Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER RedBlacks/Als (SUPER TOTAL) These teams played just last week in Canada's capital and the Als came out on top by a score of 32-15, the total staying "under" the number. Note though that the 4-11 RedBlacks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Montreal has won three of its last four SU/ATS. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. Note though that the Als have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. It's a great situational play here, as all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Saskatchewan (NON-CONF TOW) We're expecting this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open and high-scoring than what this O/U line is suggesting. These teams are in dire need of a victory, as Ottawa is 3-4, and Saskatchewan is 3-4 as well. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting an "over," no matter what the sport is. Saskatchewan is off three straight SU losses, which is significant to note, as the Riders have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row. Ottawa had won two straight high-scoring OT games as an underdog before last week's low-scoring 16-12 upset loss to Hamilton. We expect the RedBlacks to regain their offensive form here though in what we anticipate will be a wide-open high-scoring "shootout." This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 48 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Argos/Als (SPECIAL) After starting the season 2-0 SU/ATS, the Als have gone 0-2 SU/ATS. They're 6-1 their last seven in this series here at home though, and they play with revenge after falling 34-27 in the ECF last year, in which Toronto eventually went on to win the Grey Cup. The Als will be looking to control the tempo of this one throughout, as another way to slow down this Argos offense. Toronto had a bye last week, so will "rest" lead to "rust?!" Very possibly is the answer. Either way, we're expecting this one to be won in the trenches and where field position will prove to be critical. As such, all signs point to this being a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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07-09-23 | Montreal v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Als/Lions OVER (NON-CONF TOY) Montreal is 2-1. BC is 3-1. Each team is the best in its repsective conference on the defensive side of the ball. These teams are similar in many respects, including that they each enter Week 5 off their first loss of the season. Montreal fell 17-3 at home to Winnipeg, while BC fell flat in Toronto by a score of 45-24. The Als though have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 3 or fewer points in. BC's defense may have finally been exposed last week, but its offense continues to fire on all cylinders. We're expecting a shootout; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-08-23 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Hamilton (EAST-CONF TOW) Winning can at times lead to complacency, and losing can breed motivation. The second part of that is true for both of these teams coming into Week 5, as Ottawa is 1-2 and Hamilton is 0-3. The Ti-Cats though have played some really good teams to open the season, and while they're 0-3, we're expecting a much more efficient offensive game here at home vs. this suspect Ottawa secondary (also note that the Ti-Cats have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.) This marks the first of three games between the teams. Off their first win of the season (26-7) over Edmonton last week, there's no reason not to think that the Redblacks also can't build off that performance; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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07-07-23 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Stamps/Bombers (WEST-CONF TOW) We're expecting a shootout here. Calgary is 1-2 and Winnipeg is 3-1. The Stamps finally got their offense working in last week's 29-26 OT home loss to the Riders, and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here. Winnipeg saw its first two games go "over" the number, but the last two have gone well "under." But that's only because the Bombers were matched up against the league's two best defenses the last two weeks. Now back at home and facing this suspect Calgary secondary, we're anticipating a wide-open shootout here; a great situational play on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-24-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 45 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Riders/Stamps (WEST-CONF TOM) We like the way this one sets up to be more of a higher-scoring shootout. Both of these Western Conference opponents are 1-1, and we're definitely expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair, rather than a slower-paced defensive one. Last week the Riders lost 45-27 at home to Winnipeg, and now Saskatchewan has to deal with another difficult offense here on the road. Both of Calgary's games have gone "under" the number, but after scoring 26 points on the road at Ottawa last week, we're expecting this offense to at least match that output here in Week 3. Both teams' QB's had huge performances last week, and all signs point to even more progression here in Week 3; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46 | Top | 0-22 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Elks/Lions (WEST-CONF TOY) Both teams come in off low-scoring Week 1 contests, but we're anticipating a much more wide-open contest here in BC this weekend. Edmonton fell 17-13 at home to Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite. Including the two pre-season games, the Elks are 0-3. BC enters