Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-06-25 | Youngstown State v. Oakland UNDER 138.5 | Top | 84-75 | Loss | -111 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
We like the Youngstown State Penguins @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies to finish UNDER the total on Thursday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Youngstown State scores more than its opponent, but is the underdog today. The Penguins are off some high scoring games. But, they've seen four of their L5 games on the road finish UNDER the total. They also allowed just 50 points in the first game against the Golden Grizzlies this season. Oakland did lose that game 66-50 in December, but has won five of its L7 games. That game was very low scoring and this game will be the same. The Golden Grizzlies have seen the total finish UNDER in six of 19 games this year played at home/away (non neutral court games.) We think this one stays UNDER too. AAA Sports |
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01-29-25 | Oral Roberts v. St. Thomas OVER 157.5 | Top | 71-86 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
We like the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ St. Thomas Mn Tommies to finish OVER the total on Wednesday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Oral Roberts is 5-15 this season and has been one of the worst teams in the Summit League. The Golden Eagles are averaging 75.2 points a game though which is very high for a team that losses that much. They will need to score a lot tonight to beat one of the highest scoring teams in Division One. St. Thomas Mn is 16-6 this season, averaging 84.8 points a game. That's 9th compared to all teams. The Tommies have seen the total finish OVER in 10 of their L13 games this year. We think this one goes OVER too. AAA Sports |
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01-28-25 | Southern Indiana v. Morehead State UNDER 135.5 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
We like the Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles @ Morehead State Eagles to finish UNDER the total on Tuesday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Southern Indiana is better defensively than offensively in our opinions (just like Morehead State.) The Screaming Eagles are averaging just 65.5 points a game over their L8 games this season. Morehead State is definitely the slower of the two teams. The Eagles will control the pace and slow the game down. They are averaging 68.7 points a game, and 59.8 points a game over their L6 games. The Eagles have seen the total stay UNDER in eight of their L10 games now. With Morehead State as the favorite, we think its going to be a low scoring game because that's how it likes to play. AAA Sports |
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01-17-25 | Iowa v. UCLA OVER 152 | Top | 70-94 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
We like the Iowa Hawkeyes @ UCLA Bruins to finish OVER the total on Friday at 9:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Iowa averages the most points out of any team in NCAAB at 89.5 points a game this year. The Hawkeyes have seen the total go OVER in five straight games played on the road. They have also seen the total finish OVER in six of their L7 games played against opponents within the Big Ten Conference. UCLA is averaging much less in terms of scoring a game. It will need to score lots today if it wants to win. The Bruins have still gone OVER the total in five of their L7 games this season. We expect Iowa to run up the score and for UCLA to follow its lead tonight. Play on the OVER. AAA Sports |
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01-16-25 | Portland State v. Northern Colorado OVER 152 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
We like the Portland State Vikings @ Northern Colorado Bears to finish OVER the total on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Portland State averages 79.8 points a game so far this year. The Vikings are 5-2 to the OVER on the road this season as well. They've also seen the total finish OVER in seven of their L9 games played against UNCO. Northern Colorado averages even more points than Portland State do -- 83.9 points a game. The Bears have seen the total go OVER in five straight games played at home (all this season.) They've also gone OVER the total in 10 out of the 14 games with total lines this year. This game will go OVER the total as well. AAA Sports |
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01-15-25 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Wright State OVER 152 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
We like the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons @ Wright State Raiders to finish OVER the total on Wednesday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of he more important ones: IPFW has been scoring at extremely high rates so far this season. The Mastodons are averaging 82 and a half points a game and are the favorites today on the road. They have seen the total go OVER in 10 of their L16 games with total lines this season. Wright State isn't scoring at the same level, but is still putting up respectable numbers. The Raiders have seen the total go OVER in 19 of their L30 game since the end of last year. Last year's two meetings had 204 points and 156 points. We think this one goes OVER 152.0 tonight. AAA Sports |
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01-12-25 | Wright State v. Robert Morris UNDER 147.5 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
We like the Wright State Raiders @ Robert Morris Colonials to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 2:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Wright State has seen the total stay UNDER in three games in a row now. The Raiders have scored an average of just 68.0 points a game over those three games. Robert Morris has seen plenty of OVER's recently which is why we believe an UNDER is on the cards today. The Colonials shoot less than 30% from behind the three point line which is near the bottom in Division One. We like these teams to have trouble finding their rhythms today leading to an UNDER. AAA Sports |
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01-11-25 | North Florida v. Bellarmine UNDER 162.5 | Top | 98-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
We like the North Florida Ospreys @ Bellarmine Knights to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 6:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: North Florida has lost five straight games. Its averaged 70.6 points a game over those games. With the Ospreys having trouble scoring themselves, its hard to see this game having this many points. We think that they will score more than they have recently. But, it's still not going to be enough. Bellarmine won't score enough in this game either for it to go OVER the total. The Knights have gone UNDER their team total in seven of the L11 games this season. We think this one stays UNDER the total by quite a bit. AAA Sports |
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01-08-25 | San Diego v. Gonzaga UNDER 156.5 | 80-93 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
We like the San Diego Toreros @ Gonzaga Bulldogs game to finish UNDER the total on Wednesday at 9:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: San Diego is 4-12 this season, averaging less than 67 points a game this season. The Toreros don't really stand a chance today. We believe that they score even less than their current average. They have seen the total stay UNDER in eight of their L11 games this year. Gonzaga is the big favorite in this game. We think that it will shut down its opponents completely in this game. The Zags have seen back-to-back home games finish UNDER the total. This one stays below the high line. AAA Sports |
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01-07-25 | St. John's v. Xavier OVER 151.5 | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
We like the St. John's Red Storm @ Xavier Musketeers game to finish OVER the total on Tuesday at 6:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: St. John's is averaging 81.9 points a game this season, playing at a fast pace. The Red Storm have seen the total go OVER in 14 of their L22 games played on the road. Xavier is averaging 79.5 points a game this season, shooting a very good percentage from the three point line. The Musketeers have seen the total go OVER in seven of their L8 games played in the month of January. The OVER is also 5-2 over the L7 meetings between these two teams. We think this one is going to be a shootout. AAA Sports |
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01-06-25 | Nicholls State v. East Texas A&M UNDER 142 | Top | 83-61 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
We like the Nicholls State Colonels @ East Texas A&M Lions to finish UNDER the total on Monday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: East Texas A&M average just 63.5 points a game which is 12th worst among Division One programs. The Lions have scored less than 62 points in back-to-back games now. They are also shooting just 41.1% from the field this season which is one of the worst as well. Nicholls State should win this game, but don't score all that much either. The Colonels average just 73.5 points a game with an 8-6 record. They've scored less than 73 points in five straight games against Division One teams. We think Nicholls will start slow leading this game to finish UNDER the total. AAA Sports |
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01-04-25 | St. Mary's v. Portland UNDER 140 | Top | 81-58 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
