower tier team with a.250 win % or less  have seen a combined average of 206.6 ppg go on the board.

It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the like the 76ers - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for  a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics have added the offensive explosiveness of   Kyrie Irving to a strong overall  lineup  with a lot of depth. Irving  and the smoothness of inside/outside threat Gordon Hayward  ( if they can stay healthy) will be a dynamic duo. Also the addition rookie Jayson Tatum who is one of the very best players from this draft class is also going to surprise a lot of the pundits as he fits in perfectly with HC Brad Stevens system. Meanwhile, on D, the Celtics I'm betting may not be that staunch defensively as Horford and Baynes are undersized , and protecting the rim will be a key issue , especially tonight against a Cleveland team that can light it up in a big way from the inside thanks to some off season tinkering.  The Cavs are now more versatile than ever with the additions of Derrick Rose and Jose Calderon and  Turkish small forward Cedi Ozman on the wing and always remain offensively dangerous with the best player in the NBA ( James) on the floor .

I'm betting these teams come at each other full throttle tonight, in a tilt that I have pegged to go over  a total. Note  this Total has been beaten down by both sharps and the public from its orginal 214.5 opening and is now a viable investment opportunity.

CLEVELAND is 39-16 OVER  L/54 when the total is 210 to 219.5 dating back to last season and is 18-8 OVER  L/26  in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5, with  the average combined score ringing in at 222.5 ppg.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 20-7-1 in Cavaliers last 28 home games.

Play OVER

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0

Golden State is a explosive team, that knows how to close out opponents, and tonight I expect they will come out with all guns blazing in attempt to finish off an exhausted and banged up opponent. The Spurs are a proud franchise, and will pull out all the stops to avoid at least being humiliated again in front o their own fans, and will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. This I am betting will lead to a higher scoring game than the linesmakers expect. The Warriors pounded the Blazers by a 128-103 count to end that opening round series, and than clobbered the Utah Jazz, by a 121-95 score in the second round. More of the same total  points production must be expected tonight, 

Golden State after 8 more consecutive winsspanning a 28 game sample size have seen a combined average score of 219.5 ppg go on the board and on the road after two more consecutive wins have seen a combined average of 220 ppg get scored spanning 33 games. Golden State has gone over in 4 straight games, and have scored 116.1 ppg this season, while allowing an average of 105.2 ppg in road games. Meanwhile, San Antonio has averaged 106.1 ppg at home this season, and despite of overall solid defensive numbers this season, have struggled on D of late , because of injuries, allowing 125, 107, 113, 136, 120 pts in 5 o their L/6 games.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1

San Antonio knows that defense and physical play will be the key to slowing down the explosive Golden State Warriors. The Spurs behind the 27th ranked pace in the league and 2nd best points against numbers and the best defensive rating are well suited to grind and bang and make life difficult for the Warriors. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of their reputation, are a solid defensive team as well, and ranked 2nd in defensive rating in the league per 100 possessions. I am betting much more physical game than might be expected which will result in a final combined score that remains on the low side of the number.  The Spurs showed their defensive capabilities last time out, in a lopsided  114-75 win vs the Houston Rockets to advance to this round, which sets up a trend that show HC Popovich is 11-2 UNDER L/13 in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog with a combined average of 188.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

GOLDEN STATE is also 11-2 UNDER L/13 when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days over the last few seasons with an average of just 201 combined points going on the board. 

GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 UNDER L/25 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a total combined score of 207.7 ppg getting scored.SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 UNDER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board

. NBA teams (GOLDEN STATE/SAN Antonio) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 53-15 to the under in the followup game. NBA  teams like the Spurs - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after scoring 105 points or more re 32-8 to the under for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2

Both Washington and Boston are playing this series in a fast and furious manner, as both exhibit explosive offenses with neither team showing consistent defensive instincts. Four of the five game so far have eclipsed the number. The last two saw 223 and 224 points scored and the first two saw 240 and 235 scored, with the lone under seeing Washington win by pouring 121 ppg on the board ( 121-89) Everything once again points to this being a high scoring run and gun  affair.With the linesmakers refusing to bend on the total, I'm running with a recommended over investment on this game 6 battle.

WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER L/29 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 223.7 ppg getting scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 233 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 13-4 OVER  after scoring 120 points or more with a combined average of 220.7 ppg clicking in!WASHINGTON in 23 games  against Atlantic division opponents this season, a combined average of 220.9 ppg were scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON/Washington) - in the second round of the playoffs are 92-42 to the OVER dating back 20 seasons and also NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Celtics  - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 52-27 OVER dating back 20 seasons. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The first two games in this series here in Boston easily eclipsed the number, and wide open offensive affairs, and I am betting on nothing changing tonight. (235 points were scored in game 1 and 248 combined points in game 2.)

