15* graded play on Virginia as they take on Penn State set to start at Noon ET. The simulator shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by 13 or more points. It is a shame what has happened to the PSU football team and the entire program. I admire their tenacity to march forward and take on all comers. That is a lesson these young men will carry with them the remainder of their lives. yet, they just are not a good team as evidenced by the collapse last week against Ohio University. As much as my heart wants them to win-out despite the losses of some of the best players on the team, it is just not realistic to expect that currently. The sim shows a high probability that UVA will score more than 28 points in this game. In past games where the PSU defense has allowed 28 to 35 points in a game they are 6-18 ATS since 1992. The PSU running game is nearly non-existent going up against this UVA defensive front seven. In past games where PSU has gained between 3.5 and 4.0 rushing yards per attempt they are 0-7 ATS the past three seasons and 7-23 ATS since 1992. Worse is that the passing game is not going to offset the lack of a ground game. In past games where PSU has gained just 5.5 to 6.0 passing yards per attempt they are 0-3 ATS the past three season and 5-15 ATS since 1992. Last when PSU has allowed 28 or more points they are 1-6 ATS over the past three seasons and 8-34 ATS since 1992. Take the Cavaliers.

15* graded play on Utah as the take to the road to battle Beehive state rival Utah State set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game by 10 or more points. The sim also shows a high probability that Utah State will gain between 150 and 200 net passing yards in this game. In past games where the Utah defense allowed 150 to 200 net passing yards they have produced a 3-1 ATS mark over the past three seasons and 31-13 ATS mark since 1992. Utah returns nine players on offense, including their quarterback and seven defensive starters for a total of 16 of 22 starters on both sides of the ball. They will be matched up against an Aggies squad still celebrating one of their first winning seasons in memory, but returning only six starters including their QB on offense and just six more from the defensive unit. The fact that Utah has nine returning starters will clearly show in tonight

15* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on Virginia Tech set to start at 8:00 PM ET, Monday. The simulator shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by 6 or fewer points. Sim shows a high probability that GT will score between 22 and 28 points in this game. VT is just 10-22 ATS when they have allowed 22 to 28 points in a game since 1992. GT runs the triple option and although VT has had months to prepare for this offensive scheme, it will not matter. GT is projected to gain between 200 and 250 rushing yards in this game. In past games where VT has allowed 200 to 250 rushing yards they are just 1-3 ATS the past three seasons and 3-14 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-5 ATS for 83.3% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season and is a bowl team from prior season who lost their last two games, but still had a winning record last season. Take Georgia Tech.

25* graded play on Southern Methodist University as they take on Baylor set to start at 6:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will lose this game by eight or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Further projections shows a better than 90% probability that the Mustangs will score 28 or more points. In past games where they scored 28 or more points 42-18 ATS since 1992 and 9-4 ATS over the past three seasons. Another projection shows that SUM will average between 7.5 to 8.0 net passing yards per attempt. In past games achieving this range of passing, SMU is 15-4 ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-3 ATS for 89% winners since 1992. Any team in the first week of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight spread covers and is a team that had a good record last season winning between 60% to 80% of their games playing a team that had a winning record. This system has gone a remarkable 15-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. Take SMU

15* graded play on Toledo as they take on Arizona set to start at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Toledo will lose this game by 10 or fewer games. Arizona has a new coach, but I do not see this team making great strides this season. Moreover, thy have been huge money briners when installed as a double digit favorite. Arizona is just 2-12 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992. The si also shows a high probability exceeding 90% that Toledo will score 28 or more points. In past games, Toledo is a solid 68-21 ATS when scoring 28 or more points in games played since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 21-6 using the money line for 78% winners and has made 18.5 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play on road teams using the money line in the first week of the season after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins and is a team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season. Take Toledo.

15* graded play on Rutger as they take on Tulane set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Rugers will win this game by 21 or more points. The Rutgers defense matches up very well against the Tulane. The sim shows a high probability that they will hold them to 5.0 or fewer net passing yards per attempt made. In past games Rutgers is a perfect 4-0 ATS spanning the last three seasons and 27-5 ATS since 1992 when they allowed five or fewer yards per pass attempts. The sim also projects that Rutgers will score 28 or more points. In past games, Rutgers is 54-18 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-2 ATS since 2002. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points and is a good team from last season outscored opponents by seven or more points per game and with 8 defensive starters returning. This system is 12-0 ATS over the past five seasons. Take Rutgers.

25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Miami (Fla) in ACC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that BC will win this game. If the line does move to three points from its

15* graded play on Boise State as they take on Michigan State in game featuring two hihgly ranked team squaring off for their opening game of the season. The simulator shows a high probability that Boise State will lose this game by five or fewer points and has a very realistic opportunity to proven they belong in the Top-10 nationally with an impressive road win. There has been much talk about key personnel that BS lost starting with their quarterback and how MSU is set to go after the Big-Ten Title and to a BCS bowl game. The line more than reflects this fact and in my opinion based on the simulator projections has overshot it by at least six points. BS has been very well prepared at the start of their last four seasons where they have gone 50-3 SU and are 8-0 ATS in road tilts the first half of the season spanning the last three seasons. Even the home field advantage that Boise enjoys and that he artifical turf color is Sky Blue has been used against them. However, head coach Peterson is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-3 ATS for 89% winners since 1992. Play against any team in the first week of the season after closing out last season with three or more straight spread winners and is a team that had a good record winning between 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a team that had a winning record. Boise take this one.

25* graded play on Vanderbilt as they host South Carolina in the first regular season game and SEC opener for both teams. Football is finally here and this one of the many great matchups for Week 1 of the College Football card. Vanderbilt took a step forward with their football program in 2011. This is arguably one of the best teams Gamecocks head coach Steve Spurrier has had to coach and they are expected to contend in the SEC. Still, this is a sever road test for a Week 1 matchup that will be telecvised nationally with Vanderbilt plenty to prove.

Vanderbilt returns eight starters on offense and seven on defense. Of these eight starters, they have their three best athletes in quarterback Jordan Rodgers, running back Zac Stacy, and playmaking wide receiver Jordan Matthews returning. They did lose key personnel on a defensive unit that ranked 18th in the FBS allowing an average of 323 total yards per game and 29th allowing just 21.6 points per game. Keep in mind these stats were attained the SEC conference.

South Carolina returns seven starters on offense led by quarterback Conner Shaw, but their defense will struggle early on this season with just five starters returning. Spurrier is one of the best offensive minds in the game and he will be leaning on Shaw to improve on his already strong numbers from last season. Shaw had a great second half to the 2011 season completing 66% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He is also a threat to run the ball scoring eight rushing touchdowns over this span. However, I do believe that the Commodores defense will be able to contain him and to force him into mistakes creating opportunities for turnovers.

Simulator Projections and Supporting System
Vanderbilt will look to run the ball first, which in turn will set up the play action pass plays. The simulator shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a solid money line system that has gone 86-103 for just 46% winners, but has made a whopping 71 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play on dogs of +155 to +300 using the money line with five or more more defensive starters returning than opponent in games played in the first month of the season. Team chemistry is a vital ingredient for teams looking to get out to fast undefeated starts and in this case Vanderbilt has that advantage and has a great shot at producing the first significant upset of the CFB season.

30* graded play on Arkansas as they take on Kansas State in the Cotton Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Arkansas will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-10 ATS for 77% winners since 2005. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. There are several game situations that under score the strength of this play. Arkansas is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Of the following historical situations the simulator shows a very high probability that Arkansas will meet or exceed these conditions. Arkansas is 8-1 ATS when they allow 14 to 21 points in a game spanning the past three seasons; 14-4 ATS when they gain nine or more net passing yards per attempt; 8-2 when they have rushed for 100 to 150 yards spanning the past three seasons; 20-7 ATS when they have scored 28 or more points in a game spanning the last three seasons and 7-3 ATS this season; 5-1 ATS this season, 15-5 ATS the past three seasons when they have gained 6.5 or more total yards per play. Arkansas ranks 13th in the FBS gaining 308 passing yards per game, 78th gaining 138 rushing yards per game, and 14th scoring 37.4 points per game. The defense is better than their 38th ranking of allowing 22.8 points per game. Arkansas junior quarterback Tyler Wilson is 6-3 and 220 pounds and has become a mature and elite passer of the football. He has connected on 63.1% of his 407 pass attempts for 3422 passing yards, 22 touch downs and just six interceptions. This adds up to a solid 148 passer rating. Jarius Wright is the elite senior receiver with 63 receptions and 1029 yards gained and 11 touchdowns. The Warren, AR native is 5-10 and 180 pounds, but is lightning quick and his first step in cuts immediately creates space against the best back in the nation. K-State will be forced to use bracket coverage against him and once Wright sees this, they will go to slant and crossing routes in the vacant middle part of the field. I believe Wright could easily have 10 or more catches in this game. Perhaps the biggest problem facing the K-State defense is how to defend junior TE Chris Gregg, who had 40 catches and 492 yards for a 12.3 yards per catch average. Moreover, he gained 12.1 yards per catch against AP ranked teams and he will a menace for the K-State linebackers to cover in space. Take Arkansas.

