Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-06-15 | Houston Astros v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
The New York Yankees closed out the regular season with six losses in their last seven games. The Houston Astros won six of their last eight but that was still not enough to catch the Yankees meaning the Bronx Bombers will enjoy the home-field advantage here in the one and only AL Wild Card game. There will be extreme pressure on the batters, and runs are likely to come at premium with two elite pitchers on the mound. |
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10-03-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Only one of the Toronto Blue Jays last eight games have failed to go over seven runs and we should see plenty of action over the plate here in game 2 of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Jays have already claimed the division but are looking to stay ahead of the Royals for the best record in the American League, and are likely to field a strong lineup. |
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10-02-15 | San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Dodgers will close out the regular-season with a three-game set against the San Diego Padres home at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers may have claimed the division title but are still battling with the Mets for post-season home-field advantage and I think we'll see both sides playing a competitive and high-scoring game tonight. Here are my keys to the game: |
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09-28-15 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
The Mariners have lost five straight on the road, and they return home to host Houston in a three game series starting tonight. The Astros are still very much alive in the AL West, trailing Texas by just 2.5 games with six games to play. The total for tonight's game looks a little low, and I think we'll see some runs at Safeco in Game 1. Selection: This is a play on the Astros@Mariners to go OVER the total (10*) |
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09-22-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
The AL East is still very much up for grabs as the Yankees and the Blue Jays play Game 2 of a three game series in Toronto on Tuesday. The Jays hold a 3.5 game lead, but with a dozen games remaining the race is far from over. With a pair of quality pitchers on the mound in a high stakes game at Rogers Center tonight, I expect a low scoring tilt. Selection: This is a play on the Yankees@Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-14-15 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals have completely collapsed, and they now sit 9.5 games back of New York in the NL East. After losing 2-of-3 in Miami, they begin a new series tonight in Philadelphia. The Phillies are coming off back-to-back home wins over the Cubs, and with a hot young pitcher on the mound tonight, we could see a pitcher's duel here in Philly. Selection: This is a play on the Nationals@Phillies to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-09-15 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The Mets have won the first two games of this series in Washington, and they look to complete the sweep tonight. The first two games of this series saw plenty of scoring, but I think tonight's game will be a pitcher's duel. Given the scheduled starters, the total for this game looks a little high. |
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09-07-15 | Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
The Colorado Rockies will take on the Padres at PETCO Park on Monday, and this will be a battle of two of the bottom feeders in the NL West. The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight versus San Diego, and I expect to see a low scoring game here between two teams that are struggling to score runs. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Padres to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-06-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates trail St. Louis by 6.5 games in the NL Central, and they have split the first two games of this weekend series at Busch Stadium. Last night's game was a pitcher's duel, and I think we'll see another low scoring tilt tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Cardinals to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-02-15 | Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals will host Washington tonight, and this game looks destined to be a pitcher's duel. The Cardinals won both Games 1 & 2 by an identical score of 8-5, but I expect a lower scoring battle here in St. Louis tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Nats@Cardinals to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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08-27-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
The New York Mets are coming into this contest looking to book a seventh consecutive win and complete a four-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies. Each of the first three games in the set have seen 11 runs or more scored and another slugfest seems likely tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Mets hand the ball to Jonathon Niese (8-9, 3.80 ERA) who was lit up for seven runs on 11 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work at Coors FIeld his last start. He was still "rewarded" with the win though as the Mets offense bailed him out in the 14-9 victory. The Braves will counter with Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.67 ERA) who's off a rare strong outing when he held the Fish to two runs on two hits and four walks in seven innings his last start. He's still 0-3 with an 8.18 ERA in his last four outings and will have to slow down a Mets team that has been hitting .347 with an average of 10.7 runs over its last six games. 2 .Trends - Nine of the Mets last 10 games and each of their last seven with the total set at 7.0-8.5 have gone over the total. The over is 26-6-4 in Phillies last 36 home games and 6-2 in their last eight with the total set at 7.0-8.5. 3. X-Factor - The Mets' Michael Cuddyer is 7-for-10 with two homers, three doubles and a total of six RBIs over the first three games in this series. He's 3-for-14 with a double and a triple off Harang in previous match-ups. Selection: This is a play on Mets@Phillies to go over the total (10*) |
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08-26-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves host the Colorado Rockies in a battle of bottom feeders here on Wednesday. The Rockies tied the series at 1-1 with a 5-1 win last night, but another win here in the rubber match is unlikely. The Braves will send a hot pitcher to the mound to try to silence the Colorado bats that rank dead last in the majors in runs scored on the road, batting .234 away from Coors Field. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Braves to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | Chicago Cubs v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6.5 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
Nine of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between the Chicago Cubs and the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park have one under the total, but I think the line is set way too low tonight. The Cubs have been swinging hot bats of late and I think we'll see a high-scoring game between two teams fighting for the Wild Card spots in the National League. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta (15-6, 2.30 ERA) who by all means are having an impressive season. The 29 year old is off four straight wins and tossed six scoreless innings of a 7-1 home-win against the Braves his most recent start, but he conceded three runs (two earned) on five hits and two walks in 6 2/3 frames at U.S. Cellular Field his last road outing. Arrieta has yielded three walks in four of his last seven starts for a total of 17 over that span. The Giants will counter with Matt Cain (2-3, 5.66 ERA) who's allowed four runs or more in four of his last five starts while making it past to the sixth inning just once. He has a 7.32 ERA in four starts this month with just 12 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings of work. 2. The Cubs Bats - Chicago has averaged 6.86 runs scored on its own over its last seven games behind a .277 batting average and eight of their last 10 games as a road favorite have sailed over the total. The over is 7-2 in Cain's last nine home starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. 3. X-Factor - The Giants have scored just 16 runs over their last six games (all away from home) but they've been up against the elite pitching staff of the Cardinals and the Pirates. Expect an offensive outbreak in front of the home-town crowd tonight. Selection: This is a play on CHC@SF to go over the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
