Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-19-22 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Twins vs Guardians under 7½ +105 The UNDER (7.5) is worth a look in Monday's MLB action between the Twins and Guardians. Four of the last five meetings between these two teams have seen a combined score of 7 or less. I see another low scoring game in this one. You got a red-hot Sonny Gray on the mound for Minnesota, who has a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cleveland counters with Cal Quantrill, who is 7-0 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 16 home starts this season. In his last 4 starts against the Twins, Quantrill has allowed just 5 ER 27 1/3 innings. Play the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-18-22 | Pirates +376 v. Mets | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +376 The Pirates (+376) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the Mets in Sunday's MLB action. This price is out of control. New York is being greatly overpriced with deGrom on the mound. He just lost his last start as a -420 favorite at home against the Cubs. Pittsburgh's Johan Oviedo has flashed some really good stuff in his 4 starts so far in 2022. He went 5 scoreless in his last start at Cincinnati. Play the Pirates +376! |
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09-18-22 | Colts -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Colts -3 -110 The Colts (-3) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Jaguars in Sunday's NFL action. Indy is coming off a surprising 20-20 tie in Week 1 against the Texans. Just looking at the score, 20 points against a Houston team that isn't expected to be very good is pretty underwhelming. However, the Colts greatly underperformed in that game offensively, as they put up 517 total yards. They were a dismal 2-5 in the red zone. This is a very good offense and I look for them to have no trouble here moving the ball against a Jaguars team that gave up 28 to the Commanders in Week 1. Jacksonville played well in Week 1 against Washington and are going to be improved, but they are not on the same level as Indy. Play the Colts -3! |
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09-17-22 | South Alabama v. UCLA UNDER 61 | Top | 31-32 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on South Alabama vs UCLA under 61 -110 The UNDER (61) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between UCLA and South Alabama. I think there's a perception with the Bruins that because they are so good offensively that they can carry this game to more than 61 points. That's typically the case, but I don't think it will be in this one. The Jaguars are solid on the defensive side of the ball. They come in allowing just 15.5 ppg, 252 ypg and just 3.9 yards/play. People also overlook how good UCLA has played defensively. They only allowed 162 total yards in their opener against Bowling Green. Play the UNDER 61! |
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09-16-22 | Yankees -118 v. Brewers | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -118 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Yankees -118 The Yankees (-118) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Brewers in Friday's MLB action. Easy play here on New York at this price. Yankees have put those August struggles behind them. New York is 8-2 in their last 10 games and I give them a slight edge on the mound in this one with Frankie Montas going up against Adrian Houser. Play the Yankees -118! |
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09-16-22 | Florida State v. Louisville UNDER 57.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State vs Louisville under 57½ -110 The UNDER (57.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Louisville and Florida State. These two teams remind me a lot of each other. Both teams have dual threat QBs and while they can throw the ball, they prefer to establish the run. I also think both of these teams are really strong up front on the defensive side of the ball. I see a lot of empty possessions for both teams and this game to stay well below the mark. Play the UNDER 57.5! |
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09-15-22 | Chargers v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Chargers vs Chiefs over 54½ -105 The OVER (54.5) is worth a look in Thursday's NFL action between the Chiefs and Chargers. Kansas City's offense looked better than it did at any point last season in their Week 1 win over the Cardinals. I just think with no Tyreek Hill, KC's offense is extremely unpredictable. Defenses have no clue where the ball is going. I expect the Chiefs to be one of the highest scoring teams in the league. With Herbert and company on the other side and both defenses playing on just 3-days of rest in this short week, this has shootout written all over it. Play the OVER 54.5! |
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09-15-22 | Phillies v. Marlins +137 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 137 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Marlins +137 The Marlins (+137) are worth a look as a decently priced home dog against the Phillies in Thursday's MLB action. This to me is just too much value to pass up with Miami. Philadelphia may appear to have an edge on the mound with Noah Syndergaard on the mound. However, Syndergaard is 2-6 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.453 WHIP in 9 road starts this season. He's also got a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Pablo Lopez was not good in his last start for Miami, but had allowed just 4 runs in his previous 3 starts and two of those were against the Dodgers and Braves. Play the Marlins +137! |
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09-14-22 | A's +140 v. Rangers | Top | 8-7 | Win | 140 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on A's +140 The A's (+140) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers. It's all about finding value this late in the season and I see a ton of it here with Oakland. Texas has done nothing to deserve being this big of a favorite. Rangers are 4-13 over their last 17 games and 3 of the 4 wins have come by just 1 run. A's starter JP Sears has made 8 starts. He's allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of those outings and pitched at least 5 innings in 7. Play the A's +140! |
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09-13-22 | Phillies v. Marlins -127 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -127 | 23 h 45 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Marlins -127 The Marlins (-127) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Phillies in Tuesday's MLB action. This is just too good a price to pass up with Sandy Alcantara on the mound for Miami. Alcantara is one of the best pitchers in the game. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.007 WHIP in 28 starts. As good as that is, he's much better at home, where he's 8-3 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.868 WHIP in 14 starts. Play the Marlins -127! |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +7 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +7 -115 The Seahawks (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home on Monday Night Football against the Broncos. Love the value here with Seattle. I think we got a matchup here of an overrated Denver team facing an underrated Seattle team. Not only that, the Seahawks get a huge edge here playing at home in a prime time game. Everyone is expecting Russell Wilson to light up his old team, but I think there's just as good a chance he struggles. Play the Seahawks +7! |
