Free Pick on Tigers
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Heat -1½ -110
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Free Total Annihilator On Heat vs Celtics over 222½ -110
1 Dimer on Marlins vs Diamondbacks over 8 -104
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves have quietly gone 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with all three losses by single-digits to the Heat, Pelicans and Grizzlies. They have upset wins over the Warriors and Jazz (twice) during this streak. They clearly aren't just playing out the string.
The same cannot be said for the Pistons, who are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. Four of those six losses came by double-digits against a very soft schedule. The Pistons have decided to sit a bunch of their best players here down the stretch as it appears they are intentionally losing games. They are without Grant, McGruder, Ellington, Diallo and Plumlee right now and are likely to be without Joseph, Frank Jackson and Josh Jackson.
The Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday.
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1* Free Pick on Royals -131
1* on Bulls +5 -110
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Chip's FREE MLB Winner
Miami at Arizona 9:40 ET
Marlins over Diamondbacks- Miami who has played better than most expected have dropped their last three games as their bats were silent scoring just five runs. Arizona will send Madison Bumgarner (3-3, 4.91 ERA) to the mound who has a 7-inning no-hitter this season but is just 2-4, with a 4.20 ERA in 11 starts against the Marline including a stint this season of six inning allowing just two hits no walks and only one run while striking out 11. Miami will use Pablo Lopez (0-2, 2.04) who is 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two starts against Arizona including six innings against them this season allowing just three hits and one run. Marlins are 4-1 over the D'backs in the last five meetings. Take MIAMI!
Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Milwaukee Bucks -13
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks lost on a blowout last night to the San Antonio Spurs. They should still be pretty fresh because their starters didn't play big minutes. And they had 2 days off prior to that defeat. Look for the Bucks to come back hungry tonight for a win after having their 5-game winning streak come to an end. They are just one game behind the Nets for 2nd place in the East with plenty to play for. The Magic have nothing to play for and it is showing as they are resting a bunch of players. The Magic are just 4-16 SU & 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games overall. They have lost 3 straight games by double-digits to the Celtics by 36, the Hornets by 10 and the Timberwolves by 32. The Bucks are 6-0 SU in their last 6 matchups with the Magic with all 6 wins coming by 14 points or more, including wins by 22 and 37 points in their 2 matchups this season. Take Milwaukee.
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Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Tuesday 5-11-21
Washington -127 (Anderson/Fedde) Listed
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The free soccer play takes place Thursday. They are expecting a low score and I think it ends 1-1.
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1* Free Pick on Marlins/Diamondbacks over 8 -104
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1* NBA - Knicks/Lakers *FREE PICK* on Lakers -4.5
Tuesday's Free NBA Pick is on the Los Angeles Lakers as a 4.5-point home favorite against the New York Knicks. With LeBron James expected back in the lineup after missing the last few and Kyle Kuzma returning after sitting out their last game, this is just too good a price to pass up with LA.
I know the Knicks have been playing great and off road win against the Clippers, but this is now their 6th road game in the last 10 days. Lakers are playing just their 2nd game in 4 days.
I also think that while LA is 1.5-games back of Portland with just 4 to play and need to finish ahead with the Blazers holding the tie-breaker, they have to feel like they got a chance to get out of this play-in tournament. After the Knicks they finish up with Houston, @ Pacers and @ Pelicans. Blazers last 3 are @ Utah, @ Suns and Nuggets. Bet the Lakers -4.5!
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat -1.5
The Miami Heat jumped out to a 79-53 halftime lead over the Boston Celtics on Sunday before calling off the dogs in the second half. That made the final score of 130-124 appear much closer than the game really was. Look for the Heat to put it on the Celtics again Tuesday knowing that they want to try and get in the Top 6 in the East to avoid the play-in round of the playoffs, and the Celtics are the team that is trying to chase them down. That's why they won't take Boston lightly in the rematch after just beating them. Boston just isn't good enough now that Jaylen Brown is out for the season with a wrist injury to hang with a healthy Heat team. The Heat are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games overall and clearly in playoff mode right now. The Celtics are 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall and stumbling to the finish line. Give me the Heat.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Phillies +109
The Phillies (+109) are worth a look at basically even money on the road against the Nationals in Tuesday's MLB action. Both starters in this matchup have not pitched well in 2021. Washington's Erick Fedde has a 5.27 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in 6 stats and Philadelphia's Chase Anderson has a 5.54 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 starts. Good chance this one comes down to which offense shows up and that edge has to go to the Phillies. Nationals have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Philadelphia is averaging 5.3 runs/game over their last 7. Play the Phillies +109!