The AL West-worst Oakland Athletics recorded their fourth win in six games when they defeated division-rivals the Seattle Mariners 11-5 last night. Another high-scoring encounter is in the cards Tuesday night as two unreliable pitchers will take the hill. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The A's hand the ball to Jesse Chavez (7-12, 3.75 ERA) who had posted a 6.57 ERA over five starts before holding the Dodgers to two runs in eight innings of a 5-2 home-win Wednesday. His road-ERA of 4.73 is almost two runs higher than his mark home in Oakland though and he's lost each of his last four starts against the Mariners behind a 4.75 ERA. The M's will counter with Mike Montgomery (4-6, 4.16) who is 0-4 with a 7.45 ERA in his last eight starts. The 26 year old left-hander held Oakland to run on six hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 2-1 win on July 5, but he'll face a revived Oakland offense here. 2. Situational - Nine of Chavez's last 13 starts overall and three of his last four against Seattle have gone over the total. The same is true for 21 of the Mariners last 29 games at Safeco Field. 3. X-Factor - The current members of the Mariners are batting .303 over 119 at bats against Chavez with Nelson Cruz going 5-for-11 with a double and a pair of homers. Selection: This is a play on OAK@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-25-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 106 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks had won four straight with a total of 26 runs scored before coming up short in a 5-3 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of a four-game set Monday night. The Cardinals have scored 15 runs over their last two games and I think we'll see plenty of action over the plate from both sides tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D'backs hand the ball to Robbie Ray (3-9, 3.38) who had his scheduled start Monday pushed back a day to give him some extra rest. Ray last outing was on August 19 when he conceded three runs on seven hits in six innings of a 4-1 loss to the Pirates. He's surrendered three runs or more in each of his last four starts with one coming home at Arizona where he's 0-4 with a 4.45 ERA on the season. The Cardinals will counter with Jaime Garcia (5-4, 1.79 ERA) who's having an impressive season, but he conceded three runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings his most recent start. He allowed a season-high four runs (three earned) on eight hits in six innings against the D'backs back in May. 2. Arizona's Bats - The hosts have averaged six runs per game over their last seven games with a .285 batting average, reaching the seats 10 times over that span. A.J. Pollock has been swinging an extremely hot bat and was named NL Player of the Week on Monday after going 12-for-29 August 17-23. 3. X-Factor - 23 of Garcia's last 34 road starts (68%) with the total set in the 7.0-8.5 span have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on STL@ARI to go over the total (10*) |
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08-22-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox broke out of an offensive slump in an 8-2 win against the Los Angeles Angels Thursday and they beat the Mariners 11-4 in Seattle last night. We are likely to see more fireworks at Safeco tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox hand the ball to southpaw Carlos Rodon, who has been hit hard in three of his last four appearances. The 22 year old gave up a pair of home runs in loss to the Angels in his last start, and he's 2-3 with a 5.67 ERA in his last six starts. The Mariners will counter with Vidal Nuno, who comes out of the bullpen. 2. Situational - Nine of the White Sox's last 11 away from home have sailed over the total and the over is 5-1 in the Mariners last five home games. 3. X-Factor - The Over is 18-5-3 in the Mariners last 26 home games. Selection: This is a play on CHW@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-22-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Phillies have split the first two games of this series in Miami, and we have seen plenty of offense so far at Marlins Park. I expect another slugfest here tonight, as both teams send struggling pitchers to the mound. Selection: This is a play on the Phillies@Marlins to go OVER the total (10*) |
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08-21-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners OVER 6 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox broke out of an offensive slump in an 8-2 win against the Los Angeles Angels last night. The Seattle Mariners meanwhile lost the rubber-match of a three-game series against the Texas Rangers Wednesday. Both teams will start with their respective ace on the hill in this contest which should lead to a low-scoring contest. I think the books have set this line way too low though and I'm hammering the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox hand the ball to Chris Sale (11-7, 3.32 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings home at U.S. Cellular Field against the Cubs his last start. He was lit up for seven runs on 12 hits in five innings of an 8-2 loss at Fenway his last road start though and he has a 3.75 ERA in 11 road starts this year. The Mariners will counter with Felix Hernandez (14-7, 3.65 ERA) who hasn't looked much like an ace here in the second half of the season. He's posted a 6.31 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break and lasted only 2 1/3 innings of a 22-10 loss to the Red Sox his very start. He managed to give up 10 runs on 12 hits while serving up three homers over those rough frames. 2. Situational - Eight of the White Sox's last 11 away from home have sailed over the total and the over is 4-1 in the Mariners last five home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. 3. X-Factor - Nelson Cruz is 6-for-13 with two homers in previous at bats versus Sale. Selection: This is a play on CHW@SEA to go over the total (10*) |
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08-19-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are looking to chase down the St. Louis Cardinals for the NL Central-lead, or at the very least defend the Wild Card spot they are currently owners of. They've won five of their last six games scoring eight runs or more three times in that span and are off a 9-8 win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Another high-scoring tilt is in the cards Wednesday night when the two teams clash for the rubbermatch of this three-game series at PNC Park. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Pirates hand the ball to J.A. Happ (4-7, 4.64 ERA) who's still looking for his first win with the Pirates since coming over from Seattle. He's 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA over his last six starts overall and allowed four runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-0 loss in his lone home-start for the Pirates so far. The D'backs will counter with Robbie Ray (3-8, 3.29 ERA) who's off three consecutive losses surrendering a total of 10 runs on 18 hits and eight walks over 15 1/3 innings of work. This will be his first start against the Pirates this season but he was lit up for four runs in five innings here at PNC Park in his debut season last year. 2. Situational - The over is 6-2-1 in the Pirates last nine games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-1 in their last six at home. 11 of the D'backs last 16 away from home have sailed over the total. 3. X-Factor - The Pirates have reached the seats in 12 consecutive games, as streak likely to continue as Ray has served up four homers over his last four starts. Selection: This is a play on ARI@PIT to go over the total (10*) |
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08-18-15 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 15-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals are coming into this contest on the back of six consecutive losses, leaving the field scorless half of the times. A visit to Coors Field could be just what they need to get back on track offensively, and I expect a high-scoring contest in this series-opener against the Colorado Rockies. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Nats hand the ball to Jordan Zimmermann (8-8, 3.34 ERA) who's overall numbers may look decent enough, but he's way better at home at Nationals Park than on the road where he has a 4.55 ERA in 11 starts on the year. He's a winless 0-3 with a 3.68 ERA overall since the All Star break. The Rockies will counter with David Hale (3-4, 5.69 ERA) who'll make his first start in over a month after spending some time on the disabled list due to a groin injury. He's allowed four runs or more in each of his last five starts, serving up on a homer per game on average in that span and a total of 10 in his last seven starts. 2. Situational - Six of the Rockies last seven and all of Hale's last four home at Coors Field have gone over the total. The over is 8-2 in the Nats last 10 games following an off day. 3. X-Factor - Colorado's relievers rank dead last in the major leagues this season with a 4.83 ERA. Selection: This is a play on WAS@COL to go over the total (10*) |
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08-17-15 | Minnesota Twins v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are coming off back to back wins over Cleveland, and they begin a new series in the Bronx on Monday night. The Yankees are clinging to a half game lead in the AL East after taking 2-of-3 in Toronto. The Bronx Bombers might need all the offense they can muster tonight with a struggling reliever making a spot start in Game 1 versus the Twins. |
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08-15-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are looking to make it to the post-season sitting just three games back of the Angels for the last Wild Card in the American League. They're desperate for a win after losing out 6-1 to division-rivals the Cleveland Indians in this series-opener last night. I expect both teams to score plenty of runs here as two rusty pitchers will take the mound. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Twins hand the ball to 24 year old rookie Tyler Duffey (0-1, 27.00 ERA) who'll make his second start in the big leagues. He conceded six runs on five hits with two homers in just two innings of a 9-7 loss to Toronto in his debut 10 days ago. The Indians will counter with Josh Tomlin who'll make his very first start of the season after recovering from a shoulder surgery. He posted a 4.76 ERA in 25 outings last season and he owns a 6.41 ERA in nine career games (six starts) against the Twins. 2. Situational - Five of the Tribe's last seven games have gone over the total and the same is true for seven of the Twins last nine. Seven of the last eight meetings have gone over. 3. X-Factor - Joe Mauer and Torii Hunter are a combined 10-for-24 in previous match-ups with Tomlin. Selection: This is a play on CLE@MIN to go over the total (10*) |
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08-05-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
The New York Yankees have been swinging extremely hot bats of late and defeated the Boston Red Sox 13-3 in last night's opener of a three-game set of this classic rivalry. Another high-scoring game is in the cards tonight when the two AL Est rivals will clash again. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Red Sox hand the ball to Steven Wright (4-4, 4.53 ERA) who is off a decent outing when he conceded two runs on six hits in seven innings of an 8-2 home-win against the White Sox. He had surrendered 10 runs (eight earned) in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts prior though and has a 5.28 road-ERA for the year. The Yankees will counter with Luis Severino who will make his major-league debut. He's 7-0 with a 1.91 ERA in 11 starts with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre but is likely to struggle here against the big boys and could certainly have asked for an easier opponent to make his debut against. 2. Glowing Bats - The Yankees have scored a major leagues best 69 runs with a .323 batting average over the last seven days for an insane average of 11.5 runs scored per game. The Red Sox have averaged 6.33 runs per game over the same span while batting .284. 3. X-Factor - Each of the last five meetings at Yankee Stadium have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on BOS@NYY to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
