Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -120 | 117 h 23 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #254 Atlanta Falcons over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 31 FOX) NFL Game of the Year The Panthers are in freefall now having lost 4 straight games. They are backing their turnaround on Christian McCaffrey coming back later in the season, but I do not see things getting any better until then. Atlanta has won 3 of their last 4 games and played well last week against Miami leading for most of that game before turnovers got the Dolphins a late lead. They will clean that up on Sunday and win this game by close to double digits. Carolina has had turnover issues and I do not expect that to be cleaned up in this game either. QB Donald is not a top tier player and Carolina did much of their damage at the start of the season against bad teams. Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Carolina. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Atlanta is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State -18.5 | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #190 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 30 ABC) Ohio State has been rolling of late winning 5 straight games and all of them have come by more points than tonight’s posted number. Penn State could not run the football against Illinois, and they are gassed after losing to the Illini in 9 overtimes. QB Clifford did return from an injury against Iowa but did not look good, throwing for just 165 yards on 56% completions. Penn State is going to have to score points to stay in this game and I just do not believe that is something they can do at this stage of the season. Ohio State still has a great chance to make the college football playoff if they win out and win convincingly. They have scored at least 52 points in their last four games and if they hit that number on Saturday, they will win this game with ease. Penn State is 4-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games following a loss in their previous game. Ohio State is 13-5 ATS in tier last 18 games following an ATS win in their previous game. The James Franklin to USC rumors heat up and Penn State continues to lose games, this one coming by 20+ points. |
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10-30-21 | Raptors v. Pacers -2.5 | 97-94 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams played last night, but the Pacers are at home here and they have an easier B2B in our opinion. This is also a revenge spot for the home team as they were run out of the building on Wednesday. Toronto has been getting by on defense, but they didn’t play well in that regard on Friday and we don’t expect a better effort here on a back-to-back as energy will be in short supply. |
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10-30-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Wizards | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
We think that this sets up as a nice revenge spot for Boston. These teams played Wednesday, and the Celtics suffered a nine-point loss at home. We think revenge is an overrated handicapping aspect for the NBA, but it does come into play when the teams recently played each other. And that is the case here. And even better for Boston, they have had two says off while the Wizards played a back-to-back on Thursday, so this is their third game in four nights. |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 Iowa Hawkeyes over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 ESPN) You have an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team, but I do not buy the metrics on Wisconsin. The Badgers have a terrible quarterback and if Hawkeyes can stop the run, they will have trouble moving the football. Iowa is solid on defense as well and if they can take care of the football they should win this game straight-up. Wisconsin got 5 turnovers last week against Purdue and only had to throw 8 passes. Iowa turned it over 4 times two weeks ago against Purdue and lost of them. Do you see a trend about what Iowa needs to do to win this game? The road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings between Iowa and Wisconsin. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4.5 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Michigan State Spartans over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 FOX) This is just too many points for a true road game against a team Michigan has not done well against in the past. Michigan State is 9-4 straight-up and 11-2 ATS against Michigan since 2008. Both defenses are tough against the run and whoever can make plays in the passing game will likely win this game. I feel Michigan State has the best player on the field in Heisman candidate Kenneth Walker III and a strong showing in this game will vault him up the standing. Michigan State is coming off a bye week to get healthy and I just do not see them getting run off the field against Michigan. Coach Harbaugh still has a terrible record against ranked teams and if this game is close in the fourth quarter, I expect Michigan State to win it straight-up. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of October. Take the points in this game, as I believe the wrong team is favored. |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Illinois Fighting Illini (12p.m., Saturday, October 30 BTN) Just do not know who Illinois will bounce back after a 9 overtime win last time out against Penn State. Rutgers is coming off a bye last week and Illinois still have major issues at quarterback. Illinois has proven they can lose to anyone, and I just feel Rutgers is further along in year two with Greg Schiano compared to year 1 of Bret Bielema. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Rutgers and Illinois. |
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10-29-21 | Clippers +3 v. Blazers | 92-111 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
We like to back a good team after a bad (embarrassing) loss, and this is the case tonight for the Clippers, who played one of their worst games with the current core of players. This team has gotten off to a slow start, but they are better than this and they should give maximum effort tonight after a blowout vs. the Cavs. The Clippers normally bounce back well and they are 5-0 ATS after an ATS loss. |
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10-29-21 | Hornets +5 v. Heat | 99-114 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Charlotte is one of the best surprises of the new season, and this team certainly looks like a playoff team this season. They are 4-1 ATS on the year and they should be 5-0 ATS but they went to OT with Boston as an underdog and lost in the extra frame. The Hornets have some major offensive firepower this season and they stand at No. 1 in the league offensively. We see this one as another close game and we think the underdog has a chance for the outright win. |
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10-28-21 | Spurs +7 v. Mavs | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Even though their records don’t show it, the Spurs have played as well as the Mavs to open the season. We are seeing progress already from San Antonio this season. They have had a very tough schedule to start off but they have been competitive, and we expect them to be competitive tonight in this regional rivalry. The Mavs wins have come against Houston and Toronto, so we don’t think they should be laying this many points this soon. The Mavs haven’t covered in their last five home games. |
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10-28-21 | Bologna v. Napoli -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play. Competition: Serie A. Take Napoli -1.5 (-120) over Bologna (Thursday at 2:45pm) Includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win, Napoli must win by two or more goals. As per your selection on Napoli, this is a great spot for them to get back to their winning ways after drawing with Roma just four days ago. They dominated that game but were unable to find the breakthrough, which won't be the case here today. Napoli is stout defensively having only given up 3 goals on the season and Bologna shows very little attacking threat. Napoli's attack should be able to generate plenty of chances against Bologna's leaky defense (19 conceded in 9 games) and we expect Napoli to pull away from Bologna in the game. We see this game being 2-0 or 3-1 in favor of the hosts. |
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10-27-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -8 | 92-79 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
