20* Penn State/Northwestern Big Ten No-Brainer on Penn State +8.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with three outright upsets on the road at Rutgers by 15 as 7-point dogs, on the road at Indiana by 14 as 7-point dogs and at home over Utah by 10 as 1-point dogs.  They have cover the spread by a combined 54 points in those three games.

The books still aren't giving the Nittany Lions the respect they deserve today as 8.5-point road dogs at Northwestern.  They want revenge from a 76-72 home loss to the Wildcats as 1.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season on January 10th.  That was a rare loss for the Nittany Lions in this series as they are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Wildcats with three outright upsets as underdogs.

Northwestern lost sharp shooter Ty Berry to a knee injury in their 80-68 home win over Nebraska last time out.  Berry averages 11.6 points per game and shoots 43.3% from 3 and 89.5% from the FT line. His loss isn't being factored into this line enough.  Berry had 16 points and 5 rebounds while making 4-of-5 from 3-point range in their first meeting with Penn State.

Penn State is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more.  The Nittany Lions are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as underdogs.  Penn State is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or better.  The Wildcats are due for some 3-point shooting regression, especially without Berry.  They shot 58.3% from 3 in that first meeting and still only won by 4 despite Penn State shooting 3-of-17 (17.6%) from 3.  Bet Penn State Saturday.

25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Colorado +2.5

This is the toughest spot of the season for Arizona.  They are coming off a 105-99 (3 OT) win at Utah in the altitude on Thursday.  Four starters played at least 44 minutes for the Wildcats.  Now they have to turn around and play in the altitude again in Colorado on Saturday.  They won't have anything left in the tank for the Buffaloes.

Colorado made pretty easy work of Arizona State in an 82-70 home win on Thursday.  The Buffaloes should still be pretty fresh for this one.  They have some of the biggest home/road splits in the country over the last decade, which has proven to be the case again this season.

Colorado is 13-0 SU at home this season and outscoring opponents by 19.2 points per game.  Arizona is 2-3 SU in its last five Pac-12 road games despite being favored in all five.  The two wins both came down to the wire, and the three losses came by 18 at Stanford as 12-point favorites, by 3 at Washington State as 9-point favorites and by 3 at Oregon State as 18.5-point favorites.

Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last nine home meetings with Arizona.  That includes a 79-63 win in their most recent home meeting.  Arizona is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game.  The Buffaloes are fully healthy and a dangerous team when that's the case because it hasn't been for much of the season.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +13

This is the toughest spot of the season for the Utah Utes.  They are coming off a very deflating 105-99 (3 OT) home loss to Arizona on Thursday.  Now they have to try and get back up off the mat to face the Arizona Sun Devils on Saturday.  They won't have anything left in the tank as their three best players in Madsen (51 minutes), Smith (49) and Carlson (44) have to be running on fumes.

That is going to make it very difficult for the Utes to get margin on the Sun Devils.  Arizona State clearly matches up well with Utah beating them 82-70 as 6-point home dogs in their first meeting this season.  The Sun Devils are now 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Utes.

Utah is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games following a home loss.  Arizona State is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after two straight games attempting 10 or fewer free throws than their opponents.  The Utes are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game after 15-plus games.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +7.5

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on St. John's after losing five of their last seven games overall.  They want revenge from one of those defeats, a 73-72 home loss to Marquette on January 20th.  Now they go from being 1.5-point favorites in that game to 7.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on Marquette off six consecutive victories while also going 5-1 ATS during that stretch.  They have had the last week off, and while that's usually a good thing, it could work against them here because they were on a roll.  It's just like the NFL where you want to back teams who were poor going into their bye and fade teams that were on a roll going into their bye.

St. John's is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after losing four or five of its last six games coming in.  The Red Storm are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on UCLA +1.5

Mick Cronin has the UCLA Bruins playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming on the road to Arizona by 6 as 18-point dogs when they blew an 18-point lead.  Five of their six wins have come by 8 points or more.

Now the Bruins have their sights set on revenge from a 66-57 home loss to California as 6.5-point favorites.  That was back when they were playing very poorly and banged up.  This is a different UCLA team this time around.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on Cal off consecutive wins over Arizona State and USC, which are two teams playing some of the worst basketball in the Pac-12 right now.  The Golden Bears should not be favored in this contest.

The Bruins are 6-0 ATS in road games following an ATS win this season.  The Golden Bears are 10-20 ATS in their last 30 home games.  California is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. marginal winning teams (51-60%).  Bet UCLA Saturday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida +2.5

I love the spot for the Florida Gators.  They have had the last week off since a tough 67-66 road loss to Texas A&M last Saturday.  They are foaming at the mouth and ready to take their shot at upsetting the Auburn Tigers in Gainesville on Saturday.

Meanwhile, Auburn is in the ultimate letdown spot.  The Tigers are coming off a 99-81 home win over their biggest rivals in the Alabama Crimson Tide.  They got revenge on Alabama after losing on the road to them in their first meeting this season.  That was on Wednesday, so the Tigers have only had two days to get ready for the Gators.

Florida is 9-1 SU at home this season with its lone loss coming to Kentucky by 2.  Auburn is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in its last three SEC road games losing at Alabama by 4 and at Mississippi State by 6 with its lone win coming at Ole Miss.

Florida is a perfect 14-0 SU in its last 14 home meetings with Auburn.  Bet Florida Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU +8

I love the spot for TCU Saturday.  They have had the last week off since a 77-66 home loss to Texas.  They want revenge from a 73-72 home loss to Iowa State on January 20th in their first meeting this season.  I expect them to take the Cyclones to the wire at the very least, so we are getting some great value on the Horned Frogs.

Iowa State will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days and is in a letdown spot following a 70-65 upset road win at Texas on Tuesday.  The Cyclones won't be all that motivated to beat TCU again, and they are starting to get a little too much respect after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Three of the last four meetings between Iowa State and TCU were decided by 3 points or less.  TCU is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight games off an upset loss as a favorite.  The Horned Frogs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days.  TCU is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  Bet TCU Saturday.

20* Wisconsin/Rutgers Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin -4

I love the spot for the Wisconsin Badgers.  They are riding a season-high 3-game losing streak and will be max motivated for a victory.  They lost in OT at Nebraska, went 3-for-19 from 3 in a 6-point home loss to Purdue, and were upset at Michigan as 8-point favorites last time out.

We will 'buy low' on the Badgers and 'sell high' on Rutgers, which is coming off two consecutive upset road wins at Michigan and at Maryland.  They came back from 15 points down in the 2H to beat Michigan and clipped Maryland by 3.  They had lost their previous three games and none were really competitive, losing by 25 at Illinois, by 8 at home to Purdue and by 15 at home to Penn State.

Home-court advantage has meant very little in this series.  The road team is now 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  This is a very short number for the Badgers to be laying today considering they are by far the superior team.  The rank 11th in offense and 31st in defense while Rutgers ranks 297th in offense.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

20* SDSU/Nevada MWC No-Brainer on Nevada -1.5

Nevada is 11-1 SU at home this season with home of the best home-court advantages in the Mountain West.  Their last two home games have been very impressive with a 77-64 win as 3.5-point favorites over Colorado State and a 90-60 win over San Jose State as 11.5-point favorites.  But neither were as impressive as their 77-63 win as 5.5-point dogs at Utah State last time out, so the Wolf Pack are playing their best basketball of the season right now.

Now they get a chance to boost their NCAA Tournament resume today with a home win over a ranked San Diego State team.  But the Aztecs have been far from dominant over the last month.  They have gone 5-3 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Most concerning has been their performances on the road.

The Aztecs only beat San Jose State 81-78 as 10-point favorites, lost 88-70 at New Mexico as 3.5-point dogs, lost 67-66 as 1-point favorites at Boise State and lost 79-71 as 2.5-point dogs at Colorado State.  They are now 1-4 ATS in their last five MWC road games.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Nevada beat San Diego State 75-66 as a 2.5-point home dog last season.  Bet Nevada Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah +6

The Utah Utes are a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season and should not be 6-point home underdogs to the Arizona Wildcats tonight.  This line should be much closer to PK.  The Utes will be more motivated for a win tonight than in any other game all season, and I expect them to pull off the upset to boost their tournament resume.  We'll take the points for some insurance.

Arizona has been very shaky on the road in Pac-12 play this season.  The Wildcats are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four Pac-12 road games with three bad upset losses.  They lost by 18 at Stanford as 12-point favorites, by 3 at Washington State as 9-point favorites and by 3 at Oregon State as 18.5-point favorites.

Utah is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games.  The Utes are 201-152 ATS in their last 353 home games.  Bet Utah Thursday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -5

I love the spot for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight.  They will be max motivated coming off two consecutive losses to Nebraska (OT) and Purdue (by 6).  They shot 1-for-13 from 3 in the 2H against Purdue otherwise they would have pulled off the upset.

Now the Badgers take a big step down in competitive here against one of the most overrated teams in all of college basketball in the Michigan Wolverines.  The Wolverines are 1-10 SU & 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone win coming against their biggest rivals in Ohio State, which is also way down this season.  Michigan and Ohio State currently reside in the last place in the Big Ten.

Michigan lost by 10 at home to Rutgers, by 19 at Michigan State, by 10 at home to Iowa, by 32 at Purdue and by 15 at home to Illinois in its last five games.  So the Wolverines haven't even been competitive despite playing three games at home during this stretch.  It's not asking much for the Badgers to cover this 5-point spread on the road tonight.

Michigan is 1-12 ATS after failing to cover four or five of its last six games this season.  Juwan Howard has lost this team and it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't finish the season.  A blowout loss to Wisconsin may be the last straw.  Bet Wisconsin Wednesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso +21.5

Valparaiso is one of the most underrated teams in the MVC because of their poor 6-17 SU record.  But the Beacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and continuing to deliver for backers.  They haven't lost any of their last nine games by more than 11 points.

I backed the Beacons in a similar spot against Drake as my 25* MVC Game of the Year.  Drake was coming off a huge win over Indiana State the game prior and was in a letdown spot.  That proved to be the case as Drake only won by 11 as similar 20.5-point favorites.