The major leagues-leading St. Louis Cardinals have found ways to win despite being rather unproductive at the plate but was on the losing side last night when the Cincinnati Reds shut them out in a 4-0 defeat. Another low-scoring contest is in the cards tonight when the teams will square off in the rubber-match of a three-game set at Busch Stadium. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cardinals hand the ball to John Lackey (9-5, 2.88 ERA) who conceded four runs on four hits in six innings of a 5-4 loss against Cincinnati in his season-debut. He's been extremely efficient of late though after conceding a season-high 10 runs at Colorado on June 8 going 5-1 with a 1.75 ERA in eight starts since. The Reds will counter with Anthony DeSclafani (5-7, 3.98 ERA) who's struggled home in Cincinnati this season, but he's been reliable away from home posting a 2.67 ERA in 10 road-starts. 2. Home Cookin' - Lackey has a 1.97 ERA in 11 home-starts for the year and the under is 35-14-2 in the Cardinals games at Busch Stadium this season. 3. X-Factor - Each of the last four meetings at St. Louis have gone under the total. Selection: This is a play on CIN@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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07-29-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
Two teams that have been swinging hot bats in recent games will clash at Globe Life Park in Arlington Wednesday night. The Yankees annihilated the Rangers 21-5 last night, and although less runs are to be expected tonight I think the teams will score enough for the game to climb over the total. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rangers hand the ball to Colby Lewis (10-4, 4.49 ERA) who's off a pair of road-wins yielding four runs over 15 innings of work. His most recent starts home at Texas has not been quite as successful with the veteran right-hander giving up a total of 13 runs on 17 hits in 11 frames. This will be his second start against the Yankees this season surrendering five runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 10-9 win back in May and he's 2-3 with a 5.55 ERA in six career starts against them. The Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka (7-3, 3.64 ERA) who's won three straight starts behind a 2.82 ERA. He's yielded five home-runs over the last two alone though and he's allowed 11 over his last six starts. 2. Hot Bats - The Yankees have scored a major leagues-best 59 runs over seven games in the last seven days with the Rangers sitting fourth with 44 runs scored over the same span, but one less game played. 3. X-Factor - The over is 8-2 in Lewis' last 10 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Selection: This is a play on NYY@TEX to go over the total (10*) |
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07-28-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
The Chicago White Sox bats have come alive during a five-game winning streak. They defeated the Boston Red Sox 10-8 in last night's opener of a four-game set at Fenway Park, and I believe we'll have another high-scoring contest on our hands tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The White Sox will hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija (7-5, 3.91 ERA) who's off eight innings of one-run ball at Cleveland. He's otherwise been rather poor away from home this season with a 4.84 ERA in 11 outings away from home and he has an 8.53 ERA in two career games (one start) against Boston who will counter with Wade Miley (8-8, 4.33). Miley has conceded one run in 13 innings over his last two starts combined, but he was far from perfect giving seven free passes over those two games. He's surrendered nine runs on 14 hits in 12 innings in his last two starts home at Fenway where he has a 4.68 ERA for the year. 2. Hot Bats - The White Sox have averaged 6.14 runs per game over their last seven while the Red Sox have averaged an even five over the same span. 3. X-Factor - Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval are a combined 11-for-26 in previous match-ups with Samardzija. Selection: This is a play on CHW@BOS to go over the total (10*) |
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07-22-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost back to back games at Atlanta, and still they come into Game 3 as a heavy favorite. The Dodgers are well overrated on the road, as they are just 20-25 so far away from Chavez Ravine. I like the Braves as a home dog with their ace on the mound, but I think the better bet is on the total. |
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07-19-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
The Blue Jays lost by a score of 3-2 at home to the Rays yesterday, and I am expecting another low scoring game here this afternoon. Toronto leads the major league's in scoring, but the Rays might have their Kryptonite. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Chris Archer, who has absolutely owned Toronto throughout his career. Archer (9-6, 2.74 ERA) is actually coming off the worst start of his career, allowing nine runs on a dozen hits over six innings in a loss at Kansas City. He's faced Toronto three times this season, allowing just one run over 22 innings. As incredible as that sounds, he's 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA in five starts at Rogers Center since 2012. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Jose Bautista is 2-for-26 lifetime versus Archer, while Edwin Encarnacion is 4-for-28 with four strikeouts. 3. X-Factor - Five of the last six times these two teams have played in Toronto, the total has gone under. Selection: This is a play on the Rays vs. Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-11-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
The Phillies were hammered in a 14-2 loss at AT&T Park last night, and that was with their ace Cole Hamels on the mound. It's not going to get any easier tonight with a win-less rookie getting the start. On a positive note, they might have more success against veteran Ryan Vogelsong than they had against Madison Bumgarner last night. |
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07-11-15 | Houston Astros v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays defeated the Houston Astros 3-1 last night, and I expect another low-scoring contest at Tropicana Field Saturday afternoon when the two teams will square off in the middle game of this three-game series. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Astros will hand the ball to their ace Dallas Keuchel (11-3, 2.14 ERA) who's been exceptional all season long. He has the lowest ERA in the American League and had tossed 19 shutout innings before giving up three runs in six innings his last start. The Rays will counter with Jake Odorizzi (4-5, 2.47) who's had a great season as well. He will make his first start since June 5 due to an oblique injury, and what better place to make the comeback than at the Trop where he's compiled a 1.64 ERA over five starts this season. 2. Houston's Bats - The Astros have scored only 17 runs over their last seven games with nine of them coming in a 9-4 win at Cleveland. They've scored four over their last four games. 3. X-Factor - 10 of the last 11 meetings at the Trop have gone under the total. Selection: This is a play on HOU@TB to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-10-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 6 | Top | 2-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants have lost eight of their last nine overall, and they now sit in third place in the NL West, 5.5 games back of the Dodgers. The good news is that they host the Phillies for a three game series prior to the All Star Break, and I like the Giants to get back on track tonight in the series opener. Selection: This is a play on PHI@SF to go over the total (10*) |
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07-10-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
The Seattle Mariners defeated the Los Angeles Angels 7-2 last night when the teams opened a four-game set at Safeco Field. The M's recorded a season-high 19 hits while the Halos had eight, but I expect both teams to struggle at the plate tonight in what should be a low-scoring contest. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Angels will hand the ball to Hector Santiago (5-4, 2.40 ERA) who's undefeated in his last three starts conceding just a total of two runs on eight hits and four walks over 20 innings of work, seven innings of one-run ball against the M's on June 28 included. The Mariners will counter with Mike Montgomery (4-2, 1.62 ERA) who's been terrific over his last three starts as well, conceding only one earned run over 23 2/3 frames. The 26 year old rookie will make his first career start against the Angels tonight, a situation usually favoring the pitcher. 2. Situational - The under is 7-1 the in Angels last eight games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 8-1-1 in their last 10 on the road when facing a left-handed starter. None of Montgomery's last four starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 have gone over. 3. X-Factor - Santiago has the current members of the Mariners limited to a .196 batting average. Selection: This is a play on LAA@SEA to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-08-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
The Dodgers have split the first two games of this home series against the Phillies, but they are a heavy favorite in tonight's Game 3 with their ace on the mound. We've seen plenty of runs scored in this series so far, but tonight's game looks like it could be a pitcher's duel. |
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07-03-15 | Houston Astros v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 12-8 | Win | 102 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
