Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Ny Giants 7:15 PM EST, September 14, 2020
Ny Giants tackle Nate Solder opted out of the season and there are three new offensive lineman set to start tonight. They are elite athletes and have excellent skills in first round draft pick Andrew Thomas 6-5 315 from Georgia, RT Cam Fleming 6-6 320 from Stanford, and center Nick Gates 6-5 307 from Nebraska. I do believe this youthful OL has the athleticism and quickness to contain the Steeler defensive front and open up holes for Barkley to dart through untouched. Once Barkley gets into the open field he is extremely difficult to bring down by any defensive unit. This will then open up play action pass plays catching the Steelers in man coverage or in Sam-Will blitz schemes. From the machine learning tools and models the Giants are expected to gain at least 125 rushing yards, have more first downs than the Steelers, and have more total offensive yards than the Steelers. In past games in which the Giants have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a solid 89-16 SU record and 85-20 ATS for 81% winning bets since 1990; 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS since 2015. The Steelers are 3-3-1 SU and 1-6 ATS the spread failing to cover by an average of 8 points when their opponent has gained 125 or more rushing yards and are installed as road favorites since 2015. |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +1 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys vs LA Rams 8:20PM EST, September 13, 2020 From the machine learning tools, the Rams are projected to score at least 27 points, average more than 7 yards-per-pass attempt, and gain 400 or more total offensive yards. In past games in which the Rams met or exceeded these three performance measures they are 48-20 ATS and 62-9 SU winning the game by an average of 12 points; 28-10-2 ATS when in home games and an amazing 12-1-1 ATS mark and covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points. |
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09-13-20 | Packers +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020
Green Bay won both meetings against the Vikings and have many favorable matchups on both sides of the ball. From the machine learning tools and models the Packers are projected to outgain the Vikings on the ground and have a better, more efficient yards-per-points ratio. In other words, the Packers will need fewer yards gained to score a single point on average. In past games in which the Packers met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a perfect 29-0 ATS record and covered the spread by an average of 15.6 points. Take the Packers as a 7-Star Upset Alert Titan |
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09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +1.5 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons September 12, 2020, 1:00 PM EST Kickoff - 1:00 PM EST, September 13, 2020 The Mercedes-Benz Stadium is one of the best venues in all of sports but will remain without fans for at least the first two home games of the Atlanta Flacons schedule. The Atlanta offense has always been dangerous for most opponents and will be better this season having added running back Todd Gurley through free agency and TE Hayden Hurst, who was acquired in a trade with Baltimore. The Falcons Running Game is Much BetterThe Falcons running game ranked 30th in the NFL gaining just 1,361 rushing yards as compared to a league average of 1806 rushing yards. Further, the Falcons ranked 29th in the NFL with just 332 rushing attempts. They went 1-7 over the first eight games and fell behind early in games forcing them to abandon most or all the run plays. When an NFL team is behind in a game, especially by two or more scores, play action gets no respect from a defense and is simply a worthless formation. Gurley has been banged up physically over his career, but still provides a new and real run threat for all defenses to respect. His presence will provide more opportunities to use play action pass routes, which is where the addition of Hurst and his above average speed will be a huge asset this season. Falcons Matt Ryan Will Be Better ProtectedThe running game fell into the statistical abyss for the Falcons, which put tremendous pressure on Matt Ryan to complete difficult passes and sustain scoring drives. The Falcons through the most passes in the NFL with a number no one really likes 666 throws form scrimmage. The Cincinnati Bengals were a distant second with 617 pass attempts and by comparison the terrific Baltimore Ravens offense that led the league in scoring ranked last with 439 pass attempts. So, the Falcons can expect a much better balance of run and pass plays making it far more difficult for defensive coordinators to prepare to defend. Matt Ryan threw just 24 passes that were targeted down the deep middle of the field. The Tampa Bay Bucs ranked first with 37 throws in this category by way of comparison. With the addition of Hurst at TE and his speed it is a sure bet you will see the middle of the field exploited by the Falcons whenever they can get Hurst in man coverage by a linebacker. The Falcons ranked 17th in the NFL running 113 pass plays using play action and gained 827 yards from those plays. By comparison, Jared Goff and the Rams ran 194 play action plays and gained a league-best 1,564 passing yards. Gurley was part of that offense. What About the Team Trends?Well, there are gaggles of them of ocurse being spit out of my vast NFL database that can go back to 1980 if it provides meaningful results. Coach Carroll is just 3-14 ATS in games played in September since being hired by the Seahawks; 2-10 ATS in road games that have occurred in the first two weeks of the season. The Falcons are a stout 19-6 ATS in home games that occurred in the first two weeks of the season. Moreover, they are 4-0 ATS as home dogs in the first two weeks of the season spanning the last 10 seasons. How About Those Machine Learning Metrics We Love?The Falcons are projected to execute at least 25 rushing plays, average at least 4.5 rushing-yards-per-attempt and attain a yards-per-point ratio of not higher than 11.5 in this matchup. The Falcons are 48-8 SU and 37-15-4 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games when they have averaged a minimum of 4.5 RYPA and executed at least 25 rushing plays. When they have achieved the rushing metrics and had a YPPT ratio of not more than 11.5, the Falcons have earned a perfect 16-0 ATS mark covering the number by an average of 12 points. The Seahawks when traveling on the road are a near imperfect 1-10 SU and ATS and failing to cover the spread by an average of 15 points when they have allowed an opponent to rush the ball for a minimum of 25 attempts, gaining average of 4.5 RYPA, and allow an opponent YPPT ratio of 11.5 or lower. R |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky +12.5 v. Louisville | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Western Kentucky vs Louisville 8:00 PM EST, September 12, 2020
The Cardinals offense also has returning quarterback Micale Cunningham, who is a red-shirt junior and a duel run-pass threat. He has gained 979 rusing yards with 11 touchdowns and passed for 2,538 yards on 62% completions with 23 touchdowns, and 6 picks over his last two seasons. Despite these impressive stats, I see the offense struggling against a very fast and disciplined Hilltopper defensive unit. In order to contain a duel threat QB it is imperative for the defense to maintain their individual gap areas and not over react to Cunningham’s ball fakes – and the unit will do a great job. From the machine learning tools and models the Hilltoppers are projected to gain an average of at least 6.5 yards per pass attempt and contain Louisville to fewer than 28 points. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10 points. In 2018, they had Louisville on the ropes leading 14-6 starting the fourth quarter, before Louisville scored 14 points in the fourth to win 20-17. WKU was a 21 point underdog and they did exceed the performance measures mentioned above. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 96-119 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
ouston Rockets vs LA Lakers September 12, 2020, 8:00 PM EST The Rockets are a 6.5-point underdog and the projections do show a decent probability that they may win this game. So, as a suggestion, I like splitting this 10-star amount into two parts consisting of a 7-star amount using the line and then a 3-Star amount using the money line. This strategy will provide significant additions to the bottom line over the course of a season. I know this is a bold call, but it is based on the ‘Math’ and the ML models. The Rockets find themselves in a great spot for this game and a shocking – to the media and public at least – win over the Lakers. They are 11-2 ATS after two consecutive games in which they were outrebounded by 10 or more boards this season. The machine learning projections also show that playoffs teams that were out rebounded by 8 or more boards in a previous game loss and average at least 115 points on the season are 11-5 ATS for 71% winning bets. The projections also call for the Rockets top score at least 115 points and will make at least 40% from 3-point land. Playoff teams coming off a loss and then scoring 115 or more points and shooting 40% or better from beyond the arc are an amazing 86-9 ATS for 91% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors 9:00 PM EST, September 11, 2020
From the machine learning tools and models the Celtics are projected to have the better assists-to-turnover ratio, will make 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and score at least 105 points. In past playoff games in which the Celtics met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 9-1 SU and ATS record and covering the spread by an average of 9 points. |
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09-11-20 | Angels +123 v. Rockies | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Colorado Rockies September 11, 2020, 8:40 PM EST Angels have good success when facing NL teams. In fact, they are 68-34 when facing a NL team that is allowing an average of at least 4.5 runs-per-game. Griffin Canning will be on the mound for the Angels and he is pitching much better than his stats would indicate right now. Rockies start German Marquez, who has not done well at Coors field and sports a 1-3 record with a lofty 7.03 ERA and a 1.644 WHIP in four starts. Rockies bullpen is a mess sporting a 6.87 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 43 games and an 8.70 ERA and 1.783 WHIP in 21 home games this season. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs -9 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
2020 NFL season Week 1
Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs 8:20 PM EST Thursday, September 10, 2020 John Ryan founder of John Ryan Sports @johnryansports1 10-Star Titan on the KC Chiefs The NFL season starts this Thursday with the defending Super Bowl 54 Champion Chiefs hosting the AFC South Divisional Champion Houston Texans. This is also a rematch of last year’s Chiefs 51-31 win over the Texans in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. In that game the Chiefs were installed as 10-point home favorites and the game total line was 51 points. In Week 1, the Chiefs are favored by an identical 10-point betting line and the total has creeped up to 55 points. Do Defending Super Bowl Champs have a Celebration Hangover in Week 1?No all defending Super Bowl Champions have started the following season with a home game. There have been 16 SB Champions, who have started the season with a home celebration and are 14-2 straight-up (SU), 11-4-1 against-the-spread (ATS), and near-even 7-8-1 ‘OVER’ record. Since 2002, this is the first time that a reigning Champion has been installed as a double-digit favorite. Reigning Champions installed as favorites are 12-2 SU, 9-4-1 ATS, and 8-6 ‘UNDER’ in Week 1 and when favored by four or more points sport an impressive 9-1 SU record, 7-2-1 ATS for 78% winning bets, and 6-4 tilt to the ‘UNDER’. So, no hangover whatsoever for the home fed reigning Champions. The news remains positive for the reigning champions as they sport a 12-2 SU record, 9-4-1 ATS, and 7-6-1’ UNDER’ record when facing a playoff team from last season in Week 1. Opponents in Week 1 that were a previous season playoff team and facing a reigning Champion that is not in their division are a money-burning 2-14 SU, 4-11-1 ATS for 27% winning bets, and an 8-7-1 ‘OVER’ record in Week 1. Can the Chiefs Offense Match the 2019 Season?This offense is unstoppable when Reid’s play calling is clicking with this offensive sets. The Chiefs ranked 5th averaging 28.2 points-per-game with 30 receiving touchdowns, 16 rushing touchdowns, and 1 kickoff return for touchdown. They led the NFL making 34 field goal attempts on 38 tries and reflects the Chiefs struggles at times in the red zone. In their games, the Chiefs just knew that putting points on the scoreboard despite failed red zone conversions, was the recipe to win games. The Chiefs will average more points-per-game this season just by cutting down their field goal attempts in the red zone to 25. NFL Drive Averages in 2019The Chiefs ranked second in the NFL scoring on 49.4% of all drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive with the Baltimore Ravens ranking first and scoring points on 52% of their drives and averaging 2.62 points-per-drive. The Chiefs ranked fourth-best in the NFL taking care of the football and had a turnover on only 8% of their drives. Can the Houston Texans Defense Stop the Chiefs Offense?The Chiefs offense is designed to maximize yards-after-the-catch (YAC) much ion the way the San Francisco 49ers West Coast offense was designed and the same West Coast scheme Reid ran while the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. The number one Texans defensive weakness was ranking 30th in the NFL allowing 2,067 YAC. So, double digit favorites that have averaged at least 11 yards-per-completion spanning their last eight games and facing an opponent, who made the playoffs last season and allowed at least 375 points in their previous season are a solid 72-54-2 ATS for 57% winning bets and 116-12 SU for 90% wins and winning these games by an average of 15.1 points-per-game. Last, if this game takes place on a Thursday night, the double-digit favorites are 6-0 SU winning by an average of 16.5 points and 5-0-1 ATS and covering the spread by an average of 7.77 points. A Machine Learning Method that Produces Winning ResultsThere are more than 200 separate parameters in my NFL database and many of my machine learning tools combine many of these parameters that work well together in identifying ATS winners. These types of advanced mathematical applications are applied in the same way in many other industries, for instance, the Life Sciences and Biotech sectors. The combinatorial algorithms, for instance, will look to combine a combination of parameters (column names) that serve to optimize total return-on-investment (ROI) exactly in the same manner that I use them in stock market projections. Yards-Per-Drive Has Strong Predictive ValueFor this matchup, the Chiefs are projected to average at least 3.1 points-per-drive in this game against the Texans. The Chiefs are 17-5 SU and 17-5 ATS for 78% winning bets when they have met or exceeded a 3.1 points-per-drive ratio in games played over the last three seasons. Further, when installed as a home favorite and averaging a minimum of 3.1 points-per-drive ratio they are a resounding 9-1 SU winning by an average of 16 points and 8-2 ATS for 80% and covering the spread by an average of 11.1 points. Moreover, the Chiefs are projected to score 27 or more points and outgain the Texans by at least 80 yards. In past games where the Chiefs have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 64-3 SU record winning the games by an average of 19.6 points and a 61-4-2 ATS record good for 94% winning bets and covering the spread by an average of 15.8 points. By knowing these projections, you will find yourself watching the game and monitoring their progress. I also provide situational trends at the end of each quarter that can also serve to provide even more money-making betting opportunities that have proven track records. |
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09-09-20 | Rockies +166 v. Padres | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres September 9, 2020, 8:10 PM EST Here is a solid proven betting system that has earned a LOSING record 83-106 for 44% winning bets, BUT has made the $1000 bettor a $38,240 profit since the start of the 2004 season and instructs us to bet on home favorites of -150 and greater (more negative) that are coming off a solid win of 6 or more runs and facing an opponent that was involved in a game in which 17 or more runs were scored. Truly, this is a terrific example of the power of the dog and betting dogs, like this one, that make big profits over the course of a season- not one single night or even one single week. The Padres are just 20-54 when facing a NL starting pitcher with solid control sporting a 1.150 WHIP or lower in games played over the last three seasons. Rockies are 18-9 in road games when coming off a game with a combined score of 15 or more runs in games played over the last three seasons. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Toronto Raptors bs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, September 9, 2020
The Raptors are also 28-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last six games in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score a minimum of 111 points and get 12 to 16 offensive rebounds, and have a TO differential of not more or less than 3 of the opponent. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 60-14 straight-up (SU) record and 52-21-1 ASTS mark for 721.2% winning bets and the ‘OVER’ is 64-10 for 87% winning bets. So, play a 7-Star amount on Toronto plus the points and a 5-Star amount on the ‘OVER’. Then as an optional consideration place a reverse action parlay Toronto with the points and the ‘OVER’ which pays 4:1. |
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09-08-20 | Heat -4 v. Bucks | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 6:30 PM EST, September 8, 2020
The Bucks are just 6-15 ATS in games facing good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season. From the machine learning tools the Heat are 133-24 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 106 or more points, making 78% or more of their free throw attempts and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. So, watch for these metrics in tonight’s game. |
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09-07-20 | Astros v. A's -126 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs Oakland A’s September 7, 2020, 9:10 PM EST From the machine learning tools the Athletics are an amazing 129-32 for 80% winning bets making the Dime Player $83,320 over the last 16 seasons and $7,975 L2 seasons when their starter has throw as many or more innings than the opponents’ starter and had 1 or 2 multiple run scoring innings as a home favorite and facing a team with a winning record on the season. Here is a solid proven betting system that has earned a solid 58-19 record for 75% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a $3,363 profit over the last 5 seasons and instructs us to bet on an AL home team that is batting 0.260 or lower on the seasons and is coming off three straight games allowing 7 runs in each of the three games. |
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09-07-20 | Rays +111 v. Nationals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Washington Natinals 6:05 PM EST, September 7, 2020
In addition, a look ahead situation favors betting against the home favorite when the road team has a win percentage of 55 or higher on the season. The Rays will have Charlie Morton on the hill and after a slow start to the season he has found his ‘ace’ form. Over his last three starts he has posted a 1.86 ERA and a 1.241 WHIP and the Rays have won all three of these starts. Nations Max Scherzer is not pitching well and has struggled in nearly all of his starts this season. Rays offense is solid top to bottom and they will get to Scherzer early and often in this matchup. From the machine learning tools the Rays are 52-21 for 71% making $4,312 per $100 bet and a nice 59% ROI, 42-10 for 81% using the Run Line and making $2,502 per $100 wagered and a solid 29% ROI when they have been a dog of not higher than 150, their starter completed more innings than the opponent’s starter, had 1 or 2 multiple run innings, and scored in at least three innings. |
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09-06-20 | Rangers v. Mariners -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners 8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
Texas is a horrible 2-14 against the money line in road games facing teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season. Seattle is a solid 14-1 in home games facing a team that is being outscored by at least 1 run-per-game on the season and in each of the last two seasons. |
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09-06-20 | Bucks -105 v. Heat | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat September 6, 2020, 3:30 PM EST From the machine learning tools the Bucks are projected to make at least 80% of their free-throw attempts, score 115 or more points and hold the Heat to 38% or less 3-point shooting. When the Bucks have met or exceeded these projections they have earned a 58-7-2 ATS mark good for 89% winning bets and covered the spread by an average of 10.4 points. Here is a solid proven betting system that has earned a solid 56-25 record good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to be on any team in a game where the line is within 3 points on either side of pick-em and is facing an opponent that has covered the spread in at least consecutive games and is playing their fifth game in the last 14 days. |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -18.5 | Top | 24-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Arkansas State vs Memphis Tigers 8:00 PM EST, September 5, 2020
I wrote about the immense value of returning starters on offense, especially when four or five of the previous season’s starting offensive line returns for this season. Memphis has this in place to start their season and it will pay them handsome dividends over the first four weeks of the season. From the machine learning tools, Memphis is projected to average at least 9.0 yards-per-pass-play and out-gain Arkansas State by at least 200 yards. In past games in which Memphis met or exceeded these projections they have gone on to earn a 13-1 ATS record for 93% winning bets that has also covered the spread by an average of 20.5 points. |
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09-05-20 | SMU v. Texas State +24 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
SMU Mustangs vs Texas State September 5, 2020, 4:30 PM EST From the machine learning tools and projections Texas State is projected to pass for 75 fewer yards than SMU will pass for and that SMU will NOT exceed 31 or more points. In past Texas State games where this pair of measures were met or exceeded they are 19-10 ATS for 66% winning bets; 8-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when installed as a double digit dog. If you do like teasers, consider a 6-point teaser adding 6-points to the current total and adding 6-points to the current line. This makes the total about 72.5/73 points playing ‘UNDER’ and the T-State a 29/30-poit underdog. SMU has not done well in games expected to be high scoring and are 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 over the last three seasons. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks v. Heat OVER 222.5 | Top | 100-115 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports
@JohnRyanSports1 Milwaukee vs Miami 6:30 PM EST, September 3, 2020 From the machine learning tools the Heat are 40-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. The Bucks are 34-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. Here is a betting system that has earned a solid 47-22 ‘OVER’ record for 68% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to bet ‘OVER’ with any team in a game that has a total of 210 or more points and is on a 6 or more game win streak and has played just five games in the past 14 days. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
The South Alabama Jaguars, who are members in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference will travel to take on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, who are members of the West Division of the 14-team Conference-USA. The Eagles find themselves installed as double-digit home favorites against the Jaguars, who won just two games last season. The Value of Returning Starters for the EaglesDuring the first four weeks of the NCAA Football season knowing the teams that have the majority of starters returning from last season is a major advantage when facing a team that is re-building form the previous year. There are exceptions like the Top-5 programs in the country, who simply see their players move on to the NFL and then plug-and-play with new 5-Star recruits. The Eagles return 14 total starters with eight on offense including quarterback Jack Abraham and six on defense. Abraham had a solid 2019 season completing 68% of his pass attempts for 3,496 yards including 19 touchdowns. He did throw 15 interceptions, but that number of mistakes will drop given he has another full season of expereince under his belt. Even more important than having the starting quarterback returning is the number of starters returning from the offensive line. The Eagles have four of the five offensive linemen back this season. The offensive line is the unit that requires the greatest amount of coordinated technique and chemistry. Having 4 or 5 starters returning on the offensive line provides the foundation for the entire offense to be even more efficient than they were at the end of the previous season. The Value of Returning Starters for the Jaguars The 2019 season saw the Jaguars go a horrid 2-10, but they did earn respectable 7-5 against-the-spread (ATS) record. Head Coach Steve Campbell is just 5-19 straight up and 13-11 ATS in his first two seasons but has a 13 returning starters with seven on offense including quarterback Desmond Trotter and six on defense. The defense is returning the top-5 tacklers and gives reason for the defensive unit to be