Freddy Peralta has given up four or more runs in three out of his last four starts. This includes giving up a season high six runs in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He may have his issues again against this Braves lineup, but look for the Mets to back up Peralta at the plate. Bryce Elder has had issues pitching at this stage of the season. In fact, this is when Elder began a down turn a season ago on June 13th that lasted four straight starts. Take the Mets to win the series finale.

The Houston Astros had one of the best first innings of the season in yesterday’s victory over the Royals. They scored nine runs, with Yordan Alvarez hitting two home runs himself in the first inning. Even with a 9-0 lead, they came close to blowing the game as the Royals came all the way back to make it a 9-8 game. Kansas City actually outhit the Astros, and I expect that to carry over against Mike Burrows who has struggled lately. Take the Royals to end their three game losing streak.

Seattle lost yesterday’s game three to the Baltimore Orioles, but have had success in this series with the long ball. Josh Naylor hit a grand slam to spark them in one win, and we saw Mitch Garver and Randy Arozarena both hit three run shots in the extra inning win on Tuesday. Kyle Bradish’s overall season does not look poor, but he is tied for third most losses amongst starting pitchers. The bad luck continues today, as Seattle win the series finale. 

The Angels have had quick starts against the Houston Astros in their current series, and won 10-1 Tuesday night. Yet, since May 26th on four occasions the Angels have scored double digit runs and won. Each instance the next game they have lost. This applied to Reid Detmers who had a fantastic start last Friday against the Dodgers, but the Angels lost 1-0. Tail the Astros. 

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try and avoid a sweep today as they take on the Washington Nationals. They have been outscored, 20-2 in this series, and I expect a big bounce back spot today. Mike Soroka did pitch for the Nationals a season ago, and has been devalued for being fifth in wins on the season. Lay the juice with the home team.

The San Diego Padres have not been able to get out of their own way. They’ve dropped ten out of their last eleven games. The market has started to react as even against a Mets team that is just 13-20 on the road, they find themselves as a home underdog. Expect the Padres struggles to show this time tonight in closing out the game. New York delivers late, possibly even in extra innings and hands the Padres another loss. 

If you have been backing the Pirates when Bubba Chandler has been on the mound, you have lost seven straight wagers. Despite this, the Pirates are a close moneyline draw on the road against the Houston Astros. They’ve won three straight, and this is a bit of a sell high spot after the Astros won as a big underdog in Mike Burrows last outing against Jacob Degrom. Back the Pirates here as they finally get a victory with Chandler pitching. 

The New York Mets are suddenly getting contributions at the plate. They travel to Seattle on a four game win streak, and typically the flight across the country is a worry. Yet, Emerson Hancock has seen his starts spoiled at home in three out of his last four home starts. Take the Mets to end the Mariners six game win streak. 

The San Francisco Giants remain favorites against the Colorado Rockies, despite losing the first two games in the series as favorites. They blew a large lead in the ninth inning on Friday, and lost in lopsided fashion Saturday. Today’s starter in Robbie Ray is 0-5 on the road this season, where the Giants have been shutout three times. They’ve actually been outscored 24 to 3 in those five road games. Yet, I’ll jump in on the discounted offering, as the Giants avoid the road sweep.

For a second consecutive night the LA Dodgers are slight home favorites. The Philadelphia Phillies after a road sweep against the Padres, did lose game one to the Dodgers. A catalyst in their turn around has been their excellence on the road, as they have not lost two in a row on the road since April 24th. This coincides with Jesus Luzardo who has won four of five road starts this year, with a 1.21 road era. Back the Phillies.

The Houston Astros lost a tough game one at home to the Milwaukee Brewers yesterday, 5-4. It extended their streak of scoring four runs or less in eleven straight home games. An odd angle exists with the Brew Crew today, as they are undefeated on the year following an extra inning game. This has occurred following an extra inning game against Toronto, Miami, Pittsburgh, and the Yankees. Tail the Brewers.

The Tampa Bay Rays continue to win at unprecedented levels, and now the market is starting to show it. Today they are sizeable home favorites with ace Drew Rasmussen on the mound against the LA Angels. The Angels let one get away yesterday, where the wheels fell off with their bullpen. Today, look for Reid Detmers to follow up a strong pitching performance of fourteen strikeouts against the Rangers. Back the Angels.