The AL West-leading Houston Astros will visit the AL East-worst Boston Red Sox for game 1 of a three-game set at Fenway Park Friday night. The Astros are riding a four-game winning streak and have averaged five runs per game over their last five while the Red Sox also have won four of their last five and trounced the Blue Jays 12-6 yesterday. I think we can expect to see plenty of action over the plate in Boston tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Red Sox will hand the ball to Justin Masterson (3-2, 5.58 ERA) who was sharp in his comeback from a five-week stint on the DL due to tendinitis in his right shoulder when he tossed five innings of one-run ball at Tampa Bay. He's been quite poor home at Fenway this season though conceding 14 runs in 20 innings of work for a 6.30 ERA. The Astros will counter with 26 year old right-hander Dan Straily who will make his season-debut tonight taking over the recently demoted left-hander Brett Oberholtzer's spot in the rotation. He's not been particularly impressive in the minors with Triple-A Fresno going 6-6 with a 4.06 ERA for the year and this is a bad time to face a surging Red Sox offense coming off a big Thursday. 2. Jose Altuve - The Astros's second baseman is having another productive year batting .298 for the season and he's been very good of late batting .368 over a 10-game hitting streak. He's enjoyed recent visits to Fenway as well going 6-for-10 in his last two games there. 3. X-Factor - Only one of the Red Sox's last six games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 has gone under. Selection: This is a play on HOU@BOS to go over the total (8*) |
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07-02-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 114 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
The Blue Jays bats came alive on Canada Day at Rogers Center, and the Jays defeated the Red Sox by a score of 11-2. They will look to salvage a split in the final game of this series tonight, and I think we could see another high scoring affair with a couple of below average pitchers starting in this one. Selection: This is a play on the BOS@TOR to go over the total (10*) |
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07-02-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
We've seen plenty of action over the plate in the first two games of this series as the Pittsburgh Pirates have defeated the Detroit Tigers 5-4 and 9-3. Runs should come fairly easy for both teams today as well considering the pitching match-up, and I think the value is on the over here. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Tigers will hand the ball to Kyle Ryan (1-1, 4.56 ERA) who missed his last start due to a rainout. He has struggled lately conceding a total of nine runs on 13 hits in 10 2/3 innings in his last three outings and has only 11 strikeouts but eight walks over 23 2/3 innings this season. The Pirates will counter with Francisco Liriano (4-6, 3.21 ERA) who started the season excellent but has had a tough time of late. Liriano has conceded a total of seven runs on 13 hits in 12 2/3 innings over his last two starts and he has a 5.59 ERA against the Tigers lifetime. 2. The Tigers Bats - The Tigers have a team batting average of .276 against left-handers for the season which is among the best marks in baseball, and they have a team batting average of .293 against Liriano. 3. X-Factor - The Pirates Neil Walker is off a 4-for-6 performance with two homers last night and is 6-for-12 in the series so far. Selection: This is a play on PIT@DET to go over the total (10*) |
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07-02-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Rays bats have been very quiet so far in this series, but the Cleveland Indians have been all the hotter hammering in 21 runs over the first three games of the series. The number on the total looks way too low for me considering the potential in both teams line-up, and I think we should see this one fly over by quite some margin. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Matt Moore who will make his first start for almost 14 months. The 26 year old southpaw made just two starts in 2014 before suffering an elbow injury that forced him to have Tommy John surgery. He has not gone deeper than 5 1/3 innings in any of his rehab outings and has a 3.78 ERA in four career outings versus Cleveland who will counter with its struggling ace Corey Kluber (3-9, 3.66 ERA). Kluber is 0-4 with a 3.97 ERA in his last five starts while yielding 10 walks and three homers. He has a 3.66 ERA and has been nowhere near the form that saw him claim the AL Cy Young trophy last year. 2. Cleveland's Bats - The Tribe have averaged 5.33 runs per game over their last six and have hit southpaws hard all season long scoring a major league best 119 for the year. 3. X-Factor - David DeJusus and Evan Longoria are a combined 8-for-22 against Kluber in previous meetings. Selection: This is a play on CLE@TB to go over the total (10*) |
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06-25-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers host the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park this afternoon, and both teams are coming off a loss. I'm expecting to see a pitcher's duel in the Motor City, with two capable starters on the hill today. |
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06-17-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers will head to Cincinnati for the second leg of this home and home series, and tonight's game will feature two of the best pitchers in the major leagues. Neither team has been great offensively, and it's likely that we see a low scoring pitcher's duel here in Cincinnati tonight. 3. X-Factor - The Reds have a long history of playing low scoring games when Cueto pitches in Cincinnati, the under is 22-6-3 in Cueto's last 31 home starts. |
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06-16-15 | Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
The San Diego Padres spent plenty of money this off-season in an attempt to bolster their offense, and so far it looks like money well spent. San Diego is third in the National League in scoring, thanks to the big bats of Justin Upton and Matt Kemp. They host the Oakland A's at PETCO today, and I think the total looks a little low considering both teams rank in the top 10 in the majors in runs scored, and each team turns to the back end of their rotation. 2. Kazmir On The Road - The Over is 6-1-2 in Kazmir's last 9 starts as a road favorite. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Padres to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-15-15 | Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
The San Diego Padres spent plenty of money this off-season in an attempt to bolster their offense, and so far it looks like money well spent. San Diego is third in the National League in scoring, thanks to the big bats of Justin Upton and Matt Kemp. They host the Oakland A's at PETCO tonight, and I think the total looks a little low considering both teams rank in the top 10 in the majors in runs scored, and each team turns to the back end of their rotation. 2. Derek Norris - He arrived in San Diego via the trade that sent Hahn the other way, and he leads all National League catchers with 39 RBIs. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Padres to go OVER the total (10*) |
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05-11-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Atlanta Braves for the opener of a three game set at Great American Ball Park Monday night. They split a four-game set in Atlanta a couple of weeks ago as the Braves won the opener of that series 5-1 with the same pitching match-up as tonight. I expect quite a few more runs to be scored in this game and I'm playing the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Braves will hand the ball to Shelby Miller (4-1, 1.66 ERA) who is coming off a complete game shut out against the Phillies on May 5. He was tagged for three runs on six hits over seven innings against the Reds in his last start prior though and he was 1-2 with a 3.50 ERA over three starts against Cincinnati last year. The Reds will counter with Mike Leake (2-1, 2.47 ERA) who is coming off back-to-back dominant performances after first hurling eight scoreless innings at Atlanta followed by another eight scoreless innings at Pittsburgh, surrendering just a combined total of eight hits. He is 4-2 in seven career starts against the Braves with a 2.03 ERA, but keep in mind that Atlanta has averaged 5.6 runs per game over its last five.. 2. Bullpens - Neither pitcher can expect much back-up from the bullpen as Cincinnati's has compiled the worst ERA in the majors on the season (5.47 ERA) while Atlanta's has not done much better sitting fourth from the bottom with a 4.76 ERA. 3. X-Factor - Brandon Phillips is 6-for-17 with a homer against Miller over previous at bats. Selection: This is a play on ATL@CIN to go over the total (10*) |
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05-02-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Last night's meeting between the Chicago White Sox and the Minnesota Twins saw just one run scored as the White Sox prevailed in a 1-0 victory. The first game in this four game set saw a total of 14 runs though, and I expect to see plenty of action over the plate in Game 3 today as well. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Twins will hand the ball to Ricky Nolasco (0-1, 18.00 ERA) who'll make his second start of the year today just coming off the disabled list with a right elbow inflammation following his season debut in a 11-0 loss at Detroit. He was charged with six runs on six hits over just three innings in that game and is likely to be in for more pain here as he's 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Chicago over his career and with the current White Sox roster batting a combined .324 over 142 at bats against the right-hander. The White Sox will counter with Hector Noesi (0-2, 5.23 ERA) who'll make his third start of the season after surrendering six runs on eight hits over a combined 10 1/3 innings in his first two outings. He faced the Twins over 4 2/3 innings in his season opener as he allowed two runs while walking six and he's posting a 4.32 ERA against Minnesota over his career. The current Twins roster is batting .290 over 131 at bats against Noesi. 2. Trends - 10 of the last 13 meetings have gone over the total and the over is a convincing 9-1-1 in the Twins last 11 games as a home favorite and 4-1 in the White Sox last five away from home. 3. X-Factor - Minnesota's bullpen ranks among the worst in the majors on the season as its relievers has posted a combined 4.11 ERA over 70 innings so far. Selection: This is a play on CHW@MIN to go over the total (10*) |
