Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-01-23 | Rangers -102 v. Diamondbacks | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas Starter Eovaldi allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings in Game 1, which Texas won 6-5 in 11 innings. He fanned eight and walked one. In eight career regular-season appearances (five starts) against the Diamondbacks, Eovaldi is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA. EOVALDI is 12-1 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game in his carrer. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Texas, owns a record 10-0 on the road in the postseason and matchup well here vs Dbacks starter Zac Gallen who owns a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 play off starts. ARIZONA is 4-18 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games are 57-28 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Texas |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
In a series like this Im betting pitching trumps offense , and entering this game the Dbacks pitching has been out standing during the post season as was the case against the explosive offense of the Phillies . Here against another top tier offense, Im betting the Dbacks once again have the edge. Aslo considering the struggles of the Rangers at home in the play offs it will not be a hard decision to take the underdog on a value moneyline offering in this spot play. ARIZONA is 9-3 against the money line in playoff games this season ARIZONA is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. TEXAS is 7-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. TEXAS is 9-24 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are just 20-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Houstons starter Javier (2-0, 1.69 ERA this postseason). The righty allowed two runs on three hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in the Astros' 8-5 victory in Game 3. Javier had not allowed a run in his three previous postseason starts and improved to 4-0 with a 0.82 ERA as a starter in the postseason. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Rangers starter who had been sidelined with a muscle strain in his shoulder did not look good upon his return and is fade material here as I believe he is not 100%. Im betting the Rangers undefeated record on the road in the play offs comes to end tonight. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams such as the Texas Rangers trailing 3-games-2 but winning Game 6 on the road by 7+ runs had a Game 7 record of 2-4; the two victories were by the St. Louis Cardinals over the New York Yankees in the 1926 World Series, and by the Detroit Tigers over the St. Louis Cardinals in the 1968 World Series. MLBRoad teams (TEXAS) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), struggling hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 19-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA regular season; 2-1, 4.96 postseason) will go against the Phillies' Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 regular season; 2-0, 2.37) . The Dbacks have momentum entering game 5 of this series as they won yesterday 6-5 to tie this series. The energy surrounding the Dbacks right now is very positive and Im willing to ride that wave here on a value line. In the postseason, Gallen defeated the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers before losing at Philadelphia. He is 3-1 with a 2.22 in five career regular-season starts against the Phillies. Dbacks starter GALLEN is 11-1 against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GALLEN is 23-8 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 19-11 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Wheeler. WHEELER is 8-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 15-3 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 10-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Diamondbacks to win |
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10-20-23 | Astros +103 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 103 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22) takes on Rangers' lefty Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20). Houston offense, has been extremely productive Globe Life Field. The Astros are 8-1 when visiting Texas in 2023 and are averaging nine runs in the nine meetings. Houston has scored 69 runs in its past six games in Arlington and Im betting nothing changes here today.I know Texas left-hander Jordan Montgomery shut out the Astros in game 1 of this series, but the Astros offense has shown great resilience in the past, and have made adjustments on the run, and Im betting thats what they do here as they finally get to Montgomery. Note: The Astros are undefeated on the road in the playoffs and had the best road record in baseball this season and should roll here once again in a ball park that they thrive in. Play on Houston to win |
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10-19-23 | Astros +105 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-3 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 5-0 in his career when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.761. and gets my support here again. The Astros have scored 59 runs in their last five road games against the Texas Rangers after yesterdays 8 run and output and Im betting more explosive is on the way. TEXAS is 9-22 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons HOUSTON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 16-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 30-14 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 10-33 L/26 seasons for a go against for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Texas right-hander Max Scherzer (13-7, 3.77 ERA regular season), who is making his first start since Sept. 12 after sustaining a major muscle strain in his pitching shoulder. Im sure Scherzer velocity will be down and rust could easily see him beaten around by a Rangers offense that could at any time explode for a boatload full of runs. Meanwhile, Astros starter Javier hasn't allowed a run in three career postseason starts. The right-hander has allowed two hits in 16 1/3 innings in those starts, including a top tier six innings no-hitter against the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of last year's World Series.Javier, will be making his second start of this postseason. He defeated the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of the AL Division Series, when he allowed one hit in five scoreless innings. Javier, who is 5-1 with a 1.91 ERA in 15 postseason appearances and get my support here today. JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 10-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) AVIER is 8-0 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 9-0 against the money line in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +131 | 1-3 | Win | 131 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Philadelphia starter SUAREZ is 7-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SUAREZ is 24-8 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Strider the Braves starter is 0-2 record in two playoff starts against the Phillies, along with an ERA of 5.79. THOMSON is 18-7 against the money line in October games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in October games are 12-37 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies |
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10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -133 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 1.35 ERA) will start Game 3 for the Rangers Rangers starter EOVALDI is 19-5 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) EOVALDI is 11-2 against the money line in playoff games since 1997. (Team's Record) Os Right-hander Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.12 ERA regular season) gets the ball for the Orioles. Im sure he has butterflies as he prepares for his biggest start of his life.Kremer, lost to Texas on May 27 when he gave up three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings. Overall, he's 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts versus the Rangers and according to my power rankings does matchup well vs this explosive Rangers offense. TEXAS is 20-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season. TEXAS is 24-12 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. are 8-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games. are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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10-09-23 | Phillies v. Braves -147 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Left-hander Max Fried (8-1, 2.55 ERA regular season) will start for the Braves against Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (1-0, 1.35 this postseason). Fried started once against Philadelphia this season and allowed one run in five innings during a no-decision. Wheeler has pitched well against the Braves this season, but are an explosive offensive side that will eventually figure opposing pitchers out, and that is what Im betting on tonight. ATLANTA is 20-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Wheeler whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. WHEELER is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) FRIED is 24-9 ( against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 22-7 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 in his career (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) or less (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 91-31 L/5 seams for a 75% conversion rate! MLB- Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 17-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-08-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -114 | 11-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Texas won the opener of the best-of-five series 3-2 over top-seeded Baltimore on Saturday for their third straight post season road win. But Im betting the run ends today. Rangers starter MONTGOMERY is 10-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 3-10 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 0-7 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 37-18 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Note: Orioles starter Rodriguez since returning from the minors in July was 5-2 along with a very respectable 2.58 ERA in 13 starts . According to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs Montgomery and company. BALTIMORE is 17-6 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 76-29 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are just 12-31 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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10-07-23 | Phillies +184 v. Braves | 3-0 | Win | 184 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Phillies starter SUAREZ is 6-0 against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Suarez, has previously faced this Atlanta batting order in the postseason, having allowed one run on three hits in 3 1/3 innings of a no-decision in Game 1 of the 2022 NLDS. He posted a 2-0 record with a 1.23 ERA and a save in five appearances (three starts) during the postseason and I m backing him today. Note:Suarez allowed just one run on four hits and struck out seven over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta on June 20. On the flipside I know Atlantas starter Strider was 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four starts this season against the Phillies , but all good and bad runs must come to an end. ATLANTA is 5-12 against the money line in home games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 against the money line in road games when playing in the 1rst game of a playoff series since 1997.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Philadelphia |
