Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-12 | Rutgers +330 v. Arkansas | 35-26 | Win | 330 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Rutgers 46-2 straight up when out rushing their opponent, they allow under 60 raush yards per game and should win the ground game here agaisnt a Arkansas team in disaaray. Take Rutgers 339 at 7:00 eastern
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09-22-12 | Oregon State v. UCLA Bruins -7 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Pac 12 Play is on UCLA. Game 350 at 3:30 eastern. This game fits 2 solid systems here today. One is 47-7 to the spread and 10-0 the last 10 times. We want to play on homers from -13 to -17 that are off a win of 10 or more, vs a road team that is off +5 or more dog win. We also want to play against road dogs from +5 to +10 like the Beavers that are off a home dog win vs an opponent that is off a win as a favorite.. UCLA Has covered 8 of the last 9 in the series and checks in at 2-10 to the spread on the road off a non conference game. The Bruins are a perfect 7-0 to the spread as a home favorite of 4 or more vs a winning team. Oregon St has lost 9 of their last 10 road games and their home dog win over Wisconsin does not look nearly as impressive as Wisconsin is struggling on offense and clearly not as good as previous years. The Beavers will have a tough time stopping a Bruins attack that is averaging 622 yards on offense and is very balanced. You gonna take a Beaver or a Bruin in this fight? Take UCLA today.
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09-22-12 | Temple v. Penn State -7 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
On Saturday In afternoon action the Dominator Side is on Penn. St. Game 328 at 3:30 eastern. The Lions fits a perfect system that plays on teams in game 4 that are under.500 and off a win that won 6 or more last season and are in off a win and cover. The Lions have won 36 straight in this series over the last 63 years and the Owls have lost 21 of 22 years in their first road game. Temple is 0-15 against Big 10 teams and 2-19 with rest so I have no problem laying the 7 in this one. Temple had a nice run going with coach Golden. However as we've seen with many programs in College Football. Things get back to normal in a hurry. Take Penn St to win and cover.
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09-22-12 | UTEP v. Wisconsin -17 | 26-37 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Wisconsin. Game 332 at 12 noon Eastern.
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09-21-12 | Baylor -7 v. Louisiana-Monroe | 47-42 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
On Friday the College football Power Angle Play is on Baylor. Game 307 at 8:00 eastern. The Bears are 10-1 ats on the road when they win and LA. Monroe is 1-13 ats at home when they lose.. Monroe nearly pulled back to back Upset wins in SEC Venues, just coming up short in a disheartening loss at Auburn. That loss strips them of the motivation they has from the Arkansas win. In fact Monroe is 0-25 straight up and 7-17 ats off an ats win of 4 or more. Baylor still has an explosive offense and an improving defense. The Bears are 15-1 with 12 spread wins as a favorite of late and have covered both times as a road favorite from -7.5 to -10. Look for Baylor to win and cover tonight.
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09-20-12 | NY Giants v. Carolina Panthers | 36-7 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants will up to 4 starters out for this one including offensive lineman Diehl, running back Bradshaw and WR Hakeem Nicks, they are also banged up on defense, they are on a short week here and we note that road teams from +3 to -3 have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times after scoring 35 or more as a home favorite of -7 or more vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. furthermore, home teams from +3 to -3 have won and covered 7 of the last 8 times after a home game where they scored 21 or more, vs an opponent that passed for 300 or more yards, while rushing for under 100. The Panthers may not be as good a team as the Giants, but they can certainly be better here in this one and can move the ball with a solid offense that has multiple weapons. Look for Carolina to emerge with a win and cover tonight. I'm going to Carolina in my mind.
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09-19-12 | Kent State v. Buffalo -3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Big Mac attack play is on Buffalo. Game 302 at 7:00 eastern. Buffalo has a big edge on offense in this one and takes on a Kent. St team that has lost and failed to cover 5 of 6 times as a road dog of 3 or less points. Kent is also 2-10 straight up with just 3 covers. The most intriguing angle of this game though is what Kent has done vs teams that are off a win of 20 or more points. Kent is amazing 3-13 straight up with just 8 spread wins against these big winners. With coach Hazell just 1-6 in road games in his limited Kent head coaching career. We will stay at home with Buffalo in this one.
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09-17-12 | Denver Broncos v. Atlanta Falcons -3 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL power System Play is on Atlanta. Game 226 at 8:30 eastern. The Falcons fit a solid system here that plays on home favorites that scored 35 or more on the road and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams are 14-0 since 1990 with all but one winning by 3 or more. Atlanta is 7-0 ats as a non conference favorite of 3 or more and Denver has lost 3 of the last 4 on turf. The Falcons have the better defense. Denver and Manning looked real good against a banged up defense at home last vs the Steelers. Monday night home teams are a good investment in this sprwad range when both teams are off a win at 78%. This one will be much tougher for them with the crowd noise and fast pace. Look for the Falcons to get the win and cover.
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09-16-12 | Detroit Lions +7 v. San Francisco 49ers | 19-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Detroit. Game 223 at 8;25 eastern. You have to love the setup here for the Lions. They are playing with home loss revenge from last years No hand shake game between the 2 coaches who came off looking like a couple of first grades in the school yard. The Niners are coming off a huge upset in Green Bay and may not be able to hold that same momentum. The Lions were clearly looking past the Rams last week at home in preparation for this one and were nearly burned before winning late. The Lions qualify in 2 system here tonight. First we want to play on game 2 road dogs off a win but spread loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. These road teas have covered 11 of 13 since 1989. The Lions are 7-1 ats s a non division dog of 6 or more and should play real well here. Take Detroit.
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09-16-12 | Washington Redskins -3.5 v. St Louis Rams | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday afternoon the 4* road warrior Perfect system side is on the Washington Redskins. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Skins fit perfect system here today that has not lost as far back as 1989 and plays on road favorites off a road dog win at +3 or higher while scoring 35 or more points, if the total in this game is 42 or higher. These teams win by an average 23-10 score. The Redskins have covered 6 of 8 here in the series, including a 17-10 win here last season where they won the rushing battle 196-45. The Rams have lost 35 of the last 39 vs winning teams if they have no rest. They are 1-4 vs the NFC East and 1-7 to the spread as a dog of 12 or less with revenge. Look for The Redskins and RG3 To take another on the road here today.
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09-16-12 | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 v. Buffalo Bills | 17-35 | Loss | -120 | 107 h 58 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Double system play is on Kansas City. Game 205 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs fit 2 solid system here today. Having a look at one, we want to play on game 2 non divisional road dogs off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss, This bases system has cashed 31 of 42 times since 1980. With a tweak or two we can get this one perfect. KC is 5-0 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less, 5-0 ats as a non divisional road dog off a loss of 10 or more and Coach Crennel has covered all 3 times as a dog after allowing 35 or more last out. He is also 7-1 to the spread vs non divisional teams off a loss of 10 or more. The Bills have lost 9 of 10 off a division game and 1-5 ats as a favorite. Buffalo will have to rely on CJ. Spiller for the whole work load now that Starting running back F. Jackson is out. Buffalo was hideous last week and the whole preseason. The Chiefs were a better team last season and are a solid choice here today. Were going to " Kansas City, Kansas City here we come" Take the points here.
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09-16-12 | Arizona Cardinals v. New England Patriots -13.5 | 20-18 | Loss | -104 | 107 h 47 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout System is on the Patriots. Game 200 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are 5-0 straight up and to the spread in the last 5 vs Arizona and 5-0 ats in September games at home vs winning teams. For technical purposes we want to play against road dogs with no rest in non conference Sunday games with a win percentage of .650 or higher that are off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home win. Since 1980 these road teams are 1-8 to the spread. The Patriots have an improved defense to go along with a great offense and can name the score in this one. The Capper is this little nugget. Teams who lost the Super Bowl have won and covered 5 straight in the 2nd game of the season at home if playing off a win. Look for The Patriots to coast and cover in this one.
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09-15-12 | USC v. Stanford +8.5 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday night, the Pack 12 power play is on Stanford. Game 126 at 7:30 eastern. In this game, we want to play against road favorites off a double digit win vs an opponent that is also off a win of 10 or more points. These road teams have failed to cover every time long term. Stanford is 5-0 ats as a home dog of late and has won game 3 the last 3 years. They are a solid 7-0 ats in September and have cashed 7 of the last 8 times at home off a win of 14 or more points. USC is a terrible 1 and 6 to the spread after scoring 35 or more points. The favorite in this series has failed to cover 4 straight times. Finally, home dogs of 9 or less with a win percentage of .800 or more that won 10 or more games last year and scored 30 or more in their last game have covered 20 of the last 23 times. Take the points with Stanford
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09-15-12 | UAB v. South Carolina -33 | 6-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the big blowout play is on South Carolina. Game 154 at 7:00 eastern. There are two solid systems that apply in this one. First we want to play against double digit dogs in game 2 of the season, if they won 5 or less games last year, have a new coach and are taking on an opponent that won and covered in there last game. There big dogs are just 2-21 ats. A second system plays against road teams like UAB that are off a loss of 13 points or less in a non-conference game. These road teams are 4-21 ats. South Carolina is 4-0 ats vs an opponent that has rest. The Gamecocks are 14-3 as a home favorite of -10 or more vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more points. UAB has a terrible defense and has failed 4 straight times in game 2 of the season. Look for the Cocks to stick it to UAB tonight. Take South Carolina.
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09-15-12 | Middle Tennessee State v. Memphis +4 | 48-30 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
On Saturday night, the dog with bite is on Memphis. Game number 190 at 7:00 eastern. Memphis returns 17 starters from last season and had revenge in this one. The Tigers have covered 3 of 4 vs Sun Belt Conference teams. They are 5-2 ats on turf and take on a Middle Tennessee State team that is 1-5 ats as a road favorite of late. This game was also hit hard offshore with some sharp money. Look for Memphis to take down a Middle Tennessee State team that has lost 7 straight road openers. Make it Memphis tonight.
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09-15-12 | Bowling Green +3 v. Toledo | 15-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Saturday offshore steam Plays on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 961 at 7:10 eastern and Bowling green in college football. Game 151 at 7:00 eastern. Both teams were hit hard with sharp off shore money.
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09-15-12 | Ohio v. Marshall +6.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Big Mac attack play is on Marshall. Game number 156 at 6:30 eastern. In this game we want to play against road favorites like Ohio U, that have won and covered their first two games and won their last game by 24 or more points, vs an opponent that comes in off a win. This system has cashed at a high rate the last 22 years. Marshall has won 9 of the last 11 meetings against Ohio U including 5 straight in this building. They are 9-0 as a dog of 6 or more at home. Both teams have prolific offenses, while Ohio U has an edge on defense, I expect Marshall to play better on defense as they are playing with blowout loss revenge from last season. Look for Marshall to at the very least cover in this one. Take Marshall.
On Saturday night, the dog with bite is on Memphis. Game number 190 at 7:00 eastern. Memphis returns 17 starters from last season and had revenge in this one. The Tigers have covered 3 of 4 vs Sun Belt Conference teams. They are 5-2 ats on turf and take on a Middle Tennessee State team that is 1-5 ats as a road favorite of late. This game was also hit hard offshore with some sharp money. Look for Memphis to take down a Middle Tennessee State team that has lost 7 straight road openers. Make it Memphis tonight. On Saturday night, the Pack 12 power play is on Stanford. Game 126 at 7:30 eastern. In this game, we want to play against road favorites off a double digit win vs an opponent that is also off a win of 10 or more points. These road teams have failed to cover every time long term. Stanford is 5-0 ats as a home dog of late and has won game 3 the last 3 years. They are a solid 7-0 ats in September and have cashed 7 of the last 8 times at home off a win of 14 or more points. USC is a terrible 1 and 6 to the spread after scoring 35 or more points. The favorite in this series has failed to cover 4 straight times. Finally, home dogs of 9 or less with a win percentage of .800 or more that won 10 or more games last year and scored 30 or more in their last game have covered 20 of the last 23 times. Take the points with Stanford |
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09-15-12 | North Carolina +3 v. Louisville | 34-39 | Loss | -106 | 86 h 24 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Non Conference Power System Play is on North Carolina. Game 137 at 3:30 eastern. The Heels fit a solid 26-4 system that plays on certain non conference road teams off a road favored loss -10 or higher. There is also a solid subset that applies to this one that pertains to Louisville coming in off a win. As for Power Angle we note that North Carolina is 0-2 straight up in non conference games and has won the last 3 times vs Big East teams. The Heels are 6-0 ats as a dog of 6 or less vs an opponent that has revenge and won their last by 10 or more. They have also covered the last 6 times on the road in non conference games when playing off a loss which ties in nicely with our power system. Finally the Heels have covered 6 of the last 8 in game threes. Louisville has always done well in the regular season vs the ACC. However they have lost the last 2 times against them and 3 of the last 4 when playing off 2 or more wins. Look for North Carolina to get the cash. Take the points in this one.
