15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +5

Tulane continues to battle for head coach Ron Hunter.  The Green Wave are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have pulled road upsets over Tulsa and Temple as 7.5 and 8-point dogs, respectively.  And their three losses were all close with a 3-point home loss to Cincinnati, a 4-point road loss at UCF and an 8-point road loss at Wichita State.

Now the Green Wave are catching 5 points here Sunday against a South Florida team that has been hit hard by COVID.  The Bulls returned from a month off an lost 65-82 at home to Houston.  Now the Bulls will still be rusty here in just their 2nd game back.  They have no business being a 5-point favorite over an active Tulane team that is playing its best basketball of the season.

South Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games.  The road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Tulane is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after playing three consecutive games as an underdog.  South Florida is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. poor 3-point shooting teams that make 31% or less.  Take Tulane Sunday.

20* Michigan/Wisconsin Big Ten No-Brainer on Wisconsin +1

The Michigan Wolverines will be returning from a COVID pause that has lasted over three weeks.  They will be rusty in their first game back here against Wisconsin.  So I'll gladly fade them here.

Wisconsin wants revenge from a 54-77 road loss at Michigan in their first meeting this season.  The Wolverines were only 2.5-point favorites in that game, and now they are 1-point road favorites in the rematch.  The books have not adjusted enough for the rust factor and the flip of venues.

Wisconsin is 11-2 SU at home this season.  The Badgers are 14-4 SU in their last 18 home meetings with Michigan.  The underdog is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.  The Badgers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. teams that score 77-plus points per game.  Bet Wisconsin Sunday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington State +8

The Washington State Cougars have been one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-12 all season.  That is especially the case of late as they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  That includes an upset home win over UCLA by 8, an upset road win at Oregon by 3 and an upset road win at Washington by 15.

Now the Cougars will relish the opportunity to try and upset a Top 25 opponent here in USC.  It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Trojans, who are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall coming in.  Now they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to their ranking and this run.

Washington State wants revenge from a 77-85 road loss at USC on January 16th in thier first meeting this season.  So they've already proven they can play with the Trojans on the road losing by just 8 points, and now they get them at home in the rematch and are catching 8 points.

The Cougars are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet Washington State Saturday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso +7

The Valparaiso Crusaders are playing their best basketball of the season right now in going 4-4 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.  That includes upset wins over Drake and Bradley, as well as an OT loss to Drake.

Understandably, after handing Drake its first loss of the season, the Crusaders had a big letdown in their next game with a 52-76 loss to Bradley.  The Braves also wanted that game more as they were looking for revenge from an earlier loss to the Crusaders.  But now is a great time to 'buy low' on Valparaiso off that blowout defeat.

Northern Iowa has no business being a 7-point favorite in this game.  The Panthers have been overvalued all season as they are just 6-13 SU & 3-13-1 ATS on the year.  They have lost three of their last four coming in with their lone victory coming by 3 points over Indiana State.  They just lost by 21 to Drake, the same team that Valparaiso beat once and took to OT the other meeting recently.

Valparaiso is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off two or more consecutive unders.  Northern Iowa is 0-6 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 7 days this season.  The Crusaders are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games when playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  Valparaiso is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss by more than 20 points.  The Panthers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games following a loss by more than 20 points.  Take Valparaiso Saturday.

20* Iowa/Michigan State Big Ten No-Brainer on Michigan State +5

The Michigan State Spartans are coming out the other side of the COVID problems that set them back.  After three straight road losses, the Spartans have won two in a row at home and now want revenge from one of those road defeats.

The Spartans lost 78-84 at Iowa in their first meeting on February 2nd.  Now they get their shot at revenge less than two weeks later.  Iowa attempted 20 more free throws than Michigan State and shot 50% compared to 40% for the Spartans.  Yet the Hawkeyes still only won that game by 6 points.

Iowa isn't playing well enough right now to be a 5-point road favorite.  The Hawkeyes are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They are a tired team right now playing their 5th game in 12 days here.  It's just the 3rd game in 11 days for the Spartans, who always seem to get better as the season goes along under Tom Izzo.

Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 home meetings with Iowa.  So getting 5 points with the Spartans given that trend is a tremendous value.  And they need a signature win like this to climb back into the NCAA Tournament picture.  You can bet the Spartans will be putting their best foot forward today, and it should be good enough to get the cover at a minimum.  Bet Michigan State Saturday.

15* Indiana/Ohio State ESPN 2 Early ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -6.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have won five Big Ten road games during this stretch over Maryland, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois and Rutgers.  Nobody is playing better than the Buckeyes in the Big Ten right now.

Now they will take down an Indiana team that is getting respect from oddsmakers off two recent upset wins over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  But they needed double-overtime to beat Northwestern on Wednesday and will now be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  The Buckeyes have had four days to get ready for this game after last playing on Monday.

The Buckeyes are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games.  Ohio State is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home favorite.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Buckeyes are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 home meetings with Indiana.  Roll with Ohio State Saturday.

20* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Clemson -4.5

The Clemson Tigers are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS at home this season.  They are coming off two straight blowout home wins over two good teams in the ACC with a 13-point win over North Carolina and a 17-point win over Syracuse.  It should be more of the same here against Georgia Tech.

Clemson has a huge rest and preparation advantage here.  The Tigers last played on Saturday, so they have had five days to get ready for the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech just lost to Virginia on Wednesday, so the Yellow Jackets have only one day to get ready for Clemson.

We will get a big effort from the Tigers tonight as they are out for revenge from one of their worst losses of the season.  They lost 65-83 at Georgia Tech on January 20th.  Everything went right for the Yellow Jackets as they shot 16-of-26 (61.5%) from 3-point range and forced 20 turnovers.  Don't count on either of those things to happen again.

Clemson has won 18 of its last 23 home meetings with Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 SU in true road games this season.  The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off a win by 10 points or more.  Clemson is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games following a win.  Roll with Clemson Friday.

20* Rutgers/Iowa Big Ten No-Brainer on Rutgers +7

The Fran McCaffrey fade is a real thing.  The Iowa Hawkeyes opened 12-2 before going 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  They seems to struggle late in the year every season as McCaffrey fails to push the right buttons time and time again.

A big reason for the Hawkeyes struggling this time around is the packed schedule due to COVID.  Iowa just played 3 games in 6 days and now will be playing their 4th game in 9 days.  They have only two days to get ready for Rutgers after losing in Indiana on Sunday.

Rutgers has five days to get ready for Iowa after last playing on February 4th.  The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  Now they want revenge from a 77-75 home loss to Iowa on January 2nd in their first meeting this season.  The Hawkeyes are 3-2 SU in their last five meetings against Rutgers, but the Scarlet Knights are +21 in point differential in those five games.  Iowa's three wins came by 2, 2 and 5 points, while Rutgers won by 14 and 16.  And now we are catching 7 points with the Scarlet Knights, which is too much tonight.

Rutgers are 21-9-1 ATS in its last 31 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Rutgers is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or better.  The Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game on the season.  The Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record.  The underdog is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  These last four trends combine for a perfect 25-0 system backing the Scarlet Knights.  Roll with Rutgers Wednesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Tulane +8.5

Tulane head coach Ron Hunter has always been a great motivator.  The Green Wave have been through some adversity with COVID-19 this season, but they haven't quit playing.  And they are playing their best basketball of the season right now.

Indeed, the Green Wave are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They upset Temple by 17 as 8-point road underdogs.  They hung with Wichita State in an 8-point loss as 12-point road underdogs.  And last time out they led Cincinnati most the way but lost by 3 as 6-point home dogs.  And now they are catching 8.5 points to Tulsa tonight as oddsmakers continue to undervalue this team.

The Golden Hurricane looked like they could be a tournament team a month ago when they upset Houston.  But it has pretty much been all downhill since, and head coach Frank Haith isn't doing a good job of keeping his team together.  They have gone 1-4 SU in their last five games overall to fall to 9-8 on the season.  Their only win during this stretch came against East Carolina by 9.

Head-to-head history certainly favors the Green Wave here.  The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Tulane hasn't lost any of its last five road meetings at Tulsa by more than 8 points.  The Green Wave are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games.  Tulane is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.  Take Tulane Wednesday.

25* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State -2.5

This is the perfect spot to 'buy low' on the Michigan State Spartans.  They are just 1-4 SU in their last five games overall and just 4-12 ATS on the season.  They have burned the publics money all year and they don't want to continue to back them because of it.

Now we are getting the Spartans extremely cheap at home as only 2.5-point favorites.  COVID problems have been an issue for them, but they are starting to come out the other side of it and should continue to improve just as Tom Izzo-coached teams always seem to do as the season goes on.  And at 9-7 on the season, they still have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament with a big finish to the season.

It's also a great time to 'sell high' on Penn State, which has gone 3-1 ATS in its last four games coming in.  While the Nittany Lions have been great at home, they have been terrible on the road.  Indeed, they are 0-6 SU in Big Ten road games this season.

Michigan State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 home meetings with Penn State.  The Nittany Lions are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after covering two of their last three ATS coming in.  The Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Michigan State Tuesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on NC State -2

NC State is proving it has the depth and talent to overcome the loss of leading scorer Devon Daniels (16.5 PPG).  He has missed the past three games and the Wolfpack have gone 2-0-1 ATS without him.

They won at Boston College by 16 as 6-point favorites, only lost by 7 at home to Virginia as 7-point dogs, and only lost by 3 at Syracuse as 6.5-point dogs.  Now the Wolfpack get their chance at revenge here against the Orange just over a week later and get them at home this time around.

