Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-20 | Ravens v. Patriots +7.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 125 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 15 NBC) Just believe that this is too many points for a road game. The Patriots should have lost to the Jets last Monday, but they won as time expired and will be up for this game. QB Jackson has not played at his MVP level of 2019 and expect Coach Belichick to have a game play to contain him. The Ravens are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. QB Jackson rallied for his first career victory when trailing at half last Sunday but I just do not see a blowout in this game. The underdog is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 meetings. |
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11-15-20 | 49ers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -111 | 121 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 Over in San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 15 FOX) The Saints finally stayed under the posted total last week against Tampa Bay, but it was not their fault. They scored 38 points in that game and expect him to hit the thirties in points on Sunday as well against the 49ers. These two teams have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 meetings (1 push). The Saints have been an over team this season hitting that mark 7 of their last 8 games. They have gone over the posted total in 7 straight games as a favorite. San Francisco has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games after a loss in their previous game. The 49ers have a ton of injuries but if they do not turn over the football, they should be able to put up some points against the Saints in this game. These two teams met in 2019 (Week 14) and the final score has 48-46 with 981 combined yards. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Arizona Cardinals over Miami Dolphins (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Miami is all in on Tua but their win last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. The Rams dominated the stat sheet, but special teams and turnovers did them in. Arizona will not be as generous today, as the Cardinals are well within the playoffs race but play in an extremely competitive division. Just do not believe Miami has the weapons on offense to attack this suspect Arizona defense. QB Wilson picked apart Miami and Arizona just beat Seattle last time out. Just cannot back a team that had a 31-8 deficit in first downs last week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers -1 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Was not that impressed with the Raiders last week and playing their second straight road game will doom them on Sunday. The Chargers continue to be tough luck losers, but they seem to have found their quarterback in Justin Herbert. Cleveland just could not get off the field last week against Las Vegas but expect the Chargers to be able to make some plays on defense and force the Raiders to punt from time to time. Las Vegas is 17-36 ATS (1 push) in their last 54 games following a victory in their previous game. Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. |
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11-08-20 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 117 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take New York Giants over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, November 8 FOX) Just do not believe that Washington should be favored by this many points against any team in the NFL. New York has won 5 of the last 6 games with Washington and they are 14-3 in their last 17 games when they are an underdog playing on the road. This is the first time in 14 games that Washington is favored to win a game. The Giants should some life last week against Tampa Bay and expect that to carryover into this game as well. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between the Giants and Football Team. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. |
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11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers +7 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #301 San Francisco 49ers +7 over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 5 NFLN) People cannot get their money in fast enough on the Packers for the game tonight. Both teams have people out (49ers have more) but Rodgers struggles in his home state of California and I do not envision a blowout tonight. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games against the Packers. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #260 Cleveland Browns over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 1 CBS) Just feel the line is light and we will side with the home team looking for their sixth victory on the season. OBJ is out, but Cleveland still has a ton of weapons and QB Mayfield should be able to pick apart this suspect Raiders defense. Las Vegas has a ton of issues on both sides of the football and Cleveland usually does well when not playing Pittsburgh or Baltimore. The Raiders have allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games including 12 rushing touchdowns during this span. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Las Vegas. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 AFC games. |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | 34-37 | Loss | -120 | 123 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, October FOX) Arizona will not be facing Andy Dalton and a dysfunctional team on Sunday. The Seahawks are coming off a bye and get to face Arizona on a short week, as the Cardinals played on Monday night football. Seattle won in Glendale by 17 points and I see another double-digit victory for the road team on Sunday. QB Wilson is playing at an MVP level and the coaches are finally letting him throw the ball early in games. Seattle is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 years coming off a bye week. The Seahawks are 13-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 road games. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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10-25-20 | Chiefs v. Broncos +10.5 | Top | 43-16 | Loss | -125 | 119 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Denver is coming off a big victory at Foxborough last Sunday, a team the Chiefs struggled to beat. Now Kansas City must play in the Mile-High air on short rest against a team that is desperate to remain in the playoff race. Kansas City has dominated Denver in recent years but getting Drew Lock back should stabilize the Broncos offense. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders OVER 51.5 | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #474 Over 52 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) This is an attractive matchup, and it will be interesting to how the Bucs respond after a big win against the previously undefeated Packers last Sunday. Tampa Bay has gone over the posted total in 15 of their last 20 games. Las Vegas has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games (1 push). |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Houston Texas (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) When the Packers lose, they tend to get blown out, but they usually bounce back strong. Romeo Crennel made a play to be the permanent coach of the Texans that backfired last week against Tennessee. Now he knows he will not be retained, and the Texans are just playing out the string. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS in this matchup with Houston and the Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. 75% of the early money is on Green Bay and expect them to win this game by 7+ points. Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-25-20 | Browns v. Bengals +3.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Cincinnati Bengals over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Cleveland had a devastating loss last week at Pittsburgh and I am not sure they will be able to right the ship in just one week. The Bengals played the Browns tough in the first meeting and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Cleveland does not do well as a road favorite losing both games last year in the division when that occurred. Cincinnati is getting players back on defense and expect them to win this game straight-up. Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings with Cincinnati. |
