04-03-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
94-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Warriors +7.5 The Key: Plays against home favorites (MEMPHIS) in the 2nd game of a back-to-back in the month of April are 168-105 (61.5%) ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by an average of 6.6 points but have only won by an average of 3.6 points. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS on the season and 24-10 (70.5%) the last 3 seasons. Basically, this system shows how fatigued teams are when playing on consecutive days this time of the year. We'll take the Warriors.
|
04-03-12 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers -5.5 |
|
104-112 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers -5.5 The Key: Indiana will be out for some serious revenge here after losing to the Knicks on consecutive days last month. The Knicks are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
|
04-03-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Toronto Raptors -9 |
|
87-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors -9 The Key: The Bobcats are a poor 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Raptors are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Raptors are the more talented team, they're playing better basketball and they'll be lacking no motivation having lost 6 in a row in the series.
|
04-02-12 |
Utah Jazz +2.5 v. Portland Trailblazers |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Jazz +2.5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers cannot be trusted following Sunday's double-digit win over the T-Wolves as they 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
04-02-12 |
Kansas v. Kentucky -6 |
|
59-67 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* NCAA Championship CA$H COW on Kentucky -6 The Key: Kansas is extremely fortunate to be here while Kentucky has been dominant, defeating its 5 tournament opponents by an average of 12.6 points. The Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of less than 7.0 points and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12 foes.
|
04-02-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks -4 |
|
94-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs -4 The Key: Dallas is 10-0 in its last 10 home games versus the Clippers, winning those games by 10.7 points on average.
|
04-02-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
94-88 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +8 The Key: Memphis is 11-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when matched up against a team with a winning percentage above 70% in the second half of the season. It has won by an average of 3.0 points in this spot.
|
04-01-12 |
Golden State Warriors +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
112-120 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors +10.5 The Key: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific division opponents, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Lakers. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.
|
04-01-12 |
Indiana Pacers +4 v. Houston Rockets |
|
104-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers +4 The Key: This is a system play. Road teams (INDIANA) that have failed to cover in 3 of their last 4, an extremely tired team playing 9 or more games in 14 days, are 37-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.7 points in average but have only lost by an average of 0.8. Look for the Pacers to take Houston down to the wire.
|
04-01-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Orlando Magic -5 |
Top |
104-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic -5 The Key: The Magic are a team capable of beating anybody or losing to anybody, but I love them at home today. Off consecutive defeats, we can be assured that they'll leave it all on the floor. Plus, the Magic are 13-1 in their last 14 home contests against the Nuggets and those wins have come by over 11.0 points on average. Denver is coming off a win but hasn't won consecutive games since early last month. It is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 contests following a victory.
|
03-31-12 |
Ohio State -2.5 v. Kansas |
Top |
62-64 |
Loss |
-104 |
104 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Final 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -2.5 The Key: We can throw Kansas' 11-point home win over Ohio State in December out the door because Sullinger didn't play in that contest. With arguably the best big man in the country operating down low this time around, I love Ohio State's chances. The Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games. The Jayhawks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Take Ohio State.
|
03-31-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers -6 |
Top |
90-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers -6 The Key: The Hawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers have won the last 4 meetings in this series by an average of 16.0 points and will be very hungry tonight after getting embarrassed by Washington last night.
|
03-31-12 |
Louisville +8.5 v. Kentucky |
|
61-69 |
Win
|
100 |
100 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Final 4 CA$H COW on Louisville +8.5 The Key: The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win, 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Wildcats are only 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Louisville lost to Kentucky by 7 points in the season's first meeting, and I believe it has what it takes to keep this one even closer.
|
03-30-12 |
New Jersey Nets v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
|
102-100 |
Loss |
-111 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5 The Key: The Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
03-30-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 |
|
121-84 |
Loss |
-107 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +5 The Key: The Cavs have lost 5 in a row and both meetings with Milwaukee this season, so they'll be playing some inspired ball tonight in hopes of stopping the bleeding. The Bucks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus division foes. Also, they are 5-13 ATS this season after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 games. They have lost by an average score of 100.6 to 96.4 in this situation.
|
03-30-12 |
New York Knicks v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
90-100 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 60 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawks -3 The Key: Expect the Knicks to struggle tonight on the road without Amar'e Stoudemire against a physical Atlanta squad that ranks 5th in the NBA in scoring defense with 93.1 ppg allowed. The Knicks have dropped 7 of their last 9 on the highway while the Hawks have won 7 of their last 10 at home. We'll lay the points as I expect the Hawks to be extremely focused after the whoopin' Chicago gave them Wednesday.