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10-07-23 | Twins +137 v. Astros | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 57 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 Justin Verlander (13-8) is the starter in game 1 of this series for the Houston Astros. The Minnesota Twins have yet to name a starting pitcher for this tilt. Houston, is rested but rusty after getting a bye in the first round as they smash and grabbed the AL West from the Rangers on the final day of the regular season. Before sweeping their last three tilts, the Astros were in a funk recording a sub par 13-14 record over their final 27 games any may.not be the perennial favorite vs the Twins. I know the the Astros are the defending World Series champions , so they get alot of respect, but here in game 1 they look vulnerable considering their late season form. It must also be noted that the Twins have a deep starting five -quality starters (Pablo Lopez, Sonny Gray, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Kenta Maeda) that can definitely keep them in this series. Also from. a offensive perspective Minnesota had the league’s highest OPS over the month of September and are capable of keeping up with the Astros vaunted attack. We have to remember that Minny took 4 of 6 from the astros this season and are viable underdogs here in game 1. The Twins are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been listed as underdogs in their last 10 trips to the diamonds. This year, Minnesota has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +132 or worse on the moneyline. HOUSTON is 4-9 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. HOUSTON is 13-22 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 52-27 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -128 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios will take the mound in Game 2. He went 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA in 32 starts this season and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up favorably vs Minnesotas batting order. Meanwhile, Gray the Twins starter finished strong down the stretch, recording a stingy 1.54 ERA in his final seven starts of the regular season. He walked five and struck out 36 in 41 innings and gets my support here. TORONTO is 6-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -105 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a record of 67-44, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season and once again according to my own projections have the edge in this tilt vs the Blue Jays. It must be noted despite of the talent the Jays have in their batting order they have for the most part failed to live up to expectations and are lucky to be in this position as their offense has a collective .256 batting average (just barely above the Mendoza line), and rank seventh in the league with 1422 total hits and 14th in MLB with 746 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks 16th in home runs (188) in all of MLB. Torontos starter GAUSMAN is 15-22 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 1-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.500. MINNESOTA is 23-5 against the money line in home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.
MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games, in October games are 8-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 30 h 29 m | Show | |
The Rays have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 86, or 66.2%, of those games and my projections estimate they deserve their fav status here today vs a Rangers side, that has been highly inconsistent since the all star break. Note: Glasnow the Rays right-hander starter today is off five scoreless innings while surrendering just two hits.In 21 games this season, he has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .209 against him and he once again looks to help his team find the W column in the opening game of this post season tilt. I know the Rangers can light up the scoreboard when in form, but it must be noted that the Rays are among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 860 total runs this season. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in October games are 75-28 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, in October games are 11-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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09-30-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -125 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Orioles (100-60) had won five in a row before losing 3-0 on Friday, a night after they clinched the American League East title with a 2-0 victory over the Red Sox. They were obviously in a emotional letdown situation in that game , and will be primed to get the win here as they do not want to enter the play offs in a losing mode.QUOTE: "It was a big night for us (Thursday) night, and we just didn't play our best baseball (on Friday), and those things happen," Hyde said. "Hopefully, we'll rebound and play a better game." END QUOTE Baltimores starter GIBSON is 15-6 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 22-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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09-30-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-5 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays can clinch a wild-card spot and win their three-game series versus the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay already has a wild card spot in the play offs and now just want to make sure their lineup is healthy entering the post season. Meanwhile, the Jays still need to guarantee their post season appearance with a victory and will be ready to play all out baseball to get there. The Blue Jays are scheduled to start left-hander Hyun Jin Ryu (3-3, 3.31 ERA) on Saturday. The Rays are scheduled to open with right-handed reliever Shawn Armstrong (1-0, 1.41 ERA). In 18 career relief outings against Toronto, he is 0-0 with an 8.31 ERA. The Blue Jays got to him for two runs on four hits in just one-third of an inning on Sept. 23 and according to my pitcher vs batting order match up well against him. This will be a bullpen game for the Rays, and players will be rested so the advantage goes to the more motivated side. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-29-23 | Guardians -105 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter QUANTRILL is 11-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 18-8 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Quantrill threw six shutout innings at Detroit in a vwin on April 19. He is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in nine career outings against the Tigers, including six starts Meanwhile, Left-hander Joey Wentz (3-12, 6.45 ERA) will start the series opener for Detroit. He pitched well against the Guardians this season in two starts, but Im betting the Guardians will have him figured out in the third starts a charm scenario. This baseball group from Motown has been playing better of late, but that has not been a recipe for success this season as DETROIT is 4-13 against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. DETROIT is 13-25 against the money line in home games in night games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 57-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (AL), playing on Friday are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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09-26-23 | Astros +131 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros starter JAVIER is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) George Kirby the Mariners starter has slowed considerably of late, after a decent campaign, as is evident by a 5.16 ERA in his L/3 starts. With Houston averaging 5.8 rpg on the road this season, the Astros look like viable bets here today behind Javier going against Kirby. Both bullpens are viable, so the staring p[itching and offensive production considerations are what have me on the Astros. HOUSTON is 33-14 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. SEATTLE is 8-14 against the money line in September games this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-26 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-26-23 | Cubs v. Braves -130 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup in the series opener features Atlanta right-hander Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) against Chicago lefty Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00). Steele has been beaten around in his last two outings, giving up six runs in each start. He lasted only three innings and allowed six runs on eight hits in his most recent start last Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates and is fade material here in his current form. ATLANTA is 24-8 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like Steele. CHICAGO CUBS are 3-10 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents this season MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team ( 4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 93-31 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-24-23 | Pirates +140 v. Reds | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh (74-81) rallied from a 9-0 deficit on Saturday, putting up 13 consecutive runs from the fourth into the eighth inning in a wild, 13-12 final and have momentum coming into this tilt in the spoilers role. Note: Reds starter Brandon Williamson (4-5, 4.56 ERA) will start Sunday . The rookie left-hander has not posted a win since striking out nine over 6 2/3 innings against Miami on Aug. 7 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. CINCINNATI is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. is 1-8 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 10 runs or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Pirates to win |
