Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-20 | Cincinnati v. Tennessee -6.5 | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -6.5 The Key: The Tennessee Vols are one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and ranked 12th. They just haven’t had a chance to show it, and I think they are being undervalued because of only playing one game. That one game was impressive with a 56-47 win over a very good Colorado team. And now they take on Cincinnati, which only beat Lipscomb by 12, Furman by 5 and lost to Xavier by 8. I think we can expect a 7-plus point victory from the Vols today in this matchup. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. This will be their first road game this year. The Bearcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as road dogs. Cincinnati is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games off a win. Take Tennessee. |
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12-11-20 | Iowa State v. Iowa -12.5 | 77-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Iowa NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa -12.5 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes brought back all 5 starters this year and have arguably the best player in the country in Luka Garza, who is averaging 29.5 PPG and 10.8 RPG this year. He is surrounded by shooters in Wieskamp (13.8 PPG, 57.9% 3-pointers), Fredrick (11.0 PPG, 58.8%) and Bohannon (8.8 PPG, 33.3%) to make Iowa one of the most dangerous teams in the country offensively. That was on display in their 93-80 win over UNC in which they made 17 3-pointers. Garza even had an off game with 6-of-20 from the floor and they still dominated. Now they face an Iowa State team that is rebuilding after losing Tyrese Haliburton to the NBA. The Cyclones struggled against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and actually trailed them at halftime. Then they got upset by South Dakota State. They won’t be able to hang with the Hawkeyes in this rivalry game. And Iowa has beaten Iowa State by exactly 14 points each of the last 2 years. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off 2 consecutive non-conference games. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS off 2 straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 years. The Cyclones are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs. Take Iowa. |
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12-11-20 | Nebraska v. Creighton OVER 152 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Nebraska/Creighton NCAAB *CA$H COW* on OVER 152 The Key: Two teams built for offense and little defense square off tonight in this rivalry between Nebraska and Creighton. Defense has been optional in the last 2 matchups in this series. Nebraska won 94-75 in 2018 for 169 combined points and Creighton won 95-76 in 2019 for 171 combined points. Nebraska is 14-4 OVER in its last 18 road games off a loss. The OVER is 21-9 on Huskers last 30 games off a loss. The OVER is 7-3-1 in Bluejays last 11 games as a favorite. Take the OVER. |
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12-09-20 | Stephen F Austin +23.5 v. Baylor | Top | 52-83 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Stephen F. Austin +23.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for Baylor. They are disappointed they didn’t get to play Gonzaga over the weekend due to COVID. And they will have a hard time getting up emotionally to play Stephen F. Austin tonight. Especially since they have their Big 12 opener on deck this weekend against Texans. But the Lumberjacks aren’t a team to be taken lightly. They went 28-3 last year and won 27 or more games for the 6th time in 8 seasons. They returned 3 of their top 4 scorers from that 28-win team, too. And they are primed to give No. 2 Baylor a run for its money tonight. The Lumberjacks have handled their business at 3-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Stephen F. Austin is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more. The Lumberjacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take Stephen F. Austin. |
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12-09-20 | Marshall -5.5 v. College of Charleston | 84-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Marshall -5.5 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. They are off to a good start this year at 2-0 with a 14-point win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite and a 16-point win at Wright State as a 1-point favorite. And now they should crush Charleston, which lost by 24 to Furman and by 19 to North Carolina en route to a 1-2 start with their only win coming against lowly Limestone College. Charleston lost its leading scorer from last year, and Zep Jasper and Brevin Galloway are the only 2 players returning who averaged more than 4 PPG last year. They have just one starter back and are going through some growing pains early on. Marshall is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 non-conference road games. The Thundering Herd are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a win by 10 points or more. Charleston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a dog. Take Marshall. |
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12-09-20 | Furman +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 73-78 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Furman +3.5 The Key: Furman is 4-0 this year and winning by 31.3 PPG. They have picked up right where they left off. They won 23 games in Bob Richey’s first season, then proceeded to tie a school record with 25 wins each fo the last 2 seasons. They returned 4 starters and 3 double-digit scorers from last year’s team that went 25-7. Cincinnati is off to a shaky start with a 67-55 win over Lipscomb as a 13.5-point favorite and a 69-77 loss to Xavier as a 3.5-point favorite. It’s always tough to get up for your next game after playing your biggest rival like Cincinnati just did. That may be even more true here in this sandwich spot with a game against ranked Tennessee on deck Saturday. The is a game the Paladins can win outright. Furman is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games. The Bearcats are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games with a total of 140 to 149.5. Take Furman. |
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12-08-20 | Boston College +7 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston College +7 The Key: The Boston College Eagles played 3 competitive games against Villanova, Rhode Island and Seton Hall that were all decided by single-digits to start the season. Then they lost by 20 to Florida. They have faced one of the toughest schedules in all of college basketball thus far, and there will be value with them moving forward because of it. The same cannot be said for Minnesota, which has faced one of the easiest schedules. They played Loyola-Marymount twice, North Dakota and Wisconsin-Green Bay. And they only beat Loyola by 15 and 3 points and North Dakota by 9. They aren’t as good as their 4-0 record suggests, and they will get exposed tonight by Boston College. The Eagles have 5 players scoring in double figures this year with a very balanced attack and a veteran bunch. Take Boston College. |
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12-08-20 | Purdue -2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Miami ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on Purdue -2 The Key: The Miami Hurricanes have some key injuries that could hold them back here against Purdue. All-ACC Preseason selection Chris Dykes suffered an ankle injury in Friday’s win over Stetson. He finished with a game-high 20 points and 5 assists, and he is the catalyst of this team at the point guard position. He didn’t practice on Monday and is questionable to play. The Hurricanes were already without guard Earl Timberlake (ankle) for three to five weeks, and then forward Matt Cross left the Stetson game with four minutes to go with a foot injury. Purdue shoots 43.6% from 3-point range this season and will present a tough challenge for Miami’s thin backcourt. The Boilermakers have great balance with 6 players averaging in double figures scoring. Miami is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games against teams that score 77 PPG or more. Jim Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of the Hurricanes. Take Purdue. |
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12-05-20 | SMU +110 v. Dayton | 66-64 | Win | 110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on SMU ML +110 The Key: The Dayton Flyers lost Obi Toppin to the NBA and are clearly rebuilding this year. That showed in their opener as they only beat Eastern Illinois 66-63 as a 14-point favorite. And now they have to take a big step up in competition here against an SMU team that is loaded under head coach Tim Jankovich. They have beaten Sam Houston State, Texas A&M Corpus Christi and Houston Baptist by an average of 31.3 PPG this year. The Mustangs were 19-11 last year and poised to make the NCAA Tournament. They want to be the team to end Dayton’s 21-game winning streak. Dayton also lost guard Trey Landers and his 10.5 PPG, 6.9 RPG and 2.4 APG from last year as Landers went on to play professionally in Germany. The Mustangs brought back 4 of their top 5 scorers from last year and added in TCU transfer Kendrick Davis who averaged 6.7 APG last year, Oklahoma State big man Yor Anei and Cal transfer Darius McNeill, who averaged 11.2 PPG last year. Davis is already making a huge impact with 21.3 PPG and 9.7 APG. Take SMU. |
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12-04-20 | Detroit +26.5 v. Michigan State | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit +26.5 The Key: Mike Davis is a great recruiter and is doing his best to turn around this Detroit program right away. And he has the benefit of returning Antoine Davis, whose 24.3 PPG last year were the fifth-most in D-1. He also averaged 4.5 APG and made 90.1% of his free throws. The Titans bring in transfers Noah Waterman of Niagara and Taurean Thompson of Seton Hall and Syracuse to help in the post. Marquell Fraser is a transfer from Idaho and Bul Kuol is a transfer from Cal Baptist that give the Titans versatility on the win. Chris Brandon is back after leading the Titans with 8.1 RPG last year. The 6-7 Kuol was a 47.5% 3-point shooter last year and the 6-11 Waterman was a 42.9% 3-point shooter, so the Titans finally have size and outside shooters to compliment Davis. This is a huge letdown spot for Michigan State after upsetting Duke 75-69 on Tuesday. The Spartans won’t be nearly as hungry to face Detroit tonight, and that’s a big reason why I think the Titans hang around for 40 minutes and cover this lofty number. The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a dog. The Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take Detroit. |
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12-03-20 | Marshall -1 v. Wright State | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Marshall -1 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. And the Thundering Herd got a game under their belts with a 70-56 win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite. That’s more than Wright State can say as they will be playing their first game of the season tonight. I think Marshall will be the sharper team as a result and I love their experience early in the season. The Raiders have to replace 2 double-digit scorers from last year. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. Take Marshall. |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +105 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on USC ML +105 The Key: The USC Trojans are off to a 3-0 start this year and will challenge for a Pac-12 title with all the talent they have. Few teams have put together a more impressive win than the Trojans had last time out, beating BYU 79-53 as 3.5-point dogs. They are lighting it up offensively this year in averaging 83.3 PPG on 53.3% shooting as a team. Freshman Evan Mobley was the third-rated player in this year’s freshmen class and it is showing. He is averaging 16.3 PPG and 9.0 RPG in 3 games. HIs brother Isaiah Mobley had a double-double against BYU. Rice Transfer Drew Peterson had a game-high 19 points, and SEMS transfer Tahj Eeddy added 16 points. It’s clear that head coach Andy Enfield struck gold with this recruiting class already. UConn is 2-0 this season but against a soft schedule with wins over Central Connecticut State and Hartford. They only beat Hartford 69-57 as 22.5-point favorites and only covered by a single point against CCSU. USC is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games off a win by 10 points or more. The Trojans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs. Take USC on the Money Line. |
