Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-24-24 | Chattanooga v. Wofford +1.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Wofford is coming off a loss at UNC Greensboro which snapped a three-game winning streak and the Terriers are now 4-2 in the Southern Conference. The other loss was at Western Carolina by four points and the road has not been great with a 4-5 record but they have played a tough schedule away from home. Wofford returns home where it is 7-0 but not overly impressive with the three conference wins coming by just five points but the value is here. Chattanooga has won two straight and four of its last five games to move to 4-2 in the Southern Conference which is good for a four-wat tie for third place in the conference. Three of the four Mocs wins in the SoCon have come against three teams with a combined 3-15 record while the other came against Furman when the Paladins were still not at full strength. The two losses were by 15 and 16 points, one of those on the road at Samford where they are 4-5 with the other two wins coming in nonconference games at Louisville and Alabama A&M. 10* (696) Wofford Terriers |
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01-23-24 | Evansville +13.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the EVANSVILLE PURPLE ACES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. We are going contrarian with Northern Iowa which is off a non-cover win against Southern Illinois. It was an uneven start for Northern Iowa as it opened 2-6 but two of those losses were in overtime, another by a bucket and one against North Carolina. The Panthers have gone 9-2 since then with the losses at Toledo by four points and against Indiana St which is probably the top team in the Missouri Valley Conference. The run has swelled this number and Northern Iowa is also in a bad spot with games at Drake and Bradley up next, both of which are also in the mix at the top of the conference. Evansville has bottomed out after a strong start to the season as it opened 10-2 but has now lost six of its last seven games with the lone win coming against last place Valparaiso. The Purple Aces have failed to cover their last five games so this is a great contrarian spot despite the recent road struggles where they have lost all by double digits but did cover two of those. 10* (641) Evansville Purple Aces |
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01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +4 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana has dropped two straight games and four of its last five following an 8-1 run over its previous nine games and the Pacers return home following a six-game roadtrip. They are 13-8 at home and have been solid in this spot, going 4-2 straight up and against the number as a home underdog. It has been an awful stretch of defense where Indiana has allowed over 55 percent shooting over its last five games and the Pacers remain No. 26 in defensive efficiency but are much better at home. Denver handed the Celtics their first home loss of the season, snapping their 20-0 start to the season, two games back and followed that up with a lethargic win at Washington two nights later. The Nuggets have again had most of their success at home where they are 17-4 but come in 13-10 on the road which is good by most NBA standards but not necessarily when laying points. Denver is 11-7 when favored on the road yet covering only six of those 18 games. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Indiana Pacers |
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01-23-24 | West Virginia v. UCF -8 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. West Virginia came into Saturday with losses in four of its previous five games including a bad 14-point loss at Oklahoma but upended Kansas at home as a 10-point underdog and we all know what that means. This is not a good team to begin with but it caught lightning in a bottle and actually has been decent at home at 7-5 which is still not very good and now the Mountaineers hit the road where they are winless in six games including 0-2 in true road games. Those were both in the Big 12 Conference with the other coming against Houston by 44 points. Central Florida has been up and down in its first season in the conference as it has alternated losses and wins and the Knights are coming off their third Big 12 loss, falling in Houston by 15 points which actually was not a horrible result despite going the first 30 minutes of the game without making a two-point shot. They shot 15.9 percent from the floor and now back home where they are 8-3, the Knights face a much weaker defense. 10* (608) Central Florida Knights |
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01-23-24 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +3.5 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Pittsburgh is another team coming off a major upset on Saturday and this one was on the road as it won at Duke as a 12.5-point underdog. That snapped a two-game losing streak that included a 22-point home loss against Duke which shows this team is hit or miss as the Panthers live and die by the three-pointer. They shot 50 percent from long range this past Saturday after shooting 33 percent in that first meeting and that is their season average so they are typically not very good. Pittsburgh improved to 3-1 on the road and after the recent win, it is now overvalued. Georgia Tech has fallen to 9-9 after losing for the sixth time in its last seven games following a nine-point loss at home against Virginia on Saturday. The Yellow Jackets dropped to 5-4 at home as they have lost three straight games here but they do have solid home wins against Duke and Mississippi St. and this is certainly the time to buy low. This is a big one with two of the next three games on the road and the home game against North Carolina. 10* (634) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-22-24 | Idaho State v. Montana State -4.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTANA ST. BOBCATS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Montana St. had its two-game winning streak snapped with a loss against rival Montana to fall to 3-2 in the Big Sky Conference. The Bobcats remain home where they are 6-5 which is certainly not a great record but they need to bounce back here with this being their fourth straight home game and a two-game roadtrip on deck. Three of the other losses at home where by two of fewer possessions and all against teams ranked higher that the opponent tonight. One big factor for the overall record is that the Bobcats have faced teams with an average Adjusted Offensive Efficiency ranking of No. 115 and Idaho St. comes in ranked No. 265. The Bengals are also coming off a loss as they fell to Eastern Washington which halted a 3-1 run and a three-game cover streak. Idaho St. is now 2-4 in the conference and goes back on the road where it is 2-8 with the only wins coming against Campbell and Portland St. both of which are ranked lower than the Bobcats. This starts a tough stretch of four straight road games for the Bengals who have lost 10 straight meetings in this series. 10* (876) Montana St. Bobcats |
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01-22-24 | Celtics v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Ultimate Underdog. Dallas is coming off a loss in Los Angeles against the Lakers by 17 points and it has been a pretty average run so it is not surprise the Mavericks are getting points at home but based on the home/road splits of both teams, this is an overinflated number. Luka Doncic returned from his injury and was great but it was Kyrie Irving that was the big letdown as take away his 4-16 shooting performance and the Mavericks shot 50.7 percent so we can expect a better game from him against his former team. Dallas is back home where it is 13-9 and it is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games after a loss by 15 points or more. Boston shook off its first home loss of the season after starting 20-0 with a win over Houston on Sunday but it failed to cover the big number. The Celtics hit the road where they are 13-9 while going 8-12-2 against the number showing them being overvalued. They have gone just 2-2 this season playing with no rest on the road. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Dallas Mavericks |
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01-21-24 | Blazers v. Lakers -10.5 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Portland is coming off a win over Indiana which was its second straight underdog win which is just the second time the Blazers have won consecutive games since winning three in a row six games into the season. Portland hits the road where it is 5-17 and it is 0-7 on the season it road games coming off a home game, losing those seven games by an average of 13.7 ppg. The Lakers went on a 2-9 run but came back with wins in four of six to get some momentum going but are coming off a bad loss at home against Brooklyn by 18 points after blowing a 12-point lead. Los Angeles has gone 7-13 since winning the In-Season Tournament and even though it is against Portland tonight, it is a big game with seven of the next eight games taking place on the road. This is a great rebound spot as the Lakers are 22-9 in their last 31 games coming off a loss by 15 or more points. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 138-88 ATS (61.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (574) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -119 | 81 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Buffalo jumped on Pittsburgh early and coasted the rest of the way, playing a fairly conservative game in the win and cover. Buffalo struggled through the first half of the season and began 6-6 and many counted the Bills out at that point but they are peaking at the right time as they have won six straight games and finally get the Chiefs at home with the previous five meetings taking place in Kansas City even though Buffalo was able to win three of those. This is the best time to get Kansas City at home with this being the first true road playoff game for Patrick Mahomes after having his first 13 at home not counting the two Super Bowls and it is not an ideal time for this Chiefs offense that makes too many mistakes and has been the least efficient that we have seen in a while. The Bills defense suffered more injuries last week but they will get cornerback Rasul Douglas back who was held back last week even though he could have played. The Chiefs defense has carried this team all season as they are allowing 16.7 ppg but this is a Bills offense that will have answers and quarterback Josh Allen has thrived in these spots as he is 20-6-1 ATS in his career against teams that allowed fewer than 20 ppg. This line opened at 2.5 -115 and the juice has gone up slightly but the number has not hit 3 although that will likely happen once public money comes into play so best to get on it sooner rather than later. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 66-31 ATS (68 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (318) Buffalo Bills |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Detroit picked up a very emotional win last week over the Rams and while there is talk about the Lions coming in flat, this is not going to happen in a Divisional Playoff game. The Lions did enough on offense in the first half to sneak out the win against one of the best teams over the second half of the season and the Lions have a better matchup and remain at home where they are 7-2 with those two losses coming in games where they won the yardage battle in both but lost the turnover battle 3-0 in each game. The one concern is the Detroit defense that has regressed throughout the season and it has been lit up through the air over its last four games, allowing 323 or more yards in each one. However, that has not led to much scoring as the Lions have allowed an average of 21.8 ppg and this has been a significant improvement after giving up 26 or more points in their previous five games with an average of 29.8 ppg. Tampa Bay is ranked No. 20 in offensive DVOA and while it put up 32 points against the eagles last week, that defense did not show up and the Buccaneers put up 22 points in their previous two games against the Saints and Panthers. Tampa Bay played a soft schedule in the worst division in the league and it went 1-3 against the top ten in the NFL with the only win coming against Green Bay which was the only win on the road against a playoff team. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .455 and .550 off a win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (316) Detroit Lions |
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01-21-24 | Chattanooga v. East Tennessee State +1.5 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the EAST TENNESSEE ST. BUCCANEERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. East Tennessee St. fell to 1-4 in the Southern Conference, with a double digit win at home against Mercer and three losses on the road including a tough two-point loss at Wofford on Wednesday. That was the fourth road loss in five games but those were all against teams with at least 10 wins and the Buccaneers return to their home floor where they are a 6-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against 15-4 Western Carolina and includes an impressive win against Davidson. They are now catching the same amount at home as they were against the Catamounts. Chattanooga has won three of its last four games following a three-game losing streak and coming off a road win at Mercer to move to 2-5 in their last seven games on the highway. The other win was at Alabama A&M which is the second lowest ranked team in the country in Adjusted Efficiency which has been part of a soft schedule that is ranked No. 320 in the nation. This is a great example of a false favorite based on recent results that does not take a look at the whole picture. 10* (852) East Tennessee St. Buccaneers |
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01-21-24 | Wichita State +4.5 v. South Florida | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Wichita St. lost its sixth straight game after hard-fought loss at Florida Atlantic which dropped the Shockers to 0-4 in the American Athletic Conference. They did snap a 0-8 ATS run but there is still no interest in backing this team but there is value here now as well as a great road situation. There is very little difference here in terms of rankings and efficiency ratings despite Wichita St. playing a rough schedule that is ranked No. 69 in the country. The Shockers have a stretch of four straight winnable games to get them back into the conference race before a game at Memphis. South Florida improved to 3-1 in the AAC with a huge upset at Memphis on Thursday which snapped the Tigers 10-game winning streak and brings the letdown aspect after one of the biggest wins in the program in years. The Bulls are back home where they are 8-2 but the schedule has been in their favor which is ranked No. 306 in the nation. They have faced offenses ranked No. 313 in Adjusted Efficiency and face an offense that likes to push it with the Shockers No. 69 in Adjusted Tempo. 10* (837) Wichita St. Shockers |
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01-20-24 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco | Top | 77-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. San Francisco has been a top team in the West Coast Conference but has never been able to get all the way to the top and now off to a 4-0 start, the Dons could be feeling it. However, we are not sold quite yet. They went 11-4 in their nonconference games with all four losses against quality teams with the best win being either Minnesota or Seattle. The 4-0 conference record is against teams 2-14 in the WCC so the overall schedule rank of No. 318 has played a big part in the success. St. Mary's had a rough start to the season as it opened 3-5 including a 1-5 stretch but it was against a brutal nonconference portion of its schedule. The five losses came against Weber St., San Diego St., Xavier, Utah and Boise St. but since then, the Gaels have gone 10-1 which includes a 4-0 record in the conference and additionally, they are 4-0 in true road games. The Gaels have had a week off and with the start of San Francisco, they will be at full attention on the road. 10* (817) St. Mary's Gaels |
