Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto vs Philadelphia 7:30 PM EST, April 18, 2022 4% best bet on the 76ers minus the points I am certainly in the camp that does not see the Raptors responding to the dominating loss they endured to the 76ers in Game-1. Maxey scored 38 points and will more than likley not reach even 28 tonight, but Embiid had 15 boards and a very quiet performance and now I believe it will be his turn to take advantage of the matchup opportunities he will enjoy. The media has you thinking that Harden is becoming a problem on the court. Nothing falser could ever be stated. When he is the conductor of the offense, the 76ers ball movement and distribution is near perfection and he had a huge game-1 distributing the ball to the correct player at the correct time and his experience are invaluable to say the least. Betting on 3.5 to 9.5 point favorites in the month of April that have won three or more consecutive home games has earned an outstanding 49-18 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -10 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Phoenix Suns 5% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points In the playoffs in game 1 or 2 betting on the No.1 seed priced as a double-digit favorite has produced a 60-6 straight-up record and 37-28-1 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets. Plus, if these No.1 seed favorite is priced between 8.8 and 11.5 points, they have produced an 8-1 ATS record in game 1. The Suns are far too good to get overconfident and full of themselves and underestimate a surging Pelicans team. Must admire New Orleans’ resilience under HC Willie Green, as the Pelicans have been scrapping for weeks to get to the playoffs. McCollum’s presence certainly made a difference when the Pels came to Phoenix and inflicted a 117-102 defeat on the Suns on Feb. 25 for 1 of those 9 Footprint losses. McCollum outscored Booker 32-30 and made 11 of 18 shots and the Pelicans destroyed the Suns on the boards, posting a 53-37 rebounding edge with Valanciunas grabbing 17 of those boards. What is missing is the fact that Chris Paul did not play in that game that truly had little meaning for the Suns, who had already moved far ahead in the standings. Game-1 of the first round of the playoffs playing at a packed and raucous house will be a completely different environment for the Pelicans and one that I think will be more than just intimidating. OK. Playoff favorites that have been defeated by the spread by a combined total of 47 or more points over their last 7 games (can extend back into the regular season) has produced a 15-2 SU record and 13-4 ATS mark for 77% winning playoffs bets over the last five seasons. Plus, 9-0 ATS if the favorite is playing the current game with more rest than the current opponent. |
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04-16-22 | Jazz -4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks 1:00 EST, April 16, 2022 4% best bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following situational betting system that has earned a highly profitable 29-16 ATS record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. Bet on road favorites that made more than field goals in their previous game then what they averaged for the regular season. That is all there is to it. Luka is out and may not even be available for Monday’s Game-2 and Dallas is a team that is solely dependent on his super star caliber of play. One LIVE betting strategy that may happen in this game would allow for an excellent price on the Jazz during the first half of action. I always expect a home team just like Cleveland last night, to come out the gates flying high. Dallas will certainly have the home crowd behind them, and it is possible they get out to a 10-point lead. So, bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then look for the fast start by Dallas to add the other 50% amount at –1 or pick-em and try not to pay more than –115 vig. Be patient and allow the market to come to you and not force the bet and pay too much vig. LIVE odds are highly volatile, and they will move often enough, especially during a time out situation, allowig you to get the price YOU WANT. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
New Orleans vs LA Clippers 4% Best Bet on the Pelicans as a –1 point favorite and is good to go up to and including 3.5 points. Clippers are just 5-17-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in the past five days this season. Betting on road favorites (now that the Pelicans have become the favorite) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games has earned an outstanding 24-10 mark over the last three seasons and 40-16-1 ATS record over the last five seasons for 71% wining bets. |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Denver vs Memphis 9:00 PM EST, April 7, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets minus the points Betting on teams that are facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG on the season, in a game lined between the 3’s, and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one has earned a 44-17 ATS record for 72.1% winning bets over the last four seasons. Memphis (55-24) is locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference and won't know who it will face in the first round until the play-in tournament gets started. The fact that it possibly could be the Nuggets is a little surprising. Denver (47-33) had a chance to clinch at least the No. 6 seed with a home win over San Antonio on Tuesday night but was blown out by the Spurs. The Nuggets need a win in one of their last two games to avoid the play-in tournament, and they can end the drama when they host the Grizzlies on Thursday night. |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 220.5 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Toronto 4% bet on the UNDER The Raptors defeated the Atlanta Hawks 118-108 Tuesday, which secured a playoff berth and avoids the dreaded Play-In Tournament. The victory was the 12th of their last 15 games for the Raptors, who have won two of the first three meetings against the 76ers this season. However, the 76ers are in a log jam for the 2-seed among three other teams and need this win far more than the Raptors. If the season had ended yesterday, the 76ers would be the 4-seed and would hot the 5-seed Toronto Raptors in the first round of the playoffs. The 76ers have a 3-game lead over the Raptors and have the cellar dwelling Pacers and Pistons up next to conclude the regular season. The Boston Celtics is 50-30 for the season and clinging to a ½ game lead over the Milwaukee Bucks and 76ers, both with 49-30 records. So, I fully expect this game to have a defensive playoff-type atmosphere tonight. The line opened at 215.5 points and has steamed its’ wat to a current price of 220 points with a few rogue 221 numbers appearing. I like waiting till after noon EST to see where this line may top out, which I believe will be at the 221.5 points area. My recommendation is to bet 50% of your normal 4% best amount at 221.5 points and then look to add 25% more at 222.5 points and the remaining 25% at 223.5 points. 76ers are 23-13 Under when facing a team that is allowing an average of 108 PPG in games played this season. The Raptors are 22-12-1 Under when facing a great passing team, like the 76ers, that are averaging 23 or more assists per game in the second half (after game number 41) of this season. |
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04-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 121-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Boston vs Milwaukee 7:30 EST, April 7, 2022 4% bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a matchup of excellent teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season and with the visitor having covered the spread in four or five of their last six games has earned an outstanding 55-25 ATS result good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Celtics are just 1-10 ATS following two consecutive ATS wins priced as a favorite in games played over the last two seasons. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
UNC vs Kansas 4% Best Bet on North Carolina plus the points and a 1% bet on the money line. I like North Carolia to be leading at the half and to win the game at +700 at betMGM What Villanova lacked in length to defend Kansas’ McCormack, UNC has more than enough length, and I see them minimizing McCormack throughout the entire game. Then Agbaji, the stud Kansas leader is going to have to be far more involved and creative and I see the UNC starters and depth off the bench getting that minimized as well. Simply said, I see UNC as the better team and the fact that they are the underdog again, will allow them to play lose and free and at full strength. I know that the last four and 11 of the last 16 Champions have been 1-seeds, but this UNC team is vastly different than any other non-1-seed team, especially seeds greater than 4, in Tournament history. Supporting the upset, UNC is 7-1 against the money line (making +6.7 Units per Unit wagered) when they make 31% to 37% of their three-point shot attempts in a game this season, 11-2 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last two seasons, and 8-2 against the money line (+11.5 Units) in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season. Thank you to every one of you that supported me and long hours of research to provide you the absolute best sports betting research possible. Every season I feel a tremendous need to give thanks to and be 100% grateful for every one of you. Next Sports up is MLB, so make certain you get the 75% discounted season-long package on my profile page this week. |
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03-30-22 | Heat +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Miami vs Boston 7:40 ET, March 30, 2022 5% MAX Bet (10-UNITS) on the Miami Heat plus the points. If Miami remains the underdog in this matchup, this 5% MAX Bet (10-Units) is good to go. In the Eastern Conference there are four teams, Miami, Philadelphia, Boston, and Milwaukee, that are within 1.5-games of each other for the race to the top-seed for the playoffs. Miami and Boston square off in this matchup with Miami the current No.1 seed and Boston the 3-seed in the playoff standings. Milwaukee is in the 2-seed position and would take on the winner of the 7-seed vs 8-seed Play-In Tournament matchup between the Cavaliers and the Nets. The winner of that matchup becomes the 7-seed in the playoff bracket and would face the 2-seed, while the loser of that game would face the winner of the 9 vs 10-seed matchup, which is currently Charlotte vs Atlanta. My predictive models point to Miami in this matchup and a sprinkle of no more than 0.75% (0.75 Units) on the money line. Both Celtics stars Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum will be on the court tonight. So, we are looking for the Heat to score 111 points, have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 20-3 SU, 22-1 ATS record for 96% winning bets. They are also 14-0 ATS over the last 10 seasons when installed as a road dog of not more than five points, scoring 111 or more points with 13 or fewer turnovers. The following betting system has earned a 95-43-1 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since 1995, 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the game is taking place after game number 41, the record is 65-30-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 1995, and 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Among the 25 seasons, there have been 22 seasons that this betting algorithm has made profits. The 3 losing seasons were 1-game under 0.500 in two of those season and 2-games under 0.500 ATS in the third. The requirements for this betting system/algorithm is to be on any team in a matchup of two teams that have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current seasons and with the team we are betting against, Boston, coming off a straight-up loss, but covered the spread |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State OVER 137 | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs Fresno State The Basketball Classic Semifinals 4% bet OVER the posted total FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games. From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs Fresno State The Basketball Classic Semifinals 4% bet OVER the posted total FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games. From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8.5 | Top | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
St. Peters vs North Carolina 4% best bet on North Carolina minus the points The St. Peters Peacocks have become the first 15-seed to ever make the Elite-8 Round and will most assuredly be the topic of a documentary movie down the road – and a well-deserved one. However, my models, which do not have any pulse rate or the heart that the Peacocks team has put on display and is arguably the best example of why we love March Madness, indicate that their run is going to end here against no-less than an 8-seed North Carolia Tarheels team. The media, including Lunardi, mocked the ACC Conference and what they missed in a big way was the fact that the top teams in that loop were not having off years, because NC State, Georgia Tech, and other were having of years. If there is one huge take-away from this post season is to be careful when assigning a ‘off season’ discount to any of the Major-6 Conferences. I even heard. Rumor that Loyola-Chicago's biggest fan Sister jean had entered the transfer portal to join St. Peters. (Ha Ha) Betting on favorites after beating the spread by 45 or more points in total spanning their last seven games and now facing an opponent that has beat the number by a total of 55 or more points over their last 10 games has earned a highly profitable 49-16-2 ATS for 75% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and is 14-1 ATS for 93.3% winning bets over the last three seasons. UNC is 10-2 ATS in the second half of each of the last three seasons when taking on winning record foe and 9-1 ATS when taking on a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 4 or more points per game in games played over the last two season. What UNC has that Purdue did not is the perimeter threat from many players on the floor. Purdue failed to penetrate the crowded paint are and then move the move the ball swiftly to the perimeter for wide-open shots. When they did, the shots were not made. I think UNC will exploit this from start to finish and force St. Peters to stop packing the paint area and spread them out across the court to defend perimeter shooters. UNC will force St. Peters to expend ton of energy trying to cover the side-to-side ball movement. Eventually, when they wear down and are reduced to a defender running at an open shooter, that shooter will fake the shot and drive to the rim. Nothing at all at the greatest and accomplishments of St. Peters, but this is North Carolina. |