significantly better in 2020. The Jaguars ranked fifth in the Sun Belt Conference allowing an averaging of 409 offensive yards-per-game, sixth allowing 192 rushing yards-per-game, and fourth allowing 217 passing yards-per-game. Having the best defensive players returning that accounted for 65% of last season’s production is key as are the seven starters returning on offense that accounted for 73% of last season’s total production. The Betting Public and Irrational ExuberanceI key handicapping method is to track the percentage of wagers being made and the total amounts of money those betting tickets add up to. In this game 78% of all bets being made are on the Eagles resulting in 22% of bets in support of the Jaguars. The line for this game opened with the Eagles favored by 14 points and despite having a 3:1 margin in bets made on them, the line has dropped to 13.5 points. The half-point decline in the line is a mall amount, but it is far more meaningful when the overwhelming number of bets are on the dog. This implies that the large bettors, so-called Wise Guys, are on the Jaguars and their combined money of their bets is offsetting the small public bets. What Does the Machine Learning Tools Have to Say?As the season rolls on you will notices that there is a pivot point in scoring that when exceeded favors that team and works against their opponent. Such is the case in this matchup as the Eagles are 171-28-1 straight-up (SU) for 86% wins and 131-41-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets when they score 28 or more points in games played since 1980; 49-16 SU for 75% wins and 45-19-1 ATS for 70.3% winning bets since 2010; 16-2 SU for 89% wins and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons. The Jaguars are a money-burning 8-54 SU for 13% wins and 21-39-2 ATS for 35% winning bets when they have allowed 28 or more points since 2011; 3-23 SU for 12% wins and 10-15 ATS for 40% winning bets over the last three seasons. There is more though, then just using 28 points as a pivot to determine a betting opportunity. The machine learning summary shows that the Jaguars are just 1-7 SU for 13% wins, but 7-1 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring at least 24 points and are installed as a double-digit road underdog. The Eagles are 9-9 SU for 50% wins and 4-14 ATS for just 22% winning bets installed as a double-digit home favorite and allowing that opponent to score at least 24 points. |
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09-02-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, September 2, 2020
Here is a money line betting system that has earned a strong 48-24 record for 67% winning bets and instructs to play on teams using the money line in a playoff game that with a win closes out the series and is a team winning between 60 and 75% of their games on the season. From the machine learning tools the Thunder are 35-18 ATS for 67% winning bets and 38-15 SU when they have scored 111 or more points and had 13 to 17 turnovers in games played since 2017; perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in playoff games. Moreover, the Thunder are 33-5 SU and 27-11 ATS for 71% winning bets when shooting between 45 and 48% form the field and have had the better assists-to-turnover ratio. |
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09-01-20 | Jazz +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
8:30 PM EST, September 1, 2020
The Nuggets are just 5-18 ATS after a win by 10 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools the Jazz are projected to make at least 48% of all of their shot attempts and make 15 or more free throws, and score at least 111 points. IN past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a robust 202-51-11 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2004; 44-13-5 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons; 9-2 ATS in playoffs games since 2008 and covering the spread by an average of 11 points. |
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08-31-20 | Braves -185 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox
7:30 PM EST, 08-31-20 (Monday)
Boston’s team pitching staff is one of the worst ever in the history of their storied franchise this season sporting a horrific 6.04 ERA that ranks dead last in MLB. The Braves bullpen ranks 13th and has a vastly better team ERA of 4.36 on the season. Here is where the second betting system comes into vogue and has earned a 100-27 record for 79% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and instructs us to bet on road favorites of at least -125 and has an excellent bullpen posting an ERA of 3.33 or lower on the seasons and is facing a struggling AL team batting 0.260 or less and has a terrible bullpen whose ERA is at least 5.00 on the season. The Braves will have arguably the best left-handed starting pitcher on the hill tonight in Max Fried, who is a perfect 5-0 in 7 starts with a 1.35 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, allowing no home runs spanning 40 innings of work. Over his last three starts he has posted a 2-0 record with 1 no-decision and a skimpy 1.04 ERA and 1.096 WHIP spanning 17 1/3 innings of work. The Red Sox will send Colton Brewer to the hill and he has struggled to put it mildly. He is 0-2 in 3 starts with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.838 WHIP in just 10 1/3 innings of work. |
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08-31-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks August 31, 2020 6:30 Game 1, Round 2 Eastern Conference Here is a betting system that has earned a 37-12-1ATS record for 76% winning over the last 5 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The record is 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when the game is in the playoffs; 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets in all rounds after the first round since 2011. From the machine learning tools and projections the Bucks are 39-5-1 ATS when the have scored 111 or more points, made 79% or more of their free throw attempts, and held their opponent to less than 38% 3-point shooting since 2015. Over the last 10 seasons, no. 1 seeds that have met or exceeded these performance measures have earned a 161-42-3 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 9 points for 79% winning bets. |
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08-30-20 | Avalanche -130 v. Stars | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars August 30, 2020 6:00 Game 4, Edmonton, Alberta Here is a betting system that has earned a 25-5 record for 83% winning bets and earning a whopping 50% return-on-investment (ROI) over the last 10 seasons. The system instructs us to be on favorites up to but not over -150 and is a team that has seen at least their last 6 games go ‘OVER’ the posted total. |
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08-30-20 | Indians v. Cardinals +111 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 111 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Cleveland Indians vs St. Louis Cardinals
2:15 PM EST, 08-30-20 (Sunday)
Vivale is a bright youg pitcher that has the potential to be a star in the Majors. Over his last three starts he has compiled a 3.43 ERA with a 1.048 WHIP, averaging 7 innings-per-star, and has allowed just 2 walks while striking out 17 batters. The veteran Adam Wainwright has been wrokgin his way back to his dominating form and has posted a 3.32 ERA with a 1.053 WHIP and is coming off B2B starts completing 7 innings in each. Over the last 7 games, the Indians, who are batting an anemic 0.224 with a 0.318 OBP have suddenly batted 0.291 with a 0.368 OBP. Generally, teams that exceed their mean performance measures by this large amount have a high propensity to revert back towards their mean and going up against the veteran Wainwright is the perfect situation for the Cardinals. Cardinals skipper Shildt is a solid 42-24 using the money line when his team has batted 0.225 or worse over their last 5 games. From the Machine learning tools, the Cardinals are 65-16 for 80.2% winning bets, making 4,014 per $100 wager and earning a robust 31% ROI when Wainwright completes 7 or more innings of work and the team is on a 2 or more game losing streak. |
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08-29-20 | Thunder +5 v. Rockets | Top | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
9:00 PM EST, 08-29-20 (Saturday)
The Thunder are 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than opponent this season. The Rockets averaged just a fraction more 3-point shot attempts then 2-point shot attempts this season. Their 2-point to 3-point shot attempt ratio has gone even further into extreme levels in this matchup. They are averaging 90 shot attempts per game, which is right on their regular season average, but are averaging an incredible 54 3-point shot attempts and just 36.8 2-point shot attempts. Since 2018, the Rockets are just 1-7 ATS for 12.5% and losing to the spread by an average of 12.2 points when they have attempted more 3’s than 2’s and the opponent made 8 or more free throws. |
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08-29-20 | Rays v. Marlins -114 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins August 26, 6:10 PM EST Here is a betting system that has earned a 34-9 record good for 79% winners and instructs us to play on home teams with a money line ranging between a 125 dog and -125 favorite facing a good AL offensive opponent scoring an average of 4.9 RPG and are coming off three consecutive wins of 2 runs or less. |
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08-25-20 | Jazz -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
6:30 PM EST, 08-25-20 (Tuesday)
Denver is just 13-25 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last two seasons. From the machine learning tools, the Jazz are 50-9 ATS for 85% winners when scoring 112 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games since 2017; 4-0 ATS and covering by an average of 20 points in playoff games since 2017. Take the Utah Jazz as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet, 5-Star bets Bet ‘UNDER’ and 3-star reverse parlay on the Jazz and ‘UNDER’. |
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08-24-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -147 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars 9:45 PM EST, August 24, 2020 Here is a time-tested and quite profitable NHL betting system that has earned an 83-57 record averaging a +124 dog wager over the last five NHL seasons and instructs us to bet on any team using the money line after a loss by 2 or more goals and is now facing an opponent that scored at least five goals in their last two games. The betting system has earned $4,175 wagering just $100 and produced an Return-on-investment of 29%. When the game has been in the playoffs the record has been 8-5 and earning a 33% ROI. |
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08-24-20 | Pacers v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 87-99 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat August 24, 6:30 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This betting system has earned a solid 47-19 ‘OVER’ record for 72% winning tickets and instructs us to bet the ‘OVER’ with any team in a game with a total between 210 and 219.5 after scoring 120 points in their last game and with the opponent coming off a game where 235 points were scored and each team playing the current game with 1-day of rest each; and when these games have been playoffs games, the ‘OVER’ is 16-4 for 80% wins and have gone over the total by an average of 12 points. |
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08-24-20 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs. OKC Thunder
4:00 PM EST, 08-24-20 (Monday)
The Rockets need to and are expected to improve their 3-point shooting. If they do not then this series will be won by the Thunder and this bet may prove to be a losing one. The Rockets in the playoffs are attempting an average of 53 3-point shots per game and making just 18 of them for a 34% rate. The Rockets, though, are making 57% of their 2-point shots, but are attempting an average of 28 shots per game. Narrowing the spread between 3-point and 2-point attempts will go a long way to seeing the Rockets win this game. Combined with the fact that they are taking much better care of the ball sporting a 2.0 assist-to-turnover ratio as compared to the Thunder’s 1.26 ATS will more than offset any anomalies by the Thunder. From the machine learning tools, the Rockets are 191-45-7 for 81% winners when scoring 114 or more points and having the better, more efficient ATS ratio in regular season and playoff games; 10-1 ATS for 91% and covering by an average of 14 points in playoff games. Take the Houston Rockets as as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Raptors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 150-122 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets
6:30 PM EST, 08-23-20