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05-01-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 0-8 | Push | 0 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been swinging hot bats of late, putting up a total of 21 runs over their last two games alone. The Los Angeles Dodgers have been rather effective as well coming off a three game set against the Giants where they scored a total of 16 runs and I expect another slug-fest at Dodger Stadium tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D'Backs will hand the ball to Rubby De La Rosa (2-1, 4.68 ERA) who has given up a fair amount of runs over two road starts on the year already. He was extremely poor away from home last season as well, going 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA over 10 starts. Carlos Frias will toe the slab for the Dodgers making his first start of the year after hurling 2 1/3 innings as a reliever. He finished last season with a 6.12 ERA over 15 outings, two starts, and I'm not convinced he will be up for the challenge here. 2. Trends - The over is 5-1 over the last six meetings in L.A. and 23-8-1 in Dodgers last 32 home games overall. 3. X-Factor - The Dodgers ranks near the top of the majors with 32 homers on the year, with 19 coming at home. Selection: This is a play on the ARI@LAD to go over the total (10*) |
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04-30-15 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets OVER 7 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 115 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
The Washington Nationals have scored 26 runs in consecutive wins at Atlanta, and they head to New York tonight to begin a new series with the Mets. With the Nats apparently heating up at the plate, I think we can expect another high scoring game against the Mets tonight. Selection: This is a play on the Nats@Mets to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-29-15 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins are tied at 1-1 in this three game set at Marlins Park as they come into the rubber-match tonight. None of the previous games in the set have seen more than seven runs, and I doubt this contest will be any difference as I think we'll have an interesting duel on the mound. Selection: This is a play on NYM@MIA to go under the total (10*) |
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04-23-15 | Atlanta Braves v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
The Braves will wrap up this three game series with the Mets on Thursday, looking to avoid a sweep with a win in the finale at Citi Field. We'll see a pair of quality pitchers face off in this pitcher friendly park, and the result should be another low scoring game. Selection: This is a play on the Braves@Mets to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-21-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
Selection: This is a play on BOS@TB to go UNDER the total(10*) |
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04-18-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
The Cleveland Indians are really struggling at the plate so far this season, and they wasted another solid start from Cy Young winner Corey Kluber last night in Minnesota. The Twins aren't exactly ripping the cover off the ball either, and I think we'll see another low scoring tilt in Minnesota on Saturday afternoon. 2. Hitting - The Indians have only managed to score 29 runs so far, only Houston and Chicago have fewer among American League teams. The Twins have scored just one more (30 total). 3. X-Factor - Hughes was always a better pitcher in day games than he was under the lights, and he was 11-2 with a 3.26 ERA in 16 starts in the afternoon last season. |
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04-17-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers have certainly lived up to all expectations so far this season, but the same can not be said for the White Sox. These teams will play Game 1 of a three game set at Comerica Park on Friday afternoon. Both teams send their respective aces to the mound, in what might just be a pitcher's duel. Selection: This is a play on Chicago@Detroit to go UNDER the total .(10*) |
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04-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays won in a slugfest at Rogers Center in Game 3 of this series versus Tampa last night. Toronto will try to salvage a split with a victory in Game 4 tonight. It's not going to be easy, as the Rays starting pitcher for tonight's game has been awful tough in previous visits to Toronto. Selection: This is a play on the Rays@Jays to go UNDER the total (10*) .(10*) |
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04-15-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 104 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals will look to continue their hot start to the season in Minnesota on Wednesday, playing Game 2 of this three game series. The Royals won last night by a score of 12-3, remaining unbeaten with a 7-0 record. I think we'll the bats of both teams cool off tonight, with a pair of quality pitchers on the mound. Selection: This is a play on the Kansas City Royals .(10*) |
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04-13-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers have won only one game on the season so far, but the way they've struggled at the plate it's not that big of a surprise. The team has mustered 16 runs over their first five games and will visit the St. Louis Cardinals this afternoon, a team that has been involved in quite a few low-scoring contests so far and is sending its ace to the mound. I think this game has a lot factors pointing towards a low-scoring contest. Selection: This is a play on MIL@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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04-11-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 106 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
The Dodgers and the Diamondbacks have both split their first four games of the season, and Arizona took the first game of this series last night by a score of 4-3. The visitors are a heavy favorite to even the series tonight, with their ace on the mound. |
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10-28-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals OVER 7 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals will be fighting for their lives tonight as another San Francisco Giants win would make them the 2014 World Series Champions. We have seen plenty of runs in this series, but the books are still keeping the lines low and I think we're getting a good price on the over in Game 6. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to the Yordano Ventura (14-10, 3.20 ERA) who will have a ton of pressure on his shoulders tonight. The inexperienced 23 year old is making his second start in the World Series, as he gave up two runs on eight hits with a homer over 5 1/3 innings in the 7-2 win in Game 2. Ventura is relying on his fastball, which indeed is pretty good, but the problem is those can easily turn into home runs and especially the way the Giants have been swinging their bats lately. The visitors will counter with Jake Peavy (7-13, 3.73 ERA), and with 12 years in the major leagues and pitching in the last World Series as well he is certainly not lacking any experience. That being said, he did surrender four runs on six hits over five innings in the last match-up versus Ventura six days ago, and struggled on the road the whole regular season going 4-8 with a 4.60 ERA. 2. The Giants offense - They have really been swinging hot bats recently, scoring 16 runs over their last two games. The Royals previously so hailed bullpen has started to show weakness, with Herrera and Davis conceding three runs over the last two innings in Sunday's 5-0 loss. 3. X-factor - Billy Butler has owned Peavy in previous encounters, hitting an impressive .424 over 33 at bats with three homers and three walks. Selection: This is a play on the SF@KC to go over the total (10*) |
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10-22-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -118 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
The hosts got off to a terrible start last night as James Shields conceded three runs in the first inning to open the 2014 World Series. The Giants could run away with the game eventually winning it 7-1, but I expect a tighter contest with much fewer runs tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to Yordano Ventura (14-10, 3.20 ERA) who will make his first post-season start at Kauffman. The 23 year old Dominican has conceded five runs on 10 hits over 12 2/3 innings in two road starts after making an unsuccessful relief appearance at home against the A's in the Wild Card game. He was showing decent numbers at home during the regular season though, going 6-7 with a 3.21 ERA over 16 starts and certainly seems to be favored by pitching under the lights where his ERA was 2.86 compared to a 4.50 ERA in day-light games. The Giants will counter with Jake Peavy (7-13, 3.73 ERA) who will make his third start in this playoff. The veteran has been successful in his previous two, surrendering only two runs on six hits over 9 2/3 innings of work. He has not conceded more than two runs in any of his last eight starts, and only one of his last five starts have gone over the total. 2. The Bullpens - The Giants bullpen has the best stats in the post-season, as San Fran's relievers are showing a 1.69 ERA over 37 1/3 innings only giving up seven runs while fanning 32. Madison Bumgarner went seven innings last night before Lopez and Strickland came on and each tossed one scoreless inning. The Royals bullpen is ranked third, compiling a 1.98 ERA over 41 innings conceding nine runs while fanning an impressive 42 batters. It was solid last night as well, with Collins and Fraser combining to hold the Giants scoreless through the final three innings. 3. X-factor - Eric Hosmer and Lorenzo Cain has yet to figure Peavy out, going a combined 4-for-26 versus the right-hander. Selection: This is a play on SF@KC to go under the total (10*) |