|
03-29-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers -105 |
|
102-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Lakers -105 The Key: The Lakers have won 11 of their last 12 at home in this series by over 10.5 ppg on average. The Thunder enter off a double-digit win and cover in Portland but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Thunder have lost 2 of their last 4 on the road to lesser teams (Hawks, Jazz). This is their toughest road contest to date (in my opinion), and I have them coming up short against an LA squad that is 20-4 at home on the season.
|
03-29-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat -8 |
Top |
85-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Heat -8 The Key: After consecutive double-digit losses, the Heat will be out for blood against the team that took them down in the Finals. History is on our side in a big way as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (winning 60% to 75% of their games) playing a team with a winning record, are 41-17 (71%) ATS the last 5 seasons. It must be noted that the Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. The Mavs have dropped 8 of their last 10 on the highway with those 8 defeats coming by an average of 10.8 points. Their last 3 road losses have come by an average of 19.0 points. We'll bet Miami.
|
03-28-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 |
|
86-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Clippers -7 The Key: The Clippers, who have endured a pair of narrow defeats to Phoenix this month, will be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Suns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. New Jersey Nets +5.5 |
|
84-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +5.5 The Key: The Pacers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-28-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Toronto Raptors +4 |
Top |
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +4 The Key: The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU victory. The Raptors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of less than 5.0 points.
|
03-27-12 |
Minnesota v. Washington -1 |
|
68-67 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NIT CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Washington -1 The Key: Washington, the only conference champion from a major conference ever not to receive an NCAA Tournament berth, is on a mission to prove it was more than deserving. The Gophers have covered the spread in 7 straight games but history tells us to look the other way at this point. In fact, plays against underdogs that have successfully covered the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, playing with 5 or 6 days rest, are 32-12 ATS since 1997. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take Washington.
|
03-27-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks -1.5 The Key: The Hawks can't be trusted as a small dog considering they are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. The Bucks have dropped consecutive games but are an awesome 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home contests following 2 or more consecutive defeats. They haven't just covered the number in these games, they've won outright on average by a score of 101.9 to 96.3. We'll grab the Bucks at home in this bounce back spot.
|
03-26-12 |
Denver Nuggets +8 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
108-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets +8 The Key: The Nuggets are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games as an underdog and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-26-12 |
Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets -118 |
Top |
105-84 |
Loss |
-118 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nets -118 The Key: This is a nightmare of a situation for Utah, which is playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back following a brutal 4-overtime loss Sunday. The Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of less than 5.0 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll take New Jersey.
|
03-26-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats +7 |
|
102-95 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +7 The Key: The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bobcats and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games when valued as a favorite of 5.0 to 10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies +7 The Key: Teams playing the second game of a back-to-back are often undervalued due to the fatigue factor. This young Memphis team, however, hasn't looked fatigued in back-to-backs. In fact, it is 25-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 99.3 to 95.5. Also, the Lakers 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-25-12 |
Kansas v. North Carolina +2 |
|
80-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* North Carolina +2 The Key: The Tar Heels are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games while the Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games. Also, the Jayhawks are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. ACC foes.
|
03-25-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 |
|
108-83 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs +3.5 The Key: The Cavaliers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points. Also, the Suns are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series.
|
03-24-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Mavs +3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog.
|
03-24-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +6 v. New Jersey Nets |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +6 The Key: The Nets are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
|
03-24-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards +3.5 |
|
95-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards +3.5 The Key: The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-24-12 |
Ohio State v. Syracuse +3 |
Top |
77-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse +3 The Key: The Buckeyes are a lousy 1-8 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games when listed as a favorite of less than 7 points.
|
03-24-12 |
Florida -1 v. Louisville |
|
68-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Elite 8 CA$H COW on Florida -1 The Key: The Gators are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games when listed as a favorite while teh Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games when listed as an underdog.
|
03-23-12 |
NC State v. Kansas -8 |
|
57-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas -8 The Key: The Jayhawks are 18-7 ATS lifetime in games played away from Lawrence following a win of 3 or fewer points under coach Bill Self.
|
03-23-12 |
Ohio +10.5 v. North Carolina |
|
65-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio +10.5 The Key: The Bobcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
|
03-23-12 |
New Jersey Nets +8 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
84-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +8 The Key: The Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Atlantic division opponents.
