When these teams played back in late November of this season, the Warriors took a 143-94 win vs their hosts tonight the Chicago Bulls. I'm sure that bad defensive performance still is a sore point for Hoiberg and company, and this time around I'm betting the Bulls despite of some decent offensive production of late won't allow themselves to get caught up in shoot out that they probably can't win. This I'm betting cuts into the lines-makers Totals projections. Add to that the Warriors are off a big win vs Cleveland last time out, and now in a an emotional letdown situation, their energy levels should be diminished , and their offensive output curtailed, which could lead to a much lower scoring game than expected.

HC Kerr is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season with the combined average score registering in at 214.6 ppg. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent with a combined average score of 201.9 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.

GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 214.7 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the average combined score clicking in at 207.9 ppg.

GOLDEN STATE is 23-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 229.5 to 230 with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 27-10 UNDER L/37 in home games in non-conference games with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

     My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Iowa plays a one way offensive game, scoring 81 plus ppg on offense and allowing 81 ppg on the road. Rutgers plays a little slower paced game, but I'm betting will be dragged into a much faster paced tilt then their accustomed to which will result in a fairly high scoring affair.

RUTGERS is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 145.7 ppg scored and 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board.

IOWA is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 154 ppg going on the board. IOWA is 11-1 OVER L/12 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.

CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RUTGERS/IOWA) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 112-54 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER                    

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

N DAKOTA ST is 14-2 OVER L/16 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games and 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or better. N DAKOTA is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points. N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER in non-conference games this season.


CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 60-26 OVER L/5 season for a70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

KENT ST is 9-0 OVER  L/9  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last few seasons. W MICHIGAN is 24-11 OVER  L/35 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over. KST HC Senderoff is 20-6 OVER L/26 in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 .

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (W MICHIGAN/KENT ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=60 shots/game) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games are 46-12  OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rockets enter this contest against the LA Clippers playing decently without super star James Harden ( injury). However, the Rockets still don't look like they have the same flow they had with him in the lineup. Yes, their offense remains productive, but I can see chinks in their armour, and I'm betting the Clippers find a way to slow them down a little bit on their own home floor. I know these teams took part in a high scoring 128-118 affair back in late December , that the Rockets won, but with the Clippers learning their lesson, I expect a different type of approach here. With that said,   the  Clippers  know its in their best interest to slow this game down if they want positive results. With LAC HC Rivers starting to look like a much better tactician than he was earlier in coaching career  ,   I'm also  betting Rivers will try to slug it out with Houston in a slower more grinding game, instead going head to head with them,   in a run and gun affair again. This will result in a lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers might expect.

LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half dating back to last season with a combined average of 195.4 ppg going on the board. LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 UNDER L/18 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored.HOUSTON in their L/28 games in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game have seen a combined  average of 222.9 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 31-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

The Lakers  have had success of late and are on a 4 game win streak thanks to playing  much better defensive hoops and held the last three opponents to an average of 89.3 points. Tonight against a Memphis side that has only average 97.8 ppg in offensive production at home, I'm betting on them keeping their foes under wraps again. It must also be noted that the Lakers have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/7 in slower paced affairs behind the 29th ranked offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, Memphis is off scoring 78 points last time out in a hard fought defensive game in Denver (87-78), and I'm betting that Fizdale and company stick to this type of physcial hoops again, as they revert back to a slower paced game plan as they search for consistency.

Memphis is ranked 30th in Pace in the NBA while their  offense ranks 29th.

Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games following a ATS win.

MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER L/22 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. MEMPHIS is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season .MEMPHIS is 16-5 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 198.5 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 175 points or less are 39-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

The Spurs key to success has always been a dominant D, but with a boatload full of injuries to key defensive players, ie ( K Leonard) I'm betting they will be at a disadvantage tonight, against a young LA Lakers team that despite of trying to play better D,  is still for the most part  a one way run and gun team. Earlier this season with Parker and Leonard out, the Spurs still played very competitive ball, and I'm betting nothing changes tonight, except maybe their ability to defend and be physical in the process, as they are also on tired legs, as they play their third road game in four nights. The Lakers offense has been a little stagnant of late, but with an opportunity to upset a big time opponent I'm betting we see these kids and their veterans in top form and ready to run. The above mentioned group of situations should contribute to a looser game than many might expect and a much higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.

LAL ranks 29th in the league in D and own the No.1 pace.

Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 19-9 in Spurs last 28 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 11-4 in Lakers last 15 overall.Over is 22-8-1 in Lakers last 31 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling  defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors with a combined average of 225.6 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER

My own Totals projections estimate a total combined score of around 150-152 making this a viable OVER wagering opportunity. 

TCU owns a high powered offense averaged 86.9 ppg, and Texas despite of being a strong physical defensive side, will be dragged into playing a faster paced game then they might want to , which I'm betting will result in a higher scoring affair then the lines-makers expect.