The Miami Marlins swept the New York Mets in a home series last week. That included Max Meyer getting his fifth win of the season, against today’s Mets starter in Freddy Peralta. It was a series that the Mets never scored more than one run, and were shutout in the finale. Peralta has also had a poor history against the Marlins, where his team has lost seven straight times. Back the Marlins to get back in the win column in game one of their series at New York.

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to complete a rare road sweep over a Padres team that has a better record. The market has not showcased that as the Phillies have been favored in two of the three matchups, and were nearly even in yesterday’s offering. Look for Christopher Sanchez to continue one of the strongest months we have seen from a starting pitcher in terms of duration and runs allowed. Back the Phillies. 

At home, Robbie Ray has seen his San Francisco Giants team win four of his five home starts on the season. The only loss was the opener against the New York Yankees. Still, Ray is coming off a disastrous road start against the Diamondbacks in which he gave up nine runs. The Giants are also not trustworthy with following up a home win with another win. They have not won consecutive home games since April 26th. Tail the White Sox.

The Athletics have momentum heading into their road series against the San Diego Padres. They’ve won consecutive games in comeback fashion and in extra innings against the LA Angels. Although the Padres do have the rest advantage with Thursday off, but their last two off days they have lost the following game. Look for Jeffrey Springs to end a mini drought of starting without a win. Grab the Athletics. 

Jose Soriano last two home starts have been rough. He has given up 6 runs to the Dodgers, and 5 runs to the White Sox. Additionally, the Athletics have scored twenty runs over the last two games in the series. Yet, I’m going to go buy low on the Angels rough stretch where they rank towards the bottom in all categories in the month of May. They get some payback after going down in extra innings on Wednesday night.

A team that has catapulted their moneyline value compared to a season ago are the Colorado Rockies. They are just ten games below .500, and will match the Rangers tonight using an opener out of their bullpen in Sammy Peralta. With rain in the forecast, there’s a good chance of a possible delay, which I believe benefits the home team in Colorado. Take the Rockies to win a second straight game over Texas. 

The Minnesota Twins ended a two game losing streak with yesterday’s win over the Milwaukee Brewers. Today, they will have rookie pitcher Kendry Rojas on the mound. Rojas has not pitched beyond 3 1/3 innings, which puts dependence on the bullpen to keep the Astros bats at bay. Houston has struggled with their road woes with just a 7-15 road record. Look for that to cost them late, as the Twins cash as slight home favorites. 

Kumar Rocker of the Texas Rangers has quickly seen a shift in his season. In the month of April he had a 3.38 ERA, and allowed two runs or less in four out of five starts. Now in May he has had two short outings, and boasts an ERA over 12. Compounding matters is over his last three starts the Rangers have scored exactly one run, and are 1-6 in Rocker’s starts this season. Tail the road favorite Dbacks. 

Eric Fedde has yet to record a win for his new team in the Chicago White Sox, as he has an 0-4 record. The only start this season that he did not get any run support was against the Kansas City Royals on April 11th. It was a 2-0 game that the Royals won. Fedde’s hits are down but 5 out of his last 11 hits allowed have been home runs. Take the Royals to take down the White Sox in game one of their new series.

The San Francisco Giants continue to be a tough assessment on a daily basis. They are just 15 and 24 on the season, and after getting a win Friday against the Pirates were lit up in yesterday’s loss. They gave up twenty team hits to Pittsburgh, and lost 13 to 3. Yet, I’ll buy the dip here with the Pirates concluding a two series road trip, and having an off day tomorrow. Tail the home team here in San Francisco.

Something has to give today, as the St. Louis Cardinals boast a 13-5 away record. The Padres have managed just one run in the two losses in the series. Yet, they get to see an old divisional pitcher in Dustin May who pitched for the LA Dodgers, and now is in his first year with St. Louis. Look for the Padres to break out of their team slump with the familiarity angle.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have not been able to get Merril Kelly going. He missed the early portion of the season, and just has not been himself. Look for the Diamondbacks to have a different approach with Kelly, and manage him inning to inning.  Kelly also gets to see a Mets team that is on their third straight West Coast road series. Look for Kelly to get out of some jams tonight, as the Backs bounce back with a win. 