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10-25-20 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Over 51 in Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) The Panthers struggled to put the ball in the endzone last week against Chicago but they are still an over team to play this season. The Panthers have gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 divisional games. New Orleans has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +2 | 38-10 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Dallas Cowboy over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, October 19 ESPN) Just do not see that much of a drop-off with Dak Prescott injured and Andy Dalton under center. Arizona has had an easy schedule, and they should be 5-0 considering the teams that they have played. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Dallas. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 matchups between the Cardinals and Cowboys. Dallas win this game straight-up, and getting points is icing on the cake. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) Many people did not expect the Packers to match their win total of 13 games from last year. But they are on pace to do just that and will enter this game healthy and well rested off a bye week. QB Brady is showing his age and is not playing at a level that can win games against the top teams in the league. Green Bay has won 3 straight games in this series, and the line has swung 5 points to the side of the Packers. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when they are the favorite. Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #262 Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 CBS) Cleveland has played well of late and have stayed under the radar. If they win this game everyone will take notice, but beating Pittsburgh is something they seldom do. The Browns have not won at Pittsburgh since 2003. Enough said. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #252 Carolina Panthers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) The Bears are a fraud at 4-1 and I think there is a good chance they do not even make the playoffs come January. 3 of their 4 wins have come against the Lions, Giants, and Falcons. Carolina has won 3 straight games and Chicago is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games. Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. The Panthers have something going with a new coach and quarterback and we will ride them again on Sunday looking for their fourth straight wins. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints OVER 50 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #478 Over 51 in Los Angeles Chargers @ New Orleans Saints (8:15p.m., Monday, October 12 ESPN) The pressure is on the Saints to show they are not over the hill and their offensive is still one of the best in the NFL. The over has hit 5 straight games when these two teams square off with one another. The Chargers have gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 road games. New Orleans has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 Monday Night Football games. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | 43-17 | Loss | -108 | 70 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #470 San Francisco 49ers -9 over Miami Dolphins (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 11 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The 49ers are starting to get healthy and feel that this is a game that will get them back on track. San Francisco has a brutal schedule on deck and will enter that gauntlet at 3-2 on the year. Miami is sticking with QB Fitzpatrick for some reason and he does not give either side of the football much confidence. Seattle moved the football at will, had a red zone interception and still won a true road game by 8 points. The 49ers have a much better defense than does Seattle and I expect Miami to struggle moving the football against them. San Francisco beats bad teams big and that will be the case again on Sunday. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13.5 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Cincinnati Bengals over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 11 CBS) This is just a lot of points to be giving for a divisional game. Cincinnati is capable now on offense of moving the football and scoring some points. Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite against other AFC North teams (Pittsburgh, Cleveland, & Cincinnati). The stats lasts week against Washington were not that impressive for Baltimore. Washington had 6 more first down in that game and Baltimore had just 7 more total yards. The Bengals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are an underdog. Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons OVER 53 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #452 Over in Carolina Panthers over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, October 11 FOX) Some fluke plays early in the Falcons Monday night game cause the point total to stay under but I do not see that happening on Sunday. Atlanta still is an over team with a strong passing game and poor defense. Carolina has gone over the posted total in 22 of their last 32 games when they are a road underdog. Atlanta has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 home games when they are favored. |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #276 Las Vegas Raiders over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Karma will bite the Buffalo Bills in this game. They were very fortunate to win last week against the Rams with the help of a questionable pass interference call kept their game winning driver alive. The Raiders got worn down last week against the Patriots but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home today against the Bills. The Raiders played well against the Saints and expect them to find their form from that game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Oakland. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-04-20 | Chargers v. Bucs -7 | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #266 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Just believe the Buccaneers continue to be a little under valued and feel they will win this game by double digits. The Chargers are coming off a bad home loss to the Panthers and they are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games. QB Brady is coming off his best performance on the year in which he threw for 3 touchdowns and 9 interceptions in a dominating victory at Denver last Sunday. Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #484 Arizona Cardinals over Detroit Lions (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 27 FOX) Just do not understand these lines the last two weeks with the Lions. They jumped up on Green Bay 14-3 last week and still got killed. Now they are on the road for a second straight week and most believe they have a lame duck coach and the team is going nowhere fast. Arizona is getting more confident each week and Kyler Murray looks like he was worth taking as the No. 1 overall pick. The Lions have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games. Detroit is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in the desert. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #277 New York Giants over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The Giants were in position on Monday to take the game with the Steelers down to the wire, but a turnover inside the red zone did them in. Now they face a team in Chicago that was extremely lucky to get a victory last week at Detroit. The Bears should not be favored by this many points against any team in the league. RB Barkley will have an easier time running the football in this game, and QB Jones will only get better as the season progresses. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games played in Chicago against the Bears. Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