WASHINGTON is 11-3 OVER L/14 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this seaso with na average of 233.6 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 228.4 ppg. HC Brooks of the Wizards  is 21-9 OVER  after 2 or more consecutive wins with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Boston/Washingtn - in the second round of the playoffs are 90-42 to the OVER dating back 21 seasons.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - 
Game 2 - CLE Leads 1-0


In game 1 of this series, the Cavaliers took a 111-106 victory, and I’m expecting more of the same explosive offensive action here tonight. My own numbers place this total closer to 216.5 , thus according to that projection we have value to the over. CLEVELAND is 16-7 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season, with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the board and 17-6 over when playing only their second game in 5 days, with a combined average of 220.5 ppg getting scored.

TORONTO is 13-3 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 220.1 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND is 30-16 L/37 OVER versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND is 22-7 OVER L/29 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots dating back to last season, with a combined average of 219.6 ppg getting scored.

All NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO/Cleveland ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 76-36 OVER dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

The Utah Jazz successes and failures are predicated on playing solid defensive basketball, as they own the leagues top D, allowing 96.8 ppg, behind the slowest pace in the league (91.6). The Jazz coaching staff know their only chance at victory vs an explosive Golden State team, will see them having to heavily focus around formulating a physical style of hoops, that concentrates on strong rebounding and physical interior play. The Jazz offense ranks 28th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Golden State may take some time to warm up offensively after being off for an extended period of time after sweeping a Portland side in the first round that plays a completely different style of play than Utah. It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their explosive offensive reputation can play solid D, as well, as is evident by their 4th ranked efficiency rating 99.8 ppg per 100 possessions. Considering, what I am betting  on  happening here in game 1 , a lower scoring game must be expected.

 UTAH L/128 play off games have seen an average of 189.7 ppg get scored. Under is 5-0-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-4 in Warriors last 15 home games. Under is 22-8-1 in Warriors last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Golden State. Under is 23-7-2 in the last 32 meetings.

The Jazz advanced via a upset of the LA Clippers last time out which sets up this long term trend…NBA teams have gone  Under 40 of the L/51 times  where the total is 200 to 209.5 (JAZZ) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent  like Golden State off a road win by 10 points or more for a powerful 78% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Spurs I am betting will be out to move the ball quickly into transition tonight, and not get caught up in a mucky physical affair, something that the Grizzlies would like to play on the road. The pace I am beting is set by the Spurs, after losing 2 straight on the road the need for urgency , and a game plan that favors the Spurs speed and superior offensive abilities will be in full effect tonight. With that said Memphis will have no choice but  to respond with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will result in a total that eclipses the number.

NBA teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies  - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 51-17 OVER dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

Milwaukee really had some problems last time out against the Raptors in game 2 of this series losing by a 87-76 count and will now have to speed up their tempo to get back in a groove. The Bucks cannot play to the Raptors pace and they know this. With that said look for a much higher scoring two away affair tonight.

MILWAUKEE is 33-16 OVER  after a loss by 10 points or more with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the board and 10-1 L/11 to the over under the same loss peremiters, with combined average of 212.2 ppg.  TORONTO is 12-4 OVER  L/16 in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CHI Leads 2-1

Boston has scored 100 or more points in 13 of their L/15 overall and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of those 15 tilts. Prior to their last trip the court, the Bulls had scored 102 or more ppg in 6 straight, and tonight I expect they will be more ready to run and gun than they were last time out. My own data chart suggests an upward pace trend in this game,  which will result in a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect.  

CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER  on Sunday games this season with an average of 212.4 ppg going on th scoreboard. Over is 7-2-1 in Celtics last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0

These teams are ready to run and gun here tonight in game 3 of this series. Portland had a muted effort in game 2 scoring just 81 points. However,  I now expect the Blazers will be ready to come out here firing on all cylinders  on their own home court, and Im betting on their extremely capable opponents the Golden State Warriors to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own. Game one of this series saw the Warriors and Blazers partake and in a 121-109 affair, and a repeat type performance is a high probability outcome tonight. 

PORTLAND is 8-1 OVER  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this seasonPORTLAND is 13-4 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 227.1 ppg going on the scoreboard and 15-4 OVER  L/19 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better) with an average of 222.7 ppg going on the board. Six of the L/8 games played here in Portland have eclipsed the number. 

Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Warriors  - off a home win, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record 31-11 L/42 for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

Utah likes to muck up the waters with a grinding style of play which suits their player personnel. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers need to use their top tier offensive talents , and push in transition. Tonight, will see a war of wills, but this type of action I am betting will result of this being a much higher scoring game than the line makers suggest. 

