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William Burns CFL Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-16-25 Montreal v. Saskatchewan -3 Top 17-25 Win 100 104 h 59 m Show

(#432) Saskatchewan Roughriders | ATS | . 

Montreal was average all season and really turned it on at the end of the year. However, the Alouettes haven't made things easy for themselves in the playoffs so far, winning by only three points last weekend against Hamilton. In that game, MTL struggled to establish a passing game and that's going to be troublesome if the same thing occurs in the biggest match of the season. 

Looking at the Roughriders, although they only won by three in their conference final, it was a much better performance in the second half from them as expected. Saskatchewan hadn't played its starters in nearly a month before that game and they finally started clicking again. Trevor Harris threw for over 300 yards and the rush game with Ouellette was fantastic. 

Yes, these two teams split during the regular season. However, Saskatchewan put up 30+ in both games while Montreal struggled a ton in one of those games. Saskatchewan has the intangibles to dominate this football game and I expect it to get the job done on Sunday evening. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-20 Saskatchewan.

11-08-25 BC v. Saskatchewan -3 Top 21-24 Push 0 13 h 16 m Show

(#234) Saskatchewan Roughriders | ATS | . 

I've grown up in British Columbia and call it my home province. Even though it would be nice to cheer for the home team in this spot, in the biggest football league in Canada, I simply don't believe that the Lions are going to do too well this evening. They were lucky to get by Calgary in the last round, and that game was at home in the dome of BC Place. Now, they'll travel to Saskatchewan to play in the cold "wintery" feeling air. 

Talking about the Roughriders, they've been the best team in the CFL all season long. That being said, they have been able to rest their starters for basically a month, having the best record for so long. Yes, they might be slightly rusty at the start of this game. But, when it's all said in done, I don't see a team knocking off Saskatchewan, yet alone at home here today. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-20 Saskatchewan .

10-17-25 Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -7 Top 16-17 Loss -110 29 h 46 m Show

(#710) Winnipeg Blue Bombers | ATS | . 

Saskatchewan might be the better side at the moment and on paper right now given the stats. However, the Roughriders are expected to rest plenty of starters for this game as a result of their number one seed having already been clinched. That being said, there's definitely going to be some opportunities for the Blue Bombers to capitalize on in week 20. 

Winnipeg faltered last weekend against Edmonton. Now, even though that wasn't wanted. The Blue Bombers are still in great shape to make the postseason. That being said, they essentially control their own destiny and a win here has to be the number one thing on their mind. Everyone has essentially counted out Winnipeg to do any damage in the playoffs this season as well. We all know what this team has done over the past five years. I wouldn't be shocked one bit if Collaros and co. start cooking beginning this weekend. 

Burns' Prediction: 27-13 Winnipeg.

09-06-25 Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg OVER 51.5 Top 21-13 Loss -112 28 h 13 m Show

(#719) Saskatchewan Roughriders @ (#720) Winnipeg Blue Bombers | OVER | . 

After successfully hanging on with the Blue Bombers a week ago, these teams are going to go back at it this weekend. Having watched that game, I believe that there's no question that this game should feature a ton of points as well. Both offenses were clicking, especially in the final three quarters of that game. 

Saskatchewan leads the league with the best record through 11 games. The Roughriders also lead the West Division in total points scored. On the other hand, Winnipeg is finally pretty much fully healthy. I expect the Blue Bombers to get revenge from last week and score a bunch here this weekend. Give me the "over" on Saturday. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-28 Blue Bombers.

08-31-25 Winnipeg +4.5 v. Saskatchewan Top 30-34 Win 100 17 h 57 m Show

(#709) Winnipeg Blue Bombers | ATS | . 

While College Football is back, a lot of people aren't paying attention to the CFL anymore. However, I believe that there's outstanding value on this Winnipeg/Saskatchewan game. As a matter of fact, I absolutely love the Bombers in this one. 

Winnipeg started the season 3-3 and now stand at 6-4. The Blue Bombers have almost always been in contention over the past few years and I believe that they will be a tough team to beat come playoff time this season as well. The Blue Bombers really focussed on defense last week and it paid off, allowing only 13 points on the road against the Alouettes. They also now return WR Dalton Schoen who's coming back from a 6-game suspension. 