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09-20-20 | 49ers v. Jets +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 New York Jets over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The 49ers have a Super Bowl hangover, and now injuries are starting to pile up. The Jets are terrible as well, but I just believe they will bounce back at home after getting pounded last week at Buffalo. New York went 3-1 against the NFC in 2019 (straight-up and ATS). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. San Francisco is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games as a favorite. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -5.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 118 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) Green Bay just continues to be undervalued again in 2020. This team won 13 games in 2019 and started off 2020 with a dominating road win at Minnesota. Now they return home to face the Lions, a team that has had very little success in Green Bay over the years. Detroit is coming off an unthinkable loss to Chicago last week in a game they led by 17 points in the fourth quarter. Green Bay has won 7 straight games against divisional teams. The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Detroit and Green Bay. The Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | 30-35 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102 Cleveland Browns over Cincinnati Bengals (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 17 NFLN) The Browns need this game after laying an egg in the first game against Baltimore. The Bengals outperformed some expectations in Week 1, but I just do not believe they are a good enough team to be competitive on the road. The line has dropped under a touchdown, and now I believe the value lies with the Browns. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last two meetings in this Battle of Ohio. Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Thursday. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6 | 26-16 | Loss | -108 | 125 h 12 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #479 Pittsburgh Steelers over New York Giants (7:15p.m., Monday, September 14 ESPN) This is a popular pick with all the newsletters and handicappers, and we will side with them early in the season. Pittsburgh needs to make the playoffs this year after missing out the last two years. Pressure is on Tomlin and Roethlisberger and expect them to respond in a positive way to challenge Baltimore in the AFC North. QB Jones played well at times last season, but now does not have an offensive coach. The Giants have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as a home underdog. New York is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Week 1 games. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday Night Football. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | 11-21 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 CBS) The Patriots are still the Patriots, but I just feel this is too many points to be giving against a divisional foe. Miami won at Foxboro in their last game of the 2019 season and should only be better this year under year 2 of Brian Flores. Miami is 6-1 ATS in their season opener over the last 7 years. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Miami is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against AFC teams. |
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09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +2.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Atlanta Falcons over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Just do not believe the Seahawks have all that great of talent besides Russell Wilson. Seattle has failed to cover 5 straight season openers. Expect a lot of offense in this game but I believe the Falcons need this one more in order to get off to a good start in 2020. Atlanta won 6 of their last 8 games in 2019 to save the job on Dan Quinn. Matt Ryan will be able to hold his own in this game especially with the better offensive weapons that they have. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. |
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09-13-20 | Packers +3 v. Vikings | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Many people are expecting Green Bay to fall back this year after going 13-3 in 2019. But we will gladly grab the points in this game, as the Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight games against the Vikings. QB Cousins is no match for QB Rodgers, as he is just 7-31 in his last 38 games against teams that finish the season with a winning record. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Week 1 games. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 2 FOX) The line on this game is low and you can make a case for both sides. In the end I just feel it is the Chiefs time especially for their Coach Andy Reid, a sentimental favorite of most people to finally win a Super Bowl. Coach Reid is outstanding coming off a bye and he also has the better quarterback behind center in this game. Two straight weeks the Chiefs have gotten behind early only to have the lead by halftime and control the game in the second half. The 49ers have not faced any adversity in the playoffs this season and I am not sure how they will react if the Chiefs can force them to throw the football in obvious passing situations. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 14 points in their previous game. Kansas City is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games. |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 104 | 126 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 19 FOX) The 49ers dominated the regular season meeting. This game will be closer, but I just believe San Francisco is better in all 3 phases plus have a better coaching staff to boot. San Francisco has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Green Bay. San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. This has a feel of the NFC Championship from 3 years ago when Green Bay went to Atlanta and just could not compete losing 44-21. |
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01-19-20 | Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -105 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #313 Tennessee Titans over Kansas City Chiefs (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) Everyone just assumes the Kansas City will cruise to the Super Bowl after having their scare early in the divisional round against Houston. But one must remember Andy Reid has really struggled in this round winning just 1 time in 6 tires. Tennessee appears destined to run the gauntlet of New England, Baltimore, and now Kansas City. The Titans are much better coached than are the Texans and if they get a lead in this game, they may not give it up. Tennessee is 7-3 straight-up in their 10 road games this season (7-3 ATS). The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Tennessee and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -3.5 | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 125 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 12 FOX) Green Bay still gets no respect for being 13-3 and many believe Seattle will just walk into Lambeau Field and win this game. Green Bay was 7-1 this season at home and has dominated Seattle in Wisconsin going 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 meetings. The Packers are a much healthier team than are the Seahawks and I just do not believe QB Wilson has enough weapons around him to win this game. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional round games. Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Packers use their home field advantage to rise to the occasion and win this game by close to 10 points. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 11 CBS) The Vikings are coming off an impressive victory, but this team has not handled prosperity well and now must travel to the west coast to face the best team in the conference. San Francisco is 4-1 straight-up against Minnesota in the playoffs. San Francisco has a great play caller in Kyle Shanahan, and they are better than Minnesota on both sides of the football. Minnesota is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between the Vikings and 49ers. Minnesota cannot backup their performance from last week and thus San Francisco wins this game by double digits. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment having lost two straight home games and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Philadelphia is heading in the right direction and I do not believe they will lose twice to Seattle in the city of Brotherly Love. Seattle defense is not close to what it once was and all the pressure of QB Wilson having to do everything is finally catching up with this team. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of January. |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 4 CBS) Everyone is ready to bury the Patriots, but I am not one of them. Tennessee has not been playing great down the stretch either losing two of their last three games before Houston laid down last week letting them cruise to a victory. New England beat Tennessee is the playoffs two years ago by 21 points. I see them winning this game by 7-10 points. QB Tannehill has looked good but I just do not trust him, especially with so much on the line in the playoffs. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Tennessee and New England. Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of January. Just believe the Patriots have too much pride to go out in the Wild Card round and they will find a way to get it down on Saturday. |