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09-23-23 | Brewers -116 v. Marlins | 4-5 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Woodruff in limited action has been brilliant this season -- 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA. In his past five starts, Woodruff is 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA and in three career starts against the Marlins, he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Rinse and repeat here vs a Marlins side that is slumping as is evident by three losses in their past four games. They also have lost four of five matchups with the Brewers over the past two weeks and Im betting on them adding to those negative numbers today. MILWAUKEE is 22-15 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 38-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. MIAMI is 16-37 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 53-109 L/26 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -109 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rookie right-hander Bryce Miller (8-5, 3.88 ERA) will start the opener for Seattle.Miller is winless over his past five starts and has looked fatigued on occasion. Meanwhile, Right-hander Dane Dunning (10-6, 3.78) will go to the hill for Texas. He gave up six hits in five shutout innings during a no-decision against the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday and enters this tilt in good form. Dunning won vs the the Mariners on May 10 when he gave up two runs and six hits over six innings and gets my support here tonight. TEXAS is 19-6 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more this season.(Beat Boston 15-5 last time out) SEATTLE is 8-20 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 89-40 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 32-85 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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09-20-23 | Orioles -103 v. Astros | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore took out Houston yesterday by a 9-5 count and are viable options to do the same again today. The Astros dropped to 38-39 at home with four games left on the home schedule. Orioles starter BRADISH is 10-0 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) BRADISH is 11-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bradish is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros. The righty went eight scoreless innings against Houston on Aug. 26, 2022, then he garnered another 8 2/3 shutout frames vs. the Astros on Sept. 22, 2022. Bradish has allowed just four hits and two walks while striking out 16 in those outings. The flipside, Houstons starter Javier went 2-0 in five starts in August despite of garnering 6.17 ERA and .922 opponents' OPS with 16 walks and 16 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings. In his current form he is fade material agains this type of sometimes explosive offense. HOUSTON is 3-8 against the money line in home games in September games this season. BALTIMORE is 12-2 against the money line in road games against AL West opponents this season.BALTIMORE is 9-4 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-16-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -121 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 3-0 loss to the Blue Jays the BoSox have now lost 8 of their L/10 games and are fade material in their current form. Yesterday the Jays snapped a 4 games losing streak and now have some momentum on their sides and with Bassit who owns a 2.55 ERA in his L/3 starts on the hill have an edge over Boston starter Sale and a bullpen that is sub par as is evident by a 4.34 ERA on the season. Note: Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA vs the BoSox and his career. He beat the Red Sox on Aug. 6 after throwing seven innings of one-run ball. SALE is 17-24 against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 12-40 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 3-17 against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-15-23 | Reds +100 v. Mets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Left-hander David Peterson (3-8, 5.34 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against right-hander Hunter Greene (4-6, 4.43). Greene returned from the COVID-19 injured list on Sunday, and he earned the win after allowing just an unearned run on one hit over six innings in the Reds' 7-1 victory over the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and has momentum entering this tilt as gives the Reds the advantage here today. CINCINNATI is 11-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CINCINNATI) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -126 | 6-1 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 10-18 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 14-25 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Snell has had a strong season, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitcher look average. Im betting that will be the situation today. Snell has lost 2 of 3 starts vs the dodgers this season. LA DODGERS are 26-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 21-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-38 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
After taking it on the chin yesterday by a 11-8 count Im betting the Dodgers come back with a big time bounce back effort today vs the Padres. LA DODGERS are 40-17 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season. LA DODGERS are 34-12 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Padres starter Wacha. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 88-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LAD to win |
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09-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies +130 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is currently four games up in the first NL Wild Card spot and will be playing hard against a team that already has their post season destiny in hand. Advantage Phillies. Atlantas starter MORTON is 17-32 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MORTON is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.575. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 49-104 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-10-23 | Orioles -102 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Baltimore has won 7 straight games and has big time momentum going into this tilt. I know The Red Sox are desperate and Bello their starter is a consistent go to pitcher, but considering how explosive the Os batting order is right now very few pitchers in this league could handle them in their current form. BALTIMORE is 9-0 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs this season. BOSTON is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 4-12 against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games since 1997. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-09-23 | Orioles +130 v. Red Sox | 13-12 | Win | 130 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Os smashed the Bosox 11-2 yesterday and have momentum entering this tilt after 6 straight wins. Baltimores starter FLAHERTY is 18-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Y is 10-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Boston sends lefty Chris Sale (6-3, 4.46). Sale's velocity has been down since he returned from a stress reaction in his left shoulder blade , and against this type of offense could easily have problems. BOSTON is 6-16 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-08-23 | Padres v. Astros -123 | 11-2 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 3-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SNELL is 8-15 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 17-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like the Fathers starter Snell over the last 3 seasons. Snell has pitched well overall this season, but the Astros have a recent history of taking advantage of hurlers with sub par control. the Padres southpaw has recorded the most walks (89) and wild pitches (12) in the majors this season. SAN DIEGO is 4-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB team (HOUSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 47-11 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-05-23 | Dodgers -149 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw (12-4, 2.48 ERA) had a six-week absence earlier this season with a wore shoulder and since his return, and recently he has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA over his last 17 innings and looks to have shaken off the shoulder issues. Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the Marlins Luzardo has pitched better of late had a a three-start malfunction at the beginning of August when he went 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA. He can be a viable pitcher but here against this explosive Dodgers offense Im betting he relapses again. LA DODGERS are 83-37 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers |
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09-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians +100 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY is 1-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Guardians rookie right-hander Tanner Bibee (10-3, 3.03), matches up well here vs Gray and the Twins offense. Advantage Cleveland on a value line. CLEVELAND is 23-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season.