Don't get me wrong, this Saskatchewan team looks great this year. However, the Roughriders weren't good whatsoever in its last game against Calgary. Yes, they return home this weekend. But, the Roughriders really got exposed in the second half of that game at Winnipeg should be able to take some notes and at the very least, keep this one within the spread. Saskatchewan has some injury issues at the moment in the secondary & an upset could definitely be brewing. Hammer the Blue Bombers. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-24 Winnipeg.

08-14-25 Ottawa v. Winnipeg -6 Top 27-30 Loss -110 72 h 41 m Show

(#726) Winnipeg Blue Bombers // ATS //. 

Ottawa comes into week 11 off consecutive wins including a 46-42 thriller last weekend against Toronto. Now, that might give the Redblacks a bit of momentum heading into this game with Winnipeg. However, they are still only 3-6 this season and I still firmly believe that they aren't as good as some of the better teams in the Canadian Football League. 

On the other hand, Winnipeg's fresh off a heartbreaking one-point loss. Now, that isn't something I love, especially in sports where teams play a day or two after that happens. But, this is football and many things change from week to week. The Blue Bombers return home where they are 3-1 this season with the only loss being against Calgary. 

In this week's match, Winnipeg needs this win more than anything as it plays @Montreal & @Saskatchewan in consecutive weeks after today. The Blue Bombers have beaten the Redblacks both times that they've met here in Winnipeg, covering ATS in the most recent game. I expect a dominating performance by the defending Western Division champs on Thursday evening. 

Burns' Prediction: 33-15 Winnipeg.

08-09-25 Ottawa v. Toronto UNDER 53.5 Top 46-42 Loss -115 70 h 26 m Show

(#721) Ottawa Redblacks @ (#722) Toronto Argonauts // UNDER //. 

Ottawa might be coming off a win, which was its first home win of the season. However, I simply don't believe that we will see another strong performance from the Redblacks on the road this weekend against the Argos. One thing that did stand out in that win for Ottawa was the ability to create turnovers. If it gets any sort of production again from the defensive unit, I'll be happy. 

On the other hand, Toronto is in need of a low scoring game to get back on track. It too is 2-6 this season and could really use a win right now. But, defense must come first in a game like this and I believe that the Argos will be focussed on that throughout this week to try and limit opposing points and get their third win of the season. 

Burns' Prediction: 29-15 Argos.

07-31-25 Calgary -4.5 v. Ottawa Top 11-31 Loss -110 70 h 2 m Show

(#709) Calgary Stampeders // ATS //. 

This is a payback game for Calgary. As bad as it looked when these two sides collided back in mid-June, I believe that Calgary will be more focussed and locked in for today's game against Ottawa. The Stampeders have gone 3-1 since that game, beating the likes of Winnipeg twice as well as Saskatchewan. 

To this day, that win on June 21st is the only win of the Redblacks season so far. Now, it's still fairly early in the season and there's plenty of games remaining. However, this Ottawa team does not look like it's going to be winning too many games this year. The Redblacks are dead last in PPG this season in the CFL. Expect Calgary to get its revenge on the "worst" team so far in the 2025 CFL season. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-17 Calgary.

07-26-25 Winnipeg v. Toronto UNDER 52.5 Top 17-31 Win 100 49 h 11 m Show

(#705) Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ (#706) Toronto Argonauts // UNDER //. 

Even though Winnipeg isn't off to a perfect start by any means, I do still really like this team this season. Don't get me wrong, allowing 37 & 41 points against Calgary in consecutive games was not very good whatsoever. However, the Blue Bombers now have that out of their system and will get back to its tough defensive play this weekend. Prior to the Calgary games, Winnipeg had allowed only 57 points through the first three weeks. That's less than 20 per game. Let's not forget that the Blue Bombers made the Grey Cup again last year due to their defense being top tier. 

On the other hand, Toronto is not in too good of a place right now. This is a Grey Cup rematch from a season ago and the Argos are most definitely not on the same level as they were back then. In three of their six games this year, they've scored less than 20 points. Yes, there's been some high scoring games this season across the league, including with these teams involved. That being said, with this being a finals rematch, it's got defensive battle written all over it. There will be early jitters and expect the clock to be moving fast this evening. Hammer the "under." 

