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AAA Sports Fighting Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-15-25 Carlos Prates v. Leon Edwards OVER 2.5 Top 1-0 Push 0 19 h 54 m Show

Our selection is on Carlos Prates VS Leon Edwards to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 10:50pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Carlos Prates doesn't go to a decision much. But, he might have to more if he wants to become champion against some of these top level fighters.

Prates just won with an absurd spinning knockout in the first round of his last fight. He went to a decision with Garry in the fight before.

The Fighting Nerd and his opponent don't wrestle much, so we should see lots of boxing and kick boxing in this fight.

Leon Edwards is the former champion in this division and wants to get back on track with a win.

He's got 10 finishes in his career, but also 11 wins by decision.

Both guys are really skilled and have great chins. We're on the OVER.

AAA Sports

11-08-25 Randy Brown v. Gabriel Bonfim -155 0-1 Win 100 16 h 20 m Show

Our selection is on Gabriel Bonfim to defeat Randy Brown on Saturday at 9:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Randy Brown has a couple of good wins recently, but the losses stand out as well.

He's lost three of his L7 fights and isn't a rising contender like his opponent.

Gabriel Bonfim has still lost just once in his career and is building another win streak and growing more and more belief again.

He's a submission artist with 13 submissions in his career.

Randy Brown has been submitted twice.

That looks like the most likely outcome.

AAA Sports

10-25-25 Ludovit Klein -130 v. Mateusz Rebecki 1-0 Win 100 23 h 30 m Show

Our selection is on Ludovit Klein to defeat Mateusz Rebecki on Saturday at 12:45pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Ludovit Klein lost his last fight but is still 6-1-1 over his L8 fights inside the UFC.

His nickname is Mr Highlight and we think that he's capable of knocking anyone out in this division.

He's beaten guys like Ignacio Bahamondes and Thiago Moisés and is one of the top contenders.

Martuesz Rebecki is having a bit of trouble right now with two losses in his L3 fights.

He's got a really good track record, but this past loss might have him feeling down about himself.

We'll take the slightly younger fighter with more upside.

AAA Sports

10-18-25 Mike Malott -108 v. Kevin Holland Top 1-0 Win 100 59 h 2 m Show

Our selection is on Mike Malott to defeat Kevin Holland in the UFC on Saturday at 4:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Mike Malott will have the home fans behind him on Saturday night in Vancouver.

He's already fought in Vancouver and won back in 2023. He also won in Edmonton when he fought there last year.

Malott is a much more clinical fighter between these two guys and will be able to control the fight on both the feet and on the canvas even in spite of his lesser reach.

Kevin Holland will be fighting for the fifth time in 2025 this weekend and that's pretty remarkable.

He's 2-2 in those fights and is off a loss. A break would be expected. But, nope. He's back out here for another fight.

We think that the more rested fighter in his home country will win this fight.

AAA Sports

08-23-25 Hayisaer Maheshate v. Gauge Young OVER 2.5 0-1 Push 0 13 h 41 m Show

Our selection is on Hayisaer Maheshate VS Gauge Young to go OVER the total on Saturday at 5:00am ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Hayisaer Maheshate lost his last fight by decision, and won the fight before that by decision.

The fighter out of China has a really good knockout win over Steve Garcia already in his UFC career, but he has gone to a decision in 57% of his fights all time.

Gauge Young also lost a decision in his last fight against Evan Elder.

He's gone to a decision four times in his career, a lot less than his opponent.

But, Young has never been knocked out before and he could face some challenges trying to knock out Maheshate in his home country.

We're on the OVER tonight.

AAA Sports

08-16-25 Geoffrey Neal v. Carlos Prates UNDER 2.5 Top 0-1 Win 100 148 h 22 m Show

Our selection is on Geoff Neal @ Carlos Prates to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 6:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Geoff Neal has fought a lot of big names in the UFC like Shavkat Rakhmonov, Ian Machado Garry, Vicente Luque and Rafael dos Anjos.

One thing is for certain, he likes to fight aggresively and has went to just seven decisions through 22 career fights.

He looks for the knockout more often than not. But, he also doesn't shy away from the ground game.

Carlos Prates is a member of the 'Fighting Nerds' group of Brazilian fighters who have taken the UFC by storm.

He did lose a decision in his last fight. But, he's gone to decision just four times in his 28 career fights.

Prates is the favorite by a decent amount. We think that he will knock Geoff Neal out before the 2.5 total tonight.

The play is on the UNDER.

AAA Sports

08-16-25 Jared Cannonier +180 v. Michael Page Top 0-1 Loss -100 21 h 17 m Show

Our selection is on Jared Cannonier to defeat Michael 'Venom' Page on Saturday at 10:45pm ET for a numbers of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jared Cannonier is the older of the two fighters, but not by too much as MVP is getting up there in age too.

The 'Killa Gorilla' was really good in his last fight and wants to make another run at the title.

He's fought some top level names in the UFC and that experience in the octagon will help him tonight.

Michael Page did look better against Shara than against Garry. But, he's had some mixed results since coming to the UFC.