TCU is 6-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better this season with the combined average score of 169.8 ppg scored.TCU is 10-2 OVER  in road games against conference opponents dating back to last season with a combined average score of 149.4 ppg scored.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are a long term viable totals  bet, as the OVER is 108-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Toronto Raptors are on tired legs after an  overtime victory over the Nets last  night. Not only will they be exhausted but  also maybe short handed after  All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry injured himself last night. If Lowry does not play or is less than 100% the Raptors flow will be interrupted and so will their offensive cohesiveness. Also after last nights affair this Raptors side will be in no condition to run and gun, which will also effect their output ratio. Another factor here is that  we may see the explosive TO crew curtail their aggressiveness  as coach Casey, was not impressed with their defensive play last night, and now wants a concerted effort in transition,  in their own end of the court. This Toronto team despite of being an offensive juggernaut when healthy , play solid D, and rank 6th in Defensive efficiency in the league and are more than capable of stepping up their stopping efforts. Meanwhile the Heat  despite of taking part in some fairly high scoring tilts of late, do their best work when their playing tough defensive ball behind Hassan Whiteside, and tonight I'm betting their prepared to be physical in their quest to some how slow down this explosive side  ( Heat Rank 27th in pace in the league and 7th in points allowed). These scenarios play well towards this total score falling below the posted Number. Note: The four most recent meetings in this series have all failed to eclipse the posted total with a combined average of 187.8 ppg scored.

MIAMI is 26-12 UNDER  L/38 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 199.1 ppg scored during that span.MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

Under is 60-29-1 in Heat last 90 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-2 in Heat last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games.

NBA  team (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Miami Heat  enter this home game playing some good hoops of late, winning three straight , and  now go against a inconsistent  slumping Utah Jazz team that has lost 12 of their L/15 games  this  Sunday afternoon  at American Airlines Arena.

Both these teams overall numbers on the season suggest they are comfortable playing slower paced hoops. But recent stats and style of play do not support the overall data. This giving us value playing the OVER.

The Jazz's biggest problem this season is their inability to play solid defense, something they have become respected for, until recently. That is evident by allowing more than 100 points in 12 of their L/15 tilts with the average  opposition offensive production coming in at 109.4 ppg in those above mentioned games . With the Heat hitting their offensive stride of late scoring , 117, 111, 107 points in their L/3 , in fast paced back and forth affairs, . Considering the Heats current blue print has been successful   I'm betting on another similar output this Sunday by the Heat as they force the Jazz into a faster paced game than they may want to participate in. It must also be noted that the Heat have allowed 6 of their L/7 opponents to eclipse the 100  point plateau allowing a average of 106.5 ppg in the 6 games. With that said,  my own projections, estimate both sides to eclipse the 100 point plateau, in this spot which makes taking an over wager a  very viable investment option.

Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Miami.

MIAMI is 11-1 OVER  L/12  in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49% with a combined average 216.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. UTAH is 14-1 OVER    in road games versus lower tier foul drawing teams - attempting  21 or less free throws/game with the combined average score of 205.6 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games are 37-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 54-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The Rockets did well without the injured super star James Harden last night in a 116-98 win vs a downtrodden group in the Orlando Magic. Tonight, however, on tired legs  I'm betting their offense will be muted , vs a much better  and under rated defensive side , that is ranked 5th in defensive efficiency  in the league . With that said, I'm expecting the Rockets to take a much more conservative approach to this confrontation, vs the explosive Warriors than they usually would because of being short handed which will result in a slower paced game then expected. The Rockets are also no pushovers on defense as their efficiency ranking is 10th overall in the league and will be primed to play physical ball. Note:Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA);  for players and teams... it is based on points allowed per 100 possessions.

Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.

The last meeting between these teams was high scoring ,a 122-121 shootout win for the Rockets as road dogs but 5 of the L/6 overall have stayed under the total . I'm expecting for these sides to revert back to those types of confrontations tonight.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games are 28-7 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Texas A&M is expected to without its leading scorer, D.J. Hogg (suspended), and guard Admon Gilder (knee) . Robert Williams and Duane Wilson suffered injuries against the Crimson Tide in a game where they scored just 57 points in a DD loss. These injuries and suspensions will once again I'm betting effect the Aggies offensive output, in a tilt that I'm betting they will play in methodical fashion as they try to avert another beat down. This will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total.

FLORIDA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS A&M is 21-9 UNDER L/30 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.TEXAS A&M is 17-8 UNDER L/25 when playing against a team with a winning record.

Play UNDER

My own projections make this Total closer to 216 to 217, thus giving us value on a UNDER wager in this pot play between the Suns and 76ers.

HC Triano of the Suns has turned his team around and are playing better ball of late, thanks to increased concentration on playing solid defensive ball. Tonight against a sometimes explosive 76ers group you bet this coach has a game plan that is centered on playing a slower brand of basketball. This I'm betting will directly effect the Total combined score of this tilt to the low side of the number. Note: Suns have failed to breach the 100 point plateau in 4 of their L/6 and 5 of their L/7 have remained on the low side the Total.

Under is 7-0 in Suns last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 10-4 in Suns last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

PHOENIX is 21-6 UNDER L/27 after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more with a combined average score of 199.3 ppg going on the board. Suns HC Triano is 12-1 UNDER    in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in all games in his career with a combined average of 209.5 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 23-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 35-9 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 40-14 UNDER L/21  seasons for a 74% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Both these teams can light the board up in a hurry, but Arkansas State is a viable defensive team as well, and have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to under 68 points or less. LA Lafayette is the more aggressive run and gun style team, and I'm expecting the home side to want to slow them down a bit here, which reflect in a more muted offensive output than the linesmakers expect ,  in a game that I am betting remains on the low side of the number.

ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board  ARKANSAS ST is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game  with a combined average of 146.9 ppg going on the board. LA-LAFAYETTE is 8-0 UNDER  after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of with a combine average of 143.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (ARKANSAS ST) - after 2 straight games committing 8 or less turnovers have gone under 35 of the L/45 times for a 78% conversion rate dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the UNDER

The Spurs  are the  healthiest they have been for a  long time  and had their entire available roster ready to play for the first time all season on Tuesday when they beat Brooklyn 109-97. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 13-2 OVER L/15 in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 206.2 ppg going on the board. This Spurs group despite of playing a defense first brand of hoops,  is now explosive and ready to run, and will be motivated to get into an offensive rhythm as a team.  This I'm betting will in turn lead to some faster paced outings for a while for the Spurs, including tonight against a  Knicks group  that when pushed can light the board up behind the likes of Porzingis .

These teams have gone over 6 straight times in San Antonio.Over is 9-4-1 in Spurs last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 8-3 in Knicks last 11 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 road games.

SAN ANTONIO in their L/62 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season have seen a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NEW YORK in their L/46  games versus good shooting teams - making  46% or more  of their shots have seen a combined average score of 206.5 ppg scored.

 NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 38-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Denver and Minnesota are two teams exhibiting upper tier offensive production and lower tier defensive numbers. The Wolves rank 5th in offensive efficiency (112.4) and 25th  in defensive efficiency (110.2).  Meanwhile, the Nuggets ranked 7th in offensive efficiency (110.1) and  a 17th ranked defensive  efficiency rating of (108.3 ) . This combination of numbers adjusted to each team system and head to head matchup comparisons, project and estimated combined score of somewhere in the vicinity of 217 to 219 , thus giving us value with an over bet according to my numbers. Note: The only game between these teams this season saw a combined 216 points go on the board. My own projections estimate both sides will score at least 106+ points tonight. DENVER is 13-0 OVER  L/13 where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combine average of 235.4 ppg clicking in on the board.MINNESOTA is 12-2 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 227 ppg scored.

Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Timberwolves last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.

MINNESOTA is 13-5 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 222 ppg scored.

DENVER is 31-11 OVER  versus lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the combined average of 228.4 ppg scored and is 30-13 OVER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 228 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 38-11 OVER L/5 seasons for 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC - Round 2 - Stan Sheriff Center - Honolulu, HI

Neutral court teams against the total (NEW MEXICO ST) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in December games are 106-54 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for Totals  bettors. Neutral court teams against the total (MIAMI/New Mexico State) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in December games are 96-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NEW MEXICO ST is 8-0 UNDER  L/8 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season .MIAMI is 17-4 UNDER  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.MIAMI is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 off a road win over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after 6 or more consecutive wins.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Chicago enters this game with offensive flow having eclipsed the 100 point plateau in 7 straight games but  have allowed more than 100 points in 15 of their L/18 overall. Now on tired legs after last nights rare strong defensive effort vs Orlando I'm betting they revert back to the norm and allow the explosive Cleveland Cavaliers to light them up for a boat load full of points tonight. Meanwhile, Cleveland has scored an average of over 111 ppg this season, ranking 4th in offense in the league, which includes a porous D, that has allowed 107.4 ppg ranked 23rd worst in the league. Tonight I'm betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this beat Total.

CLEVELAND in 16 games when playing against a team with a losing record this season have seen a combined average of 221.1 ppg go on the board. CLEVELAND is 15-4 OVER    in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread with a combined average of 227.1 ppg go on the scoreboard.

Over is 8-3 in Bulls last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 20-7 in Cavaliers last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

The Chicago Bulls enter this game against Orlando , with the 28th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace. The Bulls have scored more consistently of late,  but I'm betting they will revert to the mean eventually and more importantly tonight , because of key system discrepancies  which I have pinpointed from a matchup system I have formulated  .  Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic, own the 13th ranked offense and 7 th ranked pace. The Magic have also failed to eclipse the 95 point plateau on offense in 4 of their L/7, and are struggling to stay offensively consistent and I'm betting their production problems will persist  in this spot.

Under is 6-0 in Magic last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 20-8 in Bulls last 28 home games.Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.

CHICAGO is 21-8 UNDER L/29 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of 201.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER  L/48 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average score of 207.6 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 25-12 UNDER   as a favorite dating back to last season with a combined average 202.6 points per game on going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 38-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

RICE is 7-0 UNDER ( vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 7+/game with a combined average of 141 ppg going on the board. NEW MEXICO is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better. NEW MEXICO is 16-4 UNDER L/20 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.1 ppg going on the board.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

GEORGIA is 6-0 OVER L/6 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) with a total combined score of 149.7 ppg scored.GEORGIA TECH is 11-1 OVER L/12  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days with a combined score of 150 ppg scored.

My projections call for 137 points or more to go on the  board.

Play on OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

 My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NBA Home teams against the total (TEXAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams ( 32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (17.5 TO's or more) are 60-23 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

The Jazz  played a physical game last night in the middle of a 6 game road trip and will now be exhausted  after beating the  Boston Celtics 107-95 on Friday. After last nights game they went out to the airport and  had to fly two hours to play a well  rested Cavaliers team  that has been home for almost a week. Needless to say their game plan tonight will be to survive via a slow paced effort which will effect the overall offensive output for both these teams.  It must also be noted that they Jazz  top big men got banged up last night as Favors (stitches above his eye)  and Gobert (left knee injury) if they play will be less than 100% which will also effect the Jazz offensive output in this spot. With that said, I'm betting on the Jazz third ranked D, and 24th ranked pace to be key elements in a stagnated combined offensive output vs an explosive opponent which will directly effect the combined score to fall below the posted Total.