The Miami Marlins have won all four of Max Meyer’s home starts. This includes a one hit seven inning gem his last outing against the Philadelphia Phillies. Yet, Baltimore comes in swinging hot bats as they have scored sixteen runs in this series against the Marlins. They get their second road sweep of the season, and cash as slight underdogs.

Mike Soroka of the Arizona Diamondbacks gave up as many runs his last outing against the Brewers, as he did his first five starts of the season. Expecting a bounce back effort tonight against a Pirates team that has scored just one run over their last 18 innings. The last four meetings have also featured a shutout between the Pirates and Diamondbacks. Grab the home team. 

The Chicago Cubs in back to back games have come through late to cash and keep their home winning streak alive to 13 games. Both games the Reds let slip away, but today is an opportunity to make amends. A year ago the Reds were 3 and 0 when seeing Colin Rea, including spoiling a career high 11 strikeout performance. Back the Reds to get in the win column.

The Detroit Tigers lost a tough game one yesterday to the Texas Rangers. They are just 4 and 7 over their last eleven games, but have been strong at home on the young season. At home they are 10 and 3, and have won their prior four series at home. Saturday’s starting pitcher for the Ranger’s in Kumar Rocker, has seen Texas lose four out of his five starts by one run. Back the Tigers to get back in the win column.

The Athletics have caught many by surprise as they are currently in first place in the AL West. Today’s starter in JT Ginn has stepped into the rotation, and the Athletics have won all four of his starts. Look for that to end tonight as the Guardians have no where to go but up at the plate. Over the last seven days they are third worst in runs scored. A great place to break out at Sutter Health Park, against an Athletics team they won both series a season ago.

The Detroit Tigers despite a 5-13 road record are sizable favorites tonight against the Atlanta Braves. Tarik Skubal is coming off giving up four runs to the Milwaukee Brewers, but expect another bounce back outing as he did when he gave up four runs to the Twins. After having no runs through eight innings, Detroit had a two run home run in the ninth. Look for that to carry over into tonight at the plate. Take Detroit.

Cincinnati Reds starter Brandon Williamson has had the pattern of a quality start and then a rough outing through his first five starts. I believe that continues tonight after giving up five runs in last week’s loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Reds are tied with the best record over the last ten games in the NL, and will handle the Rockies for a second straight night.

The Miami Marlins are one of the biggest underdogs on the season tonight, as they travel to face the Dodgers. Chris Paddock numbers look poor, but he has kept teams at bay on the road. Three road starts all have scored two runs or less, including the Yankees not scoring against him. He also had a fantastic start at the Dodgers last season where he went six innings strong, and gave up just four hits, with 8 strikeouts. The road team has also covered on the run line in three out of the last four game ones to open a home series against the Dodgers. Take the Marlins on the run line.

The White Sox look to win their third straight series if they get a victory today over the Washington Nationals. They are turning back to using an opener with Bryan Hudson, who pitched one inning in Friday’s 5-4 win over Washington. This should be a seesaw battle, but a fade worthy spot on Naitonal’s starter Foster Griffin who is top ten in wins but has given up three home runs over his last two starts. Right price point to back the slight home favorite White Sox.

The Miami Marlins look to correct their road issues at the beginning of the season tonight at San Francisco. They are just 2-7 on the year, and Sandy Alcantara has had a couple of shaky consecutive outings. His last time out against the Brewers he had six walks. Yet, Oracle Park was when of the best away stadiums for the Marlins last season. They went 3-0 at San Francisco and scored 24 runs. Grab the Marlins as the short road favorite.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have shown for several years their streakiness as a team. It works both ways for winning and losing, and right now the Diamondbacks are showing a big worry with their pitching. The last two games the starters have given up eight runs each. As great as Eduardo Rodriguez start has been to the season,  this looks like another letdown spot for the Diamondbacks. Whether it’s from Rodriguez or the bullpen, back the underdog White Sox.

The Chicago Cubs have won five straight, but will see the opponent they last lost to tonight in the Philadelphia Phillies. It was also the last opponent that both Colin Rea and Aaron Nola saw. Rea had his deepest outing of the season going six innings, but also gave up a season high three runs. After just eight runs over their last five games, look for the Phillies bats to respond in a big way. Tail the Phillies.

Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins will look to shake off a rough start where he gave up three home runs on seven runs his last start. Back home he has been exceptional on the young season, where he has given up just two runs over three starts. This may not end up being a pitcher friendly game, but eye the Marlins to end the Brewers three game win streak on the short home price.

Two pitchers that have exceeded expectations to begin the year are Emerson Hancock and Randy Vasquez. Vasquez has actually allowed more hits each start this season, but has kept runs at a minimum. Seattle is a team that I expect to change that tonight, and also override their prolonged road struggles at the plate. They have lost six straight road games, and five of them scored two runs or less. Fade the market move that has shifted to the Padres. 

We will look at a big underdog in the afternoon and fade the market on Seattle and Logan Gilbert. This is grossly priced based on the Astros losing six straight games, and all on the road. They had the hits yesterday and runs but fell short, 8-7. Gilbert may spin a gem but Seattle is 0 and 3 in his starts this year. Back the big underdog with Houston. 

The Cleveland Guardians lost in lopsided fashion yesterday to the Atlanta Braves, 11 to 5. What they have not done on the young season is lose consecutive games. This was the case even in their second series against the LA Dodgers. Parker Messick through two starts and eleven innings of work has given up just one solo shot home run. Take the Guardians to get back in the win column against veteran Martin Perez.

The Chicago Cubs played in a double header on Sunday, and then traveled for another road series yesterday against Tampa Bay. They lost 6 to 4, with the bullpen giving up two key runs in the seventh inning which has been a problem in their last two losses. The Rays after playing nine straight games on the road finally have their first home stand of the season. They get their second win in a row at home, and fourth win in a row overall. Back the short priced home favorite in the Rays. 

The hitting conditions are not optimal today in a cold weather environment in Cleveland. We saw that impact the first game of today’s double header, which at post of this write up was 0-0 in the sixth inning. While Imanaga certainly should bounce back from a rough debut, he was prone to the home run ball against the Guardians lineup last season. On four hits allowed, three were home runs. Take the Guardians on the mispriced double header. 

The New York Mets got back to .500 with their bats finally breaking out with ten total runs. The ten runs were more than the Mets had their prior four games combined. Now look for some consistency as the Mets have had the upper hand at Oracle Park, winning four out of the last five matchups over the Giants. This includes Clay Holmes start last July in which he gave up just one run. Back the Mets as the slight road favorite.

The New York Mets bats have been tough to watch. Over their last six games they are averaging two runs per game. It’s always tough traveling right to another road series, as was the case for the Mets after their series against St. Louis to San Francisco. Expect a better performance tonight against Tyler Mahle of the Giants. After dropping three straight, the Mets get back in the win column at .500.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have shown their ups and downs come in extremes early in the season. They first were swept by the Dodgers, and then they swept the Detroit Tigers. Now we have another downward moment as the Diamondbacks were blown out yesterday by the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta’s bats stay hot in a favorable matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez. 

One of the most lopsided games in MLB last season was when the Toronto Blue Jays defeated the Colorado Rockies, 20 to 1 last August. The starting pitcher for the Rockies in that matchup was today’s starter in Kyle Freeland. Of course that was at Coors Field, and not Toronto. Rockies under have cashed in four of their first five games. In an early start, take the under.

After an 0 and 2 start, the Tampa Bay Rays have cashed in consecutive games. That included taking game one yesterday over the Milwaukee Brewers, 3-2. That’s right in line of what we saw last season when Tampa Bay won the series over Milwaukee, with two one run wins of 4-3, and 3-2. Back the Rays as Shane McClanahan gets his first win since 2023.

Both the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-1 to the under to begin the season.  Based on last year’s results, one would figure to take the under today. Both games against the Reds last year that Braxton Ashcraft started were 2-1 games, and Chase Burns had his best start of the season against Pittsburgh going 6 1/3 with ten strikeouts and one run allowed. In an early season divisional game, look for the familiarity against both pitchers to benefit the bats. Take the over.

As great as the Atlanta Braves were in spring training, everything is now reset to start their season. They were one of the worst teams to begin the year a season ago, where they started 0 and 7. Look for the pressure to start the year on a positive note, to derail game one against Kansas City when Chris Sale exits. Banking on late inning runs, or even an extra inning Royals win here. Tail KC.