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12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -20 | 54-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Memphis -20 The Key: The Memphis Tigers were expected to be one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and one of the top recruiting classes under Penny Hardaway. But after a 1-2 start with losses to WKU and VCU, I think we are getting Memphis cheap here tonight. They also crushed St. Mary’s 73-56 and both WKU and VCU are two of the better mid-major teams in the land. Now they take a big step down in class here against Arkansas State, which is 0-2 with losses to Marshall by 14 as a 14-point dog and Morehead State by 8 as a favorite. Now this is a big step up in class for the Red Wolves. After playing 3 games in 3 days, now the Tigers have had 4 days off to practice and improve and should put their best foot forward tonight. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Hardaway is 11-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of Memphis. Take Memphis. |
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12-02-20 | Montana State +5.5 v. Pacific | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Montana State +5.5 The Key: The Montana State Bobcats returned their entire front court this season with Jurbrile Belo and Devin Kirby combining for 12.1 RPG last year. They have Amin Adamu back after 11.7 PPG and 5.2 RPG last year. And they brought in UMKC transfer Xavier Bishop to run the show after averaging 15.4 PPG and shooting 35.3% from 3-point range in 2018-19. Bishop got off to a huge start with 22 points and 5 assists in an impressive 91-78 upset victory over UNLV as 12-point dogs. Belo had 14 points and 8 rebounds and Adamu added in 14 points in the win, so the key players are playing big roles already. Pacific barely got past awful UC-Riverside 66-60 and then lost 58-70 as 5.5-point dogs at Nevada. The Bobcats have a real shot to win this game outright over Pacific tonight. Montana State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games after playing a road game. Take Montana State. |
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12-01-20 | UNLV v. Alabama -10 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -10 The Key: Head coach Nate Oats brings back 4 of his top 6 scorers from last year led by John Petty Jr. and Jaden Shackelford, who combined for 30 PPG and 11 RPG last year. After crushing Jacksonville State 81-57 as 20.5-point favorites, the Crimson Tide fell apart against Stanford yesterday with a 64-82 loss. They shot terrible at 35.8% from the field and gave up 51.7%. But their defense has been good at forcing turnovers as they have forced 42 in the first 2 games. And they will be looking to bounce back in a big way today against a UNLV team that is terrible. UNLV lost 78-91 as a 12.5-point favorite to Montana State in their opener and were routed 51-78 as a 13-point dog to North Carolina yesterday. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. They have committed 35 turnovers in 2 games, so they are sure to not handle the pressure of Alabama very well. Once UNC turned up the pressure yesterday they crumbled. The Rebels are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Crimson Tide are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home loss. Take Alabama. |
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11-30-20 | North Carolina -12 v. UNLV | 78-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* UNC/UNLV NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina -12 The Key: Big red flag on UNLV losing outright 78-91 as 12.5-point favorites over Montana State in their opener. They gave up 55.6% shooting in the loss. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. And he even had 27 points and they still lost by 13. North Carolina won 79-60 over College of Charleston in the opener to cover as 17.5-point favorites. They have some stud freshmen guards in Love and Davis, who combined for 28 points in the win. And Roy Williams believes this Tar Heels team will be a much better shooting team than last year, although it didn’t show in the opener as they won by 19 despite shooting just 39.4% from the field and 4 for 18 (22.2%) from 3-point range. UNLV lost by 13 despite shooting 11 for 25 (44%) from 3-point range. Bets on neutral court teams who covered as a double-digit favorite and had a losing record last season are 29-9 ATS over the last 5 years. Take North Carolina. |
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11-29-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 v. Iowa State | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 The Key: I like that Arkansas-Pine Bluff already has 2 games under its belt while Iowa State will be playing its 1st game of the season here. Pine Bluff lost by 42 to Marquette but by just 34 to 7th-ranked Wisconsin last time. And now they are getting 33.5 points from an Iowa State team that went 12-20 last season and returns only 2 starters and one double-digit scorer in Rasir Bolton. The Cyclones lost their best player in Tyrese Haliburton, who was a lottery pick of the Sacramento Kings. They were that bad with him, and they are going to be even worse without him. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff. |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. St. Louis -2.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis -2.5 The Key: The Saint Louis Billikens returned all 5 starters this year and each of their top 8 scorers from a team that won 23 games last year. Senior Jordan Goodwin averaged 15.4 PPG and 10.4 RPG as a junior last season. Javonte Perkins averaged 15 PPG. And the Billikens got off to a great start this year with an 89-52 win over SIU-Edwardsville as 24.5-point favorites. That gives them a common opponent with rebuilding LSU. LSU only beat SIU-Edwardsville 94-81 as a 30-point favorite. So Saint Louis beat the same team by 37 points that LSU only beat by 13. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. The Billikens are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Take Saint Louis. |
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11-27-20 | South Dakota State -1.5 v. St. Mary's | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/St. Mary’s NCAAB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota State -1.5 The Key: South Dakota State went 22-10 last year and now returns all 5 starters. They return Conference Player of the Year Douglas Wilson, who averages 18.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG last year. He and fellow big man Matt Dentlinger combined to shoot 62.8% from the field. Dentlinger averaged 12.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG. Sophomores Alex Arians and David Wingett combined for 17.4 PPG and 11.3 RPG last year while both shooting at least 35% from 3-point range. Noah Freidel averaged 12.2 PPG and shot 39.5% from 3 and 85.2% from he line. And they have good depth with Baylor Sheierman (6.0 PPG) and Tray Buchanan (6.3 PPG). They gave WVU a game in their opener in a 71-79 loss as 11.5-point dogs. And they came back and crushed Utah State 83-59 as 2.5-point dogs. Now they’re basically a pick ‘em here against a Saint Mary’s team that had to reload in the offseason. St. Mary’s lost 56-73 to Memphis in their opener and that’s a Memphis team that went on to lose to Western Kentucky yesterday. Then they were fortunate to win in comeback fashion 66-64 over Northern Iowa yesterday. South Dakota State is the better team here and should be a bigger favorite. The Jackrabbits are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Gaels are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 neutral site games as a dog. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-27-20 | Seton Hall v. Louisville -5 | 70-71 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Seton Hall/Louisville NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Louisville -5 The Key: Louisville won 24 games with only 7 losses last year under Chris Mack and he has a lot of talent back this year. Sophomore PG David Johnson and sophomore forward Samuell Williamson are studs. The Cardinals crushed Evansville 79-44 as 21-point favorites in their opener. They had 3 players in double-figures led by 18 from Carlik Jones and 17 from Williamson. Johnson dished out 5 assists and they finished with 19 assists as a team. Seton Hall lost Big East Player of the Year Myles Powell and Big East Defensive Player of the Year Romaro Gill from last year’s team. They also lost leading assist many Quincy McKnight, who averaged 11.9 PPG and 5.4 APG last year. This is a rebuilding year for the Pirates and it will show here in their opener against Louisville. Mack is 12-3 ATS off a win by 30 points or more as a head coach. Mack is 29-13 ATS in home games after allowing 60 points or fewer as a head coach. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Louisville. |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga v. Kansas +4 | 102-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Gonzaga/Kansas NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Kansas +4 The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks were well on their way to the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament last year with a 28-3 record. They have 3 starters back from that team in senior guard Marcus Garrett and juniors David McCormack and guard Ochai Agbaji. The backcourt newcomers include junior college transfer Tyon Grant-Foster and blue-chip prospect Bryce Thompson, whose father played for Bill Self at Tulsa. Gonzaga returns just 2 starters and I don’t believe the Zags should be favored here. The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. Take Kansas. |
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11-25-20 | West Virginia v. South Dakota State +10.5 | Top | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Dog of the Week on South Dakota State +10.5 The Key: South Dakota State went 22-10 last year and now returns all 5 starters. They return Conference Player of the Year Douglas Wilson, who averages 18.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG last year. He and fellow big man Matt Dentlinger combined to shoot 62.8% from the field. Dentlinger averaged 12.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG. Sophomores Alex Arians and David Wingett combined for 17.4 PPG and 11.3 RPG last year while both shooting at least 35% from 3-point range. Noah Freidel averaged 12.2 PPG and shot 39.5% from 3 and 85.2% from he line. And they have good depth with Baylor Sheierman (6.0 PPG) and Tray Buchanan (6.3 PPG). The Jackrabbits are live underdogs tonight, and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a dog. Take South Dakota State. |
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11-25-20 | Lamar v. Houston -22 | 45-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Houston -22 The Key: The Houston Cougars finished 24-8 last year a season after making it to the 2nd weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Head coach Kelvin Sampson has really found a home here in Houston. The Cougars have won 20-plus games in each of the past 5 seasons and have been ranked for 30 weeks the past 3 seasons with 3 Top 25 finishes. The Cougars have 4 returning starters and 7 lettermen back so this is a deep, experienced roster. Take Houston. |
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03-11-20 | North Carolina -3 v. Syracuse | 53-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
6* UNC/Syracuse ACC *CA$H COW* on North Carolina -3 The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with their only loss coming at Duke in a game they were competitive for 38 minutes. Their 4 wins have come by 12.8 PPG including their 78-56 win over Virginia Tech yesterday. It was basically a home game for the Tar Heels played in Greensboro. And the blowout allowed them to get their starters some rest and stay fresh for Syracuse today. This is a Syracuse team that UNC just beat 92-79 on the road on February 29th. The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game after 15-plus games this year. The Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off a win by more than 20 points. The Tar Heels are 9-0 SU in their last 9 matchups with Syracuse with all 9 wins by 4 points or more. Take North Carolina. |