1-Unit Play #548 Take LA Clippers -8 over Cleveland (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) This Clippers team has been inconsistent to start off with but we see more games like the blowout against Portland than the rout vs. Memphis in their future. They are on a bit of high alert after losing their first two games, and this season it is all about the regular season and getting a good seed with the hopes of Kawhi returning at some point for a playoff run. They should be able to get a double-digit win against an overmatched opponent that is fat and happy after two consecutive wins. |
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10-27-21 | Lakers v. Thunder +6 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
2-Unit Play #540 Take Oklahoma City +6 over LA Lakers (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) It’s early in the season so back-to-backs normally don’t matter that much. It shouldn’t be much of an issue tonight for OKC, who is young and is at home for both ends of the B2B. For the Lakers, however, this team is old. They are already one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA every season as the oddsmakers shade their lines on a regular basis. But this team is also old and they aren’t built for a rugged schedule. They played OT last night and this will be their third game in four nights. And the Thunder will be gunning for them as every team does every time they play the Lakers. |
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10-27-21 | Pacers v. Raptors | 100-118 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play #533 Take Indiana -1 over Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) We love the Pacers with this short line on Wednesday. Some books even have the Pacers getting a point. The Pacers are 1-3 but they have had a real tough schedule to start off the season. They have looked much better at 1-3 than the Raptors at 1-3. Toronto caught Boston on an off night, but otherwise they have looked horrible and their offense is completely inept to start the season, averaging only round 100 PPG. We had this line at Pacers -4.5, so we love the value here tonight. |
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10-27-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -4 | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
2-Unit Play #538 Take Boston -4.5 over Washington (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday Oct 27) After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have won and covered their last two games. This team enters the season underrated because of some poor results last season, especially at the betting window, but this team is very talented on the court and they have been one of the best betting teams for years. The Wizards have had a light schedule thus far, but we don’t think they are as good as they were last season. We think this line is short and there is value in the favorite. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles +3 v. Raiders | 22-33 | Loss | -107 | 98 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Philadelphia Eagles over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Just feel that the Raiders cannot handle prosperity. The Eagles have extra rest for this game, and I feel that they will be able to take it down to the wire. Las Vegas played well last week against a fraud team in Denver but in their last home game they were dominated by Chicago. The Bears and similar to the Eagles and I feel this game will go down to the wire. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Philadelphia and Las Vegas. The Raiders are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-24-21 | Falcons -2.5 v. Dolphins | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #459 Atlanta Falcons over Miami Dolphins (1 p.m., Sunday, October 24 FOX) Miami is not very good this year on either side of the football and have gone 0-5 straight-up since their opening game win at New England. Miami is returning home from London (most teams get a bye after playing in London) and they have a coach clearly on the hot seat. The favorite is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
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10-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -4.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
We liked what we saw from the Clippers in their season opener, a loss at GSW. But they played well and had a chance to win at the end. We think this is a probable Top 4 seed in the West even without Kawhi. This is a very talented team. And they are a bit underrated right now. They don’t want to start off the season 0-2 and they are solidly the better team in this matchup, so we expect them to take care of business in the home opener tonight. |
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10-23-21 | Pistons +8.5 v. Bulls | 82-97 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
We always state that revenge is an overrated handicapping factor in the NBA. However, it does come into play when the teams have recently played each other, and that is the case here as these teams played Wednesday in their season opener, a six-point Pistons win. Detroit hung in there all game and barely covered, and we think this will be a close game again. This is the Pistons second game of the season, while the Bulls come in on a back-to-back. |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
2-Unit Play: Take 923 LA DODGERS -1.5, RL, -110 OVER BRAVES (8:08pm E, Saturday, October 23) LAD: Undecided. ATL: Anderson - NOTE: THIS GAME IS ACTION! Much like Thursday, we're going to take the Dodgers tonight with everything on the line. They, once again, haven't chosen a starter, yet, but they have good arms that can go today, and they'll most likely decide the order they'll go sometime later in the day. They don't have Kelly, but they activated Price, so expect to see him in the rotation somewhere. He's struggled as a starter this year, but you give him one or two innings and say, These are yours, he's pretty damn good. We like the Dodgers to push this to a Sunday Funday Game Seven! |
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10-23-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. Fresno State | 32-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #409 Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State Bulldogs (7 p.m., Saturday, October 23 FS2) Just feel Nevada as the better team getting points is too good to pass up. Nevada has won 4 of the last 6 games with Fresno State, and they have an explosive offense led by an NFL prospect at quarterback in Carson Strong. Nevada is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Nevada and Fresno State. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. |
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10-23-21 | New Mexico +20 v. Wyoming | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #369 New Mexico Lobos over Wyoming Cowboys (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 Stadium) This line is an overaction to how bad New Mexico looked on offense last week. They need to make a quarterback change, and I expect them to be better on Saturday against Wyoming. The Cowboys are not an offensive juggernaut, scoring just 25 points per game, and that does not bode well when trying to cover this big of a spread. The best coach on the sidelines is Rocky Long, and he will have the Lobos defense ready to stop the running attack of Wyoming. New Mexico is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings against Wyoming. That includes 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games in Laramie. |
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10-23-21 | Rice v. UAB -23 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #386 UAB Blazers over Rice Owls (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 23 ESPN+) UAB has dominated this series of late, winning 4 straight games. These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions with Rice being blown out last week by UTSA and barely beating Southern Miss the week before. All 4 of Rice’s losses have come by at least 21 points. The Blazers have won 4 of their last 5 games and pitched a shutout last time out against SMU. Rice is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in Birmingham. UAB is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 home games. |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +3 | 30-13 | Loss | -104 | 73 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #394 Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers (3 p.m., Saturday, October 23 BTN) Purdue is coming off an impressive win against Iowa, and look for a carry over into this game. Purdue has a chance to win the Big Ten West if they beat Wisconsin, a team that still has no identity on offense. Wisconsin was again terrible on offense against Army, and QB Mertz appears to be a bust as a successful Big Ten quarterback. If Purdue takes care of the football, they will win this game. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Coach Chryst just does not seem to have any answers when his offense cannot overpower teams by running the football. |