That's important considering the Wolfpack are 6-2 SU at home this season.  Syracuse is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in road games this season.  The Orange haven't even been competitive in their last three road games, losing by 17 at Clemson, by 23 at Virginia and by 17 at Pittsburgh.

NC State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after making 78% of their free throws or better in their previous game.  The Wolfpack are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after giving up 5 or fewer offensive rebounds in their previous game.  The Orange are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Roll with NC State Tuesday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on Air Force +14

The Air Force Falcons want revenge from a 58-68 road loss to the UNLV Rebels yesterday as 14-point underdogs.  Now the Falcons come back as 14-point dogs again here Monday and I see a ton of value in backing them.

The Falcons were competitive for 40 minutes and only trailed 28-31 at halftime.  And it's worth noting that UNLV got its best player back in Bryce Hamilton and he couldn't have played better yesterday, scoring 22 points on 9-of-14 shooting and grabbing 13 rebounds.  He played his best game, and they still only won by 10.

Air Force is 55-31 ATS in its last 86 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more.  The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  UNLV hasn't won any of its last 11 meetings with Air Force by more than 12 points, making for a perfect 11-0 system backing the Falcons pertaining to this 14-point spread.  Bet Air Force Monday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Evansville +18.5

I cashed in Evansville yesterday +19.5 in a 55-68 road loss to Loyola-Chicago.  I'm backing on them again today as this 18.5-point spread in the rematch is still too high for many of the same reasons as I stated yesterday.

It's time to 'sell high' on Loyola-Chicago after going 9-0 SU & 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Ramblers hadn't been more than an 11-point favorite in any of its previous 10 games prior to yesterday.  Now all of a sudden the Ramblers are 19.5 and 18.5-point favorites in back-to-back games.

And this is an Evansville team that has been competitive all season.  They have just two losses by more than 13 points all season, and only three losses by more than 9 points.  The Purple Aces have gone 6-4 SU in their last 10 games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Take Evansville Sunday.

20* Iowa/Indiana Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR on Iowa -3.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Iowa Hawkeyes Sunday.  They have gone 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  That includes their upset 69-81 home loss to Indiana as 10-point favorites on January 21st.

Now the Hawkeyes want revenge from that defeat, which was clearly their worst performance of the season thus far.  They go from being 10-point favorites in that game to only 3.5-point favorites in the rematch, a 6.5-point adjustment which is just too much.  The Hawkeyes are clearly the superior team, and when they put their best foot forward today given their motivation that will show on the court.

Indiana is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three home games with upset losses to Purdue and Rutgers, as well as an overtime loss to Illinois.  The Hoosiers just don't have the home-court advantage they normally would due to COVID.  But their home lines continue to be inflated in their favor.

Indiana is 0-9 ATS in its last nine home games after failing to cover two of its last three ATS.  The Hawkeyes are 9-0 ATS in their last nine Sunday games.  Iowa is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS loss.  The Hawkeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Iowa Sunday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh +10.5

Pittsburgh opened 8-2 this season before losing three of its last four.  But the Panthers ended their skid with an 83-72 upset win over a ranked Virginia Tech team last time out.  That's the same VA Tech team that recently beat Virginia by 14.

The Panthers should not be catching double-digits here against a Virginia team that struggles to get margin with the way they play.  They only beat NC State by 7 last time out and haven't won three of their last four games by more than 7 points.

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games.  Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Cavaliers are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Virginia is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after playing five consecutive games as a favorite.  Roll with Pittsburgh Saturday.

20* Wisconsin/Illinois Big Ten No-Brainer on Wisconsin +4

This game should be lined closer to a pick 'em.  I think Wisconsin has the goods to knock off an Illinois team that is starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers off three straight wins over Penn State, Iowa and Indiana, including the last two by 4 and 5 points each.

Now they step up in class here against a Wisconsin team that is one of the best in the country.  The Badgers just play the game the right way with their ability to defend, take care of the basketball and get great looks almost every time down the floor.  The Badgers give up just 62.5 points per game on 40.4% shooting.  They shoot the 3-pointer at a 37.6% clip on offense as well.

Wisconsin simply owns Illinois.  The Badgers are 15-1 SU & 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Enough said.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Evansville +19.5

It's time to 'sell high' on Loyola-Chicago after going 8-0 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  With this winning and covering streak comes expectations from oddsmakers that are hard to live up to.

Loyola-Chicago hasn't been more than an 11-point favorite in any of its last 10 games.  Now all of a sudden the Ramblers are whopping 19.5-point favorites against an Evansville team that has been pretty competitive all season.

Indeed, Evansville has just two losses by more than 9 points all season.  The Purple Aces have gone 6-3 SU in their last nine games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games.  They should not be catching 19.5 points to Loyola-Chicago today.  The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Take Evansville Saturday.

15* CBB PLAY OF THE DAY on Nevada +4.5

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Boise State Broncos tonight.  They have padded their 13-2 record by playing the easiest schedule of any Mountain West team to date.  They are nowhere near as good as their record, and they shouldn't be laying 4.5 points on the road to Nevada tonight.

Nevada has been grossly undervalued for weeks and continues to be.  The Wolf Pack are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They haven't lost any of their last 13 games by more than 7 points, so even when they have lost they have been competitive.  And I like their chances of staying within this number or possibly pulling off the upset tonight.

Nevada is 8-1 SU in its last nine meetings with Boise State.  The Wolf Pack are 49-21-2 ATS in their last 72 games following an ATS win.  Nevada is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Nevada Friday.

20* Ohio State/Iowa ESPN No-Brainer on Ohio State +5.5

The Iowa Hawkeyes are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They lost outright at home to Indiana 69-81 as 10-point dogs, lost 75-80 at Illinois as 3-point dogs, and only beat a struggling Michigan State team 84-78 as 9-point home favorites.  As you can see, their defense has been terrible in allowing 78 points or more in three straight, which has been their achilles' heel.

Speaking of Michigan State, Ohio State just blasted the Spartans 79-62 as 5.5-point home favorites last time out on Sunday.  The Buckeyes are now 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with their only loss coming by 2 points to Purdue.

This is a terrible spot for Iowa, too.  The Hawkeyes will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after facing Michigan State on Tuesday.  They only have one day to prepare for Ohio State.  Meanwhile, the Buckeyes have three days in between games to get ready for the Hawkeyes after last playing the Spartans on Sunday.

The Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Chris Holtmann is a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games after three straight games where they forced 11 or fewer turnovers as the coach of Ohio State.  Bet Ohio State Thursday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulsa +3.5

Tulsa has been a great home team and a terrible road team for years.  It's more of the same this season.  The Golden Hurricane are 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home this season.  They handed Houston their only loss of the season at home.  They also upset Memphis at home.

Speaking of Houston, SMU will have a tough time getting back up off the mat after a 48-70 loss at Houston last time out.  The Mustangs have now lost their last two road games as they also lost at Memphis.  This team has been grossly overvalued over the past month or so.  The Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Tulsa has won its last two home meetings with SMU 79-57 as a 1.5-point favorite and 76-67 as a 3.5-point underdog.  The Golden Hurricane are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs, including 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as home dogs of 3.5 points or fewer.  The Mustangs are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.  SMU is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following a loss.  Roll with Tulsa Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh +4

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Pitt Panthers.  They opened 8-2 this season with wins over Syracuse (twice) and Duke.  But they have now gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  Now we are getting max value with the Panthers catching 4 points at home to Virginia Tech tonight.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Hokies.  They have won and covered two straight, including their upset home win over Virginia last time out.  That now makes this a letdown spot for the Hokies.  Virginia Tech is 2-2 SU in true road games this season with its only wins coming against Wake Forest and Notre Dame, two of the worst teams in the ACC.

Virginia Tech is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games off two consecutive conference games.  Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off two consecutive home losses.  The Hokies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Virginia Tech is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Take Pittsburgh Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -8

I love the spot for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight.  They will be motivated for revenge following their 71-81 upset loss at Penn State on Saturday.  Now they don't have to wait long for revenge as they host the Nittany Lions Tuesday night.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on a Penn State team that has won three of its last four games coming in.  But all three wins were at home, and the other two outside Wisconsin came over Rutgers and Northwestern by a combined 9 points.

Penn State is 0-5 SU in Big Ten road games this season.  Wisconsin is a perfect 17-0 SU in its last 17 home meetings with the Nittany Lions.  Penn State is 1-9 ATS in its last 17 road games after covering two of its last three ATS.  The Badgers are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  Roll with Wisconsin Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson +2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Clemson Tigers tonight.  They have lost four of their last five coming in with three of those coming on the road to Duke, Florida State and Georgia Tech.  They also lost at home to Virginia.

However, that home loss to Virginia was their only home loss this season.  They are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this year which includes wins over Florida State, NC State and Louisville.  They will put their best foot forward tonight with the North Carolina Tar Heels coming to town.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tar Heels, who have won six of their last seven games overall.  But the only road wins during this stretch came at Miami and Pittsburgh by a combined 12 points.  The Tar Heels are just 2-4 SU in true road games this season.

North Carolina is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off three or more consecutive wins.  The Tar Heels are 1-10 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game.  UNC is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as home underdogs.  Bet Clemson Tuesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Illinois State +18

Illinois State only lost 76-78 to Drake in overtime yesterday.  The Redbirds were 19-point underdogs in that game and now come back as 18-point dogs to the Bulldogs in the rematch today.  This spread is just way too high.