|
03-23-12 |
Miami Heat v. Detroit Pistons +8.5 |
|
88-73 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons +8.5 The Key: The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Pistons are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-23-12 |
Xavier +6.5 v. Baylor |
|
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Xavier +6.5 The Key: The Musketeers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 NCAA Tournament games and 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7 points or less and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.
|
03-23-12 |
Phoenix Suns +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Suns +3.5 The Key: The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5 points or less, and the Pacers are 8-25 ATS in their last 33 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
03-23-12 |
New York Knicks v. Toronto Raptors +5.5 |
Top |
79-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +5.5 The Key: The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite while the Raptors are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
|
03-22-12 |
Florida v. Marquette -2 |
|
68-58 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Marquette -2 The Key: The Golden Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
|
03-22-12 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -1.5 |
Top |
103-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -1.5 The Key: The Jazz are only 6-16 on the road this season and have lost their last 2 in Sacramento by 9 and 7 points. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of fewer than 5 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Kings.
|
03-22-12 |
Cincinnati +7.5 v. Ohio State |
Top |
66-81 |
Loss |
-101 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Cincy +7.5 The Key: The Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog. Cincy is 13-4 ATS in all games away from home this season and 8-1 ATS in non-conference away games over the last 2 seasons. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in this situation. Take the points as Cincy has an excellent opportunity to win this one straight up.
|
03-22-12 |
Louisville +5 v. Michigan State |
|
57-44 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Louisville +5 The Key: The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of fewer than 7 points.
|
03-22-12 |
Wisconsin +3.5 v. Syracuse |
|
63-64 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin +3.5 The Key: The Orange are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of fewer than 7 points and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games.
|
03-21-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. San Antonio Spurs -9.5 |
|
100-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs -9.5 The Key: The Spurs are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-21-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Toronto Raptors +7.5 |
|
94-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors +7.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games as an underdog.
|
03-21-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Orlando Magic -8.5 |
Top |
93-103 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Magic -8.5 The Key: Plays on home teams (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more that are up against an opponent off a road cover where it lost straight up as an underdog are 25-6 ATS since 1996. Teams have won by an average of 12.7 points in this situation. Also, teams coached by Stan Van Gundy are 14-3 ATS all-time after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, and the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Magic have won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5 against Phoenix with those 4 wins coming by 23, 16, 22 and 12 points.
|
03-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
110-119 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Kings +3.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite while the Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
03-20-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Indiana Pacers -3.5 |
Top |
89-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers -3.5 The Key: The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pacers have won the two games played in Indy during this stretch by an average of 20.0 points.
|
03-20-12 |
Massachusetts v. Drexel -6 |
|
72-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NIT CA$H COW on Drexel -6 The Key: The Dragons are an undefeated 15-0 at home where they carry a 13.2-point average margin of victory. Expect Drexel's home dominance to continue.
|
03-19-12 |
Illinois State +8.5 v. Stanford |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NIT Bailout on Illinois State +8.5 The Key: Illinois State is 7-0 ATS in road games off a road win under coach Jankovich, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. It is also 6-0 ATS in all tournament games this season, winning them by an average of 3.7 points.
|
03-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets -4 |
|
112-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -4 The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have dropped their last 7 away from home with those 7 losses coming by 9.4 ppg.
|
03-19-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
97-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +2 The Key: The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
|
03-19-12 |
Butler v. Pennsylvania |
Top |
63-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* CBI Tournament Game of the Year on Penn pk The Key: Odds makers are begging for action on the two-time national runner-ups but we won't bite. The Bulldogs are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games when the line is +3 to -3. They have lost these contests by an average of 6.5 points. Penn has won 6 in a row and 8 of 9 at home with the only loss in this stretch coming to NCAA tournament qualifier Harvard. Pound Penn.
|
03-19-12 |
Boston Celtics +1.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
79-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics +1.5 The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games as a favorite of fewer than 5 points.
|
03-18-12 |
Cincinnati +3 v. Florida State |
Top |
62-56 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Round of 32 Game of the Year on Cincinnati +3 The Key: The Seminoles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games as a favorite, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of fewer than 7 points. The Bearcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
|
03-18-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Miami Heat -8.5 |
|
81-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Heat -8.5 The Key: Miami is 18-2 at home where it has won by an average of 12.5 points and defeated Orlando by 12 points last month. The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-18-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5 |
|
103-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Cavaliers +2.5 The Key: The Cavs are on an 8-1 ATS run as an underdog of less than 5 points.