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09-12-22 | Pirates +135 v. Reds | Top | 6-3 | Win | 135 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +135 The Pirates (+135) are worth a look as decently priced road dog against the Reds. Hard to not like the value with the dog in a matchup of two bad teams. It's been a struggle for Pittsburgh starter Bryse Wilson, but he's pitched great against Cincinnati this year. Just a couple weeks ago he held them to 3 runs in 7 innings. He also had an earlier start Cincy where only gave up 1 ER in 6 2/3 innings. Play the Pirates +135! |
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09-11-22 | Mets v. Marlins +141 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Marlins +141 The Marlins (+141) are worth a look as a decently priced home dog against the Mets in Sunday's MLB action. This is just too good a price to pass up with Miami. Marlins have won 2 of their last 3 and will have a red-hot Jesus Luzardo on the mound. Luzardo has a 3.15 ERA and 0.950 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Most recently, Luzardo went on the road and held the Phillies to just 2 runs on 4 hits with 9 K's in 7 innings. Play the Marlins +141! |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears +7 | Top | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 32 h 55 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +7 -115 The Bears (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the 49ers. I just feel like there's a few too many unknowns with San Francisco quarterback Trey Lance for them to be laying this big of a number on the road. Chicago might not be a playoff team, but I don't think they are as completely outmatched here as the media is making it seem. Bears will be out to prove something in Week 1 and if Lance isn't right, I could see Chicago pulling off the upset. Play the Bears +7! |
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09-10-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Georgia State | Top | 35-28 | Push | 0 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110 The Tar Heels (-7) are worth a look as a mere touchdown favorite on the road against Georgia State. Yes, UNC had a scare last week on the road against App State, as they had to hold on for a 63-61 win. It was as bad a 4th quarter defensively as the Tar Heels could play, as they gave up 40 points. People forget they had a 41-21 lead going into the 4th quarter. Georgia State is going to put up some points, but not at the rate that App State was able to and I don't see the Panthers being able to slow down this juggernaut Tar Heels offense. Look for UNC to win this one by double-digits rather easily. Play the Tar Heels -7! |
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09-09-22 | Giants v. Cubs +152 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 152 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cubs +152 The Cubs (+152) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Giants in Friday's MLB action. San Francisco is being way overvalued in this spot. The Giants are not playing good baseball right now. SF has lost 4 straight and have scored 3 or fewer runs in all 4 during the losing streak. Chicago's Drew Smyly has been sneaky good at Wrigley this season. He's got a 2.86 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 7 home starts. Play the Cubs +152! |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams OVER 52 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Bills vs Rams over 52 -105 I'll take my chances with the OVER (52) in Thursday's NFL action between the Rams and Bills. These figure to be two of the better offenses in the NFL, both of which are centered around strong passing attacks. I look for both to have no trouble moving the ball. Bills defense will be missing one of their top corners in White and there's a huge drop off in the Rams secondary after Ramsey. Simply too many weapons and too good of quarterback play to keep this under the number. Play the OVER 52! |
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09-08-22 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals vs Cardinals over 7½ -110 The OVER (7.5) is worth a look in Thursday's MLB action between the Cardinals and Nationals. You might think the UNDER would be a strong play given how well veteran Adam Wainwright has been at home in 2021. Thing is, there's something about him being on the mound that ignites the St Louis offense. In his last 7 home starts, the Cardinals have scored 6 or more runs 6 times. They figure to have a good shot at getting at least 6 with Josiah Gray on the mound for Washington. Not only is he struggling with his command of late (11 walks last 3 starts), he can't keep it in the park (5 HR last 3 starts). Play the OVER 7.5! |
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09-07-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +138 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Orioles +138 The Orioles (+138) are worth a look as a decently priced home dog against the Blue Jays in Wednesday's MLB action. Baltimore was able to snap Toronto's 5-game win streak with a 9-6 win on Tuesday. Orioles will a great shot here of building on that win with Dean Kremer on the mound. Kremer has a 3.22 ERA in 16 starts and has been lights out of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Orioles +138! |
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09-06-22 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Marlins vs Phillies under 7 -105 The UNDER (7) is worth a look in Tuesday's MLB action between the Phillies and Marlins. Easy lay on the UNDER with this matchup. The Marlins can't score right now. Miami has scored 2 or fewer runs in 8 straight games, scoring exactly 1 run in each of their last 4. Hard to see them snapping out of that slump against the Phillies Aaron Nola. I also don't see Philadelphia doing much offensively with Jesus Luzardo on the mound for Miami. Luzardo has a 2.79 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.54 ERA in 7 road starts this season. Play the UNDER 7! |
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09-05-22 | Nationals +215 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-0 | Win | 215 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals +215 The Nationals (+215) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the Cardinals in Monday's MLB action. Good spot here to take a shot on Washington. St Louis could have a tough time here being locked in after a sweep of their rivals in Chicago and the Nationals being such a bad team. Key here is Washington has a red-hot starter on the mound in Anibal Sanchez. In his last 3 starts (all 3 have resulted in wins), Sanchez has posted a 1.10 ERA and 0.796 WHIP. Play the Nationals +215! |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +3.5 v. LSU | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State +3½ -110 The Seminoles (+3.5) are worth a look as a small road dog against LSU in Sunday's college football action. Love the value here with Florida State catching a field goal and a hook, as I think they got a great shot at winning this game outright. LSU made a splash hire at head coach with Brian Kelly and I think people just assume the Tigers are going to rebound from a very disappointing 2 seasons. I like the hire, but there's a lot that Kelly needs to fix on both sides and he's installing new schemes on both sides of the ball. Florida State is a team that I think people are sleeping on. The Seminoles had that horrific start to last season, but got better and better as the season went on. Now in year 3 under Mike Norvell, FSU could be ready to explode. They got 16 returning starters, including a very underrated dual threat QB in Jordan Travis. Play the Seminoles +3.5! |
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09-04-22 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Royals vs Tigers under 8 +105 The UNDER (8) is worth a look in Sunday's MLB action between the Tigers and Royals. This to me is a no-brainer. You got two average at best offenses facing off and a bit of an underrated starting pitching matchup. Detroit's Max Castillo has a 3.65 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 3 starts. Kansas City's Matt Manning has a 3.79 ERA in 8 starts and a 2.86 ERA in 5 home starts. Look for both offenses to struggle to score. Play the UNDER 8! |