From the machine learning tools the Raptors are projected to score at least 111 points and have fewer turnovers. In ast games when the Raptors have accomplished or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 152-69 ATS amrk good for 69% ATS winners. In playoffs games the Raptors have earned a near-perfect 9-1 ATS mark and have covered the spread by an average of 12.8 points. Take the Toronto Raptors as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-23-20 | Rockies +216 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs LA Dodgers 4:10 PM EST, August 23, 2020 Here is one of the best MLB betting systems you will see and has recorded a 25-18 mark averaging a 220 dog bet and making $3,755 in profits per $100 bet. The betting system instructs us to be on road underdogs of +200 and higher that are coming off a one-run loss to a divisional foe and are starting a pitcher that allowed one or no earned runs in this last start. The line is inflated given the white hotness of the Dodgers, who have won 10 of their last 11 games and are facing an ice-cold Rockies team, who have lost 9 of their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-0 with a sparkling 2.90 ERA and a 1.032 WHIP spanning 31 innings of work with 5 walks and 24 strikeouts. In his last start against the Astros he completed 8 strong innings allowing 3 hits, zero walks, with 6 strikeouts. I love this ‘unknown’ starter because he knows how to get batters out and getting him at this price is a great opportunity. |
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08-23-20 | Celtics v. 76ers +8 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
hiladelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics August 23, 1:00 PM EST The NBA database queries reveal several supporting situational betting systems that have all earned high winning percentages. This one has earned a 63-32 ATS mark good for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and playing an opponent with a higher win percentage, that the opponent has been favored in their last three games and have won all three of these games ATS spanning games played since 2015. The 76ers have been a resilient team in 2019 and have earned a solid 31-18 ATS mark after habving lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games ATS; 20-7 ATS for 74% while sporting a 3-game or more ATS losing streak spanning games played over the last three seasons. The 76ers shot 29.5% from the field and were 2-points behind the Celtics with under 1:45 left in the game. The public is all over the Celtics and is a logical choice to bet, but logic many times does not translate to ATS winning bet. Rumors are swirling that the ‘Trust the Process’ is a broken model and this team will be broken up starting with the firing of head coach Brett Brown. I ask you this. Would the team played with the heart and ‘guts’ they did in Game-3 and if they did not like their head coach? Would they have actually shown improvement on both ends of the court (Tatem in Game-3 was minimized) if they hated their head coach? 76ers are 14-6 ATS when coming off a game where they shot 33% or less form the field. |
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08-22-20 | Lakers v. Blazers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers
Let sus tart with a highly successful betting system that has earned a 41-19 ‘UNDER’ record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting system query instructs us to bet the ‘UNDER’ with a 200 or higher total and after the team has gone under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games and is facing an opponent that went under the total by at least 24 points in their previous game. Obviously, this system applies to both the Trailblazers and the Lakers. When the system is active in a playoff game the ‘UNDER’ has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets. From the machine learning tools, the Lakers are 18-5 ‘UNDER’ when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season; 11-1 ‘UNDER’ when shooting 43 to 47% form the field and scoring 60% of their points in the paint. |
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08-22-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +3 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs OKC Thunder 6:00 PM EST, August 22, 2020 The conversations surrounding this matchup have centered on several shooting stats from the regular season and specifically how the Rockets shot just 23% from beyond the arc against the Thunder and that Harden and Eroc Gorden combined for a horrid 14% in those games. However, the first two games have had no similarities to the regular season results as Houston shot 39% from 3-point area and Harden and Gorden shot 42% combined. Then in Game-2 the Rockets shot just 33% from distance and Harden/Gorden went 2-21 for 10% makes and the Rockets still found a way to win the game. So, the Rockets have earned their way to a 2-0 series lead and have put the Thunder’s back against the wall. The Thunder are a stout 22-9 ATS for 71% in games lined between -3 and +3 this season. Thunder are 18-9 ATS for 67% installed as a DOG and having lost 3 or 4 of their last 4 games ATS in games played since 2016; 4-0 ATS when a playoffs game. The machine learning tools project the Thunder to score at least 114 points and are 7-1 ATS this season when doing so. The Thunder are 16-3 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring at least 114 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic +12.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic August 21, 1:30 PM EST No.1 seeds in the NBA playoffs tied at 1-game each in Round-1 are just 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Magic are coming off their worst shooting game of the 2019 season hitting just 34% from the field and they are projected to bounce back with a great effort this afternoon. The Magic have nothing to lose and are ‘supposed to lose’ and matched the Bucks point-for-point in the second-half of Game-2. From the machine learning tools the Magic are an amazing 123-14 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored at least 112 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 8-0 ATS in playoff games covering the spread by an average of 17 points! |
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08-21-20 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 217 | Top | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Boston vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-21-20
Embiid must not take 3-point shots as I tweeted in Game 2. When he takes more than THREE 3-pointers the 76ers record is terrible and when he takes 3 or fewer their record is quite good. That stat is not random either. When Embiid wants to post or use the block to score easy two foot shots and dunks it opens up the perimeter. The point is that supports the ‘UNDER’ is that Tatem must be contained tonight fi the 76ers have any faint hopes of making this a series. Here is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 42-18 record for 70% winners over the last five seasons. The system query instructs us to play ‘UNDER’ with any team after beating the spread by 42 or more points spanning their last seven games and has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and is facing an opponent with a win percentage between 51 and 60%. 19-10 ‘UNDER’ for 66% winners in the playoffs since 2007. Take the 76ers + Celtics to play ‘UNDER’ as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-20-20 | Blazers +6 v. Lakers | Top | 88-111 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers Lakers have lost six straight to the number and in case you were wanting to know, No-1 seeds that have lost at least 6 consecutive games to the spread are a money burning 18-25 ATS for 42%. Most amateur bettors will presume that a team as ‘good as the Lakers’ will bounce back with a monster effort and easy ATS winning ticket. I mentioned in the Game-1 winner on Portland that the Lakers would be in a flux having not played any of the eight bubble games with any starting lineups and a mish mash of personnel. The Trailblazers are an excellent ball handling team and the Lakers are just 2-13 ATS when facing a solid ball handling team averaging no more than 14 TOPG this season. From the machine learning tools the Trailblazers are an amazing 102-17-6 ATS for 86% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points and shot at least 49% from the field and at least 39% from beyond the arc; 188-39-4 ATS in playoff games for the No-8 seed! |
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08-20-20 | Rangers +178 v. Padres | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers
I will start with a few team specific trends. The Rangers are a solid 42-20 (+34.9 Units) when facing an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season. Twins starter Lamet (team record) is just 1-8 (-9.4 units) in home games when facing teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Rangers starter Kyle Gibson has an excellent arm starting with a lively 93-94 MPH fastball with heavy sinking action and major arm-side tailing movement that averages more than 8 inches. This tailing action is brutal on RH batters and results in an abundance of whiffs and weakly hit ground balls. His slider has far less movement, but is hard to pick up and results in lazy fly ball outs. As is the case with every pitcher when the pitches get up in the zone or waist-high and middle-in part of the plate he will get hit hammered. Batters are hitting just 0.173 on the slider since the start of the 2019 season. The Machine learning tools project that Gibson will complete more innings than Lamet. The Rangers are 181-74 for 71% as a road dog averaging +127 wager and has made $15,404 per $100 bet since 2004 and a robust 60% return-on-investment (ROI). |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Orladno Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
6:00 PM EST, 08-20-20
Bucks are 52-34 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since the start of the 2018 season. The Magic are 6-29 SU and 12-23 ATS when playing against a winning record team this season; 6-12 ATS facing a winning record team and coming off a straight-up win. No-1 seeds coming a game shotting 44% or worse from the field and allowed previous opponent to shoot at least 49% and had at least 16 TO are an impressive 39-20 ATS for 67%. From the machine learning tools the Bucks are 140-51-3 ATS for 73% wins when they have scored at least 111 points and had 13 to 17 turnovers; No-1 seeds are 101-37 ATS for 73% winners when scoring at least 111 points and having between 13 and 17 TO. Take the Milwaukee Bucks as a 7-Star Titan Best Bet |
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08-19-20 | 76ers +5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-128 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 6:30 PM EST, August 19, 2020 I will get right to the machine learning projections. The 76ers are 111-37-2 ATS for 75% winners in games in which they made at least 78% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 111 points; and 3-0 ATS covering by an average of 15 points when it has been a playoff game. The Celtics are just 1-12 SU and ATS for 8% winning bets when their playoff opponent has scored 111 or more points and made at least 78% of their free throw attempts. Consider splitting the wager into two parts consisting of a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line. |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets Here is a betting system that has earned a a solid 66-27-1 ATS record for 71% and 12-3 ATS for 80% wins in playoff games since 2015. Then betting system query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that played a game in which the combined score was 20 or more points over the posted total line and has a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season. The Nuggets are projected to score at least 111 points and are 15-4 ATS for 79% in playoff games and 11-2 ATS when installed as a favorite in playoff games. |
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08-18-20 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-93 | Win | 102 | 53 h 6 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs LA Lakers 9:00 PM EST, August 18, 2020 Let us start with a listing of meaningful team situational trends for this matchup. The Blazers are 16-2 ATS after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the bubble and have lost four of their last five games. They did rest their stars quite a bit down the stretch, but LeBron had rest since March 10th and playing eight games would not wear down a physical specimen like he is. So, fundamentally, I believe the lack of playing time with the entire roster is going to hurt the Lakers for the first part of this series. This is an unprecedented atmosphere and life-style for these players that certainly negates home court advantage and possibly give an edge to the pseudo road team going into the first round games. Do not under estimate the loss of Rondo to a fractured thumb and Avery Bradley, who opted out, and was definitley the best defensive player on the team. Here is time-tested betting system query from the database that has earned a 34-17 ATS record for 67% winning bets and also is 31-19 ‘OVER’ for 62% winners over the last five seasons. When the opponent is coming off a game where 216 or more points were scored the system improves to 24-11 ATS for 69% winners and a 21-14 ‘OVER’ mark for 60%. Finally, when the opponent is coming off a game in which 221 or more points were scored, the record improves significantly to a very impressive 21-6 ATS mark and 78% winning bets. The base query instructs us to play on underdogs of 3 to 9 points and coming of back-to-back wins of seven or fewer points and facig an opponent coming off a game where 206 or more points were scored. |