off a 25-15 road win at Calgary as a 2.5-point underdog. The total stayed well "under" the number of 50.5 in that one. Note though that BC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off an upset road win as an underdog. Talor Cornelius wasn't horrible in a losing cause for Edmonton last week, finishing with 202 yards passing, one TD and two picks. Eugene Lewis was unstoppable though with 148 receiving yards. Last year Edmonton allowed an average of 33.3 PPG, so the Week 1 result was in fact a huge improvement, but that said, that was at home. Now on the road, we're expecting a letdown. BC looked sharp in its 25-15 road win at Calgary. We should see Vernon Adams have an even stronger performance this week, as he finished 27 of 35 for 288 yards, two TD's and an INT. We're expecting a more wide-open affair here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 43.5 | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Montreal (ASSASSIN) Ottawa Redblacks missed the playoffs last year with a 4-14 record. Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli is out with a knee injury, so we'll see a combination here of Dustin Crum, Nick Arbuckle and Tyrie Adams. The Alouettes signed QB Cody Fajardo, who finished with 16 TDs and 13 INTs for the Roughriders last year. Look for Fajardo to be given the green light here today to open things up in this new offense. Expect this total to soar "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | BC v. Calgary OVER 50.5 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Lions/Stampeders (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams met in the West Division semi-final last year, so blood will be boiling on each side and we expect that to translate into offensive production on the field. Note that this O/U line opened at 46.5 and has since been bet up. We're following the money on this one and expecting this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Lions were 6-3 on the road last year, while the Stamps were 5-4 at home. Vernon Adams Jr. and Taquan Mizzell are an effective duo for the Lions. Jake Maier is now under center in Calgary, and he'll be leaning on 1,000-yard receiver Malik Henry and running back Ka’Deem Carey. But overall here in Week 1 and on Opening Night, we can expect a faster-paced, wide-open offensive affair; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-05-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
10* CFL Total Of The Year on Calgary/Edmonton Under This rivalry has gone over of late. The Elks currently can't score though. Edmonton has played consecutive low-scoring games. 43 and 42 points. Last time off. a loss, Calgary's game had 41 points. Last time off a loss against Winnipeg, Calgary's game had 20 point, a 17-3 final. Calgary clamps down on D again and this one stays Under! AAA Sports |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 48 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Thursday night. Montreal is just 1-4, while Ottawa is 0-5. The Alouettes are 3-2 against the spread, while the Redblacks are 2-3 ATS. Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight, which is significant to note here as the Als have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Montreal will be especially eager to get back on the field after last week's collapse, falling 32-31 at home to Edmonton as a 8-point favorite. Ottawa is also coming off a tough loss, falling 25-23 at Hamilton. The Redblacks have been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring defensive ones over their last 4 games and I absolutely expect this strong pattern to continue here; the overall situation, combined with these strong trends and numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 44.5 | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Hamilton last played two weeks ago when it inexplicably fell 29-25 at home to Edmonton. A date vs. the 0-4 Redblacks is just what the doctor ordered to try and get back on track. Ottawa lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to a serious knee injury last weekend. They fell 28-13 to Saskatchewan, and I don't see Caleb Evans making much of an impact this weekend in this difficult road venue. The home side will look to control the pace of this one, setting it up to be a lower-scoring affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 46 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Saskatchewan is 4-1 and Toronto is just 1-2. These teams play again next week in Saskatchewan. To say this is a "revenge" game for the home side would be a bit of an understatement, as the Argos have lost 8 of the last 9 in this series. The Roughriders have won the last 3 by an average margin of 18 points. Saskatchewan's offense is generating over 33 points per game and the "over" has hit in 3 of these teams last 4 in the series. Expect the exrta week off to help Toronto refocus here. All in all, look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Calgary is 3-0 and it's coming out of its bye week. Previous to that it beat Edmonton 30-23 on June 25th. The Stamps have seen the total go OVER in all 3 games so far this season. The 1-3 Elks have seen their last 2 games go "over" the total, including their first win of the season in last weekend's 29-25 win at Hamilton on Canada Day. Both teams have been playing to high-scoring affairs, but the situation and trends point to more of a defensive affair here. Note that Calgary has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Additionally note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" in 5 of its last 7 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded 30 or more points in. Considering all of the above info, the correct call