(#264) Georgia Bulldogs // ATS // . 

Mississippi lit up the scoreboard against Tulane and looked very strong in that game. Even though I very much liked what I saw from new Head Coach Pete Golding in his first game at the helm, this is going to be a massive step up in competition. The Rebels have been great throughout the season but its only loss this year was against UGA. 

Don't get me wrong, the Bulldogs weren't amazing defensively in that contest, allowing 35 points. But, a complete and utter domination of 17-0 in the fourth quarter should most definitely give the Dawgs the confidence they need to come into this game feeling very well. 

Georgia might not be at home on New Year's Day, playing at the Caesars Superdome in Louisiana. But, with a perfect road record and the way Kirby Smart has carried himself in the playoffs, I don't believe that his guys are going to cower come the biggest game of the season. Georgia by at least a TD. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-17 UGA.

(#291) James Madison Dukes @ (#292) Oregon Ducks | OVER | . 

With Duke's win over Virginia in the ACC Championship Game a couple of weeks ago, JMU was knocked into the field of 12 for the CFB Playoffs as the 5th highest ranked champ. The Dukes are more than capable of scoring points as they've averaged 37.3 PPG throughout this season. Yes, they are big underdogs in this one. However, I believe that they'll be able to score at least a couple of touchdowns on Saturday. 

Oregon's going to need to show up offensively like it has over its past three games. I do believe that the loss to OSU in the playoffs last season is in the back of Dan Lanning's head and he's going to want to put on a show to get his first playoff win. The Ducks have played much higher competition all year long and should have no problem scoring against a group of five side. 

In all honesty, I wouldn't be shocked if Oregon turns up and goes over this number by itself. However, I'm going to go with a more realistic prediction and expect the Ducks to still light up the scoreboard in a big time playoff win in the opening round at home. Hammer the "over" in this one. 

Burns' Prediction: 45-17 Oregon.

(#308957) Montana Grizzlies @ (#308958) Montana State Bobcats | OVER | . 

The rematch of rivals. As much as Montana and Montana State play and hate each other, this will be the first meeting in the playoffs. The Grizzlies come into this game as the 3rd highest scoring team in the country (FCS of course) by averaging 42.3 PPG. They've scored 50+ points in both of their playoff games up until this point and have also scored 40+ in nine of their 14 games this season. 

On the other hand, Montana State isn't far behind Montana in terms of scoring. The Bobcats average 37.4 PPG which is also top 10 in the FCS. Don't get me wrong, both defenses are very talented and can win a ball game for these teams. However, this should be an offensive showdown on Saturday.

When these two teams played in Week 13 on the final weekend of the regular season, there was 59 total points scored. Only four punts combined and tons of offensive yardage. I expect this one to find similar results and maybe see even more scoring at the end of the game given how big this game is. Hammer the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 41-34 Montana State.

(#295) Alabama Crimson Tide | ATS | . 

When these two teams matched up in November, I believed that Alabama was the better team. Now, although OU was able to win that game and keep its playoff hopes alive, it's going to be extremely tough for the Sooners to beat the same team twice in just over a month. Alabama's hobbled across the finish line. However, having the week off to prepare for this one is going to be an absolutely massive help to this program that's been so good for decades. 

Oklahoma's taking this game seriously and will have the home crowd behind it this time around. That being said, the Sooners offense is nothing special in terms of SEC standards. The defense is what got them here and I don't see Bama's offense being shut down this time around. In that game back in mid-November, the Sooners were outgunned by nearly 200 total yards. 

I know that this isn't the same Nick Saban ran Alabama team. But, with Kalen DeBoer having already been to a National Championship game as a head coach of Washington, I believe that he's going to be hungry to get back there this season. I expect Ryan Williams to get involved and get involved lots in this one. Ty Simpson will make the right plays down the stretch and lead to the first road win of the 12-team playoff format. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-17 Bama.

(#115) Georgia Bulldogs @ (#116) Alabama Crimson Tide | UNDER | . 

During the regular season when these teams met in Athens, Bama was able to secure the victory winning 24-21. I'm expecting another game that features 45 or less points. UGA knows that this is a chance to put doubt in the Tide's playoff hopes and I believe that a win for UGA would definitely do that. Georgia's only mess up was during that game and have looked insane ever since. Defense has been the key as well as the Dawgs don't give up much yardage at all. 

Bama, on the other hand, is going to need to rely on its defense as well. The Tide didn't score a single point in that first game in the second half and very well could have trouble against Kirby Smart's adjustments in this game. I'm definitely happy to see this line at where it is and I'm all over the "under" on Saturday afternoon. 

Burns' Prediction: 23-17 Georgia.

(#308975) Prairie View A&M Panthers | ATS | . 

With the FBS being (essentially) like a "Division 1" and FCS being a "Division 2" for CFB fans, not too many people pay attention to the FCS during the season. College Football is fantastic to watch no matter the teams and these guys are still playing for a title. Well, more than just one. This one goes in the SWAC Championship Game. 

Prairie View A&M went 9-3 this year while Jackson State went 9-2. Yes, the Tigers are at home and have been unbeaten on this field for a couple of years now. However, the Panthers have been absolutely dominant defensively over the past six weeks and I believe that this line is way too high. I wouldn't be shocked whatsoever if A&M pulls off the upset (and will predict one) but I'll take the points. 