Tuesday card has the NHL 2nd half game of the year, NBA Total of the Month with a 100% Totals System, an MLB 5* Perfect System Diamond Cutter. Comp Play below
The MLB Comp Play for Tuesday is on the Over on the Oakland at Boston game at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a nice system that has gone over 10 of 12 times in game 1 of a series for home favorites like Boston that are off a road favored loss by 2 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs vs an opponent like Oakland off a home favored loss that scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits. These games average 11 runs per game. Boston has gone over 6 of 7 as a home favorite and 15 of 20 at home vs a winning team. Oakland is 5 of 6 over with rest. In the series 9 of 13 here have flown over. Eovaldi for Boston has a pedestrian like 4.62 era on the season. Bassitt is at 3.70. . Look for this game to play over the total. On Tuesday the NHL 2nd half Game of the Year headlines along with the NBA Total of the Month and a Powerful MLB Card with a 16-0 Dominator system.. For the Comp Play we will back Boston and Oakland over the total. Rob V- GC Sports.
Twins vs White Sox Free Pick May 11, 2021
*42-30 (58%), +$8,520 ALL FREE PICKS YTD*
I think the value is on the visiting Minnesota Twins in the opener of this three-game series with AL Central rivals Chicago White Sox.
Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.02 ERA) is coming off his best start of the year. Maeda struck out eight through five scoreless innings of two-hit ball on May 3. Maeda owns a 2-0 record with a 3.00 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. Right-hander Dylan Cease (2-0, 2.37 ERA) will take the ball for Chicago. He is 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA in three career starts against Minnesota.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Free pick on Minnesota Twins.
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This is a huge spread tonight. Especially since the Clippers have covered only two of their last nine games. They are getting healthy but a bunch of players are getting back into the rotation that are rusty. This team seems to be trying to tune up for the postseason instead of winning right now. These teams played last week in LA and the Clippers needed a big rally to win the game late in the fourth. That showed us that Toronto matches up well. They have also covered in nine of the last 13 meetings. Toronto is eliminated from the postseason. But they have pride. And they will be facing their old best player in Kawhi Leonard, and that should be enough to give them the motivation to keep this one within double digits.
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Tuesday 5-11-21
LA Clippers -12 1/2
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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Tuesday 5-11-21
OVER 7 Seattle/LA Dodgers (Kikuchi/Buehler) Listed
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Tuesday’s FREE WINNER: UNDER in the ORIOLES/METS matchup.
4:10 pm pst.
Playing in the AL East is no walk in the park. Coming off a lackluster campaign a season ago, the Orioles had high hopes for this season. Well, with more than a month in the books, Baltimore dwells in the division cellar at 16-19. With the third-highest payroll in baseball, the Mets currently reside atop the NL East at 16-13. Thus far, these two teams have combined to play 23 overs, 37 unders, and three pushes. Stroman (3-3, 2.12) owns a career ERA of 3.36 in 13 games (12 starts) vs. the Orioles. Means (4-0, 1.37) possesses a 3.97 ERA in two lifetime starts vs. the Mets. And, by the way, both offenses are among the poorest in the Majors (Baltimore 25th 3.86 RPG, New York 29th 3.37). Under is 7-2 L9 meetings in New York. Take the under. Thank you.
My free play is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET.
The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020, as their 35-25 record earned them a wild card berth). Chicago lost that series to Oakland 2-1, but opened the current season as favorites to win the AL Central. Minnesota won the AL Central with a 36-24 record, giving them a third postseason appearance in the previous four years. However, Minnesota's postseason woes continued, as they got swept 2- 0 by the 29-31 Astros. Minnesota has almost unbelievably lost 18 consecutive postseason games!
Minnesota opened the current season 5-2 but enters this season having lost 18 of its last 25 to fall to 12-20. In contrast, the White Sox were only 8-9 through April 19 but have won 11 of 15, after a three-game sweep at KC this past weekend. Chicago is now 19-13 and leads the AL Central by one game over the Indians. Meanwhile, the Twins find themselves SEVEN games back of the White Sox and their record is better than only the MLB-worst Detroit Tigers (10-24). The teams open a three-game series tonight in Chicago, as the Twins send Kenta Maeda (2-2, 5.02 ERA) to the mound, while the White Sox counter with Dylan Cease (2-0, 2.37 ERA).
