07-12-20 |
Jorge Masvidal v. Kamaru Usman OVER 4.5 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
105 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
Gilbert Burn's loss is Jorge Masvidal's gain. Kamaru Usman (16-1) has more to lose in this fight, especially since he was preparing for Gilbert Burns and now has only one week to get ready for Jorge Masvidal (35-13) who is a completely different type of fighter. Look for both fighters to be a more cautious than normal which should help this bout go the full distance. Kamaru Usman has good wrestling skills to take this fight to the ground and grind out the clock. Usman hasn't been stopped since 2008 and his last four fights have all gone the full distance. 9* Play OVER the total.
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07-11-20 |
Jose Aldo v. Petr Yan -215 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
Jose Aldo (28-6) is past his prime and is just 2-4 in his past six fights. Meanwhile, Petr Yan (14-1) is an upcoming star who is six years younger with nine straight wins, including a perfect 6-0 in the UFC. Yan is better in every key category in this fight as he possesses better cardio, hits with more power and frequency, and has better wrestling skills. The Russian wins the title tonight.
10* Play PETR YAN (-).
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07-11-20 |
Jessica Andrade v. Rose Namajunas -195 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is an excellent revenge spot for Rose Namajunas (9-4) who has not fought for the past 14 months since she lost the 115-pound title to Jessica Andrade (20-7) in May 2019. It was a misleading result as Namajunas was dominating that fight, but made the mistake of trying to finish it too quickly and got slammed hard at the wrong angle. She has a three-inch length and height advantage tonight, she can give and take a punch, and she has lethal submissions. 9* Play ROSE NAMAJUNAS (-).
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06-27-20 |
Dan Hooker v. Dustin Poirier OVER 2.5 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
This main event fight has a good chance of going the distance for a full five rounds, so there is excellent value with the Over. Dustin Poirier (25-6) has a powerful punch and definite finishing power, but Dan Hooker (20-8) is four inches taller with a substantial three inch reach advantage, so Hooker should be able to keep his distance tonight and avoid any early trouble. Hooker does not possess the same finishing power, and his only chance is to draw this fight out and hope for a decision win. Both of these fighters are capable of a five-round battle as Hooker/Felder and Poirier/Holloway both went a full 25-minutes. 10* Play OVER the total.
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06-20-20 |
Alexander Volkov v. Curtis Blaydes UNDER 2.5 |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
These are two powerful fighters with plenty of knockout and finishing abilities, so it is very unlikely that this fight goes the distance tonight. Look for both fighters to come out swinging and looking for a quick finish. Alexander Volkov (31-7) has a 3-inch height advantage, but Curtis Blaydes (13-2) is heavier and long as both fighters have an equal 80-inch reach. Volkov has publicly said this fight will not last long as he plans on coming out hard and finishing Blaydes early. However, Blaydes has plenty of power himself, and also possesses dangerous knockout potential.
9* Play UNDER the total.
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06-20-20 |
Austin Hubbard v. Max Rohskopf -170 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-170 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
This line is way too low as Max Rohskopf should be at least a -300 favorite. The reason is because the general public is unfamiliar with the 25-year old Rohskopf (5-0) who is a rising talent. He has an excellent ground game with strong Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu which is strengthened by his strong wrestling skills that enable him to get takedowns. He holds a 3-inch height advantage and also a 3-inch reach advantage in this fight vs. Austin Hubbard (11-4), but the key to victory will be when Rohskopf takes Hubbard down to the mat and submits him. 10* Play MAX ROHSKOPF (-).
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06-13-20 |
Cynthia Calvillo -129 v. Jessica Eye |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
Jessica Eye (15-7) missed weight again and is not as prepared for this fight as Cynthia Calvillo (8-1) tonight. The sharp money is on Calvillo and there is excellent value with her as a small favorite this evening. Calvillo holds the important fight stat edges, especially on the ground with an 1.83 takedown average (vs. Eye's 0.46 TD average) and Calvillo has a 1.65 submission average (vs. Eye's 0.65 submission average).