Burns' Prediction: 24-20 A&M.

(#109) UNLV Rebels | ATS | . 

Although UNLV is the dog in this contest, the offense has definitely been there throughout the season. It's averaging 37.2 PPG which is nearly a touchdown more than what Boise State has done this season. Yes, the Rebels suffered a big loss in October vs. the Broncos. But, that game was many, many weeks ago and the Rebels are a completely different team. 

Boise State barely got past Utah State last weekend, claiming a spot in this game. Both UNM & SDST are probably very disappointed having had the same conference record as both of these teams. The Broncos suffered three defeats by 20+ points this year and that includes a very horrible performance against Fresno State on this field. 

I know that the game is in Boise and the fans will be rocking on the blue field in December. However, I also believe that the Rebels should be able to faze all of the noise out given that they've had a 5-1 record on the road this season. I'll grab the points in what should be a fantastic rematch.

Burns' Prediction: 34-23 UNLV.

(#387) Alabama Crimson Tide | ATS | . 

Well, well, well. The Iron Bowl has massive implications once again and I believe that this game has turned into one thing. Alabama's right to make the playoffs and Auburn's super bowl. That being said, the Crimson Tide should be feeling very good about this season's matchup considering how the season's have done. Alabama won last year's contest by two touchdowns after barely surviving in 2023. 

Auburn, on the other hand, hasn't been great this season. Don't get me wrong, a bowl game is still available for the Tigers w/ a win in this contest. However, they've lost six out of seven conference games this season and they've all been by six or more points. Let's not forget that they've got an interim head coach as well managing his first Iron Bowl. 

Well it's definitely the case that Auburn has been preparing for this game ever since those early season conference defeats, I don't think that it possesses the overall talent to win this game, even at home. The Tigers are not good against the pass and that's the Crimson Tide's bread and butter. I also know that Bama has failed to cover ATS in four straight Iron Bowls on the road. But, this Bama team feels different and I've got them cruising to a double digit win on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-17 Alabama.

(#351) James Madison Dukes @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | OVER | . 

While last weekends win against WAZZU wasn't too impressive, the Dukes managed to win that game and still have a great shot at making the CFP by just winning out. James Madison is 10-1 this season w/ a perfect 7-0 record in the SBC. Even though the Dukes have already clinched a spot in the SBC Title Game, they need to be the top seed of the teams in the Group of Five conferences. That includes the AAC which is also competing for a spot. Therefore, a big win here could be very helpful. 

Coastal Carolina, on the other hand, will be looking to rebound from that miserable game last weekend at South Carolina. That being said, the Chanticleers have not been great at all defensively recently, allowing 96 points over the past two weeks. I believe that CCU should be able to score a bit considering JMU's allowed 20+ in four of the past five weeks. That should send this game "over" the total quite easily on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 44-20 JMU.

(#364) Michigan Wolverines | ATS | . 

"The Game." There's not much else to say about this game. These schools don't even say the other school's name. By far the biggest rivalry in College Football and maybe in all sports, I believe that there's definitely going to be some amazing physical battles on Saturday at Noon EST. That being said, Ohio State was the team going to the playoffs last year and managed to lose this very game at home. 

Now, Michigan gets to host "The Game." Many people might not count those three wins that MICH has during the "cheating period." However, ever since we hit 2020, the Wolverines are undefeated in the series. 

For the Buckeyes, a perfect season is still on the line. For the Wolverines a playoff berth is on the line. Home field is greatly appreciated in all sports and should help very much on Saturday. I believe that 10 points is way too much considering how these two teams play. Don't even be shocked if MICH pulls off the upset. But, I'll definitely grab the points in a low scoring contest as the total suggests. 

Burns' Prediction: 20-17 Michigan.

(#324) Utah Utes | ATS | . 

Utah had a tough test last weekend playing against a red hot KSU team. Now, this is must win territory for the Utes and I expect a massive performance. Allowing 47 points at home is not something Head Coach Kyle Wittingham is going to be happy about. This should be a much easier matchup for a Utes team defensively. Don't forget that Utah's scored 45+ points in four consecutive games now & 42+ points in six straight wins. 

Kansas, on the other hand, is really struggling as we head towards the finish line. Yes, I know that an upset win would mean bowl eligibility for the Jayhawks. However, with how they are playing at the moment, I'm not sure if there's much of a possibility of that happening. The Jayhawks lost to ISU last weekend by 24 points. Four of their six losses have been by double digits this season and Utah's definitely going to be one of their toughest opponents. 

Still allowing only 18.5 PPG despite the 47 dropped on them last weekend, the Utes are definitely going to rebound. Kansas can't defend the run and Utah runs the ball better than basically every team in the country. Give me Utah in a blowout. 

Burns' Prediction: 47-21 Utah.

(#316) Buffalo Bulls | ATS | . 

Even though I believe that Ohio is probably the better side, they've been quite underwhelming this season on the road. As a matter of fact, the Bobcats have only a single win away from home out of five matchups this season and that win came by less than a touchdown against one of the worst teams in the MAC in Ball State. 