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03-24-22 | Texas Tech -1 v. Duke | Top | 73-78 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs Duke 4% Best bet on Texas Tech minus the single point, if this line moves to –1.5 to –2.5, then bet this game using the money line. When I write just a few of incredible accomplishments that Coach K has achieved, it becomes even more incredible just seeing it in black and white – if that makes any sense. The Duke basketball program is in the Sweet 16 for the 28th time and Coach-K is looking for his 100th NCAA Tournament victory. He has won a record 1,200 overall games in 47 seasons (42 at Duke) as he heads down the home stretch of his career. How coincidental are these achievements that are at exactly century and multi-century marks. He is also two victories away from reaching his 13th Final Four. I do remember that the number 13 has some scary connotations. This is a matchup that I see focused on ball handling where Duke is ranked 2nd in the nation sporting a 1.644 assist to turnover ratio against a Texas Tech defense that ranks 9th with a 0.690 defensive assist to turnover ratio. Then on the other side of the court, we have a Texas Tech offense that ranks 166th with a 1.006 assist to turnover ratio going up against a conservative Duke defense ranking 315th with a poor 1.249 defensive assist to turnover ratio. Plus, Tech ranks 6th in scoring defense allowing 60.2 points per game. Duke will look to increase the pace of play while Tech will look to get this game in the mud and to be as physical as the referees will permit. So, teams in the Sweet-16, Elite-8, and Final-4, are the favorite, and have a defense allowing 60 to 65 points per game on the season have gone on to a 45-26-2 ATS record good for 63.4% winning bets over the last 15 NCAA Tournaments. Using this simple betting system, you would have made profits in each of the past 7 events, and this is the first one of this event. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova UNDER 135.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
Michigan vs Villanova 7:29 PM EST, March 23, 2022 4% best bet Under the posted total The last time these two programs met in San Antonio on the basketball court was in the 2016 NCAA Championship game won by Villanova. The Wildcats look to be poised for another Championship run here in San Antonio and credit goes to head coach Jay Wright for having the courage to load up the front end of the season with top-rated superior teams. That ‘seasoning’ is now going to pay off for the remainder of their Tournament run starting tonight. When away from Ann Arbor, Michigan is 7-0 Under after two consecutive games attempting 10 or fewer shots than the opponent and 31-15 Under following two consecutive games where the opponent was called for five or more fouls than they were called for. Villanova is on a 7-1 Under run when playing in a neutral court settling and installed as the favorite. For his entire career at Villanova, Jay Wright is 45-27-2 Under when facing a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60%, 32-20-3 Under when playing against a winning record team with a win percentage not higher in than 60% in the second half of each season (after game number 15) From my predictive models, we are expecting to see a well-played matchup within a slower than average pace of play. The spread and total are telling us that Villanova will win 70.25-64.75 or 70-65. They are also projected to make no higher than 37% from beyond the arc OR not make more than 11 3-pointers in total and not score more than 75 points. In past games when not playing at home, the Wildcats have gone 5-14-2 Over-Under for 74% wining bets when not scoring more than 75 points and not making more than 11 3-pointers in games played since 2019. Michigan is 5-10 Over-Under for 67% winning Under bets in games where they did not make more than 6 3-pointers and did not score more than 70 points. |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Gonzaga 7:09 PM EST, Thursday, March 24, 2022 Playing the LIVE in-game betting lines and taking advantage of the scoring volatility that this game is likely to have through the 40 minutes of play gives rise to the following strategy that I have used hundreds of times. Consider betting Arkansas pre-flop (before the tip) getting the +9.5 points for a 50% amount of your 4% betting amount (Or a 2% betting amount), the look to add 25% more (1% best bet) at Arkansas +11.5 and +14.5 points during the first half only. This is one of the best NCAA Basketball money line betting systems and has earned a 32-21 straight-up record for 60% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made the $1,000 bettor a profit of $40,500 by averaging a whopping +190.3 money line wager. Bet on a solid defensive team allowing 40 to 42.5% shooting on the season and is now facing a team that has posted four consecutive games making at least 50% of their shots and is also making 47.5% of their shots on the season. So, I like to call this money line betting system the “Mother of all Regression Betting Systems”. Arkansas is 13-2 straight-up when facing a team that is making at least 45% of their shots on the season in each of the last two seasons and has made the $1,000 bettor a profit of $13,700 in this role. Arkansas is 8-2-1 ATS when facing teams that attempt an average of at least 21 3-point shots per game over the last two seasons. Gonzaga is 1-9 ATS following back-to-back games forcing just eight or fewer turnovers in each of the two games. Arkansas is 12-3-1 ATS after winning two of their last three games and a perfect 7-0 ATS after allowing 50 or fewer points spanning the last three seasons. |
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03-22-22 | Clippers +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Clippers vs Denver 10:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% Best Bet on the Clippers plus the points Clippers are solid 3-point shooting team that is making 36% of those long-range shots on the season. The Nuggets are just 1-9 ATS when facing a team that ids making at least 36% of their 3-pointers in games played this season. From my predictive models, we are looking for the Clippers to score at least 114 points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. When the Clippers have met or exceeded these performance measures in road games they have gone to earn a 18-6 SU record, 18-7 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. |
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03-22-22 | Bulls +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Bulls vs Bucks 8:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% best bet on the Bulls plus the points, currently at +6 points and is a valid bet down to and including 4.5 points. The Bulls are coming off a significant win over the Eastern Conference rivals Toronto Raptors I do see the Bulls carrying the positive momentum over to this game against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are just 1-11 ATS when facing a team with a win percentage between 50.1 and 60% this season (at least one-game over 0.500) and just 10-20 ATS when playing against a team that is at least one-game over 0.500 this season. Here is a tremendous money line betting system that has earned a 51-30 straight-up record for 63% winning bets and has made the $1,000 bettor a $43,000 profit by averaging a +145-underdog bet. Bet on home teams using the money line in a matchup of teams that are allowing 108 to 114 points per game on the season and playing against the team that is one that allowed 130 or more points in their previous game. If both teams allowed 130 or more points in their previous game, then this system is void. Milwaukee was dominated by the Minnesota Timberwolves 139-119 in their previous game Saturday. If the game from the algorithm above is in the second half of the regular season (after game number 41) it has done even better sporting a 37-15 straight-up record for 70% winning bets averaging a +160-money line wager and has made the $1,000 bettor a $42K profit. Just this season, it has achieved a 7-6 SU result, but has made $8K in profits for the 1K bettor. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks -2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta vs NY Knicks 7:30 PM EST, March 22, 2022 4% bet on the Atlanta using the first half betting line 0.5% Trae Young Over points + assists You can bet that the Knicks faithful will out to boo Trae Young at every opportunity tonight at Madison Square Garden as the Hawks look to avoid a season4-0 sweep to the Knicks. He took a bow at center court last Spring when he and the Hawks eliminated the Knicks from the playoffs and the fans have not forgotten this fact. Young is at times a polarizing figure in the NBA and he does respond well to haters when playing on their court. Betting the first half line with a road team that is allowing an average of 108 to 114.5 points per game on the season and facing a host that is averaging just 104 to 108 points per game on the season and is coming off a double-digit loss has earned a solid 120-61 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and most of it coming recently due to the increase in scoring over the past 25 years with a 66-31 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last three season. |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 245 | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Minnesota 5:10 ET 4% bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 244.5 points after opening at 242.5 points. I like this bet at 244.5 points and higher. Bucks are 7-0 Under when facing teams who attempt 39 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 8-0 Under when facing teams who make 14 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 14-2 Under in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here is an awesome NBA Betting algorithm that has produced a 55-17 Under record good for 76% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet Under Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 and with a well-rested team, Milwaukee, playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days, and is an excellent team winning 60% to 75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. It has produced a 24-6 record good for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons and 46-14 Under record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Delaware v. Villanova UNDER 133.5 | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Delaware vs Villanova 2:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 The total for this game is 133.5 points and has not moved from that opening price. One live in-game strategy worth considering and one that I will look to execute is to bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then hope to see a faster than expected pace at the start of the game. If that happens look to add the remaining 50% at 139.5 points during the first half only. To bet in-game in the second half has a significantly reduced ROI simply because there is less time to be correct. The worst case is that 139.5 is not made available during the first half of play which implies that we are correct on the 4% Under bet looking good to cover. You can also bet 80% pre flop and look to add 20% at 139.5 points. Send me a Direct Message on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 if you have any questions. Betting the Under in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a matchup of teams that have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 67-29-1 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Delaware is 8-2 Under when playing against a team with a win percentage between 60 and 80% this season. Nova is 6-0 Under as a favorite on a neutral court this season and 13-4 Under coming off a win of six or fewer points in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Montana State +15 v. Texas Tech | Top | 62-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Montana State vs Texas Tech 1:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 4% bet on the Montana State Bobcats plus the points. The line opened making the Bobcats a 15-point underdog and has remained at this level amid balanced betting action. My predictive models point to the fact that the betting community is paying too much (almost like a tax) for the privilege of betting the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Bobcats won the Big Sky Tournament earning their ticket as a 14 seed. Texas Tech reached the Big 12 tournament final, where it fell to Kansas 74-65. Last season, the Bobcats lost in the conference final, and it has turned out to be a blessing. Third-year head coach Danny Sprinkle had three seniors form that squad exercise their COVID option for a fifth season. As expected, the trio are the leaders of the Bobcats. Xavier Bishop tops Montana State in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (4.3). Jubrile Belo is averaging 13.0 points per game and tops the team in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and blocks averaging 1.8 per game. Abdul Mohamed contributes 7.8 points per game and 6.6 boards per game. The Bobcats are 11-2 ATS when facing solid rebounding teams averaging four or more rebounds per game than their opponents in games played over the last three seasons. Texas Tech is 0-6 ATS in road games when facing teams averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in road or neutral settings after playing a game as a favorite, 9-2 ATS in road or neutral settings coming off two or more consecutive wins, and 10-2 ATS in all tournaments games over the last three seasons. |