Maeda spent his first four seasons with the Dodgers but was traded to Minnesota in February of 2020. Maeda was terrific in 2020, going 6-1 in 11 starts (Twins were 8-3). He posted a 2.70 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and opponents batted just .168 against him. However, he's really fallen off in 2021, going 2-2 in six starts (Twins are 2-4) with a 5.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, while opponents have batted .306! How bad is that? His career BAA is .225.
Cease entered this season 9-11 (over 26 starts) with a 5.00 ERA in his first two years. He did not get a decision in his first three starts of 2021 but Chicago lost all three (his ERA was 3.86). However, he's 2-0 with a 1.10 ERA over his last three starts (White Sox are 3-0), lowering his ERA to 2.37 on the season with a BAA of .208.will go for their fourth win in a row Tuesday night when they open a three-game series against the visiting Minnesota Twins.
Chicago outscored KC 21-4 in its three-game sweep this past weekend and now gets SEVEN consecutive home games, three vs the Twins (7-18 their last 25) and four vs the Royals (losers of EIGHT in a row). Cease is part of a Chicago starting rotation that has combined to go 14-5 with a 2.66 ERA with opponents are hitting .196 off the group. Getting back to Maeda, he owns a 6.63 ERA in four road starts this season, allowing opponents to bat .337. Chicago is the play.
962 Kansas City at Detroit
Both starters are having solid seasons, but Matthew Boyd looks like he has finally turned the corner. Based on the free fall of the Royals at the moment, we want no part of Kansas City as a road favorite.
FREE PLAY on Blue Jays/Braves over 8½ -120
Free Play on Braves +110
1* Free Play on Nets -5½ -110
FREE PICK - Tampa Bay Rays +117
Really like the Rays as a small home dog against the Yankees in Tuesday's series opener. Tampa Bay did lose 2 of 3 at Oakland over the weekend, but are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. I just think the Rays offer a lot of value when they send out an "Opener" like they will in this one with Luis Patino.
In his first start, Patino pitched 2 2/3 innings at home against the Blue Jays. Not only did he not allow a run, he didn't give up a hit. You also got to remember the Rays have a strong bullpen. Tampa Bay relievers have a 3.24 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 75 innings pitched at home this season.
I also think that it's important to note that the Yankees have cooled back off at the plate. They totaled just 16 hits in their 3 games at home against the Nationals this past weekend.
Lastly, New York is sending out Jordan Montgomery, who has an ugly 4.41 ERA in 6 starts and a 5.52 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 3 road starts. To top it off, Montgomery has an awful 5.25 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Rays. Give me Tampa Bay +117!
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This is a free play on Houston.
The Astros lost Game 1 of this home series versus LA, but I like Houston in Game 2.
Lance McCullers will toe the slab for Houston, and he's coming off back to back wins. McCullers (2-1, 3.58 ERA) allowed three runs while striking out eight in six innings in a win over the Yankees his last time out.
The Angels will hand the ball to Shohei Ohtani, who has really struggled to throw strikes. He walked six batters in five innings in a loss to Tampa his last time out.
The Angels are 6-17 in the last 23 meetings in Houston.
Tuesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Winnipeg over Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday.
The Jets continue to struggle, having won just once in their last 10 games but I do like their chances of bouncing back following last night's 3-1 loss to these same Canucks. It's worth noting that Winnipeg still owns a slight 4-3 edge in the last seven meetings between these two teams in Winnipeg and Vancouver has yet to notch consecutive victories over the Jets this season. We haven't seen the Canucks post back-to-back wins since they returned to the ice with stunning consecutive victories over the Leafs back on April 18th and 20th. Considering Thatcher Demko started last night's game in goal for Vancouver and it has yet to give a goaltender consecutive starts in a back-to-back situation this season, we're likely to see Braden Holtby between the pipes tonight. He has of course struggled this season with a GAA well north of 3.00 and a save percentage under .900. The Jets are in a strong situation here having gone 23-12 when coming off a division loss over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.7 goals in that spot. They're also 23-13 when revenging a loss against an opponent by two goals or more over the last two seasons, outscoring the opposition by 0.3 goals on average in that situation. Meanwhile, the Canucks have had a tendency to run out of gas on long road trips, having gone a miserable 5-20 when playing at least their fourth straight road game over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 goals in that spot. Take Winnipeg (8*).
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