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03-11-20 | Vanderbilt +9.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Month on Vanderbilt +9.5 The Key: The Vanderbilt Commodores should not be nearly double-digit underdogs to the Arkansas Razorbacks tonight. They beat Alabama 87-79 as 12-point road dogs and South Carolina 83-74 as 5-point home dogs to close out the season. And they are now 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games. Arkansas is just 4-9 ATS on the highway this year and this will basically be a road game for the Razorbacks being played in Nashville. The Razorbacks have lost 5 straight road games by 8, 10, 14, 21 and 4 points. Arkansas is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after yielding 75 or more points in 2 straight games. They are yielding 88.7 PPG in their last 3 games and cannot be trusted to get enough stops defensively to cover this huge number. Take Vanderbilt. |
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03-11-20 | Boston College +9 v. Notre Dame | 58-80 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Boston College/Notre Dame ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +9 The Key: This number is clearly too high tonight when you look at the 2 regular season meetings between Notre Dame and Boston College. BC won 73-72 a 12.5-point road dogs and ND won 62-61 as 5.5-point road favorites. So both matchups were decided by exactly one point each, and the Eagles proved they could hang with the Fighting Irish twice. Each of the last 4 matchups were decided by 6 points or fewer as well. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Notre Dame is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games against a team with a losing record. Boston College is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Take Boston College. |
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03-10-20 | North Carolina -4 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 78-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
7* Virginia Tech/UNC ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina -4 The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have won 3 of their last 4 games all by 6 points or more. And they were competitive in their road loss at Duke over the weekend. The Tar Heels are a dangerous team in this ACC Tournament because they finally have their best player in Cole Anthony healthy, who averages nearly 20 PPG. They didn’t have Anthony when they lost 77-79 at Virginia Tech in their lone matchup this year. They will avenge that loss in blowout fashion with Anthony this time. The Hokies have lost 10 of their last 12 games overall. Virginia Tech is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games. The Hokies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Take North Carolina. |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145.5 | Top | 51-50 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
7* St. Mary’s/BYU WCC *BAILOUT* on OVER 145.5 The Key: Books have made a big mistake and set this total lower than it should be tonight. The first 2 matchups between BYU and St. Mary’s were shootouts this season, and this one should fall in line as well. They combined for 154 points at the end of regulation in their first matchup on January 9th and followed it up with a 160-point outburst in their rematch on January 1st. BYU is averaging 83.1 PPG in conference play this year and has topped 80 points in 8 of its last 10 games overall. St. Mary’s is scoring 77.4 PPG on the road this year and 83.4 PPG in their last 4 games overall. The OVER is 20-7 in Gaels’ last 27 games overall. The OVER is 5-0 in Gaels’ last 5 against teams that win more than 60% of their games. The OVER is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 against teams that win more than 60% of their games. Take the OVER. |
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03-08-20 | Iowa v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
7* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -3.5 The Key: Illinois wants to avenge its 65-72 road loss at Iowa on February 2nd. The Fighting Illini are 14-3 at home this year and were are getting them very cheap tonight. The home team has won and covered 4 straight matchups in this series. The Hawkeyes are 2-7 SU in Big Ten road games this year with an average loss of over 12 PPG. Iowa is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference home loss. The Hawkeyes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a home loss. Take Illinois. |
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03-08-20 | Connecticut v. Tulane +6.5 | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
6* UConn/Tulane AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +6.5 The Key: The UConn Huskies are in a bad situation today. They are coming off a huge upset win over Houston on Thursday, giving them just 2 days to get ready for Tulane. At the same time Tulane hasn’t played since February 29th and comes in on 7 days’ rest. And Tulane wants to avenge its 61-67 loss at UConn as 10-point dogs earlier this season. The Green Wave are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games with upset wins over SMU at home and UCF on the road, as well as a 5-point loss at Tulsa as 10-point dogs and an OT home loss to Memphis as 4-point dogs. They are playing well and will give UConn a stern test today. Tulane is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after making 78% free throws or better last game. UConn is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 road games after scoring 75 points or more in 5 straight games. Take Tulane. |
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03-07-20 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +3 | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
6* Rhode Island/UMass Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on UMass +3 The Key: Rhode Island is coming off back-to-back blowout home losses to Saint Louis (62-72) and Dayton (57-84) that will keep them out of the NCAA Tournament unless they were to somehow win the Atlantic 10. Those deflating losses will take their toll on the Rams today and they won’t even show up at UMass. The Minutemen have been one of the most underrated home teams in the country this year. They are 11-4 SU & 12-2-1 ATS in their 15 home games this year, and 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 home games dating back to last year. UMass is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall. Rhode Island is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games off a loss by more than 20 points. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. UMass is 8-1 ATS in home games against a team with a winning record this year. The Minutemen are 6-0 ATS in home games off a win this year. Take UMass. |
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03-07-20 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 89-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Year on Missouri State -2.5 The Key: The Missouri State Bears have a huge rest advantage over the Valparaiso Crusaders today. They’ve only had to play one game in the MVC Tournament and just blitzed Indiana State 78-51 yesterday so they were able to rest their starters late. Valpo has been in 2 dog fights with a 58-55 win over Evansville on Thursday and a 74-73 (OT) win over Loyola-Chicago Friday. They used a ton of energy coming back from 14 points down at halftime against Loyola and obviously playing OT would have zapped even more energy out of them. And Missouri State wants to avenge its 89-74 loss at Valpo on February 25th less than 2 weeks ago. The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Missouri State is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 60 points or less. The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their lat 10 games off a win by 10 points or more and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games off a win by more than 20 points. Valpo is 1-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 years. Take Missouri State. |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
6* UNC/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on North Carolina +11.5 The Key: UNC is the best team in the country that currently has a losing record. They have had so many close losses this season its sickening. And one was in overtime after a blown double-digit lead late in their first matchup with Duke in a 96-98 setback. They haven’t forgotten and will be seeking to avenge that loss against their biggest rivals today. UNC is coming on strong down the stretch going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games. Duke has been consistently getting too much respect from the books in going 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games overall with their only wins coming at home over Virginia Tech & NC State. UNC is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 road games with a total of 150 to 159.5 points. Duke is 4-13 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this year. The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS win. Take North Carolina. |
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03-07-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -3.5 | 81-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
6* Oklahoma State/Texas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas -3.5 The Key: The Texas Longhorns were left for dead a few weeks ago. But they’ve gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall to get to 19-11 overall and currently in the NCAA Tournament field. They still can’t afford a slip-up here at home against Oklahoma State. And 4 of those 5 wins came by double-digits with the only exception being their 52-51 upset win at Oklahoma as 7-point dogs. Oklahoma State is 1-7 SU in Big 12 road games with all 7 losses coming by 7 points or more and by an average of 16.9 PPG. And Texas beat Oklahoma State 76-64 on the road as 4-point dogs in their first matchup. The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games off a win. The Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Take Texas. |
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03-07-20 | Drake v. Bradley -2.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Drake/Bradley MVC *CA$H COW* on Bradley -2.5 The Key: Bradley has a huge advantage over Drake today. The Braves have only had to play one game thus far in the MVC Tournament with their 64-59 victory over Southern Illinois yesterday. Drake will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after a shocking upset of Northern Iowa yesterday. And I think Drake is getting too much respect from the books after that upset. Bradley is far and away the superior team in this matchup. The defending MVC champs haven’t been healthy for much fo the year, but they have had their 2 best players in Childs and Brown healthy down the stretch after they missed a combined 14 games this season. They average nearly 30 PPG combined and mean everything to this team. It’s no surprise the Braves have gone 6-2 SU in their last 8 games overall with one of their losses coming by a single point to Loyola-Chicago. The Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Braves are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Take Bradley. |
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03-06-20 | Missouri State -2 v. Indiana State | 78-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Missouri State/Indiana State MVC *CA$H COW* on Missouri State -2 The Key: The Missouri State Bears are playing as well as anyone heading into the MVC Tournament. They are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall with all 3 losses coming on the road and 2 by 4 points or less. They beat today’s opponent in Indiana State 71-58 on the road as 4.5-point dogs on February 16th during this stretch. Their last 5 wins have all come by 12 points or more and by an average of 21.0 PPG. They’ve been downright dominant. The Bears will certainly have the home-court advantage here with this tournament being played in their home state in St. Louis, MO. The Bears are 9-0 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this year. The Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The Bears are 8-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a favorite this year. The Sycamores are 2-10 ATS in road games when revenging a loss over the last 2 years. Take Missouri State. |