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03-18-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Ohio State +1 | Top | 41-54 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Loyola vs Ohio State 12:15 PM EST, March 18, 2022 4% best bet on the Ohio State Buckeyes The seventh-seeded Buckeyes (19-11) and 10th-seeded Ramblers (25-7) will meet in Pittsburgh at the PPG Paints Arena on Friday in a first-round game set to tip-off at 12:15 PM EST. Loyola is on a roll winner of three straight to win their second consecutive Missouri Valley Conference Title and are making their third appearance of the past five seasons in the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State is not on a roll and were upset by a surging Penn State squad in the opening round of the Big Ten Tournament. Last year while on the LIVE Manny’s Irish Pub Show, Rob Veno kept me informed of the last 1:50 of last year’s Ohio State vs Orla Roberts game. I got Oral Roberts at +950 on the money line trailing by just two points with 1:50 left and knowing that they were the best free throw shooting team in the nation. I sometimes cannot watch a game feeling I may jinx and hope of winning such a bet, so Rob Veno of WagerTalk kept me apprised during our show and man alive that was some great fun I will never forget. Ohio State was a 2-seed and there was immense pressure on them to win. However, this season they are not under the media spotlight and come into this game as one of the more underrated teams in the event. An early loss in the Big Ten tourney might be a blessing for the the Buckeyes, who had to make up two games late in the season and played seven games in 16 days to end the regular season March 6. Then followed by the loss to Penn State four days later. Everyone loves Loyola and their great story and I do as well, but I cannot bet that way as a pro bettor. The value here is certainly with Ohio State and I believe they come away with the win. OSU is 9-1 ATS in road games when facing solid shooting teams that are making 45% or more of their shots in the second half, after game number 15, of each of the past two seasons. They are 8-0 ATS in the second half of each of the past two seasons when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game. Loyola is just 10-23 ATS in the second half of each of the past three seasons when facing a team that is averaging 21 or more 4-points hot attempts. |
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03-16-22 | Notre Dame v. Rutgers UNDER 132 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Notre Dame vs Rutgers 9:10 PM EST, March 16, 2022 4% Best Bet Under the posted total Notre Dame and Rutgers will be the participants in the last “Play-In” game prior to the March Madness Insanity begins in earnest Thursday. I thought Rutgers had earned a spot in the bracket by virtue of how well they did play down the stretch. This reflects that the committee only looks at quality of wins and the full-season body of work to give a team a thumbs up or thumbs down vote. I’d like to see more weighting for those teams that played hot down the stretch that would then bump out the teams that finished the regular season in a stumbling manner. The former Big East Conference rivals ended up earning two of the last four at-large bids into the 2022 field and will play each other in a First Four game Wednesday night at Dayton, Ohio. The winner will earn a No. 11 seed and move on to play sixth-seeded Alabama on Friday. This Under bet is backed by a simple to use betting system that has earned a 200-276 Over-Under record good for 58% winning Under bets spanning the last 15 seasons and is on a 19-42 Over-Under record for 69% winning Under bets spanning the last two seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games played in March with a team that allowed 85 or more points in their previous game. Plus, a subset that filters out only the games played with a total between 130 and 135 points that has earned a 17-33 Over-Under record good for 67% winning Under bets over the last 15 seasons. |
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03-16-22 | Blazers v. Knicks -12 | Top | 98-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Portland vs NY Knicks 7:30 ET 4% best bet on the NY Knicks minus the points Portland is 9-23 ATS when facing teams allowing 108 or fewer points per game this season. NY is 23-11-1 ATS in home games which playing a team with a losing record over the last two seasons. Portland is 3-12-1 ATS when playing their sixth game in the past 2 weeks (14 days). Knicks are 12-2 ATS after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games over the last two seasons. |
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03-13-22 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 152 | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Iowa vs Purdue 3:30 PM EST, March 13, 2022 4% bet on the UNDER in this Big Ten Championship matchup. Iowa’s offense was quite good at the beginning of the season, but now is monumentally better right now than the first time these two teams met. They play fast ranking 5th nationally averaging 64.6 shots per game and the nation’s best ball handling team sporting 1.74 assists to turnover ratio. However, now the betting total has been overpriced by the betting community and both teams are prone to scoring below their average score per game. Betting the Under in a game being played on a neutral court, with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, after the 15th game of the regular season including Tournament action, and two teams that are allowing 42.5% to 45% shooting on the season has earned an insanely profitable 32-4 Under record good for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons. For March Madness moving forward, totals in the month of March ranging between 150 and 159.5 points, in games being played on a neutral site have gone 176-128-6 Under for 58% winners since 2006. In April games, the Under is 5-1. |
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03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Golden State 10-Unit “Total of the Year” UNDER the posted total. This line opened at 231.5 points and has moved up to 234.5 points making this a terrific betting opportunity for all of us. I emphasize betting opportunity, not a LOCK, or guaranteed to win nonsense. These plays hit at 65% to 70% over the course of a calendar year in All Sports and that means that they lose 30 to 35% of the time. So, as I always conclude my shows and I sincerely mean this, “bet with your head and not over it”, is mandatory. Stay disciplined and allow the wins to grind your building profits over the course of the season and not just one single day. Bucks are 24-6-1 Under when playing against a playoff-type team that is winning more than 60% of their games spanning the last two seasons. Betting the Under in games lined at 230 or more points, with a team coming off a road win and a matchup in which both teams have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current season has produced a 27-3 Under record for 85% winning bets and is a perfect 15-0 Under record spanning the last three seasons. 24 of the games bet over the last five seasons has gone Under the total by at least seven points. |
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03-08-22 | Canisius +3.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 50-72 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Canisius vs Fairfield 4% best bet on Canisuis This matchup involves a first-round game in the Metro Atlantic Tournament being held at the Boardwalk in Atlantic City, NJ. Canisius is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are attempting an average of 21 or more three-point shots per game on the season and after the 15th game of the regular season. Fairfield is 3-13 ATS After a combined score of 115 or fewer points were scored. In games played over the last three seasons. They are also 3-15 ATS after A game in which they made 20% or worse, of their three point shot attempts in games played over the last three seasons. Take Canisius as a 4% Best Bet |
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03-08-22 | Rider -1 v. Manhattan | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Rider vs Manhattan 4% best bet on the Rider Broncos at pick-em or better This is a first-round matchup in the Metro Atlantic Tournament being contested on the Boardwalk in Atlantic City. Rider is 7-1 ATS after three straight games in which they forced the opponents to commit 14 or fewer turnovers in games played this season. Manhattan is 6-18 ATS after three consecutive conference games have been played in each of the last three seasons. Rider is 17-6-1 ATS After playing two consecutive games. Installed as an underdog in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
NC State vs Clemson Here is a highly profitable betting system that has earned a 62-25-2 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent and werepriced as a favorite and with that opponent coming off two consecutive wins by five or fewer points to conference rivals. Clemson is 3-14 ATS in road games in road games after three consecutive games where the opponent grabbed 31 or fewer rebounds. |
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02-28-22 | Wolves -1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 PM EST 5% best bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to continue their climb in the Western Conference standings with a win over the Eastern Conference Cleveland Cavaliers set to tip-off at 7:10 PM EST at the Rocket Mortgage Field House. Cleveland has relied on their defense that ranks best in the Association allowing an average of 102.3 points per game. The Wolves have the 6th best scoring offense in the league averaging 113.1 points per game. The problem I have with the Cleveland defense is that it is based on slowing the pace of play to a crawl. They rank 30th in the league averaging 84.8 shot attempts per game so the defensive points allowed per game would be higher based on 100 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the NBA allowing 106.4 points per game per 100 possessions per game. Cleveland is an average defensive rebounding team and this is where the Wolves have a major advantage and will have many more second chance scoring opportunities than the Cavaliers. The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2% on the season. Cavaliers are just 33-50 ATS when facing good teams like the Wolves that are averaging at least 23 assists per game and 12-28 ATS when facing teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. Plus, they are a dismal 3-16 ATS after failing to cover four or more consecutive games over the past two seasons and 0-8 ATS following a game in which they were called for 10 or fewer fouls than their opponent. From my predictive models, I am expecting the Wolves to attempt 90 or more shots and will overcome the Cavaliers attempts to slow the pace of the game. As road favorites including pick-em, the Wolves are 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets when attempt 90 or more shots. Take the Minnesota Wolves for a 5% best bet. |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Dallas vs Golden State 7:30 ET 4% best bet on the Dallas Mavericks plus the points The Warriors had limped into last week's All-Star break having lost four of five games to fall 6 1/2 behind first-place Phoenix. But Golden State returned to action in top form Thursday with a 132-95 road win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Mavs are on a 9-1 ATS win streak when coming off a loss. The Warriors Thompson is listed as questionable, and it appears he will not be in this game tonight. If he does suit up the line may move by as much as three points. I like the Mavs no matter what Thompson’s status becomes. So, a suggested strategy is to bet 50% of your 4% bet size now and then wait till the game is within 30-minutes of tip-off and add the remaining 50% amount. Mavs are 21-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 26-8 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on road underdogs in the second half of the season (after game number 41) that are making 33 to 37% of their three-point shots, are coming off back-to-backgames in which they made at least 15 3-pointers and now taking on an opponent that allows 33 to 37% 3-point shooting. |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 93-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Penn State 7 ET 4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 219 | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs New York 4% best bet OVER the posted total RJ Barrett will look to build off a career-high performance when the Knicks host James Harden and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden set to tip at 1:00 EST. RJ Barrett's career-high 46 points weren't enough on Friday for the host Knicks, who dropped a 115-100 decision to the Miami Heat. Having him back in the lineup does make the Knicks a much better offensive team. The presence of James Harden has been impressive despite being just a 1-game sample size. Still, I think the 76ers are a team that is one of the best offensive ones in the NBA and are capable of averaging 120+ points when Jarden is in the lineup. Betting the Over in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games (Knicks), and has a losing record on the season has earned a 85-39 Over record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. 76ers are 43-242 Over for 64% in road games and coming off a 20+ point blowout win over the past 25 seasons, and when priced as a road favorite are 21-11-1 Over for 66% winners. |