We like the Saint Mary's Gaels @ Portland Pilots to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Saint Mary's has been getting better and better on defense as conference play has begun. Over their two games within the conference so far, the Gaels have given up 101 points (50.5 average.) The Gaels have seen the total finish UNDER in seven of their L10 games this season. Portland is much better defensively than offensively as well. The Pilots are averaging just over 71 points a game, and that's against very weak competition for the most part. They have seen the total go UNDER in 18 of their L32 games. The total has also stayed UNDER in eight of the L12 games between these teams. We see this one staying below the number. AAA Sports |
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01-03-25 | Xavier v. Georgetown UNDER 149.5 | Top | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
We like the Xavier Musketeers @ Georgetown Hoyas game to finish UNDER the total on Friday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Xavier has seen the the total stay UNDER in 13 of its L16 games since last season. The Musketeers are also 4-10 towards the UNDER so far this year. They don't rebound the ball well, so there shouldn't be many second chances for them. The UNDER is a perfect 6-0 over the L6 Georgetown games. The Hoyas have also seen their own team total stay UNDER in 18 of their L32 contests. Georgetown has one of the best defenses in College Basketball through two months. We believe that good defense will be shown heavily tonight. Take the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-21-24 | Central Michigan v. Arizona OVER 153.5 | 41-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
We like the Central Michigan Chippewas @ Arizona Wildcats game to finish OVER the total on Saturday at 4:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Central Michigan might not be at the same level as Arizona. But, CMU should still be able to score against them with how bad the Wildcats have been. The Chippewas have seen the total go OVER in five of their L7 games this season. Arizona is averaging 84.7 points a game even with their 5-5 record. The Wildcats have seen the total go OVER in four of their L6 games this season. Both teams should have no trouble scoring in today's game with two bad defenses. We think this one goes OVER at ease this afternoon. AAA Sports |
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12-19-24 | Norfolk State v. Alabama State OVER 149 | 71-54 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
We like the Norfolk State Spartans vs Alabama State Hornets game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Norfolk State is averaging 75.8 points per game this season. Over it's L3 games, Norfolk has given up an average of 81.67 points per game. The Spartans will have an easy time scoring against one of the worst defenses in the country. Alabama State is allowing 82.2 points per game this year which is 12th worst in all of division one. The Hornets are averaging 79.3 points per game this season. They make a lot of three balls which helps a lot. The Hornets have gone OVER the total in six out of their nine games this season. We think this one goes OVER as well. AAA Sports |
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12-18-24 | Murray State v. Indiana State OVER 155 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
We like the Murray State Racers @ Indiana State Sycamores game to finish OVER the total on Wednesday at 7:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Murray State is averaging 79.3 points per game this season. They shoot 3's at a very high percentage, leading to more points. The Racers have seen their own team total go OVER in nine of their L13 road games. Indiana State is averaging 82.8 points per game this season. They shoot at a very high percentage overall and play at a very fast pace. The Sycamores have seen the total go OVER in 23 of their L37 games since last year. They have also failed to reach the 80 point mark just three times in 10 games this season. We think they reach it today. We're going with the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-17-24 | Drexel v. Howard OVER 147 | 68-65 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
We like the Drexel Dragons @ Howard Bison game to finish OVER the total on Tuesday at 3:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Drexel is 7-4 this season, after scoring 77 and winning their latest game against Albany. The Dragons have seen the total go OVER in 18 of their L31 games since last season. Howard is 5-6, while averaging 78.7 points per game this season. The Bison have seen the total go OVER in 19 of their L33 games since last year. Both teams shoot the three ball at a high clip and we think that will lead to lots of scoring today. The OVER is the play. AAA Sports |
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12-15-24 | Denver v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 138 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
We like the Denver Pioneers @ Cal State Fullerton Titans to finish UNDER the total on Sunday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Pioneers normally play at a higher pace, but should slow down tonight against a team that loves to control the pace in CSUF. Denver has gone UNDER the total in 67% of their games with O/U lines this season. Cal State Fullerton average less than 60 points a game right now (recipe for disaster if wins are wanted.) But, CSUF are the betting favorite today and we think that it will be able to lock down defensively. The Titans' games have gone UNDER the total at a 70% clip this season so far in games with lines . We think this one will be low scoring. AAA Sports |
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12-13-24 | Army v. George Washington OVER 148 | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
We like the Army Black Knights @ George Washington Revolutionaries game to finish OVER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Army have been one of the top scoring teams this season in the NBA. They are averaging nearly 84 points per game this season. Over their L8 games played with an O/U line, the Black Knights have seen every single one of them finish OVER the total. Army have also seen at least one team crack the 90 points mark in three straight games this season. George Washington have averaged 77.7 points per game this season. That's not as great, but it's still quite a bit. The OVER is 5-2-1 over their L8 games that the Revolutionaries have played this season. We think the next OVER comes on Friday. AAA Sports |
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12-12-24 | Iowa State v. Iowa OVER 159.5 | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
We like the Iowa State Cyclones @ Iowa Hawkeyes game to finish OVER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Iowa State are one of the best teams in Division 1 and their offense is a big part in that. The Cyclones are averaging 87.8 points per game this season. ISU have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games this season. The Cyclones also just scored 100 points in their last game. They'll be ready to put on a show today. Iowa are averaging 86.1 points per game this season. They too have one of the best offenses in the country. The Hawkeyes have seen the total go OVER in 11 of their L16 games since last season. 12 of the L16 games between these two schools have gone OVER as well. We think this one will be a shootout. AAA Sports |
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12-11-24 | South Dakota State v. Nevada UNDER 140 | Top | 63-77 | Push | 0 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
We like the South Dakota State Jackrabbits @ Nevada Wolfpack to finish UNDER the total on Wednesday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: South Dakota State are not allowing very many points this season. They've played some competition and have still only allowed 66.45 points per game this season. The Jackrabbits have also allowed an average of just 60.25 points per game over their L4 games. SDAK State went UNDER the total in three of those games (the other one didn't have an O/U line.) Over their L7 games played on the road, five of them have finish UNDER the total. Nevada have lost back-to-back games but didn't allow over 70 in either of them. The Wolfpack have seen the total stay UNDER in five of their L6 games this season now. We think that this one stays UNDER the total as well. AAA Sports |
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12-09-24 | Abilene Christian v. Baylor OVER 142.5 | Top | 57-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
We like the Abilene Christian Wildcats @ Baylor Bears to finish OVER the total on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Baylor is a big favorite for this game. They are averaging 83.4 points per game which ranks them 43rd in Division 1. The Bears are also averaging 99.66 points per game in three games at Foster Pavilion in Waco Texas. Baylor have seen the total go OVER in five of their L6 games as well this season. Six straight Bears home games have gone OVER too. Abilene Christian have seen the total go OVER in four of their L5 games this season. The OVER is 6-0 in the Wildcats' L6 games played in the month of December. Abilene Cristian will need put up points to stay in this game. Don't underestimate them. They could keep this one closer than people think. We've got a high scoring game on our hands for today. AAA Sports |
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12-07-24 | Northern Colorado v. North Dakota State OVER 151 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
