Patriots -3 3.3% play 

Steelers +3.5 3.5% play -115

I think these teams are pretty even.  I think the Steelers will carry thier momentum into this game.  Houston's pass rush has not been as good on the road, and their offense scored more than 20 points only one time on the road.  Pittsburgh is a very tough place to play especially in the playoffs, and I think this will be a very tight game coming down to the wrie, and I would rather Aaron Rodgers with the ball even at this point in his career.  He will get DJ Metcalf back, and that will make a huge difference here.  I know it is not always pretty with Rodgers, but he's put together some impressive games, and always keeps his team alive. 

Chargers +3.5 3.3%^

Jaguars -1 2.2% 

Packers -1.5 3.3% play 

Indiana -3.5 4% play 

Steelers +3.5 3.3% play

Lions +4.5 1.1% play

Saints +3.5 3.3%

Tampa -3 +100 3% play 

Wake Forest +3 2.2%

Texas State -14 2.2% play 

Georgia -6.5 4.4% play 

Indiana -7 2.2% 

Texas Tech +3 -120 3% play

Ohio State -7 -116 3.5% play 

Michigan +7.5 -118 3.5% play 

Iowa 4

TCU +6.5 3.3% PLAY 

Illinois +3.5 2.2% 

Packers -3 3.3%

Chargers -1 3.3% play 

BYU -3 -115 3.5% PLAY

The Big 12 was the far superior conference this year and went 6-1 vs. the ACC +13.8 points per game.  ACC has been in a decline the last few years, and this is just a bad match up in my opinion.  BYU has done well against top offenses this year going 4-2, two losses against Texas Tech, but held the other four to 13, 21, 13, and 14 points.  Texas Tech also sports a top 10 defense, which really wore down the BYU defense late in those two games, which led to Texas Tech.  Georgia Tech just does not have a top defense.  They ranked 97th in yards per play this season, and 104th in ypc allowed, 76th in rush success defense, which will be troublesome vs. BYU.  BYU also takes good care of the ball while Georgia Tech can not turn you over, which means BYU likely will win the turnover battle here.  You can shop around there is BYU -3.5 +102, buying the half gets you to -115, which I think is worth it.  I think we are getting a lower # here due to Georgia Tech nearly beating Georgia, but they did that last year too, and went on to lose to a worse Vanderbilt team.  Georgia Tech also without some coaches for this game too. 

Louisville -6.5 4.4% play 

Broncos -3 -115 3.5%

Packers +1.5 2.2% play 

Commanders +7.5 -115 2.5% play 

Tulane +17 1.1% Free play 

NC State -3 2.2%

The strength of schedule just doesn't compare.  Combine that with the fact that Memphis head coach and offensive coordinator is gone, and Memphis has won all their bowl games in recent years while you have Dave Doeren on the other side not winning games, and preaching players finishing what they started, and I think NC State is the right side.  NC State struggled with turnovers this year which led to losses, but over their last 5 games they have given the ball up only 3 times.  I think they will have a great opportunity to move the ball today with their veteran QB against a Memphis pass defense that ranks 116th in success rate defense, 115th in sack %.  NC State losses have been against Miami, Pitt, Notre Dame, Duke and Virginia Tech.  The Tech loss aside those are not bad losses.  A chance to get to 8 wins, and 4 out of their last 5 heading into the offseason as well as a bowl win.  ACC is 20-6 vs. AAC +13.9 points per game since 2020 including 4-1 this year +15 points per game.

Troy +3 2.2% play 

Dolphins +3.5 3.3% play

Rams -5.5 3.3% play 

Packers -1 5.5% NFL POD

Army +7 -118 buy the half 4.5 % play

One of my favorite games of the year, and this game is always tight. Looking at the match up I can not justify a 14 point line move from last year's match up.  Navy was the 7 point dog last year, and they won 31-13, because of 3 intereceptions by Daily.  That just does not happen, and I expect Army to be really focus on ball security in this game.  Navy not as good at forcing the turnovers ast hey were last year, and their pass defense this year ranks 124th in success rate, while last year they ranked 32nd.  Overally Navy has the better team, but we have some similar strength of schedules, and the Commander N Chief trophy is on the line due to both teams beating AirForce by 3 this year.  Army could very easily be 9-2 instead of 6-5, and if that were the case we would be seeing a game under a field goal.  With a very low total I think it's worth buying this up to 7 points especilaly with it shaded towards moving to 7. 

Bucs -5.5 2.2% play 

Chargers +3 -130 3% play 

Packers -6.5 -115 3.5% play 

Vikings +1 4.4% NFL POD

Indiana +4.5 3.3% play 

Georgia -1 1.1% play

UNLV/Boise +6 2.2% play 

Tulane +3 3.5% play

Giants +7.5 4% NFL POD

Steelers +3.5 -125 3% play

Jets +3 3.3% play / Jets +160 0.5%

Titans +5.5 +100 2% play 

Virginia Tech +8 2.2% play 

Tennessee -2.5 3.3% play 

Washington +7 4.4% POD

Clemson +3 3.3% play 

Pitt +7 2.2% play / Pitt +225 0.5% bonus

I like Pitt here today.  This team is much more balanced than last year's team that upset Miami, and they will be home in this one with a shot at getting the ACC Championship game with a win and a Virginia or SMU loss (both games later in the day).  Pitt's best attribute is ability to stop the run, and that's where Miami has struggled.  In their 4 games against top rushing defense they went 2-2, and those games were decided by 3,6,3, and 6 points. Miami has not done well in the past coming north this late in the year to play in cold weather. 

Texas +3 3.3% play 

New Mexico +1.5 3.3% play 

Georgia Tech +17 1.1% Free play 

Nebraska +6 2.2% play 

Navy +4.5 2.2% play 

Cowboys +4 3.3% play

Cowboys +3.5 -125 1.5% free play

Cardinals +8.5 / Steelers +8.5 2.2% teaser

Chiefs -3.5 -105 2% play 

Cal -3.5 2.2% play 

Georgia Tech -2.5 3.3% play

Houston -1.5 3.3% play 

Maryland +14 2.2% play 

Temple +10 -115 3% play 

Kentucky +8.5 3.3% play 

Michigan STate +17 3.3% play 

South Alabama +1 2.2% play

USC +10.5 4.4% PLAY

USC has not been a great road team in recent years, but most of that has been traveling in the Big Ten, this is a travel spot they are used to going on the road to face an old PAC12 foe in Oregon who is now also in the Big Ten.  USC realling gaining some confidence, and although they have some injuries on defense, that gets washed by the Oregon offensive injuries particular missing their top 2 WR.  I also am not trusing this Dan Lanning defense, which rhas faced an average opponent YPP offense of 96.7, which when you compare that to USC who has faced an average offensive opponent YPP of 64.3.  Oregon's opponent average YPP differential is -0.6.

I don't view Oregon's defense as a top unit, and they will be going up against a top 10 offense here that is balanced.  They can run and pass the ball ranking top 10 in both.  Oregon since Lanning took over 2022 is just 8-7 vs. top 50 ypp offenses, they have only faced one this year and lost 20-30 at home against Indiana.  In those games Oregon has averaged 34.26 while allowing 30.8.  I think this match up is much closer than the spread, and I think we are getting a couple extra points due to USC's "road struggles."  Oregon's big win against Penn State looking worse by the week, while these two teams had two very similar outcomes vs. Iowa.

North Carolina +7 2.2%

Minnesota +4 2.2% play 

Texans +5.5 2.2% play 

Cowboys -3 -125 3% play 

Broncos +4 3.3% play

Rams -2.5 3.3% play 

Jaguars +3 -115 3% play 

Jacksonville State +3 2.2% play 

Texas +4.5 2.2% play 

North Carolina +6 2.2% play 

Michigan State +7.5 3.3% play 

Alabama -6.5 2.2% play 

ARKANSAS +4.5 3.3% PLAY 

Pitt +12.5 2.2% play 

Jets +13 2.2% play 

Cardinals +7.5 -115 2.5 %

Saints +5.5 2.2% play

Tampa -2.5 3.3% play 

Ravens -4 2.2% 

Colts -6 3.3% play 

Navy +28 2.2% play 

Missouri +7 3.3% play 

Iowa +5.5 2.2% play 

Kansas +5 2.2% play 

BC +10.5 1.1% fREE PLAY 

Raiders +9.5 2.2% play

Steelers +3.5 1.1% free play 

Panthers +13 2.2% play 

Wake Forest +10.5 3.3% play 

USC -4.5 2.2% PLAY 

Virginia -6 2.2% play