UTAH is 38-19 UNDER  L/57  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game.  Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 7-2-1 in Cavaliers last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (79% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are 28-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play on UNDER

Charlotte enters this game having seen a combined average of 212.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers a have seen a combined average of 205 ppg get scored in their road tilts. My own numbers and matchup stats and projections put this total closer to 207, after considering both sides usual pace numbers, which gives us value to the over with this number we are betting into.

PORTLAND is 11-1 OVER in road games after a combined score of 185 points or less which happened in their 95-88 win vs the Magic yesterday. the combined average score of those tilts was 220.3 ppg.
 

CHARLOTTE  in 7 games  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing  14 or less turnovers/game this season, have seen a combined average of 217.9 ppg go on the board.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 40-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER

The  Utah Jazz despite of owning one of the lower pace numbers in the league  and  strong D , are taking part in some fairly high scoring games of late, with combined scores of 213, 217, 203 combined points going on the board in their L/3 trips to the court. The Jazz themselves have scored 100 or more points in 9 of their L/10, and have allowed 100 or more points in 7 of their L/10. with that said, and this being the Jazz's third straight road game , fatigue will play a major part in more defensive breakdowns in this spot and a wider open game.  Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics despite of being a solid defensive team as well, are on tired legs after a high scoring run and gun affair vs the Denver Nuggets last time out taking, a 124-118 win, and won't have the energy to play hardcore physical hoops tonight, which I'm betting will make this a higher scoring game than many pundits might anticipate.

Over is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 overall.Over is 25-10-1 in Celtics last 36 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 7-2 in Celtics last 9 vs. NBA Northwest.

BOSTON in their L/20 games when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 204.3 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 19-6 OVER  L/25 in home games after a combined score of 235 points with a combined average of 212.8 ppg going on the board.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 32-5 OVER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

The Lakers enter this game having scored 100 or more points in 12 of their L/13 overall games, in mostly wide open run and gun affairs as they rank No.1 in pace in the league (102.4). On the season the Lakers defense has allowed 108.9 ppg and rank 24th in the league. Meanwhile, Cleveland the Lakers hosts tonight, are ranked 3rd in the league in offense (111 ppg) and are ranked 23rd in defense, in what has become a wide open high scoring entertaining circus. Tonight I expect the Lakers young legs to try to keep up with the senior/star laden Cavaliers lineup in a game that I expect to eclipse the number.

CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER  L/37 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored.CLEVELAND in 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen the combined average score click in at 224.4 ppg.

Over is 8-0 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games are  44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

NORTHWESTERN is 12-2 UNDER  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game per game with a combined average of 134.1 ppg going on the board. NORTHWESTERN is 12-3 UNDER  when the total is 140 to 149.VALPARAISO is 6-0 UNDER  after a loss by 6 points or less with a combined average of 115.2 ppg going on the board. ( Val lost Ball St 71-70 last time out)

 Play UNDER

The Rockets' exerted a lot of energy in a  130-123 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday night at Toyota Center , that will now have them on tired legs. Last night they had to come back ferociously with a small ball lineup after their defense was torched for the first three quarters, something that will concern the coaching staff , and will have the Rockets more vigilant in transition here this evening vs the Charlotte Hornets. Meanwhile, the Hornets will want to slow this game down, vs an explosive opponent, as their own offense has been very inconsistent this season,  ranking 20th in offensive rating (103.3) and rank in the bottom 5 in field-goal percentage (27th) and effective field-goal percentage (29th). Charlotte is  also 24th in 3-pointers made (nine) and attempted (25.3) per game. Needless to say, the slower the better, and after last nights run and gun affair, I'm betting the Rockets wont mind a slower paced affair either. Note: The two most recent meetings in this series this season have gone under the Total with 202 combined ppg going on the board in both tilts (Houston won both games).  I'm betting on a similar score tonight.

CHARLOTTE is 26-11 UNDER  L/37 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a road win are 24-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

DENVER is 27-9 UNDER L/36 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making  31% or less of their attempts.

CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (N COLORADO) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better against opponent after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 31-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Kings enter this game consistently showing slow starts to their games averaging only 23.0 points in the first 12 minutes and have been held below 20 nine times in their 26 first quarters. Meanwhile, the Suns are averaging nearly 24 points in the opening 12 minutes of their past five games, and that includes a 17-point opening quarter in the loss to San Antonio. With leading scorer Booker out, the Suns overall offensive production flow and energy should also be muted.  These  above mentioned kinds of starts can translate into lower scoring games than many might expect, and that's what I m betting on tonight.

SACRAMENTO is 23-12 UNDER  when the total is 210 to 219.5.Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 19-8 in Kings last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 19-7 in Kings last 26 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - lower tier team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 20-54 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

My  College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

RUTGERS is 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. with a combined average of 147.7 ppg scored.

Home teams against the total (RUTGERS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (32% or less ), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) against a good pressure defensive team (17.5 TO's or more ) are 59-25 OVER L/21 seasons.

Play  OVER

Florida International has been inconsistent on offense so far this season, but they have shown signs of life with their production putting 77 or more points on the board in 3 of their L/4. Meanwhile, South Florida has allowed 79   and  84 points in their L/2 games, and look susceptible to being lit up again and will have to speed up their pace here in this spot if they hope to get  the win. Everything points to a total combined score that eclipses this number.