Now it is Indiana State in the letdown spot.  The Sycamores are coming off a huge 75-67 home win over Drake on Saturday that solidified their spot in 1st place in the MVC.  They beat Bradley in OT two games before and were flat in a 6-point win at Belmont the next game, which was sandwiched in between the Bradley/Drake games.  I fully expect the Sycamores to be flat tonight, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 21.5-point spread.

Valparaiso is 9-1 ATS as a road dog or PK this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road dog of 10 points or more.  The Beacons are 8-0 ATS in road games vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game this season.  They have done their best work on the road in 2023-24 and will give the Sycamores more of a fight than they bargained for tonight.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pacific +21.5

St. Mary's is in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They finally won at Gonzaga 64-62 Saturday night.  After getting that monkey off their back, their motivation to beat Pacific is going to be at zero, especially since they just beat this team 76-28 at home on January 25th just over a week ago.

Pacific shot 10-of-50 (20%) including 3-of-17 (17.6%) from 3 in that blowout loss to St. Mary's.  But the Tigers have been much more competitive since that defeat.  They only lost by 9 as 24.5-point home dogs to Gonzaga, by 5 as 2.5-point home dogs to Portland and by 6 as 22-point dogs at San Francisco.  They are grossly undervalued right now due to that blowout loss to St. Mary's.

Pacific is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games as a home dog of 10 points or more.  The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12 points per game or more after 15-plus games.  This one will be a lot closer than this line indicates simply because the Tigers want to redeem themselves and the Gaels want nothing to do with this game in a massive letdown spot.  Bet Pacific Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota +3.5

Minnesota is the best covering team in the entire country going 14-7 SU & 18-3 ATS.  That includes 12-3 SU & 14-1 ATS at home this season.  The Golden Gophers continue to lack the respect they deserve as 3.5-point home dogs to the Michigan State Spartans tonight.

Minnesota wants revenge from a 76-66 loss at Michigan State on January 18th just three weeks ago.  But PG Elijah Hawkins (8.8 PPG, 7.8 APG) missed that game for the Gophers.  He is their floor general and not having him on the road against the Spartans was a massive loss.  Having him back for the rematch will make a massive difference.

Michigan State is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 road games following a win.  The Spartans are 0-7 ATS in thier last seven road games after covering two of their last three against the spread.  The Spartans are 1-3 SU in their last four Big Ten road game with their lone win coming by 2 points at Maryland.  Bet Minnesota Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +1

I love the spot for Oklahoma tonight.  They have lost three of their last four games coming in and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result.  They are back home tonight where they are 11-2 SU at home this season.

BYU is coming off consecutive wins over Texas at home and at West Virginia.  This is a tough travel spot for the Cougars traveling from Provo to Morgantown and now all the way to Norman.  This is a tired BYU team that I think runs out of gas tonight against a Sooners team that wants it more.

BYU is 64-96 ATS in its last 160 road games against a good team that wins 60-80% of their games.  Porter Moser is 9-2 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12 or more points per game as the coach of Oklahoma.  Bet Oklahoma Tuesday.

20* Clemson/UNC ESPN No-Brainer on Clemson +8.5

The UNC Tar Heels are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off a 93-84 win Saturday night against their biggest rivals in the Duke Blue Devils.  They already beat Clemson on the road earlier this season and won't be that motivated to beat them again.

Clemson goes from a 3-point home favorite against UNC in that first meeting to an 8.5-point road dog in the rematch.  That's a massive adjustment.  The Tigers will be highly motivated for a victory after losing two of their last three.  They lost by a single point at Duke and lost by 1 at home to Virginia.

Clemson has some 3-point luck coming their way.  The Tigers shot 1-of-18 (5.6%) from 3 against North Carolina in that first meeting.  They are shooting 30.1% from 3 in ACC play but are a much better shooting team than that making 35.2% on the season.  Opponents are only making 26.8% from 3 against UNC in ACC play, so the Tar Heels are due for some regression in that department.  Opponents are hitting 37.3% from 3 against Clemson in ACC play, so they are due for some positive regression.  The Tigers have been one of the most unlucky teams in the ACC.

Clemson is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after committing five or fewer turnovers last game.  The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game.  Bet Clemson Tuesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on South Carolina -3.5

What more does South Carolina have to do to get some respect? The Gamecocks are 19-3 SU & 16-5 ATS this season including 11-1 SU at home.  They have covered 5 straight coming into this one with upset road wins at Arkansas, Tennessee and Georgia as well as home wins over Kentucky by 17 and Missouri by 8.

Ole Miss has not fared well on the road in SEC play.  The Rebels are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four road games losing by 26 at Tennessee, by 9 at LSU and by 23 at Auburn with their lone road win coming against an overrated Texas A&M team.

South Carolina is a balanced team that ranks 58th in adjusted offense and 42nd in adjusted defense.  They are 24th in effective FG percentage defense and only allow 32.2% 3-point shooting.  Ole Miss is great on offense but just 143rd in adjusted defense.  They are 352nd in allowing offensive rebounds defensively.  They rely heavily on the 3-pointer on offense, making this a great matchup for South Carolina.  They Gamecocks will dominate on the glass in this one as well which will be the key to victory.

South Carolina is 11-1 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season.  The Gamecocks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% or better.  Ole Miss is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game.  Bet South Carolina Tuesday. 

15* CBB Sunday Night Line Mistake on Illinois -9.5

Nebraska has some of the biggest home/road splits in the country.  The Huskers haven't lost a Big Ten home game, but it is also true they haven't won a Big Ten road game.  The Huskers are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their five Big Ten road games losing by 11 at Minnesota, by 16 at Wisconsin, by 18 at Iowa, by 5 at Rutgers and by 22 at Maryland.

Now this is a terrible spot for the Huskers coming off their big OT win over Wisconsin at home on Thursday.  They have just two days off in between games to get ready for this game at Illinois.  They are a banged up team right now with a laundry list of injuries to boot.

Now they must travel to face a rested Illinois team that has had the last four days off since a 87-75 win at Ohio State.  The Fighting Illini have been one of the most underrated teams in the country going 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  They just got their best player in Terrance Shannon Jr. back and are a real threat to win the Big Ten and make a deep run in the tournament.  I expect them to win this game by double-digits today to give us the cover.

Illinois is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five home meetings with Nebraska with the last two wins coming by 16 points each.  Nebraska is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 Big Ten road games.  The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  Bet Illinois Sunday.

20* Purdue/Wisconsin CBS No-Brainer on Wisconsin +2.5

The Wisconsin Badgers should not be home underdogs to the Purdue Boilermakers today.  The Badgers are 11-1 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season.  This will be Purdue's toughest road test of the entire season today.

Purdue's six Big Ten road games have come against Northwestern, Maryland, Nebraska, Indiana, Iowa and Rutgers.  They lost at Northwestern and lost by 16 at Nebraska as 7.5-point favorites.  Wisconsin took Nebraska to OT last time out and lost in what was a lookahead spot.  They will come back fully focused today.

Purdue is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games following six or more consecutive wins.  The Boilermakers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites of 6 points or less or PK.  The Badgers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  Wisconsin is 3-2 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings with Purdue with both narrow losses coming by 4 and 2 points.  Bet Wisconsin Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Oregon State +8

The USC Trojans have been broken since losing PG Isiah Collier (15.4 PPG, 4.1 APG) in a home loss to Washington State on January 10th.  They are 0-6 SU in those six games with all six losses coming by 8 points or more.  That includes a 15-point home loss to UCLA and a 9-point home loss to Oregon in their last two games coming in.

They have rarely even been competitive.  They did get Boogie Ellis back from injury, but Bronnie James has been a major disappointment this season.  He is being forced to play PG and it isn't his natural position.  The Trojans aren't getting much from their big men either.

Oregon State has been grossly undervalued in Pac-12 play.  The Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with three road losses by 8 points or fewer during this stretch.  They beat USC 86-70 at home to start this stretch on January 30th.

USC is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games after playing two consecutive home games.  Bet Oregon State Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on West Virginia +7.5

The West Virginia Mountaineers are as healthy as they have been all season and improving rapidly under first-year head coach Josh Eilert.  The Mountaineers have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home games with outright upsets over Texas as 6-point dogs, Kansas as 10-point dogs and Cincinnati as 4-point dogs.

Now the Mountaineers are once again catching too many points at home against BYU as 7.5-point dogs today.  This is a long road trip for the Cougars and one of their toughest of the season.  They lost their last road game at Texas Tech, only beat UCF by 5 and lost at Baylor by 9 in their last three road games.

West Virginia is 63-35 ATS in its last 98 home games off a home win.  The Mountaineers are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 games vs. good offensive teams that score 84 points per game or more.  The Big 12 highway will cool the Cougars off once again today.  Bet West Virginia Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Tech -4

Texas Tech is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games overall with its only two losses coming on the road to Houston and TCU, which are two of the best teams in the Big 12.  The Red Raiders upset both Texas and Oklahoma on the road during this stretch.

Off that road loss to TCU, the Red Raiders return home today where they are 11-0 SU on the season.  They take on a Cincinnati team that has been vulnerable on the road.  The Bearcats are 1-5 SU in their last six games played away from home, including an upset loss at West Virginia last time out.

This is a tough spot for Cincinnati having just two days in between games flying back from West Virginia and now flying out to Lubbock.  The Red Raiders have had the last three days off and very little travel from TCU back to Lubbock.  The spot really favors the home team as a result.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Notre Dame +10.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now due to their poor 7-14 SU record.  But the Fighting Irish have gone 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall and they haven't lost any of their last 10 games by more than 12 points.

Now they are catching double-digits against a Pittsburgh team that hasn't been very good at home this season.  The Panthers are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their five ACC home games this season with their lone win coming by 5 points, and all four losses coming by 9 points or more.

Notre Dame is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games as a road underdog or PK.  The Fighting Irish is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  Bet Notre Dame Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulsa +17.5

Florida Atlantic has been grossly overvalued due to making the Final 4 last year.  They also gets their opponents' best shots with a target on their back as well.  The expectations from that Final 4 run coupled with that target have made it very difficult for the Owls to live up to expectations.

Florida Atlantic is now 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Owls haven't won any of their last 11 games by more than 15 points, making for an 11-0 system backing Tulsa pertaining to this 17.5-point spread.