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09-15-12 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech -10 | 20-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the never lost power system play is on Georgia Tech. Game number 140 at 3:30 eastern. The Yellow jackets fit a tremendous game 3 system here today. What we want to do is play against game 3 road teams that are 2-0 if they are on the road like Virginia and won their last game by 9 or less points, provided they are off and ats loss, and their opponent comes in having won .750 percentage or more of their games last season. These road teams are 0-13 ats long term. Virginia has lost 4 of their last 5 first ACC games. They are terrible 0-6 straight up and 1-5 to the spread as a road dog from 7.5 to 10. Coach Johnson for Tech has covered 8 of 9 as a favorite of 3 or more when playing with revenge. Virginia hasn't faced an offense that can run the ball like Georgia Tech and will have a tough time stopping them on defense. Look for Georgia Tech to control the pace of the game and emerge with a win and cover in this one. Lay the points as the Yellow jackets sting the Cavaliers.
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09-15-12 | Wake Forest v. Florida State -27.5 | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 83 h 1 m | Show | |
On Saturday in early action the Power system Play is on the Florida St Seminoles. Game 118 at 12 noon eastern. Wake Forest fits a negative system that pertains to their big Home dog win last week over North Carolina. Florida St will not take this game lightly after losing last year to Wake Forest. In fact the Seminoles have won and covered every time of late with revenge vs an opponent off a dog win. Wake Forest has failed to cover every time most recently off a dog win and has gone 0-4 straight up and to the spread on the road when the posted total is 49.5 to 56. The Deacons return just 3 offensive starts from last season and have failed to cover in 13 of 16 vs an opponent that has revenge. They lost their leading rusher and 4 wide receivers and 4 starting offensive lineman. The Seminoles have 17 returning starters and 69 lettermen from a 9 win team. This one could get ugly fast as FSU has revenge, a better team and takes on a Wake Forest team that has little experience in key areas. Lay it with Florida St.
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09-15-12 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +10.5 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 82 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAAF Play on Pitt
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09-13-12 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers -6 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 102 at 8:10 eastern. This game fit a solid system that has not lost the last 23 years. We want to play on home favorites off a home game where they scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent off a home game where they are favored by 7 or more and scored 18 or more and had 300 or more yards passing in the game. These home teams have won and covered every time and by an average 34-18 scored. The Packers have dominated the series of late and have won 4 of the last 5 by 10 or more points. The Packers have won and covered both times of late on Thursday. The Bears have lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 times as as road dog from +3.5 to +7. The Bears are also a paltry 1-10 to the spread as a road dog vs an opponent who comes in off a straight up favored loss. Coach Mccarthy for the Packers has covered 9 of 10 in division games when facing an opponent with revenge. Coach Smith for Chicago is 1-9 ats off a non division game vs an opponent off a favored loss and 1-5 to the spread as a dog after scoring 35 or more. Finally Chicago has failed to cover 9 of the last 10 on the road when the total is 45 or higher. Based on the system, the Angles and the series history were Packer Backers tonight.
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09-10-12 | San Diego Chargers +1 v. Oakland Raiders | 22-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
On Monday night In the NFL the Selection is on the SD. Chargers. Game 481 at 10:15 eastern. The Chargers fit an Early NFL System I use that pertains to certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge. This system has cashed 53 of 66 times when used in the first 3 weeks of the season and Arizona cashed on Sunday in this very system. Oakland is 2-8 ats home vs the Chargers and Monday night dogs have cashed 27 of the last 37. Charges live dog here tonight and should get the straight up win. Take San Diego.
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09-09-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos -1.5 | 19-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the 4* NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 478 at 8:25 eastern. We have a solid winning system here that goes way back to the 1970/s and plays on favorites of 3 or less in weeks 1-3 in playoff rematches that are not divisional games. Many will be on the Steelers just for the fact that its a right back revenge game. However many times these teams still don not exact that revenge. The fact remains, if the line makers believed the Steelers were a cinch to win they would be favored here by a point or two. Peyton or no Peyton. The Broncos have won 6 of the 9 in the series and the Steelers are 1-3 straight up and to the spread as a road dog of 3 or less. The Steelers have a better defense. They did last year too. That didn't help them in the thin air up here last season and it wont help them tonight. Its Peytons Place tonight. Were Bronco Backers tonight
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09-09-12 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC Power System Play is on Arizona. Game 476 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona fits a sold system we use every year that has cashed an amazing 52 of 65 times and pertains to certain divisional Dogs. There is a Key 100% Subset to this system that applies for game sin the first 3 weeks of the season. The line on this game opened at Arizona -1 and is now Seattle laying three. No specific reason other than an undefeated preseason and the hype surrounding New rookie starter Russel Wilson. Arizona has won 5 of the last here at home vs Seattle and the Seahawks are notoriously slow starters on the road in their first game failing to cover 13 of the last 20 years and the last 7. In the NFL laying points on the road with a rookie quaterback who has never played 4 full quarters in an NFL game is unwise to say the least. Arizona will go with J. Skelton here after he narrowly beat out K.Kolb. Their Defense improved in the last half of the season last year. They will be tough to beat here today. Look for Arizona to get the win here as a live home dog.
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09-09-12 | New England Patriots v. Tennessee Titans +6.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 59 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Tennessee. Game 462 at 1:00 eastern. This game has some powerful systems in application today. First we note that teams who lost in the Super bowl and open up on the road have had the hang over carry over. These teams have failed to cover in 13 of the last 14 season opening road games. The Steelers were in this spot in week one last year and were smoked by Baltimore 35-7. While I don't think this one will be a blowout. I do feel this is too many points to give what looks to be a solid Titans team that missed the playoffs despite posting a 9-7 record. Another solid system that pertains to this game is to play against non divisional teams that won 13 or more games last season, vs an opponent who won less than 13. The Titans have covered 10 of the last 15 home openers. New England has some new pieces on the offensive line and Brady took far too many hits in the preseason. That could spell trouble for the Patriots in this one as well. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee plus the points.
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09-08-12 | Oklahoma State v. Arizona +11 | 38-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Late Power System play is on Arizona. Game 376 at 10:30 eastern. Arizona comes in off the comeback win over Toledo in over time. That win sets up this little nugget. Teams that are home dogs off an over time in have on 10 straight. The Line is inflated here due to Ok. St big win over Savannah St. Look for Arizona to hang in here tonight. Take the points.
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09-08-12 | Georgia v. Missouri +2.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
On Saturday the dog with bite is on Missouri. Game 328 at 7:45 eastern. The Tigers have won the last 5 vs SEC Teams while in the BIG 12 and are 5-0 in the Sandwich game of a 3 game home stand. When they are a home dog of 3 or less they have won outright 5 of 6 times. In September they have won 7 of the last 9. Georgia has always been solid in non conference games, which is what this is like, with Missouri just coming to the conference. However many of the Georgia non conference wins are vs teams that are from smaller conferences.Even Worse for Georgia is their 1-7 record when the line is +3 to -3. They have lost their last 2 on Turf as well. Look for Missouri to win this one.
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09-08-12 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee State -7 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Sun Belt Slammer is on Middle Tennessee St. Game 384 at 7:00 eastern. This game fits a huge 15-1 system that goes back the last 33 years and plays against any dog of +11.5 or less off a win that scored 10 or less points, if they were favored or a dog of less than 2. We are playing against Florida Atlantic here today. FAU struggled with Wagner College from Staten Island. For some of you don't know, that's New York. Had it not been for a late touchdown it would have been a very embarrassing loss. Coach Pelini takes to the road for the first time as well. Middle Tennessee St lost at home to a much more Talented Mcneese St team and should rebound nicely here in this one. FAU is 1-6 straight up and to the spread on turf, and 1-7 at on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. They have failed to cover 18 of 23 on Saturday and 14 of 16 in the conference. MTU has won 5 of 6 at home as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10 and have won and covered the last 2 in the series both by an identical 38-14 score. Take Middle Tennessee St tonight.
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09-08-12 | Texas Tech -18.5 v. Texas State | 58-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout System is on Texas Tech. Game 353 at 7:00 eastern. Texas Tech has covered 5 of 6 as a double digit road favorite. Texas St comes in off the biggest upset of the week. They Blasted Houston last week as a 34 point dog. Wondering how teams do off such a big upset? They have lost 10 of the last 11 following the big upset and failed to cover 70% of the time. Texas Tech has covered 14 of 15 times when winning the game straight up on the road and comes in off a solid Opening week Blowout win. Look for Texas Tech to make Texas Toast out of Texas St tonight.
On Saturday the Dominator Play is on Ole Miss. Game 350 at 7:00 eastern. UTEP Hung in vs a disinterested Oklahoma team last week at home. Now they take to the SEC Road against Ole. Miss. UTEP has lost and failed to cover the last 5 times vs SEC teams and are losing by nearly 7 touch downs in the losses. Ole Miss coach Freeze has won the last 9 vs .666 or less teams and The Rebels are 9-2 with 8 covered on turf and have won 5 of 6 vs Conference USA teams. With the Miners just 0-8 with 2 spread wins on the road with a total of 52.5 to 56. We will back the Rebels in this one. Make it Ole. Miss. |
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09-08-12 | UTEP v. Ole Miss -8 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Dominator Play is on Ole Miss. Game 350 at 7:00 eastern. UTEP Hung in vs a disinterested Oklahoma team last week at home. Now they take to the SEC Road against Ole. Miss. UTEP has lost and failed to cover the last 5 times vs SEC teams and are losing by nearly 7 touch downs in the losses. Ole Miss coach Freeze has won the last 9 vs .666 or less teams and The Rebels are 9-2 with 8 covered on turf and have won 5 of 6 vs Conference USA teams. With the Miners just 0-8 with 2 spread wins on the road with a total of 52.5 to 56. We will back the Rebels in this one. Make it Ole. Miss.
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09-08-12 | South Florida +1 v. Nevada | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Never Lost Power system Play is on South Florida. Game 337 at 3:30 eastern. We want to play against home dogs or favs of 5 or less like Nevada that won their opening game by 3 or more as a dog of 6 or more. These homers have failed to cover 16 of the last 18 times and have never covered in game off a dog win by 10 or more if favored by less than 20. Nevada makes their first appearance vs a Big East school. They have an edge on offense, but will have to take on a superior South Florida defense that allowed just 49 yards rushing last week. South Florida has won 10 of the last 12 vs non conference teams and 3 of the last 4 on the road when the total is 52.5 to 56. Look for South Florida to win this one.