Drake is starting to feel the pressure of keeping its perfect record (16-0) in tact.  And with that record comes expectations from oddsmakers that is tough to live up to.  Note that Drake has only been favored by more than 10.5 points just twice all season before this series with Illinois State.

Illinois State hasn't lost a game by more than 9 points since December.  Drake hasn't won any of its last three games by more than 7 points.  The Bulldogs haven't won any of their last eight meetings with the Redbirds by more than 16 points.

Illinois State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that attempt 15 or fewer free throws per game.  Bet Illinois State Monday.

15* NC State/Syracuse ACC ANNIHILATOR on Syracuse -5

The Syracuse Orange have been a tough out at home this season.  They are 8-1 at home with their last two home games resulting in blowout wins over Miami by 26 and Virginia Tech by 18.  Now they should make easy work of a struggling NC State team tonight.

NC State is just 1-4 SU in its last five games overall.  The only win during this stretch came at home against Wake Forest by 5 as 7.5-point favorites.  The Wolf Pack are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games with losses to Saint Louis by 11, Clemson by 4, FSU by 32 and UNC by 10.

Making matters worse for the Wolfpack is that they just lost their best player in Devon Daniels (16.5 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.1 APG) to a season-ending ACL injury in that win over Wake Forest last time out.  He had 20 points and eight rebounds before exiting.

The Wolfpack are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  NC State is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.  The Wolfpack are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orange are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.  Syracuse is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off a conference loss by 10 points or more.  The Wolfpack are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Take Syracuse Sunday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +2.5

Southern Illinois will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They want to put an end to their currently six-game losing streak.  And they want revenge from a 62-74 home loss to Northern Iowa yesterday in which they blew a 30-27 halftime lead.

Northern Iowa is now just 5-10 SU & 3-10 ATS this season.  Two of those wins came against St. Ambrose and Coe College, who they just beat by 10 at home before taking down Southern Illinois.  And this is a Southern Illinois team that opened 7-1 this season and is grossly undervalued right now due to this losing streak.

The Salukis are 18-6 SU in their last 24 home meetings with Northern Iowa.  The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  Southern Illinois is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home games.  The Salukis are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The home team is 12-6-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  Southern Illinois is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after playing a home game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

20* Gonzaga/Pepperdine ESPN No-Brainer on Pepperdine +22

You're paying a tax to back Gonzaga right now because the Bulldogs are 16-0 this season and the No. 1 ranked team in the country.  These spreads have gotten out of control, and that's a big reason why the Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

I backed Pepperdine successfully against Gonzaga in their first meeting this season, a 25-point loss as 27-point dogs.  The Waves now get the Bulldogs at home.  Pepperdine is now 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Gonzaga dating back to last year.  They only lost by 5 as +21 road dogs and by 12 as 15-point home dogs in their two meetings last year. 

Pepperdine is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes blowout wins over Portland by 15 and Pacific by 17.  And after losing by 11 at BYU as 11-point dogs, the Waves came back home and upset the Cougars 76-73 as 6.5-point home dogs.  If they can play with BYU, they can certainly stay within 22 points of the Zags.  And keep in mind they only trailed Gonzaga by 4 at halftime in their first meeting this season.

The Waves are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Gonzaga is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games following four straight wins by 10 points or more.  The Waves have two days to get ready for Gonzaga after playing BYU on Wednesday, while the Bulldogs have just one day to get ready for Pepperdine after playing at San Diego on Thursday.  Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia Tech +4

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets had won five straight at home prior to losing two heartbreakers on the road against two of the best teams in the ACC in Virginia (62-64) and Duke (68-75).  Now they are back home here and will upset the Florida State Seminoles as 4-point home dogs.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Seminoles, who are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  But FSU has feasted on a home-heavy schedule with 10 of its 12 games played at home this year.  It is just 1-1 SU in true road games with a 10-point loss at Clemson and an upset win at Louisville.

Georgia Tech also wants revenge from a 61-74 road loss at Florida State in their first meeting this season back in December.  The Yellow Jackets have improved by leaps and bounds since that defeat.  They are taking care of the ball and hanging with and beating some of the best teams in the country.

Georgia Tech is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games following three straight games where it committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Yellow Jackets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. top teams that win more than 80% of their games on the season.  Georgia Tech is 49-23 ATS in its last 72 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Yellow Jackets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss.  Take Georgia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Oklahoma State -2

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have won three of their last four games overall with their only loss coming to unbeaten Baylor.  That includes an upset home win over Kansas.  Their strength of schedule is much tougher than that of Arkansas, which plays in the weaker SEC.

I think we are getting great value on the Cowboys here as short 2-point home favorites over the Razorbacks.  That's especially the case with the expected return of star freshman Cade Cunningham (18.0 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 3.7 APG), who has missed the past two games with an illness.

Arkansas is 2-3 SU in true road games this season with its only wins coming against Auburn and Vanderbilt.  That was Auburn before they were any good with freshman Cooper ineligible, and that's a Vanderbilt team that is probably the worst team in the SEC.  They lost to LSU, Alabama and Tennessee by a combined 52 points.

Arkansas is 1-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.  Oklahoma State is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 vs. SEC opponents.  The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Oklahoma State Saturday.

25* SEC/Big 12 Challenge GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn +15

The Auburn Tigers are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  This run has coincided with getting star freshman PG Sharife Cooper (22.3 PPG, 8.7 APG, 5.0 RPG) eligible.  With Cooper running the show, the Tigers can give unbeaten Baylor a run for its money today.

Auburn's four wins with Cooper came by 18 at Georgia, by 7 at home over Kentucky, by 23 at South Carolina and by 6 at home over Missouri.  One loss came by 4 as 3.5-point home dogs to Alabama, which has won 10 straight games currently and is blowing out everyone.  The other was a 2-point loss to Arkansas in which the Tigers blew a nearly 20-point lead in that game.

You're paying a tax to back Baylor right now because they are 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS this season.  These spreads are starting to get out of control, and we'll fade the Bears every chance we get moving forward.  We faded them successfully with Kansas a few games back, and this looks like another great time to go against them.

The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  Auburn is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win.  Bet Auburn Saturday.

20* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten No-Brainer on Illinois -2

The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 69-81 upset home loss to the Indiana Hoosiers.  Their best shooter in CJ Fredrick had to leave that game with an injury and is unlikely to play tonight against the Illinois Fighting Illini.

Illinois is one of the best teams in the country.  And the Fighting Illini have the goods to slow down a guy like Iowa's Luka Garza better than almost any other team in the country.  That's because they have a big, athletic bruiser in 7-foot, 285-pound Kofi Cockburn (17.4 PPG, 10.3 RPG) inside.  He is one of the most improved players in the country.

Illinois is 13-3 SU in its last 16 home meetings with Iowa.  The Hawkeyes are 32-52 ATS in their last 84 games off an upset loss as a favorite.  Illinois is 59-37 ATS in its last 96 home games off a home win.  Iowa is 18-39-2 ATS in its last 59 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Bet Illinois Friday.

20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on California +8

The Cal Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They covered in losses to two of the best teams in the Pac-12 in UCLA (57-61) and USC (68-76) to show they could play with two of the best teams in the conference.

Now they are catching 8 points against one of the worst teams in the conference in the Arizona State Sun Devils.  They are 4-8 SU & 2-10 ATS this season.  They have won just one game by more than 8 points all season, and that came against Houston Baptist way back on November 29th.

The Sun Devils have lost six straight coming in.  That includes back-to-back losses to their biggest rival in Arizona.  It will be tough for them to get back up off the mat after getting swept by the Wildcats.  Plus, they only have two days to get ready for Cal after playing Arizona on Monday.  Cal last played on Saturday against USC and has four days to get ready for this game.

The Golden Bears just got leading scorer Matt Bradley (17.1 PPG) back from injury against USC after missing the previous five games.  Getting him back will give them a huge boost moving forward.  And Cal wants revenge from a 62-70 home loss to Arizona State back on December 3rd in their first meeting this season.  

The Sun Devils are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Arizona State is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite, including 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as a home favorite.  The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take California Thursday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on SMU -3.5

The SMU Mustangs want revenge from a tough 72-76 loss at Memphis on Tuesday.  They don't have to wait long as they get to host the Tigers tonight and are laying 3.5 points in the rematch.  I fully expect them to get the win and cover at home tonight.

The Mustangs are 5-2 at home this season with their only losses coming to Houston and Cincinnati.  They have been one of the best home teams in the country over the years.  And they own Memphis at home, going 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home meetings with the Tigers.  The home team is now 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  The favorite is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Memphis is just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Their only road wins came against Tulane and East Carolina.  Tim Jankovich is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days' rest as the coach of SMU.  Penny Hardaway is 2-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games as the coach of Memphis.  Roll with SMU Thursday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Clemson -1.5

The Clemson Tigers will be highly motivated for a win tonight after opening the season 9-1 and then going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Tigers, who are 5-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to Virginia.

Louisville is in a letdown spot after a big 70-65 win over Duke last time out.  They had lost to FSU by 13 and Miami by 6 in their two previous game.  And now they have to go on the road and face a Clemson team that is 3-0 SU in the last three home meetings in this series.  That includes their 77-62 home win over the Cardinals last year.