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02-21-22 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
West Virginia vs TCU TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game. The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons. |
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02-16-22 | Nets +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% 10- UNIT best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. 5% 5-UNIT NBA Game of the Month JR is nailing the NBA and is on a 73% ATS win streak and his last 5% was a Big-Time winner when the 76ers favored by 6.5 points defeated the Spurs 119-100 and that was his only 5% release in the NBA. This one is reinforced by a highly profitable betting system that has hit 70% winners and includes a subset that is a remarkable 20-5 ATS for 80% winners spanning the last five seasons. Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Alabama 4% Best Bet on Alabama minus the points This is a matchup in which the market has overvalued Arkansas and undervalued Alabama. Arkansas has won 9 straight games and are 8-2 ATS over the last 10 games. The Tide is 156-9 on the season and have covered 9 of those games while losing 14 and are just 2-8 ATS over their last 10. Arkansas is coming off a program hallmark in defeating then No.1 Auburn 80-76 on their home floor as 1.5-point underdogs. So, an overall performance regression is likely for Arkansas. Tide was ranked 14th in the preseason polls and as high as No. 6 in the poll released the week of December 13. They have not been ranked in the past 4 weeks and are a team that has all the strengths and talent to regain a ranking in the polls in the weeks ahead. Arkansas is 5-16 ATS off an upset win installed as a home underdog. |
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02-12-22 | St. Joe's +3 v. Massachusetts | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
St. Joes vs UMASS Noon EST SJU is 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing an opponent that is forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers per game. They are 11-3 ATS when facing teams that are committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. SJU head coach Lange is 9-1 ATS following a game in which his Hawks had two or fewer steals. |
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02-12-22 | Texas +6.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Texas vs Baylor Noon 4% best bet on Texas plus the points Texas is 8-1 ATS in road games following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in games played over the last three seasons. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival in games played over the last three seasons. Baylor head coach Drew is just 26-42 ATS after winning 15 or more of his Bears last 20 games. Texas skipper Beard is 13-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season (After Game number 15) facing opponents averaging 16 or more assist per game. |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -10 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Northern Arizona vs Northern Colorado NCU is 14-3 ATS when taking on an opponent that is averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons; 27-14 ATS for full seasons. NAU is just 1-7 ATS this season in games lined between 140 and 149.5 points and 80-112 ATS over the last 25 seasons when playing their second game in three days. NAU head coach Burcar is a money-burning 9-18 ATS with the total between 140 and 149.5 points and just 12-22 ATS playing with revenge. This past Saturday NCU took to the road and defeated NAU 74-71, but failed to cover the number as 5.5 point-favorites. |
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02-07-22 | Arizona -13 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Arizona vs Arizona State 4% best bet on Arizona minus the points. I believe the market is more likely to see bets being placed on ASU getting double digits following their shocking triple overtime win over then-No.3 UCLA Saturday. So, consider betting 50% of your normal bet size right away and then look at the market after 5 EST and add the remaining 50%, hopefully at a lower price tag. ASU is 8-21 ATS when taking on an excellent ball handling team that is averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last two seasons. ASU is 5-14 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. Arizona is 8-1 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149 points this season. ASU is 25-44 ATS when priced as a double-digit underdog over the last 25 seasons. |
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02-07-22 | Suns v. Bulls +7.5 | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix vs Chicago Bulls are coming off a 119-108 home loss to the 76ers, in which Embiid scored 40 points. He was not the high scorer in the game as DeMar DeRozan scored 45 points including 9 rebounds and 7 assists. The Bull have been playing without forward Zach Levine, who is suffering from back spasms. I do expect the Bulls to bounce back from the loss Sunday and get the ATS win tonight. They are 19-7 SU, 17-9 ATS for 65% winning bets in their home games this season. Here is a highly profitable and consistent NBA betting system that has earned a 74-40 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on teams that have exceeded the total by at least 6 points in each of their last five games and now facing a conference opponent. Plus, if our team (Bulls) is playing on back-to-back nights, they improve to 13-6 ATS for 68.4% winning bets. |
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02-07-22 | Heat v. Wizards +6.5 | Top | 121-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Miami vs Washington Wizards are 43-22 ATS 67% in home games taking on a guest that is averaging at least 23 assists per game in games played over the last three seasons. Wizards are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 95 or fewer points in their previous game in games played over the last two seasons. On Saturday, the Wizards lost badly 95-80 as 8-point dogs to the juggernaut Phoenix Suns. From the predictive models there is a high probability that the Wizards will get at least 48 rebounds. In past games, the Wizards are 7-2 ATS this season and 31-13 ATS the last three seasons when they have had 48 or more boards. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 225.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Toronto vs Charlotte 4% best bet OVER the Total Raptors are 29-18 OVER when facing teams that are averaging fewer than 21 free throws per game this season. Betting the OVER with a team that is coming off two or more consecutive OVER games, is a solid defensive team allowing 104 to 108 PPG and now facing an opponent that is a poor defensive team allowing 114 to 119 PPG has earned a 57-29 OVER record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -7.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra Hofstra is 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets when taking on an opponent with a winning record in games played over the last three seasons. They are 26-12 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts and 33-16 ATS coming off a home win and scoring 85 or more points. |
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02-06-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 137-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs LA Clippers 4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points This simple to use NBA betting system has earned an outstanding 37-12 for 77% winning bets ATS record over the last 25 seasons and has not lost ATS over the past five seasons. Bet on road favorites in a non-conference matchup that is facing a host that is coming off a win of not more than three points over a divisional foe. Over the last 10 seasons, this betting angle has produced an incredible 13-2 ATS record good for 87% winning bets. |
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02-06-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Dallas 4% bet on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points. The following is a money-making betting system that has earned a 55-28 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on losing record teams that have won five or six of their past seven games and in a matchup with the line between the 3’s. Plus, if our team involved in this matchup is the road team, they improve to 11-2 SU and ATS for 85% winning tickets. Here is a second supporting algorithm that has done quite well over the last five seasons sporting a 50-30 ATS record and 64% winning tickets. Bet on teams that are lined within the 3’s and are coming off a double-digit road loss and now taking on a host that they defeated in their last matchup. |
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02-06-22 | Monmouth -3.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Monmouth vs Quinnipiac Betting on road favorites including pick-em that are coming off win of three or fewer points and facing a shot that has allowed 75 or more points in three consecutive games has earned a 42-19 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Monmouth is 7-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this season. Quinnipiac is 5-17 ATS in the second half of each of the last 10 seasons when facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 80%. Quinnipiac’s defense has fallen completely apart over their last three games. They allowed 87 points in a 94-87 win over Marist, then lost their two previous games on the road 85-76 to Sienna and then 83-74 at St. Peters. |
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02-05-22 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 129.5 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
UCLA vs Arizona State 4% best bet OVER the posted total Betting the OVER involving a home team that allowed 33% or worse opponent shooting in their last two games and in a matchup of two teams average at least 60 shots per game has earned a highly profitable 31-7 OVER record good for 82% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 16-4 OVER for 80% winners the last five seasons, and 12-3 OVER for 80% over the last three seasons. UCLA is 8-1 OVER when facing an opponent that is making 42% or fewer of their shots. From the predictive models, UCLA is projected to score at least 75 points and in past games over the last three seasons when they have scored 75 or more points has seen the OVER go 14-2 for 78% winning bets. When ASU has allowed 75 or more points, the OVER has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets spanning the last 3 seasons. |
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02-05-22 | Nebraska-Omaha +3.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Nebraska- Omaha vs North Dakota Nebraska is 6-0 ATS over the last two seasons facing solid free throw shooting teams making 72% or more and when the game occurred after game number 15. Nebraska is 15-5 ATS facing a suspect defense allowing opponents a 48% or higher shooting percentage. North Dakota is 0-6 ATS when facing a team with a losing record this season and 1-8 ATS the past two seasons facing a foe that is allowing 77 or more PPG. |
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02-05-22 | Towson v. Northeastern +5.5 | Top | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Towson State vs Northeastern 2:00 EST 4% on Northeastern plus the points Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have been beaten by the spread by 42 points in total spanning their last seven games and taking on a host that has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games has earned a 63-25 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 22-9 ATS over the last five seasons, and 10-5 over the last three seasons. Take the Northeastern Huskies |
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02-05-22 | Fordham +5.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Fordham vs St. Joes 1:00 EST Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that has seen their last seven games play under by a total of 48 or more points and is now facing an opponent after their last three games went over the posted totals by a combined 30 points has earned a 74-41 ATS record for 64% winners over the last five seasons. Fordham is also 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last three seasons facing a team that averages 12 or fewer forced turnovers per game. |
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01-29-22 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky vs Kansas 10-UNIT game of the Month on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points. There are monumental traditions in this matchup starting with the head coaches. Calipari got his start in NCAA coaching at Kansas under Larry Brown, even met his wife at Kansas. Bill Self has been the head coach of Kansas for 19 seasons and got his start as a graduate assistant the year after Calipari left Kansas. How fate sometimes knows exactly what IT is doing. Now, the two winningest programs in Division-1 history face off with only a three-game deficit separating Kentucky (2,343-732) and Kansas (2,340-873) Jayhawk OchaiAgbaji has established himself as one of the nation's top threats and is coming off a career-high 37 points in a double-overtime win Monday against No. 13 Texas Tech. He presents all sorts of matchup problems for the Wildcats tonight. Agbaji averages 21.3 points, and Christian Braun chips in 15.3. No other Jayhawks average double figures, which reflects their significant depth, a strength Self taps using different combinations. The many different combinations that Self uses throughout any game is impossible for an opposing coach to match even if they do have a strong bench. Wildcats are just 7-22 ATS in road games with a posted total ranging between 150 and 159.5 points and 5-15 ATS following three consecutive conference games. Jayhawks are 32-15-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games and 68-36 ATS following a game in which they allowed 80 or more points and 33-16-1 ATS after allowing 85 or more points. Moreover, they are 42-24-2 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 80 or more points. In their previous game Kansas needed overtime to defeat Texas Tech 94-91. From my predictive models the following angles represent the projections for this game. Kentucky is just 24-55 ATS in road games allowing the host 47% or better shooting; 4-30 ATS 12% in road games allowing 80 to 86 points and 9-48 ATS 16% allowing 80 or more points in a road game. Kansas is 18-4-1 ATS 82% when scoring 80 or more points. |