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09-03-22 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Yankees vs Rays over 8 +110 The OVER (8) is worth a look in Saturday's MLB action between the Rays and Yankees. I don't see these two having much trouble getting to 9 runs in this one. New York isn't going to get shutout offensively in back-to-back games. On the flip side, Tampa Bay could be in store for another big day at the plate. Rays scored 9 runs in the win yesterday and will be facing the Yankees' Clark Schmidt, who has a 4.91 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his first two starts of 2022. Play the OVER 8! |
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09-03-22 | Cincinnati v. Arkansas -6.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas -6½ -110 The Razorbacks (-6.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown at home against Cincinnati. This line might seem a bit off to some, as the Bearcats are coming off a season where they made the CFB Playoffs. Thing is, Cincinnati lost a TON from that team and while they recruit well, they don't recruit to the level that they can lose that much talent and not regress. They are also facing an Arkansas team that had one of the biggest turnarounds in the country last year and look to be even stronger in 2022. Play the Razorbacks -6.5! |
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09-02-22 | Twins v. White Sox +120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 120 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on White Sox +120 The White Sox (+120) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Twins in Friday's MLB action. Chicago's been one of the more overrated teams this year, but they are now getting way too little respect. White Sox should not be a home dog here. They have won their last two. Chicago also lit up Minnesota starter Sonny Gray earlier this year, scoring 6 runs on 9 hits (Gray lasted just 3 2/3 innings). Play the White Sox +120! |
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09-02-22 | Virginia Tech v. Old Dominion +7 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Old Dominion +7 -110 The Monarchs (+7) are worth a look as a home dog against the Hokies in Friday's MLB action. Old Dominion is going to be no pushover in 2022. The Monarchs bring back 17 starters from a team that made a bowl game last year. This is also a team that got better as the season progressed, winning 5 straight to close out the regular-season after a 1-6 start. Va Tech to me is a team in a bit of rebuilding mode playing in the first year of a new head coach (Brent Pry - previously DC at Penn St). Only 11 starters return for the Hokies with just 4 on the offensive side of the ball. Play Old Dominion +7! |
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09-01-22 | Penn State v. Purdue +3.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Purdue +3½ -110 The Boilermakers (+3.5) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Nittany Lions in Thursday's NCAAF action. Purdue has thrived in the roll of a home underdog and it seems like the public perception is that the Nittany Lions are just going to bounce back after last year's disappointment. I also think people are down a little on Purdue given the losses of their best offensive (WR, David Bell) and defensive (DE, George Karlaftis) player on both side of the ball. I don't see the Boilermakers taking a step back. They get back 14 starter, including one of the Big Ten's best signal callers in Adan O'Connell. Give me the Boilermakers +3.5! |
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09-01-22 | Mariners v. Tigers OVER 7 | Top | 7-0 | Push | 0 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mariners vs Tigers over 7 -115 The OVER (7) is worth a look in Thursday's MLB action between the Tigers and Mariners. Detroit has scored only 3 runs in each of the first two games in this series, yet both games have seen a combined score of 8 or more. I see that trend continuing today. I also think we are getting a good number here because of how good Seattle starter Logan Gilbert has been of late. Thing is, OVER is 12-3 in Gilbert's last 15 starts after giving up 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last 2 starts. Play the OVER 7! |
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08-31-22 | Dodgers v. Mets -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mets -130 The Mets (-130) are worth a look as a small home favorite against the Yankees in Wednesday's MLB action. Betting against the Dodgers typically isn't in your best interest, but to me the value here is too good to pass up with New York. It all has to do with who the Mets will have on the mound, as they turn to Jacob deGrom. In his 5 starts since returning to the rotation from injury, degrom has posted a 2.15 ERA and 0.545 WHIP with a 46/2 K/BB ratio over 29 1/3 innings. Play the Mets -130! |
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08-30-22 | Astros v. Rangers +161 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rangers +161 The Rangers (+161) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Astros in Tuesday's MLB action. Good price here to take a shot on Texas. The Rangers' Dane Dunning isn't as bad as his 3-6 record would suggest. He's got a strong 3.21 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 12 home starts this season. He's also gave up just 2 runs on 7 hits in 2 starts against Houston this season. Astros also come into this series in a bit of funk offensively, as they managed to score just 4 runs on 14 hits in their 3-game series against the Orioles over the weekend. Play the Rangers +161! |
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08-29-22 | Padres +130 v. Giants | Top | 6-5 | Win | 130 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Padres +130 The Padres (+130) are worth a look as a small road dog against the Giants in Monday's MLB action. Most are going to just load up on San Francisco with the Giants starting Carlos Rodon, but to me the value is with San Diego. SF has not been playing good baseball. The Giants were just swept in a 3-game series at Minnesota and are just 2-8 in their last 10 games. It's also not like the Padres have a nobody on the mound, as they send out Mike Clevinger. Play San Diego +130! |
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08-28-22 | Cubs +151 v. Brewers | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cubs +151 The Cubs (+151) are worth a look as a big road dog against the Brewers in Sunday's MLB action. Love the value here with Chicago at this price. Cubs will start Adrian Sampson, who pitched very well in his only start vs the Brewers this season. Sampson gave up just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings at Milwaukee back on July 6. Brewers' starter Eric Lauer has a 4.66 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 6 career starts vs the Cubs. Play Chicago +151! |