S FLORIDA is 11-0 OVER   when the total is 129.5 or less. FLA INTERNATIONAL is 13-2 OVER  L/15  after playing a home game with a combined average of 146.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Play UNDER

These teams have two of the top defenses in the league. Their numbers are obviously accumulated /calculated from playing all types of teams . However, when looking at a head on matchup, both can score consistently and offensive flow is something that just something that comes with matchups like this. The Celtics average more than 103 ppg on the road, while the Spurs average 106 + ppg at home. When these teams met earlier this season the Boston crew took out the men from San Antonio via a 108-94 ( 202 pts). Tonight I expect a little bit more scoring and a faster pace, as the home town team comes out looking for revenge. I'm betting the Spurs will come out here on fire, and for the Celtics to have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. Even if the game staggers into a proverbial physical battle, both teams ability to light things up in transition will have this tilt eclipse the beatable number.

Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 road games.Over is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 overall.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 13-4 in Spurs last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 points/game or less with a combined average of 199.8 ppg going on the scoreboard.BOSTON is 14-4 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points with a combined average of 204.7 ppg going on the board.




NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after a win by 10 points or more are 46-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play OVER

A lot has been made of how explosive the Cavaliers have been offensively  since their 13 game win streak started. But it must be noted that the Cavaliers have not allowed 5 of their L/7 opponents to eclipse the 99 point plateau and their D is getting better and better as this season has progressed.  The Cavs are also ranked just 14th in pace so their not exactly a run and gun team either. Meanwhile, the Pacers their hosts tonight, have held their last two opponents under 100 points and will be ready to play a physical game here in attempt to derail their hot visitors. The above combination as well as my own analysis of both sides systems, and specific game factors, make this Total weak and I'm betting that combined score ends up on the low side of the number.

INDIANA is 19-4 UNDER L/23 in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 193.7 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 19-6 l/25 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 204 ppg going on the board. INDIANA is 22-11 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 206.2 ppg clicking in. CLEVELAND is 35-19 UNDER L/54 in road games after 6 or more consecutive wins with a combined average of 193 ppg scored.

NBA  teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 30-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
 Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play OVER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Marshall is a offensive juggernaut averaging more than 93 ppg at home this season. Tonight they will attack as usual on all cylinders and Chatanooga will have no choice but to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which either way will result in a total score that eclipses the total.  MARSHALL is 8-1 OVER  L/9 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season  with a combined average of 177.7 ppg getting scored.  Marshall in their L/6 non conference home games have seen a combined average of 166.7 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play OVER

Chicago does not have the offensive firepower to score a lot of points and keep track with a side like the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Bulls have only eclipsed the 100 point plateau 5 times in their L/18 games, and average just 92.8 ppg at home this season with a overall 30th ranked offensive efficiency in the league . Needless to say it won't be hard to imagine the Bulls wanting to slow this tilt down to a crawl or just make it physically grueling on a veteran side. All in all I expect the total combined output of this affair to fall short of the lines-makers projections because of these key factors.



CHICAGO is 17-5 UNDER L/22 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 202 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 194.1 ppg going on the board.

Under is 4-1-1 in Cavaliers last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 20-7 in Bulls last 27 home games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.




NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 35-11 UNDER  L/20 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals

Play on UNDER

My own projections on this game based on power rankings and system matchups tells me of a high probability situation that favors the  OVER. The  Bucks have gone Over in 11-1 of their  last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record like the Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings have gone over in 5 of their L/6 , and from a divisional standpoint have cruised over the Total in 8 of their L/9 vs Central teams and have gone over in 6 of their L/8 on the road. both teams are playing decent ball at this time, and I'm betting they run at each other in a tilt that ends up being higher scoring than the lines-makers might anticipate.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.

MILWAUKEE in their L/27 games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of  46% or  more have seen a combined average score of 211.2 ppg get scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 52-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. The average combined score of those tilts was 206.5 ppg.

Play OVER

Memphis is desperate after losing 9 straight games. They know they have to up their tempo and get into an offensive flow. After going 6 straight games without breaching the 95 point plateau on offense a sense of urgency now permeates around the team. This is the second of back-to-back games against each other this  Friday night  at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tenn. The first meeting saw the Spurs grab a 104-95 win, which eclipsed the 194 point Total and similar score is not out of the question, and actually a high probability outcome according to my own numbers making this a viable OVER wager.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER  L/9 in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points dating back to last season with a combined average of 206.6 ppg going on the board.

MEMPHIS in 17 games  versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average score of 199.3 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 OVER  L/23 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points  with a combined average score of 201.8 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 37-12 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play on the OVER

Chicago enters this game vs Denver averaging just 94.8 ppg on offense (worst in the league), and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 straight games, behind a 17th ranked pace, that should even slow down more tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High city vs a team that they know they can't run and gun with. Meanwhile, the Nuggets own the 14th ranked offense, and the 13th ranked pace, so their in the middle of the pack , as far as speed and offensive production goes. What I'm betting happens  tonight, is what most sides, with sluggish offenses do when they go into Denver, and that is play a conservative energy conserving style of basketball, that more often than not translates into a lower scoring game than many might anticipate.

Under is 12-4 in Bulls last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 home games.