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01-20-24 | Washington v. Stanford -1.5 | Top | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our CBB Star Attraction. Washington was coming off a 2-1 homestand which included handing Arizona St. its first conference loss and the Huskies went to UCLA where they were never in it but followed that up with a last second victory over California on a three-pointer. This is now the third straight road game for the Huskies where they had lost three straight prior to the win over the Golden Bears and this is the ultimate letdown just two nights later. After an 8-3 start in the nonconference including a win over Gonzaga which is no longer looking as good, Washington is just 3-4 in Pac 12 Conference. Stanford is coming off a bad loss against Washington St. by 14 points as it did not score for the first 3:29 of the game and it never led. The Cardinal were slight home favorites as they were coming in 7-2 at home that included strong conference victories against Utah and Arizona and at 4-3 in the Pac 12, this is a big one with three road games up next including Arizona and Arizona St. 10* (814) Stanford Cardinal |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Star Attraction. This is the classic rest vs. rust argument as San Francisco is coming off its first round bye while sitting starters in its season finale against the Rams. The 49ers should be just fine as most important, they are as healthy as they have been all season and time off for an offense that is No. 1 in net DVOA and a defense that is No. 4 in net DVOA is not going to be affected. San Francisco ranked higher than Green Bay in seven of the eight major statistical categories with the only exception being passing yards allowed and that was minimal. While this is a big number, the last 10 San Francisco wins have come by at least 12 points. Green Bay came through for us last week in Dallas as it jumped ahead big early in the game and never looked back in the wire-to-wire win over the Cowboys. The Packers are playing their best football of the season but had a great matchup last week which is not the case this week. Quarterback Jordan Love continues to bring it as he is coming off another efficient performance with a 157.2 passer rating but faces a better equipped defense this week. The Packers have averaged 28 ppg over their last nine games so they come in confident and with momentum and they had the edge of getting out to that big start last week. on the other side, this is still the eighth worst defense in the league and Dallas failed to make adjustments yet the Green Bay defense was on the field for 89 snaps. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .455 and .550 off a win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (304) San Francisco 49ers |
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01-20-24 | Jazz v. Rockets -2 | Top | 126-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. As expected, Houston lost its last game of its recent roadtrip by 15 points to the Knicks to close 1-5 on the trek and the Rockets fell to 4-15 on the road. They return home where things have been different as they are 15-6 both straight up and against the number including an 8-2 record as favorites, covering eight of those games as well. It has not been as good of late after a great start in Houston but it is a big edge and they are laying a great number in a needed win with Boston coming to visit tomorrow. Utah was on a roll as it won six straight games while covering all of those but had the streak snapped on Thursday with a loss against Oklahoma City. The Jazz have been pretty similar as to playing to the venue as they are 15-6 at home but now they hit the road where they are 7-15 and while they have done a better job covering, most of the underdog numbers have been big. Utah has gone 108 ATS this season in nine road games immediately coming after a home game. Here, we play against road underdogs after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Houston Rockets |
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01-20-24 | Southern Illinois v. Northern Iowa -5.5 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Southern Illinois came through with the cover at home against Bradley but it ended up being a brutal one point loss. The Salukis led 45-24 at halftime but struggled down the stretch as Bradley reeled off a 13-4 run to close the game and sent the Salukis to a second straight loss following a six-game winning streak. The two recent losses came against two of the top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference and Southern Illinois hits the road off a disheartening loss and faces a third straight top level team. The Salukis are 2-2 on the road, the two wins against MVC teams a combined 3-11. It was an uneven start for Northern Iowa as it opened 2-6 but two of those losses were in overtime, another by a bucket and one against North Carolina. The Panthers have gone 8-2 since then with the losses at Toledo by four points and against Indiana St., arguably the best team in the conference at this points. A good number and a great home spot for the Panthers. 10* (790) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-20-24 | Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 52-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE for our Horizon Game of the Year. We lost with Green Bay on Thursday as it pulled off another upset and we are fading the Phoenix again which are playing on the road for the fifth time in their last six games. They improved to 7-2 in the Horizon League which is tied for first place with Oakland. Four of their conference wins have been at home and while they are off the upset against Wright St., the other two road wins were against IUPUI and Detroit, which are now a combined 2-15. Green Bay is on a 7-0 ATS run which adds value the other way and makes it a play against. Northern Kentucky has snapped a two-game slide with a pair of wins against Detroit on the road and Milwaukee at home to improve to 4-3 in the conference. It was a tough stretch for the Norse which played six of eight games on the road where they went 2-4 but the win over the Panthers got them to 7-1 at home with the only loss coming against 13-4 Akron by one point and this continues the stretch of six of seven at home. 10* (766) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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01-20-24 | BYU v. Texas Tech -1 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our Big 12 Game of the Month. BYU opened its first season in the Big 12 Conference with a pair of losses against Cincinnati and at Baylor but the Cougars recovered with a win at UCF followed up by a 15-point win at home against Iowa St. for their first conference home win. BYU hits the road again where it is 1-2 with the other loss coming at Utah which has been its only other loss on the season and now it heads to another tough environment. This is a sandwich spot coming off the win over the Cyclones and a home game with Houston on deck. Speaking of Houston, Texas Tech was in an awful spot as it hit the road to face the Cougars which were coming off a pair of road losses and the Red Raiders were no match in a 23-point loss. They are now 3-1 in the conference and at 14-3, the Red Raiders are where they are because of coaching after the hiring of Grant McCasland. Texas Tech is back home where it is 10-0 and in a great bounce back spot. 10* (750) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-20-24 | Cal-Irvine v. UC-Davis +2.5 | Top | 52-54 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the UC DAVIS AGGIES for our CBB Rivalry Rout. UC Irvine has taken the early lead in the Big West Conference as it is off to a 6-0 start following an 11-point home win over UC San Diego on Thursday. Four of the Anteaters conference wins have come at home and while the two road wins were by double digits, those were against Hawaii and CSU Bakersfield which are a combined 3-9 in the conference. Overall, they are 3-5 on the road with four of those losses coming against teams from the Mountain West Conference and they have another test here. UC Davis trails the Anteaters by half-game as it is 6-1 following a three-game winning streak that included a two-point win at CSU Fullerton on Thursday with the Aggies likely in lookahead mode. That comes from suffering their lone conference loss at UC Irvine in overtime just two weeks ago so they can jump into first place with a revenge victory. UC Davis is 7-3 at home after a 3-3 start but have won all four conference games while easily covering three of those. 10* (744) UC Davis Aggies |
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01-20-24 | Washington State v. California +2 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. California is coming off a disheartening loss on Thursday and while we are playing against another team off a similar finish, this situation is different. The Golden Bears had a six-point lead over Washington with just over two minutes remaining but were outscored 10-2 to close the game culminating with a game winning three-pointer at the buzzer for the Huskies. Remaining at home as opposed to hitting the road, California is in a good bounce back spot. The Golden Bears are 2-5 in the Pac 12 Conference with four of those losses coming in the final minute. Washington St. improved to 4-3 in the conference with a win at Stanford on Thursday which was its third straight victory, all coming as an underdog. The Cougars were coming off a big home win against Arizona last Saturday so they did not let down from that but they might now following a 14-point win and two straight road victories with two big revenge home games on deck against Utah and Colorado. 10* (746) California Golden Bears |
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01-20-24 | Richmond v. Davidson -1.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAVIDSON WILDCATS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Richmond has ripped off seven straight wins including four in the Atlantic Ten Conference to sit in a tie for first place with Dayton at 4-0. Five of the victories have been at home and the two road wins were by only two points each and the last one at Duquesne was gift wrapped by the Dukes which got outscored 12-2 over the final five minutes of the game. Richmond opened the season 0-3 on the road and the winning streak along with its 5-0 ATS run put them in a contrarian play against situation. Davidson picked up a much needed win at Fordham on Wednesday to avoid a 0-4 start in the conference. The Wildcats look to build off that 10-point win as they return home where they are 7-2 with the two losses coming in their last two home games against Dayton and Rhode Island, both of which are also atop the conference. This will be another test based on recent form from Richmond but the home floor will be the difference in what is a great number. 10* (700) Davidson Wildcats |
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01-20-24 | North Texas v. Charlotte +1.5 | Top | 44-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Charlotte snuck out a win at Rice on Tuesday as it rallied from an eight-point halftime deficit to win in overtime by a bucket. We played against the 49ers in that spot and will back them in the follow up game as they return home in what is an early season big game. Charlotte dropped its American Athletic Conference opener at SMU but has won four straight to improve to 4-1 in the conference and the recent stretch includes a big win over Florida Atlantic. The 49ers are 7-1 at home with the only loss coming against Davidson by four points. North Texas is coming off its best season in program history following a 31-win season capped off with an NIT Championship and things were expected to go downhill heading to a new conference with a depleted roster and a new head coach. The Mean Green started slow but have won six straight games including a 4-0 start in the AAC but we can expect regression and with games against SMU and Florida Atlantic on deck, this is the spot for their first conference loss. 10* (712) Charlotte 49ers |
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01-20-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Abilene Christian +1.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the ABELINE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. UT Arlington has gotten back into the mix in the Western Athletic Conference as it has won three straight games, all of which have been at home, following a 1-3 start and now trails first place Grand Canyon by three games and will be tough to catch. The venue has been the difference in the conference and season record as the Mavericks are 4-0 at home in the WAC, 8-1 overall, and 0-3 on the road, 0-8 overall. One of those home wins came against Abeline Christian by 15 points in the conference opener for both teams so there is revenge in play for the Wildcats. Abeline Christian was picked to finish in the top portion of the conference but it has gotten off to a slow start at 1-5 to drop the Wildcats to 6-11 overall. Similar to UT Arlington, the venue has made the difference as four of those five losses have been on the road, including each of their last three games, while the lone home loss came in overtime against Stephen F. Austin despite forcing 28 turnovers. 10* (728) Abeline Christian Wildcats |
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01-20-24 | New Mexico v. Air Force +11.5 | Top | 85-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. New Mexico is off to a 15-3 start but could not be in a worse spot Saturday. After suffering a loss against St. Mary's to fall to 1-1, New Mexico reeled off 11 straight wins and we have seen this before. The Lobos opened last season 14-0 but closed 7-10 down the stretch as the soft nonconference schedule caught up to them. Following the 11 straight wins, the Lobos lost at Colorado St. and they then lost again on the road at UNLV before returning home to pick up a pair of huge wins over San Diego St. and Utah St., the first conference losses for both of those teams and this sets up a huge letdown while laying a big number. Air Force played a great game at Colorado St. last time out as it led for much of it but eventually lost in overtime yet easily covered the big number. The Falcons are back home where Colorado Springs is notoriously a tough spot for opponents and while they are just 4-5 at home, three losses have been by five points or less and another by seven points. 10* (714) Air Force Falcons |
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01-20-24 | Clemson -1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Following three straight losses to open January, Clemson snapped the skid with a win against Boston College but gave it right back with a home loss against Georgia Tech as an 11.5-favorite. The Tigers are now 2-4 in the Atlantic Coast Conference and are on a 1-4 ATS run with all four losses coming as favorites so they have been underachieving after an 11-1 start to the season. They opened the season with two road underdog wins but have dropped three straight with this being the get right spot. Florida St. was coming off a 9-23 season and while it was expected to get better, not many saw this coming. The Seminoles have already surpassed their win total as they are 11-6 and after losing their conference opener against North Carolina, they have won five straight ACC games to sit one game out of first place. Florida St. has covered all six of its conference games, four as an underdog, but this is the fade spot with this run not sustainable against a team in desperate need for a win. 10* (719) Clemson Tigers |