LA CLIPPERS are 17-8 OVER as a road favorite this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. LA CLIPPERS are 12-1 OVER L/13 in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 213.5 ppg getting scored. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

With the Boston Celtics  a 2-0 hole, I'm betting the Beatown basketball crew come out here with all guns blazing in desperation mode. The Chicago Bulls will than have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I am betting eclipses the total. CHICAGO is 14-6 OVER L/20 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, with a combined average of 215.1 ppg going on the scoreboard, and in the /bulls L/53 games vs Atlantic division teams the combined average total of those tilts rang in at 207.4 ppg. The Celtics have scored 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14 and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14. 

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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0

Grinding into a slow methodical pace has not helped the Grizzlies so far in this series, and now they will have to speed things up here on their own home floor. Of course the Spurs will reciprocate with their own fire works which I am betting leads to a higher scoring game that many may anticipate based on the first two games in this series. In Memphis's L/9 games off a loss to a division rival thye have seen an average of 201.9 ppp get scored. Memphis when on 2 days rest have seen a combined score of 202.5 ppg get scored. SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 OVER  after a cover as a double digit favorite dating back to last season have seen an average of 201.4 ppg go on the scoreboard.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies  - attempting 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in April games have seen the over go 57-26 dating back 5 seasons .

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Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1

These teams took part in a 106-100 point game last time out in Toronto which is a true pace, of where I am betting this series is headed in . MILWAUKEE is 25-16 OVER in home games this season with an a average of average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. Toronto has seen an average of 204.9 ppg go on the board in road games this season.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

These teams played two high scoring games in the first two meetings of this series, and nothing suggests anything will change tonight.

All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 the Pacers - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 64-28 on the over for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

CLEVELAND in their L/27  after a combined score of 225 points or more this season have seen an average of 220.4 ppg go on the scoreboard.CLEVELAND is 20-8 OVER L/28 as a road favorite this season have seen a combined score of 222.5 ppg go on the scoreboard. HC McMillians L/8 games have seen an average of 220.1 ppg go on the board. HC Lue is 20-7 OVER L/27 in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 with ana verage of 221.1 ppg clicking in on the board. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Los Angeles Clippers lost  Game 1 of this series  97-95  to the Utah Jazz,   at Staples Center because they played to the Jazz pace. Now I expect they will speed up their play and look for quicker transition into their offense. Their Clippers reserves were outscored by the Jazz's 47-20 , but Im expecting a different story this time around and a more aggressive offensive effort from the Clippers in a game 2. With that said,  I am betting the  combined score will eclipse the total. In Utah's last 12 games as a underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points a total of 200.6 ppg were scored. In the Clippers L/19 home games after a 1  or more straight unders a total combined score in the following game came up a 214.8 ppg and their L/26 games revenging a loss the total combined score clicked in at 208 ppg. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Atlanta saw an average of 202.6 ppg go on the scoreboard in their road games this season, and own the 27th ranked  offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, the Wizards saw an average of almost 216 ppg go on the scoreboard in their home games this season.  With that said, the Hawks who own the 4th best defensive rating in the NBA will Im betting attempt to give themselves a chance at winning on the road by implementing  a slower more physical game plan to deal with the Wizards take no prisoners style of hoops.  This will see the total combined score hit in a  the 207-209 range according to my own player to player and systems matchup configurations. Thus giving value to an under wager. 

Note: The Wizards despite of some high scoring game outputs this season still rank only 11 th in pace in the league, 

Atlanta has seen 11 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the number. HC Budenholzer is 17-6 UNDER L/23 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the total combined score coming in at 208.5 ppg. ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER l/15  versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this  season and is 11-2 UNDER  versus poor defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% +  with a combined average of 203.2 ppg getting scored.. Atlanta  is 10-0 UNDER  off a road loss by 10 points or more this season, which happened in their finale. ATLANTA is 30-9 UNDER  after playing a road game this season.ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER  after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. division opponents this season.The Hawks from a long term perspective have seen a combined average of 187.3 ppg go on the board in their L/54 play off road games dating back to the late 90s. 

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CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Game 1 (Best of 3)

Championships are usuallywon with top tier defesne, and with that said,  tonight despite of both teams ability to score in bunches , Im betting on a more phsycial slower paced affair, especially here in game 1 as both tems feel each other out in conservative fashion. COASTAL CAROLINA in their L/6 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last few seasons have seen an average of 131.2 ppg.WYOMING   in 14  non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 148.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. Coastal Carolina in their L/10 after taking part in a fairly high scoring game where 155 ppg were put on the board, have followed up with a combined score of 140.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. Wyoming off a home win going on the road have seen a combined score of 133.4 ppg get scored, spanning a fairly decent 23 game sample size.COASTAL CAROLINA is 13-5 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 137.13 ppg going on the board.