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08-27-22 | Bucs v. Colts -3.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Colts -3½ -110 *All NFL Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-27-22 | Rays +105 v. Red Sox | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rays +105 The Rays (+105) are worth a look at basically even money on the road against the Red Sox. Great price here with Tampa Bay. The Rays will have what I feel is a big edge on the mound. TB turns to Jeffrey Springs, who has a 2.76 ERA in 17 starts. Rich Hill will go for Boston and he's got 4.79 ERA in 18 starts. Big thing that stands out with Hill, is his 7.12 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 7 home starts. Play the Rays +105! |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern v. Nebraska OVER 50 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Northwestern vs Nebraska over 50 -110 The OVER (50) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Nebraska and Northwestern. I'm expecting both of these offenses to be greatly improved from last year. Nebraska put up 27.9 ppg, but have made what I feel is an upgrade at quarterback with Texas transfer Casey Thompson. They also are going to a more pass happy offense under new offensive coordinator Mark Whipple, who comes over from Pitt. It won't take much for Northwestern's offense to improve after scoring just 16.6 ppg last year. They too added a transfer quarterback, bringing in Ryan Hilinski from South Carolina. You also have two defenses here that return just 5 starters. Play the OVER 50! |
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08-26-22 | Cubs +140 v. Brewers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 140 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cubs +140 The Cubs (+140) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Brewers in Friday's MLB action. Chicago may be out of it, but they have continued to show up and play hard, especially against their division rivals. I like their chances in this one with Justin Steele on the mound. Steele has a 1.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The most recent coming against these Brewers, where he allowed just 2 hits over 6 scoreless innings. Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta has not fared well at home, posting a 5.67 ERA and 1.259 WHIP in 6 starts. Play the Cubs +140! |
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08-26-22 | Bills v. Panthers OVER 39.5 | Top | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Bills vs Panthers over 39½ -110 *All NFL Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-25-22 | Packers v. Chiefs OVER 36.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Packers vs Chiefs over 36½ -110
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08-25-22 | Reds +275 v. Phillies | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Reds +275 The Reds (+275) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the Phillies in Thursday's MLB action. Philadelphia should be favored at home with Aaron Nola on the mound, but not by this much Nola is coming off a bad outing at home against the Mets, where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 5 innings of work. Nola also owns a mere 4.31 ERA in 8 career starts against the Phillies. Play the Reds +275! |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates +230 | Top | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +230 The Pirates (+270) are worth a look as a massive home dog against the Braves. Any time you can get a home dog at +200 or more, there's usually some value to be had. I definitely think that's the case here. Atlanta's Kyle Wright is an impressive 15-5 in 23 starts with a solid 3.13 ERA and 1.166 WHIP. However, he's got a very average 4.50 ERA and 1.278 WHIP over his last 3 starts. WIth an off day on Thursday before a big 3-game series at St Louis, could definitely see the Braves coming out a bit flat in this one. Play the Pirates +230! |
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08-23-22 | Rangers v. Rockies -115 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rockies -115 The Rockies (-115) are worth a look as a small home favorite against the Rangers in Tuesday's MLB action. This is just too good a price to pass up with Colorado at home against another sub-par team. For as bad as Colorado has been (currently 17 games under .500), they are 35-31 at home this year, where they are scoring 5.7 runs/game and hitting .285 as a team. Colorado's German Marquez doesn't have the best numbers, but has completed 6 innings and allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his last 3 starts and 6 of his last 7 overall. Texas' Dane Dunning has a 4.06 ERA in 23 starts and a 5.08 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in 11 road starts (Rangers are 1-10 in those 11 starts). Play the Rockies -115! |
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08-22-22 | Marlins v. A's +130 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on A's +130 The A's (+130) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Marlins in Monday's MLB action. Oakland comes in playing some decent baseball. They just took 2 of 3 at home against the Mariners and have won 4 of their last 6 overall. Miami on the other hand is on a bit of a free fall, as they have lost 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. With how much the Marlins struggle to score runs (7 in their last 4 games), they should not be favored on the road. Play the A's +130! |
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08-22-22 | Falcons -3.5 v. Jets | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Falcons -3½ -105
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08-21-22 | Ravens -5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Ravens -5½ -110 *All NFL Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-21-22 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals vs Padres over 8½ -115 The OVER (8.5) is worth a look in Sunday's MLB action between the Padres and Nationals. There shouldn't be any problem for these two teams getting to 9 runs. Two starters on the mound that have just not performed up to expectations. Pat Corbin is 4-16 with a 6.96 ERA and 1.797 WHIP in 24 starts. He's got a 9.44 ERA in 11 road starts and a 11.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. Sean Manaea isn't that bad, but he's just 6-6 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 22 starts. He's also trending in a bad way with a 9.69 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 8.5! |
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08-20-22 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Chargers | Top | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cowboys +3½ -110 *All NFL Preseason picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-20-22 | Astros +129 v. Braves | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Astros +129 The Astros (+129) are worth a look as a small road dog against the Braves in Saturday's MLB action. Wasn't surprised to see Houston come out a little flat in yesterday's series opener after their 21-5 win over the White Sox the day before. Look for the Astros to bounce against the Braves today. Cristian Javier will be on the mound for Houston and he's got a 1.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Astros +129! |
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08-19-22 | Mets +111 v. Phillies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 111 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mets +111 The Mets (+111) are worth a look as a short road dog against the Phillies in Friday's MLB action. Love New York at plus money here. Two great starts here with Nola on the mound for Philly and Chris Bassitt going for the Mets. I just trust Bassitt a little more here. He hasn't allowed an ER in 3 straight starts and has a 1.08 ERA in 3 career starts vs the Phillies. This is also a Philadelphia team that is not in sync offensively. Phillies have been shutout 4 times in their last 7 games. Play the Mets +111! |
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08-19-22 | Panthers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Panthers +4 -110 *All Preseason NFL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-18-22 | Astros -116 v. White Sox | Top | 21-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Astros -116 The Astros (-116) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the White Sox in Thursday's MLB action. I just feel like Houston should be a bigger favorite in this one. Lucas Giolito has been a disappointment in 2022. He's really struggled at home, posting a 5.86 ERA and 1.539 WHIP in 9 home starts. In his only start vs the Astros this year, he gave up 8 runs in 5 innings of a 13-3 loss. Luis Garcia will start for Houston and he's got a 2.91 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 10 road starts. I just have a hard time seeing a bad Chicago offense doing enough to get the win. Play the Astros -116! |