Looking at Buffalo, it needs one more win to reach a bowl game. The Bulls have been tremendous defensively all season long and have been much better than their opponents in terms of yardage so far in MAC play. 

Even though the Bulls have a disappointing record at home this season, I believe that being at home in the final game of the year should motivate them to at least keep this one close. Buffalo needs this win more than anything. I'll take a chance with the Bulls. 

Burns' Prediction: 24-21 Buffalo.

(#301) Western Michigan Broncos @ (#302) Eastern Michigan Eagles | UNDER | . 

I do believe that Western Michigan is the much better side out of these two Michigan foes. However, I'm expecting a low scoring affair in the final weekend of the season. Throughout the season, the Broncos have allowed an average of 18.5 PPG which ranks them in the top 20 of the entire country. Going by different yardage, WMU ranks top 15 in total yards allowed & top 10 in passing yards allowed this year. That's pretty exceptional for a MAC program. 

Looking at Eastern Michigan, it's actually been playing great defense of itself over the past few of weekends. The Eagles are off B2B wins and have allowed only 30 points over those games (only nine against Ball State.) Coming off a bye, EMU should be well prepared to defend WMU's rushing attack. Give me the "under" in this important game for WMU to clinch a MAC Championship Game berth. 

Burns' Prediction: 24-10 WMU.

(#189) Missouri State Bears | ML | . 

On absolute fire, Missouri State is a team to watch out for as we near the end of the season. Now, it's definitely unlikely that the Bears end up in the CFP, there's still tons to play for with a spot in the CUSA Championship Game on the line. The Bears have to win these final two games and beating Kennesaw would do wonders. 

Talking about the Owls, they are 5-1 as well in conference play meaning that they definitely could receive a shot too. But, the loss last weekend against Jacksonville State definitely kills the momentum that they had. Looking at the numbers, KENN might have the better offense. But, I'll give defense to the Bears. 

This is an evenly matched game and despite the home field advantage that the Owls may have, this is a game that I expect confidence to play a huge part in this late in the season. I trust the MOSU QB over the KENN QB. Give me the ML on this game and this is my CUSA 'DOG OF THE YEAR. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-27 MOSU.

(#140) James Madison Dukes | ATS | . 

I know that Washington State probably had its best game of the season last weekend against LA Tech winning 28-3. However, the Cougars have still had a pretty disappointing season all things considered. They have a really bad offense and are scoring less than 21 PPG this season which is definitely towards the bottom end of the entire country. 

James Madison, on the other hand, has been torching teams offensively this season and have won eight consecutive games. If the Dukes win out and win the SBC title game, there's a great chance that this team ends up in the College Football Playoff. They have much better defensive numbers than WAZZU as well as the offensive ones. 

In the end, I believe that this game could get ugly. Washington State is going to like its chances to get its crucial sixth win next weekend at home vs. Oregon State a whole lot more than this weekend. I'll lay the number with the scorching hot Dukes on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 38-14 JMU.

(#187) Louisville Cardinals @ (#188) Southern Methodist Mustangs | UNDER | . 

Even though I believe that Louisville's offense can be one of the best in the conference at times, this is not a great matchup for it to do much damage. The Cardinals are on the road against a foe that has lost one game over the past two seasons on this field. The Cards are also not in great form having lost consecutive games and scoring just 45 total points over those two games (both at home.) Now, they go on the road. 

SMU is great at dictating the tempo of games and this one should be no different. The Mustangs have won both games in November so far and have allowed 33 points over the two. They've also played in five games this season with less than 50 points. 

While both teams can produce lots of points if needed, the defense stands out on both teams a lot more. SMU does allow a ton of yards but the red zone defense is phenomenal ranked just second in the country behind Ohio State. I believe that we're going to see a defensive war on Saturday at high noon. 

Burns' Prediction: 24-20 SMU.

(#325) Texas Longhorns | ATS | . 

Well, well, well. Before the season, I had predicted that Texas was going to win the National Title this season. While it didn't look very good to start the year, I still believe that there's a chance. Winning out is necessary though. Otherwise, the Longhorns stand no chance. That being said, this is a massive (multi) revenge game from last season as the Bulldogs knocked off the Longhorns twice last season. 

Georgia has definitely been the stronger team this season, and that's why it owns the better ranking and is the favorite. However, the Bulldogs have definitely not been at their best in recent weeks, beating Florida by just four a couple of weekends ago. This is a spot where coming back home might hurt Georgia considering that it's getting the job done on the road right now. 

I know that the Dawgs have a huge edge in home games. But, they've already lost at home to Alabama this season and there's definitely something in the air that's going to be electric in this game. Sark will have Manning and the guys ready. Are you ready for a big time upset on Saturday night in Athens? 

Burns' Prediction: 31-26 Texas.

(#409) New Mexico State Aggies @ (#410) Tennessee Volunteers | OVER | . 

While New Mexico State probably isn't going to put up much of a fight in this game, I do believe that it will help contribute to today's total. The Aggies don't have the worst offense at all, definitely considering that they've won three out of their nine games this season. They are actually averaging a very respectable 23.6 PPG in their five games since the beginning of October. 