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - team with a sub par SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 29-9 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland |
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09-04-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -122 | 7-3 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Bostons starter BELLO is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.857 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well here vs the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 21-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 5-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games are 96-25 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-03-23 | Twins +124 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Twins are playing much better ball than the Rangers recently winning 4 of their L/6 overall including the first two games of this series . The Rangers have been particularly inconsistent at home where they are 0-6 L/6 (-9.70 Units / -100% ROI). Advantage once again resides with the Twins as road dogs here in game 3 of this series. Twins starter MAEDA is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.149 and his team has won all 3 career starts vs the Rangers. Texas starter Gray is 3-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-02-23 | Tigers v. White Sox -105 | 10-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Clevinger (6-6, 3.32 ERA) grabbed a victory vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday behind seven innings of one-run ball with two walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts. He has been dominant against Detroit in his career, going 8-2 with a 1.63 ERA in 14 appearances, including 13 starts and Im betting his gives his team an edge here today. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse ) (AL), starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-16 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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09-01-23 | Braves -117 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Dodgers starter Urias. Note:Urias (11-7, 4.41 ERA) was the NL ERA champion a season ago, but he has been unable to back in top form and he also has suffered injury issues missing six weeks in the first half with a hamstring injury. He has been inconsistent since returning, registering four starts in which he allowed one run or none, three in which he gave up two or three runs, and three in which he allowed five plus runs. Braves starter FRIED is 16-6 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 35-12 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 6-34 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago will send right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-6, 4.85 ERA). He been beaten up pretty hard but did have a good start last time out vs the lowly As, which still does not get me past some of his recent ugly performances. Meanwhile, Motown will send south paw Eduardo Rodriguez (9-7, 3.21)to the hill to face the White Sox. He is coming off a home loss to Houston on Saturday, when he allowed four runs and five hits in 4 2/3 innings with a season-high four walks and one strikeout.. In nine career starts versus Chicago covering 52 1/3 innings, he is 3-0 with a 3.61 ERA and gets my support here.RODRIGUEZ is 10-1against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 17-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons like Rodriguez. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-31 ) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. (Just finished a 3 game set at Baltimore)
Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers +125 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams are red hot and both sides have starting pitchers who are in a top tier groove entering this tilt as Atlanta send Strider to the hill and the Dodgers send the veteran Lynn. . However is must be noted that the LA DODGERS are 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Strider and have an edge here playing at home. ATLANTA is 13-21 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 12-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. LA DODGERS are 50-16 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games at home (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 112-44 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-30-23 | Padres v. Cardinals -106 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Padres starter Hill is 0-3 along with a bloated 9.53 ERA in his L/3 starts and is once again fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. HILL is 14-25 against the money line in August games in his career (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 39-51 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Cards starter Mikolas and have averaged just 4.3 rpg in offensive production vs orthodox pitching. SAN DIEGO is 9-18 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season.SAN DIEGO is 16-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ST LOUIS is 8-1 at home against SAN DIEGO over the last few seasons after last nights win. Note:The Cardinals have won 16 of their last 17 day games against NL West opponents following a home win. Play on St.Louis to win |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -163 | 10-8 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Phillies have won 5 straight and have an edge again today vs a very inconsistent Halos. PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season like LAA starter Detrmers. ETMERS is 6-15 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) Angels have struggled vs lefties like Phillies Sanchez during the last month as is evident by a 56 wRC+ with a 6.8% walk rate and a 27.1% strikeout rate. LA ANGELS are 3-15 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games, playing on Wednesday are 8-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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08-28-23 | Guardians +147 v. Twins | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Guardians trail the first-place Twins in the AL Central by six games with 31 to play and need wins badly and will be very motivated to compete here tonight in the opener of this series. “These are going to be playoffs games,” said Laureano. “We go to Minneapolis now and then we play them again at home. This is the playoffs.” A sense of desperation will have me backing Cleveland to bring home the cash in game 1 of this series. Twins stater MAEDA is 6-16 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 31-15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI) MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 50-24 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-27-23 | Braves -108 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Braves are playing top tier baseball entering this game as is evident by garnering wins in 9 of their L/11 including yesterdays 7-3 win vs the Giants. I know Atlanta starter Shuster may not inspire bettors, but the Braves are a team with a winning mind set , and almost always have the edge, especially against inconsistent sides like SF who are mired in a slump that has seen them lost 7 of their L/9 overall. ATLANTA is 33-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.ATLANTA is 39-15 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KAPLER is 18-26 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-27-23 | Yankees v. Rays -116 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA), who will make his eighth appearance in 2023 following a forearm injury in spring training, back spasms and, most recently, a left hamstring ailment. He is far 100% and fade material in his current for. the mighty Yankees have fallen and I cant see them getting up very easily . Against the Rays, the southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in five career starts. NYY starter RODON is 3-8 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 17-21 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 40-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. (Rodon qualifies) NY YANKEES are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 17-31against the money line in the second half of the season this season.NY YANKEES are 7-24 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-27-23 | Dodgers v. Red Sox +106 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston right-hander Tanner Houck (3-7, 5.08 ERA) had been on the 15-day injured list with a facial fracture since June 18. Despite of the lackluster numbers, he has registered wins in three of his first four starts . Houck has worked at least five innings in 11 of his 14 outings and deserves respect here in his current form. The Red Sox evened the series with an 8-5 Saturday win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick here again. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-26-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Marlins will start Eury Perez (5-4, 2.91 ERA) in a battle of rookie right-handers. Washington will reply with Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.47). Irvin has struggled on the road garnering a 5.18 ERA while averaging less than 5 innings per start. Meanwhile, Perez has flourished at home , registering a stingy 1.96 ERA, in 7 starts going 3-1 in the process. PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800. I know the Nats have played better ball than the Marlins of late, but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here in game 2 of this seires. WASHINGTON is 31-82 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 72-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6. Play on the Marlins split line -1.5 run line and to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-23 | Royals +166 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