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For whatever reason its become apparent of late that Indiana is having alot of problems on the road, as compared to home. The Pacers do play a more conservative style on the road, and are also playing a better overall brand of defensive hoops, which has culminated in alot of lower scoring tilts. For example, the Pacers have scored less than 99 points, in 7 of their L/8 away games, and in 6 straight, scoring 99,97,88,85,81,91 respectively. Also in their L/10 games only one combined score has eclipsed todays total. Meanwhile, Boston, as the season progressed have based their successes and failures on playing a top tier brand of basketball, which has resulted, in 17 of their L/21 games staying on the low side of the Total and have gone under in 8 of their 9 March match-ups with an average of 205.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams did take part in a 109-102 affair in Indiana that the Celtics won back on Dec 22, but based on how the teams are playing now, Im betting on a lower aggregated score that comes in at no more than 201-204 combined points. With that said, Im recommending we take the under. 

In Indiana's L/21 games when playing their third game in 4 days, they have seen a combined score of 203.7 ppg go on the board. INDIANA is 32-19 UNDER  revenging a same season loss vs opponent dating back to last season with a combined average of 204 ppp going on the scoreboard. Boston's HC McMillian is 118-87 under when the total is 200 to 209.5 in all games he has coached with this team, with a combined average score 200.4 ppg getting scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 road games.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1-1 in Celtics lThree of the L/4 games played in Boston in this series have gone under.

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NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Energy Solutions Arena - Salt Lake City,UT

Arizona in the opening round of the tournament put 100 points on the board, and it looks like their ready to run and gun and are in top form offensively.  Previous, to that Arizona scored 92,86,83 points in their final 3 conference regular season games. Meanwhile, St,Marys despite of liking to play a slower more deliberate style of hoops will have no option but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court..

ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 171.2 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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Big Sky Conference Tournament - Championship Game - Reno, NV

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own Totals estimates make this number closer to 150. Thus there is value taking the OVER in this tilt.

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Gonzaga (31-1) ranked No. 4 nationally averaging 84.9 ppg overall and Saint Mary's (28-3) at No. 19 averaging 73 ppg on offense this season prepare to tangle in a game with a cheap total attached to it .Gonzaga shot 55.3 percent from the field in its 74-64 win over Saint Mary's on Feb. 11 in Moraga, Calif. The Bulldogs shot 64.7 percent in their 79-56 victory in Spokane, Wash., on Jan. 14 and have obviously shown an ability to bypass Saint Mary's defense that is the key to their successes and failures. Today, I expect the Bulldogs to dictate the pace of this game , and for Saint Mary's to have to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own  or be blown off the court.

ST MARYS-CA is 8-1 OVER  after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games with a combined average score  of 136.2 ppg going on the board.GONZAGA is 28-13 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5.GONZAGA is 31-18 OVER L/51  in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.3 ppg getting scored.

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MEAC Tournament - First Round - Norfolk, VA

Delaware prepared for this tourney , by playing their L/3 games with a defensive mindset,  taking part in 3 low scoring physical tilts, losing to Morgan St 65-54  and MD East Shore 65-64, before defeating Howard in their last game of the season, 66-56.  Now against a Bethune Cookman side, that struggles with their offensive consistency,as is evident by scoring ,69 points or less in 3 of their L/5 , I expect Delaware will grind away in a deliberate slowdown fashion, which will help keep this game on the low side of the number. 

DELAWARE ST is 12-3 UNDER  in all neutral court games  it has played dating back 20 seasons, with average combined score of 123.5 ppg getting scored and  is 14-4 UNDER in all tournament games  over he same time span, with themselves and their opponents combining to score 123.1 ppg.

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Tonight's Texas Showdown between the Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs will see a more physical , Im betting will see a more defensive type game than the pundits might expect. The Rockets play a fire house brand of basketball, that features an explosive offense. Meanwhile, the Spurs  ranked No.1 in the league in D rating,despite of being able to run and gun with the best of teams , base their successes and failures on playing strong two way basketball based on solid defensive fundamentals, behind a pace that ranks 26th in the league. Tonight Im betting the home team, show cases this , and controls the pace of this tilt, which will in turn help keep the total combined score of this game on the low side of the number.

   From a league wide data base is must be noted that  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Rockets/Spurs - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 32-6 UNDER for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Spurs - after 7 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 23-4 under for a 85% conversion rate for bettors following this league wide trend that dates back 5 seasons.

HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER L/21 vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 204.7 ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 UNDER   in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games.Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-3 in Rockets last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.Under is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

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The Spurs return home with little rest after a late night and a later flight after beating New Orleans 101-98 in overtime on Friday and will be no mood to run and gun and instead will focus on their top tier defense to slow down the young rested Minnesota Wolves. Note: The Spurs have not allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to not eclipse the 99 point plateau. I also will not be surprised if Spurs HC  Popovich does not rest Aldridge, Green and Gasol for parts of his game after all three played big minutes in last nights exhausting tilt, which in turn will mute the Spurs sometimes explosive offense. Meanwhile Minnesota, looks like they have turned a corner with some impressive defensive performances of late, allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents 99 or less points and 3 of those opponents to not eclipse the 88 point plateau. They are off a upset win last time out vs Utah by a 107-80 count but have seen their L/11 games off a win vs a division rival see a combined score of 199.9 ppg go on the scoreboard in their follow up tilt and if off a upset win as a underdog of 6 or more points vs a division rival the follow up game has seen them and their opponents average just 194.1 ppg, over a 21 game span.