We like the Northern Colorado Bears @ North Dakota State Bison game to finish OVER the total for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Northern Colorado have seen the total go OVER in each of their L5 games played in the month of December. UNCO have also seen the total go OVER in 13 of their L17 games played away from home. North Dakota State shoot a lot of threes. They average more than 12 makes a game from the 3 point line. The Bison have seen the total go OVER in six of their L8 games overall. The OVER is also 6-0 in the L6 NDST games played versus teams from the Big Sky Conference. This will be a high scoring game. Back the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-05-24 | Purdue v. Penn State OVER 148.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
We like the Purdue Boilermakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions game to finish OVER the total on Thursday for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The OVER is 10-3 over the L13 meetings between these two teams. Purdue won 95-87 (182 total points) in their most recent meeting against each other (in February.) Purdue loves to shoot the three ball. They have to do a lot more of that this season without Edey in their lineup from last year. Penn State have seen the game total finish OVER in 14 of their L21 games at home. Both teams are averaging a lot of points per game combined with their opponents this season. We're expecting another past paced CBB game in this Big Ten matchup. AAA Sports |
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12-04-24 | San Diego State v. Fresno State UNDER 141 | Top | 84-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
We like the San Diego State Aztecs @ Fresno State Bulldogs game to finish UNDER the total on Wednesday at 10:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: San Diego State have been known for their slow pace and defense over the years. We think more of the same is to come today. The Aztecs have seen the total stay UNDER in six of their L9 games since last season. SDST have only hit their "Team Point Total" OVER in 15 of their L34 games. As the big favorite, that should be something to keep an eye on. Fresno State have seen the total stay UNDER in two of their L3 losses this season. The UNDER is 5-1 over the L6 games between these two teams. We expect a low scoring game with SDST holding the Bulldogs to around 60 points. AAA Sports |
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12-02-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana-Monroe OVER 148 | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
We like the UT Arlington Mavericks @ UL Monroe Warhawks game to finish OVER the total on Monday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Texas Arlington have seen the total go OVER in six of their L9 games since the end of last season. The Mavericks are averaging close to 80 points a game this season playing at a fairly fast pace. UTA are also a very capable three point shooting team. They average 9.2 makes from behind the three point line a game. The OVER is 5-0 in the L5 games between these teams played in Monroe, Louisiana. ULM have also seen the total go OVER in five of their L6 games played against opponents from the WAC Conference. We think this one flies OVER the total. Lots of points are expected. AAA Sports |
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11-28-24 | New Mexico v. Arizona State OVER 158.5 | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
We like the New Mexico Lobos @ Arizona State Sun Devils game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 11:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Arizona State have seen the total go OVER in each of their L5 games. The Sun Devils are averaging 87.0 points per game over their L3 games. ASU has also seen the total go OVER in seven of their L8 games played in the month of November. New Mexico have looked good offensively. They are averaging 85.5 points per game. They also play at the fastest pace in the nation, according to KenPom's adjusted tempo rankings. UNM are prone to giving up a lot of points as well as scoring lots. The OVER is definitely the play in Thursday nights game. AAA Sports |
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11-28-24 | Oklahoma v. Arizona OVER 155 | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
We like the Oklahoma Sooners @ Arizona Wildcats game to finish OVER the total on Thursday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Yesterday's 104 points helped Arizona get back above .500 for the season. They are averaging 99.66 points per game in wins this year and are expected to win again today. The Wildcats play at a very fast pace and are great in transition. They will get a lot of offensive rebounds and second chance points. Oklahoma aren't as fast paced, but are still up there in that department. The Sooners create a lot of turnovers and quick points with steals. Both of these teams are capable of putting up 90 points in any game. We like the OVER here. AAA Sports |
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11-28-24 | Arkansas v. Illinois UNDER 154.5 | 77-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
We like the Arkansas Razorbacks @ Illinois Fighting Illini game to finish UNDER the total on Thursday at 4:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: We know that Illinois likes to get out and play fast. But, they will be slowed down in this game by a Coach Calipari led Razorbacks team. Arkansas has allowed an average of only 59.17 points per game so far this season. They have one of the best defenses in the nation. The Razorbacks do like to score themselves, but Illinois' defense is fairly strong too. The Fighting Illini have seen the total stay UNDER in four of their L5 games this season. The past two meetings between these two teams have both stayed UNDER by significant margins. We think this one stays UNDER too. AAA Sports |
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11-25-24 | Quinnipiac v. St. Louis UNDER 154.5 | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
We like the Quinnipiac Bobcats @ Saint Louis Billikens game to finish UNDER the total on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Quinnipiac's offense isn't really good. They are averaging less than 70 points a game. The Bobcats have seen the total stay UNDER in nine of their L12 games since last season. They have also seen the total go UNDER in four of their L5 games played against opponents in the A10 Conference. Saint Louis got destroyed in their last game. They will want to step it up defensively today. The Billikens have seen the total stay UNDER in four of their L6 games this year. We think that even though they will play at a higher pace (why the total is high,) this one won't have enough offense to push OVER the total. We'll go with the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-22-24 | Wofford v. St. Thomas OVER 141.5 | Top | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
We like the Wofford Terriers @ St. Thomas MN Tommies to finish OVER the total on Friday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Wofford has seen every game stay UNDER so far. That's because they've been playing on the road. Back at home, they should put up good numbers. St. Thomas have a very good offense. They are 3-2 this season with their only losses away against ASU and OKST. The three ball is the main game for the Tommies. They'll try their best to knock those down this early evening. Wofford's defense is quite bad and they will have to put up points to match St. Thomas if they want to win this game. Both teams will want to win this 50/50 game. We expect a lot of offense to be played leaving us no choice but to take the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-09-24 | Tennessee v. Louisville UNDER 154 | 77-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
We like the Tennessee Volunteers @ Louisville Cardinals game to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 12:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Even though the Vols have scored a lot this year, they've been playing great defense. They are known for their defense and they should continue to be here. Louisville should play with a lot more quality than Gardner-Webb (Tennessee's first opponent.) Even more-so at home. Since last season, nine of the L13 games for Tennesse have stayed UNDER. Over the past six home games for the Cardinals, they've seen the total stay UNDER as well. Louisville allowed only 45 points to Morehead State in their first game. This game should be a close battle and we think it stays UNDER by quite a bit. AAA Sports |
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11-04-24 | Akron v. Arkansas State OVER 146.5 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
We like the Akron Zips @ Arkansas State Red Wolves game to finish OVER the total on Monday at 8:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Akron lost some of their top guys from last season. But, they still have great offensive weapons. The Zips will be wanting to turn some heads as the underdog in this first game after making the Big Dance last season. Arkansas State, led by their superstar transfer Kobe Julien, will be looking to make some noise this year. Julien led their conference in points per game with 17.3 for an opposing team. They bring him in to make them even more of a bucket getting side. Averaging nearly 79 points per game last season, the Red Wolves are going to want to kick things off with a big high scoring performance. With two supposedly strong offensive teams going head-to-head for the first time, we're looking for a high scoring matchup. This line could go up before tip-off so take advantage asap. AAA Sports |
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03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke OVER 142.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