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01-20-24 | Troy State v. Southern Miss +1.5 | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CBB Revenge Dominator. It has been an up and down season for Southern Mississippi, the reigning Sun Belt Conference champions and the favorites once again, as it got off to a 2-4 start before winning three straight games only to go on a 1-3 skid that included a bad conference opening loss against Georgia Southern by 21 points. The Golden Eagles have gone 4-1 since then to improve to 4-2 in the SBC and the lone blemish came last Saturday at Troy by 26 points so that loss is fresh in their heads and payback will be goal Saturday afternoon. Troy suffered its first conference loss as it went down at South Alabama by three points on Thursday after opening a surprising 5-0. The Trojans were picked as a middle of the conference team because of a depleted roster that returned only four players and it was a slow 5-6 start but they caught fire with a six-game winning streak but the schedule helped with five of those games at home and the one road game at now 5-12 Coastal Carolina. This is not a spot they want to be in come Saturday. 10* (686) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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01-20-24 | St Bonaventure v. George Mason -1 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS for our CBB Early Dominator. St. Bonaventure snapped a two-game losing streak with a 35-point win at home against Rhode Island to move to .500 in the Atlantic Ten Conference. The Bonnies are back on the road where they are 3-1 and while that includes an impressive 11-point win at VCU, the other two road wins were at Niagara and Buffalo which are ranked No. 278 and No. 313 respectively in Adjusted Efficiency Rating. The recent win over the Rams has overadjusted the number in a bad spot. George Mason was riding a six-game winning streak including a pair of wins over LaSalle and St. Louis to open conference play but the Patriots have since lost their last three games. This includes a tough last minute loss at home against VCU while the other two were on the road at Richmond and George Washington, both of which are off to surprisingly good starts in the A-10. George Mason is back home where it is 9-1 with that Rams loss being the lone blemish and it will be ready here. 10* (650) George Mason Patriots |
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01-19-24 | UNLV v. Colorado State -6.5 | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Colorado St. opened the season 13-1 that included an eight-point win over New Mexico to open Mountain West Conference action but the Rams hit the road for a pair of games in two tough environments at Boise St. and Utah St. and came out with two losses. Colorado St. returned home and was in jeopardy of a third straight loss as it fell behind Air Force by 12 points and was down a majority of the game before forcing overtime and eventually winning by nine points. If the two road losses were not a wake up call, that game was and now it is time for a full game effort before hitting the road against Nevada. UNLV has improved to 2-2 in the conference with upset wins as an underdog in two of its last three games while narrowly coming close to a third, losing to Utah St. by a point at home. The Rebels remain on the road after the win at Boise St. where they are 2-1 but the other victory came against 9-10 Pepperdine. UNLV is an impressive 9-7 overall because it has played a schedule ranked No. 23 in the country but the Rams are right there with a slate ranked No. 31 and a record four and a half games better. Perfect get right spot. 10* (892) Colorado St. Rams |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 109-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Miami is back home following 24-point loss in Toronto which snapped a three-game winning streak and it has been an average run with the Heat going just 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Heat still hold a two-game lead in the Southeast Division where they have dominated by winning all nine divisional games. Miami has struggled against the top teams in the league, going 5-11 against the top 16 which are the six fewest wins in the league but the Heat are 19-6 against the teams outside that. The favorite has gone 16-3 in 19 games in Miami. The Hawks have won two straight games for just the fourth time since early November but the last two have come against San Antonio and Orlando, both at home, and they are 0-4 in their last four games following consecutive wins, losing those games by an average of 15.5 ppg and all coming by at least nine points. The Hawks hit the road where they are 9-12 and following a non-cover against the Magic, they are now 10-30 against the number. Atlanta is 7-17 against the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Miami Heat |
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01-19-24 | Marist v. Mt. St. Mary's -3.5 | Top | 48-65 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the MOUNT ST. MARY'S MOUNTAINEERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Marist opened the season 7-2 including a pair of early wins in the MAAC but then lost four straight games before rebounding with a victory over Rider by 23 points this past Sunday. The Red Foxes moved to 3-2 in the conference and are back on the road for just the second time this month. Marist opened the season 9-1 against the number but lost three straight covers before the recent ATS win and that overall record is adding value the other way. It is even heightened by the fact the Red Foxes have played the easiest schedule in the country. Mount St. Mary's had a much more difficult start to the season as it went 1-5 in its first six games but two of those losses came in overtime and another two came against major conference teams Maryland and Georgetown. The Mountaineers also played another two road games at Mississippi and Georgia of the SEC and they competed in all four major conference opponents, coming a point and half away from covering all four. The overall 6-10 record is skewed based on the tougher schedule and 11 of the 16 games taking place on the road and they are back home where they are 4-1. 10* (882) Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers |
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01-18-24 | Oregon v. Colorado -6.5 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Late Powerhouse. It has been a typical season for Colorado which has a huge home court advantage but struggles on the road. The Buffaloes went 2-1 in neutral court games scattered throughout the nonconference schedule but has lost all four of its true road games including three in the Pac 12 Conference against Arizona, Arizona St. and California, the last two by just seven points combined. The Buffalos are a perfect 10-0 at home including three wins in the conference. They are laying a manageable number here with a lot of that based on their current 0-4 ATS run. Oregon has been on a roll with six straight wins that includes a 5-0 start in the conference to take an early one game lead over Arizona St. Three of the Pac 12 wins have been at home with the two road wins at Washington and Washington St. by a total of seven points and those venues do not compare to Boulder. The Ducks did win their only other true road game which came at Florida A&M and they did lose three straight neutral court games so while 9-0 in Eugene, they are 3-3 away from home with this being their toughest road encounter. 10* (840) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-18-24 | Eastern Washington v. Weber State -4.5 | Top | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEBER ST. WILDCATS for our Big Sky Game of the Month. The two preseason favorites in the Big Sky Conference square off Thursday night with each coming in on opposite runs. Weber St. opened the season 2-0 in the conference but dropped a pair of games last week against Sacramento St. and Portland St. but both of those were on the road and they came by a combined five points so this team could easily be undefeated right now. The Wildcats are back home where they are 7-0 and looking to avenge a sweet at the hands of the Eagles last season. Eastern Washington rolled through the conference last season with a 16-2 record and despite losing its three top scorers, it is once again off to a great start. The Eagles are only 9-7 overall as they faced a brutal nonconference schedule but has opened 3-0 in the Big Sky while currently riding a five-game winning streak overall. Going back, Eastern Washington has covered its last eight lined games and after a 0-6 start on the road all against major conference teams, it is 4-1 over its last five road games but against bad competition and Weber St. is by far the biggest test since the end of November. 10* (812) Weber St. Wildcats |
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01-18-24 | Portland State v. Northern Arizona +4.5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Portland St. snapped a two-game losing streak with an upset win at home against Weber St. to move to 2-2 in the Big Sky Conference. The Vikings opened the season 5-0 but it has been a mixed bag since then especially on the road. They are 5-1 at home after the win over the Wildcats but have gone 2-4 over their last six road games with the two wins coming by a combined eight points against Fresno St. and Idaho, the former coming in overtime by three points and the latter picked to finish last in the conference. Northern Arizona has lost two straight games and five of its last six but all of those losses were on the road where it is 3-9. Of the Lumberjacks first 17 games, only three have been at home where they are 3-0 including a win in their last home game against Summit League co-favorite North Dakota. While they are 0-3 in the conference, all three games have been on the road and now they come in as a home underdog on Thursday with a lot of that due to their current 0-8 ATS run as they have the big value edge against a team in a big letdown spot. 10* (792) Northern Arizona Lumberjacks |
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01-18-24 | Bulls -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto continues to trade away its core and last night was the perfect example for players to step up in the first game after a significant trade only to let down the time out which happens to be the second of a back-to-back set. The Raptors snapped a four-game losing streak with the victory and they are now 16-25 overall yet are still in the playoff mix because of the weakness of the Eastern Conference but are in a bad spot tonight. Toronto is 2-5 when playing with no rest while going 3-12 in its previous 15 games following a win. Chicago has been off since Monday following a loss in Cleveland as the Bulls will look for a bounce back as they have been playing a lot better since becoming healthy. Chicago opened the season 5-14 through its first 19 games but the Bulls have won 14 of their last 23 games and have moved into the No. 9 spot in the conference. They are in a rare position of laying points on the road but they have gone 3-1 in four games in this role and off their worst offensive game of the season. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 95-53 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (521) Chicago Bulls |
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01-18-24 | Green Bay v. Wright State -9.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS for our CBB Revenge Dominator. Green Bay is the early season surprise in the Horizon League as the Phoenix have gotten off to a 6-2 start which is tied for first place with Oakland. After winning three games all of last season including two in the Horizon, Green Bay was again expected to struggle and while things are looking good, this will not last. The Phoenix have won all three home games within the conference while two road wins were against IUPUI and Detroit, which are a combined 1-14. Green Bay is on a 6-0 ATS run which adds value the other way and makes it a play against. Wright St. was the preseason favorite to win the conference and at 4-3, it is just a game and a half out of first place. The Raiders are coming off a loss at Youngstown St. which was their fifth road game over their last six where they went 2-3. That includes a loss at Green Bay by 11 points as a 7.5-point favorite so same season revenge comes into play already. Wright St. is 5-2 at home with the two losses against Western Kentucky and Toledo and this is just the third conference home game so the schedule has not been in its favor. 10* (752) Wright St. Raiders |
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01-18-24 | Campbell v. William & Mary -4.5 | Top | 77-64 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WILLIAM & MARY TRIBE for our CBB Signature Enforcer. William & Mary is coming off a loss at home against Stony Brook by four points which was its second straight home loss and just its second home loss of the season. The first came against 5-0 Drexel and this is a great spot for a bounce back and get back over .500 in the Coastal Athletic Association as the Tribe are 2-2. They are 6-2 on their home floor compared to 1-8 away from Williamsburg and this has turned into a big spot with the next three games taking place on the road. Campbell is in its first season in the CAA after coming over from the Big South Conference and it is off to an identical 2-2 start while going 8-9 overall. The Camels opened conference action with a 14-point loss at North Carolina A&T and then defeated Hampton on the road with those two teams pegged for the bottom of the CAA. They are coming off a home upset over Hofstra as nine-point underdogs to notch their first home conference win and that sets up the letdown. Campbell owns three wins against non-Division 1 teams and overall it has played a schedule ranked No. 359 out of 362 teams in the country. 10* (754) William & Mary Tribe |
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01-18-24 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern -2.5 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN PANTHERS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. Georgia Southern has gotten off to an awful start as it is 2-15 on the season but two of those wins have been in the Sun Belt Conference where it is 2-3 and finally has a week where it can stay put. This is the first of back-to-back home games which is the first time this has occurred this season as 14 of the Eagles 17 games have come away from home and they are coming off four straight road games. While they are 1-2 here, the one victory was an upset over defending Sun Belt Conference Champion and preseason favorite Southern Mississippi while the two losses were by seven points combined including one against CAA favorite UNC Wilmington. Coastal Carolina is off to a similar 2-3 start in the conference following a win at home against Old Dominion. The Chanticleers have played an opposite schedule than that of the Eagles as they have played only three true road games, going 1-2 with the one win coming against 1-4 Texas St. Coastal Carolina has a revenge game on deck against Appalachian St. which it lost to by 25 points just a week ago so this is a tough sandwich spot. 10* (762) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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01-18-24 | Florida International v. Liberty -12.5 | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Liberty is in its first season in Conference USA after coming off a 27-win season in its last in the Atlantic Sun Conference and came into this year as the preseason favorite with a ton of returning experience. The Flames have not lived up to that thus far as they have started 0-3 with two of those losses coming down to the final seconds. They are back home where they are 6-2 including a conference loss against Jacksonville St. and a close loss against 16-1 Grand Canyon. Liberty is laying a big price here but it is for good reason and while the season is not on the line, the Flames need a statement win to get that confidence back. Florida International is off to a 2-1 start in the conference following a pair of home wins over New Mexico St. and UTEP. The Panthers are now back on the road where they are 1-5 in true road games and 1-8 overall away from home with the only road victory coming against Houston Christian which is ranked No. 347 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin. This is the first of three straight road games and the trek begins at the wrong place at the wrong time. 10* (768) Liberty Flames |