MINNESOTA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season, with just under 200 combined ppg getting scored. SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots with the average combined score clicking in at 193.4 ppg and 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game   with the combined score of 193.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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The Chicago Bulls roll into this contest having won four straight games, behind an offense that has suddenly come to life, scoring 105,104,128, and 117 points in those games via a more aggressive attack and uptick in pace.  Meanwhile, Denver despite of struggling of late, continue to score in bunches on most nights, averaging 110.6 ppg on the season, behind the 7th ranked pace. Their biggest issue comes via their defense, which has allowed a whopping 111.7 ppg this season, and 112 ppg in road tilts, ranking dead last in defensive rating in the league. Considering the Bulls current form, and the Nuggets propensity to run and gun, Im betting we will see a high scoring affair tonight that eclipses this number. My owns numbers suggest that both these teams  will score in 110 range . DENVER is 30-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined score of 234.8 ppg, going on the scoreboard , and the Nuggets are  also  22-1 OVER  when they score 112 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average of 239.2 ppg getting scored. 

DENVER is 11-1 OVER L/12 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 233.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. DENVER is 10-0 OVER  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 dating back to last season, with a combined average of 225.8 ppg getting scored. Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 vs. NBA Central.Over is 11-5 in Nuggets last 16 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

These are two of the best teams in the MAAC, and both can light up the scoreboard with efficient offenses. But in a big game like this defense and a more physical type of game Im betting will take precedent, which will lead to a lower combined score than the Total may indicate. It must also be noted that Monmouths D, is very reliable , holding  4 of their L/6 opponents to 69 points or less and once again help this combined score stay on the low side of the Total. 

MONMOUTH is 15-4 UNDER ( versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of those games clicking in at 152.1 ppg and is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72%  or more of their attempts under the same above time and game perimeters with a combined average of 131.1 ppg. 

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The No. 5 UCLA Bruins take on the No. 4 Arizona Wildcats Saturday night in a game with tremendous Pac-12 Conference and NCAA Tournament implications. In games like this , play off style /post season game type of events , a more physical and defensive type battle must be expected. This kind of tilt will help mute both sides usually potent offenses. With that said, taking the under here makes for a viable wager.

ARIZONA in 12 games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined to average of 147.9 ppg on board. 

UCLA is 9-1 UNDER  in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 137.1 ppg getting scored.UCLA is 12-3 UNDER L/15 as a road underdog or pick with a combined average of 138.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like UCLA - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better) going under 28 of the L/32 times dating back 21 seasons for a massive 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

HC Alford of UCLA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. UCLA lost to Arizona 96-85 earlier this season as 5 point home chalk. Also Afford is 9-1 under L/10 if his tea has revenge on board in game his team allowed 85 points or more, with the combined average score clicking in at 150.2 ppg.  

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My own numbers make the Total of this tilt closer to 210.5 to 211 and Im betting we have value taking an over wager here. Yesterday, Miami scored 108 points, in its first game back off the all star break, while their opponents tonight the Pacers popped 102 points on the board. Both played last night, and will now be in rhythm heading into this game, which will lead to a run and gun affair. MIAMI in 16 games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average 212.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Pacers - revenging a road loss vs opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days have gone over 31 of the L/39 times this trend has been in play dating back 21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. Also NBA teams like Miami  - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team have gone over 49 of the the 66 times for a 74% conversion rate for betting backers.

  MIAMI is 8-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing  with no rest.

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

HOFSTRA is 9-2 UNDER L/11 when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 2 seasons.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (WM & MARY/HOFSTRA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) are 100-58 under dating back 20 seasons for a 63% long term conversion rate for bettors.

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My own estimates make this total closer to 150, and thus taking an under stance makes for a high probability outcome for under bettors.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (QUINNIPIAC/MANHATTAN) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games are a bankroll expanding 30-6 to the under for betting backers which equates to a 83%  long term conversion rate .

MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER L/6 this season versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 137.6 ppg going on the scoreboard.QUINNIPIAC is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games after scoring 80 points or more (which happened last time out vs Fairfield)

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My ow proprietary  programs suggest this total is slightly blaoted, and thus making an under bet makes for a viable investment options according to my own data. SIU EDWARDSVL is 15-8 UNDER  in all games this season.SIU EDWARDSVL is 15-7 UNDER as an underdog this season.SIU EDWARDSVL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog which happened last time out.