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10-21-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -119 | 89 h 44 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants are coming to Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of the 2014 World Series. Both teams send their respective aces to the mound tonight, both backed by incredibly solid bullpens. Don't expect to see a slugfest here in Kansas City. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Royals will hand the ball to James Shields (14-8, 3.21 ERA) to start off this World Series. Now, Shields have admittedly not had his best playoff of his career so far, but he is not called "Big Game James" for nothing and I expect him to deliver the goods tonight. His last home start was decent enough, as he limited the Angels to two runs on six hits over six innings, and he tossed nine scoreless innings conceding only four hits in his only start against the Royals this season, also that outing at home. The Giants will counter with Madison Bumgarner (18-10, 2.98 ERA) who has been nothing short of spectacular so far this post-season. He has two shutouts, and has given up only six runs (five earned) on 19 hits striking out 28 over 31 2/3 innings of work. It might suit MadBum fine to start this series on the road, as he was showing his best stuff away from home during the regular season going 11-4 with a 2.22 ERA over 18 starts. 2. The Bullpens - The Giants bullpen has the best stats in the post-season, as they're showing a 1.78 ERA over 35 1/3 innings, only giving up seven runs while fanning 30 and limiting their opponents to a .164 AVG. The #2 ranked bullpen? The Royals of course, who have compiled a 1.80 ERA over 35 innings, conceding seven runs fanning an impressive 36 batters and limiting opponents to a .170 AVG. 3. X-factor - KC's right fielder Norichika Aoki is still hitless against Bumgarner, going 0-for-13 lifetime. Selection: This is a play on the Giants@Royals to go Under the total (10*) |
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10-15-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
The Kansas City Royals can complete the sweep against the Baltimore Orioles in front of their home crowd this afternoon. They claimed last night's game 2-1, and a similar scoreline is more than likely as the teams once again will enter the pitcher friendly Kauffman Stadium for Game 4. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Orioles will hand the ball to Miguel Gonzalez (10-9, 3.23 ERA) who had a solid finish to the regular season going 3-2 behind a 1.69 ERA in September, but this will be his first start since Sep 28. He was not successful in the six innings hurled so far against the Royals this year surrendering four runs (three earned) on six hits over six innings, and if we track back to 2013 his numbers were even worse, conceding six runs on eight hits over just 4 2/3 innings of work. The Royals will counter with Jason Vargas (11-10, 3.71 ERA) who's coming off a solid display at Los Angeles in the ALDS, as he allowed a pair of runs on three hits over six innings on Oct 2. This will be the first time the veteran lefty will face the Birds this season, but he has proved himself capable of keeping the Orioles bats quiet in the past showing a 1.93 ERA over eight starts lifetime. 2. Home cookin' - All of the Orioles last six post-season road games, and all of Gonzalez last seven on the road have gone under the total. Only one of the last eight meetings in KC have gone over the total. 3. X-factor - The Royals bullpen has been phenomenal lately. It worked four perfect innings last night, and has limited the opponents to a .179 AVG while registering a combined 1.59 ERA over the last 16 games. Selection: This is a play on BAL@KC to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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10-01-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are set battle it out with the San Francisco Giants for the NL Wild Card where the winner will be rewarded with a five game series against the Nats. I expect a low scoring game with both teams sending hot pitchers to the mound. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Giants will hand the ball to Madison Bumgarner (18-10, 2.98 ERA) who probably doesn't mind a trip to Pittsburgh at all. The 25 year old lefty has done better on the road than at home this season, going 11-4 with a 2.22 ERA over 18 starts away from home. He finished the regular season strong, going 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA in August followed by a 3.08 ERA in his four starts in September. The Pirates will counter with Edinson Volquez (13-7, 3.04 ERA) who finished the season in an even stronger manner. The veteran did not allow a single run in his last two starts, hurling seven innings in both of them conceding a total of only seven hits. He's undefeated over the last two months, showing a 2.11 ERA in August and a 1.08 ERA over his five September starts. 2. Trends - Only one of the last five meetings have gone over the total. None of the Pirates last four have gone over, and only two of the Giants last eight on the road have. 3. X-factor - Hunter Pence's 180 hits in the regular season made him the Giants top guy in that category. Volquez has dominated the 31 year old in previous encounters though, limiting Pence to a .194 AVG with 16 strike outs over 36 at bats. Selection: This is a play on SF@PIT to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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09-23-14 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers are playing well of late, winners of nine of their last 10 overall. They host Houston in Game 2 of this home series tonight, after taking the opener by a score of 4-3. Both teams are turning to the back end of the rotation here in this hitter's park, and that could translate into a high scoring affair. |
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09-18-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 10-5 in September so far, and they'll look to complete the sweep at home versus Boston tonight. The Red Sox have been out-scored 13-1 while losing the first two games of this series, and with a struggling pitcher on the mound, that trend is likely to continue tonight. |
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09-15-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
After dropping 2-of-3 at home to the Dodgers, the San Francisco Giants are now three games out of first in the NL West. They take on the cellar dwelling D'Backs in Arizona tonight, and this looks like a favorable match-up for the visitors. I have my eye on the total though, as we'll see two inconsistent pitchers on the hill. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D-backs will hand the ball to Wade Miley (7-11, 4.28 ERA) who's really struggled at Chase Field this season. The southpaw is 2-7, with an alarming ERA of 6.08 over 14 starts at home. He was 0-3 over five starts in August, and have surrendered four runs on 12 hits over nine innings so far this month. The Giants will counter with Ryan Vogelsong (8-10, 3.90 ERA) who was torched by the Rockies his last road start, as he surrendered eight runs on 10 hits, lasting only five innings. That was not a one time thing as he's been poor on the road for a better part of the season, posting a 5.11 ERA over 14 starts. 2. Over trends - All of the D-backs last four games have gone over the total, and so have seven of the Giants last nine on the road as well. 3. X-factor - Buster Posey has owned Miley, going 9-for-22 with one homer lifetime. Ryan Vogelsong has been hit hard by a lot of players in the D-backs line-up, but most notably Aaron Hill who's 13-for-28 with two homers versus the veteran. Selection: This is a play on SF@ARI to go over the total (10*) |
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09-11-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
The Bronx Bombers will host the Tampa Rays at Yankee Stadium Thursday night, and both teams will be sending hot pitchers to the mound. Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visitors, while Michael Pineda takes the mound for the Yankees. The total may look low at first glance, but I think the under is a solid play tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 2. Trends - Only one of Pindea's last seven, and none of Cobb's last nine starts have gone over the total. 3. X-factor - Alex Cobb has the NYY line-up hitting .176 over 125 at bats, with Derek Jeter going 2-for-12 with two strike-outs lifetime. Selection: This is a play on TB@NYY to go under the total (10*) |
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09-04-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals have taken over the top spot in the NL Central, sitting three games up on the Milwaukee Brewers. The division rivals will meet tonight at Miller Park, for Game 1 of a four game series that could decide the division. The Cardinals come in riding a five game win streak, while the Brewers have lost eight in a row. I'm expecting a high scoring affair with a couple of struggling pitchers on the mound. 1. Pitching - The Brew Crew will hand the ball to Wily Peralta (15-9, 3.82 ERA) who's been hit hard over his last two starts, surrendering 14 runs on 16 hits over eight innings. The 25 year old had a decent start to the season, but has dropped off more and more and was posting a 4.81 ERA in his six outings in August. The Cardinals will counter with Michael Wacha (5-5, 2.79 ERA) who'll make his first start since the middle of June. The 23 year old right-hander was not exactly on the top of his game prior to his injury, showing a 4.24 ERA over his three June starts. He's win-less on the road this season, going 0-5 with a 3.40 ERA over seven starts.
Selection: This is a play on St.Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers to go over the total (10*) |
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09-03-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
The Padres have been rather hot lately winning both games of this series so far and six of their last seven overall. Four of those six wins came in games decided by one run, and offense continues to be an issue for San Diego.
2. Padres woeful offense - The Padres are ranked last in all offensive categories in the major leagues. They've scored 11 runs over their last five games. 3. X-factor - Josh Collmenter has owned the Padres, limiting them to a .209 ERA over 86 at bats. Selection: This is a play on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres to go UNDER the total (10*). |
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09-03-14 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 105 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins are just 2-8 over their last 10 games, and they host the Chicago White Sox in Game 2 of this series tonight, after losing the opener by a score of 6-3 last night. The last four meetings have seen a total of 60 runs, and I think we'll see plenty of action over the plate in this fixture as well. Here are my keys to the game:
2. Trends - The over is 3-0-1 in the White Sox last four games overall, and 5-0 in the Twins last five games at Target Field. 3. X-factor - Jose Abreu is set to make a comeback for the White Sox. He's 12-for-21 in his last six games, and is batting .339 versus Minnesota lifetime. Selection: This is a play on Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins to go over the total (10*). |
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08-28-14 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
After the Tribe won in a slugfest in Game 1 of this series versus Chicago, the White Sox responded with a 3-2 win in a pitcher's duel last night. I'm expecting to see the bats come alive again in the series finale. Here are my keys to the game: 1: Pitching - Carlos Carrasco will get the call for Cleveland, and he was lit up the last time he faced Chicago. Carrasco (5-4, 3.14 ERA) gave up five runs on six hits over 6 1/3 innings in a loss earlier this year. The White Sox will counter with John Danks, who comes in win-less in his last four starts. Danks (4-8, 4.98 ERA) have given up 12 runs on 24 hits over 18 innings versus Cleveland this year, going 1-1. 2: Jose Abreu - The Chicago slugger is 10-for-19 with six RBIs in his last five games. 3. X-Factor - The White Sox have seen the total go over in seven of their last eight versus the AL Central. Selection: This is a play on Cleveland@Chicago to go OVER the total (10*) |
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08-25-14 | New York Yankees v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
The Yankees and the Royals will play a make up game at Kauffman Stadium tonight. Two of the previous three in the season series went under the total, and runs wont be easy to come by tonight as two hot pitchers take the mound. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Yankees will hand the ball to Michael Pineda (2-2, 2.05 ERA) who'll make his seventh start of the season. The 25 year old has not allowed more than two runs in any of his previous games. The Royals will counter with James Shields (12-6, 3.28 ERA) who's been dominant all season long. He's undefeated so far in August, going 3-0 with a 2.17 ERA over four starts. The 32 year old has hurled six innings versus the Yankees this season, allowing only one unearned run on six hits. 2. Trends - None of Pineda's six starts this season have gone over the total, and the under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last four games on the road. 3. X-factor - The Royals line-up is a combined 7-for-36 versus Pineda, with Billy Butler going 0-for-6. Selection: This is a play on the NYY@KC to go under the total (10*) |
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08-21-14 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The Indians will look to complete the sweep of a three game series versus the Twins at Target Field this afternoon. The series finale has all the signs of a pitcher's duel. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Twins will hand the ball to Phil Hughes (13-8, 3.76 ERA) who's coming of four quality starts in a row, going 3-1 and allowing six hits on 25 hits over 26 2/3 innings. He has done well versus the Indians line-up in the past, limiting them to a .222 AVG. The Tribe will counter with Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.41 ERA) who's undefeated in his last eight games. He has not allowed more than one run in any of his last five games, tossing a total of 39 innings. He's 6-4 with a 2.37 ERA in 13 games on the road for the season. 2. Trends - Eight of the Indians last nine games have gone under the total, and all of Kluber's last six road starts. All of Hughes' last six starts have also gone under the total. 3. X-factor - The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Minnesota. Selection: This is a play on the Indians@Twins to go under the total (10*) |
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08-20-14 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -122 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
The Cardinals can complete the sweep of this three game set versus the Reds tonight. The visitors have four consecutive losses, but if any man can put an end to that it's Johnny Cueto. He'll be up against another strong pitcher though, and runs wont be easy to come by in this series finale. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds will hand the ball to Johnny Cueto (15-6, 2.06 ERA) who's the owner of the third lowest ERA in baseball this season. The 28 year old has conceded a total of seven runs on 24 hits over 39 innings in his last two games. He's 6-3 with a 2.31 ERA in 13 starts on the road for the season. The Cardinals will counter with Lance Lynn (13-8, 2.91 ERA) who's undefeated in his last three starts. He's coming off a solid outing where he conceded only one run on six hits over six innings in a 4-2 win versus the Padres. He's 8-3 with a 2.53 ERA in 14 starts home at Busch Stadium this season. 2. Trends - The under is 4-1 in Cueto's last five starts on the road, all of Lynn's last seven coming in as a favorite has seen less run than the set line. 3. X-factor - Only the Padres have scored fewer runs this season than the St. Louis Cardinals. Selection: This is a play on CIN@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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08-17-14 | Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This four game set between the Reds and the Rockies is tied at 1-1 as the Reds equalized with a 3-2 win last night. Coors Field is known as a hitters park, and as a result we often get a high line on the total. We can take advantage of that this afternoon as we'll see two competent pitchers on the hill. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds hand the ball to Mat Latos (4-3, 2.95 ERA) who's shown good stuff all season long. He's coming off four quality starts in a row, and conceded only one run on five hits over seven innings versus the Red Sox his last time out. His road ERA is tiny 1.85 over five starts. The Rockies will counter with Jordan Lyles (6-1, 3.70 ERA) who's been very consistent this season. The 23 year old right-hander is coming off a loss at San Diego, but he allowed only two runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings. He's 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA over six starts at home for the season. 2. Rockies struggling offense - Colorado has only mustered 16 runs in its last five games, Thursday's 7-3 win in the series opener included. 3. Injuries - The Rockies have Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez on the DL. The Reds are hit hard as well as Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto remain on the DL. Selection: This is a play on CIN@COL to go under the total (10*) |
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08-16-14 | San Diego Padres v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
The Padres and the Cardinals are all set to play Game 3 of a four game set at Busch Stadium. St. Louis has won the first two games 4-2 and 4-3, and another low scoring ballgame is potentially in the cards tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Cardinals hand the ball to Shelby Miller (8-9, 4.17 ERA) who's coming off a quality start in his last home game. The right-hander allowed only one run on four hits over seven innings, but the Cardinals still lost 2-1 to the Red Sox. He has done well versus the Padres line-up in the past, limiting them to a .205 AVG over 39 at bats. The Padres will counter with Jesse Hahn (7-3, 2.52 ERA), a 25 year old rookie who's showing some impressive numbers his first season in the major leagues. He's 4-1 on the road with a 2.12 ERA over five starts. 2. Trends - All of the Cardinals last four games have gone under the total, as has the last four games between these two teams in St.Louis. 3. X-factor - The Cardinals have taken a major step back offensively this season, in fact only the Padres have scored fewer runs this year than St. Louis. Selection: This is a play on SD@STL to go under the total (10*) |
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08-13-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Last night's game between the Indians and the Diamondbacks was postponed due to heavy raining in Ohio. These two teams will make up for it by playing a double-header today, and I expect to see plenty of runs. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The D-backs will hand the ball to Vidal Nuno (2-8, 5.01), a 27 year old lefty who's been hit hard all season long. He surrendered five runs on seven hits over just four innings versus the Royals his last time out. He's win-less in his last seven starts. The Indians will counter with Josh Tomlin (5-8, 4.68 ERA) who's also struggled most of the season. He conceded six runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at New York his last time out. 2. Trends - The over is 4-1 in Cleveland's last five games, and all of Tomlin's last seven home starts have gone over the total. 3. X-factor - Jason Kipnis was 3-for-5 his last game. Selection: This is a play on Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Indians to go OVER the total (10*). |
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08-10-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
The Royals are on a six game winning streak and can complete the sweep of this three game set versus a struggling Giants team today. The Giants on the other hand have lost three straight, and show little signs of turning things around.
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08-09-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Last night's series opener of a three game set in Kansas City saw the home team defeat the Giants 4-2. Tonight's contest should be another low-scoring one as two competent pitchers take the hill.
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08-07-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
The Dodgers and the Angels will close out this four game home-and-home set tonight. The visitors edged last night's game 2-1, and I think this will be another low scoring affair. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu (12-5, 3.39 ERA) who's undefeated in his last four starts. He's been dominant on the road all season, going 8-2 with a 2.89 ERA in 11 starts. The lefty has a somewhat limited experience versus the Angels line-up, but he'a had the better of them so far with them hitting a measley .154 over 26 at bats. The Angels will counter with another southpaw, C.J. Wilson (8-7, 4.74 ERA) who has not really lived up to expectations lately. He has a good home record going 6-1 in 10 starts, although his 4.06 ERA could be better. 2. No hitters park - All of the Angels last four games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim have gone under the predicted total, and the under is 4-0-1 in the last five head to head meetings in Anaheim. 3. X-factor - No matter who's pitching for the Dodgers, Mike Trout seems to struggle. He's batting a lowly .245 over 13 games versus the Dodgers lifetime, and is 0-for-4 against Ryu. Selection: This is a play on the LAD@LAA to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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08-06-14 | Atlanta Braves v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
The Mariners won Game 1 of this two game set at home versus the Braves yesterday by a score of 4-2. That was the Braves seventh consecutive loss but they should be able to keep the score low and may even edge the win in a close game tonight.
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08-05-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 9 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
The Blue Jays finished July off with six consecutive wins, but have since lost three straight in August. The Orioles are 3-1 in their last four games, but they run into Toronto's ace tonight. The total looks a little high considering Buehrle's body of work this season.
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08-04-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The Athletics will open a three games set versus the Rays at O.co Coliseum in Oakland tonight. These two teams have played a three game set at Tampa Bay already this season, with every game going under. I expect today's pitchers to be able to keep the bats quiet as well.
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08-04-14 | San Francisco Giants v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
We saw the Giants blowout the Mets at Citi Field on Sunday, but I expect to see a much closer contest here on Monday afternoon.
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08-01-14 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Houston Astros OVER 9 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
Toronto defeated the Astros by a score of 6-5, thanks to a ninth inning game winning home run from Nolan Reimold in the series opener yesterday. Houston will to execute revenge tonight, and considering their choice of pitcher the offense will probably have to pull a heavy weight if they're to pull that off. Here are my keys to the game:
2. Recent history - This will be the fifth game between the teams this season, with the first four seeing a total of 38 runs over the plate. 3. X-factor - Jose Altuve was on a 12 game hitting streak up until yesterdays game. He must be eager to get back to the plate as he looks to maintain his lead in the AL batting race. Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-31-14 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
The Blue Jays are coming off a 3-0 sweep at Boston, and are 10-3 since the All Star break. The offense has been terrific lately, scoring 35 runs in the last five games. The Astros took 2-of-3 from Oakland, with every game seeing more than nine runs. Two hot teams should be involved in another high scoring contest tonight, when they open a four game set at Minute Maid Park. Here are my keys to the game:
2. Recent history - This is the fourth game between the Blue Jays and the Astros this season. They combined for 27 runs in the first three. 3. X-factor - The Blue Jays Dioner Navarro was 3-for-4 in yesterdays win at Boston. He will face Cosart for the first time tonight, but is batting .323 in Houston lifetime. Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-31-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
The Padres bats came alive on Wednesday, blowing out the Cardinals by a score of 12-1. Offensive blow-outs have otherwise been scarce for San Diego this season, as they rank last in the majors in most offensive categories. The Cardinals aren't exactly lighting it up offensively either, and we should see a low scoring affair today in San Diego. Here are my keys to the game:
2. The worst offense in the major leagues - Yes, San Diego Padres is the worst ranked team in runs, and the Cardinals are just marginally better ranking second to last. 3. X-factor - Brian Gorman will be calling balls and strikes today, and he's been generous to pitchers lately, with his last four games failing to go over the total. Selection: This is a play on the St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-30-14 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The Blue Jays were rather pedestrian offensively last night, beating the Red Sox 4-2. That was the first game between these two teams this season that saw less than eight runs scored, and I think that order will be restored tonight.
Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox to go over the total (10*). |
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07-26-14 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
The Yankees won Game 1 of this three game set 6-4 yesterday and they have now won 7-of-8 at home since the All Star break. The Blue Jays are 4-2 in their last six games, with each game seeing eight runs or more. Today's contest should be another high scoring affair. |
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07-25-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Chicago Cubs OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
The Cubs are coming off back-to-back blowout losses at the hands of the Padres, surrendering a total of 21 runs to the league's worst offense. They host the Cardinals at Wrigley on Friday afternoon, and with a pair of struggling starters on the mound, we are likely to see another high scoring affair. 3: X-Factor - Nate Schierholtz has not been fooled by Kelly, going 6-for-13 lifetime against the 26 year old. |
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07-24-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
The Orioles will look to continue their success on the road when they open a new series in Seattle Thursday Night. The Mariners have a pretty poor home record, and after losing back-to-back games to the Mets, they are now 25-28 at Safeco. I've had plenty of success backing Baltimore on this road trip, but I think the best bet is on the under in tonight's game. 1. Pitching - Wei-Yin Chen will be on the mound for the Orioles, and he's having himself a career year. Chen (10-3, 4.21 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over five innings, winning his last start on the road in Oakland. He's won three in a row, and he boasts a record of 5-1 in eight starts on the road this year. The Mariners counter with Hisashi Iwakuma, who is coming off a loss in his most recent start. |
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07-23-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
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07-23-14 | Texas Rangers v. New York Yankees UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
We didn't see a lot of offense in the Bronx last night, with neither team able to score a run until the 13th inning. There is every reason to expect another pitcher's duel at Yankee Stadium here on Wednesday, as the Rangers send ace Yu Darvish to the mound. |
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07-18-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
The Rockies were dreadful heading into the break, winning just five times in their final 26 games. They might have a chance to turn things around in Pittsburgh, with what appears to be a favorable match-up in starting pitchers. My money is on the visitors to keep this one close, which should result in enough runs to push the total over the number. Selection: This is a play on Colorado@Pittsburgh to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-13-14 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
The Tigers and the Royals will meet in the final game of a four game set in Kansas City Sunday, and Detroit has a chance to complete the sweep. Given the match-up on the mound in this matinee game, we could see a slugfest at Kauffman Stadium this afternoon. Selection: This is a play on the Tigers@Royals to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-11-14 | Miami Marlins v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Marlins wrap up the first half of the season in New York, and Game 1 of this three game set at Citi Field goes Friday. The Fish have split the first six games of this road trip, and they will like their chances tonight with a red hot pitcher on the mound. I expect to see a pitcher's duel in tonight's series opener, and runs should be few and far between. Selection: This is a play on the Marlins@Mets to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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07-10-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 102 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
The Pirates have lost three straight in St. Louis, and they will wrap up this series at Busch Stadium on Thursday night. With both teams turning to the back end of their rotation, we don't expect a pitcher's duel here tonight. I expect to see enough offense to push the number over the total.
Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Cardinals to go OVER the total (10*) |
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07-04-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
The Tigers beat up on Eric Bedard Thursday, taking Game 1 of this series by a score of 8-1. Victor Martinez, Torii Hunter and Ian Kinsler all went deep for the Tigers, while Max Sherzer silenced the Rays. Tampa might have a better chance of scoring a few runs here in Game 2, and I'm expecting this one to be a high scoring affair. 3. X-Factor - Alex Avila is 4-for-7 lifetime, while Torri Hunter is 6-for-13 versus Cobb. |
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07-03-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 120 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants have lost six of eight on this current home stand, and they now find themselves in a heated battle with the Dodgers who trail by just a half game in the NL West. After splitting the first two games of this series versus St. Louis, the Giants appear to have the advantage heading into the rubber match. |
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07-01-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
David Price is rumored to be on the way out of Tampa Bay, so each time he takes the mound it could be his final start in a Rays uniform. He's scheduled to start Tuesday as the Rays take on the Yankees in Game 2 of this series in the Bronx. I don't expect to see a lot of scoring in this game, with a pair of top knotch pitchers facing off. Selection: This is a play on the Rays@NYY to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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06-30-14 | Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
The Baltimore Orioles will host Texas in the opening game of a four game set at Camden Yards Monday. Texas is struggling, with just a pair of wins over it's last 11 games. Selection: This is a play on Texas@Baltimore to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-29-14 | Oakland A's v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
We've seen a couple of high scoring tilts here in Miami in the first tow games of this series between the A's and the Fish, and there's every reason to expect another slugfest here at Marlins Park Sunday. Selection: This is a play on OAK@MIA to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-26-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 112 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
The Brewers bats exploded for nine runs last night, chasing Stephen Strasburh from the game after just four innings. Milwaukee will welcome the Colorado Rockies to town Thursday, and with two of baseball's best offenses, we can expect to see some fireworks. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies/Brewers to go OVER the total (10*) |
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06-26-14 | Chicago White Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The Blue Jays won 2-of-3 at home versus the Yankees, and both victories were high scoring tilts. Hiroki Kuroda managed to quiet Toronto's bats last night, but we should expect to see more offense tonight, with the Jays hosting the White Sox in the first game of a four game series. Selection: This is a play on Chicago/Toronto to go OVER the total (10*) |