CHICAGO is 45-20 UNDER  L/65 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less with a combined average score of 199.4 ppg getting scored. CHICAGO in 8  in non-conference games this season have seen a combined average score of 196.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 23-9 UNDER  L/32 after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to last season with the combined average score of 200.6 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (102 or less  PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are 35-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - off a home loss against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

South Florida plays a defensive system, and their scores so far this season have been indicative of this as they average a lowly 62.1 ppg on offense while the defense is staunch allowing just  63.1 ppg. Meanwhile, Elon has shown some offensive explosiveness, this season, but  they have played overall very strong defense, especially as hosts as is evident by allowing just  63.5 ppg.

When these teams played last season the final score was Elon 74 S.Florida 61 ( 135) and now the linesmakers are setting the line based in part on last seasons meeting. My own projections make the output from both teams to be in a low to mid 60's which is a good indicator of this game going under the set total. ELON is 44-8 UNDER  when they allow 61 to 66 points with a combined average score of 129.9 ppg on average being scored.ELON in their L/57  versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game have seen a combined average score of 128.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

UNDER ARMOUR REUNION - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

I expect these two heavyweights to play a physical grueling defensive game that remains on the low side of the number. Texas Tech is  allowing  just 55.3 ppg on the season, while Seton Hall is allowing 64.7 ppg mostly in garbage time when using their fringe bench players.

SETON HALL is 8-1 UNDER  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 127.1 ppg scored.TEXAS TECH is 9-2 UNDER L/11 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 132.9 ppg scored. TEXAS TECH is 9-1 UNDER  when playing on a neutral court with a combined average of 133.6 ppg scored.
 

Neutral court teams against the total (TEXAS TECH) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game, in November games are 540-398 to the UNDER for a 58% conversion rate on the blind for bettors dating back 20 seasons.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Evansville is a defense first team, that averages just 66.2 ppg on the season on offense while allowing 58.2 ppg on defense. I'm not sure that is what HC Simmons had planned for this season, but watching this group is a good way to lull yourself to sleep. Meanwhile, New Mexico is team still trying to find its way under a run and gun system, that has stalled in recent games , scoring just 65, 67 points in their L/2 games. Tonight I'm betting in their usual methodical way that Evansville makes this into a slow grinding affair, and slows the flow of their opposition.

 NEW MEXICO is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 134.7 ppg going on the board . Evansville is is 8-1 UNDER L/9  in November games dating back to last season with a combined average of 128.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

HC Fizdale is no longer the coach of the Memphis Grizzlies after his team struggled for much of this season and on a current 8 game losing streak mostly because of offensive production problems . His firing came after he benched star forward Mac Gasol, which started the firestorm. Now with a lot to prove and 2 days rest  I expect the Grizzlies new  HC  J.B. Bickerstaff and company  to come out fired up tonight, and really push their pace up a few notches, in an effort to get a offensive flow going  which I'm betting results in a higher scored than expected by the lines-makers.  

Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 9-4 in Spurs last 13 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SAN ANTONIO in their  L/22 when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points have seen a  combined average of 202 ppg scored. Memphis in 9 games vs winning sides this season have seen a combined average of 197.2 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play OVER

Southern Miss is averaging 63 ppg on offense this season  on the road while allowing just 68.9 points per game is a team that is struggling a they try to continue to deal with sanctions from past regressions, that we don't need to get into here. But they have problems with their personell and continue to try fluidity. Meanwhile South Alabama is averaging 64 ppg on offense, while  allowing just 61.9 ppg overall, in a very slow paced methodical system. Considering both teams offensive issues and the systems that they play a lower scoring game must be expected, as the linesmakers suggest with their number.

  SOUTHERN MISS is 9-1 UNDER  L/10  in road games versus poor passing teams, averaging  12 or less assists/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board and is 8-1 UNDER  L/9  in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots with a combined average of 115.4 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

 Under is 5-1 in Matadors last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Matadors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 29-15 UNDER  in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%). HC Theus is 15-4 UNDER L/19 after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers.

CBB Road teams against the total (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - bad team from last season who won only 20% to 40% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are long term 125-77 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 61% conversion rate on the blind.

Play UNDER

My College  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER

Georgetown/Maine UNDER the set total

Two rebuilding teams go head to  head tonight when Phoenix visits the Chicago Bulls . With both teams defenses a big concern, I'm expecting both sides to play special attention to being stoppers and being physical, in a game I have pegged at staying under the total. Chicago is especially fragile as they rank last in the NBA scoring averaging just 94.3 ppg which makes them even more interested in turning this into a slow grinding affair.

CHICAGO is 33-17 UNDER  L/50 when playing against a team with a losing record  with a combined average of 202 ppg going on the board and 20-7 UNDER   versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game with a combined average score of  200.7 ppg going on the board and also 16-5 UNDER  /21  in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 201.9 ppg getting scored.CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER L/17  in home games in non-conference games . CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER  L/11  in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less) are 25-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 36-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

The Cavs, who beat the 76ers 113-91 on Monday night in Philadelphia, will play consecutive nights for the first time since Oct. 28-29 and now this veteran laden team  will  be on tired legs and ready to slow things down again.  Last night it was the Cavs ability to slow the flow of their younger opposition down, and come out of that game with a easy DD win. Tonight, I'm betting on the same tactics and game plan to make this into a conservative tilt, vs a Miami side that also practices a controlled style of defensive play behind key cog Hassan Whiteside. .Note: The Heat have held 4 of their L/5 opponents to under 98 points or less. While the Cavs have held 3 of their L/4 opponents, to 99 points or less.