here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 42.5 | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) The 2-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers will have to be careful to not "look past" the 0-2 Hamilton Tigercats at home this evening. Hamilton was blown out big time in Saskatchewan in Week 1, but it looked a lot better, albeit in defeat, in last week's 33-30 OT home opening loss to the Stampeders. We can expect the Ti-Cats though to carry over that chemistry and confidence into this one as they look to avoid an 0-3 start. Winnipeg has won the Grey Cup each of the last 2 years and is 2-0 after beating Ottawa over two straight weeks, including a 19-12 decision last weekend. This is in fact a rematch of the last 2 Grey Cups, in which Winnipeg has come out on top each time. Last year it was a dramatic 33-25 OT win in the title game. Hamilton though has allowed an East Division-high 63 points through 2 games this season. Expect a wide-open, faster-paced shootout and look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Can Winnipeg make it 3 Grey Cups in a row? This is a case of First vs. Worst. The Bomber were 11-3 last year, while Ottawa has managed just 6 victories total over the L2 seasons. 4 of the L5 in this series here have gone "under" the number. The Redblacks added QB Jeremiah Masoli, but the question remains if he can return to his 2018 form which saw him throw for 28 TD's. The Bombers return most of their team from last year, but won't have star RB Andrew Harris or receiver Darvin Adams suiting up this season. These teams play again next week as well. While last night's opener was a high-scoring shootout, I believe Friday's will be a little less so; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 44 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Week 4 of the CFL ends on Sunday with 2-1 Winnipeg hosting 1-2 Calgary. Both these franchises are accustomed to success. Winnipeg won the last Grey Cup (in 2019). But last week saw them lose a regular season game for the first time in over two years. It was a 30-23 loss to Toronto. The previous regular season loss was 37-33 to Calgary in Week 19 of ‘19. Run defense has been a problem for the Blue Bombers thus far. So far they’ve given up a league high 372 yards on the ground, not to mention three touchdowns. The Bombers’ defense will be facing a rookie QB in this one. But Jake Maier threw for over 300 yards in his debut last week as Calgary beat Montreal 28-22. The Stampeders defense remains susceptible to the big play, however. They have already allowed four pass plays of more than 30 yards. They are allowing 319 pass yards/contest and 8.5 yards/pass attempt. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads all CFL pivots with six touchdown passes so far. Play on OVER AAA |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton v. Montreal UNDER 47 | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This East Division matchup pits 0-2 Hamilton, the only winless team left in the CFL, against Montreal who is 1-1. The Ti-Cats are off a bye. Two weeks ago they got smashed 30-8 by Saskatchewan in a game where the line was pick ‘em. They week before they didn’t fare much better in a 19-6 loss at Winnipeg. There they were two-point favorites. This is the third week in a row playing on the road. It comes vs. an Als squad that had Week 1 off and has since split a pair of contests on the road. They won the first game 30-13 as five point underdogs over Edmonton. But then they fell 28-22 at Calgary as a five point favorite. This is the first time playing at home and they are 5-0 the last five games they’ve been off a loss. That goes back two years though, so you might as well throw it out. Hamilton trying to avoid its first 0-3 start in four years seems more significant as does their 7-4 overall win streak over the Als. They are 5-1 in their last six trips to Molson Stadium. However, the Ti-Cats have only scored 14 points in their two games this season. Dane Evans will start at quarterback Thursday behind an offensive line that has struggled. Starter Masoli got hurt against Saskatchewan. Montreal’s defense, flagged for 16 penalties a week ago, should play a “cleaner” game this week. Under is 8-2 in Hamilton’s previous 10 road games. It’s 35-17-1 in Montreal’s last 53 East Division games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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08-13-21 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Toronto and Winnipeg each claimed victory in Week 1. The Argos were narrow 23-20 winners at Calgary, but that’s a win they’ll take as they were 6.5-point underdogs on the road. They outgained the Stampeders 410-353. After an impressive start to that game, the Argos needed to mount a comeback and they outscored the Stamps 11-3 in the fourth quarter. They did not find the end zone in the second or third quarters. Winnipeg’s win last week was less thrilling as they stymied Hamilton on their way to a 19-6 triumph. The Bombers defense allowed less than 300 total yards and shut the Ti-Cats out over the last three quarters. Scoring has been down league-wide thus far with the first five CFL games seeing less than 40 points/game scored. This one should follow the trend as the Argos will struggle to move the ball. The Over is 8-0 the last eight times these teams have played. That’s due to end, right? Play on UNDER AAA |