10* NC State/Duke OVER (ELITE 8 TOY) NC State beat in the Conference Tournament, but it'll be hard for the Wolfpack to beat this Blue Devils side twice in two weeks. So far the Blue Devils have seen all of their postseason games go "under" the number this year, including the 74-69 setback to NC State back on March 14th. Note though that the Blue Devils have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs an opponent. The Wolfpack is versatile and can play any style of contest. We're expecting this one to finally be a bit more wide-open; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 144.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Creighton/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) The Blue Jays opened the tournament with a 17-point win over Akron, but hten needed double OT to knock-off No. 11 seed Oregon in the second round. We're expecting Creighton to now come out with "heavy legs" here in the Sweet 16 and to double down defensively after the offensive marathon last time out. Tennessee cruised by St. Peter's by 34 in the opening round of the Tournament, but then it had to hold on for dear life in its four point win over 7-seed Texas in the second. With each of these teams still "reeling" from their Round of 32 wins, this is the type of great "situational" play that we're always on the look out for at this point of the tournament. Considering all of the situational factors pointing to each of these sides being exhausted here on Friday, we're definitely rolling with the "under" as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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03-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 134.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas A&M/Houston (2ND RND. NCAA TOY) Both teams dominated in their opening round games behind tough defensive play, and we're expecting those trends to continue here. These two teams squared off on December 16h and Houston won 70-66. While we expect another competitive game here as well, we absolutely expect an even lower-scoring defensive "chess match" in this one. Texas A&M averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2, while Houston averages 73.4 PPG, while allowing a nation-low 56.7. The first game in December went "over" the number, but this one has defensive battle written all over; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | College of Charleston v. Alabama UNDER 173.5 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* Charleston/Alabama UNDER (NCAA FIRST RND TOY) The 27-7 Charleston Cougars are going for their 13th consecutive win, but to do that the 13th seed will have to get by the No. 4 sedd in 21-11 Alabama. The Cougars did win the CAA in beating Stony Brook 82-79, but they didn't cover the 10.5-point spread. The Tide finished fifth in the SEC and lost to the Gators by a score of 102-88 in the quarterfinals of the Conference Tournament. If we delve a little closer into Charleston's numbers though, we find that it finished 88th overall, with a strength of schedule that was ranked 226th in the country. The Tide's weakness this year was their play on the defensive end, but they catch a break here in our estimation. We're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State OVER 137.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Drake/Washington State. We're expecting a wide-open shootout here between No. 10 seed Drake and No. 7 seed Washington State. These teams matchup well. It won't be a cake-walk for Washington State. Both have "played down" at times to the level of their competition, but they've also stepped up their against tougher opponents, as evidenced by their winning seasonal records in Quad 1 games. Washington State has a tough defense, but Drake will be pushing the pace. Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Grambling State v. Montana State OVER 134.5 | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 52 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Grambling/Montanta State. Two teams looking to advance past the First Four collide on Wednesday night and in our opinion, everything points to a wide-open and much higher-scoring affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. Both 16 seeds. Grambling State finally got past Texas Southern in the SWAC, avenging two-straight losses in the Conference Tourney Championship Game, while Montana State rode some hot 3-point shooting to win its final four games to win the Big Sky Conference Tournament and earn a third-straight NCAA Tournament bid. Coming into the regular season finale they were just 13-17. Momentum is a very real thing and it's a factor in which the oddsmakers often have a difficult time properly quantifying into a line, and that's the case here. Look for each side to push the pace and then look for this total to fly "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard OVER 127.5 | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Howard (TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER) The winner of this one will have the unenviable matchup of UNC right after, but regardless, these two hopeful 16 seeds have nothing to lose and we're definitely expecting a faster pace. Both teams managed to come together at the right time and win their conference tournaments. The Bisons though have one of the worst defenses in the nation and are notorious in turning the ball over (21.7% of possessions.) With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wisconsin/Illinois (BIG TEN TOURNEY CHAMPIONSHIP) These teams have played to some high-scoring games to reach the Championship game, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair with everything on the line here. Wisconsin managed to knock off No. 1 seed Purdue to reach this for this game for the first time since 2016/17, while Illinois beat Nebraska. These teams did have one game in the regular season, and it was a high-scoring one in the Illini's 91-83 victory, but note that Wisconsin has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. This number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 137 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER SDSU/Utah State. Quick turn-arounds in these tournaments means that finding edges and angles wherever you can to exploit is the key to success, and as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. SDSU finished 23-9, while Utah State was 27-5. They're pretty evenly matched. They split their regular season series 1-1 this year. But after each played to overtime yesterday, to advance to this contest, we're absolutely expecting each team to be fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Look for each to double down defensively after their difficult high-scoring contest yesterday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina UNDER 147.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pitt/UNC (ACC TOURNEY TOY) Pitt beat Wake Forest 81-69 to advanced to the quarterfinal of the ACC, while UNC beat FSU 92-67. Both games went "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here on Friday night. The strength of each side has been on the offensive end all season, and the oddsmakers know that. The public knows that. But now here at this point of the tournament, the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion (and finally, note that UNC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS win and playing with 0 days rest.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 152 | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent State/Toledo (MAC TOTAL OF YEAR) This is just a great situational play. Kent finished 15-16, while Toledo was 20-11. Kent finished the season with two straight losses, including an 86-71 setback to Toledo in the finale. Note though that the Flashes have seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo finished with three straight wins and all three victories went "over" the number, but note that's also important as the Rockets have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We're expecting a MUCH more defensive battle between these foes here in the rematch; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | Davidson v. Fordham OVER 133.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER Davidson/Fordham (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much more wide-open affair this time around finally between Davidson and Fordham. The A-10 Tourney gets going here with 15-16 Davidson facing off against 12-19 Fordham. The Wildcats finished the year by losing five straight. The beat Fordham 68-53 on February 20th, and note that the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 152.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Milwaukee/UNK (Horizon League Tourney TOY) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here between Milwaukee and Northern Kentucky on Monday night. Northern Kentucky enters averaging 74.8 PPG, while allowing 72.9, while Milwaukee averages 79.5 PPG, while conceding 78.6. Milwaukee finished 19-14 overall, while UNK was 18-14. The Panthers lost 90-72 at Northern Kentucky on January 18th, but then bounced back and won 73-72 at home on February 17th. These two evenly matched sides have played to a couple of high-scoring affairs to reach this point of the tournament, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle in our opinion this time around; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-24 | Gardner-Webb v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 149.