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01-17-24 | Maryland v. Northwestern -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our Big 10 Game of the Month. Northwestern was 3-1 in the Big Ten Conference before heading to then undefeated Wisconsin and lost by eight points on Saturday and the Wildcats return home after two straight games on the road. Northwestern is 9-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Chicago St. by a bucket as that was a game they just did not show up for and that was a lesson learned. The Wildcats have won both of their Big Ten home games which were both upsets as home underdogs against Purdue and Michigan St. and their 12-4 overall record is even more impressive considering having played the No. 84 ranked schedule in the nation. Maryland has won two straight games to move to 3-3 in the conference including an upset win at Illinois on Sunday which was just its second road win on the season after a 1-3 start. Not only is there the letdown effect but the Terrapins have a game at home against Michigan St. up next. The price here does not fit as they are getting nearly six points less than they were getting against the Illini which has the same record as Northwestern both in the conference and overall. 10* (726) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-17-24 | Bradley v. Southern Illinois +2.5 | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Southern Illinois is 4-2 in the Missouri Valley Conference as it has four wins sandwiched in-between its two losses as it opened with a 29-point loss at Indiana St. and most recently, an 18-point loss at home against Drake with those two teams a combined 11-2 in the conference. That loss to the Bulldogs was just the Salukis second home loss of the season with the first coming against Austin Peay by two points. After a six-game winning streak against the number, they have lost their last two at the window and are now catching points based on the opponent. Bradley opened 0-2 in the conference with losses against Murray St. and Indiana St. but has reeled off four straight wins, part of a six-game winning streak. That followed a five-game losing streak which came after a 6-0 start to the season so it has been a streaky opening and this starts a brutal stretch where the Braves go the other way. The four-game MVC winning streak has come against teams a combined 5-20 with those four teams occupying the bottom four spots in the conference so this is a false favorite number. 10* (708) Southern Illinois Salukis |
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01-17-24 | Rockets v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Houston is coming off a pair of losses against two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference as it has been a great team at home but an awful team on the road. On the season, the home team is 29-10 which includes the Rockets going 4-14 on the road including 2-14 when getting points. They are having an amazing turnaround with 19 wins already this season after winning only 22 games all of last season so they are going to shatter that number and they are right in the playoff mix as they are currently in the No. 11 spot in the Western Conference. The Knicks are coming off a home loss against Orlando which snapped a four-game home winning streak where they are now 11-5. This is the second game of a four-game homestand and a stretch of 12 of 14 games taking place at MSG. With the next two games coming up against Washington and Toronto, there is no looking past Houston. And this is even more so coming off a loss where New York is 12-4 straight up and against the number after a defeat. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 79-44 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (510) New York Knicks |
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01-17-24 | Rhode Island v. St Bonaventure -8 | Top | 64-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. St. Bonaventure opened Atlantic Ten play with a win over VCU, part of an 8-1 run, but it has dropped its last two games at 4-0 Richmond and most recently at home against Fordham on Saturday. With a pair of tough road games on deck, this has turned into a big game for the Bonnies which are now 5-2 at home, the only other loss coming against Canisius by three points. They are a slower paced team as they are No. 306 in Adjusted Tempo but they make up for it as they are an excellent shooting team including No. 41 in the country in three-point shooting and more importantly, they are No. 6 in the nation in free throw shooting. Rhode Island is off to a surprising 3-0 start in the conference with all three of those victories coming as an underdog. Overall, the Rams have won and covered four straight games which came right after a 0-5 run, both straight up and against the number. They hit the road where they are 1-2 with the lone win coming at Davidson which is mired in a 0-3 skid, and the two losses were at Providence and Charleston by 15 points each. The Rams are a great shooting team as well but are second to last in the country in free throw shooting. 10* (692) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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01-17-24 | Ole Miss v. LSU -3.5 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Mississippi is one of only three one loss teams in the country but it is the lowest ranked of the three in Adjusted Efficiency Margin. The Rebels are ranked No. 70 with a lot of that due to the soft schedule they have played which is ranked No. 256. Their best win of the season came against No. 46 Memphis which is a very strong victory but it was only by three points on their home floor. Mississippi has played only three true road games which resulted in wins over Temple and UCF by a combined three points while its lone loss of the season was at Tennessee by 26 points. The Rebels have won two straight games since then but those were against Florida and Vanderbilt, two of the worst teams in the conference. LSU opened SEC play with a pair of wins at Texas A&M and at home against Vanderbilt but got rolled at Auburn on Saturday by 15 points so it is in bounce back mode to remain in the top third of the conference. The Tigers are back home where they are 7-2 that includes a horrible loss against Nichols St. which was just their second game of the season and the other against red hot Kansas St. by three points. 10* (694) LSU Tigers |
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01-17-24 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia -4 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CBB Star Attraction. Neither Virginia Tech nor Virginia are in good position for the NCAA Tournament and this is part of a big stretch for the Cavaliers. They are 2-3 in the Atlantic Coast Conference and it has been all about the venue. They are 2-0 at home, part of a 9-0 overall home record, with the two conference wins coming by 22 and 24 points while dropping all three ACC road games by 22, 16 and 19 points and those differentials are signs of a team that is not very good. Despite that, we are backing them here at home in a get right game against a rival after two road losses with four more potential wins on deck before the tough portion of the conference schedule starts to kick in. Virginia Tech is also 2-3 in the conference following a home loss to Miami on Saturday. The loss was the Hokies first at home this season after opening with eight straight wins in Blacksburg. Virginia Tech hits the road for a pair of games this week where it is 0-3 including two losses against Auburn and Wake Forest by 17 and 23 points respectively. The Hokies has been solid offensively but face their biggest test against a Virginia team that is No. 20 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 10* (702) Virginia Cavaliers |
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01-16-24 | Kings v. Suns -4 | Top | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Phoenix is coming a pair of road wins at the Lakers and Blazers to get back to three games over .500 and more importantly, completely healthy. Home court has not been to the Suns advantage as they are 11-11 while going 6-15-1 against the number but the majority of the games have been without a full roster. Phoenix is in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference which is not ideal but will be a tough out if they can remain healthy and the early injuries can be to their advantage in a season that still has over four months left. The absences have been factored in with the Suns going 2-8 as underdogs and 19-10 as favorites and the markets are still slow to catch up. Sacramento is coming off a great game against Milwaukee as it lost by a point on Sunday to make it two straight losses and now face one of the top teams in the league for a third straight game. The Kings dropped to 10-9 on the road and while going 16-4 against bottom 16 teams, they are just 7-12 against the top half. Here, we play against road underdogs off two or more consecutive road losses going up against an opponent off a road win by 10 points or more. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Phoenix Suns |
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01-16-24 | Wisconsin v. Penn State +6 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Penn St. is coming off a 17-point loss at Purdue on Saturday which comes as no surprise after the Boilermakers were embarrassed at Nebraska in their previous game and the Nittany Lions are now 2-4 in the Big Ten Conference. This includes a 0-3 record on the road with another loss at Michigan St. and the third coming at Maryland in overtime. Penn St. is 7-2 at home with the lone conference loss coming against Northwestern by four points and the one conference win at the Bryce Jordan Center came against 12-4 Ohio St. where they erased an 18-point deficit. The defense leads the way at home and getting points in a low scoring game is a big edge for the underdog. Wisconsin remains the lone undefeated team in the conference as it improved to 5-0 following a victory over northwestern on Saturday. The Badgers have won six straight games overall and have covered their last five and as good as they are playing, this is not sustainable and are in a tough spot with the unbeaten start and a big revenge game at home against Indiana on deck. Wisconsin is 2-2 on the road with the two losses at Arizona and Providence and while Penn St. is not on that level, the line is factoring that in this overlay. 10* (646) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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01-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +3.5 | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. Texas A&M picked up its first conference win with an overtime victory at home over Kentucky following a pair of double-digit losses to open SEC action. The Aggies hit the road where they are 2-2, the two wins coming in their first three games of the season as they have dropped their last two against Virginia and Auburn by 12 and 11 points respectively. The win over the Wildcats snapped a four-game skid against the number and they head to Fayetteville in an awful spot with a game on deck at LSU which is an early season revenge game against the Tigers following an 11-point home loss less than two weeks ago. Arkansas came into the season ranked No. 14 in the preseason AP Poll and opened 3-0 before suffering a bad home loss against UNC Greensboro which started a 1-3 slide. The Razorbacks responded with a big home win against Duke which opened a 5-1 run but conference action has not gone their way as they are 0-3. Arkansas got blown out at home against 14-2 Auburn by 32 points and it dropped its subsequent two games against Georgia and Florida by double digits as well but those were on the road and this is the get right game back on its home floor as it is in need of a quality win in addition to a conference win. 10* (650) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-16-24 | Charlotte v. Rice +2.5 | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Charlotte opened American Athletic Conference play with a loss at SMU but it has won its last three games with the first being a big upset against Florida Atlantic. Two of the wins have come at home where the 49ers are 7-1 and while they are coming off a road win on Saturday, it was against UTSA which was coming off consecutive overtime games and they remain on the road where they lost their first four games of the season. Three of those games were as underdogs while the one game when favored resulted in a bad loss at Stetson. This is a tough trip with a home game on deck against 3-0 North Texas. Rice fell to 0-3 in the conference and overall, it has lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those. Two of the three AAC losses were on the road with the lone home loss coming against aforementioned UTSA in one of those overtime games. The Owls are 5-3 at home and coming off two straight defeats here following a four-game winning streak. This is the first season in the American Athletic Conference after coming over from C-USA for Rice and it is still seeking its first victory in the conference and this is the best spot it has been in to grab that initial win before heading back out on the road in its next game. 10* (634) Rice Owls |
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01-16-24 | Richmond v. Duquesne -3.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES for our A-10 Game of the Month. Richmond is on a roll with six straight wins including a 3-0 start in the Atlantic Ten Conference. The Spiders are off a win over George Mason on Saturday at home following a victory at Loyola-Chicago by just two points which is their only road win this season after starting 0-3, losses at Northern Iowa, Wichita St. and Boston College, failing to cover in any of those defeats. Richmond is already up to 11 wins after winning 15 games all of last season and the start is surprising after a big roster turnover that included just one returning starter and a preseason prediction of a No. 11 finish in the 15-team conference and fall into a bad spot on Tuesday. This has turned into a big game for the Dukes. Duquesne is coming off a 20-win season and the Dukes were expected to keep it rolling but they are 9-7 that includes some very impressive mid-major wins but also includes a 0-3 record in the conference coming in as a top four team. Two of those losses were on the road with the latest defeat at home on Friday against conference favorite Dayton and they remain home where they are 5-2, the other loss coming against 13-1 Princeton. Duquesne has failed to cover its last six lined games which not only provides value but the contrarian play on angle as well. 10* (612) Duquesne Dukes |