Burns' Prediction: 29-17 Winnipeg.

07-20-25 Hamilton -1 v. Ottawa Top 30-15 Win 100 31 h 7 m Show

(#729) Hamilton Tiger-Cats // ATS //. 

Even though Hamilton lost its first two games this season, it responded in a massive way by winning three consecutive. Now, with the winning record and known ability that it can score more than 50 against a team like Toronto should give them tons of momentum heading into this game against one of the worst teams in the CFL. 

That's right, Ottawa is currently dead last in the Eastern Division of the CFL and has just one win on the year. The one win was against Calgary in a game where the Redblacks scored only 20 points. I don't see them holding the Tiger-Cats to under 20 in this game. It should be a high scoring game which should favor Hamilton. 

When these teams played last weekend, the Tiger-Cats weren't able to cover the spread. Today, I expect them to do just that. I don't believe that the difference in home crowds is much as Ottawa hasn't won at home yet this year. This is my DIV. GAME OF THE YEAR on Hamilton. 

Burns' Prediction: 34-15 Hamilton.

07-17-25 Toronto v. Montreal UNDER 51.5 Top 25-26 Win 100 18 h 17 m Show

(#723) Toronto Argonauts @ (#724) Montreal Alouettes // UNDER //. 

Last year, I had my East Division TOY on the "over" in this exact matchup. I won. This time around, I believe that the total for this game is way too high considering how these teams have played this season. 

Like last year, Toronto has not been as strong this season as it once was in 2023 (went 16-2 that year.) The Argos struggle to keep up with the best teams in the league and it's hard for them as it's currently scoring the least amount of points inside the division this season. It doesn't help that the Argos haven't won a game at home yet. 

Montreal, on the other hand, gets its QB back which could be the reason for the higher line. When these teams played in week 1, the total was actually lower than this one and the final score ended below the number. I expect this one to stay "under" again even with the QB back for the Alouettes. The defense should get better field positioning this week and I expect a lower scoring contest. 

Burns' Prediction: 29-17 Montreal.

06-21-25 Ottawa v. Calgary -165 Top 20-12 Loss -165 13 h 26 m Show

(#722) Calgary Stampeders // MONEYLINE //. 

Opening up the season with two double digit wins, the Stampeders are looking like one of the best teams in the entire CFL this season. Vernon Adams Jr makes this team that much better and even though he doesn't have a single passing touchdown to date, he's making an impact and passing for a ton of yards. 

On the other hand, the Redblacks have been quite unlucky with the scheduling of this years first three weeks. As a matter of fact, they've had to play all of the remaining undefeated teams and have yet to face a team with an L yet. I believe that another one of those is coming for Ottawa as it needs to play a weaker team to gain some confidence. Expect another big win for the Stampeders. 

Burns' Prediction: 32-16 Calgary.

06-12-25 BC -170 v. Winnipeg Top 20-34 Loss -170 17 h 43 m Show

(#709) BC Lions // ML //. 

While BC dominated in Week 1 with Nathan Rourke under center, I believe that this is going to be another year that BC can turn some heads in this season. No, the Lions aren't expected to be Grey Cup contenders. But, if Rourke can do what he did in 2022 with the team, I expect big things from the Lions, especially in big games like this one. 

Winnipeg didn't play in week 1 and I believe that it will come as a disadvantage this evening. Not only is Zach Collaros not playing today, but the Blue Bombers are used to not having the best of starts to a season. Just look at last year. The Lions are favored for a reason and I believe that they'll improve to 2-0 to begin the 2025 season. 

Burns' Prediction: 31-20 Lions.

11-09-24 Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -3.5 Top 22-38 Win 100 15 h 21 m Show

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (ATS) .. 

Although Winnipeg have choked in the Grey Cup in consecutive seasons now, that doesn't take away from the fact that they made it there. Winnipeg started this season off horribly and fought all the way back to become the top seed in the Western side of the bracket. Having said that, the are the favorites for this match against Saskatchewan, and the favorites for good reason. 