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Gardner Webb/UNC Asheville. This is a great situational play. Both teams ended the regular season with B2B UNDERS, and they both opened the Tournament with low-scoring victories as well. That's signficant for us to take note of though for two reason. Reason 1: Gardner Webb has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Reason 2: UNC Asheville has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 11 in the same position. The last time these teams played, Gardner Webb managed the 78-77 victory in late February, and we're expecting an even higher-scoring "shootout" this time around; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | Radford v. High Point OVER 150.5 | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Radford/High Point (BIG SOUTH TOURNEY TOY) We had a play on Radford in its 67-60 win over SCUS in its opening round of the Big South Conference Tournament. The Highlanders went on to cover the five points, but the total stayed well under the number of 139.5 in that one. Including its final two regular season losses, Radford has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note as the Highlanders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. High Point finished 24-7 and No. 1 in the regular season in the Conference. It's three-game win streak to end the season was snapped in a 74-72 loss at Longwood, but note that High Point has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four when playing with five or more days of rest. Expect a much faster pace to this contest and then look for the total to sail well "over" the number before the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | CS-Fullerton v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 136 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cal State Fullerton/UC Riverside (BIG WEST TOY) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." These teams are needing a win here and we're expecting that to translate into a defensive battle. There are many reasons to believe it'll be a defensive war instead of a wide-open offensive shootout. UC Riverside averages 69.6 PPG, while CSU Fullerton averages just 67.6. Each team's defense catches a break this week. The Highlanders beat the Titans 81-73 as 1.5-point favorites on the road on February 15th, and note that Cal State Fullerton has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU and ATS conference home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this one has defensive "war" written all over it; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKS/Texas (BIG 12 TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and lower-scoring battle finally here between these BIG 12 opponents on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Oklahoma State is 12-16 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Texas is 18-10 overall, including 12-4 at home. The Cowboys are big underdogs after two straight home losses. OKS has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Texas is off an upset 81-69 win at Texas Tech as a three-point dog, and note that the Longhorns have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. Texas won't need to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, so expect this slower-paced affair to stay well "under" once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Old Dominion v. Georgia Southern UNDER 152 | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER ODU/Georgia Southern. Overall we love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This one is all about the overall "situation," combined with a couple of strong O/U ATS stat that fully support us here. ODU is 7-23 overall, including only 1-11 on the road. Georgia Southern is 7-23 overall as well, but 5-6 at home. This is a game that each club will feel it has an opportunity to actually win in. Expect this to tranlsate into a defensive affair. Georgia Southern has seen the total go "over" in six straight now, but despite its most recent 83-73 victory over Marshall, note that the Eagles have still seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-29-24 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine UNDER 138 | Top | 83-57 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Mary's/Pepperdine (WEST COAST TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive affair in this contest finally here at Pepperdine on Thursday night. Just a great situational play overall for a few different reasons. Saint Mary's is 23-6, including a perfect 8-0 on the road. 6-2 ATS. Pepperdine is just 12-18 overall, but 9-7 SU and 8-6 ATS. The Waves play with revenge here after a humbling 103-59 loss at the Gaels in the middle of the month, and note that Pepperdine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Saint Mary's is off the 88-62 win over San Diego and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the Gaels have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself in points to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Youngstown State v. Green Bay UNDER 144.5 | Top | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Youngstown State/Wisconsin Green Bay (HORIZON LEAGUE TOM) Youngstown State is 20-9, but just 7-7 on the road. Wisconsin Green Bay is 17-11 overall, including 10-3 at home. The Penguins are off an 84-80 OT win over Milwaukee Wisconsin. They've seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now. They play with revenge after an 84-83 loss to the Phoenix as 11-point favorites at home back on February 10th, and note that Youngstown State has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Phoenix though have lost two straight since that upset, both as favorites. They've failed to reach the 60-point plateau in either. We have a hard time seeing them mustering much of an offensive attack this afternoon either; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Boston College v. NC State UNDER 149.5 | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* BC/NC State UNDER (ACC TOM) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is just a great "situational" play. We're primarily situational handicappers, and we're also contrarian at heart. This particular play definitely falls right into our "wheel house." Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between these two hungry sides. BC is 15-11 overall, but just 4-5 on the road, while NC State is 16-10 overall, including 11-4 at home. BC is off an 84-76 loss at FSU and it's now seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note thought that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. They lost 84-78 in OT at home to the Wolfpack, and note as well that BC has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. NC State is off an 87-73 home loss to Syracuse as a seven-point fav, and note that the Wolfpack have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. With each side doubling down defensively like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-21-24 | St Bonaventure v. La Salle UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Bonaventure/La Salle (A-10 TOY) This is a great "situational" play, which is backed by some strong supporting O/U ATS trends, and all of these factors collide here and make this play strong enough to become our one and only A-10 TOY. Saint Bonaventure is 16-9 overall, but just 4-4 on the road, while La Salle is 12-14 overall, including 8-6 at home. The Bonnies have won two straight, most recently holding on for an 81-80 OT thriller at home over Davidson. St. Bonaventure has now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight, but that's signficant for us to take note of here, as the Bonnies have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. La Salle just snapped a five-game losing streak with an 82-81 win over UMass as a six-point dog, but note that the Explorers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference victory as an underdog. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the above listed trends, does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-19-24 | Florida A&M v. Alcorn State OVER 138 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER FAMU/Alcorn State (SWAC TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating much more of a wide-open "shootout" here between these conference rivals on Monday night. FAMU is just 4-19, including only 2-12 on the road, while Alcorn State is only a slightly better 8-17 overall, including 3-3 at home. This is a game that each side will believe that it can actually win, and because of that, we're definitely expecting a faster-paced, wide-open affair. FAMU has lost five straight, but note that the Rattlers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after five or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 76-67 home loss to Alcorn State as 2.5-point dogs back in January, and note that the Rattlers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. The Braves are coming off three straight SU/ATS victories, with all three games going "under" the number. That's also significant for us to take note of though, as Alcorn State has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This total is low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-18-24 | Murray State v. Drake UNDER 140.5 | Top | 72-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Murray State/Drake (MISSOURI VALLEY TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, but all signs point to much more of a defensive battle here finally in our opinion. Murray State is 11-15, including 4-6 on the road, while Drake is 21-5, including 13-0 at home. The Racers won't be rolling over here despite being a big dog, as they come in off B2B convincing victories, most recently an 82-72 win over Missouri State (note though that Murray State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Drake has won three straight, with two of the three games flying "over" the number, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after three or more SU victories in a row. We think Murray State will do everything it can to slow down the pace of this one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-24 | Lehigh v. Bucknell UNDER 140 | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lehigh/Bucknell. This is a fantastic "situational" play in our estimation. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we feel that this particular battle here tonight will be a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here on Monday. These are two teams in need of a victory and we expect this great sense of competition to translate into a scrappy defensive-contest on the floor. Lehigh is 8-15 overall, including just 3-10 on the road, while Bucknell is a slightly better 10-15 overall, but only 4-7 at home. The Mountain Hawks are off a 94-90 OT win over Lafayette and we believe they'll still be fatigued here, so that definitely plays a big factor here. Bucknell actually upset Lehigh 86-80 on the road back in January, and note that the Mountain Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a lower-scoring "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-06-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128.5 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Rutgers/Maryland (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring affairs of late, but all signs finally point to much more of a wide-open "shootout" here on Tuesday in our opinion. Rutgers is 11-10, while Maryland is 13-9. The Scarlet Knights just snapped a three-game slide with a huge 69-59 win at Michigan as 4.5-point dogs, and note that Rutgers has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS conference road win as an underdog. Maryland has seen the total go "under" four straight now after its most recent 63-54 road loss at Michigan State, but note that the Terps have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS conference road loss in which they were held to 55 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-05-24 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 157.5 | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas-Pine Bluff/Prairie View A&M. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here between these Conference rivals in our opinion on Monday night. Both teams really need a victory here, and we're expecting that sense of competition to translate into a very defensive affair. Akransas-Pine Bluff is 10-11 overall, including just 4-8 on the road, while Prairie View A&M is 8-13, including 4-2 at home. The Panthers have lost three of their last four, including an 80-69 loss here to Texas Southern last time out. While Prairie View A&M has now seen the total go "over" in four straight, note that the Panthers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Golden Lions have won two straight. Both games went "over" the number. But with the home side doubling down on the defensive end like we expect, everything points to a much more methodical pace to this one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard UNDER 151 | Top | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Columbia/Harvard (IVY LEAGUE TOM) Both sides have been involved in some higher-scoring "shootouts" out of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here between these conference rivals in our estimation on Friday night. Columbia is 10-7 overall, including 2-5 on the road, while Harvard is 10-7 overall, including 6-3 at home. That's a stark contrast between winning and losing at home for each side. The Lions won't be rolling over here after snapping a three-game slide with an 84-81 win over Penn as 1.5-point dogs (note though that Columbia has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home win as an underdog.) Harvard has lost three of its last four and it's seen the total go "over" in all three losses. That includes a 78-65 setback to Yale here last time out. With each team doubling down defensively like we're expecting, the "under" does indeed become the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Tulane v. SMU UNDER 157.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Tulane/SMU (AAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a defensive affair here on Thursday night finally between these hungry conference rivals. Tulane is 12-8 overall, but only 2-3 on the road, while SMU is 13-6 overall, including 9-2 at home. The Green Wave won't be lacking for motivation here after back-to-back losses, most recently a 75-71 home setback to Charlotte as 3.5-point favs, but note that Tulane has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. SMU fans can empathize, as their team also enters off back-to-back losses, including a 77-72 loss at Wichita State as 5.5-point favorites last time out. But that's also important for us to take note of hee, as the Mustangs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS conference road loss as favorites. With each team doubling down defensively like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the savvy call here as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 137.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wyoming/Air Force (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here finally in our opinion between these conference rivals. After their most recent 84-70 loss at Fresno State, the Falcons have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Air Force has in fact seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five of more straight "overs" in a row. Wyoming is off a high-scoring 79-76 OT win over Colorado State and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. But that's also important for us to take note of, as the Cowboys have seen the total "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. These two teams are in need of a victory here and we're expecting that sense of competition to lead to a very defensive, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | UNLV v. San Jose State UNDER 147 | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNLV/SJSU (MW TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. UNLV is 9-9 this season, including 2-2 on the road, while SJSU is 8-11 overall, including 5-4 at home. The Spartans though have now seen the total go "over" the number in ten straight after their most recent 95-75 loss to New Mexico and note that SJSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to ten or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV is coming off B2B high-scoring losses as well, most recently a 98-58 setback to Air Force as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Rebels have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 59 or fewer points in. Look for this competitive battle to be a defensive one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 136.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTEP/Louisiana Tech (CONF USA TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair in this one in our opinion. UTEP is 11-8 overall, but 0-5 SU/ATS in true road games. Louisiana Tech is 13-6 overall, and a perfect 9-0 SU at home. The Miners come in off B2B home wins, with both victories flying "over" the number, but in their last road game, a 72-68 loss at FIU, the total stayed "under" the number. We suspect UTEP will once again struggle to find offensive consistency away from friendly confines. Louisiana Tech has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Grand Canyon v. Seattle University UNDER 143 | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon/Seattle UNDER (WAC TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Normally the eyes of the basketball world wouldn't pay much attention to a Western Athletic Game, but that won't be the case here, as Grand Canyon enters at 17-1. Seattle is 10-8 overall, but 9-2 at home. The Redhawks won't be rolling over here after three straight road losses (all went "over" the number, and two went to OT.) Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Grand Canyon had seen the total go "under" in three straight before its most recent 78-65 win over Utah Valley. The Antelopes will have their hands full here and we're expecting them to once again double-down on the defensive end; when you add it all up, this number is indeed high in our opinion, so the play is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Morehead State OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Tennessee Martin/Morehead State (OHIO VALLEY TOY) These teams have both been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in this particular matchup here on Thursday night. Tennessee Martin is 10-8 and Morehead State is 13-5. The Skyhawks snapped a two-game slide with a win over Little Rock last time out, and despite now having seen the total go "under" in four straight, note that Tennessee Martin has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Morehead State won't be taking anything for granted here after its five-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 61-48 loss at SIU Edwardsville. But note that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 49 or fewer points in. This number is indeed a little low when you take into account all of the above listed situational and trend-based factors; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/Clemson (ACC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here in our opinion. Georgia Tech is 8-8 and Clemson is 12-4. The Yellow Jackets are just 1-4 on the road though. they're coming off an 84-79 loss at Duke. Previous to that they fell 75-68 in OT at home to Notre Dame as 6-point favorites. The Jackets come to town dejected and fatigued. Clemson just snapped a three-game slide with an 89-78 win over BC, but note that the last time these teams met, the Tigers won 72-51 and we're fully expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular O/U line here tonight, a few points higher than it normally would/should be; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA OVER 140 | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/UCLA (PAC 12 TOM) These two teams are in need of a win and we're expecting this faster-paced affair to ultimately eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is 10-6 overall, bust just 1-2 on the road, while UCLA is 6-10 overall, including 4-4 at home. The Huskies are slight favs on the road here, as they've snapped a three-game slide by winning their last two, including an 82-67 victory over ASU last time out. We're expecting a similar final combined scored here as well. The Bruins have lost four in a row and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite their 90-44 loss to Utah last time out though, note that the Bruins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a conference road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Fairfield v. Niagara UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Fairfield/Niagara (MAAC TOY) This one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Fairfield is 9-6 and Niagara is 6-8. The Stags come in on a big winning run, having won eight in a row. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their 82-61 victory over Marist last time out (but note that Fairfield has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Niagara has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in four of its last five, most recently off a 75-73 win at Iona as a 9.5-point underdog (note though that the Purple Eagles have seen the total go "under" the number in five or their last six off an ATS/SU conference road win as an underdog.) We expect this competitive battle to be defensive in nature; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-11-24 | Michigan v. Maryland OVER 139.5 | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Michigan/Maryland (BIG TEN TOY) These two teams are in need of a victory. Each has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a wide-open offensive contest here on Thursday night in our opinion. Michigan is 6-9, including 2-1 on the road, while Maryland is 9-6, including 8-1 at home. To say the Wolverines are hungry for a win would be an understatement after four straight SU losses and five straight ATS losses (note though that Michigan has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more ATS losses in a row.) Maryland is just 1-2 SU in its last two and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight. As bettors though, that's important for us to take note of as the Terrapins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Oakland UNDER 148.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* Horizon league TOY on the UNDER UNK/Oakland. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games leading up to this contest, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle here on Wednesday night in our opinion. These teams are evenly matched and we're expecting a war until the end. UNK is 8-8 and Oakland is 9-8. The Norse have lost three of their last four, including a heart-breaking 88-85 OT loss at Cleveland State just two nights ago. We believe that fatigue will indeed be a factor here. Oakland has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight as well, which is significant to note as well as the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect this tight battle to be a very low-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Santa Clara v. Pepperdine OVER 149.5 | Top | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara/Peppderine OVER (WEST COAST TOY) This is a great situational play in our opinion. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all finally point to a much higher-scoring offensive affair this time around. Santa Clara is 10-6 and Pepperdine is 7-9. Santa Clara is off the 68-57 road win at Loyola Marymount as a 2-point dog, but note that the Broncos have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Pepperdine had won two in a row before an 86-60 loss at Gonzaga last time out. They fell 91-82 to Santa Clara in this game last year and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UL - Lafayette OVER 149.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER CC/UL Lafayette (SUNBELT TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much higher-scoring affair here finally in our opinion. Coastal Carolina won't be lacking for motivation here after starting the year 4-9. The Chanticleers comes in off a rare 71-63 win at Texas State as 8.5-point dogs and we're fully expecting them to keep that offensive momentum carried over here. UL Lafayette is 7-7 after back-to-back losses as an underdog. The last time the Cajuns plays CC, UL Lafayette stumbled and lost 77-76 as a 3.5-point favorite. We're expecting another tight and competitive battle here, but one that also flies "over" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra UNDER 154 | Top | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Charleston/Hofstra (CAA TOY) Charleston is 9-4 and Hofstra is 7-6. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but from a situational stand point, this one now here on Thursday finally sets up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. The Cougars enter off five straight victories and they've seen the total go "over" in six straight, but despite their 96-59 win over Montreat College last time out, the Cougars have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Pride have lost four of their last five and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout, instead they'll look to control the pace. When you add up all of the above factors, everything points to a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Xavier v. Villanova OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Villanova (BIG EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but in our opinion everything finally points to more of a wide-open offensive battle between these Big East rivals. Xaiver is 7-6 overall, while Villanova is 9-4. The Musketeers have gone 3-1 in their last four and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight after their most recent 74-54 win over Seton Hall, but note that the Musketeers have in fact seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Villanova is 3-2 SU in its last five, but it's seen the total go "under" in five straight after its most recent 84-48 win at DePaul, but that's significant to note for a couple of reasons, as the Wildcats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS road conference road win in which they held their opponent to 49 or fewer points in and also in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great situational play that's backed by very strong trends in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | North Alabama v. Texas Tech UNDER 144.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Alabama/Texas Tech. Here's a great "situational" play. We're fully expecting Texas Tech to go up early, and then to take the foot off the gas as it plays its final "tune-up" game before the conference schedule. The Red Raiders are 10-2 overall and 7-0 at home. Texas Tech enters on a five game unbeaten streak, but that is in fact significant to note here, as the Red Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after five or more straight SU victories in a row. North Alabama is 6-7, including a terrible 1-6 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses, failing to top 68 points in either game. We have a hard time seeing the offensively-challenged Lions even reaching 60 in this one though vs. this difficult Red Raiders' defense; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Washington v. Utah OVER 153.5 | Top | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Utah (PAC TOY) Washington enters 8-4 overall and 0-1 in Pac 12 action, while Utah is 10-2 and 1-0. Washington lost its conference opener by a score of 73-69, and clearly it won't be happy about that sub-par offensive performance. Note though that the Huskies do have a notable 78-73 win over Gonzaga this year already. Utah destroyed Washington State by 22 points in its conference opener and we're expecting it to push the pace here as well in this potentially difficult matchup. The bottom line here though is that each team really likes to push the ball, as each ranks in the Top 100 in adjusted tempo. Each also has multiple double-digit scoring forwards. For all the reasons listed above, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Kent State v. St. Mary's UNDER 134.5 | Top | 46-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Saint Mary's (NON-CONF TOY) We're anticipating a much more defensive battle between these two teams than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Kent is a big underdog here, but it won't be rolling over. The Golden Flashes are 7-4 overall, including 1-1 in true road games, while the Gaels are 8-6 overall, including 6-3 at home. Kent has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, but that's important for us to take note of as the Golden Flashes have in fact seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Saint Mary's five-game win streak came to an end in a 69-64 loss to Missouri State as a 13.5-point favorite, and that's also significant to note as the Gaels have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. This number is a little high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Oakland v. Cleveland State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oakland/Cleveland State (Horizon League TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games coming into this conference contest, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair, as the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all point to this total ultimately staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done in our opinion. Oakland is 6-7 and Cleveland State is 8-5. The Grizzlies are just 3-4 on the road, while the Vikings are 7-0 at home. Oakland has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Cleveland State has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Vikings have seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 163.5 | Top | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Iowa/Purdue (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here on Monday. Iowa is 5-2 and Purdue is 7-1. Purdue is coming off its first loss of the year in a 92-88 loss in OT vs. Northwestern on Friday and we're expecting it to be a bit fatigued here, and to double down defensively. The Hawkeyes are off the high-scoring 103-78 win over North Florida, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one after the loss last time out, everything points to this being much more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe with this large total; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley v. UAB OVER 151.