Clemson is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 games off two straight losses by 10 points or more.  The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.  Louisville is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win.  The Tigers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as home favorites.  Roll with Clemson Wednesday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington State +14.5

Washington State is out for revenge from a 59-70 home loss to Colorado on January 23rd.  Now the Cougars don't have to wait long for revenge as they will square off again on January 27th here.  And that game was much closer than the final score showed as the Cougars led 37-30 at halftime before getting outscored by 18 points after intermission.

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Cougars after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Buffaloes, who are now 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and had no business covering against Washington State as 10.5-point favorites.

Plays on road teams as an underdog or PK (Washington State) - off three straight conference losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 83-44 (65.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take Washington State Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Providence -1.5

The Providence Friars just won outright as double-digit underdogs at Creighton.  Then they held a halftime lead at Villanova before falling apart in the second half over the weekend.  They were probably fatigued from having to play four straight road games and the toughest schedule in the Big East up to this point.

But now the Friars are back home for the first time since a 2-point loss to Creighton on January 2nd.  They are 4-1 at home this season with just five of their 15 games on their home floor.  This feels like a great spot to back this gritty team.  

The Friars want revenge from a 69-79 road loss at Marquette on January 12th.  That was really one of the few good performances the Golden Eagles have had recently.  They were just upset as 9-point home favorites by DePaul over the weekend.  The Blue Demons are the worst team in the Big East.  They are now just 3-5 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Marquette is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games.  Providence is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  Marquette is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off an upset loss as a favorite to a conference opponent.  The Friars are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when revenging a loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games when revenging a same-season loss.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Butler +5.5

The Butler Bulldogs battled through some injury problems early in the season.  Their early results have them undervalued currently.  They have finally gotten healthy and played up to their potential here of late.

Indeed, they upset Creighton 70-66 as 7-point home dogs before winning 67-53 as 2-point dogs at DePaul.  Now they've have a full week to get ready for Connecticut after last playing on Tuesday, January 19th.  They will be out for revenge from a 60-72 home loss to the Huskies on January 9th as well.

UConn has really struggled of late.  They were upset 70-74 as 6.5-point home favorites against St. John's before losing 66-74 at Creighton in their last two games.  A big reason for their struggles is the loss of leading scorer James Bouknight (20.3 PPG) to injury.  He has missed the past four games and they haven't been the same team without him.

Butler is 56-36 ATS in its last 92 games when playing on 5 or 6 days' rest.  The Bulldogs are 26-13 ATS in their last 39 road games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Huskies only have two days to get ready for Butler after last playing on Saturday at Creighton.  Roll with Butler Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh +3.5

The Pitt Panthers continue to get no respect from oddsmakers despite being 8-3 SU & 7-4 ATS this season and one of the most improved teams in the country.  They have recent upset wins over Syracuse (twice) and Duke.

After beating Duke, and with UNC on deck, the Panthers clearly were in a letdown and sandwich spot last time out against Wake Forest.  They lost 75-76 as 2-point road favorites over the Demon Deacons.  That loss will have humbled them, and they'll have no problem getting motivated here to face North Carolina.

The Tar Heels are the team in the letdown spot now.  They are coming off an 86-76 home win over in-state rival NC State, revenging an earlier loss to the Wolf Pack this season.  UNC is fortunate to be 10-5 this season as it has five wins by 7 points or fewer.  They have simply been fortunate in close games this season.

The Tar Heels are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  UNC is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Pitt is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  UNC is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following two or more consecutive wins.  Take Pittsburgh Tuesday.

20* Syracuse/Virginia ESPN No-Brainer on Syracuse +7.5

The Syracuse Orange are over their COVID problems and playing up to their potential.  They are coming off two straight dominant wins over Miami 83-57 and Virginia Tech 78-60, covering those two spreads by a combined 38 points.  Now they will give Virginia a run for its money.

This is a good time to 'sell high' on the Cavaliers, who have gone 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall.  Virginia is coming off a 64-62 home win over Georgia Tech as a 6.5-point favorite.  And the Cavaliers shouldn't be laying this many points to Syracuse tonight.  

The Orange pulled the 63-55 upset as 7-point road dogs at Virginia last season.  The road team is now 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Virginia is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games following five consecutive games as a favorite.  The Orange are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 conference road games.  Roll with Syracuse Monday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Illinois State -1

The Illinois State Redbirds will be out for revenge from a 60-69 home loss to Valparaiso as 2-point favorites yesterday.  Now they will be the more motivated team here and come back as only 1-point home favorites this time around.  They basically just have to win to cover.

Valparaiso has not been playing well at all, so that effort was the aberration yesterday.  The Crusaders were 0-6 ATS in their previous six games.  They had lost five straight games all by 10 points or more.

Valparaiso is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Redbirds are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Take Illinois State Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Bradley +7.5

The Bradley Braves are 9-5 this season with four of their five losses coming by 6 points or less.  So they have only been beaten by more than this 7.5-point margin once in 14 games this season, making for a 13-1 system backing the Braves.

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Braves today off their first blowout loss of the season as 8.5-point favorites to Illinois State.  They played their worst game of the season and lost by 15.  So we are getting some great value on Bradley today because of that abberation.

Conversely, it's a great time to 'sell high' on Loyola-Chicago, which has gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall against an extremely soft schedule of Indiana State, UNI (twice) and Valparaiso.  The Ramblers are feeling pretty fat and happy right about now.

Loyola-Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games following a road game.  The Ramblers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Braves are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs.  Bradley is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss.  The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Bradley Sunday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington State +10

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington State Cougars.  They have lost four straight after opening the season 9-1 with their only loss coming to Arizona in OT.  They have played four of their last five on the road against a very tough schedule.  Now they are back home here against Colorado.

We know that Colorado is one of the best bets in the country when they are playing at home.  But they are one of the worst bets when they are on the road.  The Buffalos are 2-4 SU in their last six road games with neither win coming by more than 10 points.  That includes their 80-84 upset loss at Washington last time out as 13-point favorites.  That's a 2-11 Washington team.

The home team is 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Washington State is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three home meetings with Colorado with three outright upset victories.  Washington State hasn't lost any of its last six home meetings with Colorado by more than 9 points.  The Buffaloes are 15-42 ATS in their last 57 road games.  Roll with Washington State Saturday.

20* Providence/Villanova FOX No-Brainer on Providence +11.5

Providence is a gritty team that doesn't go away easily.  That is evident by the fact that they have gone 6-4 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall with all four losses coming by 10 points or fewer, including three by 6 points or less.  That makes for a 10-0 system backing the Friars pertaining to this 11.5-point spread.  They just upset Creighton 74-70 as 10-point road underdogs last time out.

Asking Villanova to win by 12-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Especially for a Wildcats team that didn't play a single game between December 23rd and January 19th due to COVID.  They just returned to practice on Thursday last week and only had eight players available.  They were rusty in a 76-74 win over Seton Hall as 8.5-point favorites in their return to action.  And they still won't be hitting on all cylinders yet today.

Six of the last seven meetings in this series were decided by 11 points or less.  That includes a 58-54 upset as 7.5-point dogs by Providence at Villanova last year.  The Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as underdogs.  The Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games.  Providence is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a road dog or PK.  Take Providence Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Syracuse -1

The Syracuse Orange are grossly undervalued right now.  They should be more than 1-point favorites here at home against the Virginia Tech Hokies.  They played up to their potential in their 83-57 win over Miami last time out.  And they will come back with another big effort here with a ranked Hokies team coming to town.

I think it's time to 'sell high' on the Hokies, who are 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall but it has come against a pretty easy schedule.  Their only two road games during this stretch came in a loss at Louisville and a narrow 64-60 win over a bad Wake Forest team.  This will arguably be their toughest test of the season to date.

Syracuse is 6-1 SU In its last seven home meetings with Virginia Tech.  Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games off two straight conference games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Syracuse Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington State +2.5

I love the spot for the Washington State Cougars tonight.  They opened 8-1 with their only loss to Arizona by 4 points in overtime.  But they have since played four straight road games and gone 1-3 SU with losses to three of the best teams in the Pac-12 in Stanford, UCLA and USC.

Now the Cougars finally get to play a home game here against a team they can handle in Utah.  The Cougars are 8-1 at home this season with that lone loss being the overtime defeat to Arizona.  The Utes are 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS on the highway this season and losing by 12.7 points per game.

The Utes are just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  And they have played four straight home games coming in.  That includes their 63-72 home loss to California as 11.5-point favorites last time out.

Utah is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games off a conference loss.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Washington State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Washington State Thursday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington +13

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Washington Huskies.  They are 1-11 SU this season, but they have been showing some improvement here of late.  They only lost 76-81 at UCLA as 15.5-point underdogs last time out.

Now the Huskies are 13-point home dogs to Colorado.  They were only 9-point road dogs at Colorado in their first meeting this season, a 69-92 loss.  They will be out for revenge, and they are catching 4 more points than last time despite playing at home this time around.

Colorado is one of the best home teams in the country.  But they are awful on the road and have been for years.  Washington is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven home meetings with the Buffaloes.

The Buffaloes are 15-41 ATS in their last 56 road games.  Colorado is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as a road favorite.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games off three or more consecutive wins.  Colorado is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games off two or more consecutive home wins.  Roll with Washington Wednesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Providence +10.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Providence Friars off three straight losses by 10 points or less.  In fact, the Friars haven't lost any of their last nine games by more than 10 points.  So getting 10.5 points here is a great value.

Providence only lost 65-67 at home to Creighton on January 2nd in their first meeting as 4-point underdogs.  So they will be out for revenge here.  Plus, this is a 6.5-point adjustment for home-court advantage with the Bluejays now 10.5-point favorites in the rematch.  That's too big of an adjustment.

