08-28-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. New York Mets -195 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-195 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) NL teams with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NY METS), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 48-15 (76%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE METS!
|
08-27-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates -200 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP
|
08-26-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Washington Nationals -149 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-149 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Teams with a team batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 48-14 (77%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -149!
|
08-25-15 |
Minnesota Twins +133 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
Top |
11-7 |
Win
|
133 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 (72%) over the last 5 seasons! BET THE TWINS +133!
|
08-24-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Chicago Cubs -126 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Teams with a batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 47-14 (77%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE CUBS -126!
|
08-23-15 |
New York Mets -119 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Teams with a batting average of .250 or worse on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 46-13 (78%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE METS -119!
|
08-22-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +118 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
118 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 32-13 (71%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PHILLIES +118!
|
08-21-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Chicago Cubs -179 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are a mere 19-100 (16%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE CUBS -179!
|
08-20-15 |
Washington Nationals -191 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-191 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (COLORADO) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are just 8-48 (14%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -191!
|
08-19-15 |
Washington Nationals -146 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more that are starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are just 8-47 (14%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -146!
|
08-18-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. St. Louis Cardinals -140 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-140 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, who are a poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 49-139 (26%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE CARDINALS -140!
|
08-17-15 |
Oakland A's -102 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home teams that are a poor AL offensive team (4.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 17-37 (31%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE A'S -102!
|
08-16-15 |
San Diego Padres -104 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* NL Teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start (Rockies) that also has a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season are a mere 17-48 (26%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PADRES -104!
|
08-14-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. New York Mets -114 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 111-214 (34%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE METS -114!
|
08-13-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Chicago Cubs -220 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 41-9 (82%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE CARDINALS -220!
|
08-12-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners -130 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 40 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, in August games are 52-14 (79%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE MARINERS -130!
|
08-11-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers +122 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 35-19 (65%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE BREWERS +122!
|
08-10-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. New York Mets -180 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 10-57 (15%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE METS -180!
|
08-09-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +157 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
157 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 31-13 (71%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PHILLIES +157!
|
08-08-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. San Diego Padres -180 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-180 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 92-30 (75%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PADRES -180!
|
08-07-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Washington Nationals -160 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-160 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
Steve's Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are just 8-56 (12%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -160!
|
08-06-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals -145 |
Top |
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
Steve's Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, who are a poor hitting team with a team average of .250 or worse, against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA between 4.20 to 5.20), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 91-30 (75%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -145!
|
08-05-15 |
Seattle Mariners -114 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
5-7 |
Loss |
-114 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) NL teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season are 16-47 (25%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons (3-13 in 2015). BET THE MARINERS -114!
|
08-04-15 |
Houston Astros +100 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) AL home teams with a low on-base percentage (.320 or less) and are sending out a starter with a WHIP of 2.00 or more over his last 3 starts, against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less) are 70-27 (72%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ASTROS +100!
|
08-03-15 |
Seattle Mariners -168 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
8-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) NL underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who have a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season, with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 10-58 (15%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE MARINERS -168!
|
08-02-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox -105 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) AL teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season, after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 39-9 (81%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE RED SOX -105!
|
08-01-15 |
San Diego Padres +100 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* NL teams who are hitting .250 or worse on the season, after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 44-13 (77%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PADRES +100!
|
07-31-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers -192 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - AL team with a terrible SLG (.400 or worse) against a very good NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less), with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 20-73 (21%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE DODGERS -192!
|
07-30-15 |
New York Yankees -137 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-137 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) American League home teams with a OBP of .320 or worse against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are just 25-69 (27%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE YANKEES -137!
|
07-29-15 |
Washington Nationals -107 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are just 39-82 (32%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE NATIONALS -107!
|
07-28-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Houston Astros -119 |
Top |
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road teams with a money line is +125 to -125 that have lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 110-209 (34%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. We also see that home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 that are allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 152-79 (66%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ASTROS -119!
|
07-27-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Chicago Cubs -162 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road teams that are slugging .440 or better on the season and .440 or better over their last 20 are just 5-37 (12%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons against a very good starting NL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.250 or less. Rockies are also just 3-18 in their last 21 when listed as a dog of +150 or more, while Chicago is a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 home games off a loss by 6 or more runs. BET THE CUBS -162!
|
07-26-15 |
Washington Nationals v. Pittsburgh Pirates -159 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, playing on Sunday are 116-30 (80%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE PIRATES -159!
|
07-25-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Chicago Cubs -178 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-178 |
15 h 10 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) NL Underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season are a miserable 9-55 (14%) against the money in July games over the last 5 seasons. We also see that Philadelphia's Cole Hamels is 9-21 in his last 30 starts when pitching on 5-6 days of rest and the Phillies are 10-36 in their last 36 as a road dog. BET THE CUBS -178!