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03-06-20 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -1 | 75-54 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Friday MAC *CA$H COW* on Northern Illinois -1 The Key: Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this year and 7-1 at home in MAC games. The Huskies want to avenge their 59-63 road loss at Ball State less than a month ago. They just have to win to cover on Senior Night and that should be a task they can handle here tonight. Ball State is 2-6 in MAC road games this year. Bets on home teams with a line of +3 to -3 that beat the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game that wins 51% to 60% of their games playing another winning team are 52-22 ATS since 1997. Northern Illinois blasted Toledo 71-50 at home as a 1.5-point favorite on Tuesday. Take Northern Illinois. |
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03-06-20 | Richmond -1 v. Duquesne | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Richmond/Duquesne Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Richmond -1 The Key: Richmond (23-7) is fighting for a spot in the NCAA Tournament. The Spiders have come up clutch down the stretch in going 8-1 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall with their only loss coming on the road at St. Bonaventure. Duquesne hasn’t exactly been a great home team. The Dukes are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. They have failed to cover their last 4 with upset losses to GW as 10-point favorites and St. Bonaventure as 3.5-point favorites. They also failed to cover in a 2-point win as 9.5-point favorites over La Salle and a 3-point win over George Mason a 8.5-point favorites. Richmond is 22-2 SU & 18-6 ATS in its last 24 matchups with Duquesne, including 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trips to Duquesne. The Dukes are 0-6 ATS off a road win this season. Take Richmond. |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +105 v. Oregon State | 65-68 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Stanford/Oregon State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford ML +105 The Key: The Stanford Cardinal are making their push to make the NCAA Tournament. They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall with road wins over Washington (72-64) and Washington State (75-57), as well as home wins over Utah (70-62) and Colorado (72-64). When this team has been fully healthy, they’ve been as good as anyone in the Pac-12. And they aren’t going to fall to struggling Oregon State tonight. The Beavers are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall with those 4 losses coming by 16.0 PPG. The Cardinal want to avenge their 63-68 upset home loss to the Beavers on January 30th. Stanford is 15-6 SU & 16-5 ATS in its last 21 trips to Oregon State. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. The Beavers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Oregon State is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games against a team with a winning road record. Bets on road dogs or PK off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against a team that is off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 26-5 ATS since 1997. Take Stanford. |
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03-05-20 | Nebraska +17 v. Michigan | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +17 The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been a nice bet on the road this season because they are consistently catching too many points and never quit. Despite being just 2-11 SU in all games played away from home, the Huskers have gone 9-4 ATS. They have only beaten beaten by more than 17 points on the road 3 times, and two of those were 19-point losses. They have hung within 6 of Indiana, 5 of Northwestern, 12 of Ohio State, 3 of Rutgers, 2 of Maryland and 12 of Illinois in Big Ten road games this season. Michigan was just upset at home by Wisconsin 74-81 and got blown out at Ohio State 63-77 in its last 2 games. The Huskers are 7-1 ATS in Big Ten road games this season. Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing just its 2nd game in 7 days this year. The Huskers are 8-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more this year. Take Nebraska. |
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03-04-20 | Dayton v. Rhode Island +4.5 | Top | 84-57 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
7* Dayton/Rhode Island Atlantic 10 *HEAVY HITTER* on Rhode Island +4.5 The Key: The Rhode Island Rams (20-8) are squarely on the bubble now after losing at home to a very good Saint Louis team on Sunday. They easily could have been looking ahead to this game against Dayton tonight. They want to avenge their 67-81 road loss at Dayton in which they shot just 28.8% from the field and 20% from 3-point range. They aren’t going to shoot that poorly again at home, where they are 12-2 SU this year. Dayton has already wrapped up the Atlantic 10 and won’t be that hungry to beat Rhode Island for a 2nd time this year. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when revenging a loss. The Rams are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when revenging a loss where the other team scored 75 points or more. The Flyers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Rhode Island. |
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03-04-20 | Villanova v. Seton Hall -3.5 | 79-77 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
6* Villanova/Seton Hall Big East *CA$H COW* on Seton Hall -3.5 The Key: The Seton Hall Pirates lead the Big East by 2 games over Creighton and Villanova. Well, they end their season with games against Villanova and Creighton. They can clinch the regular season conference title with a win on Senior Night Wednesday. They don’t want it to come down to a road game at Creighton on Saturday. Look for them to handle their business tonight and beat Villanova for a 2nd time this year. They topped Villanova 70-64 as 4-point road dogs on February 8th. Bets on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a conference win as an underdog in a game involving 2 good teams that win between 60% & 80% of their games are 74-38 ATS over the last 5 years. The Pirates are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. Take Seton Hall. |
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03-04-20 | LSU v. Arkansas -3 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
6* LSU/Arkansas SEC *CA$H COW* on Arkansas -3 The Key: The Arkansas Razorbacks are 17-6 in games in which Isaiah Joe has played this season and 1-5 in games he has missed. Joe has been back for the last 3 games and has been huge for this team, scoring 21, 22 and 26 points in those 3 games. He averages 16.9 PPG on the year and means everything to this team. The Razorbacks are 13-4 at home this year and will avenge their tough 77-79 loss at LSU in their first matchup. LSU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 road games which includes an upset loss to Vanderbilt as 11.5-point favorites. The Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games off a conference win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off a SU win. Take Arkansas. |
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03-03-20 | Purdue v. Iowa -4.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Iowa -4.5 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes want to avenge their ugly 68-104 road loss at Purdue earlier this year. It was a complete aberration as the Boilermakers made 19 3-pointers and simply couldn’t miss. The Hawkeyes haven’t forgotten and will be looking to return the favor. Iowa is 14-1 SU at home this year and 11-0 SU & 9-0-2 ATS in Big Ten home games. Purdue is 4-10 SU & 3-10-1 ATS in road/neutral games this year. The Boilermakers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 Big Ten road games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Iowa. |
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03-03-20 | Texas +7 v. Oklahoma | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Texas/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas +7 The Key: The Texas Longhorns have played their way onto the NCAA Tournament bubble by going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall with 3 upset wins. They went on the road and beat Kansas State by 11 and Texas Tech by 10 while also beating WVU by 10 and TCU by 14 at home. Their games haven’t even been close. There’s no way they should be 7-point dogs here. They are playing much better now than they were when they lost 62-72 at home to rival Oklahoma back on January 8th. That’s the only reason this line is this high, and you can bet the Longhorns are hungry to avenge that defeat. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. The Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. The Sooners are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Oklahoma is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games off 2 straight conference wins. Take Texas. |
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03-03-20 | Maryland v. Rutgers -1 | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Maryland/Rutgers Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers -1 The Key: Rutgers is on the NCAA Tournament bubble right now because they can’t win a road game. The good news is that the Scarlet Knights are at home tonight where they are 17-1 SU this season with their only loss to Michigan. Rutgers wants to avenge its 51-56 road loss at Maryland on February 4th about a month ago. The Scarlet Knights proved they could play with the Terrapins on the road, and all they have to do is win this game to cover at home Tuesday. We’ll get a big effort from he Scarlet Knights tonight. Rutgers is 8-1 ATS revenging a road loss this year. The Scarlet Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams that allow 64 PPG or fewer. The Scarlet Knights are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. Take Rutgers. |
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03-03-20 | Davidson v. Richmond -5.5 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
7* Atlantic 10 Game of the Year on Richmond -5.5 The Key: The Richmond Spiders are on the verge of making the NCAA Tournament. They can’t afford a slip up here down the stretch of the regular season. Richmond is 22-7 on the season, 12-4 in conference play and 13-2 at home. The Spiders went on the road and beat Davidson 70-64 in their first matchup. They won’t have much of a problem winning by 6 points or more in the rematch at home. Davidson just gave up 72.3% shooting to Dayton on the road Saturday and lost by 15. They have a problem defending, which is not a problem Richmond has. Davidson is 5-12 SU & 4-13 ATS in all road games this year. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS as underdogs this season, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road dog. The Spiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take Richmond. |
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03-02-20 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Baylor | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Texas Tech/Baylor Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech +7.5 The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are slipping closer to the bubble than they’d like after 2 straight losses to Oklahoma and Texas. It came out of nowhere as they had won 5 of their previous 6 games. Now the Red Raiders want to avenge their 52-57 home loss to Baylor. The Bears are reeling after 2 upset losses in their last 3 games at home to Kansas and on Saturday on the road at TCU as 9.5-point favorites. They know now that their chances of winning the Big 12 are slim to none because they’d need Kansas to lose again. That’s not going to happen. Bets on road teams as a dog or PK that are revenging a SU loss as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive conference losses by 10 points or more are 45-15 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Texas Tech. |