|
03-17-12 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Utah Jazz |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +7.5 The Key: The Warriors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-17-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks -3 |
|
99-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks -3 The Key: The Mavs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against good teams carrying better than a 60% winning percentage.
|
03-17-12 |
Colorado v. Baylor -7.5 |
Top |
63-80 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NCAA Tourney *HEAVY HITTER* on Baylor -7.5 The Key: After getting a bit of a scare from 14-seed South Dakota State, expect Baylor to be very focused when it hits the floor tonight. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BAYLOR) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers and up against an opponent that committed 12+ more turnovers than its opponent last game are 42-15 ATS since 1997. This system, which is 19-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, has seen the "play on" side win by an average of 10.2 points. Bet Baylor.
|
03-17-12 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Indiana -6 |
|
61-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Indiana -6 The Key: The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against non-conference foes.
|
03-17-12 |
Toronto Raptors v. Charlotte Bobcats +2.5 |
|
103-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Bobcats +2.5 The Key: The Raptors are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Bobcats.
|
03-16-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
92-97 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +8 The Key: The Timberwolves are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games as an underdog, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games versus Minnesota and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
03-16-12 |
Xavier +2.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
67-63 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* Xavier +2.5 The Key: The Musketeers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog while the Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
|
03-16-12 |
Detroit +14 v. Kansas |
|
50-65 |
Loss |
-105 |
34 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Detroit +14 The Key: The Titans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or more. The often overvalued Jayhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.
|
03-16-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Sacramento Kings +3 |
|
95-120 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +3 The Key: I like the Kings in the home dog role regardless of whether Tyreke Evans plays tonight. The Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Kings are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
|
03-16-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers +9 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
100-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Blazers +9 The Key: The Blazers traded away some key players and fired their coach but I still expect them to show up tonight following back-to-back embarrassing losses. Luol Deng's wrist isn't at full strength and Derrick Rose is expected to miss with a groin injury. The Bulls will be much more concerned with tomorrow's game against Philly, which gives Portland an excellent opportunity to cover this number.
|
03-16-12 |
Ohio v. Michigan -5.5 |
|
65-60 |
Loss |
-109 |
31 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan -5.5 The Key: Expect a strong performance from Michigan as it enters the Dance motivated following an embarrassing loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten tourney. The Wolverines are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games following a SU loss and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
|
03-16-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers +4 v. Florida |
|
45-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Virginia +4 The Key: The Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
|
03-16-12 |
Alabama -1.5 v. Creighton |
|
57-58 |
Loss |
-109 |
25 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* Alabama -1.5 The Key: Alabama is the more athletic and more physical team and should march on here. The Creighton Bluejays are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus teams with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
|
03-16-12 |
NC State -2 v. San Diego St |
Top |
79-65 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* First Round Game of the Year on NC State -2 The Key: The Wolfpack are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite. NC State enters the NCAA tourney with tons of confidence after an impressive showing against No. 1 seed North Carolina, and I expect it to parlay that confidence into a big win over a San Diego State team odds makers clearly don't have much respect for (#6 seed catching points against a #11).
|
03-16-12 |
Texas v. Cincinnati -2 |
|
59-65 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Cincy -2 The Key: The Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of fewer than 7 points.
|
03-15-12 |
Colorado v. UNLV -5.5 |
Top |
68-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* NCAA Tournament *HEAVY HITTER* on UNLV -5.5 The Key: Colorado enters the Dance overvalued following its Pac-12 tourney title run, and I expect it to come back down to earth here. The Runnin' Rebels will be very focused following early exits in the NCAA tourney the past two seasons. UNLV's talent is unmistakable. We're talking about a team that defeated tourney teams North Carolina, Cal, New Mexico and Colorado State by double digits. The Buffaloes are only 2-10 ATS after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 over the last 2 seasons.
|
03-15-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -1 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
103-90 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -1 The Key: The Thunder are 52-24-1 ATS in their last 77 games following a loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take OKC.