15* graded play on West Virginia as they take on Clemson set to start at 8:30 PM ET in the Orange Bowl. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WVU will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 41-18 for 70% winners since 1992. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This system has gone a perfect 3-0 against the money line this season. You will see and enjoy one of the most under rated quarterbacks in all of college football. Geno Smith is 6-3 and 214 pounds and has transformed a dominant run based program into nam aerial attack that has drove defensive coordinators out of their minds. The quality that stands out most on tape, though, is Smith's poise. He can hang in the pocket, remain oblivious to the rush and deliver an accurate throw while taking a hit. With more than a month of preparation, the entire offensive unit will perform at a very high level. Their offensive line had suffered injuries and

25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl set to start at 8:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Michigan will win this game by four or more points. Sim shows a very high probability that Michigan will score 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 8-2 ATS this season and 83-38 ATS since 1992. When the Hokies have allowed 28 or more points they are 0-2 ATS this season, 2-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-40 ATS since 1992. Michigan is back to their rich tradition of power football on both sides of the ball. They rank 87th in the FBS gaining 187 passing yards per game, 12th gaining 236 rushing yards per game, and 22nd scoring 34.2 [points per game. Defensively they rank 17th allowing 189 passing yards per game, 32nd allowing 129 rushing yards per game, and are seventh in scoring defense allowing just 17.2 points per game. Virginia Tech has a similar brand of football, but not as strong in the rankings as Michigan. The Hokies rank 63rd in the BCS gaining 227 passing yards per game, 30th gaining 189 rushing yards per game, and 53rd scoring 28.5 points per game. Defensively, they rank 38th allowing 206 passing yards per game, 15th allowing 108 rushing yards per game, and eighth in scoring defense allowing 17.2 points per game. In games where both teams played a similar strength of schedule the team rankings can be compared in a meaningful manner. However, Michigan has played a more difficult schedule than Virginia Tech and this skews the team rankings. In order to make them equal I factor in a strength of schedule quotient that is mathematically applied to the team rankings. On a 0-100 scaling with 100 representing a schedule where No. 1 LSU would play themselves 12 straight games since they are ranked No. 1 in the nation, Michigan comes in with a 75 score while Virginia Tech scores at 65 based on strength of schedule. So, this widens the statistical strength of the team rankings more in favor of the Wolverines. I especially, think that the Michigan defense is superior in all positions to Virginia Tech

15* graded play

25* graded play on Florida as they take on Ohio State in the Gator Bowl set to start at 1:00 PM ET., January 2, 2012. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Florida will win this game. The key projection is that Florida will score more than 28 points in this game. In past games where Florida has scored 28 or more points they are 4-1 ATS this season, 17-4 ATS the past three seasons and 111-42 ATS since 1992. Ohio State got away with poor defensive play this season, but no team can continue to play erratic defense and still win games against elite teams. When Ohio State has allowed 28 or more points, they are 3-0 ATS this season, but 9-23 ATS since 1992. I strongly believe that is is a fluke that OSU (or any team) can go 3-0 ATS given up 29 or more points.Florida started off with four tsriaght wins and covers , but then went 2-6 SU and lost eight straight ATS the remainder of the season. The losing ATS streak does not mean that Florida is simple DUE to win, but it does show an adjustment of the line to an extreme that now favors Florida. I know I am in the minority stating that Florida will control the LOS in this game. The Gators have had more than a month of preparation and Ohio State has not played against a team with the speed and athleticism that Florida has on both sides of the ball. Ohio State will look to pound the ball and can use 252-pound FB Zach oBran for those plays. However, Florida has a vastly under rated nose tackle in Jaye Howard, who will mandate double team from OSU

25* graded play on Utah as they take on Georgia Tech in the Hyundai Sun Bowl set to start at 2:00 PM ET December 31, 2011. Happy New Year! My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Utah will win this game. There is no advantage, however in playing the money line, or making a combination bet with the point spread and the money line. Utah

15* graded play on Texas A&M as they take on Northwestern in the Menace Car Care Bowl set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by a minimum of 11 points. The simulator further shows that Texas A&M will gain better than 500 total offensive yards and will average 6.5 or more yards per play. In past games where Northwestern allowed these levels of offensive prowess they have posted an 0-1 ATS mark this season, 1-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 15-33 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 6.5 yards per play; 2-4 ATS this season, 3-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 19-38 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 6.5 or more yards per play. Texas A&M has posted a 3-1 ATS mark this season, 10-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 40-12 ATS since 1992 when they have gained 6.5 yards per play in past games. Texas A&M is getting some great news with their leading running back Cyrus Gray upgraded to probable for this bowl game. He is 5-10 and 200 pounds and has that rare combination of elite quickness and dominating power. He is playing his last game as an Aggie, being a senior, and I believe will be a strong player on Sundays. The Aggie offensive line has a significant advantage against the undersized Northwestern defensive front. Texas A&M runs one of the best balanced offenses in the country and this will be nearly impossible for the Wildcats to defend. If Northwestern has to bring a safety to help stop the running game, then the play action pass will lead to big gain plays and scores. Take Texas A&M.

15 * graded play on Iowa State as they take on Rutgers in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium starting at 3:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will win this game. Iowa State has played a vastly tougher schedule and based on those performances they are the superior team on both sides of the ball. Moreover, the Big east is a vastly weaker conference and the fact is that Big East teams are an imperfect 0-5 ATS when facing a non-conference foe off a SU loss this season. I feel strongly that Rutgers will have trouble moving the ball against the Iowa State defense. This is reinforced by the sim projections showing that Rutgers will gain just 4.0 to 4.5 yards per play. In past games where Iowa State has allowed this range of offensive output they are 16-5 ATS since 1992 and 3-0 ATS over the past three seasons. The sim shows that Rutgers will have at least three turnovers - a rare projection with a high probability. In past games where Iowa State has forced three turnovers they are 6-1 ATS over the past three seasons. Take Iowa State

25* graded play on Washington as they take on Baylor in the Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. I also recommend a combination bet playing 21* getting the points and then a 4* amount using the Money Line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than nine points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-34 using the money line and has made an incredible 48.4 units per one unit wagered since 1992. The average play has been a plus 285 DOG play. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that is a solid team outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards per game and after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game. Sim shows a high probability that Washington will score 28 or more points in this game and will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. In past games where Washington has scored 28 or more points they are 7-1 ATS this season, 14-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 7-34 ATS since 1992. When they gain 6.5 or more yards per play they have posted a 5-1 ATS mark this season, 10-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 26-11 ATS since 1992. In past games where Baylor has allowed 28 or more points they are 5-4 ATS this season, 6-16 ATS the past three season, 41-93 ATS since 1992. When they also 6.5 or more yards per lay they are 3-3 ATS this season, 2-8 ATS the past three seasons, and 17-47 ATS since 1992. This Baylor team is a strong one, but I refer back to my 25* CFB Game of the Year winner where Kansas installed as a 24 point dog tool Baylor to OT and it took a heroic comeback by RG3 to just get the game into overtime. Steve Sarkisian is an excellent preparing of his football team when having more than one week to prepare posting a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Washington quarterback Price is the healthiest he has been than at any time over the last three months. He has a very strong and accurate arm and he has the weapons to assault the Baylor secondary. The best weapon and the one I see as a complete mismatch is with Baylor

15* graded play on Florida State as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 5:30 PM ET in the Florida Citrus Bowl. During the preseason many analysts, including myself, were thinking that this matchup would be a BCS Bowl game. However, both teams have modestly under performed expectations with each team sporting 8-4 records. As is always the case in South Bend, anything short of a BCS bowl game is considered a mediocre season. FSU is on the rise and have had two strong recruiting classes since the transition from the legend Bobby Bowden to Jimbo Fisher. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by four or more points. Seminoles rank fourth in the FBS allowing just 15.2 points per game, 19th allowing 193 passing yards per game, and second allowing 82 rushing yards per game. Kelly is just 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus excellent defensive teams allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992. No doubt, I see FSU defensive front dominating the Notre Dame offensive line and blowing up plays that take more than 2.5 seconds to be attempted. Notre Dame has issues with quarter as Tommy Rees just never earned the starting job this season. Problem is that he does not make good reads and not near quick enough. Coach kelly will be forced to use quick three step drops and then this allows FSU to jump routes. I would not be surprised to see FSU with a pick-6 in this game. The FSU rotates four positions and are able to stay completely fresh long into the fourth quarter and this group will wear down the offensive line. Take The Seminoles.

25* graded play on Texas as the take on California set to start at 8:00 PM ET in the Holiday Bowl. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by four or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-12 ATS for 73% winners since 2005. Play against any team off a big road win scoring 38 or more points with the game taking place in the second half of the season including bowl games. 22 of these plats made based on the criteria of the system, or 49%, covered the spread by seven or more points.
The Texas defense ranks 14th in the nation overall and was first in the Big-12. They were lit up in their last game, but by Heisman Trophy winner RG3 (Robert Griffin III). I think that game simply an aberration and Texas will have had weeks to prepare for a solid California offensive attack. Cal is led by quarterback Zack Maynard and running back Iso Safely, who were largely responsible for the team winning three of the last four games this season. Their offensive scheme will look to take what the Texas defense will give them, which will be underneath routes, slants, and drags. Texas will play a base cover-2 and not allow any deep vertical routes to get behind them. Mack Brown believes the Texas running game will get back to the strength shown in mid -season with the return of many players that were out due to injury. He has them working very hard and will have three straight days of intense strenuous practices Sunday through Tuesday December 20. They will then back off steadily as the bowl game approaches and this shows how serious Mack Brown is to finish the season with a bowl win. I do expect Texas to establish the run and use more varied formations and misdirection running plays looking to get a quick Cal defense out of their gap disciplines. The return of a healthy Malcolm Brown will be key to this execution. The last four weeks of the season, Texas played without many of their offensive weapons. Running back Jaxson Shipley was out for three straight games and returned wearing a knee brace that limited his agility, but he played in pain nonetheless. Fozz Whittaker was lost for the season in a horrific ACL knee injury against Missouri. Freshman Joe Bergeron played well in their absence gaining 327 yards in wins over Texas Tech and Kansas, but then fell to a hamstring injury limiting him to just nine more carries the rest of the regular season.
With all, but Whittaker back in the stable of Texas running backs. The Longhorns will have a strong running game. They then can use play action to attack the seems and the middle of the field with ball control-type pass routes. This will end up being a game of field position.Game situations favor Texas in this game too noting that Cal head coach Tedford is a miserable 4-13 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. Mack Brown is a solid 22-9 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of Texas. Moreover, Cal is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas as second TOP RATED 25* Titan winner.