Tulsa is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall.  Tulsa has just one loss by more than 15 points the entire season.  That makes for a 19-1 system backing the Golden Hurricane pertaining to this 17.5-point spread.  Bet Tulsa Saturday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State -5

Indiana State wants revenge from a 89-78 loss at Drake on January 10th.  The Bulldogs shot the lights out in that game going 10-of-25 (40%) from 3.  They will be much less comfortable on the road in the rematch tonight.

The Sycamores are 9-0 SU & 7-1 ATS at home this season outscoring their opponents by 26.5 points per game.  They are scoring 90.6 points per game and allowing 64.1 points per game at home.  

Drake is 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in its last five road games losing outright as 7-point favorites at UAB, outright by 22 as 5.5-point favorites at Belmont and outright as 5.5-point favorites at UAB.  This will be Drake's toughest road test of the season tonight.

Drake is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games following two or more consecutive home wins.  The Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games after scoring 80 points or more.  The Sycamores are 8-0 ATS in their last eight Saturday home games.  Bet Indiana State Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah -2

This is a good time to 'buy low' on Utah coming off two consecutive road losses.  The Utes are a much different team at home.  Indeed, they are 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 20.8 points per game.

Now they take on a Colorado team that has some of the biggest home/road splits in the country over the last several seasons.  That has been the case again this season as Colorado is 12-0 at home but just 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in all games played away from Boulder.

Utah is 10-4 SU & 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home meetings with Colorado.  The Utes are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games.  Colorado is 0-6 ATS against a good team that wins 60-80% of their games this season.  The Buffaloes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games vs. good ball handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Utah Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Valparaiso PK

Valparaiso is one of the most underrated teams in the MVC because of their poor 6-16 SU record.  But the Beacons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and continuing to deliver for backers.  Now they are going to get rewarded for their efforts with a SU victory at home Saturday.

Valparaiso wants revenge from a 78-75 loss at Evansville just two weeks ago on January 17th.  They lost by just 3 despite Evansville shooting 50.9% from the floor and a ridiculous 10-of-16 (62.5%) from 3.  They aren't going to shoot that well on the road this time around.

Valparaiso is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Evansville.  The Purple Aces are 0-5 SU in their last five road games with losses by 7, 49, 36, 14 and 18 points.  Bet Valparaiso Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Charlotte -6.5

Charlotte is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The 49ers are 13-7 SU & 12-6 ATS this season.  They have been especially dominant at home, going 9-1 SU & 8-1 ATS at home this season.  They beat FAU, North Texas and UAB at home this season, which are three of their biggest contenders to win the AAC.

Now they take on lowly East Carolina, which has been one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The Pirates have lost by 15 at FAU and by 8 at UAB and they won't be able to hang with Charlotte, either.

The 49ers have a big rest and preparation advantage heading into this one.  They have had the last week off since upsetting Tulane 75-71 as 3.5-point road dogs last time out.  They improved to 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  ECU just lost 71-60 at home to South Florida on Wednesday and now only has two days to get ready for Charlotte.

The 49ers are 8-0 ATS in thier last eight home games after playing a road game.  Charlotte is 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine home meetings with East Carolina.  Bet Charlotte Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota PK

Northwestern is coming off a crushing 105-96 (OT) loss to Purdue on Wednesday.  It's the kind of loss that can beat a team twice.  I fully expect the Wildcats to be flat and tired today after having just two days off in between games.

Minnesota is rested and ready to go after beating Penn State 83-74 last Saturday.  The Golden Gophers have had a full week to rest and prepare to beat Northwestern.  I expect them to put it to use today and get the job done.

Minnesota is one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball.  The Gophers have gone 13-7 SU & 17-3 ATS this season.  That includes 11-3 SU & 13-1 ATS at home.  Northwestern is going to cool off from 3 today as Minnesota is 8-0 ATS in thier last eight games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or better.  Bet Minnesota Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +3

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on St. John's.  The Red Storm have lost four of their last five games with three of those losses coming on the road and a 1-point home loss to Marquette.  They will be more motivated to win this game against UConn than any other game all season.

The Red Storm are also out for revenge from a 69-65 road loss at UConn in their first meeting this season.  Now they get them at home where they are 8-2 SU with that 1-point loss to Marquette being their lone home loss in conference play.  They beat Xavier by 15, Butler by 16, Providence by 2 and Villanova by 20 in their other four Big East home games.

Alex Karaban (14.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG) is questionable for the Huskies today after suffering an ankle injury against Providence last time out.  Rick Pitino is 50-26 ATS when revenging a road loss as a head coach.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Dayton -7.5

Dayton is one of the best teams in the country that nobody is talking about.  The Flyers are 17-3 this season including 10-0 at home.  They rank 16th in adjusted offense and 56th in adjusted defense as head coach Anthony Grant has the most efficient offensive team he has had in his time at Dayton.

St. Bonaventure is getting too much respect from its consecutive home wins over St. Joe's and VCU.  The Bonnies have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three road games losing by 11 at Richmond, by 9 at George Mason and by 4 at Duquesne, which was previously 0-6 in conference play prior to that win.

The Bonnies really struggle on the offensive end, which is why I don't think they can keep up with the Flyers.  They have shot 40% or less in six of their last nine games overall.  Dayton has won 12 of its last 14 home meetings with St. Bonaventure, including four straight home wins in this series with the last three coming by 18, 26 and 10 points.  Bet Dayton Friday.

15* Oregon/USC ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oregon -2

The USC Trojans have been broken since losing PG Isiah Collier (15.4 PPG, 4.1 APG) in a home loss to Washington State on January 10th.  They are 0-5 SU in those five games with all five losses coming by 8 points or more.  That includes a 50-65 home loss to UCLA last time out.

They have rarely even been competitive.  They did get Boogie Ellis back from injury, but Bronnie James has been a major disappointment this season.  He is being forced to play PG and it isn't his natural position.  The Trojans aren't getting much from their big men either.

Oregon has gotten healthy and is playing like a legit contender in the Pac-12.  The Ducks are 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their only losses coming on the road to Colorado and Utah which are two very tough places to play, and at home to Arizona.

Oregon has had little trouble winning at USC.  The Ducks are 14-8 SU & 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 trips to USC.  Oregon is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games after allowing 80 points or more.  USC is 4-22 ATS in its last 26 home games after scoring 55 points or less.  Bet Oregon Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on North Dakota State +9.5

This number has been set too high for a rivalry game between North Dakota State and South Dakota State tonight.  Asking the Jackrabbits to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Each of the last 12 meetings between South Dakota State and North Dakota State were decided by 10 points or less.  11 of those 12 meetings were decided by 6 points or fewer.  The Bison haven't lost to the Jackrabbits by more than 6 points in any of their last 12 meetings, making for a 12-0 system backing them pertaining to this 9.5-point spread.  Bet North Dakota State Thursday.

25* MVC GAME OF THE YEAR on Valparaiso +20.5

The Drake Bulldogs are in the ultimate sandwich spot tonight.  They are coming off a 77-63 home win as 9.5-point favorites against their in-state rivals in Northern Iowa, who were without their best player.  And now they have an even bigger game on deck on the road Saturday at Indiana State that is a matchup of the top two teams in the Missouri Valley.

Sandwiched in between those games is this contest against Valparaiso, which has one of the worst records in the conference.  The Bulldogs are just going to feel like they can show up and win this one, and they won't be giving the Beacons their full attention.  So getting 20.5 points with Valpo is a tremendous value tonight given the awful spot for Drake.

But this Valpo team has been no pushover.  The Beacons have quietly gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and are much better than they get credit for.  They haven't lost any of their last seven games by more than 11 points.  They are 4-0 ATS in their four road games during this stretch losing by 6 as 12.5-point dogs at Illinois-Chicago, winning outright at Illinois State by 9 as 10-point dogs, only losing by 3 at Evansville as 7-point dogs and losing by just 6 at Southern Illinois as 13.5-point dogs.

Valparaiso is 8-1 ATS in its last nine meetings with Drake.  Four of the last five meetings were decided by 7 points or fewer.  Drake hasn't won any of its last 14 meetings with Valpo by more than 18 points, making for a 14-0 system backing the Beacons pertaining to this 20.5-point spread.  The Beacons are 8-1 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Wake Forest +2

I love the spot for Wake Forest tonight.  They will be the much fresher team as they have been off since January 22nd and have had eight days off in between games.  I fully expect them to pull off the upset at Pitt tonight.

Pitt is in a brutal spot coming off three consecutive road games against Duke, Georgia Tech and Miami.  This is a tired Panthers team and one that is in a bit of a letdown spot after winning two of those three games on the highway.

Pitt has one of the worst home-court advantages in the ACC.  Indeed, the Panthers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS at home in ACC play losing by 9 as 1.5-point favorites to Clemson, by 11 as 6.5-point favorites to Syracuse, by 22 as 5-point dogs to Duke and by 13 as 3.5-point dogs to UNC.  They fall to 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in ACC play tonight.

Pittsburgh is 2-8 ATS vs. good teams that win 60-80% of their games this season.  Bet Wake Forest Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on West Virginia +4

West Virginia is as healthy as they have been all season right now and a dangerous team in the Big 12 moving forward as a result.  We have seen that on display in their last two home games as the Mountaineers pulled off the outright upsets over Kansas 91-85 as 10-point dogs and Texas 76-73 as 6-point dogs.

Now the Mountaineers are catching 4 points at home tonight to the Cincinnati Bearcats in a game I fully expect them to win outright.  Cincinnati is coming off a 68-57 home win over UCF against a Knights team that was missing two key players.  The Bearcats were 1-4 SU in their previous five games with their lone win coming by 4 at home over TCU.  They have only played six games away from home all season and are 2-4 SU in those games.

Cincinnati is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games off a win by 10 points or more.  Bet West Virginia Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on Ole Miss PK

What more does Ole Miss have to do to get some respect? The Rebels are 17-3 SU this season including a perfect 11-0 SU at home.  Chris Beard is making an immediate impact on this team in his first season and proving he's one of the best head coaches in the country.