After a 10 game road trip that saw the Mariners garner a 7 game win streak at one point before losing the finale of their road adventure. Im now betting on. a huge emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here in the Mariners first game home . After that lengthy trip and than having their win streak abruptly end a hang over is my prediction here tonight vs the KC Royals . SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Royals starter SINGER is 8-2 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 18-7 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-25-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Arizona has come to life here in the dog days of summer, and have won 4 straight and 7 of their L/8 and deserve respect here as favs. Arizona starter Pfaadt After posting a 9.82 ERA in his first six starts and winding up in the minors has now garnered a 3.50 ERA in six outings since returning for his third major league stint, and must not be under rated in his ability to hold off the Reds offense . LOVULLO is 81-62 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-24-23 | Reds +147 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Cincinnati holds a half-game lead over Arizona and the San Francisco Giants for the league's third wild-card berth and are in my opinion better than both of these sides. I know Kelly the Dbacks starter is a solid pitcher, but my pitcher vs batting order suggest that the Reds matchup well against him. Meanwhile, Reds starter WILLIAMSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. CINCINNATI is 31-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CINCINNATI is 31-16 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. CINCINNATI is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-0 against ARIZONA this season. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-24-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Guardians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 1.80 ERA) of the Dodgers goes head to head with Gavin Williams (1-4, 3.02) of the Guardians in a battle of rookie right-handers during the regularly scheduled contest. Williams, is 0-3 in his last seven trips to the hill after being smashed around last time out. In his current form he looks to be in trouble vs an explosive Dodgers batting order that has revenge on board for losing the first game of this series 8-3 as favs. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 48-19 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-23 | Marlins +114 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start to his season Alcantara is now back in his Cy Young Award form of 2022, when he went 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.980 WHIP in 32 starts. The righty in his last five starts owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP during that span and gives his Marlins a good chance of a underdog win on the road today. Alcantara is 2-1 against San Diego in four career starts with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.160 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. SAN DIEGO is 37-48 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-16 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MELVIN is 48-57 against the money line in day games as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Meanwhile, Padres starter LUGO is 2-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LUGO is 6-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Play on Miami to win |
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08-22-23 | Reds +130 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 130 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Halos stater GIOLITO is 8-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-16 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giolito has labored in his first four starts with the Angels, going 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Ashcraft has been in top form since the all star break and deserves respect here in the underdog role for the Reds. In three starts this month, he has logged 22 innings, including eight on Aug. 4 in a no-decision against the visiting Washington Nationals. Ashcraft went seven innings in the other two and overall has garnered a very stable 2.86 ERA. . CINCINNATI is 8-1 against the money line against AL West opponents this season CINCINNATI is 13-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 10-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this seaso MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings, in August games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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08-22-23 | Cardinals +125 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-handers Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) of St. Louis and Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55) of Pittsburgh are scheduled to start. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Wainwright has the edge in the starting role. Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 61-30 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.179. OVIEDO is 7-22 (against the money line after a win in his career. (Team's Record) which is what he achieved last time out. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 67-125 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-21-23 | Mariners v. White Sox +175 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The White Sox after a come behind win yesterday that saw then score 7 runs in 8th has the Pale Hose entering this tilt with momentum. It must be noted that the visiting Mariners despite of being hot, have had a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel on occasion as is evident by going 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the south siders starter Toussaint. Meanwhile, Seattles starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 4-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 3-11 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-15 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves -114 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Giants starter Logan Webb is a quality pitcher but the Braves can make the best of hurlers look mortal. ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Webb is just 4-5 on the road this season, and Atlanta is not an easy venue for any pitcher as is evident by Atlantas 6 rpg average offensive production in front of their own fans. ATLANTA is 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 30-8 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 84-19 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-23 | Royals +170 v. Cubs | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
KC won the opener of this series 4-3 yesterday and have a strong opportunity of cashing again according to my projections with Brady singer on the hill/ The righty has garnered a stingy 2.05 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.591 WHIP. allowing 1 hits spanning 22 innings of top quality work. He has gone an average of just under 8 innings per start and must be respected here on this value based dog offering. Royals starter SINGER is 16-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 8-1 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile Justin Steele the Cubs starter has struggle of late allowing 23 hits in just 16 plus innings in his 3 most recent starts while garnering a hefty 5.51 ERA and is fade material in his current form. KANSAS CITY is 7-1 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-14 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -141 | 11-3 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami's ALCANTARA is a fine pitcher who is currently in good form but the Dodgers are a explosive offensive team that can make the best of pitchers look mortal. The Dodgers have now won 11 straight and must be respected on this money-line offering. ALCANTARA is 8-22 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) .LA DODGERS are 15-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season like AlCANTARA. ALCANTARA is 1-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 2.000. MIAMI is 4-22 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 3-19 against the money line vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 31-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 13-1 against the money line after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games this season. LA DODGERS are 29-4 Units) against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 52-14 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 37-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 39-107 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win |
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08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -141 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Burnes has pitched well for the most part recently but last time out against the Chicago White Sox, he looked a little fatigued when he gave up five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a game Milwaukee won 7-6 in 10 innings. Here against a explosive Dodgers offense that has buoyed this team to a 14-1 record in August the Brewers righty could be in trouble. Note: Burnes is just 2-2 with an 8.50 ERA over six career outings (four starts) vs the Dodgers.LA DODGERS are 38-14 ( against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like Burnes over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Dodgers newest pitching acquisition has posted a 3-0 record with a 2.00 ERA in three starts with his new club. and deserves respect here in the favorites role. LA DODGERS are 30-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 37-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 84-28 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-16-23 | Orioles +151 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Baltimore's starter KREMER is 7-0 (against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 12-3 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 17-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. KREMER is 11-2 ( against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 14-27 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 34-45 against the money line against right-handed starters like Kremer this season averaging just 4.3 rpg in production via a ugly .228 BA. BALTIMORE is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego has lost 7 of their L/8 overall., and despite of having the talented Blake Snell on the hill are in trouble here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.SNELL is 15-20 ( against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -128 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants starter WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Webb has pitched well this season, as is evident by garnering a solid 2.58 ERA at home while lasting an average of 7 innings. He is currently in good form with a 2.70 ERA in his L/3 starts and gives his team a very good chance at victory today. WEBB is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.344. WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Texas starter DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 5-15 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI) Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-12-23 | Rangers v. Giants -117 | 9-3 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