25* graded play on UL-Lafayette as they take on San Diego State in the New Orleans Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET, December 17, 2011. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LA-Lafayette (LAL) will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a record of 38-35 for 52.1% winners, but has made a whopping 41.2 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play against favorites of -175 to -400 using the money line off 1 or more straight

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they tame on Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship game. This marks the second time in as many weeks that I have released a 25* Titan play on Wisconsin. In my opinion, they are one of the best teams in the nation right now and actually would be a formidable opponent for any of the Top-5 BCS teams. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-9 ATS for 78% winners since 2005. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are off two straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. Equally impressive is the fact that of the 41 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 27 of them or 64%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my belief that this will turn into another Badger blowout win. My 25* Titan last week saw Wisconsin destroy Penn State 45-7 and this puts the Badgers into another strong system. This system has gone 63-28 ATS for 69% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games that are off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival. If we throw out the betting line range to include all teams the results improve to 37-12 for 76% winners. The sim shows a very high probability that the Badgers will score more than 28 points. In past games where the Spartan defense has allowed 28 or more points they have posted a 1-1 ATS record this season, 2-10 ATS mark the past three seasons, and 23-68 ATS since 1992. Wisconsin is also playing with revenge having lost to the Spartans 37-31 and were installed as seven point favorites October 22. Badgers quarterback Russell Wilson had his worst game the season that day. He has thrown just three interceptions on the season and two of them occurred against the Spartans. The one interception just sailed on him and the second was trying to make a forced throw and get his Badgers into scoring position trailing in the second half. He is a vast student of the game and those mistakes will not be made this time around. Moreover, I do not see MSU having the run stop success they enjoyed in the first game. There are few teams in the nation right now that can stop the Badger pounding running game between the tackles led by Montee Ball. By forcing the MSU linebackers to squeeze toward the tackles for run support will set up

15 * graded play on Clemson as they take on Virginia Tech in the ACC Championship game set to start 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Clemson will lose this game by six or fewer points. The sim shows a high probability that Clemson will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where the Hokies have allowed 28 or more points they are 0-1 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-39 ATS since 1992. In past games where Clemson has scored 28 or more points they are 6-2 ATS this season, 13-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 67-28 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Clemson is 13-1 against the money line (+12.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 86-45 for 66% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. Take Clemson.

15* graded play on Colorado State as they take on Wyoming set to start at 2:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Colorado State will lose this game by five or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 ATS for 77% winners since 2000. Play against a road team off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog and is a solid team that is winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Of the 39 plays made based on the criteria of the system, 22 of them or 54%, have covered the spread by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that CSU will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Wyoming has allowed 28 or more points they have gone 2-3 ATS this season, 6-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 33-71 since 1992. Wyoming was dominated last week in 36-14 loss to Boise State, but did cover the 32 point dog line. However, they are just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992. Take Colorado State

15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Oregon in the first-ever Pac-12 Conference Championship game. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by 31 or fewer points. This is just two many points given that I am confident that UCLA will get a strong running game established early in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-16 for 73% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs of 21.5 or more points after scoring 9 points or less last game and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. Of the 59 plays made by the criteria of this system 28 of them or 49%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second unique system that ash gone 55-24 ATS for 70% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival and with 6 or more total starters returning than opponent. Of the 79 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 36 of them or 45%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Sim shows a high probability that UCLA will rush for 150 to 200 rushing yards. In past games where Oregon has allowed this range of rushing yards they are 0-2 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS the past three seasons, and 11-27 ATS since 1992. Take UCLA

15* graded play on UL-Lafayette as they take on Arizona set to start at 4:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that UL Lafayette will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. Arizona has had a disappointing season and their defense has been shredded by many teams. LAL has done well against 'giving' defenses posting a 7-0 ATS in road games facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse over the last three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 34-9 ATS mark for 79% winners since 1992. This system has also produced a perfect 8-0 ATS spanning the past five seasons. Play on road dogs that are poor rushing team gaining 100 to 140 rushing yards per game and now facing an average rushing defense allowing 140 to 190 rushing yards per game and after 7 or more games and a game involving two non-conference foes. The sim projects that Arizona will have at least three turnovers in this game; not surprising for a poor record team. In past games where LAL has forced three or more turnovers in a game they are 4-1 ATS this season and 6-1 ATS the past three seasons. I stronly believe this game will go down to the wire. Take LA-Lafayette.

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they host Penn State starting at 3:30 PM ET. The winner of this game will play in the Big Ten Championship next week. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 15 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 30-6 ATS mark for 83% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Of the 36 plays ,made based on the criteria of this system, 21 of them or 58%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone an amazing 17-1 ATS over the past five seasons and 12-0 ATS over the past three seasons. The sim shows a high probability that Wisconsin will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Penn State has given up 28 or more points they are 1-4 ATS over the past three seasons and 8-32 ATS since 1992. The sim shows that the Wisconsin defense will do extremely well at containing the Penn State rushing attack. The Lions are projected to average just 3.5 to 4.0 rushing yards per carry. In past games where PSU has attained this range of rushing they are 0-3 ATS this season, 0-6 ATS the past three seasons and 7-22 ATS since 1992. PSU defense has played very well this season and have allowed only Alabama, who scored 27 points, and Northwestern, who scored 24 points, to score more than 20 points in a game. However, this Wisconsin offensive line is going to wear down Penn State in this game. I fully expect Wisconsin to dominate the line of scrimmage. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that Wisconsin is a solid 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1992; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games since 1992; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992. Take the Wisconsin Badgers.

25* graded play on LSU as they take on Arkansas set to start at 2:30 PM ET. As we know, the top three team sin the nation based on the BCS ranking snot only come form the same conference. But also the same WEST division of the SEC Conference. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by 14 or more points. LSU is simply going to wear down Arkansas on both sides of the ball as the game progresses. The LSU offensive line has a significant advantage in strength and size. What they do very well in the power running game, and few teams execute this any better, is that their offensive scheme forces the opposing line backers to get off of TWO blocks to get to the ball carrier. The Tigers run a ton of isolation plays out of I-formations with the fullback targeting the middle line backer. On these plays you will see the front-side guard and center will double team on of the defensive tackles and allow the fullback a clean path to the MLB. In other assignments the offensive guard will bump a defensive tackle and immediately get the to the second level and square up against an undersized line backer and then look to block a third linebacker that is converging to the hole. This too, allows the fullback to get the linebacker forcing him to get off his second block of the play. Obviously, with so many defenders constantly having to fight through two blocks is exhausting. The LSU defense is a great one. Arkansas has elite receivers that can gain separation easily and quickly, but when matchups up against the depth of the LSU corners that is all neutralized. LSU will use press coverage to disrupt the flow of the Arkansas offensive scheme and look to force receivers into route changes often. Keep a watch on LSU corner Mathieu as I strongly believe he will be going up against the Razorbacks best receiver in Joe Adams. Mathieu is one of the few in the country that can close on Adams, who is extremely quick and can get clean breaks off the line of scrimmage. If Adams impact on the game is minimized, it could be a complete blowout by half-time. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that LSU is a solid 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game this season; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 14 points or less last game this season. The sim shows a high probability that LSU will gaining between 4.5 and 5.0 rushing yards per carry. In past games where they have achieved this offensive level they are 4-0 ATS this season, 6-2 ATS the past three seasons, and 25-8ATS since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 28-6 ATS mark since 2000. Play against a road team after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game and facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. This system is 6-1 ATS this season. Take the LSU Tigers.

15* graded play on Tulsa as they host Houston set to start at noon ET. PM. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game. There is limited opportunity expand this wager and make it a combination bet involving the money line. My strong recommendation is stay with a 15* play getting the points. Enjoying its highest ranking in more than 21 years, No. 8 Houston seeks a single-season school-record 12th consecutive victory as it visits Tulsa on Friday with a spot in the Conference USA title game on the line. Houston's quarterback Keenum, the NCAA's career leader in passing yardage (17,855), total offense (18,771) and touchdown passes (145), broke the FBS record for completions (1,427) last Saturday, completing 30 of 45 passes for 318 yards and a TD in a 37-7 rout of SMU. The SMU game was far closer than the score ended and I believe they provided the recipe to contain the Houston attack. Very few teams in the FBS have the personnel to completely shut down the Cougar offense, but by playing a mix of underneath man/zone and bracketing the perimeter has shown to be effective. The bottom line is that the winner of this game will gain the right to play in the C-USA Championship game next week. Tulsa has a high powered attack of their own and Houston is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when facing good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games facing very good offensive teams scoring 34 or more points per game since 1992. Tulsa has done very well against the elite passing teams sporting a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) facing good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last two seasons. Moreover, Tulsa is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games spanning the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 28-6 ATS mark for 82% winners since 2000. Play against a road team after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in 2 consecutive games. Take Tulsa.

15* graded play on Miami (Ohio) as they take on Ohio University in MAC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 85-45 for 65% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. Of the 129 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 52 of them or 40% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my belief that Miami can win this game. With a win the Bobcats can get to nine wins, which has occurred just six times in school history. Even with a loss, they would then have identical records with Temple and kent State, but the Bobcats defeated both of them and as a result would win the three-team tie breaker. This is the 88th time to the two schools have competed in the Battle of the Bricks game. Although it is Senior Day, I am very concerned that Ohio may fall flat in this game knowing that are playing for the MAC Title. Miami is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 60% to 75% of their games since 1992. Take the Redhawks.

25* graded play on Texas as they host Kansas State set to start 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 24-5 ATS for 80% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in conference tilts and are excellent offensive teams scoring >=34 points per game and now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points per game and after 7+ games have been completed in the regular season. 50% of these plays covered the spread by seven or more points. Texas is coming off a tough loss to Missouri where they were missing several key players and the rushing game suffered. Texas ranks 15th in the FBS rushing the ball. Fozzy Whittaker suffered a season-ending knee injury after tearing two ligaments in the first quarter last Saturday. Meanwhile, leading rusher Malcolm Brown (toe) and Joe Bergeron (hamstring) also missed the game. Brown is doubtful for this game and I expect Bergeron to play tonight based on public reports released Friday. Texas is very deep at running back and I am not concerned simply because the Texas offensive line has a massive advantage against K-State

15* graded play on Navy as they take on San Jose State set to start at 4:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Navy will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-10 ATS for 77% winners since 2000. This system has produced a 17-3 ATS record for 85% winners spanning the past five seasons. Play on any team after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games facing an opponent after being out rushed by 150 or more yards last game. Of the 44 plays made based on this remarkable system, 23 of them or 55% covered the spread by seven or more points. This under scores my strong belief that Navy will win this game by double digits. The sim shows a very high probability that Navy will gain 300 or more rushing yards in this game. In past games where they have gained 300 or more rushing yards they have gone 4- ATS this season, 11-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 56-24 ATS since 1992. The strong running attack will open easy to execute pass plays using play action. Navy may only throw the ball 10 times, but the sim shows that they will average better than 9.0 yards per attempt. In past games where Navy has attained this passing level they have gone 3-1 ATS this season, 13-5 the past three seasons, and 55-16 ATS since 1992. Take Navy.