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 38 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Utah Valley/UAB (OVER). This is the semi-finals of the NIT. Utah Valley got by Cincinnati 74-68 on Wednesday to advance. Utah Valley's strength is its depth, as it has four players averaging double figures in scoring. Overall it averages 76.9 PPG. The Blazers reached this point by beating Vanderbilt. UAB plays at an even faster pace though and averages 81.4 PPG. These teams have been playing to lower-scoring games throughout the playoffs, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be; they play is indeed on the OVER. AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State OVER 132.5 | Top | 56-57 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Creighton/SDSU (TOP TOTAL) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. SDSUN is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS so far in the postseason this year. With the big upset win over Alabama, the Aztecs have also seen the total go "under" in six straight. This fact though has only helped in pushing this Elite 8 total a few points lower than it should be in my opinion. Creighton exploded for an 86-75 win and cover over Princeton in its last outing, and the Bluejays have now posted 171 combined points over their last two games. I expect a faster-paced affair here finally; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga UNDER 154 | Top | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER UConn/Gonzaga (ELITE 8 TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring affairs, but I believe this Elite 8 game finally sets up as more of a defensive one. This is a really high total for an Elite 8 game. In fact, this is the highest total that has been attached to a UConn game since January 25th at Xavier. UConn doesn't play at a fast pace either, ranked 211st in tempo. Both teams have plenty of big men and I'm expecting plenty of "half-court sets" while on offense. When you take all of these factors into account, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee OVER 131.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) Two really good defensive teams here that play at methodical paces, but I still think this O/U line is way too low. FAU is 33-3 this year, including 11-3 on the road. After playing to four straight post-season "unders," the Owls finally played to an "over" in their Round of 32 win over FDU by a score of 78-70. I think FAU keeps the offensive momentum rolling here. The 70 points allowed though is a concern if you're an Owls bettor though. Tennessee has seen the first two games of its tournament go "under" the number, including in its 65-52 victory over Duke last time out, but that fact has only helped in driving today's total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. With a few days off to rest between rounds, expect these offenses to benefit; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic OVER 149 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/FAU (ULTIMATE) FAU is now 32-3, and it's a 13.5-point favorite in this one. Fairleigh Dickinson finished 21-15. Over its past ten games FAU has averaged 2.3 points more per game than its season average. Note that together these two teams combined for 156 points per game, which is at least five points higher than this total. I'm finally expecting a faster-paced game and because of that, the play is the "over"! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette OVER 140 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER MSU/Marquette (ASSASSIN) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the College Basketball Tournaments. Michigan State averages 70.6 PPG, while allowing 67.4. Marquette averages 81 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Expect fatigue to play a key part in breaking down the defensive play for each side, and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Maryland v. Alabama OVER 143 | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
9* OVER Maryland/Alabama (TOTAL BAIL-OUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA Tournament. Alabama won in the first round of the tournament without its star player Brandon Miller even scoring. The Tide have a ton of momentum, having won eight of their last nine games. Maryland comes in with some momentum of its own after coming back against WVU after being down by double-digits early. The fact that these teams are playing their second game in three days is going to have a detrimental aspect to their defensive play in my opinion; this number is now a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Furman/SDSU (2ND ROUND TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA tournament. Furman I think rides its thrilling upset of No. 4 seed Virginia here. SDSU enters off the 63-57 win over COC. Furman's offense is ranked 88th overall and 32nd nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aztecs strength is their defense (ranked 16th overall), but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be, as note that SDSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine straight dating back to the regular season. That's just too many "unders" here, and the value has firmly swung the other way here in the second round of the NCAA Tournament; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER South Carolina Upstate/Indiana State. South Carolina Upstate is 16-15, while Indiana State is 22-12. The Sycamores average 79.4 PPG, but the Spartans are allowing just 69.6. The Spartans average only 68.9 PPG, while the Sycamores concede just 69.3. These teams are evenly matched, but I expect this contest to have a "feeling out" period at the start, and because of that, I think this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State UNDER 154.5 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
9* UNDER SE Missouri State/Texas A&M CC (POWER TOTAL) These teams meet at the UD Arena. SE Missouri State is lucky to be here. It finished 19-16 this year. It beat Lindenwood, Tennessee State and Morehead State in the conference tourney, and then on March 4th it beat Tennessee Tech in the championship game by a score of 89-82 in OT. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Texas A&M CC finished a more respectable 21-10 in the regular season. The Islanders secured the 75-71 win over Northwestern State in the Southland Tourney Title game. Previous to that they held McNeese State to just 63 points. I think the Redhawks come back down to Earth here in the "bright lights." Look for this game to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas A&M/Alabama (SEC TOURNEY TOY) The Aggies are coming off an 87-75 win over Vanderbilt to advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game. Overall Texas A&M averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 65.4. Alabama has seen the first two games of its tournament run go "under" the number, including in its most recent 72-61 victory over Missouri. The Tide gave up just 29 first half points. They average 82.8 PPG< while allowing 69.5. We have two really good defenses here, but with Alabama pushing the pace from the start, I'm expecting this faster-pace to result in a higher-scoring affair, especially if the Aggies are forced to play from behind early. Either way, I expect the Championship game to sail "over" the posted number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 140.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas/Kansas (BIG 12 TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in their Tournament games to reach this point, but that fact has only helped in driving this total a few points higher that it normally would/should be. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after wins over Oklahoma State and TCU to advance. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Texas beat Kansas 75-59 in the final regular season game of the year, and that's also important to take note of here, as the Jayhawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponet. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Fordham v. Dayton OVER 130.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM) For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Marist v. Manhattan UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Manhattan (MAAC TOURNEY TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Marist comes into the Tournament off B2B losses to end the year. It also saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, which is significant to note, as the Red Foxes have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests. Manhattan though plays with revenge after an 81-58 setback to Marist at home as a four point dog on February 24th. The total in that one snuck "over" the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here, as note that the Jaspers have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Two teams that underachieved in the regular season are out for redemption in the Conference Tournament and all signs (in my opinion), point to a defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |