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Michael Alexander NFLX Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
08-24-13 Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars Top 31-24 Win 100 9 h 12 m Show
Rating: 3 Unit NLFX Game of the Week

The Jacksonville starters didn
08-24-13 Cleveland Browns +2.5 v. Indianapolis Colts 6-27 Loss -105 8 h 14 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Browns leave home for the first time this August, 2-0 SU and ATS under new head coach Rob Chudzinski and staff.

They will have a longer lead-in to the game than the Colts, who won on Sunday night after Cleveland played on Thursday. Brandon Weeden led consecutive TD drives on his only two possessions to start the season, then threw two first-half TD passes before calling it a night at halftime leading 17-3 vs. Detroit.
08-23-13 Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers +2.5 17-10 Loss -110 9 h 21 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Packers had all kinds of trouble on offense in the game that mattered against Seattle last season, but after settling for field goals against the Rams last weekend, they say that getting into the end zone is a priority for this game. Expect Rogers to play at least all of the first half in this effort.
Seattle is typically not strong on the road.
08-18-13 Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants -1.5 20-12 Loss -110 7 h 50 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Giants have a lot of experience behind center with Eli Manning and David Carr.
The Colts are off a 44-20 home loss and are not as good as last season
08-17-13 Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -5 10-40 Win 100 9 h 45 m Show
Rating: 2 Units
08-17-13 Miami Dolphins v. Houston Texans -3.5 17-24 Win 100 7 h 12 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Texans are 7-0 SU vs. Miami in the regular season (5-2 ATS), winning by 10 and 20 points in 2011 and 2012.
The Dolphins
08-17-13 Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 v. NY Jets 13-37 Loss -110 7 h 42 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Jets won 17-10 last year but gained only 17 first downs overall, and only 4 first downs passing. This time around, a more seasoned Gabbert, and Henne, will both play for Jacksonville. They are in a competition, too. Their receivers are no worse than the Jets who will once again be without Santonio Holmes.
The Jets were 0-4 SU and ATS in the 2012 pre-season, are 0-1 SU and ATS so far in August, 2013
08-17-13 Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals -4 7-12 Win 100 4 h 46 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Arizona defense didn
08-16-13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New England Patriots -3 21-25 Win 100 9 h 33 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

Last week, the Bucs lost a pre-season game by 28 points. Last year in Week 2, they lost a pre-season game by 23 points. Two weeks later last year, they lost a pre-season game by 27 points. So, three out of the five (60%) August games they
08-16-13 San Francisco 49ers v. Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 15-13 Loss -110 8 h 29 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Chiefs are now 5-29-1 ATS in their last 35 exhibition games.

The Chiefs have QB Alex Smith in position who led a TD drive on Kansas City
08-15-13 Carolina Panthers v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 9-14 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

When your offense gets 86 plays like Philly did against New England, at least the ratio of plays to turnovers is lower.
Carolina
08-15-13 Detroit Lions +1.5 v. Cleveland Browns 6-24 Loss -110 5 h 34 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Lions take the field on a 10-2 SU pre-season run.
In last Friday night
08-09-13 Dallas Cowboys -1.5 v. Oakland Raiders 17-19 Loss -110 10 h 57 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

Defensively, the Cowboys have a lot of talent and athleticism. The Raiders
08-09-13 Kansas City Chiefs v. New Orleans Saints -3 13-17 Win 100 8 h 51 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Chiefs have been the NFL
08-09-13 NY Jets v. Detroit Lions -3 17-26 Win 100 7 h 19 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The Jets lost by 11 points at Cincinnati in Week 1 last year, by 23 points home vs. the Giants in Week 2, by 5 points home to Carolina in Week 3, then by 18 points at Philadelphia in Week 4. They scored 6, 3, 12 and 10 points. The offense didn
08-08-13 Seattle Seahawks -2.5 v. San Diego Chargers 31-10 Win 100 11 h 52 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

New head coach Mike McCoy of San Diego makes his home debut against an opponent that is 8-1 ATS in its last nine pre-season games. Seattle head coach Pete Carroll has head-coached NFL teams to a 19-9 ATS record in August.
08-08-13 Washington Redskins +3 v. Tennessee Titans 22-21 Win 100 9 h 5 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

RGII won't be playing and Cousins will more than likely get just one series under center. That leaves Rex Grossman to work most of the game at QB. But if it has to be Grossman, at least he has been with the team for four seasons and knows how the offense works.

The Titans like their improved offensive line on paper, but new pieces like veteran guard Andy Levitre and rookie tackle Chance Warmack weren
08-08-13 Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons 34-10 Win 100 9 h 59 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

It
08-08-13 Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44-16 Win 100 8 h 16 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

The competitive culture in Baltimore goes on without Ray Lewis and Ed Reed, and a handful of other departed veterans, especially on defense. According to new guy, OLB Elvis Dumervil,
08-04-13 Miami Dolphins v. Dallas Cowboys +3 20-24 Win 100 8 h 3 m Show
Rating: 2 Units

Miami initially opened as a 1-1/2-point underdog, but the line shifted in its favor after Dallas quarterback Tony Romo was ruled out of the game.

Miami is the favorite, but if its preseason goes anything like it did a year ago, Dallas is the better bet. Miami went 0-4 in the preseason last season as well as 0-4 against the spread.

Lots of talk about the new defensive scheme and the adjustments to it. It's the first preseason game and none of the starters are likely to play more than a series so that issue will be mitigated. Take the points
08-30-12 Oakland Raiders v. Seattle Seahawks -6.5 3-21 Win 100 5 h 14 m Show
Rating: 2 Units
In this one you have an inexperienced quarterback in Terrelle Pryor, who is struggling in the pro game with the other, Russell Wilson, is producing like a crazy, and now challenging newly acquired, Matt Flynn, for the starting quarterback position on the Seahawks.
Flynn had a bad elbow and didn
08-30-12 Minnesota Vikings v. Houston Texans -3.5 24-28 Win 100 2 h 21 m Show
Rating: 2 Units
Preseason games are usually decided by 2nd and 3rd stringers. Basically it all about depth. Tonight wehave good depth vs. bad depth.
Houston won a lot of games with three different quarterbacks last season, as well as injuries to their best wide receiver and best defensive lineman. With all of that the Texans won 10 games plus a playoff game last season, while the Vikings won 3 games and made changes all over the roster.
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