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09-07-12 | Utah v. Utah State +7 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
On Friday the 4* College Football Play is on the Utah State Aggies. Game 304 at 8;00 eastern. While many will point to the series dominance Utah had in this series. We will note that these two have not played in 3 years when Utah was a 10 win team and State was a mediocre program. However, Coach Andersen has done a nice job rebuilding an Aggie team that led the nation with 10 games that were decided by less than a touch down. They averaged nearly 6 yards per carry on the ground last season, an improvement by over 2 yards per rush as the set a program record for Total Yards amassing nearly 6000 yards getting to their first bowl in over a decade. They also improved on defense in each of the last 3 seasons down over 70 yards last season. They will be tough to handle for a Utah team that appears average in the PAC 12 and took a big step backwards on offense last season averaging just 311 yards per game down from 390 in each of the prior 2 seasons. They also slipped some on defense. Utah is also just 2-8 to the spread as a road favorite from 7.5 to -10 and have failed to cover 3 of the past 4 on Turf. Utah State has covered all 3 times as a home dog in this range. Back State in the battle for Utah. Take the 7 Points with Utah.St
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09-06-12 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Cincinnati | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
On Thursday the College Football Side is on the Pitt. Panthers. Game 301 at 8:00 eastern. Many will dismiss the Panthers due to last weeks home loss to a Youngstown St team that won its first game vs an FBS School. However, while the Panthers lost it was clearly a Classic look ahead spot. This is the game vs the Bearcats that the Panthers were fixated on. The Panthers have 26-23 Home loss revenge from last season and are a solid 10-0 to the spread on the road with revenge, regardless of which one of the last 4 coaches in 13 months have been on the sidelines. The Panthers have won 2 of the last 3 here and have covered 6 of the last 8 in the series. On games on Turf the Panthers have cashed 4 of the last 5. They also have the benefit of having played a game, even if it was a poor performance. Historically team on the road as a dog of less than 7 have been excellent investments off a home favored loss of -7 or more. The game last week for the Panthers was non lined, but serves to the same effect of an upset home loss. The Bearcats are turning over the reigns to Munchie Legaux and could have problems moving the ball in this one against a Panther defense that returns 8 defensive starters. The Bearcats have a solid defense, but Pitt led by Tino Sunseri have plenty of weapons and will play much better here. The Panthers are a live dog in this one. Take the Points.
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09-05-12 | Dallas Cowboys +4 v. NY Giants | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the guaranteed NFL power System selection is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 451 at 8:30 eastern. The Cowboys have revenge on their mind in this one as the Giants ended the Dallas season here in the last game of the regular season 31-17 finishing Dallas a disappointing 8-8. The Giants are the defending super bowl champion but were not the best team in football last season. The Giants much like the Packers a year before just happened to get hot at that the right time and run the table starting with the Saturday game vs the Jets. This is a new season and while the Giants are a good team, they play in perhaps the most competitive division in football where every team is a quality team. The Giants are just 1-6 ats as a division favorite of 3.5 or more. They also fit a solid defending Super Bowl Champion play against system that plays like this. We want to play against certain Super Bowl champions in week one if they are going into revenge, which they clearly are here. Since 1982 these champs have been chumps going 1-6 to the spread, with the only team covering the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs. I realize that the Super Bowl champion has won week one at a high rate. However the revenge and the parity between these two over rules all in this one. Look for the Cowboys to cover in this one.
For the Bonus total take the over. The Giants have flown over in 26 of 38 in the first two weeks of the season over the years and Dallas has gone over 13 of 15 in their first road game and 9 of 10 on the road in the first of back to back road games if they are playing a divisional team. |
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09-03-12 | Georgia Tech +7.5 v. Virginia Tech | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
On Monday night the college Football side is on GA.Tech. Game 215 at 8:00 eastern. The Yellow Jackets have all 3 of their top runners back this season and are ready to sting with Home loss revenge in this game. They are 6-1 to the spread on the road with conference revenge and have covered 8 of the last 9 overall as a dog of more than 7. When playing on the road before a pair or more of home games they have covered 16 of the last 18. Coach Johnson has covered 27 of the last 39 as a dog or pick and that's largely in part of the option attack and the clock control that factors in with that style of play. VA. Tech has lost 2 top notch wide outs and 4 of 5 on their offensive line. The Hokies have also failed to cover the last 5 times in lined openers and 9 of the last 11 as a home favorite of less than 10 points and 0-5 ats in their last 6 home games. In week day games they are 1-4 ats. The dog in this series has covered 5 of the last 6 and the Jackets have covered 18 of the last 12 in the first two weeks of the season. Look for GA. Tech to stay in this one the whole way and get the cash.
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09-02-12 | SMU +9 v. Baylor | 24-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Week 1 Super system Play is on SMU. Game 213 at 6;30 eastern. RG3 and Gannaway are gone for Baylor and Tonight they face an SMU team that has also lost offense but had an 8 win teams last season This game fits a solid 25-3 system that plays against Teams like Baylor that had a Win percentage between .600 and .800 and ended the year with 3 or more straight spread wins, vs an opponent that was a winning teams last season in week one. The Mustangs have improved on defense in each of the last 4 years and. SMU should be very competitive in this one and should be right there at the end. Take the Points.
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09-01-12 | Rutgers -20 v. Tulane | 24-12 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College Football Blowout system is on Rutgers. Game 195 at 8:00 eastern. Rutgers fits a solid week 1 system that is 23-2 and plays on favorites from -10.5 to -21 that have at least 8 returning defensive starters back and outscored opponents last season by 7 or more points per game. Kyle Flood takes over the helm for G. Schiano and has 14 returning starters back from a solid 9-4 team that coasted in a bowl win. The Scarlet Knights are 43-2 when they rush for more yards that their opponent and will have no problem vs a Tulane defense that gives up a plethora of points in just about every game and does not look to be improved. Tulane was 1-6 ats at home in their last 7. They are 2-15 ats at home when they lose. Rutgers has covered 11 of 12 when they win on the road. Take Rutgers to get the win and cover.
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09-01-12 | Tulsa v. Iowa State +1.5 | 23-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
On Saturday the System Club Play is on Iowa. St. Game 170 at 3:30 eastern. These system Club Plays have been over .500 in each of the last seven seasons. This year we start it off with an Iowa. St team that 12 of their last 13 home openers. Today they are taking a point and half vs Tulsa team that has lost 14 of their last 17 road openers and 27 of 32 overall in opening weeks. Tulsa has not fared well in games vs the Big 12 conference historically as they are 0-15 straight up and 3-12 to the spread. The Cyclones return 12 starts and 44 letterman to a squad that comes in off a rare bowl appearance. Iowa. St should be improved on defense particularly in the run game and be able to take advantage of a Tulsa Defense that looks to be average at best. Back the Home team in this one as the Cyclones are a live dog here.
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09-01-12 | Marshall v. West Virginia OVER 64.5 | 34-69 | Win | 100 | 70 h 9 m | Show | |
Over Marshall- WVU On Saturday Noon eastern. Major OFF SHORE Move on this one.
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09-01-12 | Troy v. UAB +6.5 | 39-29 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early College football side is on UAB. Game 204 at 12 noon eastern. The Blazers off plenty of value here in this one in a series that has seen the last 2 games both decided by 1 point, UAB is a perfect 6-0 to the spread as a home dog from 3.5 to +7 and has won all 4 recent times at home when the total is 56 to 63. Troy has lost 3 of the last 4 here in the series and has been terrible of late as a favorite at 1-7 ats from -3.5 to -10. In games where the total is 56 to 63 in their road games they are 0-6 ats. As for technical purposes we note that game one home dogs of more than 3 vs teams that were 6-5 or worse last season have been a solid investment in opening games the past several years. Look for UAB To get the cash here in early action.
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08-31-12 | Tennessee v. NC State +3.5 | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
On Friday the Never lost system side is on the Detroit Tigers. Game 924 at 7:05 eastern. The Tigers fit a solid system here that plays on home favorites off a road favored loss and scored 2 or less runs and had 10 or more men left on base. These home favorites bounce back nice at 15-4. If they had 10 or more hits in their loss they have won every time and by an average 3 runs per game. Fister should do well in this spot against Peavy for the Whitesox who is just 5-8 on the road and has allowed 13 runs in 20 innings vs Detroit this season. The Tigers have taken 5 of 6 from Chicago here this season and are 8-3 as a home favorite from -125 to -150. Finally The Tigers are 5-1 this season off 3 exact losses. Look for Detroit to take the opener.
On Friday the Opening Week Power System Play is on NC. St. Game 152 at 7:30 eastern. The Wolfpack are taking points here tonight and that is a solid proposition for certain week 1 teams that won 3 or more games vs Certain road teams that were 6-5 or worse last season/ The Vols have lost the last the last 6 here and are 0-3 of late in Dome games. In games vs the ACC Tennessee has lost 5 straight to the spread. NC. St has covered 8 of the last 11 as a dog and has won 4 of the last 5 August games. They are a live dog and had a better team last season. Take the points here. |
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08-30-12 | Washington State v. BYU -11.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
On Thursday the college football opening week Power system play is on BYU. Game 146 at 10:15 eastern. This game fits a solid system that pertains to teams who have a coaching change in their first road game if these teams were losing teams last season and are taking on an opponent that won 7 or more games last season.There is one other Parameter that makes this one 96% and will remain for my eyes only. Washington State takes to the road in this one to take on a BYU Team that won 10 games last season and is a perfect 4-0 straight up and to the spread in lined August games. The Cougars do not disappoint and take care of business as a favorite from -10.5 to -21 winning an incredible 54 of 57 times in this role. Look for BYU to score early and often on Washington St and get the cash in this one.
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02-05-12 | NY Giants +3 v. New England Patriots | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
On Super Bowl Sunday our selection is on The New York Giants. Game 101 at 6:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-0 Power system and a bevy of solid angles this season. They also figure to cover on the Simulation scene. When this game was simulated 10, 000 times the Patriots wound up winning 55% of the time but just by and average score of 27-25, while the Giants have Simulated a cover 58% of the time. In the Madden EA Sports Simulation the Giants emerge as 27-24 winner. While that is nice to have on our side it is not the basis of our play here. They system and the multitude of Super Bowl and Power Angles is what really puts us on the Giants here tonight. The Giants have a better defense while the Patriots have the better numbers on offense. The Giants have won the last 4 games vs the AFC East and 3 of the last 4 on Turf. They have a solid win in New England this season in a game that was scoreless at the half. The impressive part of that win is the Patriots had 100 more pass yards than the Giants and still could not win, while the Rushing stats were just about even. Now for some more angles. The Giants are 11-3 ats off back to back wins and 5-1 ats when the line is +3 to-3. They have covered 4 of the last 5 when the total is 49.5 o higher. They would be the first team to win the Super Bowl with just 9 wins in a 16 game regular season. They come into this game off back to back dog wins and such teams have covered 6 of the last 7 times in this role. In fact AFC Teams are 8-1-1 ats the last 32 years if they play a team that has a win percentage of .791 or higher. The team with the Better record like the Patriots are on a horrendous run going 1-13-2 ats and 0-8 of late. The dog has covered 7 of the last 10. The Giants win over a then undefeated Patriots team was the first such win in 33 years where a winning team scored less than 20 points. That win gave Coach Coughlin his first Super Bowl win. We note that coaches who won their first super Bowl appearance are 9-3 straight up in their second Super Bowl. In fact Coach Coughlin shares the all time record with Tom Landry for the most playoff road wins with seven. The Patriots are just 1-4 ats vs fellow playoff teams and like the Giants could have lost their last game. They scare no one on defense with the 31st ranked overall stop unit. The Patriots average more points per game than the Giants but such teams are just 2-8-1 ats the last 11 years. Teams who convert the better percentage on 3rd down have gone a surprising 3-7-1 ats of late again playing against the Patriots. Also teams who allow more yards per rush are 4-9-1 ats. Number one seeds are on a 2-8 run and the last 6 super bowl favorites that lost as a favorite in last years playoffs have gone down to the spread 5 times. Another key stat is that teams with nore average pass yards per attempt are 39-6 straight up. The Giants have the better deep threat and could win that stat as well. Much will be made about the Patriots revenge in this one. However they had revenge for the Super Bowl loss earlier in the year and as a 9 point favorite were unable to find a way to beat the Giants. It seems like the Giants have found a way to make the Patriots uncomfortable on offense and with a star running back to take the heat off Brady its quite possible he will get knocked down several times here. In the the end we will back the Giants in this one as they just seem to find a way to win. Take the 3 points buy the half point if you have to.