Mississippi State is coming off a huge upset home win over Auburn.  But it has been a different story on the road for the Bulldogs.  Mississippi State is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its three SEC road games this season losing by 6 as 3-point favorites at South Carolina, losing by 13 as 6.5-point dogs at Kentucky and losing by 9 as 4.5-point dogs at Florida.

Ole Miss is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in SEC home games this season beating Florida by 18 as 3-point dogs, beating Vanderbilt by 13 as 10-point favorites and crushing Arkansas by 26 as 8.5-point favorites.

Mississippi State is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Rebels are 6-0 ATS in home games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers this season.  Bet Ole Miss Tuesday.

20* Duke/VA Tech ESPN No-Brainer on Virginia Tech +3.5

I love the spot for Virginia Tech tonight.  They are coming off a 91-67 blowout home victory over Georgia Tech on Saturday and get to stay at home here.  They will be the much fresher team in this matchup despite playing their 2nd game in 3 days.

Duke will also be playing its 2nd game in 3 days but has to travel.  The Blue Devils expended a ton of energy in their 72-71 win over Clemson on Saturday at home.  They also won in dramatic fashion with two free throws just before the buzzer to eek out the win.  Now they are primed for a letdown as well.

Virginia Tech has a big home-court advantage going 10-1 SU at home this season.  The lone loss came by 4 points to Miami.  The Hokies are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Blue Devils and always play them tough in Blacksburg.  They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings.

Virginia Tech is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 home games following two or more consecutive wins.  The Hokies are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a win by 10 points or more.  I expect the Hokies to win outright, but we'll take the points for some insurance.  Bet Virginia Tech Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on North Texas +9.5

Florida Atlantic is grossly overvalued right now.  The Owls are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall with their lone cover coming in a 13-point win over lowly Rice as a 12-point favorites.  They haven't won any of their last 10 games by more than 15 points.  You're paying a tax on FAU after making the Final 4 last year, and they just get everyone's best shot now with a target on their back.

I think North Texas' best shot will be good enough to stay within single-digits today if not pull off the outright upset.  The Mean Green are 7-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They just recently got back two of their top five scorers in Rubin Jones (11.7 PPG) and John Buggs III (7.5 PPG) from injury and are at full strength after these two have both been out for most of January.  Having them back makes them a real contender moving forward.

This has been a very tightly-contested series in recent meetings with each of the last three meetings being decided by 4 points or less.  FAU hasn't beaten North Texas by more than 6 points in any of their last five meetings.  Asking the Owls to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Bet North Texas Sunday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State -2.5

I love the spot for Penn State tonight.  The Nittany Lions have had the last week off to rest and get ready for Minnesota.  They were last seen at home upsetting Wisconsin 87-83 and have a pretty great home-court advantage going 8-2 SU at home this season.

They will certainly have the rest advantage over Minnesota, which lost 61-59 at home to Wisconsin on Tuesday.  That's the kind of loss that can beat a young team like Minnesota twice.  It was their biggest rivals in the Badgers and they missed several point blank layups at the end to tie the game.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Penn State today.

The Nittany Lions are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 January home games.  Penn State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games off a conference road loss.  The Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their last three meetings with the Gophers.  Penn State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 8-plus points per game.  Bet Penn State Saturday.

15* Sun Belt PLAY OF THE DAY on James Madison +2.5

I love the spot for James Madison today.  They will be out for revenge from a 59-55 home loss to Appalachian State as 7-point favorites on January 13th exactly two weeks ago today.  Now the books have adjusted this number 9.5 points for flipping home courts, which is way too big of an adjustment.

The spot really favors James Madison.  They have had the last two days off after making easy work of Old Dominion 78-62 on the road on Wednesday.  Meanwhile, Appalachian State only has one day off in between games after beating Georgia Southern 84-74 as a 16-point favorite on Thursday.

The Dukes have actually played their best basketball on the highway this season going 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in all true/neutral road games.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet James Madison Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Iowa +8.5

Drake is overvalued after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  This is a tough spot for Drake after having their four-game winning streak snapped in a 83-80 (2 OT) loss at Missouri State on Wednesday.  That game will have taken a lot out of them, and now they only have two days to get ready for Northern Iowa.

The spot really favors the Panthers, who have had the last three days off after a 70-63 home win over Evansville.  The Panthers are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now after playing a brutal non-conference schedule.  They have gone 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their only loss coming to Indiana State, which is the best team in the conference.

Northern Iowa has actually played its best basketball on the road during this stretch going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS winning by 13 at Northern Iowa as 3.5-point favorites, at Missouri State by 2 as 1.5-point dogs, at Murray State by 10 as 1.5-point dogs and at Belmont by 11 as 2-point favorites.  The Panthers took Drake to OT on the road as identical 8.5-point dogs last season as well.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series as the road team is actually 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Northern Iowa is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games off two consecutive home games.  The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. good teams that win 60-80% of their games.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Dayton -2.5

Dayton is the best team in the country that nobody is talking about.  The Flyers are 16-2 SU & 14-4 ATS this season including 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in conference play outscoring opponents by 13.0 points per game in Atlantic 10 action.

Now the Flyers prove they are the class of the Atlantic 10 by going on the road and making easy work of a Richmond team that is also 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in conference play, but only winning by 5.8 points per game.  The Spiders have simply been fortunate in close games, but their luck runs out today agains the superior Flyers.

Dayton ranks 14th in adjusted offense and 69th in adjusted defense this season while facing the 87th-ranked schedule in the country.  Richmond ranks 139th in adjusted offense and 47th in adjusted defense against the 216th-ranked schedule.  This will be the Spiders' toughest test since an 11-point loss to Florida on a neutral.

Dayton is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games following three or more consecutive wins.  Bet Dayton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Vanderbilt +15.5

Jerry Stackhouse has a way of getting his teams to improve as the season goes on.  The Vanderbilt Commodores are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They only lost by 3 to Alabama as 12.5-point dogs and by 2 at Memphis as 15.5-point dogs during this stretch.

Now the Commodores are licking their chops at the opportunity to beat their hated in-state rivals in Tennessee.  They have had the last week off to rest and get ready for this game, and they always take it more seriously than the Volunteers do.  That's evident by the fact that the Commodores are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings winning outright as 10-point home dogs, losing by 9 as 16.5-point road dogs and losing by 9 as 11.5-point road dogs.

Tennessee has only played four true road games all season going 2-2 SU but 1-3 ATS in those games.  They are 0-3 ATS in their last three true road games losing by 8 at UNC as 2.5-point dogs, getting upset at Mississippi State by 5 as 2-point favorites and only beating Georgia by 6 as 7.5-point favorites after needing a big 2nd half comeback.  This is a letdown spot for them as well coming off two consecutive big home wins over Florida and Alabama.

Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games following two consecutive covers as a favorite.  The Volunteers are 0-6 ATS in all games away from home vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

20* Kentucky/Arkansas ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -6.5

I love the spot for Kentucky tonight.  They are coming off their worst loss of the season getting upset at South Carolina by 17 as 5.5-point favorites.  They will bounce back in a big way tonight and won't be taking this dreadful Arkansas team lightly as a result.

The Razorbacks are broken.  They are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and getting blown out on the regular.  They lost by 32 at home to Auburn, by 10 at Georgia, by 22 at Florida, by 13 at home to South Carolina and by 26 at Ole Miss.  I think Eric Musselman has lost this team already, and they may not have their best player in Tramon Mark (17.8 PPG), who is questionable after sitting out last game.

Arkansas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game.  Kentucky is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games off an upset loss as a road favorite.  The Razorbacks are 0-6 ATS off three straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers this season. Bet Kentucky Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oregon +4

The Arizona Wildcats are one of the most overrated teams in the country.  They have gone 2-2 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  They needed a comeback to beat UCLA at home by 6 as 18-point favorites and only beat a depleted USC team by 15 as 20.5-point favorites.

But most concerning is how poorly Arizona has played on the road in Pac-12 play.  The Wildcats are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three Pac-12 road games losing by 18 at Stanford as 12-point favorites, losing by 3 at Washington State as 9-point favorites and losing by 3 at Oregon State as 18.5-point favorites.

Now Arizona will face its toughest road test of the season at Oregon, which is one of the most undervalued teams in the country right now.  The Ducks are 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall with both losses coming on the road to Utah (by 3) and Colorado.

The Ducks are a perfect 10-0 SU & 7-3 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the Pac-12.  They are coming off a 19-point home win over Arizona State on Thursday and should still be very fresh for this game against Arizona, which will be playing its 2nd road game in 3 days and expended a lot of energy in that 3-point loss at Oregon State Thursday.

Oregon is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after losing two its last three games.  The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Oregon upset Arizona 87-68 as identical 4-point home dogs last season.  Bet Oregon Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Valparaiso +3.5

Valparaiso is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall and playing its best basketball of the season.  But the Beacons continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers, and we'll take advantage today and back them as 3.5-point home dogs to Missouri State.

This is a terrible spot for Missouri State.  The Bears are coming off an 83-80 (2 OT) upset home win over Drake as 7-point dogs on Wednesday.  Now they are tired, fat and happy and won't want anything to do with this game against Valpo on Saturday.

That win against Drake pretty much came out of nowhere because the Bears had been rotten prior to that.  They had gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their previous six games including a 26-point loss at Bradley, a 24-point home loss to Murray State, a 22-point loss at Indiana State and a 9-point home loss to Illinois State.

Valpo is 7-0 ATS after three straight games forcing their opponent to commit 14 or fewer turnovers this season.  Missouri State is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games after playing a game where both teams scored 80 or more points.  The Beacons are 7-0 ATS vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet Valpo Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Baylor -5

I love the spot for the Baylor Bears today.  They are coming off two consecutive road losses to Kansas State and Texas by a combined 6 points.  They lost in OT to K-State and at the buzzer to Texas.  It's safe to say the Bears will be highly motivated for a victory today.

Now Baylor has had the last week off to rest and get better and prepare to beat TCU.  Baylor is a perfect 10-0 SU at home this season and will get back on track in blowout fashion.  They face a Horned Frogs team that will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and is coming off a fortunate 74-69 road win at lowly Oklahoma State.  They had lost their two previous games to Cincinnati on the road and Iowa State at home.