Creighton is dealing with an injury to its best player in Marcus Zegarowski (14.1 PPG, 4.8 APG, 4.2 RPG).  He sat out their last game against Butler and they were upset as 7-point favorites.  Zegarowski is questionable to return with a hamstring injury here.  He had 20 points and 7 rebounds in the first meeting with Providence.   Even if he plays I love the Friars here.  If he doesn't it will be an added bonus.

The Friars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when revenging a loss.  That includes a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games when revenging a same-season loss.  Providence has only lost one of the last seven meetings with Creighton by double-digits, and that was an 11-point loss.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Maryland +10.5

The Maryland Terrapins want revenge from a 73-84 home loss to the Michigan Wolverines on December 31st in their first meeting this season.  The Wolverines shot 58.8% as a team, and that's highly unlikely to happen again here.

Maryland just went on the road and beat Illinois 66-63 outright as a 10.5-point underdog in its last Big Ten game.  The Terrapins also upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point road dogs and only lost to Purdue by 3 as 6-point road dogs.  They have actually played their best basketball on the highway this season.

Michigan is overvalued right now after opening the season 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS.  But their perfect season just ended in a 57-75 road loss at Minnesota as 5.5-point favorites on Saturday.  And a lot of times teams struggle in that next game after having their long winning streak snapped.  I expect that to be the case here with the Terrapins being the more motivated, revenge-minded team.  Roll with Maryland Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Syracuse -4

The Syracuse Orange will be highly motivated for a victory.  They have lost their last two games overall and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.  So we are getting them cheap as only 4-point home favorites based on recent results.

The blew another halftime lead and gave up 64 points to Pitt in the 2nd half last time out.  There's no doubt they come back with an inspired effort tonight at home against the Miami Hurricanes.  It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Orange here.

It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Hurricanes, who have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  After losing 62-84 at Boston College, they came back and upset Louisville 78-72 at home last time out.  They did it despite having just seven scholarship players available.  That win has them overvalued, and they could still be short-handed tonight.

This is a great matchup for Syracuse.  Teams need to be able to make 3-pointers to beat them because they play their patented 2-3 zone.  Well, Miami is last in the ACC in 3-point shooting at 28.1% this season.

Miami is 0-11 ATS in its last 11 games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams that make 77% or better.  The Hurricanes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Orange are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.  Take Syracuse Tuesday.

20* Kansas/Baylor ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas +9

You're definitely paying a premium to back the No. 2 ranked Baylor Bears at this point.  They have opened 12-0 SU & 10-2 ATS to make the betting public a ton of money.  They are going to continue to back them until they fail them.

In no world should the Kansas Jayhawks be catching 9 points to Baylor.  The Jayhawks have dominated the Big 12 for decades.  And while they aren't as good as they have been in years' past, they are still one of the best teams in the country.  And they'll be highly motivated to hand the Bears their first loss of the season tonight.

It's also a good time to 'buy low' on the Jayhawks off an upset loss to Oklahoma State on Tuesday.  Now the Jayhawks have had five days to get ready for Baylor.  Meanwhile, the Bears will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after a hard-fought 68-60 road win at Texas Tech on Saturday.  They only have one day to get ready for Kansas, which is a huge disadvantage for them.

Kansas is 19-2 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game.  The Jayhawks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Kansas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The road team is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.  The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Kansas Monday.

15* St. John's/UConn FOX Early ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +8

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UConn Huskies.  They are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS this season and making backers a ton of money.  But now they find themselves in a big favorite role here laying 8 points to St. John's.  Consider they were laying 8.5 points to DePaul a few games back, and St. John's is a much better team than DePaul.

There's no way the Huskies should be this heavily favored tonight considering they will be without their best player in James Bouknight (20.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.5 SPG).  And it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Red Storm after going just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They will be in their 2nd-largest underdog role of the entire season today.

UConn is 18-34 ATS in its last 52 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.  The Huskies are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 home games after scoring 60 points or less.  Take St. John's Monday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Evansville +9

The Evansville Purple Aces will be out for revenge following a 60-69 loss as 8.5-point dogs at Bradley yesterday.  Now the Purple Aces come back as 9-point dogs here in the rematch, so we are getting an even better line than what was available at the close yesterday.

Evansville has been grossly undervalued for weeks.  The Purple Aces are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They haven't lost any of their last 12 games by more than 9 points, making for a 12-0 system backing the Purple Aces pertaining to this 9-point spread.

Bradley hasn't won any of its last five games by more than 9 points.  That includes a 1-point win over Miami Ohio as a 12-point favorite.  Their only wins by more than this spread came against overmatched teams in Jackson State, Lewis, Judson College and Oakland.

The Purple Aces are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.  The Braves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Evansville Sunday.

20* Iowa/Northwestern Big Ten No-Brainer on Northwestern +10

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on the Northwestern Wildcats.  They opened the season 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS with upset wins over Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State.  But they have since gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS their last four games overall with four straight losses by double-digits and three of those coming on the road.  In their lone home loss they blew a 15-point halftime lead against Illinois.

That includes their 72-87 loss at Iowa as 11.5-point dogs on December 29th.  Now they will be out for revenge three weeks later here and are catching 10 points at home for this Sunday morning tilt.  Look for them to stay within the number and possibly pull off the upset.

The Hawkeyes are 17-39-2 ATS in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.  Iowa is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games off four or more consecutive wins.  Bet Northwestern Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Arkansas-Little Rock -3.5

Arkansas-Little Rock was upset 59-63 as a 5-point home favorite to Texas State yesterday.  Now the Trojans will be the more motivated team in the rematch, and we are getting a better line on them today as only 3.5-point home favorites.

We just saw Little Rock bounce back from a 64-66 loss to Lafayette with a win in the rematch.  They also beat Arlington by 9 and came back and beat them by 13 in the rematch.  This is a veteran team with five returning starters so they have been great at making adjustments in the second game of these rematches.

Little Rock is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after playing a home game.  Little Rock is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing its 2nd game in 3 days.  Little Rock is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 home games.  The Bobcats are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Texas State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win.  The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Arkansas-Little Rock Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Appalachian State +3

Appalachian State lost 64-73 at South Alabama as a 3-point underdog yesterday.  They blew a 37-30 halftime lead and got outscored by 16 points after intermission.  Now the Mountaineers will be out for revenge in the rematch today and are identical 3-point dogs.  I fully expect them to win this game outright.

Appalachian State had gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its three previous games with the three wins coming by a combined 40 points.  South Alabama was 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its previous three games with its three losses coming by a combined 40 points.  So that win came out of nowhere and was an aberration.

The Jaguars are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games as favorites.  South Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a win.  The Mountaineers are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Appalachian State Saturday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida International PK

FIU was just upset 79-81 by rival FAU as a 4.5-point home favorite on Thursday.  Now the Golden Panthers come back highly motivated for revenge and we get a 4.5-point adjustment in the line as they just have to win the game to cover in the rematch.

FIU is a perfect 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.  FAU is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Take Florida International Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Notre Dame -4

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish finally get a break in the schedule.  Eight of their last nine opponents have been Virginia (Twice), UNC, VA Tech, Duke, Purdue, Kentucky and Ohio State.  That explains why they are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall.

But now the Fighting Irish get a team they can handle in Boston College.  And it's an Eagles team that will breathe a sigh of relief after ending a four-game skid with a win over Miami last time out.  The Fighting Irish will be the more motivated team to put an end to their own four-game skid.

Notre Dame is 19-2 SU in its last 21 meetings with Boston College, including 11-1 SU in its last 12 home meetings.  The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.  Bet Notre Dame Saturday.

25* MAAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Niagara -1

Niagara is out for revenge from a 49-58 loss as a 3-point favorite at Manhattan yesterday.  Now the Purple Eagles are only 1-point favorites in the rematch.  Head coach Greg Paulus is clearly great at making adjustments in these situations.  And it helps that he has a veteran team that returned all five starters.

We've seen Niagara thrive in this situation all season.  After losing to St. Peter's by 16, they only lost by 4 in the rematch and covered as 8-point dogs.  After losing to Marist by 2, they came back and beat Marist by 14 in the rematch.  After losing to Rider by 6, they came back and beat them by 11 in the rematch.

Niagara is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half of two straight games.  The Purple Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Jaspers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Bet Niagara Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Holy Cross +19

Holy Cross has been grossly undervalued in the early going.  They are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS this season despite being underdogs in all four games.  They pulled the upset over Boston as 14.5-point dogs and also upset Army 70-61 as 11.5-point dogs.

Now Holy Cross is catching 19 points against a Colgate team that only beat Boston by 7 and also lost outright to Army as a 7.5-point favorite.  So that gives these teams two common opponents, and based on the results there's no way Colgate should be laying 19 points here.

The Crusaders are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.  The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win by more than 20 points.  Roll with Holy Cross Saturday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Tulane +1

This is a terrible spot for the Temple Owls.  They will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days and their 3rd game in 6 days.  They had to travel to SMU on Monday, come home and play UCF on Thursday, and now have to travel to face Tulane on Saturday.

This is a rested Green Wave team that has six days to get ready for Temple after last playing Houston on Saturday.  It's also a good 6-3 Tulane team which only has losses to Memphis, ECU and Houston this season.  The Green Wave are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season.  The Owls are 0-2 SU in true road games with their two losses coming by a combined 37 points.