|
07-24-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays -134 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Tampa Bay is worth a look here as they send out their ace Chris Archer, who bounced back nicely from an ugly start at KC by allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits in 7 innings at Toronto. Archer will be opposed by Chris Tillman, who has a 4.89 ERA and 1.559 WHIP over 8 road starts. Baltimore is just 17-29 on the road and 8-18 in their last 26 road games following a loss last time out. BET THE RAYS -134!
|
07-23-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees -142 |
Top |
3-9 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 50 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Favorites with a money line of -150 or more who are a poor hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, in July games are 64-14 (82%) against the money line since 1997! Plus we see that Orioles starter Jimenez is 0-6 in his last 6 road starts after a loss and NY is 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. BET THE YANKEES -142!
|
07-22-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers -131 |
Top |
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home teams with a team batting average of .265 to .279, who are going up against a very good AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or less, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 74-28 (73%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE TIGERS -131!
|
07-21-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Houston Astros -125 |
Top |
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are a dominant 77-27 (74%) against the money line since 1997. Houston is also 22-8 in their last 30 home games and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs a left-handed starter. BET THE ASTROS -125!
|
07-20-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays -139 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-139 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* Tampa Bay's Matt Moore will be making his 4th start back from Tommy John surgery and I believe this will be the start where he turns the corner and gets back to throwing like he did before the injury. It will certainly help facing a Phillies team that is only averaging 3.2 runs/game vs left-handed starters. Not to mention we have a strong system in play. Underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), in July games are 8-54 (13%) over the last 5 seasons. BET THE RAYS -139!
|
07-19-15 |
Seattle Mariners -104 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-104 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL are 44-13 (77%) over the last 5 seasons. BET THE MARINERS -104!
|
07-18-15 |
Miami Marlins -118 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-118 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Underdogs that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are a miserable 22-93 (19%) against the money line in July games over the last 5 seasons. Adding even more value here is the fact that Miami starter Tom Koehler has a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts, while Philadelphia's Chad Billingsley has a 7.31 ERA and 1.875 WHIP over 3 home starts. BET THE MARLINS -118!
|
07-17-15 |
Miami Marlins -150 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-150 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) This should be easy money on the Marlins today, as they send out their ace Jose Fernandez, who has looked sharp in his first two starts back. We also find a big time system in play backing a fade of the Phillies. Underdogs of +125 to +175 who are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game are just 8-53 (13%) over the last 5 seasons in the month of July. BET THE MARLINS -150!
|
07-12-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. New York Mets -101 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - terrible offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA= 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 46-10 (82%) over the last 5 seasons. BET THE METS -101!
|
07-11-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Miami Marlins -108 |
Top |
3-14 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 49 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MIAMI) - terrible offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA between 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 46-10 (82%) over the last 5 seasons. Also, Reds are 4-13 in their last 17 after winning 3 of 4 and 3-15 in their last 18 road games after a game with combined score of 3 runs or less. BET THE MARLINS -108!
|
07-10-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals +109 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
109 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) There's a big time system backing the Royals at home in this one. AL teams who are slugging at least .410 on the season, after scoring 7 runs or more in 3 straight games are 36-8 (82%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ROYALS +109!
|
07-09-15 |
Atlanta Braves -112 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-112 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Rockies appear to have already thrown in the towel on the 2015 season and I'll gladly fade them in a spot like this with a small line. Colorado is a mere 2-9 in their last 11 games and just 17-24 at home on the season. Atlanta's Alex Wood is 5-2 with a 2.43 ERA in 10 road starts, while Colorado's Kyle Kendrick is 1-4 with a 6.70 ERA in 7 home starts. Atlanta is 5-1 in their last 6 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 4-0 in Wood's last 4 starts vs a team with a losing record. BET THE BRAVES -112!
|
07-08-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays -127 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
7-9 |
Loss |
-127 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Tampa Bay may be in the midst of a 1-9 stretch, but that's not stopping me from backing the Rays on the road with their ace Chris Archer on the mound. Tampa has won 14 of Archer's last 16 road starts and he enters today's action 6-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.930 WHIP over 8 road starts in 2015. Kansas City counters with Jeremy Guthrie who owns an ugly 5.42 ERA and 1.461 WHIP over 16 starts. Archer is 25-8 in his last 33 against a team that strands 6.9 or less runners per game and 10-1 in his last 11 road starts vs a team averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. BET THE RAYS -127!
|
07-07-15 |
Los Angeles Angels -121 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
10-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Angels starter Andrew Heaney has been dominant in his first two starts of 2015. He allowed 1 run on 4 hits in a 2-1 win at home against the Astros and 1 run on 2 hits in 7 innings of a 2-1 win at home against the Yankees. We also find a strong system in play backing LA. Teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 33-8 (81%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ANGELS -121!
|
07-06-15 |
Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians -110 |
Top |
9-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco has been lights out in his last two starts, allowing just 3 runs on 6 hits with 20 strikeouts in 16 and 2/3 innings of work. He was 1 out away from a no hitter in his last outing and well worth the risk of backing at home at this price. There's also a strong system in play backing a fade of the Astros and starter Dallas Keuchel. Underdogs with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are a mere 13-54 (19%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE INDIANS -110!
|
07-05-15 |
Houston Astros v. Boston Red Sox -104 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - bad offensive team (4.5 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA of 4.20 or less) (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 81-44 (65%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE RED SOX -104!
|
07-04-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -164 |
Top |
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Huge system in play favoring the Diamondbacks in this one. All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are a mere 7-50 (12%) against the money line in July games over the last 5 season. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS -164!
|
07-03-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -152 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 21 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Arizona is well on their way to a comfortable win at home in their series opener against the Rockies on Thursday (leading 7-1 in 8th). It will almost assuredly be the Rockies 5th loss in their last 6 games. I don't see them snapping out of their funk in game 2 on Friday. The Diamondbacks will send out Chase Anderson and his 3.25 ERA at home against the Rockies Kyle Hendricks and his 5.60 ERA on the road. NL underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 who are allowing 4.8+ runs/game are a mere 7-46 (13%) in the month of July over the last 5 seasons. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS -152!
|
07-02-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Rangers' starter Yovanni Gallardo has been lights out of late, he gone 3 straight starts without allowing a run and has an MLB-best 0.99 ERA since May 24 (7 starts). 8.5 is simply too many runs here. UNDER is 14-4 in Orioles last 18 against a starter that allows 5.5 or less hits per start and 14-5 in Gallardo's last 19 starts with a total set at 8-8.5 runs. BET THE UNDER 8.5
|
07-01-15 |
Kansas City Royals +111 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Royals are one of the best teams in baseball and will be extra motivated here to avoid getting swept by the Astros. I like Kansas City's chances of securing a win in this one. The Royals are 11-4 in Edinson Volquez's 15 starts this season and he's got a 3.14 ERA over 7 road starts. The Astros will counter with Vincent Velasquez who has been much better on the road than at home in his 4 stats. Velasquez has a 3.72 ERA overall, but a 5.73 ERA at home. BET THE ROYALS +111!
|
06-30-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. San Diego Padres -110 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) There's a lot to like about the Padres as a small home favorite. San Diego will be facing rookie starter Mike Montgomery. Rookies have gone a mere 2-8 with a 6.15 ERA in 12 starts against the Padres this season. On the flip side of this, San Diego's Ian Kennedy is working on 3 straight quality starts, where he's went at least 6 innings and allowed just 1 run. Adding to this we see that road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are just 25-65 (29%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE PADRES -110!
|
06-29-15 |
New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels -125 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Angels are worth a look here as a relatively small home favorite. LA has the advantage on the mound with C.J. Wilson (3.92 ERA) going up against C.C. Sabathia (5.65 ERA). Sabathia has been especially bad of late with a 7.47 ERA and 1.468 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Bad offensive team that are scoring 4.5 or less runs/game(Angels) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games are 69-41 (63%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ANGELS -125!
|
06-28-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -170 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-170 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I have no problem laying this big of a number on Tampa Bay at home. The Rays have a huge advantage on the mound with Chris Archer going up against Justin Masterson. Archer has emerged into one of the best starters in baseball and is 6-0 with a 1.61 ERA over his last 9 starts. Masterson on the other hand hasn't pitched since the middle of May and has not looked good when he's been able to go. Not to mention he's 2-7 with a 7.16 ERA in 11 starts against Tampa. BET THE RAYS -170!
|
06-27-15 |
New York Yankees -114 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Yankees are worth a look here with Tanaka on the mound, especially with the way they are scoring runs in bunches of late. New York is averaging 6.4 runs/game over their last 7. Tanaka has a 1.32 ERA and 0.695 WHIP over 4 road starts and Houston's Brett Oberholtzer is 0-2 with a 4.96 ERA in 3 career starts against the Yankees. Yankees are 18-9 last 27 after winning 2 of 3, while Astros are 17-40 last 57 off a loss by 2 runs or less. BET THE YANKEES -114!
|
06-26-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Over/Under *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR* (5-Units) Even with Stanton hitting the cover off the baseball, the Marlins offense stinks. Miami has scored 2 or less runs in 7 of their last 11 games, including back-to-back where they plated just 1 run. I don't see them getting it going against the Dodgers Brett Anderson, who has a solid 3.18 ERA over 14 starts. The key here is that I also don't think LA is going to provide much offense. The Dodgers are a long-way from home and just finished up play 4-straight in Chicago yesterday. Miami's Justin Nicolino made his MLB debut at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark and allowed just 4 hits over 7 scoreless innings against the Reds. BET THE OVER 7.5!
|
06-24-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Chicago Cubs +101 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Chicago has won 4 straight, while the Dodgers have lost 7 of their last 9. LA continues to be overvalued, especially on the road where they are just 12-20 on the season. Cubs are 20-13 at home and should not be a dog here. Road teams with a good SLG (.430 or more) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less) -NL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 22-65 (25%) since 1997. BET THE CUBS!
|
06-23-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals -138 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Cardinals are worth a look here, even as a decently priced road favorite. That's because St Louis will be sending out Carlos Martinez, who has been better than expected. Martinez is 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA over 13 starts and has a 1.80 ERA over his last 3. Martinez has a 2.11 ERA in 4 career starts against the AL East and the Cardinals are 10-1 in Martinez's last 11 starts against an NL opponent. BET ST LOUIS -138!
|
06-22-15 |
Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels -124 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I'm taking the Angels at home as a small favorite. LA's Hector Santiago has been dominant when taking the mound at Angel Stadium. He's got a 2.49 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 8 home starts. We also find a strong system in play favoring LA. Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 that are allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 138-73 (65%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ANGELS!
|
06-21-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-118 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR* (5-Units) The Pirates were no hit by Scherzer on Saturday (nearly a perfect game) and that's not a huge surprise given Pittsburgh's struggles at the plate lately. The Pirates have scored more than 3 runs just once in their last 13 games. Washington's Gio Gonzalez has a 3.26 ERA at home compared to 4.82 overall. Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton has a 1.62 ERA over 5 starts and a 1.40 ERA over his last 3. BET THE UNDER 7.5!
|
06-20-15 |
San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks +100 |
Top |
8-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Diamondbacks are not getting enough respect here at home against the Padres and are well worth a look at this price. Arizona's Robbie Ray has a 1.09 ERA and 0.973 WHIP over 4 starts and in his only start at home he tossed 5 scoreless innings. San Diego's Tyson Ross has struggled of late with a 5.06 ERA and 1.937 WHIP over his last 3 starts. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS +100!
|
06-19-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. New York Yankees -115 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I just don't trust the Tigers Justin Verlander, who is making just his second start of the 2015 season, especially on the road against a Yankees team that is playing extremely well at home. New York has won 9 of their last 10 at home and today's starter, Adam Warren, has a 2.20 ERA and 1.081 WHIP over 5 home starts. BET THE YANKEES -115!
|
06-15-15 |
New York Yankees -140 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-140 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) This is more than a fair price to back the Yankees given the starting pitching matchup. New York will be sending out their ace Masahiro Tanaka, who has been sensational since returning to the rotation after a stint on the DL. Tanaka allowed 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings at Seattle on 6/3 and followed it up by allowing 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings at home against the Nationals. Miami's Tom Koehler has a 6.35 ERA and 1.765 WHIP over his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting that the Marlins are 0-9 on Monday this season and just 3-6 in interleague games. BET THE YANKEES -140
|
06-13-15 |
Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -140 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 37 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I'll take my chances on the Angels at home on Saturday as there's a big time system in play backing LA to cash in a victory. Favorites with a money line of -110 or more who are a terrible offensive team (scoring 4.2 runs or less per game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA between 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 66-21 (76%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ANGELS -140!
|
06-12-15 |
Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-113 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Love the value here with the total sitting at 7.5 runs. The A's will be sending out Jesse Chavez, who has quietly posted a 2.79 ERA over his first 9 starts. Chavez has been even stronger than that of late with a 1.71 ERA and 1.190 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Opposing Chavez will be the Angels' Hector Santiago, who is also underrated. Santiago has a 2.69 ERA over 11 starts and a 2.40 ERA in 7 home starts. I look both offenses to struggle to get anything going in this one. BET THE UNDER 7.5!
|
06-10-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals -125 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
Steve's Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I'll take my chances on the Cardinals avoiding a 3rd straight loss this afternoon against the Rockies. St Louis will be starting Carlos Martinez, who has the best ERA in baseball since mid-may at 0.33. He's allowed 2 earned runs or less in 9 of his 11 starts this season. He's 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA over 5 road starts and the Cardinals are 9-2 in his last 2 starts this season. St Louis is also a strong 14-6 in day games and 9-0 in their last 9 following a 1 run loss. BET THE CARDINALS -125!
|
06-08-15 |
Houston Astros v. Chicago White Sox -135 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I'll take my chances on the White Sox at home behind their ace and one of the top 10 pitchers in the game in Chris Sale, who enters this matchup with a 1.19 ERA and 0.662 WHIP over his last 3 starts. During this impressive 3-start stretch, Sale has allowed just 12 hits with 35 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings of work. Houston's Lance McCullers has been a big surprise, but I just don't see it lasting. Keep in mind that this will be just his 5th career start. BET THE WHITE SOX -135!
|
06-06-15 |
Houston Astros v. Toronto Blue Jays -157 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (HOUSTON) - bad offensive team (4.5 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games are 47-111 (30%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE BLUE JAYS!
|
06-05-15 |
New York Mets v. Arizona Diamondbacks -117 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Diamondbacks are worth a look here as a small home favorite. Arizona's Jeremy Hellickson has a 3.37 ERA and 0.857 WHIP over his last 3 starts, while New York's Jon Niese is headed in the opposite direction with a 10.53 ERA and 2.195 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Mets are just 9-17 in their last 26 road games this season and just 4-14 on the road in night games. BET THE DIAMONDBACKS -117!
|
06-03-15 |
Chicago Cubs -109 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *Blue Chip Top Play* (5-Units) As good as Dan Haren has been so far this season, he's got a bad history against the Cubs. Haren has a 5.71 ERA and 1.390 WHIP over 7 career starts against the Cubs. I'll take my chances here on Chicago with their ace Jon Lester on the mound. Lester has been as good as advertised following a lackluster April. He's got a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 starts and has a solid 2.70 ERA in 3 road starts. Great price to back the better team with their best pitcher on the mound. BET THE CUBS -109!
|
06-02-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The books have the set the mark too high for this one. Boston's Clay Buchholz has a 1.99 ERA and 0.794 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has a 2.77 ERA and 1.250 WHIP over 9 starts on the season and a 1.93 ERA and 0.929 WHIP over 2 career starts against the Twins. These two starters faced off in Minnesota back on 5/26 and the final there was 2-1. BET THE UNDER 8!
|
05-31-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks -109 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units)
Take the Diamondbacks and Chase Anderson over the Brewers Sunday. Anderson is just 1-1 on the year, but he's been great. He has a 2.59 ERA and 1.11 WHIP so far this year and those numbers will start to earn him wins sooner than later. TAKE ARIZONA!
|
05-30-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals -141 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-141 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units)
The Cardinals continue to be a great play at home even when you have to lay some extra juice. The Dodgers have a lot of holes in their roster - particularly in the bullpen. Wacha has been incredible this year and you aren't going to get to back him at much of a discount for much longer. TAKE ST. LOUIS
|
05-29-15 |
New York Yankees +132 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units)
The A's are simply playing terrible baseball right now. They are 18-32 overall and 7-16 at home. They picked up a winner last night - only just as their bullpen nearly cost them yet another game. I do think the Athletics have an advantage in starting pitching with Sonny Gray on the mound, but he won't pitch the entire game and the bullpen is where this team tends to lose their games. Good price to take the Yankees for a nice payout! TAKE THE YANKEES +132
|
05-28-15 |
New York Yankees -108 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units)
The A's are simply playing terrible baseball right now. They are 17-32 overall, 6-16 at home and 2-10 against left handed starters. Sabathia pitches better on the road than he does in the new Yankee stadium - 3.48 ERA 1.26 WHIP on the road this year. TAKE THE YANKEES -108
|
05-18-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies -108 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The red-hot Phillies have won 5 straight and have done so behind a starting rotation that has been lights out. Philadelphia's starters have compiled a 1.69 ERA over the last 5 and I look for ace Cole Hamels to keep the streak alive. Hamels is working off back-to-back strong starts and will be facing a Colorado team that has struggled at home and sending out Jordan Lyles, who is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Rockies were shutout in yesterday's defeat against the Dodgers and are just 7-26 in their last 33 after scoring 1 run or less in their last game. BET THE PHILLIES -108!
|
05-17-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Seattle Mariners -141 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) This is a perfect spot to back Seattle at home. The Mariners will be sending out the red-hot James Paxton (1.80 ERA L3 & 2.33 ERA at home) against spot starter Steven Wright. With Boston coming off a win and having won 5 of 7, the public is going to be all over the Red Sox in this one. Oddsmakers have played right into that and are begging for them to take Boston as a big dog. Wright isn't built for starting and I could see him giving up a big number here, while the Red Sox offense struggles against Paxton. Boston also could be looking past this game mentally, as they are set to return home after this matchup from a lengthy 10-game road trip. BET THE MARINERS -141!
|
05-16-15 |
Washington Nationals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) I'm not letting the low total set here keep me from backing the UNDER in this matchup. No explanation needed here for the Nationals Scherzer and his ability to keep the Padres offense in check. As for San Diego starter Andrew Casher, he's been extremely unfortunate to be sitting at 1-6, as he's got a 3.07 ERA over 7 starts. Casher has been lights out at PETCO park, posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.100 WHIP over 3 starts this season and hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 21 consecutive home starts (MLB record). BET THE UNDER 6.5!
|
05-01-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Miami Marlins -145 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Marlins have caught fire, as they come in having won 2 straight and 7 of 8 overall. They have done so behind a red-hot offense that is averaging 5.4 runs and hitting .305 as a team over their last 7 games. Marlins should have no problem here outscoring the light-hitting Phillies given the pitching matchup. Philadelphia's Jerome Williams has a 7.20 ERA and 2.200 WHIP on the road, while Miami's Tom Koehler has a 1.35 ERA and 1.125 WHIP at home. BET THE MARLINS -145!
|
04-18-15 |
Cincinnati Reds +132 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 18 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) The Reds are showing great value here as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals and we have a great system in play backing Cincinnati. Road dogs of +125 to +175 who are hitting .200 or worse over their last 3 and averaging 3.8 or less runs/game on the season against a team with a strong bullpen (3.33 ERA or better) are 32-17 (65%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE REDS +132!
|
04-17-15 |
Miami Marlins v. New York Mets -133 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 60 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Big edge on the mound here for the Mets. Bartolo Colon might be getting up there in age and likely won't be as effective later in the season, but he's in prime form to start out 2015. Colon is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.769 WHIP over his first 2 starts. I'll take my chances on Colon against David Phelps, who is making a spot start after being used twice out of the bullpen. Phelps has a 4.34 ERA over 40 career starts and I look New York to put up a big number here in what should be an easy home win. BET THE METS -133!
|
04-16-15 |
Kansas City Royals -124 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
5-8 |
Loss |
-124 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Minnesota's Tommy Milone has struggled to pitch well when he takes the mound in day games and that should be all the advantage the Royals need to win here. Kansas City will counter with left-handed starter Jason Vargas, who pitched like a Cy Young against the Twins in 2014. Vargas went 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA over 4 starts last year and the Twins have really struggled against lefties so far this season, hitting just .198 with a .222 OBP. BET THE ROYALS -124!
|
04-15-15 |
Seattle Mariners +128 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB *SHARP $$$ VEGAS INSIDER* (5-Units) It was a miserable first start for Seattle starter Taijuan Walker, but I'm chalking that more up to nerves than a sign of things to come. Walker is a future star and I'm betting on him to bounce back with a dominant performance here against the Dodgers. Mariners are 16-7 in their last 23 road games when playing with double-revenge, while LA is 6-14 in their last 20 following 3 or more consecutive wins. BET THE MARINERS +128!
|
04-13-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Chicago Cubs -131 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *BLUE CHIP TOP PLAY* (5-Units) Lester wasn't sharp at all in his first start of the season against the Cardinals, neither was Reds starter Mike Leake in his 2015 debut against the Pirates. Lester has had a full week off since that first start and I look for him to come out and throw a gem to make up for his lackluster performance in his first ever start with the Cubs. Chicago also comes in riding a huge wave of momentum after yesterday's 9th inning rally to beat the Rockies and take the 3-game series. BET THE CUBS -131!
|
04-12-15 |
San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres -125 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
Steve's MLB Blockbuster *Blue Chip Top Play* (5-Units) The Padres have a big edge here on the mound, as they send out Tyson Ross against Jake Peavy and the Giants. Ross wasn't at his best in his first start of the season, yet still only allowed 2 runs over 6 innings of work. Peavy had to have his first start pushed back to now due to back problems and I just don't see him coming out in prime form. Let's not forget he opened up last year 1-9 with a 4.72 ERA. With San Francisco's offense really struggling to get going, I look for the Padres to win here comfortably. BET THE PADRES -125!
|
10-28-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals -138 |
Top |
0-10 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Kansas City Royals -138--- 8 of the last 10 teams who had home field advantage that returned home for Game 6 down 3-2 in the series have gone on to win the title. While it's nothing to bank on, I do like the Royals to force a Game 7. I believe Kansas City has a huge advantage on the mound with Yordano Ventura going up against Jake Peavy. This Royals offense has feasted on San Francisco starters not named Madison Bumgarner and I expect that trend to continue in what I see as an easy win for Kansas City. System - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 who are a poor power team (0.9 HR's/game) against an opposing starter who allows 0.5 or less HR's/starter and are starting a NL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.250 to 1.350 on the season are just 43-131 (25%) against the money line since 1997. BET THE ROYALS -138!
|
10-22-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals -111 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Giants/Royals MLB Blue Chip Top Play ---Kansas City Royals -111--- I like the Royals to bounce back from a poor showing in Game 1 and avoid going back to San Francisco down 0-2. Now that Madison Bumgarner isn't on the mound, Kansas City's offense should come to life and I look for the Royals to get a big time performance out of youngster Yordano Ventura, who has an advantage here with this being his first ever start against the Giants. That's not the case for San Francisco starter Jake Peavy, who has made 14 career starts against the Royals, including 2 last year that saw him give up 8 runs on 14 hits in just 11 innings of work. Key Trends/System - Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 games against a right-handed starter, 8-2 in Ventura's last 10 starts as a favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. BET THE ROYALS -111!
|
10-15-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants -101 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Cardinals/Giants Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---San Francisco Giants -101--- I cashed in on the Giants last night and I'm going even bigger on San Francisco in Game 4. This is not the same St Louis team without Yadier Molina and the Giants are nearly unbeatable at home in the postseason. San Francisco has won 7 of their last 8 home games in the playoffs and 4 straight in the NLCS. Giants will send out Ryan Vogelsong who has a dominant 1.19 ERA over his last 5 playoff starts, which have all resulted in wins for San Francisco. Cardinals Shelby Miller will be making just his second postseason start and first of his career on the road. Miller was not sharp away from home in the regular season, posting a 4.14 ERA over 15 road starts. System - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 who are allowing 3.8 or less runs/game after scoring 5 runs or less in each of their last 4 games are just 27-48 (36%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE GIANTS -101!
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10-07-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -162 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-162 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Los Angeles Dodgers -162--- My money is on Clayton Kershaw to rebound from that disastrous start in Game 1 and even up this series at 2-2. Kershaw is too good to continue to struggle the way he has in the postseason and there's no doubt he's going to come in as focused and determined as he ever has for a start. Kershaw threw 6 brilliant innings against the Cardinals in Game 1 before things spiraled out of control in a 8-run 7th inning for St Louis. Kershaw will be starting on just 3-days rest, but that's big a positive for Kershaw. He's 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA in 3 postseason starts when throwing on 3 days rest. The other key here is the Dodgers offense should be able to provide more than enough run support to secure a victory. St Louis will send out Shelby Miller, who LA hit hard the only time they saw him during the regular season. Miller allowed 6 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks and I wouldn't be surprised if he had a similar poor showing in what will be his first career postseason start. Key Trends/System - Kershaw is 22-4 in his last 26 road starts against teams who draw 3 or less walks/game, 21-3 in his last 24 road starts against NL teams averaging 4.3 or less runs/game and 20-4 in his last 24 road starts against teams who strike out 7 or more times per game. Add it up and that's a 63-11 (85%) system telling us to BET THE DODGERS -162!
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10-01-14 |
San Francisco Giants -109 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
8-0 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blue Chip Blockbuster Top Play ---San Francisco Giants -109--- I think the Giants have a huge advantage on the mound in this one with Madison Bumgarner. The lefty comes in with an 11-4 record and 2.22 ERA and 0.979 WHIP over 18 road starts this season. He's more than capable of going into a hostile PNC Park and pitching his team to victory. Not nearly as confident with Pittsburgh's Edinson Volquez being able to deliver in this big spot. Volquez gives out too many free passes (over 2.5 walks/start L15) and has a 5.72 ERA and 1.588 WHIP over 11 career starts against the Giants. I look for San Francisco's offense to score just enough to get the win. Key Trends - Bumgarner is 11-0 in his last 11 road starts against an NL team that's averaging 4.3 runs or less per game, 12-2 in his last 14 road starts against teams who strikeout 7 or more times per game and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts when listed a favorite. System - Road teams who are averaging 0.35 or less stolen bases on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher who has allowed 1 earned run or less in each of his last two starts are 36-15 (71%) against the money over the last 5 seasons. BET THE GIANTS -109!
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09-30-14 |
Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals -103 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Kansas City Royals -103--- I'm taking the Royals at home in front of their home fans in tonight's Wild Card showdown. Oakland was fortunate just to make the playoffs and I don't see them all the sudden turning it on. The offense has completely fallen apart since the traded away Cespedes and they will be going up against one of the best big game pitchers in baseball in James Shields. I got the Royals winning here without much problem. Keep in mind that Pittsburgh ended a 21-year playoff drought last season and cruised to a 6-2 win over the Reds at home. Key Trends - Oakland is 4-15 in their last 19 road games with a total of 7 or less, while Shields is 25-9 in his last 34 starts with a total of 7 or less. System - Teams with a money line of +125 to -125 who have went 10 straight games without 1 or more HR's with a starter with an ERA of 2.00 or less over his last 3 starts are just 47-90 (34%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE ROYALS -103!
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09-24-14 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees -105 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ----New York Yankees -105--- This will be Jeter's second to last home game of his career and even though the Yankees are out of the playoffs, this team is going to do everything in their power to make sure their captain gets a win. There's a lot to like here in the pitching matchup. Baltimore's Bud Norris has a 4.83 ERA over 14 road starts and a 5.23 ERA and 1.476 WHIP over 8 day starts. The Yankees' Shane Greene has a 1.06 ERA and 1.235 WHIP over his last 3 starts, a 2.16 ERA over 7 day starts and is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.106 WHIP over 2 career starts against the Orioles. Both of which have came this season at Baltimore. Key Trends/System - Yankees are 7-2 in Greene's last 9 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 against a team with a winning record and 4-1 in his last 5 vs the AL East. New York is also 4-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite and 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5 or more runs. Add it up and that's a 26-5 (84%) system telling us to BET THE YANKEES -105!
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09-23-14 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blue Chip Blockbuster Top Play ---Pirates/Braves UNDER 6.5--- I got no problem taking the UNDER in this one, even with the low total of 6.5. Both of these teams will send out strong starters and neither offense has been able to generate much offense of late. Pittsburgh has scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games, while Atlanta has scored 3 runs or less in 10 straight. Taking the mound for Pittsburgh will be Gerrit Cole, who will look to continue the Pirates incredible streak of 23 consecutive shutout innings by their starters. Cole allowed just 2 runs on 5 hits over 7 innings in his first and only career start against the Braves back on Aug. 20. Atlanta counters with Alex Wood, who is one of the most underrated starters in the majors right now. Wood has a 2.34 ERA and 1.096 WHIP over 11 home starts and his 1.84 ERA since July 30 is better than that of Clayton Kershaw's. I just don't see either offense doing anything here and wouldn't be shocked if we saw 4 or less runs scored in this one. Key Trends/System - UNDER is 14-3 in Atlanta's last 17 home games when they come in having lost at least 6 of their last 7, 14-3 in their last 17 after a game without an extra base hit and 16-6 in their last 22 after 3 or more consecutive losses. It's also a perfect 7-0 in Pittsburgh's last 7 with a total of 6.5 or lower and 15-2 in the Pirates last 17 as a favorite of -110 to -150. Add it up and that's a 66-14 (83%) system telling us to BET THE UNDER 6.5!
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09-22-14 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Minnesota Twins -119 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-119 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Minnesota Twins -119--- This is a great spot to jump on the Twins. Arizona is in a complete free-fall right now. The Diamondbacks have lost 6 straight overall and are riding a 10-game road losing streak. Adding to this is that Arizona is just 2-18 in their last 20 road games overall. Minnesota will send out Ricky Nolasco, who is coming off one of his most impressive starts of the season. Nolasco held the Tigers to just 5 hits over 8 scoreless innings at home. He's got a 1.35 ERA and 1.050 WHIP over his last 3 starts overall. As for Arizona's Josh Collmenter, he comes in off 5 consecutive strong starts, but all of those have come either at home or against division opponents. Collmenter has an ugly 5.28 ERA 1.592 WHIP over 11 road starts this season and I think this is a perfect spot for him to struggle against at an AL park. Key Trends - Twins are 23-8 in their last 31 home games vs a team that's won less than 40% of their road games and 35-17 in their last 52 interleague games when listed as a favorite of -110 to -150. System - Road underdogs of +100 to +150 off 2 straight losses against a division opponent who are starting a pitcher that didn't walk a batter in his last start are just 21-45 (32%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE TWINS -119!
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09-17-14 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 |
Top |
6-1 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
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5* Blockbuster Blue Chip Total of the Month ---Rangers/A's UNDER 7--- We should have no problem cashing the UNDER 7 in tonight's AL West clash between the Rangers and A's. Both teams will be sending out two dominant starters, as Texas gives the ball to Derek Holland and Oakland will be starting Jeff Samardzija. Holland has been sensational in his 3 first 3 starts of the season, posting a 0.86 ERA and 0.952 WHIP. He's allowed just 2 earned runs and has not walked a single batter over his last 21 innings of work. Samardzija enters with a 2.06 ERA and 0.818 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has allowed more than 3 earned runs just four times in 13 starts since being traded to the A's. Key Trends - UNDER is 12-4 in Rangers last 16 road games vs a team with a winning record, 20-9-1 in their last 30 with a total set at 7-8.5 runs, and 5-0-2 in Holland's last 7 starts when listed as an underdog. The UNDER is also 7-1 in the A's last 8 vs the AL West, 7-2 in their last 9 following a loss and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. System - UNDER is 47-20 (70%) since 1997 in games where the total is 7 or less when you have an AL team who is averaging 4.2 or less runs/game (Texas), starting a pitcher who has walked 1 or less hitters in each of his last 2 starts, against an opponent who has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better. BET THE UNDER 7!
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09-16-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Nationals/Braves UNDER 7--- I'm expecting a low scoring affair in Tuesday's NL East showdown between the Nationals and Braves. Washington will send out Tanner Roark, who has a 2.96 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 29 starts in 2014. In his last two starts against the Braves, he's allowed just 2 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings of work. Atlanta will send out Aaron Harang, who has been equally dominant against Washington this season. In Harang's 3 starts vs the Nationals, he's allowed just 2 earned runs over 20 innings. Key Trends - UNDER is 10-4 in Roark's last 14 starts with 4 days of rest, 4-1 in his last 5 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 and 4-1 in his last 5 vs the NL East. The UNDER is also 4-1 in Harang's last 5 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5, 5-2 in Atlanta's last 7 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 4-1-2 in the Braves last 7 home games vs a right-handed starter. System - UNDER is 130-89 (59%) over the last 5 seasons in the month of September in games where the total is 7 to 8.5 runs, when you a NL team that's hitting .255 or worse on the season against a very good bullpen that's got an ERA of 3.33. The big thing here is both teams qualify for this. BET THE UNDER 7!
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09-15-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves +128 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
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5* MLB Blockbuster Blue Chip Top Play ---Atlanta Braves +128--- This is a great spot to back the Braves at home as an underdog against the Nationals. Atlanta is going to come out extremely motivated after getting swept on the road by the Rangers. Washington is simply getting too much love for having Stephen Strasburgh on the mound. He's just 3-8 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.317 WHIP over 14 road starts in 2014 and 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.400 WHIP over 16 career starts against Atlanta. Key Trends - Strasburg is 3-9 in his last 12 starts following an outing where he didn't walk a batter, 2-7 in his last 9 starts against a team with a winning record and 0-4 in his last 4 during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 28-10 in their last 38 home games vs a team with a winning road record, 12-5 in their last 17 as a home underdog and 17-3 in their last 20 home games after a loss by 4 runs or more. System - Home teams who are scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 10 or more runs in their last game are 40-16 (71%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. BET THE BRAVES +128!
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