Baylor is 10-3 ATS as a favorite this season.  Scott Drew will have the Bears ready for one of their best performances of the season today.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Wyoming +8

Wyoming has one of the strongest home-court advantages in the country.  The Cowboys are 7-1 SU at home this season including an upset win over Nevada as 7-point dogs in their most recent home game.  That's the same Nevada team that just beat Colorado State 77-64 last time out.

Wyoming should not be catching 8 points at home to a Colorado State team that has been grossly overvalued since it turned conference season.  The Cowboys are 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The two wins came in OT at home against Air Force as 15.5-point favorites and by 3 over UNLV at home as 7-point favorites.  They lost all three of their true road games during this stretch.

The home team is 4-0 SU in the last four meetings.  Colorado State is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games off two straight games where they forced 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Rams are 0-6 ATS off a conference game this season.  Bet Wyoming Saturday.

20* Clemson/Duke ESPN No-Brainer on Clemson +8.5

I love the spot for Clemson.  They last played on Saturday in a 78-67 road win at Florida State.  That means they have had an entire week off to rest and prepare to beat Duke.  They are primed for one of their biggest efforts of the season.

Duke is not playing well right now.  The Blue Devils are 2-1 SU by 0-2-1 ATS in their last three games overall and consistently getting too much respect.  They only beat Georgia Tech by 5 as 17.5-point home favorites, lost outright to Pitt by 4 as 12-point home favorites and won by 14 at Louisville as 14-point favorites.  Duke played on Tuesday and only had three days to get ready for Clemson.

Duke is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 75 points or more in four consecutive games.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after going over the total in three consecutive games.  Clemson is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after playing five consecutive games as a favorite.  The Tigers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* WAC PLAY OF THE DAY on UT-Arlington +6.5

This is a big letdown spot for Grand Canyon (18-2).  The Antelopes are coming off a 53-51 win at Stephen F. Austin on Thursday.  That followed up an upset loss at Seattle on Saturday.  Now the Antelopes will be playing their 3rd consecutive road game and their 2nd road game in 3 days.

UT-Arlington has a massive rest advantage after last playing at Abilene Christian on Saturday.  That means the Mavericks have had a full week to rest and prepare to beat Grand Canyon.  They want revenge from a 69-76 road loss at Grand Canyon on December 2nd in their first meeting this season.  They already proved they could play with the Antelopes on the road, and now they should not be catching 6.5 points at home in the rematch given their rest advantage.

Arlington is 9-1 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.  Arlington is 8-2 ATS vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Mavericks are 12-5 ATS in all games this season and have been consistently undervalued.  Bet UT-Arlington Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Florida State +7.5

This is a great spot to 'sell high' on the North Carolina Tar Heels.  They are 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  But now they are laying 7.5-point on the road to Florida State after being 3-point underdogs at Clemson.  That just shows you how big of an adjustment they have made on UNC, and it's too big.

Florida State wants revenge from a 78-70 road loss at North Carolina as 12-point dogs in their first meeting this season back on December 2nd.  But that was a bad FSU team at the time, and this is a much improved team under Leonard Hamilton now.  The Seminoles are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall including upset road wins at Notre Dame, Miami and Syracuse all by 9 points or more.  But they aren't getting the kind of respect that UNC is.

The Seminoles are 7-1 ATS in ACC play this season.  The Tar Heels are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a blowout win by 20 points or more.  Bet Florida State Saturday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Missouri +6.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for South Carolina.  They are coming off their huge upset win over Kentucky at home, and now they have an even bigger game on deck against Tennessee on Tuesday.  That makes this a sandwich spot with Missouri coming to town today.

Missouri is winless in SEC play and highly motivated for that first conference victory.  The Tigers will be out for revenge from a 71-69 home loss to South Carolina on January 13th in their first meeting this season just two weeks ago today.  The Tigers had a big effort last time out losing by just 6 as 11.5-point underdogs at Texas A&M.  They will give another big effort today, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull off the outright upset given the terrible spot for the Gamecocks.

South Carolina is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. teams who average 33 or fewer rebounds per game after 15-plus games.  Lamont Paris is 10-24 ATS in Saturday home games as a head coach.  Dennis Gates is 28-11 ATS after playing two consecutive games as an underdog as a head coach.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Long Beach State +3.5

I like the spot for Long Beach State tonight having a full week off last playing on January 18th to get ready for UC-Irvine.  Meanwhile, the Anteaters will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days and should not be favored on the road over the Beach tonight.

Long Beach State has only played six home games all season and is 5-1 SU at home.  That includes 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in their last two conference home games beating Hawaii by 8 as 3-point favorites and Riverside by 8 as 7-point favorites.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Long Beach State won by 5 as a PK and by 6 as 5.5-point dogs in its last two home meetings with Irvine.  Bet Long Beach State Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Cleveland State +2.5

Cleveland State is 10-0 SU at home this season.  That includes wins over three of the best teams in the Horizon League in Oakland, Northern Kentucky and IPFW.  The Vikings should not be home underdogs to Wright State tonight.

The Vikings will be out for revenge from an 82-70 road loss at Wright State on January 4th in their first meeting earlier this month.  Wright State shot 60% from the field and 8-of-16 (50% from 3-point range, while Cleveland State shot 38.9% from the field, 9-of-27 (33%) from 3 and 5-of-13 (38.5%) from the FT line.  That's not going to happen again.

Wright State is 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in conference road games this season without outright upset losses at Green Bay by 11 and at Milwaukee by 8, as well as a 10-point loss at Youngstown State.  Cleveland State is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five regular season meetings with Wright State.  Bet Cleveland State Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Green Bay +3

What more does Green Bay have to do to get some respect?  Green Bay is 7-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last nine games overall with three outright upsets as underdogs.  One of those losses came 79-73 at Oakland as 7.5-point road dogs.  Now the Phoenix get their shot at revenge at home this time around with first place in the Horizon on the line.

Oakland is overvalued off six consecutive victories with five of those wins coming by 7 points or fewer.  The Golden Grizzlies have just been fortunate in close games.  Their luck runs out tonight on the highway.  They made 14 more FT's than Green Bay in that first meeting which was the difference in that 6-point win.  I expect the home team to get the benefit of the whistle again here.

Green Bay is 7-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home this season.  That includes 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS at home in conference play beating Cleveland State by 8 as 1-point dogs, beating Robert Morris by 17 as 3-point favorites, upsetting Wright State by 11 as 7.5-point dogs and upsetting Milwaukee by 12 as 2-point dogs.

Oakland is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after playing four consecutive games as a favorite.  Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in conference games this season.  The Phoenix are 9-1 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Green Bay is 9-0 ATS vs. teams that attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game this season.  Bet Green Bay Thursday.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Kentucky -3.5

Northern Kentucky is playing its best basketball of the season right now.  The Norse are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only two losses coming on the road at Cleveland State by 3 as 4.5-point dogs and at Oakland by 5 as 6-point dogs.  

The Norse are coming off a pair of blowout home wins over quality Horizon League teams.  They beat Milwaukee 90-72 as 2-point favorites and Green Bay 74-52 as 6-point favorites to improve to 8-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season.  Now the Norse want revenge from a 73-60 loss at IPFW on December 29th in their first meeting this season.  They shot 5-of-22 (22.7%) from 3 and 11-of-21 (54.2%) from the FT line in that loss and can only improve.

IPFW is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall with three upset losses including a very bad 6-point home loss to IUPUI as 16.5-point favorites.  They lost by 8 at Youngstown State, by 3 at Robert Morris and by 7 at Cleveland State in their last three road games.  They are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.

Northern Kentucky is 4-0 SU in its last four home meetings with IPFW winning the last two by 20 and 10 points.  IPFW is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 January games.  NKU is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after covering four of its last five games ATS.  Bet Northern Kentucky Thursday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso +14

Valparaiso has quietly gone 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall not once losing by more than 9 points.  That includes a 59-50 upset win at Illinois State as a 10-point dog.  The Beacons only lost by 9 as 9.5-point home dogs to Southern Illinois.

Now Valparaiso is out for revenge on the Salukis and catching 14 points in the rematch on the road.  This number is too high, especially when you consider how poorly SIU is playing of late.  This is a team that lost a lot in the transfer portal and wasn't able to replace that talent.

Southern Illinois is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall losing by 18 at home to Drake, by 1 at home to Bradley and by 4 at Northern Iowa.  The Salukis just don't have the same kind of home-court advantage this season that they have in years' past.  They won't be all that motivated to beat Valpo a second time this season.

Valparaiso is 7-1 ATS as a road underdog or PK this season.  The Beacons are 6-0 ATS vs. poor pressure teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Southern Illinois ranks 341st in adjusted tempo, making it hard for them to get margin because there just aren't enough possessions.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Bradley -8

Bradley has won eight consecutive games with seven of those eight wins coming by 11 points or more.  I fully expect them to win this game against Murray State by double-digits tonight.

It's revenge time for the Braves after losing 79-72 as 3.5-point favorites at Murray State back in November.  But the Braves are much healthier and playing a lot better since that defeat.  They beat Murray State 83-48 at home last season.

Murray State lost by 10 at home to Northern Iowa and by 9 at home to Indiana State in two of its last three games coming in.  Stepping up in class has not gone well for them.  The Racers have not been a good road team either, and Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in all of college basketball.

Bradley is 19-4 ATS in its last 23 home games.  The Braves are 8-0 ATS in thier last eight home games off a win by 15 points or more.  Bet Bradley Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia -5.5

Virginia is 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 22.1 points per game.  They beat Virginia Tech by 8 and Louisville by 24 in covering each of their first two ACC home games this season.  They will win by 6-plus over NC State to cover this short number as well.

Virginia wants revenge from a 76-60 road loss at NC State on January 6th.  Now they get to host the Wolfpack, who are 0-2 ATS in ACC road games this season only winning by 2 at Notre Dam eas 5-point favorites and by 6 at Louisville as 7.5-point favorites.  This will be their toughest test of the season since a 9-point loss on a neutral to Tennessee.  They also lost by 20 at Ole Miss in another true road game.