|
03-15-12 |
South Dakota St +8 v. Baylor |
|
60-68 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* South Dakota State +8 The Key: The Baylor Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Jackrabbits are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
|
03-15-12 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Wichita State -6 |
|
62-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Wichita State -6 The Key: The Shockers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games as a favorite. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
|
03-15-12 |
Long Beach State +4 v. New Mexico |
|
68-75 |
Loss |
-103 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Long Beach State +4 The Key: The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
|
03-15-12 |
Montana +9.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
49-73 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Montana +9.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
|
03-15-12 |
Southern Miss +5 v. Kansas State |
|
64-70 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Southern Miss +5 The Key: The Wildcats are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when matched up against a team with a winning record. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
|
03-14-12 |
Western Illinois +11.5 v. Oregon State |
|
59-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Western Illinois +11.5 The Key: The Leathernecks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record.
|
03-14-12 |
Nevada v. Oral Roberts -5.5 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Oral Roberts -5.5 The Key: The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are an impressive 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games when listed as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
03-14-12 |
Bucknell +8.5 v. Arizona |
|
65-54 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Bucknell +8.5 The Key: Arizona is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 home games after a game in which it failed to cover the number. It has only won by an average of 5.4 points in this situation.
|
03-14-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. New Orleans Hornets +5 |
Top |
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Hornets +5 The Key: The Lakers continues to be overvalued on the road despite continuing struggles away from home and we'll take advantage. L.A. is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games when listed as a favorite.
|
03-14-12 |
Northern Iowa v. St Joseph's -7 |
|
67-65 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* St. Joseph's -7 The Key: The Panthers are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Hawks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
|
03-13-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Sacramento Kings -3 |
Top |
115-89 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -3 The Key: The Warriors are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series.
|
03-13-12 |
Marshall v. Middle Tennessee St -5.5 |
|
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB CA$H COW on Middle Tennessee State -5.5 The Key: MTSU is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. It has defeated these teams by an average of 9.6 points.
|
03-12-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +4 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
127-124 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +4 The Key: The Timberwolves are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. In addition, the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
03-12-12 |
Detroit Pistons v. Utah Jazz -7.5 |
Top |
90-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -7.5 The Key: Off consecutive defeats on the road, the Jazz are back home where they are 14-6 on the season. Expect them to bounce back strong against a Detroit team that is just 3-15 on the highway this season. The Jazz have won their last 8 at home in this series with those victories coming by an average of 9.0 points. Lay the number.
|
03-11-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets -6 |
Top |
94-91 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets -6 The Key: Denver has won 8 in a row at home against the Grizzlies and is 18-1 at home all-time against the Grizzlies since they moved to Memphis. 7 of Denver's last 8 home wins against Memphis have come by at least 9 points.
|
03-11-12 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +2 |
|
64-68 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan State +2 The Key: Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games as an underdog and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-11-12 |
Vanderbilt +8 v. Kentucky |
|
71-64 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Vandy +8 The Key: This experienced Vandy squad has played Kentucky tougher than anyone else in the SEC this season, and I expect it to give the Wildcats a game this afternoon. The Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Commodores are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
03-11-12 |
Florida State v. North Carolina -6 |
|
85-82 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* North Carolina -6 The Key: This game is about payback for UNC, who was embarrassed by 33 points by FSU during the regular season. The Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less.
|
03-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +9.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
91-93 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pacers +9.5 The Key: As if enduring consecutive losses isn't enough motivation, the Pacers will draw further incentive from losses of 35 and 15 points to Miami in the season's first two meetings. The results of those matchups will cause Indiana to be more focused than it has been all season. The Heat can't help but take the Pacers lightly here with the way they dominated the first two. The fact Miami enters off 2 days' rest is great news considering it has lost 8 in a row ATS when playing on 2 days' rest. It is only winning by an average score of 99.6 to 98.6 in this situation. This is a great spot for a hungry Indiana team against a Miami squad that will be overlooking its opponent.
|
03-10-12 |
Portland Trailblazers -5 v. Washington Wizards |
|
110-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Trail Blazers -5 The Key: Portland is struggling but should be able to get back on track against the lowly Wizards. Washington came from 21 down to beat the Lakers in their last game but are 6-25 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 12.4 points in this situation.
|
03-10-12 |
NC State +9 v. North Carolina |
|
67-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* NC State +9 The Key: NC State is a strong 8-2 ATS when playing away from home against conference opponents this season.
|
03-10-12 |
Florida +9.5 v. Kentucky |
|
71-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* Florida +9.5 The Key: Kentucky is just 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when valued as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points.
|
03-10-12 |
Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -2.5 |
|
80-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* St. Bonaventure -2.5 The Key: The Bonnies are a terrific 12-3 ATS when laying points this season.
|