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL - poor three point shooting team (32% or less) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more) are 185-119 on the under dating back 20 seasons, for a 60% conversion rate!

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

W MICHIGAN is 15-2 OVER  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5.W MICHIGAN is 8-0 OVER in all home games this season. W MICHIGAN is 10-0 OVER  in home games off a win against a conference rival, which happened lat time out. 

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These are two of the best teams in this conference and the front runners for a conference title. Im betting this will play out like a post season affair, and will be defensive and physical in nature, which will aid in a lower scoring tilt.

OAKLAND is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 143.7 ppg. VALPARAISO is 22-10 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 136 ppg. VALPARAISO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 as a road underdog or pick with a combined average o 120 ppg. OAKLAND is 6-0 UNDER  after scoring 80 points or more this season.

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Wyoming his hitting their stride offensively scoring 83,102, and 74 points in their L/3 and have done their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 81.1 ppg. Tonight Im betting they come out with firing on all cylinders, and will force Colorado State to keep up, which Im betting leads to a higher scoring game than many pundits expect. HC Eustachy of Colorado St is  11-1 OVER L/12 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season , with a combined average of 156.5 ppg going on the scoreboard . WYOMING is 9-1 OVER in February games dating back to last season with a combined average of 155.1 ppg going on the board. WYOMING is 12-4 OVER  when the total is 140 to 149.5 dating back to last season. 

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Toronto and Chicago are two teams struggling on defense at the moment, with the Raptors allowing 102+ ppg in  7 of their L/8 games, and the Bulls following suit allowing 9 straight opponents to eclipse the 100 point plateau. Considering both sides current form I expect both to eclipse the 100 point level again. When these teams played back on Jan 7 ,241 total points went on the board. TORONTO is 21-7 OVER L/28 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points dating back to last season, with a combined average of 208.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 18-5 OVER  where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season, with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

I know the Bulls are short handed tonight, with Wade and Butler missing  but I expect the backups who are far more healthy to be alot more cohesive than a couple of banged up players who are currently slowing this team down, and making them less cohesive.

CHICAGO is 9-1 OVER L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 216 ppg on the board and  is 18-8 OVER L/26 against Atlantic division opponents with a combined average of .  210.3 ppg getting registered. Bulls/Raptors have gone over 5 straight meetings in Chciago.

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Floridas defense has been dominant of late, allowing 52,54,66, 60, 62 points in their L/5 overall. Auburn has shown they can run and gun , but they will be hard pressed to score in cohesive fashion tonight, which I am betting will help keep this tilt on the low side of a slightly bloated total. HC White in his L/12 tilts  as a road favorite or pick has seen a combined average of 143.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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The Heat had their 13-game win streak which was  the longest in the NBA this season and the longest in league history for a sub-.500 team abruptly come to end on Saturday night in a loss at the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami's streak of 100 point games did stay intact however, and now stands at 13 games. Now ready for a bounce back effort and a higher energy performance I expect the Heat to be ready to put points up on the board in bunches vs a Orlando defense allowing a average of 109 ppg as visitors this season and that has allowed 113,128,112, and 112 points in their L/4 trips to the hardwood. Tonight I expect the Heat to score at least 112+ points and for the Magic to be forced to keep up in what I am betting will be a combined score that eclipses the total. Note: ORLANDO is 22-2 OVER where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.  NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are a bankroll expanding 31-9 for over bettors dating back 21 seasons.

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Miami played last night so they are on tired legs going i to their 4th straight road tilt, and now go against a Philadelphia team missing offensive catalyst Joel Emblid ( knee injury).   Considering these factors, and a few more I will list, this game has value for bettors with a under wager. 

The Sixers rank 30th in offensive rating in the league, and a a average but not so bad 15th ranked defensive rating . Meanwhile, Miami ranks 22nd in pace, 26th in offensive rating, and a stellar 6th in defensive rating. The Heat have not allowed more than 99 points in 5 of their L/8 games and despite of their current hot hand , still base their successes and failures on playing a strong defensive brand of hoops. With that said, look for the Heat to be more direct and methodical in their approach tonight, and for the Sixers offense to be muted after a run a gun affair in their last trip to the hardwood. Sixers HC Brown is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in home games after scoring 110 points with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. (Philly beat Orlando last time out 112-111).

MIAMI is 23-10 UNDER L/33 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

The Total on this game according to my own numbers is off by 3 points, and closer to 150. Thus giving us value on the over.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (IOWA ST/OKLAHOMA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) have gone over 60 of the L/76 times, for a 79% conversion rate, dating back to the 2011 season. 

OKLAHOMA is 7-1 OVER  on Saturday games this season with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. IOWA ST is 6-0 OVER  on Saturday games this season, with a combined average of 168.1 ppg getting scored. 