It's going to help that the Tennessee defense has been atrocious this season as well, allowing 31.1 PPG to its opponents. Having said that, the Volunteers are going to want to put on a show on Saturday afternoon, with this being their "freebee" game at the end of the season. Earlier this season, when they played non power-four conference teams, they scored 72 points on ETSU & 56 points on UAB. 

I expect points galore in this game and I wouldn't even be shocked of the Vols crack this total by themselves. Their offense is undeniably excellent and stats should be the only thing on their mind in this game. This is my #1 CFB TOTAL OF THE YEAR in 2025-26. 

Burns' Prediction: 63-14 Tennessee.

(#331) Memphis Tigers | ATS | . 

It was a bad performance from Memphis last weekend against Tulane in a game that it just played horribly in the first half in. Before that game, the Tigers were the Group of Five program that would've been in the Playoff had the season ended then. However, the loss has put a real speed bump in that happening. That being said though, there's definitely still hope. Needing some help still, a win here would put the Tigers right back in the conversation of the AAC Title Game with just a few games remaining. While the stats aren't all in favor of Memphis in this matchup, I believe that its offense is much better than ECU's. 

Don't get me wrong, this winning streak that the Pirates have put together has been fun to watch. Now 4-1 in conference play and very much in the running for the title game as well, this is a huge test for ECU. However, East Carolina hasn't been completely dominant at home this season as it's suffered a 21 point loss here in Greenville earlier this season (vs. BYU.) I believe that the Tigers are going to be pissed after last weekend and end the season very strong. Give me the points on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-27 Memphis.

(#177) UNLV Rebels | ATS | . 

Despite being on the road this weekend, I believe that this is a great matchup for UNLV. Yes, it's lost consecutive games after beginning the year w/ a perfect 6-0 record. However, that was maybe slightly expected against Boise State and a tough UNM team last weekend. Now, the Rebels get back to business against a team that's been struggling all season long. Even with the two recent losses, the Rebels have a top offense in the country, really applying pressure on their opponents. 

On the other hand. Colorado State really struggles to score the ball. Yes, the Rams match up a bit better on the defensive side of the ball. However, they still don't have much of an edge, if any at all there. If you recall, I won w/ CSU against Fresno State earlier this season in one of its only wins. I do believe that the Rams are capable of hanging around at times. But, with the rest of the seasons schedule, I don't see the Rams making much of an end-of season run as they've got UNM & Boise on deck. 

I simply believe that the Rebels are going to want this game much more and try and finish the season well. They are already locked in a bowl, but each win down the stretch will make for a better bowl game and more branding. Expect UNLV to cruise to a victory by at least a touchdown this weekend. 

Burns' Prediction: 41-20 UNLV.

(#142) Miami Florida Hurricanes | ATS | . 

Syracuse has been pretty awful in games within the conference so far. I mean, last weekend, the Orange lost to a 3-5 UNC team by 17 points. They were at hoe in that game. That's now five consecutive losses on the season and all of them have been double digits losses. They are a pass first offense that has scored in the occasional game. But, the defense is atrocious and I don't see it scoring much against a hungry Miami FL team. 

Talking about the Hurricanes, I did win against them last weekend w/ SMU. It was a matchup and situational game for me as I believe that they weren't taking SMU as serious as they should have considering that the Mustangs had lost the week prior. Having said that, I expect Miami to get back on track w/ a dominant win this weekend against one of, if not the worst program in the ACC. Miami blew some teams out earlier on this season and will be hoping to do the exact same thing this weekend. 

The defense of Miami is going to be shut down this weekend and that will lead to many short fields for Carson Beck to take advantage of. All of these games down the stretch are must-wins for the Canes and this one should give them to momentum and confidence to have a chance at winning all of them. Expect a blowout. 

Burns' Prediction: 52-13 Miami FL.

(#179) Kansas Jayhawks @ (#180) Arizona Wildcats | OVER | . 

Kansas has been up and down so far this season and still needs another win to secure a bowl game. The Jayhawks have three very tough games on the schedule, so playing their best in all three is going to be crucial. Even though the offense isn't as high flying as some of the other teams in a similar boat, the Jayhawks can put up points and have a great dual threat QB in Jalon Daniels. 

On the other hand, Arizona is filled with confidence after the 52-17 complete destruction of Colorado on the road last weekend. Now, the Wildcats are at home and should be even better. Arizona's defense has been good this season, but not as great as some of the teams that KU has already seen. 

Both teams have very strong offenses and I believe that this total is too low. I expect both teams to come close to 30pts if not crack the marker this weekend and that will ultimately lead to this game finishing "over" the o/u line. Hammer the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 38-29 Arizona.

(#335) Purdue Boilermakers @ (#336) Michigan Wolverines | UNDER | . 

After starting the season with consecutive wins, Purdue looked to be a team on the rise after not being the best over recent years. That being said, the Boilermakers have sure fallen off since then having lost six consecutive games now. The offense is simply not there, especially in the point scoring area ranking among the worst in the Big 10. 

Looking at Michigan, its offense hasn't been anything special either. Neither of these teams put up points the way some of the other teams in this conference do. I do expect the Wolverines to do the majority of the damage in this game. But, along with that, look for MICH's defense to be too much for Purdue, en route to a low scoring affair. Hammer the "under." 

Burns' Prediction: 34-7 Michigan.