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12-29-19 | Titans v. Texans +4 | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 57 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) Nothing seems predictable in the AFC South. This game obviously means more to the Titans, as a victory will guarantee them a spot in the playoffs. Houston just beat this team earlier in the season and feel they can keep this game close at home despite resting some key personal. Tennessee is 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against Houston. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 122 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #131 Oakland Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) We will grab the points in this game, as the Raiders still have an outside chance to make the playoffs. Raiders played one of their best games of the season last week against the Chargers, a better team than they will face on Sunday. Oakland won the first meeting by 8 points and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. Denver had trouble putting away the Lions last week and just should not be favored by this many points against anyone in the league. Oakland has covered the spread 4 straight games against Denver. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC West teams. |
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12-29-19 | Chargers v. Chiefs -8 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 119 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) The Phillip Rivers era as the starting quarterback of the Chargers will likely come to an end on Sunday. The Chargers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league this season and will finish out the season losing 6 of their last 7 games. Kansas City has dominated this series winning 10 of the last 11 games against Los Angeles (8-3 ATS). The Chiefs still have a chance to earn a first round bye and thus their will be no let-up in this game from start to finish. |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 149 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #481 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 23 ESPN) The final Monday Night Football game of the season is an NFC North rivalry. This game actually means more to Green Bay, as they have visions of the No. 2 seed and a bye. Even if Minnesota wins this game, they still will likely be a wildcard and thus I do not see them blowing out the Packers in this contest. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #475 Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) This is likely a winner take all game! If Dallas wins, they clinch the NFC East and will host a home game on wild card weekend. The Eagles have won two straight games, but they struggle to put away the Giants and Redskins. The Cowboys played their best game of the season last time out and they just have much more talent on offense than the Eagles do. Dallas blew out Philadelphia by 27 points earlier this season. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. |
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12-22-19 | Giants +2.5 v. Redskins | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #465 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Both teams played well last week with the Giants winning their game and the Redskins nearly knocking off Philadelphia. New York played their best game of the season against Washington back in September and I expect them to win this game as well straight-up regardless of who plays for them under center. New York is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Washington. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts -6.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #472 Indianapolis Colts over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Carolina backdoor covered last week against Seattle and despite that late rally they have decided to bench their quarterback in Kyle Allen. The Colts will not be the playoffs either, but they have not quit like the Panthers have and expect them to go all out with a chance of finishing the season at 8-8. Indianapolis is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games against NFC teams. Carolina is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 40 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #454 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 NFLN) This game appears big on paper but in reality that is not the case for the Bills. Even if Buffalo wins this game, New England still controls its own destiny to win the NFC East and would just have to beat the Dolphins in Week 17 at Foxboro. But the Patriots need a bye if they have any plans of doing damage in the playoffs this year. New England has beaten Buffalo 15 of the last 17 games at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots got well last week against the Bengals and will win this game by close to 10 points. New England is 42-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 63 home games. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers -1.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #322 Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills (8:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 NBC) Just not sold on the Buffalo Bills and feel their record is mostly a byproduct of their schedule. Buffalo has struggled against the AFC North this season losing to the Browns and Ravens and only beating the Bengals by 4 points. This is the final home game for the Steelers, and it is a must win if they have visions of making the playoffs this season. Buffalo does not get many primetime games and I do not believe they will be up for the challenge in this game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #329 Los Angeles Rams over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) This line opened at -3.5 (Dallas) and has been bet down all week long and still is not where it should be. Dallas is terrible and is only being talked about because they play in the NFC East. This game does not mean much for the Cowboys and it will likely come down to them beating the Eagles on 12/22 to determine their playoff fate. We used the Rams are our top play last week and won easily against the Seahawks and now they face a much more dysfunctional team. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Dallas is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers -4 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 119 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #310 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) The Packers are not getting much respect of late and thus we will take them on Sunday against a team they have already beaten once this season. Just do not trust QB Trubisky to win games on a consistent basis. Green Bay knows they need this game in order to win the division and they will get it by 7-10 points. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against the Packers. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 126 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #158 Los Angeles Rams over the Seattle Seahawks (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 8 NBC) The Rams appeared to get it last week and they must win games to keep their chances of a wild card berth alive. Seattle can afford to drop this game, since their chances of winning the division lie with their December 21st game against the 49ers. The Rams played the Seahawks tough earlier this season in Seattle and should be able to emerge victorious with this game being played at the Coliseum. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in Los Angeles. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against NFC teams. |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 122 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #152 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) Everyone is ready to put the nail in the coffin for Patriots, but I am not one of them. The Patriots have not lost at home this season and they should be able to get their offense back on track against this suspect Chiefs defense. This is strength vs strength, as the Chiefs offense is their best unit and they will have to go against the Patriots defense, which is their best unit. New England is 42-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 62 home games. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. It may not be pretty, but the Patriots will pull out this game by 7-10 points. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | 48-46 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #138 New Orleans Saints over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 FOX) This is a bad situational game for the 49ers, as they are playing their second straight 1 p.m. road game (10 am local). The 49ers gave the Ravens all that they can handle last week and now must face a team with an even greater home field advantage. QB Garoppolo continues to turnover the football each game and thus may be the best defense he will face this season. I believe the 49ers are deflated knowing they could end up as the No. 5 seed in the NFC and thus I would expect them to drop at least 2 of their remaining 4 games. San Francisco is 6-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games against NFC teams. New Orleans is 51-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks -2.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 147 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #476 Seattle Seahawks over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 2 ESPN) The Seahawks have not played at home since November 3 and they have been outstanding of late winning 4 straight games. Minnesota is a quiet 8-3 but I still do not trust QB Cousins to win big primetime games in December. These two teams met in Seattle on Monday Night Football last year and the Seahawks dominated that game winning by 14 points. The Seahawks have won 6 straight games against NFC teams. Minnesota is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday Night games. Seattle is 10-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 Monday Night games. |
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12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 119 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Neither one of these teams is going anywhere and I just do not believe QB Rivers has much left in the tank. Both teams have shown some signs of life at certain points of the season and Denver is always a tough team to beat in the Mile-High City. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games. Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Week 13 of the NFL season. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 116 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 FOX) This is a get-well game for the Packers, as they struggled for a second time this season in the state of California. Danny Dimes is struggling like any rookie quarterback would with a lack of talent around him. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and will be able to win this game by double digits. The favorite in this match-up has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games (1 push). Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. New York is 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 home games. |
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12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 1 CBS) Pittsburgh wants this game badly. They have the better coach and should not be the underdog in this game. Pittsburgh got back on track last week against Cincinnati and they have dominated this series since the Browns were allowed back into the league. Pittsburgh is 12-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 home games when they are an underdog. Cleveland is 6-21 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 games against with winning records. The home team is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 6 match-ups between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | 26-15 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Dallas Cowboys over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Thursday, November 28 CBS) People are overacting to the Cowboys losing a game in Foxboro to New England. The Cowboys are still in good shape to win their division and make the playoffs. Buffalo has been the beneficiary of a soft schedule to amass their 8-3 record and they are not anywhere near that good. Dallas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Thursday. Dallas pull away late to win this much needed game by more than a touchdown. |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys v. Patriots -6 | 9-13 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m, Sunday, November 24 FOX) Anytime you can get the Patriots at home laying less than a touchdown it is a play. The Patriots have not been that impressive on offense of late, but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Dallas had trouble stopping Jeff Driskel last week and I am not sure if QB Prescott can win this game with New England taking away his best option. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 47-20 ATS in their last 67 games. |
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11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 118 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Jets over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 CBS) Just not sold on the Raiders, especially when they must give points on the road. The Jets have been playing better of late winning 2 straight games against bad teams to gain some much-needed confidence. 1 p.m. games are always tough for west coast teams and Oakland has not handled prosperity well in recent years. The Raiders have won just 2 road games in the second Jon Gruden Era. Oakland is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks v. Eagles | 17-9 | Loss | -122 | 118 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #274 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) The Eagles must win this game to keep their slim chances of a playoff berth alive. This game was flexed out of Sunday Night Football and now the Seahawks must play a 1 p.m. eastern time game. The Hawks defense had not been great, as QB Winston picked them apart and most of the Hawks success falls on QB Wilson. Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. Both trends hold true, as the Eagles get the victory and also easily cover the spread. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #476 Los Angeles Chargers over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, November 18 ESPN) The NFL is back in Mexico City and this game should go off as planned unlike the 2018 version. Kansas City has been exposed of late with a suspect defense and thus QB Mahomes and company are going to have to score points in order to win this game. We will grab the points and expect QB Rivers and company to win this game straight-up. The Chargers have the better defense and should be able to get pressure on QB Mahomes. The Chiefs have just not been the same team of late, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of November. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played during the month of November. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +11.5 v. 49ers | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 118 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) The line has creeped down after San Francisco suffered their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football against Seattle. Now they face another divisional rival and we will grab the double-digit points in this match-up. Jimmy G seems prone to mistakes and if the Cardinals can capitalize on a couple of them, they should be able to keep this a one score game. Arizona has had good success in San Francisco going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Santa Clara. The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. |