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10-22-21 | Raptors v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 115-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Spoiler alert! We will be betting Boston a lot this season. This team has been one of the most dependable betting teams in the NBA for many years before taking a step back last season in what was a very strange season for them. But they reshuffled the administration decks and we expect a much stronger effort from them this season. Toronto really looked bad in their first game and they managed only 83 points against Washington. They face a much stronger defense tonight. |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -3 | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
The Warriors were very impressive on Opening Night as they beat the Lakers handily on the road, and now they face the other NBA title contender from the city of Los Angeles, and this time in their home opener. The Clippers have had their number lately, but we expect this one to go the other way. Kawhi Leonard is out, of course, until March at the earliest. So they will have to make due without him, and it might take some time for this team to get on the same page. Their depth will take a hit tonight as Batum and Ibaka are out tonight, as well as some role players. This game is a divisional and regional rivalry, and the crowd should be pumped tonight. We just see the Warriors winning this one comfortably as we see them being really good this year and they have a more stable team right now while LAC is a work in progress with rotations and roster and such. |
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10-21-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 142 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
2-Unit Play: Take 920 DODGERS -1.5, RL, +140 OVER BRAVES (8:08pm E, Thursday, October 21) ATL: Fried. LAD: Undecided - NOTE: GAME IS "ACTION" The Dodgers haven't made a pitcher announcement yet and the reason is clear: they will empty the bench with whoever they can find, to win this game. They probably know who they're going to pitch, but not the order they're going to pitch them. The Dodgers are up against a wall and you'll see them pull out all stops to win this game - they can't just rely on their superior talent - they will bite, scratch, bunt, and steal to win tonight. |
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10-20-21 | Bulls -4.5 v. Pistons | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
We see the Bulls as being much improved this season, and the Pistons are still a major work in progress. Chicago is now on a different tier in the Eastern Conference and they are a playoff team in our eyes. We think this opening line is short as we had this one handicapped at 7.5, so getting some value on the other side of the NBA key number of 7 shows us the oddsmakers are a bit behind on this team. We see the Bulls getting a comfortable win tonight. |
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10-19-21 | Nets +2 v. Bucks | 104-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Much has been made about Kyrie Irving and his vaccine status. But this Nets team is probably still the best in the East without him as long as they stay healthy. They should be extra motivated in this one because of the revenge factor from the playoffs last season and also because they will see the Bucks getting their rings and that will provide extra incentive that the Bucks won’t have on the court. We think the wrong team is favored here. |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -1.5 | 3-12 | Win | 170 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play: Take 910 BOSTON RED SOX -1.5, RL, +165 OVER ASTROS (8:08pm E, Monday, October 18) HOU: Urquidy. BOS: Rodriguez Boston has been chomping at the bit to get Houston in the not-so-friendly-confines of Fenway Park. Like Minute Maid Park, there are some weird nooks and crannies and strange bounces awaiting the Astros. That and an explosive offensive and aggressive ballclub that may be the only one suited to beat Houston in a series like this. Look for Boston to score early and often in what should be a high-scoring game. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -105 | 119 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 17 CBS) Just feel Dallas is due for a regression having covered the spread in every game that they have played in 2021. Dallas has not won a game in Foxboro since the 1980s and they have also lost 6 straight games to New England. Also do not believe the Patriots will lose 4 straight home games. This game will go down to the wire and we will cover the spread with whoever comes out on top. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. New England is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. |
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10-17-21 | Packers -4.5 v. Bears | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 115 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games at Soldier Field and the disparity at quarterback will be too much for Chicago to overcome. QB Rodgers has gone 20-5 against Chicago and has a 55-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 divisional games. QB Fields still makes mistakes and that will be his undoing in this game. Green Bay is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in Chicago. The Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers +1 | 34-28 | Loss | -102 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 Carolina Panthers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just feel Carolina will bounce back and not lose three straight games. The Panther should get some skill players back on offense a loss he could send them spiraling down. Minnesota struggled to put away Detroit last week at home and I just do not trust them to win consecutive games. The Vikings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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10-17-21 | Bengals v. Lions +3.5 | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Detroit Lions over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, October 17 FOX) Just do not believe the Bengals should be favored over anyone in a true road game. Both teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last Sunday and sooner or later Detroit will finish off one of these games. The Lions are happy to be back at home and the Bengals have just been a road favorite twice in the last 4 years. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Bengals have some key people injured on offense and will not be a full strength. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games during Week 6 of the regular season. |
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10-16-21 | Colorado State -10 v. New Mexico | Top | 36-7 | Win | 100 | 97 h 27 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #155 Colorado State Rams over New Mexico Lobos (7p.m., Saturday, October 16 Stadium) Just feel these two teams are going in opposite directions. The Rams are dominated the Lobos over the last decade going 10-0 straight-up and 8-2 against the spread. New Mexico really has trouble moving the football averaging just over 200 yards per game during this 4-game losing streak. They are averaging just 7 points per game over this losing streak. The favorite is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 games between Colorado State and New Mexico. The Lobos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following an loss in their previous game. |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 94 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #181 Purdue Boilermakers over Iowa Hawkeyes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 16 ABC) Iowa is coming off a big win last week over Penn State, a game they likely would not have won if Penn State did not lose their quarterback. Now they face a poor man’s version of themselves in Purdue, a team that also have a strong defense. Expect a low scoring game and I believe Purdue keeps the deficit in single digits. Purdue has beaten Iowa in 3 of the last 4 meetings including 2020. If they can take care of the football they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Purdue and Iowa. Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. |
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10-16-21 | Rutgers -2 v. Northwestern | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 5 m | Show | |