Virginia lost by 14 at NC State last year and avenged that defeat with a 63-50 win as a 7.5-point home favorite in the rematch.  It will be more of the same this season.  Bet Virginia Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Xavier +8.5

Xavier is playing its best basketball of the season right now under head coach Sean Miller.  The Musketeers are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with their two losses coming by 1 at Villanova and by 5 at home to UConn.  They beat Seton Hall by 20 at home, won outright at Providence as underdogs by 20 and crushed Butler by 14 at home.

Creighton has been grossly overvalued for over a month.  The Bluejays are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They beat Seton Hall in triple-OT on Saturday and will still be feeling the after effects of that grueling game.  They should not be laying 8.5 points at home to Xavier tonight.

Creighton is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games beating St. John's by 1 as 6-point favorites, Providence by 9 as 11-point favorites, losing outright to Villanova as 9.5-point favorites and only beating Alabama by 3 as 7-point favorites.

Xavier is a perfect 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss this season.  The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a SU win where they failed to cover the spread.  Xavier is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 games vs. a team with a winning record.  They have a way of playing up to their level of competition, and the Musketeers will give the Bluejays a run for their money tonight.  Bet Xavier Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on UMass -3

The UMass Minutemen have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season under head coach Frank Martin.  He has turned this program around already going 12-6 SU & 13-5 ATS this season.  That includes 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS at home with a huge home-court advantage.  They beat Duquesne by 19, La Salle by 16 and George Washington by 14 in covering each of their last three home games.

This is a terrible spot for St. Joe's.  The Hawks are coming off three consecutive home games, including a 2-point win as 7.5-point favorites over Duquesne on Saturday at the buzzer.  That makes this a letdown spot for the Hawks.

St. Joe's is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three true road games.  They lost by 7 as 3-point dogs at Charleston, by 4 as 5.5-point favorites at Rhode Island and by 3 as 3-point favorites at St. Louis.  This will be one of their toughest road tests of the entire season tonight.

UMass is 7-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season.  The Minutemen are 7-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  Bet UMass Tuesday.

20* Texas/Oklahoma ESPN No-Brainer on Oklahoma -4.5

Oklahoma has lost its last three meetings with Texas by a combined 5 points total.  It's safe to say the Sooners will be out for revenge tonight, and they finally have the goods to get that revenge.  Porter Moser's team is his best in Norman, while the Texas Longhorns have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.

Oklahoma is 15-3 SU this season including 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS at home.  The Sooners won and covered both Big 12 home games this season beating Iowa State by 8 as 1.5-point favorites and West Virginia by 14 as 12.5-point home favorites.  I have no doubt they win this game by 5-plus points over Texas tonight.

The Longhorns are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  They lost by 21 at Marquette, won by 1 at Cincinnati and lost outright at West Virginia as 6-point favorites in their three true road games this season.  This is a letdown spot for Texas as well coming off a win over Baylor at the buzzer over the weekend.  That followed up an upset loss to UCF as 8.5-point home favorites.

Texas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a close win by 3 points or less.  The Longhorns are 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  Bet Oklahoma Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +3.5

First-year head coach Ed Cooley has the Georgetown Hoyas improving rapidly in recent weeks.  The Hoyas are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 4 at home to Seton Hall as 6.5-point dogs, losing by 13 at UConn as 21-point dogs and losing by 1 at Xavier as 12-point dogs.

Now the Hoyas will want revenge on Butler after losing by 10 on the road to the Bulldogs in their first meeting this season on December 19th.  This is an overvalued Bulldogs team that has gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are ripe for the upset tonight.

Butler is 0-7 ATS vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet Georgetown Tuesday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +3.5

Memphis is overvalued due to going 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites.

Their luck finally ran out last time out as they lost 74-73 outright as 10-point home favorites to South Florida on Thursday.  Now they only have two days to get ready to Tulane.  The Green Wave have had the last three days off since a loss at UAB.

We've seen what the Green Wave are capable of at home as they took Florida Atlantic to the wire as 7-point dogs in a 85-84 loss.  They are 8-2 SU at home this season with the other loss coming by 3 points to George Mason.  So they haven't lost any home game by more than 3 points this season, making for a 10-0 system backing the Green Wave pertaining to this 3.5-point spread.

Tulane upset Memphis in both regular season meetings last season winning 96-89 as 4-point home dogs and 90-89 as 7-point road dogs.  The Green Wave are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a road loss.  Tulane is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games after playing a game as a road underdog.  The Tigers are ripe to get upset again today.  Bet Tulane Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on UNC-Wilmington -2.5

I love the spot for UNC-Wilmington today.  They will be playing with triple-revenge after losing all three meetings with Charleston last season, including a 5-point loss in the conference tournament after a 2-point home loss earlier in the year.  They blew a late lead in the conference tournament and have not forgotten.  They get their revenge in their first meeting of 2023-24 this season at home.

Wilmington has played a road-heavy schedule this season but has taken advantage of its home games, going 5-0 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by 32.4 points per game.  They also upset Kentucky 80-73 as 18-point road dogs to flash their potential.  Charleston isn't as good as last season when they made the NCAA Tournament.

The Cougars are 5-4 SU but 3-6 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  They are coming off an 82-78 road loss at Towson as 11-point favorites.  They also lost by 16 at Florida Atlantic as 14-point dogs, and they lost on a neutral to Duquesne by 18, Vermont by 9 and Wyoming by 7 despite being favored in all three of those games.

Charleston is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after winning three of its last four games.  Wilmington is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games after covering two of its last three games coming in.  Wilmington is 6-0 ATS in its last six games with a total of 150 to 159.5.  Wilmington is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game.  Bet UNC-Wilmington Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte +1.5

This is a great spot to 'sell high' on North Texas.  The Mean Green have gone 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last six games overall against a very soft, home-heavy schedule.  They beat East Carolina 60-59 as 3-point road favorites last time out.  Their luck runs out today and they will get upset by Charlotte.

Charlotte is 7-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season.  The 49ers upset Florida Atlantic as 8-point dogs four games ago to show what they are capable of at home.  They went on to avoid letdowns winning and covering against Tulsa, UTSA and Rice with two of those three games on the road.

North Texas is just 3-5 SU in all games played away from home this season.  Charlotte is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven home meetings with North Texas.  The 49ers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games following a road game.  Bet Charlotte Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Clemson -2

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Florida State.  Clemson is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and highly motivated for a victory.  The Tigers have had the last three days off to get ready for this game against Florida State, and I expect them to put forth their best effort of the season.

The Seminoles are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are coming off an 84-75 upset win at Miami as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday.  They only have two days off to get ready for this game, and they are still celebrating that win over one of their biggest in-state rivals.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Clemson today, and I expect a sloppy game from the Seminoles.

Clemson is 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Florida State.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Duquesne +6

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Duquesne Dukes.  They have opened 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in conference play and will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have played a brutal schedule with road games at UMass and Loyola-Chicago as well as home losses to Dayton and Richmond.  They were competitive in all four games.

They will be competitive in this game as well, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull off the outright upset to get that elusive first conference victory.  St. Joseph's isn't exactly crushing either, going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last three games overall despite facing a much softer schedule with upset losses to Rhode Island and Saint Louis on the road as well as Loyola-Chicago at home.  Their lone win came against a very bad La Salle team at home.

Duquesne won both meetings with St. Joe's last season in blowout fashion by 14 at home and by 12 on the road.  Bet Duquesne Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston College +8.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels are overvalued after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They were in a sleepy spot against Louisville at home last time out and needed a late run to pull away and win by 16 as 21-point favorites.  Now they are once again in a sleepy spot and laying too many points on the road at Boston College today.

Boston College has had the last four days off to get ready for UNC while the Tar Heels have only had the last two days off, so the Eagles have a big rest and preparation advantage.  I like what I've seen from this team especially at home where Boston College is 7-2 SU with both losses coming by 6 points each.  They haven't lost at home by this kind of margin all season, making for a 9-0 system backing the Eagles pertaining to this 8.5-point spread.

UNC is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Boston College is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game.  We'll 'buy low' on the Eagles who are 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 'sell high' on the Tar Heels today.  Bet Boston College Saturday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State -2

I love this spot for Arizona State.  They are coming off consecutive losses at Washington and at home to UCLA and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result.  They had won four consecutive games prior to these losses with four outright wins as underdogs.  Now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season.

They take on an injury-ravaged USC team that is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall losing by 8 at home to Washington State, by 10 at Colorado and by 15 at Arizona.  It won't get any easier for them today because of these injuries.  USC is without Isaiah Collier (15.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG), and both Boogie Ellis (18.7 PPG) and DJ Rodman (7.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG) are questionable.  If all three are out, they will be without three of their top four scorers.  It's too much to overcome even if they are only without Collier.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* Marquette/St. John's Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +1.5

I love the spot for St. John's today.  They are coming off two consecutive road losses at Creighton and at Seton Hall.  But now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season and highly motivated for a victory when they host Marquette today.

Marquette is not playing well at atll.  The Golden Eagles are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They lost by 3 at Seton Hall and were upset at home by Butler as 12-point favorites in two of their last three games.  They have not played well on the road, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three true road games losing by 11 as 3-point favorites at Wisconsin, by 15 as 4-point favorites at Providence and by 3 as 5-point favorites at Seton Hall.  They are once again favored on the road here when they shouldn't be.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-San Diego +6.5

UC-San Diego has quietly gone 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Tritons' only loss came by 4 as 9-point dogs at California.  Earlier this season, they only lost by 1 to San Diego State as 13.5-point dogs.  They haven't lost any of their last 10 games by more than 6 points.  This team is grossly undervalued right now.

UC-Irvine is 5-1 SU but just 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall.  The Anteaters have been living good winning a bunch of close games, especially at home.  They won by 7 as 12-point favorites over UC-Riverside, by 8 as 12-point favorites over CS-Fullerton and by 3 as 9-point favorites over UC-Davis.  Their luck may run out tonight against a Tritons team that is more than capable of pulling off the upset.

San Diego is 11-4 ATS in all games this season.  Irvine is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better.  The Anteaters are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games.  The Tritons won outright as 12.5-point underdogs at Irvine last season.  Bet UC-San Diego Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on South Florida +11.5

Memphis is overvalued due to its current 10-game winning streak.  The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites.