Props- Over 313 yards passing Eli Manning Manning to throw more pass yards in the 2nd half Brady to throw at least one pick Chad Ochocinco makes at least one catch. |
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02-05-12 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots OVER 53.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
On Super Bowl Sunday our Totals Selection is on the Over tonight. There are several solid Power Angles that apply to this one flying over the total here tonight from both sides. The Giants have played over the total 10 of 11 times in the 2nd half's vs teams who complete 63% or more of their passes the last 3 seasons. They have played over in 9 of 10 off 3+ wins and 8 of the last 9 on Artificial turf. The Patriots have played over the total in 12 of 14 vs winning teams the last 3 years in the 2nd half of the season. On Artificial turf they have gone over in 16 of their last 22. They have revenge in this one and 6 of the last 8 revenger's they have soared over the total. When they are off 4+ wins 11 of 13 times they have gone over. Both teams have prolific offenses with numerous weapons that will be tough to contain on a fast surface. In the first game these two played they were score less in the first half and still wound up with 40+ points. I look for the offenses on both sides to get off to a better start in this game. I also expect both teams to run plays that the opposing defenses have not seen on film. New England has the 31st ranked defense in the league and has given up a lot of yardage this season. The Giants defense has been on a roll since the Jets game, however they are playing on a fast turf and will likely yield more points here than they did vs a one dimensional San Francisco offense two weeks ago. Look for this game to fly over the total tonight.
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01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers -125 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -125 | 94 h 20 m | Show |
In The NFC Championship our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers game 304 at 6:30 eastern. This year we have a Regular season rematch between to teams that met just over 2 months ago. The Giants travel cross country to take on a San Francisco team that came out of nowhere to win the NFC West after Hiring Harbaugh. The First game was a win for the Niners 27-20 in a game that was statistically won by the Giants. New York had a slight advantage rushing the ball 93-77 and also had more passing yards 302 to 228. The difference was the Niners played better on both sides of the ball in the red zone and the Giants were hurt by 2 costly turnovers. The Niners have won 5 of the last 6 in the series here at home. The Giants have the poise advantage as they are battle tested and come off their most impressive win of the season in a Big blowout win over the Defending Super Bowl Champion Packers. The Giants kept Green Bay off balance all day and were able to stymie the best overall offense in the league by getting constant pressure on Rogers without having to blitz and compromise pass coverage. The Packers weren't able to mount much of a run game and were playing from behind the whole day while the rejuvenated Giants defense made them look average all day. That big win over the Defending champs set the Giants up in a big negative system that has lost all 10 times since 1975. What we want to do is play against any team who beat the super bowl champs in a playoff game if there next game is not the Super Bowl. These teams have failed miserably when trying to sustain they type of momentum needed to get to the super bowl. In fact home teams like the niners in conference championship games are 21-4 straight up off an ats win vs an opponent off a win and cover that allowed 10 or more points. The Giants made history in assuring the Packers to be the first team in history to win 15 regular season games and not win at least one playoff game. The Giants lit up the score board for 37 points, another stat that will come back to haunt them here as road teams in Conference Championship teams off a win and cover have lost and failed to cover 10 of the last 11 times after scoring 5 or more touchdowns. We all remember the last time the Giants were here for a playoff game and blew a 21-0 lead. If you worries about the 2.5 spread. Don't be. The team that wins the conference Championship teams are 72-6 ats. Look for the 49ers to put an end to the Giants run. Take the Niners
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01-22-12 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots -7 | 20-23 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Championship system play is on the New England Patriots. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. Conference Championship winners are 72-6 ats the last 39 years. So popular thinking leads up right to the Patriots as a 7 point favorite. Looking at the systems and angles we see that playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season are 41-5 straight up and 35-9-2 ats vs teams with a win percentage of .777 or less. Further data states that home favorites from -5 to -10 with no rest in playoff action off a home favored win and cover and prior win have covered 15 of 9 times since 1980. Perhaps my favorite system in this game though is the one that reads home favorites that scored 42 or more at home as a favorite and had 300 or more yards passing vs an opponent that was favored are 100% perfect since 1989 if the total is 44.5 or higher. The Ravens are not what they were on defense and could not get off the field against Houston and 3rd string QB Yates in a couple of drives last week. Had Schaub been in there and the Ravens offense struggling without the aid of turnovers the Patriots would be playing the Texans here. Brady can play error free and make the Ravens defense look old here With all their weapons. On defense the Patriots have a bend but don't break mentality as they stiffen in the red zone. Their defensive numbers are skewed as most opponents are putting up yards while they play catch up. Look for the Patriots to win and cover here today.
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01-15-12 | NY Giants v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Power total is on the Over in the Giants at Packers game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. This game fits Several Angles that suggest this game goes over the total here today. The Packers have the worst defense and the best OVERALL offense. The Giants were not able to stop the Packers in a 38-35 loss earlier in the season and have gone over in 10 of 14 off back to back wins and 12 of 17 as a dog. When playing with revenge 8 of the last 12 have played over the total. Green Bay has played over in 21 of 30 as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10 since 1992. In their home games this season 7 of 8 have gone over and the games have averaged 60 points. The Packers have also played over in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and all 5 off a division win. Look for another back and forth high scoring affair. Take the Giants and Packers to go over the total.
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01-15-12 | NY Giants +9 v. Green Bay Packers | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Divisional Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 115 at 4:30 eastern. The Giants have covered 6 of 8 vs winning teams and have won straight up as a road dog both times from +7.5 to +10. The Packers really only have an 18 yard statistical edge on offense here and the Giants have the better defense. There some enormous spread trends pointing to the Giants as well. The Giants are a PERFECT 23-0 to the spread when they are playing on the road on Sunday and come off a win where they had 150 or more yards rushing and scored 43 or less points. They are also 13-0 to the spread as an underdog off a win where they did not turn the ball over. Finally the Giants have covered 8 straight times as a dog if they had 10 or less incomplete passes in their last game. Look for the Giants to stay within the 8 point spread here today as the Packers are not taking any one by surprise. With the Giants having plenty of big game poise we will Take the 8 points today with the Giants.
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01-15-12 | Houston Texans v. Baltimore Ravens -7.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore has won and covered every game vs Playoff teams this season and fit a couple of solid power systems in this one. We want to play on teams coming off the bye that have a win percentage of .700 or better vs a team making the playoffs that had a losing record last season. These home teams have not lost and have covered 91% of the time. Road teams like Houston that are off win and prior loss in the Divisional round have failed to cover 96% of the time vs a team with rest. Houston is 0-5 straight up covering just once vs the Ravens. In a game here earlier in the season Houston lost by 15 points. The Ravens finally get out of the wild card scenario and will look to take advantage of Rest, Home field and a Qb making his first road start in a Playoff game and will have looks Young Yates has not seen before. We will buy the half point here and Play the Ravens at -7.
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01-14-12 | Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots -13.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
On Saturday the super rare NFL Power System Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Broncos come into New England off their stunning home dog win over the Steelers. That big upset win and their prior home loss to the Chiefs though set them up in a rare Power system that has not lost in over 32 years. What we want to do is play against any playoff road dog off a home dog win and prior home loss vs an opponent that won their last game. Not only is this system perfect but the average margin of defeat for these road teams is over 20 points per game. Denver has everything break their way last week in a win vs the Steelers getting several penalties to help them and perhaps getting help on some no calls on some clear cut pass interferences on the Steelers first 2 drives which if resulted in touchdowns as opposed to field goals could have resulted in a complete change in the complexion of the game. Denver shoed at home that they simply cannot stop a Patriots offense with a bevy of offense that out yards them by over 100 yards per game. The Patriots will be very focused here, wanting to forget last seasons home favored loss to the Jets. The Patriots are 5-1 ats vs AFC West teams winning all games against that division this season. The Broncos wont have the luck of playing an injury riddled team this week and will likely getblown out here in this one. Take the Patriots.
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01-14-12 | New Orleans Saints v. San Francisco 49ers +4 | 32-36 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL System play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. There are several systems pointing either for the niners or against the Saints in this one. For starters home dogs in the first 2 rounds are 18-5 ats since the mid 70/s including 3-0 straight up and ats in the divisional round winning by over 3 touchdowns per game. Road teams as a dog or favorite of 6 or less are 3-11 ats if they allowed 28 or more in a playoff win the last 32 years. The Saints won here last season by just 3 points vs a dismal niners team. This will be a much tougher chore as the niners are much improved and are 7-0 ats at home this season and average the same amount of points at 27 that the Saints do in their road games. The difference however is in the defense where the Saints allow 24 points on the road compared to the Niners who allow just 10 points this season here including just 10 points in the last three here. The Saints will have a tough time running on a staunch niners defense that has allowed just 1 rushing touchdown and can cause drive decimating turnovers. The Niners have an array of weapons on offense that may be more effective here. The Niner could use Gore and his rushing attack to counteract Brees and the Saints then Burn the blitz happy Saints defense. The Saints come in off an amazing 9 straight wins and covers. They are only one of 3 teams since 1978 that have scored 40 or more points in 4 straight games. The other 2 failed to cover. The Saints have not won a playoff road game going 0-4. The Niners have a week of rest and are off back to back spread losses which also works in their favor. Perhaps if the Saints did not lose in Tampa and St. Louis they would have had this game at home. However they didn't and they don't. I love the 4+ points but I see the Niners winning straight up here as I've seen what the Saints can do on the road, Seattle last season against an under .500 playoff team and they lose as an 11 point favorite. Look for San Francisco to get the cash here tonight.
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU +2.5 | 21-0 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
On Monday the BCS Championship Power System Play is on LSU. Game 270 at 8:35 eastern. The Big revenge game is here. LSU has defeated 4 teams in the Top 10 this season in Alabama, Oregon, Arkansas and West Virginia, the first team to accomplish this feat since 1940. LSU has won 4 BCS Games here in the Super Dome and Alabama has not won here in the last 19 years with the last win coming in 1992. Alabama had LSU Right where they wanted them at home in the regular season in a game they lost only due to poor kicking and an unlucky turnover with the ball coming out of the wide receivers hands simultaneously as he hit the 1 yard line. This time it may be harder to out play an LSU team with most dangerous return game in the country and a special teams unit that has allowed 6 yards on punt returns. In a game where the intangibles could decide it LSU has the edges. LSU also has the motivation of knowing that despite their undefeated status they are a 2 point dog in this one. In games vs #1 and 2 teams the 2nd ranked team is usually the dog and they have covered at a high rate with that motivation. LSU has that edge here. The Tigers fit a Sagarin strength of Schedule system here as they have a played a togher schedule than Alabama. For technical purposes we note that bowl favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 with 43 or less days rest off 3+ wins but not an ats loss of 8 or more cash over 94% vs teams that are not off a shutout win. LSU has won 11 of the last 14 bowls. SEC Dogs off a win have covered well over 80% in bowl games the past few seasons. Look for LSU to win this one. Take the points with LSU.
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01-08-12 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois OVER 64.5 | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
On Sunday in the Go Daddy Bowl our Power System Selection is on Northern Illinois. Game 268 at 9:00 eastern. NIU Has won all 4 games in the series between these two over the years. They apply to a Big Rushing dog system and a Sagarin system used for dogs. Arky St applies to a negative system that pertains to teams off 3 straight wins, a secondary system that plays against teams off 2+ wins with the last one a revenge win and a third system that involves favorites that won 4 or less games last season. Look for Northern Illinois to get the win tonight.
On Sunday the Go daddy Power System total is on the over in the Arkansas St and Northern Illinois game. Rotation numbers 268/269 at 9:00 eastern. This game fits one of my favorite bowl system totals that pertains to both teams with offenses that average over 400 yards per game with at least one of the defenses allowing 400 or more yards per game. Look for this one to fly over the total. Take Northern Illinois and Arkansas St to go over the total tonight. |
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01-08-12 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos +9 | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
On Sunday in the AFC Wild card game our selection is on the Denver Broncos. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. Denver is a large home dog here vs a Steelers team that averages 15 points per game on the road and has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite from 7 to 10. Home Dogs in the First round of the Playoffs have covered 16 of the last 20 since 1977 and teams who lost the super bowl last season have covered less than 20% of the time in the first round off a win. Also of note is that teams making their first playoff Appearance at home in over 3 years have won 22 of 30 times. With Denver 7-0 straight up at home with a total of 32.5 to 35 we will back them plus the points here today.
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01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants -3 | 2-24 | Win | 104 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Wild Card Power Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants are starting to roll here now as they played their best games of the season the last 2 weeks against the Jets and Dallas. Now they get Atlanta who was a white wash winner over Tampa Bay in a game that was over at the half. Today Atlanta will have a tough time here as the over looked factor by many is the Dome team on the road on grass in colder climates. The temperature for this one will be in the high 30/s which favors the Giants. NY also applies to a solid system that plays playoff homers vs an opponent off a division win of 4 or more points if they are favored or a dog of less than 6. Atlanta is 1-3 on the road vs winning teams and the Giants have won 2 of 3 vs winning teams at home. Atlanta will look to take Victor Cuz away today and they just might, hover that may enable the Giants to run the ball more effectively and get H. Nicks involved. On Defense the Giants should be in Matt Ryans face all day. Look for the Giants to get the cash here today. BUY THE HALF POINT DOWN TO -2.5 So we win if they win by 3
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01-07-12 | Detroit Lions v. New Orleans Saints -10.5 | 28-45 | Win | 101 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
In The Late NFC Wildcard game the selection is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Saints apply to a bevy of solid systems angles in this one. Looking back the first game between these two we see that The Lions were statistically right there with the Saints and still lost by 14 points. Id hate to think what would happen if the Saints were to really dominate play. Playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season vs a team that has a win percentage of .777 or less are 40-4 straight up and 34-8-2 ats long term. Furthermore team in the wild card round have won and covered every time the past 15+ years if they lost straight up as a favorite in the playoffs last season. The Saints were a 11 point favorite going into Seattle last season and laid an egg losing to a Seattle team that under .500. This year they will make amends for that loss as we note that teams who are favored and win the game, covered 21 of 25 times vs a team coming in off a loss the last 32 years. The Lions have lost 19 straight on the road vs winning teams and are 0-5 ats vs winning teams this season in the 2nd half. Since 1997 the Lions are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the posted total is 49.5 or higher and 1-5 ats as a dog from 10.5 to 14. They have failed to cover the last 5 times in the wild card round and may realize quickly that they are overmatched here. The Saints come marching in. Play the Saints. BUY HALF POINT TO -10
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01-07-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans -3.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Early Winner is on Houston. Game 102 at 4;30 eastern. These two teams met just a few weeks ago and Houston stunned Cincy late in the game getting a pass interference call that put them on the 1 yard line with seconds left, they punched it in and came away with a 1 point win. Houston has a better defense and having Yates or Delhomme in wont matter as either can keep pace with Cincy rookie Qb Andy Dalton. This game will be about defense and Houston has the edge. Home team in this round are usually winner and the numbers here support the history. Wild card home teams as a favorite of -1.5 or more have won and covered every time the past few seasons and teams who come in off a pair of losses have won and covered over 90% of the time historically. Non divisional wild card roadies that arrive off a division loss are a terrible 2-13 over the past 34 years. Look for Houston to emerge with the win and cover.
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01-07-12 | SMU v. Pittsburgh -165 | 28-6 | Loss | -165 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Compass Bowl Selection is on Pittsburgh. Game 266 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are in the midst of another coaching changer. However, they won this bowl last season and have won 5 of 7 times vs Conference USA Teams. In fact teams like SMU From Conference USA are just 1-11 straight up vs BCS Conference teams in bowl games. SMU is a terrible 1-11 ats off a win of 3 or less points and have been very mediocre since their hot start. Look for the Panthers to get the win and cover here. Take Pittsburgh any buy half point to -3 if you need to.
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01-06-12 | Kansas State v. Arkansas -8.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
On Friday the Cotton Bowl play is on Arkansas. Game 264 at 8:00 eastern. The Razorbacks are the better team and from the better conference. Arkansas is 8-2 ats vs Big 12 schools and should be able to score here against a Kansas St defense that allows nearly 400 yards per game. Arky has 2 losses this season to LSU and Alabama. Big 12 bowl dogs have failed to cover the last 8 times vs SEC Teams including last last Saturday as South Carolina handled Nebraska. With the Wildcats losing the stats battle just about every week we will back Arkansas here.
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01-04-12 | West Virginia +3 v. Clemson | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Orange Bowl Power System Side is on West Virginia. Game 261 at 8:30 eastern. Just like Last night with VA. Tech we will advise buying the half point if you are getting 3 with WVU. The system in play tonight is to play on .601 or better bowl dogs vs an opponent off a straight up dog win at +7 or more. Favorites like Clemson struggle in these spots failing to cover the last 11 times. West Virginia has better numbers on both sides of the ball and the dog in their bowl games has covered the last 6 times. In fact Big East bowl dogs or dogs of 3 or less are 14-6 ats which plays right into Clemsons poor record at 1-6 in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Capper is Clemson is 0-5 straight up vs the Big East since 1997. Buy the half point and take WVU at +3.5
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01-03-12 | Michigan v. Virginia Tech +3 | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Sugar Bowl side is on Va. Tech. Game 260 at 8:30 eastern. The Hokies fit 3 of my fines systems one is a perfect 100%. What we want to do is play on bowl dogs off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent with at least one loss that is off a win of 6 or more and at least 2 straight wins. The Hokies are also in another fine system that plays on.700 or better dog or favorites of less than 4 that lost their Championship game and scored 7 or more points. ACC Dogs in bowl games off a loss have won all 5 times vs Big 10 teams. Michigan is 5-15 ats vs winning teams and have a first year coach going up against Frank Beamer here. We also want to play against teams like Michigan that are off back to back wins with the last one being a revenge win. Michigan finally took the monkey off their back getting a shoot out win over arch rival Ohio. St. But we never want to play on favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 with less than 43 days rest that come in off 3 wins and not off an ats loss of 8 or more vs an opponent that was not shut out in their last game. Look for Va. Tech to get the cash tonight.
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01-02-12 | Stanford v. Oklahoma State OVER 73.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
On Monday the Fiesta Bowl play is on the Over. Rotation numbers 255/256 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits one of my better totals system for games lined 70 or higher when we have two teams that average over 400 yards on offense and at least one of the teams allows over 400 yards on defense. Ok. St averages 557 yards while allowing 447. Stanford averages 482 yards on offense . This game should go back and forth with plenty of scoring. Take the Over here in the fiesta Bowl.
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin +6.5 v. Oregon | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
On Monday the Rose Bowl play is on Wisconsin. Game 255 at 5:00 eastern. Oregon has the offensive advantage and Wisky the defensive edge and a power system in their favor that plays on dogs off a win that allowed 30 or more. Both teams come in off conference Championship wins. However Oregon has failed to cover 27 of 29 times as a favorite when they allow 35 or more points. The Badges average 45 points per game and have scored 35 or more in all but two of their games this season. The Ducks have not won a rose bowl in 95 years and the Badgers are a strong dog when they are .750 or better. Another solid angle is to play the dog in any game involving the Big 10 and Pac 12 as these dogs have several outright wins and cover at a high rate. Look for Wisconsin to march scores with Oregon. Take Wisconsin.
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01-02-12 | Michigan State v. Georgia -3 | 33-30 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
On Monday the Outback Bowl play is on Georgia. Game 250 at 1:00 eastern. Georgia is 7-0 straight up vs Big 0 teams and fit 2 high end systems here today. Play on .700 or better dog or favs of 4 or less that lost their championship game but scored 7 or more. These teams are 14-2 ats. Teams that scored 35 or more like Michigan St and lost are terrible investment they are a a dog or favorite of 3 or less. Michigan St has lost 3 of the last 4 vs SEC Teams and lost to Georgia in the capital one bowl game 3 years ago. Coach Richt and Georgia have been solid vs non conference teams covering 14 of the last 20 And winning 13 of their last 17 bowl appearances compared to Michigan St who has lost 9 of their last bowl appearances. With Georgia having scored 24 or more in 13 of their last 15 bowl games we will take the better team from the better conference. Take Georgia, buy half point -2.5
On Monday the Capital One Bowl play is on Nebraska. Game 251 at 1:00 eastern. Nebraska has plenty of advantages here today. South Carolina fits a negative system that plays against favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 with less than 43 days rest off 3 straight wins and are not off an ats loss of 8 or more, vs an opponent that was not shut out in their last game. The Huskers are the better rushing dog and South Carolina will be without start running back Lattimore and are shaky at Qb. The Huskers are 11-2 straight up vs the SEC and have won and covered 9 of 10 bowls when coming in off a win. Big 12 dogs have been solid vs teams coming in off back to back wins. Look for Nebraska to pull the mild upset as Big 12 teams have performed very well so far this season. On Monday the Gator Bowl play is on Ohio. St. Game 254 at 1:00 eastern. The Buckeyes are the better rushing dog and will want this one seeing as how they lost a National Championship to Florida a few years back. Dogs who won a bowl game last season vs an opponent that won 8 or less last season have been golden through the years. Secondary system plays on dogs of 1.5 or more off 3 straight losses these teams have cashed 15 of the last 10. Finally neutral dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss and ats cover are 10-3 ats. In a game with two 6-6 teams take Ohio. St. |
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01-02-12 | Penn State +7.5 v. Houston | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
On Monday the Ticket City Bowl play is on Penn. St. Game 247 at 12 noon eastern. This game fits a bevy of solid systems. We want to play against bowl favorites of 7 or more that allow more than 2 touchdowns power game vs an opponent that won at least a third of their games from a year ago if the plays against team, which is Houston scored less than 31 points in their last game. This system has cashed 14 of 15 times the last 32 years. Houston may be out of it as they are a bubble bust team that enters off their first loss. They are 1-9 in bowl games and face a solid Penn. St defense that has shut down some of the best BIG 10 offenses. I think they can handle a pass happy Conference USA Team. As we note that Conference USA Teams are a soft 0-11 straight up and 2-9 ats vs BCS Conference teams. Penn. St is a solid rushing dog here. Its a litany of Nittany. Take Penn.St.
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01-01-12 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants -3 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
On Sunday night in the Win or go home game between the Dallas and New York, our selection is on the Giants. Rotation number 312 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants have lost 3 straight home games and have covered just once here this season in a Monday nighter vs St. Louis. So why are we not on Dallas who has revenge for a Sunday night loss at home in a game the Giants came back from a 12 point deficit with 5 minutes to go? The reason is this. Week 17 home favorites off a road game where they scored 28 or more have won every time the last 23 years vs an opponent that was at home in a game where they were +3 to -3. The Giants have covered 5 of the last 7 here and systems aside the Jets win which the Giants really wanted in effect to shut Jets coach Rex Ryan up will serve them well as instead of coming out flat they will be motivated and poised. Everyone in that locker room knows if they don't win coach Coughlin wont be back. They will play hard here and get the win. Tony Romo and Felix Jones will play for Dallas but Romo could be one good hit from seeing T. Mcgee going into the game. Dallas has their chance to beat the Giants and take control and didn't do it. This time it will be much tougher with a raucous crowd the Giants will win and cover tonight. Take the Giants.
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01-01-12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC South Side is on Tampa Bay. Game 303 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a trio of solid systems. The best of which is a week 17 system that plays on road dogs that were a road dog of 3 or more in their last game vs an opponent that also was a road dog in week 16. These road dogs are 14-2 ats since 1989 and the subset makes it perfect. Another solid system plays against home favorites of 4 or more that allowed 40 or more last week and scored less than 30 if they won 12 or more of their last 32 games. Division favorites perform poorly off a division game where they allowed 35 or more on the road and are off an ats loss of 10 or more. Atlanta is in the playoffs and will win this game but Tampa wants to get last weeks blowout off their mind and will play this game much closer than anticipated. Atlanta is 3-10 ats at home vs the BUCS and and 1-5 ats vs an opponent that is off 4 or more straight up and ats losses. Take Tampa Today.
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01-01-12 | Tennessee Titans v. Houston Texans +2 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Early action the NFL power System play is on the Houston Texans. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. Houston? Their locked into the 3 seed and have nothing to play for and the Titans have 45-7 home loss revenge. Not to worry. Home teams in week 17 that were road favorites last week vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home are 26-7 ats since 1989. Yeah but what if their a home dog? Well, these home dogs are Perfect having covered every time. The Texans get wide receiver Andre Johnson back today while Titans running back C. Johnson is doubtful. The Texans are 40 yards better on offense and 75 yards better on defense. the Titans are 2-6 ats vs winning teams in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years and 1-4 ats with revenge. The Texans are 6-1 straight up and ats when the total is 35.5 to 42 and 4-1 ats vs winning teams. Take what you can get for points, but Houston likely wins this one outright. Take Houston
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12-31-11 | Virginia v. Auburn -3 | 24-43 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Chick Fila Play is on Auburn. Game 246 at 7:30 eastern. Auburn has fallen off the map since last years National Championship win. However Defending champs are a solid 5-1 off a loss of 10 or more in bowl games. Another fine system is to play on teams with a worse record when favored as these teams have delivered big over the last several bowl seasons. Both teams come in off blowout losses. However Virginia was shut out last out and teams who were shutout prior to their bowl games are 1-11 straight up and and have failed to cover in 9 of the last 10. With Auburn 11-3 straight up in bowl games we will back them here tonight. Take Auburn.
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12-31-11 | Cincinnati +2 v. Vanderbilt | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Bowl Dog is on Cincinnati. Game 243 at 3:30 eastern. The Bearcats get Starting Qb Zach Collaeros back for this one and they have some solid angles in play for today. Cincy fits a solid rushing road dog system here today and Vandy fits a negative bowl system that plays against favorites that won less than 4 games last season. Coaches in their first year as a bowl favorite have failed to cover 14 of the last 20 times vs an opponent off a win. Vandy has lost 5 of their 6 games vs opposing bowl teams this season and perhaps the stat I like most in this game is that Vandy is 1-12 straight up vs teams over .500. Big East conference teams have won and covered 7 of the last 8 vs the SEC. Cincy takes it in a lild upset. Take Cincinnati.
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12-31-11 | Texas A&M v. Northwestern +10 | 33-22 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Bowl play is on Northwestern. Game 238 at 12 noon eastern. Texas A@m fits a multitude of systems that play against pre New years day favorites or more than 7, especially when coming off a loss. Northwestern fits a solid Bowl angle that plays on Big 10 teams provided they are not -10 or more or+14.5 or more and their opponent is not off a win of 6 or more or off a road favored win and ats loss. Big 12 favorites off an ats loss at -7 or more are just 6-18 ats and Northwestern has covered 4 straight as a bowl dog of more than 8 and the Aggies are 1-9 straight up in bowl games. Look for Northwestern to get the cover here in early action.
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12-30-11 | Iowa +14 v. Oklahoma | 14-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
On Friday the Insight Bowl Selection is on IOWA. Game 235 at 10:00 eastern. There is a big system in this game that plays on Certain Big 10 Teams provided they are not -10 or more or +14 or more and have less than 43 days rest vs a big 12 teams that not off a win of 6 or more or a road favored win and spread loss.. Big 10 Dogs of 6 or more are 12-5 ats and Iowa is 6-1 ats in Bowl games. Oklahoma fits 3 big system that pertain to bowl favorites of 8 or more prior to New Years day. The Sooners have a suspect defense and I look for Iowa to hang around in this one. Take Iowa plus the points.
On Friday the NCAAB Dog with Bite is on Santa Clara. Game 862 at 11:20 eastern. Wagner has had a nice run knocking off Pittsburgh as a 13 point dog and Airforce last night. Now they play the no rest in a true road game and they are 6-17 with no rest and have lost 17 of 25 vs winning teams. Santa Clara is a solid home team winning here last night by 20 and shooting over 50%. Thye are 8-0 here winning by 20 per game. Take the points as Santa Clara is the a dog with bite. |
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12-30-11 | Wake Forest +7 v. Mississippi State | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
On Friday the Music City Bowl play is on Wake Forest. Game 233 at 6:40 eastern. We want to play against Bowl favorites of more than 6 that won their last bowl game and are not off 4 favored wins vs an opponent that is not off a road favored win and ats loss, as these bowl favs go down in flames over 90% of the time. This is a matchup of two teams that are 6-6. Miss. St is a 7 point favorite mainly because they are an SEC Team and these teams have been over valued in these bowl games. Miss. ST though is 1-4 straight up vs ACC Teams and these two are very similar statistically. ACC Dog are 14-2 ats off a loss and Music City dogs are 9-3 straight up. Look for Wake Forest to get the cover here tonight.
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12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State +1 | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
On Friday the Afternoon Bowl Play is on Iowa St. Game 232 at 3:30 eastern. The Cyclones have several solid systems that apply in this game. Neutral Dogs of less than 5 with rest off a road dog loss and cover are 10-3 straight up and ats since 1980. Pre New Years day favorites than won 8 or less and average 121 yards per game or less vs an opponent that averages 140 or more yards rushing are 2-17 ats. Iowa St has won both times over the years vs Big East teams . In fact Big East teams are 3-10 ats vs an opponent off a loss in bowl games. The Cyclones plays a tougher schedule from a tougher conference. Look for them to get the win here today. Tale Iowa St.
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12-29-11 | Washington +10 v. Baylor | 56-67 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
On Thursday the guaranteed Alamo Bowl Power system play is on Washington. Game 227 at 9:00 eastern. Baylor fits a bevy of negative systems here tonight. We want to play against Heisman trophy winning teams when they are favored by 7 or more as they have covered just 1 in the last 11 tries. A secondary system plays on neutral dogs from +5 to +10 off a home favored win vs an opponent also off a home win. These teams have covered 16 of 21 the last 31 years. Another top ties system is to play on dogs that won a bowl game last season vs an opponent that won 8 or less last season. Air Force just covered in this identical system yesterday. The Huskies are 6-0 ats as a dog this season and 5-0 ats off 2+ weeks rest. Baylor is 1-3 ats with rest and comes in off a trio of satisfying wins, the last a big win over Texas. Big 12 Favorites of 7 or more are 6-18 ats and 0-7 ats at -7 or more vs PAC 12 Teams. In closing dogs from 4 to 11 have been solid investments from December 25 th through December 31st. Take the points with Washington.
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12-29-11 | Notre Dame +3.5 v. Florida State | 14-18 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Bowl Power System play is on Notre Dame. Game 225 at 5:30 eastern. FSU fits a tremendous power system that plays against Pre New Years Day favorites that won 8 or less games and average less that 122 yards rushing, vs an opponent that averages over 140 yards on the ground, as this plays hand and hand with another System for dogs with The Rushing advantage. Notre Dame has won 5 of 6 on a neutral field and has covered 3 of the last 4 off a bye week. When installed as a dog they have covered 6 of the last 8. Florida St has dropped 4 of the last 5 in games vs Notre Dame and has Lost EVERY game vs 666 or better teams going 0-4 straight up and ats.. In a game with 2 8-4 teams we will back Notre Dame plus the points.
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12-28-11 | Toledo v. Air Force OVER 70.5 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Bowl total is on the Over in Toledo and Air Force game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 4:30 eastern. This game fits a fantastic totals system that plays to the over for bowl games with a total of 69 or more if both offenses and at least one defense in the game allows and gains over 400 yards. Both teams can light up the score board and have suspect defenses. Both teams average over 200 yards per game on the ground so even gusty winds wont slow these two down. Toledo has played over in 10 of 13 vs winning teams including 5 of 6 this season. In games off a conference win 12 of 14 have played over. Air Force has gone over in 8 of 11 this season and all 4 as a dog. This one soars over the total.
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12-27-11 | Louisville v. North Carolina State -125 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Bowl system winner is on NC. St. Game 220 at 8:00 eastern. NC. St fits a 17-0 system that is 16-1 ats and plays on favorites of less than 4 with less than 39 days rest off a win and scored 46 or more points in their last game. ACC Teams have covered 15 of the last 20 bowl games vs Big East teams. NC. St has won 3 of the last 4 vs Big East teams. Louisville fits a negative system that plays against teams coming in off back to back dog wins. In a battle of two teams that were 7-5 we will back the teams with the big system and comes from the tougher conference. Take NC. St.
On Tuesday the NCAAB Play is on Pittsburgh. Game 543 at 7:00 eastern. The Panthers come in here fitting a big system that pertains to their home favored loss as a double digit favored loss to NEC School Wagner. The Panthers too Wagner lightly and were burned 58-53 in what was Wagners first win over a Big East School Notre Dame catches Pitt at the worst time here as the Panthers are 8-2 after scoring 60 or less, 7-2 on Tuesday and 5-2 vs winning teams. When coming off a non conference game they are 11-2 and have won 17 of the last 20 in December and 4 of 5 after allowing 60 or less. Notre Dame coasted in a non lined game vs Sacred Heart shooting 61%. They wont shoot that high in this one. The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ats in lined games this season and are not as good as in previous years as they are under .500 vs winning teams and have 5 losses already. Look for Pittsburgh to get the win. |
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12-27-11 | Western Michigan +3 v. Purdue | 32-37 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the College Bowl system play is on Western Michigan. Game 217 at 4:00 eastern. Western Michigan is a flat out better team here today,and fit a solid Rushing dog system. Purdue will be playing without their starting Running back and has lost 6 of their last 8 bowl games. The BIG 10 conference is 1-6 ats as a favorite of -2 or more vs teams off back to back wins. These teams are even on defense but Western Michigan has the edge on offense. Look for them to get the win. Take the points here with Western Michigan.
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12-26-11 | Atlanta Falcons +7 v. New Orleans Saints | 16-45 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
On Monday night Football the play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Falcons have been chomping at the bit since losing in overtime at home vs The Saints on a game where they went for it from their own 25 on 4th and 1 in overtime and were stuffed. They know exactly what to expect from the Saints and have played them tough here over the years winning here last season and covering 14 of the last 19 here. The Falcons and Saints have played some tight games and this one should be close as well. The Falcons are 9-1 ats in the final 4 weeks of the season and 16-3 ats as a dog with revenge and 8-0 ats as a road dog of less than 10 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more. Atlanta has covered the last 7 times in their final road game. The Saints are 3-16 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and come in the hottest team in the league with 6 straight wins and covers. While I wont call for the upset I do think Atlanta can hang in here. Take the points with Atlanta.
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12-26-11 | North Carolina +6 v. Missouri | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
On Monday the Independence Bowl power system side is on the North Carolina Tarheels. Game 215 at 5:00 eastern. In a battle of evenly matched 7-5 teams we side with the dog here. This game fits one of my better Bowl systems that play against favorites from-1.5 to 8.5 with less than 43 days rest and 3 or more wins if they are not off an ats loss of 8 or more and the opponent is not off a shutout win. That system has cashed 23 of 27 times. Another secondary system plays against bowl favorites with less than 8 wins and 20 or more days rest if they won at leas their last 3 games. Big 12 favorites off an ats loss are 5-18 ats and 0-9 ats off a win of 8 or more. Dogs of +4 to +11 from 12-25 to 12-31 have been solid the last few seasons. The Tar Heels have covered 6 of the last as a bowl dog and are 4-0 straight up vs non conference teams this season. Missouri is 2-9 ats in December an has lost 4 of the last with rest. Look for North Carolina to get the cash today
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12-25-11 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 43 | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 35 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the under on the Chicago at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 129/130 at 8:30 eastern. The Packers are in a big Bubble burst situation that applies to teams that are undefeated after week 12 of the season than come in off their first loss. The Packers really struggled last week on offense with he loss of Jennings and some banged offensive lineman. They may play better this week, However the Bears are still playing decent defense. On Offense the Bears are a mess as C. Hanie has wrecked the playoff chances with his inept play. Now they are without WR Sam Hurd who is out on drug trafficking charges, cause he doesn't make enough money as a Pro football player. They will once again be without lead running back M. Forte. The Packers will look to straighten out a defense that isn't close to where it was statistically last year. The Bears are 0-16 to the Under as a road dog of more than 3 off a loss and have gone under in 19 of 26 as a dog,including 12 of 16 as a road dog from +10.5 to +14. The last 6 meetings between these two have played under. Last year the Packers won here 10-3. Look for another low scoring game between these two. Take the Under.