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08-25-19 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 54.5 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the Over There's no denying that Toronto is the worst team in the league this year. They've scored only 129 points in eight games, by far the fewest. Only British Columbia, who they lost to and has played one more game, has allowed more points. Last week's defensive effort was very poor as they gave up 41 points and over 500 yards in a loss to Edmonton. This all has to make this week's opponent, Montreal, quite happy as the Als are searching for a second straight win after hanging 40 on Calgary last week. That performance was just was the doctor ordered after the Alouettes had dropped consecutive games for the first time since an 0-2 start. One area of concern that remains is that they are giving up 31.5 points/game on the road. This will be the first time the teams have met in 2019 (excluding preseason). With Montreal off a huge game offensively and Toronto's defense in flux, we know the visitors will put up plenty of points this week. The Argos should also score enough to help this one go Over the total. Play OVER Montreal-Toronto AAA |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary OVER 46.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER The first of three meetings this year between rivals Edmonton and Calgary goes down Saturday with both teams at 4-2. Whomever wins this game will be tied with Winnipeg for first place in the Western Division as all of a sudden the Blue Bombers have dropped two in a row. While we have no opinion on the side of this game, we do think the total is too low. While these are two of the better defensive teams in the league and each side has seen its last four games go Under, you normally don't see totals this low in the CFL. At least not this year where scoring continues to rise. Edmonton has scored 32 or more points in half of their games and only twice have they been held to below 26 points. Even though they won last week in Ottawa, Calgary didn't score a touchdown in a 17-16 win. But don't be fooled by that as they moved the ball at will, racking up a season-high 474 total yards. Both teams faced weak offenses last week and will be challenged more here. Look for this game to go Over the total. Play OVER Edmonton-Calgary AAA |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER These Western Division rivals just met last week with Saskatchewan beating British Columbia 30-23. The rematch, set to take place in BC, won't be as high scoring. The Rough Riders got to 30 points in spite of pretty pedestrian yardage. This time they won't have the luxury of coming off a bye. The week before the bye saw them get held to 10 points and 234 yards. As for the Lions, they've topped 25 points in a game only one time this season. In two home games, they've scored a TOTAL of only 29 points. They had just 179 total yards in an ugly home loss to Edmonton two weeks ago. In spite of last week, the Under is still 41-19-1 the previous 61 meetings between these long time foes. It's also 7-3-1 in the Lions last 11 home games. Last week's total was bet down several points. This week's has not been (yet) ... Play UNDER Saskatchewan-British Columbia AAA |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER Scoring is up this year in the CFL to about 55.3 points/game. That's a 9% increase from last season. But don't tell this to Ottawa as their last two games have resulted in only 33 points scored - total - and now they're saddled with a backup QB (Jonathon Jennings). But if you recall, the last time we played an Over with the Redblacks, things turned into a real "shootout" as they beat Saskatchewan 44-41. They actually went Over the total themselves. That isn't going to happen here, but once again they figure to give up a lot as they face the unbeaten Blue Bombers, who are 4-0 and averaging 34.5 points/game. Winnipeg scored a season-high 48 points last week vs. Toronto as QB Matt Nichols continues to play well. He's thrown for 10 touchdowns already. One key with Jennings is that while this is his first time starting for Ottawa, it's not his first "rodeo" in the CFL. He's actually gone 5-1 against Nichols as a starter, throwing for more yards and touchdowns in those head to head battles. Play OVER Ottawa-Winnipeg AAA |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | Top | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa Montreal stunned the CFL community last week with a 36-29 upset of Hamilton. The Als were 12.5-point home underdogs in the contest and somehow beat an undefeated team that had looked unstoppable its previous two games. One of those two games was a 41-10 win over the Als. That was in Hamilton and the Als are back on the road this week to face Ottawa, who suffered their first loss of the season last week as well. It was not an impressive showing from the Redblacks as they managed just 14 points at home against the unbeaten Blue Bombers. This game figures to be another low-scoring affair as we just can't see Montreal duplicating its surprising offensive success from last week. After all, they scored just 35 points the first two games combined. William Stanback had a huge game rushing the ball last week, but the Redblacks' front seven should be up to the challenge. We're not sold on either QB in this matchup either. The Under has hit in the last nine meetings between these East Division rivals. Play UNDER Montreal-Ottawa AAA |