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11-17-19 | Cowboys -5.5 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 115 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Dallas Cowboys over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 FOX) We went against the Lions last week and got a gift when QB Stafford was scratched Sunday morning. Hard to know if he will play in this game but either way, we will take the Cowboys. Dallas laid an egg against Minnesota last week and they must start better on Sunday at Ford Field. The Lions have fallen out of playoff consideration by losing 5 of their last 6 games. They just find ways to lose and today will be no different. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games between Dallas and Detroit. |
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11-17-19 | Texans v. Ravens -4 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 115 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 Baltimore Ravens over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, November 17 CBS) This is an intriguing match-up between two young superstar quarterbacks in Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson. QB Watson may be the better thrower of the football but I just believe the Ravens have a better supporting cast than do the Texans. Houston is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. This will not be a blowout, but I see the magical run of the Ravens continuing wit a 7-10 point victory. |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | 28-24 | Loss | -100 | 126 h 10 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 10 NBC) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs last week and now head to a primetime game against the Cowboys. QB Cousins does not usually shine during primetime games and expect that to be the case once again on Sunday Night Football. Dallas turned it on in the second half last time out against the Giants and they should be healthier this week on defense. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has covered the spread 5 straight times during games played in November. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Dallas. |
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11-10-19 | Panthers v. Packers -4.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) This game got flexed to the late afternoon and it features two teams with winning records. The Packers came out flat last week in Los Angeles but expect them to play much better this week at home against Carolina. Because of that performance, we now have a line under 7 points and Green Bay should be able to attack this inexperienced quarterback in Kyle Allen. Green Bay has a bye on deck and needs to keep winning with a trip to Minnesota looming down the road. The home team has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings between Carolina and Green Bay. |
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11-10-19 | Bills +3 v. Browns | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 119 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots -3 v. Ravens | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 128 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 New England Patriots over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 3 NBC) An undefeated season seems like the only thing left for QB Brady and Coach Belickick to accomplish in their illustrious careers. The Patriots have a 189-point differential this season and should be able to cover this number tonight. QB Jackson will face the best defense he has ever seen in his young career and I do not believe the Patriots will allow him to beat them with his legs. New England is 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games. The road team is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in the 8 meetings between New England and Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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11-03-19 | Packers -3 v. Chargers | 11-26 | Loss | -124 | 124 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 3 CBS) This is a home game in name only for the Chargers, as the Packers will occupy most of the stands. LA is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games when they are a home underdog. Still do not believe the Chargers can run the football against this Packer defense to open up the passing game for QB Rivers. Green Bay is 14-0 ATS in their last 14 games when playing their second straight road game against a non-divisional opponent under .500. QB Rodgers are getting better and that is scary for the Chargers and the rest of the league. |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +7 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 124 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Despite poor play from QB Jameis Winston the Buccaneers seem to play competitive games and we will grab the points in this game. Seattle has already lost 2 home games this season and they seem to play better on the road (undefeated). Seattle likes to run the football and that should play into the strength of the Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay has covered the spread 4 straight times against Seattle. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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11-03-19 | Vikings v. Chiefs -2.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Kansas City Chiefs over Minnesota Vikings (1 p.m., Sunday, November 3 FOX) Just do not trust Kirk Cousins to consistently win big games as a starting quarterback. The Chiefs are desperate to win this game, having lost 3 home games already this season. The Vikings are 0-12 (1 push) outdoors against an opponent with a winning record. Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Kansas City. |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 Carolina Panthers over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Carolina has made the wise decision to continue to ride QB Kyle Allen, as he is 4-0 in starts this season (4-0 ATS). Carolina has beaten San Francisco 6 straight games (6-0 ATS) and they need this game more in order to keep pace with the New Orleans Saints in their division. Still not sold on the 49ers offense and if Carolina does not beat themselves, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in San Francisco and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings. These trends just cannot be ignored especially when they are getting this many points. |
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10-27-19 | Bucs v. Titans -2.5 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #254 Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) Both of these teams are hard to predict, but we won with Tennessee last week in miraculous fashion and will ride them again on Sunday for a second straight week. The Titans played well behind QB Tannehill and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against NFC teams. QB Winston was terrible last time out with 6 turnovers. He will play better on Sunday, but Tennessee has some mojo at the moment. Tampa Bay is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in the month of October. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay. |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 120 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #261 Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 FOX) The stats do not point toward Philadelphia in this game, but I believe they will play well in an effort to save their season. Buffalo did not play well against the worst team in the league last Sunday and now they face a much more talented team. The Eagles are 14-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against the AFC. If the Eagles can stabilize the game early, they should be able to win it straight-up. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo has played an easy schedule thus far and Philadelphia is desperate for a victory in upstate New York. |
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10-27-19 | Broncos v. Colts -5.5 | 13-15 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Indianapolis Colts over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 27 CBS) No bet against Denver is a bad bet. Denver played terrible at home last time out against a back-up quarterback. QB Joe Flacco is washed up and the Denver defense is not what is once was. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in just 2 of their last 11 games. The Colts will jump on the Broncos early and expect Denver to then just throw in the towel if things to not go their way early. Denver is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss in their previous games. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against AFC teams. |
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10-20-19 | Chargers v. Titans -1.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) We went against both of these teams last week and easily won both games. That being said the Chargers have no offensive line and were destroyed by a free agent quarterback last week in Devlin Hodges. Having no home field advantage is starting to take its toll on this team. It does not matter who starts for Tennessee at quarterback in this game, the Titans defense should dominate and win this game. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between the Chargers and Titans. |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -2.5 | 27-21 | Loss | -130 | 120 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 New York Giants over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) This is a match-up of the top two quarterbacks taken in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Cardinals do not play well when traveling east, as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in the eastern time zone. The Giants defense have been playing better of late and this will be the weakest offensive team they have faced in their last 3 games. QB Jones should come out better with extra rest for this home game against a weak defense. The Giants are 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Arizona is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games played during Week 7 of the regular season. |
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10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers -5.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 CBS) The Packers did not start out fast last time out but still won the game (with some help from the officials). Expect them to play a much more complete game for 60 minutes in this game against the Raiders. Just do not trust QB Derek Carr to consistently win games. They nearly fell apart last game against Chicago when a botched handoff completely turned that game around. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games against NFC teams. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Raiders. |
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10-20-19 | 49ers -9.5 v. Redskins | 9-0 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 San Francisco 49ers over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 20 FOX) The Redskins beat a team worse than them last week in the Dolphins, but now must face the best team in the NFC. Washington has now home field advantage and Kyle Shanahan may have an ax to grind, as he was a coach under Washington for his father Mike Shanahan. Washington is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. This one could get ugly early and expect the 49ers to win this game going away. |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 22-23 | Loss | -100 | 149 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #276 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Monday, October 14 ESPN) This line is short, and we will ride the Packers at home playing a team that they hardly lose against. Detroit has won 4 straight games in this series, but Green Bay has still won 28 of the last 38 meetings. Detroit has played well this season, but I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football. Detroit is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings between the Lions and Packers. |
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10-13-19 | Steelers +7 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 125 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #273 Pittsburgh Steelers over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 13 NBC) The Steelers continue to battle despite having quarterback injuries and I see them taking this game down to the wire as well. The Chargers just cannot be trusted as a favorite, as they played poorly last week at home losing to the winless Broncos. Pittsburgh will have revenge on their minds in this game, as they blew a big lead to Los Angeles last year. They AFC North is still up for grabs and Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games when they are an underdog. Los Angeles is just 11-28 ATS (1 push) in their last 40 home games. |
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10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos -2 | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 121 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Denver Broncos over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 1 CBS) Tennessee has been a tough team to figure out this season, as they have won both games when they are an underdog and lost all three games when they are favored. Denver could be 3-2 this season but they are 1-4. I do not see them losing three straight home games to open the season. The fans have soured on QB Mariota and I believe he will be replaced as a starter at some point this season. If they Denver defense can ever play up to its standards, this will be a tough that can be a tough out for AFC West teams. Denver has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against Tennessee. The Titans are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 road games against teams with a losing home record. |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +1.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 Cleveland Browns over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The line has really swung as the Browns failed to show up against San Francisco on Monday Night Football. Instead of being a favorite, they are now an underdog and I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against the Seahawks. The home team has covered 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 pushes). Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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10-06-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 118 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #473 Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) Green Bay has dominated this series in recent years covering the spread in 6 of the last 8 games against Dallas. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record. QB Aaron Rodgers put up big numbers last week against Philadelphia but had trouble inside the 5 yard line and that bite them late in that game. Expect them to correct that this week and be able to take this game down to the wire. Dallas played an easy schedule to open the season and did not look well last week against New Orleans. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. The Packers win this game straight-up giving us another victory with an underdog. |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #452 Take Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 CBS) Nobody is great in the AFC North and thus we will grab the points with the home team coming off a win on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 home games when they are an underdog. The Ravens defense was been exposed and I just do not believe QB Lamar Jackson can make enough plays through the air to beat them. The Underdog has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 meetings (1 push). Pittsburgh is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games played during the month of October. |
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10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders +5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #454 Take Oakland Raiders over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) The Bears are without their starting quarterback and I feel QB Chase Daniel can perform well again. The Raiders are coming off an impressive win at Indianapolis and we will grab the points with them in this London game. If Oakland can take care of the football and not allow the Bear’s defense to score points, they should be able to take this one down to the wire. LB Khalil Mack might be overhyped for this game against his former team and I just do not believe there is this much talent discrepancy. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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10-06-19 | Vikings v. Giants +6 | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, October 6 FOX) We will ride the Daniel Jones train again for a second straight week. We used the Giants last week against the Redskins and that game was never in doubt and I expect them to perform well this week. The entire city has gotten behind this quarterback and that is a stark contrast to how Minnesota fans feel about Kirk Cousins. The Vikings were lifeless last week in Chicago and I do not see things getting any better this week in East Rutherford. The home team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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09-29-19 | Vikings v. Bears -1 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Chicago Bears over Minnesota Vikings (4:25pm., Sunday, September 29 CBS) Just do not trust QB Kirk Cousins in big games. The Bears swept the Vikings last years and Minnesota is 0-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games when playing outdoors against teams with a winning record. Chicago got healthy and confident last week against Washington and they will win this game by 7-10 points. |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 116 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Seahawks came out flat last time out against a desperate Saints team. Now they face a much less talented Cardinals team that has an unproven coach and quarterback. Arizona got torched last week against Carolina and a back-up quarterback and now must face a pro bowler in Russell Wilson. Seattle is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games in Arizona. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Kliff Kingsbury appears to be in over his head, as he could not win consistently in college and will struggle to survive as a head coach in the NFL. |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -7 v. Bills | 16-10 | Loss | -101 | 113 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #263 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 CBS) QB Tom Brady is 30-3 in his last 33 games against Buffalo. Not much else needs to be said, but I just do not believe the Bills are ready to challenge the Patriots in the AFC East. Buffalo is improved but New England is still better on both sides of the football. |
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09-29-19 | Redskins v. Giants -2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 113 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #256 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, September 29 FOX) The Giants have life and Washington is dead man walking. The Redskins have a lame duck coach and not much talent on either side of the football. The football Giants found a spark last week with Daniel Jones at quarterback and expect them to ride this out for the next couple of weeks. Not having RB Barkley will hurt, but there is just too much momentum going on with the Giants to not take them this week. New York is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -195 | 34-27 | Loss | -195 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers (-200 Money Line) over Philadelphia Eagles (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 26 FOX) Everyone is expecting the Eagles to put forth a good effort in this game since they do not want to fall to 1-3 on the season. I just believe Green Bay is better on both sides of the football and they do not lose at home very often when they are healthy. |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #488 Cleveland Browns over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 21 NBC) Many pundits are ready to jump on Cleveland whenever they fail, but they have talent and should not be an underdog in this game. The Rams will have to play 2 of their first 3 games in the eastern time zone and that travel will take its toll on them in this game. The Rams karma may catch up with them in this game, as they were the beneficiary of another blown call last week against the Saints. The Browns fans will be up for this prime time game and expect them to take care of business at home and move to 2-1 on the season. The Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Week 3 games. |
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09-22-19 | Panthers v. Cardinals +2.5 | 38-20 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #480 Arizona Cardinals over Carolina Panthers (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Panthers are not very good, and they should not be favored by anyone on the road. QB Kyler Murray has held his own through two games this season and expect him to be able to move the football and put up points in this game as well. Carolina is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and Cam Newton just does not look right. Arizona is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against NFC teams. Take the points in this game. |
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09-22-19 | Falcons v. Colts | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #470 Indianapolis Colts over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, September 21 CBS) This is the first home game for the Colts this season. Indianapolis is 1-1 and could have won both of their first two games in they did not have kicking issues. Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 straight games against AFC teams. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The favorite has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Atlanta and Indianapolis. QB Brissett threw 3 touchdowns last week and expect another solid performance from him today. |
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09-22-19 | Lions +6 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Detroit Lions over Philadelphia Eagles (1 p.m., Sunday, September 21 FOX) The Eagles are reeling now with a ton of injuries and did not have enough healthy bodies to practice on Wednesday. The Eagles have yet to look impressive this year, and now they face another solid quarterback that should be able to move the football on them. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take the points in this game as it will go down to the wire and be decided by a field goal. |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take Denver Broncos over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 15 FOX) We are getting some value in this spread after the line moved when Denver did not look good against Oakland. That being said the Broncos are always a tough team to beat at home in the month of September. The Broncos have some ex-Bear coaches on their staff and that should bode well for them in this game. The Underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Chicago and Denver. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during Week 2 of the regular season. |
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09-15-19 | Patriots v. Dolphins +20.5 | 43-0 | Loss | -130 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #270 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 15 CBS) Hard to say anything good about the Dolphins after they way the played last week but they are still a professional team. Getting this many points at home is too good to pass up, as pride usually sets in the next week following an embarrassing performance in Week 1. New England always has trouble in Miami, losing 5 of the last 6 years (1-5 ATS). Look for a 13-16 point victory for the Patriots. |