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12-24-11 | Nevada +7 v. Southern Mississippi | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 91 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the Bowl System power play winner is on Nevada. Game 213 at 8:00 eastern. Nevada fits a solid 24-4 Bowl system here tonight. We want to play against favorites like SO. Miss at -6 or more that won a bowl game if they are not off 4 favored wins and their opponent is not off a conference road favored win and ats loss. Bowl favorites prior to New Years day from -1.5 to -8.5 with less than 43 days rest off 3+ wins and not off an ats loss of 8 or more vs an opponent not off a shut out win allowing 3 or less have covered 96% long term. Neutral favorites like SO. Miss off a +10 or more dog win have failed to cover nearly 80% of the time. Conference USA teams off a win of 10 or more vs an opponent off a win are 3-14 ats. Nevada is a better rushing dog and will get the cash here tonight. Take the points with Nevada.
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12-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks +2 | 19-17 | Push | 0 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Divisional Power system side is on Seattle. Game 126 at 4;15 eastern. The Seahawks are hot and fit a plethora of solid systems that are based on last weeks road dog win in Chicago. We want to play on home dogs in division play that scored 20 or back to back vs an opponent off a win, secondly home dogs of 3 or less off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home favored win and allowed 10 or less points. Seattle won here last years 31-6 as the home team has dominated the series of late. The Hawks are 6-0 ats in their last home game and P. Carroll has covered all 4 times as a division home dog. They have covered 8 of 10 in conference and despite the records the Sea Hawks average 8 yards less on offense and allow just 16 yards more on defense than the Niners. SF is 1-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less and 0-3 off Monday night football. With Seattle 11-2 ats at home in December with Revenge off a non division game, and the Niners off a satisfying home win vs the Steelers we will back the Seahawks today. Take Seattle.
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12-24-11 | NY Giants +3 v. NY Jets | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Blowout Side is on the Steelers. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers? Charlie Batch is in not Rothlisberger. Two words. Kellen Clemens. Clemens will struggle big time on the road vs this defense and may have multiple turnovers. He may be the most inept Qb in the league. The Steelers fit s Blowout system that plays on winning teams at -3 or more off a loss and scored 6 or less. The Steelers and Batch will have an easier time ,moving the ball against a Rams team at home than they did vs the Niners on the road. They are alive and can win the division and should coast here in this one against a Rams team that is 1-6 straight up and ats on the road. Take the Steelers here.
On Saturday the NFL Dog with bite is on the NY. Giants. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-3 system that plays on road dogs off a home favored loss and a prior road dog win if they lost ats by 15 or more and they are +6 or less. Giants are 4-0 ats in the series and gave covered 80% of the time on the road vs an opponent that lost by 10 or more. The Giants are 7-0 ats after The Redskins and the Jets are 0-8 ats as a December favorite if both teams are off losses. Also of note. Game 15 teams in their last home game that lost by 10 or more 28-4 ats vs certain opponents. Look for the Giants to take this one. On Saturday the Power System play is on the Bengals. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against last road games that played 2 or more straight home games and were favored by 6 or more last out. Arizona has failed to cover in 5 of 7 off back to back wins and may have a tough time here with a staunch Cincy defense. Look for the Bengals to get this one and keep themselves alive for a wild card spot. Back the Bengals. |
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12-22-11 | Houston Texans -6 v. Indianapolis Colts | 16-19 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL play is on Houston. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. There are 3 solid systems in play here tonight. Road favorites that scored 14 or less at home vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog have covered 5 of 6 since 1989 winning by an average 13 points. Home dogs that scored 21 or more as a home dog and had 200 or more yards rushing are 0-7 straight up with just one spread win. Finally home dogs that scored 21 or more and had 100 or less yards passing are 0-5 and lose by 12 points per game. Teams who get their first win after game 10 of the regular season have lost 10 straight in the next game. The Colts have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 in the 2nd of back to back homers. Houston should bounce back here tonight as they are 5-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win and have covered 9 of the last 12 off a favored loss. With the Texans 6-0 straight up and ats with a 35.5 to 42 points total we will back them here tonight. Take the Texans.
On Thursday the NCAAB Blowout Play is on Weber. St. Game 638 at 9:00 eastern. Weber St does not have great numbers all time vs Utah. However that was when Utah was on of the best programs in the nation. Now they find themselves in the midst of another mediocre season at 3-8. In their road games they have been terrible losing by an average 82-59 score. They have lost 13 of 14 vs teams who score 77 or more and take on a Weber. St team that has won and covered their last 3 at home when the total is 135 to 140 and is 5-0 winning by an average 92-65 score. Looks like along night for Utah. Take Weber. ST |
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12-22-11 | Arizona State +14.5 v. Boise State | 24-56 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
On Thursday the College Bowl game of the Month is on Arizona St. Game 211 AT 8:00 Eastern. ASU fits a Bevy of Solid Power Bowl systems here. Not to mention they are the first team to come into a bowl game off 4 STRAIGHT UP FAVORED LOSSES. In recent times there have been 3 teams since 1978 come in off 3 favored losses. All of them won. Favorites of more than 6 that won a bowl games last year and are Not off 4 favored wins are 7-24 ats vs an opponent not off a road favored win and ats loss. Bowl dogs of more than 7 Before New Years day also hit at a very high rate. Since 1981 Bowl dogs off a straight up favored loss vs a team with at least one loss that comes in off 2+ wins with the last one by 6 or more are 28-3 ats. One parameter for My eyes only take this to 24-0. Bowl dogs off 3+ losses are 16-4 ats the last 32 years. The Sun Devils are 5-1 straight up vs MWC Teams and 7-2 straight up on Thursday. When they take on winning teams they have covered 8 of the last 11 and 3 of the last 4 with rest. Boise may not have much interest in this one as their reward for 1 loss by 1 point is bowl game vs a 6-6 team in a non New Years day bowl game. They are 0-6 ats off a conference game and have lost 8 of the last 13 vs PAC 12 Teams. In fact PAC 12 teams are 7-0 ats as a dog of 9 or more and 17-1 ats off a straight up ats loss vs an opponent off a win and scored 30 or more. if Arizona St doesn't cover this game they will have bucked a huge amount of power system angles and team trends. I'm thinking they will cover here and send coach Erickson off with a solid effort. Take the Points with Arizona St.
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12-21-11 | Louisiana Tech +9.5 v. TCU | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the College Bowl Power System Side is on LA. Tech. Game 209 at 8:00 eastern. LA. Tech fits 2 solid system here tonight. We want to play against favorites like TCU of more than 6 points that won their last bowl games and are not off 4 or more favored wins, vs anopponent not off a road favored win and ats loss. This system has cashed 24 of 31 times. The second system plays on neutral dogs from +5 to +10 off a home favored win vs an opponent off a home favored win and ats loss. These dogs have covered 15 of 18 times since 1979. Finally December Dogs of 7.5 or higher have been a solid investement the past several seasons. LA. Tech is 7-0 ats as a dog, 9-2 ats vs winning teams and 4-1 ats off a bye. TCU is 4-9 ats in non conference games and 0-4 ats in neutral field games. Look for LA. Tech to get the cash. Take LA. Tech plus the points tonight.
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12-20-11 | Florida International -4 v. Marshall | 10-20 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Double System Beef O Brady Bowl play is on Florida International. Game 207 at 8:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against any favorite or dog of 4 or less that comes in having allowed 30 or more points per game. These teams rarely win and are perfect play against teams. Teams From the MAC Conference are horrible bowl dogs 2-15 straight up and 4-13 ats. Bowl favorites of 4 or less are a solid 21-3 straight up and 20-4 ats from December 15th through December 24 th Bowl games. FIU is better on both sides of the ball and played a better schedule. Look for them to get the win and cover here tonight.
On Tuesday the NCAAB Power Angle play is to go over the total in the Northeastern at LA. Tech game. Northeastern has played over in 17 of 23 when the total is 130 to 140 including all 3 times this season. In games off 3+ spread losses 16 of 22 have flown over the total. LA. Tech has played over in 8 of 10 has a home dog of 3 or less and 7 of the last 10 in December including 3 straight this season. In non conference games 13 of 20 have gone over the total and 3 of 4 as a dog this season. LA. Tech home games have averaged 148 points and Northeastern Road games are averaging 142 points so there looks to be some value here tonight. Take these two over the total. |
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12-19-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers | 3-20 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Super Side is on the Steelers. Game 331 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit a Magnificent system that plays on Teams who play .700 or better ball coming off a Thursday win vs an opponent off a loss. Pittsburgh has statistical edges of 60 yards better on offense and 30 yards better on defense. They have plenty to play for as they try and Capture the AFC North. Monday night football has been their cup of tea as they have won 24 of 32 to start the week. They have done well vs the NFC West winning 15 of the last 22. San Francisco has come back to earth the past few weeks after the hot start. The Niners are 3-10 ats off a division game 0-3 in that role this year. We have not has a dog cover in awhile on Monday night football. Tonight we should get one. Big Ben is playing and were on the Steelers.
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12-18-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Diego Chargers +3 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Late Power Play is on the Chargers. Game 330 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers have come alive since the news of Norv Turners imminent departure. This however is not new. The Chargers with Rivers are 22-1 in December and qualify in a huge power system that pertains to home dogs that were winning teams last year in the last quarter of the season. The Chargers are also 9-0 ats as dogs off back to back wins and 7-0 in game 14. The Ravens are 0-11 ats as a non division road favorite off back to back wins vs an opponent that is .500 or less. Norv Turner is in one of his better roles here as he is 5-0 ats as a dog off back to back wins with the last one by 13 or more. The Ravens are a good team but showed in the Jacksonville game that they can get flat in a big spot. Look for The Chargers to ground the Ravens. Take San Diego.
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12-18-11 | Cleveland Browns +7 v. Arizona Cardinals | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
Late play on Browns
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12-18-11 | Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders +2 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dog Power Pack is on Cleveland. Game 327 at 4:15 eastern and Oakland. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Starting with the Browns we note that they are 6-1 Ats as dogs of 13 or less off back to back losses vs an opponent off back to back wins. Arizona is just 1-9 ats as non divisional favorites of 7 or less and have failed to cover in 7 of 8 in December games as a favorite. There is also a solid 15-2 system that plays against Arizona and any home favorite of -7 or more in a Sunday or Monday game with a total of 45 or less if its their 3rd straight homer with no bye week in between. This system is 15-3 long term playing against these favorites. Arizona may bounce here off the big Back to back home dog wins and the Browns have the Extra rest coming off the Thursday nighter. In the Oakland game we note that home dogs of less than 5 off a road loss and allowed 40 or more and had a prior ats loss, vs an opponent not a home favored win. These home dogs are Winners winning the game straight up 13 of 16 times since 1980 going 14-2 ats in the process. The Lions have lost the last 14 years in game 14 of the season. Look for Oakland to bounce back here take the Raiders.
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12-18-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Kansas City Chiefs +14.5 | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 308 at 1:00 eastern. Many will think this game will be a Blowout for The Packers based on their undefeated record and blowout win last week vs Oakland and adding in the fact that KC Was blown out in New York by the Jets. Last weeks game resulted in Coach Haley getting fired. Today will be a different story as KC is getting a ton of points here at home and qualify in some monster systems. KC in fact is in the exact system the Rams were in when they were winless and beat the Saints. We want to play against road favorites from -10.5 to -15 in non conference games if they are off a home favored win anc cover, vs an opponent off a road dog los and failed cover. These road favorites are 1-15 ats since 1980. Additionally we want to play on Home dogs of 10 or more with a total of 40 or more that scored 21 or less on the road vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game. This system illustrated for you today is 19-1 ats since 1989 and we note that the home dogs stay in the game losing by a 24-23 average score. I can make this system perfect by insisting the road favorite passed for 250 or more yards in the last game taking the system to a perfect 15-0 ats. To sprinkle in some angles we note that the Chiefs are 10-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite of 7 or more in their last game. The Packers are just 3-7 ats as a favorite of -11 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss in their last game. This game is a potential flat spot for the Packers who will win this game, probably in similar fashinon to the way the won the Carolina game. The Chiefs K. Orton is probable for this one and I expect the Chiefs defense to rise up and play like they did in a close loss to the Steelers as an 11 point dog a few weeks back on Sunday night football. In closing I look for a close game. A classic win and no cover here. Take the Points with Kansas City.
SU: 9-12-0 (-1.2) ATS: 19-1-1 (11.1) O/U: 14-7-0 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 29.7 142.7 30.4 17.9 195.7 1.7 3.0 8.3 5.0 6.5 23.0 Opp: 24.8 103.3 36.3 23.5 259.7 1.6 5.1 6.4 6.1 6.5 24.2 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 13 1992 IND BUF H 0-0 3-3 0-7 10-3 16-13 +17 +41 3 +20 -12 4.0 -16.0 W W U 1 SUN 5 1995 WAS DAL H 3-10 17-0 7-3 0-10 27-23 +13 +44' 4 +17 +5' 11.2 -5.8 W W O 0 SUN 17 1995 ATL SF H 3-14 13-7 6-0 6-6 28-27 +10 +48' 1 +11 +6' 8.8 -2.2 W W O 0 SUN 5 1997 ATL DEN H 0-15 7-8 7-6 7-0 21-29 +11' +43 -8 +3' +7 5.2 1.8 L W O 0 SUN 9 1998 CIN DEN H 3-3 9-3 0-7 14-20 26-33 +11' +49 -7 +4' +10 7.2 2.8 L W O 0 SUN 15 1998 BAL MIN H 14-12 0-13 0-10 14-3 28-38 +10 +45' -10 0 +20' 10.2 10.2 L P O 0 SUN 8 2000 CIN DEN H 0-7 10-7 7-0 14-7 31-21 +10 +43 10 +20 +9 14.5 -5.5 W W O 0 SUN 16 2000 CIN JAC H 0-0 0-7 7-7 10-0 17-14 +10 +41 3 +13 -10 1.5 -11.5 W W U 0 SUN 17 2003 DET STL H 3-0 7-20 17-0 3-0 30-20 +11 +45 10 +21 +5 13.0 -8.0 W W O 0 SUN 14 2004 TEX IND H 0-14 7-0 7-3 0-6 14-23 +10 +57 -9 +1 -20 -9.5 -10.5 L W U 0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 7 2005 TEX IND H 0-7 14-7 0-10 6-14 20-38 +14' +44' -18 -3' +13' 5.0 8.5 L L O 0 MON 13 2007 BAL NE H 7-3 3-7 7-7 7-10 24-27 +20 +49' -3 +17 +1' 9.2 -7.8 L W O 0 SUN 14 2007 DET DAL H 10-0 10-14 7-0 0-14 27-28 +10' +51' -1 +9' +3' 6.5 -3.0 L W O 0 SUN 6 2009 RAI PHI H 7-3 3-3 0-0 3-3 13-9 +14 +40' 4 +18 -18' -0.2 -18.2 W W U 0 SUN 10 2009 STL NO H 0-0 14-14 3-7 6-7 23-28 +13' +50' -5 +8' +0' 4.5 -4.0 L W O 0 SUN 13 2009 CLE SD H 7-10 0-3 0-14 16-3 23-30 +13 +43 -7 +6 +10 8.0 2.0 L W O 0 SUN 15 2009 STL TEX H 0-3 10-3 3-7 0-3 13-16 +13 +43' -3 +10 -14' -2.2 -12.2 L W U 0 SUN 7 2011 MIN GB H 7-7 10-6 0-20 10-0 27-33 +10 +46' -6 +4 +13' 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 SUN 8 2011 STL NO H 0-0 17-0 7-7 7-14 31-21 +13' +48' 10 +23' +3' 13.5 -10.0 W W O 0 SUN 15 2011 KC GB H +14' +46 |
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12-17-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Power System Play is on Tampa Bay. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Bucs have been a bust this season. However as we saw a few weeks back in their win vs the Saint they can rise to the occasion. They are taking a touchdown here in this one vs a Dallas team that blew 2 straight games after having a lead in the 4th quarter. Now we add this tight system that plays on teams with at least one win in a non division game if they are +6.5 or more and come in off a non division loss vs an opponent off a division loss. These dogs are 23-3 ats, and I can make it perfect with a parameter or two. Dallas has to win vs Philly and the Giants. This game win or lose doesn't help or hurt them. Dallas is 1-17 ats as a non division favorite in the last 4 games of the season, while Tampa Bay is 9-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite in at leas their last 2 games. The Bucs are also 10-1 straight up and 11-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off back to back losses.. Take the Points with Tampa Bay
On Saturday the late Bowl game is on UL. Lafayette. Game 205 at 9:00 eastern. UL LAF. Applies to a solid system that plays on neutral dogs of less than 5 that come in with rest and off a road dog loss and ats win. These teams have won and covered 9 of 12 times since 1980. They are 7-0 ats as a dog and 2-0 vs winning teams this season. Even better they like the fake stuff going 10-3 ats, 4-1 this season on Turf. Sd. St is just 1-4 straight up with rest and 1-4 vs winning teams. They have lost 3 of their last 4 bowls, while we note that Sun Belt dogs have covered 4 of the last 5.. Take UL. Lafayette. |
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12-17-11 | Utah State v. Ohio +1.5 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
On Saturday the 96% Bowl power system side is On Ohio U. Game 204 at 5:30 eastern. Ohio U. comes in off a Conference Championship loss which sets then up in a solid system as we play on these Conference Championship Game losers if they are a favorite or dog of 4 or less and are playing .700 or better ball and scored 7 or more in their loss. On top of that is another sweet system that plays against favorites like Utah St that won 4 or less last season vs an opponent that won 4 or more last season. The Bobcats are 5-1 straight up with rest, 8-0 ats vs winning teams off an ats win, 3-1 vs the WAC and have won 6 of 8 when the line is +3 to -3. Lastly bowl favorites that allow 28 or more that have not been to a bowl in 2+ seasons have covered just once long term. WAC Bowl favorites are a terrible failure losing to the spread 21 of 29 times. Ohio is the play
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12-17-11 | Temple v. Wyoming +7 | 37-15 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Bowl system side is on Wyoming. Game 202 at 2:00 eastern. There are a few solid systems that pertain to this game. Since 1980 we want to play against bowl favorites off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent off a road win. If these favorites are -7 or less our dog covers 10 of 12 times. Another solid system is to play on teams off a road favored win and ats loss. Wyoming has covered 4 of 5 this season vs winning teams and 3 of the last 4 with 2 weeks or more rest. As a dog from +3.5 to 10 they are 5-1 ats. Their Coach Christensen has been particularly effective as a dog of less than 3 touchdowns, covering every time if off a win. MAC Bowlers like Temple are 3-11 straight up and 2-10 ats. Pre New Years day Bowl favorites have been poor investments over the years. Look for Wyoming to get the win and cover.
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12-15-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 42 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL power Total is on the Over in Jaguars at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits the big power system below, which plays to the over for home favorites of 10 or more that scored 28 or more as a road favorite if they are not playing before a bye week and are taking on an opponent that scored 21 or more at home on their last game. This system cashes 17 of 19 times. If we insist the home team scores 21 or more the system goes to 17-1. With Atlanta averaging 25 points per game at home and taking on an under .500 team they should get to 21 here. The Falcons have gone over every time at home in Thursday night football games. The Jags are 6-0 over before meetings with the Titans and have flown over in 5 of 6 off a non conference game. In December games the Jags have played over in 6 of the last 9. Look for this one to get over the total tonight.
O/U: 17-2 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 31.4 139.5 34.6 22.2 283.9 1.8 7.0 12.7 5.8 10.0 35.6 Opp: 21.3 85.9 36.4 20.7 215.6 2.2 5.7 4.8 3.4 5.1 18.9 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 14 1994 SF ATL H 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13 +47' 36 +23 +16' 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0 SUN 2 1995 DAL DEN H 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10 +44 10 0 +8 4.0 4.0 W P O 0 SUN 6 1995 RAI SEA H 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10 +39' 20 +10 +8' 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0 MON 16 1995 SF MIN H 21-0 6-20 3-7 7-3 37-30 -13' +47 7 -6' +20 6.8 13.2 W L O 0 SUN 15 1996 SF CAR H 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10 +37' -6 -16 +16' 0.2 16.2 L L O 0 SUN 17 1996 GB MIN H 7-7 3-3 14-0 14-0 38-10 -11 +38' 28 +17 +9' 13.2 -3.8 W W O 0 SUN 3 1997 NE NYJ H 14-7 0-3 3-7 7-7 27-24 -10 +45 3 -7 +6 -0.5 6.5 W L O 1 SUN 5 1998 DEN PHI H 28-0 7-2 6-0 0-14 41-16 -14' +43' 25 +10' +13' 12.0 1.5 W W O 0 SUN 7 1998 SF IND H 0-14 17-7 0-10 17-0 34-31 -17 +44' 3 -14 +20' 3.2 17.2 W L O 0 SUN 10 1998 JAC CIN H 10-0 14-0 0-3 0-8 24-11 -10' +47 13 +2' -12 -4.8 -7.2 W W U 0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 14 1998 DEN KC H 7-21 14-0 0-7 14-3 35-31 -13' +47 4 -9' +19 4.8 14.2 W L O 0 SUN 3 2000 STL SF H 3-7 14-10 7-0 17-7 41-24 -16' +57 17 +0' +8 4.2 3.8 W W O 0 SUN 6 2001 STL NYG H 6-7 3-0 0-0 6-7 15-14 -10' +45' 1 -9' -16' -13.0 -3.5 W L U 0 SUN 17 2001 STL IND H 7-7 28-7 0-3 7-0 42-17 -13 +59 25 +12 0 6.0 -6.0 W W P 0 MON 6 2005 IND STL H 0-17 14-3 10-0 21-8 45-28 -13' +51 17 +3' +22 12.8 9.2 W W O 0 SUN 5 2007 NE CLE H 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16' +48 17 +0' +3 1.8 1.2 W W O 0 SUN 8 2007 NE WAS H 7-0 17-0 14-0 14-7 52-7 -16 +49 45 +29 +10 19.5 -9.5 W W O 0 SUN 11 2007 DAL WAS H 0-7 7-3 7-3 14-10 28-23 -10 +47 5 -5 +4 -0.5 4.5 W L O 0 SUN 12 2009 SD KC H 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13' +45 29 +15' +12 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0 THUR 15 2011 ATL JAC H -11' +42 |
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12-12-11 | St Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 36.5 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Totals system is on the Over in the Rams At Sea Hawks game. Rotation numbers 133/134 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid systems that pertain to the Over. We want to play the over for teams that are meeting for the second time within they last 2-3 weeks and reverse the total of the first game. These two played a few weeks ago and the game went under. The second system pertains to road dogs of 10 or more off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing, and the opponent was a dog in the last game. This system has cashed all but one time the last 22 years and averages 47 points per game. The Rams are off a shutout loss and such teams have trended toward the over following the inept performance. The Rams have played over in 15 of 21 on the road on Monday night football, while the Hawks have flown over in 6 of the last 9 in December and 17 of 25 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38. On Monday nights Seattle has gone over in 5 of their 6 home games. Look for a higher scoring game than what many expect here tonight. Take the over.
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