[1%] Free Play on Wyoming +5
1* Free Sharp Play on Sabres +160
1* Free Pick on Cardinals +3 -120
Analysis will be posted shortly
These two teams are familiar with each others offense and are prepared to stop them. The last two meetings have only seen 27 points scored in each. There have been 14 unders and 2 overs in the last 16 meetings. The total opened at 45 but has dropped down to around 40 and we are giving it out as a free play.
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The set-up: Yes, Tom Brady has taken a major step back over the second half of the season, but I still think the veteran will have more than enough in the tank to bounce back here in this favorable spot. Off their first home loss since 2017, clearly the Pats are going to be in a foul mood today (I had a play on the Chiefs last Sunday.) It hasn't been all Brady's fault obviously, as he's lacking big time playmakers. That said, a game vs. Andy Dalton and the toothless Bengals is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion. With a tough game at home next week vs. a revenge-minded Bills team that's breathing down their neck, it's now or never for Bill Belichick and company in Cincinnati this weekend.
The pick: The Pats have been money in the bank for bettors in this spot for years as well, going 13-2 ATS in their last 15 vs. teams with losing records (which includes going 4-0 ATS this season) and a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three after having lost two out of their last three SU. The Bengals on the other hand are a money-burning 8-13 ATS in their last 21 at home, including 1-4 already this season. If you'd have asked Brady before the season started if he'd have been satisfied with a 13-3 campaign, I believe he'd have taken it on the spot. With a chance to still do that, I look for New England to finally start the turnaround this weekend. Consider laying the points.
1* FREE PLAY on New England.
The Rams enter this game having seen 7 of their L/8 games stay under the total, while Dallas has seen 2 of their L/3 stay under while averaging just 16 ppg of offence in those three tilts. The current form of both teams points to this being a grinding low scoring late season affair.
LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons for combined average 44.8 ppg. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 33.7 ppg. LA RAMS are 9-2 UNDER as a favorite this season with a combined average of 42.1 ppg going on the board.
NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 23-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.
NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 26-7 UNDER L/36 seasons for a 79% conversion rate!
Play – Chicago Bears (Game 309).
Edges – Bears: 7-0 SUATS when both teams are coming off a home game, and 5-0 SUATS in division games with QB Mitchell Tribusky when Chicago owns a winning record … Packers: 1-6 ATS in Last Home Games in division games when coming off a non-division game … We recommend a 1* play on Chicago. Thank you and good luck as always.
> > Look: Marc’s Top Rated 10* NFL Game Of the Month goes Sunday and it’s locked and loaded with terrific winning situations inside the game that are all 100% ATS. If you’re serious about winning then you know exactly what to do!
Take 'Over' 40.5 Army vs. Navy (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 14)
This game is going to be a bit higher scoring than people think. Don't be surprised at all to see Navy hit 30 points by themselves in this one. Navy can be beaten in the air, and we know that Army struggles to do that, but they will hit some big plays just running their regular offense. This game has a 31-17 type feel to it and will cash the 'over' quite easily. Navy averaged 41 points per game throughout the month of November. And although we don't see them getting quite that high, the 'over' won't be a problem.
R&R Totals FREE NHL Over-Under Saturday 12-14-19
UNDER 6 -105 Dallas/Nashville
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This is the juiciest of sandwiches for the road team in this one. The Eagles expended a ton to beat the Giants at home in overtime on Monday Night Football. Along the way, they lost Alshon Jeffery and Lane Johnson who both won't be available for Sunday. Boston Scott, Greg Ward and Josh Perkins are the ones making catches late in the game. They've also got the Cowboys at home in what will be a huge game in terms of deciding who will win the NFC East next week. Washington has actually played better as of late winning two of their last three with the loss coming by five at Green Bay. The Redskins defense has cut Josh Norman out of the lineup and the secondary has improved. The offense still isn't very good with Dwayne Haskins under center, but if they can get AP going then they'll reduce the amount of possessions and shorten the game. Way back in week one, Philly won 32-27 over the Skins in a game that saw Washington blow a 20-7 halftime lead. Give me the home team here.
The NBA Comp Play is on the Over in the Miami at Dallas game at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid long term system cashing 91% since 1995. Play the Over for rested home favorite with a 200 or higher total if they scored 120 or more as and covered as a road favorite of 5 or more and allowed 110 or more if the opponent which is Miami in this case was a home dog last out. The Heat will go up tempo with Dallas in this game and the Mavs have flown over in 16 of 23 overall including 7 of 9 as a favorite and 12 of 16 with 1 day of rest. The Heat are 5 of 7 over vs inning teams and played hard last night in a loss to the Lakers. Play this one Over the total. . For the NBA Free play. Go with the Over in the Miami at Dallas game. RV- GC Sports
Saturday card has the 6* Army-Navy Game play and the NCAAB cad is led by our 100% Non Conference Game of the Year. NBA Up as well with the East Conf. Game of the Month.
$$ 2 Time Overall Football Leader- NBA Ranked #1 Last Season $$
Pure Lock's FREE NBA play Saturday 12-14-19
Brooklyn +7 1/2 -103
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