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #151 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 12 BTN) These are two of the worst teams in the conference and I see Rutgers coming out on top in a true road game. Rutgers has played better on the road this season covering the spread in both games. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top play winners on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 50 years of handicapping experience work for you. |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 90 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (12p.m., Saturday, October 16 ESPN2) Nebraska continues to be a tough luck team and I see no reason why that will change today in a true road game at TCF Bank Stadium. Minnesota does not look that impressive this year but they have a veteran quarterback and are coming off a bye week. Just expect this game to go down to the wire and the line movement towards Nebraska makes this a strong play on Minnesota. The home team is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 games between Nebraska and Minnesota. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of October. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 Big 10 games. |
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10-15-21 | Mercury v. Sky -2.5 | 50-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Chicago -3 over Phoenix (Friday at 9pm) As per your selection on Chicago -3, we are going back to the well with them after splitting the first two games of the series. Look, Chicago has shown time and time again that their offense is legit and that they can obviously hang with the best teams in the league and blow out anyone they want on any given day. The Sky were unlucky to not come away with a Game 2 victory and we see them bouncing back well. Remember, Game 2 saw the Mercury have an 11-4 free-throw advantage and we just don't see that being lopsided in Game 3 on Chicago's home court. The Mercury showed resolve in winning Game 2, but they are a different team away from home and we don't see them getting 25 points off of Chicago turnovers in this game like they did in Game 2. Take Chicago. |
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10-15-21 | FC Koln +0.5 v. Hoffenheim | 0-5 | Loss | -119 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play. Competition: Bundesliga. Take FC Koln +0.5 (-130) over Hoffenheim (Friday at 2:30 pm) Includes 90 minutes+ injury time. For this selection to win, Koln must win or draw. As per your selection on Koln, we believe this is the perfect opportunity for them to stop their losing ways to Hoffenheim. Koln has lost six straight meetings vs Hoffenheim, but as they come into this matchup in great form (unbeaten in five matches and one loss in their last 15 matches), this is the time for them to win this contest. Koln has shown a solid defensive ability this season, conceded just 9 in 7 games, which is a big change from the number of goals they conceded last season. Hoffenheim are suspect on defense, having given up 11 goals and they come into this one in relatively poor form, having just 1 win in their last six matches. I expect Koln to be ready for this contest and to take the game to the hosts. |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take South Alabama Jaguars over Georgia Southern Eagles (7:30p.m., Thursday, October 14 ESPN) This game features two teams desperate for a win and we will side with the home team tonight in Mobile. USA has never beaten Georgia Southern but that will end tonight. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Jaguars are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. |
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10-12-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 135 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 964 LA DODGERS -1.5, RL, OVER GIANTS (9:07pm, E, Tuesday, October 12) SF: DeSclafani. LAD: Buehler The Dodgers can't wait for first pitch of this game. Don't be surprised if they have an early lead and hold it. They HATE losing 1-0 in Dodger Stadium and we don't think that has a chance of happening tonight. Look for them to put every bit of energy into every minute of this game. ALL THE BEST OF LUCK! |
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10-12-21 | Astros v. White Sox -1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 974 CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5, RL, OVER ASTROS (2:07pm, E, Tuesday, October 12) HOU: McCullers. CHW: Rodon If the Sox can get off to an early lead, we think their bullpen and LaRussa will take it from there and come home with a victory. Their bats have finally warmed up and none too late. There is no love lost between LaRussa and Dusty and that feud is visible every time you see them. We think LaRussa is the better Manager of ther two and will come home with today's victory. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 10 NBC) This is a rematch of the AFC Championship Game from last season. The Chiefs already have two losses and play in a much better division and thus I feel this game means more to them. Buffalo has been beating up on bad teams during this three game winning streak and they have not seen a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes all season long. Kansas City has won 5 of the last 6 games against Buffalo. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. |
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10-10-21 | Sky +2.5 v. Mercury | 91-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Chicago +3 over Phoenix (Sunday at 3pm) As per your selection on Chicago, we will take the more rested side here and the team that didn't just come off an emotionally and physically draining Game 5 vs Vegas. Look, hats off to what Phoenix was able to do to limit the Aces, but Chicago has just as much talent offensively and we expect them to jump out to a 1-0 series lead here as they are the fresher of the two sides and should be ready to take the game Phoenix. |
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10-10-21 | Saints -1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #457 New Orleans Saints over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 FOX) Just do not believe in Washington especially on the offensive side of the football. New Orleans plays better on the road going 16-7 ATS in their last 16 road games when they are the favorite. They still have more playmakers compared to Washington and that will be the difference today. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Jameis takes care of the football and the Saints take advantage of a couple of key injuries on offense for the Football team. |
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10-10-21 | Broncos v. Steelers -1 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Pittsburgh Steelers over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Points may be hard to find for both teams in this game. Denver had an easy schedule and thus their 3-0 record is inflated, and I just do not trust them. QB Bridgewater is in concussion protocol, and I just do not trust his backup quarterback whatsoever. Coach Tomlin has a knack for winning games when he does not have a talented roster and always seem to finish at least .500 come January. Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 5 of the regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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10-10-21 | Patriots v. Texans +9 | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 113 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Houston Texans over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, October 10 CBS) Everyone feel in love with Mac Jones on Sunday Night Football when he outplayed Tom Brady. But he still lacks a running game and a deep threat wide receiver, and I just do not see them routing the Texans in a true road game. Houston has beaten New England two straight games and I feel this game goes down to the wire. Not much good can be said about how Houston is playing of late, but they are professionals and expect a bounce back from last week’s game. The Texans are 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games against the Patriots. New England is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska +3.5 | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 96 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) Michigan finally won a big game last week against Wisconsin and now I believe Nebraska and Coach Frost will do the same this Saturday in Lincoln. Back-to-Back road games are always a tough situation and that is what Michigan will face tonight. Nebraska has a better offense than does Wisconsin and they are coming off their best performance of the season. Michigan is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games. Quietly, Nebraska has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games (1 push). |