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01-22-22 | Pacers v. Suns -12 | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Indiana vs Phoenix This is the 4th road game of their scheduled 5-game travel through the Western Conference. They defeated the Lakers 111-104 as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday and then defeated the Warriors, who had almost all starters given the night off, 121-117 as 13.5-point dogs. The status of those starters was announced just prior to the tip and the market had a very small window of time to adjust. I think Phoenix will not bench any starters and will not overlook the Pacers tonight. Pacers are just 20-35 ATS facing teams that are making at least 37% of their three-point shot attempts spanning the last three seasons. Also, betting against underdogs that are coming off back-to-back upset wins has earned a 196-133-6 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and if the dog is playing their third or more consecutive road game installed as a double-digit underdog has seen our favorite earn a highly profitable 22-10 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. |
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01-09-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Bet on road favorites that are taking on a host that led at the half of their last game by 20 or more points. This simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 98-46-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and is 12-6 ATS for 767% winners over the last five seasons. Dallas has been a money-losing 9-22 ATS in home games after winning their previous game on the road spanning the past three seasons. They are also a weak 4-15 ATS in home games and have covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Spurs vs 76ers The 76ers are back to full strength and appear to have the COVID-19 problems that inflicted the team a month ago in their rearview mirrors. They have won five consecutive games and will looking to make it six straight tonight against the Spurs at the Wells Fargo Arena. Embiid, who recently was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Month, has at least 30 points in all five wins. The Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, but this style works against them in a big way having to defend Embiid in the paint or out beyond the arc. Embiid has a complete all-around game going for him and his teammates and is simply unstoppable. The Spurs, Dejounte Murray came off the COVID-19 list and produced 22 points in the Spurs' 99-97 win over the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Murray had been out for 10 days, including five games. The Spurs lost four consecutive games and failed to cover the spread in three of the four losses, while Murray was out. With Murray back in action, the market is giving us the opportunity to ’buy’ the 76ers at a cheap price and I see them winning this game by double-digits. From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 110 points and have 14 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the 76ers met or exceeded these measures, they went on to earn a 72-26 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons and when installed as a 4.5 to 9.5 point home favorite has produced a 37-1 SU record and 30-8 ATS record for 79% winning bets. Take the 76ers. |
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12-30-21 | 76ers +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
76ers vs Nets The Nets got James Harden back on the roster late last week and his first two games were dominating and reminded me of his days with the Houston Rockets. However, the story now shifts with the probable return of KD to the lineup and how he and more importantly he and James will play together on the same court tonight. The Nets also got rotation players DeAndre' Bembry, Bruce Brown and James Johnson back over the weekend and LaMarcus Aldridge is also expected to play Thursday. The 76ers have been more at full strength in the past week then at any time over the past month. The line opened with the Nets priced as a 3.5-point home favorite and the news of KD’s return has seen a steam move to –5.5 points. The total opened at 217 and the news has since forced the market to move higher now at 222.5 points. Betting on teams fresh off a road win over a divisional foe and playing their third game in five days has produced a solid 23-10-1 ATS record for 70% winners over the last five seasons and 17-6 ATS over the last three seasons for 74% winners. |
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12-15-21 | Wizards -2.5 v. Kings | Top | 105-119 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Wizards vs Kings 10:00 EST 12-15 4-Unit best bet on the Wizards minus the points Kings opened as 1-point favorites and now the market has moved three points through pick to make Wizards a 2-point favorite. I fully agree with the market movement and so do my predictive models. Betting on road teams that have lost five or more of their last seven games with a winning record on the season and facing a losing record team has done well earning a 33-9 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Wizards have lost five of the last six games and failed to cover in all but one of them. That lone game was a push in a 116-110 road loss at Indiana. Kings have lost three straight games and have a losing 11-17 record for the season. |
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12-15-21 | Nebraska-Omaha +20 v. UNLV | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Nebraska – Omaha vs UNLV 10:00 EST 12-15 4-Unit best bet on Nebraska – Omaha plus 19.5 points. The bet is valid if Nebraska-Omaha (NOU) is a 17.5-point or greater underdog. When is a nine-game losing streak a good thing? When the team we are betting is in a nine-game slide and there is a 77% ATS 25-year money-making machine supporting them. This angle has hit 77% ATS winners for the last 25 seasons on a 31-10 ATS record over the last 25 seasons and is 14-4 ATS over the last five seasons and is 4-0 ATS the past three seasons. Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that have lost their last nine games in the month of December. The losing streak start in November, but the current game must be played in December. |
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12-06-21 | Presbyterian v. Morehead State OVER 121.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Presbyterian vs Morehead State 7:00 PM EST, December 6, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER My predictive models are suggesting that 130 or more points will be scored in this game. They also project that Morehead State will shoot at least 47% from the field and Presbyterian will have fewer turnovers than Morehead State and make at least seven 3-pointers. Presbyterian is 6-0 OVER in games where they made 6 or more 3-point shots. Morehead State is 19-7 OVER the past three seasons and 75-52 OVER the past 20 seasons when they have shot 47% or better from the field. Love the OVER |
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12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Houston vs Oklahoma City 8:00 PM EST, December 1, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total Here is an NBA betting angle with specific parameters that has been extraordinarily consistent over 25 seasons. Bet the UNDER in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points in a matchup of teams that struggle from long range and make no better than 33% of those shots and with both teams in the matchup having average rebound differentials between -3 and +3 for the season. Over the last 25 seasons this set of parameters has earned a 47-11 ATS record for 81% winning bets and is a perfect 16-0 over the last five seasons. |
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07-17-21 | Bucks +4 v. Suns | Top | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns 9:00 ET. July 17, 2021 4-Unit Best bet on the Milwaukee Bucks plus the points I like making these types of underdogs a combination wager comprised of 80% of your normal 4-UNIT bet size on the line and 20% more on the money line. Over the course of a season, the money line bet will outperform the spread-only wager. From my predictive models, the Bucks are expected to shoot better, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio over the Suns. In past games, in which the Bucks met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a remarkable 106-1 SU and 94-11-2 ATS for 90% winning bets over the last 3 seasons. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | Top | 100-120 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks I will get right to it and the models are heavily on the OVER in Game-3 of the 2021 NBA Finals. Betting the OVER with a home team in a game with a total of 220 or more points, that has lost three consecutive times to the current opponent and playing their fourth game in the past 10 days has earned a 74-37-3 record OVER in regular and post-season games spanning the past five seasons. If the game is a playoff game, then the OVER is a near-perfect 14-1 OVER for 93% winning bets. In addition, home favorites of not more than 4-points and including all home dogs and having no more than 4-days between their previous series game have earned a 32-10-1 OVER record for 62% winning bets. From the predictive tools, the Bucks re expected to attempt at least 90 shots in Game-3 and over the past three seasons, they are 49-28-1 OVER for 64% winning bets when playing at this fast pace. They were the fastest paced team in the NBA this season. In road games, the Suns are 31-15-2 OVER when their opponent has attempted at least 90 shots over the past three seasons. Bet the OVER as a 5-UNIT Best Bet |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
LA Clippers (56 - 33) At Phoenix (62 - 24) Monday, 6/28/2021 9:00 PM Western Conference - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 5 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points Betting on home favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a game in which they held the opponent to 35% or worse shooting in games played over the last five seasons has earned a 31-6 SU record and 29-8 ATS for 78% winning bets. The UNDER is a solid 23-14 record for 62.2% wins. The predictive models and machine learning applications predict that Phoenix will score at least 112 points and make at least 85% of their free throws. In past home games, in which the Suns met or exceeded this pair of measures has produced a 22-11 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Phoenix vs LA Clippers Game – 4 of the Western Conference Finals Saturday, 6/26/2021 9:00 PM EST 5- UNIT Best Bet on the Clippers using the money line. Bet on home teams that are facing a foe that has covered 8 or more of their last 10 games and is playing only their 4th game in the past 10 games has earned a 26-14 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons and a remarkable 10-3 ATS for 77% in the playoffs. Phoenix is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 or more points to a divisional rival in games played over the last 3 seasons. From the predictive side of things, the Clippers are 50-11 ATS for 82% winning bets in home games when scoring 112 or more points and having a better 3-point shooting percentage than their opponent. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Milwaukee 8:30 PM EST, 6-25-21 NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta does not fare well against teams, like Milwaukee, who defend the perimeter to contest shots, and not look to clog the passing lanes looking for steals. The Hawks are just 8-21 ATS in road games when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. Betting on favorites that are revenging a previous loss installed as a favorite of 7 or more points and is now facing an opponent that is coming off two or more upset wins has earned an outstanding 55-23 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the last 20 NBA seasons. When this situation has occurred in the playoffs, the record has been 20-6 SU, 17-9 for 65% ATS, and the UNDER 18-8. Bet the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points. |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Game-5 Eastern Conference Playoffs 7:30 PM EST, June 16, 2021 4-unit Best Bet on the 76ers minus the points Embiid is expected to play tonight and I recommend making this bet about 10-minutes prior to game time. Another option, which is what I will do, is bet 50% of my normal 4% amount at 4:00 ET and then look to add 25% in-game at 76ers +3.5 and then 25% 76ers at pick-em. Another in-game strategy is bet the 76ers line after the Hawks score 10 or more unanswered points. All of the these betting strategies are valid just for the first-half. Atlanta shot 37% from the field in their 103-100 win in Game-4. Note that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that shot less than 40% in the previous game which they won are just 10-34 SU and 17-27 ATS for 38% and 27-17 UNDER. Not a recommendation for the UNDER on my part. Philadelphia will get it done in game-5 no matter how many minutes Embiid plays tonight. My machine learning models predict that the 76ers will score at least 117 points. The implied final score based on a 224 point total and the 76ers favored by 7 points is a 76ers 116-108 home win. In past home games in which the 76ers scored at least 115 points and had more fast break points than their guest did has earned an incredible 42-3 SU record, 37-8 ATS mark for 82% winning bets and 32-13 to the OVER. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers -120 v. Hawks | Top | 127-111 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
June 11, 2021, Best Bets Philadelphia vs Atlanta Friday, 6/11/2021 at 7:30 PM 4-UNIT Best bet on the 76ers using the money line Let’s start with a tried-and-true betting angle that has earned a 24-10 ATS record for 71.2% winning bets over the past five seasons including the playoffs. The requirements are to bet on a team involved in a game lined within 3.5 points on either side of pick-em and is facing an elite opponent that has won 12 of their last 15 games. This backs the 76ers. From the predictive models, there is a high expectation that the 76ers will exceed 115 points in this game, have fewer turnovers, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which the 76ers met or exceeded these expectations has earned bettors backing the 76ers a solid 99-12 SU and 88-24 ATS for 78.2% winning bets over the last five seasons including the playoffs. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets -110 | Top | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Brooklyn Monday, 6/7/2021 7:30 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Nets The money line is the way to go on this play given the skinny line right now pricing the Nets as 1.5-point home favorites. Pinnacle (Pinny) is offering a money line price of -111 currently and is cheaper than other books line price of -1.15 with -110 vig. This play will be graded as a money line play. Nets are a solid 36-15 ATS when they have faced an opponent that has made 46% or more of their shot attempts this season; 16-9 ATS after game number 41 of this. Season and many of those games did not have the big-3 on the court together. Betting on home teams using the money line after game number 41, in a matchup of excellent ball handling teams committing no more than 14.5 turnovers-per-game, are excellent free throw shooting teams making at least 79% of their attempts, and the opponent has made 70 to 75% of their free throw attempts on the season has earned an outstanding 73% winning bets on a 77-29 record spanning the last five seasons. Moreover, since the rise in scoring that started three seasons previous and has averaged 111 to 112.1 PPG, the previous betting angle has earned an outstanding 46-10 SU record good for 82% winning bets. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 128-124 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Sunday, 6/5/2021 1:00 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER Getting right to the point, the UNDER sports a perfect 11-0 UNDER record in Game-1 of a playoff series spanning the past five seasons. Three seasons past, the NBA scoring average jumped from 106 PPG to 111 PPG and has inched higher in each of the last three seasons to this seasons 112.2 PPG. So, it is important that the aforementioned angle is considering only the past five seasons because previous to that slice of games, there were few playoff games with totals of 220 or more points. The 76ers will be without Joel Embiid for at least this game and clearly points to head coach Doc Rivers putting 100% of the focus on the 76ers tremendous defensive presence led by Ben Simmons and Matisse Thybulle. Simmons started Game-5 as the Center in their close-out and dominating win over the Washington Wizards. Moreover, as I had suggested for weeks on the Predictive Playbook shows (Monday through Friday starting at 4:15 ET), the 76ers finally started Thybulle and it worked better than my expectations. Atlanta’s best player is Trey Young and all season long, Simmons has been assigned to defend the best player on the opponent’s team. No doubt this will happen once again in this game and the series. Earlier this season, Simmons, defended Yannis and held him to career lows in scoring for a first half and the Bucks scored just 29 pts in that first-half of action. The Knicks are listed as the best defensive unit in the Eastern Conference, but that is before you factor in [pace-of play, which the 76ers play much faster tempo than the Knicks have this season. The 76ers are the best defensive unit by a large margin in the Eastern Conference and that defense will come to the forefront this afternoon. The Hawks are 6-1 UNDER when revenging two double-digit losses to the current opponent. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks v. Nets -4 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Brooklyn Saturday, 6/5/2021 7:30 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets Let’s start with a betting angle that has earned a solid 64-33 record for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on home teams (Nets) in a matchup of winning record teams and now facing an opponent has covered the spread in their last three games installed as a favorite. The Nets are 30-14-1 ATS when facing an opponent that is making at least 46% of their shot attempts on the season in this season. They are also 35-16-2 ATS this season when facing a team that is scoring at least 112 PPG (League Average). The machine learning applications predict that the Nets will score at least 115 points in this game. The Bucks are just 15-33 SU and 7-41 ATS in road games and have allowed at least 115 points spanning games played over the last three seasons. |
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06-04-21 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
LA CLIPPERS (49 - 28) at DALLAS (45 - 32) Friday, 6/4/2021 9:00 PM 5-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER The American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas, will be filled with passionate Maverick fans, but the LA Clippers will still be considered the favorites in this Game-6 Elimination game despite trailing 3-2 in the series. Granted, 2-points is not much of a road favorite, and I do see the Mavericks as undervalued by the betting markets. The last time the first five games of an NBA playoff series went to the visitors was the 1994-95 season Western Conference finals between the San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets, which the Rockets did win 4-2 and then went on to sweep the Orlando Magic in four games for the NBA Championship. Houston won on the road by 21 points at San Antonio and then closed at the series in Houston in Game-6 by the final score of 100-95. The following NBA Betting angle is one of my more complex mathematical gems, but it is not that difficult to understand. What matters I that the angle has won 68% of the UNDER bets made over the last five seasons on a remarkable 74-35-2record. Bet the under with a road team playing with revenge. The road team’s average points scored in their road games added to the opponents average points allowed in their home games is 2.5% greater than the posted total. The UNDER has won the money in at least 50% of the opponent’s home games on the season. This set of game parameters has gone an incredible 20-2-2 for 91% winning UNDER best in the 2020 season including winning the last 10 games. This season, Dallas is 17-3 UNDER when facing an opponent that is making 48% or more of their field goal attempts; 10-3 UNDER when facing teams making at least 39% of their 3-point shot attempts and 6-2 UNDER since the mid-point of the 2020 regular season. |
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05-31-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 230 | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
PHILADELPHIA (52 - 23) at WASHINGTON (35 - 42) Monday, 5/31/2021 7:00 PM Game-4 First Round 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total. The 76ers certainly have dominated this series over the first three games and there is little reason to believe this series will extend beyond tonight’s game. However, the UNDER is the preferred best bet to make. Betting on the UNDER with all teams where the total is 230 or more points after having won four or five of their last six games, and is playing no more than their 6th game in the past 14 days. The 76ers are 13-3 to the UNDER when on the road in a game with a total of 230 or more points over the past three seasons. Over the past 25 season, the 76ers are 18-4 UNDER in Game-4 of a playoff series. The Wizards are 15-7 UNDER coming off a double-digit loss this season. Bet the UNDER in Game-4. If the total is below 230, it does not invalidate this bet. So, even if it is 228 points, for instance, the bet is on the UNDER. |
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05-30-21 | Nets -7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 141-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
BROOKLYN (50 - 25) at BOSTON (38 - 38) Sunday, 5/30/2021 7:00 PM NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points and with that opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points has earned a highly profitable 42-11 SU and 37-14-2 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Brookyln is 32-17 ATS (+1370 per $100 bet) when facing teams scoring at or above the NBA League average of 112 or more points-per-game this season. Boston is just 4-18 ATS (-1550 per $100 bet) when facing teams who average 7 or fewer steals-per-game this season. Plus, Boston is just 7-22 ATS in home games facing defensive teams forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in the second half of each of the last three seasons. Take the Brooklyn Nets minus the points. |
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05-29-21 | Jazz -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 9:30 PM ET Game 3: Series tied 1-1 Jazz @ Grizzlies FedExForum, Memphis, TN 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points This series is tied at 1-game a piece, but Utah is clearly the much better team in this matchup with the Grizzlies. What I like most, is that the Jazz have produced a 0.31 free throw to field goal attempt ratio. This means that they are taking 31% of the total field goals attempted over the first two games, and means they are getting to the charity stripe at a high rate. The Jazz will look to get this ratio to an evem higher level, which puts the Grizzlies in potential foul trouble in the first half. The Grizzlies are not nearly as deep as the Jazz and it will be a monumental advantage to the Jazz if they make more free throws than the Grizzlies. From the predictive side of things, the ML models project that the Jazz will shoot at least 48% from the field and make at least 20 free throws. Over the past three seasons, playoff teams that have met or erxceeded these performance measures have earned a 48-8 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the last three playoff seasons. Bet the Utah Jazz as a 8-UNIT Best Bet minus the points. |
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05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 228 | Top | 132-103 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 7:00 PM ET Game 3: PHI leads series 2-0 76ers @ Wizards Capital One Arena, Washington, DC The 76ers have dominated the Wizards through the first two games and there is no reason not to expect that domination again here in Game-3. The 76ers are the best defensive team in the NBA, in my opinion, and will focus even more attention on the defensive end in this road game. This season, the 76ers are 13-4 UNDER when facing an opponent that averages a minimum of six or more made 3-point shots-per-game OR attempts an average of 18 3-point shot attempts-per-game. Betting the UNDER in a playoff game with a total of at least 225 or more points and one of the teams averages at least 7 steals-per-game has earned a 27-17-1 UNDER record good for 61% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Plus, 76ers are 15-4 UNDER in a road game and coming off an UNDER game this season. Ben Simmons and Matisse Thybulle are two of the best defensive players in the NBA. Simmons is a definite contender for the Defensive Player of the Year award and Thybulle’s defensive measures are insanely good because he is averaging about 20-minutes-per-game. His minutes are increasing in the playoffs and despite being a guard, he is averaging a series-leading 3.5 blocks-per-game. In addition to his defensive prowess, Simmons has averaged a triple-double in this series averaging 12 assists-per-game, 12 rebounds-per-game, and 14 PPG. Simmons is very strong 6-11 point guard and Bradley Beal has admitted that it is much more difficult to score poinnts when he is defended by Simmons. My machine learning applications are ex[ecting no more than 88 shot attempts by the 76ers. They are 18-6 UNDER for 75% winning bets, this season, when they have attempted no more than 88 shots. Bet the UNDER in Game-3 |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets +5 v. Blazers | Top | 95-115 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 4:00 PM ET Game 4: DEN leads series 2-1 Nuggets @ Trail Blazers Moda Center, Portland, OR 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets plus the points and sproinkle a bit more on the money line. Denver, despite its injuries, took back home court with a win in Game 3 Thursday night in Portland. The Trail Blazers went ice-cold from beyomd the arc in their 120-115 loss, shooting 14-for-45, and the Nuggets took advantage by having made the defensive adjustments they did for Gasme-3. I do not see Portland being able to offset the adjustments that Denver made in game-3 and they are expected to lose this game at home. With a Game-4 win, Denver then will have a home elimination game for Game-5. Denver has gotten the usual stellar performance from MVP favorite Nikola Jokic, but it has been the role players who have given the Nuggets an edge in the series. Campazzo nearly had a triple-double in Game 3 (11 points, eight rebounds and eight assists) and took a borderline charge on Nurkic, who fouled out in the fourth quarter. Campazzo is a 30-year-old NBA rookie who has been thrust into a starting role with injuries to Murray, Will Barton and PJ Dozier, and he has responded extremely well. Denver has excellent ball movement and Portland is just 18-32 ATS in home games when facing teams averaging 23 or more assists-per-game over the last two seasons. Denver is 12-4 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Portland is 4-12 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more over two straight games this season. From the predictive side of my machine learning apps, Denver is expected to score at least 115 points in this game. In road games installed as an underdog, the Nuggets have earned a 10-7 SU record and 13-4 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons. Bet the Denver Nuggets as a 4-UNIT best bet plus the points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -8 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
WASHINGTON (35 - 40) at PHILADELPHIA (50 - 23) Wednesday, 5/26/2021 7:00 PM Game-2 of the First Round 10-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points. The 76ers are a solid 22-13-1 ATS in home games and facing a team that is averaging 112 or more PPG in games played over the last two seasons. Wizards are 18-35 ATS in road tilts after having lost two of their last three games spanning the last three seasons. 76ers are a highly profitable 16-6 ATS in home games coming off an ATS loss and with a total of 220 or more points over the last two seasons. A lot of negative news out about how poorly he played on the offensive end down the stretch. He did have 15 rebounds and 15 assists BUT did go 0-for-6 from the charity stripe. However, the 76ers are 55-38-2 for 59% following a game in which Ben Simmons made no more than one free throw. The 76ers are 25-14 ATS for 64% winning bets coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored fewer than 10 points and 16-8 ATS in home games coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored less than 10 points. 76ers are a remarkable 21-4 ATS for 84% winning bets in home games and coming off a home game in which Ben Simmons had 10 or more assists. Including, 14-1 SU and ATS coming a home game getting at least 10 assists and now his team is at home installed as a favorite of 4.5 to 9.5 points. My models are predicting that the 76ers will score at least 118 points and make at least 33% of their 3-point shot attempts. In past games, when the 76ers met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 43-4 SU and 33-14 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past three seasons. Take the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points. |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
LA LAKERS (43 - 31) at PHOENIX (52 - 21) Tuesday, 5/25/2021 10:00 PM Western Conference - First Round – Best-Of -7 - Game 2 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER The Lakers are: 30-12 UNDER when facing 3-point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 13-4 UNDER when facing elite shooting teams making 48% or more of their shots this season. Bet the UNDER with any team where the total is greater than or equal to 205 points, after going under the total by more than 22 points in their previous game, a good team with a win percentage between 60% to 75% and is playing a team with a winning record. This system has earned a 78-30-8 UNDER for 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. If the total is 225 or lower, the record has been 52-21-6 for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons. If the game is taking place in the playoffs, the record has been 10-5-2 UNDER over the last three seasons. So, here is one of my more advanced betting angles that has produced a 107-48-6 UNDER record good for 69% winning bets. The average points scored in road games by the road team and the average points scored by the home team in their home games is at least 2.5% greater than the current posted total, and the team (Lakers) lost the previous matchup, and the opponent (Suns) has seen the UNDER win 40% or more in their home games on the season. |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 107-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
ATLANTA (41 - 31) at NEW YORK (41 - 31) Sunday, 5/23/2021 7:00 PM 5-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER Betting the UNDER in a game with a total between 210 and 219.5 points and a team is coming off back-to-back double-digit home wins and revenging a loss to the current opponent, who scored 112 or more points in that loss has earned a solid 34-11 UNDER record for 76% winning bets. Betting the UNDER in the following situational betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-11-1 record for 70% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet UNDER in the first game of the Round 1 playoffs in which the previous matchup between the two teams went OVER the posted total. If the total has been 210 or more points, the record has been 11-3 UNDER for 80% winning bets. From the predictive metrics, the Knicks are 65-24-1 UNDER for 73% in home games in which their opponent shot 47% or lower from the field and shot 37% or lower from beyond the arc in games played over the last five seasons. |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 213.5 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
LA LAKERS (43 - 30) at PHOENIX (51 - 21) Sunday, 5/23/2021 3:30 PM 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total The Lakers are: 25-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. 29-12 UNDER facing 3 point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season. 34-16 UNDER facing teams scoring an average of 112 or more points-per-game (NBA League Average) this season. 14-1 UNDER after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Betting the UNDER in the following situational betting system has earned a highly profitable 25-11-1 record for 70% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet UNDER in the first game of the Round 1 playoffs in which the previous matchup between the two teams went OVER the posted total. If the total has been 210 or more points, the record has been 11-3 UNDER for 80% winning bets. |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers 1:00 PM EST, May 23, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelpphia 76ers This is the first of many Best Bets in NBA, MLB, and the NHL for Sunday. So, please stop back to get the complete card including a top-rated 5-Unit Game of the Month. All bets will be released by Noon ET. Here are a few of the situational angles that support the 76ers. They are 21-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 24-11 ATS in home games facing faster-paced teams averaging 88 or more shots-per-game over the last two seasons. Betting on home favorites of 2.5 to 9.5 points that are hosting a team they previously defeated by double-digits and with that opponent coming off a double-digit home win has earned a 140-91-5 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 120 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio in this game. In past home games, when the 76ers have met or exceeded these performance measures, has produced a 35-12 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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05-22-21 | Celtics v. Nets -8 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points The Celtics lost all three games to the Nets this season and none of the losses had the star trio of Harden, Durant, and Irving on the floor at the same time. They will be playing only the ninth game together and have played just 203 total minutes together in games played this season. The Celtics are without their best player in Jaylen Brown and all signals point to a best double-digit win. Betting on home teams that have posted three consecutive games with a 2.5 or better assist-to-turnover ratio and facing an opponent that has a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio below 2.0 has earned an outstanding 18-9-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last three seasons. The betting lines ikmply a 119-111 Nets win and the predictive models that I have developed over more than two decades see a high probability that the Nets will score at least 117 points in this game. When scoring 117 or more points in home games, the Nets are 40-10 SU, 34-15-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last three seasons. When allowing 117 or more points in road games, the Celtics are a horrid 3-26 SU, 4-24-1 ATS for 14% in games played over the last three seasons. |
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05-16-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -3 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Memphis vs Golden State The clubs enter the game with identical 38-33 records, tied for eighth in the West, meaning the winner will earn the No. 8 seed and a road game Wednesday against the seventh-seeded club (either the Los Angeles Lakers or Portland), while the loser will host 10th-place San Antonio as the No. 9 seed. Warriors are 17-8 ATS wehen facing a team that averages at least 88 shot attempts-per-game this season; 16-7 ATS when facing teams allowing more than the NBA League average of 112 PPG this seasdon. Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in two oir more consecutive games, and with both teams in the matchup having win percentages between 50 and 60% on the season has earned a 57-28 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets OVER 233.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Chicago Vs Brooklyn 1:05 PM EST, May 15, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER For the first time in 41 games, the dynamic trio of Harden, Irving, and Durant will play together for the Nets as they seek to avoid slipping to the third playoff slot. The Bucks, currently in the third seed, own the tie-breaker over the Nets. So, the strategy will be quite interesting for the later game between the Miami Heat and the Bucks. No team in the East wants to face the Heat in the first round. It is likely the Nets win this game over the Bulls and then we will see how Milwaukee chooses to play this out. There are two scenarios we could see unfold later on Saturday. First, the Bucks playing to win and putting the pressure back to the Nets to play a full lineup Sunday against Cleveland. Second, the Bucks could elect to rest Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton against the Heat and accept the No-3 seed. Nevertheless, the Nets must win this game first, to force the chess matchup to continue with the Bucks. The OVER is supported by an outstanding NBA betting angle that has produced a 22-5-1 OVER record for 82% winning bets spanning the last three seasons. Bet the OVER with a team coming off back-to-back games in which they achieved an elite 2.75 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio, and the gamne is lined at 234 or more points. Even with a total of at least 230 points, the record is still a strong 36-15-2 for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons. We saw last night, the OVER, in the Warriors vs Pelicans game easily eclipse the total of 220 points. The final score was a 125-122 Warriors win without Steph Curry in the game. The news that he was not playing, sent the total plummeting from an opening price of 230 points to 220 points. Betting against these market moves has been a very successful strategy this season. So, if there is news that the big-3 are not playing does not invalidate the strength of this Total. |
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05-02-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 243.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Milwaukee 3:30 PM EST, May 2, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER Based on this matchup, the final score may see well over 250 total points scored. Betting the OVER with a home team where the total; is greater than 200 points that is outscoring their opponents by an average of at least 6 or more PPG on the season and facing a foe that is coming off a brutal loss of 15 or more points has earned an outstanding 7-32-1 SATS record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. In the 2020 NBA season , betting the OVER in games with a total of at least 235 points has earned a remarkable 51-25 record for 67% winning bets. If the total was 240 and higher, the OVER has earned a 17-6-1 ATS for 74% winning bets this season. When the Bucks have been at home with a total of 235 or more, the OVER is a perfect 7-0 ATS. In road games and a total of at least 235 points, the OVER is 7-1 in Nets road games. |
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04-24-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -11.5 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Utah 4-Unit Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points. We are on a double-digit favorite tonight in the NBA action which is rare, but always reinforced by a multitude of facts. I will detail just a few of these facts that support Utah to win this game by at least 18 points. Minnesota is just 13-26 ATS when facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by at least three or more points-per-game on the season; 16-27 ATS when facing a team averaging 111 or more PPG (NBA League Average is 111 PPG) this season. Utah is an outstanding 14-3-1 ATS when facing a team with a terrible defensive presence that is allowing opponents to make 48% or more of their shots from the field in games played this season; 21-9 ATS when facing a poor team that has been poutscored by their opponents by at least six PPG on the season. From the complete analytical research, I am expecting the Jazz to score at least 115 points have the better, and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games in which Utah met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to an outstanding 21-3 ATS record for 88% winning bets over the last three seasons. Bet the Utah Jazz as a 4-UNIT Best Bet minus the points. |
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04-24-21 | Raptors +1 v. Knicks | Top | 103-120 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