(#398) Liberty Flames | ATS | . 

Delaware has shocked me this season with its success and results. The Blue Hens are just two wins away from a bowl game and that would be a massive accomplishment for this program. That being said, this is going to be a very difficult game from them this weekend. Delaware allowed 27+ points in all three games in October and is struggling a tad in CUSA play. 

On the other hand, Liberty is starting to play much better football. I wasn't planning to touch the Flames considering the start that they had. However, times have changed and this team is back consideration for the CUSA title game, but winning must be priority number 1. 

Overall, I believe that Liberty has much more talent. Don't get me wrong, nobody wants to start the season the way it did. But, given the circumstances, this team has fought back and answered tremendously. Expect the Flames to keep rolling at home on Saturday evening in week 10. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-23 Liberty.

(#380) SMU Mustangs | ATS | . 

Even though Miami has shown flashes of absolute dominance this season, it's also had some moments of disappointment. Carson Beck looked very shaky against Louisville a couple of weeks ago and that led to the Hurricanes' first defeat of the season. Yes, they bounce back with a huge win over Stanford last week. However, they only played one game on the road this season and barely beat a 3-4 FSU team that's winless inside the ACC. 

Looking at SMU, last weekend's game was bound to happen, suffering its first defeat in ACC regular season play in its second year (went 8-0 LY.) Now, back at home, the Mustangs should be much more comfortable. Let's not forget that this was a playoff team a season ago. SMU doesn't have the best stats. However, this is a team that knows how to play football and hasn't lost by more than 11 this season. The Mustangs also played great defense in October, allowing 16.25 PPG in four games. I've got SMU and I wouldn't be surprised at all if it pulls off the upset on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 23-20 SMU.

(#197) Houston Cougars @ (#198) Arizona State Sun Devils | UNDER | . 

Somewhat surprisingly, Houston continues to win in the Big 12 Conference and now owns a 6-1 record. Even though it hasn't played the best of teams this season, it's hard to ignore the fact that the defense has been very, very elite, allowing little to nothing per game this season. I am, however, not so impressed with the offense, given the record success. 

Arizona State's offense isn't nearly as effective as last season either. Yes, the Sun Devils are starting to wake up on that side of the ball coming off a big win over Texas Tech. However, defense in the main focus for them right now and this season. Both teams love to run the ball on offense and both are great at stopping the run. 

With Jordan Tyson nursing an injury (ASU's star WR) & both teams playing outstanding defense this season, I'm very confident in this game finishing w/ a low final score. I'm playing on the "under" in this one on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 24-14 ASU.

(#195) Illinois Fighting Illini @ (#196) Washington Huskies | OVER | . 

Still ranked after last weekends home loss against Ohio State, this should be an easier game for the Fighting Illini, even on the road. Illinois has been great at passing the ball this season and has scored a ton of points. In three road games this season, the Illini are averaging 32.7 PPG. 

On the other hand, Washington is actually the favorite for this contest, even as the unranked team. The Huskies have also been great offensively, averaging even more PPG than Illinois this season at 34.6 compared to 34.0. Illinois' defense has been extremely poor at times as well, giving up 39.0 PPG over the past four weeks. 

I believe that both of these offenses will show up on Saturday afternoon in this extremely massive game for conference standings implications. This has all the means of a shootout and Husky Stadium has seen some high scoring games over the past years. We're on the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 38-34 Washington.

(#142) Pittsburgh Panthers | ATS | . 

Even though NC State has been pretty solid this season, I'm still not buying the hype around QB CJ Bailey. He can be very careless with the football at times and doesn't use his legs nearly enough for how athletic he is at his height. Notre Dame completely neutralized him and the rest of the Wolfpack in their last game and that left a bitter taste in NC State's mouth going into the bye. 

Looking at Pitt, it's looking like one of the best teams in the country right now, off three consecutive wins. The Panthers dismantled Syracuse on the road last weekend and definitely could be perfect this season if not for an ultimate second half meltdown vs. Louisville and an OT road loss against WVU. That being said, I'm very high on the Panthers through the remainder of the season and with the way the defense played last week, the sky is the limit. 

Yes, the bye week might help the Wolfpack with a much needed rest. But, the quality simply isn't there at the moment and Pittsburgh's great when playing at home. I believe that the Panthers will win this one by double digits with the poor Wolfpack defense on the other side of the ball. 

Burns' Prediction: 38-21 Pittsburgh.

(#181) Temple Owls @ (#182) Tulsa Golden Hurricane | OVER | .

While I do expect Temple to win this game and by quite a bit, I wouldn't be shocked at all if Tulsa gives it a run for its money for most of the game. Temple's defense has been quite lackadaisical this season, especially against the run. Even though the passing yards allowed numbers look very strong, the Owls have given up lots of points over their past six games since September. 

On the other hand, Tulsa has also been horrible against the run. The Golden Hurricane allowed 41 points last weekend, but still managed to score 27 points and keep things close enough. I believe that being at home should motivate them in a conference game to keep up at least somewhat in this contest. I'll go with the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 40-24 Temple.

(#101) Kennesaw State Owls @ (#102) Florida International Panthers | UNDER | . 

Coming into the season, I wasn't too high on Kennesaw State. That being said, the Owls have exceeded expectations up until now and I believe that they should end up as the winning side again. I do like their defense a whole lot more than their offense though. None of the team stats from Kennesaw St are necessarily great. However, the Owls are allowed just over 20 PPG this season which is great considering the Indiana game when they gave up 56. 

Looking at FIU, it's a run first football team. Despite the rushing yard totals, points haven't came easy for the Panthers. I believe that both teams will try and run the ball lots in this contest and even if one teams able to build a lead, the clock should continue to run. Therefore, I'm playing on the "under" in this ball game. 

Burns' Prediction: 23-16 Kennesaw State.

(#339) Georgia State Panthers @ (#340) Georgia Southern Eagles | OVER | . 

It's been tough sledding for Georgia State this season, only having one win on the schedule, which was against an FCS opponent. Looking at the defensive side of the ball first, the Panthers are allowing 41.2 PPG. That's pretty absurd through six games (half the season.) It's not like they've been playing the best of the best talent wise either. That horrific number ranks them second last in the country, only by 0.1 points. The offense hasn't been very good either. However, GAST is averaging 20 PPG at home this year. 

On the other hand, Georgia Southern hasn't been too much better on defense either. It's allowing an average of 37.5 PPG, ranking 6th last in the nation and that should give some hope to this GAST offense. Both teams are from the state of Georgia, so travelling won't have too much effect for either. That being said, I'm expecting both offenses to be much better than they've been throughout the year to date and light up the scoreboard on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 44-34 GASO.

(#411) Washington State Cougars | ATS | . 

Despite the sub-par record and the poor stats, Washington State has actually played pretty well over these past couple of games. The Cougars went into CSU and held it to only three points in a 20-3 win. Last weekend, they were well prepared and almost knocked off Ole Miss on the road in a three point game. The defense has been huge for them recently and they are not turning the ball over. 

Virginia, on the other hand, has been great this season, hence why it's ranked in the top 20. The Cavaliers just knocked off Louisville on the road in overtime leading to their 5-1 record on the season. Now, although the offense of UVA has been significantly better than WAZZU's this season, the Cougars have been just as good, if not better defensively. If Louisville didn't bobble a toss play early in the game for six points the other way, Virginia could very well be 4-2 right now. 

All of that being said, I expect a much closer game that the oddsmakers are suggesting here. No, I'm not going to call for the outright upset because that would be a massive dog to win outright. However, I do believe that the Cougars are capable of keeping this one within single digits and have a chance at victory in the late game of this match. The Cavs had the week off last week, but saw B2B OT games & wins against good opponents prior to that. They could be in for a let down game today. I'll grab the points for my 2025-26 CFB UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR. 

Burns' Prediction: 38-30 Virginia.

(#326) Appalachian State Mountaineers | ATS | .

Coastal Carolina looked solid last weekend, and won against a pretty poor ULM side. That's probably partly why the Chanticleers are not as big underdogs as I expected for this game. CCU does have three wins on the season now in six games. However, it's not been pretty whatsoever. As a matter of fact, it ranks in the bottom five in passing yards and bottom ten in total yards per game in the entire country this season. Not to mention that it's defense allows a ton of yardage too ranking in the bottom 25 in total yards allowed per game. 

On the other hand, App State's numbers looked ridiculously better. With a great passing attack, the Mountaineers are only getting more and more confident. I believe that this team is more than capable of challenging the best in the Sun Belt and go for the Conference title if they keep playing how they have over the past couple of weeks. 

Let's not forget that CCU lost 47-7 in its last road game and has lost by 35+ in all three of its losses this season. I have full confidence in an Appalachian State side that should be winning this game by double digits on Saturday in another expected blowout win. 

Burns' Prediction: 42-14 App State.

(#172) USC Trojans | ATS | . 

Even though Michigan is always going to be a team that a lot of teams fear, I believe that the school took a huge hit once Harbaugh left. The squad just doesn't seem as determined to win it all anymore. Obviously, that's the main goal from every team. However, I just don't see the electric-ness and/or grit that it takes to go far. 

On the other hand, even though the Trojans tasted defeat against Illinois for the first time on the road in their latest game, I believe that they are still going to do great things this season. USC is now an unranked favorite here at home and the offense is special, that's for sure. Jayden Maiava has turned the ball over just once through the first five games and has 15 touchdowns to his name. 

Overall, both of these teams should be ranked at the end of the season. I believe that the USC defense is going to step up in the key moments this weekend, ultimately leading to a USC win vs. a ranked opponent. This game is absolutely massive and with it being in the evening in Southern California, I've got USC by at least a TD. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-23 USC.

(#192) UTSA Roadrunners | ATS | . 

Even though Rice has the slightly better record (3-3 compared to 2-3) this season, I believe that it's the worse of the two foes in this matchup. The Owls have lost consecutive games, including at home against a 2-3 FAU team last weekend. They are one of the worst passing teams in the league, causing hardly any points to be scored in their games. One thing that the Owls are good at is rushing cause they run so much. But, UTSA's got an excellent rush defense to counter it. 

Talking about the Roadrunners, they are much better than their record suggests. Two of the three losses that they've suffered were on the road and they bring in a 17-9 ATS record coming off a loss into Saturday's matchup. At home, I believe that UTSA will be able to open up the score late and win this one by double digits. Don't be shocked if it's a 20+ point win. 

Burns' Prediction: 38-16 UTSA.

(#161) Alabama Crimson Tide | ATS | . 

The loss to Florida State was one that not too many people saw coming. However, Alabama has sure responded and I really like what I've seen from this school since week 1. Last weekend, Alabama had a revenge game against Vanderbilt and was successful, winning by 16. The week prior to that, the Tide stormed into Sanford Stadium and took down Georgia. This is a team that most definitely is capable of playing for a National Title come the end of the season. 

On the other hand, Missouri has been pretty fortunate with its early season schedule so far. I mean, it's yet to play a ranked opponent, That being said, this is most definitely the Tigers most difficult task ytd. There's no easy games within the SEC really and with this being at home, MISSOU will likes it's chances to keep it close. I just think that Alabama's on a mission and it won't lose this game and win by at least a field goal, likely more on Saturday at noon. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-20 Bama.

(#401) Nevada Wolfpack @ (#402) Fresno State Bulldogs | UNDER | . 

Even though Nevada isn't what you'd call a very strong squad, I still believe that it's capable of keeping games close. The Wolfpack don't get enough credit for their defense, which is actually better than people think. Since the Penn State game in week one, they've held opponents to less than 20 points in two of their three games. 

Fresno State is slightly overrated in my books too. The Bulldogs do not pass the ball all that well and just aren't as intimidating as some of the other teams in the Mountain West. They do have a solid defense as well though, allowing only 21 points (10.5 average) in their two home games so far and an average of 17.25 PPG allowed over their four games since week 0. 

I expect both teams to try and control the clock in this game by running the ball lots and chewing a lot of clock. This has the makings of a very low scoring contest and even if Fresno extends it's lead in this game, I'm expecting Nevada not to score very many points ultimately leading to this game staying below the number. 

Burns' Prediction: 20-13 Fresno State.

(#395) Mississippi State Bulldogs @ (#396) Texas A&M Aggies | OVER | . 

After starting the season 4-0, Mississippi State finally dropped a game last week on the road against Tennessee. Now, even though I still don't have the highest hopes for the Bulldogs this season, it's hard not to acknowledge the fact that they can actually score this season, unlike last. The overall PPG number is likely to keep decreasing throughout SEC play. However, MSST has shown that it can keep up with some of the better teams including Tennessee and Arizona State. 

Texas A&M looks to be as good as ever this season. After surviving Notre Dame on the road a couple of weeks ago, the Aggies hung on against Auburn last week. The home stand continues this weekend and the Aggies are going to want to open up the flood gates as this should be a very winnable game and maybe the easiest of the conference games left on the schedule. 

Both teams come into this game averaging 35+ points per game through the first third of the season. While the defenses have stepped up when needed, there's been some lapses on that side of ball as well. I expect Texas A&M to attempt to run up the score in the later stages of this contest, ultimately leading this game to finish well above the number on Saturday evening. 

Burns' Prediction: 47-27 TAMU.

(#345) Ohio Bobcats | ATS | . 

After a couple of difficult opponents to begin the season in Rutgers & Ohio State on the road, Ohio is coming off consecutive wins and are building more and more confidence. I'm very high on the Bobcats in the MAC conference this season and I believe that they are the best team at the moment. The offense is very, very talented. 

For Ball State, I have the opposite mindset. It's 1-3 so far with its only win being a five point win at home against New Hampshire, an FCS opponent. The Cardinals have an even worse defense than Ohio and the offense is also significantly worse. Homefield doesn't really play a factor for Ball State as it's won only six of its past 14 home games. 

Having said that, I believe that this is a great spot for Ohio to grow even more as a team with another blowout victory. The offense is going to be hungry and with Ball State averaging the 7th least amount of PPG in the FBS this season, I don't believe that this contest will be close on Saturday. Hammer the Bobcats. 

Burns' Prediction: 41-10 Ohio.

(#180) UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | ATS | . 

Even though Marshall has won consecutive games and has some confidence heading into week five, I believe that this is a very difficult matchup for ot. The Thundering Herd nearly lost all of their players over the offseason. There was tons of rebuilding and this should be considered as a rebuilding season for them. They've shown flashes of strong play. However, winning B2B road games this early in the season will most definitely be challenging. 

Looking at the Ragin' Cajuns, I believe that they are much better than their 1-3 record suggests. They are off two road losses, but still played pretty well last week vs. EMU considering. Back at home, the surroundings will be much more comfortable for the ULL players and that should definitely help it get back on track. 

While both teams play very similar in terms of liking o run the ball, Louisiana's pass defense is going to be able to shut Marshall down completely. Yes, Marshall might find some early success on the ground. But, as the game goes on, the one dimensional attack will be eliminated and ultimately lead to a ULL win. Hammer the Ragin' Cajuns. 

Burns' Prediction: 29-14 ULL.

(#361) Michigan State @ (#362) Southern California | OVER | . 

When I think of Michigan State, I don't really think of it as being a top level scoring team. The Spartans have their moments and have been very solid at times over my lifetime. But, never the most explosive team. Having said that, this season has been excellent for Sparty through three games and I expect them to keep up the scoring against Southern Cal this weekend. MSU is the big underdog and will probably taste defeat for the first time. But, don't expect the Spartans to get shut down completely. They have scored 40+ in consecutive weeks now. 

Looking at USC, I was heavy on it over the first two weekends. I won both of those selections and rather easily as the Trojans offense looked just as dominant as I expected them to be. Having avoided last weekends ATS loss, I'm absolutely loving this o/u line on Saturday. No, USC's defense isn't quite as bad as it has been in recent years. But, giving up 20 points against GASO and 350+ yards in B2B games against weaker opponents isn't necessarily great either. I expect both teams to be able to move the ball this weekend en route to a very high scoring Trojans win. Give me the "over." 

Burns' Prediction: 45-29 USC.

(#400) UTEP Miners | ATS | . 

With the week off last week, UL Monroe will come into this game well rested. I'm not sure how much of a difference that will make though. The Warhawks lost 73-0 to Alabama in their most recent game and that's still in the back of their heads even though it was two weeks ago. No, I don't believe that UL Monroe is horrible. But, I do think that this isn't a team that's going to fare too well this season, especially on the road. 

On the other hand, UTEP has played one more game than ULM. Even though it's 1-2, I've liked what I've seen from the Miners. With a former 5-star running the offense at QB, Malachi Nelson should be able to show just why he was that heavily recruited coming into college here this evening. UTEP won its first and only home game so far against Tennessee-Martin by 25 points (as a 7.5 point fav.) 

Yes, it was a bit lopsided in the end. But, UTEP's defense was actually very strong against Texas last week only giving up 27 points. The Miners allowed just 114 yards through the air and picked Arch Manning off as well. ULM just isn't as talented and will get shut down offensively in this one. Expect a lower scoring but simply UTEP win on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-6 UTEP.

(#367) Michigan Wolverines | ATS | . 

Coming off a big 63-3 win last weekend against CMU, I believe that Bryce Underwood is finally starting to get settled in with his new team. He's a true freshman with a ton of pressure on his shoulders. However, with his dual threat ability (rushed of 114 yards on nine rushes and two TDs on the ground last weekend) I believe that he's got the talent to take this team to great heights in 2025-26. The Wolverines are always great defensively and we saw NEB QB Dylan Raiola be limited to much shorter throws in the game at Cincinnati earlier this season in just a three point win for the Cornhuskers. I think that MICH's defense is much better than Cincinnati's so this will be the first test of the season for Dylan. Looking at Nebraska more, it's perfect on the year. However, like I just mentioned, that's what was expected from this fairly simple opening schedule as -5.5 plus favorites in each of those games. Michigan's already played in a hostile environment in OU earlier this year and are used to the atmosphere. Give me the Wolverines on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 28-13 Michigan.

(#181) Navy Midshipmen | ATS | . 

Sometimes, when betting against the spread or betting totals, it's hard to predict what the armed forces teams are going to do, considering that it's mostly a run game that will decide your fate. However, this weekend, I believe that Navy is going to absolutely obliterate its opponents. The Midshipmen have been brilliant, as expected so far. The first two wins were definitely supposed to happen, as sizeable favorites in both. However, I believe that having those wins under their belt will definitely help the Midshipmen gain more and more confidence and start dominating everyone coming up. It very much helps that they return QB Blake Horvath from last year who's an excellent runner of the football himself. 

On the other hand, I'm not high on Tulsa whatsoever this season. The Golden Hurricane have done alright so far this season, but were favorites on the road last weekend and fell short against NMSU. In that game, they really struggled on the big downs (3rd & 4th) and even though they out-gained the Aggies by quite a bit, the little things to score points just isn't there. Missing that field goal at the half was not good for the kickers confidence either. This is going to be a rough season for Tulsa in my opinion and I expect it to have all kinds of trouble attempting to stop the Navy option style of play. The last time these teams played was in 2022 when Navy won 53-21. Hammer the Midshipmen. 

Burns' Prediction: 38-10 Navy.

(#375) North Carolina Tar Heels | ATS | . 

Prior to its game on Monday, UNC was a 19pt favorite (opening line.) It was even -21.5 at DraftKings on the 31st of August. Since then, it's dropped all the way down to -12.5. I get that the Tar Heels were quite bad in that game vs. TCU other than the first drive of the game. However, this isn't going to be a team that struggles all season long. I still expect Bill Belichick to have this team at least somewhat competitive in the ACC this season. 

On the other hand, let's not ignore the fact that Charlotte lost its opening game at home against App State by 23 points (34-11.) That was a single digit spread and it's hard to see a non "power four" squad bouncing back from a game against another non "power four" team to play a "power four" team this weekend. Charlotte returned only two offensive starters and even though its QB, Conner Harrell, used to be at UNC, I don't expect much from this team throughout the season. 

Let's also set the record straight that these guys aren't bad that are playing at UNC this season. Bill did an excellent job getting 70 new guys in this organization in just one offseason and there's loads of experience. It's going to take time to become what it wants to become. But, this is a much easier opponent than TCU, even playing away from Chapel Hill. This spread has come down way too much. Expect a much different game and an easy win for UNC to gain some confidence this weekend. 

Burns' Prediction: 33-10 UNC.