15* graded play on NC State as they host Clemson set to start at 3:30 PM ET. It certainly looks like the BCS standings are going to be vastly different come Sunday Night with Iowa State knocking off No. 2 Oklahoma State, which was a 15* winner for us last night. This game has the strong potential to add to what will be an upset Saturday to remember for the ages. I also have a 5* graded play on Southern Cal, who I think may win SU at Oregon. Although these upsets may occur, it probably only further cements the rematch of Alabama against LSU in the BCS Championship - unless of course LSU slips up. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that NC State will lose this game by seven or fewer points. I would also recommend a 3* play using the Money line as an optional wager. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 50-19 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points with an opportunistic defense forcing 2.5 or more turnovers per game and after two consecutive game where they committed one or less turnovers. Supporting the upset bid that I believe will happen in this game are a pari of MONEY LINE situations. Note that Clemson is 1-7 against the money line (-12.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NC State is a solid and impressive 10-2 against the money line (+8.1 Units) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992; 27-11 against the money line (+20.6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. Take NC State.

15* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Maryland set to start at 3:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 11 or more points. The sim shows a high probability that Wake will score 28 or more points. In past games where Wake has scored 28 or more points they are a solid 4-1 ATS this season, 8-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 46-26 ATS since 1992. Maryland has been horrible when they have allowed 28 or more points posting an 0-7 ATS mark this season, 4-15 ATS mark the past three seasons, and 25-71 ATS since 1992. The sim shows a high probability that Wake will out gain Maryland by 100 to 150 offensive yards. In this situation, the Terrapins are just 0-2 ATS this season. 1-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 3-16 ATS since 1992. Take Wake Forest.

25* graded play on Central Michigan as they take on Toledo set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that CM will lose this game by 14 or fewer points and I would recommend a 2.5* amount on the money line, if available to you. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 78-30 making 45 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 118 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 49 of them or 46%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Now, here is a remarkable money line system that has gone just 67-77 for 47% winners, but has made a whopping 67.5 units per on unit wagered since 2000. The average play has been a sizable +216 dog play. Play against road favorites using the money line after allowing 9 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game and with an experienced QB returning as starter. The simulator shows a high probability that CM will score 28 or more points and gain 6.0 to 6.5 total yards per play. In past games CM is a solid 11-3 against the money line (+10.7 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Moreover, in past games where Toledo has allowed 28 or more points they have gone 1-4 ATS this season, 5-14 ATS the past three seasons, and 20-53 ATS since 1992. In past games when CM scored 28 or more points they are 1-2 ATS this season, but 10-4 ATS the past three seasons, and a very strong 43-15 ATS since 1992. Take Central Michigan.

15* graded play on Iowa State as they take on Oklahoma State set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than 27 points. This line opened at Oklahoma State favored by 25 points and the public has bid them to as high as 27 at some books. This I just too many points and is vastly under estimated Iowa State

15* graded play on Mississippi State as they host Alabama set to start at 7:45 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Mississippi State will lose this game by fewer than 16 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 30-8 ATS mark for 79% winners since 2005. Play against any team after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 game and is an elite team winning >= 80% of their games and now playing a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games. Of the 38 plays made based on the criteria of this system , 20 of them or 53%, covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 31-10 ATS for 76% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins and after the first month of the season. 22 of these plays or 55% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing the favorable matchups that Mississippi State will enjoy in this game. They are a near perfect s 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games facing good passing defenses allowing 150 or less passing yards per game since 1992. Alabama is coming off the worst of losses and in OT to LSU last week and will find it hard to rebound against an inferior opponent. They are just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 58% or worse since 1992. Take Mississippi State.

15* graded play on Georgia as they take on Auburn set to start at 3:30 Pm ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 14 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 27-7 ATS mark for 79% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games facing an opponent after a win by 35 or more points. Here is a second system that has produced a 28-10 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2005. Play on a home team that is a solid offensive team gaining 390 to 440 yards per game and now facing a team with a poor defense allowing 390 to 440 yards per game and after outgaining last opponent by 125 or more total yards. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing a very high probability that Georgia wills core 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 12-6 ATS the past three season and 80-31 ATS since 1992. Conversely, Auburn is just 1-4 ATS this season, 5-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 16-41 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points in a game. Take Georgia to the bank.

15* graded play on Texas A&M as the take on K-State set to start at 3:30 PM ET My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Texas A&M will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has produced a 65-45 making 49 units per one unit wagered since 2005. Play on a road team using the money line in conference games and with 5 or more defensive starters returning than opponent. Here is a second money line system that has gone 49-13 for 79% winners and has made 33.5 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a home team using the money line after allowing 525 or more total yards per game over their last two games facing an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This is going to be a high scoring game and A&m has a very high probability of scoring 28 or more points. First, K-State is just 2-10 ATS when the posted total is between 63 and 70 points. Moreover, in past games where A&M has scored 28 or more points they have produced a 78-35 ATS mark since 1992. K-State has gone a miserable 18-50 ASTS when allowing 28 or more points since 1992. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that K-State is just 9-23 against the money line (-21.9 Units) when facing excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992. Take Texas A&M.

25* graded play on Kansas as they take on Baylor set to start at 2:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by fewer than 17 points and that this game will be extremely close throughout. Over the 18-years I have been handicapping sports, you all have seen some of the plays in CFB that are 10 plus dogs actually win the game. This is potentially one of those situations, however I have not seen any money lines posted. If you do have a chance, place a 3* amount on that line, which obviously will be extremely high. Supporting the 10* 'Over' play is a system that has produced a 29-7 record for 81% winners since 1992. Play 'over' with any team against the total after scoring and allowing 30 points or more last game and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 24 total points or less were scored. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that Kansas will have an easy time scoring 28 or more points. In past games where Baylor has allowed 28 or more points they have gone a horrid 5-14 ATS the past three seasons and 39-92 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Baylor is a weak 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. I do believe Kansas will be very successful running the ball against the Baylor run defense that ranks 104th in the FBS. Another key component to this game is that I expect Kansas to have a commanding edge in time-of-possession and this keeps the 5th ranked Baylor passing attack off the field. Baylor's very weak defense has been masked by the strong offensive output. The stats are skewed that in many games Baylor had a big lead and the opponent was made into a one dimensional passing attack. In their last game they defeated Missouri 42-39 and allowed 578 total yards. Of those total yards, 253 were gained on the ground in 40 attempts. In four of the last five games, Baylor has allowed 200 or more rushing yards. Baylor ranks 113th in the FBS allowing 36.8 points per game. In the past teams that have allowed more than 30 points per game and allow more than four yards per rush on the season and are off a game allowing more than 30 points are a dismal 11-31 ATS. If this team is a double digit road favorite and the 'dirty' home dog is seeking revenge those teams have gone just 1-14 ATS. Granted, Kansas' defense ranks slightly worse, but they have the much better running game that will sustain drives. Moreover, Kansas played their best defensive game of the year losing to Iowa State 13-10 last week and that positive momentum will carry over to this week's game. I truly believe that the 48th ranked Kansas rushing attack will dominate the Baylor defensive front that is vastly under sized and has been dominated in all conference games this season. Take Kansas as a 25* Titan play and 'over' as a 10* Titan Play.

15* graded play on Temple University as they host Miami (ohio) in a must-win situation for the Temple Owls. This game is taking place at Lincoln Financial field, home of the Philadelphia Eagles and a larger than normal Temple crowd will in attendance. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Temple will roll in this game and win by a minimum of 15 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-5 ATS for 83.3% winners since 1992. This system has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS over the past three seasons. Play against a road team that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games, competing now against a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG and after 7+ games have been played. Of the 30 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 20 of them or 69% do them covered the spread by seven or more points. The sim shows a high probability that Temple defense will hold Miami to 21 or fewer points. IN past games where Temple

25* graded play on Oregon State as they host Stanford set to start at 3:30 PM ET.

15* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on Texas A&M Aggies set to start at 3:30 PM ET

15* graded play on Colorado as they take on Southern Call in Friday Night Pac-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will lose this game by 20 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 76-27 ATS for 74% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 103 plays made based on the criteria of this system 48 of the or 48% covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is 5-1 ATS for 83% winners. Adding a criteria that has this home dog coming off a game where they allowed eight or more passing yards per attempt has produced a 43-15 ATS mark over the past 11 seasons and has gone 3-1 ATS this season. Colorado has been decimated by injuries this season, but WR Paul Richardson and RB Rodney Stewart will be playing in this game. Richardson is the leading receiver on the team with 29 catches and five touchdowns on the season. Stewart is the leading ground gainer with 473 rushing yards and a 4.1 yards per carry average and is the second leading receiver with 28 catches for a 15.5 yards per catch average. This is the key to Colorado competing against the Trojans. Usig Stewart out of the backfield or in the slot position and hitting him with high percentage ball control pass plays. He has the quickness to be difficult to bring down in space. Moreover, these drop-off passes serve to minimize the SC defensive blitz pressure. Take the Buffalos.

15* graded play on Ohio University as they host Temple in a critical MAC showdown set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Ohio will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 22-3 ATS for 88% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an extremely close road loss by three points or less and is a solid team winning between 60% to 80% playing a team with a winning record. Temple is off a devastating 13-10 loss at Bowling Green and were installed as 12

25* graded play on Duke as they host Virginia tech set to start at 12:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Duke will lose this game by 14 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 74-27 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Of the 101 plays made based on the criteria of this system 47 of them or 48% covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores my belief that this will be a single digit game. Adding another criteria to this system has produced a 42-15 ATS mark for 74% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt last game and with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The sim shows a high probability that Duke wills core between 21 and 28 points in this game. In past games where Tech has allowed this range of points they are 0-1 ATS this season, 1-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 9-22 ATS since 1992. Duke is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Duke quarterback Renfree will play in this game. He is recovering from a hip injury noted Wednesday, but not one that is going to prevent him playing at his best. He has completed 68% of his passes for 1800 yards and five touchdowns. He has very good accuracy on short ball control routes and these plays will eke the Hokies pressure at bay. Duke ranks 28th best in the FBS gaining 286.9 passing yards per game and I believe they have the favorable matchups to make this a very close escape for the Hokies. Take Duke.