Now the Tigers are laying too many points once again to a South Florida team that can hang with them for 40 minutes.  South Florida is 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Bulls upset Florida State by 16 as 7-point dogs on a neutral, upset Loyola-Chicago by 13 as 1-point home dogs, and their lone loss come by 4 as 4.5-point dogs at UAB.

South Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games after going over the total in its previous game.  Memphis is 1-7 ATS at home this season.  The Tigers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as home favorites of 10 points or more.  The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games following four or more consecutive wins.  Memphis is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games vs. a good team (60-80%).  Bet South Florida Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +11.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are catching too many points tonight at home against Auburn.  The Commodores have quietly gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall losing by 2 as 15.5-point dogs at Memphis, beating Dartmouth by 16 as 13.5-point home favorites, losing by 3 as 12.5-point home dogs to Alabama and losing by 8 as 8.5-point dogs at LSU.  They were even competitive in their 13-point loss at Ole Miss as 10-point dogs, and that's an Ole Miss team that is 15-1 this season.

If the Commodores can nearly upset Alabama at home and Memphis on the road, they can certainly stay within 11.5 points of Auburn.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Tigers, who have gone 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall against a pretty soft schedule.  They have only played two true road games all season and one of them resulted in an upset loss at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites.

Vanderbilt is 12-3 SU & 8-5 ATS in its last 15 home meetings with Auburn.  The Commodores upset the Tigers 67-65 as 3-point home dogs last season.  Plays against road teams as a favorite or PK (Auburn) - a hot team having covered six or seven of its last eight games, a top-level team winning 80% of its games or more against a losing team are 45-12 (78.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Rhode Island +8.5

The Rhode Island Rams are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall beating Northeastern by 11 as 2-point home favorites, upsetting St. Joe's by 4 as 5.5-point home dogs, upsetting Davidson by 5 as 5-point road dogs and upsetting UMass by 12 as 2.5-point home dogs.

This run has coincided with getting their best player in David Green (15.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) eligible and playing.  He has returned for the past four games.  Now he and Jaden House (14.8 PPG) are forming a dynamic tandem.

St. Bonaventure is coming off an upset home loss to Fordham as 10.5-point favorites.  That folled up an 11-point loss at Richmond as 2-point favorites.  The Bonnies have no business being favored by 8.5 over the Rams tonight given how these teams are trending.

St. Bonaventure is 10-25 ATS in its last 35 home games off a home loss.  The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 4-plus points per game after 15-plus games.  Bet Rhode Island Wednesday.

20* Mississippi State/Kentucky ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Kentucky -6.5

This is one of the best Kentucky teams that John Calipari has had in his tenure in Lexington which is saying a lot.  The Wildcats are 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS this season and have been undervalued.  I love the spot for the Wildcats after getting humbled on the road with an OT loss at Texas A&M.

Now the Wildcats are back home where they are 8-1 this season and outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game.  They host a Mississippi State team that has only played two true road games all season, and both resulted in upset losses by 8 as 8.5-point favorites at Georgia Tech and by 6 as 3-point favorites at South Carolina.

Kentucky is 8-0 SU in its last eight home meetings with Mississippi State with all eight wins coming by 6 points or more.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado State -15.5

I love the spot for the Colorado State Rams tonight.  They are coming off two consecutive very tough road losses at Utah State and Boise State.  Now they return home focused to get back on track and won't be taking this game lightly against the awful Air Force Falcons.

Colorado State is 8-1 at home this season with wins over the likes of Colorado and New Mexico as well as a neutral court win over Creighton by 22.  The Rams are a legitimate NCAA Tournament contender this season.

Air Force is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  They lost outright as favorites at home to Eastern Washington, Northern Colorado and San Jose State.  They also lost by 26 at home to Utah State, a team that is on Colorado State's level.  They lost by 13 at Nevada as well.  

The spot also favors Colorado State because they have had the last six days off and haven't played since last Tuesday.  So they have had a full week to correct their mistakes and are pissed off.  The Falcons have only two days to get ready for the Rams after losing to San Jose State on Saturday.  Bet Colorado State Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana +10.5

We've already seen Purdue suffer both of their losses on the Big Ten highway this season.  They lost 92-88 as 5-point favorites at Northwestern and 88-72 as 7.5-point favorites at Nebraska.  They should not be laying 10.5 points on the road at Indiana tonight.

The Hoosiers are 9-1 SU at home this season with their lone loss coming to Kansas by 4 as 7-point dogs.  They led that game 90% of the way and only lost it in the final minutes.  They beat Minnesota by 12, Ohio State by 6 and Maryland by 12.  Assembly Hall is one of the toughest places to play in the country.

Mike Woodson and the Hoosiers have had Matt Painter and the Boilermakers' number in recent meetings.  Indiana is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Purdue.  They won outright 79-71 as 7-point road dogs, 79-74 as 1.5-point home favorites, only lost by 2 as 10-point road dogs and won by 3 as 4-point home dogs.

Purdue is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a road favorite or PK.  The Boilermakers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record 15-plus games into the season.  Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. top-level teams that win more than 80% of their games.  The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points pre game.  Bet Indiana Tuesday.

20* Iowa/Minnesota Big Ten No-Brainer on Minnesota -1

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball. They are 12-0 SU & 14-2 ATS this season, including 11-1 SU & 12-0 ATS at home. Their only home loss came when they blew a 20-plus point 2H lead to Missouri in a 2-point defeat. They beat Nebraska and Maryland at home in Big Ten play.

The Iowa Hawkeyes have always had huge home/road splits under Fran McCaffrey. That's the case again this season as the Hawkeyes are terrible on the road. The Hawkeyes are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, losing by 8 at Creighton, by 19 at Purdue, by 25 at Iowa State and by 11 at Wisconsin.

Minnesota is 10-0 ATS as a favorite this season. The Golden Gophers are 10-1 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season. Bet Minnesota Monday.

20* Washington/UCLA Pac-12 No-Brainer on Washington PK

The UCLA Bruins continue to get too much respect for what they did in previous seasons.  But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century.  The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is.

UCLA is 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites.  They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9.

The Bruins hit rock bottom last time out with a 90-44 road loss at Utah. The team looked to have quit on head coach Mick Cronin. It's not going to get any easier for the Utes today against an underrated Washington team.

The Huskies have gone 10-6 this season against the 29th-toughest schedule in the country. They rank 40th in adjusted offense and 81st in adjusted defense as a very balanced team. All six of their losses came by 7 points or less, so they are close to being much better than 10-6.

Washington is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Huskies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread. Washington is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games following two consecutive home games. UCLA is 1-7 ATS in all home games this season. Bet Washington Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State +13.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are in a massive letdown spot today. They are coming off a 57-53 upset home win over No. 2 Houston. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Oklahoma State, and that will make it difficult for them to cover this inflated 13.5-point spread.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cowboys off consecutive losses to Baylor and Texas Tech. This is an Oklahoma State team that just has Iowa State's number. The Cowboys are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Cyclones including two upset road wins by 8 as 6.5-point dogs and by 17 as 4-point dogs.

Plays against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (Iowa State) - a hot team having covered 6 or 7 or their last 8 games ATS who are also winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 91-50 (64.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. It's time to 'sell high' on the Cyclones. Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baylor -6.5

The Baylor Bears have moved their home games to Foster Pavilion where it's like a small school atmosphere with fans right down on the court and a much more hostile atmosphere for road teams. The Bears have been impressive in their first two games here beating Cornell 98-79 as 16-point favorites and BYU 81-72 as 4.5-point favorites.

Now they host a Cincinnati team that is coming off two huge games against BYU and Texas. I don't think the Bearcats will have much left in the tank here for Baylor. This will be their toughest road game this season. They needed OT to beat Howard on the road and lost by 5 at Xavier. They also lost by 14 to Dayton on a neutral, and this team just isn't very good away from home.

Baylor is 11-3 ATS in all games this season. The Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. Cincinnati is 27-50 ATS in its last 77 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +3

The Drake Bulldogs are coming off a massive 89-78 home win over Indiana State. It's time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs now as they are road favorites at Southern Illinois when they shouldn't be favored at all.

Drake has been very disappointing in its last two road games. The Bulldogs lost outright as 5.5-point favorites at UAB. Then they lost outright by 22 as 5.5-point favorites at Belmont.

Now they must take on a Southern Illinois team that has one of the biggest home-court advantages in the MVC. The Salukis are 9-1 SU & 8-1 ATS at home this season. They beat Belmont by 10, Illinois-Chicago by 12, St. Louis by 39 and also upset Oklahoma State at home.

Drake is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off a home win where they scored 85 points or more. Bet Southern Illinois Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on TCU +5.5

The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-0 at home this season and coming off a 80-71 win over Oklahoma. That followed up a near upset of Kansas on the road by 2 as 9-point dogs. This Horned Frogs team is better than they get credit for.

They should not be catching 5.5 points at home to Houston. The Cougars have not fared that well on the road this season. They were just upset 57-53 at Iowa State as 2.5-point favorites. They only beat Xavier by 6 as 8.5-point favorites in their previous true road game. They are going to find it tough winning on the Big 12 highway this season.

TCU is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.

Plays on home underdogs or PK (TCU) - a very good shooting team making 48% of their shots or better, while also a dominant rebounding team outrebounding their opponents by 7-plus boards per game are 31-6 (83.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet TCU Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on New Mexico -2.5

New Mexico has one of the best home-court advantages in the country inside 'The Pit'. The Lobos are 8-0 at home this season and will take down the San Diego State Aztecs today.

San Diego State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 road games this season. The Aztecs only beat San Jose State by 3 as 10-point favorites, lost outright at Grand Canyon by 6 as 2.5-point favorites and only beat UCSD by 1 as 13.5-point favorites. This will be their toughest road test of the season today. Bet New Mexico Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah -8

I like the spot for the Utah Utes tonight. They return home after two disappointing road losses to Arizona State and Arizona. Now the Utes are back home where they are 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS and outscoring opponents by 19.1 points per game.

The Utes take a step down in class against a UCLA team that continues to get too much respect for what they did in previous season. But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century. The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is.