SF starter COBB is 11-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) cobb has pitched his best baseball at home this season, garnering a 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.46 ERA and according to my power rankings gives the Giants an edge here tonight against the visiting Rangers. Note: Texas starter Heaney despite of some top tier recent efforts, is just 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in six career starts against the Giants. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-9 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 62-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 65-19 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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08-12-23 | Cubs v. Blue Jays -108 | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are scheduled to start right-hander Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.87) and according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here this afternoon vs the Cubs current batting order. Bassitt is 6-2 at home this season along with a 2.56 ERA and a even stingier 0.924 WHIP. TORONTO is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons like The Cubs starter today Steele. TORONTO is 25-8 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 64-162 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 36-104 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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08-11-23 | Orioles +125 v. Mariners | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 7 straight but all good bad runs must come to an end, and tonight Im betting that what happens in a matchup favoring what my power rankings suggest is the better overall side. I know the Orioles are traveling from East to west for this game , but this is a resilient group that on most nights looks like their on a mission, and they deserve respect here to pull off an underdog victory. Orioles starter today GIBSON is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Seattles starter CASTILLO is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 11-5 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like the Mariners starter Castillo. BALTIMORE is 47-23 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 41-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 35-21 against the money line in road games this season. The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 112 games (+27.85 Units / 20% ROI) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 49-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-10-23 | Astros v. Orioles +122 | 4-5 | Win | 122 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Right-hander Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.61 ERA) will take the mound for the Orioles in the finale as the Os look to salvage a game from this series. KREMER is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.54 and a WHIP of 0.600 and Im betting he will give his team the edge today on a value line. Baltimores starter KREMER is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 10-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-4 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 67-35 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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08-09-23 | Astros +134 v. Orioles | 8-2 | Win | 134 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My own line on this game is closer to a pickem (even) which gives us very good value on backing the underdog in this spot play. Astros starter JAVIER is 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Javier has pitched well against the Orioles the past two seasons garnering a 1.42 ERA with 17 strikeouts and three walks over four appearances, including one start, spanning 12 2/3 innings. HOUSTON is 9-3 ( against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. BAKER is 90-59 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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08-08-23 | Padres v. Mariners -140 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Martinez (5-4, 3.68 ERA) goes to the hill for a Padres team on a two-game losing streak allowing 21 runs in those tilts . Martinez is 0-3 with a 5.20 ERA in six career appearances against Seattle, including four starts and Im fading here today against the Seattle Mariners. Meanwhile,Right-hander Logan Gilbert (9-5, 3.86) goes to the mound for the Mariners . The righty has won his past four decisions and gets my support here vs a inconsistent Padres offense, that is averaging just 4.4 rpg vs righties this season like Gilbert. Gilbert is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in three career starts against San Diego. He took out the Padres 4-1 on June 6 in San Diego, limiting them to one run on three hits in seven innings, with two walks and six strikeouts. Rinse and repeat . GILBERT is 20-8 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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08-07-23 | Royals +179 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Royals had won 7 games in a row before losing the last two to Philadelphia. However, Im now betting on a value line bounce back for KC today vs a Boston side off losing 4 straight games , 3 of which came to division rivals the blue Jays. Thats got to hurt, and with their mental state and emotional state tattered they are at a disadvantage vs a side that is up trending and maybe a little under rated. With hard throwing LHP top tier prospect Ragans on the hill for KC the Royals must not be underestimated. The KC southpaw can get his fastball up in the high 90s, and is not an easy hurler to face for a BoSox side that has scored more than 3 runs just twice in their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Bostons young starter Bello despite of showing his prowess this season, has shown some fatigue of late, and could easily be humbled here vs a KC side, that has averaged 5.6 rpg in their L/7 overall via .270 team BA. Bello did get win last time out, vs Seattle, but previous to that in two starts allowed 13 runs in 16 innings and must not be over estimated in his ability to cool off the Royals suddenly hot offense.BOSTON is 9-20 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. ( Boston got bashed yesterday 13-1 by the Jays) MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 8-32 L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win Play on KC to win |
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08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -127 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won 5 straight games and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt and deserve respect as short home favs . MIAMI is 16-40 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons against hurlers like Texas starter Heaney. ( The Marlins have averaged just 3.9 rpg vs southpaw pitching this season. Miami starter ALCANTARA is 6-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Texas ha averaged 6.2 rpg at home during this campaign. BOCHY is 25-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. MIAMI is 10-36 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI) MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-101 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Rays clobbered the Tigers 8-0 in the series opener on Friday night, limiting Detroit to three hits and similar rinse and repeat situation looks to be at hand here. Civale (5-2, 2.34 ERA) Im betting will primed to have a quality start for his new club. Civale, who was surprisingly dealt by the Cleveland Guardians to the Tampa Bay Rays for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo. He has been dominant in his career vs the Tigers as is evident by garnering 7-0 record along with a stingy 2.06 ERA in 10 starts and will once again give his team an edge here in Motown this afternoon. Rays starter CIVALE is 25-10 ) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 22-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 19-11 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter lefty Tarik Skubal (1-1, 4.57 ERA), who will be making his sixth start of the season according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a Rays side that averages 5.7 rpg this season vs southpaw hurlers. Skubal has recorded a ugly 7.24 ERA in his L/3 starts and Im betting he will be cannon fodder again today. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-05-23 | Astros -134 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Astros are up-trending and are now 13-7 since the All-Star break, after a 7-3 victory vs the NYY on Friday. With newly acquired Verlander on the hill for the Astros, Im betting on the road team cashing here again. Verlander was 61-19 with a 2.26 ERA for the Astros in 102 regular-season starts and posted nine postseason wins, including three over the Yankees and Im sure will be motivated to put forward a top tier effort here again in his return . Veralnder is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last eight regular-season starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile the Astros get to go against left-hander Nestor Cortes (5-2, 5.16 ERA), who is returning from a left rotator cuff strain for his first start since allowing two runs in five innings on May 30 in Seattle. Rust will be a factor here for Cotres vs a Astros side, that has averaged 5.5 rpg vs LHP this season. Cortes is 1-1 with an 8.04 ERA in six regular-season appearances (three starts) against Houston. Note: Astros are v 62-25 v against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-04-23 | Braves -158 v. Cubs | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Braves starter FRIED is 19-4 against the money line against NL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.57 and a WHIP of 0.826. ATLANTA is 12-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like like cubs starter Hendricks. HENDRICKS is 1-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.22 and a WHIP of 1.901. The pitching matchup and overall head to head data according to my power rankings supports a Cubs selection, at a slightly elevated money-line offering. However the edge is significant enough for me to lay a little more lumber than usual. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, in August games are 5-35 L/26 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 63-18 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Braves to win. |