To avoid being swept the New York Yankees must win tonight in game three against the Toronto Blue Jays. After two lopsided losses in Toronto, I expect the Yankees to give the effort at least for one night to avoid elimination. Carlos Rodon was tied for the second most wins in MLB in the regular season, and this will be his first instance this season seeing the Blue Jays at home. Take the Yankees on the money line.

The Milwaukee Brewers fell short last night in extra innings against the Padres. It marked their second consecutive loss, as they remain one game away from tying the franchise record in wins. During this season they have been stout at avoiding three game losing streaks, which has happened only twice since May 11th. Grab the Brewers tonight over the Padres.

It’s a bit of a hefty price tag tonight on the Blue Jays as they host the Boston Red Sox. Kevin Gausman has been one of the best pitchers over the last thirty days, where he has allowed just three runs in four outings. His ability to handle high innings is also a factor, as he has pitched seven innings or more in three of those starts. Take the Blue Jays as they add on to their AL best home record with their 51st victory.

The playoff races are tightening and the biggest one is the final spot for a Wild Card in the National League. The Arizona Diamondbacks have defied the odds to get in contention, and I’m a believer and backing a team that has come out of nowhere. Time and time again we see these teams close and get the job done in late September. Favorable short odds tonight with the Diamondbacks against a Phillies team that has secured their postseason berth. Back the Dbacks tonight.

The New York Mets are priced higher than they should be in today’s matchup against the Padres for multiple reasons. One they are just a hair ahead of several teams for the final NL Wild Card spot. Also, this is an early start time which the San Diego Padres are not use to on the East Coast. As poor as Tong’s outings and ERA have been, the Mets will be prepared to utilize their bullpen early here. Take the Mets.

We’ve seen the Houston Astros halt the momentum of the Texas Rangers in their current series, winning the first two matchups. Wednesday, with ace Jacob Degrom on the mound look for the tables to turn. Degrom has allowed three runs or less in all three starts this season against the Astros, including on September 6th when the Rangers gave him no run support. Take Texas as Degrom gets his thirteenth win of the season.

Expect the Texas Rangers walk off loss to the Mets Sunday to be short lived. Today, they travel to take on the Houston Astros and have shown the bounce back ability throughout their hot streak. 16-5 over their last twenty one games, look for the Rangers to be the team that disrupts the rhythm of Astros starter Jason Alexander. Take the underdog here with the Rangers. 

The New York Mets are coming off another loss yesterday to the Philadelphia Phillies. Now they will have to face a Texas Rangers team that has had an off day, and is one of the hottest teams in baseball 14-4 over their last 18 games. The market has over reacted in my opinion with the Rangers coming off a sweep over the best team in baseball in Milwaukee. Take the Mets who even amidst their struggles have remained consistent at home where they are 45-27 on the season. 

Return starts from the IL in September I value in the MLB betting market, similar to a veteran ace on a non playoff team. We have that angle today as the Marlins will be using pitcher Ryan Weathers off the IL for the first time since June 7th. We saw the Marlins end the Nationals five game win streak over Miami yesterday, and expect the matchup familiarity to benefit the Marlins bullpen. Take Miami.

An over trend has been strong as of late with Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios on the mound. As the over has hit in five out of his last six starts, with no less than thirteen runs total scored. There’s an elevated concern as well with both bullpens after yesterday’s extra inning matchup, and the Astros using several of their top arms. Take the over that may take three to four innings before the scoring gets going.

The Cleveland Guardians continue to ascend in the AL Wild Card race as they chase the final spot. They enter today’s series finale against the Kansas City Royals with a five game winning streak. A stat against their streak is with today’s starter in Logan Allen on the mound. Allen has not recorded a win since July 29th, which is he only win in over his last nine starts. Take the Royals to end the win streak of the Guardians.

This evening look for a continuation of runs at the plate between the Minnesota Twins and LA Angels, that Monday had fifteen combined runs. On the season the Twins are undefeated against the Angels with a 4-0 record, and more importantly have scored over five runs in all matchups. This includes Kyle Hendricks shortest and worst start of the season in terms of runs allowed. On April 25th, Hendricks gave up seven runs in just three innings of duty. Take the over.

The Seattle Mariners probably did not want their series to end against the Atlanta Braves. Over their last twelve innings they scored twenty eight runs. While that was a huge outburst of production at the plate, it doesn’t take away that the Mariners were 1-6 their prior seven games. Look for Bryan Woo to do his part, and Miles Mikolas to do enough to keep the Mariners at bay. Take the under.