25* graded play on BYU as they take on TCU set to start at 8:00 PM ET. I also like splitting this 25* amount into a 20* getting the points and a 5* using the money line. Have to admit, not many sports fans will be tuning into this game except during the commercials of the World Series Game 7. Yet, this is a very strong money making opportunity that can take care of itself while you enjoy Game 7. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that BYU will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-32 making 50.4 units per one unit wagered since 1992. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that are out gaining their opponents by 75 or more yards per game and after gaining 6.75 or more yards per play in their previous game. This is a tremendous system that has averaged a +285 DOG play. BYU is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after out gaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. The opponent was Idaho State, but BYU did win 56-3 and covered the 43 points spread making all of the aforementioned situations valid as outlined. Moreover, BYU has gained 200 or more rushing yards in four straight games and have held four of the last five opponents to less than 81 yards rushing. TCU had a scrimmage last week defeating arguably the worst team in the nation, New Mexico, 69-0 and covered the 44

15* graded play on Rice as they take on Houston in C-USA football set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Rice will lose this game by 27 or fewer points. Houston has now moved to 7-0 ATS and is ranked 17th in the nation. The public has gotten on board this band wagon and this is simply just too many points to be giving in this matchup. Rice is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992. Houston is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. Head coach Summon is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a 2 game home stand as the coach of HOUSTON. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 62-24 ATS for 72% winners since 1992. Play on road dogs off a home loss by 14 or more points and with 17 or more total starters returning. Rice has nine starters including their quarterback returning on offense and eight starters on defense. They are coming off an 18 point loss home versus Tulsa 38-20 and failed to cover as 10 point dogs. Take Rice

15* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Texas Tech set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 31 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-5 ATS for 85% winners since 2005. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points and is a strong team outscoring opponents by 10 or more points per game and after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. Of the 33 plays made based on the criteria of this system 17 of them or 53% covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is 2-0 ATS this season and 15-3 ATS for 83.3% winners the past three seasons. Here is a second system that has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 81% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points and are quick starting teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points per game in the first half and after scoring 42 points or more in three straight games. This system is 1-0 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS the past three seasons. Moreover, Stoops is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts as the coach of Oklahoma. Take the Sooners.

25* graded play on Middle Tennessee State as they take on Florida Atlantic set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that MTS will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 41-15 ATS for 73.2% winners since 1992. Play on any team off a close loss by seven points or less to a conference rival facing an opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite. This system has posted a 7-1 ATS record for 88% winners spanning the past three seasons. MTS comes into this fray 36-33 losers at home to Western Kentucky and failed as 10

15* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Clemson set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. UNC has not done well losing four of the past six to the spread. However, they are a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. The large majority of teams fall into this successful role. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-7 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play against any team off a big road win scoring 38 or more points in the second half of the season. 21 of these plays or 54% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Over the past three season this system has produced a 13-2 ATS mark for 87% winners. The sim shows a high probability that UNC will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where UNC scored 28 or more points they are 3-1 ATS this season, 10-1 ATS the past three seasons, and 65-24 ATS since 1992. In past games where Clemson has allowed 28 or more points they are 4-5 ATS the past three season, but just 15-46 ATS since 1992. Take North Carolina.

15* graded play on Kansas as they host intra-state rive Kansas State set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-41 ATS for 66.4% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 41% of them have covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores the fact that this will be a very close game and one that Kansas can post the big upset win. The sim shows a high probability that Kansas will score 28 or more points. In past games where they have scored 28 or more points they are 61-24 ATS since 1992. K-State is just 17-49 ATS when the have allowed 28 or more points since 1992. Take Kansas

15* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on South Florida set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Cincinnati will lose this game by fewer than three points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Bearcats have always brought their best efforts when facing strong opponents and have posted an impressive 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) when facing good teams outscoring opponents by 10+ points per game on the season since 1992. Cincinnati defense is playing well limiting Louisville to 16 points in their 25-16 win last week and pitching a shutout in their 27-0 win at Miami (Ohio). Cincy is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-16 ATS for 73% winners since 2000. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 inclusive and after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and now facing an opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Take Cincinnati.

15* graded play on Louisville as they take on Rutgers in a significant Big East game set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by three or more points. Rutgers leads the nation in turnover margin at +2.2 turnovers per game. This is the ONLY reason they are 5-1 SU and ATS as their offense is extremely weak and over rated. Even with the turnovers, they rank just 48th scoring 30.3 points per game in the FBS. Moreover, they are a terrible rushing team gaining just 91.8 yards per game ranking 111th in the FBS. The Rutgers offense has converted 22 of 27 red zone scoring opportunities for 81.5%. However, they have scored a touchdown on just 55% of these opportunities. The Louisville defense is playing their best now and have held their last to opponents to offensive season lows. Louisville lost both of these road tests, but easily covered the spread. They lost 14-7 at UNC and held them to just 86 rushing yards on 38 carries and allowed 178 passing yards on 12 for 19 passing. They lost their last game 25-16 at Cincinnati, but covered the 13 point spread. Fore those of you, who like playing the money line you will certainly like the fact that Louisville is 8-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) versus terrible rushing teams averaging <=2.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992. Although, a money line situation, I strongly believe that Louisville will core this spread and win the game comfortably.

15* graded play on on UCLA as they take on Arizona in a Pac-12 matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than four points. Arizona has fired Mike Stoops and now begins the new era under former defensive coordinator Tim Kish. This is not a good team and I do not think the quality of the team play will change. What is so ironic is that defense has been the dominant reason that Arizona is 0-4 in the PAC-12 and 1-5 overall. The defensive unit ranks 117th in the FBS allowing 37.5 points per game. UCLA has a very strong running game ranking second in the PAC-12 and 28th int he FBS gaining 194.5 rushing yards per game. The UCLA defense is better than their 97th FBS ranking allowing 32.2 points per game. They allowed 49 points in a loss to Texas and 45 points to No. 6 Stanford. In two of their three wins they allowed less than 20 points. Moreover, UCLA has returned nine starters on offense including quarterback Brehaut. However, he suffered a leg injury and is expected to miss 3 to 6 weeks. Kevin prince will start in this game. So, even with the new quarterback there are eight players with the chemistry and experience that will serve them well against a struggling Arizona team. The sim shows a high probability that UCLA will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where Arizona has allowed 28 or more points they are 5-10 ATS over the past three seasons and 17-67 ATS for 20% winners since 1992. Take UCLA.

15* graded play on Washington State as they take on Stanford set to start at 7:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WSU will lose this game by 21 or fewer points. WSU has had injuries to both quarterbacks on their roster. The news has improved with Marshall Lobbestael expected to be the starter for this game and his back-up Jeff Tuel, who had a collarbone injury, is available to play in this game. Tuel entered the season as a third year starter. So, I am not concerned in the least by any lack of offensive chemistry attributed to these injuries. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 25-4 for 86% winners since 2000 and has gone perfect 13-0 ATS over the past five seasons. Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is an elite team winning >= 80% of their games and playing a team close to .500 posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%. The matchup I love in this game for WSU is wide receiver Wilson against any of the Stanford defenders. He has elite speed and quickness and at 6-4 he has big time size advantages. He has caught 31 balls for 638 yards averaging 20.6 yards per catch and five touchdowns. Take Washington State.

15* graded play on Maryland as they host Clemson set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-39 for 68% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 42% of the total plays made based on the criteria of this system have covered the spread by seven or more points. The key to this game based on the sim projections is for Maryland to reach 28 points or more. In past games where Maryland has scored 28 or more points they are 61-14 ATS for 81.3% winners since 1992. Clemson is 14-46 ATS for 77% losers when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Maryland is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. Clemson is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992. The public is all over this game betting Clemson nearly 80% of all bets. The flash stats and records surely make Clemson look invincible, but now you know exactly why this is going to be an extremely difficult game for Clemson to even win. Take Maryland.

25* graded play on Mississippi as they host Alabama set to start at 6:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Mississippi will lose this game by fewer than 24 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-16 for 73% winners since 1992. Play against any team that is an excellent rushing team gaining >=4.8 YPR and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games and now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing 4.3 to 4.8 YPR. This is a common theme in CFB where teams get on a roll and simply cannot sustain the pervious level of excellence. Even more common when analyzing SEC conference games where it is difficult for any team to win on the road consistently. I will never forget the game where Mississippi went into Gainesville and defeated the TEBOW Gators, which led to his inspirational speech that led his team to the Championship. I truly believe based on the matchups and situations that this game could end up being a single digit nail-biter for

15* graded play on Texas as they host Oklahoma State set to start at 3:30 PM ET. Add a 5* amount on the money line playing Texas. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Texas was scorched by Oklahoma last week and allowed 367 passing yards in a 55-17 Sooner route. Texas, however, is well coached and they have posted a 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 81-39 ATS for 68% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses facing an opponent after four or more consecutive straight up wins. 50 of these plays or 42% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Supporting my belief that there will be a Texas upset win is a money line system that has gone 24-10 making 28.3 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a road team using the money line after a game where they committed no turnovers and now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse. The most dominant reason that I see Texas winning this game is that they will have a huge day on the ground. The sim shows a high probability that Texas will rush the ball for 200 to 250 yards. In past games where Texas has attained this level of performance they are a remarkable 24-1 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards since 1992. Take the Longhorns.

15* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Air Force set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that SDS will lose this game by fewer than six points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. Consider a combo bet using a 10* amount with the points and a 5* amount on the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 38-37 using the money line for just 50.7% winners, but has made a whopping 53 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play against a home team using the money line after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and has won 60% to 80% of their games and now playing a marginal team winning between 51% to 60% of their games. AF is coming off a 59-33 drubbing at Notre Dame and did not cover as 14 point dogs. AF is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992. Take San Diego State.

25* graded play on Texas A&M as the take on Texas Tech set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that A&M will win this game by 10 or more points. The sim shows that A&M will use a pounding running game to establish dominance at the line-of-scrimmage (LOS) and will then open up play action pass and attack the back-end of the TT defense. The sim also shows a very high probability that A&M will score 28 or more points. Note that 77-32 ATS (+41.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Texas Tech is just 33-66 ATS (-39.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards since 1992. A&M is coming off a tough game against one of the best offenses in the country. They lost 42-28 home versus Arkansas and were installed as 1

15* graded play on the Florida Gators as they take on LSU Tigers in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Florida Gators will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Florida will be starting a freshman, but do not for one minute under estimate his ability. He is 6-4 and 235 pounds and has pro caliber arm strength. He also has the size to take on the LSU blitzing defenders and has the field vision to get through several progressions quickly and before the blitz pressure gets to him. The sim shows a high probability that Florida will rush for 3 to 3.5 yards per carry and 150 to 200 rushing yards in the game. Florida is a solid 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt since 1992; 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards since 1992. LSU has not done well against teams like Florida. They are just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=6.25 yards/play since 1992; 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games versus good rushing defenses allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992. The Gators will be strong in two areas to put up enough points to pull the upset. First, an offensive line that allowed too much leakage last week must be better in pass protection. The LSU front will present a challenge, though. DT Michael Brockers flashes quickness and power to collapse the pocket from the interior, while Montgomery and Mingo are smooth and fast off the edge. Take the Gators.

15* graded play on FSU as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. EJ Manuel is back this week and his athleticism will be evident on the field today. These two teams are the Top-2 passing teams in the ACC. The problem for Wake Forest is that they have not played a team with the defensive speed and quickness like the FSU unit. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by 10 points or more. I do believe FSU will win the turnover stat and those turnovers will lead to scores. FSU has had four scores of 50 yards or more in each of their first four games. This will stretch the Wake defense and it will then allow FSU to execute high percentage pass plays using underneath crossing routes. Once in space the FSU wide receivers have elite speed and are difficult to bring down. The running game will emerge for FSU as well, with the Wake safeties having to defend the back-end of the defense and not be able to help at all in run support. FSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. Take FSU.

10* graded play

15* graded play on Maryland as they take on Georgia Tech set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will lose this game by 15 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-8 ATS for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games with the game taking place in the first half of the season. 25 of these games or 63% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 101-44 making 52.6 units per one unit wagered since 2000. Play on dogs of 10.5 to 21 points after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games facing an opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. I am not a believer in the triple-option offense run by Georgia Tech. To defend this scheme the defense must be disciplined and not over pursue and must have strong contain on the perimeter to force ball carriers to cut back into the middle of the field. Maryland has the skill players on defense and they have had FIVE game films to study in preparation for this ACC showdown. Moreover, head coach Eds. Is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. Take Maryland.

15* graded play on Western Kentucky as they take on Middle Tennessee State set to start at 7:30 PM ET. I also like a 5* amount using WK on the first half line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that WK will lose this game by fewer than 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-8 ATS for 81% winners since 2005. Play on road dogs after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games in the first half of the season. The sim shows a high probability that WK will gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards. This is not good news and supports a possible upset noting that MTS is just 9-18 against the money line (-14.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. Supporting the first half line play is a system that has gone 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 6 to 11.5 points using the first half line in conference games with 5 or more defensive starters returning than opponent. Take Western Kentucky.

15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Stanford set to start at 10:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 21 points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 79-37 for 68% winners since 2005. Play on a road team after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games and with the game taking place in the first half of the season. 57 of the 116 plays made covered the spread by seven or more points. This system is already 3-1 ATS this season. UCLA will have their hands full to play in step with the Cardinal, but they are getting 21 points and head coach Heuheisel is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) facing incredible offensive teams scoring 37 or more points per game in all games he has coached since 1992. UCLA running back Jonathan Franklin will be playing in this game after tweaking a hip in last week

25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Nebraska set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by 12 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2000. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game facing an opponent after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Here is a second system that has hit 72% winners since 1992 for a 48-19 ATS record. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after out gaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Nebraska joins the Big-10 and they get assigned No. 5 Wisconsin as their incarnation game. My sim shows a high probability that Wisconsin will out gain Nebraska by 200 or more offensive yards. In past games where this has happened to Nebraska they are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. Wisconsin is a solid 31-5 ATS (+25.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. The sim also shows a high probability that Wisconsin will outgain Nebraska by 2.0 yards per play. In past games where Wisconsin attained this performance level they are an incredible 39-5 ATS (+33.5 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play since 1992. Take Wisconsin.

15* graded play on Kansas as they host Texas Tech set to start at Noon ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Kansas will lose this game by fewer than six points. Kansas is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games since 1992. Moreover, they have had two weeks of rest and preparation for this game. Kansas is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games since 1992. I believe that if my pay here is correct Kansas will win the game. That opinion is founded on my sim showing a high probability that Kansas will gain between 350 and 400 total offensive yards. In past games where Kansas has achieved this level of offensive output they have produced a 11-2 against the money line (+10.2 Units) in home games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards since 1992. Texas Tech may have a strong offense, but their defense is quite poor. Kansas is 8-1 against the money line (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams allowing >=5.9 yards/play since 1992. The Tech defense is extremely weak against the run allowing 5.1 yards per carry and 226 yards per game. Another key actor is that tech is not a strong ball control team averaging 28:10 in TOP. This will allow Kansas, who is a strong ball control offense averaging 31:28 in TOP to control the game tempo and execute time consuming scoring drives. These types of drives will wear down an already weak defense and keep the prolific Tech offense off the field. Take Kansas.

25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they host South Florida set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game. Supporting this graded play are some impressive coaching angles. Pittsburgh head coach Graham is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog in all games he has coached since 1992. The line has been overwhelmingly supported by SF bets and the line has moved up. However, the public has been wrong with line movements involving SF game to the tune of 5-19 ATS for 21% ATS winners. SF is coming off three impressive wins, but they were against weak opponents. Pitt has played a significantly tougher schedule and this

15* graded play on Arizona as they take on Oregon set to start at 10:15 PM. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Arizona will lose this game by fewer than 14 points. If you have been with me for any stretch of years you know that every year we have had a big time dog win outright. Sometimes these dogs have been 24 point dogs as was the case when Mississippi went into Gainesville and defeated the Gators leading to Tim Tebow

15* graded play on California as they take on Washington in Pac-10 action set to start at My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that CAL will win this game. The sim shows a very high probability that Cal will rush for 150 to 200 yards and average 4.0 to 4.5 rushing yards per attempt. It also projects Cal to score between 22 and 28 points. In past games where this level of achievement was attained Cal is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons; Washington is just 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992. Cal is coming off a

25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Georgia Tech in ACC action set to start at Noon EST. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that UNC will lose this game by 6 or fewer points and has a tremendous opportunity to win the game. Consider an optional wager placing an 18* on the line and a 7* using the Money Line. GT has played some soft competition to attain the number one rushing and offensive team rankings in the nation. They set school records last week in a 66-24 win over Kansas. They part of this game that most observers are missing is that North Carolina will be able to score against GT defense. They also have the type of ball control offense that can keep the GT option offense on the sidelines. UNC has the athletes that can disrupt the option scheme. The sim shows a high probability that UNC will score 28 or more points and will be able to average 4.0 to 4.5 yards-per-rush in this game. In past games where these levels of performance were achieved UNC has posted a 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. GT is just 22-55 ATS (-38.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Moreover, GT is just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992. Take North Carolina.

25* graded play on North Carolina State as they take on Cincinnati set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that NC State will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a reasonable probability to win the game. Consider a combination bet as an alternative to a straight 25* on the line by betting 18* getting the points and a 7* using the Money Line. Simulator shows a high probability that NC State will score more than 28 points in this game and let me be clear this is NOT a reason to bet the

25* graded play on Florida State as they host Oklahoma in the marquee game of the year to date. I have several other plays today so make sure you get them and play them all according to their star grading. It is a mistake to ONLY focus on this top rated 25* play and that play the other games that are on the Saturday card. In my 18 years of experience it is the entire card that will

15* graded play on Louisiana Tech as the host Houston set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LA-Tech will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has an excellent shot a possible upset win. Consider making a combination bet with a 12* getting the points and 3* using the money line. The simulator shows a very high probability that LA-Tech will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where they have allowed 28 or more points to an opponent they are 1-9 ATS over the past three seasons. LA-Tech is a solid 50-18 ATS (+30.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. This is game where the strengths will be the Tech power running game facing a strong Houston passing attack. I strongly believe that LA-Tech

15* graded play on Duke University as they take on Boston College set to start at 12:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Duke will lose this game by seven or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 35-11 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play on a road team after a loss by 17 or more points facing an opponent after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games. Even more impressive is that 25 of these plays or 54% of them covered the spread by seven or more points. This underscores the potential for an upset win by Duke. Adding an optional 3* play to the Money Line is something certainly worth considering or you could create a combination bet with a 12* amount getting the points and a 3* amount using the money line. The sim shows a high probability that Duke will gain more total yards than BC. In past games where Duke has achieved this level of performance they are 11-1 ATS since 1992. Moreover, Duke is a near perfect 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after gaining 40 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. Take Duke

15* graded play on Iowa State as they take on Connecticut set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iowa State will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. Iowa State is coming off a big time win over intra-state rival Iowa 44-41 installed as a 6 1/2 point dog.The simulator shows a high probability that their defense will hold Connecticut to less than 21 points and and 4 to 4.5 total yards per play. In past games where theses levels of defensive achievement were attained Iowa State is a solid 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play since 1992. Take Iowa State.