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03-01-20 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -5 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* Minnesota/Wisconsin Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -5 The Key: No team is playing better than the Wisconsin Badgers in the Big Ten right now. They are 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with road wins over Nebraska by 17 and Michigan by 7 as well as home wins over Ohio State by 13, Purdue by 4 and Rutgers by 8. Now they want to avenge their 52-70 road loss at Minnesota as 1-point favorites on February 5th in the game that preceded this winning streak. Wisconsin is 16-2 SU in its last 18 home matchups with Minnesota. The Golden Gophers led the entire way against Maryland last time out but lost on a last-second 3-pointer 73-74. They have no chance of making the NCAA Tournament now and I question their motivation. It’s always tough to come back from a last-second loss in a game you should have won. Wisconsin is 13-1 SU at home this year while Minnesota is 2-8 SU in true road games. The Gophers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The Badgers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. Take Wisconsin. |
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03-01-20 | Indiana v. Illinois -5.5 | 66-67 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Indiana/Illinois Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois -5.5 The Key: The Illinois Fighting Illini have won 3 straight with 2 of those on the road at Penn State and Northwestern. The Fighting Illini are 13-3 at home this year and take on an Indiana team that has been one of the worst road teams in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers are 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in Big Ten road games this year with their only wins coming at Nebraska and Minnesota, two teams you will find at the bottom of the Big Ten standings. Those 7 road losses all came by 8 points or more and by 14.4 PPG on average. The Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of their home games. Take Illinois. |
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02-29-20 | Arizona v. UCLA +3.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Arizona/UCLA Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on UCLA +3.5 The Key: The Arizona Wildcats have lost 2 straight games to Oregon and USC in upset fashion. They are battling through some injuries right now to 2 key players in Green and Hazzard, who combine to average more than 17 PPG. Both sat out their ugly 48-57 loss at USC and Green will for sure be out for this one. That’s bad news against a UCLA team that already upset them 65-52 in Arizona earlier this month. UCLA has won 10 of its last 12 games overall while going 8-3-1 ATS in the process. The Bruins are 6-0 SU in their last 6 home games, so they should not be catching points. But that's a good thing considering the underdog is 15-3 ATS in the last 18 matchups. Take UCLA. |
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02-29-20 | Michigan State +3 v. Maryland | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Michigan State/Maryland Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan State +3 The Key: The Michigan State Spartans want to avenge their 60-67 home loss to Maryland on February 15th exactly 2 weeks ago. The Spartans held a 7-point lead late, but the Terrapins closed the game on an unthinkable 14-0 run to win by 7. Look for a little role reversal here from this prideful Spartans squad. Maryland is 15-0 at home, but it is very fortunate to be unbeaten. They only won by 2 over Nebraska, by 5 over Rutgers and by 1 over Illinois. They are clearly beatable at home. The underdog is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Maryland has only beaten the Spartans by more than 3 points once in the last 8 matchups. Take Michigan State. |
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02-29-20 | Arizona State v. USC -3 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on USC -3 The Key: The USC Trojans are trying to make the NCAA Tournament. They have gone 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games and have consistently been lacking respect from oddsmakers. That showed Thursday when they upset Arizona 57-48 getting 4.5 points at home. And they only lost by 2 at Arizona State in their first matchup. USC is 12-2 at home this year and will be looking to avenge that defeat. The Trojans have won 17 of their last 21 home matchups with Arizona State. Take USC. |
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02-29-20 | Utah v. California | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Utah/California Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on California PK The Key: The Cal Golden Bears have been a really tough out at home in Pac-12 play this year. Cal is 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in Pac-12 home games with upset wins over Washington as 6.5-point dogs, Stanford as 8-point dogs, Oregon State as 4-point dogs and Colorado as 8.5-point dogs. Now they want to avenge their 45-60 road loss at Utah on February 8th. The Utes are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in Pac-12 road games this year. They really haven’t even been close to tasting a road win as their 8 losses have come by 17.4 PPG. Take California. |
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02-29-20 | Northern Iowa v. Drake +4.5 | 70-43 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
6* Northern Iowa/Drake MVC *CA$H COW* on Drake +4.5 The Key: The Drake Bulldogs want to avenge their 73-83 road loss to in-state rival Northern Iowa. The Bulldogs led that game 39-35 at halftime and it was close throughout before the Panthers made free throws at the end to pull away. It will be a different story at Drake on Senior Day in the final regular season game. Drake is 14-1 SU at home this year and has been dominant at home over the last 2 years. The home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. The Bulldogs are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games against good shooting teams that make at least 45% of their shots. The Panthers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 Saturday road games. Take Drake. |
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02-29-20 | Illinois State v. Evansville -2 | 71-60 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
6* Illinois State/Evansville MVC *CA$H COW* on Evansville -2 The Key: Evansville is favored Saturday despite being 0-17 in MVC play this season. They are favored for good reason as I agree with it. They get to face Illinois State (9-20), which is the second-worst team in the conference. And they get to host the Redbirds on Senior Day in their final home game. They will be hungry to avoid going winless in conference play, while I can’t see Illinois State wanting to play this game at all. The Redbirds are coming off a tough OT home loss to Bradley on Wednesday and will still be feeling that defeat. Illinois State is 0-14 SU & 3-11 ATS in all games played away from home this year. The Redbirds are 1-8 ATS when playing against a bad team (20% to 40%) over the last 3 years. The Purple Aces are playing better going 4-2-1 ATS in their last 7 games with 4 losses by 7 points or fewer. They’ll get rewarded for not quitting with their first conference win today. Take Evansville. |
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02-28-20 | Davidson +10.5 v. Dayton | 67-82 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Davidson/Dayton Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Davidson +10.5 The Key: The Davidson Wildcats are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall and outscoring teams by 17.0 PPG. They beat Fordham by 30, St. Bonaventure by 29 on the road, Rhode Island by 2 and La Salle by 25 at home. They are playing up to the potential that they had coming into the season when many thought they were among the favorites to win the Atlantic 10. The Flyers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now due to their #4 ranking and perfect record in A-10 play. But the Flyers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall as they’ve consistently been too big of favorites, which is the case again tonight. Seven of their last 9 wins have come by 10 points or less, so they have been fortunate in close games. Bets on road dogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a blowout conference win by 20 points or more against a team that’s off 2 straight conference wins are 63-33 ATS since 1997. The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 50 points in their last game. The Flyers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Davidson. |
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02-27-20 | Arizona State v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
7* Arizona State/UCLA Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on UCLA -3.5 The Key: The UCLA Bruins have improved rapidly in the first season under Mick Cronin and are now on the verge of making the NCAA Tournament. They get their next 2 games at home against ASU and Arizona and have a big opportunity to add some quality wins. The Bruins are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. That includes 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. They are looking to avenge one of their rare losses during this stretch February 6th at Arizona State. UCLA has won 16 of its last 20 home matchups with the Sun Devils. The home team is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 matchups. UCLA is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games off a conference win. Take UCLA. |
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02-27-20 | Arizona v. USC +5.5 | 48-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Arizona/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC +5.5 The Key: The USC Trojans are 11-2 at home this year and should not be catching points against Arizona. They get 2 key players back healthy tonight in Jonah Matthews and Nick Radocevic, who combine to average nearly 24 PPG. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups between Arizona and USC. The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a loss. USC is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games. USC only lost by 5 at Arizona on February 6th and now is catching 5.5 points at home. This is a game the Trojans can win outright. Take USC. |
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02-27-20 | North Texas v. Florida International +5.5 | 78-59 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Florida International +5.5 The Key: The Florida International Golden Panthers have had nearly 2 full weeks to get ready for North Texas. They last played on February 15th and are coming off 2 straight road losses, plus they want to avenge their loss at North Texas on January 9th. I like the Golden Panthers chances of not only covering but pulling off the upset as well considering they are 11-1 SU & 6-3 ATS at home this year. FIU is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last 4 home matchups with North Texas. The Mean Green are 0-6 ATTS in their last 6 road games off an upset loss as a favorite. North Texas is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing its 2nd game in 8 days. FIU is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games against teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game. The Golden Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The underdog is 19-6 ATS in the last 25 matchups. Take Florida International. |
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02-26-20 | Utah v. Stanford -7.5 | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Utah/Stanford Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Stanford -7.5 The Key: The Stanford Cardinal are 18-9 on the season and a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament. They want to avenge their 56-64 road loss at Utah on February 6th earlier this month. They have delivered 2 straight road wins at Washington by 8 and Washington State by 18. The Cardinal are 12-4 SU & 10-6 ATS at home this year. Utah is just 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in true road games this year. The Utes are 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS in Pac-12 road games while losing by a whopping 18.7 PPG. Stanford has won 5 of its last 6 home matchups with Utah. The Cardinal are 29-12 ATS in their last 41 home games. Take Stanford. |