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06-20-19 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 44 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Saskatchewan and Ottawa experienced very different starts to their respective seasons. The Rough Riders lost 23-17 out in Hamilton while Ottawa pulled a nice upset of Calgary in a Grey Cup rematch. The Redblacks were nine-point underdogs in their 32-23 win over the Stampeders, a very impressive way to begin 2019. It was a bit of a wild game as there were seven total turnovers. Four were interceptions from Dominique Davis, the first time starter at QB for Ottawa. But Davis also scored the go-ahead TD with just over a minute left for the win. We think the Redblacks will again find plenty of ways to score this week against a Saskatchewan team that is hurting - literally. QB Zach Collaros was just placed on the six-week injury list, a big blow to start the season. But no matter who ends up starting this week - either Cody Fajardo or Isaac Harker - will likely perform better than in Week 1 when they were each called into surprise duty (Fajardo also left wiith an injury). The Over is 6-2 the last 8 times these teams have played. With the number dropping so much (Riders QB situation), there's now plenty of value in playing this game that way. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Ottawa AAA |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC UNDER 51.5 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 58 h 18 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton OVER 48 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER SAS-HAM It's time to kick off the CFL season with a cross-division matchup between Saskatchewan and Hamilton. The Ti-Cats (Hamilton) went just 8-10 last season, but fortunately for them they're in the East Division and that record was good enough to make the playoffs. The Roughriders were a solid 12-6, good for second in the West, but they didn't make it as far in the playoffs as Hamilton. The Ti-Cats made it one step further, winning their first playoff game while Saskatchewan was "one and done." For this first game of 2019, we like things to be a little higher scoring than expected. Both teams have first year head coaches. Roughriders QB Zach Collaros is returning to Hamilton to face his former team, so look for an inspired performance there. The Over has hit in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 22 season openers. Hamilton closed last season by going Over in five of its last six games. Play OVER Saskatchewan-Hamilton AAA |
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08-11-18 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 50.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Als/Redblacks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense. The UNDER has hit five straight times in this series, but we’re banking on that trend ending here. The Als got smoked 50-11 against the Ti-Cats last week, as rookie QB Johnny Manziel struggled. It wasn’t entirely his fault though and with a week between to prepare and re-focus, we’re expecting a much better effort from the former College star this time around. Ottawa could clearly care less about Montreal’s problems and it’ll be out to bounce back after last week’s 42-41 setback to Toronto. Note that Montreal has seen the total go OVER the total in seven of its last 11 off a loss against a division rival, while Ottawa has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year when playing the role of favorite. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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07-28-18 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 56 | 21-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Redblacks and Ti-Cats. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: as note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 against division foes, while Hamilton has seen the total go UNDER in its last two as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-28-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 57 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between Ottawa/Calgary. This can still be a higher-scoring affair and fall UNDER this sky-high number, and that’s exactly what we expect to see happen. Not surprisingly, this is the highest total on the CFL board in Week 3. While the total has gone OVER in six of their last seven in the series, we are finally expecting more of a defensive battle (both match ups, in Weeks 1 and 2 went well above the number.) Ottawa looked impressive on both sides of the ball in its season opener at home to Saskatchewan, pulling away for the convincing 40-17 victory. The Stamps are 2-0 to open the season, but could be caught a little complacent here after going to Toronto in a rematch of last year’s Grey Cup upset and coming away with the big 41-7 blowout victory. Both teams have league-leading QB’s leading the way offensively, but the overall situation lends itself to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Further note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 when playing with six or less days of rest, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 25 after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 50 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Esks/Blue Bombers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is primarily based on common sense. Edmonton lost both regular season games to Winnipeg last year, but then got its revenge in the West Semi Finals in a high-scoring affair. But with Blue Bomber’ starting QB Matt Nichols lost for at least six weeks after going down with injury in practice two weeks ago, we believe that Winnipeg will be forced to run while on offense early and often. Edmonton’s QB Mike Reilly has been one of the most prolific in the league the last two years, but the Bombers’ defense is stout. When you add it all up, this total is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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07-24-17 | Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 55 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER between the Ottawa Redblacks and the Toronto Argonauts. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Ottawa has seen the total go UNDER the number in both games already this year against the division, while Toronto has seen the total go UNDER in both games against the division as well. The bottom line: At 2-2, Toronto currently leads the East. Ottawa is 1-3, looking up at Montreal as well. The Argos have been surprisingly good on defense this year and we’re expecting that unit to once again make a major impact on this rare Monday night contest. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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07-13-17 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 52 | Top | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 77 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between the Toronto Argonauts and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Toronto is 2-1, but has seen the total go UNDER the number in all three games so far. We think that changes in Week 4. QB Ricky Ray has been phenomenal to this point, throwing for 1,200 yards, four TD’s to just one INT. Ray’s main weapn has been SJ Green, who has 19 passes for 367 yards and a TD. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on Toronto newcomer DeVier Posey, who has 19 receptions for 280 yards and two TD’s. The Blue Bombers opened the year with a 43-40 win over Saskatchewan, only to then fall 29-10 to Calgary. Winnipeg is led by QB Matt Nichols, who has five TD passes and three INT’s so far. Nichols favorite target is Weston Dressler, who so far has 12 catches for 200 yards. Andrew Harris is rated as one of the league’s top backs, but so far has just 89 carries on 23 yards. Note though that Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs, while Winnipeg has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after scoring ten points or less in its previous contest. When these teams last played in 2016, Winnipeg came away with the 46-29 victory. All signs point to another high-scoring affair, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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06-24-17 | Edmonton v. BC UNDER 60 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Edmonton Eskimos and the BC Lions. We think this number is just a little high. Edmonton finished 10-8 last year. QB Mike Reilly threw for over 5,500 yards and 28 TD’s. Reilly’s favorite target was Adarius Bowman, who caught 120 passes for 1,761 yards and nine major scores. RB John White was also a standout for the Eskimos. The Lions finished 12-6 with QB Jon Jennings throwing for 5,200 yards. WR Chris Williams has come over from Ottawa and is expected to be a standout this year. RB Jeremiah Johnson rounds out a strong offensive unit. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 as an underdog, while BC has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four games played in the month of June. These are two explosive offenses, but we’re expecting each to come out a little “flat footed” in the season opener and we look for this total to sneak UNDER this sky-high number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-23-17 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 55.5 | Top | 31-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* SCORPION on the OVER between the Calgary Stampeders and the Ottawa RedBlacks. Calgary returns most of its offensive talent which saw it go 15-2-1 last year, ending up with a loss in the Grey Cup. Despite the setback, the Stamps are still favored to win the Grey Cup in 2017. Bo Levi Mitchell remains the No. 1 QB in the league, last year he threw for over 5,300 yards and 32 TD’s. Mitchell has plenty of weapons to utilize, including Marquay McDaiel, DaVaris Daniels and Jerome Messam. The defense will also be a strong point for Calgary, keep your eyes on top sacker Charleston Hughes and INT leader Jamar Wall. Ottawa finished the regular season at 8-9-1, but wound up upsetting Calgary in the Grey Cup. Trevor Harris has been named the No. 1 QB this year, he threw for 3,300 yards and 16 TD’s last season, splitting time with Henry Burris. Brad Sinopoli and Greg Ellingson combined for more than 2,200 receiving yards last season. Ottawa went through some changes on the defensive side of the ball though, so regression is expected to open 2017. We think these teams open up the playbook and we look for this one to go OVER the number once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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06-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 50.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between the Roughriders and the Alouettes. Darian Durant threw for over 3,800 yards with the Roughriders last year. Durant comes to Montreal with plenty of weapons surrounding him, but we think it’ll take some time for the QB to “gel” with his new teammates. The Alouettes defense remains pretty much the same though, a bonus for the team coming into this season. Saskatchewan has three QB’s that will be competing for the No. 1 job, so each player is expected to see some time tonight. This doesn’t bode well for Saskatchewan’s offense either in our opinion, as rhythm will disrupted. The Roughriders defense though will be playing with a chip on its shoulder as it tries to get the better of Durant. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors that all point to a lower-scoring affair to open the 2017 campaign. But also note, the Roughriders have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten road games when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 52 points, while Montreal has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 17 in front of the home town crowd. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |