Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-05-15 | Western Kentucky +4.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 88-84 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
The Conference USA Play is on Western Kentucky. Game 511 at 7:00 eastern. The Hilltoppers own all the vital stats in this one over Charlotte tonight and are taking points. They are a solid 32-8 vs losing teams and have won 8 of 11 in that role this season. March has been a solid month for them as they have covered 40 of 60 long term. In the RPI They are 12-3 vs team like Charlotte that are ranked 150 or worse. Conversely Charlotte has lost 12 of 16 vs losing teams and is 1-4 off a conference win and has lost 4 of 5 vs RPI Teams ranked 100 to 200. Simulation models show Western Kentucky with a solid chance to win this one and an even better chance of getting the cover with the 4-5 points here. Take Western Kentucky tonight. |
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03-04-15 | St. John's -1.5 v. Marquette | Top | 67-51 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show |
The Big East beast is on St. Johns. Game 761 at 9:00 eastern. The Red storm have won the last 3 in the series and have been solid of late. They are the 55th best road scoring offense going up against the 253 rd ranked Marquette home defense. The storm are 7-2 vs teams ranked 51 to 150 in the RPI Scale and are a solid 13-2 this year vs losing teams. Marquette has lost 11 of the last 12 and 5 straight at home. They are 1-13 vs top RPI Scale teams and 2-6 with road loss revenge. in games vs winning teams they have dropped 14 of 19 are a dismal 1-7 straight up and ats as a home dog 4 or less the last few years. Look for St. Johns to get this one. |
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03-03-15 | Toledo v. Central Michigan -3.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
NCAAB sharp money Off shore steam jumbo buy order side on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. Game 530 at 7:00 eastern. This game was nailed hard in late afternoon action. |
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02-28-15 | New Mexico +2.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 55-59 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 60 m | Show |
The Win great late Power play is on New Mexico. Game 673 at 10:00 eastern. The Lobos have lost and failed to cover 7 straight. That streak should come to an end tonight as they take on a Fresno St team they have beaten 8 of the last 9 times including a 12 point win earlier this year. New Mexico will come ready to play as they are at .500 and do not want to go under .500. They are 19-3 vs losing teams and 5-0 ats as a road dog of 3 or less. Fresno is off a huge road dog win at Wyoming and will be caught flat footed here. They are 0-6 straight up and ats with road loss revenge and 2-5 after allowing 60 or less. Take New Mexico. |
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02-28-15 | BYU v. Gonzaga -13 | Top | 73-70 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NCAAB Off shore steam Jumbo side on Gonzaga. Game 686 at 10:00 eastern. This is a consensus off shore sharp $$ play with 2 different groups on. There is also an 80-38 system that favors Gonzaga. |
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02-28-15 | Auburn v. Texas A&M -11.5 | Top | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
The SEC Power system play is on Texas A@M. Game 670 at 8:30 eastern. The Aggies fir a big blowout system here tonight and should have their way at home against an Auburn team that already beat by 10. In that win they controlled all the vital stats. They have won 5 of the last 6 in the series and are 5-0 with 4 spread win vs losing teams. They will be seeking their 20th win of the season and are 12-2 at home. Auburn has allowed 53% or higher from the field in 5 of their last 6 games and being defensively challenged here will cost them big time. They are just 3-9 on the road and lost their last 3 games by 10 or more. They are 7-26 vs teams who allow less than 64 and have failed to cover in 8 of the last 10 of those games. With The Aggies 10-4 ats off a conference game we will back their here tonight in what should be a coast to coast win and cover. Take Texas A@M. |
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02-27-15 | Valparaiso v. Cleveland State -3 | Top | 56-53 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
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02-26-15 | SMU -1 v. Memphis | Top | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
The American Athletic Power play is on SMU. The Mustangs have taken this conference by storm and are the leaders after having won 12 of 13. They already have a solid win over Memphis and now get them in the rematch. Memphis is not as good in previous years and it has showed now that they are playing less cream puffs and playing in a conference where their are no easy games. Subsequently they have struggled against the better teams and are 1-7 vs Top 50 RPI Scale team thus year. SMU has won all 5 games vs RPI Teams ranked 51-100. The Mustangs are 6-2 ats in the series and have the 14th ranked road defense in the country. They have won and covered 5 of the last 6 vs winning teams and are 14-3 after allowing 60 or less. Memphis is 0-6 straight up and ats as a dog this season Look for SMU to get the win |
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02-24-15 | Western Michigan -3 v. Ball State | Top | 53-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
The MAC Conference Power play is on Western Michigan. Game 519 t 7:00 eastern. The Broncos are off one of their worst performances of the year allowing 97 points and allowing Toledo to shoot 60% from the field both season highs against them. Now they will look to bounce back against a Ball. St team that is on a major slide. Western Michigan is 8-2 after allowing 80 or more and 4-0 as a road favorite of 3 or less. Ball St is 2-9 with road loss revenge, 0-11 off a conference loss, 0-3 ats after allowing 80 or more and has lost 12 of 14 vs losing teams. Perhaps the biggest indicator though is the RPI Scale. Western Michigan is 8-0 vs teams ranked worse than 200 in the RPI Scale while Ball St is 0-5 vs teams ranked 100 to 150. Look for Western Michigan to get the win. |
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02-22-15 | Temple v. Tulsa -1 | Top | 39-55 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
The American Athletic Power side is on Tulsa. Game 842 at 6:00 eastern. Tulsa is a machine in this conference winning 11 of 13 thus far and 9-1 off a win. They have covered 3 of 4 as a home favorite of 3 or less and have won 10 of 12 after allowing 60 or less. In the second half of a season the Golden Hurricane have covered 21 of 29 vs winning teams. Temple just had their 7 game win streak snapped against SMU and are a dismal 1-4 ats with home loss revenge and a lousy 2-6 vs top ranked RPI Scale teams. Tulsa is a solid home team with several high end wins here. They match up well vs Temple. Take Tulsa. |
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02-21-15 | UCLA v. Arizona -13.5 | Top | 47-57 | Loss | -116 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
The PAC 12 Play is on Arizona. Game650 at 9:00 eastern. The Wildcats fit a powerful late season system that pertains to teams that are undefeated at home. They are 16-0 winning on average by 21 points. They have tournament knockout revenge too. When playing off a conference win they have covered 8 of 10 and 6 of the last 7 vs winning teams. They have covered both times big as a home favorite in this range. UCLA is 2-16 ats on the road if they were dogs in their last game and are 0-11 ats of late in that role. They have failed to cover 10 of 13 on the road and 1-5 vs top 50 teams. Arizona wont let up here and will win this one handily. Take Arizona. |
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02-19-15 | Louisiana Tech -2 v. Charlotte | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 16 m | Show |
The Conference USA play is on Louisiana Tech. Game 517 at 7:00 eastern. Televised on CBSC. LA. Tech has won 12 of 14 and is a solid choice in our simulation models. They are 7-1 this year vs teams like Charlotte that are ranked between 100 and 200 in the RPI Scale. They have won 3 straight and allowed a season low 27% shooting in their last win which was a blowout. They are a stellar 9-2 ats as a favorite of less than 3 and have a solid 19 ranking in road offense. Charlotte come in off a dog win at Texas San Antonio where they scored a season high 89 points. They have lost both meetings in this series by 20+ points and are ranked 332nd in the nation in home defense. When playing opponents that are ranked 51 to 200 in the RPI Scale they are a dismal 2-12 this year. For the aforementioned reasons we will lay the small number with LA. Tech tonight. |
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02-17-15 | Wyoming -1 v. Nevada | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
The Mountain West Conference play is on the Wyoming Cowboys. Game529 at 10:00 eastern. Wyoming has won 11 of 12 vs Teams ranked outside the top 200 in the RPI Scale and has a staunch defense ranked 7th in the nation. They are 8-1 vs losing teams this year and have won 9 of 12 after scoring 64 or less and are 3-0 ats off 3+ ats losses. Nevada is off an upset overtime win on overtime Saturday night over New Mexico after being down 14 points in the second half. The Wolfpack are already without Missa and now could be without Stevens Jr who is questionable. They have lost 7 of 8 in the series and are 0-3 straight up and ats as a home dog of 4 or less and have lost 10 of 12 when playing on Tuesday. They are the 304th ranked offensive unit and will find it tough to score here. When playing against teams who allow 63 or less points they have lost 17 of 19 in the second half of a season. They are 3-9 vs winning teams and 0-4 with road loss revenge. Based on all the indicators above were on Wyoming. |
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02-14-15 | Connecticut v. SMU -6.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
The NCAAB Super Side is on SMU. Game 636 at 9:00 eastern on ESPN. The Mustangs have won and covered the only 2 recent meetings in this series with U.Conn. They squeaked past Houston on the road on Thursday as they were most likely looking ahead to this Prime time affair with the Huskies. SMU fits on the Best system we use and the Perfect Subset to a system to pertains to playing against certain road teas that are off back to wins while shooting better than 50% from the field and allowing less than 35% Shooting from the field like U.Conn has in their past 2 wins. The kicker to this system is when the opponent is off a spread loss and is a winning team. U.Conn has failed to cover in their last 5 losses and has struggled with some of the upper echelon teams. They come in off a big 25 point revenge win over Tulsa a game in which they had revenge. they have failed to cover both times off 3+ wins and are a dismal 3-7 vs top 50 Ranked RPI Scale teams. They are not as good as in previous years and for that reason are ranked 87th in the RPI Scale. SMU is ranked 24th and is 17-0 vs teams outside the top 50. the Mustangs are the American Athletic Conference leaders and have won 10 of the last 11 and 11 of the last 12 here at home. They have covered 4 of 5 off a spread loss this year and have the 24th best defense in the country one that should give fits to U.Conn and their 251st ranked road offense. With the system, the Power angles and statistical indicators as well as Simulation models that show a double digit Win. We will Ride the Mustangs tonight. Take SMU. |
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02-14-15 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -6.5 | Top | 59-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
NCAAB BIG 12 Power Play on Iowa. St. Game 572 at 4:00 eastern. The Cyclones have all the power edges and already beat West Virginia on the road shooting over 50% and holding the mountaineers to 32% on their home court, they do not match up well here. Iowa St rolls West Virginia today |
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02-13-15 | Iona -1.5 v. Manhattan | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
The Metro Atlantic Play is on Iona. Game 803 at 10:00 eastern. The Gaels have double revenge here on Manhattan including Tournament knockout revenge which prevented them from an another tournament berth. The Jaspers are barely keeping their head above water at 12-11. Manhattan is 0-7 vs any team as ranked 150 or better in the RPI Scale and is ranked 208th with a 287 strength of schedule, they have lost both times after allowing 80 or more. Iona is 11-1 vs teams ranked 20 or worse in the RPI Scale and 4-0 playing on Friday, they are a nicely ranked 56th in the RPI Scale and have won 5 of 7 vs winning teams. They will be super motivated. Iona serves it up tonight. |