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10-09-21 | Penn State v. Iowa -1.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #396 Iowa Hawkeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (4p.m., Saturday, October 9 FOX) This is a great matchup from the Big 10 and does not feature Ohio State. Just not sure Penn State is all the way back and playing in Iowa City will be their toughest challenge of the season. The Nittany Lions have a brutal schedule this season and I expect them to have three or more losses come December. Iowa is playing outstanding defense and getting takeaways at an unbelievable clip. Penn state does not have a dynamic offense and I really feel they will have trouble scoring points in this game. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Penn State and Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Iowa moves into the top 3 in the country after a win today at home. |
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10-09-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +10 | 24-0 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #376 Illinois Fighting Illini over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 BTN) We went against Wisconsin each of the last two weeks and easily won and we will look to complete the trifecta on Saturday. This game will be full of emotions on both sidelines as former Wisconsin Coach Bret Bielema now the head man at Illinois. But this play just comes down to us not trusting the Wisconsin offense. If Illinois can take care of the football and not beat themselves, they will be able to keep this game in single digits. Wisconsin is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Illinois is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up victory. |
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10-09-21 | Oklahoma -3 v. Texas | Top | 55-48 | Win | 100 | 88 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #379 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Longhorns (12p.m., Saturday, October 9 ABC) The Cotton Bowl is the site for this annual edition of the Red River Rivalry. Oklahoma has just been getting by of late and thus the spread in this game has dropped to around a field goal. Oklahoma has won 9 of the last 12 meetings and if they win today, they should be able to cover this small spread as well. I still believe Oklahoma’s best football is still ahead of them and it will start on Saturday. |
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10-07-21 | Colombia +0.5 v. Uruguay | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Competition: World Cup Qualifying. Take Colombia +0.5 (-115) over Uruguay (Thursday at 7pm) Includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win Colombia must win or draw. As per your selection on Colombia, this is a good spot for them to build off their 3-1 win in the last round of qualifying vs Chile. Colombia can in fact score goals and we just don't trust Uruguay to find the back of the net all that often. They continuously go through slumps and we believe Colombia's brand of football will overwhelm the hosts and Colombia can get out of Montevideo with at least a point in the bank. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 104 | 129 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #280 Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 3 ESPN) Just do not feel the Raiders will be able to handle prosperity. They enter this game at 3-0, but needed to survive last week at home against the Dolphins, a team that was playing a backup quarterback. The Chargers are coming off an impressive victory at Kansas City last Sunday and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (1 push). Las Vegas is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during the month of October. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs v. Patriots +7 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #278 New England Patriots over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 2 NBC) Everyone is expecting the Buccaneers to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season last week in Los Angeles. I just do not see a blowout in this game, as Tampa Bay is playing their second straight road game and New England is playing their second straight home game. New England has beaten Tampa Bay 4 straight times and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Emotions will be high for QB Brady and I believe the Patriots will want to win just as badly. New England is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games played during the month of October. |
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10-03-21 | Lions +3 v. Bears | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 97 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) Just do not feel that the Bears should be favored over any team in the NFL at the moment. Chicago has three quarterbacks that may play on Sunday and to me that means none of them are any good. Detroit has an established quarterback in Jared Goff and should have beaten Baltimore last week if a delay of game was properly called. Detroit played hard last week, and I believe that they will get over the hump this week and record their first victory on the season. Chicago is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers +5 v. Cowboys | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Carolina Panthers over Dallas Cowboys (1p.m., Sunday, October 3 FOX) The Panthers have a defense that should be able to slow down the Cowboys and I see this game going down to the wire. The Panthers have some injuries, but I just cannot overlook how they are playing early in 2021. They are 3-0 with a win against the Saints and have confidence on both sides of the football. Carolina has beaten Dallas in the last two meetings and the Cowboys are 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 home games when not facing an NFC East team. Carolina is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Dallas is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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10-02-21 | Arizona State v. UCLA -3 | 42-23 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #222 UCLA Bruins over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 2 FS1) UCLA still does not seem to get any love and I feel this spread should be closer to a touchdown than a field goal. This Arizona State team is overvalued and beating Colorado last week does not impress me whatsoever. The Buffaloes do not have a quarterback like Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and he should be able to pick apart this Sun Devils team like he did last week against Stanford. Arizona State lost their only road game to BYU by double-digits and this will be another loss by around double-digits. UCLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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10-02-21 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 150 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 912 ARIZONA D'BACKS -1.5, RL, OVER ROCKIES (8:10pm E, Saturday, October 2) COL: Senzatela. ARI: Gallen The D'Backs' pitcher Gallen has a lot to prove for next year and this is, most likely his last chance, this year. He's the best pitcher that most people don't know, in the Bigs. Look for him to hold the Rockies down and Arizona to have a few crooked-inning number innings. |
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10-02-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play: Take 918 TORONTO BLUE JAYS -1.5, RL OVER ORIOLES (3:07pm E, Saturday, October 2) BAL: Means. TOR: Manoah If this were earlier in the season, we probably wouldn't put this much on this game, but it's not and we are. Toronto played great ball yesterday and we expect the same today. Means is an excellent pitcher for the Orioles, but Manoah will absolutely shut them down today |
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10-02-21 | Michigan +2 v. Wisconsin | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #199 Michigan Wolverines over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 FOX) This line moved but ways with Michigan being favored on Monday, but Tuesday saw it move back to Wisconsin being the favorite. Either way I just do not trust the Wisconsin offense and feel Michigan is the better all-around team. QB Mertz has his best game of his career last year at Michigan, but it has been mostly downhill ever since. He has major issues heading into this game and it will not surprise me if he has a short leash in this game. Michigan finally has a quarterback, and he will be to make some plays through the air because I do not see Michigan being able to run the football much in this game. Michigan is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. |
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10-02-21 | Minnesota v. Purdue -2 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #120 Purdue Boilermakers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (12p.m., Saturday, October 2 BTN) Purdue has some injuries on the offensive side of the football, but this is a game Coach Brohm wants badly. Purdue lost to Minnesota last year when a go-ahead touchdown was called back on a terrible offensive pass interference call. Everyone who saw that play was upset with the call and payback will be coming this Saturday. Minnesota is coming off a terrible loss to Bowling Green last week, a terrible MAC team that was a 30+ point underdog. QB Tanner Morgan has not been himself so far in 2021 and this will be the best defense he has had to face so far in 2021. The home team is 11-5 ATS (1 push) in the last 17 games between Minnesota and Purdue. This will be a defensive battle, but Purdue wants it more and wins it by double-digits. |
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10-01-21 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 964 LA DODGERS-1.5, RL, OVER BREWERS (10:10pm E, Friday, October 1) MIL: Lauer. LAD: Kershaw The Dodgers, arguably, have the best team in baseball. When a wannabe team comes to town with World Series hopes, they know how to shut them down. Look for Kershaw to be at his best tonight. |
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10-01-21 | Reds -1.5 v. Pirates | 2-9 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 951 CINCINNATI REDS -1.5, RL, OVER PIRATES (6:35pm E, Friday, October 1) CIN: Castillo. PIT: Crowe Castillo is one of the best pitchers in baseball. Crowe, not so much. This time of years players have bonuses and want to set themselves up, in case of a trade. The Reds are a much better ballclub and Castillo is a much better pitcher. We love this play |
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09-30-21 | Sky +8 v. Sun | 68-79 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take Chicago +7.5 over Connecticut (Thursday at 8pm) No time for a lengthy write up. We've been on Chicago in two of their three games so far this playoffs and we've cashed in both of them. Let's take them here as they come off a really good GAme 1 win and the offense is just humming along right now knocking down shot after shot. We think they have the hot hand and that streak will continue here. This is a lot of points we are getting with the better team, so we will take it. |
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09-29-21 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play: Take 953 CHICAGO CUBS -1.5, RL, +145 OVER PIRATES (6:35pm E, Wednesday, September 29) CUB: Hendricks. PIT: Contreras. The Pirates want to show off at home, too, but Hendricks, if he has his stuff is a much better pitcher than Contreras. In fact, he's one of the best pitchers in the league and these teams are rivals, so we don't expect the Cubs to lie down against the Pirates and they are the better team. |
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09-29-21 | Lille OSC +0.5 v. Salzburg | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Competition: Champions League. Take Lille +0.5 (-115) over Salzburg (Wednesday at 3pm) Includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win, Lille must win or draw. As per your selection on Lille, we believe they are the better team in this matchup and come in off two good wins in domestic play which should boost their confidence for this clash with Salzburg. Salzburg has been running riot in the Austrian league, but this is a very big step up in class for them against a team from a top-4 league in Europe. Both teams sit on one point coming into this match and with the way this group is shaping out, a point would be better than no points in this contest and we see this game being played extremely cautiously. Give me the better team with the half-goal cushion. |
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09-28-21 | Mercury v. Aces -6.5 | 90-96 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Las Vegas over Phoenix (Tuesday at 10pm) as per your selection on Vegas, this is a great spot for this well-rested team to come out and blitz this Phoenix side who just went to OT with Seattle in the single-elimination portion of the playoffs. Vegas is well-rested and finished the season on a four-game winning streak including wins against Phoenix and we see them coming out fully prepared for this contest and ready to make a statement that they are in fact the favorites to win the entire thing. As for Phoenix, as I mentioned they gave it their all vs Seattle and barely snuck by. Fatigue could play a role here aginst an uptempo and dynamic team like the Aces, so we see them not being able to keep up offensively. Take Vegas to cover this small number. |
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09-28-21 | Indians v. Royals -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 170 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 926 KC ROYALS -1.5, RL, OVER INDIANS (8:10pm E, Tuesday, September 28) CLE: Civale. KC: Singer The Kansas City Royals' pitcher, Singer, has been amazing lately. If this game was in Cleveland, we might feel differently, but it's in Kansas and we'll take the value here. |
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09-28-21 | Brewers -1.5 v. Cardinals | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 909 MILWAUKEE BREWERS -1.5, RL, OVER CARDINALS (7:45pm E, Tuesday, September 28) MIL: Woodruff. STL: Wainwright The streak is going to be over and Milwaukee will see to it. We're getting close to the Playoffs and this is going to be exactly like a Playoff game, but Woodruff and Milwaukee should walk away with this one, as well as a lot of confidence. The Brewers have seen Wainwright for years - he won't fool them. |
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09-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Crystal Palace | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play. Competition: EPL. Take Crystal Palace PK (+105) over Brighton (Monday at 3pm) Includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win, CP must win the game. A draw is a push as this is a two-way market. As per your selection on Crystal Palace here, we've been around the soccer scene long enough to know that records and form mean less than normal when the matchup is a derby of two nearby teams. That's what this is and we believe the home side has what it takes to come away with a very big win here. Look, Brighton has been good to start the season, but are they really the sixth-best team in the EPL this year? I doubt it. They've beaten teams like Burnley, Watford and Brentford. Not exactly tough opposition. CP has played extremely tough competition like Chelsea, Liverpool and West Ham. They also beat Tottenham 3-0. This Crystal Palace team has quality in the lineup and with motivation to beat their close town rivals, and thrust up the standings away from the drop zone, CP should be ready for this contest and we expect a big performance from them. |
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09-27-21 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | 1-13 | Win | 116 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play: Take 952 CINCINNATTI REDS -1.5, RL, OVER PIRATES (1:10pm E, Monday, September 27) PIT: Overton. CIN: Sanmartin Cody Ponce has looked awful in his starts this year and Sanmartin is only a little better, so if we say the pitchers are even, the Reds are better in every other area and should win this rivalry game. Castellanos and Votto should win this on their own, practically. |
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09-26-21 | Packers v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 30-28 | Loss | -100 | 104 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #496 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 26 NBC) Green Bay pulling away late on Monday Night Football gave us the value we like for this game. The favorite has dominated this match in recent years covering the spread at an 80% clip. Just am not sold on this Green Bay defense, as new coordinator Joe Barry seems lost as the leader of the defense. Just do not believe the Packers will be able stop the rushing attack of the 49ers and thus I do not expect Jimmy G to have to win this game with his arm. Green Bay must travel on short rest should allow the 49ers to win this game by around double-digits. |
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09-26-21 | Jets v. Broncos -10.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #490 Denver Broncos over New York Jets (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 26 CBS) The Broncos drew an easy schedule to open the 2021 season and that will certainly continue today against the Jets. This is Denver’s home opener, and the Broncos are always tough to beat at home during the month of September. New York is averaging just 10 points through two games this season and if Denver takes care of the football, they will win this game by close to 20 points. The Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. |
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09-26-21 | Saints v. Patriots -2.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -118 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 26 FOX) Just do not trust Jameis Winston going against a Bill Belickick defense and expect the Patriots to win their second straight game and first game at home. New Orleans has dropped 5 of their last 6 games against the Patriots. This is the Saints third straight games away from the Superdome and playing on the road that much usually catches up with teams. The Saints will need to run the ball effectively to win this game, but Alvin Kamara is off to a slow start this season. The Patriots are 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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09-25-21 | Kentucky -5 v. South Carolina | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 40 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #315 Kentucky Wildcats over South Carolina Gamecocks (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 ESPN2) Kentucky did not perform well last week against an inferior FCS team and could have lost that game. We now have a more favorable line and can attack this game with the veteran coach facing a first-year head coach in Shane Beamer. Kentucky is 6-1 straight-up and ATS in their last 7 games against South Carolina. Kentucky should be able to run the ball successfully in this game and I like their defense a lot better than I do South Carolinas. Kentucky is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS in tier last 7 SEC games. They backdoored their way to a cover last week against Georgia, still lost by 27 points, but that will not happen today. Kentucky is further along in year 9 of Mark Stoops compared to year 1 on Shane Beamer. |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -5 | 20-23 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #400 Michigan State Spartans over Nebraska Cornhuskers (7p.m., Saturday, September 25 FS1) Nebraska put forth a good effort last week against Oklahoma but I just do not see them being able to get up for this game after yet another loss under Coach Scott Frost. Michigan State has made great strides in year two under Mel Tucker and they are one of the most surprising teams thus far in 2021. Nebraska has trouble stopping the run last week and Kenneth Walker should have a field day against them in this game. Nebraska has played well in this series since joining the Big 10, but I just believe these two teams are heading in opposite directions at this point in their respective coach’s career. |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -109 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #364 Stanford Cardinal over UCLA Bruins (6p.m., Saturday, September 25 PAC 12 Network) UCLA just cannot handle prosperity and now must travel on the road for this first time in 2021 after a bad loss to Fresno State last Saturday. Stanford has been going along nicely since losing to Kansas State in their first game of the season. Once Tanner McKee has been inserted into the line-up this team has gelled and has been able to score points including 42 against USC two weeks ago. The Cardinal will be playing their first home game after 7 straight road games. Stanford has owned this series under David Shaw winning 12 of the last 13 meetings (11-2 ATS). Just do not think UCLA is back yet and laying points on the road in a conference game is never a spot to back them. UCLA found a way to lose last week, and I see this game going down to the wire as well. UCLA is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. Stanford is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdog. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 72 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, September 25 FOX) This is too many points to be giving for this neutral site matchup. Both teams have issues and I just do not see a blowout in this game. I expect it to go down to the wire and you can bet Irish QB Coan wants to play well against his former team. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. South Ben is closer to Chicago than is Madison and that means Notre Dame will have a big crowd in the Windy City. |
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09-23-21 | Rangers +1.5 v. Orioles | 0-3 | Loss | -220 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 969 TEXAS RANGERS -1.5, RL, +135 OVER ORIOLES (7:05pm E, Thursday, September 23) TEX: OTTO. BAL: LOWTHER We rarely would take Texas in a spot like this, but they should be able to get all over Lowther and Otto should keep the Orioles at bay. This is a weird one, but we see Texas winning it easily. |
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09-23-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Indians | 7-2 | Win | 131 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 963 CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5, RL, Over Cleveland. (1:10pm E, Thursday, September 23) CHW: Lopez. CLE: Civale These teams have seen one another and one another's pitchers plenty this year and the White Sox are definitely the better team. This should be a walk in the park for the White Sox, starting early. |
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09-22-21 | Mariners v. A's -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 924 OAKLAND A’S -1.5, RL, +145 OVER MARINERS (9:40pm E, Wednesday, September 22) SEA: Flexen. OAK: Irvin This is a perfect setting for the A’s to blow one open. They love home games, where they’re the favorite and they need this game. They should have no problem with Seattle tonight. |
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09-22-21 | Twins -1.5 v. Cubs | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play: Take 929 MINNESOTA TWINS -1.5, RL, +145 OVER CUBS (7:40pm E, Wednesday, September 22) CUB: Hendricks. MIN: Ryan We’re getting to the last couple of weeks of the regular season and some teams have more incentive, and dig deeper, than others. The Twins have to dig deep – the Cubs? Well, they’re just the just the same old Cubs, but they do have their ace on the hill, so the Twins need to get to him early. The wind will be blowing in at about 25 mph, so the best hitting team will win this game and that much wind over Hendrick’s shoulder, will take a lot of the stuff off the ball, so he shouldn’t be nearly as dominant as he usually is. We were so tempted to take the Over 7 Runs, but we’ll leave that one for Cinci. |
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09-22-21 | Juventus -1.5 v. Spezia Calcio | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. Competition: Serie A. Take Juventus -1.5 (-110) over Spezia (Wednesday at 12:30pm) Includes 90 minutes + injury time. For this selection to win, Juventus must win by two or more goals. As per your selection on Juventus, it's time they get their domestic campaign underway with a win as they've been held to just two draws and two losses so far this young season. Juventus should take a little bit of solace in the fact that they played well against Milan only to be pegged back by a late equalizer. Now they go on their travels to Spezia, a team Juventus has outscored 7-1 over the last two Serie A games. Juventus have a fully fit squad to choose for this one and we see them being focused and ready to win this game with a clean sheet as that is of utmost importance to the manager and to the players in defense. We see a 3-0 win here. |
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09-21-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 956 MILWAUKEE BREWERS -1.5, RL, OVER CARDINALS (7:40pm E, Tuesday, September 21) STL: Woodford. MIL: Woodruff The Cardinals have been on a positive streak, lately and the Brewers don't like that much. They've seen this scenario with the Cards and the playoffs too many times before, and with the Cards beating them at home last night, look for the Brew Crew to show why they should own that division and why they should be a force to be reckoned with against the Cardinals today and in the, soon to come, playoffs. |
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09-21-21 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10-Unit Play: Take 964 CLEVELAND INDIANS -1.5, RL, OVER ROYALS (6:10pm E, Tuesday, September 21) KC: Lynch. CLE: Quantrill The Indians lost a doubleheader to the Royals, yesterday and we're sure that didn't set well. Look for Cleveland to come out aggressive on the pads and swinging for the fences today and win this one, with Quantrill on the mound. |
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09-20-21 | Mariners v. A's -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 922 OAKLAND A'S -1.5, RL, OVER MARINERS (9:40pm E, Monday, September 19) SEA: Anderson. OAK: Manaea We love this play. Oakland needs to start hammering some teams at home and it would start with Seattle with Manaea vs. Anderson. Oakland should handle this fairly easily at home and we think they will: very easily! |
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09-20-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 906 MILWAUKEE BREWERS -1.5, RL, OVER CARDINALS (7:40pm E, Monday, September 19) STL: Woodford. MIL: Peralta The Cardinals are due for a letdown, and this is the perfect place for it. They've eeked out a few wins, lately, but the Brewers are ready for them and should walk with this one. |
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09-20-21 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play: Take 910 CLEVELAND INDIANS, GM 1, -1.5, RL, OVER ROYALS (4:10pm E, Monday, September 19) KC: Singer. CLE: McKenzie Cleveland has been playing good baseball and their bats are hot. With McKenzie on the mound, they should win this one going away. We wanted to take the 2nd game of the DH, too, but we like the other plays too much. |
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09-19-21 | Titans +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #291 Tennessee Titans over Seattle Seahawks (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) Tennessee getting blown out was one of the most shocking results in week 1 of the 2021 Regular Season. The Titans have beaten the Seahawks in 2 of the last 3 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS over the last 8 years in their road opening game. Seattle is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. Just think pride sets in for Tennessee and they take this game down to the wire. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -100 | 114 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Pittsburgh Steelers over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Raiders are coming off an exciting win, but this franchise has never seemed to handle prosperity well. Pittsburgh has a major edge on the defensive line, and I do not seen Derek Carr going up and down the field in the fourth quarter like he did against Baltimore. Pittsburgh will make some key plays on offense to control this game for 60 minutes and win it by double digits. Las Vegas is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a Monday Night Football game in the previous week. The Raiders are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a win in their previous game. The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a win in their previous game. |
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09-19-21 | Rams v. Colts +4 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 Indianapolis Colts over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 FOX) The love Matt Stafford is getting this week has been over the top. He is who he is after playing in the NFL since 2009 and that game on Sunday Night Football was closer than what the final score would appear. Now the Rams was a desperate Colts team that does not want to start the season 0-2, with both losses coming at home. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The Colts are 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. |
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09-19-21 | Patriots -5 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 114 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #285 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 19 CBS) The Patriots have beaten the Jets 18 of the last 20 games, and I see this game being a double-digit victory as well. The Jets got a late touchdown to make that game look closer than what it was last week, but Carolina was never in danger of losing that game. Bill Belichick is 9-1 the last 10 times he has faced a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have expectations of making the playoffs in 2021 and this is a game they must win if they want to make the playoffs. The Patriots are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against AFC East teams. |
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09-18-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Rangers | 1-2 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play: Take 923 CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5, RL, OVER RANGERS (7:05pm E, Saturday, September 18) CHW: Lynn. TEX: Howard You think the White Sox scored last night? Watch them against Howard, who probably won't make it out of the 3rd or 4th inning and with Lynn on the mound, don't expect much out of Texas. If Lynn is on, this is a chance for a no-hitter for him. |
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09-18-21 | East Carolina v. Marshall -10 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Marshall Thundering Herd over East Carolina Pirates (6p.m., Saturday, September 18 Stadium) East Carolina blew the game last week against South Carolina and now must face a better Marshall team in their first true road game of the season. East Carolina has scored just 36 total points in two games this season. Marshall has been lighting up the scoreboard in their two games this season and has received impressive play from QB Grant Wells, who has thrown for over 300 yards in both games this season. The Pirates are 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 nonconference games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between these former rivals. East Carolina cannot score enough points to keep this deficit in single digits. |
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09-18-21 | Rockies v. Nationals -1.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
6-Unit Play: Take 904 WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5, RL, (4:05pm E, Saturday, September 18) COL: Freeland. WAS: Corbin These were two other teams that took us by surprise yesterday, but we feel Corbin will outpitch Freeland and the Nationals have better bats, so look for a blowout here. |
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09-18-21 | Purdue +7 v. Notre Dame | 13-27 | Loss | -100 | 92 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Purdue Boilermakers over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2:30p.m., Saturday, September 18 NBC) The Irish got a scare last week from Toledo and now will face the most talented team they have seen in 2021 through 3 games. Notre Dame has a quarterback controversy and a defense that has not been stopping teams whatsoever. The Irish have been giving up a ton of sacks as well. The underdog is 13-2 ATS in the last 15 games Purdue has played in. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in-state teams. Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Big 10 teams. |
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09-18-21 | Nevada -1.5 v. Kansas State | 17-38 | Loss | -115 | 91 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #135 Nevada Wolf Pack over Kansas State Wildcats (2p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN+) Nevada is for real and they are catching the Wildcats at the right time, with their starting Quarterback Skylar Thompson out with a knee injury. The Pack were able to cruise last week against an FCS opponent and we see know that their victory in week 1 against Cal was a decent win. K-State struggled last week against Southern Illinois, and I do not see them being able to keep pace with Nevada unless turnovers play a role in this game. Nevada has covered the spread in 5 straight non-conference games. K-State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-18-21 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Buffalo | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Buffalo Bulls (12p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN2) This would have been a great game last year but Buffalo lost their coach and has fallen off in 2021. They got destroyed last week at Nebraska and they will have trouble if the Chanticleers can stop the run. Buffalo lost their top receiver and top running backs from 2020. Coastal Carolina is 9-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games overall. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. |
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09-17-21 | Toronto +4 v. Saskatchewan | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play. Take Toronto +4 over Saskatchewan (Friday at 9:45pm) As per your selection on the Argos, we don't quite yet know about the health of QB Fajardo for the Riders and so we are going to side with the Argos here for a few reasons. The first reason is that these two teams are evenly matched with both showing signs of life on both sides of the ball and then nonlife at others. The Argos will have momentum on their side after beating Hamilton last week while the Riders were thumped 33-9. Fajardo's availability for the Riders is a concern for them, but we think even if he plays, his mobility will be limited and the Argos defense should be able to contain the entire Riders offense. Too many points in this one and the Argos potentially win outright. |