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My own line, suggests this total is exaggerated to the high side because of both sides explosive offenses,  and should be closer to 153.5. N KENTUCKY is 9-1 UNDER L/10 when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season and s 6-0 UNDER L/6 in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5.

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My own numbers suggest this contest has a rather weak Totals number attached to it. So from a strictly mathematical perspective we have value with an under wager. Another interesting trend that also shades me in this direction is the fact that 
HC of IUPUI Gardner is 10-0 UNDER after playing a game as a home underdog ,( which happened last time out,) has seen a combined average score 120.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. 
I know Nebraska O has an explosive offense, but because of this their is a premium attached to this Total, and Im recommending we take the under.

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Buffalo enters this game having scored 90 plus points in their L/3 games are in a top tier offensive groove. I know N Illinois plays a slower pace game, but the way the Bulls are scoring , I believe that N.Illinois will have to up their pace or be blown off the floor in ugly fashion. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like Buffalo - off an road win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season have gone 49-16 to the OVER for a 75%+ conversion rate for bettors. HC Oats Buffalo is 15-3 OVER L/18 when the total is 140 to 149.5 with a combined average of 155.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

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 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

  My own numbers and projections make this total out to be closer to 160, thus giving us value with an under wager. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (LA-LAFAYETTE/GA SOTHERN - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%) have gone under 50 of the L/70 times for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors. 

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 With key Monmouth G Micah Seaborn injured or less than 100% for this game , his teams offensive flow will be effected, with other pertinent factors also  giving us value according to my own projections on the under.  RIDER is 20-9 UNDER L/29 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 138.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. MONMOUTH is 11-1 UNDER  after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 144.2 ppg getting scored. 

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My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 WOFFORD is 9-2 OVER L/11 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 OVER L/9 versus good offensive teams like E Tenn St - scoring 77+ points/game under the same game perimeters with a combined average of 169.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.  Wofford has scored 100 or more points twice in their L/13 games and have eclipsed the 88 point plateau 4 more times in that span and are more than capable of an explosive offensive performance, which will Im betting sees their opponent returning fire with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court which the linesmakers believe is not the case as the visitor is favored. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

This Totals investment option centers almost totally on past trends, and mathematical truths and both sides current form. 

Oklahoma City are ranked 7th in Defensive rating in the league and 18th in offensive rating. Chicago ranks 23 in offense and 5th in defense. With that said, I expect the Thunders under rated D, to hold the Bulls struggling offense, to a lower out put than expected, while the Bulls solid D, does the same to the Thunder. Im betting on a grinding physical affair.

CHICAGO is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less  turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 201.3 ppg going on the board.CHICAGO is 25-15 UNDER L/40 versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg and is 23-14 UNDER L/37 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season with a combined average of 204.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER L/17 in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 202.9 ppg getting put on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is also 8-0UNDER L/9 after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season with a combined average 

with a combined average of 196.2 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after a combined score of 215 points or more this season with the following game seeing a combined sore of 196.6 ppg. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 UNDER L/31` in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.5 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 4 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 203.6 ppg going on the scoreboard, 13-0 UNDER  after 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season with a combined average of 201.1 ppg clicking in.

According to the data above, this tilt between Oklahoma City and Chicago favors a Total that should be closer to 202 to 204 , thus giving us value on this number being offered via a under bet.

Under is 10-3 in Bulls last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-7-2 in Bulls last 32 road games.Under is 23-9-1 in Thunder last 33 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

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The Lakers expect to have guard D'Angelo Russell the catalyst of their offense back on the floor tonight vs the visiting Denver Nuggets. His presence and flow will aid the Lakers into what Im betting will be a strong offensive showing vs a weak Nuggets defense ranked 28th in defensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Denver is currently playing a top tier brand of basketball, that is producing a scorching offensive out put that has been highlighted with six 123+ point out explosions in their L/10 games .With that said I expect Nuggets have a big night again vs a Lakers D, .that is allowing an average of 110.1 ppg on the season and among the leagues bottom feeders and ranked 29th in defensive rating. DENVER is 21-4 OVER vs  lower tier defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season with a combined average of 230.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams played in a 127-121 scorcher here back on Jan 17 and another back and forth affair is a high probability again. ( LAL ranks 7th in pace in the league- Denver ranks 5th in pace)

Over is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 29-11-2 in Lakers last 42 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Over is 13-2-1 in Nuggets last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Lakers- revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-19 L/66 OVER.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Minnesota has scored 114,104,111,112,103, and 129 points on offense in their L/6 games , and at the same time, allowed 122,101, 108,111,109, and 109 points in back forth take no prisoners style games. Meanwhile, Orlando's porous D, has allowed 100 or more points in 16 of their L/17 games. Meanwhile, the Magic vs swiss cheese  defenses, can do damage as was the case vs the Raptors last time out when they put 114 points on the board, and will be primed to run and gun again in this spot with same season revenge on board. My own projections estimate that Minnesota will score 110 or more points. Which brings this trend into play. ORLANDO is 16-4 OVER  when they allow 110 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 224.9 ppg going on the board .ORLANDO is 12-4 OVER L/16 revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season ( Minnesota beat Orlando 127-107 back Nov 11.)