Toronto vs New York 4-UNIT best Bet on the Toronto Raptors plus the points or the money line. The betting line is at pick-em for the game at Madison Square Garden, so simply bet either the line or the money line with the lowest vig. Shop around and you will get a line that is not paying more than -110 vig. Toronto has suddenly won four consecutive games and are playing at a high level and facing a New York Knicks team that has been white hot, but vulnerable to regression in this matchup. In this matchup, I think you will see Toronto score at least 110 points and make more 3-pointers than the Knicks. In past road games in which Toronto met or exceeded these measures has seen them go on to earn an outstanding 55-8 SU, and 49-13-1 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past seasons. Bet the Toronto Raptors as a 4-Unit best Bet |
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04-19-21 | Jazz v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Utah vs the LA Lakers 10:00 PM EST, April 19, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the UNDER the posted total Here are a few quick hitter supporting the UNDER. Lakers ar e16-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 25-12 UNDER when playing against a team ytjhat is scoring at or above the league average of 111 points-per-game; 12-4 UNDER when facing solid rebounding teams that are averaging at least three more rebounds than their opponents this season. Betting the UNDER with road teams involved in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points, playing their sixth game in the last 10 days, and revenging a road loss to the current opponent has earned a 62-30-2 record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. Take the UNDER |
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04-18-21 | Pelicans +1 v. Knicks | Top | 112-122 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
New Orleans ve NY Knicks 1:00 PM EST, April 17, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points. Currently, the betting line has the Pelicans installed as a 1-point underdogs and there is positively no value in betting the money line, unless you are getting even-money or as in the case at Pinnacle (+102). So, if unless you are getting +100 or better money, stick with the 1-point spread. Here is a great NBA Betting system that has earned a 92-56-2 ATS record over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that lost the matchup to the current opponent, and is coming off two consecutive upset losses installed as favorites. Filtering only games that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of pick-em returns a 28-16 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Baylor vs Gonzaga 9:00 PM EST, April 5, 2021 4% Best bet UNDER the posted total of 159 points. How in the world is this Championship Game even come close to matching the drama of the UCLA vs Gonzaga semifinal game, which is at the top of the All-Time greatest games in any sport. I do see this game being a physical war between these two juggernaut programs, who were ranked 1 and 2 in the nation throughout the season. Betting on the UNDER in neutral court settings with a total between 150.5 and 160 points in a matchup where the one team, Gonzaga, has scored 75 or more points in at least two consecutive games and now facing an opponent, Baylor, who is coming off a game in which they scored at least 40 or more points in the first-half of their last game has earned a solid 110-57-1 UNDER record for 67% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. If the ‘other’ team, Baylor, has scored 40 or more in two consecutive first-halves, the record moves up to 70% winning bets. |
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04-01-21 | 76ers -9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 114-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Cleveland 4% Best Bet on the 76ers -10 points The 76ers are tied on top of the Eastern Conference standings with the Brooklyn Nets. They have lost 3 consecutive games on two occasions this season and will avert a third such occurrence tonight. They are ending their 6-game road trip and will look to return home with the possibility of Joel Embiid being able to return to the lineup. Cleveland is 7-19 ATS when facing a winning record team this season. The 76ers are an excellent rebounding team. Cleveland is just 11-30 ATS when facing a team that is outrebounding their opponents by an average 3 or more per game. 76ers head coach Doc Rivers is 53-27 ATS for 67% winning bets in his career following a game in which his team had been outrebounded by 15 or more boards. From the machine learning applications, we learn that the 76ers are 66-9 SU and 57-17-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points (league scoring average the last three seasons) and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio than their opponent spanning the last three seasons. |
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03-30-21 | 76ers +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 95-104 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Denver This is a MONEY LINE Betting System that has posted a losing record of 103-182 for 36% winning money line bets, but has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,777 over the last 5 seasons. Bet on road underdogs using the money line that is facing a host, who is outscoring their opponents by a minimum of 3 PPG, and are coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored. If the DOG covered the spread, they the game straight-up 54% of the time. Let me know if you have any questions and TY for putting it together. So, I recommend betting this game using 80% of your normal 4% bet size on the spread and then the 20% remaining bet on the money line. 76ers are 18-5-1 ATS when facing a solid shooting team making at least 46.5% of their shots in game splayed this season. They are also 19-10-2 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 110 or more PPG this season. Since February 21, the 76ers are 11-1 in this role. |
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03-30-21 | USC +8.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
USC vs Gonzaga I am betting Houston at +500 to win the Championship. I also betting USC at +1400 to win the Championship as an alternative sprinkle of USC using the money line in this game. Far more bang for the buck doing it this way. Following game number 15 of the regular season, betting on Neutral court UNDERDOGS that are good defensive teams allowing 63-67 PPG and now facing an elite offensive team scoring at least 77 PPG and coming off a win by 15 or more points has earned a 24-5 ATS record good for 83% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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03-29-21 | Cavs +16 v. Jazz | Top | 75-114 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Utah 9:00 PM EST, March 29, 2021 4% best bet on the Cleveland Cavs +15.5 points Betting on double-digit underdogs, after game number 41, in a matchup of the tale of two teams, with the favorite having outscored their opponents by 7 or more PPG, and the underdog being outscored by 7 or more PPG, has earned a highly profitable 63-45-2 ATS for 58.3% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 21-9 ATS for 75% last five seasons. |
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03-28-21 | Hawks +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 102-126 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Denver 9:00 PM EST, March 28, 2021 4% Best Bet on the Atlanta Hawks +4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. I plan to bet this game on the Hawks with 85% of my 4% bet size on the line and then 15% of my 4% bet size on the money line. These two teams last played in Atlanta, who defeated Denver 123-115 as 2.5-point home underdogs. Denver is 2-10 ATS revenging a road loss this season. They are also just 3-12 ATS in home games after scoring 100 or more points in back-to-back games spanning the past two seasons. From the machine learning applications, we learn that Atlanta is 47-15 and 46-14- 2 ATS for 77% winning bets, in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and had previously defeated the opponent at home. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-76 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Florida State vs Michigan 4% Best Bet on Florida State +2 points or the money line +115 or higher. I will be playing this bet using the money line and it will be graded on the site as a money line play. The line has drifted to the 2-point price level and if you believe FSU is going to win, then the money line offers better value at +115. If the money line is at +110, for instance, then consider a combination wager of FSU +1.5/+2 points for 50% of your normal 4% bet amount and then another 50% betting the money line at +110. In the NCAA Tournament action dating back to the 2009 season (2010 March Madness), betting on underdogs of four or fewer points, that have averaged 72 or fewer possessions-per-game, have earned a 138-88-1 ATS record for 61% winning bets. This system has earned the $100 bettor a profit of $4,332 or a highly profitable 18% return-on-investment (ROI). So far in the NCAA Tournament, this system has done well with a 9-5 ATS for 64% winning bets and a nice 24.2 % ROI. FSU is 21-5-1 ATS when dressed as an underdog of six or fewer points dating back to the 2005 season. FSU head coach Hamilton relishes this underdog role sporting a 12-3 ATS record playing on neutral courts as an underdog of three or fewer points and 19-4 ATS as an underdog of six or fewer points. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga OVER 158.5 | Top | 65-83 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Creighton vs Gonzaga 4% Best Bet OVER the posted total of 158 points. We all have seen many more UNDER results this NCAA Tournament, and with the UNDER a perfect 4-0 UNDER yesterday. These UNDERS combined for going under their respective totals by 78 points in total and is easily above the highest UNDER total for a sweet 16 round since 2010, which occurred in the 2014 tournament and a total of 38 points. For this matchup, the OVER is the play based on my research and machine learning applications. The line and total imply a Gonzaga 86-73 win today over Creighton. The ML apps underscore Gonzaga’s points total of 86 or more points. Gonzaga has an 82% probability of scoring 86 or more points. In past games, Creighton is 7-0 OVER when they have allowed 87 or more points spanning the last three seasons. Gonzaga is 30-3 OVER when both they and their opponent have scored 75 or more points spanning the last three seasons. Gonzaga is 75-2 and 55-15 OVER in games scoring 81 or more points spanning the last five seasons and teams in the NCAA Tournament that have scored 87 or more points, are 52-4 and 50-6 OVER spanning the last six NCAA Tournaments. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Houston | Top | 46-62 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Syracuse vs Houston Sweet 16 Round Hinkle Fieldhouse 9:55 PM EST, March 27, 2021 4% Best Bet on Syracuse +6.5 points I like a red-hot Syracuse team that once again is proving the nay-sayers wrong. Jim Boeheim is one of the best coaches All-Time and has the Syracuse 2-3 zone defense holding their first two opponents to less than 36% shooting. Even though, Houston has had many days to prepare for this defense, facing it in a LIVE game is far more different than studying game films. Houston is certainly an elite team, but in order to attack a 2-3 zone, an offense needs a strong post presence. Houston does not have that strong scoring threat in the post, and I see Syracuse doing a great job contesting every 3-point shot attempt. Boeheim is 10-1 ATS when his teams have been seeded 9 through 12 in the NCAA Tournament. Houston is 1-9 ATS in games away from home following a low-scoring game in which 125 or fewer points were scored spanning the last three seasons. |
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03-26-21 | Blazers -9 v. Magic | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Portland vs Orlando Let’s start with a highly profitable betting system that supports making a bet on Portland. The system has earned a 78-20 SU record and 65-31-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road favorites of 3.5 or more points that are coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 100 or more points and are now facing a host that is coming off a win of three or fewer points. Plus, if the host has lost 65% or more of their games, then the record improves to 25-10-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. The last time Orlando played Portland ended with a 106-97 road and ATS loss on February 9. Orlando is just 10-31 ATS revenging a road loss in games played over the last two seasons. From the machine learning applications, we learn that Portland is a highly profitable 33-9 SU and 31-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in road games played over the last five seasons. |
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03-24-21 | Mavs -8 v. Wolves | Top | 128-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Dallas vs Minnesota Dallas is beginning to look like the playoff-bound team I thought they would be before the season started. Doncic is averaging career-highs scoring 29 PPG and adding 9.2 assists-per-game. However, it has been their improved defense recently that has driven to their 22-19 record. Minnesota is 35-64 ATS when facing an opponent that is averaging at least 18 or more 3-point shot attempts-per-game over the last two seasons and the same record facing opponents that make at least six 3-point shots-per-game. Betting on road favorites that are coming off a monster win of 20 or more points and facing an opponent that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 46-19-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons, is 7-3 in the 2020 season, and has gone 4-1 ATS in March. |