Miami is ranked 21st in the pace in the league, 7th best ppg allowed in the NBA and rank 26th in offensive points production.

Cleveland ranks 12th in the league in pace.

MIAMI is 9-1 UNDER L/10  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 193.5 ppg going on the board.MIAMI is 30-14 UNDER  L/44 as a road underdog of 6 points or less with a combined average score of 194 ppg going on the score board.

Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cavaliers last 4 overall.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing with  no rest.Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cleveland.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 73-27 UNDER for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Play UNDER

My College   Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

FLORIDA ST is 22-10 UNDER  L/32 vs. poor free throw shooting teams - making 63% or less  of their attempts .FLORIDA ST is 8-0 UNDER L/8  in road games after a combined score of 175 points or more which happened last time out in a 113-78 win vs Citadel.

CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA ST) - excellent team - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less on the season, hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 47% or more  of their shots are 54-22 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play UNDER

The Rockets as we all know by now are an explosive offensive juggernaut,  but  their defensive 17.5 net rating is something that may be over looked by the average punter. Their ability to be stopper was on display last time out against the  Knicks who  scored  29 points over the first 7 1/2 minutes  of that game , only to fall short of that mark in  any of three following three quarters of action. Meanwhile, Brooklyn after struggling with D, of late, finally played the kind of game their coach wants from them more consistently holding the Memphis Grizzlies to 88 points in a win. Last night the Nets had success taking their time with their attack, and being selective with shots, and tonight I expect they will try to slow down the game via slower paced effort vs what they know is a dangerous run and gun opponent. I'm also betting on the Rockets D, showing us their under rated abilities as well in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number. Note: Houston has held 4 of their L/7 opponents under 96 points or less.

Under is 9-4-3 in Nets last 16 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1-1 in Nets last 6 road games.BROOKLYN in 7 games  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season have seen a average combined score of 218 ppg scored.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 57-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Philadelphia 76ers and their home crowd are going to be wild tonight with excitement as their team continues to grow and show competitiveness. Bigger and better things are on the horizon for the Sixers.. But first they have to deal with the Cavaliers. QUOTE: "Cleveland is going to come in, and it's going to be amazing for the building," coach Brett Brown said. "This building is wild. How about our fans? Are you kidding me? I can't even talk to my coaching staff sometimes and they're a foot from me. It's fantastic. What a great thing for our city." END QUOTE But now irrational exuberance may get the best of the Sixers, as a veteran laden Cleveland Cavaliers come to town, looking to slow down any early momentum the home team has by playing methodical slow paced style hoops, while saving their best for last quarter and a half. This I'm betting will curtail both teams scoring out put making this a much lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect .

PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 UNDER  L/23  in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more with a combined average of 199 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 UNDER  L/25  in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite with a combined average of 185.2 ppg going on the board

.Under is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 7-2 in 76ers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 25-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - Moda Center - Portland, OR

These upper tier teams will do battle in test of wills . Both are deep and explosive but are also extremely capable on the defensive end. When two behemoth teams like this do battle its not uncommon for a conservative wait and  see approach from both opponents. This will see a the score much more muted than the linesmakers and the public might expect.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (DUKE/Florida ) - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 33-6 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors.

Neutral court teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE/Florida) - playing their 2nd game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ).  are 27-3 UNDER L/20 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

WOODEN CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA

CS Fullerton plays a Defensive slowed paced deliberate type of basketball, and can not be easily pushed into play run and gun ball. This I'm betting will result in a low scoring affair with their counterparts Harvard this evening.

HARVARD is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average of 130.8 ppg going on the board and is 24-9 UNDER  in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring 64  or less points/game with a combined average of 126.7 ppg scored.

CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing only their 3rd game in a week with a combined average of with a combined average of 134.8 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total.

NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board.

GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors.

NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

Memphis allowed 62 and 52 points in their L/2 games at home, and it looks very much like playing a strong brand of D along with conservative disciplined hoops will be the name of the game this year for the Tigers. Meanwhile, N.Kentucky has allowed 68 ppg on the season, and also have an aggressive offense.   What I'm betting on today is the Tigers knowing the offensive capabilities of N.Kentucky will be primed to play a tough defensive slow down type of basketball, in an effort to keep the visitors from flowing. This in turn , will make for a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.

 MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER    in home games on Saturday games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 131.4 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER L/6  in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread which happened last time out.

Play on the UNDER

The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win.  Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect.

CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER  L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.

 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for  81% conversion rare for bettors.

Play UNDER

BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Final Rnd - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau
My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

W KENTUCKY is 21-9 UNDER L/30  in road games in November games.

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (W KENTUCKY) - off an upset win as an underdog, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 50-20 UNDER L/70 for a 72% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Round 2 - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK

My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and  the most recent performance numbers.

Neutral court teams against the total (SAM HOUSTON ST) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) are 80-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play UNDER

The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.   The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip  and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight.

UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54  in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH   in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board.

NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

Play UNDER

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Two undefeated, high-scoring offenses square off as Creighton (3-0) faces No. 23 UCLA (3-0) in the first semifinal game of the 2017 CBE Hall of Fame Classic Monday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. These are two heavy weights that can put points up on the board in a hurry, but as is usually the case when two big boys go head to head there is a wait see conservative period. With that look for both behemoths to be  vigilant and play disciplined defense first  basketball which I'm betting translates into a lower scoring game then the lines-makers estimate.