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02-26-20 | Tennessee v. Arkansas -4.5 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Tennessee/Arkansas SEC *CA$H COW* on Arkansas -4.5 The Key: The Arkansas Razorbacks are 17-10 this year and trying to get into the NCAA Tournament. They had lost 5 in a row before crushing Missouri 78-68 at home overt he weekend. The biggest reason for their struggles was the loss of Isaiah Joe (16.2 PPG) to injury. He missed all 5 of those losses but returned for the Missouri game. Having Joe back makes all the difference for this team. Tennessee is 15-12 this year and not going to make the NCAA Tournament. They blew a big lead against Auburn last time out and lost on the road, which is a deflating defeat. The Razorbacks are 12-4 at home this year while the Vols are just 3-6 on the road. The Razorbacks want to avenge their bad loss at Tennessee on February 11th by 21 points without Joe. Arkansas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games against a team with that wins less than 40% of their road games. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 matchups. Take Arkansas. |
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02-26-20 | Rutgers v. Penn State -5 | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
7* Rutgers/Penn State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Penn State -5 The Key: Penn State wants to avenge its road loss at Rutgers earlier this year. The Nittany Lions also want to bounce back from 2 straight losses at home to Illinois and on the road to Indiana. They had gone 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their previous 8 games in the most impressive stretch in the Big Ten this season, so they were due for a few bad games. But they’ll get back on track tonight against a Rutgers team that is just 1-7 SU in true road games this year with he only win coming at lowly Nebraska. The Nittany Lions are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when revenging a loss by 10 points or more. The Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS after playing a road game this year. Take Penn State. |
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02-26-20 | Georgia v. South Carolina -5.5 | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Georgia/South Carolina SEC *CA$H COW* on South Carolina -5.5 The Key: South Carolina went on an 8-2 run to get back in NCAA Tournament contention. But the Gamecocks have dropped 2 tough ones in a row to Mississippi State and LSU by a combined 9 points. Now they get one of the punching bags of the SEC in Georgia to get right. The Bulldogs are just 4-10 SU & 6-8 ATS in SEC action this year. That includes their 59-75 home loss to South Carolina, which makes me believe that if the Gamecocks can beat them by 16 on the road they can certainly cover -5.5 at home. It has been a bad matchup for Georgia in recent years. South Carolina is 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in its last 7 matchups with Georgia with 6 of those 7 wins coming by 6 points or more. Georgia is 3-9 SU & 5-7 ATS in all games played away from home this year. Georgia is 2-10 ATS in is last 12 road games off 2 or more consecutive wins. Take South Carolina. |
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02-25-20 | Clemson +2.5 v. Georgia Tech | 59-68 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday ACC *CA$H COW* on Clemson +2.5 The Key: The Clemson Tigers are coming on strong to try and make a push at the NCAA Tournament. The Tigers are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with 3 straight blowout victories. They beat Pitt 72-52 on the road, Louisville 77-62 at home and Boston College 82-64 on the road. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days so they are the fresher team. Georgia Tech will be paying its 3rd game in 7 days after losing at Syracuse on Saturday. Clemson is 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last 5 matchups with Georgia Tech with the 5 wins coming by 11.4 PPG. The Tigers are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games against a team with a losing record. The Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games off 3 straight games facing opponent to commit 11 or fewer turnovers. The Tigers are 7-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS off a road win over the last 2 years. Take Clemson. |
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02-25-20 | Memphis v. SMU -4 | Top | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
7* American Athletic Game of the Year on SMU -4 The Key: The SMU Mustangs are 14-1 at home this year and 6-0 at home in conference action. Off 2 bad road losses in a row, the Mustangs will be hungry for a win when they host the Memphis Tigers Tuesday. And I think it’s a bad spot for Memphis off their upset home win over Memphis. They have won their last 2 games both at home by a combined 5 points. Bets against underdogs off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against a team that is off a road loss by 20 points or more are 26-6 ATS since 1997. The Mustangs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home matchups with Memphis. Take SMU. |
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02-25-20 | Kansas State +14 v. Baylor | 66-85 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +14 The Key: Baylor just suffered a tough 61-64 home loss to Kansas on Saturday that allowed the Jayhawks to tie them atop the Big 12 standings. It’s the type of loss that can beat a team twice. I expect the Bears to come out flat tonight against Kansas State and that won’t allow them to cover this lofty 14-point spread. The Wildcats are the kings of close losses this year. They have played 27 games this year with only 1 loss by more than 14 points. That’s a 26-1 angle working in the Wildcats’ favor with this 14-point spread. They only lost by 6 at home to Baylor in their first matchup and will be looking to avenge that defeat. Kansas State is 6-1 SU & 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 matchups with Baylor, so this has clearly been a great matchup for the Wildcats. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. The underdog is 22-8-2 ATS in the last 32 matchups. Take Kansas State. |
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02-25-20 | Dayton v. George Mason +12 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on George Mason +12 The Key: Dayton appears to be going through the motions. The Flyers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall with their largest win coming by 14 points during this stretch. They have had several close calls on the road in Atlantic 10 play this year but have managed to win them all. Their last 5 Atlantic 10 road wins have come by 5, 8, 4, 8 and 2 points. George Mason is 10-5 at home this year and more than capable of hanging with the Flyers. They will be giving a big effort with a Top 5 team visiting. The Patriots have won their last 2 meetings with Dayton outright as underdogs. George Mason is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off 2 straight games where both teams scored 65 points or less. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off 2 straight games where they attempted 12 or fewer free throws. Take George Mason. |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
7* Oklahoma State/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +14.5 The Key: This game has letdown written all over it for Kansas. The Jayhawks just went on the road and beat #1 Baylor in a 64-61 thriller to move into a first-place tie. They won’t be able to get up for Oklahoma State, who they already beat by 15 on the road earlier this year. This letdown situation won’t allow them to cover this lofty 14.5-point spread. And the Cowboys are completely different team than the one that loss to Kansas on January 27th. Oklahoma State is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall with its only losses coming on the road to Baylor by 8 and at WVU in a game they led at halftime. They also upset Kansas State on the road, while beat TCU by 15, Texas Tech by 3 and Oklahoma by 17 at home. Bets on dogs of 10 to 19.5 points that went under the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games against an opponent that went under the total by 42 or more point sin their last 7 games are 59-16 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Oklahoma State. |
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02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Louisville/Florida State ACC *CA$H COW* on Florida State -2.5 The Key: We are getting the Florida State Seminoles cheap at home tonight. They already beat Louisville by 13 on the road in their first matchup this year. And now the Seminoles get to host the Cardinals, where they are 14-0 at home this season. Louisville dropped its last 2 road games outright as favorites to Georgia Tech and Clemson by a combined 21 points. The Cardinals are coming off 2 straight blowout home wins, but that works in our favor as Louisville is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games off 2 straight home wins by 10 points or more. Take Florida State. |
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02-23-20 | USC +1 v. Utah | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* USC/Utah Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC +1 The Key: The USC Trojans are 19-8 on the season and fighting to make the NCAA Tournament. They have been at their best on the road this year with an 11-3 ATS record in all road/neutral games. Utah has lost 3 straight games by 19 to Oregon State, by 18 to Oregon and by 11 at home to UCLA. The Trojans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. USC is 7-0 ATS in road games against teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season. USC is 9-1 ATS in true road games this year. Andy Enfield is 9-1 ATS in road games off a cover where his team lost SU as an underdog as the coach of the Trojans. Take USC. |
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02-23-20 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin -4.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
7* Rutgers/Wisconsin Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -4.5 The Key: This is about as easy as it gets. Wisconsin is 12-1 at home this year while Rutgers is 1-8 in all road/neutral games. The only road win for Rutgers this year came at lowly Nebraska. The Badgers want to avenge their 65-72 road loss at Rutgers in their first matchup this season. Rutgers is 4-20 ATS in its last 24 games off 2 straight games where they attempted 12 or fewer free throws. Wisconsin is 76-45 ATS in its last 121 home games off a home win. The Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Wisconsin. |
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02-22-20 | Fresno State v. Nevada -7.5 | 76-78 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Fresno State/Nevada Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -7.5 The Key: The Nevada Wolf Pack are coming on strong here down the stretch. They are 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall with their only losses both coming on the road to Colorado State by 1 and Boise State by 9. They also beat UNLV and New Mexico on the road. They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games with those 4 wins all by 14 points or more and by an average of 22.0 PPG. The Wolf Pack are 11-2 at home this year. Fresno State is just 10-17 SU on the year, including 4-10 SU in all games played away from home. Nevada is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last 5 matchups with Fresno winning 4 of those games by double-digits. The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this year. Nevada is 17-4 ATS after scoring 85 points or more over the last 2 years. Fresno State is 0-7 ATS when playing against a good team that wins 60% to 80% of their games this year. Take Nevada. |