UCLA is 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last nine games overall. The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9. They will lose by double-digits to the Utes tonight. Bet Utah Thursday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana State +2.5

Wrong team favored here.  Indiana State is the best team in the MVC this season and will prove it once again tonight.  The Sycamores are 13-2 SU & 9-5 ATS this season.  Their two losses came on the road at Alabama and on the road at Michigan State.  But they beat Bradley 85-77 on the road, and many expect Bradley to compete for a conference title alongside Drake.

Drake is 12-3 against a very soft schedule that ranks 265th in the country, about 110 spots easier than the slate Indiana State has faced.  The Bulldogs are coming off a 22-point loss at Belmont despite being 5.5-point favorites.  They also lost were also upset at UAB three games ago, and that's a UAB team that is way down this season.  They lost by 24 on a neutral to Stephen F. Austin earlier this season as well.  This team is way overrrated.

Indiana State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off a conference win by 10 points or more.  The Sycamores are 7-0 ATS vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  Bet Indiana State Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on St. John's -7

It was always going to take some time for Rick Pitino to get the St. John's Red Storm gelling in his first season as head coach.  Well, the time is now as they are playing their best basketball of the season.

St. John's is 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games overall and has been grossly undervalued.  The Red Storm have impressive wins over Utah by 9, Xavier by 15, Butler by 16 and Villanova by 10 during this stretch.  They also had an impressive road loss by 4 as 11-point dogs at UConn to show what they are really capable of.

Now the Red Storm host a Providence team that just lost second-leading scorer and leading rebounder Bryce Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) two games ago to a season-ending injury.  The Friars were upset at home by Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in the game they lost Hopkins.  They also lost by 9 at Creighton in their first full game without him over the weekend.  I expect them to lose by 8-plus on the road tonight to the Red Storm as well.

St. John's is 7-0 ATS after winning three of its last four games this season.  The Red Storm are 7-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or lower this season.  Bet St. John's Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers -2.5

I love the spot for Rutgers tonight.  The Scarlet Knights will be highly motivated for a victory coming off two consecutive road losses to open Big Ten play by 4 at Ohio State and by 9 at Iowa.  They have one of the biggest home-court advantages in the Big Ten and are 7-1 SU at home this season.

The Indiana Hoosiers will be playing just their 3rd true road game of the season.  They did pull the upset at Michigan by 3, but we are quickly seeing how Michigan is a very flawed team going just 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall with losses to McNeese State and Long Beach State.  That win doesn't look that impressive now.  In their other road game, they lost 86-70 at Nebraska as 4.5-point dogs.

Rutgers simply owns Indiana, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with their lone loss coming by 6 on the road.  They beat Indiana 63-48, 74-63, 59-50 and 66-58 in going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Hoosiers.

Indiana is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Rutgers is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better.  Bet Rutgers Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota -1

What more does Minnesota have to do to get some respect?  The Golden Gophers are 11-3 SU & 13-1 ATS this season.  I'll keep backing them as long as the books are going to keep setting bad lines on them.  They should be more than 1-point home favorites over the Maryland Terrapins tonight.

Minnesota is 10-1 SU & 11-0 ATS at home this season.  Their lone loss came after blowing a 20-plus point lead to Missouri in the 2H to lose by 2.  They host a Maryland team that is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS on the road this season with their lone win coming at lowly UCLA, which is getting upset by everything this season and is way down.  Maryland lost by 57-40 at Villanova as 6.5-point dogs and 65-53 at Indiana as 2-point dogs.

Minnesota is 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season.  Bet Minnesota Sunday.

15* Colorado/Arizona State Pac-12 ANNIHILATOR on Arizona State +3.5

The Arizona State Sun Devils are grossly undervalued right now.  They have pulled off three straight outright upsets as underdogs beating Stanford and California on the road as well as dismantling Utah 82-70 at home as 6-point dogs last time out.

The Colorado Buffaloes have been grossly overvlaued of later.  They are 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They only beat Washington by 4 as 8.5-point home favorites and Washington State by 7 as 7.5-point home favorites.  They were crushed 97-50 at Arizona as 13-point dogs last time out.

The biggest reason for Colorado's recent struggles is the fact that they are without two of their three best players in Tristan De Silva (15.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Cody Williams (14.0 PPG).  It's very difficult for them to even be competitive without these two, and they certainly should not be favored on the road over Arizona State without them.

Arizona State is 6-0 SU at home this season.  Colorado is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in neutral/true road games and have been terrible on the road for years.  Colorado is 127-167 ATS in its last 294 road games.  Arizona State is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games following an ATS win.  The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following two or more consecutive ATS wins.  They are a streaky team, and they stay hot with their 4th consecutive upset victory tonight.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma -2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are overrated due to their 11-2 start against the 347th-ranked schedule in the country.  Their schedule really couldn't have been much easier to this point.  They have only played on true road game and that came against DePaul, one of the worst teams in the country.

This will be Iowa State's toughest test of the season to date, and I expect them to fail.  They take on an Oklahoma Sooners team that looks to be among the contenders to win the Big 12.  The Sooners are 12-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road to North Carolina.

The Sooners are 9-0 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 26.7 points per game.  Iowa State is 20-40 ATS in its last 60 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Oklahoma is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games vs. teams that win more than 80% of their games.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Bradley -4

Bradley is 9-5 against the 82nd-toughest schedule in the country.  Missouri State is 9-5 against the 274th-ranked schedule in the country.  That nearly 200-spot difference in strength of schedule is a big reason I'm laying the points with Bradley at home today.

Missouri State has not looked good on the road this season.  They are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games losing by 17 at Drake, by 4 at Middle Tennessee and by 1 at Tulsa.  Bradley is on Drake's level and a contender to win the MVC.  They will prove it today.

Bradley won both meetings with Missouri State last season.  They won 58-40 as 2.5-point road dogs and 64-54 as 9.5-point home favorites.  Bradley has one of the best home-court advantages in the country going 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games.

The Braves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a win by 10 points or more.  Missouri State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 65 points or fewer in two consecutive games.  Bet Bradley Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Arkansas +2.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are a young team that is improving with each passing week under one of the best head coaches in the country in Eric Musselman.  They are 7-1 at home this season which includes an upset win over Duke.

The Razorbacks should not be home underdogs to the Auburn Tigers today.  Auburn has only played one true road game all season.  They lost that game 69-64 at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites.  They have had big home/road splits under current head coach Bruce Pearl.

Arkansas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 home meetings with Auburn.  The Tigers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as road favorites of 3 points or less or PK.  The Razorbacks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Line Mistake on Evansville -1.5

Evansville is 10-4 SU & 10-3 ATS and one of the most underrated teams in the country this season.  Murray State is 5-9 SU & 5-8 ATS and one of the most overrated.  I'll gladly lay the short number on the Purple Aces at home today.

Murray State is 0-6 SU in neutral/true road games this season.  The Racers were also upset at home as double-digit favorites by SE Louisiana.  Evansville is 6-0 SU at home where they are outscoring opponents by 23.6 points per game.

Murray State is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 road games.  The Racers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive wins.  Bet Evansville Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Creighton -10

The Creighton Bluejays have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Look for them to beat Providence by double-digits to cover this number at home Saturday.

Creighton has played the 29th-toughest schedule in the country so they are battle-tested.  Providence has faced the 171st-ranked schedule.  The Friars have only played one true road game, and they lost that game badly 72-51 as 5-point dogs at Oklahoma.  This will now be their toughest test of the season.

Making it even tougher is that they lost their best player in BJ Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) to a season-ending injury in their 61-57 upset home loss to Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in their last game.  They stand very little chance of keeping this game competitive on the road in their first game without Hopkins.

Creighton is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover the spread in four of its last five games.  Providence is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game.  Bet Creighton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Wisconsin-Milwaukee -5.5

Wisconsin-Milwaukee just got its best player back from injury in BJ Freeman (19.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG).  Freeman averaged 17.0 PPG and 5.1 RPG last season for the Panthers.  He was out from November 25th to December 31st.

Freeman returned to action against Wright State on December 31st and poured in 23 points in a 91-83 victory.  He had 15 points and 5 boards in a 100-95 loss at Oakland as 5.5-point dogs last time out.  He means everything to this team, and they are an undervalued commodity moving forward with a healthy Freeman.

Now the Panthers will blow out the worst team in all of college basketball in Detroit.  The Titans are 0-16 this season and just lost their best player in Jayden Stone (18.9 PPG) to injury.  They are 3-13 ATS this season and consistently getting too much respect from the books as people keep betting them hoping to catch a falling knife.

The losses have been real ugly of late for Detroit.  They lost by 18 at home to Wisconsin-Green Bay as 2.5-point dogs, by 35 at IUPFW as 13-point dogs and by 12 at IUPUI as 2.5-point favorites.  They haven't even come close to covering in their last three games, and they won't come close Saturday, either.

Detroit is 0-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games this season.  The Titans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Saturday.

15* Marquette/Seton Hall Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on Seton Hall +5

Seton Hall is starting to make some headway under second-year head coach Shaheen Holloway.  The Pirates are 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall.  They upset Missouri on a neutral, upset UConn by 15 as 7.5-point home dogs and upset Providence by 4 as 6-point road dogs during this stretch.

If they can upset UConn at home, they certainly have a great shot to upset Marquette as well.  We just saw Marquette get upset in their Big East road opener, losing 72-57 as 4-point favorites at Providence.  They are coming off a big home win over Creighton by 5, which sets them up for a letdown spot here as well.

Holloway is 46-28 ATS as an underdog as a head coach.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

15* UNC/Clemson ACC Early ANNIHILATOR on Clemson -1.5

The Clemson Tigers are 11-2 SU & 9-4 ATS this season with both of their losses coming on the road to Memphis and Miami.  The Tigers are back home now coming off that loss to Miami, and they are 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS at home this season.  This is a legit NCAA Tournament and ACC title contender, and they will prove it with a win and cover at home against UNC today.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tar Heels, who are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  We saw them lose to Kentucky and UConn on a neutral prior to that.  UNC has somehow only played one true road game all season to this point, so they won't be prepared for the kind of atmosphere they are going to face at Clemson Saturday.

UNC Is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.  The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after a game with a combined scored of 155 or more points.  These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Tigers today.  Also, Clemson is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games with a line of +3 to -3.  Bet Clemson Saturday.