He's going to be the taller and lengthier fighter, but will lack in pure muscle and that will hurt him in the clinch.

We think this is a great chance for Cannonier to show off his clinch and grappling game.

The American fighter is the play.

AAA Sports

08-02-25 Neil Magny +165 v. Elizeu Zaleski 1-0 Win 165 50 h 25 m Show

Our selection is on Neil Magny to defeat Elizeu Zaleski at UFC Fight Night on Saturday at 9:45pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Neil Magny is better than people think. He's fought good fighter after good fighter since 2020.

He loves to grind out fights and out battle his opponent, winning 17 out of his 20 fights that have gone to a decision.

And we think that this fight has a real good chance of going to a decision with the OVER/UNDER line at 2.5 heavily favoring the OVER.

Elizeu Zaleski hasn't been consistent either, losing his last fight, and two of his L3.

He's got just a 58% win percentage when it comes down to the judges.

We're on Neil Magny this weekend.

AAA Sports

07-26-25 Jose Ochoa v. Asu Almabaev -115 Top 0-1 Win 100 50 h 13 m Show

Our selection is on the Asu Almabaev to defeat Jose Ochoa on Saturday at 12:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Asu Almabaev lost his last fight to Manel Kape. But, he's still won 17 of his L18 fights in his career.

That's the toughest fight he's had and one of the judges had it even going into the final round.

He's a really good grappler, something that his opponent doesn't love.

Ochoa does have one submission win but likes the stand up a lot more -- Asu is comfortable standing as well.

The fighter from Peru doesn't have too much experience with fighting and lost to an up and coming fighter at the end of last year.

This is an even fight, but we will take the fighter with the more experience to win tonight.

AAA Sports

07-20-25 Max Holloway -130 v. Dustin Poirier 1-0 Win 100 13 h 0 m Show

Our selection is on Max Hollaway to defeat Dustin Poirier on Sunday at 12:15am ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

This is Dustin Poirier's retirement fight and we think that he will have trouble in the third fight against Max.

Dustin is off a loss against Islam and has been too inconsistent for us lately.

The Diamond did beat Max both times earlier in their careers. But, Max is in better condition right now.

Hollaway just lost to Topuria but still has this BMF belt to his name -- should give him tons of confidence.

He's looking to play spoiler in this fight and he will not want to lose three times to the same guy.

Max is the favorite. We're on him tonight.

AAA Sports

07-19-25 Marvin Vettori +165 v. Brendan Allen Top 0-1 Loss -100 28 h 7 m Show

Our selection is on Marvin Vettori to defeat Brandon Allen on Saturday at 9:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Marvin Vettori is the underdog tonight, but won't fight like one. He needs this win off two losses in a row.

He's never lost a fight inside the distance before, and we think that he could get a finish against someone who's morale is down even more than his.

Brandon Allen is also off back-to-back losses in the UFC (and three in a row if you count just grappling) so he might even be at a disadvantage on recent success.

'All In' loves his ground work and wants to get this fight on the ground more than likely.

We like 'The Italian Dream's' ability on the ground as well -- he's got nine submission to his name, and of course, never has been submitted.

Vettori is the play.

AAA Sports

06-21-25 Tofiq Musayev +135 v. Myktybek Orolbai 0-1 Loss -100 25 h 32 m Show

Our selection is on Tofiq Musayev to defeat Myktybek Oralbai on Saturday at 4:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tofiq Musayev is the underdog but will definitely be in this fight and will have a great chance at winning.

He's a knockout machine who has 18 wins by KO out of his 22 career fights.

That's going to get Oralbai in trouble who hasn't seen someone with this ability yet.

Myktybek Oralbai is definitely the more well rounded fighter and has actually never lost by knockout or submission.

But, we think that this is a fight that it could happen with Oralbai feeling down after a split decision loss.

We're on Musayev tonight.

AAA Sports

06-14-25 Raoni Barcelos v. Cody Garbrandt +215 Top 1-0 Loss -100 20 h 48 m Show

Our selection is on Cody Garbrandt to defeat Raoni Barcelos on Saturday at 11:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Cody Garbrandt is a legend in the sport of Mixed Martial Arts. He's known to have lightning fast hands.

'No Love' lost his last fight. But, that was against Deiveson Figueiredo, another legend.

Garbrandt is the fresher fighter having had a year of recovery time to prepare for this fight.

Barcelos is the favorite. But, he's also got a number of losses on his record.

The Brazilian is actually the older fighter by four years.

We're on Cody to pull off the upset tonight.

AAA Sports

05-10-25 Aiemann Zahabi v. Jose Aldo -179 1-0 Loss -179 20 h 2 m Show

Our selection is on Jose Aldo to defeat Aiemann Zahabi on Saturday at 11:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Jose Aldo had a bit of a problem weighing in on Friday which has moved this fight up a weight class.

This problem has made the line go in the favor of Zahabi more than it has been all week long.

Jose Aldo is still one of the top fighters in the MMA and his resume speaks for itself.

Zahabi is on a five fight win streak which is really impressive.

The Canadian fighter has never fought a former or current champion though. This will be a big test for him.