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02-22-20 | Richmond -1.5 v. St Bonaventure | 71-75 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Richmond/St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Richmond -1.5 The Key: The Richmond Spiders are 20-6 this year and on a mission to make the NCAA Tournament. They won’t be slipping up at St. Bonaventure today. The Spiders are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall winning those 5 games by 17.6 PPG. The Bonnies are coming off a 29-point home loss to Davidson and don’t deserve the respect they are getting from the books today. St. Bonaventure is 9-24 ATS in its last 33 home games off a home loss. The Bonnies are 5-20 ATS in their last 25 home games after committing 8 turnovers or less last game. The Spiders are 14-5 ATS when playing just their 2nd game in a week this year. Richmond is 7-2 SU in true road games this year. Take Richmond. |
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02-22-20 | LSU v. South Carolina | Top | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Year on South Carolina PK The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are making their usual late-season push under head coach Frank Martin. No team has improved more in the SEC as the season has gone on than the Gamecocks. They are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Gamecocks are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while winning those 5 games by 14.6 PPG. That includes an upset home win over Kentucky. Now they host a struggling LSU team that has gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games with its only win coming by 4 points at home against Missouri as 11-point favorites. They are coming off a home loss to Kentucky, and it’s going to be hard to get as motivated to face South Carolina tonight. The Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a conference loss. The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take South Carolina. |
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02-22-20 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Oklahoma/Oklahoma State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma State PK The Key: Oklahoma State wants to avenge its 69-82 loss at Oklahoma on February 1st in this rivalry game. The Cowboys have actually been playing some great basketball since that defeat. They have gone 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with their only losses both coming on the road to Baylor and WVU. They also beat K-State on the road and topped TCU by 15 at home while also upsetting Texas Tech at home. The Sooners are coming off 2 straight double-digit losses to Baylor and Kansas. I don’t think they’ll have much left in the tank for the Cowboys after facing those 2 teams. Oklahoma is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups. Take Oklahoma State. |
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02-22-20 | Duquesne +14.5 v. Dayton | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
6* Duquesne/Dayton Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Duquesne +14.5 The Key: The situation is a good one for the Duquesne Dukes today. They already proved they could hang with Dayton in their 69-73 home loss as 8-point dogs on January 29th. Now they are getting 14.5 points in the rematch on the road. It’s too much for a Dayton team that has become a very public team due to their Top 10 ranking. Duquesne has proven they can hang on the road by going into Saint Louis and winning by 14 as 4.5-point dogs just 2 weeks ago. The Dukes are 4-2 SU in true road games this year. Keith Dambrot is 26-9 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of his last 6 games as a head coach. Take Duquesne. |
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02-22-20 | Michigan v. Purdue -2.5 | 71-63 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Michigan/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue -2.5 The Key: The Purdue Boilermakers have won 17 of their last 19 Big Ten home games. I like their chances of bouncing back from 3 straight losses with a home win over Michigan Saturday. They already took the Wolverines to the wire on the road in their first matchup this year and lost in overtime. They will avenge that defeat today. The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups. The Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games off 2 straight ATS losses. Take Purdue. |
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02-21-20 | VCU v. St. Louis +2 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
7* VCU/Saint Louis Atlantic 10 *HEAVY HITTER* on Saint Louis +2 The Key: The Saint Louis Billikens are 12-3 at home this year with all 3 losses to very good teams in Dayton, Seton Hall & Duquesne. VCU is 4-6 in all road games this year and just lost to Rhode Island by 12 and Richmond by 18 in their last 2 road games. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. VCU is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 Friday games. The Rams are 0-6 ATS with a line of +3 to -3 this year. The Billikens are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 games as a dog. Take Saint Louis. |
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02-20-20 | USC +9.5 v. Colorado | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
6* USC/Colorado Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC +9.5 The Key: The USC Trojans get back their best player in Onyeka Okongwu from a 2-game absence due to a concussion tonight. He is one of the best players in the Pac-12, averaging 16.4 points, 8.9 rebounds and 3.0 blocks per game. He’ll help USC hang with Colorado tonight and try to avenge their earlier home loss to the Buffaloes this season. The Trojans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They have done their best work on the road going 8-1 ATS in true road games this year and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning record. The Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after giving up fewer than 50 points in their last game. Take USC. |
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02-20-20 | Oregon State +11 v. Arizona | Top | 63-89 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State +11 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are coming off a 22-point home loss to Colorado that has them lacking respect from oddsmakers tonight as double-digit dogs at Arizona. The Beavers had won 3 of their previous 4 games including a road upset of Stanford and a home upset of Oregon. They also beat Utah by 19. We’ll chalk that Colorado loss up to a one-time stinker and not indicative of what this team is moving forward. Arizona is getting too much respect off road wins and covers over Cal and Stanford. Their last two home games they failed to cover, losing outright to UCLA 52-65 as 12.5-point favorites and narrowly beating USC 85-80 as 10-point favorites. Oregon State beat Arizona 82-65 at home as 4-point dogs in their first matchup this year on January 12th. The Beavers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games off 2 consecutive home games. Arizona is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Oregon State is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games off an ATS loss. Bets against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent that’s off a home blowout loss by 20 points or more are 42-15 ATS since 1997. Take Oregon State. |
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02-19-20 | Air Force +8.5 v. Fresno State | 62-71 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Air Force +8.5 The Key: The Air Force Falcons want to avenge their 68-79 home loss to Fresno State on January 28th. That game was tied at halftime before the Falcons fell apart after intermission. I just can’t imagine Fresno going 14-of-32 from 3-point range again, which is what they did in the first matchup. They also shot 93.7% from the free throw line. This is a bad Fresno team at just 9-17 on the year that shoots 41.7% as a team and 33.1% from 3-point range. I realize Air Force has failed to cover 8 in a row coming in, but that just gives us extra value with the Falcons tonight. They were 2.5-point favorites in the first matchup and 8.5-point dogs now in the rematch, an 11-point adjustment, which is too much. The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 trips to Fresno. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 matchups. The Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Air Force. |
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02-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Virginia Tech -3.5 The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies want to avenge their 61-71 loss at Miami on January 28th in their first matchup this year. Miami is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last 6 ACC road games losing by an average of a whopping 18.2 PPG. Virginia Tech is 11-4 at home this year. Miami is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after playing 2 consecutive games as a favorite. The Hurricanes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Virginia Tech. |
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02-19-20 | Auburn -3.5 v. Georgia | 55-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/Georgia SEC *CA$H COW* on Auburn -3.5 The Key: The Auburn Tigers had their 7-game winning streak snapped with an upset loss at Missouri over the weekend. They come back refocused tonight and ready to start a new streak against awful Georgia tonight. Georgia is 2-10 SU in SEC play this year with its only wins coming against two of the worst teams in the conference in Tennessee and Texas A&M. Auburn already beat Georgia 82-60 at home, so they should have no problem covering 3.5 points on the road here. The Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off 3 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers. Auburn is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 6 matchups with Georgia. The Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 trips to Georgia. Take Auburn. |
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02-18-20 | Kentucky v. LSU -2.5 | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Kentucky/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -2.5 The Key: It’s going to be a huge edge for LSU playing at home tonight in front of a raucous crowd with Kentucky coming to town. The Tigers are 13-1 at home this year, including 6-0 at home in SEC play. They come in hungry after dropping 3 of their last 4 on the road. Kentucky has won 4 straight since its 9-point loss at Auburn. But the 4 wins have come against a very soft schedule against four non-tournament teams. This is definitely a step up in class tonight for them to say the least. The Wildcats are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games off 3 or more straight wins. Take LSU. |
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02-18-20 | Purdue +4 v. Wisconsin | 65-69 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Wisconsin Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +4 The Key: The Purdue Boilermakers will be the hungrier team tonight after losing 2 straight coming in while Wisconsin has won 2 straight. And I think the Boilermakers are simply the better team in this matchup. That showed when Purdue put it on Wisconsin 70-51 at home on January 24th. Now Wisconsin is going to have to make up 24-plus points to cover this number tonight. This has always been a bad matchup for the Badgers in recent years as the Boilermakers are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Purdue is 10-4-2 ATS in its last 16 games following a loss. The Badgers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games after playing a game as a road favorite. Take Purdue. |
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02-18-20 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -10.5 | Top | 47-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on West Virginia -10.5 The Key: West Virginia will be playing with a chip on its shoulder tonight. The Mountaineers opened 18-4 this year but have now lost 3 straight games. That’s easily explainable considering they faced the 2 best teams in the Big 12 in Kansas and Baylor and also lost at Oklahoma. Now they get to take one one of the worst teams in the conference in Oklahoma State to get back on track. They already beat the Cowboys 55-41 on the road in their first matchup this year. The Cowboys are just 3-9 SU & 4-8 ATS in Big 12 play this year. The Mountaineers are 12-1 at home this year with their only loss coming after a big blown lead to Kansas late in the second half. West Virginia is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games following an ATS loss. The Mountaineers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Take West Virginia. |