Temple is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games off a home win.  The Green Wave are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Take Tulane Saturday.

15* Wisconsin/Rutgers Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Rutgers +3

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.  They are coming off three straight losses to Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio State.  And now they come back highly motivated for a victory and fresh with five days off in between games.

They take on a Wisconsin team that is far from fresh and still reeling from a 54-77 road loss at Michigan on Tuesday.  Now the Badgers only have two days to get ready for Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home meetings with Wisconsin.

Wisconsin is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after failing to cover three of its last four ATS coming in.  The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.  The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Take Rutgers Friday.

25* Big South GAME OF THE YEAR on Longwood +17

It really appears that Winthrop is just getting bored at this point and going through the motions.  The Eagles are 12-0 SU this season, but they have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  Each of their last eight wins have come by 18 points or fewer as well.

They only beat Gardner Webb by 10 as 12-pint favorites and came back and beat the same team by 8 points as 11-point favorites in the rematch.  They beat Charleston Southern by 16 in their first meeting and came back and won by 2 in their 2nd meeting as 16-point favorites.

After beating Longwood 72-61 yesterday as 17-point favorites, they come back as 17-point favorites here tonight.  This just looks like a dream spot to fade Winthrop as we've seen it happen on multiple occasions where the Eagles don't live up to expectations in the 2nd meeting of these 2nd of a back-to-back matchups.  They are simply getting bored and are OK with winning without getting margin.

Longwood has been a lot more competitive of late than its 3-12 record on the season would indicate.  Indeed, 11 of their 12 losses have come by 13 points or fewer.  So they have only lost one of their 15 games by more than this 17-point spread, making for a 14-1 system backing the Lancers pertaining to this spread.  Longwood has only lost one of its last six meetings with Winthrop by more than 17 points.  Bet Longwood Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington State +10

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UCLA Bruins tonight.  They have won four straight and covered three in a row coming in.  They are coming off a sweep of the Arizona schools on the road.  That makes this is a huge letdown spot for them coming back home to face Washington State.

And while UCLA is winning a lot of games, they aren't getting margin.  In fact, they haven't won any of their last six games by more than 9 points.  And we are getting 10 points with an underrated Washington State team here.

The Cougars might be the most underrated team in the Pac-12.  They have gone 9-2 this season with their only losses coming to Arizona by 4 and Stanford by 15.  They are coming off that loss to Stanford, so it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cougars.

Last year, Washington State upset UCLA 79-71 as 2-point home dogs, and only lost 83-86 as 8-point road dogs in the rematch.  The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.  Washington State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Washington State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Wyoming +9.5

Wyoming will be out for revenge from a 60-83 home loss to Boise State on Monday.  Now the Cowboys get to face the Broncos just two days later here at home again.  No question the Cowboys will bring more energy to the court than the Broncos, who probably feel like they just have to show up to win.

We've seen Boise State falter in this spot each of their last two tries.  After beating San Jose State by 52 as a 22-point favorite, they came back and only won 87-86 over the Spartans as a 26-point favorite.  After beating Air Force 78-59 as a 19-point favorite, they failed to cover in the rematch in an 80-69 win as an 18.5-point favorite.  Now they go from being a 7-point favorite over Wyoming to a 9.5-point favorite in the rematch.  

Don't be surprised to see the Cowboys win this game outright, either.  This was a 63-58 game with seven minutes to play in the first meeting.  But Boise State incredibly closed on a 20-2 run to make the final score look like a lot bigger blowout than the game really was.

Wyoming is 11-1 ATS when revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons.  The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.  Wyoming is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Wyoming Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Notre Dame +10.5

The love the spot for Notre Dame tonight.  It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Fighting Irish after they have gone just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  But keep in mind four of those five losses came by 10 points or fewer.

That includes their 9-point loss to Virginia on December 30th at home.  They were 7-point underdogs in that game.  Now they are 10.5-point underdogs in the rematch at Virginia, a 3.5-point adjustment.  It's simply adjusted too much for home-court advantage, which isn't worth much in college basketball this year.  Notre Dame will be the more motivated team out for revenge and getting to play the Cavaliers just two weeks later here.

It's also a good time to 'sell high' on Virginia after they have won six of their last seven games overall.  Each of their last three wins have come by 12 points or fewer against a very weak schedule.  The Cavaliers won by 9 over Notre Dame, by 9 over Wake Forest and by 12 over Boston College.  This team has been grossly overrated since the beginning of the season when they came out ranked in the Top 5 and promptly lost outright to San Francisco as a 15-point favorite.

Virginia has only beaten Notre Dame by more than 9 points once in the last six meetings in this series.  The Cavaliers have beaten the Fighting Irish by 1, 6 and 5 points in their last three meetings in Charlottesville.  And that was when there were fans and a much bigger advantage for much better Cavaliers teams than this 2020-21 version.

The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Virginia is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.  The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Virginia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a win by 10 points or more.  These four trends combine for a 25-1 system backing the Fighting Irish tonight.  Bet Notre Dame Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on George Washington +11.5

George Washington is grossly undervalued right now due to its 3-7 SU record.  But the Colonials have suffered all seven losses by 11 points or fewer, including four by 4 points or less.  So they haven't lost by more than 11 points all season, and they're not about to start here against VCU.

VCU is overvalued after going 7-1 SU in its last eight games overall against an extremely soft schedule.  They were favored in all eight games.  And against the toughest opponent they faced, they lost outright 68-83 as 6-point favorites against Rhode Island.

George Washington is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 home games vs. teams that force 18 or more turnovers per game.  The Rams are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games coming in.  The Colonials are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after five straight games where they committed 14 or fewer turnovers.  

George Washington's great ability to take care of the ball against VCU's pressure defense is a big key here to the Colonials covering.  The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take George Washington Wednesday.

20* Alabama/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -2.5

John Calipari teams at Kentucky always seem to get better as the season goes on because they are always so young with mostly freshmen.  And that has been the case again this season with the Wildcats being extremely undervalued right now due to their slow start.

Indeed, the Wildcats opened 1-6 this season.  They have since gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS.  They went on the road and beat Mississippi State 78-73, topped Vanderbilt at home 77-74 and crushed Florida 76-58 on the road.  Now they will take down Alabama here Tuesday.

The Crimson Tide come in overvalued off five straight victories.  Now they will meet their match here against the Wildcats after barely surviving Auburn 94-90 on the road last time out.  Alabama is 13-29 ATS in its last 42 games following five or more consecutive wins.

Kentucky simply owns Alabama, going 12-1 SU in the last 13 meetings.  The Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Alabama is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a win by 6 points or less.  Kentucky is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog.  Take Kentucky Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on TCU +6.5

I love the spot for the TCU Horned Frogs tonight.  They had won five straight games prior to losing their last two games to the two best teams in the Big 12 in Kansas and Baylor.  Now they take a big step down in class here against Oklahoma.

The Horned Frogs will also be out for revenge from a 78-82 home loss to Oklahoma in their first meeting this season back on December 6th.  And they go from being 4-point dogs in that game to now 6.5-point dogs in the rematch, so there's some serious line value here.

Oklahoma is going to be without both Bradey Manek (13.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG) and Jaylen Hill (3.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG) due to COVID-19.  Manek is a huge loss as he is the team's second-leading scorer and had 14 points and 6 rebounds in the first meeting with TCU.  The Horned Frogs are fully healthy for this game.

Plays on underdogs (TCU) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games are 80-41 (66.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  

The Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.  The Sooners are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as favorites.  The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Roll with TCU Tuesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Bradley +1.5

The Bradley Braves will be highly motivated for revenge today after losing 72-78 to Northern Iowa yesterday.  Now they don't have to wait long for revenge as they get the Panthers against today.  They are underdogs in the rematch when they should be favorites.

This is a Northern Iowa team that has been consistently overvalued all season.  They are just 3-7 SU & 2-7 ATS on the year.  And now they are without their best player in AJ Green, who has been out since the first three games of the season.  Green was averaging 22.2 PPG and 5.7 RPG this season after averaging 19.7 PPG last season.

Bradley is 6-4 this season with all four losses coming by 6 points or fewer, including 1-point road losses to both Missouri (53-54) and Xavier (50-51).  That's how close the Braves are to being 10-0 this season.  The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Bet Bradley Monday.

20* Patriot League GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston +3.5

Boston will be highly motivated for revenge following a 79-86 loss to Colgate as 4-point underdogs yesterday.  I fully expect them to win outright as 3.5-point underdogs in the rematch today.

The Raiders are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as road favorites.  We saw Colgate beat Army by 44 and come back and lose to them by 2 the next day in their last situation like this one.  Bet Boston Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on Holy Cross +11.5

Holy Cross will be motivated for revenge following a 68-83 loss as 5.5-point dogs to Army.  Now they come back as 11.5-point dogs in the rematch today and will improve enough to cover this inflated number.

We just saw Holy Cross in this exact same situation against Boston.  After losing 76-83 in their first meeting as 10-point dogs, they came back and won outright 68-66 as 14.5-point dogs in the rematch.  They can beat Army here.  The Crusaders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.  Bet Holy Cross Sunday.

15* American East PLAY OF THE DAY on Maine +10.5

Maine will be motivated for revenge following a 54-63 loss to New Jersey Tech as 8.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now the Black Bears come back as 10.5-point dogs today in the rematch, which is too many points.

Maine is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog.  The Highlanders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.  New Jersey Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.  Maine is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 60 points or less in two straight games.  Take Maine Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Binghamton +12.5

Binghamton wants revenge from a 60-76 loss as 12.5-point underdogs to Vermont yesterday.  I expect them to play much better here Sunday and to be the more motivated team, thus covering this identical 12.5-point spread this time around.  

This is the 5th time Binghamton has been in this situation.  They have improved in the 2nd game in three of four times they've lost the first matchup with the only non-improvement resulting in a cover.  They lost by 3 to Marist as 4-point dogs and came back and covered as 6-point dogs in a 4-point loss in the rematch.  The last time Vermont won the first game in this situation they beat New Jersey Tech by 14 and came back and lost by 1 in the rematch.

The Catamounts are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Vermont is 3-13-2 ATS in its last 18 Sunday games.  The Bearcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit home loss.  Vermont is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games when playing with one or less days' rest.  Roll with Binghamton Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Cal Poly +13

Cal Poly wants revenge from a 49-62 loss at Bakersfield yesterday as 13-point underdogs.  Now the Mustangs come back as identical 13-point dogs today and this number is simply too high.

The Mustangs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 50 points or less in their previous game.  The Roadrunners are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.  Bakersfield is 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 home games.  The Roadrunners are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bakersfield is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off a conference win.  Take Cal Poly Saturday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Nevada +11.5

Nevada wants revenge from a 60-65 loss at San Diego State as a 13-point underdog on Thursday.  Now the Wolf Pack get to face the Aztecs just two days later here Saturday and come back as 11.5-point dogs.

The Wolf Pack are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Nevada is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.  The Wolf Pack are 45-20-2 ATS in their last 67 games following an ATS win.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.  The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after playing their last game on the road.  Roll with Nevada Saturday.

15* Summit League PLAY OF THE DAY on Nebraska-Omaha +7.5

Nebraska-Omaha wants revenge from a 69-71 loss at North Dakota State as 7.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now the Mavericks come back as 7.5-point dogs today in the rematch, and this line is simply too high again.

The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Omaha is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Omaha) off a close conference loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that won as a favorite but failed to cover in their last game are 59-30 (66.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take Nebraska-Omaha Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Line Mistake on Florida Atlantic +7.5

Florida Atlantic wants revenge from a 67-71 loss to Old Dominion as a 7.5-point underdog yesterday.  Now the Owls come back as 7.5-point dogs in the rematch today, and this number is too high once again.

Old Dominion has consistently been overvalued, going 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They are also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Monarchs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as home favorites.  The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Florida Atlantic Saturday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisiana Tech +7

Louisiana Tech wants revenge from a 64-66 loss to Western Kentucky yesterday as a 7.5-point underdog.  Now the Bulldogs come back as 7-point underdogs in the rematch as this line is way too high in a game I expect them to win outright.

Betting against Western Kentucky has been a great move.  The Hilltoppers are 3-9 ATS this season.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS int heir last six games overall.  The Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as road underdogs.  The Hilltoppers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as favorites.  Western Kentucky is 0-7 ATS vs. teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Take Louisiana Tech Saturday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland -1

Oakland wants revenge from an 81-84 (OT) loss to Wisconsin-Green Bay yesterday as a 1.5-point favorite.  Now the Golden Grizzlies come back as only 1-point favorites in the rematch today and I expect them to have their revenge.

The Golden Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss.  Oakland is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss.  The Phoenix are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.  The Golden Grizzlies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less.  Take Oakland Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Southern Miss +14

Southern Miss wants revenge from a 60-72 loss at UAB as 13-point underdogs yesterday.  At the very least, I expect the Golden Eagles to cover this 14-point spread in the rematch today.

The Golden Eagles have been consistently undervalued, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  UAB is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. a team that is called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  The underdog is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Southern Miss Saturday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5

Little Rock is coming off a 64-66 loss to Lafayette yesterday as a 1-point favorite.  I expect the Trojans to bounce back here as 1.5-point favorites in the rematch.  Lafayette is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 6 points or less.  Bet Little Rock Saturday.

15* MAAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Manhattan +2.5

Manhattan wants revenge from a 79-84 (double OT) loss to Quinnipiac yesterday as a 3-point dog.  Now the Jaspers come back as 2.5-point dogs in the rematch Saturday in a game I fully expect them to win outright.

Quinnipiac is 22-40 ATS in its last 62 games after scoring 80 points or more.  The Jaspers are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and should be 4-0 if not for blowing a big lead late in regulation.  Masiello is 13-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games as the coach of the Jaspers.  Bet Manhattan Saturday.

15* Big Sky PLAY OF THE DAY on Idaho +14

Idaho only lost 80-85 as a 14-point underdog at Southern Utah yesterday.  Now the Vandals come back as 14-point dogs today as this line is simply too high.  Idaho's 0-8 record has them undervalued right now as they have only lost one of their last six games by more than 13 points, and that was at Pac-12 opponent Utah.

The Thunderbirds are 11-30 ATS in their last 41 games as a home favorite.  The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Idaho is 7-0 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 80 points or more in two straight games.  The Vandals are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a loss by 6 points or less.  Roll with Idaho Saturday.

15* CBB PLAY OF THE DAY on Air Force +18.5

I like the spot for Air Force tonight.  They will be playing Boise State for the 2nd time in 3 days.  They lost the first meeting 59-78 as 19-point dogs at Air Force.  And now they are catching 18.5 points in the rematch here.

Air Force will clearly be the more motivated team in the rematch.  And Boise State is overvalued with an 8-1 record and on an 8-game winning streak coming in.  Look for the Broncos to let up enough here to allow the Falcons to cover this 18.5-point spread.

We just saw Boise State in this  exact same situation falter in the two games prior to Air Force.  After beating San Jose State 106-54 as a 22-point favorite, the Broncos came back and only beat the Spartans 87-86 as a 26-point favorite.  That was a 51-point improvement for San Jose State in the rematch.

Air Force is 53-31 ATS in its last 84 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more.  Boise State is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 75 points or more in four straight coming in.  Roll with Air Force Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on UCLA -1

The UCLA Bruins brought back all five starters this season and are a team I've been looking to back with every chance I get.  And they've delivered by going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only loss coming to Ohio State.  They also beat the likes of Marquette, Utah and Colorado during this stretch.

The Arizona State Sun Devils have been one of the most overrated teams in college basketball, and they continue to be tonight.  The Sun Devils are 4-3 SU but 1-6 ATS this season.  They are coming off a 63-76 home loss to UTEP as a 13-point favorite.  And that game was on December 16th, so they have been off for three weeks, and thus there will be some rust with this team tonight.

UCLA is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a conference home win.  The Bruins are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  UCLA is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.  Arizona State is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 games overall.  Roll with UCLA Thursday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma +12

The No. 2 ranked Baylor Bears are 9-0 this season.  The longer a team stays unbeaten the harder it is to cover spreads because expectations are so high that they are hard to live up to.  And players start to become complacent as well.

We've seen that in Baylor's last two games as they failed to cover as 44-point favorites in a 29-point win over Alcorn State.  They also failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites in an 11-point win over Iowa State, which may be the worst team in the Big 12.

Now Oklahoma takes its shot at Baylor.  The Sooners are 4-1 in their last five games overall with their only loss coming by 2 points to Texas Tech, 67-69.  They also beat West Virginia 75-71 at home.  This is a veteran squad that can hang with a team like Baylor.  They only lost 57-61 at Baylor as 11-point underdogs last season.

The Sooners are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 road games following three or more consecutive home games.  Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as an underdog.  The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Oklahoma Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Richmond -4

Richmond has played a brutal schedule and has gotten through it at 7-3.  They have wins over Kentucky, Wofford, Vanderbilt, Loyola-Chicago and Davidson and losses to St. Bonaventure, West Virginia and Hofstra.  And they haven't lost two games in a row yet, so this veteran team that returned four starters has shown some resilience.

Now I expect the Spiders to bounce back from a 3-point loss to St. Bonaventure with a win and cover here against Rhode Island.  This is a 5-5 Rams team that is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  They have a common opponent in Davidson, which Richmond beat 80-74 on the road, while Rhode Island lost to 58-67 at home.

The Spiders are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  Richmond is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Spiders are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites.  Take Richmond Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas -5.5

I love the spot for the Kansas Jayhawks today.  They are coming off their worst home loss in program history 59-84 to Texas on Saturday.  It's safe to say they are going to come back highly motivated for a victory here Monday.

The Jayhawks had won eight straight coming into that game with their only previous loss coming to top-ranked Gonzaga.  It's safe to say that loss was an aberration.  Now the Jayhawks face a TCU team that is overvalued off five straight victories coming in.

Kansas simply owns TCU.  The Jayhawks are 16-1 SU in the last 17 meetings.  Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games following a loss by 20 points or more.  The Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Big 12 road games.  Kansas is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Jayhawks are 43-19-3 ATS in their last 65 games following a SU loss.  Take Kansas Tuesday.

20* CBB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Southern Illinois +11

I was on Southern Illinois yesterday.  They played well early and led big but got crushed over the final 25 minutes and lost 55-73 at Drake as 10-point dogs.  Now they come back as 11-point dogs here in the rematch in this back-to-back situation and will be the more motivated team.

Drake is overvalued now after starting 12-0 SU & 9-0 ATS this season.  And with every win and cover, the Bulldogs will continue getting more and more respect from oddsmakers.  They will also start to feel the pressure of trying to keep this unbeaten streak alive.