10* Play CYNTHIA CALVILLO (-).
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06-13-20 |
Charles Rosa +155 v. Kevin Aguilar |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
155 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
There is excellent line value with Charles Rosa (12-4) as a good sized underdog in this fight tonight as the public has inflated this price after just watching Rosa lose a few weeks ago to Bryce Mitchell. However, this is now a better matchup for Rosa against Kevin Aguilar this evening. Rosa will grind this fight out and will have a substantial edge once he gets the fight to the ground. Rosa has a 2.35 takedown average vs. Aguilar's 0.24 takedown average. 9* Play CHARLES ROSA (+).
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06-13-20 |
Zarrukh Adashev v. Tyson Nam -145 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a must-win fight for Tyson Nam (18-11-1) and the setup is good for him to get that win tonight. His last-second replacement opponent for this fight is Zarrukh Adeshev (3-1) who had only three days to prepare for this fight. Nam holds a two-inch height advantage and a three-inch reach advantage in this fight.
9* Play TYSON NAM (-).
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06-06-20 |
Raphael Assuncao v. Cody Garbrandt -135 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 50 m |
Show
|
Cody Garbrandt is at a pivotal point in his career. He won the championship belt and improved his record to a perfect 11-0 three years ago when he defeated Dominick Cruz, but Garbrandt then lost back-to-back bouts against T.J. Dillashaw and more recently lost to Pedro Munhoz. Garbrandt was knocked out in all three of those losses and he is now in a must-win situation to keep his UFC career alive. Garbrandt gets a very favorable matchup tonight as he is a powerful fighter that prefers to trade punches and stay on his feet. Raphael Assuncao is not a power fighter and has limited knockout potential, so Garbrandt's recent weakness of being TKO'd is less likely to be exploited tonight. Assuncao has a strong ground game, but he is unlikely to get Garbrandt to the ground as Cody has a strong wrestling defense. 10* Play CODY GARBRANDT (-).
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06-06-20 |
Anthony Rocco Martin v. Neil Magny -127 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 23 m |
Show
|
Neil Magny is a veteran fighter with more experience than Anthony Rocco Martin. Magny has fought tougher competition and is coming off an impressive unanimous decision win over Li Jingliang in UFC 248 three months ago on March 7th. Magny holds a three-inch height advantage and a substantial 6 1/2-inch reach edge in this fight against a smaller Martin who has not fought since his win over Ramazan Emeev seven months ago in November 2019. 9* Play NEIL MAGNY (-).
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06-06-20 |
Alex Caceres v. Chase Hooper -189 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-189 |
19 h 15 m |
Show
|
There has been heavy money on Chase Hooper this week and for good reason. He is a 20-year old talented prospect that enters this fight with a 9-0-1 record against Alex Caceres who is in the downturn of his career with a mediocre 15-12 mark. Hooper has the height and reach advantage in this matchup, along with the significant strikes per minute and accuracy edge. Hooper also enters with a 100% takedown defense in his young career against Caceres who has a strong 75% takedown accuracy. This is a classic UFC matchup where they want the upcoming star to gain a solid win versus a veteran. Despite the heavy line move this week, there is still solid value on Chase Hooper tonight. 9* Play CHASE HOOPER (-).
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05-30-20 |
Gilbert Burns v. Tyron Woodley -160 |
|
5-0 |
Loss |
-160 |
28 h 37 m |
Show
|
The smaller 25-foot octagon (compared to the normal 30-foot cage) will favor a talented wrestler like Tyron Woodley tonight in Las Vegas. Woodley is a veteran and former champion with a strong ground game and he often gets takedowns and smashes for easy round wins which will be important in this five-round main event. Woodley is a smart fighter that will look to wear down Gilbert Burns. Woodley is motivated after losing his title, and only five years older, so age is not much of an issue tonight. Burns has a strong Jiu-Jitsu background, but Woodley is comfortable on the ground and has faced much tougher competition during his championship career.
9* Play TYRON WOODLEY (-).
|
05-30-20 |
Gilbert Burns v. Tyron Woodley OVER 4.5 |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
155 |
27 h 27 m |
Show
|
Some sportsbooks have Over 3.5 +100, while other sportsbooks have a higher payout with Over 4.5 +145 to +155 range. Both offer good value as this five-round main event fight has a good chance of going the full distance in Las Vegas tonight. Both fighters have strong ground games with wrestling and Jiu-Jitsu. The smaller 25-foot octagon (compared to the normal 30-foot cage) will make it even more likely that the majority of this match takes place on the ground which will slow the pace and keep the clock moving. Tyron Woodley is 38-years old, so he will be cautious and smart tonight and he will look to wear down Gilbert Burns. Tyron Woodley has seen 4 of his past 5 fights go the distance, and it is likely to happen again tonight in this match.
9* Play OVER total rounds (Woodley/Burns).
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05-30-20 |
Augusto Sakai -110 v. Blagoi Ivanov |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 19 m |
Show
|
Solid value with Augusto Sakai as a small favorite in this matchup as he is four years younger, four inches taller, and has the reach advantage over Blagoy Ivanov tonight. Ivanov is just 2-2 in the UFC, and while he has faced tougher opponents overall, he now faces Sakai who is trending up and in excellent current form. Sakai is 5-0 in his past five fights, including a perfect 3-0 in the UFC, and 4-0 if you count Dana White's Contender Series. Solid value with the Brazilian tonight.
10* Play AUGUSTO SAKAI (-).
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05-30-20 |
Brandon Royval +145 v. Tim Elliott |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
145 |
24 h 53 m |
Show
|
Solid value with Brandon Royval as an underdog, especially considering Tim Elliott is in the downturn of his career. Elliott is just 1-3 in his last four fights and only 2-4 in his past six bouts overall. Royval is a hungry 27-year old who is making his UFC debut, so he is motivated and will make it count tonight. Elliott has been submitted in two of his past three fights, while Royval has won two of his past three fights by submission. Royval trains with a tough team and he is a great finisher. It appears Elliott has lost his edge, getting finished quickly in recent fights.
9* Play BRANDON ROYVAL (+).
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05-16-20 |
Alistair Overeem v. Walt Harris -135 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-135 |
17 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a fun main even in the heavy weight division. Walt Harris is fighting for the first time since the death of his daughter and has said that training for this fight has been therapeutic for him. Alistair Overeem is a legend in this sport, but he is just 2-3 in his last 5 fights and he has been knocked out 12 times since 2006. Not good when fighting an opponent in Harris who has all 13 wins coming by knockout and has knocked out 3 of his last 4 opponents, with a no contest in the other match. Harris wins tonight. 9* Play WALT HARRIS (-).
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05-16-20 |
Alistair Overeem v. Walt Harris UNDER 1.5 |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
130 |
17 h 25 m |
Show
|
Alistair Overeem is a legend in this sport, but he has been knocked out 12 times since 2006. Not good when fighting an opponent in Harris who has all 13 wins coming by knockout and has knocked out 3 of his last 4 opponents, with a no contest in the other match. It is hard to see this fight lasting more than 7 1/2 minutes between these two powerful heavyweight strikers, so there is value with the UNDER 1.5 rounds, especially at a nice plus-money underdog price. 9* Play UNDER the total.
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05-16-20 |
Eryk Anders v. Krzysztof Jotko -145 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 43 m |
Show
|
Krzysztof Jotko is a much more savvy and experienced fighter than Eryk Anders who won a national title as a linebacker with Nick Saban's Crimson Tide. But while Anders was on the gridiron, Jotko was in the cage making his MMA debut. Jotko is as streaky as they come. He won 5 in a row, lost 3 in a row, and has now won his last 2 fights. Make it 3 wins in a row tonight. 10* Play KRZYSZTOF JOTKO (-).
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05-16-20 |
Matt Brown +140 v. Miguel Baeza |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
Not many fighters have been as violent as Matt Brown over the years. While aging, he is still dangerous and shouldn't be this big of a dog versus an unproven fighter. Miguel Baeza has an impressive 8-0 record, but has never faced anything close to what Brown will throw at him. While now 39-years old, Brown showed versus Sanchez, and then Saunders, that he can still get the job done. 9* Play MATT BROWN (+).
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05-13-20 |
Ben Rothwell v. Ovince St. Preux -129 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-129 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
Ben Rothwell enters in poor current form, going just 1-3 in his past four fights, and he is 0-4 the past four times his fight has gone the distance. Rothwell is a big man with knockout power, but Ovince Saint Preuex should thrive now as a heavyweight since he doesn't have to worry about making the 205-pound weight anymore. This former Tennessee Volunteer defensive lineman will be too quick for Rothwell to catch tonight. 9* PLAY OVINCE SAINT PREUX (-).
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05-13-20 |
Andrei Arlovski v. Philipe Lins -185 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-185 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
Andrei Arlovski might be a legend in this sport, but the aging 41-year old is now past his prime, going just 3-9-1 in his last 13 fights. Meanwhile, Philipe Lins is seven years younger and makes his UFC debut while riding in on a 4-fight win streak, and he just ran the table and won the PFL HW strap. Philipe Lins is the better figher and in better form tonight.
10* Play PHILIPE LINS (-).
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05-10-20 |
Justin Gaethje v. Tony Ferguson -200 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-200 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
It is hard to bet against a fighter who has not lost a fight in the past 8 years. In fact, the last time Ferguson lost, Eli Manning and the New York Giants were Super Bowl Champions, and the Miami Heat defeated the Thunder in the NBA Finals, so you get picture. Ferguson will control the pace tonight and his strange fighting style will confuse Justin Gaethje. 10* Play TONY FERGUSON (-).
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05-09-20 |
Dominick Cruz v. Henry Cejudo -200 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
Henry Cejudo is on too much of a roll to bet against. He is an Olympic gold medalist and an UFC champion in two different weight classes. Dominick Cruz is great fighter, but he is now in the downturn of his career and he will not have enough to keep up with Cejudo for a grueling 25 minutes tonight. 9* Play HENRY CEJUDO (-).
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05-09-20 |
Michelle Waterson +130 v. Carla Esparza |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a classic wrestler versus striker matchup. Carla Esparza is a great wrestler, but Michelle Waterson is a better all around fighter. Waterson also thrives in the dog role, going 3-1 the past four times she has been listed as an underdog in a fight. 9* Play MICHELLE WATERSON (+).
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03-14-20 |
Charles Oliveira +135 v. Kevin Lee |
|
1-0 |
Win
|
135 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
Charles Oliveira is on a 6 fight win streak. Kevin Lee has a devastating power that can end fight with one punch, but he has lost 3 of his last 5 fights. Oliveira has seen it all and has more ways to win this fight. Oliveira no doubt loses out on having no fans in the building, but he should be able to outclass an inconsistent Lee who comes in 3.5 pounds overweight. The wrong fighter is favored in this match.
9* Play CHARLES OLIVEIRA (+).
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03-14-20 |
Nikita Krylov v. Johnny Walker -134 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-134 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a fun fight with two competitors who will stand in the middle of cage and try to kill each other. Johnny Walker was on a nine fight win streak before getting knocked out by Corey Anderson. Nikita Krylov is just 1-2 in his last three fights. Nikita is a tough matchup for Walker, but a loss can humble a fighter, and we have heard great things about Walker's camp entering this fight.
9* Play JOHNNY WALKER (-).
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