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02-17-20 | Iowa State v. Kansas -16 | Top | 71-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas -16 The Key: Iowa State has played 2 games since the season-ending injury to their best player in Tyrese Haliburton (15.2 PPG, 6.5 APG, 5.9 RPG). They lost by 29 at Oklahoma and beat Texas by 29 at home. So which team can we expect from the Cyclones moving forward? I think it’s the one that lost by 29 to Oklahoma. The Cyclones shot 57.1% against Texas and faced a Longhorns team missing several key players due to injury. They simply aren’t better without Haliburton, one of the best players in the country, and that will show tonight at Kansas. The Jayhawks are 11-1 SU & 8-4 ATS in Big 12 play this year with their only loss to Baylor. They are coming off a 17-point home win over Oklahoma, which just beat Iowa State by 29. And we can expect a 17-plus point victory tonight. Kansas already won 79-53 at Iowa State in their first matchup this year. The Cyclones are 2-10 ATS as underdogs this year. The Jayhawks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games when playing their 3rd game in a week. The Cyclones are 2-8 ATS in road games against a team with a winning record this year. Iowa State is 1-10 SU & 3-8 ATS in all games played away from home this year. The Jayhawks are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Kansas. |
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02-16-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 58-55 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
7* Iowa/Minnesota Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -5 The Key: Minnesota has had over a week to prepare for Iowa having last played on February 8th. Iowa only gets 2 days to prepare for Minnesota having last played on February 13th in a 77-89 road loss to Indiana. The Hawkeyes have been atrocious on the road in conference play this season. They are just 1-6 SU in Big Ten road games this year with their only win coming at Northwestern, which is 1-13 in conference play. Minnesota is 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS at home this year. They won’t have to face Iowa’s CJ Fredrick, who averages 10.7 PPG and is their best shooter hitting 46.7% from 3-point range. The home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. The Hawkeyes are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 road games. The Gophers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Minnesota. |
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02-15-20 | Washington v. UCLA -3 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Washington/UCLA Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on UCLA -3 The Key: Two teams headed in opposite directions square off tonight at 10:00 EST in Pac-12 action. UCLA is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall with its only losses both coming on the road to Oregon and ASU. They also upset both Oregon State and Arizona on the road, while winning all four of their home games. Washington is 0-7 SU & 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games overall and just hasn’t been the same since losing starting PG and floor general Quade Green to academics. UCLA is 17-3 SU & 13-6-1 ATS in its last 20 home matchups with Washington. Washington is 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in Pac-12 road games this year. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record. Take UCLA. |
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02-15-20 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago -1.5 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
7* Missouri Valley Game of the Year on Loyola-Chicago -1.5 The Key: Loyola-Chicago is 6-0 at home in MVC play this year while winning by 14.5 PPG. The Ramblers want to avenge their 62-67 (OT) loss at Northern Iowa on January 26th and stay alive for the MVC title. This game means everything to them and we should see a big effort from them as a result. Loyola-Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 matchups with Northern Iowa with both losses coming on the road in overtime. The Ramblers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 home matchups with the Panthers. The Ramblers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when revenging a road loss. The Panthers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 Saturday road games. Take Loyola-Chicago. |
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02-15-20 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -3.5 | 61-63 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Tennessee/South Carolina SEC *CA$H COW* on South Carolina -3.5 The Key: South Carolina has gone 7-2 SU in its last 9 games overall. The Gamecocks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games with three wins by 20-plus points and an upset over Kentucky to prove that they are for real. Now it’s time to avenge their 55-56 loss at Tennessee in their first matchup this year. The Vols have 3 players on the injury report that are either questionable or out today who combine to average over 31 PPG. South Carolina is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Tennessee is 2-8 ATS in is last 10 games off a win. The Gamecocks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Take South Carolina. |
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02-15-20 | Louisville v. Clemson +5.5 | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Louisville/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Clemson +5.5 The Key: The Clemson Tigers played one of their best games of the season in a 72-52 win at Pitt as 3.5-point dogs on Wednesday. They have beaten Syracuse, Duke and NC State at home this season so there’s no reason they can’t upset Louisville or hang with them at the very least. They want to avenge their road loss at Louisville on January 25th as well. The home team is 7-0 SU in the last 7 matchups. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games off an upset win as an underdog. The Tigers are 8-1 ATS in tier last 9 home games off a conference win. Take Clemson. |
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02-15-20 | Georgia v. Texas A&M +1 | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Georgia/Texas A&M SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M +1 The Key: Texas A&M is coming off two straight losses to South Carolina on the road and Florida at home. They now face a team they should be able to handle in Georgia at home today. Georgia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games overall and coming off a 16-point home loss to South Carolina. The Bulldogs are 0-5 SU in true SEC road games this year and losing by 14.6 PPG. Texas A&M is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games off 2 straight conference losses. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Take Texas A&M. |
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02-14-20 | Illinois-Chicago +11 v. Wright State | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
7* UIC/Wright State Horizon League *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois-Chicago +11 The Key: Illinois-Chicago is really getting disrespected here as a double-digit underdog to Wright State tonight. UIC is 6-2 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games overall with one of its losses coming by a single point. That includes their 76-72 upset win as 6.5-point home dogs to Wright State in their first matchup this year on January 12th. That makes UIC now 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last 3 meetings with Wright State despite being underdogs in all 3 matchups. UIC is 7-1 ATS in road games when playing just its 2nd game in a week this year. The Flames are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off an ATS win. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Illinois-Chicago Friday. |
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02-13-20 | Washington v. USC -3 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Washington/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC -3 The Key: The USC Trojans opened 17-4 this year before dropping 3 straight against a tough schedule. Now the Trojans are hungry to get a win tonight. They lost at home to Colorado and on the road to Arizona by 5 and ASU by 2. Now they should have no problem getting back in the win column against a Washington team that is 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Huskies have really been struggling since losing starting PG Quade Green in early January. Washington is 1-5 SU in true road games while USC is 9-2 SU at home. The Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. USC is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss. The favorite is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 matchups. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this year. Take USC. |
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02-13-20 | Iowa v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
7* Iowa/Indiana Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana -1.5 The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight against a tough schedule. The Hoosiers are 12-3 at home this year and we are getting them at a great price against Iowa. The Hawkeyes are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this year. They even lost at Nebraska and their only win came against Northwestern, the two worst teams in the conference. Iowa is 7-21 ATS in all road games over the last 3 years. Take Indiana. |
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02-12-20 | Nevada v. UNLV -1.5 | 82-79 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/UNLV Mountain West *BAILOUT* on UNLV -1.5 The Key: UNLV is looking to avenge its 72-86 road loss at Nevada on January 22nd in which the Wolf Pack shot 11 for 26 from 3 and just shot their way to victory. It won’t come nearly as easy for the Wolf Pack on the road in the rematch. Nothing has come easy on the road for Nevada, which is 1-7 SU in true road games this year. UNLV is 8-1 SU in its last 9 home games and just played San Diego State to the wire in a 67-71 home loss as 7-point dogs. That’s an undefeated Aztecs team that is making all the headlines. Take UNLV. |
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02-12-20 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
7* Big East Game of the Year on Villanova -5 The Key: The Villanova Wildcats have lost a season-high 3 straight games to drop to 17-6 on the year. They will be more hungry for a win tonight than at any other point this season because of it. And they also want to avenge a 60-71 loss at Marquette in their first matchup this year on January 4th. Villanova has won 11 of its last 13 home matchups with Marquette, including 6 straight home wins in this series by 6 points or more and by an average of 13.0 PPG. Marquette has won 3 straight coming in and won’t be able to match the intensity of the Wildcats. Villanova is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games after 15-plus games against good rebounding teams (+4 RPG or more). The Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after 15-plus games against teams who average 6 steals/game or more. The Wildcats are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games off a loss. Take Villanova. |
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02-12-20 | Indiana State v. Bradley -5 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Bradley -5 The Key: The Bradley Braves are 13-1 SU at home this year and an impressive 34-16-2 ATS int heir last 52 home games, including 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. They want to avenge their 8-point road loss at Indiana State earlier this year. They didn’t have their two best players in Brown and Childs in that game, who combine to average nearly 30 PPG. Both are back healthy now and ready to lead the Braves to a win and cover tonight against an Indiana State team that is just 2-7 SU in true road games this year. Take Bradley. |