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01-16-24 | TCU v. Cincinnati -3 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CBB Star Attraction. TCU bounced back from a brutally controversial loss at Kansas with a nine-point win over Oklahoma on Wednesday and then followed that up with a one point win over Houston on Saturday. The Horned Frogs improved to 9-0 at home and while they are 2-1 on the road, those two wins were against Georgetown, which was a very controversial win that offset that Kansas loss, and Hawaii with those two wins coming by a combined five points. While they proved they can compete on the road against quality opposition, this is a bad spot coming off those first three games and facing a desperate team. Cincinnati opened its first season in the Big 12 Conference with an upset win at BYU but it has lost two straight games since then with both that could have gone the other way. The Bearcats lost by a point at home against Texas in the final six seconds and then lost at Baylor on Saturday by three points as they missed their last five shots in the final minute of the game. They return home where they are 10-1 and while they have faced weak opposition with the exception of Texas, this is a great bounce back spot and the start of an important stretch with four of the next five games taking place at Fifth Third Arena. 10* (614) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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01-16-24 | Central Michigan v. Ohio -10 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Ohio is coming off a pair of tough road losses last week, falling to Bowling Green and Western Michigan by five and two points respectively to drop to 1-3 in the Mid-American Conference. The Bobcats are back home where they are 1-1 in the conference with the loss coming against 4-0 Toledo and they are 5-3 overall with the other two losses coming by two possessions. Ohio has fallen two games under .500 at 7-9 with eight of those losses coming by no more than two possessions and this is an important two-game homestand with games at Akron and Kent St. on deck after this. Central Michigan is off to a surprising 3-1 start in the conference as it lost its MAC opener against Buffalo but has won its last three games, all outright as an underdog including a huge 15-point win over one of the conference favorites Kent St. as a 7.5-point home underdog. The recent run is overvaluing the Chippewas and also gives us a play against letdown situation as they hit the road again where they are 3-5, two conference wins over teams a combined 1-7 and the other against USF. The five road losses have come by 30, 27, 27, 35 and 38 points so either they have completely figured something out or have simply just been in good spots. It is the latter. 10* (626) Ohio Bobcats |
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01-15-24 | Eagles -2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -120 | 169 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Monday Primetime Dominator. Philadelphia endured a horrible ending to the season as it lost two straight and five of its final six games and no one wants a part of this team heading into the postseason. That being said, the Eagles arguably have the best Wild Card matchup of any team with a lower seed and there are the other doubters that want no part of the Buccaneers that come limping into the postseason as well. It was a weird freefall for a team that started 10-1 and had the NFC East in its grasp but they were unable to capitalize as it started a second half stretch with games against Dallas, Kansas City, Buffalo, San Francisco and Dallas is tough for any team to not only succeed but to recover after and Philadelphia could not do the latter. The Eagles defense fell apart and now sits No. 29 in DVOA but face the second lowest ranked offensive DVOA team in Tampa Bay which is only ahead of Cleveland as the Buccaneers are ranked No. 20 so taking advantage of the Eagles defense will not come easy. The Buccaneers were a flawed team this season, but they won the NFC South and they did it with a winning record but played in the worse division in the NFL. Tampa Bay went 4-2 in its own division and overall, played the No. 25 ranked schedule and while it has success against the lower rated teams with a 9-4 record against teams outside the top ten, it went 0-4 against the top ten teams. The Eagles may not be playing like one now, but that is where they still are. The Eagles offense will be facing a middle of the road defense as Tampa Bay in No. 14 in DVOA but the biggest factor they are dealing with are injuries but some are precautionary and the injuries to Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown are not serious enough to keep them out. 10* (151) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-15-24 | Spurs v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with an overtime win over Philadelphia last week but has dropped its two games since then including a horrible 28-point loss at home against Washington on Saturday. The Hawks continue to take money from backers as after opening 3-3 against the number, Atlanta is 6-26 ATS in its last 32 games and the Hawks have gone 0-9 against the number as home favorites so this a contrarian spot (they closed as underdogs against the Sixers). The defense has been one of the worst in the league as the Hawks are No. 27 in defensive efficiency while sitting dead last in Effective Field Goal Percentage but have a break against a limited San Antonio offense. The Spurs picked up a pair of wins last week but those were against Detroit and Charlotte and it followed those up with a home loss against Chicago. San Antonio now embarks on a five-game roadtrip where it is 4-15 and on the season, it has gone 5-25 following a loss. The Spurs have been cashing as they are on a 6-0 ATS run based on the closing line and are catching a smaller than anticipated number. Here, we play against road underdogs after a loss by six points or less going up an against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 36-16 ATS (69.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-15-24 | Pennsylvania +9.5 v. Cornell | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN QUAKERS for our CBB Early Dominator. Penn opened Ivy League action with 29-point win over Dartmouth and hits the road as a significant underdog and it is too big. The victory snapped a two-game slide which were against two ranked teams and overall, it has played a tough schedule. Penn has struggled on the road as it is 1-5 but three of those losses were at Kentucky, Houston and Auburn with another loss coming in overtime and the fifth coming against a very solid St. Joseph's team. The Quakers are shooting 40 percent from long range which is tops among Ivy League teams and they have hit double figures in three-pointers made nine times this season including seven of the last nine and eight of the last 11 games. Cornell has gotten off to an 11-3 start including a win over Columbia in its first conference game. The Big Red have had their way with inferior competition and their best win according to Adjusted Efficiency was against No. 172 ranked Colgate and in comparison, the Quakers are ranked higher. Cornell is undefeated at home but has played only four home games and one of those was against non-Division 1 SUNY-Morrisville. 10* (865) Penn Quakers |
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01-15-24 | George Mason -1.5 v. George Washington | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. George Mason opened Atlantic Ten Conference action with a pair of double-digit wins against LaSalle and St. Louis but has dropped its last two that both came down to the final minute. The Patriots were hurt by poor perimeter shooting in those games as they went a combined 8-37 from long range which is an aberration considering they are a top 70 team in three-point shooting. George Mason lost at Richmond in its last game which was only its second road loss with the other one coming at top ten Tennessee. The Patriots have won 10 of their 12 games as favorites. George Washington finished 16-16 last season and has already won 13 games coming into Monday but the schedule has played a big part in that. The Revolutionaries has played a slate that is ranked No. 359 and have played against teams with an average ranking of No. 360 in Adjusted Efficiency Offense and George Mason comes in ranked No. 96. George Washington is 10-1 at home with the loss coming against Fordham and again, the schedule has led to that success as it has been favored in every home game and by at least 9.5 points in seven of its nine lined games. 10* (869) George Mason Patriots |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 145 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. Early money has come in on Detroit but we did not seen a line move early but the juice indicated it was coming and eventually did Monday afternoon. We knew this line had to get at least to 3.5 with the Lions being a public team all season and yet this is a bad spot for the home team. Detroit was still in the running for the No. 2 seed up until the final week but needed both the Eagles and Cowboys to lose and because that did not happen, the Lions get a bad matchup in the Wild Card opener. After opening the season 8-2, Detroit went 4-3 down the stretch although that did include the controversial loss against Dallas and now it enters the playoffs with the possibility of not having tight end Sam LaPorta available. The Detroit offense is still very good but will have to rely on Jared Goff more than it would like to as the Rams have had a top 10 defense in DVOA over the second half of the season especially against the run and the interior can slow down Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Offensively, the Rams are the No. 2 offense in DVOA in the second half of the season behind only the 49ers and have been No. 1 in EPA since their bye week after Week 9. They have gone 7-1 since then with the lone loss coming in Baltimore in overtime while averaging 31.3 ppg not counting Week 18 when the starters were out. Detroit has a defense ranked No. 13 in DVOA and regressed in the second half, especially against the pass. Over the last 20 years, home teams that did not make the playoffs last season are 13-39 ATS (31 percent). Additionally, we play against home teams averaging 385 or more total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total ypg in their last three games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (149) Los Angeles Rams |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA +1.5 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCLA BRUINS for our CBB Star Attraction. UCLA won the Pac 12 Conference last season with an 18-2 record and it won 31 games overall before falling in the Sweet 16 so a regression was expected but not to this extent. The Bruins are 6-10 overall including 1-4 in the conference and they quite possibly hot rock bottom in their last game. UCLA lost at Utah 90-44 which was its worst loss in 27 years and if there is any pride on this team and from its players, this is the bounce back spot. The Bruins have now lost four straight games, failing to reach 60 points in any of those games. Washington is coming off a 2-1 homestand which included handing Arizona St. its first conference loss and the Huskies are now 2-3 in the Pac 12 after they opened with a pair of losses at Colorado and Utah. We were on Washington against the Sun Devils but they are in a very tricky spot especially hitting the road where their only win was a one point victory at Seattle in overtime. They play at a fast pace as they are No. 61 in Adjusted Tempo and that is a welcomed sight for the Bruins offense to find their rhythm. While contending in the Pac 12 is likely out for UCLA, this game could dictate the rest of the season. 10* (846) UCLA Bruins |
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01-14-24 | Packers +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 141 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Green Bay made a late run to grab the final seed in the NFC playoffs while clinching the spot against the Bears in Week 18. After a 2-5 start with things looking bleak, the Packers have won seven of their last 10 games with quarterback Jordan Love completely turning his season around. Against the Bears, he put up a passer rating of 128.6, which was the fourth straight game he has tallied a rating over 109 and he now has 10 games where he has eclipsed the 100 passer rating. Seven of these have been over the last eight games after doing so just three times in his first nine starts. Green Bay have improved to No. 6 in offensive DVOA and moved into the top 10 in Non-Adjusted Total DVOA. Dallas has good metrics on defense but have a tough matchup here. The Cowboys apply significant pressure on the quarterback which is bad for some teams but Green Bay has a great offensive line that is ranked No. 2 in Pass Block Win Rate and No. 5 in Adjusted Sack Rate. Defensively is where the Packers struggle as they have the second lowest DVOA of all playoff teams with some bad games in the mix but in 17 games, they have allowed fewer than 24 points 11 times. We all know that the Dallas offense has been great at home and it will no doubt move the ball but we know Green Bay can keep up and the line is reflecting the potent Dallas defense and based on the actual numbers, it is too big of a line in the postseason against a team playing very well. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game going up against an opponent after gaining seven or more passing ypa in two straight games. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Green Bay Packers |
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01-14-24 | Cleveland State -1 v. Green Bay | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Cleveland St. is coming off a loss on Friday afternoon to fall to 4-3 in the Horizon League and this is the start of a stretch to make a move with this road game followed by three straight games at home. The Vikings finished last season in a tie for second place and they have been picked to finish third but are not off to the start they wanted. The three losses all came on the road at Wright St., Milwaukee and Youngstown St. which are three of the other top five teams in the conference. Cleveland St. is on a 0-4 ATS run which makes it a play on situation. Green Bay is the early season surprise in the conference as the Phoenix have gotten off to a 5-2 start which is tied with two other teams for first place so it is very wide open. After winning three games all of last season including two in the Horizon, Green Bay was again expected to struggle and while things are looking good, this will not last. The Phoenix have won all three home games within the conference while two road wins were against IUPUI and Detroit, which are a combined 1-12. Green Bay is on a 5-0 ATS run which adds value the other way and makes it a play against. 10* (835) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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01-14-24 | Cal-Riverside v. Hawaii -8 | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Hawaii has lost two straight games and five of its last six and has fallen to 1-3 in the Big West Conference following a pair of 10-point losses against CSU Northridge and UC Irvin. The Warriors have now lost four straight games on their home floor and the confidence of bettors has been dwindling after a 2-8 run against the number including a 1-6 ATS stretch on the island but they are in a great bounce back spot before heading back out on the road for a pair of games next week. While it is a great rebound situation for Hawaii, it is an awful one for UC Riverside. The Highlanders snapped a two-game slide with a win at home over Cal Poly, the worst team in the conference, which was on Thursday and now they have a quick turnaround having to travel to Hawaii for a game two nights later. This has always been a tough edge for the opposition that has to play in Hawaii in the second leg of a Thursday-Saturday set and now Riverside catches the Warriors at the wrong time on top of it. 10* (802) Hawaii Warriors |
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01-13-24 | Pepperdine v. San Diego -1 | Top | 83-77 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TERREROS for our WCC Game of the Month. San Diego opened the season 2-0 before a six-point loss at rival UC San Diego, then won three straight games but went on a 1-3 stretch with the three losses coming against Hawaii, Stanford and Utah St., all away from home. The Terreros got it back together with a 4-1 run to close their nonconference schedule and West Coast Conference action hit them right out of the gate with games against the three best teams in the conference in St. Mary's, Gonzaga and San Francisco, the last loss coming by 20 point on Thursday. Now it finally catches a break. We won with Pepperdine on Thursday as it rolled past Pacific and it was in a similar spot to what San Diego is in tonight as it had to face Gonzaga and Santa Clara in its first two conference games and then the Waves caught a cupcake at home. Now they hit the road against a desperate and beaten down team in a bog need to a win. Pepperdine is 0-4 on the road with the last three losses coming by 26, 22 and 25 points. 10* (794) San Diego Terreros |