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08-18-20 | Phillies v. Red Sox +127 | Top | 13-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Here is a betting system that has earned a 55-20 record for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The betting system instructs us to bet on any team lined between a -125 favorite and a 125 dog that is a team batting under 0.260 for the season and starting a pitcher than was hammered for 7 or more runs in their last start and now facing a team that has a questionable bullpen sporting a 5.00 or worse ERA. Philadelphia has been a money burning 13-26 for 33% amd losing 17.5 units after having won three of their last four games in games played over the last two seasons. SP Godley is a solid 19-7 as an underdog of not more than +150. Philadelphia skipper Girardi is just 27-45 (-25.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 in all games he has managed. |
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08-18-20 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
1:30 PM EST, 08-18-20
In addition, underdogs of 12 or more points that possess a higher ATR by at least 0.15 and in game with a total of 220 or more are a miserable 0-13 SU losing the game by an average of 21 points and 1-12 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 7.7 PPG. Also, underdogs of 8 to 9.5 points that score an average of 9 or more points fewer than their opponent are just 5-14 ATS for 27% in the playoffs. Take the Bucks for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 230 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-17-20
In the playoffs in the first game of a series the ‘UNDER’ is 9-0 and going under the posted total by an average of 18 points when the total is at least 225 points, the team made 46% or more of their regular season FGA and are coming off a game making 12 or more 3-point shots. This series is going to be much closer than most observers believe possible and in large part because the Mavericks have one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA that has scored a league-leading 8,776 points in 75 games played. Dallas lives by the 3-point shot and 46% of their total shots attempted have been from beyond the arc ranking second-most in the NBA. Only the Rockets rank higher and by a wide margin with 50% of their shot attempts being from long range. However, the Mavs made 37% of their 3’s while the Rockets made a below league-average 34.5%. The Rockets and Mavs led the league averaging a 15.2 foot shot attempts while the league average was 13.9 feet. The Clippers ranked 18th averaging 13.8 feet per shot attempt. Dallas has excellent ball handling skills and moves the ball on offense extremely well resulting in open shot attempts. The same can be said of the Clippers as well, but they are not quirte as good as the Mavs in the assists-to-turnover ratio on the season. The Clippers rank 19th forcing an average of 14.1 opponent turnovers-per-game. The lack of a high-pressure defense the likes of Toronto, for instance, will allow Dallas to move the ball well and get the best shot. Given that both teams will looking to get the best shot available with each possession implies that far more shots will be attempted with 10 or fewer seconds left on the shot clock. Moreover, the Mavs rank 22nd averaging just 11.72 fast-break points per game, so expect many more than average half-court offensive sets from the MAVS. However, on missed shots, the MAVS must get back on defense and minimize Clipper fast break scoring opportunities. The Clippers do look to run off of missed shots, especially missed 3-point shots, which tend to be further from the rim. The Clippers rank 11th averaging 13.7 fast break PPG. Take the ‘UNDER’ for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-17-20 | Nets v. Raptors -10 | Top | 110-134 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors I do not think Raptors head coach Nick Nurse gets the credit he deserves. He won the World Championship with Leonard and now is looking to repeat without the Superstar. Many of the team metrics, especially defensive ones, are even better than last season. Focus has been there (unlike the Lakers, for instance) going 7-1 in the Bubble and fully prepared to go for the back-to-back Championships. Raptors have won three of the four meetings this season against the Nets and all four games occurred before the stoppage. Teams that have defeated the current playoff opponent in 3 of the last 4 meetings and are installed as 9.5 favorites or more are 70-6 SU for 92%. So, this is not a recommendation to use the money line, but a dominant set of situations showing why the Raptors will come up in dominating form right from the opening tip. Teams that sport a 70% or higher win percentage (Raptors 73%) and facing a team with a losing record have earned a 40-24 ATS mark good for 63% winning bets and when favored by at least 9.5 points have earned a 20-11 ATS mark for 65% winners. Despite already having the NBA-best overall defense, they are also best averaging 19 fast break points per game. They also rank 11th-best allowing opponents to score an average eof 12.7 fast break points per game. The machine learning tools project that the Raptors will score at least 111 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. Playoff teams that are favored by at least 9.5 points and have met or exceeded these measures are 35-1 SU and 27-9 ATS for 75% winning bets. In addition, the ‘OVER’ is 14-1 for 93% since 2016. Take the Raptors for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan, 5-Star Bet ’Over’ the total and no more than a 3-Star reverse parlay using the Raptors and the ‘OVER’. |
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08-16-20 | Red Sox +143 v. Yankees | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees The Red Sox are struggling in the worst of ways and desperately need to get a win and end their 6-game losing streak. They have allowed 38 runs in just the last three games, and 63 runs spanning their last six. The pitching staff sports a horrid 6.10 ERA on the season. Few, if any, thought the Red Sox would be contenders for a playoff spot this season and equally few thought they would underperforma as bad as they have. So, the public has completely abandoned them and the result has been to steadily bet against the Red Sox. This forces the linesmaker to steadily inflate the line to anticipate the public betting flows on the Red Sox opponents. BTW, the Red Sox have allowed 8-plus runs in six consecutive games for the first time in franchise history. So, the public sentiment has reached extreme levels and the machine learning tools are quite supportive to bet the Red Sox tonight. The Yankees may in the first place in the AL East, but the injury tolls are mounting. DJ LeMahieu was placed on the 10-day injured list with a sprained left thumb. Both Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are already on the injured list maiking it three of their top hitters not in the lineup. Chris Mazza will start for the Red Sox and he has quite the crooked path to the Red Sox getting brought up and sent down on numerous occasions. He is contending for the fifth starter in the what has become a very weak rotation. He has a great sinking fastball that averages 93 MPH, but has above average late breaking drop and a massive 8 to 9 inch arm side movement. This sinker will jam all of the RY hitters in the Yankees lineup. His second most used pitch is the slider that has a more 12-6 angle to it and actually does not have the explosive movement that his fastball possesses. Nevertheless he changes the grip to make the slider more of a cutter too and this keeps batters from getting the barrel on the ball. The Yankees left-handed J.A. Happ has been just bad – actually very bad. He will be making his third start and carries a 10.29 ERA and 2.143 WHIP. He was skipped over in his last start, but the added rest is not the solution to his hanging batting practice pitches. Skipper Roenicke is 17-4 after five straight ‘OVER’ games in all games he has managed. Take the Red Sox for a 7-Star Best Bet Titan |
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08-15-20 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trailblazers
2:30 PM EST, 08-15-20
The Memphis Grizzlies are a solid 21-10 ‘under’ when facing teams that attempt 18 or more 3-point shots in games played in the second half of this season. So, after game 42 and of course the eight bubble games. Scoring has been up in the ‘bubble’, but this game is going to take on a slower paced style of play given what is at stake for both teams. Memphis knows how to defend the pick-and-roll that was used by Portland saw Lillard score 61 points. Memphis will look to take that out of the Portland offense as often as possible and force other players to make shots. As a result, each possession will see more passes than what has been normal in the bubble games that winds the shot clock down into single digits. Memphis is also a near-perfect 12-1 UNDER in road games when playing eight or more games in 14 days over the last two seasons. This trend is meaningful despite being a neutral court setting as even neutral means ‘not at home’. Machine learning projects that the Grizzlies will get at least 55 total rebounds and will out rebound Portland by at least 5. IN past games in which the Grizzlies met or exceeded this par of measures the ‘UNDER’ has earned a solid 33-12-4 ‘UNDER mark good for 74% winning bets. Take the 'UNDER' for a 7* Best Bet Titan |
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08-14-20 | Nuggets +4 v. Raptors | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors
1:30 PM EST, 08-14-20
Coach Malone is 42-25-1 ATS after his Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games where the Nuggets have achieved or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 281-61-6 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets since 1995 and 71-17-3 ATS since 2016, and 28-6 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2018. |
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08-13-20 | Brewers v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs The machine learning toolshed projects that the Brewers and Cubs will combine to score in at least five innings and have two or more multiple run innings. Teams that have met or exceeded these measures and the host has a win percentage above 60% and the guest has a losing record have combined to post a 1960-341-111 record for 85% wins and a 60% ROI since 2004. When the opponent has been the Cubs being the host the ‘over’ has gone 30-8 for 80% winning bets and a 55% ROI. PARX Casino in Pennsylvania has a total line of 8 runs paying -114 vig and I would highly recommend doing your best to get a line of 8 runs. It always pays to shop for the best line and is not a reflection that I think only nine runs will be scored. There is a 39% probability that one of these teams will score 8 or more runs on their own merit. Cubs are to a fast start, but their bullpen is certainly not part of it. The relievers are sporting a 6.56 ERA and a 1.521 WHIP on the young season. It is doubtful that Cubs starter Yu Darvish will complete 6 innings so the bullpen will be exposed by the Brewers. Take the ‘OVER’ for a 10-Star Best Bet Titan |
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08-12-20 | Canadiens +140 v. Flyers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
Montreal vs Philadelphia (First Round of 2020 Playoffs) 8:00 PM EST, August 12, 2020 Montreal is 8-1 using the money line in road games after playing a game where three or fewer total goals were scored in matches played over the last two seasons; Flyers are a money-burning 40-58 against the money line after allowing one goal or less in two straight games. From the machine learning tools, the Canadiens are 158-77 for 67% winning bets for a 23% ROI when they have had 30 or more shots on goal, had more SOG then the opponent, and allowed three or fewer goals since 2008; and 129-33 for 80% and a 43% ROI when they have allowed two or fewer goals. |
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08-12-20 | Twins v. Brewers +125 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers The machine learning toolshed projects that the Brewers will score in at least three innings and have one multiple run inning. IN past games where the Brewers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 206-85 record for 71% winning bets and a 47% ROI since 2016. Under the same measures and installed as a dog they have gone 105-42 for 71.4% winners and a 62% ROI. Brewers are 40-18 (+19.2 units-per-unit bet) using the money line with a tired bullpen after three straight games throwing more than four innings in games played over the last three seasons. Take the Brewers |
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08-12-20 | Raptors v. 76ers +6.5 | Top | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia
6:30 PM EST, 08-12-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the point spread and a 2.5* amount using the money line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even if the games are played in a ‘bubble’. This is not a play because Embiid has been cleared to play just to be clear.
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08-11-20 | A's +146 v. Angels | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers
9:40 PM EST, 08-11-20
Consider splitting this opportunity into a 4.5* amount using the money line and a 2.5* amount using the run line. This type of optimization will augment your bottom line over the course of the season – and yes, even a 60-game sprint season. Here is a betting system that has earned a 56-15 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on NL home favorites between -125 and -175 inclusive sporting a team slugging percentage of at least 0.440 and an OBP of at 0.300 or WORSE over the last 15 games.
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08-10-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | Top | 121-124 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Denver vs Lakers 9:00 PM EST, 08-10-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-9 ATS record for 79% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on favorites that have a winning record on the season and are facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season and coming off a game that the combined score eclipsed the posted total by at least 30 points. The Lakers have done well against low-pressure intensity style of defenses and are 22-9 ATS when facing a team like the Nuggets, who force an opponent into less than 14 turnovers per game this season.
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08-10-20 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz The machine learning toolshed projects that the Mavs will shoot at least 43% form the field and at least 35% from three-point territory, and score at least 111 points. In past games where the Mavs have met these performance measures they have earned an outstanding 283-62-9 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2000; 23-7 ATS in the current season. Take the Mavs. |
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08-09-20 | Nets +13 v. Clippers | Top | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs LA Clippers
9:00 PM EST, 08-09-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 66-29 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last 5 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play on underdogs of 10 or more points in a non-conference matchup and is a well-rested team playing six or fewer games in the past 14 days of action.
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08-09-20 | Reds +111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers The machine learning toolshed projects that the Reds will score in at least three innings and have at least one multiple-run-inning game. When they have met or exceeded these projections as a road dog they have earned an outstanding 256-98 record for 72% winning bets since 2004 and 18-3 for 86% wins since the start of the 2019 season. Here is a super betting system that has had elite winning performance with a 77-28 record and 73% winning bets spanning over the last five seasons. Play against home teams that are batting under 0.250 for the seasons and with an OBP of 0.285 on the season and now facing an elite NL starting pitcher sporting a 3.10 ERA or lower and a WHIP of 1.25 or lower on the season. Take the Reds. |
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08-08-20 | Yankees v. Rays +135 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 135 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees The machine learning toolshed projects that the Rays will have at least two multiple-run-innings and when they have done that in home games they are 236-75 for 76% winning bets since 2004. Here are a few team tendencies that support the Rays in this matchup. They are an outstanding 33-20 (+24.2 units per unit wagered) against the money line when facing a team with a good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.45 or better in games played spanning the last three seasons. They are also a solid 27-16 (+21.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last three seasons. The left-handed Jalen Beeks will start this game probably and it does not matter, who starts, the bet is still valid. This is his first start of the season following five appearances and sports a 4.00 ERA. I think he will be used once through the lineup as the Rays did so many times last season. So, this is more of a play favoring the Ray hitters over the Yankee batters. Take the Rays. |
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08-08-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 132-134 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
3:30 PM EST, 08-08-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 68-20 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs off an ATS win installed as an underdog and are now in a game with both teams winning between 60% to 75% of their games on the season. Machine learning projects that the Nuggets will score 111 or more points and In past games in which the Nuggets met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 237-56-4 ATS for 81% winning bets. |
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08-07-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -1 | Top | 122-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
9:00 PM EST, 08-07-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 33-8 ATS record for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against underdogs after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game and is a solid team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. Machine learning projects that the Raptors will score 111 or more points and have at least 14 offensive rebounds. In past games in which the Raptors met or exceeded these performance metrics they have earned an outstanding 61-27 ATS record for 69% winning bets. |
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08-05-20 | Brewers +113 v. White Sox | Top | 1-0 | Win | 113 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Milwaukee Brewers vs the Chicago White Sox
8:10 PM EST, 08-05-20 Here is a betting system that has earned a 41-25 record for 62% winning bets and has made 38 units per 1-unit wagered over the last five seasons. The betting query instructs us to play against AL home teams that are averaging at least 4.9 RPG on the seasons and are coming off two consecutive wins of two or fewer runs. The Brewers are a solid 32-15 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after scoring four runs or less in three straight games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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08-04-20 | Blue Jackets +130 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
Columbus vs Toronto 4:00 PM EST, August 4, 2020 Let us start with a betting system that has actually earned a losing 129-134 over the last 25 seasons, but because it lays on underdogs has earned a solid 55 units-per-unit wagered. These are the type of long-term systems that make money consistently year in and your out. The query instructs us to play on road teams that are off a road shutout win and has a losing record on the season. Further, Toronto is just 17-20 and losing 22 units when playing a team with a losing record on the season. From the machine learning side of things Toronto is projected to be contained to just two or fewer goals. Note that Columbus is 24-8 when they have allowed two or fewer goals and Toronto just 4-20 when they have scored two or fewer goals this season. |
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08-03-20 | Pirates v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
PITTSBURGH VS MINNESOTA Here is a betting system that has earned a 31-7 record good for 82% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play ‘under’ with all teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 and is a below average NL hitting team batting no higher than 0.255 and with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last five games and is now facing a team with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 or lower on the season. In a short sprint of 60-games no team can afford a four-game losing streak as the Pirates have suffered. They also are 0-4 in 1-run games so far this season. Tonight they start a 2-game home and home series with the Minnesota Twins, who are 7-2, on a 3-game win streak, and have won 7-of-9 games to start the season. The Pirates have struggled at the plate and the Twins pitching has been the best in baseball allowing just nine runs on their last seven games. Twins manager Baldelli is an outstanding 11-1 ‘UNDER’ after a game in which his bullpen threw 6 or more innings. Ryan’s MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan Total |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans The machine learning toolshed projects that the Grizzlies will have at least 53 boards and score at least 111 points. In past games, they are 17-5 ATS when achieving this pair of KPIs. The Pelicans are a money-burning 14-33-3 ATS when allowing 111 or more points and allowing 53 or more rebounds and 7-24-2 ATS for 23% spanning games played over the last five seasons. Here is a nice betting system that underscores the strength of the bet on the Memphis Grizzlies and has earned a 49-20 ATS result good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. Play on any team revenging a road loss to the current opponent of at least 10 points and with both teams sporting win percentages between 40 and 49.9% on the season. Take the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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08-02-20 | Bucks -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Houston
8:30 PM EST, 08-02-20
Here is a betting system that has earned a 48-14 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against underdogs that are playing a gme that went over the posted total by 24 or more points and is a team that has earned a win percentage between 60 and 75% and facing a team with a winning record. The machine learning tool shed projects that Milwaukee’s defense will be feared tonight by the Rockets. Overall, and dating back to 1990 teams that have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 33% or lower and a field-goal % lower than 42% are 8,364-2268 ATS for 79% winning bets. The Bucks are 69-18 ATS covering the spread by an average of 8.8 points for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bucks are projected to score at least 115 points. So, the Rockets are a miserable 1-21-1 ATS when shooting 42% or less and 33% or less from beyond the arc and allowing 115 or more points in games played since 2015. |
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08-02-20 | Kings +2.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-132 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Sacramento vs Orlando The machine learning toolshed projects that the Kings will have fewer turnovers than the Magic and that they will shoot at least 48% form the field. In past games in which the Kings did achieve these performance KPI they are an amazing 234-56-5 ATS for 81% winning bets and 50-10-3 ATS since 2015. Take the Sacramento Kings. |
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08-02-20 | Astros v. Angels +131 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Houston Astros vs LA Angels 7-Star Best Bet on the Angels
The Machine learning tools project that Angels starter Shohei Ohtani will bounce back from his horrible first start of the season. He is projected to complete more innings than Astros starter Josh James. In past games in which the Angels starter did complete more innings than the opponent starter and were installed as a home underdog they have earned a remarkable 25-12 for 68% winning bets. These bets have earned $1,674 per $100 wager and a robust 45% ROI since 2015.
Take the Angels.
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08-01-20 | Pirates +152 v. Cubs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
PITTSBURGHM VS CHICAGO CUBS 8:15 PM EST, 08-01-20 MLB 7-star Best Bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates Here is a betting system that has earned a 73-41 record using the money line over the last 25 seasons. The betting system query instructs us to be against NL home teams with a high slugging percentage of at least 0.430 and is now facing a team with a struggling bullpen postig a WHIP of at least 1.550 and an ERA of at least 5.50 or worse on the season. The Pirates will have RHP Mitch Keller on the hill looking to continue his brilliant first start of the season that resulted in a 5-1 win over the Cardinals. He has a solid FB that averages 95 MPH with heavy downward movement hat generates far more ground ball outs and whiffs than the average MLB fastball. He then has a slider and curve that he mixes in well and keeps batters guessing. The Machine learning projections call for Keller to complete more than innings than Cubs starter Chatwood. Note that road dogs, whose starter does not complete more IP have been a resounding 1641-85 for 67% winning bets and have made $136,000 in profits per $100 bettor just over the last five seasons. Take the Pittsburgh Pirates as a 7-Star Best Bet Titan |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +6 | Top | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers I like the 76ers once we get into the playoffs. I like the fact that Ben Simmons has accepted his new role as power forward and you will definitley see more bulk and muscle on this budding superstar. Yet, there are a few things that the 76ers need to figure out before heading into the payoffs and they will. The Pacers will push the ball tonight and make the game fast at both ends. The 76ers have not had good results in high-paced games. They are just 3-35 SU and 4-34 ATS in games played where they allowed an opponent 50% or better shooting and allowed 90 or more shot attempts. Just 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS spanning the last five seasons. Take the Pacers. |
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07-30-20 | Padres -165 v. Giants | Top | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Ryan’s MLB 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the San Diego Padres The Padres are a team that could push for a playoff position and are being overlooked by nearly everyone. Here is a betting system that has earned a 71-20 record good for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons and it instructs us to bet on road favorites with a money line between -125 and -175 and is outscoring their opponents by an a average of one or more runs-per-game at any point during the season and are coming off a loss of two or more runs. Giants are a money-burning 8-20 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last two seasons. Padres starter Dinelson Lamet is the real deal and is coming off a solid first start completing five innings of work allowing five hits and just one earned run including one walk and eight strikuts in a 5-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. He throws one of the heaviest fastballs/sinkers in MLB and averages 96 MPH with an average of 8 inches in drop and 7.5 inches in arm-side tailing action. Plus, he has a knee buckling slider that averages 86 MPH and is an ‘out’ pitch. He may have another 8+ K start tonight . |
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07-30-20 | Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7-Star NBA Best Bet Titan on the LA Clippers
The Clippers will take on the Lakers in a 2020 opening season game that many ‘talking heads’ see as a preview to the Western Finals. I do disagree with that prognostication and see the Clippers as the team by the West by a wide margin. That’s a story for another time. The line opened with the Lakers installed as 1-point favorites weeks ago and the line has steadily risen to its’ current price of Lakers favored by 4.5-points. Consider making this a combination wager consisting of a 5-star bet getting the points and a 2-star amount using the money line. Purely optional, but this betting design has served to add significantly to bottom line profits spanning an entire season. Take the Clippers and expect the SU win. |
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07-29-20 | Cubs v. Reds -107 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds July 29, 2020 7-Star Best Bet on the Cincinnati Reds Let us take a look at a solid betting system that has earned a remarkable 34-15 record good for 69.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. Play on home teams (CINCINNATI) that are off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite at any point of the season and has won 38% or fewer of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. When Sonny Gray has been on the hill his team record has been 15-5 when pitching against a winning record team over the last two seasons. |
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07-29-20 | Rockies v. A's -143 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -143 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Colorado Rockies vs Oaland athletics
3:40 PM EST, 07-29-20
It is early in the betting sessions globally, bnut I will admit that one metric I do not care to see is that the public bets are with me to the tune of 71% on the A’s. I do belevie waiting for the pors to come in a move this line lower to -130 level by game time. Overnight, I saw -150, and the ‘Machine’ like the A’s then. So, this is on eof those special situations that I do believe you will see positive line movement unwind in our favor. Currently, the majority of books ar showing a price favoring the A’s as -135 favorites and -130 did just appear at PointsBet. There are trends and betting systems that apply to this game and games plaed in the month of July. In the 2019 season, the Rockies posted a terrible 3-10 mark for 23% winning bets in July. Moreover, they are just 47-90 for 34.4% winning bets and losing $2,990 in the process for a -21 return-on-investment. Both starters are off to strong starts with the A’s RH Frankie Montas boasting a 2,25 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. He has some zip to has fastball averaging 96-97 MPH, but it is the heavy sinking action that gets batters out and generates a much high percentage of whiffs than even the elite pitchers of the league. Last yeaqr he threw fourseam FB 18% and sinker 29% for a combined 47% of all pitches thrown. Batters, though had no idea which pitch was coming and gave hime a leg up on any hitter with an 0-1 count. On 1-2 counts batters it just 0.107 in 2019. A’s head coach Melvin is 27-1s at any point of the regular season when facing a team that is allowing 4 or fewer runs on the season. Take the Oakland Athletics as a 7_Star Best Bet Titan |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's -110 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Bet 7-Star ‘OVER; 10-runs in the LA Angels vs Oakland Athetics Matchup The Angels starting pitcher cam through with a hige effeort to propel his team to the win aqdn even the series at 1-game a piece. Ohtani will get the ball to take to the mount to make his first start in over two years. The A’s will counter with veteran 35-year old Mike Fiers. The Yankees starting pitcher Paxson wlloed good for first 20 pitches, 17 of them fastballs. Once batters got hits and loaded the bases he mentally losy composure. Yes, Ohtani has immense talent, but how in the world can anyone expect him to go 6-innings, allow a run or two? Not me at least and certainly not the machine learning MATH. Here is big betting system supporting the A’s and has earned a solid 32-15 record good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. The betting system or query as us database guys like me love to call them instructs us to be on home underdogs with a money line of +100 or highe and was a good team from last season that outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs-per-game, when facing a divisional opponent. There are a lot of trends that support the A’s and the one’s that have the steeler ‘P’ value are the one’s by models and my eyes gravitate to. So, Fiers is 42-19 in all games making a whopping 30 units in games he has started over the last three seasons. When at home, he is 28-6 making 28 units as a home underdog over the past three seasons. |
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07-26-20 | Marlins v. Phillies -145 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 1:05 PM EST, 07-26-20 Bottom half of the Phillies came to life with JT Realmuto hitting a 3-run HR, and Phil Gosselin sporting a 3-3 line including 3 RBI in their runaway 7-1 win over the Marlins. It is a fact to say that the Marlins will be one of the worst teams in the NL again this year, but never discount the elite talent that is on this team. Problem is they lack the depth and team-balance to truly challenge. So, no team can take them for granted and under manager Joe Girardi, he will make certain that does not occur. This matchup in the final of a 3-game series will pit the Phillies RH Vincent Velasquez against the Marines RH starter Jose Urina. The 28 year-old Urina hails from the Domincan Republic and has posted career records of 32-43 with a 4.57 ERA in 137 games. In 2019, he went 4-10 in 24 appearances including 13 starts, and a not-so-good 2.38 strikes-to-walk ratio and 6.6 K-per-9 He does posses a 95 MPH FB that has extremely heavy sinking action. On average this sinking FB has averaged 8.8 inches – most of which is gravity as the pitch does slow down approaching the plate. However, the pitch is generated just 11% ground-ball (GB) outs. In his career since 2015, batters have hit 0.319 on the fastball and it will be hot with the wind blowing out towards center and right-center today. Perhaps Bryce Harper is a good selection for your DFS today. Vincent Velasquez is more of a typic three-pitch professional starter, who throws four-seem fastballs 60% of all pitches thrown that also has just enough arm-side motion to keep batters from barreling up the pitch. His slider and curve are mixed in 14% and 13% respectively and both are slightly above average pro pitches. Batters have struggled to hit his four-seem batting just 0.228 in his career and 0.219 during the 2019 season. Overall, it is his best pitch and he will use slider to curve to start an at-bat the second and third times thorugh the line on occasion, Granted, we are looking at a two=game sample. Nonetheless, the Phillies bullpen has been solid sporting a 1.59 ERA while the Marlins pen has struggled with 7.37 ERA. Two games, but a sign of how these respective pens will look during this 60-game sprint. Take the Philadelphia Phillies for 7-Star Best Bet. |
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03-11-20 | Iowa State +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma State 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Iowa State Cyclones This is an upset in the making based on the projections and situations these teams find themselves in for this matchup. OSU is a money-burning 4-15 ATS after having won four or five of their last six games in games played over the last three seasons; 1-10 ATS after having won four of their last five games in game splayed over the last three seasons. ISU has been horrid on the roads this season cover just tow games, but this is not a road game. It is a neutral court site and is being played in the month of March during conference and NCAA Tournament time. ISU is 63-35-1 ATS in all March games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things, ISU is a solid 45-18-1 for 71% winners when making at least 80% of their shot attempts and making at least 42% of their FGA. If they make over 45% from the floor and 80%+ of their free throws their record zooms to 36-9 for 80% winners; 8-1 ATS at a neutral site and covering the spread by an average of nine points. |
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03-11-20 | St. Joe's +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
St. Joes vs George Mason St. Joes is not a strong 3-point shooting team. However, George Mason is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when facing a team that is making 31% or fewer from beyond the arc in games played after the 15th game in each of the last two seasons. St. Joes may not shoot well, but they do not add to the pain by turning the ball over. George Mason is 14-28 ATS against good handling teams that are committing no more than 14 turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. George Mason Head Coach Paulsen is just 3-13 ATS off a road win against a conference foe. From the predictive side of things, St. Joes is a solid 57-33 -2 ATS when they have made 71 to 77% of their free-throw attempts. GMU is a money-losing 3-15 ATS when they have allowed 67 to 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Miami vs Clemson
10 PM EST, March 11, 2020 Clemson has not done well when facing teams that are not all that aggressive on the defensive end. The Tigers are just 4-12 ATS when facing teams that are forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game and 4-14 ATS after the 15th game of th season spanning the last two seasons. Head Coach Larranaga is 58-38 ATS off a home win as the coach of the Hurricanes and 20-10 ATS after playing two consecutive home games. From the predictive side fo things, the Hurricanes are 68-36-5 ATS in games that they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts; 20-9 ATS for 70% in road games when they made at least 79% of their free-throw attempts and scored at least 67 points including 9-3 ATS in neutral site games since 2005. |
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03-09-20 | Raptors v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto vs Utah 9:05 PM EST, March 9, 2020 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Let’s get right to it as the Jazz are 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets when they are coming off back-to-back wins of six or fewer points and 22-10 ATS when favored on these spots. This situational query has earned a solid 60-25-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons and requires us to be on teams that are lined within four points on either side of ‘pick’ and are coming off three consecutive games in which they and their respective opponents each scored 100 or more points om each of the three games and are now facing an elite opponent that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least six points. From the predictive side of things, Utah is projected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio. When they have met or exceeded this pairing of performance measures they have earned an outstanding 127-27-5 ATS mark good for 83% winning bets and 26-6-2 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-09-20 | Elon v. Northeastern -8.5 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Elon vs Northeastern 8:30 PM EST, March 9, 2020 Colonial Conference Tournament 7-Star Best bet Titan on the Northeastern Huskies This game is taking place on a neutral court in Washington DC. Elon is coming off a shocking upset win over 2-seed William & Mary by a 68-62 score, but now find themselves installed as an 8.5 to 9-point underdog. The Huskies re off an upset win based on seeding by defeating Towson State 72-62, but covered the spread installed as a 3.5-point favorite. Elon is not in a god situation for this game noting they are just 2-13 ATS after two consecutive ‘UNDERS’ in game splayed over the last three seasons. They are 10-25 ATS coming off one or more wins in games played over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, ELON is just 9-23 ATS in road games, 0-16 ATS in home games, and 0-3 ATS at neutral sites when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and their opponent shot greater than 47% from the field. |
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03-09-20 | Miami-OH +9 v. Buffalo | Top | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo This is a 12-5 pairing of the 12 teams in the MAC Conference Championship with the Miami Redhawks the 12-seed and the Buffalo Bulls the 5-seed. The winner will then face the 4-seed Northern Illinois, who along with top-seed Akron, 3-seed Ball State, and 2-seed Bowling Green have Byes. The Bulls are in a tough situation and matchup to cover the spread in this matchup. First, they are a money-burning 7-16 for 35% against-the-spread (ATS) in home games that had a posted total between 150 and 155 since 2010. The Bulls are coming off an upset 88-84 win at Bowling Green as two-point underdogs. However, head coach, Whitesell is 9-24 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog in his career. From the predictive side of things, the RedHawks are 13-4 ATS in games they have scored between 67 and 74 points in game splayed over the last two seasons. Further, the RedHawks are 15-5 ATS for 75% winning bets when they have been road dogs and made more 3-pointers than the opponent and had 11 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-08-20 | Ohio State +7 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
No. 19 Ohio State vs No. 16 Michigan State 3-Star Reverse Parlay Bet using OSU and the ‘UNDER’ When playing against Michigan State, everyone on the team has to rebound well. Ohio State freshman forward E.J. Liddell may be first man off the bench. He had a great performance against Illinois on Thursday, where he matched his career high with 17 points on 7-of-9 shooting from the floor, but he also grabbed 11 rebounds, setting a new career standard and earning his first career double-double. Lidell also had 17 points just five games ago against Iowa, grabbing eight rebounds in that contest, as he continues to progress and is getting more minutes in head coach Chris Holtmann's rotation. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS and 13-1-1 ‘UNDER’ when they have played on the road and had 10 or fewer turnovers and held the opponent to 40% or worse shooting. |
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03-08-20 | Connecticut v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Connecticut vs Tulane Let’s take a quick look at few supporting team trends for Tulane and ones that work against UCONN. Tulane is 18-6 ATS when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last two seasons. Tulane is 8-0 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in game splayed this season. UCONN is 43-69 ATS after a game with nine or less assists in all games played spanning the last 20 seasons. They are 0-6 after having won six or seven of their last eight games in games played spanning the last three seasons. Huskies are an imperfect 0-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 or more points in five consecutive games spanning the last 20 seasons. From the predictive side of things UCONN is 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in road games in which the host shot between 30 and 37.5% from beyond the arc. |
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03-08-20 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Wichita State 7-Star Best bet Titan on Tulsa The dominant trend supporting Tulsa is the fact that they are a perfect 7-0 ATS coming off a win against a conference foe and held that foe to 55 or fewer points in game splayed over the last 10 seasons. Tulsa is 54-29 ATS after two consecutive games getting nine or fewer offensive rebounds in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive side of things, Tulsa is a solid 14-5 ATS in games that had nine or fewer offensive rebounds in this season and 12-3 ATS for 80% in games in which they had 33 to 40 rebounds. A win will give Tulsa the AAC regular-season conference championship. Take Tulsa. |
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03-07-20 | Long Beach State +5.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Long Beach State vs Cal State Fullerton 10:30 PM EST, March 3, 2020
I am jumping right the meat and potatoes of this betting opportunity only due to time. From the predictive side of things, the 49ers are a solid 16-4 ATS for 80% winning bets when scoring between 65 and 75 points in game splayed over the last three seasons; CSF Titans are just 4-16 ATS for 20% in games in which they did not shoot about 46% from the field in game splayed over the last two seasons; 0-7 ATS when they score less than 75 points in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-07-20 | Charlotte +8.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 43-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech 7:00 PM EST 03-07-20
Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 69-34 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road dogs including ‘pick’ that are coming off a poor shooting game making no more than 33% of their shot attempts and is facing a hot shooting team posting three consecutive games making at least 47% in each one. |
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03-07-20 | Rockets -8 v. Hornets | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Houston vs Charlotte 5:05 PM EST, 3-07-2020 This betting system has earned a terrific 60-22 -1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Play on road favorites of 3 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more points in four consecutive games and are facing a struggling host that has been outscored by their opponents by six or more points-per-game. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 9-1 ATS when they have allowed fewer than 105 points in games played this season; 74-22 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored at least 117 points and had the better and more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2015. |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +3.5 | Top | 66-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
No. 1 Kansas vs Texas Tech
2:00 PM EST, 03-07-20 Let us start with a situational vetting system that supports the Red Raiders and has earned a solid 30-7-1 ATS mark good for 81% winning bets. The system requires us to play on home teams in a game lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ that is solid a defensive team allowing 40 to 43% shooting and is an average rebounding team posting a differential between -3 and +3 and are facing an excellent defensive teams allowing less than 40% shooting on the season and has outrebounded their opponents by six or boards-per-game on the season. Texas Tech is 11-3 ATS when facing very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points-per-game after 15 or more games over the last two seasons. From the predictive aside of things, TT is 22-3 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76% winning tickets and covering the number by 10.4 points-per-game in games in which they attempted 54 to 60 shots. |
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03-06-20 | Bucks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Lakers 10:35 PM EST 03-06-20 Let us run through a few situational trends that support the bet on Milwaukee. They are an amazing 15-5 ATS and tops in the NBA when facing a solid opponent that is outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Here is a situational betting system that follows the theme above and has earned a solid 39-13 ATS mark good for 75% winners over the last 20 seasons. The requirements are to bet on all teams in games lined within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and is facing an opponent that is an elite NBA team outscoring their opponents by six or more points-per-game and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games allowing 105 or more points in each game; 33-8 ATS for an amazing 81% winning bets over the last five seasons! From the predictive side of things, The Bucks are 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets in game sin which they have attempted at least 88 shots, made at least 33% of their shots from beyond the arc, and had the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last two seasons. |
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03-06-20 | VMI -2.5 v. Samford | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
Samford vs VMI
6:00 PM EST, 03-06-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on VMI minus the points. This is a first-round matchup in the Southern Conference with VMI sporting double revenge from to losses to Samford this season. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 47-18 ATS 72% record over the last 15 seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on all teams where the line is within three points on either side of ‘pick’ and revenging a straight up loss to the opponent as a road favorite and is a struggling team that has won 20% to 40% of their games on the season and is now playing a team with a losing record. Teams that have had same season double revenge and are favored by at least 3 points in the third game of the season are a decent 34-22-2 ATS for 61% winning bets since 2006, but 17-5 ATS for 77% winners over the last three seasons. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Samford is just 12-28 for 30% when they have shot 40 to 45% from the field and shot under 35% from beyond the arc. VMI is 4-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points when holding an opponent to 40 to 45% shooting and not allowing more than 35% shooting from beyond the arc. |
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03-05-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada -10 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Wyoming vs Nevada
11:30 PM EST, 03-05-20 NCAAM 7-star Best Bet on the Nevada Wolfpack minus the points. Here is a situational power-query betting system that has earned an outstanding 61-29 ATS 68% record over the last five seasons and has a simple to understand combination of parameters. The system requires us to bet on neutral court games betting on the favorite including pick and after two or more consecutive ‘OVERS’ and in a game where both teams are decent defensive ones that allow an average between 65 and 75 points on the season. From the predictive side of things, the summary projections show that Nevada is an outstanding 19-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and gotten at least 45 rebounds. They are also 47-18-2 ATS for 72% when scoring 75 or more points and purebounding their opponent by at least 11 boards over the last 15 seasons; 12-1 ATS for 82% wins over the last three seasons. |
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03-05-20 | Stanford +1.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford vs Oregon State 9:00 PM EST, March 5, 2020
From the predictive side of things, Stanford is 91-13 SU and 78-19-1 ATS for 81% winners when they have shot at least 48% form the field and at least 50% form beyond the arc in games played since 2006. |
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03-05-20 | Clippers v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
Clippers vs Rockets 7-Star Best Bet on the Houston Rockets Let us start with a situational betting query that has earned a solid 69-33-2 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. the system requires us to bet on home teams that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of ‘pick’ and is coming off an upset loss installed as a favorite and with both teaqms playing well postig win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season. From the predictive side of things, the Rockets are 162-15 SU and 138-37-2 ATS for 79% winning bets in home games when they have shot at least 42% from beyond the arc and had the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-05-20 | Illinois v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
Illinois vs Ohio State 7:00 PM EST 03-02-20 Here is a situational betting system that has earned a solid 100-66ATS mark good for 62% winners over the last five seasons. The requirements re to bet on home teams lined as favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a double-digit win over a conference foe and with both teams in the game sporting solid win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season including a tightener that soars to 28-10 ATS for 74% winning bets when the team is ranked. From the predictive side of things, Ohio State ius 65-2 SU aqnd 47-10 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and made at least 42% of their three-point shots in games played since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Georgetown v. Creighton -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
Georgetown vs Creighton 8:00 PM EST, 3-04-2020 From the predictive side, the Bluejays are a solid 94-5 SU winning the games by an average of 19 points and 62-25 ATS for 70% wins when they have shot at least 49% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc. Adding in that the Bluejays had the better assists-to-field-goal-made (A-FGM) and their record soars to a 101-5 SU mark and 71-24 ATS mark good for 75% winning tickets since 2006. |
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03-04-20 | Jazz -8 v. Knicks | Top | 112-104 | Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Utah vs New York NBA 7-Star Best Bet Titan on the Utah Jazz Here is a situational betting system that has earned a 144-78-3 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 20seasons and requires us to bet road favorites that are facing a host that is coming off a close home win by a margin of three or fewer points and has a losing record on the season. Here is a second betting system that has earned an outstanding 40-8 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and requires us to bet on road favorites against an opponent that is seeking revenge from a previous road blowout loss of 20 or more points and are coming off a close home win by three or fewer points. |