On a light Monday slate I do have a couple of plays related to totals. September baseball we typically see lineups changing as teams try and make their final push. For Kansas City and Cleveland that fits right in line with two teams pushing for a Wild Card spot. Expect the Guardians to not be as lenient with Slade Cecconi if he continues his pattern of giving up high runs, and for Ryan Bergert to extend his streak of two runs or less allowed. Take the under.

The San Francisco Giants were one of the hottest teams in baseball, that once again did not back up their ace in Justin Verlander in yesterday’s loss. I expect that to carry over to their series finale today against the Cardinals, who need Sonny Gray to bounce back from giving up three home runs in his last start. Take the home team here in St. Louis.

The Seattle Mariners took another bad loss yesterday as they are now 1-6 on their current road trip. I believe the bats respond today, even against Hurston Waldrep whose been nearly flawless in six August starts. He did allow four walks and his first home run of the season in his last start against Philadelphia. Opposite Bryce Miller has seen nine or more runs scored in six out of his last seven starts. Grab the over.

The LA Dodgers lost in walk off fashion Friday to the Orioles, which marked their fourth straight loss. After scoring just one run they will now see arguably the sharpest pitcher in MLB in Trevor Rogers. Rogers has seen his Orioles team win ten out of his last twelve starts, with the two losses being when the Orioles did not score a run. This is the spot for the Dodgers to break out of their slump, and also end Rogers twelve game streak of allowing two runs or less. Take the Dodgers.

The Tampa Bay Rays have won an MLB best seven straight games, and will have a bullpen game tonight with Griffin Jax as the opener. After game one went under yesterday with a 4-2 result, I’m expecting more of the same tonight. Gavin Williams has been one of the best under pitchers as of late, as the under have cashed in six out of his last seven starts. Competitive game, where the side will be up in the air, but the total delivers on the under.

The final month of the regular season in MLB, I’m a believer and riding a veteran arm on a non playoff team. We have that scenario tonight with Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves, who is getting just his second start since mid June. Sale did not show any rust in pitching six strong innings in his initial start against the Phillies. Seattle continues their down trend road performance which they are 1-5 over their last six.

Based on starting pitching, the Mets should not be the slight road favorites today against the Cincinnati Reds. David Peterson is coming off giving up a season high eight runs against the Marlins, but one of his gem outings post All Star break was against the Reds. He limited Cincinnati to just four hits and was not charged a run in six innings of work. Perfect bounce back spot for Peterson, as the Mets cash game one of their road series.

The New York Yankees will need to recover from Devin Williams taking the loss by giving up four runs in yesterday’s eighth inning. He also took the loss against Houston in early August in extra innings, where the Yankees responded the following game with a win over Houston. Additionally, with Carlos Rodon on the mound the Yankees have won each of his last four starts, and have scored seven or more runs in all. Take the Yankees.

Two pitchers that have been struggling as of late are Luis Castillo and Shane Baz. Castillo was rocked for five runs his last start, and has given up five home runs over his last three outings. Shane Baz has been even more erratic, but does have the higher strikeout potential to reduce damage. Take the Rays on a favorable price point.

A pitcher that has not been able to shake off long term rust has been Jacob Degrom. The Rangers have lost each of his last five starts, but this is a more favorable matchup against the Athletics. Look for Degrom to settle in this one, as he avoids an Angels lineup that’s had his number. Take the Rangers. 

A pitcher that has been on the wrong side of all of his August starts has been Spencer Arrighetti. In fact, the Astros have lost all four of his August starts. Yet, his last three outings he has delivered outside of one inning against the Detroit Tigers. Look for Arrighetti’s fortune to finally turn as the Astros deliver at home against the Angels.

The Kansas City Royals have little room for error if they want to continue to keep in the AL Wild Card race. Today, they need Seth Lugo to respond as he has had disastrous outings in three out of his last four starts. This includes his last time out against the Detroit Tigers in which he surrendered six runs. Even with his struggles that outing, the Royals bats picked him up as the Royals won 10 to 8. Tail Kansas City as they get their 70th win on the season.