15* graded play on Mississippi State as they host No. 3 LSU in Starksville, MS starting at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that MSU will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent shot at winning the game. I strongly believe that MSU will be successful on offense and will gain a minimum of 400 offensive yards. In past games LSU is just 8-21 ATS losing 15.1 units when they allow 400 to 450 total yards since 1992. Moreover, MSU is a rock solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Head Coach Les Miles is in one of his weakest coaching situations noting he is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games as the coach of LSU.

7* graded play

25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Michigan will lose this game by three or fewer points and has an excellent opportunity to win the first-ever home night game in Michigan history. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-7 ATS for 80% winners since 1992. Play on a home team that was a weak defensive team from last season that allowed 400 or more total yards per game and with 16 total starters returning and the game taking in the first two weeks of the season. The sim shows a high probability that the Michigan defense is going to play extremely well, especially against the pass. The sim shows a high probability that ND will gain less than 300 net passing yards. ND is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992. South Florida ran 42 running splays in their win last week over Notre Dame and Michigan has a far superior rushing attack than South Florida. Notre Dame will be forced to bring seven and eight defenders into the box and this in turn will open up excellent passing situations that will be in man-coverage situations. I strongly believe that Michigan RB Robinson will be successful running the ball and he will be sued in a variety of formations and situations. He will be used under center and out of the shot-gun, He had 502 total yards combined offense and scored the winning TD with 27-seconds left in the game in last year

15* graded play on Tulane as they take on Tulsa set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Tulane will lose this game by 12 or fewer points. Tulsa is going to be vulnerable to the Tulane passing attack, especially in play action situations. The sim shows a high probability that Tulane will gain 250 to 300 net passing yards in this game. In past games where Tulsa has allowed this measure of passing they are just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992. In last week

15* graded play on Toledo as they take on Ohio State set to start at Noon ET. I also like adding an optional 5* bet using the toledo and the first half line. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Toledo will lose this game by 17 or fewer points. Toledo returns 18 starters with nine each of on offense and defense and this will be a significant advantage for them to compete more evenly with a reloading Ohio State team. Toledo is also a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. Supporting the first half line is a system that has produced a 114-63 ATS mark since 2001. Play against favorites of 6 to 11.5 facing the first half line after a dominating performance that featured 34 or more minutes TOP and 24 or more first downs. Take Toledo.

15* graded play on Florida International as they take on Louisville Friday night set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that FI will lose this game by less than three points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. Head Coach Mario Cristobal has his Panthers headed in the right direction. Many times when a team posts it's first winning season after becoming a D-1 member they suffer in road tilts. However, I strongly believe that FI is well coached and will not suffer any letdown whatsoever. Further, Louisville may get caught looking to next week's shown for state bragging rights against Kentucky. Further supporting this graded play are game situations that work against Louisville and 'for' FI. Louisville is just

15* graded play on Maryland as they take on Miami set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Maryland will win this game by five or more points. The seven suspensions have devastated the Hurricanes team. Quarterback Harris is out, which is actually the only good thing about the suspensions as Morris is the better quarterback. The positives stop there though and I strongly believe that the Maryland offense that ranked second best in scoring offense in the ACC at 32 PPG will have NO trouble scoring points against the Hurricane defense. There will be true freshman and red shirt freshman filling in on defense and have had limited time to prepare for Maryland and learn the defensive scheme. The suspensions have overshadowed the coaching debuts of two highly respected coaches. Former Temple coach Golden will make his debut for the Hurricanes while former UCONN coach Edsall makes his for the Terrapins. Edsall is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 in all games he has coached since 1992. Making matters worse for Miami is that they are on a 1-5-1 ATS run in road openers. Take Maryland.

15* graded play on Louisiana Tech as they take on Southern Mississippi set to start at 10:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LT will lose this game by 11 or fewer points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Consider - if available at your sports book - adding a 3* amount on the money line. Hard to believe that Southern Mississippi does not get more media recognition for having 16 straight winning seasons. They have just TWO teams in this year

15* graded play on LSU as they host Oregon set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by three will win this game. The LSU defense will cause Oregon quarterback Darron Thomas all sorts of problem sin this game. Last year the Oregon offense was as good as was his reads and he did struggle mightily against Auburn and California. LSU has a similar defensive scheme as those two opponents. They are extremely athletic, but very disciplined in their assignments and will not create voids in the line due to over pursuit. LSU quarterback Jarrod Jefferson

15* graded play on south Florida as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 3:30 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that South Florida (SF) will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an excellent shot and winning in South Bend. Given this prospect consider adding a 4* amount using the Money Line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 32-3 ATS for 92% winners since 1992 and has gone a perfect 14-0 ATS since 2000. Play against any team in the first week of the season and after closing out last season with three or more straight spread covers and is a team that had a good record last season winning 60% to 80% of their games and playing a team that had a winning record. 72% of these games covered the spread by seven or more points and this under scores by strong belief that this will be a very close game. Although Notre Dame returns eight starters on defense they are going to have their hands full with SF quarterback B.J. Daniels. he had been recovering from a hamstring injury, but based on published reports he is 100% for this game. Moreover, we have SF head coach Skip Holtz, the son of Lou Holtz, who won a National Champions as head coach of the Irish, making a return to South Bend. The key to this game will be exposing the Irish cornerbacks. Daniels will be able to get man coverage for his two elite WR in A.J. Love and Sterling Griffin. If the Irish choose to play cover-2, then Daniels can dissect that defense with a very good TE in Evan Landi. He is 6-3 and 220 pounds and has the speed to be a threat along the seams in play action situations. he has significant athletic advantages over any Irish linebacker that would be forced to try and defend him. Take South Florida.

15* graded play on Baylor as they take on TCU set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than three points and I strongly believe they will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 28-6 ATS for 82.4% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season and after closing out last season with two or more straight losses and had a winning record last season. Here is a second system that has gone 40-13 ATS for 76% winners since 2000. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the first month of the season that was bowl team from prior season who lost their last two games. Here is a third system that has produced a 28-7 ATS winning mark for 80% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points and is a team that had a winning record last season playing a non-conference foe. My simulator shows high probabilities that Baylor will gain 5 to 5.5 rushing yards per attempt and score 28 or more points in this game. Note that in past games where these levels of achievement were achieved Baylor is a near perfect 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they rush for 5 to 5.5 yards per attempt since 1992. Moreover, Baylor is a solid 41-15 ATS (+24.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. TCU is just 17-46 ATS (-33.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Take the Baylor Bears.

15* graded play on Wake Forest as they take on Syracuse set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Wake Forest will lose this game by fewer than six points and has an excellent opportunity to win the game. With that said, consider adding a 4* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a MONEY LINE system that has produced a record of 79-91 for just 46.5% winners, but has made a whopping 71.4 units per one unit wagered. Play on dogs of +155 to +300 using the money line with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent and with the game taking place in the first month of the season. The average play for this system has been a +205 DOG. Here is a second system that has produced a 31-42 record for just 42.5% winners, but has made a whopping 61 units per one unit wagered. Play on a road team using the money line that was a poor team from last season that was outscored by opponents by 10 or more points per game and with six or more offensive starters returning. The average money line play has been an incredible +332 DOG. I cannot over emphasize the advantage that teams have in the first part of the season that have the majority of starters returning from the previous season. The Syracuse defense ranked seventh nationally allowing 301 YPG, but that was against some soft opponents. That defense lost six starters including both defensive tackles, both corners, and their leading tackler Derrell Smith. Wake lost two key players due to off-the-field-conduct in DE Kevin Smith and academic woes in Kevin Johnson. However, Wake returns an ACC high 58 lettermen to this year

15* graded play on Boston College as they take on Nevada in the Kraft Fight for Hunger Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that BC will lose this game by fewer than 7 1/2 points and has an excellent shot at winning the game.

The Matchups
Senior quarterback Colin Kaepernick has been the best athlete possible to execute the unique pistol offense run by the Wolfpack.. He was supported by senior running back Vai Taua and they have given the Wolf Pack offense a very strong cohesiveness. Kaepernick threw for 2,830 yards and 20 touchdowns and rushed for another 20 touchdowns. Tau has eclipsed the 100 yard rushing mark 26 times in his career. He scored 22 touchdowns, which is tied for best in the FBS with Oregon

25* Titan Play on Arkansas
Background
Ohio State is playing in their sixth straight BCS bowl game while Arkansas is making their BCS debut. Interesting too is that Ohio State has never defeated a team from the Southeastern Conference in a bowl game sporting an 0-9 record. Ending this horrid streak is certainly one of their top priorities entering this game.

This game will feature two of the top quarterbacks in the country in Ohio State

25* Titan Game of the Year play on TCU. The simulator shows a very high probability that TCU will win this game by five or more points. The simulator also shows and is further outlined below that PSU will have less than 150 net passing yards. Note that TCU is a solid 16-3 ATS when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. No doubt in my mind that TCU will score 28 or more points in this game. Wisconsin is 14-43 ATS (-33.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992.

Two top-5 teams square off in this BCS bowl as Mountain West Champion and No.3 ranked TCU (12-0, 8-0 MWC) takes on Big-10 Champion and No.5 ranked Wisconsin (11-1, 7-1 Big Ten) in the Rose Bowl.

This is an intriguing matchup of strengths with TCU sporting the best defense in the nation going up against a Wisconsin team that has scored 70 or more points on three occasions. However, TCU uses a 4-2-5 scheme used to stop the prolific passing attacks employed by most teams in the MWC. Wisconsin is a polar opposite with a stable of strong powerful running backs. There is no doubt that TCU will confuse Wisconsin with 4-3, 4-2-5, and even 3-4 looks in this game to contain the running game.

National Rankings
Wisconsin is a power run dominated offense that ranks 12th nationally gaining 247.3 points per game. The passing game is quite adequate and under rated ranking 73rd gaining 202.8 yards per game. They have done an excellent job scoring points ranking 4th in scoring offense at 43.3 points per game. The Badger defense ranks 29th allowing 20.5 points per game. The scoring is inflated however, as they scored 70 points against Austin Peay, 83 points against Indiana, and 70 against Northwestern. These were games where, in my opinion, the score did not need to get this out of hand and greater sportsmanship could have been observed. Moreover, given that these three games were against vastly inferior foes gives reason that Wisconsin is not a top-10 offensive team.