Winnipeg have beaten the Roughriders SU/ATS in consecutive games now ever since they started winning football games. They've now won nine of their last ten games entering this game while Saskatchewan have only won five of their past thirteen. In the past eight games these sides have met in Winnipeg, the Bombers have covered ATS in seven and won all straight up. Give me Winnipeg to reach their fifth consecutive Grey Cup here in 2024.

Score Prediction: 30-16 Winnipeg.

10-14-24 Ottawa v. Montreal -4.5 Top 12-19 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

Montreal Alouettes (ATS) .. 

Although Ottawa owns a winning record and will be in the playoffs this season, I don't see them posing much of a threat to the Alouettes here on Thanksgiving Weekend. Montreal beat Ottawa just a few weeks ago by a score of 24-12. That was on the road and they've since clinched top spot in the East Division. 

That being said, Ottawa might have a bit more to play for. But, I believe that the Als will be eager to get back on track before the playoffs begin. Nobody wants to enter the postseason in a slump, especially the defending champs. The Redblacks have been poor lately, having lost four of their last five games (SU/ATS.) Montreal have won eight of the past nine matchups between these two teams. I expect them to get the job done at home here on Monday. 

Score Prediction: 34-18 Montreal.

07-12-24 Calgary v. Winnipeg -2.5 Top 37-41 Win 100 127 h 53 m Show

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (ATS) // - Off last week's win, the Blue Bombers should be able to bring that momentum into Friday's Week 6 matchup with the Calgary Stampeders. Despite the fact that they are 1-4 now, Winnipeg is still one of, if not the most dangerous team in all of the Canadian Football League. In that game last week, the Bombers managed to win without QB Zach Collaros. Now, it's still up in the air whether he'll play today. Either way, I expect Winnipeg to prevail by at least a touchdown. 

Looking at the Stampeders, they took on the Alouettes in Week 5. It was a rough defeat for Calgary as they now sit at 2-2 on the season. I believe that they are still just slightly overrated though. They've allowed a bunch of points in each of their games this season and that's not going to do well for them against one of the league's most prolific offenses. 

These teams have actually already met each other this season (twice incl. preseason.) Calgary won both meetings. Therefore, revenge could very well be a factor here. The meeting two weeks ago was @Calgary. We are now in Winnipeg for tonights contest where the Blue Bombers are 29-4 over their last 33 games played in this stadium over the past few seasons. Give me Winnipeg to win once again here today. 

Score Prediction: 31-16 Winnipeg.

07-11-24 Toronto v. Montreal OVER 50.5 Top 37-18 Win 100 68 h 57 m Show

Toronto @ Montreal (Over) // - Montreal left things very late in last week's come from behind victory against the Stampeders. They are now 5-0 on the season and are averaging 31.4 points per game so far through five contests. Not only have they been scoring lots, but their opponents have scored at least 20 points as well in four of their five games. Yes, the spread suggests that they should prove to be superior in this matchup again. But, don't expect Toronto to go down without a fight. 

Even without regular starting QB Chad Kelly, the Argonauts are averaging 29.25 points per game themselves through their first four. On the other side of the ball, they've been having quite a bit of problems. In fact, they are allowing an average of 30.75 points per game as well. This could be an absolute shootout on Thursday. I'll gladly take the "over" 50.5 in this matchup. This is my Eastern Division Total of the Month. 

Score Prediction: 37-24 Alouettes.

07-05-24 Ottawa v. Winnipeg -2 Top 16-25 Win 100 10 h 19 m Show

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (ATS) // - While nobody expected the Blue Bombers to begin the season in this fashion, it's still fairly early in the year. That being said, they've got lots of time to make up ground and make the playoffs once again. However, this game is beginning to feel like a must-win for the home side. Winnipeg have struggled dearly. But, they still have one of the best overall rosters in the Canadian Football League. I believe that this is the game that they break out of the slump. 

Ottawa has started the year off with two wins and a defeat. They got blown out by Montreal and have had two really tight wins. Unfortunately for them, they are on the road here today. The game against Montreal was also on the road. I don't see how the Blue Bombers fall to 0-5 here. Expect them to pick up their first win in dominant style tonight. 

Score Prediction: 34-22 Blue Bombers.