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Milwaukee's enter this road game against the Celtics having  problems with their  defensive play.  The  Bucks after leading the league earlier this season are now  15th in FG D (48.9 percent) and are 11th in points allowed, giving up 104.5 per game.Meanwhile, the Celtics are running on cylinders offensively, scoring more than 106 points 19 straight times  and will make the Bucks run with them today , or be blown of the court. This scenario I am betting leads toa high scoring affair that eclipses the number.

BOSTON is 9-1 OVER  after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games this season with a combined average od 223.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 OVER L/12 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average score of 222.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. MILWAUKEE is 17-4 OVER after playing a road game this season.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

 My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Northern Kentucky scored 101 points last time out and allowed 87 in a run and gun affair, and will now be in a run and gun state of mind entering this tilt. Meanwhile, Illinois Chicago was crushed by Valparaiso last time out, 96-65. After that ugly effort, I expect the Illinois Chicago will come out here in aggressive fashion looking for redemption, so a high octane outing becomes a strong possbility.   N KENTUCKY is 8-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.  

My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 150, thus giving us value with an over wager in this spot. 

 CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points like N.Kentucky - after allowing 85 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 30 points or more are 30-6 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

Charlotte enters this game having gone under in 7 straight games, thanks to some bloated Totals, and decent defensive efforts. Charlotte a team that ranks 16th in offense in the league enters this game off a hard fought loss to Golden State last time out 113-103, and could easily start a little slowly in an emotional let down state , which will impact their offensive output over the entire game. Meanwhile, the NY Knicks a side that ranks 15th in offensive output, have gone under the Total in 3 straight games, and last time out in Dallas put just 95 points on the board in exhausted looking fashion. Now still on tired legs, playing their 8th game in 12 days, I expect the Knicks offense to be muted again, for a Charlotte side that can play a strong brand of defensive ball. (Charlotte ranks 6th in the NBA in Defensive rating)

NEW YORK is 13-1 UNDER L/14 versus strong offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 200.7 ppg games.CHARLOTTE is 18-4 UNDER L/22 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76%  or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average  of 200.4 ppg getting scored.

 From a league wide NBA data base, it must be noted that teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like NYK - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 50-16 under going back 5 seasons.

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TEMPLE is 6-0 OVER L/6  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of  151.4 ppg going on the scoreboard .

College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points Memphis/Temple  - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or better) after 15+ games.  90-38 over. College Hoops teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEMPLE) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (32% or less) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher (42-14 over).

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Utah enters this home tilt vs Oklahoma City ranked first points allowed, and 30th in pace in the NBA, with a  defense first  and methodical physical system being their cornerstone to success or failure. Meanwhile, the Thunder despite of their reputation are ranked just 16th in offensive rating this season, and a decent 12th in defensive rating and play better defense than many give them credit for. With that said, I expect a lower scoring game then the linesmakers expect, based on their hard data. My own numbers suggest that  based on the above mentioned matchup variables t that we have value being under bettors in this spot, 

The Thunder enter this game going under in 11 straight games with rest, and have gone under in 11 of their L/13 with a line of 211 or less. Meanwhile,  the Jazz have gone under 6 straight times,  as favorites vs .550 opponents or less like the Thunder and have gone under in 8 of the L/9 vs Oklahoma City. Under is 8-1 in Thunder last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-4 in Thunder last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Thunder - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5  or lessTO's) are 35-11 UNDER dating back 21 seasons.  NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 liek the Jazz - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 22-4 UNDER dating back 5 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Brooklyn Nets upset the New Orleans Pelicans by putting 143 points on the board in their last trip to the hardwood, via  uptempo and downtown barrage of shots. BROOKLYN is 11-3 OVER  as an underdog of 10 or more points this season, with a combined average of 232.6 ppg going on the board. The Nets have allowed 101 or more points in 18 straight games, and recently have finally seen their fast take no prisoners style of offensive play, net them 113, 112, 109, an 143 points in their L/4, with the combined average score of those games ringing in at 244.7 ppg, thanks in part to a horrid defense.  Meanwhile, the Hornets offense averages 105.2 ppg this season, and their defense has allowed 103 ppg. Considering the Nets wide open transition game this tilt looks like it will once again be a wide open affair with plenty of points getting scored.  NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Hornets - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less have gone OVER in 33 o their L/40 games dating back 21 seasons.(The  Hornets did that to the Raptors last time out).

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and propietary software projections . All factors are researched - revlevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection