12-19-16 |
Stanford +7.5 v. SMU |
|
49-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
SMU's talented starting five has rolled off four straight wins after a 4-3 start. In fact SMU's offensive efficiency features four players that average double-figures led by senior Ben Moore and Duke transfer Semi Ojeleye. At home they're undefeated at 7-0. Yet the bench recently thinned as they lost Harry Froling who decided to transfer. That's an issue against a defensive minded Stanford team. Even though they've lost two of three I like the points here on a line two to three points higher than it should be.
|
12-18-16 |
Bucs v. Cowboys -7 |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 40 m |
Show
|
A year ago at home, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston suffered one of his worst visual performances in a 10-6 win against Dallas. That loss for the Cowboys was a microcosm of the need to upgrade the running back (McFadden 17 carries for 32 yards) and quarterback (Cassel 186 yards, 1 pick) position. Keep in mind this Bucs team has traveled on the road to KC and San Diego, and played two tough home games against the Seahawks/Saints over the last month. Dallas on the other hand had the benefit of consecutive Thursday games followed by a divisional game on the road. Sometimes teams peak at the late stages of a season only to fizzle out of the playoff hunt. Tampa Bay will be that team.
|
12-18-16 |
Northeastern +12 v. Michigan State |
|
81-73 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
Having won three straight the Michigan State Spartans are now 7-4. Losses to Arizona, Kentucky, Duke, and Baylor will look like an acceptable resume when you creep to 8-4 and 9-4 before conference play. Yet, I like the value here on Northeastern. At 5-5, they have not won or lost a game by more than ten points. In fact all five of their losses have been by six points or less. They'll play tough for the full forty minutes and give the Spartans another hard fought battle.
|
12-18-16 |
Nets v. 76ers -2.5 |
|
107-108 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
Something has to give Sunday between the youth of the 76ers and that of the Nets. Brooklyn attracted value prior to their loss against the Magic with key ATS covers against the Wizards, Nuggets, Rockets, and Lakers. The blending of their youth has flourished as of late with Brook Lopez as a catalyst. Yet, their issues on the road (one win) are troublesome for a young team. The 76ers have several big men to throw at Brook Lopez which is going to leave the Nets needing to find extra scoring. Look for the Nets road issues to continue.
|
12-18-16 |
Patriots -3 v. Broncos |
|
16-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 36 m |
Show
|
The Patriots have taken advantage of an easy schedule over the last month to jump out to an 11-2 record. Denver on the other hand has been topsy turvy with inconsistent play lurking one week to the next via special teams, offense, or defense. To beat New England even at home you need to be able to depend on all three phases. While the Patriots defense isn't elite, they'll be the difference on the road to out duel a former top defense of the Broncos.
|
12-18-16 |
Clippers -5 v. Wizards |
|
110-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
Sunday, the Clippers continue their east coast road trip in Washington. The Clippers are coming off consecutive narrow ATS losses to Orlando and Miami. In last year's late spring matchup in LA against the Wizards, the Clippers surrendered a 6.5 point spread loss in the final few minutes thanks to a flurry of final minute three pointers from John Wall. The game was Blake Griffin's return from a lengthy absence and team chemistry was rusty. That's a non-issue Sunday and I expect the Clippers to take advantage of a small road line.
|
12-18-16 |
Georgia State v. Old Dominion -6 |
|
46-58 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
Playing well below their capabilities have been Old Dominion. At 5-4, many people probably have already forgot that their first loss came in two overtimes against a talented Louisville team. They also were in all three of their other losses to LSU, Rhode Island, and recently VCU (surrendered a double digit lead late). Georgia State's subpar defense should open the door for an Old Dominion team that has under achieved offensively.
|
12-18-16 |
Eagles +6 v. Ravens |
|
26-27 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
Not many teams have tail spun as negatively as the Eagles have. They've lost four straight with a defense that looks defeated, and an offense struggling with a rookie quarterback. Opposite the Ravens are in a must win situation to keep pace with the Steelers and remain in the wild card hunt. With rookie quarterback Carson Wentz struggles it's hard to see him getting out of it on the road. Yet, with his rookie expectations toned down I believe he can finish the season strong. Grab the value here on the Ravens.
|
12-17-16 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Illinois-Chicago +8.5 |
|
81-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
UIC +8.5 Finding offense after losing a player that averages twenty points per game is tough to do in a power five conference. UIC will try to do it as they lost Dikembe Dixon to an ACL tear in their latest game against DePaul. Loyola Chicago has won six of their last seven, with an added offensive dimension to their typical strong defense. Sometimes subtraction of a star player brings forth a strong effort and higher level of focus on both sides of the court. Look for UIC to play team basketball and hold within the spread.
|
12-17-16 |
Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -7.5 |
|
20-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
New Mexico -7.5 New Mexico looks to take advantage of their home field as they take on UT San Antonio. UT San Antonio snuck in at 6-6 but did stand forth in close losses against Colorado State and ASU. Yet, New Mexico has an up tempo offense that will be too much for Texas San Antonio. Grab the Lobos to put on an offensive show.
|
12-16-16 |
Clippers v. Heat +7 |
|
102-98 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Clippers continue their road trip in Florida, after a five-point victory over the Magic. Beyond the second quarter in the contest the Clippers led in solid fashion. For the Heat one has to disbelieve they have the offensive punch to keep up with the Clippers. Yet, defensive pieces are there with Justice Winslow back combined with Tyler Johnson and Hassan Whiteside. Grab the Heat to make this more interesting than anticipated as they become the second Florida home team to cover as underdogs against the Clippers.
|
12-16-16 |
Texas-Arlington v. Bradley +11 |
|
56-51 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
We'll grab Bradley on Friday, against a UT-Arlington team that may be a bit over inflated. Off a big win over Saint Mary's, UT-Arlington does not lack offensive talent. With the Braves struggles at 5-5, it'd appear this is a clear overmatch. Yet, at the tail end of non-conference play you start to see teams at .500 gain better traction. Grab the Braves to play some of their best basketball of 2016.
|
12-16-16 |
Hawks +7.5 v. Raptors |
|
125-121 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
The fire power the Raptors are showcasing currently is quietly being devalued. DeMar DeRozan is playing at a level unseen and the Raptors rotation balance extends as deep as any team. The struggling Hawks would seem as no match especially after a recent forty-four point loss in Toronto. Yet, this is a good buy low spot to grab the Hawks against the surging Raptors.
|
12-16-16 |
Nets v. Magic -6 |
|
111-118 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
An odd line takes place in most eyes Friday as the Nets are six point underdogs against the Orlando Magic. The main reason here is the Nets have been dysfunctional to say the least on the road, with a 1-10 record. I see that extending Friday and at the right price for the home Magic. Brooklyn may seem to have ATS value as they've covered four of their last five, but are still in a major conundrum rotation wise. Grab the home Magic to take advantage.
|
12-15-16 |
Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets |
|
120-132 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
After a losing road trip the Trailblazers took care of business against the Thunder. Now they head back onto the road aiming to win a third matchup of the season against Denver. One of those match ups was an overtime win in Denver October 29th, in which the Trailblazers erased an eight point lead in the final two minutes. While many may see motivation on the side of the Nuggets combined with the Trailblazers slide as an angle, I'll side with the value of another Portland win over Denver.
|
12-15-16 |
Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 |
|
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
Here we'll take a look at a Pelicans team that's regaining health and value. Indiana on the other hand has struggled with consistent play over their last three games. Two of the three were wins which may seem strange, but in both they needed to rally either from surrendering a steep deficit or in comeback fashion. Traveling in consecutive nights should extend that weakness as the Pelicans are becoming a potent offensive team. Grab the Pelicans.
|
12-15-16 |
College of Charleston +3 v. East Carolina |
|
53-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
Two 7-3 teams will battle it out Thursday as College of Charleston heads to East Carolina. The Pirates are coming off a steep twenty-three point loss to Virginia, and should have thoughts of getting out early against Charleston. While East Carolina may be the veteran team and at home, Charleston has the better core talent and cohesiveness. Grab the small line on the underdog Cougars.
|
12-14-16 |
Pistons -5.5 v. Mavs |
|
95-85 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
Detroit Off a poor home loss to the 76ers, one would believe the Pistons are vulnerable here on the road against the Mavericks. Yet, the Pistons are a capable team of bouncing back here. Even on the road, one can not mask the poor play the Mavericks have exhibited. Imbalance with youth and veterans is an odd mix that doesn't bode well against a reliable depth-laden Pistons team.
|
12-14-16 |
Middle Tennessee v. Belmont +2 |
|
79-66 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
The sports betting market is always quick to remember the cinderellas, especially in non-conference play. Middle Tennessee State was one last year as they advanced to the sweet sixteen. Facing Belmont hasn't tricked oddsmakers, and I believe this line should be slightly in their favor. They have a way of finishing off games as they did recently against Evansville, and will do so here again tonight. Grab Belmont.
|
12-13-16 |
Monmouth +3.5 v. Memphis |
|
82-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
Monmouth +3.5 Based on strength of schedule one can see why Memphis is the slight favorite. They're the home team tonight and the well known school. Yet, neither Monmouth or Memphis has been stellar in non-conference play. Both have lost to the main schools on their schedule---Monmouth (Cuse, South Carolina), and Memphis-(Providence, Ole Miss). This is where I'll lean to a veteran Monmouth team that's played several top schools dating back to last season. Lacking the same fire power as a year ago may stray folks from backing Monmouth as their last three wins over Canisius, Wagner, and Army have been subpar. Grab the contrarian play here with Monmouth.
|
12-12-16 |
Blazers +10 v. Clippers |
|
120-121 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
Portland's sloppy road trip continued to go worse as they blew a 98-90 fourth quarter lead, regain the lead back to six, and lost it once again. This doesn't seem to bode well for them on Monday as they travel to Los Angeles, a team that has already exacted revenge for last year's playoff exit twice. To get the job done Monday, I expect the Trailblazers to capitalize against a boosted line here. Both the Trailblazers guards are playing at peak levels right now, and if one other player can get back on track this should be an easy cover.
|
12-11-16 |
Pelicans v. Suns -4 |
|
120-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
The Pelicans lost in embarrassing fashion on Saturday to the Clippers. With several starters out--including key star Anthony Davis who DNP due to rest. Expecting the Pelicans to be refreshed against a Suns team they took to overtime at home is a factor here. Phoenix is also a team that's not shown consistency off a key win, as they just defeated the Lakers. Yet, I like the Suns here to grow off of Friday's win and keep the Pelicans reeling on their current road trip.
|
12-11-16 |
Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 |
|
7-10 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 37 m |
Show
|
I'll lean to the side of the Giants who have not been a strong team all season ATS at home. They're coming off a poor performance which could have been much worse than the score indicated against Pittsburgh. Dallas on the other hand has played consecutive Thursday games and remains unbeaten since week one. Rust showed in both their Thursday wins and I believe it carries over to Sunday night. Dallas may escape with another win but the Giants get the cover.
|
12-11-16 |
Warriors v. Wolves +11 |
|
116-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
Not often will I play against a team on consecutive days, but Sunday I will with the Timberwolves. Golden State is coming off a steep loss to the Grizzlies in which they weren't in it from the onset. Minnesota on the other hand has been abysmal ATS, because of the inability to finish games. Three quarters in they've been competitive. At home and playing the best team in the NBA, I do not expect their motivation to fall apart late. Grab the Timberwolves on a line that should be closer to 7.5-8.
|
12-11-16 |
76ers +13.5 v. Pistons |
|
97-79 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
The Detroit Pistons are coming off two impressive wins including a blowout win over the Timberwolves. Their value is even higher as they've been a different team on their home floor. That figures to play into the hands of a 76ers team that is subpar on paper and poor on the road. Yet, I see the 76ers coming to play in this one. Grab the value on the high line.
|
12-11-16 |
Saints v. Bucs -2.5 |
|
11-16 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 32 m |
Show
|
It's hard not to be distracted by the NFC South which features all teams that grab headlines. The Falcons with Julio Jones and their turn around season, the Saints in the Sean Payton era, and the Panthers weekly episodes. Under the radar have been the Bucs who are quietly battling for the division title. Momentum continues to rise on their side as they won last week in San Diego. At home this will be a matchup that the Bucs need to rely on their defense more than their offense to get the W. Look for that to happen as the Bucs defense over the years has been strong at home against Drew Brees. Grab the Bucs.
|
12-10-16 |
Warriors v. Grizzlies +10.5 |
|
89-110 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
Memphis +10.5 For Saturday we'll back the home Grizzlies who many may believe are an illusion at this point. A five game win streak has boosted their record from 11-8 to 16-8. Each win was slim with none higher than five points. The competition in those wins can also be a question mark. Yet, this Grizzlies team knows how to stay in games and is riding the great underrated play of Marc Gasol. With the Warriors having won in easy fashion as of late, I'd be leery with how they finished of their last win against the Jazz. Grab the Grizzlies.
|
12-10-16 |
Michigan v. UCLA -9.5 |
|
84-102 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 8 m |
Show
|
Are the Bruins seeing too high of a line adjustment or are they still devalued? I'm on the devalued side especially against a Michigan team that's issues are hidden via their record. They lack the ability to play two halves of solid basketball which is a scary proposition against an old school potent Bruins squad.
|
12-10-16 |
Cincinnati v. Butler -3.5 |
|
65-75 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 39 m |
Show
|
Off a poor loss the Butler Bulldogs will look to bounce back against a Bearcats team built to play for forty minutes. Yet, the Bearcats have had a long layoff not having played since last Sunday. They've also not traveled much early in the season with all home games besides their win against Iowa State and an early tournament in Connecticut. Grab the Bulldogs here on downgraded value off their first loss.
|
12-10-16 |
East Tennessee State v. Dayton -6.5 |
|
61-75 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 60 m |
Show
|
On paper one has to wonder why Dayton is a seven point favorite. East Tennessee State not only has shown great scoring ability but also turns teams over at a high rate. While Dayton may not be at it's strength of two seasons ago they have a carbon copy of style of basketball that East Tennessee State tries to enforce. A smaller rotation on Dayton's side equals better balance in my opinion. The Bucs depth and lack of solidified rotation hurts them in this matchup. Grab the Flyers.
|
12-10-16 |
Notre Dame +6.5 v. Villanova |
|
66-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
We'll grab the Irish in a spot that makes you do a double-take on the spread. Villanova has been a non-conference juggernaut ATS the last three seasons and also have their March tournament run fresh on people's minds. Yet, the one flaw on this newly made over Villanova team is excelling on the defensive end of the floor. Minus big man Daniel Ochefu interior shot blocking is gone, and on-ball defense is not as strong as well without Ryan Arch. Look for the veteran Irish to stand ground as their record suggests and get a big day from VJ Beecham and Steve Vastruria.
|
12-08-16 |
Wolves +7.5 v. Raptors |
|
110-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
The Minnesota Timberwolves have looked out of sorts since Ricky Rubio returned from injury. The ball is not moving fluidly and frankly the youth is showing. Home/away losses to the Knicks, and a loss to the Spurs have detracted their value against a Raptors team that has been a strong home team. With the Raptors losing their latest game to the Cavs many may want to jump on the Raptors here. Instead, grab the roster versus roster value here on the Timberwolves who are much more athletic and have a size advantage over the Raptors.
|
12-08-16 |
Pacific +9 v. Massachusetts |
|
48-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
Traveling across the country to take on UMass will be Pacific University. The Minute Men have failed to play to their optimal levels thus far this season, and should get another challenge here from a decent Pacific squad. While many will anticipate a travel factor and UMass poised to break out, side with the underdogs here.
|
12-06-16 |
Bulls +6 v. Pistons |
|
91-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 49 m |
Show
|
It's not typical to see a team play three games in three nights. Amidst the NBA's plans to adjust scheduling to avoid such, some people may get caught into the Bulls current slide. They've lost in consecutive nights and are facing a Detroit team that's 7-3 at home. Off a home loss to the Magic one would expect the Pistons to bounce back strongly here against a tired Bulls team. Instead we'll grab the Bulls to challenge the Pistons with a deep roster, and get unexpected points from one of their young talented bench players.
|
12-06-16 |
Green Bay +6 v. Central Michigan |
|
97-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
One thing for sure Tuesday night is little to no defense will be played between the Phoenix and Central Michigan. Expected offensive outbursts usually sway to the home team, especially early in the season in non-conference. In fact Central Michigan defeated the Phoenix 89-77 at Green Bay. In the win the Chippewas erased a four point half time deficit. Expect the Phoenix to be ready to play for a full forty minutes this time with the loss fresh on their minds. Grab the Phoenix.
|
12-06-16 |
Old Dominion v. Rhode Island -10 |
|
39-51 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 15 m |
Show
|
Having lost three of four Rhode Island's value has diminished. Yet, this is a talented Rams team that will bring their value back up to tournament standards before conference play. Facing an Old Dominion team that's two losses were by six points each to Louisville and LSU figures to link bettors to their side. But the Monarchs are a low scoring team and that should pose to the side of the Rams who are an efficient half court defensive and offensive team.
|
12-04-16 |
Panthers +8.5 v. Seahawks |
|
7-40 |
Loss |
-130 |
46 h 33 m |
Show
|
Carolina +8.5 The distrust in the Carolina Panthers has finally set in for oddsmakers. Seattle coming off a poor loss is still seen as an overmatch here. I'm not sold on that, as even though the Panthers have under performed they've been in the majority of their games. The notion that Russ Wilson is healthy and should pick apart a poor Panthers defense, should be discounted. Over the years Russ has struggled to move the football against the Panthers defense even during the Seahawks peak period.
|
12-04-16 |
Kings +2.5 v. Knicks |
|
98-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
Teams traveling from coast to coast on a road trip aren't supposed to gain in value ATS. Yet, the Kings won outright against the Nets, pushed against the Wizards, and covered by a point against the Celtics. The Knicks on the other hand have won consecutive games against the Timberwolves to push themselves back above .500. So why is this line so small? A season ago the Kings swept the Knicks, which included a home game in which they nearly blew a nineteen point lead. The fact that the Knicks have added better pieces does not mask the issues they still have defensively. Even minus Rajon Rondo the Kings have proper balance to cause the Knicks problems once again.
|
12-04-16 |
Georgia State +3 v. Mississippi State |
|
60-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
It may be two years since Georgia State's great run in the NCAA tournament, but they've kept their recruiting principles in line. Miss State on the other hand is a conundrum hard to figure out. They've had solid wins against Boise State and in their latest game against Oregon State, yet have lost to UCF and Lehigh. Look for Georgia State to prove to be the better two-loss team here.
|
12-04-16 |
Bucs +4 v. Chargers |
|
28-21 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 28 m |
Show
|
Tampa Bay +4 The back and forth display all season from the Buccaneers is resembled of a team in transition. Perhaps being in a division with sporadic play throughout has swayed proper views of the Bucs. Dirk Koetter has allowed Jameis Winston to lead on the field with full freedom unlike any other quarterback in football. It's grown confidence of every position on offense, and spiked higher effort from a subpar defense. Look for the Bucs to travel well here and take care of business against the Chargers.
|
12-04-16 |
Canisius v. Monmouth -15 |
|
88-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
We'll grab Monmouth against MAAC conference opponent Canisius. The Golden Griffins have won two straight while Monmouth has bounced back nicely since losing to South Carolina and Syracuse. With both teams excelling at scoring, one may want to lean Canisius getting so many points. Yet, I expect Monmouth to be able to land more scoring punches and outscore the Golden Griffins.
|
12-04-16 |
Eagles +2 v. Bengals |
|
14-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
38 h 52 m |
Show
|
The question for everyone is how far can the Bengals sink before a complete 360 is done from oddsmakers. Yearly the NFL has proven what you saw last year is not the case the following. More than any other team in football the Bengals have got in their own way. This is a stylistic game that favors the Eagles with slight advantages on the sideline, red zone scoring percentages, and big play ability on both sides of the football on third downs.
|
12-03-16 |
Penn State v. Wisconsin -3 |
|
38-31 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin -3 Sometimes it's hard to resist the new and improved team, which is Penn State. They've won with an array of different styles and are coming off an impressive cover against Michigan State. Yet the Badgers have the formula of play that is suited for handling counters of Penn State for four quarters. Grab the Badgers.
|
12-03-16 |
Georgia State +7 v. Idaho |
|
12-37 |
Loss |
-130 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
Georgia State +7 Here will look at two teams that quite frankly are even on paper. Idaho's above average offensive display lately and home advantage has inflated this line. Georgia State has vastly under achieved and has the offense to test an Idaho defense masked by a great offense. Grab Georgia State as our last Sun Belt play of the season.
|
12-03-16 |
UL-Lafayette -6.5 v. UL-Monroe |
|
30-3 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 6 m |
Show
|
LA Lafayette -6.5 It's been an oddsmaker nightmare all season for Lafayette. I've harped on this fact all season long, and will conclude with it here. A shift has occurred as Lafayette finishes out the season as they've been strong against the number. They've done so by trusting their defense and toning down expectations of the offense. It's worked as turnovers have dwindled. Monroe is a team that can't function successfully without pace. Look for Lafayette to disrupt Monroe's pace and win the turnover battle.
|
12-03-16 |
New Mexico State +13 v. South Alabama |
|
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
New Mexico State +13 With doubt on New Mexico's State's starting quarterback it would seem that South Alabama should be in for an easy win. A win and they'll be eligible for a bowl game. Yet, I'm always a proponent to be leery on backing teams needing one more win that have had a poor conference season. South Alabama's success came pre-conference schedule as they've been dysfunctional in the Sun Belt. Grab the Aggies to fight and hold within the spread.
|
12-02-16 |
Magic v. 76ers -2.5 |
|
105-88 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
Here we have a rematch from a few weeks back between the Magic and 76ers. When both were winless the Magic eked out a two-point win at Philadelphia as a five point favorite. In fact, they faced steep deficits in the matchup before rallying back with a 41 point third quarter. Fatigue is factored into this line swaying as well as the 76ers detracted value amidst their poor start. Grab the 76ers who should wear out a road weary Magic team.
|
12-02-16 |
Duquesne v. Pittsburgh -15 |
|
64-55 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
Pittsburgh -15 We're going to go ahead and add a play on Pittsburgh tonight against Duquense. Pittsburgh's on floor talent isn't going to blow anyone away, but they are as spurt team. Duquense's lack of size is a prime factor for a Pittsburgh team that can muscle to the hoop in the interior and excels at rebounding. Look for offensive rebounds and turnovers to be the spread toppler here.
|
12-01-16 |
Texas-San Antonio +7.5 v. Cal Poly |
|
47-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
An intriguing night cap matchup sets the stage Thursday night. Here, we'll aim to grab the value with the underdog in UT San Antonio. UT San Antonio has already thrived in underdog roles this season against Fresno State, Oregon State, and UIC. In fact, they have lost all four match ups they've had on the road. Still, Cal Poly is a work in progress offensively, which should bode to the advantage of a feisty UT San Antonio team. Grab the Road Runners.
|
12-01-16 |
Clippers +5 v. Cavs |
|
113-94 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
After losing to the Bucks in blowout fashion one would expect the Cavaliers to bring their A game on Thursday. Yet, the Clippers are also coming off a poor loss to the Nets. One in which their head coach Doc Rivers was ejected with intense emotions. Three straight losses on an East coast road trip to the Pistons, Pacers, and Nets, would lead to the assumption that another downfall is expected Thursday. Instead, look for the Clippers to attack a Cavaliers team they've had scoring success against.
|
12-01-16 |
Columbia +16.5 v. Seton Hall |
|
71-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
Seton Hall is coming off a loss to a Stanford team in which they blew an early first-half double digit lead. The Pirates transition offense was halted, which is where I believe Columbia can thrive Thursday. With a steep point spread, look for a key sequence from Columbia to carry us to an ATS cover.
|
11-28-16 |
Arizona State +15.5 v. Kentucky |
|
69-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 1 m |
Show
|
ASU Last year the Arizona State Sun Devils saw first hand the dominance of the Wildcats. After controlling the first half the Devils quickly caved and allowed a late surge from the Wildcats. It was enough just to topple a 13.5 point spread. Now a younger team compared to last year's veteran team you'd expect the Devils to be in for another loss to a stronger Wildcats team. Yet, I expect ASU to not go through the same offensive lulls experienced last year and to give the Wildcats a true test.
|
11-27-16 |
Stanford +4 v. Seton Hall |
|
66-52 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
Sunday, we'll grab Stanford in a spot that would seem suited for the Seton Hall Pirates. After all the Cardinal struggled to match a poor shooting Miami Hurricanes team in their latest loss. Yet, there were positive signs to be taken from that game. Look for the Cardinal to find better balanced offense here and showcase their typical sound defense.
|
11-27-16 |
Jaguars +9 v. Bills |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Jaguars fell far below pre-season expectations, while the Bills have seemingly exceeded. This is a barometer test on both teams, where the oddsmakers have over-adjusted value on the Bills. Look for the Jaguars capable offense to test the Bills poor pass defense and close the gap on a steep point spread.
|
11-27-16 |
Cardinals +4.5 v. Falcons |
|
19-38 |
Loss |
-107 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
Issues with special teams and imbalance offensively have caught up to the Arizona Cardinals. Still, over the years Matt Ryan has had issues facing this Cardinals team. In 2013, Ryan threw four interceptions against Arizona and an abysmal five interceptions against them in 2012. With Ryan's value sky-high currently and the Cardinals inability to cover spreads this seems to be a great spot to grab Atlanta. Instead, grab the Cardinals to get back to .500.
|
11-26-16 |
Utah v. Colorado -9 |
|
22-27 |
Loss |
-113 |
20 h 3 m |
Show
|
Colorado -9 At first glance it may be shocking to see the Buffaloes as nine point favorites. Yet, they've grown on both sides of the football. Offensively they continue to score at a high rate, and now their defense has met the challenge. Utah has struggled to generate four quarters of consistent offense, and this matchup should see a rise in their faults. Grab the Buffaloes.
|
11-26-16 |
South Alabama v. Idaho -5.5 |
|
31-38 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
Idaho -5.5 All season long I've harped on South Alabama and their downgrading play. They've come to play against San Diego State and Mississippi State. Outside of those wins they've struggled especially in-conference play. On the road against a potent Idaho team is not a prime scenario for the Jaguars. Grab the Vandals.
|
11-25-16 |
Wizards v. Magic +2 |
|
94-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
Orlando Magic +2 Post Thanksgiving serves us one of the best line traps of the season involving the Washington Wizards and Orlando Magic. Already this season the Magic defeated the Wizards 88-86 on their home floor, in a game they won with lackadaisical effort. With the Wizards having won two of their last three, they're finally showing signs of life. Yet, they're 0-5 on the road and continually dig themselves a hole in the first quarter. Look for the Magic to get out early and hold on for the ATS cover.
|
11-25-16 |
Mercer -1.5 v. East Carolina |
|
70-66 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
Mercer An intriguing game on Friday will take place between Mercer and East Carolina. Mercer comes in as a slight favorite in large part as they battle an experienced East Carolina team. Both teams have issues with scoring efficiency, which would lead you to lean with the Pirates depth and experience. Instead grab Mercer here which is devalued and capable of raising their offensive efficiency to levels seen last year.
|
11-25-16 |
Boise State -8 v. Air Force |
|
20-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
Boise State -8 In a year where the Mountain West has seen other teams raise their level of talent, perhaps Boise State is still being devalued. They're certainly not the same level top-tier team they were under Chris Peterson, but they have the extra skill positional players you look for on the road in a tough road environment. Air Force should challenge in this game for two and perhaps two and half quarters. But expect Boise State to pull away late.
|
11-24-16 |
New Mexico +5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
72-92 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
New Mexico +5 Is the Virginia Tech program ready to make a semi-leap before conference play in the ACC? Under Buzz Williams they've certainly grown as a program in two short seasons. Still, a factor to consider here is the size and depth of the Lobos. Size has consistently given the Hokies trouble in particular at the forward position. Forward Tim Williams who averages over 23 PPG and tall athletic former Butler guard in Elijah Brown should pose for a long day for the Hokies.
|
11-24-16 |
Redskins +7 v. Cowboys |
|
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
Washington +7 This is a great spread on two teams obviously playing at peak levels. Can Washington's pour defense handle the potent Cowboys? It'll be a tough task but during a short week one they can accomplish. Amidst the Cowboys headline play has been how under rated Washington has been offensively. They've answered the bell each time when needed recently having won or tied in seven of their last eight games. Take the points here.
|
11-24-16 |
Temple +10.5 v. Florida State |
|
89-86 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 9 m |
Show
|
Temple +10.5 There is no denying the talent disparity between Temple and Florida State. In fact, if this game was played even two to three weeks down the road it may have been a play on Florida State. Instead, this is an early season game that bodes to the advantage of the Temple Owls. Look for the Owls yearly system of tough defense and timely scoring to outpace Florida State's frenetic flow.
|
11-24-16 |
Vikings v. Lions -1 |
|
13-16 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
Detroit After defeating the Arizona Cardinals at home all figures to be well with the Vikings, correct? Not necessarily. Positive signs have been shown with the Vikings offense as they've moved the football two weeks in a row against the Cardinals-Redskins. Throughout that process the defense has slid. This is a game where Jim Bob Cooter can exploit the Vikings defense with his short quick passing game. Grab the Lions.
|
11-23-16 |
Celtics -7 v. Nets |
|
111-92 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
Boston People still aren't buying the Celtics as a strong team let alone sizable home favorite. Combine that with being a road favorite and there is even more disinterest. Yet, the Nets are starting to show heavier cracks to their overall team, in particular on their most recent West Coast road trip. Those issues lingered over in their home loss to the Trailblazers this weekend. Grab the Celtics to showcase one of their stronger outings of the season tonight.
|
11-22-16 |
Bulls -1 v. Nuggets |
|
107-110 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 19 m |
Show
|
Chicago's strong west coast road trip has not lost steam. They'll look to add their fourth win on the trip against another difficult opponent in the Denver Nuggets. Both teams exhibit an up and down tempo, yet the Bulls also have the capability of honing in on defense when necessary. Grab the Bulls to cash as small road favorites
|
11-22-16 |
Towson -3 v. Boston College |
|
70-80 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
Towson We won't be fooled here by the ACC Boston College Eagles. They'll face Towson on Tuesday as slight underdogs. Frankly, Boston College has failed to inherit ACC caliber players and lost key talent last year via transfer. Grab Towson to dictate this matchup for the full forty minutes.
|
11-20-16 |
Packers +3 v. Redskins |
|
24-42 |
Loss |
-120 |
52 h 2 m |
Show
|
Packers +3 This is the same spot the Packers were in last season as the entered the playoffs. Odds were against them as small dogs on the road against the Redskins. Though the Packers personnel seems a bit more behind than last season, there is still plenty of time to phase to a higher level. Oddsmakers have kept the Redskins as small home favorites all season long that can't be ignored here. Grab the Packers to right the ship just as they did last January.
|
11-20-16 |
Patriots -11 v. 49ers |
|
30-17 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 55 m |
Show
|
Patriots -11 New England travels across the country after a prime time SNF home loss to the Seahawks. They'll also be without Brady's favorite target in Rob Gronkowski. Yet, the 49ers are in mirage territory as offensively they've shown signs in consecutive weeks against the Saints/Cardinals. Even though the Patriots offense may not be 100 percent in sync expect the Patriots defensively to push forth the debate once again on Kaepernick/Gabbert in San Francisco.
|
11-20-16 |
Bucs v. Chiefs -7.5 |
|
19-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
45 h 32 m |
Show
|
Chiefs -7.5 Of all the issues teams have dealt with, Kansas City's Andy Reid does not get enough praise for keeping his Chiefs from faltering. They've dealt with numerous running back injuries, Alex Smith missed time, and the defense is not as strong as last year. Yet, the Chiefs know how to win and Sunday they should be able to exhibit a higher level of separation in the win department. Grab the Chiefs to take over a Buccaneers team that is as one-dimensional as any team in the NFL offensively.
|
11-19-16 |
Arizona v. Oregon State -5 |
|
17-42 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 3 m |
Show
|
Oregon State -5 The bottom of the Pac-12 features a matchup that many will ignore. Oregon State has lost five consecutive and both programs are 2-8. Yet, there's a difference with a team with a losing record that showcases fight versus a program that needs an obvious change of staff. This is a vote of confidence game for Coach Riley to build his OSU program for next season, while the Wildcats direction is unclear. Grab the Beavers.
|
11-19-16 |
Hornets -3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
116-121 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
11-19-16 |
UMass v. BYU -28 |
|
9-51 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 34 m |
Show
|
BYU -28 This season UMass has hung in contests against Mississippi State, Florida, South Carolina, and Troy for a half. Under normal circumstances this spread would be in the mid 30's, as BYU has not been a strong backer ATS. Even off a bye week, UMass's tough schedule and road travel (close out the season with five of seven road games) are too much to ignore.
|
11-19-16 |
Georgia Southern v. Georgia State +3 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
|
Georgia State +3 Oddsmakers are anticipating a close game here as both teams have battled injuries amongst their teams in particular at quarterback. This will come down to the better defense which sides with the aggressive linebackers of Georgia State. Grab the plus 3.
|
11-18-16 |
Pistons v. Cavs -9 |
|
81-104 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 36 m |
Show
|
Cavaliers Cleveland looks to bounce back after a loss to the Pacers on Wednesday. In the matchup LeBron sat out for rest and JR Smith didn't play as well. This is a spot where a sizable line may look favorable for the underdog. After all the Pistons size and team skill posed problems for the Cavaliers in the playoffs. Yet, the Pistons bring a different level of play out of the Cavaliers especially from the three point line. Grab the Cavaliers to go on a patented second half run and pull away from the Pistons.
|
11-18-16 |
USC v. Texas A&M -7.5 |
|
65-63 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 26 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M Re-tooling is something the Texas A&M Aggies prepared for last season even while starting four seniors. That's hard to do and one USC has struggled with as they've continually shuffled a new lineup each of the past three seasons. Grab the Aggies here to show the strength of their roster.
|
11-18-16 |
Michigan v. SMU -1 |
|
76-54 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
SMU Two teams that were superb yesterday battle in MSG for tonights' 2KClassic championship. This is a rematch of last year's matchup in which SMU blew out Michigan. The notion here may be to jump on Michigan which looks refreshed with a new core of talent. Yet, SMU is an underrated defensive team, especially against perimeter oriented teams. They'll get out in transition similar to last season and win the 2K Classic.
|
11-18-16 |
Austin Peay v. Northern Kentucky -1.5 |
|
77-69 |
Loss |
-106 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
|
Northern Kentucky The Colonels are a team that has lost a bit since their strong run as a fifteenth seed a few years back. They'll be up for a tough challenge against an Austin Peay team that scores in bunches. In a line that is minimal will side with the home Colonels.
|
11-17-16 |
Bulls +3.5 v. Jazz |
|
85-77 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
Bulls The Chicago Bulls look to continue off their strong win against the Portland Trailblazers. In it they did not need much defense as the Trailblazers were cold. With injuries in their lineup facing a healthy Jazz team figures to be troublesome. Yet, Utah has tricked bettors as of late with hot/cold runs with the ability to control the pace of games. Here, I like Chicago's pace to dictate tempo and continue their road trip success.
|
11-17-16 |
Temple +3.5 v. Massachusetts |
|
67-70 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
Temple There's no doubt that the Temple Owls have lost a bit each of the last two seasons. Former Atlantic 10 representative will take on UMass in an old rivalry. This rivalry is not forgotten and I expect the close point spread to be indicative of the outcome. Grab Temple to pull within the small number.
|
11-17-16 |
East Carolina v. Charlotte -4.5 |
|
64-76 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Charlotte
It's certainly odd to see Charlotte as a favorite at any juncture this early in the season let alone against an American conference opponent. Charlotte took it's licks last season as Mark Price took the reigns over on a program that struggled with solid talent the year prior. Now in his second year your starting to see the 49ers blossom a bit. East Carolina has a core group of talent that's played beneath their talent level. Look for the 49ers to capitalize on that Thursday.
|
11-16-16 |
Cavs -4 v. Pacers |
|
93-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
Cleveland The Cavaliers played a neck and neck game on their home floor against the Toronto Raptors. Defensively the Cavaliers struggled to contain the Raptors and one would figure more of the same in a back to back scenario against the Pacers. Yet even with an improved roster the Pacers have been prone to offensive droughts. Grab the Cavaliers to pull a close one off ATS.
|
11-14-16 |
Bengals -1 v. Giants |
|
20-21 |
Loss |
-108 |
70 h 57 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati Is there a team more devalued below .500 than the Bengals? In a typical tough AFC North they're just a 1.5 back of the first place Ravens. Off a bye week this is a do or die scenario for the Bengals. Cincinnati's come to the notion that they no longer can trust their defense to win games, and has full confidence in Andy Dalton. Look for the Bengals to break through offensively and put together touchdowns versus field goals. They'll win for the second time at Met Life Stadium this season (week one vs NYJ).
|
11-13-16 |
Texas State +4 v. Hawaii |
|
68-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
16 h 44 m |
Show
|
Texas State Over the last several years Hawaii has been a strong team to back early in the season. One, they always host tournaments and two, the time zone change is a prime factor for college athletes. Yet, Texas State is a matchup problem for Hawaii. They have a similar style of play and I do not expect a tournament lull from them here. Grab the points with the Bobcats.
|
11-13-16 |
Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 58 m |
Show
|
Seattle Attraction of the Patriots has not stopped and why not with the special play of Tom Brady? Seattle has had it's issues against the number, only covering once in the last six weeks. Defensively they've also shown to be prone against the big play. That figures to be a disadvantage for a Patriots team that defeated a more dominant defense in the Super Bowl two seasons ago. Yet, this is a spot where the Seahawks can pose a challenge on the road for a complete game of four quarters. Grab Seattle.
|
11-13-16 |
Texas-San Antonio +19 v. Oregon State |
|
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Texas San Antonio Texas San Antonio's has went through a bit of a down period, and will be catching a steep nineteen points on Sunday. Oregon State has shown the ability to pull off upsets within the Pac-12 but are still a program that will skirt on the outside of the top fifty in college basketball. In a forty minute game expect Texas San Antonio to fight and creep within this number late.
|
11-13-16 |
Delaware v. Bradley -6.5 |
|
63-49 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
Bradley Quick turn arounds don't happen too often at the mid-major level. Yet, former Green Bay Coach Brian Wardle has done that in his second season at Bradley. After severe struggles last season the team showed the type of spark at the tail end that you look for. Delaware on the other hand is a veteran team that does not have the right makeup of players to contend with the Braves. Grab Bradley here.
|
11-13-16 |
Vikings +2.5 v. Redskins |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
38 h 28 m |
Show
|
Minnesota +3 Watching the Vikings unravel to three consecutive losses was foreseeable. Teams have forced Sam Bradford to make decisions as the running game continues to suffer. Losing offensive coordinator Norv Turner has only compounded matters. Traveling on the road against a strong offensive team in the Redskins spells trouble. Yet, Bradford has experience as an Eagle against the Redskins and should be able to game manage here efficiently. Grab the Vikings
|
11-12-16 |
Spurs v. Rockets +2 |
|
106-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
|
Houston Rockets After a five game road trip the Rockets host the Spurs. The Spurs shook off the cobwebs of their home woes last night defeating the Pistons. As expected Coach Poppovich utilized the Spurs bench to preserve minutes for tonight. That, a 4-0 away record, and revenge for the Spurs losing as 8.5 point underdogs to the Rockets serve as value on the Spurs side tonight. Yet, this Spurs team is not a crisp as it was to start the season. Grab the Rockets as slight underdogs here.
|
11-12-16 |
Toledo v. St. Joe's -4 |
|
76-77 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
St. Joseph's Replacing two top scorers has left St. Joseph's vulnerable for offense. This seems troublesome against a MAC Toledo team that is solid in transition and half court sets. Yet an issue that hurt Toledo last regular season is their poor defense. This is where X's and O's can trump on court talent. St. Joseph's will have the proper game plan and cover the small number.
|
11-12-16 |
Idaho v. Texas State +8 |
|
47-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
Texas State +8 Here we have two teams that have seen their value go up/down exponentially. Idaho has showcased a flourishing offense while Texas State has been in shambles on both sides of the football. Yet, this is likely the last opportunity for Texas State senior quarterback Tyler Jones to garner a win. Look for a valiant effort from Texas State.
|
11-12-16 |
Stanford -3 v. Oregon |
|
52-27 |
Win
|
101 |
17 h 29 m |
Show
|
Stanford -3 Stanford cost us last week narrowly ATS but we'll back them here against the Ducks. The road factor and Stanford's abysmal offense are expected to be vulnerable here on the road. Stanford's defense has also been susceptible to big plays all season long. Yet, the Cardinal keep themselves in games, and that's where you expect Oregon's faltering ways to continue. Grab the Cardinal
|
11-12-16 |
Pittsburgh v. Clemson -20.5 |
|
43-42 |
Loss |
-111 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
Clemson -21 Against a mid-tier conference opponent that has an above .500 record you might be hard pressed to back the Tigers. Yet, Clemson seems to be awakened by a near loss to Florida State. This is the type of late season game where the Tigers need to feel where they're at as they prepare to close out the regular season. Grab the Tigers here to cover the number.
|
11-12-16 |
Cincinnati +11.5 v. Central Florida |
|
3-24 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati +11.5 Undoubtedly the Bearcats have tailed off as far as any team in the country from where they were two even three seasons ago. Central Florida on the other has shown what hard work can do for a program in a short period. Yet, this line is a bit too high for my liking considering the up tempo game expected here. Grab the Bearcats.
|
11-11-16 |
Cal Poly v. Pepperdine -8 |
|
68-77 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 9 m |
Show
|
Undoubtedly the loss of Stacy Davis to graduation for Pepperdine is an irreplaceable starter in a conference such as the WCC. Yet, small schools that retain three to four year players find their ways through checks and balances. Pepperdine boasts seniors Jett Raines, Lamond Murray Jr., and Jeremy Major. Cal Poly on the other hand is a program in decline from the promise they showcased two seasons ago. Grab Pepperdine.
|
11-11-16 |
Utah State +5 v. UC-Irvine |
|
72-56 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 6 m |
Show
|
Cal Irvine is a respectable program that has done a solid job at recruiting under the radar recruits. They've also pulled off some quality upsets over the years. Yet, they've been slow out of the gates before getting things into gear. Losses to UofA, Texas-Arlington to name a few off the top of my head. Sometimes coaches will over emphasize a good start to a season and get into their own players heads. Grab the value here on Utah State.
|
11-11-16 |
Pacific v. UCLA -20.5 |
|
80-119 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
UCLA once again meets Pacific a team last year they were 14.5-15.5 point favorites against. This year the line has climbed which would figure to bode to the underdog. Yet, in the game last year UCLA toyed with Pacific and handled them with ease defensively. Grab UCLA to pour it on from last year's showcase.
|
11-11-16 |
Pistons v. Spurs -9 |
|
86-96 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
Spurs -8.5 The Detroit Pistons value thus far ATS has come with a strong home record. On the road they've been abysmal as their offense is lacking an identity. If it's not Andre Drummond in the post, it's usually an errant shot from Tobias Harris or a wing player. This plays into the hands of the Spurs that have a shocking home record below .500, but have also played teams such as the Jazz, Rockets, and Clippers. Grab the Spurs here.
|
11-11-16 |
Knicks +5.5 v. Celtics |
|
87-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
New York Knicks +5.5 Everyone is waiting for the Celtics to showcase the skill we all expected. Expectations can be the biggest downfall early in the season for attractors ATS. Frankly, this Celtics team is not a top team in the East at the moment. Signs were shown in the playoffs and was the main reason Danny Ainge revamped the roster. The Knicks on the other hand have played three consecutive games of a tale of two-halves basketball that may detract people here on the road. Instead, grab the Knicks to carry over the momentum of a comeback home win against the Nets.
|
11-11-16 |
Jazz v. Magic +5 |
|
87-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
Orlando Magic +5 Utah's revamped team has shown to play better offense, but a long road trip appears to have worn on them. Lets not forget Gordon Hayward made his return against the Knicks, and the Jazz have implemented a deeper rotation minutes wise. It's the same scenario the Magic have struggled with, including a steep home loss to the Timberwolves in their latest game. Yet, grab the Magic here to showcase offense against the Jazz.
|