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08-17-22 | Astros v. White Sox +165 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on White Sox +165 The White Sox (+165) are definitely worth a look as a big home dog against the Astros in Wednesday's MLB action. No way should Chicago be this big of a dog at home. White Sox have all the momentum after rallying late to win yesterday's big pitching matchup between Verlander and Cease. Now they got another great starter on the mound in Michael Kopech. This should be closer to a pick'em. Play the White Sox +165! |
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08-16-22 | Red Sox v. Pirates +133 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +133 The Pirates (+133) are worth a look as a decently priced home dog against the Red Sox in Tuesday's MLB action. This is a big flat spot here for Boston coming off a 3-game home series against rival Yankees, where they took 2 of 3. Will be hard for them to take Pittsburgh seriously. However, I like the Pirates to put up a fight in their first game back home after a lengthy 10-game road trip. They also got a solid starter going in Mitch Keller, who has a 2.60 ERA over his last 3 outings. Play the Pirates +133! |
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08-15-22 | Cubs v. Nationals +125 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 125 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals +125 The Nationals (+125) are worth a look as a home dog against the Cubs in Monday's MLB action. Chicago should not be laying this kind of juice on the road. These are two bad teams and the Cubs are in the much tougher spot having to travel in from Cincinnati, where Washington stays put after playing the Padres at home. Nationals' starter Josiah Gray has struggled in 2022, but he did just pitch really well against these Cubs. Gray held Chicago to just 2 runs in 6 1/3 innings. Play Washington +125! |
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08-14-22 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 36 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Vikings vs Raiders over 36 -110 *All NFLX picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-14-22 | Diamondbacks +135 v. Rockies | Top | 7-4 | Win | 135 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Diamondbacks +135 The Diamondbacks (+135) are worth a look as a road dog against the Rockies in Sunday's MLB action. Really great price here on Arizona. No way should Colorado be laying any kind of juice with a guy like Ryan Feltner on the mound. He's got a 6.49 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 9 starts (43 innings). Rockies are just 2-7 in his 9 starts. Play Arizona +135! |
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08-13-22 | Cubs v. Reds +110 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Reds +110 The Reds (+110) are worth a look at basically even money at home against the Cubs. Easy play here on Cincinnati. The Reds will be sending out a red-hot Graham Ashcraft, who has a 1.74 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chicago will have Adrian Sampson on the mound. He's 0-3 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 8 starts. Play the Reds +110! |
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08-13-22 | Panthers v. Washington Commanders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Panthers vs Washington Commanders under 37½ -110 *All NFLX picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-12-22 | Dodgers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Dodgers vs Royals under 9½ -110 The UNDER (9.5) is worth a look in Friday's MLB action between the Royals and Dodgers. I don't see these two teams getting to double-digits. KC figures to have a horrible time scoring runs in this one. LA will have Tony Gonsolin on the mound. He's 13-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.894 WHIP in 20 starts. He's seen the UNDER cash in 7 of his 10 road starts this season. UNDER is also 13-3 in LA's 16 games this season played on Friday Night and 32-19 in their last 51 after 5 or more straight home games. Play the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-12-22 | Browns v. Jaguars +1.5 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Jaguars +1½ +100
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08-11-22 | Giants -2.5 v. Patriots | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Giants -2½ -110 *All NFLX picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models* |
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08-11-22 | Marlins +151 v. Phillies | Top | 3-0 | Win | 151 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Marlins +151 The Marlins (+151) are worth a look as a huge road dog against the Phillies in Thursday's MLB action. I like Miami to find a way to avoid getting swept. Philadelphia has won the first 2 of this series and are riding a 7-game winning streak. I could see them having a tough time getting up for this game with a road trip to New York for a 3-game series against the Mets starting tomorrow. Miami also has a pretty good starter going in Edward Cabrera. He's got a 2.61 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 4 starts. Play the Marlins +151! |
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08-10-22 | Giants +170 v. Padres | Top | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +170 The Giants (+170) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the Padres in Wednesday's MLB action. While San Diego was able to break a 4-4 tie in the bottom of the 9th in Tuesday's win, nothing has really come easy for this new look Padres team. That win snapped a 5-game skid. The offense is still not producing like you would expect and it's probably going to take some time before this team reaches it's potential. I certainly don't think they should be this big of a favorite with Sean Manaea on the mound. He's 6-6 with a 4.74 ERA in 20 starts and comes in with a 9.45 ERA and 2.026 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Giants +170! |
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08-09-22 | Giants v. Padres OVER 7 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Giants vs Padres over 7 -120 The OVER (7) is worth a look in Tuesday's MLB action between the Padres and Giants. I think we are seeing some value on the total after yesterday's 1-0 win by San Francisco. Not saying we are going to see an offensive explosion in Game 2, but it's not asking a lot for these two teams to get to 8 runs today. San Francisco's Alex Cobb has a 6.32 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 road starts. San Diego's Joe Musgrove is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 7! |
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08-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +135 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 135 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Orioles +135 The Orioles (+135) are worth a look as a decently priced home dog against the Blue Jays in Monday's MLB action. Baltimore is being disrespected with this line. No way should they be this big of a home dog with how well they are playing. Toronto is only 4.5-games ahead of them in the standings, yet this is viewed as a much bigger mismatch. Blue Jays are starting their 3rd consecutive road series and have a sub-par pitcher on the mound with Yusei Kikuchi. I believe Baltimore has the better starter here in Jordan Lyles. Play the Orioles +135! |
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08-07-22 | Padres +132 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Padres +132 The Padres (+132) are worth a look as a road dog against the Dodgers in Sunday's MLB action. Big time value here with San Diego at this price. Padres will have Yu Darvish on the mound. Darvish is 10-4 with a 3.30 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 20 starts. Darvish did have a rough go of things in his last start against LA, but overall he's pitched great against the Dodgers. He's got a 2.76 ERA and 0.878 WHIP in 8 career starts vs Los Angeles. Play the Padres +132! |
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08-06-22 | Rockies +155 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 155 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rockies +155 The Rockies (+155) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Diamondbacks in Saturday's MLB action. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on Colorado. I know it's been a struggle for the Rockies of late, but they have woken up offensively in their last two games, scoring 12 runs on 26 hits. Merrill Kelly has been great for Arizona, but he's got a mere 4.83 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in 8 career starts vs Colorado. Rockies lost 5-6 on Friday and are 11-5 in their last 16 off a 1-run loss. Play Colorado +155! |
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08-05-22 | Pirates +151 v. Orioles | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 11 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +151 The Pirates (+151) are worth a look as a big road dog against the Orioles in Friday's MLB action. Baltimore is getting way too much respect in this one. Orioles should not be this big of a favorite with how starter Dean Kremer has pitched of late. Kremer has a 8.57 ERA and 1.830 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller is the exact opposite. He's been great of late, posting a 2.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Pirates +151! |
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08-04-22 | Red Sox -123 v. Royals | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -123 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Red Sox -123 The Red Sox (-123) are worth a look as a slim road favorite against the Royals in Thursday's MLB action. Easy play here on Boston. While the Red Sox lost the series finale against the Astros on Wednesday, they did take 2 of 3 against Houston. Royals on the other hand are a complete mess right now. KC has lost 7 of their last 9, scoring 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those 9 games. Tough to win when you can't score and the Red Sox offense figures to put up runs in this one. Royals Kris Bubic is just 1-4 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in 9 home starts this season. Play the Red Sox -123! |
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08-02-22 | Mariners +145 v. Yankees | Top | 8-6 | Win | 145 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mariners +145 The Mariners (+145) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Yankees in Tuesday's MLB action. Easy play on Seattle at this price with a guy like Logan Gilbert on the mound. Gilbert is 10-4 with a 2.85 ERA in 21 starts. He's 6-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 12 road starts. Play the Mariners +145! |
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08-01-22 | Orioles +148 v. Rangers | Top | 7-2 | Win | 148 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Orioles +148 The Orioles (+148) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Rangers in Monday's MLB action. Really good price here to back Baltimore. This line should be closer to even money with the Orioles sending out Spencer Watkins. In 13 starts so far this year, Watkins has posted a solid 4.03 ERA and 1.414 WHIP. He's been much better on the road with a 3.64 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in 6 road starts. He's also got a 2.65 ERA and 1.235 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Orioles +148! |
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07-31-22 | Mariners +128 v. Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mariners +128 The Mariners (+128) are worth a look as a short road dog against the Astros in Sunday's MLB action. Seattle was finally able to take down Houston on Saturday 5-4. Mariners had lost 5 straight prior to the win. I like Seattle to carry over that momentum, especially with a guy like George Kirby on the mound. Kirby has had a fantastic rookie season with a 3.50 ERA and 1.197 WHIP. He's been even better of late posting a 1.65 ERA and 1.102 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Houston's Jake Odorizzi has a 4.25 ERA in 11 starts, 4.57 ERA at home and 4.67 ERA over his last 3 outings. Play the Mariners +128! |
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07-30-22 | Cardinals -143 v. Nationals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -143 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals -143 The Cardinals (-143) are worth a look as a decently priced home favorite against the Nationals in Saturday's MLB action. St Louis cruised to a 6-2 win over Washington in Friday's series opener and are primed for another easy win today. Look for the Cardinals offense to stay hot and put up another big number here against the Nationals Erick Fedde. In 19 starts this season, Fedde has posted a subpar 4.95 ERA and 1.543 WHIP. It's been even worse of late, as Fedde has a 9.00 ERA and 2.385 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the Cardinals -143! |
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07-29-22 | Cubs +126 v. Giants | Top | 4-2 | Win | 126 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cubs +126 The Cubs (+126) are worth a look as a short road dog against the Giants in Friday's MLB action. San Francisco was able to win the opener on Thursday 4-2. Good for the Giants to snap their 7 game losing streak, but that was another lackluster showing at the plate. SF is only averaging 2.4 runs/game and are hitting a mere 0.189 as a team over their last 7 games. Cubs will have a red-hot Marcus Stroman on the mound. In his last 3 starts, Stroman has posted a sensational 1.26 ERA and 0.907 WHIP. Play the Cubs +126! |
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07-28-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies +191 | Top | 13-0 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rockies +191 The Rockies (+191) are worth a look as a massive home dog against the Dodgers in Thursday's MLB action. LA just lost 2 of 3 at home to the Nationals and I could see them slipping up here in the series opener at Coors Field. Dodgers will have Tyler Anderson on the mound. He's not had very good luck in the thin air of Denver. Anderson has made 3 starts at Coors Field and his team has lost all 3. Jose Urena will get the start for Colorado. He's got a 3.00 ERA in 4 starts, 1.50 ERA in 2 home starts and a 2.70 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Dodgers. Play the Rockies +191! |
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07-27-22 | Nationals +237 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals +237 The Nationals (+237) are worth a look as a massive road dog against the Dodgers in Wednesday's MLB action. Washington has won each of the first two games of this series, beating LA 4-1 on Monday as a +250 dog and 8-3 on Tuesday as a +220 dog. The price here is simply too good to pass up with Washington. Play the Nationals +237! |
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07-26-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -220 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -220 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Dodgers -220 The Dodgers (-220) are worth a look as a massive home favorite against the Nationals in Tuesday's MLB action. LA is going to be locked in after Washington pulled off the big upset on Monday. Nationals won 4-1 as a +250 dog. I don't see the Nationals losing back-to-back games against a bad team like Washington. Mitch White has a 1.77 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 4 home starts. Washington's Josiah Gray has a 7.02 ERA and 1.560 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Play the Dodgers -220! |
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07-25-22 | Angels v. Royals OVER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Angels vs Royals over 8 -110 The OVER (8) is worth a look in Monday's MLB action between the Royals and Angels. LA will have Noah Syndergaard on the mound. Good idea to expect runs with him on the mound on the road. Syndergaard is 1-5 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 6 home starts this season. Kansas City will have Zack Greinke on the mound. He's 3-6 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.326 WHIP in 15 starts and has a 5.79 ERA and 1.786 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Play the OVER 8! |
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07-24-22 | Yankees -170 v. Orioles | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Yankees -170 The Yankees (-170) are worth a look as a big road favorite against the Orioles in Sunday's MLB action. Baltimore has been playing well of late and are fresh off a 6-3 win Saturday as a +200 dog. The value is still with New York at this price. Yankees will have Nestor Cortes on the mound. He's got a 2.63 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 1.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Orioles. Deak Kremer will start for Baltimore. He's got a 5.27 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 5.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 5 career starts vs NY. Play the Yankees -170! |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's +121 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 121 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on A's +121 The A's (+121) are worth a look as a home dog against the Rangers in Saturday's MLB action. I don't think Oakland should be a dog here. A's are playing well. They won 2 of 3 at Houston, split a 2-game series with Detroit at home and then won 5-4 over Texas yesterday. Rangers are now just 1-5 in their last 6 games. Oakland will also have a red-hot James Kaprielian on the mound, who had a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his final 3 starts before the break. Play the A's +121! |
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07-22-22 | Cubs +115 v. Phillies | Top | 15-2 | Win | 115 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cubs +115 The Cubs (+115) are worth a look as a short road dog against the Phillies in Friday's MLB action. Good price here to roll with Chicago. Cubs' will have Justin Steele on the mound. He's really pitched well in 2022 outside a couple of clunkers. Steele has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 12 of his last 14 starts. I also like Chicago to come out with a little something to prove after how bad they played going into the All-Star break. Either way the value is with the road team tonight. Play the Cubs +115! |
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07-21-22 | Rangers v. Marlins OVER 6.5 | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rangers vs Marlins over 6½ -115 The OVER (6.5) is worth a look in Thursday's MLB action between the Marlins and Rangers. We are seeing a big overreaction here. These are two teams who struggled going into the break, but 6.5 is way too low for a starting pitching matchup that features Jon Gray against Pablo Lopez. The 3-day break should help these two teams regain their focus at the plate and snap out of their funk. Even if they don't, getting to 7 isn't asking much. Play the OVER 6.5! |
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07-19-22 | American League v. National League OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on American League vs National League over 8 +110
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07-17-22 | Mariners -127 v. Rangers | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mariners -127 The Mariners (-127) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Rangers in Sunday's MLB action. The books are being extremely slow to adjust to how well Seattle has been playing Mariners have won 13 in a row and just once during this stretch have they been more than a -150 favorite. They should at least be that in this one. Seattle has a big edge on the mound in this one with Chris Flexin going up against Glenn Otto. I'm confident the Mariners will be taking a 14-game win streak into the break. Play Seattle -127! |
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07-16-22 | Tigers v. Guardians OVER 8 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Tigers vs Guardians over 8 -117 The OVER (8) is worth a look in Saturday's MLB action between the Guardians and Tigers. I like these two offenes to put up some runs. Detroit's Michael Pineda has a 5.23 ERA and 1.355 WHIP on the road this year. Cleveland's Cal Quantrill has a 5.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Quantrill also has a not so great 4.40 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Tigers. Give me the OVER 8! |
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07-15-22 | Reds v. Cardinals -158 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals -158 The Cardinals (-158) are worth a look as a big home favorite against the Reds in Friday's MLB action. I got no problem laying the big number with St Louis in this spot. Cards are going to be highly motivated after losing their last 2 at home in their 3 games series with the Dodgers. Reds on the other hand are primed to come out a bit flat after taking 2 of 3 on the road vs the Yankees. Play the Cardinals -158! |
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07-14-22 | Padres -128 v. Rockies | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -128 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Padres -128 The Padres (-128) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Rockies in Thursday's MLB action. San Diego's Blake Snell has pitched extremely well in his last 2 starts. He's given up just 2 ER in 11 innings. The more impressive stat is the 23 strikeouts he's racked up. One of those was in LA against the Dodgers. The other at home vs the Giants. Colorado on the other hand is going to send out Kyle Freeland. He's got a 5.23 ERA in 9 home starts this season and a 6.50 ERA over his last 3 outings. Play the Padres -128! |
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07-13-22 | Mets +135 v. Braves | Top | 7-3 | Win | 135 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Mets +135 The Mets (+135) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Braves in Wednesday's MLB action. Love the value with New York in this one. Mets will be highly motivated to avoid getting swept by their division rivals. NY will have a surging Chris Bassitt on the mound. Bassitt has really pitched well over his last 4 starts, giving up just 8 ER on 20 hits in 27 2/3 innings of work. Bassitt also comes in with a strong 2.64 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 7 starts this season vs division opponents. Play the Mets +135! |
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07-12-22 | Padres v. Rockies +127 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 127 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Rockies +127 The Rockies (+127) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Padres in Tuesday's MLB action. This is just too much value to pass up with Colorado at home. Rockies have been playing some pretty good ball here of late, winning 3 of their last 5. They are so much better at home than on the road. Colorado is scoring 5.8 runs/game and hitting .280 as a team at Coors Field. Big reason why I like them here against a red-hot Mike Clevinger for the Padres. Clevinger has made just one career start at Coors Field and that was back in 2017. He's given up 9 runs on 9 hits and 4 BBs in 9 innings vs the Rockies in his career. Play Colorado +127! |
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07-11-22 | Phillies -105 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Phillies -105 The Phillies (-105) are worth a look at basically even money on the road against the Cardinals in Monday's MLB action. Great price here to back Philadelphia. The Phillies are playing well, as they have won 7 of their last 10. St Louis on the other hand is just 3-8 in their last 11. Philadelphia will also have ace Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola is on quite a run here, as he's pitched at least 7 innings in each of his lsat 6 starts and allowed just 10 ER in the process. Play the Phillies -105! |
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07-10-22 | Giants +120 v. Padres | Top | 12-0 | Win | 120 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +120 The Giants (+120) are worth a look as a road dog against the Padres in Sunday's MLB action. I love the value here with San Francisco. The numbers don't look great for Giants' starter Alex Wood. He's got a 4.83 ERA in 16 starts and a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 outings. Thing is, he's actually been really good outside of 1 awful start at the Braves a few starts back. Wood has given up 4 or fewer ER in 7 of his last 8 outings. I like his chances here against a Padres offense that has scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. Play the Giants +120! |
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07-09-22 | Angels v. Orioles +111 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 111 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Orioles +111 The Orioles (+111) are worth a look as a slim home dog against the Angels in Saturday's MLB action. Baltimore should not be a dog in this game. The Orioles defeated Los Angeles 5-4 on Friday. That's 6 straight wins for Baltimore. Always good value on bad teams when they have a good stretch like this. On top of that, the O's got a very underrated starter going in Dean Kremer. He's got a 2.48 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 6 starts. Play the Orioles +111! |
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07-08-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -156 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -156 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on White Sox -156 The White Sox (-156) are worth a look as a decently priced home favorite against the Tigers in Friday's MLB action. If you look at the overall numbers for today's two starters, it would appear that Detroit's Tarik Skubal is the better option over Chicago's Lucas Giolito. However, the better pitcher of late has without question been Giolito. He's given up just 3 ER on 9 hits in 12 innings over his last 2 starts. Skubal has a 8.99 ERA in his last 3 outings, as he's allowed 14 runs in 14 innings. Play the White Sox -156! |
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07-07-22 | Giants +122 v. Padres | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +122 The Giants (+122) are worth a look as a road dog against the Padres in Thursday's MLB action. Easy play here on San Francisco at this price with how bad San Diego has been playing and them having their ace Logan Webb on the mound. Padres are just 2-8 over their last 10 games and have scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6. Webb is 7-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 16 starts. He's got a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP over his last 3 starts. In his only other start vs the Padres this year, he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 8 innings. Play the Giants +122! |
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07-06-22 | Cardinals +174 v. Braves | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals +174 The Cardinals (+174) are worth a look as a big road dog against the Braves in Wednesday's MLB action. No way should St. Louis be this big of a dog. Not with a capable starter like Miles Mikolas on the mound. Mikolas has a 2.61 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in 16 starts. He's also got a strong history of pitching well vs these Braves, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in 4 career starts against Atlanta. Play the Cardinals +174! |
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07-05-22 | Yankees v. Pirates +202 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 202 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Pirates +202 The Pirates (+202) are worth a look as a massive home dog against the Yankees in Tuesday's MLB action. Big time value here with Pittsburgh at home. New York is way overpriced with a struggling Jameson Taillon on the mound. Taillon has a 4.96 ERA and 1.530 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Pirates will have Jose Quintana on the mound. He's quietly got a 3.20 ERA over 15 starts in 2022 and comes in with a 3.12 ERA and 1.154 WHIP over his last 3 starts. With a big 4-game series on deck against Boston, Yankees could have trouble getting motivated for this short 2-game series with Pittsburgh. Play the Pirates +202! |
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07-04-22 | Marlins v. Nationals +108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Nationals +108 The Nationals (+108) are worth a look at basically even money at home against the Marlins in Monday's MLB action. Washington will be highly motivated to avoid getting swept in a 4-game series at home by a division rival. It also helps that Miami is starting Braxton Garrett. He's got a 5.24 ERA and 1.701 WHIP in 5 starts. Last time out he gave up 5 runs on 7 hits in 4 2/3 innings at St Louis. Play the Nationals +108! |
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07-03-22 | Angels +195 v. Astros | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Angels +195 The Angels (+195) are worth a look as a huge road dog against the Astros in Sunday's MLB action. This price feels like a bit of an overreaction to Houston's two blowout wins to open this series. Astros won 8-1 on Friday and then 9-1 on Saturday. They were -160 and -155 in those two games. Now they are more than a -200 favorite. Framber Valdez has been solid for Houston, but he's not been nearly as effective at home, posting a 4.21 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 6 home starts. Play the Angels +195! |
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07-02-22 | Braves v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Braves vs Reds over 9 -120 The OVER (9) is worth a look in Saturday's MLB action between the Reds and Braves. These two got to 10 runs in yesterday's game and that was with Cincinnati scoring just 1 run. Atlanta has now seen a combined score of at least 10 in 5 of their last 6 games. Reds' Tyler Mahle is 0-4 with a 4.56 ERA in 9 home starts. Braves are sending out Spencer Strider, who has a 4.29 ERA in his 6 starts and a 5.14 ERA in 3 road starts. Play the OVER 9! |
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07-01-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
20* SHARP PLAY on Dodgers -155 The Dodgers (-155) are worth a look as a big home favorite against the Padres in Friday's MLB action. I see a ton of value here with LA only at -155 on the money line. Dodgers will send out arguably the best starter of 2022 to this point in Tony Gonsolin. He's 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.851 WHIP in 14 starts. He's given up a whopping 3 ER in 6 home starts (33 1/3 innings). Blake Snell will be on the mound for the Padres. He's 0-5 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in 7 starts. he's given up 9 ER in 3 road starts (14 1/3 innings). Play the Dodgers -155! |