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08-03-23 | Orioles +149 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 149 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Baltimore leads the season series 7-2 after yesterdays 4-1 loss. They did win the first two games of this series, and are in bounce back mode here today. Orioles newly acquired starter today Flaherty (7-6, 4.43 ERA) has faced the Blue Jays just once in his seven-year career, and it was this season. Back April 1 in St. Louis, Flaherty at that time with the Cards picked up the win, allowing no runs or hits but walking seven in five innings. He stuck out four. Flaherty garnered a very stable 3.45 ERA in his final 12 starts with the Cardinals, including a 3.03 ERA in five July outings and Im betting he matches up well here vs a Toronto side that has slowed down precipitously on offense of late and on the season have only average 4.2 rpg at home . Jays starter today GAUSMAN is 7-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-10 ( against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-4 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Torontos starter Gausman. Baltimore's starter FLAHERTY is 16-6 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 16-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 47-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals +135 | 6-7 | Win | 135 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals are off a 3-0 sweep of the Minnesota Twins last time out and have momentum entering this home series against the NY mets. Southpaw Jose Quintana (0-2, 3.27 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Royals right-hander Zack Greinke (1-11, 5.49). ( Greinke despite of sub par overall stats, has pitched his best baseball at home this season where he has garnered a stable 3.74 ERA. GREINKE is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Greinke is 5-1 with a 3.49 ERA in nine regular-season starts against the Mets. QUINTANA is 10-17 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) QUINTANA is 6-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) NY METS are 2-9 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 46-11 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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07-31-23 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 133 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Orioles starter GIBSON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is also a perfect 5-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)Baltimore has won five of six games against Toronto this season and matchup well here again in the first game of this series.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 46-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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07-30-23 | Yankees v. Orioles -123 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Yankees stater SEVERINO is 0-7 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). SEVERINO is 1-10 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Severino owns a less than pretty looking 6.90 ERA over his L/3 starts , and owns a 0-3 record on the road this season along with a 7.62 ERA and fade material in his current form. Orioles starter KREMER is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-6 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The starting pitching matchup favors the Orioles, and Im recommending we back the home side because of this tonight. BOONE is 27-55 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-40 L/5 seasons for. a against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies +102 | 0-2 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Oaklands starter Luis Medina has not faired well on the road this season, going 0-4 in 4 starts along with a ugly looking 9.87 ERA. Im betting things will go for bad to worse in their launching pad known as Coors Field. OAKLAND is 6-39 against the money line in day games this season. COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday this season. OAKLAND is 18-61 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. KOTSAY is 18-56 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors as the manager of OAKLAND. MLB team (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -105 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zack Littell (0-2, 5.11) is the scheduled starter for Tampa Bay on Sunday My power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the Astros batting order. With the Astros offense continuing upward momentum with Jose Altuve back in the line up the home side looks like viable investment option. Note: Astros wRC+ ( 109 )over the last 30 days, Meanwhile, Astros hurler Bielak in four starts since being recalled from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3 is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA. Houston has won three of those starts. TAMPA BAY is 6-16 against the money line in July games this season. HOUSTON is 41-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 21-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 48-18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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07-29-23 | Tigers v. Marlins -146 | 5-0 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Tigers rank 28th in MLB scoring (3.9), two spots below Miami (4.1) and Im betting the tigers offense also suffers to produce here today vs Marlins veteran right-hander starter Johnny Cueto who is coming off a top shelf start on July 22, when he held the Colorado Rockies to just two hits. Hes been suffering injury issues of late, but is now healthy and looking strong and deserves respect here. Cueto has faired well against against the Tigers, going 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six career starts covering 42 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board. MIAMI is 13-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Motown starter Brieske. MIAMI is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 71-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on Miami to win |
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07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -120 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
. The Angels are scheduled to start left-hander Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38 ERA) and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he does matchup well here. He garnered a no-decision against the Blue Jays on April 9 after allowing five runs, four earned, on five hits in five-plus innings and my projections estimate another down effort. The Toronto Blue Jays took the opener of their three-game series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels 4-1 on Friday and Im betting they grab the cheese again. LA ANGELS are 8-18 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 9-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-28-23 | Mariners -128 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Right-hander Logan Gilbert (8-5, 3.88) has won his last three decisions for Seattle and owns a 6-1 record on the road along with a stable 3.26 ERA and a stingy 0.935 WHIP. GILBERT is 12-2 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 21-9 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Diamondbacks left-hander Tommy Henry (5-3, 4.01 ERA) will start. He has lost his last two trips to the hill while lasting just 4 1/3 innings in each time. He is backed by a shaky bullpen, as the over pitching staff have allowed seven or more runs in eight games since the All-Star break and in their current form are fade material. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 3-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter McClanahan despite of great won loss record of 11-1 on the season, is also just 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against the Astros, both of which were down the stretch last season. Note: The Astros have done their best work against lefties like McClanahan averaging 5.6 rpg on a .272 team BA. Meanwhile, the Astros will throw out Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-2, 4.32 ERA) . I know he has not pitched all that well of late, but he is a viable hurler, and must be respected here at home where he owns a 7-0 record against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is also 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 5-15 against the money line in the second half of the season this season MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tanner Bibee (6-2, 3.04 ERA) goes to the hill for the Guardians on Thursday. Bibee, is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four July starts, and is coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. allowing just two hits, in 7 innings while striking out eight. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest their is a strong probability of him having a top tier performance. Cleveland's relievers have pitched just 8 innings in the last 3 games.(Advantage Cleveland) Chi White Sox's relievers have pitched 15 innings in the last 3 games. CLEVELAND is 22-5 against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GRIFOL is 15-32 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Chi White Sox is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games. Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers travel to the Houston Astros looking to end a four-game road slide after losing the first two games of this series by 1 run each time. These two instate rivals have played some coin flip games of late, and no matter who happens to be on the hill, the tilts are hard fought. There is simply to much value to pass up on with a hard hitting Texas side that could easily manufacture enough runs to win . BOCHY is 24-12 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 17-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 45-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-25-23 | Mariners v. Twins -113 | 9-7 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Kirby (9-8, 3.23 ERA) limited the Twins to four hits over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none in a 5-0 victory on Thursday in Seattle, but Im betting Minnesota will be ready for him in the rematch and will garner their 5th straight victory. Meanwhile, Twins starter Pablo Lopez who pitches today was the loser last time out. However, Lopez is pitching at a top tier level this season, via a nasty sweeper and a 30.2% KO ratio. Take Lopez in the rematch. SEATTLE is 9-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. SEATTLE is 5-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 37-19 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 9-40 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to win |