The Chicago Cubs have been hindered by the Giants pitching staff scoring three runs or less in both games in the series. On the other side San Francisco has ignited with seventeen total runs, including twelve in yesterday’s victory. I fully expect today’s matchup to be more of a pitcher’s duel between Logan Webb and Shots Imanaga. Tail the Cubs to finish this game off with one big hit against the Giants bullpen.

St. Louis if not for a rally on Tuesday, would be in position for a four game losing streak against the Pittsburgh Pirates. With Miles Mikolas coming off his shortest outing since April 6th, the price point today makes sense. Yet, over the last two years Pittsburgh has been a team Mikolas has been strong against. Results have featured a one hit seven inning performance, two runs allowed, and this season four hits allowed. Take the Cardinals in the series finale.

The Milwaukee Brewers with Quinn Priester on the mound have resulted in victories in each of his last fifteen starts. Lately though, the bats have had to bail out Priester in each of his last three outings. Look for that scenario to finally cave the streak, as Arizona has got on top of the Brewers pitching staff the entire series. Take Arizona as the road underdog.

A bad loss even for a great team can carry over into the next game. That’s what I’m expecting tonight as the Detroit Tigers saw their ace, Tarik Skubal give up a grand slam to Shea Langeliers. A 3-0 lead, suddenly was a deficit of 6 to 3. Look for runs again from the Athletics against Charlie Morton who has pitched above expectations since coming over to the Tigers. Take the home underdog in the Athletics.

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets may be Monday’s game of the day in MLB. Christopher Sanchez continues to dominate as he is coming off twelve strikeouts his last outing. For the Mets with Kodai Senga on the mound, it’s been close losses by one run each of his last three outings. Take the Phillies in game one Monday.

I’ll add a play on a total, and the under on Marlins and Braves. Divisional games this late in the season you expect the front end rotation arms to have an advantage. A good spot for Spencer Strider to snap out of his prolonged issues of giving up runs. Edward Cabrera just seventeen days ago shut down the Braves lineup with a season high eleven Ks. We get under the total here on 8 runs. 

The Chicago White Sox are aiming to win their first series over their last seven, as they face the Minnesota Twins. They nearly came back to defeat the Twins Friday, and have scored seven runs in both series matchups. The big struggle for the White Sox is following up a victory, as they have not have back to back wins in nineteen games. Taj Bradley may struggle, but look for the Twins bats to save the day.

The San Francisco Giants dropped their fourth straight game on Friday, and are 2 and 11 over their last thirteen games. They did push the Brewers in yesterday’s loss though, thanks to being sparked by Willy Adames two home runs in his return to Milwaukee. Additionally, San Francisco took three of four earlier this season against Milwaukee, including Logan Webb getting the best of Freddy Peralta. Take the Giants as one of the better underdog plays on Saturday’s card.

The New York Mets ended yesterday’s series against the Washington Nationals with a disappointing 9 to 3 loss. Now they will travel to face an Atlanta Braves team that has the rest advantage with Thursday off, and is 10-2 over their last twelve games. An angle for the Mets is they have won both divisional game one matchups post All Star break, including defeating the Braves on August 12th. Take the Mets in game one.

The New York Yankees had a decisive victory on Tuesday, defeating the Rays 13 to 3. They’ve now won four straight over Tampa Bay, with the only loss over the last two series being with today’s starter on the mound in Cam Schlittler. Schlittler gave up seven hits and three runs in 4 1/3 innings, and the Yankees have lost his last four starts. Take the Rays in a classic non over reaction spot. 

Distractions to certain teams compound matters on the field and carry over to losses. For the Arizona Diamondbacks we saw this during the trade deadline where they lost six straight games. The Ketel Marte situation is another distraction and now the Diamondbacks have lost four straight games, with a combination of the bullpen not holding and the bats going cold. Take the Guardians as the Dbacks lose their fifth straight game.

The LA Angels lost game one against the Reds yesterday, as they immediately had a two run home run to start the game by Gavin Lux. Still, this Reds team is coming off a taxing series against the Brewers where they played extra inning games both Saturday and Sunday. Hunter Greene is getting his second consecutive start for the first time since June 3rd. Take the home underdog as the Angels bounce back.