It's a good time to 'buy low' on Southern Illinois.  The Salukis opened 7-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season before two straight losses to Evansville and Drake coming in.  Keep in mind they upset Drake in both meetings last season with a 66-49 home win and a 79-72 road win.  And they want revenge from that loss yesterday now.

The underdog is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.  Take Southern Illinois Monday.

15* CBB Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Monmouth +3

Monmouth is in a great spot today.  They want revenge from a 77-78 loss at Siena as 2.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now they come back as 3-point dogs in the rematch.  The Hawks will be motivated for revenge while the Saints will relax.  I expect the Hawks to win this game outright.

Monmouth is 3-3 SU & 4-1-1 ATS this season.  The Hawks have two losses by a combined 3 points this season, which is how close they are being to 5-1.  Siena will be playing just its second game of the season after missing all of 2020 with COVID problems.

The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Monmouth is 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Siena.  The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss.  Roll with Monmouth Monday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +11

The secret is out on the Drake Bulldogs.  They've been the best covering team in all of college basketball over the past couple seasons.  And now that they are 11-0 SU & 8-0 ATS to start this season, the word is out on the street on them.  It's definitely time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs now as 11-point favorites against Southern Illinois.

This is a very good Southern Illinois team that probably shouldn't be double-digit dogs to anyone in the Missouri Valley.  The Salukis are 7-1 SU & 5-2 ATS this season with an upset win at Butler.  But they are coming off their first loss of the season to Evansville.  It was predictable as they had beaten Evansville the day before and had this game with Drake on deck.  It was a letdown spot, but off that upset loss it's a good time to 'buy low' on the Salukis now.

Southern Illinois went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Drake last season with two upset wins as underdogs.  They won 66-49 at home as 1.5-point dogs and 79-72 on the road as 5.5-point dogs.  And now they are being undervalued once again in their first meeting of 2020-21.

The Salukis are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 18-6-2 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  The Salukis are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after giving up 5 or fewer offensive rebounds in their previous game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on George Washington +8

I like the situation for George Washington today.  They were beating 63-75 by Duquesne as 7.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now they come back as 8-point dogs today in the rematch.  They will be the more motivated team with revenge in mind, while the Dukes will likely relax and not want this game as badly.

George Washington is much better than its 2-7 record would indicate.  In fact, that 12-point loss yesterday was its largest defeat of the season.  The Colonials have four losses by 4 points or fewer this season.  There is going to be value with this team moving forward due to their poor SU record.

Duquesne is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games off a conference road win.  The Dukes are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams who average 12 or fewer assists per game.  Duquesne is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite.  George Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games as a home underdog.  The Colonials are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit home loss.  Take George Washington Sunday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on California +3

The Cal Golden Bears get their shot at revenge on Oregon State after losing 63-71 to the Beavers in their first game of the season.  They have improved rapidly since that first meeting and come in playing their best basketball of the season.

Indeed, the Golden Bears are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  Their only loss was a 13-point loss at Oregon in which they covered as 13.5-point dogs.  They upset San Francisco as 3.5-point dogs, crush Northridge by 31 and also beat Seattle.

Oregon State is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes upset losses to Wyoming as 9-point favorites and Portland as 16.5-point favorites.  And they barely beat Portland State by 5 as 13-point favorites during this stretch.  They should not be favorites in this rematch with the way they are playing of late.

Oregon State is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games.  The Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as favorites.  Roll with California Saturday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte +6

Charlotte wants revenge from a 63-67 loss to Western Kentucky yesterday as a 7-point underdog.  They don't have to wait long to get it as they will be playing each other again today.  The 49ers will be the more motivated team in the rematch, and I expect them to cover this 6-point spread and possibly win outright.

This is a Charlotte team that has shown they can play with some good teams.  They upset Davidson 63-52 as 10.5-point dogs as part of their three-game winning streak prior to losing to WKU.  I expect the Hilltoppers to relax today after winning six straight coming in.

Western Kentucky has been winning but not covering, which means they continue to be overvalued.  The Hilltoppers are now 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Four of their last five wins have come by 4 points or less.

Charlotte is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a home underdog.  Western Kentucky is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games vs. teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game.  Take Charlotte Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Evansville +6.5

The Northern Iowa Panthers have been one of my favorite teams to fade in the early going.  A big reason for that is they are missing their best player in AJ Green.  Green's loss is huge as he averaged 19.7 PPG last season and is averaging 22.3 PPG this season.  He is out for the year.

The Panthers have gone 2-5 SU & 1-5 ATS this season.  And now they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers once again today as 6.5-point road favorites over Evansville.  It's a Purple Aces team that is on the improve.

Indeed, Evansville has gone 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The two losses were both covers in a 9-point loss to Belmont and a 6-point loss to Southern Illinois.  Then they avenged that loss to Southern Illinois and handed the Salukis their first loss in an 84-72 victory as 8-point dogs.  Roll with Evansville Saturday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Niagara -1

Head coach Greg Paulus, the former Duke standout, is in his second year at Niagara.  I expect big things from him and this team this year.  They returned all five starters from last year and four of their top five scorers.

After a slow start to the season due to COVID, this experienced team has found their stride.  The Purple Eagles are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They crushed Fairfield twice by 17 and 20 points.  And then they upset Albany as a 3.5-point dog.  And now they will take down Marist tonight.

Marist is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to its 5-1 start against an extremely soft schedule.  Their six wins have come against Manhattan (twice), Canisius and Binghamton (twice).  And it's worth noting two of those wins came in overtime.  Now Marist will meet its match here against this experienced, talented Purple Eagles squad.  Take Niagara Friday.

20* Michigan/Maryland ESPN No-Brainer on Maryland +2

It's time to 'sell high' on the Michigan Wolverines after their 7-0 start against a soft schedule.  They got to play their first six games of the season all at home with their only decent opponent being a 62-58 win over Penn State.  And their only road game this season came at Nebraska, which is the worst team in the Big Ten.

This is a big step up in class for the Wolverines against a Maryland team that has already been tested.  The Terrapins are 6-3 this season  with their only losses coming to Clemson and Purdue on the road, as well as Rutgers at home.  They proved what they were capable of last time out with a 70-64 win at Wisconsin as a 7.5-point dog.

I like that Maryland has been active lately and will be the sharper team because of it.  It will be their 4th game since December 22nd.  Meanwhile, the Wolverines will be playing just their 2nd game since December 13th.  I imagine they will be pretty rusty here.

The Terrapins are 5-1 at home this season and winning by 16.3 points per game.  Maryland beat Michigan 83-70 at home last season.  The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet Maryland Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Eastern Kentucky -3.5

Eastern Kentucky returned four starters this season and is off to a 7-2 SU & 5-2 ATS start this season.  They took Xavier to overtime in one of their losses as 16-point underdogs.  That's a Xavier team that is 8-1 this season.

Eastern Illinois is just 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS this season.  They lost by 10 to Wisconsin and by 25 to Marquette as well as a loss to a down Dayton team.  They also lost to a bad Evansville team as 3-point favorites.  They only beat Western Illinois 92-88 as 11.5-point favorites and needed overtime to beat a bad Wisconsin-Green Bay team as 5.5-point favorites.  Their only blowout win came 78-56 against Chicago State, which is one of the worst teams in the country, and they failed to cover as 26-point favorites.

Given these results, it's clear that Eastern Kentucky should be more than a 3.5-point favorite in this game tonight.  Not to mention Eastern Kentucky won both meetings with Eastern Illinois last year despite being underdogs in both games.  And they returned more talent and experience than Eastern Illinois did this season.

Eastern Illinois is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games coming in.  The Panthers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.  The Colonels are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites.  The Colonels are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  Roll with Eastern Kentucky Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on La Salle +12.5

The Dayton Flyers are way overvalued in the early going this season.  They lost a lot from last year's team that was one of the best in the country, including Wooden Award winner Obi Toppin.  I'll gladly fade them here as 12.5-point favorites against La Salle in this Atlantic 10 opener for both teams.

Dayton is 4-1 SU but just 2-3 ATS.  Each of their five games this season have been decided by 6 points or less.  That includes a 66-63 win over Eastern Illinois as 14-point favorites and a 66-60 win over Northern Kentucky as 11.5-point favorites.

La Salle is just 3-5 SU this season but has been competitive in almost all their losses.  The Explorers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Drexel 58-48 as 3-point road dogs, covered as 3-point favorites in a 71-61 win over Delaware, and only lost 71-84 at Maryland as 16.5-point dogs last time out.

The Flyers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  La Salle is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games off two consecutive non-conference games.  The Explorers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half of two straight games.  The Explorers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams who average 6 or fewer steals per game.  These four trends combine for a 26-1 system backing the Explorers tonight.  Take La Salle Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on Richmond +1

Richmond is a team I'm looking to back a lot this season since they returned four starters from last year.  And it has paid off for the most part in the early going as they are 6-2 SU against a brutal schedule.

We're going to get a motivated Richmond team off an upset loss to Hofstra last time out.  They have wins over Kentucky, Wofford, Northern Iowa, Vanderbilt and Loyola-Chicago this season.  Their only other loss came to West Virginia, one of the best teams in the country.

Now the Spiders open Atlantic 10 play against Davidson, who has losses to Texas, Providence and Charlotte this season.  The Wildcats are now getting too much respect off two straight wins over Rhode Island and Vanderbilt.  

Richmond won both meetings with Davidson last season 80-63 at home and 70-64 on the road.  It will be more of the same in their first meeting of 2020-21.  The Spiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.  The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Richmond Wednesday.