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01-13-24 | Bulls -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Chicago had its three-game winning streak snapped with a home loss against Golden St. on Friday to fall back to four games under .500. The bottom part of the Eastern Conference is not very good as the Bulls are right in the playoff mix, currently holding down the No. 9 spot and part of a group of four teams separated by 2.5 games. Chicago has not been good on the road with a 5-12 record but nine of those losses have come against teams that are in a playoff spot and overall, Chicago has gone 10-6 against teams outside the top 16 and have won two of three games as a road favorite. San Antonio has won consecutive games for just the second time this season after beating Detroit and Charlotte, two of the three worst teams in the Eastern Conference. After a 3-2 start, the Spurs are 4-28 over their last 32 games and the home and road splits are similarly bad. This is the fifth time San Antonio is playing back-to-back nights and it has gone 0-4 both straight up and against the number in the previous four games playing with no rest, losing those games by an average of 18.5 percent. 10* (531) Chicago Bulls |
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01-13-24 | St. Mary's -5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 73-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Santa Clara is coming off one of its biggest wins in recent memory after defeating Gonzaga by a point on Thursday on Steve Nash Night. The Broncos snapped a 26-game losing streak against the Bulldogs and they are undefeated in West Coast Conference play after three games for the first time since the 2003-04 season. This is the ultimate letdown spot and the time to go against Santa Clara after the notorious court storm as getting back up two days later will be a challenge no matter how big the opponent this time around. St. Mary's had a rough start to the season as it opened 3-5 including a 1-5 stretch but it was against a brutal nonconference portion of its schedule. The five losses came against Weber St., San Diego St., Xavier, Utah and Boise St. but since then, the Gaels have gone 9-1 which includes a 3-0 record in the conference. With the Thursday happenings in Santa Clara, they will be fully focused on the Broncos in a great spot with one of the best defenses in the country. 10* (749) St. Mary's Gaels |
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01-13-24 | Sam Houston State v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 60-51 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. It has been a tough start to the season for Middle Tennessee St. as it is 6-10 and has had to overcome the loss of All C-USA guard Camryn Weston who suffered a season-ending knee injury a game and a half into the season. The Blue Raiders lost their conference opener on Thursday against Louisiana Tech and they have now lost five straight games against Division 1 opponents. The loss of Weston hurts but this is still a good roster and this is the get right game especially with this number as we go contrarian against their current 1-10 ATS run. While this is a play on the Blue Raiders, it is also a play against Sam Houston St. The Bearkats are in their first season in C-USA after coming over from the WAC and they have gotten off to a perfect 2-0 start with wins against Louisiana Tech and Western Kentucky but both of those were at home where they are 6-2. They now hit the road where they are 2-6 including four straight losses and playing their first road conference game. 10* (722) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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01-13-24 | Jacksonville State v. Western Kentucky -2 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our C-USA Game of the Year. Jacksonville St. has won six straight games to improve to 10-7 overall which comes after winning 13 games overall last year in its final season in the Atlantic Sun Conference. The transition to Conference USA could not have started any better as the Gamecocks have checked both boxes as they won their first ever conference game last Saturday at home against Florida International and followed that up with their first conference road win with a huge upset at Liberty on Wednesday by 10 points as an 11-point underdog. Now comes the letdown. Western Kentucky was coming off another disappointing season so a change was made in the head coach with an overhaul of the entire roster and so far it is working. The Hilltoppers were riding an eight-game winning streak to improve to 12-3 but headed to Sam Houston St., another team in its first season in the conference, on Wednesday and had their winning streak snapped in a loss by four points. They return home where they are 7-0 and laying a great price. 10* (712) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans +3 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 117 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Houston won three of its final four games and coupled with the Jacksonville implosion, the Texans won the AFC South. Their only loss over that stretch was against the Browns but that was without C.J. Stroud playing at quarterback and with a defense not close to full strength so we can toss out that matchup. Excluding Week 18, the Browns have allowed 29.4 ppg on the road compared to allowing 13.9 ppg at home so their overall DVOA of No. 2 defensively is skewed as it is No. 1 at home but a mere No. 23 on the road. And that includes the game against the Stroud-less Texans which was their best road game of the season on defense, allowing 250 yards. While the Houston offense was not at full strength, the defense was not healthy either. Houston allowed just over 20 ppg at home and while included in that was the 36 points allowed to the Browns, the defense was not close to 100 percent. This was the game where Amari Cooper went off for a franchise-record 265 receiving yards but he faced off against backup cornerback D'Angelo Ross while defensive end Will Anderson, Jr. and several other players on defense were out. Veteran quarterback Joe Flacco has been a great story for the Browns and he has playoff experience which is considered an edge over Stroud but the latter has not played like the typical rookie and he has the benefit of playing this game at home which takes a lot of pressure off. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (142) Houston Texans |
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01-13-24 | BYU -5.5 v. UCF | Top | 63-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Welcome to the Big 12 BYU. The Cougars were one of the most dominating teams in the country early in the season as they made it as high as No. 4 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin while starting 12-1, the lone loss coming at Utah. Since then, they lost at home against Cincinnati, another conference newcomer, and then lost their first road conference game at Baylor which is currently No. 14 in Adjusted Efficiency Margin. BYU looks to shake off those losses as it faces another Big 12 new arrival and this is a great spot. We played against UCF last Saturday as it played its first conference game and it was on the road on top of it as it got hammered at Kansas St. by 25 points. The Knights could not have had a better bounce back as they returned home for their Big 12 home opener against Kansas and won outright by five points as a seven-point underdog. It was a court storm which sets up going up against UCF in an ultimate letdown situation and against a desperate team in search of a maiden conference win. 10* (681) BYU Cougars |
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01-13-24 | Bowling Green v. Northern Illinois +1.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. It has been a tough run for Northern Illinois as it has lost eight straight Division 1 games but it has been a brutal stretch of the schedule. Five of those losses have been on the road including two against Big Ten teams and the last two in the MAC at Ohio and Western Michigan. They are back home where they are 3-3 which includes three straight losses but those where against Indiana St., Northern Iowa and Akron and now they finally catch a break as they look to break their 0-8 ATS run as well. Bowling Green won 11 games last season and has already matched that win total but unlike the Huskies, the schedule has been in its favor. The Falcons have played a slate ranked No. 351 (out of 362 teams) with two of those wins against non-Division 1 teams and despite such a soft schedule, they have not been favored like a team should be despite playing only three away games. Bowling Green is 1-2 in those games with both losses coming by double digits and the win being by only two points over 5-13 Southern Indiana. 10* (684) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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01-13-24 | Fresno State v. Wyoming -4 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS as part of our CBB Afternoon Three-Pack. Wyoming is 8-8 including a 1-2 record in the Mountain West Conference and has faced a tough schedule that is ranked No. 57. The Cowboys have lost their last two games by 17 and 24 points but those were both on the rod and they return home where they are 5-1. Wyoming added a big piece to its roster as Mason Walters became eligible six games ago and the NAIA National Player of the Year last season is already averaging 12.5 ppg. The Cowboys are on a 0-5 ATS run which adds value and makes this an auto play in this situation. Fresno St. has also dropped two straight games against two of the top teams in the conference including a 15-point loss at home against Nevada. The Bulldogs are coming off a 20-loss season with not a whole lot coming back and they have been better than anticipated at 7-7 overall but have struggled on the road. Fresno St. does own a minor upset at San Diego but its three road losses have been by 10, 20 and 27 points while two neutral court losses have been by 31 and 29 points. 10* (686) Wyoming Cowboys |
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01-13-24 | UL - Lafayette +3 v. Arkansas State | Top | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Louisiana is off to a 1-3 start in the Sun Belt Conference following a six-point loss at 4-0 Troy on Wednesday. They are 8-8 overall and remain on the road where the Cajuns are 1-6 and are on a 0-4 ATS run so we are going against the grain here in a good bounce back opportunity as they need to get things right to avoid getting into a big whole coming into the season as one of the conference favorites. Overall, Louisiana has a positive Adjusted Efficiency Margin despite playing a tough schedule that is ranked No. 123. Arkansas St. has gotten off to an opposite start as it is 3-1 in the SBC following a 4-8 nonconference record that includes a pair of good wins against UAB and Louisville but the recent run has been aided by an easy conference schedule. The Red Wolves opened with a loss against Georgia St. but has won the last three games against Georgia Southern, Old Dominion and Texas St. which are a combined 12-36 including 2-11 in the conference and now id the biggest test. 10* (677) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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01-13-24 | Bradley v. Illinois-Chicago +4.5 | Top | 77-59 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Bradley opened Missouri Valley Conference play with a pair of losses which was the beginning of a 0-5 run which came after starting the season 6-0. The Braves have since won five straight games following that losing streak including the last three wins within the conference and they have not been close, winning those by 25, 26 and 36 points. Two of those came at home with the road win coming at Valparaiso which is by far the worse team in the conference. The blowout victories are now needing to make the markets overadjust going forward which is starting here. Illinois-Chicago has lost four of its last five games and is off to a 1-4 start in the conference, the lone victory coming against aforementioned Valparaiso. The last three losses have been on the road with the one home loss being a bad one against Incarnate Word and it returns home where it is 4-3. The markets are needing to do the opposite with the Flames which started the season 6-0 ATS but have now dropped their last five games against the number. 10* (646) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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01-13-24 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Texas A&M opened the season 5-0 but has been in a tailspin since then, going 4-6 over its last 10 games including a pair of double-digit losses against LSU and Auburn to open 0-2 in the SEC. The Aggies are now in an early needed win spot to get another Quad 1 win as they have two strong wins over Ohio St. and Iowa St. but none since late November. Texas A&M has played a rugged schedule that is ranked No. 19 in the country and returns home where it is 5-2 and brings in a 0-4 run against the number which adds value. Kentucky is on a roll as it has won six straight games since suffering a bad home loss against UNC Wilmington albeit the Seahawks are a solid team but the Wildcats should not be losing at home against a mid-major. They have covered all six of these games during the run and most impressive is that they have covered four of those when laying double digits. This is a tough spot to walk into which was similar to last Saturday at Florida where they were fortunate to come away with a two-point win. 10* (658) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-13-24 | Morehead State v. SIU-Edwardsville +5 | Top | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the SIU EDWARDSVILLE COUGARS for our CBB Early Dominator. Morehead St. is off to a 4-0 start in the Ohio Valey Conference with all four wins coming by double digits including a 26-point win at Eastern Illinois on Thursday. The Eagles are now 13-4 overall and this start is not unexpected as they won the conference championship last season and are picked to win it again this season and so far they have not missed a beat despite missing reigning OVC Player of the Year Mark Freeman who is out for the season with a wrist injury. Morehead St. has the bullseye on its back and is a publicly backed team now considering they are on a perfect 9-0 ATS run. SIU Edwardsville survived a scare from Southern Indiana on Thursday as it won by just three points at home as a 7.5-point favorite to snap a two-game losing streak and the cougars may have been guilty looking ahead to this game despite looking to get back into the win column. They remain home where they are 7-1 and need to get it done here considering they are 0-7 on the road with a pair of road games coming up. 10* (616) SIU Edwardsville Cougars |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Denver is coming off a 13-point loss at Utah and is now a modest 3-3 over its last six games. The Nuggets remain in third place in the Western Conference as they are game behind Minnesota and Oklahoma City and in a group of seven teams separated by just four games. Denver returns home where it is 15-4 and pretty much remains on pace with its home success last season where it went 34-7 and for those that think the Nuggets are suffering through the NBA Title hangover, they were 26-13 through 39 games last season as well. New Orleans defeated Golden St. by 36 points on the road Wednesday night which was a solid win but this is not the Golden St. team we are accustomed to. The Pelicans have been playing well after a slow start where they were 4-6 through 10 games and have gone 19-9 over their last 28 games. Most impressive is that they have won eight straight road games including wins at Minnesota and Sacramento (twice) but it is in a tough spot here. The big three of Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum and Zion Williamson are all questionable. 10* (516) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-24 | Nebraska v. Iowa -3.5 | Top | 76-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Nebraska is another small surprise in the Big Ten Conference with the venue having dictated its success. The Huskers are coming off another massive home win as they defeated Purdue by 16 points which was their first win over a No. 1 ranked team since 1982 and it resulted in a stormed court which is auto fade next time out. That was the third impressive home win for Nebraska as the other two victories came against Michigan St. and Indiana and now it hits the road where it is 1-2 with both losses coming within the conference at Minnesota and Wisconsin by 11 and 16 points respectively. Iowa is off to a disappointing 9-6 start to the season that included three straight losses to open conference action, two of those on the road against the two best teams in the Big Ten at Purdue and Wisconsin and a bad home loss against Michigan. The Hawkeyes got into the win column in its last game against Rutgers at home by nine points. That improved them to 8-1 at home and this is where they need to continue to take care of business as they have struggled outside Iowa City, going 1-5 including 0-4 in true road games. 10* (892) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-12-24 | Dayton v. Duquesne -1.5 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Dayton was the preseason choice to win the Atlantic Ten Conference and it is playing up to that right now as the Flyers have won nine straight games including a pair of conference wins in their last two games. They are great offensively, ranked No. 11 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but do play at a slow pace as they are No. 357 in Adjusted Tempo and that is a tough way to cover numbers as a favorite, especially on the road, as they are 10-0 when laying points but only 5-5 against the number. Duquesne is coming off a 20-win season which came after six victories in 2021-22 and the Dukes are expected to keep it rolling. They are 9-6 that includes some very impressive mid-major wins but Duquesne has opened 0-2 in the conference with work to be done coming in as a top four team. Both of those losses were on the road however and the Dukes head home where they are 5-1, the lone loss coming against 13-1 Princeton by three points in a game they were actually favored in and now the role is reversed. Duquesne is on a 0-5 ATS run which is adding additional value. 10* (874) Duquesne Dukes |
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01-12-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana -3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CBB Star Attraction. The biggest surprise in the Big Ten Conference is a toss-up between 3-1 Northwestern and 3-1 Minnesota although the former is coming off an NCAA Tournament appearance while the letter is coming off a dreadful season. Minnesota has already surpassed its win total from all of last season where it went 9-22 including 2-17 in the Big Ten but the schedule has played a big part into its 10-3 start. The Gophers have played the No. 343 ranked schedule (out of 362 teams) and have gone 12-1 ATS including nine straight wins against the number and this is just the third road game of the season, the first resulting in a 10-point loss at Ohio St. and the second being a win at a broken Michigan team. Indiana is 3-2 in the conference following a loss at Rutgers on Tuesday, its second loss in two three games with both of those coming on the road. The Hoosiers head home where they are 8-1, the lone loss coming against Kansas by four points in a game they led for the majority while blowing a 13-point lead with 15 minutes left. This is a great get right spot and a perfect fade for this Minnesota team that cannot sustain this success. 10* (868) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-11-24 | Arizona State v. Washington -6.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Star Attraction. Arizona St. is the early surprise in the Pac 12 Conference as it is off to a 4-0 start and even more impressive is the fact the sun devils have won all four games as underdogs. They opened with a pair of road wins over California and Stanford, neither of which are expected to do much this season, by a combined five points. They followed those up with home victories over Utah and Colorado which are both pretty solid and expected to finish in the top half of the conference, but neither travel well. Now comes their biggest road test where they are 2-1, the lone loss coming against No. 224 ranked San Diego. Washington opened the season 8-3 that included a win over Gonzaga and there was talk of the Huskies being the surprise team in the conference but then conference play got underway with a tough early stretch. They had to travel to Colorado and Utah, losing both but only by five points each. Washington returned home and blew a big lead over Oregon and went on to lose by a bucket before rebounding against Oregon St. on Saturday. 10* (842) Washington Huskies |
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01-11-24 | Pacific v. Pepperdine -12.5 | Top | 78-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the PEPPERDINE WAVES for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Pepperdine is off to a 0-2 start in the West Coast Conference with the schedule doing it no favors as it opened against Gonzaga on the road which resulted in a 26-point loss and the Waves returned home and put up a great effort against 2-0 Santa Clara in a six-point loss. They remain home and get a break for a chance to win their first conference game against a bad team as the Waves look to improve upon their 7-3 home record with the other two losses coming against CSU Fullerton and UNLV. They match up well in the backcourt with Michael Ajayi and Houston Mallette which are averaging a combined 33.8 ppg. Pacific had a decent season a year ago as it went 7-9 in the conference which was buoyed by leading the conference in three-point shooting but the Tigers have regressed considerably in that category. They are also 0-2 in the conference as they suffered a tough overtime loss in the opener against San Francisco but could not recover in a 14-point loss at Portland two nights later. Pacific is 1-6 on the road that includes six straight losses, all by double digits. 10* (826) Pepperdine Waves |
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01-11-24 | Suns +1 v. Lakers | Top | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the fourth meeting between the Suns and Lakers with Los Angeles winning the first two scheduled meetings and then winning the In-Season Tournament matchup. Phoenix looks to break through for the first time with a fully healthy roster of the big three as it has had Devin Booker and Bradley Beal each miss two of the first three meetings. The Suns come in with two straight losses to fall to 19-18 and they are arguably the biggest disappointment in the league which has been due to injuries from the start. The Lakers were on a dreadful 2-9 run to fall two games under .500 but they have won two straight games including a narrow one point win over Toronto on Tuesday. Los Angeles got the win thanks to some questionable officiating in the fourth quarter as they went to the free throw line 23 times compared to the Raptors hitting the stripe just twice. The Lakers have been the complete opposite at home than on the road as they are 13-6 at the Crypto compared to 6-13 on the highway and while they have been solid as favorites, they are just 7-12 ATS coming off a win. 10* (577) Phoenix Suns |
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01-11-24 | Southern Miss v. Louisiana-Monroe +5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the UL-MONROE WARHAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Southern Mississippi is in an awful spot on the road. After losing at Georgia Southern in its conference opener by 21 points, against an Eagles team that came into that game 0-12, the Golden Eagles bounced back with a pair of home wins over Georgia St. and James Madison. The latter handed the Dukes their first loss of the season and it was the first win over a top 25 team in 13 years so hitting the road presents a letdown. On top of that, Southern Mississippi plays at 3-0 Troy on Saturday making this a bet against sandwich spot. UL-Monroe has dropped six straight games including its first three in the Sun Belt Conference. The last two were at home for the Warhawks as part of this four-game homestand and will be catching a low focused team in a game they will try and steal. UL-Monroe cannot score as it is No. 308 in scoring and No. 317 in shooting percentage while sitting No. 327 in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency but it makes up for it with a solid defense and slow tempo so a low scoring game favors the significant underdog. 10* (794) UL-Monroe Warhawks |
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01-11-24 | Western Illinois v. Tenn-Martin -6 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the UT MARTIN SKYHAWKS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. UT Martin had its three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at home against surprising Eastern Illinois by seven points as a 9.5-point favorite. The Skyhawks fell to 2-1 in the Ohio Valley Conference following a pair of wins on the road at Tennessee St. and Tennessee Tech and that was also their first home loss of the season. The issue with the 5-0 home start is that four of those wins were against non-Division 1 teams with the other victory needing overtime against North Alabama which was by a bucket. UT Martin is a top contender in the conference and has a great bounce back opportunity here. Western Illinois is in its first season in the Ohio Valley Conference and things have gotten off to a great start as the Leathernecks are off to a 3-0 start which not many saw coming after being picked to finish No. 9 in the 11-team conference. The last two wins have come at home with the road win being a very good one against SIUE and overall, Western Illinois has won seven straight games to improve to 10-6 overall but now in a horrible spot. 10* (802) UT Martin Skyhawks |
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01-11-24 | Utah Valley v. Texas-Arlington -1.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. UT Arlington is back home after five straight losses on the road, three against Texas Tech, North Texas and Texas and the last two coming in the WAC where it has fallen to 1-3. The other conference loss came on the road against WAC favorite Grand Canyon with the one win coming at home against Abilene Christian. The Mavericks are 5-1 at home and in a great bounce back spot. One key player going forward for the Mavericks is guard Philip Russell who transferred from SE Missouri St. and finished second in the OVC in scoring. He became eligible in the second semester and immediately put up 28 points in his first game at home. Utah Valley won the WAC last season at 15-3 but was relegated to the NIT where it did make a great run. It is rebuilding time as the Wolverines lost all five starters and their head coach and they have been a little better than expected so far, going 8-7 overall including 3-1 in the WAC but all three wins have been at home where they are 6-1 and the lone loss was on the road where they are 1-5. 10* (784) UT Arlington Mavericks |
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01-11-24 | New Mexico State v. Florida International -2.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL PANTHERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Florida International lost on Saturday at Jacksonville St. for its second straight loss and that was a bad spot for the Panthers as Jacksonville St. was playing its first even Conference USA game and it was at home no less. Now the Panthers are back in Miami for it conference home opener and after an awful start to the season, they are starting to level out. Florida International opened 1-6 with six of those games taking place away from home and it has gone 4-2 in its six home games since with one of those losses coming by three points to Florida Gulf Coast. Give the Aggies credit after shutting down last season because of a sexual assault scandal. New Mexico St. is coming off a pair of wins last week but both of those were at home where the Aggies are 7-1. They snapped a three-game losing streak but they have been competitive as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS record over that stretch but in the three losses, the Aggies were significant underdogs. New Mexico St. now hits the road again where it is 0-6 in true road games and 0-8 counting neutral court games. 10* (756) Florida International Panthers |
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01-11-24 | Monmouth v. NC-Wilmington -8 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNC WILMINGTON SEAHAWKS for our CAA Game of the Month. UNC Wilmington has lost three straight games including its first two in the Coastal Athletic Association but those three games were on the road and the Seahawks have played five straight road games and they have played only one game at home since November 14 and they will be laser focused here. They are 3-0 at home with all three wins against non-Division 1 teams but that is not a concern as this team is loaded and picked to win the regular season title. They have the best backcourt in the conference with three double digit scorers but they are led by forward Trazarien White who is averaging over 20 ppg and nearly 6 rpg. We won with Monmouth on Monday but we are fading the Hawks now as they hit the road at the wrong place and the wrong time. Monmouth rolled over Northeastern by 19 points while covering three straight games and going 10-2 ATS over its last 12 games and that is keeping the line in check. The Hawks are 1-5 on the road with the win over West Virginia which looked good at the time but not anymore. 10* (766) UNC Wilmington Seahawks |
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01-10-24 | Oklahoma v. TCU -4.5 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS for our CBB Star Attraction. TCU is coming off a very controversial loss against Kansas as it was hit with a suspect flagrant foul call in the final minute that erased a two-point lead and the Jayhawks won the game on a layup with four seconds left. It was a brutal ending for the Horned Frogs in a game that neither team led by more than six points and they return home looking to bounce back in a big revenge spot as well. TCU is 7-0 at home and while it has defeated no one, the situation sets up great for its first big win of the season. Oklahoma has gotten off to a great start as it is 13-1 following a victory at home over Iowa St. by eight points in its Big 12 Conference opener to make it three straight wins after suffering it lone loss of the season against North Carolina on a neutral floor in Charlotte. The Sooners do have solid win over Iowa, USC and Arkansas on neutral floors and this marks their first true road game of the season. While TCU has not been tested before the game against Kansas, the Sooners have been on a similar path to open the season with a schedule that is ranked No. 300 in the country. 10* (740) TCU Horned Frogs |
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01-10-24 | Boston College v. Syracuse -4 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our ACC Game of the Month. Syracuse was riding a five-game winning streak and had momentum heading to Duke last week but gave the Blue Devils little resistance in a 20-point loss. The Orange fell to 10-4 overall including 1-2 in the Atlantic Coast Conference with the other loss coming at Virginia by 22 points so the road conference struggles that have hampered them the last few years continues. Syracuse is back home in a good bounce back spot where it is 7-0 and in addition to the two ACC losses, the other two defeats came against Gonzaga and Tennessee so it has been a tough schedule which is No. 26 in the country. Boston College shook off a home loss to Wake Forest with a win at Georgia Tech on Saturday as it overcame a 16-point deficit in the second half to win by eight points. The Eagles are also 1-2 in the ACC with the other loss coming against NC State, which was also at home and Boston College comes in a surprising 3-0 on the road, the only undefeated team in the conference in road games. This is not sustainable as the other two wins came against Vanderbilt and The Citadel, both of which are ranked well behind Syracuse. 10* (738) Syracuse Orange |
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01-10-24 | Indiana State v. Drake | Top | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. We played against Drake on Sunday as it got throttled at Belmont, losing by 22 points in what was a sandwich game after coming off a 17-point win over Illinois St. and prematurely looking ahead to this game. The Bulldogs were 3-0 and tied with the Sycamores for first place in the Missouri Valley Conference at 3-0 but they are now a game back with three other teams so this is an early big game as to not fall back too soon. Drake is 8-0 at home with all but two of those wins coming by double digits and it is in position for this big test. Indiana St. shook off its 12-point loss at Michigan St. to easily win both of its conference games last week including an 11-point win at Northern Iowa on Sunday as a short favorite. The Sycamores four conference wins have all been by at least eight points, three coming by double digits and this is now their first set of back-to-back road games this season. They are 3-2 on the road with the other road loss coming at Alabama and those road defeats are the only overall ones on the season so they have won the other games it should but they go down again here. 10* (714) Drake Bulldogs |
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01-10-24 | 76ers v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 132-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Following a blowout loss at home against New York, Philadelphia played without Joel Embiid on Saturday against Utah and lost by 11 points and that was just the fourth time this season the Sixers have lost consecutive games. While they have been able to avoid three straight losses in the previous three instances, the Sixers will be without Embiid again so they are in a tough situation without one of the best players in the league and they are underdogs for a reason yet are still being bet in the public circles. Atlanta has also lost two straight games and it has been a miserable season for Hawks bettors. After opening 3-3 against the number, Atlanta is 5-24 ATS in its last 29 games and the Hawks have gone 0-7 against the number as home favorites so this is the ultimate contrarian spot. The defense has been one of the worst in the league as the Hawks are No. 27 in defensive efficiency while sitting dead last in Effective Field Goal Percentage but have a break against a limited Philadelphia offense. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (558) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-10-24 | Western Carolina v. East Tennessee State | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the EAST TENNESSEE ST. BUCCANEERS for our CBB Contrarian Closer. Three of the top four teams predicted to finish at the top of the Southern Conference standings are already there at 2-0 with Western Carolina being one of those. The Catamounts have opened with a pair of wins over The Citadel and Wofford, the former coming on the road where they are an impressive 6-2, part of their 13-2 overall record. While that is an impressive start, it has come against a relatively tame schedule that is ranked No. 241 in the country and Western Carolina is ranked No. 4 in the nation in the Luck Ratings with five of its wins coming by four points or less. East Tennessee St. has split its first two conference games, with a double digit win at home against Mercer and a double digit loss on the road at UNC Greensboro, one of those aforementioned top four teams. That was the fourth of six road losses by double digits but those were all against teams with at least 10 wins with the other two coming by five points combined. The Buccaneers return to their home floor where they are a perfect 6-0 on the season which includes an impressive win against Davidson. 10* (680) East Tennessee St. Buccaneers |
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01-10-24 | Wright State v. Robert Morris +6 | Top | 101-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Robert Morris is coming off a win over IUPUI which snapped a three-game losing streak while recording its first Horizon League victory. The Colonials opened the season 0-4 in the conference but three of those were on the road where they are 1-7 with the lone victory coming against St. Francis. While it has been a tough stretch to start the season overall at 5-11, they have been competitive with some close losses, four of which have been by five points or fewer. This is the most favorable stretch of the season for Robert Morris as it is in the midst of a four-game conference homestand. Wright St. snapped a two-game losing streak with a 12-point win at home against Cleveland St. and backed that up with an upset win on the road at Purdue-Fort Wayne which was the first loss for the Mastodons and this leads to a letdown spot for the Raiders which opened the season with five straight road losses. They have another big game on deck at Youngstown St. which is the first of three straight revenge games. While it has looked good the last two games, Wright St. has been too inconsistent to be trusted in this spot. 10* (686) Robert Morris Colonials |
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01-10-24 | Mercer v. Wofford -4.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Wofford got off to a rough 2-5 start that included a five-game losing streak but was able to get back on track with a 5-1 stretch that included a win, albeit a lackluster one against VMI by just a bucket in overtime, to open Southern Conference action but lost on Saturday at Western Carolina in what was a solid effort. The Terriers are back home in a good bounce back spot where they come in at 5-0 and while they have yet to win by margin, the line is factoring that in with Wofford being favored only three times all season. Mercer is also off to a 1-1 start in the conference as after losing at East Tennessee St. by 11 points, it came back with a convincing 22-point win at VMI and the two wins over the Keydets by these two teams is going to favor the road team based on those margin of victories. The Bears are now 2-4 on the road with the other win coming at Chicago St. and it needs to be noted that the two road victories have been against teams ranked No. 302 and No. 347. While 2-0 as road favorites, they are 0-4 when getting points, covering against Georgia by a bucket as a 13-point underdog. 10* (706) Wofford Terriers |
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01-09-24 | San Diego State v. San Jose State +10.5 | Top | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CBB Late Powerhouse. This is another big Mountain West Conference favorite that will be a big publicly bet on team. San Diego St. made that huge run in the NCAA Tournament last season and it has kept it rolling into this season as the Aztecs are 13-2 including a six-game winning streak. They are coming off a pair of conference wins at home against Fresno St. and UNLV which came after a big upset at Gonzaga so this is the letdown spot as they are back on the road. To make it tougher, San Diego St. has a game at 13-2 New Mexico on deck. San Jose St. is off to a 0-2 start in the conference following losses at Wyoming by two points and a nine-point home loss against Boise St. on Friday. The Spartans were getting 4.5 points against the Broncos and are now getting double digits with a lot of that based on public perception. The loss to the Cowboys dropped them to 0-5 on the road and prior to Boise St., the Spartans were 5-1 at home and they could not catch San Diego St. at a better time. This is a good shooting team with four double-digit scorers that can keep it close. 10* (664) San Jose St. Spartans |
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01-09-24 | Raptors v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 131-132 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers came through for us on Sunday as they snapped a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers and they need to carry over that momentum with this favorable portion of the schedule. They outshot the Clippers 51.2 percent to 39.6 percent with the latter being most important as it was the first time in 14 games where they allowed an opponent to shoot fewer than 40 percent. Keeping the defensive effort going is big in this spot against an up tempo offense but one that is ranked just No. 21 in offensive efficiency. Toronto is coming off a win at Golden St. on Sunday and has won three of its last four games but the Raptors are still far from a good team as they are 15-21 which includes a 6-12 record on the road compared to being a .500 team at home. Toronto has won back-to-back games only three times, going 3-11 following a victory and each instance involved at least one team six games under .500 or worse. While the offense has not been efficient, neither has the defense as it is also ranked No. 21 in efficiency. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 114 and 118 ppg and after scoring 68 points or more in the first half last game going up against teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (548) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-09-24 | Air Force +15.5 v. Nevada | Top | 54-67 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Nevada opened Mountain West Conference action with a 15-point win at Fresno St. to improve to 14-1 overall and now its is laying a big number as it head back home. The Wolf Pack have covered six straight games but all of those were games where they were either underdogs or single digit favorites and now are being asked to win by a large margin. While it really is not a letdown spot, it is in a lookahead situation with a big game on deck against Boise St. looking to avenge a 15-point loss from last season. Air Force has lost four straight games while failing to cover any of those so it needs to get something going following a bad 28-point loss against Boise St. to open conference action. The Falcons have not played a very tough schedule but they are a team that can sneak up on teams not taking them serious. They possess three players averaging between 14.8 and 17.5 ppg so there are good scoring options and all three are lethal from long range. While this is a big test, Air Force is 3-1 on the road while five of six losses have been by single digits. 10* (659) Air Force Falcons |
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01-09-24 | Oklahoma State +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 73-90 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Texas Tech is off to a surprising 12-2 start as it came into the season with just one starter returning and picked to finish in the bottom third of the Big 12 Conference. The Red Raiders are coming off an 11-point win at Texas on Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog and while it was a big upset, the jury is still out on the Longhorns but in the mind of Texas Tech, it was huge and now it is feeling a little too good with an overinflated line. It is now seven straight wins for the Red Raiders and three straight covers in a very bad spot. Oklahoma St. was picked to finish right around Texas Tech in the conference and it has been a much slower start for the Cowboys which are 8-6. They are coming off a five-point loss at home against Baylor to open 0-1 in the conference which snapped a five-game winning streak so they did have some momentum going and can get that back here. The record could actually be a lot better as of those six losses, five have been by two or fewer possessions including their only road loss of the season by two points at Southern Illinois. 10* (639) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson -5 | Top | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAVIDSON WILDCATS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Davidson was rolling along with seven straight wins but Dayton came to town last Thursday and came away with a 13-point win. That was the first Atlantic Ten Conference game for the Wildcats and they remain home with a chance to even the record and are laying a lower than expected number. Davidson was 7-0 at home prior to the game against the Flyers and there will be no lookahead with games on the road against George Washington and Fordham on deck so getting that game back is big. Rhode Island opened its conference season with an upset win at home against St. Joes to make it two straight victories following a five-game losing streak. The Rams are just 7-7 on the season and that upset over the Hawks was a bit of a surprise for a team expected to finish at the bottom of the conference. Rhode Island is back on the highway following four straight home games and this is the first road game in a month where it is 0-2 with 15-point losses to Charleston and Providence while also going 0-3 in neutral court games so they cannot win off their home court. 10* (624) Davidson Wildcats |
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01-09-24 | Houston v. Iowa State +3.5 | Top | 53-57 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our CBB Contrarian Closer. This line is going to put a lot of people on Houston which is No. 2 in the country with a 14-0 record and laying a very short number here but that is telling. The Cougars are coming off a 34-point win over West Virginia on Saturday at home which was their first ever Big 12 game and that was a pretty big moment. They are the No. 1 team in Adjusted Efficiency Margin but have not played the most difficult schedule and this just their second true rod game of the season which resulted in just a six-point win at Xavier. Iowa St. had its six-game winning streak snapped with an eight-point loss at Oklahoma on Saturday so it is already in a 0-1 hole in the conference. The Cyclones are back home where they are 9-0 and while this is easily their toughest test, they do own an impressive 25-point win over Iowa in Ames and this is always a tough environment for opponents. It has been a notable start considering they had only one starter back but brought in a solid transfer group and the No. 7 recruiting class and it is gelling with six players averaging between 9.6 and 14.7 ppg. 10* (634) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-09-24 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown +8 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS for our Big East Game of the Month. Georgetown certainly is not a Big East Conference contender yet but the Hoyas are a very improved team. They are 1-3 in the conference and 8-7 overall and those eight wins have already surpassed the win total from last season and this can be attributed to coaching. Ed Cooley came to D.C. from Providence and has brought his winning pedigree and Georgetown is in a good spot as it remains home following a win over DePaul and while it is 0-3 ATS in its last three games, this is the time to jump. Seton Hall is in big time letdown mode as it is coming off a pair of huge wins over Providence and Marquette as underdogs by six and five points respectively. The Pirates are now 3-1 in the conference and we have already seen a letdown spot as they defeated Connecticut at home and then went on the road and lost at Xavier by 20 points. The win at Providence was a great one but they are 1-2 on the road with the two losses coming by 13 and 18 points. And Seton Hall has Butler on deck adding to the tough situation and being in the public eye. 10* (604) Georgetown Hoyas |