It must also be noted that  UCLA,  owns a whole new starting lineup five from last year. The top four scorers from last season are gone and the Bruins are still short-handed, as three top tier freshmen are suspended indefinitely following their arrest for shoplifting on a recent trip to China. In the Bruins only game vs decent basketball program they took part in a 63-60 physical affair. This one might not end up being played like that one , but I'm betting their won't be as many point going on the board as some might expect.

CREIGHTON is 12-3 UNDER L/15 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts with the combined average score clicking in at 150 ppg. HC Alford of UCLA  is 28-10 UNDER    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with the combined average score of 146.5ppg going on the board.

Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 47-17 UNDER the L/21 seasons for a74% conversion rate for bettors.Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games  are 24-5 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - in a tournament game, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 45-16 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.CBB Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - undefeated on the season, in November games are 36-12 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season.

FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

CBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA  overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in  a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect.

Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

 The Utah Jazz  enter into this game reeling, after losing three straight games. Their usually staunch D, has failed them, as the Jazz have  allowed opponents to score an average of  116.7 points  per game on 51.5 percent shooting during their losing streak. Tonight considering the Jazz defensive woes , I expect the Heat, a side that has shown some offensive explosiveness on occasion this season, as was the case last time out when they scored 115 points vs Golden State  , to now use the momentum of that run and gun effort to try to take advantage of a struggling opponent, which I'm betting leads to a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. Note: (The Heat have averaged more than 102 ppg on the road this season).  I'm also betting that the Heats 4th straight road game will not have them capable of playing a physical style of game, which will allow the Jazzs struggling offense to finally score above their season home average  of 101.6 ppg.

Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Over is 9-0 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Utah.

NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points like the Heat - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Friday nights are 25-4 L/29 OVER during the last 5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Golden State and Minnesota are both being looked at as offensive juggernauts and both enter this game on winning streaks. Both are explosive, but what is being over looked is both teams defenses.   The Warriors have  Green, the reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year, on their side, and his efficiency was on display in a recent   97-80 victory over Miami on Monday that allowed Golden State  to notch the win despite of  failing to score 100 points for the first time this season.QUOTE: "We can play defense with anybody," Warriors backup forward Omri Casspi said after the game. "Everybody should know that." END QUOTE:  Also Minnesota's D, must not be over looked either as they have not allowed any of their L/3 opponents, to breach the 99 point plateau, and must be respected in their ability to marginally slow down the potent attack of the Warriors. With that said, I'm betting on a total score that remains on the low side of the number.

Note: Minnesota owns the 17th ranked pace in the league, which puts them in the lower half of the league in this important category when betting on higher totals.

GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER  L/21  in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 198.6 ppg going on the board.

MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER  after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with a combined average of 194.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-4 to the UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals under bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Golden State  - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins with the under going 35-9 dating back 5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under totals bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

The Boston Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA  and hitting on all cylinders, and are averaging more than 107 ppg  in their L/5 on offense and go against a Lakers defense that is allowing 107 + per game this season. Today I expect the Celtics who are ranked 13th in the league in offensive rating to eclipse that average, and notch according to my own projections a combined average of 112- 116 points, and for the Lakers who rank 3rd in pace (103.3)  in the league to chase in up beat fashion   and hit in around 98-103  points , which according to the linemakers spread corresponds to the 8.5 point spread.

Over is 11-5 in Lakers last 16 road games.Over is 16-5-1 in Celtics last 22 home games.Over is 22-7-1 in Celtics last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

BOSTON is 12-0 OVER L/12 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
with a combined average of 235 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 25-9 OVER L/34  in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game with a combined average of 217.1 ppg getting scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like Boston  - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more are 40-11 OVER dating back dating back 5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection

Dallas will want to slow down vs the run and gun Wolves, and try to slow this game down into a crawl. Dallas is averaging 97.8 points, which makes it the third-worst scoring offense. The Mavericks also own a 41.5 field goal percentage, which is the second-worst in the league , so they will have no choice but to drag this into a physical conservative affair, even against a the Wolves sub par D.  I'm betting the combined score according to my projections will fall below this number.

Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

MINNESOTA is 21-9 UNDER  L/30 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 208.4 ppg. DALLAS is 36-18 UNDER  versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48%or more. with a combined average of 198 ppg going on the scoreboard. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 when the total is 210 to 219.5 .

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 Dallas - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 34-9 L/43 under for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

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Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup.

CHARLOTTE is 20-5 UNDER L/25 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots with a combined average 199.6 ppg. CHARLOTTE is 17-3 UNDER L/20 in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 194.3 ppg. HC Clifford of the Hornets is 28-10 L/38 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents with a combined average of 191.9 ppg going on the board. Orlando's HC Vogel in his L/28 games after an upset win as a home underdog has seen a combined average of 197.8 ppg go on the scoreboard. ( Magic upset Spurs last time out 114-87 as 5.5 point dogs)

Under is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 16-6 in Hornets last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.


NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Orlando- well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 UNDER dating back 24 seasons for 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors.

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The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant  offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have  the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER  L/29  when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored.

ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER  L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER  L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board.

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The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also  be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. 

TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14  in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games.  These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER  1 unit reg selection