The Tampa Bay Rays return home after playing six out of their last seven series on the road, including a four series West Coast road trip. Expect that to have an impact today against a Yankees team they lost the final three games against in July. Additionally, the Yankees ended a six game road losing streak with Rodon on the mound his last road start against Texas. Take the Yankees in game one.

Monday, the Texas Rangers will travel for another road series as they take on Kansas City. Both starters are on win and loss streaks when on the mound. For Jack Leiter of the Rangers, Texas has lost his last three starts. While, veteran Michael Wacha has seen the Royals win his last four outings. Additionally, this line is tilted the Royals side based on Leiter giving up a season high six runs to the Royals on June 17th. Take the value here on the Rangers taking game one.

The San Francisco Giants continue to find ways to lose at Oracle Park. 1-13 over their last fourteen home games, and last night was one of their best opportunities to gain a victory. Justin Verlander was cooking and the bullpen blew yet another Verlander gem. Tampa delivers in the series finale against Logan Webb who is coming off a shaky outing. Take the Rays.

The San Francisco Giants misery at home has continued post All Star break where they are now 1-12, and have lost six straight. This is in direct correlation with Justin Verlander’s struggles to get a win on the season. Adrian Houser’s first two starts for the Rays have been shaky, but look for the bats to uplift any struggles he has. Take the Rays.

The Atlanta Braves are a team that suddenly has traction in the wins department. Just over a week ago they were twenty games below .500, but now they have won six out of their last seven games. Guardians starter Slade Cecconi has been vulnerable on giving up home runs, which I believe leads to the Braves jumping out to an early 2-0, 3-0 lead. Take Atlanta.

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost three straight games, where they have scored two runs or fewer. Today’s price point is simply too high based on a wide gap of twenty more wins than the Nationals, and having Zack Wheeler on the mound. Simply put, Wheeler has been hittable, as in each of his last five starts he has given up two runs or more. Additionally, both matchups this year against the Nationals were tight with Wheeler on the mound an extra inning game, and one run game. Take the Nationals outright.

The lowest scoring game on yesterday’s slate involved the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles. Just one run was scored, as the Mariners shutout the Baltimore Orioles. Additionally, the road team has won all four meetings this season. As great as Trevor Rogers has been, take the Mariners to continue the road theme in this series.

Eury Perez of the Miami Marlins had his six game streak of allowing two runs or less snapped in his last outing. That did not come as a surprise as the Atlanta Braves have had his number twice this year. Look for Perez to be sharper today, and for Gavin Williams to feel the effects of nearly getting a no hitter in his last start. Take the road team here in the Marlins. 

The San Francisco Giants are just 1-9 post All Star break at home. A big reason for their home losses has been their offense, as they are averaging just two runs per game during their 1-9 home streak. Low scoring leaves the door open for one inning of production as the Padres used a three run seventh Monday to gain a victory. Take the Padres on the moneyline.

At this point it just seems like the Milwaukee Brewers can’t lose a game. They lead MLB in wins and have won sixteen out of their last twenty games. With Quinn Priester as starter they have rolled off eleven straight victories. Yet in two out of their last three wins it’s been tighter victories, by one run. The Mets in a desperate spot, close out the series with a win.

We are starting to see a shift in the market when it comes to the Atlanta Braves. They are becoming priced as the team that they are and that is a team that is one loss away from being twenty games below .500. Grab the Marlins as we did yesterday, as the Braves just do not have enough arms from starter Eric Fedde to their bullpen to be trustworthy for nine innings. Marlins win game three as the slight road favorite. 

Jacob Degrom has suffered consecutive losses for the first time this season. Although his hits remain low, he is struggling with two out situations that is a dangerous element against this Phillies lineup. Jesus Lizard has also not allowed a run on the road in each of his last two starts. Fourteen total innings with five combined hits allowed. Take the Phillies as the road underdog.

The Kansas City Royals are on their third consecutive road series, and Saturday will look to bounce back against the Twins. With starting pitcher Noah Cameron on the mound the Royals have won four out of his last five outings. Additionally, he matched a season high eight strikeouts in his first matchup against the Twins this season. Back the Royals.

One of the few teams that has a rest advantage over their opponent today is the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle was one of eight teams that played in Thursday’s light four game slate, and Luis Castillo is coming off his shortest outing of the season in his last start.  Tampa has got back on track on their West Coast road trip with consecutive wins. Take the Rays tonight as the short priced underdog.