We're on the Brazilian favorite.

AAA Sports

04-26-25 Jimmy Flick v. Matt Schnell -160 Top 0-1 Win 100 18 h 4 m Show

Our selection is on Matt Schnell to defeat Jimmy Flick on Saturday at 8:45pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Matt Schnell is on a losing streak but has been fighting really good fighters.

He's capable of winning by knockout and submitting someone.

Jimmy Flick has never knocked someone out in his career -- has been knocked out six times.

He's submitted people 15 times though and has never been submitted.

Each round starts standing up and Schnell has better striking.

If this fight goes to the ground, Schnell will be able to keep up.

We think Schnell wins by Decision on Saturday.

AAA Sports

04-12-25 Patricky Pitbull v. Yair Rodriguez -170 0-1 Win 100 20 h 15 m Show


Our selection is on Yair Rodriguez to defeat Patricio Pitbull on Saturday at 6:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Yair Rodriguez is a fighter that gets overlooked sometimes in the Featherweight Division.

El Pantera has some of the best kicks in all of mixed martial arts and they should flying today.

He's off back-to-back losses, but those were tough fights. This one will be easier.

Patricio Pittbull will make his UFC debut today. He's lost two of his L3 fights in Bellator and RIZIN.

We think that the UFC experience will help El Pantera and he will be too talented for the newly addition to the roster.

AAA Sports

03-22-25 Sean Brady v. Leon Edwards OVER 4.5 Top 1-0 Loss -180 106 h 39 m Show

We like the Sean Brady vs Leon Edwards fight to finish OVER the total on Saturday night for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Sean Brady is one of the top contenders in this division. A win here might get him a title shot.

Brady has gone the distance though in nine of his 17 professional wins. Has never lost a decision before.

Leon Edwards hasn't fought since losing the belt to Belal Muhammed. He's always in long fights, going to a decision 14 times in 24 fights.

We also have to mention when Edwards first won the belt he faced Usman and knocked him out with less than a minute to go.

Two really good fighters here. We see it going to the judges score cards.

AAA Sports.

03-08-25 Rafael Fiziev v. Justin Gaethje +145 Top 0-1 Win 145 53 h 3 m Show

We like Justin Gaethje to defeat Rafael Fiziev on Saturday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Justin Gaethje has been near the top of the Lightweight Division for years now and he's always proved himself to be one of the toughest.

He's off a loss to Hollaway, but won back-to-back fights before that -- which includes a win against Fiziev.

Gaethje has the 'never give up' mentality and we like that when it comes to picking winners.

Rafael Fiziev is a scary fighter to pick against. But, he's off back-to-back losses now, one against Gaethje and one against Gamrot.

He got injured during that fight against Gamrot and hasn't seen the octagon since then in 2023.

That's a whole year off and we think that Gaethje's activity makes him more threatning.

We're on the underdog today.

AAA Sports

03-01-25 Ramazonbek Temirov +120 v. Charles Johnson Top 1-0 Win 120 7 h 14 m Show

We like Ramazonbek Temirov to defeat Charles Johnson on Saturday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Ramazonbek Temirov is from Karshi, Uzbekistan. A place more known for wrestling has produced a top power striker at 125lbs.

Temirov is a knockout machine and has won five fights in a row by KO in the opening round.

He's know won 10 straight fights and hasn't lost since early 2021.

Charles Johnson has a couple of good wins over his career, but is definitely a streaker fighter.

Johnson has lost three of his last seven fights, and is 12-9-1 over his L32 pro fights. (This includes Boxing.)

We're on the Uzbek fighter tonight.

AAA Sports

08-17-24 Jair Rozenstruik -190 v. Tai Tuivasa 1-0 Win 100 196 h 41 m Show

6* Jairzinho Rozenstruik (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT)

This should be an explosive match. Tai Tuivasa is clearly a dangerous man, but he's the slower of these two beasts and he has much less gas in the tank than Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Rozenstruik will be able to survive the first few minutes of this fight, and after that he'll be able to control it completely. Tuivasa has lost four in a row and has zero confidence at this point. They're exactly the same height and weight, yet Rozenstruik has a three-inch reach advantage. Tuivasa has poor defense as well, getting hit 5.05 times every 60 seconds, compared to just 2.78 strikes allowed by Rozenstruik. This line could or should in fact be larger in our opinion, so lay the price with confidence on Rozenstruik!

AAA Sports

07-28-24 Belal Muhammad +210 v. Leon Edwards Top 1-0 Win 210 30 h 37 m Show

10* Belal Muhammad (TOP PLAY)

This is a rematch between the two, after Belal Muhammad took a fight on short notice three years ago. Muhammad looks for revenge here, and note that he's 5-2-1 against UFC-level southpaws. Muhammad has come a long way in the last three years as well and is completely rounded in every facet. Muhammad will almost assuredly be looking to take this one to the ground whenever possible, as this is one area we feel he for sure has an advantage. Edwards has been on top for a while here, but we're expecting Muhammad to be unorthodox with his approach here and to note give the champ much to work with; fantastic overall value play here on Belal Muhammad!

AAA Sports