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07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Right-hander Jon Gray (6-5, 3.31) goes to the hill for the Rangers on Monday. He is winless over his last seven starts, recording a 0-4 record with a 4.66 ERA during that span and Im betting his fortunes will not change here today vs the Houston Astros.Gray has seen his L/3 starts vs the Astros result in his team losing (two of them in Houston) Meanwhile, the Astros will reply with right-hander Brandon Bielak (5-5, 3.46 ERA) . He threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-1 win over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, allowing one hit and three walks while recording four strikeouts and is 2-1 with a 1.02 ERA in three starts since returning from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3. In his current form Im betting he gives the Rangers batting order all they can handle. BAKER is 45-16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 9-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 25-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Monday are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing on Monday are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox and New York Mets meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1. The Mets have showed a little life of late, but are still playing inconsistent ball. Red Sox: 6-4, .271 batting average, and own a 4.24 ERA in their L/10, and have outscored opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Mets: 4-6, L/10 along with a .188 batting average, 4.40 ERA, and have been outscored by 15 runs. NYM starter CARRASCO is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP of 2.085 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up well vs the BoSox. The Red Sox remain in the postseason hunt and are 2.5 games behind the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays for the third and final wild-card spot and must keep pace so a prime time effort must be expected here in the rubber match of this inter-league series by the home side. In a game they may end up being a bullpen start for the Red Sox they will send LHP B. Bernardino to get things going on the mound. Note: The Mets have struggled mightily against LHP this season averaging just 3.3 rpg via a lowly .214 BA. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The Dbacks have lost 6 of their L/8 games while the Reds have won 3 straight and Im betting on both these trends remaining in place after this game has finished. Note: Brandon Williamson, Reds Starter has looked very strong of late as is evident by garnering a 2.57 ERA L/3 starts and deserves respect here on a short line. MLB team (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 30-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers had a six game win streak abruptly end yesterday in the first game of this series, vs the visiting LA Dodgers. But Im betting on a bounce back situation today for a under rated group of Rangers. Rangers starter DUNNING is 11-1 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Dunning is 4-0 at home this season, and has been very stable. BOCHY is 24-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 31-18 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 33-85 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The New York Mets have hit the Money-line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI) and are starting to play the type of baseball that was expected of them to begin this season. With Japanese hurler Kodi Senga on the hill the Mets once again look like viable bets as underdogs. Senga owns a 1.89 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.947 WHIP. Meanwhile, the NYM offense, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Red Sox starter tonight- Crawford who in 15 innings at home this season in Fenway has recorded a ugly 9.00 ERA via 22 hits and 15 ERS averaging just 3.7 innings per start or appearance. The NYM have done their best offense work against righties this season as is evident by averaging 5 rpg in run production against orthodox hurlers. I know the Red sox have a viable bullpen, but it must be noted that SHOWALTER is 39-23 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS. BOSTON is 2-8 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. NY Mets to win . |
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07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Twins are heating up offensively, as is evident by having scored 5 or more runs in all five games coming out of the all-star break including the 10 runs yesterday via a 14 hit output. Im betting on the Twins momentum heading to this game against a light hitting Seattle side that owns a lowly .212 batting average in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 6-14 against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
San Francisco right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) returns from the 15-day injured list to start against his former team. He was experiencing arm fatigue but says he feels much better now. The Giants righty is 1-1 with a 0.84 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against Cincinnati and deserves respect here in his return. The Giants have won 5 straight and are my choice in this tilt against a Reds side that has lost 4 straight. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 55-18 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The Braves had won 11 consecutive series before losing two of three games to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and will now be in a key bounce back situation vs a Arizona side that is now slumping after a fast start to their campaign. Im betting the Braves explosive batting order matches up well vs right-hander Zach Davies (1-5, 6.37),. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in. a 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. ATLANTA is 29-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Padres have lost 12 of their past 15 road games as they visit the red hot Toronto Blue Jays that has won 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Im betting both sides trajectory remain the same today in this matchup. TORONTO is 13-2 ( against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Musgrove whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons TORONTO is 11-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting on the Red Sox to get their 10th win in their last 12 games, tonight in Oakland against a As team on a 7 game losing streak. Note: Expected BoSox starter Pivetta has made four appearances (three starts) against Oakland, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 27 innings. OAKLAND is 5-22 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 11-0 since 2021 in the first game of a series vs non-AL East teams when coming off a 5+ run win. (Red Sox won yesterday by a 11-5 count vs Oakland). Play on Bosox to win |
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07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Cubs starter SMYLY is 9-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 17-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.103. Meanwhile, Washingtons starter Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Cubs. He lost to Smyly and Chicago on May 1, when he yielded four runs on seven hits in four-plus innings. Rinse and repeat here today . WASHINGTON is 12-26 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 16-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win |
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07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Javier (7-1, 4.34) is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against the Angels and get my support here tonight agains the Angels. Yesterday the Halos came from behind late for a extra innings win, which ended and 6 game win streak, but Im betting they don't make it two in a row in this spot play. Note: Javier has received plenty of run support in his L/3 outings (10,10, 12) .Entering Saturday's game, Astros starters were 5-0 with a 2.44 ERA against the Angels this season and a bounce back in the cards again according to my projections. Angels starter Anderson (4-2, 5.25) does not have a win and nearly a month. He is 0-1 in five career starts against the Astros with a 6.75 ERA. The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI) |
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07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami's starting pitcher will be left-hander Steven Okert (3-0, 2.43) will start his first career start after 201 relief appearances. Today should be a bullpen day for the Marlins, but my pitching vs batting order power ranking still suggest the Marlins have the edge. Yesterday the Marlins smashed out 11 hits and relinquished a early 4-0 lead to lost 6-5, but now Im betting a bounce back scenario. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
The Halos have lost 6 straight after losing the first game of this series, and Im going to bet against them again today. The Los Angeles Angels have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-13.95 Units / -54% ROI) and are fade material in their current form.Astros starter VALDEZ is 24-6 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 8-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like Valdez. LA ANGELS are 1-10 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on Houston to win |