TCU, as mentioned, ranks first in scoring defense allowing 11.4 points per game. The rushing attack has been stellar ranking 8th gaining 261.2 yards per game. The passing game has benefitted greatly from the read-option rushing attack ranking 53rd gaining 230.3 points per game. Coincidently, TCU is tied for fourth place with Wisconsin in scoring offense at 43.3 points per game.

Yards per Point Stats
These stats are based on games played against bowl playing teams and give greater insight to this matchup. Generally, readings in the 15 yards per point range reflect the average Division I football squad. Offensively, numbers below 15 reflect an increasingly explosive type of team while numbers above 15 reflect a team that struggles to move the ball and/or sustain scoring drives. Defensively, the inverse is fact, with numbers above 15 reflecting an increasingly dominant defense and numbers falling below 15 an increasingly struggling defense.

The TCU offense has scored 40 points and allowed 14 points per game against bowl playing teams. They have gained 228 yards rushing yards and allowed 103 per game. They have gained 255 passing yards while allowing 147 passing yards per game.

The Wisconsin offense has score 41 points and allowed 27 points per game against bowl playing teams. They have rushed for 235 yards while allowing 155 rushing yards per game. They have gained 183 passing yards while allowing 216 passing yards per game.

Breaking it down to yards per point clearly shows why TCU is the better team. TCU has posted an offensive reading of 12.1 yards per point while the defense has posted an impressive 17.9 yards per points. This means that they need only gain 12.1 yards to score one point on average. They have made offenses work extremely hard having to gain 17.9 yards to score one point on average.

Wisconsin

This is a marquee matchup of two high profile teams that have fallen on lean times and far too many disappointing seasons. Notre Dame (7-5, 2-2 away) takes on Miami (7-5, 5-3 ACC) for the first time in 20 years and although the game sold out in less than 24 hours, neither team is very excited about being part of the Sun Bowl. It is not that the Sun Bowl is not a great event with great weather and sun drenched skies, but rather that any top level program does not start the season with goals of attending the Sun Bowl.

Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly echoed those thoughts stating

15* graded play on Clemson. My simulator shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game by six or more points. I also like a 5* amount on the

This is a monumental mismatch with No.18 Nebraska (10-3, 6-2 Big 12) taking on Washington (6-6), 5-4 Pac-10) playing each other for the second time this season and will face each for a third time next September. I think it is safe to say that Nebraska will win all three of these matchups. Most importantly, I see Nebraska easily covering the 14 point spread in this game. As an added bet I also like a small play on Nebraska using the first half line.

National Rankings
Nebraska is a run dominated offense ranking ninth in rushing offense gaining 259.6 yards per game and ranking 109th in passing gaining 154.6 yards per game. Their defense has been one of the best in the country and ranks eighth in scoring defense allowing just 17.2 points per game. The Husker defense is even stronger than their ranking as they play in the tough Big-12 conference.

Washington is in a bowl game and their national rankings and quality of play cause wonder why they are in this bowl game or any bowl game quite frankly. The Huskies rank 76th in passing offense gaining 200.3 yards per game and 46th in rushing offense gaining 164.2 yards per game and rank a very poor 93rd in scoring offense at 22.1 points per game. Making matters worse is their defense has been torched on numerous occasions this season and rank 93rd in scoring defense allowing 31.2 points per game.

Previous Game
These two teams met on September 18 and Nebraska crushed Washington 56-21and were favored by just 2 1/2 points. This was a game that had a ton of anxieties for the Nebraska team and their faithful fans wondering how quarterback Taylor Martinez would perform in his first road start. The answer was quickly determined as he ran for 137 yards and three touchdowns. One of these touchdowns was a rookie record for the longest touchdown. On the first play from scrimmage in the second half he darted for an 80 yard touchdown. In addition, he threw for 150 yards with one touchdown.

Nebraska had three 100 yard rushers and marked the first time Washington had allowed this to happen in their school history. Point is that Nebraska is an even better and more mature team then when they played this game against Washington while Washington has not shown any significant improvement, especially on the defensive side.

Nebraska recorded 21 first downs to just 13 for Washington. They overwhelmed Washington in every meaningful game stat and out gained Washington by 287 total offensive yards. That difference is more than double the 246 yards that Washington gained.

Concern regarding the BIG-12 Championship loss
In my opinion, the reason the line appears low to me is the fact that Nebraska is coming off a very emotional loss to Oklahoma in the Big-12 Championship. They were leading 17-0 in the second quarter before turning the ball over four times and essentially giving the game to Oklahoma. However, the team has had more than three weeks to mend and I have no doubt they will come out in this game and play with complete focus and motivation.

One of the dominant themes coaches use is to motivate players in this type of situation is emphasizing the opportunities the players have had by attending Nebraska and the need to win this game so that this year

15* graded play on Baylor as they take on Illinois in the Texas Bowl set to start at 6:00 PM EST

Illinois (6-6, 4-4 Big Ten, 7-4 ATS) had missed the bowl season the past two seasons, but this is the first time in 16 seasons that Baylor (7-5, 4-4 Big 12, 5-6 ATS) has made a bowl appearance. Baylor last played in the 1994 Alamo Bowl losing 10-3 to Washington State.

This will be a very interesting game to watch as both teams have strong offenses scoring nearly the same points per game, but execute in two totally different manners. Illinois is a run dominated offense, while Baylor loves to throw the ball, but in a balanced attack. The proprietary simulator shows a high probability that Baylor will win this game by more than three points.

National Rankings
Illinois ranks 57th nationally gaining 385.8 total offensive yards per game, 115th in passing gaining 154.3 yards per game, 13th in rushing gaining an impressive 242.3 yards per game, and 34th in scoring at 32.1 points per game. Baylor ranks 12th nationally in total offensive yards gaining 478.5 yards per game, 20th in passing gaining 287.3 yards per game, 23rd in rushing gaining 200.5 yards per game, and 29th in scoring at 32.6 points per game.

Defenses are highly suspect
These two teams have used their high octane offenses to offset weak defenses that made a ton of mistakes in each game. Baylor ranks 83rd in scoring defense allowing 29.8 points per game and Illinois

15* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on Air Force in the Independence Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by fewer than two points and has a an excellent shot at winning the game. Georgia Tech comes into this game with the best rushing offense in the nation averaging 327 yards per game. Air Force is second best gaining 317.9 rushing yards per game. The major difference between these two teams is the quality of their opponents with GT playing a difficult ACC schedule and Air Force a far easier MWC schedule. GT has a significant size advantage with their defensive front going up against an Air Force offensive line averaging just 267 pounds per player. The AF offensive line is designed to be quick and they use slide blocking attacking the legs of the defender. Air Force did not face a defensive front with the power and size of Georgia Tech. Air Force quarterback Jefferson is not a solid decision maker and is highly inaccurate. Even in play action pass situations the GT secondary led by safety Jerrard Tennant can recover with superior closing speed on the wide AF wide receivers. The Falcons may get 6-foot-5 wide receiver Kevin Fogler back from a knee injury. Even at 100% the GT secondary ash the personnel to blanket him. The GT offense has a size advantage featuring the bruising running of Anthony Allen, who can wear down a defense on his own merit. Give that Air Force is banged up and has two key injuries on the defensive front makes them very vulnerable to fatigue and that is when the big plays will happen for GT. The Yellow Jackets have gained 225 or more rushing yards in five straight games. Head coach Johnson is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 34-13 against the money line and has made 24.6 units since 1992. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game and is an excellent rushing team gaining more than230 rushing yards per game and is facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing 140-190 rushing yards per game. Take Georgia Tech.

15* graded play on Navy as they take on San Diego State in the Poinsettia Bowl being played at Qualcomm Stadium starting at 8:00 PM ET. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Navy will lose this game by fewer than three points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-19 ATS for 69.4% winners since 2000. Play against any team that is a dominant team out gaining opponents by 1.2+ yards per play facing a good team out gaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 yards per play and after gaining 525 or more total yards per game over their last two games. SDST will be able to rush the ball and the model shows a very high probability that they will gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards in this game. Note that Navy is a solid 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. Navy is on several positive runs noting they are 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992; 44-16 ATS (+26.4 Units) as a road underdog since 1992. Take NAVY.

10* graded play on Louisville as they take on Southern Mississippi in the Beef

15* graded play on Troy University as they take on Ohio University in the New Orleans Bowl set to start at 9 PM ET. This game is taking place in the Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Troy will win this game by more than three points. Ohio is 0-4 in all bowl games played in school history and Troy is a seasoned bowl university having played five bowls in the past seven years. The Ohio defense will not be able to contain the best scoring offense in the Sun Belt Conference. Troy averaged 32.9 points per game while the Ohio Bobcats yielded 21.8 points per game and allowed 332.7 yards per game. Troy was also first in the conference in offense gaining 441.1 yards per game. Troy is a near perfect 8-1 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 ATS after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Since becoming the head coach of Troy, Biakeney is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. Troy wins BIG!

25* graded play on Army as they take on Navy in the famed Army/Navy game set to start at Noon EST. My proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Army will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a solid opportunity at an upset win. Consider an optional wager betting 20* on the line and a 5* amount on the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 43-16 ATS for 73% winners since 1992. Play against any team that is an excellent rushing team gaining >=4.8 yards per rush facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing 4.3 to 4.8 yards per play and after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games. Supporting the upset bid is a solid money making money line system that has produced a 44-47 record and made a whopping 47.5 units since 2005. Play on dogs of +155 to +300 using the money line after allowing eight or more passing yards per attempt in two straight games and with an experienced QB returning as starter. Navy is certainly a running team and they rank fifth nationally gaining 302.5 yards per game. They rank 40th in scoring offense at 31 points per game and rank 45th in scoring defense allowing 22.8 points per game. Army is a near mirror image of the Midshipman ranking 9th in rushing yards gaining 260.3 yards per game and 52nd in scoring offense at 28.5 points per game. Army ranks 55th in scoring defense at 24.6 points per game. Army is vastly improved and they to have the personnel on both sides of the ball to make this a game that comes down to the final drive. I think Army will easily cover. Take Army.